vs
+190 -200
UFC 312: du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · Feb 09, 2025 · Featherweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 312: du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 Next Fight
Age 32
Height 5' 7"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Switch
Age 29
Height 5' 9"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Jack Jenkins
4.48 SLpM
61.0% Str. Acc.
2.95 SApM
59.0% Str. Def.
1.98 TD Avg
60.0% TD Acc.
71.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Gabriel Santos
4.35 SLpM
60.0% Str. Acc.
4.31 SApM
45.0% Str. Def.
3.8 TD Avg
54.0% TD Acc.
87.0% TD Def.
1.2 Sub. Avg
Jack Jenkins
Moneyline
Caesars +190
KO/TKO
FanDuel +650
Submission
BetRivers +2200
Decision
DraftKings +400
Gabriel Santos
Moneyline
BetMGM -200
KO/TKO
FanDuel +600
Submission
BetWay +450
Decision
BetRivers +160
Jack Jenkins - Fight History
WIN vs Ramon Taveras
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · Sep 28, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Jenkins 0 65 of 109 59% 73 of 123 3 of 6 50% 1 0 3:58
Ramon Taveras 0 43 of 113 38% 68 of 142 0 of 4 0% 0 1 1:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Jenkins 0 32 of 56 57% 32 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ramon Taveras 0 16 of 43 37% 16 of 43 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
2 Jack Jenkins 0 29 of 42 69% 29 of 43 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:04
Ramon Taveras 0 20 of 58 34% 30 of 68 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:25
3 Jack Jenkins 0 4 of 11 36% 12 of 24 2 of 3 66% 1 0 2:54
Ramon Taveras 0 7 of 12 58% 22 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Jenkins 65 of 109 59% 29 of 68 16 of 21 20 of 20 58 of 95 4 of 5 3 of 9
Ramon Taveras 43 of 113 38% 36 of 98 6 of 14 1 of 1 38 of 106 0 of 1 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Jenkins 32 of 56 57% 14 of 33 11 of 16 7 of 7 29 of 52 3 of 4 0 of 0
Ramon Taveras 16 of 43 37% 11 of 34 4 of 8 1 of 1 16 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jack Jenkins 29 of 42 69% 12 of 25 5 of 5 12 of 12 28 of 41 1 of 1 0 of 0
Ramon Taveras 20 of 58 34% 18 of 52 2 of 6 0 of 0 20 of 57 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Jack Jenkins 4 of 11 36% 3 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 9
Ramon Taveras 7 of 12 58% 7 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 5 of 6
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Angelo picks Jack Jenkins despite thinking he is overrated, because he believes Jenkins can win with forward pressure and volume, similar to how Davy Grant beat Taveras. He notes Taveras chases overhands and power, which Jenkins can counter. He attributes the line collapse to Jenkins' ironic mustache, not his skills.

"I personally do think Jack is overrated. So, for me to pick Jack while thinking he's overrated should tell you something. I think he's just getting too much credit for breaking somebody's leg five years ago or 10, whatever the …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Big Brady picks Jack Jenkins to win by decision. He notes Jenkins has more tools, including leg kicks that will target Taveras's lead leg. He also mentions Jenkins can mix in takedowns. He thinks the line is a bit wide but still expects Jenkins to win at home.

"Give me Jack Jenkins and Jack Jenkins by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Cody picks Jenkins, citing his devastating leg kicks that will slow Taveras down over time. He notes Taveras is a better boxer but flat-footed and has no takedown attempts in his UFC career, making him vulnerable to Jenkins' kicks and potential wrestling. He also mentions Taveras missed weight in past fights and is traveling to Perth, which could affect his performance.

"I think Jack Jenkins wins. I think he wins. I I like this guy's leg kicks."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Connor also picks Jenkins, agreeing that Taveras is a good matchup for him. He notes that Taveras is an expert at letting things happen to him and has a big head, making him easy to hit. Connor thinks Jenkins's low kicks and counter punching will be effective, and that Taveras's toughness won't be enough to overcome Jenkins's advantages. He cautions that Jenkins's game is thin, but Taveras is not the kind of fighter to expose it.

"Feels like a very good fight for Jenkins, honestly."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Sep 19, 2025 (9 days before fight)

James has not done tape study on this fight and passes on making a pick. He mentions he likes Jack Jenkins as a fighter but does not provide a prediction.

"I'm going to pass on this one, boys."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

The host notes Taveras is moving up to 145 lbs after weight issues at 135. He thinks Taveras will struggle against Jenkins' calf kicking and grappling game, keeping Taveras on the defensive and leading to a decision win for Jenkins.

"Diverus being forced to go up to 145 pounds now after multiple issues at 135 pounds. But I think he's going to struggle here against Jack Jenkins who has a great calf kicking game and a good grappling game. And …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

The Guru picks Jack Jenkins, citing his ability to break bones with strikes and his kicking game. He notes Taveras is moving up from bantamweight and has been victimized by kicks before. He expects a sustained beating leading to a TKO in round two or three.

TKO in round 2 or 3
"I'm going with Jack Jenkins over Ramon."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Zane picks Jenkins confidently, noting that Taveras has trouble with low kicks and has a big head that is easy to punch. He believes Jenkins's crushing low kicks and top game will be too much for Taveras, who is tough but not skilled enough to deter Jenkins. Zane expects Jenkins to look great in this fight, though he acknowledges Jenkins's game is narrow and he struggles against fighters who can control distance.

"Feels like a very good fight for Jenkins, honestly."
LOSS vs Gabriel Santos
Submission R3 2:06 · UFC 312: du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · Feb 09, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Jenkins 1 34 of 48 70% 39 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:20
Gabriel Santos 0 39 of 61 63% 96 of 123 4 of 7 57% 2 0 6:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Jenkins 1 28 of 36 77% 33 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:17
Gabriel Santos 0 9 of 20 45% 22 of 34 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:50
2 Jack Jenkins 0 5 of 11 45% 5 of 11 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Gabriel Santos 0 24 of 32 75% 58 of 69 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:48
3 Jack Jenkins 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gabriel Santos 0 6 of 9 66% 16 of 20 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Jenkins 34 of 48 70% 22 of 35 5 of 6 7 of 7 13 of 22 5 of 6 16 of 20
Gabriel Santos 39 of 61 63% 26 of 44 6 of 9 7 of 8 23 of 45 3 of 3 13 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Jenkins 28 of 36 77% 19 of 26 3 of 4 6 of 6 7 of 10 5 of 6 16 of 20
Gabriel Santos 9 of 20 45% 3 of 12 2 of 3 4 of 5 9 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jack Jenkins 5 of 11 45% 2 of 8 2 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gabriel Santos 24 of 32 75% 19 of 25 3 of 5 2 of 2 9 of 17 3 of 3 12 of 12
3 Jack Jenkins 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gabriel Santos 6 of 9 66% 4 of 7 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Big Brady is a big fan of Gabriel Santos, believing he is much better than his 1-2 UFC record indicates. He notes Santos's well-rounded skills, power, and BJJ black belt. He thinks Santos has a significant grappling advantage over Jack Jenkins, who was taken down and controlled by Jamal Emmers. Brady predicts Santos will win a decision, possibly with a submission.

"I'm going to say Gabriel Santos wins a decision here and what should be a fun fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Santos is considered the better fighter, slicker with Muay Thai and more aggressive with BJJ. His Muay Thai will allow him to check Jenkins' kicks and counter with straight shots. The fight is expected to go to decision with Santos winning.

decision
"I believe Santos is the better fighter here in terms of being more dangerous I think he's a little bit Slicker with his Muay Thai a little bit more aggressive with his BJJ"
WIN vs Herbert Burns
TKO (retirement) R3 0:48 · UFC 305: du Plessis vs. Adesanya · Aug 18, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Jenkins 2 73 of 126 57% 98 of 152 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:44
Herbert Burns 0 24 of 79 30% 45 of 101 2 of 9 22% 0 0 1:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Jenkins 0 39 of 66 59% 53 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Herbert Burns 0 15 of 53 28% 28 of 66 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:09
2 Jack Jenkins 1 20 of 38 52% 31 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:15
Herbert Burns 0 6 of 23 26% 14 of 32 1 of 6 16% 0 0 0:45
3 Jack Jenkins 1 14 of 22 63% 14 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Herbert Burns 0 3 of 3 100% 3 of 3 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Jenkins 73 of 126 57% 44 of 95 15 of 15 14 of 16 59 of 99 0 of 1 14 of 26
Herbert Burns 24 of 79 30% 11 of 61 7 of 10 6 of 8 21 of 73 3 of 4 0 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Jenkins 39 of 66 59% 24 of 51 11 of 11 4 of 4 39 of 65 0 of 1 0 of 0
Herbert Burns 15 of 53 28% 8 of 43 4 of 6 3 of 4 14 of 51 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Jack Jenkins 20 of 38 52% 8 of 24 3 of 3 9 of 11 14 of 26 0 of 0 6 of 12
Herbert Burns 6 of 23 26% 2 of 17 2 of 3 2 of 3 5 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 2
3 Jack Jenkins 14 of 22 63% 12 of 20 1 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 8 0 of 0 8 of 14
Herbert Burns 3 of 3 100% 1 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 11, 2024 (7 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Angelo is confident Jack Jenkins will win, citing his superior striking, takedown defense, and multiple ways to win. He dismisses Herbert Burns as a submission-or-bust fighter with poor offensive wrestling who seems to hate fighting. Angelo expects Jenkins to light Burns up on the feet and suggests parlaying him before the odds get even shorter.

Suggests parlaying Jenkins before odds get crazy
"Jack Jenkins is going to be safe here he's going to light up Herbert Burns and you should probably parlay him before those odds get crazy."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Big Brady picks Jack Jenkins to win by second-round knockout. He notes Herbert Burns is very dangerous in the first five minutes but has poor cardio, heart, and durability, and has been knocked out in the second round in his last three losses. He believes Jenkins can survive the first round, possibly in bad spots, and then finish Burns in the second. He cautions that Jenkins has been finished in all three of his losses, so Burns has a five-minute window to submit him, but overall he expects Jenkins to get the knockout.

knockout in round 2
"give me Jack Jenkins and give me Jack Jenkins by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Cody is confident Jenkins will win but notes the price is blown out. He expects Jenkins to survive the first round and then take over as Burns gasses. He mentions Jenkins' leg kicks and cardio as advantages, but warns that Burns has a puncher's chance early. Cody suggests live betting Jenkins after the first round.

"I will take jenin"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Daniel Vreeland picks Jack Jenkins to win by late finish, likely in round two or three. He notes that Jenkins is a systematic leg kicker who will chop Burns down, while Burns gasses and has been finished repeatedly. Vreeland suggests playing Jenkins round two as a hedge against the under 1.5 rounds.

round 2 finish
"I think he's going to get a round two finish Herbert's been finished in round two like 10 times in a row or something crazy like that"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

The host picks Jenkins, noting his solid striking and mixing of martial arts. He expects Jenkins to avoid Burns' early power and then put a pace on him, finishing him likely by knockout. He mentions the under 1.5 rounds prop as a potential bet, and notes Jenkins' round 2 prop at +550.

Under 1.5 rounds, Jenkins round 2 prop (+550)
"I'm going to go Jenkins I think Jenkins finishes Burns maybe knocks him out"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Paul acknowledges Jenkins is not a potent finisher but believes he will outlast Burns, who has terrible cardio. He notes that Burns has been submitted in his last two and that Jenkins has never been knocked out. Paul calls it a cop-out but picks Jenkins, though he is priced out of betting.

"it's Jack Jenkins but at minus 800 I don't I'm not entirely sure what to do with it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

The MMA Guru picks Jack Jenkins over Herbert Burns. He criticizes Burns as a quitter with only one round of cardio, comparing him to Makwan Amirkhani. He praises Jenkins' takedown defense, noting his strong hips and foot positioning. He predicts Burns will have early moments but gas out and get finished in the second or third round, possibly by TKO. He also mentions body kicks on the ground as a potential finish.

Late first or second round TKO
"I'm going to go Jack Jenkins he actually was doing pretty well against the grappling of sheet marisca early in their fight showed some good Australian takedown defense"
LOSS vs Chepe Mariscal
TKO (arm injury) R2 3:19 · UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · Sep 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chepe Mariscal 0 41 of 68 60% 43 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Jack Jenkins 0 38 of 87 43% 87 of 143 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chepe Mariscal 0 31 of 50 62% 33 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jack Jenkins 0 23 of 60 38% 38 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
2 Chepe Mariscal 0 10 of 18 55% 10 of 18 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Jack Jenkins 0 15 of 27 55% 49 of 65 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chepe Mariscal 41 of 68 60% 16 of 36 13 of 18 12 of 14 35 of 60 6 of 8 0 of 0
Jack Jenkins 38 of 87 43% 14 of 53 11 of 16 13 of 18 23 of 65 14 of 21 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chepe Mariscal 31 of 50 62% 14 of 27 7 of 11 10 of 12 29 of 47 2 of 3 0 of 0
Jack Jenkins 23 of 60 38% 10 of 41 8 of 11 5 of 8 18 of 52 5 of 8 0 of 0
2 Chepe Mariscal 10 of 18 55% 2 of 9 6 of 7 2 of 2 6 of 13 4 of 5 0 of 0
Jack Jenkins 15 of 27 55% 4 of 12 3 of 5 8 of 10 5 of 13 9 of 13 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Angelo picks Jack Jenkins, citing his lethal leg kicks as the difference. He notes that Chepe Mariscal is a two-to-one underdog with great wrestling and striking, but Jack's leg kicks will take away Chepe's movement and takedown ability. Angelo has parlayed Jack Jenkins with Nasrat Haqparast at plus money.

Parlayed with Nasrat Haqparast at plus money
"I think Jack Jenkins leg kicks which are lethal and he has stopped multiple fights with them are going to be the difference"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Big Brady picks Jack Jenkins, citing his technical striking and wrestling. He notes a red flag from Mariscal's fight with Sean Soriano, where Soriano outgrappled him. He thinks Jenkins can mix in takedowns and control the fight. He predicts a decision win.

"I think Jack Jenkins gets it done and I think Jack Jenkins gets it done by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Cody picks Jenkins, citing his superior wrestling, leg kicks, and technical striking. He notes that Mariscal's takedown defense is not yet developed and that Jenkins can exploit that. Cody expects Jenkins to win by decision, possibly a close one, and likes the Jenkins by decision prop.

Jenkins by decision (+160)
"I think Jenkins pulls away in this fight great fight fun fight I think he gets fight of the night but I think Jack Jenkins is just a little more Superior"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Daniel Levi picks Jack Jenkins confidently, highlighting his leg kicks that have broken three opponents' tibias. He also praises Jenkins' defensive responsibility, fight IQ, and ability to mix in takedowns. Levi believes Mariscal's brawling style will leave openings for Jenkins to land his shots. He expects Jenkins to take over in the second and third rounds, potentially getting a knockout or a decision.

Odds mentioned: Jenkins minus 200, Mariscal plus 170.
"I think that Jack Jenkins is just so much more technically sound so much more defensively responsible."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Jenkins is athletic, fast, with great wrestling and relentless calf kicking that destroys opponents' movement. He blends striking and wrestling well. Mariscal is a short-notice call-up who showed good wrestling but may have durability issues. Jenkins has physical advantages and should win by decision, with a small sprinkle on a KO prop due to Mariscal's potential chin issues.

small sprinkle on KO prop
"give me Jenkins and Jenkins by decision small sprinkle on a potential KO prop here in case mariscal's chin uh is still as flimsy as I believe it could be"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Paul picks Jenkins but is leaning, noting that Jenkins should lean on his wrestling and make it ugly. He acknowledges that Mariscal is tough and durable, but believes Jenkins' wrestling and striking will be the difference. Paul sees this as a potential fight of the night.

"Jenkins will be the pick for I I imagine lean on the wrestling a little bit wear them down make it a little bit uh ugly don't turn it into a slobber knocker"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

The MMA Guru picks Jack Jenkins over Chepe Mariscal, calling it a no-brainer. He notes that Jenkins is an extremely technical striker with a tight guard, while Mariscal is less technical. He acknowledges Mariscal's win over Trevor Peek but points out that Peek is a sloppy fighter. Jenkins has a close decision loss to Jamal Emmers but is active, having fought twice this year. He predicts Jenkins will win a competitive 29-28 decision, possibly losing the third round.

"I'm gonna go Jack Jenkins"
WIN vs Jamall Emmers
Decision (split) (27–30, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Emmett vs. Topuria · Jun 24, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Jenkins 0 57 of 155 36% 76 of 185 1 of 6 16% 0 2 4:17
Jamall Emmers 0 59 of 119 49% 85 of 154 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Jenkins 0 21 of 69 30% 21 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jamall Emmers 0 20 of 40 50% 20 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jack Jenkins 0 28 of 71 39% 29 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:08
Jamall Emmers 0 31 of 61 50% 31 of 61 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:10
3 Jack Jenkins 0 8 of 15 53% 26 of 43 1 of 5 20% 0 1 4:09
Jamall Emmers 0 8 of 18 44% 34 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Jenkins 57 of 155 36% 26 of 98 18 of 38 13 of 19 51 of 146 1 of 3 5 of 6
Jamall Emmers 59 of 119 49% 26 of 67 14 of 21 19 of 31 53 of 110 1 of 2 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Jenkins 21 of 69 30% 6 of 40 10 of 21 5 of 8 20 of 67 1 of 2 0 of 0
Jamall Emmers 20 of 40 50% 8 of 20 7 of 9 5 of 11 19 of 38 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Jack Jenkins 28 of 71 39% 13 of 44 7 of 16 8 of 11 27 of 70 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jamall Emmers 31 of 61 50% 12 of 32 6 of 11 13 of 18 31 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jack Jenkins 8 of 15 53% 7 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 9 0 of 1 4 of 5
Jamall Emmers 8 of 18 44% 6 of 15 1 of 1 1 of 2 3 of 11 0 of 0 5 of 7
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 18, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jamall Emmers

Angelo gives a slight lean to Jamall Emmers due to his 100% takedown defense. He acknowledges Jack Jenkins is a real prospect with power and leg kicks, but notes Jenkins has low IQ moments where he grapples when he shouldn't. He expects a decision and suggests the best bet might be Jack Jenkins at +3.5 points (buying a round).

Jack Jenkins +3.5 points (spread)
"I'm gonna do slight lean towards Jamal because of that 100 takedown defense"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamall Emmers

Big Brady picks Jamall Emmers but is hesitant due to Emmers' poor fight IQ, citing examples like striking with Giga Chikadze instead of wrestling and getting injured against Pat Sabatini. He acknowledges Emmers' talent and well-rounded skills, including a significant reach advantage. He believes Emmers can win if he fights smart, but warns against betting on him at -210. He predicts a decision victory.

"the pick is Jamal Embers but I will not be betting this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Cody picks Jenkins, agreeing with Paul. He notes Emmers's poor decisions and inactivity, and thinks Jenkins can win a striking battle. He expects a decision.

"I'll take Jack Jenkins Jack Jenkins by decide it's only plus 240."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Connor picks Jenkins, impressed by his low-kicking and combination punching. He notes that Jenkins creatively sets up low kicks from various angles and uses them to set up hands and body punches. Connor thinks Emmers will struggle with Jenkins' low kicks because Emmers doesn't have a way to block or protect his leg. He also notes that Emmers' boxing is very Bobby Green-like, relying on sliding away and not sitting down on punches, which could make him hard to track but also leaves his leg exposed. Connor believes Jenkins' intuitive scrambling and ground game are also advantages.

"I kind of feel like he's going to struggle with Jack Jenkins. I don't know that it has been tested very much, but I do look at Jamal Emmers at range. And I think that this dude is ripe for …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jamall Emmers

Daniel Levi picks Jamall Emmers, citing his experience, length, and well-rounded game. He notes Emmers's wrestling and striking, and his ability to mix them. He acknowledges Jenkins's leg kicks and potential but thinks Emmers is ahead at this stage. He is not betting at -210 but picks Emmers.

"I'm gonna still pick emmers um I think he's paid his dues"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jamall Emmers

The host picks Jamall Emmers to win by decision. He believes Emmers has the speed and striking advantage, and if he uses his fight IQ, he can stuff takedowns and pick Jenkins apart. He notes Jenkins is a good prospect but thinks this is a step up too far. He would only take Emmers around -150, but thinks he wins.

"I think he's the side here I think he wins this fight and like I said I think he gets it done by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Paul picks Jenkins, citing Emmers's questionable fight IQ and inactivity. He thinks Jenkins can outbox him and that Emmers may not use his wrestling. He notes the plus money is attractive.

Jenkins by decision at plus 240 mentioned.
"I'll take Jack Jenkins he'll love it but yeah it's another dog pick."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jamall Emmers

The Guru picks Jamall Emmers, citing his experience against top competition and reach advantage. He feels Jack Jenkins' win over Don Shainis was unimpressive and that Emmers, after shaking off rust, will perform better. He predicts Emmers will keep the fight at range and win a 2-1 decision, with Jenkins having moments inside but too little too late.

Predicts decision win.
"I'm going with Jamal lemmers... I think he's going to secure himself the first two rounds here and win this fight 2-1"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Jenkins. He notes that Jenkins' low-kicking and combination punching are excellent, and he creatively sets up low kicks from various angles. Zane thinks Emmers will struggle with Jenkins' low kicks because Emmers doesn't have a way to block or protect his leg. He also notes that Emmers' boxing is very Bobby Green-like, relying on sliding away and not sitting down on punches, which could make him hard to track but also leaves his leg exposed. Zane believes Jenkins' intuitive scrambling and ground game are also advantages.

"I kind of feel like he's going to struggle with Jack Jenkins. I don't know that it has been tested very much, but I do look at Jamal Emmers at range. And I think that this dude is ripe for …"
WIN vs Don Shainis
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · Feb 12, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Jenkins 0 82 of 123 66% 100 of 150 4 of 5 80% 0 0 6:00
Don Shainis 0 50 of 102 49% 128 of 187 1 of 3 33% 2 2 2:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Jenkins 0 34 of 59 57% 35 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Don Shainis 0 25 of 55 45% 28 of 58 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:46
2 Jack Jenkins 0 23 of 33 69% 25 of 35 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:59
Don Shainis 0 15 of 28 53% 58 of 74 1 of 1 100% 0 2 1:30
3 Jack Jenkins 0 25 of 31 80% 40 of 55 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:01
Don Shainis 0 10 of 19 52% 42 of 55 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Jenkins 82 of 123 66% 45 of 81 23 of 26 14 of 16 53 of 90 21 of 24 8 of 9
Don Shainis 50 of 102 49% 26 of 68 17 of 23 7 of 11 29 of 73 14 of 21 7 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Jenkins 34 of 59 57% 13 of 35 12 of 13 9 of 11 24 of 49 10 of 10 0 of 0
Don Shainis 25 of 55 45% 9 of 34 11 of 13 5 of 8 16 of 43 9 of 12 0 of 0
2 Jack Jenkins 23 of 33 69% 11 of 19 8 of 10 4 of 4 14 of 21 9 of 12 0 of 0
Don Shainis 15 of 28 53% 10 of 19 3 of 7 2 of 2 6 of 14 4 of 8 5 of 6
3 Jack Jenkins 25 of 31 80% 21 of 27 3 of 3 1 of 1 15 of 20 2 of 2 8 of 9
Don Shainis 10 of 19 52% 7 of 15 3 of 3 0 of 1 7 of 16 1 of 1 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Angelo picks Jack Jenkins, describing him as a powerful striker with multiple tools, though he notes Jenkins can be stiff and doesn't flow smoothly between striking and grappling. He believes Jenkins' power and leg kicks will be too much for Don Shainis, who is tough but limited. He considers it a safe bet but wants to see Jenkins mix his skills more.

"Jack's gonna be the pick it's probably a pretty safe bet as well"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Big Brady thinks Jenkins is a solid fighter with good striking and wrestling. He expects Shainis to come out aggressively but fade, and Jenkins to take over. He predicts a decision win for Jenkins, noting Shainis's low level of competition.

"I'll say Jenkins by by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Cody is confident Jenkins wins, citing his pressure, wrestling, and cardio. He notes Shainis was submitted quickly by Sadiq Yusuff and doesn't have the skills to hang. He thinks Jenkins will wear him down with leg kicks and takedowns, likely winning inside the distance or by decision. He took Jenkins over 2 takedowns on PrizePicks.

Jenkins over 2 takedowns on PrizePicks
"I think Jack Jenkins wins likely inside the distance"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Connor picks Jenkins, agreeing that Shainis is easily swept and has no control in grappling. He notes that Shainis is gritty but everything is on the razor's edge, and that Jenkins' wrestling, though flawed, will be enough to take Shainis down and control him.

"Yeah, I am definitely picking Jack Jenkins."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Jenkins is the more complete fighter with superior striking and grappling. Shainis was finished quickly by Sadiq Yusuf in his UFC debut. Jenkins' top pressure and ground-and-pound will be dominant. Shainis may have some success with calf kicks, but Jenkins will take him down and control the fight. Jenkins' cardio allows him to maintain pressure for 15 minutes. He should win a dominant decision, though a finish is possible.

"I feel very damn good about Jack in the spot you know I think he's more than deserving of the chalky price that he's at"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Paul picks Jenkins, noting Shainis's poor UFC debut and lack of a well-rounded game. He thinks Jenkins' leg kicks and wrestling will be too much. He mentions Jenkins is not a finisher but should control the fight.

"Jack Jenkins seems like again I think he's like 29 maybe 30 years old... he's talented he's got skills"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

The MMA Guru picks Jack Jenkins over Don Shainis, criticizing Shainis's record and noting his loss to Jay Ellis as a sign of low level. He believes Jenkins is fundamentally sound and patient, and will finish Shainis in the third round by TKO, matching his contender series performance.

third round TKO
"I'm going with Jack Jenkins we move on up the card"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Zane picks Jenkins, describing him as a ground-and-pound specialist with a sticky scrambling style. He notes that Jenkins has a limited game but that Shainis loves getting out-grappled and has poor control. Zane expects Jenkins to get to his spots and flatten Shainis on the ground, despite Jenkins' terrible shot and lack of striking.

"I am definitely picking Jack Jenkins. Yeah. It's going to be weird and ugly and dysfunctional. But once he gets to his spots, he is going to flatten Don Janis on the ground."
Gabriel Santos - Fight History
WIN vs Jack Jenkins
Submission R3 2:06 · UFC 312: du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · Feb 09, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Jenkins 1 34 of 48 70% 39 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:20
Gabriel Santos 0 39 of 61 63% 96 of 123 4 of 7 57% 2 0 6:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Jenkins 1 28 of 36 77% 33 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:17
Gabriel Santos 0 9 of 20 45% 22 of 34 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:50
2 Jack Jenkins 0 5 of 11 45% 5 of 11 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Gabriel Santos 0 24 of 32 75% 58 of 69 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:48
3 Jack Jenkins 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gabriel Santos 0 6 of 9 66% 16 of 20 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Jenkins 34 of 48 70% 22 of 35 5 of 6 7 of 7 13 of 22 5 of 6 16 of 20
Gabriel Santos 39 of 61 63% 26 of 44 6 of 9 7 of 8 23 of 45 3 of 3 13 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Jenkins 28 of 36 77% 19 of 26 3 of 4 6 of 6 7 of 10 5 of 6 16 of 20
Gabriel Santos 9 of 20 45% 3 of 12 2 of 3 4 of 5 9 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jack Jenkins 5 of 11 45% 2 of 8 2 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gabriel Santos 24 of 32 75% 19 of 25 3 of 5 2 of 2 9 of 17 3 of 3 12 of 12
3 Jack Jenkins 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gabriel Santos 6 of 9 66% 4 of 7 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Big Brady is a big fan of Gabriel Santos, believing he is much better than his 1-2 UFC record indicates. He notes Santos's well-rounded skills, power, and BJJ black belt. He thinks Santos has a significant grappling advantage over Jack Jenkins, who was taken down and controlled by Jamal Emmers. Brady predicts Santos will win a decision, possibly with a submission.

"I'm going to say Gabriel Santos wins a decision here and what should be a fun fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Santos is considered the better fighter, slicker with Muay Thai and more aggressive with BJJ. His Muay Thai will allow him to check Jenkins' kicks and counter with straight shots. The fight is expected to go to decision with Santos winning.

decision
"I believe Santos is the better fighter here in terms of being more dangerous I think he's a little bit Slicker with his Muay Thai a little bit more aggressive with his BJJ"
WIN vs Yi Zha
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · Sep 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabriel Santos 0 41 of 92 44% 96 of 160 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:04
Yi Zha 1 76 of 112 67% 110 of 150 2 of 2 100% 0 0 6:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabriel Santos 0 23 of 41 56% 23 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yi Zha 1 46 of 73 63% 46 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
2 Gabriel Santos 0 15 of 40 37% 23 of 51 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
Yi Zha 0 19 of 27 70% 32 of 41 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:23
3 Gabriel Santos 0 3 of 11 27% 50 of 68 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Yi Zha 0 11 of 12 91% 32 of 36 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabriel Santos 41 of 92 44% 26 of 71 8 of 13 7 of 8 40 of 90 0 of 0 1 of 2
Yi Zha 76 of 112 67% 45 of 79 17 of 18 14 of 15 53 of 85 5 of 5 18 of 22
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabriel Santos 23 of 41 56% 14 of 31 3 of 4 6 of 6 23 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 1
Yi Zha 46 of 73 63% 23 of 48 12 of 13 11 of 12 34 of 57 4 of 4 8 of 12
2 Gabriel Santos 15 of 40 37% 11 of 33 3 of 6 1 of 1 15 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yi Zha 19 of 27 70% 12 of 20 5 of 5 2 of 2 15 of 23 1 of 1 3 of 3
3 Gabriel Santos 3 of 11 27% 1 of 7 2 of 3 0 of 1 2 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1
Yi Zha 11 of 12 91% 10 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 5 0 of 0 7 of 7
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 1, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Yi Zha

Angelo picks Yi Zha as an underdog because he is a powerful grappler who averages almost five takedowns per fight and is always looking for submissions. He believes Yi can find success even if Gabriel Santos gets the first takedown, and that Yi's grappling is good enough to stay safe and make something happen. He notes that Yi is plus 214 and may have value in prop bets like plus 3.5 rounds or win inside distance.

Angelo mentions he may bet on Yi Zha plus 3.5 rounds or win inside distance (decision no action) if the props are plus money.
"I do think yea can get it done he's proven that he doesn't even need to get a takedown to find a submission"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Big Brady picks Gabriel Santos to win by decision. He is very high on Santos despite his 0-2 UFC record, believing he was robbed against Murphy. Brady thinks Santos is better everywhere: better striker, and his BJJ black belt should neutralize Yi Zha's grappling. He notes Yi Zha's record is misleading and that Santos is much better than his record indicates.

"I'm taking Santos for sure I'm going to take him to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Cody agrees with Paul, citing Santos' strong wrestling and striking. He notes Zha's takedown defense is poor and Santos has fought tougher competition. He expects Santos to neutralize Zha and win a decision or get a finish.

"Gabriel Santos I I take Gabriel Santos"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Daniel is a big fan of Santos's exciting style but acknowledges his defensive flaws. He criticizes Yi Zha's padded record and boring wrestling style. He thinks Santos's volume, pressure, and activity off his back will overwhelm Zha, and that Zha's takedowns won't be enough to win. He expects Santos to get his first UFC win.

"I think Gabriel Santos has a massive Edge standing... I'm going Gabrielle moscarino Santos to come out here and get that long awaited first UFC win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Santos is the better mixed martial artist despite being 0-2 in the UFC. He has slick BJJ and striking, and should be able to handle Yi Zha's pressure and wrestling. Yi Zha is aggressive but leaves openings. Santos can reverse positions and win on the feet. The under 2.5 rounds at plus money is also favored due to both fighters' pace.

Under 2.5 rounds at plus money
"I do think that Santos will end up being a little bit too slick and more technical than yah... my favorite spot in this matchup would be the under two and a half at plus money."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Paul picks Santos, noting his wrestling and striking are superior to Zha's. He believes Santos can take Zha down and control him, and has a better plan B if the wrestling fails. He acknowledges Santos' cardio concerns but thinks he can win two of three rounds.

"Gabriel Santos I I take Gabriel Santos it is what it is you're just gonna have to bite the bullet on it for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

The MMA Guru picks Gabriel Santos over Yi Zha. He dismisses Yi Zha's record as inflated from the Road to UFC show, noting that anyone good has beaten him. He praises Santos for taking Lerone Murphy to a split decision on short notice and for his training at a good gym. He notes Santos is on a two-fight losing streak but believes this is his last chance and he will win.

"I'm gonna have to go with Gabriel Santos in this fight... Gabriel Santos is very underrated... he took the guy to a split decision and this is aone Murphy"
LOSS vs David Onama
KO (punch) R2 4:13 · UFC on ABC: Emmett vs. Topuria · Jun 24, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
David Onama 1 53 of 104 50% 59 of 118 0 of 1 0% 0 1 2:53
Gabriel Santos 0 39 of 73 53% 56 of 90 2 of 4 50% 2 0 1:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 David Onama 0 27 of 52 51% 30 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:23
Gabriel Santos 0 25 of 50 50% 33 of 58 1 of 2 50% 2 0 0:36
2 David Onama 1 26 of 52 50% 29 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:30
Gabriel Santos 0 14 of 23 60% 23 of 32 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:55
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
David Onama 53 of 104 50% 47 of 95 3 of 6 3 of 3 42 of 86 3 of 5 8 of 13
Gabriel Santos 39 of 73 53% 22 of 46 9 of 14 8 of 13 36 of 70 1 of 1 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 David Onama 27 of 52 51% 23 of 48 3 of 3 1 of 1 24 of 47 2 of 3 1 of 2
Gabriel Santos 25 of 50 50% 14 of 32 5 of 8 6 of 10 23 of 48 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 David Onama 26 of 52 50% 24 of 47 0 of 3 2 of 2 18 of 39 1 of 2 7 of 11
Gabriel Santos 14 of 23 60% 8 of 14 4 of 6 2 of 3 13 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Angelo picks Gabriel Santos, citing his aggression and ability to back Onama up and grind him down like Nate Landwehr did. He notes Santos is fast, strong, and has slick submissions. He mentions David Onama is a great underdog at +195/+200 and hits hard, but Santos gets hit. He would bet the over 1.5 rounds if available.

over 1.5 rounds (if available)
"the pick here is going to be Gabriel he's an absolute dog"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Big Brady picks Gabriel Santos, impressed by his performance against Lerone Murphy despite the loss. He describes Santos as a killer with next-level grappling and dangerous striking, comparing him to Charles Oliveira. He notes Onama's poor performance against Nate Landwehr where he gassed out. He expects Santos to weather an early storm and finish Onama in the second round, possibly by submission.

second round submission
"I'm going to say uh Gabriel Santos weather's the early storm ... and gets a second round finish here against David ornament"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Cody picks Santos, emphasizing his explosive style and wrestling. He notes Santos's ability to take down and control opponents, and thinks Onama's striking will be neutralized by Santos's pressure and takedowns. He expects Santos by decision.

Santos by decision mentioned.
"I think Santos is one of the rare guys that loses a fight and his stock just incredibly skyrockets."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Connor picks Santos, agreeing with Zane. He highlights Santos's impressive debut against Laron Murphy on short notice and his superior technique. Onama is reactive and lacks discipline, while Santos is a solid professional who will take advantage of Onama's mistakes. Connor notes that Onama's best wins are against lesser competition and that he struggles against disciplined fighters.

"Yeah. You got to pick Santos."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Daniel Levi picks Gabriel Santos, citing his technical soundness, heart, and grappling upside. He thinks Onama is athletic but defensively vulnerable, and Santos can win on feet or mat. He notes Santos's close fight with Lerone Murphy and his LFA title. He is not interested at -230 but picks Santos.

Leans under 2.5 rounds; not betting Santos at -230.
"pure pick for me is Santos but just not interested at that price"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

The host picks Gabriel Santos to win by submission in the second or third round. He believes Santos is the far superior fighter with great aggression, forward pressure, and a solid Jiu-Jitsu game. He thinks Santos will wear on Onama and eventually get him out of there, while Onama's only path to victory is a Hail Mary knockout. He expects Santos to dominate.

"give me Gabrielle Santos and I think he actually pulls off a submission Victory here probably in the second or third round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Paul picks Santos, impressed by his debut performance against Lauren Murphy on short notice. He highlights Santos's takedowns and grappling, and questions Onama's takedown defense. He expects Santos to win by decision and considers betting Santos by decision.

Santos by decision considered; Santos over 2.5 takedowns mentioned.
"I loved Santos in his debut and I think that was a tougher fight frankly."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

The Guru picks Gabriel Santos based on his performance against Lerone Murphy, which he believes Santos arguably won. He notes Santos has a good chin, took the Murphy fight on short notice, and showed grit. He criticizes Onama's cardio, saying he falls off after the first round, and points to Onama's losses to Mason Jones and Nate Landwehr as evidence. He predicts Santos wins by third-round finish or decision.

Predicts third-round finish or decision win.
"I'm actually gonna go with Gabriel Santos because I was re-watching his fight with larone Murphy... he could arguably win that fight"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Zane picks Santos, praising his discipline, well-roundedness, and technical striking. He notes that Onama is talented but lacks control and makes terrible decisions, often turning fights into brawls. Santos is a finished product who controls pace, works the body, and has good wrestling. Zane expects Santos to exploit Onama's tendency to gas and scramble wildly.

"I got to pick Gabriel Santos. Absolutely."
LOSS vs Lerone Murphy
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lerone Murphy 0 93 of 161 57% 115 of 183 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:18
Gabriel Santos 0 69 of 122 56% 87 of 141 5 of 11 45% 0 0 4:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lerone Murphy 0 33 of 58 56% 37 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:59
Gabriel Santos 0 36 of 54 66% 37 of 55 2 of 4 50% 0 0 0:39
2 Lerone Murphy 0 25 of 44 56% 36 of 55 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:14
Gabriel Santos 0 13 of 32 40% 26 of 46 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:45
3 Lerone Murphy 0 35 of 59 59% 42 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Gabriel Santos 0 20 of 36 55% 24 of 40 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:36
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lerone Murphy 93 of 161 57% 59 of 117 27 of 37 7 of 7 77 of 144 12 of 12 4 of 5
Gabriel Santos 69 of 122 56% 32 of 73 24 of 34 13 of 15 55 of 105 14 of 15 0 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lerone Murphy 33 of 58 56% 18 of 39 12 of 16 3 of 3 29 of 54 2 of 2 2 of 2
Gabriel Santos 36 of 54 66% 16 of 31 13 of 16 7 of 7 29 of 45 7 of 8 0 of 1
2 Lerone Murphy 25 of 44 56% 13 of 30 10 of 12 2 of 2 18 of 36 5 of 5 2 of 3
Gabriel Santos 13 of 32 40% 8 of 22 3 of 8 2 of 2 9 of 27 4 of 4 0 of 1
3 Lerone Murphy 35 of 59 59% 28 of 48 5 of 9 2 of 2 30 of 54 5 of 5 0 of 0
Gabriel Santos 20 of 36 55% 8 of 20 8 of 10 4 of 6 17 of 33 3 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Angelo thinks Murphy should win because he is the better striker with good footwork and power, and he has a full camp. However, he is wary of Murphy's layoff and the short-notice opponent. He notes Murphy's takedown defense is low but he scrambles well. He is staying away from betting due to the uncertainty.

"I do think larone Murphy wins this fight these odds are probably where they should be minus 275 was a little steep."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Big Brady picks Murphy, citing his power (knockout wins over Makwan Amirkhani and Ricardo Ramos) and Santos' hittability and questionable durability. He notes Santos is dangerous everywhere but took the fight on short notice and is making a long flight. He predicts a second-round knockout, but acknowledges Santos could have success early.

"I'm leaning towards Murphy to get that knockout win here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Cody picks Murphy, citing his precise striking, lateral movement, and high ring IQ. He notes Murphy has fought good wrestlers and defended takedowns well. He thinks Santos, on short notice, won't be able to take Murphy down and will lose a decision. He mentions Murphy's 16-month layoff is a concern but believes he's still a good fighter.

"I like Laurel Murphy because all those facts are true... I think that Murphy just moves laterally stays out of the way sticks and moves lands the more precise shots and uh eventually wins the fight"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Connor picks Murphy but expects a close fight. He notes that Murphy starts slow but is resourceful and has great cardio, often coming back to win. Santos is a solid, well-rounded fighter but may run out of ideas as the fight goes on. Connor also mentions the short-notice factor favoring Murphy.

"I'm gonna take Murphy, but I like the fight a lot."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Jacob picks Murphy but with low confidence due to his defensive wrestling holes. He thinks Murphy is the better striker but if Santos gets the fight to the ground, it could be trouble. He notes Murphy's takedown defense has been improving. He is not betting but would feel better if Murphy stuffs the first takedown.

"my confidence level right now I think those odds are correct it's probably like a five or or six for larone."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Murphy is explosive with big power and a good calf kick, but has grappling flaws and a layoff due to head injury. Santos is a short-notice replacement with a wild pressure style and defensive holes. Murphy's speed and power should exploit Santos's striking deficiencies, leading to a knockout. The fight doesn't go to decision is the favorite spot.

fight doesn't go to decision
"I think it's going to be that speed and an explosiveness of LaRon Murphy that'll allow him to take advantage of the Striking defense deficiencies in Gabriel Santos's game"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Paul picks Murphy but hesitantly, as he hasn't done full research on Santos. He says Murphy is a solid fighter on a good run, but the layoff and short-notice opponent are unknowns. He says the pick is Murphy but could change after looking at tape.

"for the purpose of the show I'll pick Laurel Murphy but uh that could change based on me looking up some tape"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

The MMA Guru picks Lerone Murphy over Gabriel Santos, acknowledging Santos is a dangerous prospect but noting he is on short notice. Murphy has a full camp and has shown composure against tough opponents like Zubaira Tukhugov. He predicts Murphy will win a 29-28 decision after a rough first round, trusting his experience and well-rounded game.

Murphy wins by decision 29-28
"I'm going with Lerone Murphy over Gabriel Santos"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Zane also picks Murphy, noting that Murphy's ability to adapt and his physicality will be key. He points out that Santos looked good in his LFA fight but may struggle with Murphy's pressure and clinch work. Zane expects momentum shifts and a competitive fight.

"I'll take Murphy as well."
Expert Picks (2)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Big Brady is a big fan of Gabriel Santos, believing he is much better than his 1-2 UFC record indicates. He notes Santos's well-rounded skills, power, and BJJ black belt. He thinks Santos has a significant grappling advantage over Jack Jenkins, who was taken down and controlled by Jamal Emmers. Brady predicts Santos will win a decision, possibly with a submission.

"I'm going to say Gabriel Santos wins a decision here and what should be a fun fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Santos is considered the better fighter, slicker with Muay Thai and more aggressive with BJJ. His Muay Thai will allow him to check Jenkins' kicks and counter with straight shots. The fight is expected to go to decision with Santos winning.

decision
"I believe Santos is the better fighter here in terms of being more dangerous I think he's a little bit Slicker with his Muay Thai a little bit more aggressive with his BJJ"
Comments (2)
BR
brian 11 months ago

Jack Jenkins is probably on the drugs

BR
brian 11 months ago

Gabriel looked in great shape and his performance matched. Jack clinched early into rd2 and paid.