UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · Jul 07, 2018 · Welterweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier Next Fight
Age 34
Height 5' 10"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 42
Height 5' 11"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Mike Perry
4.32 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
5.16 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
0.81 TD Avg
40.0% TD Acc.
78.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Paul Felder
3.7 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
3.44 SApM
48.0% Str. Def.
0.29 TD Avg
28.0% TD Acc.
64.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Mike Perry - Fight History
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Vettori vs. Holland · Apr 10, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Rodriguez 0 61 of 132 46% 65 of 137 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:49
Mike Perry 0 129 of 235 54% 145 of 252 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Rodriguez 0 21 of 42 50% 25 of 47 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:26
Mike Perry 0 33 of 63 52% 36 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Daniel Rodriguez 0 16 of 42 38% 16 of 42 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:51
Mike Perry 0 43 of 81 53% 47 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Daniel Rodriguez 0 24 of 48 50% 24 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:32
Mike Perry 0 53 of 91 58% 62 of 100 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Rodriguez 61 of 132 46% 27 of 85 14 of 21 20 of 26 60 of 130 1 of 2 0 of 0
Mike Perry 129 of 235 54% 90 of 191 11 of 14 28 of 30 129 of 235 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Rodriguez 21 of 42 50% 5 of 22 3 of 6 13 of 14 21 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mike Perry 33 of 63 52% 22 of 50 2 of 4 9 of 9 33 of 63 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Daniel Rodriguez 16 of 42 38% 9 of 31 5 of 6 2 of 5 15 of 41 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mike Perry 43 of 81 53% 30 of 65 4 of 5 9 of 11 43 of 81 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Daniel Rodriguez 24 of 48 50% 13 of 32 6 of 9 5 of 7 24 of 47 0 of 1 0 of 0
Mike Perry 53 of 91 58% 38 of 76 5 of 5 10 of 10 53 of 91 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Rodriguez

Big Brady picks Rodriguez to win a close decision, but he is not confident and is passing on betting. He notes that Perry is taking the fight seriously and looks in great shape, but he cannot trust Perry due to his poor striking defense and tendency to absorb damage. Brady thinks Rodriguez is more defensively sound and durable, and the fight likely goes to decision. He mentions the over might be a good look but does not bet.

over might be a good look
"i will take dan rodriguez to win a very close decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Rodriguez

Cody picks Rodriguez hesitantly, citing his output and sharper striking. He notes Perry's inconsistency and poor weight cuts, but acknowledges Perry's power and potential if in shape. He thinks Rodriguez's volume and reach advantage could be key.

"my official pick is gonna be daniel rodriguez because i just think he's got the output"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Apr 9, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Mike Perry

Daniel Levi picks Mike Perry, viewing the fight as a coin flip. He notes that Perry has been in a good place mentally, training at MMA Masters, and that his last two fights he didn't train properly. Levi is skeptical of Daniel Rodriguez, citing his suspect chin and close fights against Gabriel Green and Nicolas Dalby. He thinks Perry's power and improved camp could be the difference.

"I'm gonna take perry here uh to get it done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mike Perry

The host is buying into the 'Papa Perry' narrative and the move to MMA Masters, expecting improvements in Perry's game, particularly calf kicks. He thinks Rodriguez is overrated and that Perry's power and durability could be key. He picks Perry to win by decision, though he acknowledges the weight cut is a concern.

Perry by decision
"i really like uh my perry in the spot um i think he's a solid underdog and i think he could bring in a game here that's truly gonna stifle whatever daniel rodriguez brings"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Rodriguez

Paul leans Rodriguez, noting Perry's mental and physical issues. He mentions Perry's poor weight cuts and lack of training, but acknowledges Perry's live underdog potential. He thinks Rodriguez's striking and cardio give him an edge.

"i guess i'll pick daniel rodriguez just on a little bit longer striking"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Rodriguez

The MMA Guru picks Daniel Rodriguez by second-round submission (d'arce choke). He believes Rodriguez will rock Perry on the feet, causing Perry to shoot for a takedown into a choke. He notes Perry's decline since his nose injury and poor performance against Mickey Gall. He highlights Rodriguez's 10th Planet jiu-jitsu and recovery skills. He predicts a back-and-forth first round before Rodriguez finishes in the second.

second round d'arce choke submission
"i'm going to go with daniel rodriguez gets it done dash choke in the second round"
LOSS vs Tim Means
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · Nov 21, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tim Means 0 64 of 161 39% 69 of 166 1 of 5 20% 2 0 3:08
Mike Perry 0 128 of 192 66% 143 of 207 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tim Means 0 14 of 31 45% 14 of 31 1 of 2 50% 2 0 2:22
Mike Perry 0 27 of 40 67% 30 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:09
2 Tim Means 0 20 of 60 33% 20 of 60 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Mike Perry 0 44 of 60 73% 44 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
3 Tim Means 0 30 of 70 42% 35 of 75 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:33
Mike Perry 0 57 of 92 61% 69 of 104 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tim Means 64 of 161 39% 44 of 134 8 of 12 12 of 15 62 of 157 2 of 4 0 of 0
Mike Perry 128 of 192 66% 86 of 147 26 of 28 16 of 17 121 of 184 6 of 7 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tim Means 14 of 31 45% 7 of 24 3 of 3 4 of 4 13 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mike Perry 27 of 40 67% 18 of 31 7 of 7 2 of 2 24 of 36 2 of 3 1 of 1
2 Tim Means 20 of 60 33% 11 of 46 3 of 6 6 of 8 20 of 59 0 of 1 0 of 0
Mike Perry 44 of 60 73% 28 of 43 10 of 10 6 of 7 42 of 58 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Tim Means 30 of 70 42% 26 of 64 2 of 3 2 of 3 29 of 68 1 of 2 0 of 0
Mike Perry 57 of 92 61% 40 of 73 9 of 11 8 of 8 55 of 90 2 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 18, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Tim Means

Big Brady hesitantly picks Tim Means to win by decision. He thinks Means is the more technical and well-rounded fighter, but has durability concerns after being knocked out recently. He notes Perry's headspace is questionable and he didn't look great against Gall, but Means is on short notice.

big pass, need to see weigh-ins
"i'm going to go with means i'm going to go with the dude that probably has more motivation for this fight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Tim Means

Daniel picks Means, citing his superior boxing and overall MMA skills. He notes Perry's lack of head movement and poor corner situation. He believes Means can stay disciplined, use volume, and mix in takedowns to avoid Perry's power. He thinks Means should be the favorite.

"i'm gonna go with tim means to get it done and i think he makes it two wins in a row here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Tim Means

The host picks Tim Means to win by decision, noting his superior skill set and ability to keep Perry at range with leg kicks and teeps. He is skeptical of Perry's power and thinks Means can outpoint him. He would only bet Means if the line reaches plus 150.

"I'm taking Tim Means to win this fight via decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Nov 15, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Mike Perry

The MMA Guru picks Mike Perry to win by unanimous decision (29-28), but expresses worry. He notes Means took the fight on short notice, and Perry has a full camp now. He expects Perry to use takedowns and outwork Means in the later rounds, but admits Means is dangerous and a full-camp Means might beat Perry.

"i'm going with mike perry by unanimous decision 29 28 but i'm worried"
WIN vs Mickey Gall
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Poirier vs. Hooker · Jun 27, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Perry 1 76 of 131 58% 103 of 158 1 of 1 100% 0 0 5:44
Mickey Gall 0 55 of 106 51% 59 of 111 0 of 6 0% 0 1 0:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Perry 0 20 of 51 39% 20 of 51 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:28
Mickey Gall 0 21 of 40 52% 23 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mike Perry 1 26 of 33 78% 41 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:05
Mickey Gall 0 12 of 24 50% 12 of 24 0 of 3 0% 0 1 0:51
3 Mike Perry 0 30 of 47 63% 42 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:11
Mickey Gall 0 22 of 42 52% 24 of 45 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Perry 76 of 131 58% 49 of 98 14 of 20 13 of 13 51 of 100 6 of 6 19 of 25
Mickey Gall 55 of 106 51% 39 of 89 8 of 9 8 of 8 51 of 97 3 of 6 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Perry 20 of 51 39% 10 of 39 5 of 7 5 of 5 15 of 41 2 of 2 3 of 8
Mickey Gall 21 of 40 52% 11 of 30 5 of 5 5 of 5 19 of 36 2 of 3 0 of 1
2 Mike Perry 26 of 33 78% 20 of 26 2 of 3 4 of 4 13 of 19 2 of 2 11 of 12
Mickey Gall 12 of 24 50% 9 of 20 3 of 4 0 of 0 10 of 21 1 of 2 1 of 1
3 Mike Perry 30 of 47 63% 19 of 33 7 of 10 4 of 4 23 of 40 2 of 2 5 of 5
Mickey Gall 22 of 42 52% 19 of 39 0 of 0 3 of 3 22 of 40 0 of 1 0 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Mike Perry

Big Brady picks Mike Perry despite concerns about Perry's personal life (girlfriend cornering him). He believes Perry's wrestling and strength will neutralize Gall's takedown attempts, and that Perry's superior competition and power will lead to a first-round knockout. He notes that Gall's only path is getting Perry down, which he thinks is unlikely.

Perry by KO in round 1; wouldn't put him in a parlay due to concerns; Gall at +255 is a shot but not for him
"I like Perry to win here... probably gonna get a knockout on Mickey Gall in that first round."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 26, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Mickey Gall

Daniel Levi picks Mickey Gall for the upset, citing Perry's chaotic personal life, lack of coaching, and stagnation in skill development. He notes Gall's improvement in his last fight against Salim Touahri, showing better fight IQ and cardio. Levi believes Gall's jiu-jitsu black belt and submission threat could catch Perry if he overextends. He acknowledges Perry's strength and clinch game but thinks the line is too wide and Gall has a chance to submit him.

Gall wins by submission
"I think this Saturday has all the ingredients for him to rise to the occasion and choke out Mike Perry somewhere along the way."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Mike Perry

The MMA Guru confidently picks Mike Perry to win by KO, stating that Mickey Gall's only chance is to get the fight to the ground, but Perry's takedown defense is strong. He predicts Perry will break Gall in the clinch and land an elbow or shot for a first-round TKO. He dismisses concerns about Perry's girlfriend being in his corner, believing his gym will prevent that from being a distraction.

Perry by KO/TKO in first round; Perry to land an elbow or shot off the break
"I think Mike Perry wins by KO pretty brutally... I think it's gonna be a first round... Mike Perry is gonna eventually break and land an elbow or a shot off the break that's gonna KO Mickey go"
LOSS vs Geoff Neal
TKO (head kick and punches) R1 1:30 · UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · Dec 14, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Geoff Neal 1 15 of 23 65% 15 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Mike Perry 0 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Geoff Neal 1 15 of 23 65% 15 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Mike Perry 0 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Geoff Neal 15 of 23 65% 12 of 18 1 of 3 2 of 2 12 of 20 0 of 0 3 of 3
Mike Perry 5 of 10 50% 1 of 3 2 of 4 2 of 3 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Geoff Neal 15 of 23 65% 12 of 18 1 of 3 2 of 2 12 of 20 0 of 0 3 of 3
Mike Perry 5 of 10 50% 1 of 3 2 of 4 2 of 3 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Vicente Luque
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · Aug 10, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Vicente Luque 0 84 of 179 46% 85 of 180 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Mike Perry 0 87 of 175 49% 116 of 204 0 of 2 0% 0 0 3:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Vicente Luque 0 28 of 61 45% 28 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mike Perry 0 32 of 71 45% 32 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Vicente Luque 0 41 of 82 50% 41 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mike Perry 0 41 of 75 54% 41 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:50
3 Vicente Luque 0 15 of 36 41% 16 of 37 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Mike Perry 0 14 of 29 48% 43 of 58 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:29
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Vicente Luque 84 of 179 46% 43 of 125 6 of 9 35 of 45 83 of 178 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mike Perry 87 of 175 49% 56 of 135 11 of 17 20 of 23 75 of 157 12 of 18 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Vicente Luque 28 of 61 45% 12 of 38 4 of 4 12 of 19 27 of 60 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mike Perry 32 of 71 45% 22 of 59 4 of 6 6 of 6 32 of 69 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Vicente Luque 41 of 82 50% 28 of 65 1 of 3 12 of 14 41 of 82 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mike Perry 41 of 75 54% 28 of 58 5 of 8 8 of 9 34 of 65 7 of 10 0 of 0
3 Vicente Luque 15 of 36 41% 3 of 22 1 of 2 11 of 12 15 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mike Perry 14 of 29 48% 6 of 18 2 of 3 6 of 8 9 of 23 5 of 6 0 of 0
WIN vs Alex Oliveira
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Jacaré vs. Hermansson · Apr 27, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Perry 0 48 of 137 35% 50 of 139 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:18
Alex Oliveira 0 65 of 110 59% 75 of 120 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Perry 0 17 of 48 35% 19 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:04
Alex Oliveira 0 20 of 29 68% 21 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
2 Mike Perry 0 16 of 34 47% 16 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Alex Oliveira 0 21 of 36 58% 30 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:42
3 Mike Perry 0 15 of 55 27% 15 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alex Oliveira 0 24 of 45 53% 24 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Perry 48 of 137 35% 30 of 110 7 of 16 11 of 11 42 of 125 6 of 11 0 of 1
Alex Oliveira 65 of 110 59% 48 of 90 6 of 8 11 of 12 32 of 72 18 of 19 15 of 19
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Perry 17 of 48 35% 11 of 37 4 of 9 2 of 2 14 of 42 3 of 6 0 of 0
Alex Oliveira 20 of 29 68% 13 of 22 3 of 3 4 of 4 13 of 22 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Mike Perry 16 of 34 47% 10 of 27 2 of 3 4 of 4 13 of 29 3 of 5 0 of 0
Alex Oliveira 21 of 36 58% 17 of 31 1 of 1 3 of 4 5 of 16 2 of 2 14 of 18
3 Mike Perry 15 of 55 27% 9 of 46 1 of 4 5 of 5 15 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 1
Alex Oliveira 24 of 45 53% 18 of 37 2 of 4 4 of 4 14 of 34 9 of 10 1 of 1
LOSS vs Donald Cerrone
Submission (armbar) R1 4:46 · UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodríguez · Nov 10, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Donald Cerrone 0 9 of 13 69% 10 of 14 0 of 1 0% 1 1 0:40
Mike Perry 0 11 of 20 55% 11 of 20 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Donald Cerrone 0 9 of 13 69% 10 of 14 0 of 1 0% 1 1 0:40
Mike Perry 0 11 of 20 55% 11 of 20 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Donald Cerrone 9 of 13 69% 2 of 5 4 of 5 3 of 3 4 of 8 5 of 5 0 of 0
Mike Perry 11 of 20 55% 0 of 9 6 of 6 5 of 5 4 of 13 6 of 6 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Donald Cerrone 9 of 13 69% 2 of 5 4 of 5 3 of 3 4 of 8 5 of 5 0 of 0
Mike Perry 11 of 20 55% 0 of 9 6 of 6 5 of 5 4 of 13 6 of 6 1 of 1
WIN vs Paul Felder
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · Jul 07, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Perry 0 56 of 120 46% 64 of 128 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:45
Paul Felder 0 62 of 110 56% 66 of 114 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Perry 0 22 of 41 53% 27 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:45
Paul Felder 0 23 of 44 52% 24 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
2 Mike Perry 0 12 of 34 35% 12 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Paul Felder 0 17 of 22 77% 18 of 23 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:41
3 Mike Perry 0 22 of 45 48% 25 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Paul Felder 0 22 of 44 50% 24 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Perry 56 of 120 46% 27 of 79 16 of 24 13 of 17 48 of 110 7 of 9 1 of 1
Paul Felder 62 of 110 56% 34 of 78 15 of 18 13 of 14 42 of 86 17 of 21 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Perry 22 of 41 53% 11 of 27 5 of 7 6 of 7 19 of 37 3 of 4 0 of 0
Paul Felder 23 of 44 52% 11 of 30 6 of 8 6 of 6 15 of 32 8 of 12 0 of 0
2 Mike Perry 12 of 34 35% 6 of 20 2 of 7 4 of 7 11 of 32 1 of 2 0 of 0
Paul Felder 17 of 22 77% 10 of 15 6 of 6 1 of 1 9 of 14 5 of 5 3 of 3
3 Mike Perry 22 of 45 48% 10 of 32 9 of 10 3 of 3 18 of 41 3 of 3 1 of 1
Paul Felder 22 of 44 50% 13 of 33 3 of 4 6 of 7 18 of 40 4 of 4 0 of 0
Paul Felder - Fight History
Decision (split) (47–48, 50–45, 50–45) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. dos Anjos · Nov 14, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rafael dos Anjos 0 98 of 190 51% 134 of 226 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:40
Paul Felder 0 92 of 162 56% 155 of 231 6 of 22 27% 0 0 14:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rafael dos Anjos 0 17 of 45 37% 17 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Paul Felder 0 22 of 34 64% 27 of 41 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:06
2 Rafael dos Anjos 0 29 of 46 63% 35 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Paul Felder 0 27 of 47 57% 31 of 51 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:43
3 Rafael dos Anjos 0 12 of 21 57% 21 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Paul Felder 0 13 of 18 72% 28 of 35 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:17
4 Rafael dos Anjos 0 26 of 55 47% 39 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:49
Paul Felder 0 19 of 41 46% 34 of 57 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:54
5 Rafael dos Anjos 0 14 of 23 60% 22 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Paul Felder 0 11 of 22 50% 35 of 47 2 of 7 28% 0 0 4:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rafael dos Anjos 98 of 190 51% 64 of 147 20 of 29 14 of 14 76 of 161 21 of 28 1 of 1
Paul Felder 92 of 162 56% 53 of 113 35 of 45 4 of 4 61 of 125 26 of 29 5 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rafael dos Anjos 17 of 45 37% 8 of 33 5 of 8 4 of 4 16 of 43 1 of 2 0 of 0
Paul Felder 22 of 34 64% 13 of 24 9 of 10 0 of 0 17 of 28 5 of 6 0 of 0
2 Rafael dos Anjos 29 of 46 63% 23 of 38 3 of 5 3 of 3 22 of 38 7 of 8 0 of 0
Paul Felder 27 of 47 57% 19 of 36 7 of 10 1 of 1 21 of 40 6 of 7 0 of 0
3 Rafael dos Anjos 12 of 21 57% 5 of 11 3 of 6 4 of 4 8 of 13 4 of 8 0 of 0
Paul Felder 13 of 18 72% 7 of 10 5 of 7 1 of 1 8 of 13 5 of 5 0 of 0
4 Rafael dos Anjos 26 of 55 47% 20 of 48 5 of 6 1 of 1 20 of 48 6 of 7 0 of 0
Paul Felder 19 of 41 46% 7 of 26 11 of 14 1 of 1 10 of 30 8 of 9 1 of 2
5 Rafael dos Anjos 14 of 23 60% 8 of 17 4 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 19 3 of 3 1 of 1
Paul Felder 11 of 22 50% 7 of 17 3 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 14 2 of 2 4 of 6
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Rafael dos Anjos

Big Brady picks RDA because he had a full camp training for Islam Makhachev, which should help his wrestling and grappling against Felder, who took the fight on five days' notice. He notes RDA is the more technical striker with higher output, and Felder is dangerous but RDA has a solid chin. He expects RDA to mix in takedowns and grind out a decision, possibly a late finish.

RDA decision prop mentioned as a potential look; RDA as a parlay piece considered
"i'm gonna take rda to get it done um you know grind out paul felder to a decision i wouldn't be surprised if there's a late finish"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Rafael dos Anjos

Daniel picks dos Anjos because he believes Felder's timing will be off due to lack of sparring and wrestling preparation on short notice. He notes dos Anjos has been training for a five-round fight against Islam Makhachev and is motivated dropping back to 155. He also points out that Felder historically struggles with volume and that dos Anjos can mix in takedowns, referencing Edson Barboza taking Felder down. He acknowledges Felder's durability and power but thinks dos Anjos will outwork him.

"i'm gonna roll with rafael dos anos as well"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Rafael dos Anjos

The host favors Rafael dos Anjos due to his experience in five-round fights, having gone to the fourth round or later in seven of his last nine five-round bouts. He believes dos Anjos's aggressive striking, leg kicks, and superior jiu-jitsu will overwhelm Paul Felder, who is taking the fight on six days' notice and has only one five-round fight experience. The host notes Felder's durability but expects dos Anjos to win via decision, possibly mixing in takedowns and ground control.

Host mentions dos Anjos via submission as a possibility but leans toward decision; also notes odds around -150 and says he might take a play on dos Anjos if the line sticks.
"i love dosanus here i think he gets ... i'm going to go with the safe side and i'll say dosan used to win this fight via decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Rafael dos Anjos

The MMA Guru picks Rafael dos Anjos, citing Felder's short notice and difficult weight cut as major disadvantages. He believes dos Anjos will invest in body and leg kicks early, then finish Felder by exhaustion in the later rounds. He notes that dos Anjos has been training for this fight and is not a big lightweight, while Felder's reach advantage is neutralized by dos Anjos' similar reach. He also mentions that dos Anjos will be more confident on the feet without facing a wrestler.

Finish by exhaustion TKO in round 4 or 5; mentions dos Anjos has similar reach to Felder; notes Felder's terrible weight cuts even on full camp
"I'm gonna go with Rafael dos Anjos chewing up his legs, chewing up his body for three rounds, eventually getting himself a finish in the fourth or fifth or running away with an easy decision."
LOSS vs Dan Hooker
Decision (split) (47–48, 48–47, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · Feb 23, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dan Hooker 0 110 of 230 47% 119 of 243 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Paul Felder 0 122 of 221 55% 133 of 234 1 of 5 20% 0 0 5:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dan Hooker 0 16 of 42 38% 17 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Paul Felder 0 24 of 46 52% 25 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
2 Dan Hooker 0 26 of 48 54% 27 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Paul Felder 0 26 of 43 60% 27 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
3 Dan Hooker 0 28 of 57 49% 28 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Paul Felder 0 39 of 63 61% 39 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
4 Dan Hooker 0 25 of 47 53% 27 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Paul Felder 0 15 of 36 41% 18 of 39 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:50
5 Dan Hooker 0 15 of 36 41% 20 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Paul Felder 0 18 of 33 54% 24 of 41 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dan Hooker 110 of 230 47% 64 of 170 19 of 26 27 of 34 105 of 218 5 of 12 0 of 0
Paul Felder 122 of 221 55% 72 of 161 10 of 13 40 of 47 120 of 217 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dan Hooker 16 of 42 38% 5 of 25 6 of 9 5 of 8 15 of 41 1 of 1 0 of 0
Paul Felder 24 of 46 52% 7 of 25 2 of 2 15 of 19 24 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Dan Hooker 26 of 48 54% 10 of 29 6 of 8 10 of 11 25 of 45 1 of 3 0 of 0
Paul Felder 26 of 43 60% 15 of 30 3 of 4 8 of 9 26 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Dan Hooker 28 of 57 49% 14 of 39 7 of 8 7 of 10 27 of 51 1 of 6 0 of 0
Paul Felder 39 of 63 61% 29 of 50 3 of 5 7 of 8 38 of 61 1 of 2 0 of 0
4 Dan Hooker 25 of 47 53% 22 of 44 0 of 0 3 of 3 23 of 45 2 of 2 0 of 0
Paul Felder 15 of 36 41% 8 of 29 2 of 2 5 of 5 15 of 35 0 of 1 0 of 0
5 Dan Hooker 15 of 36 41% 13 of 33 0 of 1 2 of 2 15 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Paul Felder 18 of 33 54% 13 of 27 0 of 0 5 of 6 17 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Paul Felder

Daniel Levi picks Paul Felder to win, citing Felder's durability (never knocked out), better technique throughout the fight, and ability to handle five rounds. He believes Felder's calf kicks and pressure will be key, and that Hooker's confidence from recent wins is overblown. Levi expects Felder to get a late knockout or win a decision, possibly 48-47.

"I just feel like Paul Felder is the better fighter, the tougher fighter, the fighter that's more durable for this war."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2020 (9 days before fight)
Dan Hooker

The host picks Dan Hooker, believing he will win the first three rounds and possibly the fourth, though he worries about the new judging emphasis on later rounds. He cites Hooker's reach advantage, technical striking, and improvement, while noting Felder lacks power despite his size and has a one-dimensional game plan. He expects Hooker to use leg kicks, jabs, and body work to secure a unanimous decision.

unanimous decision
"I'm going with down hooker more versatile pool fellas got one game plan and if it doesn't work he's kind of [__] weighed forward and fro shots Dan hookers too technical for that"
WIN vs Edson Barboza
Decision (split) (27–30, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · Sep 07, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paul Felder 0 60 of 114 52% 77 of 133 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:50
Edson Barboza 0 56 of 154 36% 75 of 174 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paul Felder 0 24 of 54 44% 24 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Edson Barboza 0 13 of 51 25% 16 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:45
2 Paul Felder 0 21 of 34 61% 37 of 52 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:29
Edson Barboza 0 20 of 46 43% 31 of 57 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:45
3 Paul Felder 0 15 of 26 57% 16 of 27 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:21
Edson Barboza 0 23 of 57 40% 28 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:33
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paul Felder 60 of 114 52% 27 of 74 19 of 24 14 of 16 55 of 109 0 of 0 5 of 5
Edson Barboza 56 of 154 36% 41 of 137 9 of 10 6 of 7 51 of 147 1 of 1 4 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paul Felder 24 of 54 44% 10 of 35 7 of 11 7 of 8 24 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
Edson Barboza 13 of 51 25% 9 of 46 2 of 3 2 of 2 12 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Paul Felder 21 of 34 61% 10 of 21 6 of 7 5 of 6 16 of 29 0 of 0 5 of 5
Edson Barboza 20 of 46 43% 13 of 39 4 of 4 3 of 3 16 of 40 0 of 0 4 of 6
3 Paul Felder 15 of 26 57% 7 of 18 6 of 6 2 of 2 15 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Edson Barboza 23 of 57 40% 19 of 52 3 of 3 1 of 2 23 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs James Vick
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · Feb 17, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paul Felder 0 61 of 121 50% 69 of 129 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:14
James Vick 0 55 of 119 46% 70 of 134 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paul Felder 0 22 of 49 44% 23 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
James Vick 0 20 of 47 42% 21 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
2 Paul Felder 0 19 of 31 61% 20 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:39
James Vick 0 12 of 32 37% 23 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Paul Felder 0 20 of 41 48% 26 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
James Vick 0 23 of 40 57% 26 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paul Felder 61 of 121 50% 24 of 75 16 of 21 21 of 25 57 of 112 4 of 9 0 of 0
James Vick 55 of 119 46% 31 of 79 4 of 8 20 of 32 48 of 109 7 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paul Felder 22 of 49 44% 9 of 34 5 of 6 8 of 9 22 of 47 0 of 2 0 of 0
James Vick 20 of 47 42% 12 of 36 0 of 0 8 of 11 18 of 45 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Paul Felder 19 of 31 61% 7 of 15 6 of 9 6 of 7 15 of 24 4 of 7 0 of 0
James Vick 12 of 32 37% 7 of 20 2 of 5 3 of 7 10 of 30 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Paul Felder 20 of 41 48% 8 of 26 5 of 6 7 of 9 20 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
James Vick 23 of 40 57% 12 of 23 2 of 3 9 of 14 20 of 34 3 of 6 0 of 0
LOSS vs Mike Perry
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · Jul 07, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Perry 0 56 of 120 46% 64 of 128 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:45
Paul Felder 0 62 of 110 56% 66 of 114 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Perry 0 22 of 41 53% 27 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:45
Paul Felder 0 23 of 44 52% 24 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
2 Mike Perry 0 12 of 34 35% 12 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Paul Felder 0 17 of 22 77% 18 of 23 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:41
3 Mike Perry 0 22 of 45 48% 25 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Paul Felder 0 22 of 44 50% 24 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Perry 56 of 120 46% 27 of 79 16 of 24 13 of 17 48 of 110 7 of 9 1 of 1
Paul Felder 62 of 110 56% 34 of 78 15 of 18 13 of 14 42 of 86 17 of 21 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Perry 22 of 41 53% 11 of 27 5 of 7 6 of 7 19 of 37 3 of 4 0 of 0
Paul Felder 23 of 44 52% 11 of 30 6 of 8 6 of 6 15 of 32 8 of 12 0 of 0
2 Mike Perry 12 of 34 35% 6 of 20 2 of 7 4 of 7 11 of 32 1 of 2 0 of 0
Paul Felder 17 of 22 77% 10 of 15 6 of 6 1 of 1 9 of 14 5 of 5 3 of 3
3 Mike Perry 22 of 45 48% 10 of 32 9 of 10 3 of 3 18 of 41 3 of 3 1 of 1
Paul Felder 22 of 44 50% 13 of 33 3 of 4 6 of 7 18 of 40 4 of 4 0 of 0
TKO (elbows) R2 4:06 · UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · Dec 02, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paul Felder 0 6 of 13 46% 12 of 20 2 of 3 66% 2 1 2:51
Charles Oliveira 0 31 of 46 67% 37 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paul Felder 0 5 of 9 55% 5 of 10 2 of 3 66% 2 0 2:17
Charles Oliveira 0 14 of 22 63% 16 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:54
2 Paul Felder 0 1 of 4 25% 7 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:34
Charles Oliveira 0 17 of 24 70% 21 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paul Felder 6 of 13 46% 3 of 8 0 of 1 3 of 4 3 of 5 1 of 2 2 of 6
Charles Oliveira 31 of 46 67% 26 of 40 4 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 4 4 of 4 26 of 38
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paul Felder 5 of 9 55% 2 of 6 0 of 0 3 of 3 3 of 3 0 of 1 2 of 5
Charles Oliveira 14 of 22 63% 12 of 19 2 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 13 of 18
2 Paul Felder 1 of 4 25% 1 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 1
Charles Oliveira 17 of 24 70% 14 of 21 2 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 4 13 of 20
WIN vs Stevie Ray
KO (elbows) R1 3:57 · UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · Jul 16, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paul Felder 0 5 of 9 55% 11 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:45
Stevie Ray 1 23 of 35 65% 28 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paul Felder 0 5 of 9 55% 11 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:45
Stevie Ray 1 23 of 35 65% 28 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paul Felder 5 of 9 55% 2 of 6 2 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 4 3 of 5 0 of 0
Stevie Ray 23 of 35 65% 14 of 24 7 of 9 2 of 2 4 of 7 7 of 10 12 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paul Felder 5 of 9 55% 2 of 6 2 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 4 3 of 5 0 of 0
Stevie Ray 23 of 35 65% 14 of 24 7 of 9 2 of 2 4 of 7 7 of 10 12 of 18
WIN vs Alex Ricci
TKO (elbow and punches) R1 4:44 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · Feb 19, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paul Felder 1 23 of 71 32% 23 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Alex Ricci 0 21 of 59 35% 21 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paul Felder 1 23 of 71 32% 23 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Alex Ricci 0 21 of 59 35% 21 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paul Felder 23 of 71 32% 14 of 57 4 of 7 5 of 7 23 of 66 0 of 1 0 of 4
Alex Ricci 21 of 59 35% 12 of 41 3 of 10 6 of 8 21 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paul Felder 23 of 71 32% 14 of 57 4 of 7 5 of 7 23 of 66 0 of 1 0 of 4
Alex Ricci 21 of 59 35% 12 of 41 3 of 10 6 of 8 21 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0