Career Averages - Trey Waters
Career Averages - Billy Goff
Trey Waters - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Patterson | 0 | 25 of 48 | 52% | 25 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Trey Waters | 0 | 18 of 38 | 47% | 18 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam Patterson | 0 | 25 of 48 | 52% | 25 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Trey Waters | 0 | 18 of 38 | 47% | 18 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Patterson | 25 of 48 | 52% | 21 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 25 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Trey Waters | 18 of 38 | 47% | 9 of 23 | 3 of 6 | 6 of 9 | 18 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam Patterson | 25 of 48 | 52% | 21 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 25 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Trey Waters | 18 of 38 | 47% | 9 of 23 | 3 of 6 | 6 of 9 | 18 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Trey Waters, citing his toughness, speed, power, and similar reach advantage. He criticizes Sam Patterson's poor striking defense and chin-up stance. He notes that Patterson's length advantage is neutralized by Waters' even longer reach. The only concern is Waters' year-long layoff and potential weight cut issues. He plans to bet on Waters if he makes weight and looks good at weigh-ins.
Big Brady leans toward Sam Patterson, citing his grappling advantage and submission threat. He notes Patterson's striking defense is poor but believes his move to welterweight helps his chin. He predicts a second-round submission, as Waters was submitted in his only loss.
The host notes Patterson is in a groove with a three-fight winning streak and is comfortable at 170 lbs. He expects Patterson to counter-strike Waters, shut down his jab, take him to the ground, and use his BJJ black belt to force a submission.
The Guru picks Sam Patterson, highlighting his reach advantage and well-rounded game since moving to welterweight. He notes Patterson's finishing potential in multiple areas, including submissions and TKO, and contrasts that with Trey Waters' lack of a plan B. He predicts a submission win, possibly a rear-naked choke, after some striking exchanges.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Waters | 0 | 116 of 249 | 46% | 129 of 265 | 1 of 12 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 4:06 |
| Billy Goff | 0 | 96 of 225 | 42% | 107 of 236 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trey Waters | 0 | 38 of 91 | 41% | 43 of 96 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:40 |
| Billy Goff | 0 | 38 of 78 | 48% | 45 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Trey Waters | 0 | 51 of 95 | 53% | 54 of 98 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Billy Goff | 0 | 31 of 84 | 36% | 32 of 85 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Trey Waters | 0 | 27 of 63 | 42% | 32 of 71 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:03 |
| Billy Goff | 0 | 27 of 63 | 42% | 30 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Waters | 116 of 249 | 46% | 64 of 176 | 18 of 33 | 34 of 40 | 108 of 236 | 8 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Billy Goff | 96 of 225 | 42% | 88 of 211 | 7 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 94 of 223 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trey Waters | 38 of 91 | 41% | 24 of 68 | 3 of 10 | 11 of 13 | 35 of 87 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Billy Goff | 38 of 78 | 48% | 33 of 71 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 36 of 76 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Trey Waters | 51 of 95 | 53% | 27 of 66 | 12 of 15 | 12 of 14 | 46 of 86 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Billy Goff | 31 of 84 | 36% | 29 of 79 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 31 of 84 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Trey Waters | 27 of 63 | 42% | 13 of 42 | 3 of 8 | 11 of 13 | 27 of 63 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Billy Goff | 27 of 63 | 42% | 26 of 61 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 63 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Trey Waters, citing his size (6'5" at welterweight), takedown defense, and striking offense. He notes that Waters defended seven takedowns in his last fight and out-struck his opponent. He acknowledges Billy Goff's well-roundedness but believes Waters' size and power will be too much. He mentions the line movement from Goff being a favorite to now a dog.
Big Brady picks Billy Goff to knock out Trey Waters in the second round. He believes Goff will pressure Waters, who has a hands-down style and is hittable, and that Goff's power will catch Waters. He notes that Goff is a dog who can come back from adversity, while Waters has a solid chin but can be hit. He expects a knockout and thinks Goff will be the one doing the serving.
Cody picks Waters, noting his length, volume, and ability to fight at range. He believes Waters can outpoint Goff, who is a brawler with poor defense. Cody mentions that Waters has good cardio and chin, and Goff's wild style leaves openings. He also notes that Goff's takedown threat is uncertain, and if he doesn't wrestle, Waters will piece him up. Cody likes Waters by decision at plus odds.
Daniel Vreeland picks Trey Waters, citing his significant length advantage (6'5" with 77-inch reach) and smooth striking style. He believes Goff is too hittable and will struggle to close the distance. He predicts Waters will pick Goff apart and eventually get a finish, possibly under 2.5 rounds.
The host likes Goff's pressure and durability to overcome Waters' height and reach advantage. He expects Goff to crash the pocket effectively, mix in takedowns, and potentially finish. He notes Waters struggled against pressure and grappling in the past. The pick is a lean, as he acknowledges Waters' tough puzzle but favors Goff's style.
Paul picks Waters, agreeing with Cody. He notes that Waters has a reach advantage and uses it well, as seen against Quinlan. Goff is a brawler who leaves his chin out and has been hurt before. Paul thinks Waters can avoid Goff's power and outwork him. He is comfortable with Waters as a slight favorite.
The MMA Guru picks Trey Waters over Billy Goff, noting that most people are picking Goff as an underdog but he disagrees. He believes Waters' long, rangy style and distance control will be problematic for Goff, who likes to fight on the inside and walk opponents down. He also questions Goff's level of competition and thinks Waters has more room for improvement.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Waters | 0 | 50 of 128 | 39% | 50 of 128 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
| Josh Quinlan | 0 | 104 of 203 | 51% | 106 of 205 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trey Waters | 0 | 12 of 28 | 42% | 12 of 28 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
| Josh Quinlan | 0 | 29 of 40 | 72% | 30 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Trey Waters | 0 | 18 of 41 | 43% | 18 of 41 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Quinlan | 0 | 35 of 79 | 44% | 35 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Trey Waters | 0 | 20 of 59 | 33% | 20 of 59 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Quinlan | 0 | 40 of 84 | 47% | 41 of 85 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Waters | 50 of 128 | 39% | 26 of 102 | 5 of 7 | 19 of 19 | 46 of 124 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Josh Quinlan | 104 of 203 | 51% | 93 of 189 | 6 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 102 of 201 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trey Waters | 12 of 28 | 42% | 5 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 | 8 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Josh Quinlan | 29 of 40 | 72% | 23 of 34 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 27 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Trey Waters | 18 of 41 | 43% | 7 of 29 | 4 of 5 | 7 of 7 | 18 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Quinlan | 35 of 79 | 44% | 31 of 73 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 35 of 79 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Trey Waters | 20 of 59 | 33% | 14 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 20 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Quinlan | 40 of 84 | 47% | 39 of 82 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 40 of 84 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Cody picks Quinlan but is hesitant, noting that Quinlan is undefeated and has knockout power, but has never been tested in later rounds. He worries about Quinlan's cardio and the fact that Waters is tall with a reach advantage. He suggests that if Waters survives the early onslaught, he could work his way back into the fight. He also mentions Quinlan has submissions on his record, which could be a factor.
Connor is high on Quinlan, comparing him to a young Robbie Lawler. He thinks Quinlan's power and athleticism will overwhelm Waters, who has a slick but fragile style. He notes Waters' lack of power and defensive issues, and believes Quinlan will knock him out.
Paul picks Quinlan and suggests early Quinlan props, noting that Quinlan is a powerful finisher and Waters is on short notice. He is surprised the line is not higher and thinks Quinlan by knockout early is likely. He also mentions that Quinlan has submissions, but the main path is via knockout.
Zane agrees, calling Waters' game 'quadruple A' and noting his defensive flaws. He thinks Quinlan's power and pressure will be too much, and that Waters' style is not sustainable at higher levels. He sees Quinlan as a straightforward pick.
Billy Goff - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramiz Brahimaj | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:59 |
| Billy Goff | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 9 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 1:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ramiz Brahimaj | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:59 |
| Billy Goff | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 9 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 1:42 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramiz Brahimaj | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Billy Goff | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ramiz Brahimaj | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Billy Goff | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Billy Goff confidently, praising his well-rounded skills, clean boxing, wrestling, and toughness. He describes Ko Seok-hyun as stiff and powerful but lacking fluidity, and believes Goff's speed, durability, and versatility will lead to a dominant performance. The only concern is Goff's long layoff.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Waters | 0 | 116 of 249 | 46% | 129 of 265 | 1 of 12 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 4:06 |
| Billy Goff | 0 | 96 of 225 | 42% | 107 of 236 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trey Waters | 0 | 38 of 91 | 41% | 43 of 96 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:40 |
| Billy Goff | 0 | 38 of 78 | 48% | 45 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Trey Waters | 0 | 51 of 95 | 53% | 54 of 98 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Billy Goff | 0 | 31 of 84 | 36% | 32 of 85 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Trey Waters | 0 | 27 of 63 | 42% | 32 of 71 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:03 |
| Billy Goff | 0 | 27 of 63 | 42% | 30 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Waters | 116 of 249 | 46% | 64 of 176 | 18 of 33 | 34 of 40 | 108 of 236 | 8 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Billy Goff | 96 of 225 | 42% | 88 of 211 | 7 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 94 of 223 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trey Waters | 38 of 91 | 41% | 24 of 68 | 3 of 10 | 11 of 13 | 35 of 87 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Billy Goff | 38 of 78 | 48% | 33 of 71 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 36 of 76 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Trey Waters | 51 of 95 | 53% | 27 of 66 | 12 of 15 | 12 of 14 | 46 of 86 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Billy Goff | 31 of 84 | 36% | 29 of 79 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 31 of 84 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Trey Waters | 27 of 63 | 42% | 13 of 42 | 3 of 8 | 11 of 13 | 27 of 63 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Billy Goff | 27 of 63 | 42% | 26 of 61 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 63 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Trey Waters, citing his size (6'5" at welterweight), takedown defense, and striking offense. He notes that Waters defended seven takedowns in his last fight and out-struck his opponent. He acknowledges Billy Goff's well-roundedness but believes Waters' size and power will be too much. He mentions the line movement from Goff being a favorite to now a dog.
Big Brady picks Billy Goff to knock out Trey Waters in the second round. He believes Goff will pressure Waters, who has a hands-down style and is hittable, and that Goff's power will catch Waters. He notes that Goff is a dog who can come back from adversity, while Waters has a solid chin but can be hit. He expects a knockout and thinks Goff will be the one doing the serving.
Cody picks Waters, noting his length, volume, and ability to fight at range. He believes Waters can outpoint Goff, who is a brawler with poor defense. Cody mentions that Waters has good cardio and chin, and Goff's wild style leaves openings. He also notes that Goff's takedown threat is uncertain, and if he doesn't wrestle, Waters will piece him up. Cody likes Waters by decision at plus odds.
Daniel Vreeland picks Trey Waters, citing his significant length advantage (6'5" with 77-inch reach) and smooth striking style. He believes Goff is too hittable and will struggle to close the distance. He predicts Waters will pick Goff apart and eventually get a finish, possibly under 2.5 rounds.
The host likes Goff's pressure and durability to overcome Waters' height and reach advantage. He expects Goff to crash the pocket effectively, mix in takedowns, and potentially finish. He notes Waters struggled against pressure and grappling in the past. The pick is a lean, as he acknowledges Waters' tough puzzle but favors Goff's style.
Paul picks Waters, agreeing with Cody. He notes that Waters has a reach advantage and uses it well, as seen against Quinlan. Goff is a brawler who leaves his chin out and has been hurt before. Paul thinks Waters can avoid Goff's power and outwork him. He is comfortable with Waters as a slight favorite.
The MMA Guru picks Trey Waters over Billy Goff, noting that most people are picking Goff as an underdog but he disagrees. He believes Waters' long, rangy style and distance control will be problematic for Goff, who likes to fight on the inside and walk opponents down. He also questions Goff's level of competition and thinks Waters has more room for improvement.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Goff | 1 | 40 of 85 | 47% | 43 of 89 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Yusaku Kinoshita | 0 | 17 of 53 | 32% | 17 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Billy Goff | 1 | 40 of 85 | 47% | 43 of 89 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Yusaku Kinoshita | 0 | 17 of 53 | 32% | 17 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Goff | 40 of 85 | 47% | 13 of 47 | 13 of 20 | 14 of 18 | 36 of 78 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 5 |
| Yusaku Kinoshita | 17 of 53 | 32% | 15 of 48 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 52 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Billy Goff | 40 of 85 | 47% | 13 of 47 | 13 of 20 | 14 of 18 | 36 of 78 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 5 |
| Yusaku Kinoshita | 17 of 53 | 32% | 15 of 48 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 52 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo notes that Kinoshita has poor takedown defense and was taken down four times in his last fight, while Goff has excellent wrestling and top control. He believes Goff's pressure and grappling will be too much for Kinoshita, and he has a full unit bet on Goff at +140, which is a big bet for an underdog.
Big Brady is concerned about Billy Goff's defensive irresponsibility and tendency to get hurt early in fights. He thinks Kinoshita is dangerous and could land a clean shot that Goff may not recover from. He acknowledges Goff's toughness and recovery ability but believes Kinoshita's power is a different level. He picks Kinoshita to get an early knockout.
Cody picks Kinoshita, noting his power and youth. He thinks Goff will stand and trade, which favors Kinoshita. Cody is concerned about Kinoshita's takedown defense but believes Goff won't exploit it.
Daniel picks Yusaku Kinoshita, giving him a second chance after a debut stunt. He notes that Kinoshita has vicious knockout power and athleticism, and that Billy Goff gets dropped in every fight. He acknowledges Goff's toughness and grappling, but believes Kinoshita's finishing instincts will prevail. He bet 2 units at -150 and is confident, though he admits it's a risk.
James leans towards Billy Goff, citing Goff's tenacity and ability to come back from adversity. He acknowledges Kinoshita is a cleaner striker and could knock Goff out early, but if the fight goes past round one, he expects Goff to take over and drown Kinoshita. He notes the fight is volatile and does not bet it, but suggests under 2.5 rounds as a parlay piece.
The host acknowledges Billy Goff's slick striking and wrestling background, but expresses concern about Goff's durability and Kinoshita's unorthodox karate style. He expects Goff to blend striking with wrestling and win a decision, but is not overly confident because he has been high on Kinoshita in the past. The host notes Kinoshita was finished in his UFC debut by Adam Fugitt.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting Kinoshita's power and Goff's willingness to stand and bang. He thinks Kinoshita's physicality will be too much. Paul is not highly confident but leans Kinoshita.
The MMA Guru picks Billy Goff over Yusaku Kinoshita, trusting the American fighter's well-roundedness and US training infrastructure. He notes Goff's momentum from a Contender Series win and youth at 25, despite a year layoff due to injury. He criticizes Kinoshita's openness on the feet and exposure in grappling against Adam Fugitt. He predicts a unanimous decision win for Goff, mixing wrestling and striking.
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Trey Waters, citing his size (6'5" at welterweight), takedown defense, and striking offense. He notes that Waters defended seven takedowns in his last fight and out-struck his opponent. He acknowledges Billy Goff's well-roundedness but believes Waters' size and power will be too much. He mentions the line movement from Goff being a favorite to now a dog.
Big Brady picks Billy Goff to knock out Trey Waters in the second round. He believes Goff will pressure Waters, who has a hands-down style and is hittable, and that Goff's power will catch Waters. He notes that Goff is a dog who can come back from adversity, while Waters has a solid chin but can be hit. He expects a knockout and thinks Goff will be the one doing the serving.
Cody picks Waters, noting his length, volume, and ability to fight at range. He believes Waters can outpoint Goff, who is a brawler with poor defense. Cody mentions that Waters has good cardio and chin, and Goff's wild style leaves openings. He also notes that Goff's takedown threat is uncertain, and if he doesn't wrestle, Waters will piece him up. Cody likes Waters by decision at plus odds.
Daniel Vreeland picks Trey Waters, citing his significant length advantage (6'5" with 77-inch reach) and smooth striking style. He believes Goff is too hittable and will struggle to close the distance. He predicts Waters will pick Goff apart and eventually get a finish, possibly under 2.5 rounds.
The host likes Goff's pressure and durability to overcome Waters' height and reach advantage. He expects Goff to crash the pocket effectively, mix in takedowns, and potentially finish. He notes Waters struggled against pressure and grappling in the past. The pick is a lean, as he acknowledges Waters' tough puzzle but favors Goff's style.
Paul picks Waters, agreeing with Cody. He notes that Waters has a reach advantage and uses it well, as seen against Quinlan. Goff is a brawler who leaves his chin out and has been hurt before. Paul thinks Waters can avoid Goff's power and outwork him. He is comfortable with Waters as a slight favorite.
The MMA Guru picks Trey Waters over Billy Goff, noting that most people are picking Goff as an underdog but he disagrees. He believes Waters' long, rangy style and distance control will be problematic for Goff, who likes to fight on the inside and walk opponents down. He also questions Goff's level of competition and thinks Waters has more room for improvement.
Sam is running hot. Looked in great shape also.