UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento · May 11, 2024 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento Next Fight
Age 26
Height 6' 1"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 34
Height 5' 11"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Chase Hooper
4.5 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
3.02 SApM
39.0% Str. Def.
2.43 TD Avg
32.0% TD Acc.
55.0% TD Def.
2.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Viacheslav Borshchev
5.1 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
4.46 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
43.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Chase Hooper - Fight History
SCHED vs Mitch Ramirez
UFC Fight Night 281 · Jul 18, 2026
LOSS vs Lance Gibson
KO R1 2:56 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · Mar 28, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chase Hooper 0 11 of 32 34% 13 of 34 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:06
Lance Gibson 1 13 of 22 59% 19 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chase Hooper 0 11 of 32 34% 13 of 34 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:06
Lance Gibson 1 13 of 22 59% 19 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chase Hooper 11 of 32 34% 3 of 18 5 of 8 3 of 6 11 of 31 0 of 1 0 of 0
Lance Gibson 13 of 22 59% 6 of 13 2 of 3 5 of 6 7 of 14 6 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chase Hooper 11 of 32 34% 3 of 18 5 of 8 3 of 6 11 of 31 0 of 1 0 of 0
Lance Gibson 13 of 22 59% 6 of 13 2 of 3 5 of 6 7 of 14 6 of 8 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Mar 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Angelo picks Chase Hooper but is not confident, noting that Hooper relies on experience and BJJ, and that he hasn't beaten anyone under 40 in years. He thinks Lance Gibson could win if he wrestles and stays safe. Angelo criticizes the odds, saying Hooper should not be a 3-to-1 favorite.

"I'm going to pick Chase here because I do believe that experience at this level matters almost as much as the actual skills."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Big Brady picks Chase Hooper to win by second-round submission. He acknowledges Hooper's striking deficiencies and recent knockout losses, but believes Hooper's ground game is elite. He notes Hooper has improved his wrestling, taking down Jim Miller eight times and Clay Guida three times. He thinks once Hooper gets the fight to the ground, he will dominate with ground and pound and submissions.

Hooper by submission round 2
"Give me Chase Hooper here. I think he gets the fight down to the ground and he starts to style on Lance Gibson Jr."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Cody believes Hooper's grappling and improving striking will be too much for Gibson, who he views as a Bellator-level fighter. He expects Hooper to win via submission or decision.

"It's going to be a Chase Hooper play."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Connor picks Hooper as well, agreeing that Hooper's grappling is dynamite and he is a violent grappler. He thinks Gibson's mentality is not suited for fighting and that Hooper will take advantage.

"I'll take Hooper as well."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Daniel believes Hooper's experience and grappling will be too much for Gibson, who he views as not UFC caliber. He expects Hooper to submit Gibson, noting Gibson lacks knockout power to threaten Hooper.

"I'm going to pick Hooper to come out here and submit this guy."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Mar 28, 2026 (fight day)

The host believes Hooper is very likely to win due to his improved wrestling and ground game, but the odds (-318) are too steep to bet. Gibson is a volume striker without knockout power, so Hooper should eventually get a takedown and finish. However, there is not enough known about Gibson to bet the underdog, making this an easy pass.

"Hooper's probably going to get the job done. I'm not going to be betting this one. Hooper's too big of a favorite for me to take a shot on him."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

The host likes Hooper's submission game but is wary of the minus 240 line, as he thinks Hooper may struggle to get the fight to the ground against Gibson's athleticism. He suggests Hooper needs to be reckless with striking to create openings for grappling. He predicts Hooper will eventually find a submission but acknowledges the risk.

submission
"I am going to go Hooper. I think it's just a matter of time before he finds a way to get this into the grappling realm. And I think from there he eventually pulls off a submission."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Paul agrees, noting Hooper's length and grappling advantage. He's not impressed by Gibson's UFC debut and expects Hooper to handle him.

"Chase Hooper for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

The MMA Guru picks Chase Hooper, citing his recent grappling improvements and wins over Jim Miller and Jordan Leavitt. He believes Hooper's grappling will be too much for Lance Gibson Jr., who he considers a name merchant. He expects Hooper to survive early danger and eventually submit or outgrapple Gibson for a decision.

"I'm going to go with Chase Hooper getting this one done."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Zane picks Hooper because Hooper knows how to be aggressive and go after submissions, while Gibson seems to avoid fighting. He notes that Gibson's wins are against cans and he shuts down when faced with skill parity.

"Hooper knows how to try to win. He knows how to go after people, be aggressive."
KO R1 4:58 · UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev · Aug 16, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chase Hooper 0 20 of 82 24% 20 of 82 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
Alexander Hernandez 1 17 of 38 44% 18 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chase Hooper 0 20 of 82 24% 20 of 82 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
Alexander Hernandez 1 17 of 38 44% 18 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chase Hooper 20 of 82 24% 7 of 62 7 of 12 6 of 8 20 of 81 0 of 1 0 of 0
Alexander Hernandez 17 of 38 44% 14 of 35 3 of 3 0 of 0 13 of 33 0 of 0 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chase Hooper 20 of 82 24% 7 of 62 7 of 12 6 of 8 20 of 81 0 of 1 0 of 0
Alexander Hernandez 17 of 38 44% 14 of 35 3 of 3 0 of 0 13 of 33 0 of 0 4 of 5
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Alexander Hernandez vs. Chase Hooper
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hooper (-345), Hernandez (+275)

Round 1
Getting away from the prelims to the four-bout chunk on the ESPN network, we start with a lightweight clash that pits a young-up-and-comer against someone who used to hold that status before aging out of it. Hooper (16-3-1, 8-3 UFC) is full of things and vinegar at the age of 25 on a five-fight win streak—one shy of a career long. His opponent Hernandez (16-8, 8-7 UFC) has won lately to edge himself above the .500 UFC record line, although a defeat tonight would even him out again. The two men have referee Jason Herzog to thank for how the officiating will play out in the next 15 minutes or fewer, and they opt to bump fists.
Hooper starts off with long front kicks from either limb to the body. The kicks set up one up high, and he chains a spinning back fist into it. Hernandez steps in to kick the body, and Hooper nearly reaches him on the way out with his far longer limbs. Hernandez tries to close the distance again, and Hooper uses his front kick to frustrate his foe. Hernandez manages to get in to score a pair of punches, only to have to back off and wait for Hooper to throw a naked kick to counter with an overhand left. Hernandez sticks out a straight right hand, and Hooper whizzes past him with a combination.
Hernandez sits down on two counterpunches when Hooper kicks at the ribs, and he hurls a big left hand as Hooper shoots in for a single-leg entry. Hernandez breaks out of it and circles away, blocking a chasing strike or two including a spinning back fist. Hooper plants two punches on the jaw, and Hernandez reaches him at the end of a left. Hooper’s front kick is mixed in, and he shoots in low for a takedown and lands on his own face. Hernandez scoots away and lets Hooper back up, and he measures the longer fighter with looping punches out of range. Hernandez connects on a few punches and evades a long right hand, while parrying two subsequent strikes. “The Great Ape” hits with a left, and Hooper partially rolls with it and replies with doubled left hooks.
Hernandez keeps moving from side to side, and he lances a fierce right hand down the middle to separate Hooper from his senses. Hooper collapses to his knees and tries for a desperate takedown to save himself, and Hernandez pounds on him from both sides of the head with seconds to go in the round. As Hooper takes damage, Herzog waves the fight off
, as he does not feel that Hooper should have a few more seconds to ride out the round and recover. Hooper is crestfallen but nods in understanding when informed exactly what happened, while the victorious Hernandez raises his arms and parades around the cage to celebrate.

The Official Result
Alexander Hernandez def. Chase Hooper R1 4:58 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 10, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Angelo notes Hooper has filled out physically, improved his takedowns, and is undefeated at 155. He thinks Hernandez is inconsistent and undersized, and that Hooper's height and BJJ advantage could be key. However, he acknowledges Hernandez's takedown defense and toughness, making this a close fight. He slightly leans Hooper but is not confident.

Considering betting Hernandez to win a round (+3.5) at plus money
"I'm going to slight lean Chase. Chase is going to be the pick, but like by this much."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Big Brady picks Chase Hooper to win by second-round TKO. He notes Hernandez struggles with high pace and has been broken in many fights. Hooper is massive, pushes a pace, and will drain Hernandez's gas tank. He thinks Hooper will chain takedowns and submission attempts, finishing Hernandez in the second or third round. He acknowledges Hernandez could hurt Hooper early, but if Hooper gets rolling, it's a bad matchup for Hernandez.

Hooper by TKO, round 2
"I think Chase Suber is going to get it done. So, give me Chase to win this fight. I'll take him to win this fight by second round TKO."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

The host notes Hooper's recent improvements and chaotic striking approach. He expects Hooper to wear down Hernandez and eventually find a submission, likely in the second or third round.

submission in the second or third round
"Given his recent improvements and his chaotic striking approach, I think he can wear down Hernandez and eventually find a submission probably in the second or third round"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Aug 13, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Alexander Hernandez

The Guru leans towards Alexander Hernandez, though he expresses some hesitation. He believes Hernandez's explosiveness and body shots will be effective against Chase Hooper. The Guru notes that Hooper's grappling is improved but he lacks damaging ground and pound and often wins by submission threat rather than actual submissions. He worries about Hernandez's close fight with Austin Hubbard but thinks Hernandez will have more moments in the scrambles and on the feet.

"I'm going to lean towards Alexander Hernandez here for some reason. I don't know why I'm feeling it, but I think Alexander Hernandez is going to show up and have a, you know, I beat Benil Darush, by the way, …"
WIN vs Jim Miller
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · Apr 12, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jim Miller 0 13 of 35 37% 22 of 45 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:39
Chase Hooper 0 21 of 44 47% 59 of 94 8 of 14 57% 1 0 10:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jim Miller 0 10 of 16 62% 14 of 21 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:39
Chase Hooper 0 10 of 21 47% 24 of 41 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:57
2 Jim Miller 0 1 of 12 8% 2 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chase Hooper 0 5 of 11 45% 10 of 19 5 of 8 62% 0 0 4:04
3 Jim Miller 0 2 of 7 28% 6 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chase Hooper 0 6 of 12 50% 25 of 34 2 of 3 66% 1 0 4:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jim Miller 13 of 35 37% 11 of 30 1 of 2 1 of 3 7 of 28 1 of 2 5 of 5
Chase Hooper 21 of 44 47% 13 of 34 7 of 9 1 of 1 18 of 41 1 of 1 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jim Miller 10 of 16 62% 10 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 1 4 of 10 1 of 1 5 of 5
Chase Hooper 10 of 21 47% 4 of 13 5 of 7 1 of 1 9 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jim Miller 1 of 12 8% 0 of 9 0 of 1 1 of 2 1 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chase Hooper 5 of 11 45% 4 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 Jim Miller 2 of 7 28% 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 0
Chase Hooper 6 of 12 50% 5 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Chase Hooper vs. Jim Miller
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hooper (-800), Miller (+550)

Round 1
While it is understandable, it is still unfortunate that announcer Bruce Buffer declined to shout out Miller’s (38-18, 1 NC; 27-17, 1 NC UFC) preferred nickname that was certainly not “A-10.” We get what we get, so “Expletive Deleted” will have to hold serve for now. The grizzled veteran, one whose name is all over the leaderboards including the most fights (soon to be 46) and the most victories (27 for now), will throw down with a man 16 years his junior. In a contest of old man strength vs. youthful exuberance, Hooper (15-3-1, 7-3 UFC) will represent the latter and will close as an astronomical betting favorite north of -800. Things like 41 and -800 are just numbers to Miller, who will meet Hooper in the center of the cage while referee Kerry Hatley watches on. They do not touch gloves. When Miller plods forward, Hooper backs away and uses his kicks to keep his preferred distance. Hooper suddenly attacks with a swarm of punches, and Miller sits in the pocket and fires back at him. Hooper gets the better of an exchange, and he slides back and clips Miller with a solid right hand. Miller is unfazed and cracks his foe with a left hook, and Hooper punches and shoots low for a single. Miller drops to a knee to defend it, and he wraps up a guillotine choke that forces Hooper to stand. Hooper drops to the floor to roll out of it, and Miller lowers himself down and blasts the youngster in the face with a standing-to-ground left hand. Hooper hunts for a triangle choke, and Miller punches his way out of it and reassumes top position in the guard. “A-10” stacks Hooper up to prevent Hooper from going after anything, and Miller latches on with a guillotine and jumps guard to secure it. Hooper calmly works his neck out of harm’s way, and he finds himself in top. Miller turns over and gives up his back, and Hooper is quick to start hunting for a standing rear-naked choke. Miller leans against the cage to take some of the weight off, and he tries to scrape “The Dream” off of him using the chain links. Hooper has the body triangle wrapped around the waist to remain on Miller’s back, and he hacks at Miller with an elbow. Hooper attempts a neck crank, and Miller bucks and twists to get Hooper off of his back. Hooper hits his back and instantly attacks an armbar, and Miller punches his way out of that and a subsequent triangle setup. Miller nails his man with a big left hand, and he pushes out of a quick triangle that materializes out of nowhere. Miller stands up, and Hooper follows him and pushes out a front kick. One more front kick from Hooper results in him getting caught with an overhand right, and the horn sounds to end the dramatic round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Miller
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hooper
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hooper

Round 2
Miller starts out the round ready to get in the pocket and exchange, and he scores a solid left hand to back Hooper off. When Hooper presses him, Miller tags him with another left. The youngster chains a front kick into a spinning back fist, and Miller defends against them and allows Hooper to take him down so he can grip hold of a two-on-one wrist lock. Hooper elbows him in the side while Miller clings to the limb, using it to work back to his feet. Hooper takes his back standing and wrenches him to the ground, where he flirts with a rear-naked choke to further control his foe. Miller works his way back to his feet and leans himself on the wire, and Hooper softens him up and is pulled off of Miller’s back, but he sells out for a takedown and lands in side control. After Hooper gets off some strikes, Miller fights to his feet, and he considers a guillotine when Hooper pursues a mat return. Miller lets it go and stands up, and Hooper kicks off the fencing and tosses Miller to his back. Hooper controls Miller from the side and then back, and the two scramble and roll to find themselves in an awkward situation. Hoop looks to lace Miller’s legs and spread them apart for a banana split, and he tugs on Miller’s foot to further hold on tight. Miller survives this and makes it to the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hooper
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hooper
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hooper

Round 3
Hooper wants to take the fight down to begin the final round, with Miller wearing it after 10 minutes of combat. The control of Hooper starts to take over, as he latches on the elder statesman’s back and wrangles him to the floor. Hooper again pursues a leglock from a strange angle, and Miller’s knee is trapped in a precarious predicament. They remain stuck in a 50-50 of sorts, with a possible twister or other unorthodox submission coming together. Miller on his back, has his legs caught between Hooper’s, and his torso is about to turn the wrong direction until Hooper decides to abandon it and take top position. Hooper clings to the top position like Saran wrap, nullifying Miller and causing the audience to start booing. Hooper resides in half guard, smothering and hanging tight until posturing up with a few elbows to the side. Hooper sits up with seconds to go, and the fight that started with a roar ends with a whimper.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hooper (29-28 Hooper)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hooper (30-27 Hooper)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hooper (30-27 Hooper)

The Official Result
Chase Hooper def. Jim Miller via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2025 (fight day)
Chase Hooper

Daniel Levi notes that Chase Hooper handled a legend, securing eight takedowns and doing what he was supposed to do. He suggests moving Hooper up and even proposes a fight against Michael Chandler. He respects Jim Miller as a legend but acknowledges the loss.

"Chase Hooper went out there, handled a legend, you know, eight takedowns. Uh he didn't he didn't get to sub him, but you know, he went out there, did what he was supposed to do."
WIN vs Clay Guida
Submission (armbar) R1 3:41 · UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · Dec 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chase Hooper 0 5 of 13 38% 6 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Clay Guida 0 7 of 15 46% 14 of 28 3 of 6 50% 1 0 2:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chase Hooper 0 5 of 13 38% 6 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Clay Guida 0 7 of 15 46% 14 of 28 3 of 6 50% 1 0 2:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chase Hooper 5 of 13 38% 3 of 9 2 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 10 3 of 3 0 of 0
Clay Guida 7 of 15 46% 5 of 10 2 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 12 1 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chase Hooper 5 of 13 38% 3 of 9 2 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 10 3 of 3 0 of 0
Clay Guida 7 of 15 46% 5 of 10 2 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 12 1 of 2 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2024 (7 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Angelo picks Chase Hooper, arguing that Clay Guida is 42 years old and past his prime, while Hooper's grappling and evolving striking will be too much. He mentions Hooper already submitted Guida in their first fight with a calf slicer. Angelo dismisses the idea that Hooper can't win a kickboxing match, stating Guida is too old and worn down. He is confident Hooper will win again.

"Chase Hooper absolutely smokes here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Cody picks Hooper, citing his youth, jiu-jitsu, and improvement. He notes Guida's age and submission losses. He expects Hooper to win inside the distance, likely by submission.

Hooper inside the distance
"Chase Hooper inside the distance... whether it be submission or TKO."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Connor is very confident in Hooper, stating that Guida can no longer wrestle or strike effectively. He notes that Hooper is much larger with long arms, and that if Guida tries to wrestle, Hooper will submit him. Connor points out that Guida's style has been ineffective for years and that Hooper's modern technique will be too much.

"This is just a layup for chase. Hooper. Yeah, it should be right really should be."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Daniel believes Hooper has matured and can beat Guida anywhere. He references their previous grappling match where Hooper submitted Guida. He expects Hooper to finish Guida, possibly by submission.

by submission
"I think he's going to come out here and finish Klay Guida."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Hooper should absolutely smash Clay Guida, who is notorious for coming up short against submission specialists early, just as Charles Oliveira and Jim Miller were able to do. I expect Hooper to submit Guida within the first five minutes.

submission within first round
"I expect Hooper to submit quido within the first five minutes"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Paul picks Hooper, emphasizing his grappling and physical advantages. He notes Guida's age and lack of offense. He expects Hooper to submit Guida, but suggests inside the distance is safer.

Hooper by submission (small bet)
"Chase Hooper by submission is somewhat playable."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

The MMA Guru picks Chase Hooper, noting Guida's age (42) and tendency to make grappling mistakes that lead to submissions. He thinks Hooper's reach, youth, and improved striking will allow him to dominate. He sees Hooper latching up a guillotine or getting dominant position. He does not see Guida having the power to knock Hooper out.

Chase Hooper wins by submission (guillotine)
"I'm going with Chase Hooper um getting this one done against Klay Guida"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Zane agrees, confidently picking Hooper. He notes that Guida is ancient and cannot wrestle or strike anymore, while Hooper is a young, skilled grappler with a size advantage. Zane believes Hooper will either outstrike Guida or submit him if Guida tries to wrestle.

"Jay super is gonna beat him using modern technology."
Submission (brabo choke) R2 3:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento · May 11, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chase Hooper 1 62 of 109 56% 129 of 217 1 of 1 100% 2 0 6:03
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chase Hooper 1 32 of 62 51% 76 of 123 0 of 0 --- 1 0 3:10
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Chase Hooper 0 30 of 47 63% 53 of 94 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:53
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chase Hooper 62 of 109 56% 58 of 104 4 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 23 0 of 0 58 of 86
Viacheslav Borshchev 2 of 6 33% 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chase Hooper 32 of 62 51% 28 of 57 4 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 18 0 of 0 29 of 44
Viacheslav Borshchev 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Chase Hooper 30 of 47 63% 30 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 29 of 42
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 5, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Angelo picks Viacheslav Borshchev because of his striking advantage and Chase Hooper's poor takedown offense (22% accuracy). He notes Borshchev has a professional kickboxing background and can defend takedowns well enough. He acknowledges Hooper's dangerous BJJ but believes Borshchev can keep the fight standing and land punishment.

"Vice should be able to defend the takedowns Dole out some punishment viav is going to be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 8, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Big Brady picks Slava Borshchev to win by first-round knockout, but admits it's a tough call and he could look stupid. He notes that on the feet, Borshchev has a huge advantage, as Hooper has been knocked down repeatedly by strikers like Steve Garcia. However, if Hooper gets the fight to the ground, he will dominate. Borshchev has poor takedown defense (36%), but Hooper's wrestling may not be as good as previous opponents. He hopes Borshchev stuffs takedowns and makes it look easy.

"I'm going to take Slava to win this fight by first round knockout um hopefully stuff the takedowns and if he does I think he makes it look pretty easy"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Cody picks Hooper as a confident underdog, noting that Borshchev has terrible takedown defense (35% in UFC) and has been taken down 24 times in 6 fights. Hooper, despite his own takedown accuracy issues, should be able to take Borshchev down and dominate on the ground with his elite BJJ. Cody believes Hooper's cardio and tenacity will allow him to survive early striking exchanges and find takedowns later. He already bet Hooper at plus 140.

Bet at +140
"I think Chase gets the dub I'll take Chase as the dog I actually already bet him"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 9, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Daniel Vreeland picks Chase Hooper, noting that Borshchev has poor takedown defense, especially when tired. He believes Hooper can weather the early storm and drag Borshchev to the ground for a ground-and-pound TKO or submission. He mentions that Hooper has moved up to 155 and is growing into his body.

by submission or ground-and-pound TKO
"If Hooper can weather this storm and not get knocked the [ __ ] out he can drag this guy down and either ground and pound TKO or submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

The host leans Borshchev due to his improved takedown defense and striking advantage. He expects Borshchev to land big shots as Hooper recklessly closes distance, and hopes his submission defense holds up on the mat. He acknowledges Hooper's grappling danger but thinks Borshchev can survive and find a knockout. The pick is a lean, as he understands the underdog appeal.

"I'll lean borchev um but a very dangerous fight on both sides"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Paul picks Hooper, echoing Cody's reasoning. He emphasizes that Borshchev's takedown defense is abysmal and that Hooper, despite his own flaws, has the grappling to exploit it. Paul notes that Hooper has shown heart and improvement at 155, and his BJJ is elite. He expects Hooper to get the fight to the ground and submit or control Borshchev. Paul calls it a 'dog pick' and is confident Hooper can win.

"I got a dog I was hoping that this was going to be our shoy bet of the week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

The MMA Guru picks Viacheslav Borshchev over Chase Hooper, despite acknowledging Hooper's improvement. He believes the striking gap is too large and that Borshchev's leg kicks and body shots will be effective. He notes that Hooper lacks the strength to power through takedowns against Borshchev, who has good takedown defense. He predicts a body shot TKO finish.

left hook to the body, liver shot TKO
"I'm going to go with vishav borchev over Chase Hooper... I think he's going to chop that leg kick... and probably finish people with a body shot."
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 2:58 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · Nov 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chase Hooper 0 1 of 3 33% 13 of 18 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:57
Jordan Leavitt 0 3 of 4 75% 5 of 10 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chase Hooper 0 1 of 3 33% 13 of 18 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:57
Jordan Leavitt 0 3 of 4 75% 5 of 10 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:59
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chase Hooper 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jordan Leavitt 3 of 4 75% 2 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chase Hooper 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jordan Leavitt 3 of 4 75% 2 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Chase Hooper vs. Jordan Leavitt
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hooper (-230), Leavitt (+190)

Round 1
Styles make fights, and these two lightweights appear to have the same one. These two grapplers may treat fans with fun exchanges, or they could nullify the other and result in a kickboxing match. Hooper (12-3-1, 4-3 UFC) and Leavitt (11-2, 4-2 UFC) are ready to go wherever is needed over the next three rounds, as is referee Mike Beltran. Two of the more convivial fighters on the roster share a light-hearted clap of hands, and then prepare to hurt each other. Hooper rushes out hoping to strike, and Leavitt hunts for a takedown. Hooper turns him over and fights off a single attempt from Leavitt, and the two spin one another around in the clinch. A scramble leads to the two hitting the mat, and Leavitt considers a guillotine and then a triangle choke into an omoplata. Leavitt uses these attempts to sweep his opponent, and he maintains a can opener only to fall into an armbar setup. Hooper turns over and leans to his back to try to lock the submission down, and Leavitt turns and stands up to stack Hooper up and break up the submission. Hooper chains a leglock into an armbar, and Leavitt smashes him in the face with big right hand that stuns Hooper. “The Dream” attempts a leglock, and Leavitt drops down to do the same, and the 50/50 position persists until Hooper drills Leavitt in the face.
Hooper turns over, and Leavitt sits up and is a bit too slow to spin around. Hooper takes his back during the scramble, and he fastens the body triangle around the waist and locks down a rear-naked choke. The forearm slides beneath the chin, and Hooper starts celebrating the submission before he even gets a tap. Leavitt ultimately does surrender instead of going out
, and Hooper lets go and stands to release a guttural celebratory shriek.

The Official Result
Chase Hooper def. Jordan Leavitt R1 2:58 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 12, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jordan Leavitt

Angelo picks Jordan Leavitt, expecting him to be more physical and have slightly better wrestling. He notes both are similar grapplers with poor striking, but thinks Leavitt's power in his hands and ability to get takedowns will be the difference. He may bet if Leavitt becomes a bigger dog.

May bet if line moves and Leavitt becomes a bigger dog
"I'm still going to pick Jordan leave it in this fight I think he can be more physical I think he's going to have the slightly better wrestling"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Big Brady likes Hooper, noting he's putting it together with incredible pace and cardio, as seen in his wins over Felipe Colares and Nick Fiore. He thinks Leavitt has solid wrestling and striking but slows down, as in the Claudio Puelles fight. He predicts Hooper will push a pace Leavitt can't keep up with and finish him late in the third round by TKO.

"I think Chase super can can set a pace that L not going be able to keep up with and I think Hooper gets Lev out of there late in that third round so give me Chase Hooper to win …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Cody picks Chase Hooper, noting his high volume striking and improved grappling. He mentions Hooper's durability and ability to win by submission or decision. Cody sees Leavitt as one-dimensional with low output and believes Hooper's size and skill advantage will prevail.

"I think Chase wins on volume Chase could potentially you know sub them have the better grappling"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Hooper has improved his pressure fighting and can get the fight to the ground where he has a slick submission game. Leavitt has a weird submission game but questionable cardio and striking. Hooper can land better damage and control on top, winning by decision. However, both fighters are flaky, so confidence is low.

"I'm going to lean Chase superer here still though I think he can get off on better damage I think he can get some control time from that top position and I think he can make it look good enough …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Paul is high on Chase Hooper, citing his youth, size advantage at lightweight, and improved wrestling. He notes Hooper's legitimate jiu-jitsu and cardio, and believes Leavitt is one-dimensional with no standout skills. Paul expects Hooper to drown Leavitt with pressure and volume.

"I think Chase Hooper gets the win"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Leavitt

The MMA Guru picks Jordan Leavitt over Chase Hooper, believing Leavitt is further along in his MMA career. He notes Leavitt's improved striking since 2021 and his competitive grappling with Claudio Puelles, which he thinks Leavitt won. He believes Leavitt's grappling is good enough to stop Hooper and that Hooper's win over Nick Fiore is not impressive.

"I just think Jordan Leavitt is further along in his mixed martial arts career than Chase Hooper... I'm going to go Jordan Leavitt wins this fight."
WIN vs Nick Fiore
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · May 20, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chase Hooper 0 149 of 245 60% 217 of 340 1 of 10 10% 1 1 3:54
Nick Fiore 0 51 of 90 56% 58 of 98 4 of 8 50% 0 0 4:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chase Hooper 0 60 of 101 59% 68 of 112 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:55
Nick Fiore 0 17 of 32 53% 20 of 35 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:32
2 Chase Hooper 0 56 of 90 62% 74 of 112 0 of 5 0% 1 0 0:54
Nick Fiore 0 15 of 31 48% 16 of 32 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:36
3 Chase Hooper 0 33 of 54 61% 75 of 116 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:05
Nick Fiore 0 19 of 27 70% 22 of 31 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chase Hooper 149 of 245 60% 110 of 203 31 of 34 8 of 8 97 of 160 42 of 73 10 of 12
Nick Fiore 51 of 90 56% 49 of 88 1 of 1 1 of 1 34 of 66 11 of 17 6 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chase Hooper 60 of 101 59% 44 of 84 11 of 12 5 of 5 35 of 61 22 of 36 3 of 4
Nick Fiore 17 of 32 53% 17 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0 12 of 25 4 of 6 1 of 1
2 Chase Hooper 56 of 90 62% 43 of 76 12 of 13 1 of 1 36 of 57 17 of 29 3 of 4
Nick Fiore 15 of 31 48% 14 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0 12 of 25 2 of 4 1 of 2
3 Chase Hooper 33 of 54 61% 23 of 43 8 of 9 2 of 2 26 of 42 3 of 8 4 of 4
Nick Fiore 19 of 27 70% 18 of 26 0 of 0 1 of 1 10 of 16 5 of 7 4 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 14, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Nick Fiore

Angelo picks Nick Fiore because Chase Hooper's striking is abysmal and he lacks wrestling to get the fight to the ground. He notes that Hooper is a 'full-on Jiu Jitsu nerd' with no hands, while Fiore is a solid grappler with better takedowns. However, he admits Hooper could sneak out a win since he may be the better BJJ artist, so no bet is placed.

Maybe inside the distance decision no action on Chase
"I can't go with Chase Hooper here in reality he's gonna be the better Grappler and he is fighting another Grappler so that is a recipe for a win but his absolute lack of hands his inability to wrestle to …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 12, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Big Brady picks Chase Hooper to submit Nick Fiore in the third round, but with low confidence. He notes Hooper has looked better recently, especially in the Felipe Colares fight, but also got knocked out badly by Steve Garcia. He expects this to be a grappling-heavy fight and trusts Hooper's cardio and experience in later rounds over Fiore, who slowed in his UFC debut. However, he admits having much confidence in Hooper is not smart.

submission in round 3
"give me Chase super for the win I'll say Chase super third round sub"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Cody thinks Hooper's grappling and cardio could be decisive if the fight stays on the ground. He notes Hooper has been given a favorable matchup and that Fiore's cardio is untested. He takes the underdog for value.

"I'm gonna take Chase Hooper plus money."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 19, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Connor picks Hooper, noting that Fiore's pre-UFC wins were over weak competition and that he was easily handled by Rubezki. He believes Hooper's grappling advantage will be decisive, and that Fiore's aggression will play into Hooper's comfort zone. Connor also mentions that Hooper's move to lightweight is smart and that he will continue to pack on strength.

"I got to pick Cooper. I think he can tango Fioria."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Daniel Levi picks Chase Hooper as an underdog. He argues that Nick Fiore's style plays into Hooper's strengths: Fiore likes to scramble and grapple, which is Hooper's wheelhouse. Levi notes Fiore is not a threat standing and that Hooper has superior BJJ and flexibility. He acknowledges Hooper's poor striking defense but believes Fiore will take the fight to the mat, where Hooper can win. He calls Hooper his 'fighter to watch.'

"Chase Hooper's my pick"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 15, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Nick Fiore

The host picks Nick Fiore but is not highly confident, calling it a toss-up between two BJJ black belts. He likes the over 1.5 rounds as the grappling may cancel out early. He thinks Fiore's aggressive style and top pressure could be the difference, and he expects a decision win.

over 1.5 rounds
"I like the over one and a half as I think the majority of their Jiu Jitsu will cancel each other out for at least seven and a half minutes"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Nick Fiore

Paul picks Fiore, citing his better striking and the fact that Hooper has taken a lot of damage. He thinks Fiore's grappling is solid and that Hooper's stand-up is not sustainable. He is not confident but leans Fiore.

"I'll be picking Fiore."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 16, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Nick Fiore

The MMA Guru believes in New England Cartel's ability to improve fighters. He notes Fiore has dominated regional competition (though against cans) and showed toughness against Ricky Turcios on short notice. He expects Fiore's takedown defense and boxing to be too much for Chase Hooper, predicting a TKO finish on the feet in the first round. He doubts Hooper's athleticism and ability to get the fight to the ground.

TKO in the first round
"I'm gonna go with Nick Fior over Chase Hooper ... I think he's going to spark him on the feet"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 19, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Zane picks Hooper, believing he can tangle Fiore up on the mat and come out ahead in scrambles. He notes that Fiore's striking is purely a way to get to grappling, and Hooper is comfortable in clinch and ground exchanges. Zane also thinks Hooper's striking has improved, as seen against Philippa Colares, and that Fiore is not the same level of pocket aggressor as Steve Garcia.

"I got to pick Cooper. I think he can tango Fioria."
Viacheslav Borshchev - Fight History
LOSS vs Matheus Camilo
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 322 · Nov 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 65 of 188 34% 78 of 201 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:24
Matheus Camilo 0 39 of 93 41% 48 of 104 5 of 10 50% 0 0 3:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Viacheslav Borshchev 0 9 of 41 21% 11 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Matheus Camilo 0 12 of 30 40% 17 of 35 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:47
2 Viacheslav Borshchev 0 19 of 46 41% 26 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Matheus Camilo 0 10 of 22 45% 14 of 28 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:22
3 Viacheslav Borshchev 0 37 of 101 36% 41 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:24
Matheus Camilo 0 17 of 41 41% 17 of 41 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Viacheslav Borshchev 65 of 188 34% 40 of 150 16 of 25 9 of 13 64 of 186 1 of 2 0 of 0
Matheus Camilo 39 of 93 41% 27 of 79 6 of 6 6 of 8 37 of 90 1 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Viacheslav Borshchev 9 of 41 21% 5 of 30 3 of 7 1 of 4 9 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Matheus Camilo 12 of 30 40% 9 of 25 1 of 1 2 of 4 12 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Viacheslav Borshchev 19 of 46 41% 11 of 36 7 of 9 1 of 1 18 of 44 1 of 2 0 of 0
Matheus Camilo 10 of 22 45% 7 of 19 2 of 2 1 of 1 8 of 19 1 of 2 1 of 1
3 Viacheslav Borshchev 37 of 101 36% 24 of 84 6 of 9 7 of 8 37 of 101 0 of 0 0 of 0
Matheus Camilo 17 of 41 41% 11 of 35 3 of 3 3 of 3 17 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Matheus Camilo

Angelo picks Matheus Camilo, noting that Viacheslav Borshchev has poor takedown defense (42%) and has been submitted recently. Camilo is aggressive, can strike and grapple, and has good cardio and power. Angelo is confident but only bets half a unit due to short notice and Camilo's chaotic style.

half unit bet at -155 odds
"I'm going to lean Camo here. I'm pretty confident in that pick. I actually put a half a unit bet on him at these minus 155 odds."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Matheus Camilo

Big Brady picks Matheus Camilo but expresses significant concerns about Camilo's cardio and heart after his UFC debut where he quit. He notes Camilo has power and submission skills but worries if he doesn't finish early. He criticizes Borshchev's takedown defense as the worst in the division and questions his durability, noting he was dropped by Chase Hooper. Brady ultimately leans Camilo by first-round submission, but admits if the fight extends, it could go badly for Camilo.

first round submission
"I'm going to say Camilo does get Slava out of there in the first round by submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Matheus Camilo

Cody picks Camilo (Gamrot), despite not being a fan. He notes that Borshchev has been taken down and outgrappled in recent fights, and that Gamrot has good submission grappling. Cody believes that if Gamrot can get takedowns, he can control and submit Borshchev. He is not fully confident but sees the stylistic advantage.

"I'm just going to plug my nose here and take Mateusz Gamrot and hope that he's made enough improvements to his game to make this thing look good."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Matheus Camilo

Connor also picks Camilo, agreeing with Zane. He notes that Borshchev's desire to be a better MMA fighter has made him worse overall, and that Camilo can happily overthrow and collapse into a takedown and then out-grapple Borshchev. He thinks Camilo is a good young prospect.

Odds: Camilo opened +110, currently -175.
"Yeah, these, these two fights were that both feature fighters that we probably do not need to see."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Nov 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Daniel is not confident in either fighter but leans toward Borshchev due to his experience and proven durability. He questions Camilo's cardio and chin after seeing him fade and tap in his UFC debut. He expects Borshchev to win if he can survive Camilo's early power.

"I think as a pure pick, I'm going to go with Slava just cuz he's proven a lot more to me."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Borshchev has a salty record but this is a winnable fight. He showcases grappling defense, works back to his feet after takedowns, and eventually knocks out Camilo within two and a half rounds.

knockout within two and a half rounds
"I think he stays out of those bad positions, works back to his feet, and eventually knocks out Matias Camilo within two and a half rounds."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Paul leans towards Borshchev, citing his volume and power. He notes that Gamrot has looked poor in recent fights and has cardio issues. Paul thinks Borshchev can keep the fight standing and outwork Gamrot. However, he is not fully confident and acknowledges the grappling risk.

"I'm tempted to take Borshchev in this fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Matheus Camilo

The Guru picks Matheus Camilo, citing his wrestling and grappling ability as key factors. He notes that Borshchev struggles against grapplers, as seen in losses to Chase Hooper and Terrence McKinney. Camilo's takedowns and submission threat should be decisive, and Borshchev is on a losing streak. The Guru expects Camilo to grapple his way to victory.

"I am going to go with Matteas Camilo here. The thing is this fight was kind of scrapped together short notice for the pair of them, but Matteas Camilo was supposed to fight a couple of cards ago."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Matheus Camilo

Zane picks Camilo, noting that Borshchev is actively getting worse as he tries to become a generalist. He thinks Camilo's bullish, aggressive striking and grappling will be too much, and that Borshchev's improved grappling has diminished his kickboxing. He also notes that Camilo's Achilles heel of throwing himself into guillotines won't be a problem against Borshchev.

Odds: Camilo opened +110, currently -175. Borshchev opened -130, currently +150.
"I think Camilo at least these two."
Submission R1 0:55 · UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · Jun 28, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Terrance McKinney 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 1 of 1 100% 2 0 0:47
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Terrance McKinney 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 1 of 1 100% 2 0 0:47
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Terrance McKinney 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2
Viacheslav Borshchev 2 of 2 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Terrance McKinney 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2
Viacheslav Borshchev 2 of 2 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 22, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Angelo picks Terrance McKinney because he believes McKinney's early explosiveness will overwhelm Viacheslav Borshchev, who is older and may not be as durable as before. He notes that McKinney is reliable in that he either finishes early or loses, and he thinks McKinney will come out like a bat out of hell and get the job done. However, he admits he is picking against Borshchev more than for McKinney, and he will monitor the odds for a good betting spot.

Angelo says he will keep an eye on the odds and use his line movement tracker to find a good entry point.
"I am going to go Terrance McKinney. Viacheslav is 33 years old. He is 55 years old in fight years."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 21, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

Big Brady acknowledges McKinney is the rightful favorite due to his wrestling and power, but he is hesitant because both fighters have questionable durability. He notes Borshchev has terrible takedown defense and was dropped by Chase Hooper, but McKinney's cardio is atrocious and his durability is also suspect. Brady thinks McKinney will land first and win by first-round knockout, but if it leaves the first round, McKinney is in trouble.

McKinney wins by first round knockout
"Give me Terence McKenna to win by first round knockout. But he's so untrustworthy."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

The host notes McKinney's tendency for early finishes, but picks Borshchev to fend off the early grappling and get a TKO finish by the end of the first or early second round.

under 1.5 rounds, TKO finish
"I think it's going to be Borchev who ends up fending off the early grappling threat of McKenna and then eventually pulverizes him by the ending of the first round or early second round to get that TKO finish."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Terrance McKinney

The host picks Terrance McKinney, citing his underrated grappling as the X-factor. He notes that Borshchev has shown weaknesses in grappling, as seen in his losses to Chase Hooper and others. However, he acknowledges McKinney's tendency to get knocked out spectacularly and sees the fight as a 50/50 on the feet. He believes McKinney will use his wrestling to secure a win.

"I'm going with Terrence McKini here. Um I I think Terrence McKini is uh is good enough to beat Vishlav Borchev."
LOSS vs Tom Nolan
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 312: du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · Feb 09, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tom Nolan 0 69 of 175 39% 111 of 236 1 of 8 12% 3 0 2:01
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 66 of 118 55% 92 of 163 0 of 0 --- 1 0 3:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tom Nolan 0 27 of 64 42% 29 of 67 0 of 3 0% 2 0 1:25
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 19 of 29 65% 19 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Tom Nolan 0 26 of 67 38% 28 of 70 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:36
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 37 of 62 59% 37 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Tom Nolan 0 16 of 44 36% 54 of 99 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 10 of 27 37% 36 of 71 0 of 0 --- 1 0 3:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tom Nolan 69 of 175 39% 43 of 130 11 of 23 15 of 22 63 of 163 5 of 11 1 of 1
Viacheslav Borshchev 66 of 118 55% 20 of 67 26 of 31 20 of 20 61 of 106 1 of 4 4 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tom Nolan 27 of 64 42% 13 of 46 6 of 10 8 of 8 24 of 58 2 of 5 1 of 1
Viacheslav Borshchev 19 of 29 65% 7 of 16 7 of 8 5 of 5 19 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Tom Nolan 26 of 67 38% 19 of 49 2 of 8 5 of 10 25 of 65 1 of 2 0 of 0
Viacheslav Borshchev 37 of 62 59% 8 of 29 16 of 20 13 of 13 35 of 57 1 of 4 1 of 1
3 Tom Nolan 16 of 44 36% 11 of 35 3 of 5 2 of 4 14 of 40 2 of 4 0 of 0
Viacheslav Borshchev 10 of 27 37% 5 of 22 3 of 3 2 of 2 7 of 20 0 of 0 3 of 7
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Viacheslav Borshchev vs. Tom Nolan
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Borshchev (-135), Nolan (+114)

Round 1
It’s knock out or get knocked out in this lightweight pairing, as the two men involved in the collision celebrate all of their respective stoppage wins via strikes. Chins will be tested as “Big Train” Nolan (8-1, 2-1 UFC) crashes into Team Alpha Male’s Borshchev (8-4-1, 3-3-1 UFC), and sparks will fly before the very eyes of referee Marc Goddard. Before trying to lop one another’s head off, the two men bump fists. Nolan pushes off a front kick, and when Borshchev grabs it, the Aussie twirls around and takes a flush body shot. Borshchev gets right in front of Nolan, tossing a leg kick and leaning back to dodge a head kick. Nolan chips at the front leg and winds up with a kick to the body, setting up a takedown effort. Borshchev breaks free, but not before taking a few knees off the face. Nolan kicks his foe up high, and he ducks a punch in hopes of trying to use a body lock to take “Slava” down. Borshchev bounces back upright, and he takes a knee on the face while bent over. Nolan leaps on the back while Borshchev is standing and starts hunting for rear-naked chokes, and Borshchev leans over to try to buck him off. Instead of getting through that, Nolan whips Borshchev to the back, and he snatches up a brabo choke to the surprise of the Team Alpha Male fighter. Nolan wraps the choke up on the other side, and Borshchev turns on his back to keep himself in the fight. Nolan rings his foe’s bell with a 12-6 elbow, but Borshchev still has the wherewithal to explode to his feet and dodge a spinning wheel kick. When Nolan peppers with jabs, Borshchev goes to the lead leg with a few kicks. Nolan lifts a high kick up that connects into the beard, and he rings a few punches together to redden the nose of “Slava Claus.” Nolan times a turning Borshchev to kick him in the ribs, and he gets off a second kick there before tossing two low. Borshchev bears down on him angrily, drilling him in the face with punches until he has to duck a spinning back fist. Borshchev puts his hands on Nolan, leading a right hand to a head kick before shooting. Borshchev keeps the takedown at bay and also protects from a wheel kick, and he ducks into a knee. Nolan chips at the front leg and is pushed back to the fence with a kick. Nolan sees a spinning strike coming, whiffs on a head kick and the two hear the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Nolan
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Nolan
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Nolan

Round 2
The fighters tap hands together, and it is Nolan who prods out a kick first. Nolan uses that push kick to set up two more and a back fist, and Borshchev remains composed without absorbing any of them flush. Nolan spins with a back fist and torques the other direction to reenact the strikes that Sharabutdin Magomedov pulled off last year, but Borshchev’s chin is granite and he does not budge. Nolan spins with an elbow and sells out for them, and Borshchev allows him to do this so he can punch his way into a combo. Nolan comes back at him with a head kick, and “Slava Claus” dodges and weaves the remainder of the fists that fly. Borshchev digs a kick to the breadbasket and then aims another kick to the same spot, and his stomping oblique kicks further frustrate the taller man. Nolan jams a front kick to the gut, and the two mix up their kicks until Borshchev breaks that successive series of kicks with an overhand right. Nolan kicks low again, and they stun one another with single power punches. Nolan leaps in the air with a knee that buzzes Borshchev’s face, and he spins with a back fist at the right time. Borshchev tanks it and drills him with a right hand, and his takedown defense holds up to keep his back to the wall. On Nolan’s second effort, Borshchev hits the deck, and Nolan snatches up a brabo choke as soon as Borshchev is on the mat. Borshchev turns to break out of the submission, fight his way up and start brawling. Nolan does not want to get into this reckless exchange, so he moves to the side to reset. Both men square up and tag one another, and Nolan’s step-in knee is a cherry on top. Borshchev wraps a left hand around the guard, and Nolan counters him with a sharp left. Borshchev tries to toss out three spinning wheel kicks, making Nolan smile before the round wraps up.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Nolan
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Nolan
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Nolan

Round 3
The lightweights hug, and the last round is here. Borshchev is the more aggressive of the two, hurling kicks and big punches. A sharp Nolan clips Borshchev coming towards him a few times, but it does not enough to shake Borshchev up or mess with his takedown defense, as Borshchev is a short wall of stone. Borshchev bowls Nolan over to his back, and Nolan nails him with two upkicks. As Borshchev is peppering the legs a few times, Nolan turns to his side and blasts Borshchev in the face with the ball of his foot. Nolan is allowed to stand, and he thanks Goddard and Borshchev for this by spinning for a back fist. Nolan doubles up on the spin, and his head kick that follows lumps “Slava Claus” up. As Nolan is feeling himself, he pitches a kick that bangs square into Borshchev’s cup, forcing a stoppage of 30 seconds before Borshchev is good to go. Borshchev starts back up with a brawl, and he swings himself off-balance and wide open for a knee that pounds into the side of his head. Nolan rolls to his back, and Borshchev whips kicks down low at him. Nolan gets away with an illegal upkick as Borshchev on his knees, and he follows Nolan rolling over so he can start up some ground offense. Nolan remains busier from his back, hacking with elbow and swinging with wide-arcing hammerfists to not let Borshchev lay into him. Borshchev’s raining strikes fall short, bouncing into the chest. Nolan flails his legs up again, slashing open a cut on the top of Borshchev’s melon with a surprisingly effective upkick. Borshchev lowers himself into the guard, and he sways back and forth and starts motioning that Nolan’s offense is not doing anything. Nolan ignores his signals and swinging with elbows and punches from his back, while Borshchev is laying into him with open left hands. The wild strikes from Nolan shred Borshchev’s face up, and Borshchev falls to his back and latches on with a leglock. The Aussie laughs at him, and the fight ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Borshchev (29-28 Nolan)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Borshchev (29-28 Nolan)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Borshchev (29-28 Nolan)

The Official Result
Tom Nolan def. Viacheslav Borshchev via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Tom Nolan

Big Brady flipped his pick to Tom Nolan, citing Nolan's youth, size advantage, and the hometown factor in Australia. He notes that Borshchev has poor takedown defense and may struggle with the long flight. However, he questions Nolan's chin, as he was dropped by Victor Martinez. Brady thinks someone will get knocked out and predicts Nolan by second-round knockout, but he is not confident.

"I'll say Tom Nolan wins this fight by second round knockout but I think somebody's getting served in this one"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Borshchev will control the pace, counter Nolan effectively, and take advantage of his poor striking defense. He is expected to pick Nolan apart and find a finish around the second round. The pick is for Borshchev to win by knockout or TKO.

finish in round 2
"I think we'll see borchev control the pace of this matchup counter Nolan effectively and take advantage of his poor striking defense which will lead to borchev eventually picking him apart and finding that finish around that second round mark"
WIN vs James Llontop
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Borralho · Aug 24, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 96 of 229 41% 97 of 230 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
James Llontop 0 93 of 249 37% 97 of 253 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Viacheslav Borshchev 0 26 of 61 42% 27 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
James Llontop 0 26 of 63 41% 26 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
2 Viacheslav Borshchev 0 37 of 85 43% 37 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
James Llontop 0 25 of 77 32% 25 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Viacheslav Borshchev 0 33 of 83 39% 33 of 83 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
James Llontop 0 42 of 109 38% 46 of 113 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Viacheslav Borshchev 96 of 229 41% 49 of 172 30 of 38 17 of 19 92 of 223 3 of 4 1 of 2
James Llontop 93 of 249 37% 40 of 168 27 of 44 26 of 37 91 of 244 1 of 4 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Viacheslav Borshchev 26 of 61 42% 9 of 39 11 of 14 6 of 8 24 of 59 2 of 2 0 of 0
James Llontop 26 of 63 41% 10 of 41 5 of 9 11 of 13 24 of 60 1 of 2 1 of 1
2 Viacheslav Borshchev 37 of 85 43% 19 of 63 11 of 15 7 of 7 36 of 83 0 of 0 1 of 2
James Llontop 25 of 77 32% 11 of 56 9 of 12 5 of 9 25 of 76 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Viacheslav Borshchev 33 of 83 39% 21 of 70 8 of 9 4 of 4 32 of 81 1 of 2 0 of 0
James Llontop 42 of 109 38% 19 of 71 13 of 23 10 of 15 42 of 108 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 18, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Angelo picks Viacheslav Borshchev as the better striker, but expresses concerns about his chin after being dropped by Chase Hooper. He thinks this should be a striking matchup and Borshchev is more technical. However, he says the bet will be on James Llontop to win inside the distance (decision no action) because Llontop could exploit Borshchev's questionable chin. He notes that if Llontop loses a decision, the bet is refunded.

James Llontop wins inside the distance (decision no action)
"VAV borchev is going to be the pick James could absolutely win this fight and honestly the bet is going to be James yop wins inside the distance decision no action"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 20, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Cody leans towards Borshchev because he is the better striker and this is likely a striking match. He notes that Llontop has poor takedown defense and gives up his back, but Borshchev won't wrestle. He thinks Borshchev's power and technique will be too much, but he is concerned about Borshchev's chin and recent damage. He says it's a tough fight to bet at -250.

"I kind of lean boref because he's just such a better Striker right such more refined polished Striker at 250 man I'm having trouble"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Daniel Vreeland picks Viacheslav Borshchev, arguing that without a takedown threat from Llontop, Borshchev will get the kickboxing match he wants and is the better striker. He notes Borshchev has taken damage but believes he will pick Llontop apart.

"I think slava's gonna pick this man apart and get the dub"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Brevin picks Slava Claus, noting his good boxing and power, and that Llontop stands in the pocket too long, opening himself to counters. He mentions Slava's loss to Chase Hooper but downplays it. JP agrees, emphasizing Slava's power and Llontop's tendency to stand still after throwing, which will lead to Slava putting his lights out.

"I'm going to take slavkos in this one I think he's just more powerful um look for liver shot so these body shots he throws a nice left hand I like slavkos"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Paul picks Borshchev because he thinks Llontop is prone to poor decision-making and has a neck tattoo. He notes that Llontop was a favorite against Chris Padilla and looked terrible. He believes Borshchev's striking will be the difference in a stand-up fight. He also mentions that Borshchev's chin is starting to go, but Llontop doesn't have the wrestling to exploit it.

"I think it's borchev I think he's a rightful favorite here I would usually never bet borchev as a favorite but all all signals are pointing towards a striking Affair"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Aug 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

The MMA Guru picks Viacheslav Borshchev despite being hesitant. He was disappointed by James Llontop's debut loss and calls him 'skinny fat'. He expects a standup fight and trusts Borshchev's striking, predicting a late TKO or decision. However, he acknowledges Borshchev was destroyed by Chase Hooper, which gives him pause.

TKO late or decision 29-28
"I'll go Bev I think he's better um better on the feet and it's going to be a stand up fight probably so I trust in VL Bev TKO late maybe a decision 2928 scrap"
LOSS vs Chase Hooper
Submission (brabo choke) R2 3:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento · May 11, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chase Hooper 1 62 of 109 56% 129 of 217 1 of 1 100% 2 0 6:03
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chase Hooper 1 32 of 62 51% 76 of 123 0 of 0 --- 1 0 3:10
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Chase Hooper 0 30 of 47 63% 53 of 94 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:53
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chase Hooper 62 of 109 56% 58 of 104 4 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 23 0 of 0 58 of 86
Viacheslav Borshchev 2 of 6 33% 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chase Hooper 32 of 62 51% 28 of 57 4 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 18 0 of 0 29 of 44
Viacheslav Borshchev 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Chase Hooper 30 of 47 63% 30 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 29 of 42
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 5, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Angelo picks Viacheslav Borshchev because of his striking advantage and Chase Hooper's poor takedown offense (22% accuracy). He notes Borshchev has a professional kickboxing background and can defend takedowns well enough. He acknowledges Hooper's dangerous BJJ but believes Borshchev can keep the fight standing and land punishment.

"Vice should be able to defend the takedowns Dole out some punishment viav is going to be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 8, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Big Brady picks Slava Borshchev to win by first-round knockout, but admits it's a tough call and he could look stupid. He notes that on the feet, Borshchev has a huge advantage, as Hooper has been knocked down repeatedly by strikers like Steve Garcia. However, if Hooper gets the fight to the ground, he will dominate. Borshchev has poor takedown defense (36%), but Hooper's wrestling may not be as good as previous opponents. He hopes Borshchev stuffs takedowns and makes it look easy.

"I'm going to take Slava to win this fight by first round knockout um hopefully stuff the takedowns and if he does I think he makes it look pretty easy"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Cody picks Hooper as a confident underdog, noting that Borshchev has terrible takedown defense (35% in UFC) and has been taken down 24 times in 6 fights. Hooper, despite his own takedown accuracy issues, should be able to take Borshchev down and dominate on the ground with his elite BJJ. Cody believes Hooper's cardio and tenacity will allow him to survive early striking exchanges and find takedowns later. He already bet Hooper at plus 140.

Bet at +140
"I think Chase gets the dub I'll take Chase as the dog I actually already bet him"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 9, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Daniel Vreeland picks Chase Hooper, noting that Borshchev has poor takedown defense, especially when tired. He believes Hooper can weather the early storm and drag Borshchev to the ground for a ground-and-pound TKO or submission. He mentions that Hooper has moved up to 155 and is growing into his body.

by submission or ground-and-pound TKO
"If Hooper can weather this storm and not get knocked the [ __ ] out he can drag this guy down and either ground and pound TKO or submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

The host leans Borshchev due to his improved takedown defense and striking advantage. He expects Borshchev to land big shots as Hooper recklessly closes distance, and hopes his submission defense holds up on the mat. He acknowledges Hooper's grappling danger but thinks Borshchev can survive and find a knockout. The pick is a lean, as he understands the underdog appeal.

"I'll lean borchev um but a very dangerous fight on both sides"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Paul picks Hooper, echoing Cody's reasoning. He emphasizes that Borshchev's takedown defense is abysmal and that Hooper, despite his own flaws, has the grappling to exploit it. Paul notes that Hooper has shown heart and improvement at 155, and his BJJ is elite. He expects Hooper to get the fight to the ground and submit or control Borshchev. Paul calls it a 'dog pick' and is confident Hooper can win.

"I got a dog I was hoping that this was going to be our shoy bet of the week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

The MMA Guru picks Viacheslav Borshchev over Chase Hooper, despite acknowledging Hooper's improvement. He believes the striking gap is too large and that Borshchev's leg kicks and body shots will be effective. He notes that Hooper lacks the strength to power through takedowns against Borshchev, who has good takedown defense. He predicts a body shot TKO finish.

left hook to the body, liver shot TKO
"I'm going to go with vishav borchev over Chase Hooper... I think he's going to chop that leg kick... and probably finish people with a body shot."
LOSS vs Nazim Sadykhov
Draw (majority) (28–29, 28–28, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · Nov 11, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nazim Sadykhov 1 91 of 207 43% 109 of 228 4 of 7 57% 0 0 3:32
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 143 of 241 59% 144 of 242 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nazim Sadykhov 0 23 of 68 33% 23 of 68 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:02
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 58 of 79 73% 58 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Nazim Sadykhov 1 39 of 77 50% 51 of 91 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:06
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 29 of 60 48% 30 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
3 Nazim Sadykhov 0 29 of 62 46% 35 of 69 3 of 4 75% 0 0 1:24
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 56 of 102 54% 56 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nazim Sadykhov 91 of 207 43% 65 of 172 19 of 26 7 of 9 66 of 175 5 of 8 20 of 24
Viacheslav Borshchev 143 of 241 59% 87 of 178 30 of 34 26 of 29 141 of 239 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nazim Sadykhov 23 of 68 33% 12 of 52 8 of 11 3 of 5 22 of 67 1 of 1 0 of 0
Viacheslav Borshchev 58 of 79 73% 27 of 46 14 of 15 17 of 18 58 of 79 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Nazim Sadykhov 39 of 77 50% 35 of 72 3 of 4 1 of 1 19 of 53 2 of 2 18 of 22
Viacheslav Borshchev 29 of 60 48% 16 of 46 7 of 7 6 of 7 27 of 58 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Nazim Sadykhov 29 of 62 46% 18 of 48 8 of 11 3 of 3 25 of 55 2 of 5 2 of 2
Viacheslav Borshchev 56 of 102 54% 44 of 86 9 of 12 3 of 4 56 of 102 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Angelo picks Borshchev, trusting his striking pressure and ability to defend takedowns. He notes Sadykhov is not a grappler and will likely strike, which favors Borshchev. He acknowledges Sadykhov could win a decision but leans on Borshchev's power and volume.

"I like viav to win this fight... I'm going to trust the absolute nonstop striking pressure."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Big Brady picks Viacheslav Borshchev to win by first-round knockout. He praises Borshchev's incredible striking and notes that opponents constantly try to take him down because they want nothing to do with his striking. He worries that Sadykhov doesn't wrestle enough to exploit Borshchev's poor takedown defense, and that Sadykhov was outstruck by Evan Elder. Brady expects a striking battle and favors Borshchev's power.

Borshchev by first-round knockout
"I'm going to take another dog here, I'm gonna take Slava Borshchev to win this fight by knockout... give me Slava by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Cody leans Borshchev, expecting a striking match where Borshchev's volume and durability give him an edge. He notes Sadykhov hasn't shown wrestling in the UFC, and Borshchev's takedown defense and ability to get up are solid. He's not confident but sees value.

"borchev will be the official pick just on the fact that I feel like this is going to be a 15-minute striking Affair"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Borshchev is more tested against better competition and his defensive grappling is improving. He should be able to keep the fight in the striking realm where he has a decided advantage. Expects Borshchev to batter Sadykhov and eventually finish him by knockout in the second or third round. Surprised to see Borshchev as the underdog and happy to take a shot on him.

finish by knockout in round 2 or 3
"I was kind of surprised to see borchev as the underdog here and I was more than happy to take a shot on him"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Paul picks Borshchev, citing Sadykhov's lack of wrestling and questionable takedown defense. He thinks Borshchev's striking and cardio will be too much, and that Sadykhov hasn't shown enough to warrant being a favorite. He calls Borshchev a dog play.

"borchev KO official pick for me it's plus 250 at like the only book that has the prop on that right now"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

The MMA Guru picks Nazim Sadykhov, highlighting his grappling as the X-factor. He notes that Sadykhov showed composure against Terrance McKinney's early danger and that his team knows when to use takedowns. He predicts a late second-round submission, as Borshchev is a great striker but has takedown defense issues.

submission in round 2
"I'm going to go of nazim sadikov getting a late second round submission is what I'm going to go for there"
WIN vs Maheshate
TKO (punches) R2 2:37 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · May 20, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 32 of 109 29% 33 of 110 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Maheshate 3 85 of 148 57% 85 of 148 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Viacheslav Borshchev 0 22 of 70 31% 23 of 71 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Maheshate 1 57 of 100 57% 57 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
2 Viacheslav Borshchev 0 10 of 39 25% 10 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Maheshate 2 28 of 48 58% 28 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Viacheslav Borshchev 32 of 109 29% 26 of 100 1 of 3 5 of 6 29 of 99 3 of 10 0 of 0
Maheshate 85 of 148 57% 40 of 99 17 of 19 28 of 30 69 of 118 11 of 18 5 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Viacheslav Borshchev 22 of 70 31% 17 of 63 1 of 3 4 of 4 21 of 67 1 of 3 0 of 0
Maheshate 57 of 100 57% 23 of 64 11 of 12 23 of 24 49 of 81 7 of 12 1 of 7
2 Viacheslav Borshchev 10 of 39 25% 9 of 37 0 of 0 1 of 2 8 of 32 2 of 7 0 of 0
Maheshate 28 of 48 58% 17 of 35 6 of 7 5 of 6 20 of 37 4 of 6 4 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 14, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Angelo picks Borshchev because in a striking match he should win easily, but he is concerned about Borshchev's poor takedown defense (31%) and the possibility that Maheshate could wrestle. He notes Borshchev is tough and never stops working, but is waiting for props before betting.

Waiting for props
"the pick's gonna be borshev but betting spot again we're gonna have to wait for some props and see what happens"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 12, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Big Brady picks Viacheslav Borshchev to knock out Maheshate in the first round. He is happy the UFC is giving Borshchev a striker, as his takedown defense is terrible but he is a beautiful striker with power. He expects Maheshate to stand and trade, which favors Borshchev. He predicts a first-round knockout.

knockout in round 1
"I'm going to take him to win this fight by first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Cody argues that Borshchev's takedown defense is poor, but Maheshate has never attempted a takedown in the UFC. He expects a striking match where Borshchev's volume and power will prevail. He notes Borshchev's ability to get up from takedowns and finish opponents.

"I'll take borshev."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 19, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Maheshate

Connor picks Maheshate because he believes Borshchev is more hurtable and can be caught with a big counter hook or knee. He notes that Maheshate is bigger, more well-rounded, and has never been knocked out. Connor also mentions the possibility of Maheshate out-grappling Borshchev, who is bad on the ground. He admits part of his pick is to avoid being trolled by a Twitter account claiming to be Maheshate.

"I'll take Mahashatte just because I think that Borshove is more hurtable."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Daniel Levi picks Viacheslav Borshchev, assuming the fight stays standing. He notes Borshchev has a clear striking advantage and is the more experienced kickboxer, while Maheshate has attempted zero takedowns in his UFC/Contender Series appearances. Levi acknowledges Borshchev's poor takedown defense but thinks Maheshate won't exploit it. He sees this as a striking match and favors Borshchev's cleaner technique.

"I'm gonna go vicious love barchov"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 15, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

The host picks Viacheslav Borshchev, expecting a striking battle where Borshchev's cleaner technique and body work will be key. He thinks Borshchev will slow Maheshate with body kicks and punches, then find a knockout. He likes the under and predicts a TKO victory.

under
"I like borshev here I like the unders I'm expecting some violence here and I think it's going to be Slava claws that comes out once again snaps that two fine winning streak and earns another knockout victory in the …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Maheshate

Paul is intrigued by Maheshate's power and durability, and notes that Borshchev's takedown defense is a liability. He thinks Maheshate could land a knockout if Borshchev stands with him. He takes the underdog for value.

"I bet him at plus 138."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 16, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

The MMA Guru picks Borshchev, believing he is better on the feet and that Maheshate won't be able to dominate him on the ground. He notes Borshchev has been working on his grappling and had moments against Mike Davis. He expects a stand-up fight and predicts Borshchev will finish via late-round TKO to the body. He is not impressed by Maheshate's win over Steve Garcia.

late rounds TKO to the body
"I'm gonna go with borshev ... I reckon you finish this one by late rounds TKO to a body shot"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked May 19, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Zane picks Borshchev primarily for his aggression and body punching. He notes that Borshchev is more hittable and easier to get to, but his liver hunting could be a key factor against Maheshate, who has never been knocked out but may not withstand a clean shot to the liver. Zane sees this as a very 50/50 fight and is hesitant, but leans toward Borshchev's offensive pressure.

"I'm going to take Borshchev, but this looks like a very 50 50 fight to me."
LOSS vs Mike Davis
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–26, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · Oct 01, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Davis 0 65 of 133 48% 101 of 174 9 of 11 81% 1 0 8:02
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 63 of 118 53% 84 of 139 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Davis 0 37 of 61 60% 59 of 87 4 of 6 66% 0 0 2:52
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 21 of 34 61% 22 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:14
2 Mike Davis 0 20 of 46 43% 22 of 49 3 of 3 100% 1 0 2:17
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 26 of 60 43% 29 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Mike Davis 0 8 of 26 30% 20 of 38 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:53
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 16 of 24 66% 33 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Davis 65 of 133 48% 53 of 118 5 of 7 7 of 8 27 of 75 1 of 1 37 of 57
Viacheslav Borshchev 63 of 118 53% 29 of 81 10 of 13 24 of 24 62 of 115 0 of 0 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Davis 37 of 61 60% 34 of 57 1 of 2 2 of 2 9 of 20 1 of 1 27 of 40
Viacheslav Borshchev 21 of 34 61% 8 of 20 2 of 3 11 of 11 20 of 32 0 of 0 1 of 2
2 Mike Davis 20 of 46 43% 16 of 41 2 of 3 2 of 2 12 of 31 0 of 0 8 of 15
Viacheslav Borshchev 26 of 60 43% 11 of 43 5 of 7 10 of 10 26 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 1
3 Mike Davis 8 of 26 30% 3 of 20 2 of 2 3 of 4 6 of 24 0 of 0 2 of 2
Viacheslav Borshchev 16 of 24 66% 10 of 18 3 of 3 3 of 3 16 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mike Davis

Cody picks Mike Davis to win, highlighting Davis's talent and the praise from training partners. He notes Davis has been inactive but is still young and improving. He expects Davis to counter Borshchev's hooks and low kicks with his jab and straight right, and to mix in takedowns to secure rounds. He is confident Davis gets the job done despite the layoff.

"I think Davis is wrestling is underrated the red flags are more around the fact that he rare he hasn't really fought all that much"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mike Davis

Paul picks Mike Davis by decision, citing Davis's superior wrestling and ability to mix in takedowns. He notes that Borshchev gives up takedowns frequently and Davis has underrated wrestling. He expects Davis to use his jab and hand speed to outpoint Borshchev on the feet if he chooses, but believes mixing in wrestling will solidify rounds. He mentions the 2.5 takedown prop on PrizePicks.

Davis by decision; over 2.5 takedowns on PrizePicks
"I got Davis by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Mike Davis

The MMA Guru picks Mike Davis, emphasizing his multiple paths to victory. He notes that Davis is a smart fighter who can implement wrestling and grappling, similar to Mark D. Casey's game plan against Borshchev. He warns Davis not to get into a pure striking affair, as Borshchev is a world-class kickboxer. He expects Davis to mix takedowns with striking and win a decision, citing Davis's layoff and Borshchev's short notice as factors.

Mike Davis by decision
"I think Mike Davis is just gonna fight a really smart fight here... implements the wrestling and grappling and wins the decision."
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 5, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Angelo picks Viacheslav Borshchev because of his striking advantage and Chase Hooper's poor takedown offense (22% accuracy). He notes Borshchev has a professional kickboxing background and can defend takedowns well enough. He acknowledges Hooper's dangerous BJJ but believes Borshchev can keep the fight standing and land punishment.

"Vice should be able to defend the takedowns Dole out some punishment viav is going to be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 8, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Big Brady picks Slava Borshchev to win by first-round knockout, but admits it's a tough call and he could look stupid. He notes that on the feet, Borshchev has a huge advantage, as Hooper has been knocked down repeatedly by strikers like Steve Garcia. However, if Hooper gets the fight to the ground, he will dominate. Borshchev has poor takedown defense (36%), but Hooper's wrestling may not be as good as previous opponents. He hopes Borshchev stuffs takedowns and makes it look easy.

"I'm going to take Slava to win this fight by first round knockout um hopefully stuff the takedowns and if he does I think he makes it look pretty easy"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Cody picks Hooper as a confident underdog, noting that Borshchev has terrible takedown defense (35% in UFC) and has been taken down 24 times in 6 fights. Hooper, despite his own takedown accuracy issues, should be able to take Borshchev down and dominate on the ground with his elite BJJ. Cody believes Hooper's cardio and tenacity will allow him to survive early striking exchanges and find takedowns later. He already bet Hooper at plus 140.

Bet at +140
"I think Chase gets the dub I'll take Chase as the dog I actually already bet him"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 9, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Daniel Vreeland picks Chase Hooper, noting that Borshchev has poor takedown defense, especially when tired. He believes Hooper can weather the early storm and drag Borshchev to the ground for a ground-and-pound TKO or submission. He mentions that Hooper has moved up to 155 and is growing into his body.

by submission or ground-and-pound TKO
"If Hooper can weather this storm and not get knocked the [ __ ] out he can drag this guy down and either ground and pound TKO or submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

The host leans Borshchev due to his improved takedown defense and striking advantage. He expects Borshchev to land big shots as Hooper recklessly closes distance, and hopes his submission defense holds up on the mat. He acknowledges Hooper's grappling danger but thinks Borshchev can survive and find a knockout. The pick is a lean, as he understands the underdog appeal.

"I'll lean borchev um but a very dangerous fight on both sides"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Paul picks Hooper, echoing Cody's reasoning. He emphasizes that Borshchev's takedown defense is abysmal and that Hooper, despite his own flaws, has the grappling to exploit it. Paul notes that Hooper has shown heart and improvement at 155, and his BJJ is elite. He expects Hooper to get the fight to the ground and submit or control Borshchev. Paul calls it a 'dog pick' and is confident Hooper can win.

"I got a dog I was hoping that this was going to be our shoy bet of the week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

The MMA Guru picks Viacheslav Borshchev over Chase Hooper, despite acknowledging Hooper's improvement. He believes the striking gap is too large and that Borshchev's leg kicks and body shots will be effective. He notes that Hooper lacks the strength to power through takedowns against Borshchev, who has good takedown defense. He predicts a body shot TKO finish.

left hook to the body, liver shot TKO
"I'm going to go with vishav borchev over Chase Hooper... I think he's going to chop that leg kick... and probably finish people with a body shot."