Career Averages - Carlos Hernandez
Career Averages - Nyamjargal Tumendemberel
Carlos Hernandez
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel
Carlos Hernandez - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Park Hyun-sung | 0 | 14 of 22 | 63% | 17 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 4 of 17 | 23% | 4 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Park Hyun-sung | 0 | 14 of 22 | 63% | 17 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 4 of 17 | 23% | 4 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Park Hyun-sung | 14 of 22 | 63% | 5 of 13 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 19 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 4 of 17 | 23% | 2 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Park Hyun-sung | 14 of 22 | 63% | 5 of 13 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 19 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 4 of 17 | 23% | 2 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Park Hyun-sung but notes that the 2:1 odds seem a bit off. He describes Park as a slick grappler who is a finisher but has looked uncomfortable on his feet. He notes that Carlos Hernandez is a grappler with okay striking and improving wrestling. Angelo thinks this fight is a test for Park and that Hernandez is tough, so he might consider the over if a 1.5 round line is available.
Big Brady picks Park Hyun-sung, citing his finishing upside and slick grappling. He notes Carlos Hernandez is okay everywhere but lacks knockout power and has poor takedown defense. He expects Park to mix in takedowns and win a competitive decision.
The host is high on Park as one of his favorite Korean prospects, citing his firepower, physicality, and athleticism. He believes Park can land more significant damage whether striking or mixing in takedowns, and that will be the difference maker. The pick is confident but not a lock.
The Guru picks Park Hyun-sung, calling him a great prospect with finishing potential. He notes Carlos Hernandez has lost too many times and lacks fluidity. He acknowledges Hernandez could make it gritty and win later rounds, but leans toward Park getting a TKO. He does not see Park as a legitimate contender yet.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernandez | 1 | 26 of 93 | 27% | 28 of 95 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0:15 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 0 | 44 of 105 | 41% | 46 of 110 | 4 of 14 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 4:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Hernandez | 1 | 12 of 26 | 46% | 13 of 27 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 0 | 11 of 29 | 37% | 12 of 30 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:52 | |
| 2 | Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 2 of 18 | 11% | 2 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:06 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 0 | 12 of 26 | 46% | 13 of 29 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 2:52 | |
| 3 | Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 12 of 49 | 24% | 13 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 0 | 21 of 50 | 42% | 21 of 51 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernandez | 26 of 93 | 27% | 18 of 82 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 24 of 84 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 5 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 44 of 105 | 41% | 26 of 85 | 8 of 9 | 10 of 11 | 40 of 94 | 3 of 9 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Hernandez | 12 of 26 | 46% | 6 of 18 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 23 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 11 of 29 | 37% | 7 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Carlos Hernandez | 2 of 18 | 11% | 2 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 12 of 26 | 46% | 6 of 20 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 21 | 0 of 4 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Carlos Hernandez | 12 of 49 | 24% | 10 of 46 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 21 of 50 | 42% | 13 of 42 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 6 | 20 of 48 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Carlos Hernandez, valuing his UFC experience and cage time over the undefeated but untested Nyamjargal. He thinks Nyamjargal may get frustrated if the fight goes long. He explicitly says no bet on this fight due to uncertainty.
Big Brady picks Carlos Hernandez to win by third-round submission. He is shocked Hernandez is the favorite given he is usually a big underdog, but after watching Tumendemberel's Road to UFC fights, he saw a 14% takedown defense and poor ground game. Brady believes Hernandez can flip the script and use his grappling to take down and submit his opponent, as Hernandez has hung with tough grapplers before.
Cody agrees, calling Hernandez a proven gatekeeper who has tested prospects. He notes that the Mongolian fighter has been inactive and struggled against a smoker in his last fight. Hernandez's superior striking and cardio should carry him to a win, though he could be knocked out if he's careless.
Daniel Vreeland acknowledges that Carlos Hernandez is more experienced and well-rounded, but notes that Hernandez often fails to separate himself in fights and has lost to green opponents before. He believes Tumendemberel, despite being green, has the killer instinct and could win a close decision. He picks the upset, predicting a controversial split decision.
Paul picks Hernandez, noting his solid chin, grappling, and experience against tough prospects. He thinks the Mongolian fighter is unproven and Hernandez will be a tough gatekeeper. He expects Hernandez to win by decision or late finish, and sees value at minus-185.
The MMA Guru sides with the undefeated newcomer Nyamjargal Tumendemberel, despite acknowledging Carlos Hernandez is good and made it tricky against Ray Surria. He reasons that Hernandez at 9-4 may no longer have title hopes, while the newcomer is undefeated and on the come-up. He admits he almost picked Hernandez for the upset but ultimately goes with the undefeated fighter.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rei Tsuruya | 0 | 17 of 32 | 53% | 62 of 83 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 6:19 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 16 of 32 | 50% | 26 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rei Tsuruya | 0 | 2 of 12 | 16% | 9 of 20 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:16 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 8 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 2 | Rei Tsuruya | 0 | 13 of 17 | 76% | 26 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:42 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Rei Tsuruya | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 27 of 28 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 16 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 4:23 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rei Tsuruya | 17 of 32 | 53% | 15 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 13 of 17 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 16 of 32 | 50% | 7 of 23 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 23 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rei Tsuruya | 2 of 12 | 16% | 1 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 8 of 23 | 34% | 3 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Rei Tsuruya | 13 of 17 | 76% | 12 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 17 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Rei Tsuruya | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 6 of 7 | 85% | 2 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Tsuruya (-485), Hernandez (+370)
Round 1
Fresh off three wins on the Road to UFC series, unbeaten youngster Tsuruya (9-0, 0-0 UFC) has a shiny UFC contract and will be officially making his debut with the organization. He takes on 2021 Dana White’s Contender Series pickup Hernandez (9-3, 2-2 UFC), who has alternated wins and losses since joining the major leagues. The third man in the Octagon for this flyweight affair will be referee Marc Goddard, who sits back as the fighters touch gloves. Tsuruya moves to the center of the Octagon immediately, bouncing back and forth looking for a read. Hernandez paws out half-hearted jabs to find his distance, and he hops back when a right hand whizzes by his face. Tsuruya splits the guard with a one-two, and he absorbs a low kick on the way out. When Hernandez commits to an overhand right, Tsuruya drops low and gets hold of a single-leg takedown. Hernandez moves right to a knee and stands back up, and he moves around to take Tsuruya’s back and slams Tsuruya down on his face. When the Japanese fighter hits the mat, he is quick to pursue a kneebar, and he turns the heel to get hold of a possible heel hook. Hernandez turns out of both of them, fights off the potential calf slicer and stands back to his feet. Tsuruya lunges at him with a right hand, and Hernandez walks him down looking for a big right hand that he does not throw. Both fighters miss with short punch combinations, and Hernandez dings the youngster with a left hand on the way out. Tsuruya leans over to land a few strikes, and Hernandez leans back and gets off a right hand at the end of a combo. Tsuruya shoots in for a takedown, and Hernandez works his way to the wall and leans back against it to stay upright. The 22-year-old decides instead to hit a suplex to toss Hernandez to the mat, and he winds up in side control briefly after a mad scramble. Hernandez continues to move, not settling for any position, and Tsuruya sits on top of him at an odd angle. Tsuruya locks down one left of his opponent and turns it to the right, and looks to torque the torso to the left for a potential twister. Hernandez is wise to it, and he escapes the danger before the round concludes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tsuruya
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Tsuruya
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Tsuruya
Round 2
There is a quick tap of gloves to get things started in the second stanza, and Hernandez moves to the middle of the cage to start this one instead. Tsuruya dives after him in pursuit of a takedown, and he scoops Hernandez up and deposits him to the mat. Hernandez locks on with an arm-triangle of Tsuruya’s shoulder to trap him in this position, but he looses it to scramble and turn over to his knees. Tsuruya wraps up Hernandez’s left arm and smashes him in the dome with an elbow on the other side, and he is warned for it landing to the back of the head. Tsuruya gets hold of a crucifix position, and Hernandez moves wildly to free his limbs from the precarious posture. Tsuruya follows him in an effort to take the back, and he settles to hold on from one side. Hernandez sits up, with Tsuruya partially behind him, and Tsuruya goes after another twister setup. Tsuruya cranks Hernandez’ hips to the right and looks to pull on Hernandez’ left arm to torque his body in inhuman directions. Hernandez does everything he can to get out of it, and Hernandez turns the wrong direction but wriggles his leg out to escape at the last second. Hernandez flips over to put his back on the mat, where Tsuruya moves into a more standard position of the open guard. Hernandez tries to push off the hips, slash out with elbows and otherwise get some space. Tsuruya gets shoved up back to his feet, and he leaps back down on top and wraps his left arm around the neck for a possible guillotine choke. Tsuruya lets the neck go so he can look for Hernandez’ leg, and Hernandez keeps shifting and twisting. Tsuruya winds up sitting up dropping down 12-6 elbows on his opponent until the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tsuruya
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Tsuruya
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Tsuruya
Round 3
It takes Tsuruya three seconds to shoot for a takedown, and when that fails, he attempts to throw Hernandez behind him. Hernandez keeps heavy, instead pressing forward and landing on top of his opponent. During the exchange, their heads bang together and a cut is opened on the corner of Hernandez’ left eye, and it starts leaking blood down immediately. Hernandez maintains the heaviest of top pressures, not allowing Tsuruya to get any space but not ultimately doing any damage either. Hernandez resides in half guard, and Goddard asks for more activity and for Hernandez to try to improve his position. Tsuruya turns to his side and looks for a single in response, allowing Hernandez to sit up and elbow him a few times. Tsuruya gets to both knees, and he commits hard to the single but they stand up together and end up clinched on the fence. Hernandez squeezes his man up against the wire, until Tsuruya goes down to a knee to try to trip Hernandez to the floor. Hernandez stands up and jams Tsuruya up further, and the pace wanes as Hernandez turns things to a grind. Hernandez digs two left hands to the body before squeezing tightly against the Japanese prospect, occasionally opening up to land another punch or two as time keeps ticking. Tsuruya looks for an arm drag but Hernandez spins around and knees him in the liver. Tsuruya does not like this strike, and Hernandez goes after a single but cannot get it before time expires.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hernandez (29-28 Tsuruya)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Hernandez (29-28 Tsuruya)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hernandez (29-28 Tsuruya)
The Official Result
Rei Tsuruya def. Carlos Hernandez via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Cody picks Tsuruya, citing his youth, grappling, and back-taking ability. He notes that Hernandez has been taken down multiple times in recent fights and that Tsuruya is a relentless grappler. Cody believes Tsuruya will eventually get a takedown and take Hernandez's back, leading to a submission or dominant decision. He also mentions that Tsuruya has a good gas tank and creates scrambles.
Daniel respects Tsuruya's grappling-heavy style and his commitment to takedowns, even if they are not set up. He worries about Hernandez's lack of athleticism and physicality, which could allow Tsuruya to backpack and win a decision or submission. However, he notes that Tsuruya is vulnerable to knees when shooting blindly and calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.
The host does not discuss this fight at all in the transcript. The entire podcast is focused on the Conor McGregor vs Michael Chandler fight, which is not on the provided fight card. Therefore, no pick is made for this fight.
The host is confident Tsuruya will win, citing his superior wrestling and ability to create chaos in grappling exchanges. He expects Tsuruya to grind out Hernandez over 15 minutes, possibly by decision. He notes Hernandez has solid takedown defense but thinks Tsuruya's relentless pressure will overcome it.
Paul leans toward Tsuruya but is wary of the minus-500 price. He notes that Hernandez has been taken down frequently and that Tsuruya is a strong grappler. However, Paul prefers to see Tsuruya against better competition before betting him at such short odds. He acknowledges that Tsuruya likely wins but passes on the bet.
The Guru picks Carlos Hernandez as an underdog over Rei Tsuruya. He suspects Tsuruya may be due for a 'fraud check' as a Road to UFC prospect. He notes Hernandez's experience and longevity in the sport. He believes Hernandez can win a close decision, possibly 29-28.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatsuro Taira | 1 | 33 of 43 | 76% | 44 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:36 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatsuro Taira | 0 | 12 of 19 | 63% | 20 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:21 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 | |
| 2 | Tatsuro Taira | 1 | 21 of 24 | 87% | 24 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatsuro Taira | 33 of 43 | 76% | 30 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 26 of 34 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatsuro Taira | 12 of 19 | 63% | 12 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 12 of 17 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Tatsuro Taira | 21 of 24 | 87% | 18 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 17 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Taira (-410), Hernandez (+320)
Round 1
Buried on the prelims is a young man fast on the rise, as 23-year-old Japanese prospect Taira (14-0, 4-0 UFC) looks for win no. 15 at the expense of the speedy Hernandez (9-2, 2-1 UFC). The latter recently picked up a win in June when a slam knockout ended up overturned to a decision thanks to an inadvertent clash of heads on the way down. The third man in the Octagon will be referee Mark Smith, and he kicks off the fight as the 125ers touch gloves. Hernandez is the initial aggressor, pushing the action at least from a movement standpoint. Neither man commit to a strike in the first 30 seconds, until Hernandez paws out with a left hand that sneaks around the guard. Taira responds with a front kick, and Hernandez chases him to the ground. Taira immediately sweeps his opponent, and the resulting wild scramble results in both men getting back to their feet. Hernandez pushes the Japanese fighter against the wall, and he lifts Taira up and attempts to slam him down. Instead, Taira positions himself midair to shift his body weight, and he pushes Hernandez over and lands on top of him. Taira steps over to three-quarter mount briefly, but remains comfortable in half guard so he can control and land sporadic left hands or an elbow. Taira jumps over to full mount, and he looks to hook his left arm around the side of the head while lacing Hernandez’ legs between his own. Taira bails on the arm-triangle choke setup so he can posture up and land shots from on top. Hernandez turns over, and Taira flattens him out and starts fishing for a submission. When that does not come, he starts laying into Hernandez with his fists. Hernandez turns about again, giving up his back, and Taira follows him every step of the way and looks to fasten in a rear-naked choke grip. Hernandez defends it and continues twisting himself around, and Taira drills him with punches any time he has an opening. Taira sits up and blasts Hernandez in the face with an emphatic right hand, and he rides out the remainder of the round on top and lands one more right hand.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Round 2
The flyweights come together, and Hernandez is again the first to push the pace. Taira smacks him in the temple with a left hand, and he follows with a calf kick. Taira rifles a straight right hand down the pipe, rocking Hernandez down to his core, and
he strings together a chain of punches until Hernandez crumbles to the mat. Taira follows him down, continuing his bombardment of strikes, and Hernandez turtles up on his knees, barely still with it. Smith watches on as Taira beats on him, and he determines that Hernandez is no longer in the fight and waves it off.
This is a big win for Taira, who records his first career knockout in years by lifting himself to a perfect 15-0 as a pro.
The Official Result
Tatsuro Taira def. Carlos Hernandez R2 0:55 via TKO (Punches)
Cody picks Tatsuro Taira. He notes that Taira is a legitimate prospect with excellent back-taking skills. Cody points out that Hernandez has poor takedown defense and gives up his back. He thinks Taira will bait Hernandez in, shoot for a takedown, take the back, and sink in a rear-naked choke. Cody acknowledges that Taira will eventually face a tough wrestler but believes Hernandez is not that guy.
Paul picks Tatsuro Taira. He notes that Hernandez's grappling is solid but not elite, and he was submitted quickly by Alan Nascimento. Paul thinks Taira is systematic in getting to the back and finding the choke. He is interested in Taira by submission at plus 120 but is a bit concerned about Hernandez's ability to survive the full 15 minutes. Overall, Paul expects Taira to win by submission.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 102 of 233 | 43% | 108 of 239 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Denys Bondar | 0 | 76 of 170 | 44% | 82 of 176 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 35 of 71 | 49% | 36 of 72 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Denys Bondar | 0 | 22 of 48 | 45% | 22 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 2 | Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 27 of 82 | 32% | 31 of 86 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Denys Bondar | 0 | 33 of 61 | 54% | 34 of 62 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | |
| 3 | Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 40 of 80 | 50% | 41 of 81 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Denys Bondar | 0 | 21 of 61 | 34% | 26 of 66 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernandez | 102 of 233 | 43% | 87 of 213 | 12 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 78 of 209 | 17 of 17 | 7 of 7 |
| Denys Bondar | 76 of 170 | 44% | 37 of 121 | 29 of 38 | 10 of 11 | 68 of 157 | 7 of 12 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Hernandez | 35 of 71 | 49% | 28 of 62 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 29 of 65 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Denys Bondar | 22 of 48 | 45% | 6 of 28 | 12 of 16 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 40 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Carlos Hernandez | 27 of 82 | 32% | 23 of 76 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 77 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Denys Bondar | 33 of 61 | 54% | 20 of 43 | 11 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 30 of 57 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Carlos Hernandez | 40 of 80 | 50% | 36 of 75 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 27 of 67 | 6 of 6 | 7 of 7 |
| Denys Bondar | 21 of 61 | 34% | 11 of 50 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Cristian Quiñonez because he believes Quiñonez's relentless forward pressure and wrestling will get Kang down repeatedly. He notes that Kang has cleaner technique and a good jab, but Quiñonez's pace and grappling should be the difference. Angelo also hopes for an over 1.5 rounds line and would bet the over if available, as Kang is tough and the fight likely goes into the second round.
Big Brady picks Denys Bondar to win by submission. He was very high on Bondar initially but tempered expectations after Bondar lost to Malcolm Gordon due to injury and was losing on the feet. However, he sees this as a great stylistic matchup for Bondar, as Hernandez has poor takedown defense. Bondar has strong wrestling and grappling with a 100% finish rate. Brady thinks Bondar will get takedowns easily and be dangerous on the mat, eventually submitting Hernandez. He is curious to see where the odds open.
Cody takes the underdog Hernandez, citing Bondar's padded record and poor UFC debut where he got his arm broken. He notes that Bondar's wrestling looked good against cans, but Hernandez has faced better competition. Cody thinks Hernandez's takedown defense is a weakness, but Bondar's striking is non-existent, and if Bondar can't get takedowns, Hernandez will win on the feet. He expects a close, greasy fight.
Connor agrees with Zane, stating he trusts Bondar's physicality and grinding style over Hernandez's scrappy but limited game. He notes that Hernandez is not athletic enough to keep up with Bondar's pace and pressure. Connor expects Bondar to impose his will with takedowns and top control, leading to a clear decision or late finish.
Daniel Levi leans toward Carlos Hernandez, citing his superior competition and volume. He notes Hernandez's body shots and activity, but acknowledges Bondar's grappling threat. He thinks if Bondar can't hold him down, Hernandez will outpoint him. He sees it as a close fight and takes the underdog.
Hernandez consistently moves backwards and puts himself in bad positions near the cage, which Bondar can exploit with takedowns. Bondar is an aggressive grappler who looks to finish from top position. Even if Hernandez gets the better of striking exchanges, Bondar's takedowns and top control should win rounds. Bondar wins by decision.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Bondar's wrestling is unproven at UFC level and that Hernandez's takedown defense has been exploited but Bondar may not be able to exploit it. He thinks the over 2 takedowns for Bondar is possible but not a play. Paul picks Hernandez but is not confident.
The MMA Guru picks Cristian Quiñonez over Kyung Ho Kang, citing Kang's age (35), long layoffs, and lackluster performances against bottom feeders. He notes Quiñonez is an up-and-coming prospect on a win streak, with an impressive first-round KO debut against Khalid Taha. He believes the prospect should be favored over the older, injury-prone veteran.
Zane picks Bondar, viewing his debut loss as a fluke and trusting his grinding style of takedowns and top control. He notes that Hernandez is scrappy but not athletic, and will fight whatever fight his opponent wants. Zane believes Bondar's pressure and ability to stay in his face will overwhelm Hernandez, who lacks the athleticism to get Bondar off his game. He expects Bondar to control the fight with wrestling and clinch work.
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Nascimento (-410), Hernandez (+330)
Round 1
Moving back to flyweights, Brazilian submission artist Nascimento (19-6, 1-1 UFC) will try to get things done against fellow grappler Hernandez (8-1, 1-0 UFC) in what could be a fun battle on the ground. The two combine for 17 submissions across their 27 career wins, while neither man has ever been finished. Referee Jason Herzog is ready for wherever the fight may take the three of them, and he sits back as the two competitors clap hands. Nascimento advances first, feinting and faking to draw immediate reactions. Hernandez does not bite on anything, and they paw at one another with low kicks and jabs. Nascimento goes up top with a kick that is blocked, and he slides out of the way from a straight right hand. Nascimento connects with a front kick that splits the guard, shaking Hernandez up, and this allows him to punch his way into a takedown try. In an unorthodox fashion, Nascimento throws Hernandez down to his knees, and Hernandez immediately fights his way back up. The subsequent mat return from Nascimento succeeds when he drags the American down from behind, and he cinches up a body triangle in a hurry. Hernandez smartly fights the hands and turns to the proper side to break up the body lock, and Nascimento switches his leg grip as he hunts for a sneaky choke. Hernandez walks off the wall and turns all the way to belly down, and
this is the worst possible move for him as Nascimento gets the leverage to sink in the rear-naked choke. Hernandez stands up with Nascimento on his back, and “Puro Osso” still has the choke under the chin as he squeezes with all his might. Switching his grip to palm-to-palm, it is just a matter of time at this point. Hernandez grimaces and squirms, but there is nothing more he can do, and he taps out.
As it turned out, something did have to give, as Hernandez has now been finished for the first time as a pro.
The Official Result
Allan Nascimento def. Carlos Hernandez R1 3:16 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Durden | 0 | 8 of 21 | 38% | 54 of 69 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 3 | 4:50 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 0 | 25 of 42 | 59% | 43 of 60 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 1 | 2 | 6:52 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cody Durden | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 21 of 25 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:51 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 0 | 9 of 13 | 69% | 15 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:37 | |
| 2 | Cody Durden | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:37 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 0 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 20 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:51 | |
| 3 | Cody Durden | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 25 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 2 | 2:22 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 8 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 2 | 2:24 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Durden | 8 of 21 | 38% | 5 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 2 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 25 of 42 | 59% | 20 of 34 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 7 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 22 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cody Durden | 4 of 8 | 50% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 9 of 13 | 69% | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | |
| 2 | Cody Durden | 4 of 11 | 36% | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 12 of 22 | 54% | 11 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 10 | |
| 3 | Cody Durden | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Tumendemberel (-148), Durden (+124)
Round 1
What should be a grappler’s delight will treat fans as flyweights Durden (17-9-1, 6-7-1 UFC) and Tumendemberel (9-1, 0-1 UFC) ply their trade against one another. The former has dropped three straight, while the latter’s “Art of Knockout” nickname may be a little off-kilter as the Mongolian celebrates most of his victories via tapout. Regardless of funky, multi-syllabic, the two will meet under the auspices of referee Jason Herzog, and they race towards one another without a touch of gloves to get things started.
Durden peels back right before crashing into his opponent, and they offer low kicks at one another before Durden shoots for a double-leg entry. Tumendemberel defends by jumping guard with a guillotine choke, and both fighters are fresh and dry as a bone. Tumendemberel adjusts his grip to grab hold from a different angle, hanging the choke higher up but not locking it down entirely. Durden slithers his neck out of danger and looks to get off some ground strikes, and it takes mere seconds before Tumendemberel scrambles. Tumendemberel is able to stand, and Durden takes his back from one side and has his gloves grabbed while doing so. Herzog warns the Mongolian of the foul, and Tumendemberel leans to put Durden against the cage behind him to take the weight off his back. Tumendemberel shakes his foe off, and the two reset. Both land a single leg kick before Durden shoots, and once more Tumendemberel attacks a guillotine.
Durden twists all the way around to free his neck far easier this time, and he forces them to stand so he can take Tumendemberel down in a way he wishes. The house lights flicker on and off during the match, and Durden looks to Herzog confused while also stifling a takedown shot. Durden knees a bent-over Tumendemberel in the face, and Tumendemberel lifts him off the ground and slams him down on his back. Durden hits the ground and sets up an armbar, snatching hold of Tumendemberel’s right limb but failing to grip it fully. Tumendemberel wriggles out and retreats, and Durden pops back up. Tumendemberel swings for a big right hand, and Durden shoots for a counter takedown. Tumendemberel flips Durden to his back and elbows him in the face a few times, but Durden is still pressing for the takedown. When Durden flips his foe over, the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tumendemberel
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Tumendemberel
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Tumendemberel
Round 2
Herzog issues Tumendemberel a stern warning to not strike Durden in the back of the head between rounds, and Tumendemberel acknowledges this. They start off the second round with Tumendemberel whipping low kicks, and his long punches keep Durden from recklessly shooting…for a time. Durden does go after a takedown, and he gets tossed to his back and attacks a leglock. Tumendemberel sits down to take the danger out of the ankle/heel lock, and he drills Durden in the side of the head until he legs it go. Tumendemberel grabs hold of Durden’s back and assumes a body triangle, and Durden still looks to turn and break out of it. Durden manages to put Tumendemberel on his back despite a brief body lock, and the Mongolian is once more warned for hooking his fingers inside of Durden’s gloves. The ensuing scramble results in Tumendemberel flipping Durden over, where he holds on with a guillotine choke from his back.
This allows a potential Von Preux submission, but Durden smiles when it is applied and his smiles disappears when he gets belted in the face by Tumendemberel’s free right hand. Herzog is on top of these two as there are possible fence grabs, illegal upkicks and other malfeasance going on, and the moment Durden gets up, Tumendemberel hits a clean tackling double to put the American back down. Tumendemberel smothers while in top control grinding his elbow on his foe’s face while Durden motions to Herzog for some intervention. Tumendemberel drills Durden hard in the back of the head, and Herzog calls for him to aim for the ear. Durden gets to his knees and stands, where he rushes after Tumendemberel and nails him with a one-two. When Durden keeps throwing, time expires, and Tumendemberel punches him clearly after the bell. What are rules?
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tumendemberel
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Durden
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Durden
Round 3
Durden opens up with a huge right hand, and Tumendemberel counters him by tackling him to the floor. Durden turns the corner to take the back of the Mongolian, who manages to shimmy and slowly buck Durden off of him. Tumendemberel thumps Durden on the chin with a few more elbows, and Durden returns to a knee in hopes of standing. When Durden stands back up, Tumendemberel mat returns him and takes his back to lock up a body triangle. Tumendemberel starts fishing for a rear-naked choke before getting position, and he nails Durden in the back of the head again. Durden slumps over and finds himself in RNC danger, with Tumendemberel’s arm across his face. Durden hand-fights to defend the submission, and he breaks the grip around his face and abdomen to reverse “Art of Knockout.”
Durden drops down a single right hand and positions himself to attack an arm-triangle choke, and he is in half guard with Tumendemberel answering the proverbial telephone to defend the submission. Durden lays flat on top before jumping to the other side, and Tumendemberel rolls to his knees to break out of it. Durden clings to his man from the back, and Tumendemberel bumps and shakes but Durden has his toes hooked in the cage to prevent him from getting rolled off. Durden hangs on for dear life, but he is inch-by-inch sliding off. Tumendemberel finds the moment to free himself and he lashes out with a hard right hand, all while planting Durden flat on his back. Tumendemberel leans his shoulder down to pressure for a possible arm-triangle, and he stands up and finds himself in Hail Mary heel hook danger. Tumendemberel yanks his limb free and the bell sounds, but he decides he is not done fighting and tries to boot Durden in the face with a soccer kick after the bell. Herzog shoulder-checks the Mongolian to his back, but nothing else happens.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tumendemberel (30-27 Tumendemberel)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Tumendemberel (29-27 Tumendemberel)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Tumendemberel (29-27 Tumendemberel)
The Official Result
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel def. Cody Durden via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Angelo says Cody Durden used to be a dog but is now a shell of himself, while Nyamjargal is a powerful striker who can be hit but is durable. He notes that Carlos Hernandez took down Nyamjargal four times but got dropped, and Carlos is more durable than Cody. He picks Nyamjargal to win.
Big Brady picks Nyamjargal Tumendemberel over Cody Durden. He acknowledges Durden is likely more skilled but worries about his durability after taking massive damage in recent fights. Durden has been finished five times by submission and two by KO, and his chin appears to be fading. Tumendemberel has good front chokes and opportunistic submissions. Brady predicts Durden will look good early, get hurt, shoot for a takedown, and get submitted in the second round.
Cody picks Tumendemberel, citing Durden's cardio issues and hittability. He notes that Tumendemberel only needs to land one shot. He expects a late knockout.
Connor picks Durden because he believes Durden's relentless aggression will overwhelm Tumendemberel, who lacks a clean answer for pressure. He notes that Tumendemberel is a dangerous puncher but has been taken down easily in the past. Durden's jab and combination punching should allow him to initiate exchanges effectively.
Daniel Vreeland picks his friend Cody Durden, acknowledging bias but providing reasoning. He believes Durden's experience against higher-level competition will be key, and that Durden will avoid getting caught early. Vreeland notes that Durden's career is on the line and expects him to give a veteran lesson.
James picks Cody Durden as an underdog, believing the fight is close to 50/50 and Durden is the value side. He notes Durden's superior competition and skills, but acknowledges his poor chin and tendency to get hurt. James thinks Durden can dominate if he avoids getting knocked out, but admits it's a tough call due to Durden's durability issues.
Tumendemberel has shown improved defensive grappling and durability. He can stop Durden's wrestling and threaten with submissions or power shots. Durden's recent losses show his ceiling. The under 2.5 rounds is appealing as both have finishing ability.
Paul picks Tumendemberel, citing Durden's tendency to fade after the first round. He notes Tumendemberel's durability and power. He expects to bet live after Durden wins the first round.
The MMA Guru picks Cody Durden, despite a personal beef. He believes Durden's grappling and pressure will be too much for Tumendemberel, who lacks experience. He expects Durden to win by decision, noting his toughness and volume.
Zane agrees with Durden, though he expresses disdain for Durden's personality. He notes that Tumendemberel's ideas stop at one punch and that Durden can deal with that. He acknowledges the possibility of Tumendemberel landing a big shot or a submission, but thinks Durden's pressure will be too much.
Big Brady is impressed with Hyun-sung Park's slick grappling and believes he has a significant advantage on the ground. He notes that Tumendemberel has questionable takedown defense and cardio, and if Park gets the fight to the mat, he will likely find a submission. However, he warns that if Park chooses to stand and trade, Tumendemberel has power and could make it dangerous. Brady predicts a first-round submission.
Park is considered one of the best South Korean prospects from the region. His counter-striking speed and grappling are expected to overcome the finishing threat of Tumendemberel. The pick is for Park to win by submission, indicating confidence in his grappling advantage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernandez | 1 | 26 of 93 | 27% | 28 of 95 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0:15 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 0 | 44 of 105 | 41% | 46 of 110 | 4 of 14 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 4:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Hernandez | 1 | 12 of 26 | 46% | 13 of 27 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 0 | 11 of 29 | 37% | 12 of 30 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:52 | |
| 2 | Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 2 of 18 | 11% | 2 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:06 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 0 | 12 of 26 | 46% | 13 of 29 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 2:52 | |
| 3 | Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 12 of 49 | 24% | 13 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 0 | 21 of 50 | 42% | 21 of 51 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernandez | 26 of 93 | 27% | 18 of 82 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 24 of 84 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 5 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 44 of 105 | 41% | 26 of 85 | 8 of 9 | 10 of 11 | 40 of 94 | 3 of 9 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Hernandez | 12 of 26 | 46% | 6 of 18 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 23 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 11 of 29 | 37% | 7 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Carlos Hernandez | 2 of 18 | 11% | 2 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 12 of 26 | 46% | 6 of 20 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 21 | 0 of 4 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Carlos Hernandez | 12 of 49 | 24% | 10 of 46 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
| Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | 21 of 50 | 42% | 13 of 42 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 6 | 20 of 48 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Carlos Hernandez, valuing his UFC experience and cage time over the undefeated but untested Nyamjargal. He thinks Nyamjargal may get frustrated if the fight goes long. He explicitly says no bet on this fight due to uncertainty.
Big Brady picks Carlos Hernandez to win by third-round submission. He is shocked Hernandez is the favorite given he is usually a big underdog, but after watching Tumendemberel's Road to UFC fights, he saw a 14% takedown defense and poor ground game. Brady believes Hernandez can flip the script and use his grappling to take down and submit his opponent, as Hernandez has hung with tough grapplers before.
Cody agrees, calling Hernandez a proven gatekeeper who has tested prospects. He notes that the Mongolian fighter has been inactive and struggled against a smoker in his last fight. Hernandez's superior striking and cardio should carry him to a win, though he could be knocked out if he's careless.
Daniel Vreeland acknowledges that Carlos Hernandez is more experienced and well-rounded, but notes that Hernandez often fails to separate himself in fights and has lost to green opponents before. He believes Tumendemberel, despite being green, has the killer instinct and could win a close decision. He picks the upset, predicting a controversial split decision.
Paul picks Hernandez, noting his solid chin, grappling, and experience against tough prospects. He thinks the Mongolian fighter is unproven and Hernandez will be a tough gatekeeper. He expects Hernandez to win by decision or late finish, and sees value at minus-185.
The MMA Guru sides with the undefeated newcomer Nyamjargal Tumendemberel, despite acknowledging Carlos Hernandez is good and made it tricky against Ray Surria. He reasons that Hernandez at 9-4 may no longer have title hopes, while the newcomer is undefeated and on the come-up. He admits he almost picked Hernandez for the upset but ultimately goes with the undefeated fighter.
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo picks Carlos Hernandez, valuing his UFC experience and cage time over the undefeated but untested Nyamjargal. He thinks Nyamjargal may get frustrated if the fight goes long. He explicitly says no bet on this fight due to uncertainty.
Big Brady picks Carlos Hernandez to win by third-round submission. He is shocked Hernandez is the favorite given he is usually a big underdog, but after watching Tumendemberel's Road to UFC fights, he saw a 14% takedown defense and poor ground game. Brady believes Hernandez can flip the script and use his grappling to take down and submit his opponent, as Hernandez has hung with tough grapplers before.
Cody agrees, calling Hernandez a proven gatekeeper who has tested prospects. He notes that the Mongolian fighter has been inactive and struggled against a smoker in his last fight. Hernandez's superior striking and cardio should carry him to a win, though he could be knocked out if he's careless.
Daniel Vreeland acknowledges that Carlos Hernandez is more experienced and well-rounded, but notes that Hernandez often fails to separate himself in fights and has lost to green opponents before. He believes Tumendemberel, despite being green, has the killer instinct and could win a close decision. He picks the upset, predicting a controversial split decision.
Paul picks Hernandez, noting his solid chin, grappling, and experience against tough prospects. He thinks the Mongolian fighter is unproven and Hernandez will be a tough gatekeeper. He expects Hernandez to win by decision or late finish, and sees value at minus-185.
The MMA Guru sides with the undefeated newcomer Nyamjargal Tumendemberel, despite acknowledging Carlos Hernandez is good and made it tricky against Ray Surria. He reasons that Hernandez at 9-4 may no longer have title hopes, while the newcomer is undefeated and on the come-up. He admits he almost picked Hernandez for the upset but ultimately goes with the undefeated fighter.
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