Career Averages - Veronica Hardy
Career Averages - JJ Aldrich
Veronica Hardy - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 1 | 39 of 75 | 52% | 53 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 2:36 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 22 of 60 | 36% | 30 of 70 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 2:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 9 of 20 | 45% | 23 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 2:36 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 15 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 1 | 16 of 29 | 55% | 16 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 8 of 25 | 32% | 8 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 14 of 26 | 53% | 14 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 7 of 20 | 35% | 7 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 39 of 75 | 52% | 31 of 65 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 32 of 65 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 6 |
| Brogan Walker | 22 of 60 | 36% | 12 of 49 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 8 | 16 of 49 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 9 of 20 | 45% | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 |
| Brogan Walker | 7 of 15 | 46% | 1 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 5 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 16 of 29 | 55% | 12 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Brogan Walker | 8 of 25 | 32% | 5 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 14 of 26 | 53% | 11 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Brogan Walker | 7 of 20 | 35% | 6 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Veronica Hardy, calling her a 5-to-1 favorite who should be 10-to-1. He highlights her Taekwondo background, good footwork, technical striking, and ability to cut angles. He notes she also has clean takedowns and high fight IQ, while Brogan Walker is described as not very good at fighting, with a gifted BJJ black belt and infrequent fights. He expects an easy win for Hardy.
Big Brady is very confident in Veronica Hardy, calling her the second biggest favorite at -825. He notes that Brogan Walker is 36 years old, hasn't fought in two and a half years, and looked awful in her last two fights. He believes Hardy is better everywhere—striking, wrestling, and grappling—and that Hardy would have to try really hard to lose. He predicts a decision win for Hardy.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Hardy because Walker is uncoordinated and has not shown improvement. He notes that Hardy is a good athlete with a technical base, and even though she used to fall apart early in her career, she has become a more competitive fighter. He expects Hardy to win easily.
Hardy is a heavy favorite at minus 800, but the host does not consider it bet-worthy. He expects Hardy to chip away at Walker and win on the scorecards, noting Walker's extended layoff of two and a half years.
The MMA Guru picks Veronica Hardy, citing her technical striking and submission game. He notes that while she struggles against physical opponents, Brogan Walker hasn't shown enough to win. He expects a close 29-28 decision, with Hardy's technical kicks and submissions being the difference.
Zane picks Hardy confidently, stating that Brogan Walker is really bad and uncoordinated, and has not fought in over two years. He notes that Hardy is fast, technical, and has become a consistent round-to-round fighter with good conditioning and well-rounded skills. He believes Hardy will easily outclass Walker.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduarda Moura | 0 | 46 of 103 | 44% | 61 of 119 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 26 of 76 | 34% | 41 of 96 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 4:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eduarda Moura | 0 | 13 of 39 | 33% | 13 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 10 of 35 | 28% | 11 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 2 | Eduarda Moura | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 27 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 21 of 31 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 4:02 | |
| 3 | Eduarda Moura | 0 | 21 of 46 | 45% | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 9 of 28 | 32% | 9 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduarda Moura | 46 of 103 | 44% | 16 of 61 | 16 of 26 | 14 of 16 | 39 of 94 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 8 |
| Veronica Hardy | 26 of 76 | 34% | 22 of 71 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 68 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eduarda Moura | 13 of 39 | 33% | 5 of 28 | 6 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 13 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Veronica Hardy | 10 of 35 | 28% | 8 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Eduarda Moura | 12 of 18 | 66% | 5 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 8 |
| Veronica Hardy | 7 of 13 | 53% | 6 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 | |
| 3 | Eduarda Moura | 21 of 46 | 45% | 6 of 23 | 6 of 13 | 9 of 10 | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Veronica Hardy | 9 of 28 | 32% | 8 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Veronica Hardy, citing her superior striking, speed, and power. He notes that Eduarda Moura is a grappler with sloppy striking who may lose the same way she lost to Denise Gomes—by being outstruck. He acknowledges that Moura may get takedowns but believes Hardy's striking will be too much. He also mentions Hardy's marriage to Dan Hardy as a positive for her fight IQ and evolution.
Big Brady picks the underdog Eduarda Moura, citing Veronica Hardy's poor takedown defense (60%) and tendency to be controlled on the ground. He notes that Hardy has been taken down and controlled by nearly every opponent except Juliana Miller, and believes Moura can use her physicality to get the fight to the mat and win minutes on top. He acknowledges Hardy's striking advantage but thinks Moura's grappling will be the difference, predicting a decision win.
Cody picks Veronica Hardy, citing her speed, footwork, and improved training with Dan Hardy. He notes Moura is a weight bully moving up who has missed weight and has poor takedown efficiency. Cody expects Hardy to counter-strike and avoid takedowns, winning a decision.
Connor agrees, noting that Hardy has become a good fighter under Dan Hardy's coaching. He mentions that Hardy's anxiety issues have improved and that she is now a fast, powerful athlete. Connor thinks Moura's toolkit is only effective against bad athletes and that Hardy will win.
Daniel Vreeland leans towards Veronica Hardy via decision, citing her speed, footwork, and improved takedown defense. He notes Moura's one-dimensional grappling and tendency to gas. He acknowledges Moura's strength and submission threat but believes Hardy can avoid takedowns and win on the feet. He calls it a 'lean' and not confident.
The host expects Hardy's matured game plan to come through, citing her speed and agility on the feet to touch up Moura. He also notes Hardy's active guard off her back could allow a submission in the second or third round, but officially picks her by decision.
Paul picks Veronica Hardy, agreeing with Cody. He notes Hardy's three-fight winning streak, improved training, and speed advantage. Paul expects Hardy to use her range and counter-striking to win a decision, possibly by outworking Moura.
The MMA Guru picks Veronica Hardy, noting that Eduarda Moura is big but lacks skill. He mentions Moura took Denise Gomes to a split decision, but he still favors Hardy's overall ability.
Zane picks Hardy, impressed by her recent maturation and athleticism. He notes that Moura is slow and one-dimensional, relying solely on takedowns. Zane believes Hardy's speed, power, and improved confidence will allow her to stuff takedowns and punish Moura on the feet.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 27 of 63 | 42% | 38 of 76 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 5:09 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 36 of 78 | 46% | 69 of 113 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 9 of 24 | 37% | 10 of 25 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 26 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:12 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 15 of 35 | 42% | 21 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 10 of 21 | 47% | 18 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:23 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 7 of 19 | 36% | 22 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 27 of 63 | 42% | 19 of 51 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 15 of 47 | 8 of 9 | 4 of 7 |
| JJ Aldrich | 36 of 78 | 46% | 22 of 60 | 3 of 6 | 11 of 12 | 30 of 68 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 9 of 24 | 37% | 8 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 19 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 14 of 24 | 58% | 10 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 19 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 8 of 18 | 44% | 5 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 15 of 35 | 42% | 10 of 28 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 31 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 10 of 21 | 47% | 6 of 14 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 |
| JJ Aldrich | 7 of 19 | 36% | 2 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Angelo picks JJ Aldrich as an underdog, citing her improved striking and takedown defense in her last two fights. He notes she has an experience edge and a willingness to move forward. He acknowledges Veronica Hardy's technical striking and wrestling but believes Aldrich is more well-rounded. He also bets the over 2.5 rounds.
Big Brady picks Veronica Hardy because she is younger and has shown improvement since her layoff, looking like a completely different fighter. He notes that Hardy beat Juliana Miller decisively and had a competitive split decision win over Jamey-Lyn Horth. However, he acknowledges the fight is extremely close and expects it to go to a split decision, with the judges being unreliable. He prefers Hardy's upside over Aldridge's decent but limited game.
Cody picks Hardy, citing her improvements since marrying Dan Hardy. He notes that she has shown a well-rounded game, including takedowns and smart game plans. He believes she can mix in takedowns to keep Aldrich guessing and outwork her on the feet. Cody also mentions that Hardy trained at Renzo Gracie's for this camp, indicating a focus on grappling. He expects Hardy to win a competitive decision.
Daniel Vreeland picks Veronica Hardy, noting her improvements in strength and conditioning and her ability to get back up from bottom. He believes Hardy has leveled up, while JJ Aldrich has remained the same. He predicts a decision win for Hardy, though he doesn't like the short price.
The host leans Hardy due to her movement and speed, which will allow her to land effective damage in the first 6-7 minutes. He notes that Aldrich is not as aggressive as Hardy's previous opponent, allowing Hardy to dictate range. He expects Hardy to win on the scorecards, though Aldrich's countering ability could catch up later. The pick is a lean, not a strong bet.
Paul picks Hardy, noting that she was his first bet of the week. He highlights her takedown game and improved grappling since her return. He thinks Aldrich's takedown defense is inconsistent and that Hardy can exploit it. Paul also notes that Hardy's striking is competitive and that the threat of takedowns will slow Aldrich's volume. He is confident in Hardy.
The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Veronica Hardy, citing Aldrich's superior competition, size, reach, and aggression. He notes Hardy's recent wins came against lower-level opponents and that Aldrich is a career fighter with more to prove. He also mentions Aldrich's takedown defense and physicality in the clinch as key factors.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 43 of 101 | 42% | 61 of 122 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 43 of 87 | 49% | 74 of 125 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:59 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 17 of 37 | 45% | 17 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 16 of 34 | 47% | 16 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 13 of 33 | 39% | 19 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 7 of 21 | 33% | 23 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 13 of 31 | 41% | 25 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 20 of 32 | 62% | 35 of 51 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 43 of 101 | 42% | 29 of 86 | 11 of 11 | 3 of 4 | 30 of 81 | 13 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 43 of 87 | 49% | 16 of 49 | 20 of 26 | 7 of 12 | 23 of 59 | 20 of 28 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 17 of 37 | 45% | 12 of 31 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 31 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 16 of 34 | 47% | 5 of 17 | 6 of 8 | 5 of 9 | 12 of 30 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 13 of 33 | 39% | 10 of 30 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 26 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 7 of 21 | 33% | 0 of 12 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 16 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 13 of 31 | 41% | 7 of 25 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 24 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 20 of 32 | 62% | 11 of 20 | 8 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 13 | 13 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hardy (-112), Horth (-108)
Round 1
Women’s flyweights get the ball rolling, as Hardy (7-4-1, 2-4 UFC) takes on the undefeated Horth at 125 pounds. The 33-year-old Horth (6-0, 1-0 UFC) has finished five of her first six opponents. Mark Smith draws the officiating assignment. They touch gloves, and we are underway in the Texas capital. They spend the first 45 seconds sizing up one another. Horth slips on a kick and eats a right hand for her troubles. The Canadian has a significant size advantage. They trade body kicks, and Hardy circles on the perimeter. The Venezuelan lands an inside leg kicks, and Horth returns fire with one of her own. Not much in terms of meaningful offense from either women in what has been a tepid start. Hardy unleashes and overhand left, setting off a brief flurry between the two. She then pins Horth along the fence and scores with punches from both hands. Hardy initiating a majority of the exchanges. She sits down an off-balance Horth with a one-two, then engages the Canadian in the clinch. Hardy complains about an eye poke, and Smith decides to pause the action. Horth declines attention from the cageside physician, and the two women get back to business.
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Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Round 2
Hardy pumps out her jab in a bid to gauge distance, then fires a few left hands over the top. Horth not doing much to maximize her physical advantages. Hardy darts in and out of the pocket, punctuating a combination with a kick to the body. Speed a definite factor in the Venezuelan’s favor. Hardy gets in and gets out with punches before the Canadian can answer. Horth pulls guard, but Hardy lifts her back to her feet and engages her in the clinch. She lands a close-range elbow over the top but absorbs a few knees to the body. They continue to jockey for position in the clinch, then separate. Horth closes the distance and completes a takedown, setting up shop in full guard with a minute to go. She scores with body-head combinations from the top but not yet connecting with anything significant. Horth stands up and absorbs a upkick to the chest that knocks her off-balance for an instant. She finishes the round in top position.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Round 3
Hardy steps into a two-punch combination from her southpaw stance, then fires a kick to the body and another to the leg. Horth lands an elbow over the top that gets Hardy’s attention, then sticks the Venezuelan with a right hand. Hardy follows a body kick with a left hook. Horth turning to elbows in the standup exchanges, making her first noticeable adjustment on the feet. She once again ties up Hardy along the fence, fires a knee to the body and separates. They both connect on the break. Hardy slams another kick into the Canadian’s midsection. Horth closes the distance, plants an elbow upstairs and moves into the clinch. They trade knees to the legs. Hardy doing everything she can to stay upright. Horth hacks away with elbows to the head and eats a few punches. She drops an off-balance Hardy with a stepping elbow, but the Venezuelan gets back to her feet. They engage one another in the clinch. Hardy counters a takedown into top position, and they scramble back to a standing position, trading along the fence to close it out.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Hardy)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Hardy)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Hardy)
The Official Result
Veronica Hardy def. Jamey Lyn-Horth—Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
Big Brady believes Jamey-Lyn Horth is being undervalued after the line flipped from Hardy being a big underdog. He notes Horth has a three-inch height and reach advantage, plus a strength advantage, and should be able to dictate where the fight takes place. He thinks Horth is the better striker and can stuff takedowns or get her own. He predicts a decision win for Horth.
Cody picks Hardy as an underdog. He thinks Hardy's speed, footwork, and game plan with Dan Hardy can overcome Horth's size. He notes Hardy looked great in her last fight after a layoff. He believes if Hardy uses lateral movement and mixes in takedowns, she can win. He acknowledges Horth's strength but thinks Hardy's technique and game plan are key.
Lucrative James picks Veronica Hardy, citing her improved striking and speed advantage. He notes that while Jamey-Lyn Horth is a decent fighter with good wins, Hardy's in-and-out movement and early-round success should carry her. He acknowledges that Horth may grow into the fight later, but believes Hardy will have enough gas to win the early rounds and secure the victory.
Hardy's lateral footwork, speed, and striking from distance, combined with improved grappling from training with Dan Hardy, should allow her to exploit Horth's weaknesses on the ground. Horth is undefeated but has shown vulnerability when put in bad positions. Hardy's fight IQ and cardio will be key to wearing Horth down over three rounds. The plus 155 underdog price is seen as a good value spot.
Paul picks Horth, citing her size and strength. He thinks she can grind out Hardy. He notes the line movement is strange but he's going with the Canadian. He acknowledges Hardy's speed and game plan but believes Horth's physicality will be too much.
The MMA Guru picks Jamey-Lyn Horth over Veronica Hardy, citing Horth's physicality advantage and post-30-year-old female rage. He acknowledges Hardy may be more technical but believes Horth's size and reach will be decisive. He expects a close decision, likely 29-28, and goes with the larger fighter.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 30 of 79 | 37% | 49 of 98 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 3 | 0 | 1:19 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 62 of 77 | 80% | 78 of 95 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 7:36 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 19 of 45 | 42% | 25 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 26 of 35 | 74% | 32 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 8 of 20 | 40% | 12 of 24 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 16 of 19 | 84% | 20 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:45 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 3 of 14 | 21% | 12 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 20 of 23 | 86% | 26 of 30 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 30 of 79 | 37% | 20 of 63 | 9 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 22 of 65 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 5 |
| Juliana Miller | 62 of 77 | 80% | 39 of 52 | 12 of 14 | 11 of 11 | 32 of 43 | 5 of 6 | 25 of 28 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 19 of 45 | 42% | 12 of 35 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 14 of 39 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Juliana Miller | 26 of 35 | 74% | 19 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 6 | 18 of 27 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 3 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 8 of 20 | 40% | 7 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 |
| Juliana Miller | 16 of 19 | 84% | 14 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 12 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 3 of 14 | 21% | 1 of 10 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 |
| Juliana Miller | 20 of 23 | 86% | 6 of 8 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 13 of 13 |
Angelo acknowledges Juliana Miller is ferocious and has impressive scramble skills, but he notes she is not very polished and only has four professional fights. He is wary of betting on women's MMA after JJ Aldrich's loss and refuses to lay -450 on a fighter he considers not very good. He sees this as a setup win for Miller but is staying away from betting.
Big Brady picks Juliana Miller, noting she made improvements in her last fight against Brogan Walker, especially in wrestling. He is concerned about Miller's striking defense and hittability, but believes she can take the fight down and finish. He is not confident enough to lay -450, but sees Miller's path to victory via TKO or submission. He mentions Hardy has not fought in three years and looked awful in her last UFC stint.
Cody picks Miller, citing her grappling advantage and Hardy's susceptibility to takedowns. He notes Miller's striking is poor but if she gets the fight to the ground, she should win. He worries about Miller's mental lapses and the crowd atmosphere, but thinks she is the better fighter. He says minus 450 is scary but Miller should roll.
Connor picks Miller, citing Hardy's inefficiency and poor fight IQ. He notes that Hardy burns energy quickly and makes bad decisions, while Miller is relentless with her wrestling and top pressure. Connor believes Miller will take Hardy down and grind her out, despite Miller's own technical flaws.
Jacob thinks Juliana Miller should win but has low confidence due to the unpredictability of women's MMA. He notes Veronica Hardy has been away for three years and could look great or rusty. He likes the under 2.5 rounds at even money because Miller should steamroll Hardy, but he is not betting the moneyline.
Miller's grappling is her calling card, but her striking is technically deficient and leaves openings. Hardy has a long layoff and is poor off her back unless she throws up a Hail Mary submission. Miller's relentless pace and top control should lead to a finish in the latter half. The fight doesn't go to decision is the favorite spot.
Paul picks Miller, noting Hardy's strange career path and long layoff. He says Hardy is surprisingly only 27 but has been doing broadcasting and may not be fully committed. He thinks Miller's tenacity and grappling will be too much. He says minus 450 scares him but he sees more upside from Miller.
The MMA Guru picks Juliana Miller over Veronica Hardy, citing Hardy's lack of commitment and long layoffs. He notes Hardy has not been active and seems to treat MMA as a hobby, while Miller has more recent experience including fights on The Ultimate Fighter. He predicts Miller will win by decision, acknowledging Hardy's dangerous submission game off her back but favoring Miller's mindset and activity.
Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Hardy's taekwondo-based style leaves her vulnerable to pressure. He points out that Hardy gasses quickly and cannot manage distance well. Zane expects Miller's aggressive wrestling and top control to be too much for Hardy, who has no answer for a relentless grappler.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bea Malecki | 0 | 93 of 258 | 36% | 106 of 271 | 0 of 9 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 130 of 247 | 52% | 190 of 326 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:23 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bea Malecki | 0 | 37 of 112 | 33% | 37 of 112 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 36 of 81 | 44% | 36 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Bea Malecki | 0 | 24 of 70 | 34% | 28 of 74 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 48 of 87 | 55% | 84 of 139 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:54 | |
| 3 | Bea Malecki | 0 | 32 of 76 | 42% | 41 of 85 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 46 of 79 | 58% | 70 of 106 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:29 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bea Malecki | 93 of 258 | 36% | 67 of 213 | 14 of 30 | 12 of 15 | 90 of 246 | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Veronica Hardy | 130 of 247 | 52% | 92 of 191 | 34 of 50 | 4 of 6 | 107 of 214 | 11 of 13 | 12 of 20 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bea Malecki | 37 of 112 | 33% | 19 of 83 | 10 of 21 | 8 of 8 | 36 of 106 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Veronica Hardy | 36 of 81 | 44% | 25 of 59 | 9 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 35 of 78 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Bea Malecki | 24 of 70 | 34% | 18 of 61 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 6 | 24 of 67 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Veronica Hardy | 48 of 87 | 55% | 35 of 70 | 13 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 32 of 64 | 6 of 6 | 10 of 17 | |
| 3 | Bea Malecki | 32 of 76 | 42% | 30 of 69 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 30 of 73 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Veronica Hardy | 46 of 79 | 58% | 32 of 62 | 12 of 14 | 2 of 3 | 40 of 72 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 3 |
Daniel sees this as a 50/50 fight and likes the dog. He notes Malecki's size advantage and Muay Thai skills, and thinks she can keep the fight at range. He's not confident in Macedo's ability to take over in the third round, so he sides with the underdog.
The host picks Veronica Hardy (referred to as Veronica Macedo) over Bea Malecki. He notes that Malecki was destroyed by Duda Santana but managed a Hail Mary submission, while Hardy has fought better opponents and is 6-3. He expects Hardy to win by unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:04 |
| Polyana Viana | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:04 |
| Polyana Viana | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Polyana Viana | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Polyana Viana | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Kicking off the
Ultimate Fighting Championship's
debut in Uruguay is a flyweight fight between two women desperately seeking a win in Macedo (5-3-1, 0-3 UFC) and Viana (10-3, 1-2 UFC). Our referee for this first contest is Keith Peterson. Viana comes out with a body kick to start off the night, and then scores one more. Macedo tries for a spinning back kick but misses and ends up on her back, where Viana takes half guard. Viana advances position by trapping Macedo's arm under her knee for a moment, but Macedo slips out.
Out of nowhere, Macedo throws her legs up to snatch an armbar, and Viana rolls to try to defend it but ends up on her back, and Viana has no choice but to tap out!
Macedo earns the first win of her UFC career, and in the process becomes the first fighter to ever finish Viana.
The Official Result
Veronica Macedo def. Polyana Viana R1 1:09 via Submission (Armbar)
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gillian Robertson | 0 | 23 of 41 | 56% | 35 of 59 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 2 | 1:50 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 10 of 14 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 3 | 4:26 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gillian Robertson | 0 | 19 of 33 | 57% | 27 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 2 | 0:46 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 7 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 2 | 2:55 | |
| 2 | Gillian Robertson | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:04 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 3 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 1:31 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gillian Robertson | 23 of 41 | 56% | 21 of 38 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 25 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 14 |
| Veronica Hardy | 5 of 8 | 62% | 5 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gillian Robertson | 19 of 33 | 57% | 18 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 14 |
| Veronica Hardy | 5 of 6 | 83% | 5 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Gillian Robertson | 4 of 8 | 50% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
JJ Aldrich - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 50 of 149 | 33% | 52 of 154 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 70 of 230 | 30% | 73 of 233 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JJ Aldrich | 0 | 7 of 43 | 16% | 9 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 21 of 54 | 38% | 23 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | JJ Aldrich | 0 | 16 of 46 | 34% | 16 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 21 of 88 | 23% | 22 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | JJ Aldrich | 0 | 27 of 60 | 45% | 27 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 28 of 88 | 31% | 28 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Aldrich | 50 of 149 | 33% | 35 of 127 | 5 of 8 | 10 of 14 | 50 of 149 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 70 of 230 | 30% | 28 of 158 | 25 of 48 | 17 of 24 | 70 of 230 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JJ Aldrich | 7 of 43 | 16% | 5 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 7 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 21 of 54 | 38% | 11 of 33 | 8 of 15 | 2 of 6 | 21 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | JJ Aldrich | 16 of 46 | 34% | 11 of 39 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 16 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 21 of 88 | 23% | 7 of 67 | 5 of 10 | 9 of 11 | 21 of 88 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | JJ Aldrich | 27 of 60 | 45% | 19 of 50 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 27 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 28 of 88 | 31% | 10 of 58 | 12 of 23 | 6 of 7 | 28 of 88 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her power, range control, and higher fight IQ. He notes that JJ Aldrich is coming off a layoff and was never dangerous, and that Horth's takedown defense is a concern but JJ is not a strong wrestler. He expects Horth to win a shutout decision.
Big Brady picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her size, strength, and physicality. He believes Horth will win in the clinch and grind out a close split decision, despite Aldrich having better striking at distance. He expects an unexciting fight.
Cody picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her physical strength and ability to pressure. He notes that JJ Aldrich has mental toughness issues and tends to fade when pressured. He expects Horth to win by decision or late stoppage.
Connor picks Aldrich because she is a much better technician with faster hands and superior skills everywhere. He notes that Horth is not the kind of athlete that beats Aldrich, and Aldrich has beaten similar fighters like Jillian Robertson and Vanessa Demopoulos. However, he expresses concern that Aldrich's tendency to abandon what works could make the fight closer than it should be.
Aldrich is the better fighter everywhere: more technical boxing, southpaw stance, improved takedown defense, and better MMA grappling. Horth has home advantage but poor fight IQ and is an inexperienced striker. Aldrich's main issue is putting her stamp on rounds, but she should do enough to win a close decision. The odds are off; Aldrich should be at least 50%.
James picks JJ Aldrich as an underdog, believing the line is too wide. He thinks Aldrich's boxing and takedown defense will keep the fight competitive, and that Horth's advantages are overstated. He predicts a decision win.
The host thinks Aldrich is the superior striker technically and has a strength of schedule advantage. He believes she will land more effective shots and withstand Horton's power. He notes that Horton throws with more power, which gives him pause, but sees value on Aldrich as a live underdog. He predicts Aldrich by decision.
Paul picks JJ Aldrich as a slight underdog, citing her experience and plus money. He notes that both fighters are similar but Aldrich has fought better competition. He expects a close decision and likes the value on Aldrich.
Zane agrees with Connor, emphasizing that Aldrich is a good technician and solid grappler who has beaten better fighters than Horth. He notes that Horth's best win is over Vanessa Demopoulos, while Aldrich has wins over better competition. He also points out that Horth is not a reckless fighter like Andrea Lee, so Aldrich may not get easy counters, but she should still win handily.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 53 of 175 | 30% | 66 of 192 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 0:46 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 74 of 137 | 54% | 77 of 142 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrea Lee | 0 | 18 of 57 | 31% | 18 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 21 of 43 | 48% | 23 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 2 | Andrea Lee | 0 | 15 of 58 | 25% | 18 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 25 of 46 | 54% | 25 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 | |
| 3 | Andrea Lee | 0 | 20 of 60 | 33% | 30 of 74 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:46 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 28 of 48 | 58% | 29 of 50 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Lee | 53 of 175 | 30% | 13 of 109 | 25 of 44 | 15 of 22 | 52 of 174 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 74 of 137 | 54% | 54 of 114 | 10 of 13 | 10 of 10 | 68 of 130 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrea Lee | 18 of 57 | 31% | 1 of 32 | 8 of 12 | 9 of 13 | 18 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 21 of 43 | 48% | 14 of 34 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 18 of 39 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Andrea Lee | 15 of 58 | 25% | 3 of 35 | 6 of 14 | 6 of 9 | 15 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 25 of 46 | 54% | 17 of 37 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 25 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Andrea Lee | 20 of 60 | 33% | 9 of 42 | 11 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 59 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 28 of 48 | 58% | 23 of 43 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 25 of 45 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Andrea Lee despite her five-fight losing streak, arguing that she is still a good striker with quality losses and close decisions. He criticizes JJ Aldrich as inconsistent and lacking in wrestling and striking. He sees value in Lee at +163 odds but warns against betting on this fight due to the unpredictability of both fighters.
Big Brady picks JJ Aldrich but is hesitant. He acknowledges value on Andrea Lee at +170 but cannot pick her due to her five-fight losing streak and apparent decline. He notes Aldrich's takedown defense and striking should be enough, but expects a close split decision.
The host leans with Aldrich, believing she can use her striking approach to nullify Lee's kickboxing and shut down any grappling attempts. He expects Aldrich's combination style to earn her a decision win.
The Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Andrea Lee. He reasons that Andrea Lee is on a five-fight losing streak and declining, while Aldrich is more well-rounded and can get takedowns. He recalls Aldrich's performance against Erin Blanchfield before getting caught in a guillotine. He predicts a split decision win for Aldrich.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 27 of 63 | 42% | 38 of 76 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 5:09 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 36 of 78 | 46% | 69 of 113 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 9 of 24 | 37% | 10 of 25 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 26 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:12 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 15 of 35 | 42% | 21 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 10 of 21 | 47% | 18 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:23 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 7 of 19 | 36% | 22 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 27 of 63 | 42% | 19 of 51 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 15 of 47 | 8 of 9 | 4 of 7 |
| JJ Aldrich | 36 of 78 | 46% | 22 of 60 | 3 of 6 | 11 of 12 | 30 of 68 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 9 of 24 | 37% | 8 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 19 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 14 of 24 | 58% | 10 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 19 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 8 of 18 | 44% | 5 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 15 of 35 | 42% | 10 of 28 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 31 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 10 of 21 | 47% | 6 of 14 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 |
| JJ Aldrich | 7 of 19 | 36% | 2 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Angelo picks JJ Aldrich as an underdog, citing her improved striking and takedown defense in her last two fights. He notes she has an experience edge and a willingness to move forward. He acknowledges Veronica Hardy's technical striking and wrestling but believes Aldrich is more well-rounded. He also bets the over 2.5 rounds.
Big Brady picks Veronica Hardy because she is younger and has shown improvement since her layoff, looking like a completely different fighter. He notes that Hardy beat Juliana Miller decisively and had a competitive split decision win over Jamey-Lyn Horth. However, he acknowledges the fight is extremely close and expects it to go to a split decision, with the judges being unreliable. He prefers Hardy's upside over Aldridge's decent but limited game.
Cody picks Hardy, citing her improvements since marrying Dan Hardy. He notes that she has shown a well-rounded game, including takedowns and smart game plans. He believes she can mix in takedowns to keep Aldrich guessing and outwork her on the feet. Cody also mentions that Hardy trained at Renzo Gracie's for this camp, indicating a focus on grappling. He expects Hardy to win a competitive decision.
Daniel Vreeland picks Veronica Hardy, noting her improvements in strength and conditioning and her ability to get back up from bottom. He believes Hardy has leveled up, while JJ Aldrich has remained the same. He predicts a decision win for Hardy, though he doesn't like the short price.
The host leans Hardy due to her movement and speed, which will allow her to land effective damage in the first 6-7 minutes. He notes that Aldrich is not as aggressive as Hardy's previous opponent, allowing Hardy to dictate range. He expects Hardy to win on the scorecards, though Aldrich's countering ability could catch up later. The pick is a lean, not a strong bet.
Paul picks Hardy, noting that she was his first bet of the week. He highlights her takedown game and improved grappling since her return. He thinks Aldrich's takedown defense is inconsistent and that Hardy can exploit it. Paul also notes that Hardy's striking is competitive and that the threat of takedowns will slow Aldrich's volume. He is confident in Hardy.
The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Veronica Hardy, citing Aldrich's superior competition, size, reach, and aggression. He notes Hardy's recent wins came against lower-level opponents and that Aldrich is a career fighter with more to prove. He also mentions Aldrich's takedown defense and physicality in the clinch as key factors.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 67 of 204 | 32% | 70 of 209 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 65 of 135 | 48% | 66 of 136 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JJ Aldrich | 0 | 19 of 55 | 34% | 20 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 19 of 35 | 54% | 19 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 2 | JJ Aldrich | 0 | 21 of 63 | 33% | 23 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 20 of 44 | 45% | 20 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | JJ Aldrich | 0 | 27 of 86 | 31% | 27 of 86 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 0 | 26 of 56 | 46% | 27 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Aldrich | 67 of 204 | 32% | 41 of 172 | 13 of 16 | 13 of 16 | 59 of 184 | 8 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 65 of 135 | 48% | 55 of 122 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 58 of 124 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JJ Aldrich | 19 of 55 | 34% | 14 of 48 | 0 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 17 of 49 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 19 of 35 | 54% | 18 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 16 of 31 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | JJ Aldrich | 21 of 63 | 33% | 10 of 49 | 7 of 8 | 4 of 6 | 19 of 56 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 20 of 44 | 45% | 15 of 38 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 41 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | JJ Aldrich | 27 of 86 | 31% | 17 of 75 | 6 of 6 | 4 of 5 | 23 of 79 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Montana De La Rosa | 26 of 56 | 46% | 22 of 51 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 52 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Montana De La Rosa because she is a very good wrestler with a straightforward game plan of taking opponents down. He notes that JJ Aldrich is decent at everything but great at nothing, and that Aldrich was taken down in her last fight. He also mentions that Montana's losses are to quality fighters like Tatiana Suarez, while Aldrich has had poor performances. He placed a half-unit bet on Montana at +135, noting the line has since moved.
Big Brady leans toward Montana De La Rosa, noting that she has a grappling advantage over JJ Aldrich. He believes De La Rosa's wrestling is solid for the division and that she can control the fight on the ground. He mentions that Aldrich has been taken down by lesser grapplers like Liang Na, so De La Rosa should be able to secure takedowns. However, he admits the fight could be close if De La Rosa cannot get the takedown, and he preferred her at plus money. He predicts a decision win.
Cody picks De La Rosa, citing her toughness, wrestling, and ability to pressure. He notes that Aldrich has struggled against grapplers and that De La Rosa's tenacity will be key. He expects De La Rosa to make the fight dirty and win a decision.
Daniel Levi picks Montana De La Rosa, noting her toughness and improved hands. He acknowledges JJ Aldrich is the cleaner striker but thinks Montana can bully her and take her back. He mentions that the value has shifted to Aldrich now that Montana is favored, but his pure pick is Montana.
Lucrative James sees this as a close fight, likely 29-28 either way. He leans Montana De La Rosa because he has seen JJ Aldrich 'flake' a few times against physical opponents like Erin Blanchfield and Bara. He believes De La Rosa's physicality can cause Aldrich to falter, though he acknowledges it's a toss-up.
Aldrich took this fight on short notice, which suggests she believes she has an edge from training with De La Rosa in the past. She has good takedown defense and superior striking, and should be able to stuff takedowns or work back to her feet. De La Rosa is on a two-fight losing streak and relies on wrestling, but Aldrich has shown she can handle grapplers. Expect Aldrich to land more damage and win by decision.
Paul picks De La Rosa, agreeing with the line movement. He notes that Aldrich has been taken down and controlled by wrestlers, and that De La Rosa's wrestling and heart should be enough. He expects a decision win.
The MMA Guru picks Montana De La Rosa over JJ Aldridge. He believes De La Rosa is underrated and notes her decent performance against Macy Barber and competitive rounds with Tatiana Suarez. He points to a common opponent, Ariane Lipski, who finished De La Rosa but later beat Aldridge, suggesting De La Rosa is stronger. He also mentions a slight reach advantage for De La Rosa and describes Aldridge as 'two hit and miss.'
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 11 of 41 | 26% | 27 of 61 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 1:38 |
| Liang Na | 0 | 47 of 65 | 72% | 68 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 5:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JJ Aldrich | 0 | 7 of 28 | 25% | 21 of 45 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:56 |
| Liang Na | 0 | 11 of 20 | 55% | 18 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:41 | |
| 2 | JJ Aldrich | 0 | 4 of 13 | 30% | 6 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Liang Na | 0 | 36 of 45 | 80% | 50 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 3:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Aldrich | 11 of 41 | 26% | 7 of 30 | 3 of 8 | 1 of 3 | 9 of 36 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Liang Na | 47 of 65 | 72% | 46 of 63 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 18 | 1 of 2 | 37 of 45 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JJ Aldrich | 7 of 28 | 25% | 6 of 21 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 2 | 5 of 23 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Liang Na | 11 of 20 | 55% | 10 of 18 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 5 | |
| 2 | JJ Aldrich | 4 of 13 | 30% | 1 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Liang Na | 36 of 45 | 80% | 36 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 34 of 40 |
Angelo states that JJ Aldrich is better everywhere but expresses frustration with her last performance against Ariane Lipski, which cost him a bet. He sarcastically considers betting on Liang out of spite but ultimately acknowledges Aldrich should win. He does not recommend betting on Aldrich due to the poor value and his personal distrust.
Big Brady is a fan of Liang Na but acknowledges her flaws: she gasses out quickly, has poor durability, and quits when tired. He expects JJ Aldrich to weather an early storm and then take over as Liang fades. He predicts Aldrich will win by second-round knockout due to exhaustion, as Liang will be unable to continue.
Cody picks Aldrich, noting her experience and level of competition. He expects Liang to gas out after an early flurry, leading to a finish. Cody likes Aldrich inside the distance at minus 145.
Daniel picks JJ Aldrich, stating that she should win easily against a lower-level opponent. He notes that Liang Na is not UFC caliber, with poor striking and chin. However, he refuses to lay the heavy price, calling it a pass. He is confident Aldrich wins but sees no betting value.
James is confident JJ Aldrich wins, citing her superior striking and Liang Na's lack of UFC-level success. He notes Liang Na has been finished by strikes in both UFC fights and has only one round of cardio. He predicts Aldrich will piece her up on the feet and likely get a finish, possibly in round three. However, he does not bet on the fight due to the short odds and Aldrich's lack of finishing history.
The host describes Liang Na as a 'die or get carried out' fighter who leaves herself open with wide looping shots and has poor takedown defense. JJ Aldrich is the far more technical striker and the host expects her to anticipate takedowns, counter effectively, and find a knockout. The host notes Aldrich hasn't finished in 7-8 years but believes this matchup is perfect for her to get a finish. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds prop.
Paul picks Aldrich, noting Liang's poor UFC performances and one-dimensional style. He expects Aldrich to survive the early storm and win by decision or late finish. Paul is not interested in the price but sees Aldrich as a safe pick.
The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Liang Na, calling it a no-brainer. He notes Aldrich's high-level experience in the UFC since 2016 with wins over known fighters like Julian Robertson and Courtney Casey. He dismisses Liang Na as simply not good, having lost to lower-level opponents. He emphasizes Aldrich's superior level of competition.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 101 of 204 | 49% | 113 of 216 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 49 of 99 | 49% | 56 of 106 | 0 of 12 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ariane da Silva | 0 | 35 of 67 | 52% | 40 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 11 of 20 | 55% | 14 of 23 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 | |
| 2 | Ariane da Silva | 0 | 35 of 73 | 47% | 35 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 20 of 39 | 51% | 20 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Ariane da Silva | 0 | 31 of 64 | 48% | 38 of 71 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 18 of 40 | 45% | 22 of 44 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariane da Silva | 101 of 204 | 49% | 47 of 134 | 42 of 56 | 12 of 14 | 77 of 176 | 24 of 28 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 49 of 99 | 49% | 42 of 92 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 45 of 95 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ariane da Silva | 35 of 67 | 52% | 17 of 42 | 15 of 20 | 3 of 5 | 22 of 53 | 13 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 11 of 20 | 55% | 9 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ariane da Silva | 35 of 73 | 47% | 15 of 48 | 15 of 20 | 5 of 5 | 30 of 68 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 20 of 39 | 51% | 18 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ariane da Silva | 31 of 64 | 48% | 15 of 44 | 12 of 16 | 4 of 4 | 25 of 55 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 18 of 40 | 45% | 15 of 37 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in JJ Aldrich, describing her as a solid, dependable grinder who will stick to a game plan and grind forward. He notes she is dangerous nowhere but good everywhere, and despite breaking his rule against betting on women's MMA, he places a 1.5 unit bet at -220. He believes she will win without taking risks.
Big Brady is confident in JJ Aldrich, noting she is the much more technical striker with better footwork. He highlights Lipski's huge hole in her ground game, calling it 'atrocious' and noting she has been finished on the mat multiple times. Brady expects Aldrich to mix takedowns and eventually get a late TKO, though he acknowledges decision is more likely.
Cody picks Aldrich, citing her training and striking. He notes da Silva's lack of improvement and thinks Aldrich can finish or win a decision. He is cautious about the price but sees Aldrich as a safe parlay piece.
Connor picks Aldrich confidently, citing her superior striking, takedown ability, and experience. He notes that Lipski has poor takedown defense and tends to focus on punching when pressured, which Aldrich can exploit with clinch work and takedowns. He believes Aldrich is a level above Lipski's previous competition.
Aldrich's footwork, combination striking, and experience should be too much for Lipski. Lipski has struggled against higher-level competition and has been finished in her losses. Aldrich can win on the feet or even on the ground. I expect Aldrich to box her way to a decision victory, controlling the distance and landing the cleaner shots.
Paul picks Aldrich, noting her striking advantage and improved wrestling. He thinks she can win standing or on the ground, but is wary of the -450 price. He mentions the under 2.5 rounds prop as interesting.
The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich, calling her underrated. He notes she trains with top fighters and performed decently against Blanchfield before getting guillotined. He believes Aldrich is more well-rounded and tougher, and will win a decision by out-grappling and making Ariane da Silva gun-shy.
Zane picks Aldrich, noting that she is a consistent, well-rounded fighter who should handle Lipski's aggressive but flawed style. He points out that Lipski's best win is against Luana Carolina, who is messy, and that Aldrich's takedown threat and counter-striking will be too much.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Blanchfield | 0 | 48 of 100 | 48% | 68 of 121 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:56 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 32 of 71 | 45% | 38 of 77 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erin Blanchfield | 0 | 23 of 58 | 39% | 27 of 62 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 16 of 43 | 37% | 21 of 48 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 2 | Erin Blanchfield | 0 | 25 of 42 | 59% | 41 of 59 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:13 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 16 of 28 | 57% | 17 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Blanchfield | 48 of 100 | 48% | 29 of 76 | 11 of 11 | 8 of 13 | 46 of 96 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 32 of 71 | 45% | 29 of 66 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 31 of 68 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erin Blanchfield | 23 of 58 | 39% | 13 of 44 | 7 of 7 | 3 of 7 | 22 of 56 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 16 of 43 | 37% | 15 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Erin Blanchfield | 25 of 42 | 59% | 16 of 32 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 6 | 24 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 16 of 28 | 57% | 14 of 24 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo sees Erin Blanchfield as a nasty grappler with dominant wrestling, and believes her path to victory is through grappling. He notes that JJ Aldrich is a decision machine with decent striking but a negative striking differential, and that the experience gap is not wide enough to matter. He expects Blanchfield to dominate with heavy grappling and may place a moneyline bet depending on the line movement.
Big Brady picks Erin Blanchfield to win by decision. He notes that Blanchfield is a huge favorite at -600 but thinks the line is too high, though he still sees her as one of the safer picks on the card. He expects Blanchfield to take Aldrich down repeatedly and control the fight on the mat, grinding out a dominant decision. He acknowledges Aldrich has good takedown defense but believes Blanchfield's relentless wrestling will be too much.
Cody picks Blanchfield, calling her a real prospect. He notes her wrestling and pressure, and thinks Aldrich's takedown defense has not been tested by a wrestler of Blanchfield's caliber. He expects Blanchfield to win by decision.
Daniel Levi picks Erin Blanchfield, praising her jiu-jitsu, wrestling, and youth. He acknowledges JJ Aldrich's experience but believes Blanchfield's skills will prevail. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation due to the steep price, but picks Blanchfield to win, likely by decision.
Paul picks Blanchfield and has already bet Blanchfield by decision at -138. He notes Blanchfield's relentless grappling and pressure, and Aldrich's durability. He thinks Blanchfield will secure takedowns and grind out a decision.
The MMA Guru picks Erin Blanchfield despite acknowledging JJ Aldrich as a decent underdog. He worries Aldrich might stuff takedowns but notes that Miranda Maverick, who he considers equal or better than Aldrich, couldn't stop Blanchfield's grappling. He expects Blanchfield to dominate on the ground and win by unanimous decision 30-27. However, he strongly dislikes the odds, calling them 'really annoying' and implying they are too wide for his comfort.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 60 of 118 | 50% | 76 of 137 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 3:07 |
| Gillian Robertson | 0 | 52 of 139 | 37% | 67 of 154 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JJ Aldrich | 0 | 19 of 35 | 54% | 19 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gillian Robertson | 0 | 16 of 57 | 28% | 16 of 57 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | JJ Aldrich | 0 | 23 of 44 | 52% | 30 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:16 |
| Gillian Robertson | 0 | 17 of 40 | 42% | 19 of 42 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 | |
| 3 | JJ Aldrich | 0 | 18 of 39 | 46% | 27 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:51 |
| Gillian Robertson | 0 | 19 of 42 | 45% | 32 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Aldrich | 60 of 118 | 50% | 56 of 114 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 49 of 105 | 9 of 11 | 2 of 2 |
| Gillian Robertson | 52 of 139 | 37% | 17 of 81 | 18 of 36 | 17 of 22 | 45 of 131 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JJ Aldrich | 19 of 35 | 54% | 17 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Gillian Robertson | 16 of 57 | 28% | 4 of 30 | 4 of 16 | 8 of 11 | 16 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | JJ Aldrich | 23 of 44 | 52% | 22 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 36 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Gillian Robertson | 17 of 40 | 42% | 7 of 26 | 7 of 9 | 3 of 5 | 15 of 38 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | JJ Aldrich | 18 of 39 | 46% | 17 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
| Gillian Robertson | 19 of 42 | 45% | 6 of 25 | 7 of 11 | 6 of 6 | 14 of 36 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Gillian Robertson because she is a well-rounded fighter with a strong wrestling base, averaging almost three takedowns per fight. He believes Robertson will be more physical and work the fight to the ground, as JJ Aldrich has not faced someone as physical or wrestling-heavy. He notes that the -150 odds are spot on and expects the line to move further in Robertson's favor.
Big Brady picks the underdog JJ Aldrich to win by decision. He praises Aldrich's underrated grappling, takedown defense, and ability to control opponents on the mat, citing her performances against Vanessa Demopoulos and Paulina Viana. He notes Robertson has poor takedown defense (16%) and is content to play off her back, but Aldrich's BJJ is good enough to avoid submissions. He thinks Aldrich has more paths to victory: out-striking or controlling on the ground.
Cody picks Aldrich, citing her durability and striking advantage. He notes Robertson's cardio issues and Aldrich's training with Maverick. He likes the over 2.5 rounds as a bet.
Daniel Levi picks JJ Aldrich, arguing that Aldrich's stand-up is way higher than Robertson's and that she keeps her distance well. He believes if Aldrich stuffs the first few takedowns, Robertson will start flopping to her back, allowing Aldrich to take advantage. Levi acknowledges that if Robertson gets on top, Aldrich is a brown belt and can survive, but he sees Aldrich neutralizing Robertson and winning a decision.
Aldrich has good boxing and takedown defense, but hasn't faced a relentless grappler like Robertson recently. She can keep the fight standing and use top control if taken down. Robertson is a submission specialist but may struggle to get takedowns. Aldrich is predicted to win via decision, with the over 2.5 rounds also considered.
Paul picks Aldrich, citing her durability and striking. He notes Robertson's cardio issues and Aldrich's training with Maverick. He likes the over 2.5 rounds.
The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Gillian Robertson, going against the grain. He highlights Aldrich's takedown defense, noting she hasn't been taken down since 2019 and pops right back up. He believes Aldrich is capable on the feet, training with Rose Namajunas and Valentina Shevchenko, and that Robertson won't be able to utilize her grappling. He predicts a grinding decision or a late-round TKO, as Aldrich is tough to submit.
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks JJ Aldrich as an underdog, citing her improved striking and takedown defense in her last two fights. He notes she has an experience edge and a willingness to move forward. He acknowledges Veronica Hardy's technical striking and wrestling but believes Aldrich is more well-rounded. He also bets the over 2.5 rounds.
Big Brady picks Veronica Hardy because she is younger and has shown improvement since her layoff, looking like a completely different fighter. He notes that Hardy beat Juliana Miller decisively and had a competitive split decision win over Jamey-Lyn Horth. However, he acknowledges the fight is extremely close and expects it to go to a split decision, with the judges being unreliable. He prefers Hardy's upside over Aldridge's decent but limited game.
Cody picks Hardy, citing her improvements since marrying Dan Hardy. He notes that she has shown a well-rounded game, including takedowns and smart game plans. He believes she can mix in takedowns to keep Aldrich guessing and outwork her on the feet. Cody also mentions that Hardy trained at Renzo Gracie's for this camp, indicating a focus on grappling. He expects Hardy to win a competitive decision.
Daniel Vreeland picks Veronica Hardy, noting her improvements in strength and conditioning and her ability to get back up from bottom. He believes Hardy has leveled up, while JJ Aldrich has remained the same. He predicts a decision win for Hardy, though he doesn't like the short price.
The host leans Hardy due to her movement and speed, which will allow her to land effective damage in the first 6-7 minutes. He notes that Aldrich is not as aggressive as Hardy's previous opponent, allowing Hardy to dictate range. He expects Hardy to win on the scorecards, though Aldrich's countering ability could catch up later. The pick is a lean, not a strong bet.
Paul picks Hardy, noting that she was his first bet of the week. He highlights her takedown game and improved grappling since her return. He thinks Aldrich's takedown defense is inconsistent and that Hardy can exploit it. Paul also notes that Hardy's striking is competitive and that the threat of takedowns will slow Aldrich's volume. He is confident in Hardy.
The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Veronica Hardy, citing Aldrich's superior competition, size, reach, and aggression. He notes Hardy's recent wins came against lower-level opponents and that Aldrich is a career fighter with more to prove. He also mentions Aldrich's takedown defense and physicality in the clinch as key factors.
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