Tanner Boser

Angelo confidently picks Gokhan Saricam, calling him an explosive wrestler who fights like a welterweight. He believes Tanner Boser is only on the card because he's Canadian and will lose. He placed a half-unit bet on Gokhan, surprised the odds are reasonable.

Big Brady leans toward Gokhan Saricam, citing his wrestling as the key difference. He notes Tanner Boser's history of being taken down by fighters like Khalil Rountree and Latifi. Brady thinks Saricam will dictate the fight with wrestling and win a boring decision.

Cody picks Gokhan Saricam, citing his wrestling and size advantage. He notes that Boser has been inactive and struggled against wrestlers. He also mentions the narrative that Saricam's manager Ali Abdelaziz may have set up this fight.

Connor picks Boser because he knows how to fight and can out-hustle Saricam, who is not high-energy. He notes that Boser's only real ability is not getting tired at heavyweight, and that Saricam is a regional-level fighter who gets taken down easily. He acknowledges Boser is too small for heavyweight but believes Saricam is not capable enough to exploit that.

No strong lean either way. Both have poor takedown defense and ground game, so likely a stand-up fight. Boser is durable with good cardio, Saricam is a better boxer but making UFC debut. Too many unknowns for a pre-fight bet.

The host picks the over 2.5 rounds prop for this fight, not a fighter. He believes both fighters are durable and not finishers, leading to a late-rounds or decision outcome. He also leans Gokhan Saricam to win by decision for a ladder bet.

James picks Gokhan Saricam to win via decision, citing his better all-around game and wrestling. He notes Boser's experience but thinks Saricam's style matches up well. He is not highly confident due to Saricam's UFC debut.

The host believes Saricam is the cleaner striker and will land better volume, eventually getting a knockout victory. However, he has some pause due to Boser's pace and pressure. He expects Saricam to counter Boser's pressure with power and slicker striking, finding a big shot to put Boser away.

Paul also picks Saricam, citing his wrestling and Boser's inactivity. He notes that Boser has not fought in three years and that Saricam has better recent wins. He also likes Saricam's takedown props.

Angelo leans toward Aleksa Camur as an underdog, noting his technical striking and takedowns. He is concerned about Camur's two-year layoff but finds +160 appealing. He suggests the UFC might be feeding Tanner Boser to build up Camur. Angelo plans to watch weigh-ins and may bet if Camur looks good, comparing it to Derrick Lewis's return. He criticizes Boser's -185 price given his 1-4 record and recent knockout loss.

Big Brady calls this the worst fight on the card and has very low confidence. He notes Camur hasn't fought in two years and could have improved, but it's a shot in the dark. He picks Camur by decision with zero confidence, saying if Camur looks the same it's a close fight, but if improved he could beat Boser. He admits he wants nothing to do with this fight.

Cody picks Boser based on volume and cardio, expecting a 15-minute decision. He notes Camur's poor cardio and tendency to fade, and believes Boser's leg kicks and output will win the later rounds. He acknowledges Camur's durability and early power, but thinks Boser's gas tank and volume are decisive.

Daniel Levi leans toward Aleksa Camur, citing the upside of a young fighter with a two-year layoff to improve. He notes that Boser is a finished product who gave up his speed advantage by dropping to light heavyweight, and that Boser's debut at 205 was poor. Levi is concerned about Camur's potential shoulder injury but thinks if healthy, Camur's wrestling and athleticism could trouble Boser. He has zero interest in laying a price on Boser and sees this as a dog-or-pass fight.

James sides with the dog Camur. He notes Boser is coming off a first-round KO and may be chinny or tentative. Camur is gritty, walks forward, and could get takedowns against Boser, who is terrible off his back. He says if Boser fights a grappler, you bet the grappler.

Boser has combination striking, output, and leg kicks, but struggles with takedown defense. Camur likes to crash the pocket but has been out with nerve damage. Boser should keep on the move, use footwork and leg kicks to damage Camur from distance. I like the over 2.5 rounds most, but no real conviction. Give me Boser by decision.

Paul leans towards Camur at plus money, citing his youth, training with Stipe Miocic, and potential improvements during his two-year layoff. He thinks Cody may have overrated Boser's durability and notes Camur's power. However, he is not confident enough to bet it.

Angelo picks Tanner Boser as an underdog, noting the line has flipped from Boser being a favorite to an underdog. He believes Boser has all the power, chin, and athleticism to win, especially at light heavyweight where he looks in great shape. He notes Cuțelaba has no chin and gets finished in losses. He has a quarter-unit bet on Boser at +105 and may add more.

Big Brady picks Ion Cuțelaba to win by first-round TKO via ground and pound. He notes Cuțelaba's excellent first-round wrestling and Boser's terrible takedown defense and ground game. However, he warns that Cuțelaba has only one round of gas, so if it goes past the first, Boser could win. He suggests a live bet on Boser if the fight leaves the first round.

Cody is tentative, wanting to see Boser's weigh-in at 205. He thinks Cuțelaba's wrestling should be effective early, but Boser's cardio and size could be factors. He picks Cuțelaba for now but could switch.

Connor also picks Boser but with hesitation, agreeing that Cuțelaba's erratic style and poor fight IQ make him prone to losing. He notes that Boser's consistent, unimaginative approach may be enough to outlast Cuțelaba's wild aggression. However, Connor warns that dropping to light heavyweight could be a terrible idea for Boser, as the speed of the division may expose him to shots he didn't see at heavyweight.

Cuțelaba's wrestling background should be the key against Boser, who has grappling deficiencies. Boser is moving to light heavyweight but still has issues with takedown defense. Cuțelaba is desperate for a win and may revert to his wrestling. However, his confidence and game plan are uncertain after three straight losses. Expect a grinding decision if he uses his wrestling.

Paul notes Boser has made 205 before and has good striking and cardio. He thinks Cuțelaba will win the first round but gas, allowing Boser to take over. He likes Boser as a live underdog and picks him outright.

The MMA Guru picks Tanner Boser to win, possibly by finish, as he drops to light heavyweight. He believes Boser's improved physique, footwork, and boxing will overwhelm Cuțelaba, who is on a three-fight losing streak and may be mentally fragile. He notes Cuțelaba's wrestling and durability but thinks Boser's pressure and striking will be too much.

Angelo picks Boser, citing his athleticism and striking, but acknowledges Nascimento's size and grappling edge. He notes that Boser has been bullied by bigger wrestlers before, but Nascimento's layoff may help Boser. Angelo is hesitant and does not recommend betting on this fight.

Big Brady leans with Rodrigo Nascimento to win by first-round submission. He views this as a striker vs. grappler matchup: Boser has the clear striking advantage, while Nascimento is a BJJ black belt with slick submissions. Brady notes that Boser has struggled when taken down (e.g., against Ilir Latifi) and may not have a good get-up game. He also mentions that Nascimento is the younger fighter (29) and trains at American Top Team. However, Brady acknowledges that if Nascimento cannot get the takedown, Boser could knock him out. He calls the line 50/50.

Cody thinks Boser is faster, more mobile, and has better cardio. He notes Nascimento's poor performances against Chris Daukaus and Alan Baudot, and that Boser can out-volume him. However, he cautions that heavyweight fights are volatile and Boser has been off for 15 months.

Daniel Levi leans Tanner Boser but is not confident. He notes Boser's volume striking and durability, but worries about Nascimento's jiu-jitsu if the fight goes to the ground. He thinks Boser can piece him up on the feet, but Nascimento has a reach advantage and a questionable chin. He does not bet due to the uncertainty.

Jacob picks Boser, believing his speed and footwork will keep the fight standing, where he has the advantage. He notes that Nascimento needs takedowns but may not be quick enough to close the distance. Jacob warns against betting on heavyweights but thinks Boser wins a striking battle.

Nascimento is the bigger man and has a clear grappling advantage. Boser is a technical striker but struggles to get back to his feet when taken down, as seen in the Latifi fight. Nascimento should drag Boser to the ground and control him for 15 minutes. Boser's recent knockout power is a threat, but Nascimento's size and pressure should be enough to grind out a decision.

Paul agrees, noting Boser's high volume and that Nascimento has looked poor. He likes Boser's prize picks line of 35.5 significant strikes, thinking it's too low. He also mentions Boser's speed and cardio advantages.

Angelo picks Ovince Saint Preux, hoping that Boser's forward pressure will bring out volume in OSP. He notes OSP has more ways to win and hits hard, but his issue is low output. Angelo has a moneyline bet on OSP at plus odds. He likes more/more on the strike line.

Big Brady picks Tanner Boser to win by decision, citing his superior striking output (4.21 sig strikes/min) and defense (63%), while OSP has low volume and negative strike differential. He notes OSP's reach advantage but thinks Boser's speed and youth will be key. He worries about judges after Boser's recent close losses but believes Boser should win if he out-lands OSP. He is not confident betting Boser due to judging.

Cody picks Tanner Boser but with low confidence. He notes Boser has lost his last two as a favorite, but those were questionable decisions. He argues Boser has speed and size advantages, and OSP is past his prime, missing weight recently, and looked lethargic. He thinks Boser can stuff takedowns and keep the fight standing. However, he warns against heavy exposure due to Boser's recent losses and OSP's veteran savvy.

Jacob says he has no idea who will win this fight but hopes OSP wins. He picks OSP with heart rather than logic. He would stay away from both guys in DraftKings.

Boser's leg kick is the main ingredient in his wins, and he should establish it against Saint Preux. OSP's cardio issues will surface after the first round, allowing Boser to take over with bigger strikes. Boser will shuck off desperation takedowns and outstrike OSP over 15 minutes. The longer the fight goes, the more it favors Boser. OSP's submission threat is there but his top control and wrestling aren't good enough to keep Boser down.

Paul leans toward Tanner Boser, citing speed advantage and OSP's poor performance at heavyweight. He notes OSP missed weight and is 37, with his best days behind him. However, he is not confident because Boser didn't look great against Latifi and has lost two straight as a favorite. He thinks OSP's path is takedowns, but Boser's takedown defense should hold.

Big Brady thinks the line is off and Latifi has a clear path to victory via takedowns. He notes Boser's 100% takedown defense is untested against real wrestlers, and regional tape shows Boser being taken down and controlled. He points out Latifi took down Derrick Lewis three times and controlled him for nine minutes. He is not impressed with Boser's last performance against Arlovski and predicts Latifi wins by decision.

Cody leans toward Latifi, agreeing with Paul. He notes Boser has not faced a wrestler like Latifi and that Latifi's takedowns could be key. Cody is concerned about Latifi's age and recent losses but sees value. He calls it a dogger pass but is tempted.

Daniel picks Boser but is not confident due to unknown grappling defense. He notes that Boser is a natural heavyweight with twice the output and better point fighting, but if Latifi pins him against the fence or mixes in takedowns, Boser could be exploited. Daniel admits he hasn't seen Boser tested in grappling recently, so the pick is tentative. He expects Boser to outpoint Latifi if the fight stays at range, but acknowledges Latifi's power and clinch work could be problematic.

Boser has good striking and volume, but his takedown defense is a question mark. Latifi will try to grapple, but Boser's cardio and movement should allow him to win a decision if he can stay standing.

Paul picks Latifi as a dog, citing his takedown ability and Boser's lack of wrestling defense. He notes Latifi took down Derrick Lewis and thinks he can do the same to Boser. Paul is concerned about Latifi's age and recent form but sees value at +170. He already bet Latifi at +180.

Big Brady is confident in Boser, noting his volume, leg kicks, and Arlovski's 12 knockout losses. He predicts a knockout in the second round, citing the small cage favoring Boser. He suggests looking at the knockout prop.

Daniel Levi picks Tanner Boser, calling him Canada's top prospect. He believes Boser is faster, throws at a higher pace, and can surpass Arlovski's output. Levi thinks Boser can win by decision or even knockout, as Arlovski's recent wins have been close decisions against lower-level competition. He sees this as Boser's biggest career win.

The host picks Tanner Boser to win by decision, emphasizing Boser's leg kicks as the key to slowing down Arlovski and opening up his hands. He notes Arlovski's durability and movement but believes Boser's consistency and volume will earn him a decision. He mentions Boser is a solid parlay piece and that Arlovski makes fights closer than they should be.

Big Brady picks Boser, citing his speed and leg kicks. He thinks Boser is the better striker and will attack Pessoa's lead leg. He is concerned about the quick turnaround and jet lag but still expects Boser to win a decision. He notes Pessoa has never been finished by KO.

Daniel picks Boser, citing his speed, sharpness, and striking knowledge. He thinks Pessoa is wild and sloppy, leaving openings. He notes Boser's quick turnaround but believes if Boser doesn't back up, he should find a knockout. He thinks the line is a bit high but still favors Boser.

Pessoa moves well for a heavyweight, has solid Muay Thai, and good cardio. The line should be much closer; Pessoa offers value at plus money. He can check leg kicks and match Boser's output. Pessoa likely wins a decision or possibly a late finish.

Big Brady picks Tanner Boser as an underdog, citing Lins' poor UFC debut against Arlovski where he looked starstruck and threw little. He likes Boser's leg kicks and reach advantage, and thinks Lins will struggle to get inside. He predicts a decision win for Boser, noting that if anyone finishes, it's likely Boser.

Daniel Levi picks Philipe Lins, arguing that people are overrating Tanner Boser and misconstruing Lins's loss to Arlovski. He notes that Arlovski is a tough test for debutants and that Lins has faster hands and more power. Levi thinks Lins will stand in the pocket, land harder shots, and either knock Boser out or win a decision. He criticizes Boser's single-shot style and lack of aggression, predicting Lins will correct his previous low-volume performance.