Mike Perry vs Alex Reyes

Age 34

Height 5' 10"

Reach 71.0"

Weight 170 lbs.

Stance Orthodox

UFC SD

Age 39

Height 5' 11"

Reach 73.0"

Weight 155 lbs.

Stance Orthodox

UFC SD

Career Averages - Mike Perry

4.32 SLpM

47.0% Str. Acc.

5.16 SApM

52.0% Str. Def.

0.81 TD Avg

40.0% TD Acc.

78.0% TD Def.

0.2 Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Alex Reyes

4.46 SLpM

46.0% Str. Acc.

6.92 SApM

48.0% Str. Def.

1.5 TD Avg

28.0% TD Acc.

0.0% TD Def.

0.0 Sub. Avg

Mike Perry - Fight History

LOSS vs Daniel Rodriguez

Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Vettori vs. Holland · Apr 10, 2021

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Daniel Rodriguez	0	61 of 132	46%	65 of 137	2 of 4	50%	0	0	2:49
Mike Perry	0	129 of 235	54%	145 of 252	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:00

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Daniel Rodriguez	21 of 42	50%	25 of 47	1 of 1	100%	1:26
1	Mike Perry	33 of 63	52%	36 of 67	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Daniel Rodriguez	16 of 42	38%	16 of 42	1 of 2	50%	0:51
2	Mike Perry	43 of 81	53%	47 of 85	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Daniel Rodriguez	24 of 48	50%	24 of 48	0 of 1	0%	0:32
3	Mike Perry	53 of 91	58%	62 of 100	0 of 1	0%	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Daniel Rodriguez	61 of 132	46%	27 of 85	14 of 21	20 of 26	60 of 130	1 of 2	0 of 0
Mike Perry	129 of 235	54%	90 of 191	11 of 14	28 of 30	129 of 235	0 of 0	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Daniel Rodriguez	21 of 42	50%	5 of 22	3 of 6	13 of 14	21 of 42	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Mike Perry	33 of 63	52%	22 of 50	2 of 4	9 of 9	33 of 63	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Daniel Rodriguez	16 of 42	38%	9 of 31	5 of 6	2 of 5	15 of 41	1 of 1	0 of 0
2	Mike Perry	43 of 81	53%	30 of 65	4 of 5	9 of 11	43 of 81	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Daniel Rodriguez	24 of 48	50%	13 of 32	6 of 9	5 of 7	24 of 47	0 of 1	0 of 0
3	Mike Perry	53 of 91	58%	38 of 76	5 of 5	10 of 10	53 of 91	0 of 0	0 of 0

Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Daniel Rodriguez

Big Brady picks Rodriguez to win a close decision, but he is not confident and is passing on betting. He notes that Perry is taking the fight seriously and looks in great shape, but he cannot trust Perry due to his poor striking defense and tendency to absorb damage. Brady thinks Rodriguez is more defensively sound and durable, and the fight likely goes to decision. He mentions the over might be a good look but does not bet.

over might be a good look

"i will take dan rodriguez to win a very close decision"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Daniel Rodriguez

Cody picks Rodriguez hesitantly, citing his output and sharper striking. He notes Perry's inconsistency and poor weight cuts, but acknowledges Perry's power and potential if in shape. He thinks Rodriguez's volume and reach advantage could be key.

"my official pick is gonna be daniel rodriguez because i just think he's got the output"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Apr 9, 2021 (1 day before fight)

Mike Perry

Daniel Levi picks Mike Perry, viewing the fight as a coin flip. He notes that Perry has been in a good place mentally, training at MMA Masters, and that his last two fights he didn't train properly. Levi is skeptical of Daniel Rodriguez, citing his suspect chin and close fights against Gabriel Green and Nicolas Dalby. He thinks Perry's power and improved camp could be the difference.

"I'm gonna take perry here uh to get it done"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Mike Perry

The host is buying into the 'Papa Perry' narrative and the move to MMA Masters, expecting improvements in Perry's game, particularly calf kicks. He thinks Rodriguez is overrated and that Perry's power and durability could be key. He picks Perry to win by decision, though he acknowledges the weight cut is a concern.

Perry by decision

"i really like uh my perry in the spot um i think he's a solid underdog and i think he could bring in a game here that's truly gonna stifle whatever daniel rodriguez brings"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Daniel Rodriguez

Paul leans Rodriguez, noting Perry's mental and physical issues. He mentions Perry's poor weight cuts and lack of training, but acknowledges Perry's live underdog potential. He thinks Rodriguez's striking and cardio give him an edge.

"i guess i'll pick daniel rodriguez just on a little bit longer striking"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2021 (6 days before fight)

Daniel Rodriguez

The MMA Guru picks Daniel Rodriguez by second-round submission (d'arce choke). He believes Rodriguez will rock Perry on the feet, causing Perry to shoot for a takedown into a choke. He notes Perry's decline since his nose injury and poor performance against Mickey Gall. He highlights Rodriguez's 10th Planet jiu-jitsu and recovery skills. He predicts a back-and-forth first round before Rodriguez finishes in the second.

second round d'arce choke submission

"i'm going to go with daniel rodriguez gets it done dash choke in the second round"

THE MMA GURU

LOSS vs Tim Means

Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · Nov 21, 2020

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Tim Means	0	64 of 161	39%	69 of 166	1 of 5	20%	2	0	3:08
Mike Perry	0	128 of 192	66%	143 of 207	0 of 1	0%	0	1	0:39

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Tim Means	14 of 31	45%	14 of 31	1 of 2	50%	2	0	2:22
1	Mike Perry	27 of 40	67%	30 of 43	0 of 0	---	0	1	0:09
2	Tim Means	20 of 60	33%	20 of 60	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:13
2	Mike Perry	44 of 60	73%	44 of 60	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:04
3	Tim Means	30 of 70	42%	35 of 75	0 of 2	0%	0	0	0:33
3	Mike Perry	57 of 92	61%	69 of 104	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:26

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Tim Means	64 of 161	39%	44 of 134	8 of 12	12 of 15	62 of 157	2 of 4	0 of 0
Mike Perry	128 of 192	66%	86 of 147	26 of 28	16 of 17	121 of 184	6 of 7	1 of 1

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Tim Means	14 of 31	45%	7 of 24	3 of 3	4 of 4	13 of 30	1 of 1	0 of 0
1	Mike Perry	27 of 40	67%	18 of 31	7 of 7	2 of 2	24 of 36	2 of 3	1 of 1
2	Tim Means	20 of 60	33%	11 of 46	3 of 6	6 of 8	20 of 59	0 of 1	0 of 0
2	Mike Perry	44 of 60	73%	28 of 43	10 of 10	6 of 7	42 of 58	2 of 2	0 of 0
3	Tim Means	30 of 70	42%	26 of 64	2 of 3	2 of 3	29 of 68	1 of 2	0 of 0
3	Mike Perry	57 of 92	61%	40 of 73	9 of 11	8 of 8	55 of 90	2 of 2	0 of 0

Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 18, 2020 (3 days before fight)

Tim Means

Big Brady hesitantly picks Tim Means to win by decision. He thinks Means is the more technical and well-rounded fighter, but has durability concerns after being knocked out recently. He notes Perry's headspace is questionable and he didn't look great against Gall, but Means is on short notice.

big pass, need to see weigh-ins

"i'm going to go with means i'm going to go with the dude that probably has more motivation for this fight"

DFS by the Numbers

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2020 (2 days before fight)

Tim Means

Daniel picks Means, citing his superior boxing and overall MMA skills. He notes Perry's lack of head movement and poor corner situation. He believes Means can stay disciplined, use volume, and mix in takedowns to avoid Perry's power. He thinks Means should be the favorite.

"i'm gonna go with tim means to get it done and i think he makes it two wins in a row here"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2020 (4 days before fight)

Tim Means

The host picks Tim Means to win by decision, noting his superior skill set and ability to keep Perry at range with leg kicks and teeps. He is skeptical of Perry's power and thinks Means can outpoint him. He would only bet Means if the line reaches plus 150.

"I'm taking Tim Means to win this fight via decision"

MMA Lock of the Night

The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Nov 15, 2020 (6 days before fight)

Mike Perry

The MMA Guru picks Mike Perry to win by unanimous decision (29-28), but expresses worry. He notes Means took the fight on short notice, and Perry has a full camp now. He expects Perry to use takedowns and outwork Means in the later rounds, but admits Means is dangerous and a full-camp Means might beat Perry.

"i'm going with mike perry by unanimous decision 29 28 but i'm worried"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Mickey Gall

Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Poirier vs. Hooker · Jun 27, 2020

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Mike Perry	1	76 of 131	58%	103 of 158	1 of 1	100%	0	0	5:44
Mickey Gall	0	55 of 106	51%	59 of 111	0 of 6	0%	0	1	0:51

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Mike Perry	0	20 of 51	39%	20 of 51	1 of 1	100%	0	1:28
1	Mickey Gall	0	21 of 40	52%	23 of 42	0 of 0	---	0	0:00
2	Mike Perry	1	26 of 33	78%	41 of 48	0 of 0	---	0	2:05
2	Mickey Gall	0	12 of 24	50%	12 of 24	0 of 3	0%	1	0:51
3	Mike Perry	0	30 of 47	63%	42 of 59	0 of 0	---	0	2:11
3	Mickey Gall	0	22 of 42	52%	24 of 45	0 of 3	0%	0	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Mike Perry	76 of 131	58%	49 of 98	14 of 20	13 of 13	51 of 100	6 of 6	19 of 25
Mickey Gall	55 of 106	51%	39 of 89	8 of 9	8 of 8	51 of 97	3 of 6	1 of 3

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Mike Perry	20 of 51	39%	10 of 39	5 of 7	5 of 5	15 of 41	2 of 2	3 of 8
1	Mickey Gall	21 of 40	52%	11 of 30	5 of 5	5 of 5	19 of 36	2 of 3	0 of 1
2	Mike Perry	26 of 33	78%	20 of 26	2 of 3	4 of 4	13 of 19	2 of 2	11 of 12
2	Mickey Gall	12 of 24	50%	9 of 20	3 of 4	0 of 0	10 of 21	1 of 2	1 of 1
3	Mike Perry	30 of 47	63%	19 of 33	7 of 10	4 of 4	23 of 40	2 of 2	5 of 5
3	Mickey Gall	22 of 42	52%	19 of 39	0 of 0	3 of 3	22 of 40	0 of 1	0 of 1

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2020 (3 days before fight)

Mike Perry

Big Brady picks Mike Perry despite concerns about Perry's personal life (girlfriend cornering him). He believes Perry's wrestling and strength will neutralize Gall's takedown attempts, and that Perry's superior competition and power will lead to a first-round knockout. He notes that Gall's only path is getting Perry down, which he thinks is unlikely.

Perry by KO in round 1; wouldn't put him in a parlay due to concerns; Gall at +255 is a shot but not for him

"I like Perry to win here... probably gonna get a knockout on Mickey Gall in that first round."

DFS by the Numbers

Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 26, 2020 (1 day before fight)

Mickey Gall

Daniel Levi picks Mickey Gall for the upset, citing Perry's chaotic personal life, lack of coaching, and stagnation in skill development. He notes Gall's improvement in his last fight against Salim Touahri, showing better fight IQ and cardio. Levi believes Gall's jiu-jitsu black belt and submission threat could catch Perry if he overextends. He acknowledges Perry's strength and clinch game but thinks the line is too wide and Gall has a chance to submit him.

Gall wins by submission

"I think this Saturday has all the ingredients for him to rise to the occasion and choke out Mike Perry somewhere along the way."

Half the Battle

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2020 (5 days before fight)

Mike Perry

The MMA Guru confidently picks Mike Perry to win by KO, stating that Mickey Gall's only chance is to get the fight to the ground, but Perry's takedown defense is strong. He predicts Perry will break Gall in the clinch and land an elbow or shot for a first-round TKO. He dismisses concerns about Perry's girlfriend being in his corner, believing his gym will prevent that from being a distraction.

Perry by KO/TKO in first round; Perry to land an elbow or shot off the break

"I think Mike Perry wins by KO pretty brutally... I think it's gonna be a first round... Mike Perry is gonna eventually break and land an elbow or a shot off the break that's gonna KO Mickey go"

THE MMA GURU

LOSS vs Geoff Neal

TKO (head kick and punches) R1 1:30 · UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · Dec 14, 2019

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Geoff Neal	1	15 of 23	65%	15 of 23	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:02
Mike Perry	0	5 of 10	50%	5 of 10	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Geoff Neal	1	15 of 23	65%	15 of 23	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:02
1	Mike Perry	0	5 of 10	50%	5 of 10	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Geoff Neal	15 of 23	65%	12 of 18	1 of 3	2 of 2	12 of 20	0 of 0	3 of 3
Mike Perry	5 of 10	50%	1 of 3	2 of 4	2 of 3	5 of 10	0 of 0	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Geoff Neal	15 of 23	65%	12 of 18	1 of 3	2 of 2	12 of 20	0 of 0	3 of 3
1	Mike Perry	5 of 10	50%	1 of 3	2 of 4	2 of 3	5 of 10	0 of 0	0 of 0

LOSS vs Vicente Luque

Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · Aug 10, 2019

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Vicente Luque	0	84 of 179	46%	85 of 180	0 of 0	---	1	0	0:00
Mike Perry	0	87 of 175	49%	116 of 204	0 of 2	0%	0	0	3:19

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Ctrl
1	Vicente Luque	28 of 61	45%	28 of 61	0 of 0	---	0	0:00
1	Mike Perry	32 of 71	45%	32 of 71	0 of 0	---	0	0:00
2	Vicente Luque	41 of 82	50%	41 of 82	0 of 0	---	0	0:00
2	Mike Perry	41 of 75	54%	41 of 75	0 of 0	---	0	0:50
3	Vicente Luque	15 of 36	41%	16 of 37	0 of 0	---	1	0:00
3	Mike Perry	14 of 29	48%	43 of 58	0 of 2	0%	0	2:29

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Vicente Luque	84 of 179	46%	43 of 125	6 of 9	35 of 45	83 of 178	1 of 1	0 of 0
Mike Perry	87 of 175	49%	56 of 135	11 of 17	20 of 23	75 of 157	12 of 18	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Vicente Luque	28 of 61	45%	12 of 38	4 of 4	12 of 19	27 of 60	1 of 1	0 of 0
1	Mike Perry	32 of 71	45%	22 of 59	4 of 6	6 of 6	32 of 69	0 of 2	0 of 0
2	Vicente Luque	41 of 82	50%	28 of 65	1 of 3	12 of 14	41 of 82	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Mike Perry	41 of 75	54%	28 of 58	5 of 8	8 of 9	34 of 65	7 of 10	0 of 0
3	Vicente Luque	15 of 36	41%	3 of 22	1 of 2	11 of 12	15 of 36	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Mike Perry	14 of 29	48%	6 of 18	2 of 3	6 of 8	9 of 23	5 of 6	0 of 0

WIN vs Alex Oliveira

Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Jacaré vs. Hermansson · Apr 27, 2019

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Mike Perry	0	48 of 137	35%	50 of 139	0 of 1	0%	0	0	1:18
Alex Oliveira	0	65 of 110	59%	75 of 120	0 of 1	0%	0	0	2:09

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Mike Perry	17 of 48	35%	19 of 50	0 of 1	0%	1:04
1	Alex Oliveira	20 of 29	68%	21 of 30	0 of 0	---	0:22
2	Mike Perry	16 of 34	47%	16 of 34	0 of 0	---	0:14
2	Alex Oliveira	21 of 36	58%	30 of 45	0 of 1	0%	1:42
3	Mike Perry	15 of 55	27%	15 of 55	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Alex Oliveira	24 of 45	53%	24 of 45	0 of 0	---	0:05

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Mike Perry	48 of 137	35%	30 of 110	7 of 16	11 of 11	42 of 125	6 of 11	0 of 1
Alex Oliveira	65 of 110	59%	48 of 90	6 of 8	11 of 12	32 of 72	18 of 19	15 of 19

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Mike Perry	17 of 48	35%	11 of 37	4 of 9	2 of 2	14 of 42	3 of 6	0 of 0
1	Alex Oliveira	20 of 29	68%	13 of 22	3 of 3	4 of 4	13 of 22	7 of 7	0 of 0
2	Mike Perry	16 of 34	47%	10 of 27	2 of 3	4 of 4	13 of 29	3 of 5	0 of 0
2	Alex Oliveira	21 of 36	58%	17 of 31	1 of 1	3 of 4	5 of 16	2 of 2	14 of 18
3	Mike Perry	15 of 55	27%	9 of 46	1 of 4	5 of 5	15 of 54	0 of 0	0 of 1
3	Alex Oliveira	24 of 45	53%	18 of 37	2 of 4	4 of 4	14 of 34	9 of 10	1 of 1

LOSS vs Donald Cerrone

Submission (armbar) R1 4:46 · UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodríguez · Nov 10, 2018

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Donald Cerrone	0	9 of 13	69%	10 of 14	0 of 1	0%	1	1	0:40
Mike Perry	0	11 of 20	55%	11 of 20	1 of 1	100%	0	0	0:58

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Donald Cerrone	0	9 of 13	69%	10 of 14	0 of 1	0%	1	1	0:40
1	Mike Perry	0	11 of 20	55%	11 of 20	1 of 1	100%	0	0	0:58

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Donald Cerrone	9 of 13	69%	2 of 5	4 of 5	3 of 3	4 of 8	5 of 5	0 of 0
Mike Perry	11 of 20	55%	0 of 9	6 of 6	5 of 5	4 of 13	6 of 6	1 of 1

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Donald Cerrone	9 of 13	69%	2 of 5	4 of 5	3 of 3	4 of 8	5 of 5	0 of 0
1	Mike Perry	11 of 20	55%	0 of 9	6 of 6	5 of 5	4 of 13	6 of 6	1 of 1

WIN vs Paul Felder

Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · Jul 07, 2018

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Mike Perry	0	56 of 120	46%	64 of 128	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:45
Paul Felder	0	62 of 110	56%	66 of 114	2 of 3	66%	0	0	3:00

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Mike Perry	22 of 41	53%	27 of 46	0 of 1	0%	0:45
1	Paul Felder	23 of 44	52%	24 of 45	0 of 0	---	0:21
2	Mike Perry	12 of 34	35%	12 of 34	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Paul Felder	17 of 22	77%	18 of 23	2 of 2	100%	1:41
3	Mike Perry	22 of 45	48%	25 of 48	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Paul Felder	22 of 44	50%	24 of 46	0 of 1	0%	0:58

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Mike Perry	56 of 120	46%	27 of 79	16 of 24	13 of 17	48 of 110	7 of 9	1 of 1
Paul Felder	62 of 110	56%	34 of 78	15 of 18	13 of 14	42 of 86	17 of 21	3 of 3

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Mike Perry	22 of 41	53%	11 of 27	5 of 7	6 of 7	19 of 37	3 of 4	0 of 0
1	Paul Felder	23 of 44	52%	11 of 30	6 of 8	6 of 6	15 of 32	8 of 12	0 of 0
2	Mike Perry	12 of 34	35%	6 of 20	2 of 7	4 of 7	11 of 32	1 of 2	0 of 0
2	Paul Felder	17 of 22	77%	10 of 15	6 of 6	1 of 1	9 of 14	5 of 5	3 of 3
3	Mike Perry	22 of 45	48%	10 of 32	9 of 10	3 of 3	18 of 41	3 of 3	1 of 1
3	Paul Felder	22 of 44	50%	13 of 33	3 of 4	6 of 7	18 of 40	4 of 4	0 of 0

View all 15 fights

Alex Reyes - Fight History

LOSS vs Tom Nolan

Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 305: du Plessis vs. Adesanya · Aug 18, 2024

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Tom Nolan	0	84 of 176	47%	104 of 198	0 of 0	---	1	0	0:22
Alex Reyes	0	69 of 140	49%	89 of 161	2 of 5	40%	0	0	4:16

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Ctrl
1	Tom Nolan	23 of 62	37%	25 of 64	0 of 0	---	0	0:00
1	Alex Reyes	23 of 43	53%	26 of 47	2 of 3	66%	0	1:29
2	Tom Nolan	32 of 63	50%	40 of 71	0 of 0	---	0	0:00
2	Alex Reyes	27 of 55	49%	28 of 56	0 of 1	0%	0	0:56
3	Tom Nolan	29 of 51	56%	39 of 63	0 of 0	---	1	0:22
3	Alex Reyes	19 of 42	45%	35 of 58	0 of 1	0%	0	1:51

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Tom Nolan	84 of 176	47%	40 of 112	32 of 49	12 of 15	58 of 141	26 of 33	0 of 2
Alex Reyes	69 of 140	49%	30 of 87	21 of 33	18 of 20	52 of 114	16 of 25	1 of 1

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Tom Nolan	23 of 62	37%	10 of 40	10 of 19	3 of 3	16 of 51	7 of 9	0 of 2
1	Alex Reyes	23 of 43	53%	8 of 22	7 of 13	8 of 8	17 of 35	5 of 7	1 of 1
2	Tom Nolan	32 of 63	50%	18 of 42	10 of 15	4 of 6	22 of 51	10 of 12	0 of 0
2	Alex Reyes	27 of 55	49%	13 of 37	7 of 10	7 of 8	21 of 45	6 of 10	0 of 0
3	Tom Nolan	29 of 51	56%	12 of 30	12 of 15	5 of 6	20 of 39	9 of 12	0 of 0
3	Alex Reyes	19 of 42	45%	9 of 28	7 of 10	3 of 4	14 of 34	5 of 8	0 of 0

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Tom Nolan vs. Alex Reyes
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Nolan (-1350), Reyes (+800)

Round 1
The UFC knew exactly what it was doing when matching this next affair, and bettors have seen right through the charade. With odds as high as -1500, power-punching Aussie Nolan (7-1, 1-1 UFC) is largely expected to run over Reyes (13-4, 0-2 UFC) while living up to his nickname of “Big Train.” Reyes has not won a fight since 2017, although he took six years away from the sport due to an infection in his spine. This sport always surprises, and Reyes does sport a 100% finish rate on his own ledger. Before fists fly, the lightweights meet in the middle to tap them while referee Rich Mitchell watches on stoically, ready to step in at a moment’s notice. Nolan walks Reyes down right out of the gate, absorbing a body kick as he works his way forward. Reyes jabs out with his toe extended with a kick, and he chains together a few punches into another kick. Nolan backs him off with a head kick try, but Reyes comes at him with a low kick and punches. Nolan zings a spinning wheel kick on the side of the head, and Reyes frowns and kicks the body. Nolan kicks him back in the side, and he has a head kick bump off the guard. Nolan surges into attack, and Reyes times this blitz so he can take him down easily and take his back while Nolan stands. Reyes slides off the back but holds on from behind, and Nolan grabs the cage to not get pulled away from it. Nolan turns himself about in the clinch, and he gets off an elbow on the inside but is dragged to the mat. Reyes keeps one hook in, only to slide out the back door. Nolan bursts a kick out and pushes Reyes over, and he charges wildly with a knee and a few punches before the underdog ties him up again. Reyes rings him up with two punches, and Nolan gets space and sprints to jump at him with a knee. Nolan slashes out with an elbow, and the two kick at the same time. Reyes misses with a head kick, and he takes deep breaths. Nolan stomps with a kick aimed at the knee, and Reyes responds with a right hand to the body. Nolan spins but does not land anything, and the two start brawling. The overwhelming favorite gets his bell rung and he backs off, but he fires off a few strikes to keep Reyes honest. Reyes backs off and dodges a wheel kick, and he flicks out a front kick. Nolan kicks the body twice and whiffs on a spinning back fist, and he guards himself from a combination and stops a takedown with a knee up the middle. Reyes backs off to gather himself, and they kick at the same time and hit the ground. Nolan somersaults himself backwards, and when he is on his knees, Reyes drills him with a knee illegally. Mitchell sees the foul and calls time, issuing a hard warning without deducting a point. Nolan does not appear compromised, and when they get back to it, he lashes out with a jump knee as the bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Nolan
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Reyes
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Nolan

Round 2
There is a touch of gloves from the lightweights to get the second stanza going, and they do not take long to start trading. Nolan lands a few punches and sticks out a few kicks, and he twirls around to smack Reyes in the face with a back fist. Reyes gets his hands on him and clinches, and they dirty box and bang heads together as Mitchell warns them. They split apart, and Reyes darts away to avoid a spin. Nolan keeps stalking forward, letting go with a wheel kick, and Reyes is able to block it. Nolan attacks with power strikes, and Reyes stands firm and elbows him in the dome. Simultaneous kicks land, and Nolan recovers faster and sticks Reyes with a left hand that sets Reyes on his seat. Reyes jumps back up, absorbs a flush jump knee and looks for an overhand right. Nolan jabs and follows with a cross, stinging Reyes again. Reyes recovers to counter, and he even tries a spinning back fist, but it lands on the trapezius muscles. Reyes aims a one-two and is countered with a right hand, and Nolan prepares check knees to stop Reyes from considering a level change. Nolan walks through a right hand as he keeps the pressure on the underdog, cutting Reyes off and checking a low kick. Reyes grabs him and turns him to the fencing, looking for a body lock takedown and settling for trip attempts while clasping his hands from behind. Nolan spins around to break up the grip, elbowing Reyes with short strikes that bust his nose open. Reyes splits off and absorbs a hard spinning kick to his ribs, and he blocks a head kick in the nick of time. Nolan counters a right hand with a step-in knee, and he parries a body kick but takes a right hand flush. Nolan chips at the lead leg, and he spins with a back fist and checks another kick. “Big Train” stands Reyes up with a one-two, and he puts punches together as Reyes tanks them but is bloodied up. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Nolan
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Nolan
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Nolan

Round 3
A final glove touch opens up the last round, and Nolan is kicking early and often. Reyes throws one kick of his own before Nolan busts him in the nose with a short left. Reyes reaches his man with a looping right, but Nolan does not even register it and marches ever-forward to do damage. Nolan connects with a leg kick and blocks a high kick aimed at his direction, and he stops a takedown effort only for a body kick to land cleanly. Nolan punts Reyes in the guts, and Reyes keeps a stiff upper lip and retaliates with a big right hook. Reyes tries to slow down his man with a calf kick, only for Nolan to laugh it off and walk towards him. A short combo lands from Reyes, who blocks a body kick and eats a jump knee. Nolan lands a hard body kick, and Reyes does the same. When Nolan spins, Reyes times a takedown, and this results in Nolan setting up a brabo choke while standing. Nolan uses the submission to wrench Reyes to the floor, and lets it go when it is clear Reyes is not in imminent danger. Reyes works to his feet and pushes into a clinch, ducking under to grab Nolan from behind and lean Nolan against the fence. Nolan elbows him in the nose several times to cause blood to flow, and he turns himself around. They trade elbows from close, and their foreheads clack together. Reyes knees the body and is clipped by a spinning elbow, but he is tough as a two-dollar steak and remains in the fight. Elbows continue to land on one another until Reyes shoots, but Nolan is an Australian wall not going anywhere. With seconds to spare, Reyes lets his man have it, throwing caution to the wind with one final flurry. Nolan does the same, and they swing it out and surprisingly have fought a full 15 minutes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Nolan (30-27 Nolan)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Nolan (29-28 Nolan)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Nolan (30-27 Nolan)

The Official Result
Tom Nolan def. Alex Reyes via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 11, 2024 (7 days before fight)

Tom Nolan

Angelo is extremely confident Tom Nolan will win, calling him a -1000 favorite who should win 98% of the time. He mocks the idea of betting on Nolan at those odds sarcastically, but clearly believes Nolan will steamroll Alex Reyes, who has been out for six years with health issues and looked stiff and chinny in his return. Angelo sees no path for Reyes and considers this a mismatch.

Sarcastically mentions mortgaging the house; no real bet due to extreme odds

"Tom Nolan steamrolls here he he mean he steamrolls here I have no idea how Alex Ray in the UFC let alone on a pay-per-view again."

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Tom Nolan

Big Brady picks Tom Nolan to win by first-round knockout. He criticizes the matchmaking, calling it a fight that shouldn't be sanctioned, as Alex Reyes has fought only three times in seven years and hasn't won in nearly seven years. He notes Nolan is 13 years younger, has a massive height advantage, and is a huge favorite. He believes Nolan will get a vicious first-round knockout, though he acknowledges Nolan is hittable and maybe chinny, but Reyes is unlikely to knock him out.

knockout in round 1

"this is Tom Nolan this is Tom Nolan by first round knockout"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Tom Nolan

Cody believes Nolan will win easily but is concerned about his chin after being knocked out in his debut. He notes that Reyes is 37, has fought once in seven years, and has been knocked out in the first round in his last two fights. Cody expects a first-round finish but says the price is too high to bet.

"Nolan is the pick but minus 1150"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Tom Nolan

Daniel Vreeland picks Tom Nolan to win by first-round knockout, noting that Reyes is a washed-up fighter who doesn't belong in the UFC. He acknowledges Nolan's defensive lapses but believes the matchup is predatory and that Nolan will finish early.

round 1 knockout

"I think Tom Nolan's gonna knock him out in the first round"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Tom Nolan

The host is confident in Nolan, citing his size, striking, and youth. He notes Nolan's knockout power and knee up the middle, while dismissing Reyes as past his prime and on a losing streak. He expects a first-round knockout, but warns against betting the heavy chalk due to volatility.

Nolan by knockout, Nolan in round 1

"I'd be very surprised if Tom Nolan ends up fumbling the bag here and loses to a guy like Alex Reyes"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Tom Nolan

Paul agrees that Nolan should win easily, calling Reyes a 'freebie fight' for the UFC to build Nolan up. He notes Nolan's size and youth advantage, and that Reyes has been inactive and knocked out recently. Paul says Nolan is the pick but the price is ludicrous.

"Nolan's the pick but Nolan's the pick"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2024 (6 days before fight)

Tom Nolan

The MMA Guru picks Tom Nolan over Alex Reyes. He notes that Reyes is 37 years old, coming off a KO loss to Charlie Campbell after a long layoff, and has had many injuries. He contrasts Reyes' career timeline, starting his pro career in 2007, with Nolan's debut in 2020, calling Reyes a different generation. He acknowledges Nolan has a chin issue but believes his length and youth will prevail. He expects Nolan to win via KO or decision.

"I'm going to go with Tom Nolan like he's literally started his career three years after this guy's second to last fight"

THE MMA GURU

LOSS vs Charlie Campbell

TKO (punches) R1 3:38 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · Sep 16, 2023

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Charlie Campbell	0	14 of 38	36%	15 of 39	0 of 2	0%	0	0	0:01
Alex Reyes	1	43 of 72	59%	43 of 72	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:02

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Charlie Campbell	0	14 of 38	36%	15 of 39	0 of 2	0%	0	0	0:01
1	Alex Reyes	1	43 of 72	59%	43 of 72	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:02

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Charlie Campbell	14 of 38	36%	8 of 30	2 of 4	4 of 4	12 of 32	2 of 6	0 of 0
Alex Reyes	43 of 72	59%	27 of 53	10 of 13	6 of 6	35 of 60	7 of 10	1 of 2

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Charlie Campbell	14 of 38	36%	8 of 30	2 of 4	4 of 4	12 of 32	2 of 6	0 of 0
1	Alex Reyes	43 of 72	59%	27 of 53	10 of 13	6 of 6	35 of 60	7 of 10	1 of 2

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2023 (6 days before fight)

Charlie Campbell

Angelo is confident in Charlie Campbell despite his short notice UFC debut. He highlights Campbell's technical striking, good takedown defense, and training at a high-level gym. He dismisses Campbell's knockout loss as not reflective of his skill. He notes Alex Reyes has been away for six years and is a question mark. However, he hesitates to bet at -400 due to the price on a debut fighter.

"I love Charlie in this spot he has the Striking he's got good takedown defense to sort of keep the fight wherever he wants to keep it"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)

Charlie Campbell

Big Brady picks Charlie Campbell due to Alex Reyes' six-year layoff and questionable improvements. He notes Campbell was close to finishing Chris Duncan on the contender series and expects him to knock out Reyes early, as Reyes was knocked out by Mike Perry in his last fight. He mentions Reyes is a solid grappler but the layoff and injuries are major concerns.

first round knockout

"I gotta go Charlie Campbell by first round knockout"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Charlie Campbell

Cody picks Campbell, emphasizing Reyes's long layoff and poor performance. He notes Campbell's offensive dynamism and finishing ability. He expects an early knockout and suggests betting Campbell inside the distance.

Campbell inside the distance; under 1.5 rounds

"This screams another under one and a half this screams another Charlie Campbell inside the distance."

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Charlie Campbell

Daniel Levi is confident in Charlie Campbell, citing the six-year layoff for Alex Reyes and the historical struggles of fighters returning from such long absences. He compares Campbell's aggressive, kill-or-be-killed style to a young Clay Collard and expects him to overwhelm Reyes with non-stop output. Levi notes that Reyes's only UFC fight ended in a first-round knockout and that his regional competition was weak.

"I think Charlie's going to run through this guy"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Charlie Campbell

Campbell is a minus 400 favorite with a strong striking game, particularly his calf kicks that set up his hands for knockouts. Reyes has been out for six years, is 37, and has ring rust, making it hard for him to compete at this level. I expect Campbell to beat up the lead leg, slow Reyes down, and eventually find a knockout. The fight likely doesn't go to decision, but I'm not sure about under 1.5 rounds as Campbell may need time to get going.

fight doesn't go to decision

"I fully expect that to be Campbell to get the finish I think you'll be able to beat up the lead leg of Alex Reyes slow him down and then eventually open up with the hands where you'll be able …"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Charlie Campbell

Paul picks Campbell, noting Reyes's six-year layoff and poor performance against Mike Perry. He believes Campbell's speed and power will lead to an early finish. He is wary of the wide line but thinks Campbell is warranted as a big favorite.

Campbell inside the distance; under 1.5 rounds

"Charlie Campbell is a violent man who's looking for violence... I think he just gets the early jump on him."

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2023 (5 days before fight)

Charlie Campbell

The MMA Guru confidently picks Charlie Campbell over Alex Reyes, emphasizing Reyes's six-year layoff due to injuries. He believes Campbell is a nasty striker with wicked power in the first round and predicts a first-round finish. He notes that Reyes has been out since September 2017 and is now 36 years old, making it unlikely he can handle Campbell's pressure.

first round finish

"I smell a recipe for a first round finish from Charlie Campbell over 36 year old Alex Reyes who hasn't fought in six years"

THE MMA GURU

LOSS vs Mike Perry

KO (knee) R1 1:19 · UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · Sep 16, 2017

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Mike Perry	1	11 of 18	61%	11 of 18	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:02
Alex Reyes	0	6 of 13	46%	6 of 13	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:18

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Mike Perry	1	11 of 18	61%	11 of 18	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:02
1	Alex Reyes	0	6 of 13	46%	6 of 13	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:18

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Mike Perry	11 of 18	61%	10 of 17	0 of 0	1 of 1	4 of 11	6 of 6	1 of 1
Alex Reyes	6 of 13	46%	1 of 7	4 of 5	1 of 1	3 of 10	3 of 3	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Mike Perry	11 of 18	61%	10 of 17	0 of 0	1 of 1	4 of 11	6 of 6	1 of 1
1	Alex Reyes	6 of 13	46%	1 of 7	4 of 5	1 of 1	3 of 10	3 of 3	0 of 0