UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · Sep 10, 2016 · Heavyweight · Completed
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem Next Fight
Age 43
Height 6' 4"
Reach 80.0"
Weight 240 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 46
Height 6' 4"
Reach 80.0"
Weight 265 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Stipe Miocic
4.67 SLpM
52.0% Str. Acc.
4.01 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
1.74 TD Avg
34.0% TD Acc.
65.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Alistair Overeem
3.67 SLpM
64.0% Str. Acc.
2.44 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
1.42 TD Avg
55.0% TD Acc.
73.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Stipe Miocic - Fight History
LOSS vs Jon Jones
TKO (spinning back kick and punches) R3 4:29 · UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · Nov 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jon Jones 1 96 of 119 80% 104 of 128 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:51
Stipe Miocic 0 37 of 89 41% 42 of 94 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jon Jones 0 42 of 48 87% 49 of 56 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:37
Stipe Miocic 0 6 of 13 46% 11 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jon Jones 0 20 of 28 71% 20 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Stipe Miocic 0 16 of 37 43% 16 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jon Jones 1 34 of 43 79% 35 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Stipe Miocic 0 15 of 39 38% 15 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jon Jones 96 of 119 80% 70 of 91 16 of 18 10 of 10 54 of 70 2 of 3 40 of 46
Stipe Miocic 37 of 89 41% 24 of 75 7 of 8 6 of 6 32 of 83 4 of 5 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jon Jones 42 of 48 87% 36 of 42 4 of 4 2 of 2 5 of 6 0 of 0 37 of 42
Stipe Miocic 6 of 13 46% 3 of 10 1 of 1 2 of 2 5 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Jon Jones 20 of 28 71% 9 of 16 7 of 8 4 of 4 19 of 27 1 of 1 0 of 0
Stipe Miocic 16 of 37 43% 9 of 29 4 of 5 3 of 3 16 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jon Jones 34 of 43 79% 25 of 33 5 of 6 4 of 4 30 of 37 1 of 2 3 of 4
Stipe Miocic 15 of 39 38% 12 of 36 2 of 2 1 of 1 11 of 34 4 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jon Jones

Angelo is very confident in Jon Jones, citing his all-around greatness, youth, and activity compared to Stipe Miocic, who is a full-time fireman on a four-year layoff. He expects Jones to take Miocic down early and dominate. He thinks Jones should be -1500 and will win easily.

Angelo comments on the odds, saying Jones at -700 is a good value and should be -1500.
"Jon Jones is going to win this fight I think he makes it look easy"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jon Jones

Big Brady picks Jon Jones but expects a slow, disappointing fight. He notes that Stipe Miocic is old and washed, having looked slow against Francis Ngannou four years ago, but he doesn't think Jones will finish him early. He cites Jones' recent lackluster performances against Dominick Reyes and Thiago Santos. He predicts a decision win for Jones and likes the over on 40.5 significant strikes for Jones on PrizePicks.

Jon Jones over 40.5 significant strikes
"give me Jon Jones here to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jon Jones

Cody picks Jon Jones, citing Jones' legendary durability and distance management. He notes Stipe is 43, hasn't fought in 3.5 years, and looked slow against Ngannou. Cody expects Jones to win a 49-46 decision or possibly get a late submission, but sees the fight going the distance. He mentions the over 2.5 rounds as a potential prop.

over 2.5 rounds
"I got Jones by decision the over two and a half but again this is a fun fight but it's it's not the Crown Jewel on this card"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jon Jones

Connor also picks Jones, emphasizing that Stipe is old and likely shot, and that Jones's wrestling and size will be too much. He notes that Stipe's last performance against Ngannou was poor and he looked aimless. Connor expects Jones to take Stipe down and submit him, possibly after a tentative first round.

Jones by submission or TKO; fight may be slow early then finish
"I think jones is much worse than he used to be but I can only assume that steep is much much worse than he used to be... That's the pick."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jon Jones

Daniel Vreeland picks Jon Jones to win, citing Jones' superior MMA wrestling, takedown defense (95%), reach advantage, and younger age. He believes Jones will use oblique kicks to immobilize Stipe, mix in takedowns, and dictate the pace. He acknowledges Stipe's boxing and wrestling credentials but thinks Jones' overall MMA game is superior. He notes that Stipe hasn't fought since 2021 and may have declined.

"I do have to go with Jones here to just come out here and uh show why he's one of the most dominant fighters to ever do it"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jon Jones

Vreeland picks Jones emphatically, calling it tragic that this fight is happening. He notes Stipe hasn't fought anyone well-rounded since 2018, is 42, semi-retired, and was knocked out badly by Ngannou. Vreeland believes Jones will win by knockout, possibly with a 12-to-6 elbow, and that Stipe will look old when he gets knocked out.

Jon Jones wins by knockout (+130)
"I'm taking Jon Jones like no I it's it's tragic that this is like the fight... there's no reason to like stie miic in this fight"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jon Jones

Fox picks Jones, agreeing that Stipe has no chance. He notes Jones is younger, has a reach advantage, and is the better fighter everywhere. Fox expects Jones to win by knockout, possibly with a 12-to-6 elbow, and thinks Stipe's chin is compromised after the Ngannou KO.

Jon Jones wins by knockout (+130)
"I'm Jon Jones all the way in this one... he's 100% gonna win this fight by knockout"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jon Jones

Lucrative James picks Jon Jones to win, citing Stipe Miocic's age (42) and four-year layoff as major concerns. He believes Stipe will look stiff and has lost athleticism, while Jones has an iron chin, superior striking at all ranges, and much better MMA wrestling and grappling. He predicts Jones will win inside the distance, likely within the first two rounds, and notes that Jones can win however he wants if Stipe is a shell of his former self.

wins inside the distance, wins in first two rounds
"I'm taking Jon Jones to win here. I'm taking Jon Jones to win inside the distance here and I'm taking Jon Jones to win within the first two rounds."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2024 (fight day)
Jon Jones

The host expects Jones to continue his dominant ways as he did against Gane, getting to his grappling and keeping Miocic on his back. He mentions Jones might use 12-to-6 elbows but ultimately finds the neck and gets a submission victory.

submission
"I do believe Jones will be able to continue his dominant ways just as he showcased against sraon last time around and I think we'll see him get to his grappl and keep mius on his back dominate him from …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jon Jones

Paul picks Jon Jones, calling it a freak show fight. He argues Jones has fought weak competition and had close fights with lesser opponents, but Stipe is faded and hasn't fought in three years. Paul expects Jones to win by decision, possibly 49-46, and likes the over 2.5 rounds. He notes Jones' distance management and Stipe's age and inactivity.

over 2.5 rounds
"I would think that Jones has got more than enough left in the tank to just pinpoint this guy and uh you know win a 4946 type decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Jon Jones

The MMA Guru picks Jon Jones, expecting a finish in the first or second round. He describes Jones's oblique kicks and clinch work breaking down the 42-year-old Miocic. He predicts a guillotine choke after a takedown, noting Stipe's tendency to scramble into submissions.

finish in first or second round, guillotine choke
"I'm going to go Jon Jones by finish in the first or second round"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jon Jones

Zane picks Jones, noting that Stipe is old and inactive, having not fought in over three years and showing no interest in fighting. He expects a slog for a round or two, then Jones will take Stipe down and finish him via submission or ground-and-pound. Zane mentions Jones's wrestling and size advantage, and that Stipe's chin and durability are questionable at this stage.

Jones finishes inside the distance, likely submission or TKO; fight may be a slog early then quick finish
"I think jones is much worse than he used to be but I can only assume that steep is much much worse than he used to be... That's the pick."
LOSS vs Francis Ngannou
KO (punch) R2 0:52 · UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou 2 · Mar 27, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Francis Ngannou 0 12 of 13 92% 12 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Stipe Miocic 2 36 of 56 64% 38 of 58 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Francis Ngannou 0 8 of 8 100% 8 of 8 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Stipe Miocic 0 23 of 37 62% 24 of 38 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:19
2 Francis Ngannou 0 4 of 5 80% 4 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Stipe Miocic 2 13 of 19 68% 14 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Francis Ngannou 12 of 13 92% 3 of 4 2 of 2 7 of 7 12 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Stipe Miocic 36 of 56 64% 28 of 46 2 of 4 6 of 6 17 of 36 8 of 8 11 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Francis Ngannou 8 of 8 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 7 of 7 8 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Stipe Miocic 23 of 37 62% 16 of 28 2 of 4 5 of 5 11 of 24 3 of 3 9 of 10
2 Francis Ngannou 4 of 5 80% 3 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Stipe Miocic 13 of 19 68% 12 of 18 0 of 0 1 of 1 6 of 12 5 of 5 2 of 2
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Stipe Miocic

Big Brady picks Stipe Miocic to win by fifth-round TKO. He believes Stipe is the more well-rounded fighter with better cardio and fight IQ. He expects Stipe to survive the early rounds by clinching and attempting takedowns to tire Ngannou, then take over as the fight progresses. He notes that Ngannou only landed two significant strikes after the second round in their first fight. However, he acknowledges Ngannou's one-shot knockout power and says he would not bet the fight at current odds.

Stipe by fifth-round TKO; Ngannou by KO prop; Stipe decision prop; odds comment: Stipe opened +135 now +100, Ngannou by KO is the way to bet Ngannou
"i do think stephen wins i'm going to say steepy wins with a fifth round tko"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Francis Ngannou

Cody backs Ngannou, citing his generational power and the fact that he has been training wrestling defense with Kamaru Usman. He believes Ngannou's strategy is to go out and kill his opponent early, and if he lands, it's over. He acknowledges the cardio concerns but thinks Ngannou's durability held up in the first fight and that he has improved mentally since the Lewis loss.

Francis Ngannou round 1 +200
"francis ngani plus 200 round one that's all i've got action on this fight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Francis Ngannou

Daniel Levi picks Francis Ngannou to win by first-round knockout. He emphasizes that Ngannou is now focused, has the right team, and has learned from his first fight with Stipe. He notes that Stipe has absorbed over 300 head strikes since their first fight, including a knockout loss, while Ngannou has taken minimal damage. Levi believes Ngannou's power and improved mental approach will lead to a violent finish.

first round knockout
"i'm going francis be a first round knockout i think the trilogy is going to be great but i think it's time for francis to realize his dream"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Stipe Miocic

The host believes Stipe Miocic will retain his title by third-round TKO. He notes that Stipe has improved his cardio and fight IQ since their first fight, as seen in the Cormier trilogy. He expects Stipe to use head movement, smart takedown entries to the weak side, and mix in grappling to wear down Ngannou, who he thinks will gas after a round and a half if he doesn't get the knockout. He compares the matchup to Lewis vs Blaydes and Gane vs Rozenstruik, where the more skilled fighter won. He advises that if backing Ngannou, take the KO prop because he won't win by decision.

If backing Ngannou, take the KO prop; Stipe by third-round TKO
"I think he gets a third round finish here... I'll take him to win by third round tko"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Stipe Miocic

Paul picks Stipe Miocic, emphasizing his wrestling advantage, cardio advantage, and later-round experience. He notes that Stipe has shown he can take Ngannou's punches and grind him down, as seen in the first fight. He also highlights Stipe's success in rematches, having avenged losses to JDS and Cormier. Paul is confident that if Ngannou doesn't knock him out early, Stipe will take over.

"i gotta i got to backsteep it the same way i did last time i got underdog money"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Stipe Miocic

The Guru picks Stipe Miocic, emphasizing that Stipe has improved since the first fight: better footwork, cardio, wrestling, and clinch work from his camps against Daniel Cormier. He argues that Stipe's wrestling is the key difference, as he can take Ngannou down and control him, unlike other heavyweights who tried to stand and trade. He predicts Ngannou will be hesitant and gas out, leading to a TKO in the third or fourth round. He acknowledges the puncher's chance for Ngannou but relies on evidence over guesswork.

Stipe by TKO in round 3 or 4
"i'm picking stephen youtube to win he flies under the radar i think in ghana who's going to [ __ ] himself in there after the first round and stipe is going to ragdoll him"
Decision (unanimous) (49–46, 49–46, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · Aug 15, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Stipe Miocic 1 115 of 187 61% 171 of 244 0 of 6 0% 0 0 5:52
Daniel Cormier 0 105 of 183 57% 145 of 223 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Stipe Miocic 0 20 of 33 60% 22 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Daniel Cormier 0 14 of 25 56% 14 of 25 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:38
2 Stipe Miocic 1 24 of 39 61% 38 of 54 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:09
Daniel Cormier 0 26 of 53 49% 26 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Stipe Miocic 0 28 of 48 58% 46 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:53
Daniel Cormier 0 16 of 32 50% 34 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Stipe Miocic 0 16 of 32 50% 23 of 39 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:23
Daniel Cormier 0 30 of 43 69% 41 of 54 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
5 Stipe Miocic 0 27 of 35 77% 42 of 50 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:27
Daniel Cormier 0 19 of 30 63% 30 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Stipe Miocic 115 of 187 61% 67 of 136 31 of 34 17 of 17 101 of 169 14 of 18 0 of 0
Daniel Cormier 105 of 183 57% 70 of 132 11 of 24 24 of 27 95 of 171 10 of 12 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Stipe Miocic 20 of 33 60% 7 of 19 7 of 8 6 of 6 20 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Cormier 14 of 25 56% 7 of 14 2 of 5 5 of 6 11 of 22 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Stipe Miocic 24 of 39 61% 13 of 28 7 of 7 4 of 4 24 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Cormier 26 of 53 49% 14 of 36 4 of 9 8 of 8 23 of 50 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Stipe Miocic 28 of 48 58% 18 of 38 8 of 8 2 of 2 22 of 41 6 of 7 0 of 0
Daniel Cormier 16 of 32 50% 13 of 27 0 of 2 3 of 3 16 of 31 0 of 1 0 of 0
4 Stipe Miocic 16 of 32 50% 12 of 26 2 of 4 2 of 2 16 of 29 0 of 3 0 of 0
Daniel Cormier 30 of 43 69% 21 of 31 2 of 3 7 of 9 29 of 41 1 of 2 0 of 0
5 Stipe Miocic 27 of 35 77% 17 of 25 7 of 7 3 of 3 19 of 27 8 of 8 0 of 0
Daniel Cormier 19 of 30 63% 15 of 24 3 of 5 1 of 1 16 of 27 3 of 3 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 12, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Cormier

Big Brady picks Cormier to win by decision, expecting him to implement more wrestling and have better cardio. He thinks Cormier is the better fighter and will fight smarter. He wants to see weigh-ins before betting.

"i'm going to go with cormier here to win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Stipe Miocic

Daniel Levi picks Stipe Miocic to win the trilogy. He argues that Stipe made Cormier work hard in the first fight and that Cormier's pace is unsustainable in championship rounds, especially at age 41 with retirement looming. He notes that Stipe is willing to dig deeper and that body shots have historically troubled Cormier. He also points out that if Cormier wrestles more, it will tire him out faster, leading to a Stipe finish.

Stipe by finish in later rounds; Cormier needs perfect fight or early KO; dog money on Stipe is good value
"I think stipe and i hate to say [__] like oh tougher guy or not tougher guy when you're talking about someone like daniel [__] cormier ... but i really think that stipe is willing to dig deeper at this …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Cormier

Cormier is the better wrestler with superior fight IQ and will use a grapple-heavy approach, taking Miocic down repeatedly and wearing him out. He learned from the second fight where he abandoned his wrestling and gassed out; this time he will chain-wrestle and finish via ground-and-pound in the later rounds. Miocic's gas tank has shown issues when forced to wrestle, as seen in the Ngannou fight, and Cormier's top pressure is crushing.

Cormier wins by TKO in round 4; also mentions Cormier in rounds 3,4,5 as potential prop bets
"I expect the experience, the fight IQ, and the true skills to come out of Daniel Cormier to really put a stamp on this trilogy."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Stipe Miocic

The MMA Guru picks Stipe Miocic by TKO in the third round. He believes Miocic will start body shots earlier than the second fight and that Cormier won't get away with eye pokes. He dismisses arguments that Cormier will wrestle more, noting Miocic stuffed takedowns in previous fights.

TKO in the third round
"i think stipe miocic goes out there tko's daniel cormier in the third round"
TKO (punches) R4 4:09 · UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · Aug 17, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Stipe Miocic 0 181 of 263 68% 230 of 317 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:02
Daniel Cormier 1 123 of 229 53% 135 of 244 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Stipe Miocic 0 37 of 46 80% 71 of 83 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:44
Daniel Cormier 0 7 of 13 53% 9 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
2 Stipe Miocic 0 56 of 82 68% 59 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Daniel Cormier 0 46 of 82 56% 48 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
3 Stipe Miocic 0 57 of 86 66% 69 of 100 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Daniel Cormier 0 34 of 67 50% 40 of 73 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:01
4 Stipe Miocic 0 31 of 49 63% 31 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Daniel Cormier 1 36 of 67 53% 38 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Stipe Miocic 181 of 263 68% 162 of 243 9 of 9 10 of 11 139 of 209 21 of 27 21 of 27
Daniel Cormier 123 of 229 53% 86 of 188 27 of 30 10 of 11 102 of 195 19 of 28 2 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Stipe Miocic 37 of 46 80% 25 of 34 7 of 7 5 of 5 13 of 16 3 of 3 21 of 27
Daniel Cormier 7 of 13 53% 3 of 8 0 of 0 4 of 5 6 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Stipe Miocic 56 of 82 68% 56 of 81 0 of 0 0 of 1 45 of 68 11 of 14 0 of 0
Daniel Cormier 46 of 82 56% 37 of 72 8 of 9 1 of 1 42 of 76 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 Stipe Miocic 57 of 86 66% 53 of 82 1 of 1 3 of 3 50 of 76 7 of 10 0 of 0
Daniel Cormier 34 of 67 50% 28 of 61 5 of 5 1 of 1 24 of 50 10 of 17 0 of 0
4 Stipe Miocic 31 of 49 63% 28 of 46 1 of 1 2 of 2 31 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Cormier 36 of 67 53% 18 of 47 14 of 16 4 of 4 30 of 57 5 of 5 1 of 5
LOSS vs Daniel Cormier
KO (punches) R1 4:33 · UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · Jul 07, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Cormier 0 24 of 51 47% 29 of 56 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:21
Stipe Miocic 1 25 of 37 67% 31 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Cormier 0 24 of 51 47% 29 of 56 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:21
Stipe Miocic 1 25 of 37 67% 31 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Cormier 24 of 51 47% 15 of 41 6 of 7 3 of 3 19 of 42 5 of 9 0 of 0
Stipe Miocic 25 of 37 67% 20 of 30 1 of 1 4 of 6 19 of 31 2 of 2 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Cormier 24 of 51 47% 15 of 41 6 of 7 3 of 3 19 of 42 5 of 9 0 of 0
Stipe Miocic 25 of 37 67% 20 of 30 1 of 1 4 of 6 19 of 31 2 of 2 4 of 4
Decision (unanimous) (50–44, 50–44, 50–44) R5 5:00 · UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · Jan 20, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Stipe Miocic 0 70 of 95 73% 200 of 244 6 of 14 42% 0 0 15:02
Francis Ngannou 0 21 of 113 18% 33 of 126 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Stipe Miocic 0 16 of 25 64% 24 of 33 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:57
Francis Ngannou 0 15 of 62 24% 18 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Stipe Miocic 0 17 of 24 70% 29 of 37 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:17
Francis Ngannou 0 4 of 27 14% 4 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Stipe Miocic 0 12 of 16 75% 47 of 58 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:47
Francis Ngannou 0 1 of 8 12% 7 of 14 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
4 Stipe Miocic 0 18 of 21 85% 82 of 95 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:39
Francis Ngannou 0 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
5 Stipe Miocic 0 7 of 9 77% 18 of 21 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:22
Francis Ngannou 0 1 of 13 7% 4 of 17 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Stipe Miocic 70 of 95 73% 45 of 67 9 of 11 16 of 17 37 of 52 5 of 6 28 of 37
Francis Ngannou 21 of 113 18% 17 of 106 4 of 7 0 of 0 19 of 105 2 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Stipe Miocic 16 of 25 64% 13 of 22 2 of 2 1 of 1 12 of 19 2 of 2 2 of 4
Francis Ngannou 15 of 62 24% 14 of 61 1 of 1 0 of 0 13 of 55 2 of 7 0 of 0
2 Stipe Miocic 17 of 24 70% 7 of 13 4 of 5 6 of 6 14 of 20 0 of 0 3 of 4
Francis Ngannou 4 of 27 14% 2 of 23 2 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Stipe Miocic 12 of 16 75% 8 of 12 0 of 0 4 of 4 4 of 5 2 of 2 6 of 9
Francis Ngannou 1 of 8 12% 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Stipe Miocic 18 of 21 85% 15 of 18 2 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 17 of 20
Francis Ngannou 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Stipe Miocic 7 of 9 77% 2 of 2 1 of 2 4 of 5 6 of 7 1 of 2 0 of 0
Francis Ngannou 1 of 13 7% 0 of 11 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 12 0 of 1 0 of 0
TKO (punches) R1 2:22 · UFC 211: Miocic vs. dos Santos 2 · May 13, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Stipe Miocic 1 26 of 56 46% 26 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Junior dos Santos 0 12 of 18 66% 12 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Stipe Miocic 1 26 of 56 46% 26 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Junior dos Santos 0 12 of 18 66% 12 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Stipe Miocic 26 of 56 46% 23 of 50 0 of 2 3 of 4 15 of 39 3 of 4 8 of 13
Junior dos Santos 12 of 18 66% 4 of 9 3 of 4 5 of 5 12 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Stipe Miocic 26 of 56 46% 23 of 50 0 of 2 3 of 4 15 of 39 3 of 4 8 of 13
Junior dos Santos 12 of 18 66% 4 of 9 3 of 4 5 of 5 12 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
KO (punches) R1 4:27 · UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · Sep 10, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Stipe Miocic 0 34 of 60 56% 34 of 60 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:21
Alistair Overeem 1 9 of 17 52% 9 of 17 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Stipe Miocic 0 34 of 60 56% 34 of 60 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:21
Alistair Overeem 1 9 of 17 52% 9 of 17 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Stipe Miocic 34 of 60 56% 31 of 55 3 of 5 0 of 0 16 of 36 6 of 9 12 of 15
Alistair Overeem 9 of 17 52% 5 of 10 3 of 6 1 of 1 7 of 14 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Stipe Miocic 34 of 60 56% 31 of 55 3 of 5 0 of 0 16 of 36 6 of 9 12 of 15
Alistair Overeem 9 of 17 52% 5 of 10 3 of 6 1 of 1 7 of 14 2 of 3 0 of 0
Alistair Overeem - Fight History
TKO (punches) R2 2:06 · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · Feb 06, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexander Volkov 0 10 of 20 50% 10 of 20 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Alistair Overeem 1 54 of 88 61% 54 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexander Volkov 0 8 of 14 57% 8 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alistair Overeem 0 33 of 53 62% 33 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
2 Alexander Volkov 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Alistair Overeem 1 21 of 35 60% 21 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexander Volkov 10 of 20 50% 3 of 13 2 of 2 5 of 5 10 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alistair Overeem 54 of 88 61% 47 of 81 3 of 3 4 of 4 40 of 65 11 of 18 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexander Volkov 8 of 14 57% 3 of 9 2 of 2 3 of 3 8 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alistair Overeem 33 of 53 62% 26 of 46 3 of 3 4 of 4 22 of 34 8 of 14 3 of 5
2 Alexander Volkov 2 of 6 33% 0 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alistair Overeem 21 of 35 60% 21 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0 18 of 31 3 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Alistair Overeem vs. Alexander Volkov

Round 1
Five hundred nineteen and one-half pounds, not counting referee Jason Herzog, are in the cage now for our headliner. The two heavyweight strikers in Overeem (47-18, 1 NC; 12-7 UFC) and Volkov (32-8, 6-2 UFC) will determine who is perhaps a win away for a title shot, while the other falls to the middle of the pack with their hopes dashed. The big men respectfully touch gloves, and the cage door seals behind them as we begin. Volkov lands a huge leg kick, and Overeem backs off to shell up against the fence. Volkov lands a few strikes but does not fall into a trap of Overeem letting loose a counter strike. The Russian pulls back at the last second of a big kick to draw a reaction out of his opponent, and his strikes are already making Overeem flinch. Volkov lands a front kick down the middle, and Overeem tries to catch it and lets it go. Volkov chops at the calf with a kick, and he does not follow it and instead eats a huge right hand from “The Demolition Man.” Overeem loads up with another, and Volkov eats it like borscht and retreats against the cage wall. Volkov stalks down his opponent, but he takes a right hand and clinches up. Volkov separates, and he absorbs a left hand and fights off a takedown attempt. Volkov fires off a high kick that is blocked, and a single jab is pawed away without issue. Overeem ducks forward to land a big uppercut, and he continues along with a thudding body kick. Overeem backs off to land a kick to the thigh, and Volkov counters him with a left hand that puts Overeem down. Overeem might not be hurt and he may have slipped, but Volkov chases after him to hammer him with punches. Not sensing a finish, Volkov lets him back up and reaches out with his left jab. Volkov lands a couple punches and a knee up the middle, and he backs off to land a heavy kick to the body. Overeem lunges forward with a left hand, and Volkov picks at him with a low kick and a jab. Volkov chambers a right hand but does not throw it, and Overeem swings and misses wildly with a looping left. Volkov assaults Overeem with a barrage of punches, and Overeem covers up and takes some damage as his face is marked up. The round ends with Overeem aiming a punch to the body.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Volkov

Round 2
The heavyweights touch gloves to stat off the second round, and Overeem rushes forward shoulder first and eats a right hand. Overeem lets loose a head kick that gets blocked, and Volkov triples up on his left hand to sting Overeem. A solid one-two snaps Overeem’s head back, and Overeem ducks down to wing a left hook but it glances off the guard. Overeem crashes in to tie the Russian up, but he pushes Volkov away and gets jabbed. Volkov splits the guard with a few punches, and Overeem is stalking him down and pushes him back into the cage wall. “Drago” connects with a heavy one-two, and Overeem is in the danger zone. Overeem turns away as he takes another punch, and Volkov rips into him with punches in bunches. Volkov measures his shots and does not punch himself out, and Herzog cautions Overeem to defend himself. Overeem attacks a takedown but it is easily stuffed.
Volkov measures his strikes and lands punches that make Overeem’s legs wobble. “Drago” fires off a deadly one-two, and a bloodied Overeem stumbles to the canvas and topples over. Herzog has seen enough, and Volkov walks off knowing his work tonight is done.
We have a legitimate, new heavyweight contender on the rise, as Volkov notched a very impressive win against a devastatingly effective striker with a penchant for nasty finishes. Volkov goes down to join Overeem on his knees to thank him for the fight, showing respect for the legendary Dutchman in victory. In his post-fight interview, an eerily calm Volkov says it is his time, and that he is not done improving. With this fight card in the books, we return next week with a pay-per-view offering putting the welterweight title on the line.

The Official Result
Alexander Volkov def. Alistair Overeem R2 2:06 via TKO (Punches)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Alexander Volkov

Big Brady picks Alexander Volkov, emphasizing his cardio, output, and takedown defense. He notes that Overeem's chin is completely shot and that he has been knocked out 14 times. He expects Volkov to be the 15th to knock him out, likely in the later rounds. He also suggests looking at the over 1.5 rounds prop.

method: KO, round: 4, prop: over 1.5 rounds
"I'm gonna go with Volkov here to get a knockout, I'm gonna say he's gonna be the 15th person to knock out Alistair Overeem... give me like a fourth round knockout."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Alexander Volkov

Daniel Levi picks Alexander Volkov, citing his improved power at 265 pounds and his ability to sit down on punches. He notes Volkov's 40 pro fights and prime condition, and expects him to outpoint and eventually knock out Overeem. He respects Overeem but believes Volkov's size and power will be decisive.

"i think it's a fun competitive striking match until volkov lands on the chin of overeem"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Alistair Overeem

Overeem has shown evolution in his game since joining Team Elevation, landing 7 takedowns in his last 5 fights compared to only 3 in his first 13 UFC fights. He has accrued almost 18 minutes of control time in his last 3 fights, showing he can grind out wins. Volkov's takedown defense is sketchy (66% according to UFC stats) and he was taken down 14 times by Curtis Blaydes. Overeem's chin has held up well recently, and Volkov is not a one-punch knockout artist. Overeem's clinch work, knees, and top pressure should be key. I expect Overeem to slow the fight down, take Volkov down, and control him against the cage, winning a decision.

Overeem by decision; Overeem has at least a 40-45% chance to win, so plus money is value
"i like over him here i think he could kind of just slow this fight down i like the improvements that we've been seeing from him since he changed camps"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2021 (7 days before fight)
Alexander Volkov

The MMA Guru picks Alexander Volkov, praising his patience, versatility, and takedown defense shown against Curtis Blaydes. He notes Overeem's tendency to shell up and get hit, and believes Volkov's front kicks and body work will be key. He predicts a second-round TKO via body shots, similar to Volkov's win over Walt Harris.

second round TKO by body shots
"i'm going with alexander volkov second round tko to the body shots"
WIN vs Augusto Sakai
TKO (elbows and punches) R5 0:26 · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · Sep 05, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alistair Overeem 0 92 of 114 80% 106 of 131 3 of 3 100% 0 0 5:29
Augusto Sakai 0 99 of 173 57% 120 of 196 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alistair Overeem 0 11 of 18 61% 12 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Augusto Sakai 0 22 of 36 61% 24 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:45
2 Alistair Overeem 0 13 of 16 81% 14 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:12
Augusto Sakai 0 24 of 40 60% 28 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
3 Alistair Overeem 0 23 of 27 85% 26 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:44
Augusto Sakai 0 34 of 54 62% 48 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
4 Alistair Overeem 0 40 of 48 83% 49 of 59 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:18
Augusto Sakai 0 19 of 43 44% 20 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
5 Alistair Overeem 0 5 of 5 100% 5 of 5 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
Augusto Sakai 0 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alistair Overeem 92 of 114 80% 53 of 73 30 of 31 9 of 10 28 of 43 16 of 16 48 of 55
Augusto Sakai 99 of 173 57% 66 of 130 25 of 34 8 of 9 62 of 127 35 of 43 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alistair Overeem 11 of 18 61% 2 of 9 6 of 6 3 of 3 6 of 13 5 of 5 0 of 0
Augusto Sakai 22 of 36 61% 13 of 23 8 of 12 1 of 1 14 of 27 8 of 9 0 of 0
2 Alistair Overeem 13 of 16 81% 5 of 7 7 of 7 1 of 2 4 of 7 9 of 9 0 of 0
Augusto Sakai 24 of 40 60% 12 of 24 11 of 15 1 of 1 10 of 22 14 of 18 0 of 0
3 Alistair Overeem 23 of 27 85% 10 of 14 9 of 9 4 of 4 11 of 14 2 of 2 10 of 11
Augusto Sakai 34 of 54 62% 27 of 47 4 of 4 3 of 3 21 of 37 11 of 14 2 of 3
4 Alistair Overeem 40 of 48 83% 31 of 38 8 of 9 1 of 1 7 of 9 0 of 0 33 of 39
Augusto Sakai 19 of 43 44% 14 of 36 2 of 3 3 of 4 17 of 41 2 of 2 0 of 0
5 Alistair Overeem 5 of 5 100% 5 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 5
Augusto Sakai 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 2, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Augusto Sakai

Big Brady picks Sakai mainly as a fade on Overeem's chin, noting Overeem has 13 knockout losses. He acknowledges Sakai is not a huge power puncher but believes he can catch Overeem. He mentions Overeem might have better cardio and could take Sakai down, but Sakai has 83% takedown defense. He suggests betting Sakai inside the distance.

Sakai inside the distance
"i'm gonna go with sakai it's basically a fade on overeem's chin which is not an awful look at this point in his career"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Augusto Sakai

Daniel Levi picks Augusto Sakai to upset Alistair Overeem. He notes Sakai's underrated chin, having taken full KO blows from Arlovski without being hurt, and his methodical Muay Thai striking. Levi is concerned about Overeem's chin and tendency to admire his work, and believes Sakai will eventually catch Overeem, predicting a third-round knockout. He also mentions Sakai's competitive running background as a plus for cardio.

Sakai by KO in round 3
"i feel like sakai's got a very underrated chin man i haven't really seen him you know stumble get hurt drive none of that man so ... i feel like he's gonna come out here and knock alistair out i'ma …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Alistair Overeem

The host picks Overeem to win by third or fourth round TKO. He believes Overeem is better everywhere, with improved grappling and cardio since joining Team Elevation. He expects Overeem to wear on Sakai against the cage, take him down, and pound him out. He notes Overeem's chin is a concern but thinks he can survive Sakai's early power.

"i will take over him to win this fight probably by third or fourth round stoppage"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Alistair Overeem

The MMA Guru picks Alistair Overeem, citing Sakai's lack of impressive wins and a controversial split decision over Andrei Arlovski that he considers a robbery. He believes Overeem's experience and ability to survive early storms will be key, and predicts a second or third round TKO via ground and pound. He notes Overeem's unappealing ground and pound style but expects it to be effective.

second or third round ground and pound tko
"i think overeem is actually gonna get a big ko here um maybe not a ko actually yeah no ko i think he takes down augusto sakai after rocking him gets the submission or gets a tko via crown and …"
WIN vs Walt Harris
TKO (punches) R2 3:00 · UFC on ESPN: Overeem vs. Harris · May 16, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alistair Overeem 1 68 of 85 80% 97 of 115 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:22
Walt Harris 1 25 of 48 52% 25 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alistair Overeem 0 27 of 33 81% 48 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:56
Walt Harris 1 24 of 42 57% 24 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:47
2 Alistair Overeem 1 41 of 52 78% 49 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:26
Walt Harris 0 1 of 6 16% 1 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alistair Overeem 68 of 85 80% 58 of 75 8 of 8 2 of 2 7 of 10 1 of 1 60 of 74
Walt Harris 25 of 48 52% 19 of 41 6 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 19 1 of 3 18 of 26
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alistair Overeem 27 of 33 81% 21 of 27 5 of 5 1 of 1 3 of 4 1 of 1 23 of 28
Walt Harris 24 of 42 57% 18 of 36 6 of 6 0 of 0 5 of 13 1 of 3 18 of 26
2 Alistair Overeem 41 of 52 78% 37 of 48 3 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 6 0 of 0 37 of 46
Walt Harris 1 of 6 16% 1 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 15, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Walt Harris

Big Brady picks Walt Harris by first-round knockout, citing Overeem's diminished chin and Harris' power. He notes that Overeem is likely the better fighter overall but cannot be trusted due to his chin, which has been knocked out 13 times. He believes Harris will land one shot and finish the fight. He acknowledges that Overeem could win if he takes Harris down, but doubts his wrestling is good enough. He mentions the emotional motivation for Harris after his daughter's passing.

first-round knockout, fight ends inside distance -425, emotional motivation
"I'm gonna go with Walt Harris here... I think it takes one shot to knockout over him and I think Walt Harris has that shot one of the hardest hitters in the heavyweight division so I like Walt Harris to …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 16, 2020 (fight day)
Walt Harris

Daniel Levi picks Walt Harris via vicious knockout. He believes Harris has turned a corner, putting things together, and has the proper technique and power to put away Overeem. He notes that Overeem is the more skilled fighter but has a small margin for error and is in denial about his recent KO loss. Levi emphasizes that Harris should stay composed and not fight too emotionally.

vicious knockout
"I got Walt Harris via vicious knockout I think he is gonna have that moment I think he will touch the chin of Overeem"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked May 14, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Alistair Overeem

The host is torn but ultimately picks Overeem, citing his experience and ability to adjust after the Rozenstruik fight. He believes Overeem will be elusive, avoid Harris's early power, and take the fight to the ground for a TKO. He admits he's rooting for Harris due to his personal story but thinks Overeem's skills and tools will prevail.

Overeem by TKO in the third round
"I think I'm gonna go of Alistair Overeem win him by a second-round TKO I think he's gonna ground and pound Walt Harris"
KO (punch) R5 4:56 · UFC on ESPN: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · Dec 07, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jairzinho Rozenstruik 0 74 of 105 70% 101 of 135 2 of 10 20% 0 0 8:19
Alistair Overeem 1 89 of 209 42% 109 of 229 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 0 13 of 15 86% 27 of 30 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:14
Alistair Overeem 0 5 of 13 38% 8 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 0 14 of 20 70% 17 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:06
Alistair Overeem 0 19 of 35 54% 28 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
3 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 0 18 of 25 72% 27 of 35 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:30
Alistair Overeem 0 14 of 33 42% 22 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 0 18 of 28 64% 18 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Alistair Overeem 0 30 of 73 41% 30 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
5 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 0 11 of 17 64% 12 of 18 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:29
Alistair Overeem 1 21 of 55 38% 21 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jairzinho Rozenstruik 74 of 105 70% 48 of 76 12 of 13 14 of 16 46 of 76 9 of 9 19 of 20
Alistair Overeem 89 of 209 42% 57 of 169 16 of 20 16 of 20 68 of 180 19 of 27 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 13 of 15 86% 11 of 13 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 4 1 of 1 10 of 10
Alistair Overeem 5 of 13 38% 1 of 8 0 of 1 4 of 4 5 of 12 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 14 of 20 70% 4 of 10 8 of 8 2 of 2 7 of 13 7 of 7 0 of 0
Alistair Overeem 19 of 35 54% 9 of 23 7 of 9 3 of 3 11 of 25 8 of 10 0 of 0
3 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 18 of 25 72% 14 of 19 3 of 4 1 of 2 8 of 14 1 of 1 9 of 10
Alistair Overeem 14 of 33 42% 7 of 26 4 of 4 3 of 3 8 of 26 4 of 5 2 of 2
4 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 18 of 28 64% 13 of 22 0 of 0 5 of 6 18 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alistair Overeem 30 of 73 41% 23 of 63 4 of 5 3 of 5 25 of 64 5 of 9 0 of 0
5 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 11 of 17 64% 6 of 12 0 of 0 5 of 5 11 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alistair Overeem 21 of 55 38% 17 of 49 1 of 1 3 of 5 19 of 53 2 of 2 0 of 0
TKO (knees and punches) R1 4:45 · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · Apr 20, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alistair Overeem 1 29 of 33 87% 31 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:10
Aleksei Oleinik 0 38 of 58 65% 78 of 101 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alistair Overeem 1 29 of 33 87% 31 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:10
Aleksei Oleinik 0 38 of 58 65% 78 of 101 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alistair Overeem 29 of 33 87% 23 of 27 6 of 6 0 of 0 5 of 8 12 of 13 12 of 12
Aleksei Oleinik 38 of 58 65% 15 of 34 23 of 24 0 of 0 12 of 26 26 of 32 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alistair Overeem 29 of 33 87% 23 of 27 6 of 6 0 of 0 5 of 8 12 of 13 12 of 12
Aleksei Oleinik 38 of 58 65% 15 of 34 23 of 24 0 of 0 12 of 26 26 of 32 0 of 0
TKO (punches) R1 4:21 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · Nov 24, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alistair Overeem 0 22 of 26 84% 26 of 31 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:57
Sergei Pavlovich 0 13 of 32 40% 18 of 37 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alistair Overeem 0 22 of 26 84% 26 of 31 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:57
Sergei Pavlovich 0 13 of 32 40% 18 of 37 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alistair Overeem 22 of 26 84% 13 of 16 8 of 9 1 of 1 3 of 5 7 of 7 12 of 14
Sergei Pavlovich 13 of 32 40% 9 of 25 3 of 6 1 of 1 8 of 22 5 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alistair Overeem 22 of 26 84% 13 of 16 8 of 9 1 of 1 3 of 5 7 of 7 12 of 14
Sergei Pavlovich 13 of 32 40% 9 of 25 3 of 6 1 of 1 8 of 22 5 of 10 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Alistair Overeem vs. Sergei Pavlovich

Round 1
Overeem crouches low with a high guard as he circles Pavlovich, feinting and testing the reactions of the Russian newcomer. Pavlovich clips “The ‘Reem” with a right hand, then shoves him away when Overeem attempts to tie up. An uppercut leaves Overeem covering up momentarily, but he recovers and drives forward to push Pavlovich against the wall. Pavlovich spins to the outside position in the clinch and walks Overeem out toward the middle, then the Dutchman reclaims control and marches him back to the fence. Pavlovich drops levels to try a double-leg, and now Overeem abandons the clinch to step back to the center. Overeem swings a big right hand at Pavlovich, tries to grab the Russian in the Thai clinch and winds up tossing him to the ground. Overeem kneels down in Pavlovich’s open guard, then stands over him with 60 seconds on the clock. Suddenly, Overeem turns up the volume on his right hands, smashing Pavlovich’s face with thunderous hammerfists. Pavlovich eats a couple punches before going fetal and turning away from Overeem. The body language is not good, and Overeem continues to pour on the right hands, prompting referee John Sharp to step in for the stoppage.

The Result
Alistair Overeem def. Sergey Pavlovich via TKO (Punches) R1 4:21
LOSS vs Curtis Blaydes
TKO (elbows) R3 2:56 · UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · Jun 09, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Curtis Blaydes 0 7 of 12 58% 24 of 31 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Alistair Overeem 0 37 of 53 69% 62 of 85 4 of 4 100% 0 0 7:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Curtis Blaydes 0 1 of 3 33% 10 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alistair Overeem 0 1 of 5 20% 9 of 15 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:19
2 Curtis Blaydes 0 4 of 5 80% 11 of 12 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Alistair Overeem 0 13 of 20 65% 25 of 36 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:31
3 Curtis Blaydes 0 2 of 4 50% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alistair Overeem 0 23 of 28 82% 28 of 34 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:57
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Curtis Blaydes 7 of 12 58% 3 of 8 4 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 2
Alistair Overeem 37 of 53 69% 32 of 48 5 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 16 12 of 14 22 of 23
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Curtis Blaydes 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2
Alistair Overeem 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Curtis Blaydes 4 of 5 80% 2 of 3 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alistair Overeem 13 of 20 65% 10 of 17 3 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 6 2 of 3 11 of 11
3 Curtis Blaydes 2 of 4 50% 0 of 2 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alistair Overeem 23 of 28 82% 21 of 26 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 6 10 of 11 10 of 11
LOSS vs Francis Ngannou
KO (punch) R1 1:42 · UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · Dec 02, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Francis Ngannou 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Alistair Overeem 1 6 of 14 42% 11 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Francis Ngannou 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Alistair Overeem 1 6 of 14 42% 11 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Francis Ngannou 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alistair Overeem 6 of 14 42% 4 of 12 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 10 3 of 3 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Francis Ngannou 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alistair Overeem 6 of 14 42% 4 of 12 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 10 3 of 3 1 of 1