Career Averages - Xiao Long
Career Averages - Quang Le
Xiao Long
Quang Le
Xiao Long - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Garbrandt | 0 | 28 of 54 | 51% | 28 of 54 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 59 of 108 | 54% | 70 of 119 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cody Garbrandt | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 10 of 20 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 20 of 31 | 64% | 20 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Cody Garbrandt | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 7 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 21 of 41 | 51% | 22 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Cody Garbrandt | 0 | 11 of 19 | 57% | 11 of 19 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 18 of 36 | 50% | 28 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Garbrandt | 28 of 54 | 51% | 13 of 39 | 11 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 42 | 11 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 59 of 108 | 54% | 11 of 41 | 19 of 28 | 29 of 39 | 51 of 99 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cody Garbrandt | 10 of 20 | 50% | 6 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 20 of 31 | 64% | 3 of 10 | 2 of 4 | 15 of 17 | 20 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Cody Garbrandt | 7 of 15 | 46% | 4 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 21 of 41 | 51% | 3 of 16 | 6 of 7 | 12 of 18 | 21 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Cody Garbrandt | 11 of 19 | 57% | 3 of 11 | 7 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 13 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 18 of 36 | 50% | 5 of 15 | 11 of 17 | 2 of 4 | 10 of 28 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 5 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Xiao (-148), Garbrandt (+124)
Round 1
The preliminary headliner will conclude the de facto “Cody against the world” series, with gentlemen named Cody sporting a record of 0-2 so far today. Garbrandt (14-7, 9-7 UFC) would like to turn things around for his namesake when he faces the well-traveled Xiao (27-10, 1-2 UFC). Fists and feet are sure to fly in this bantamweight encounter, and they do just as soon as referee Herb Dean clocks them in.
The fighters do not touch gloves, as Garbrandt is loaded for bear and promptly puts three fists on Xiao’s face. Garbrandt backs off to circle around, and he works the lead leg with a kick but is booted with a shin to his chin. Garbrandt retreats in a hurry, and Xiao largely lets him off the hook with little more than a low kick. Garbrandt crashes the pocket, and he is met with a knee to the body, and when he takes a step back, he gets kicked in the stomach. Xiao swats out with kicks from both sides, following the former champ around without anything coming back at him. The Chinese fighter side kicks the body, and Garbrandt locks him up in a clinch when Xiao gets in close. Garbrandt thumps the body when tied up, and he lashes out with a ferocious elbow that drops Xiao.
Xiao pops back up and hoots, with the strike apparently a flash knockdown as he gets back in Garbrandt’s grill to chase him around. Garbrandt spins with an elbow that tags Xiao in the forehead, and Xiao raises his arms as if to ask for more. Xiao takes a step back and slips, his balance possibly not fully back with him, but he proceeds to stalk down the former bantamweight king and work his lead leg. Xiao motions to Garbrandt to trade when he gets struck, and he thumps Garbrandt in the face with another head kick. Xiao loads up with a hard inside leg kick that makes Garbrandt switch stances, goofing around and swinging his hands around while they are well out of range. Xiao peppers the front leg and charges in, but Garbrandt greets him with a double and tackles him to his seat. Xiao springs right back up, and Garbrandt tries to kick him in the head but is too close to get it off. Xiao responds with a step-in elbow, and he fires off a body kick and resets to attack with a wheel kick that misses. Garbrandt strings together three punches, but only one partially lands. The horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Xiao
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Garbrandt
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Xiao
Round 2
Xiao comes out of his corner with a strategy: attack Garbrandt’s lead leg. Garbrandt lines up a few punches and offers out a takedown, and Xiao sprawls and the two reset. Garbrandt digs a right hand to the ribcage and goes upstairs, causing a thin trickle of blood to drip from the Chinese fighter’s nostril. Xiao goes high with a kick, and he stays busy with offense to any target he can find. He just misses a step-in elbow when Garbrandt crashes the pocket, and Garbrandt wings a right hand that misses the mark. Xiao thumps the body with his shin, and he kicks the front leg to force a stance switch. Xiao kicks his foe’s leg out from beneath him when Garbrandt is about to engage, and Garbrandt gingerly stands back up and immediately absorbs one or two more for his effort.
Garbrandt crowds his opponent to pursue a level change, and Xiao breaks and blocks a spinning back fist on the break. Garbrandt shoots for a single, and Xiao scrambles out of the way and responds with a low kick. The 27-year-old nearly bashes Garbrandt with another head kick, but it is his calf kick that is hampering the former champ in a major way. Xiao chambers and fires a high kick, and he pushes off the stomach with a side kick and narrowly misses one up high. Garbrandt signals that he missed by this much, and then takes a right hand on the chin. The two crash together, with Garbrandt attempting a takedown and headbutting his opponent, and Xiao tumbles to his seat. Dean calls time, and Xiao wants to get back to it and high-fives Garbrandt and is alright. The tepid round comes to a close.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Xiao
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Xiao
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Xiao
Round 3
Xiao reintroduces himself by offering up a steady diet of kicks to all targets. His body kicks lead to low kicks, and one bumps into Garbrandt’s cup when Garbrandt is ducking down for a takedown. Dean sees it and calls time, and the former champ takes about 50 seconds before he is all good. Xiao immediately pushes the pace once more, going after Garbrandt and dodging a wheel kick. Xiao rushes after him and boots Garbrandt square in the groin, who topples to the mat and dislodges his mouthguard in serious pain. Dean again calls time, and Garbrandt starts dry heaving. The dry heaving turns to actual vomiting in a bucket, which should mean the fight should be over. Somehow, the fight is not actually stopped, even though the rules clearly indicate that a fighter who vomits during a fight “shall be stopped by the referee and the fighter shall lose the contest by a technical knockout due to medical stoppage”—quoting the Unified Rules directly. No one has a clue what the rules of MMA are anymore, and Dean deducts one point from Xiao but restarts the match. Garbrandt gets back to his feet and goes ballistic a la James Thompson against Aleks Emelianenko, screaming at Xiao and preparing to assault him violently. Garbrandt comes out swinging for the fences, and they crash together and end up in a clinch. Remarkably, Xiao knees Garbrandt in the groin again, and Dean stops the fight and takes another point from Xiao, while threatening that there will be a DQ with one more. When they resume, Xiao leaps forward with a flying knee, and Garbrandt motions that he missed by a mile. Xiao points to the ground, and Garbrandt does not bite and engage foolishly.
Xiao chases after the former champ, and he walks directly into a right hand. Garbrandt retreats rather than engaging, possibly still compromised from the multiple fouls, while Xiao wings kicks at him. Garbrandt keeps moving, landing a body shot and one to the head. Xiao runs at Garbrandt and kicks him in the head, and when Garbrandt drops down, Xiao knees him in the head potentially illegally. Garbrandt stands back up and knees him back, but it is almost exclusively Xiao who is attacking. Xiao sprints forward and clinches up, where he hits a trip takedown and lands in full mount. He hits the floor with one second left, and lands at least one punch after the bell. When time mercifully expires, Garbrandt has to shove his opponent off of him, and there is very nearly a brawl in the cage but for Dean getting between them. They proceed to bury the hatchet after one of the worst fights in UFC history, and it just so happens to be the second fight that many new MMA fans will be seeing on the CBS airwaves. Talk about a disaster.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 9-8 Garbrandt (28-27 Xiao)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 9-8 Garbrandt (28-27 Garbrandt)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 9-8 Garbrandt (28-27 Xiao)
The Official Result
Cody Garbrandt def. Long Xiao via Unanimous Decision (28-27, 28-27, 28-27)
Angelo picks Cody Garbrandt to win based on his striking and footwork, but strongly advises against betting on him, calling it a ridiculous thing to do in 2026. He notes Cody's age and recent loss to an older fighter, and says he would never put money on Cody. He separates pick from bet.
Big Brady picks Cody Garbrandt as an underdog over Xiao Long, but with low confidence. He believes Garbrandt is washed and can't take a shot, but Long Xiao lacks KO power and has poor takedown ability. Garbrandt still has elite takedown defense and anti-grappling. Brady expects a boring fight where Garbrandt uses movement and clinching to win a decision, similar to his fight against Trevin Jones. He warns fans will boo.
Cody picks Garbrandt as a dog, citing his superior competition and wrestling ability. He notes that Xiao Long has been taken down frequently and that Garbrandt can use wrestling to win. He acknowledges the risk but sees value at plus money.
Connor believes Garbrandt should win easily based on speed and the level of competition. He notes that Long Zhao has struggled against low-level bantamweights and that Garbrandt, despite his psychological and technical flaws, has a massive advantage in athleticism. He is shocked that Garbrandt is an underdog and thinks the line is inaccurate.
Daniel Vreeland reluctantly picks Cody Garbrandt as an underdog, citing his higher level of competition and former champion status. He notes that Garbrandt's chin and cardio are concerns, but he believes Garbrandt has enough to beat a relatively unproven opponent. Vreeland warns that picking Garbrandt is scary but sees value.
The host acknowledges Garbrandt is technically superior on the feet but is on a steep decline, with poor durability and gun-shy tendencies. He compares Garbrandt to other declining fighters like Moreno and Cyborg. Xiao Long is a high-volume, tough striker who throws double the strikes per minute. The host would back Long if forced to bet, but personally passes due to Long being average and the possibility of Garbrandt outclassing him.
James picks Cody Garbrandt as an underdog, believing this is a massive step down in competition for Garbrandt. He notes Garbrandt's speed advantage and better boxing, and expects him to win round one. However, he acknowledges Garbrandt's poor chin and cardio, but thinks he can survive if he builds an early lead. James sees the fight as close to 50/50, making Garbrandt the value side at plus odds.
Garbrandt is washed with a compromised chin and cardio. Long is durable, aggressive, and has good takedown defense. After a competitive first round, Long will walk Garbrandt down and likely knock him out in the second or third round.
Paul also picks Garbrandt, noting his speed and technique. He thinks the fight will be close and dicey, but at plus money, he takes the former champion. He acknowledges the possibility of a knockout loss.
The MMA Guru picks Cody Garbrandt, believing he will outclass Xiao Long at range. He notes Garbrandt's speed and footwork, and predicts a decision or late KO. He acknowledges Garbrandt's inconsistency but thinks Xiao Long is not top-level.
Zane agrees that Garbrandt should win, emphasizing that Long Zhao is a significant step down from Garbrandt's recent opponents. He notes that Garbrandt has shown some improvement in recent losses, but still has major flaws. He is also surprised by the betting line and thinks Garbrandt should be a healthy favorite.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| You Su-young | 0 | 68 of 214 | 31% | 81 of 229 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 58 of 110 | 52% | 66 of 120 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | You Su-young | 0 | 11 of 35 | 31% | 11 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 10 of 15 | 66% | 12 of 17 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | You Su-young | 0 | 16 of 78 | 20% | 18 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 25 of 50 | 50% | 25 of 52 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 3 | You Su-young | 0 | 41 of 101 | 40% | 52 of 114 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 23 of 45 | 51% | 29 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| You Su-young | 68 of 214 | 31% | 53 of 169 | 7 of 21 | 8 of 24 | 38 of 173 | 30 of 41 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 58 of 110 | 52% | 44 of 94 | 10 of 11 | 4 of 5 | 47 of 95 | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | You Su-young | 11 of 35 | 31% | 6 of 18 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 13 | 11 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 10 of 15 | 66% | 6 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | You Su-young | 16 of 78 | 20% | 9 of 57 | 4 of 11 | 3 of 10 | 15 of 77 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 25 of 50 | 50% | 18 of 42 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 23 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | You Su-young | 41 of 101 | 40% | 38 of 94 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 61 | 29 of 40 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 23 of 45 | 51% | 20 of 42 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 34 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is confident in You Su-young, calling him a nonstop wrestler who shoots takedowns early and is aggressive on the ground. He notes that Xiao Long is a grappler but not particularly dangerous, and that You Su-young is better almost everywhere. He expects a grappling match and leans You Su-young regardless of whether it becomes a striking match or a grappling match.
Big Brady picks Xiao Long as an underdog, citing his good defensive wrestling and anti-grappling. He notes that Xiao Long stuffed 7 of 9 takedowns against Chungho Lee, who is a strong grappler, and that Xiao Long is the better striker with improved striking. He believes Su-young Yu will struggle to get takedowns and that Xiao Long will win a decision on the feet.
Connor picks Suyong Yu, citing his straightforward wrestling game and good takedowns. He notes that Long Zhao's wrestling hasn't been tested much and that Suyong Yu's singles and pipe runs could be effective. He acknowledges that if Long Zhao can stuff shots, he could win, but leans toward the wrestler.
The host is a big fan of You Su-young but thinks he will struggle to get the fight to the ground. This will allow Xiao Long to dictate the pace in the striking realm with high volume, winning most pocket exchanges. The host predicts Xiao Long will eventually find a knockout within two and a half rounds.
The MMA Guru picks You Su-young because he has proven himself against non-Asian competition, specifically outgrappling an American with a wrestling background. He views You Su-young as a specialist with a clear strength, while Xiao Long appears to be a well-rounded regional scrapper. He also notes that Xiao Long's split decision win over a Korean fighter on Road to UFC doesn't impress him, as that opponent didn't amount to much.
Zane picks Xiao Long (Long Zhao), noting that he puts offense together and looked improved in his last fight. He acknowledges that Suyong Yu is a good wrestler with solid takedowns, but believes Long Zhao's striking and ability to get up from takedowns could be enough to win. He admits it's a close fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xiao Long | 1 | 87 of 192 | 45% | 92 of 198 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Quang Le | 0 | 64 of 155 | 41% | 68 of 160 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xiao Long | 0 | 40 of 82 | 48% | 41 of 83 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Quang Le | 0 | 29 of 68 | 42% | 30 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Xiao Long | 0 | 35 of 89 | 39% | 37 of 91 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Quang Le | 0 | 25 of 67 | 37% | 26 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 3 | Xiao Long | 1 | 12 of 21 | 57% | 14 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Quang Le | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 12 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xiao Long | 87 of 192 | 45% | 66 of 158 | 8 of 16 | 13 of 18 | 80 of 178 | 5 of 11 | 2 of 3 |
| Quang Le | 64 of 155 | 41% | 39 of 126 | 23 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 59 of 148 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xiao Long | 40 of 82 | 48% | 30 of 67 | 2 of 5 | 8 of 10 | 38 of 78 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 |
| Quang Le | 29 of 68 | 42% | 18 of 55 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 29 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Xiao Long | 35 of 89 | 39% | 27 of 75 | 4 of 7 | 4 of 7 | 35 of 85 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Quang Le | 25 of 67 | 37% | 15 of 55 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 64 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Xiao Long | 12 of 21 | 57% | 9 of 16 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 15 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
| Quang Le | 10 of 20 | 50% | 6 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Xiao Long, noting Quang Le's striking defense issues despite forward pressure. He expects Xiao to shoot takedowns and control on the ground. He admits it's a tough pick and not his most confident.
Big Brady picks Xiao Long to win by decision. He thinks Quang Le is overrated after his loss to Chris Gutierrez, noting Le had low volume and landed less than 10 significant strikes. He was more impressed with Xiao Long's loss against a tough grappler, where he showed takedown ability and higher output. Brady expects the fight to stay on the feet and favors the more active striker.
Cody picks Quang Le, citing his power and experience against better competition. He notes that Xiao Long has 35 fights but has not been tested, and his recent fights have been close decisions. Quang Le's confidence from his UFC debut and his power give him the edge in a close fight.
Daniel Vreeland sees this as a close fight between Xiao Long's activity and Quang Le's power and impactful moments. He gives the edge to Quang Le because of his experience fighting Chris Gutierrez and his counter-striking ability. He expects a controversial split decision where Quang Le's harder shots sway the judges.
Quang Le is the better martial artist with advantages in striking speed and power. He will dictate the pace and land more damage over 15 minutes to win on the scorecards.
Paul also leans toward Quang Le, noting the market movement and Quang's power. He thinks Xiao Long's split decision losses indicate he is not elite, and Quang Le's ability to finish gives him an edge. He expects a close fight and likes the plus money.
The MMA Guru picks Quang Le based on his finishing potential shown on Road to UFC, contrasting with Xiao Long who tends to scrape by in close decisions. He notes Quang Le is younger at 26 and has fought at WLF Wars, where Shavkat Rakhmonov competed. He believes Quang Le's dominance and finishing ability give him the edge.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Chang-ho | 0 | 68 of 103 | 66% | 135 of 187 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 6:19 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 84 of 119 | 70% | 173 of 228 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 1:48 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Chang-ho | 0 | 22 of 30 | 73% | 43 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:41 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 24 of 38 | 63% | 50 of 66 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 2 | Lee Chang-ho | 0 | 28 of 52 | 53% | 53 of 81 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:46 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 38 of 53 | 71% | 71 of 95 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 3 | Lee Chang-ho | 0 | 18 of 21 | 85% | 39 of 46 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:52 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 22 of 28 | 78% | 52 of 67 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:29 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Chang-ho | 68 of 103 | 66% | 27 of 49 | 33 of 46 | 8 of 8 | 26 of 44 | 42 of 59 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 84 of 119 | 70% | 28 of 47 | 54 of 68 | 2 of 4 | 18 of 33 | 66 of 86 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Chang-ho | 22 of 30 | 73% | 8 of 13 | 13 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 9 | 17 of 21 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 24 of 38 | 63% | 5 of 10 | 17 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 10 | 19 of 28 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lee Chang-ho | 28 of 52 | 53% | 12 of 27 | 12 of 21 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 24 | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 38 of 53 | 71% | 14 of 23 | 24 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 16 | 30 of 37 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Lee Chang-ho | 18 of 21 | 85% | 7 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 11 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 22 of 28 | 78% | 9 of 14 | 13 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 | 17 of 21 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo sees Xiao Long as the grappler with a wrestle-at-all-costs attitude, durable and composed even when things go wrong. He believes Xiao Long's wrestling is more prominent and that he should have been the favorite, not the underdog. Despite being told he mixed up the fighters, he rewatched the tape and stuck with his read. He notes Xiao Long has 34 fights of experience and stays composed under pressure.
Big Brady picks Lee Chang-ho based on his relentless wrestling and never-quit style, which he finds more impressive than Xiao Long's striking. He notes that Lee has a crazy motor and showed a third-round TKO in a Road to UFC fight after his opponent slowed down. However, he expects a close split decision due to both fighters' durability and toughness, making this a hesitant pick.
Cody picks Xiao Long, citing his experience, takedown defense, and striking. He notes Long has faced better competition in the tournament and has shown the ability to get back up and outwork grapplers. He expects Long to win a decision and earn a UFC contract.
Daniel Vreeland picks Xiao Long based on experience, having seen him on Contender Series. He admits he is not very familiar with either fighter but goes with the more experienced fighter. He notes Lee Chang-ho's finishes but prefers Long's proven track record.
Jacob disagrees with Angelo, calling Lee Chang-ho the better wrestler who wants to be the 'Korean Khabib.' He highlights Lee's resilience, pointing to his last fight where he was outwrestled for two rounds but never stopped and finished the opponent in the third. Jacob believes Lee's non-stop pressure and finishing ability will wear down Xiao Long, who is not a finisher. He made Lee his lock of the week and placed a moneyline bet.
JP picks Lee Chang-ho based on his 3-0 record in Top Fighting Championship and a 4-fight win streak, noting that Lee has more finishing power with his hands. He sees both fighters as similar but gives Lee the edge in striking and potential to finish. Brevan agrees, citing Lee's stopping power and Xiao's tendency to go to decision, but both are hesitant to bet due to the close odds.
Paul picks Xiao Long, agreeing with Cody's analysis. He notes Long's youth, activity, and improvement since his Contender Series loss. He believes Long's sprawl-and-brawl style will be effective against Lee's wrestling.
The MMA Guru picks Lee Chang-ho over Xiao Long, citing Chang-ho's superior competition and consistent method of victory via ground and pound. He notes that Xiao Long lost to Christian Quinones on the Contender Series and has fought lesser competition. He believes Chang-ho's ground game and top positioning will lead to a second-round TKO.
Quang Le - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Luna | 2 | 15 of 40 | 37% | 17 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Quang Le | 0 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 13 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santiago Luna | 2 | 15 of 40 | 37% | 17 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Quang Le | 0 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 13 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Luna | 15 of 40 | 37% | 13 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 4 |
| Quang Le | 12 of 24 | 50% | 9 of 19 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 10 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santiago Luna | 15 of 40 | 37% | 13 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 4 |
| Quang Le | 12 of 24 | 50% | 9 of 19 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 10 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Luna (-125); Le (+105)
Round 1
Mike Beltran is the referee. Le drops Luna with a jab right away, and a head kick makes Luna stumble shortly thereafter. It’s a rude wakeup call for the debuting Luna. A heavy one-two lands for Le. Luna is still fighting, as he shoots for a double leg and shoves Le into the fence. Le turns off the fence and lands a knee. Luna reverses the position and they continue to battle. Le is able to break free and fires off a jab. A left hook lands for Le. Le changes levels and lands a knee in the clinch. More heavy punches connect for Le. Luna moves forward behind hooks. A leg kick lands for the Mexican. They trade in the pocket and this time it’s Luna who drops Le with a left hook. The Vietnamese fighter is up , and they trade wildly against the fence.
Luna unloads with more heavy shots and Le falls to his back. The crowd goes nuts as Luna polishes off his victory with a standing hammerfist on his dazed adversary — a perfect nail in the coffin that dribbles Le’s head off the canvas.
What a rally for the 21-year-old Tijuana native, who is the second-youngest male fighter on the UFC roster.
The Official Result
Santiago Luna def. Quang Le via KO (Punches) R1 2:48
Angelo picks Santiago Luna, calling him 'Border Boy' and the physical embodiment of the Mexican fighting spirit. He notes Luna is tough, athletic, with an incredible chin, and can strike and grapple. He says off tape alone, Luna wins, but acknowledges he only has six fights against nobodies. He is confident because he has seen Luna in trouble and he pushed through, unlike many undefeated prospects who fold. He says he'll keep an eye on line movement and might sprinkle.
Big Brady picks Luna because he is more durable and hits harder than Le. He notes Luna has a wrestling background but is willing to brawl, while Le has been knocked out before and reacted poorly to shots. He predicts Luna wins by second-round knockout.
Connor picks Quang Le, emphasizing Le's wrestling-heavy approach that will exploit Luna's lack of defensive wrestling experience. He notes that Le's fear of striking exchanges will drive him to take Luna down repeatedly. Connor acknowledges Luna's potential but believes he is being pushed too fast and will struggle against a determined wrestler.
Luna comes from a wrestling background and the host expects him to get to his wrestling easily. Even if he can't control Le for long, his power striking should do the talking, leading to a win on the scorecards.
The MMA Guru leans towards Santiago Luna in his debut, noting he is well-rounded and undefeated at 6-0. He contrasts Luna with Quang Le, who he sees as a pure striker/kickboxer who beat a slow Gaston Bolaños. He admits it's hard to tell but goes with Luna.
Zane picks Quang Le, citing Le's wrestling fallback and ability to take down and control opponents. He notes that Luna is a raw prospect with attitudinal skills but no refinement, and Le's determination to wrestle will likely overwhelm Luna. Zane acknowledges Luna's power and aggression but believes Le's experience and game plan will prevail.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gastón Bolaños | 0 | 5 of 20 | 25% | 8 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Quang Le | 0 | 10 of 14 | 71% | 33 of 38 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 1 | 0 | 5:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gastón Bolaños | 0 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Quang Le | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 20 of 21 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 4:24 | |
| 2 | Gastón Bolaños | 0 | 5 of 16 | 31% | 5 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Quang Le | 0 | 8 of 11 | 72% | 13 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gastón Bolaños | 5 of 20 | 25% | 1 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 7 | 5 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Quang Le | 10 of 14 | 71% | 9 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gastón Bolaños | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Quang Le | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gastón Bolaños | 5 of 16 | 31% | 1 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Quang Le | 8 of 11 | 72% | 7 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bolanos (-142), Le (+120)
Round 1
Bantamweights Bolanos and Le square off under the watchful eye of referee Tyrone Roberts. Both are in orthodox stance, and they spend the first few moments studying each other warily. Bolanos scores first with a calf kick, and Le shoots for a takedown against the fence. Bolanos defends ably, but Le disengages, re-shoots immediately and hauls the Peruvian down on his second try. Le takes Bolanos’ back as he scrambles to get up, sinking his hooks with nearly four minutes to go in the round. Bolanos is composed, keeping his hands in position to fight off a choke as he squirms and tries to dislodge Le’s hooks. He succeeds, and gets back to his feet around the midpoint of the round. Le takes Bolanos’ back standing, drags him back down and sinks a hook on the left side. Bolanos uses a two-on-one to occupy Le’s left arm, and Le responds by punching with his free hand. Le goes supine with Bolanos on top of him, Le still in back mount. Bolanos sits up and Le secures his other hook. Under 30 seconds to go and Bolanos appears focused on making it to Round 2 and a fresh start. He gets it.
Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Le
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Le
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Le
Round 2
Bolanos meets Le with a right hand in the first exchange. He cracks Le again, catches a kick, hoists the leg and shoves Le toward the fence. Le moves back in, swinging, and both men land in the ensuing flurry. Le uses a single-leg to dump Bolanos to the mat off-balance, and jumps onto him.
Le again takes Bolanos’ back in a flash, applying a rear-naked choke despite being somewhat out of position. The choke is extremely tight, however, and Bolanos makes no move to defend the technique as Le adjusts his position, flatting Bolanos out prone and squeezing. A few tense seconds later, referee Roberts checks Bolanos’ arm and realizes that the man is off killing dreams.
Roberts pulls Le off of the snoozing Peruvian who has just pulled off a sensational technical submission to cap off a seven-minute grappling clinic.
The Official Result
Quang Le def. Gaston Bolanos R2 1:54 via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo favors Gastón Bolaños due to his superior striking and durability. He believes Bolaños will engage on the feet and land the better connections, while Quang Le's takedown attempts will be ineffective. He considers the current odds range of -180 to -225 to be fair and expects Bolaños to win the majority of the time.
Big Brady leans toward Gastón Bolaños, expecting a striking battle. He notes that while Quang Le has a submission advantage on paper, Le rarely initiates wrestling and is low volume. Bolaños has improved takedown defense and higher volume with power. Brady questions both fighters' durability, as Bolaños has been finished in three of four losses and Le was recently finished by Long Xiao. He predicts Bolaños will land a knockout in the second round.
Connor picks Bolaños because he has finishing potential and can deliver steady damage at range. He notes that Bolaños is a classic kickboxer with single power shots, and that his defense has gotten worse without big gloves. He also mentions that Quang Le has a functional but not exceptional MMA game, and that his loss to Long Zhao suggests dysfunction. However, he acknowledges it's a tough call due to both fighters' flaws.
Both are solid strikers but Bolaños is the superior striker on paper. Le may try to take it to the ground, but Bolaños has shown defensive improvements. I expect Bolaños to keep it standing and pick Le apart for a decision win.
The MMA Guru picks Gastón Bolaños to win by TKO in the second or third round. He criticizes Quang Le's performance against Chris Gutierrez and believes Bolaños is tougher, more durable, and has good takedown defense and reversals. He notes Bolaños is slower but composes well and does damage on top.
Zane picks Bolaños, noting that Quang Le's knockout loss to Long Zhao is more worthy. He says Le seems like a great fight to get a takedown but might waste time after getting it. He also mentions that Le didn't try for takedowns in round three against Gutierrez, which is strange. He thinks Bolaños will be the sharper striker and that the fight will be scrappy and slower paced.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xiao Long | 1 | 87 of 192 | 45% | 92 of 198 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Quang Le | 0 | 64 of 155 | 41% | 68 of 160 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xiao Long | 0 | 40 of 82 | 48% | 41 of 83 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Quang Le | 0 | 29 of 68 | 42% | 30 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Xiao Long | 0 | 35 of 89 | 39% | 37 of 91 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Quang Le | 0 | 25 of 67 | 37% | 26 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 3 | Xiao Long | 1 | 12 of 21 | 57% | 14 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Quang Le | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 12 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xiao Long | 87 of 192 | 45% | 66 of 158 | 8 of 16 | 13 of 18 | 80 of 178 | 5 of 11 | 2 of 3 |
| Quang Le | 64 of 155 | 41% | 39 of 126 | 23 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 59 of 148 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xiao Long | 40 of 82 | 48% | 30 of 67 | 2 of 5 | 8 of 10 | 38 of 78 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 |
| Quang Le | 29 of 68 | 42% | 18 of 55 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 29 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Xiao Long | 35 of 89 | 39% | 27 of 75 | 4 of 7 | 4 of 7 | 35 of 85 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Quang Le | 25 of 67 | 37% | 15 of 55 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 64 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Xiao Long | 12 of 21 | 57% | 9 of 16 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 15 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
| Quang Le | 10 of 20 | 50% | 6 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Xiao Long, noting Quang Le's striking defense issues despite forward pressure. He expects Xiao to shoot takedowns and control on the ground. He admits it's a tough pick and not his most confident.
Big Brady picks Xiao Long to win by decision. He thinks Quang Le is overrated after his loss to Chris Gutierrez, noting Le had low volume and landed less than 10 significant strikes. He was more impressed with Xiao Long's loss against a tough grappler, where he showed takedown ability and higher output. Brady expects the fight to stay on the feet and favors the more active striker.
Cody picks Quang Le, citing his power and experience against better competition. He notes that Xiao Long has 35 fights but has not been tested, and his recent fights have been close decisions. Quang Le's confidence from his UFC debut and his power give him the edge in a close fight.
Daniel Vreeland sees this as a close fight between Xiao Long's activity and Quang Le's power and impactful moments. He gives the edge to Quang Le because of his experience fighting Chris Gutierrez and his counter-striking ability. He expects a controversial split decision where Quang Le's harder shots sway the judges.
Quang Le is the better martial artist with advantages in striking speed and power. He will dictate the pace and land more damage over 15 minutes to win on the scorecards.
Paul also leans toward Quang Le, noting the market movement and Quang's power. He thinks Xiao Long's split decision losses indicate he is not elite, and Quang Le's ability to finish gives him an edge. He expects a close fight and likes the plus money.
The MMA Guru picks Quang Le based on his finishing potential shown on Road to UFC, contrasting with Xiao Long who tends to scrape by in close decisions. He notes Quang Le is younger at 26 and has fought at WLF Wars, where Shavkat Rakhmonov competed. He believes Quang Le's dominance and finishing ability give him the edge.
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Xiao Long, noting Quang Le's striking defense issues despite forward pressure. He expects Xiao to shoot takedowns and control on the ground. He admits it's a tough pick and not his most confident.
Big Brady picks Xiao Long to win by decision. He thinks Quang Le is overrated after his loss to Chris Gutierrez, noting Le had low volume and landed less than 10 significant strikes. He was more impressed with Xiao Long's loss against a tough grappler, where he showed takedown ability and higher output. Brady expects the fight to stay on the feet and favors the more active striker.
Cody picks Quang Le, citing his power and experience against better competition. He notes that Xiao Long has 35 fights but has not been tested, and his recent fights have been close decisions. Quang Le's confidence from his UFC debut and his power give him the edge in a close fight.
Daniel Vreeland sees this as a close fight between Xiao Long's activity and Quang Le's power and impactful moments. He gives the edge to Quang Le because of his experience fighting Chris Gutierrez and his counter-striking ability. He expects a controversial split decision where Quang Le's harder shots sway the judges.
Quang Le is the better martial artist with advantages in striking speed and power. He will dictate the pace and land more damage over 15 minutes to win on the scorecards.
Paul also leans toward Quang Le, noting the market movement and Quang's power. He thinks Xiao Long's split decision losses indicate he is not elite, and Quang Le's ability to finish gives him an edge. He expects a close fight and likes the plus money.
The MMA Guru picks Quang Le based on his finishing potential shown on Road to UFC, contrasting with Xiao Long who tends to scrape by in close decisions. He notes Quang Le is younger at 26 and has fought at WLF Wars, where Shavkat Rakhmonov competed. He believes Quang Le's dominance and finishing ability give him the edge.
Comments (1)
Xian is a bit wild. Le is measured keeping the distance constant. Le died in the third and it was more a fatigue give up KO than flash. None the less not good enough. Ok takedown defense in rd1 and in rd2 got a takedown but it was sloppy, hopped for the back and got reversed?
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