vs
+280 -333
UFC 312: du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · Feb 09, 2025 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 312: du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 Next Fight
Age 26
Height 5' 9"
Reach 71"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 31
Height 5' 9"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Rong Zhu
6.02 SLpM
51.0% Str. Acc.
5.44 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
1.35 TD Avg
62.0% TD Acc.
84.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Kody Steele
4.44 SLpM
32.0% Str. Acc.
7.17 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
0.62 TD Avg
14.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Rong Zhu
Moneyline
FanDuel +280
KO/TKO
FanDuel +550
Submission
FanDuel +2300
Decision
BetRivers +900
Kody Steele
Moneyline
BetWay -333
KO/TKO
FanDuel +250
Submission
BetRivers +330
Decision
FanDuel +250
Rong Zhu - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · Aug 23, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rong Zhu 0 101 of 197 51% 104 of 201 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Austin Hubbard 0 75 of 226 33% 77 of 228 2 of 12 16% 0 0 1:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rong Zhu 0 20 of 46 43% 21 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Austin Hubbard 0 18 of 59 30% 18 of 59 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:29
2 Rong Zhu 0 29 of 62 46% 31 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Austin Hubbard 0 28 of 68 41% 29 of 69 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:33
3 Rong Zhu 0 52 of 89 58% 52 of 90 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Austin Hubbard 0 29 of 99 29% 30 of 100 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rong Zhu 101 of 197 51% 65 of 154 21 of 28 15 of 15 98 of 189 3 of 8 0 of 0
Austin Hubbard 75 of 226 33% 43 of 169 30 of 54 2 of 3 71 of 215 4 of 10 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rong Zhu 20 of 46 43% 9 of 32 1 of 4 10 of 10 19 of 43 1 of 3 0 of 0
Austin Hubbard 18 of 59 30% 10 of 46 7 of 11 1 of 2 18 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Rong Zhu 29 of 62 46% 15 of 47 11 of 12 3 of 3 27 of 57 2 of 5 0 of 0
Austin Hubbard 28 of 68 41% 13 of 48 14 of 19 1 of 1 25 of 62 3 of 6 0 of 0
3 Rong Zhu 52 of 89 58% 41 of 75 9 of 12 2 of 2 52 of 89 0 of 0 0 of 0
Austin Hubbard 29 of 99 29% 20 of 75 9 of 24 0 of 0 28 of 94 1 of 4 0 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 17, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Rong Zhu

Angelo slightly leans Rong Zhu due to his volume and striking, but is surprised by the -300 odds, calling them berserk. He notes that Austin Hubbard is gritty and decent everywhere, and just had a close loss to a very good fighter. He thinks Hubbard could make it tricky if he marches forward and fakes takedowns.

Odds are -300, which Angelo calls berserk; he thinks Austin Hubbard is not a 3-to-1 dog.
"I'm going to slightly lean wrong only because of his volume and how insane that can be. But if Austin marches forward, fakes some takedowns, things could absolutely get tricky here. I three to one favorite seems berserk in a …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rong Zhu

Big Brady picks Rong Zhu to win by decision, citing his youth, rapid improvement, and striking power. He notes that Zhu has been working on takedown defense and anti-grappling, which will be key against Hubbard's wrestling. He believes Zhu will win a damage-based decision over 15 minutes, as Hubbard has never been knocked out.

Rong Zhu by decision
"Give me Ranju to win. I'll take him to win by decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rong Zhu

The host is historically higher on Hubbard than most, but thinks this is a horrible stylistic matchup for him. He doesn't think Hubbard will be able to get to his wrestling game, allowing Rong Zhu to dictate the striking and eventually land a big knockout.

win by KO/TKO
"I think this is a horrible stylistic matchup for him. I don't think he'll be able to get to his wrestling game and that should allow Ronghu to dictate the striking which is eventually going to lead to him finding …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Aug 22, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Rong Zhu

The MMA Guru picks Rong Zhu to win by 29-28 decision, but notes that he thinks Zhu is a bit of a big favorite and that there is value on Austin Hubbard. He believes Zhu is more talented and works well on the back foot, but acknowledges Hubbard could win the third round. He mentions that Zhu is young (25) and has had mixed results, including a loss to an underrated lightweight prospect.

Rong Zhu by 29-28 decision; Hubbard wins third round
"I think Ronghu is more talented... I think he should be a very slight favorite over Austin Hubbed. So there is a lot of value on Austin Hubbed here."
WIN vs Kody Steele
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 312: du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · Feb 09, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rong Zhu 1 125 of 241 51% 126 of 243 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:18
Kody Steele 0 59 of 209 28% 59 of 209 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rong Zhu 0 33 of 75 44% 34 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:08
Kody Steele 0 27 of 86 31% 27 of 86 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:06
2 Rong Zhu 1 32 of 64 50% 32 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Kody Steele 0 9 of 36 25% 9 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Rong Zhu 0 60 of 102 58% 60 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kody Steele 0 23 of 87 26% 23 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rong Zhu 125 of 241 51% 108 of 220 4 of 8 13 of 13 125 of 241 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kody Steele 59 of 209 28% 47 of 194 10 of 11 2 of 4 58 of 205 1 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rong Zhu 33 of 75 44% 27 of 69 2 of 2 4 of 4 33 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kody Steele 27 of 86 31% 21 of 79 4 of 4 2 of 3 26 of 82 1 of 4 0 of 0
2 Rong Zhu 32 of 64 50% 28 of 59 1 of 2 3 of 3 32 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kody Steele 9 of 36 25% 8 of 33 1 of 2 0 of 1 9 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Rong Zhu 60 of 102 58% 53 of 92 1 of 4 6 of 6 60 of 102 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kody Steele 23 of 87 26% 18 of 82 5 of 5 0 of 0 23 of 87 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Big Brady is a fan of Kody Steele, noting his BJJ black belt and improved striking. He believes Steele has a massive grappling advantage over Rong Zhu, who has been submitted four times. However, he worries that Steele might fall in love with his hands and stand and bang, which could give Rong a chance. Brady predicts a second-round submission if Steele mixes in takedowns.

"I like Cody steel here um rangu could be live early on especially if they stand in bang a little bit but especially as this fight goes on whether steel grapples or not as this fight goes on I like …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert picked Feb 4, 2025 (5 days before fight)

Daniel Levi discusses Kody Steele's UFC debut, noting his impressive Contender Series performance and Dana White's praise. He mentions Steele's opponent Rong Zhu, who has been in the UFC before. He does not pick a winner, only advising viewers to pay attention to Steele.

"Definitely pay attention to this kid cody Steel because he looked very promising in his Regional and Dana White's Contender series footage"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Rong Zhu

Rong Zhu's experience and striking advantage are expected to overcome Steele's undefeated record. Steele will struggle to get the fight to the ground due to Rong Zhu's improved defensive grappling. The pick is for Rong Zhu to win by decision.

decision
"I do believe the experience and striking advantage of rangu will allow him to overcome The Undefeated record of Cody steel"
LOSS vs Chris Padilla
TKO (doctor stoppage) R2 4:14 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · Sep 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Padilla 0 49 of 88 55% 49 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Rong Zhu 0 68 of 105 64% 73 of 110 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Padilla 0 27 of 54 50% 27 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rong Zhu 0 35 of 53 66% 35 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Chris Padilla 0 22 of 34 64% 22 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Rong Zhu 0 33 of 52 63% 38 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Padilla 49 of 88 55% 26 of 61 12 of 13 11 of 14 43 of 81 6 of 7 0 of 0
Rong Zhu 68 of 105 64% 36 of 51 8 of 12 24 of 42 62 of 98 6 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Padilla 27 of 54 50% 15 of 38 4 of 5 8 of 11 27 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
Rong Zhu 35 of 53 66% 16 of 22 4 of 7 15 of 24 35 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Chris Padilla 22 of 34 64% 11 of 23 8 of 8 3 of 3 16 of 27 6 of 7 0 of 0
Rong Zhu 33 of 52 63% 20 of 29 4 of 5 9 of 18 27 of 45 6 of 7 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 1, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Chris Padilla

Angelo picks Chris Padilla as an underdog because he is well-rounded, explosive, and composed, with multiple ways to win. He notes that Rong Zhu's wins are on the regional scene and he headhunts, while Chris can scramble and snatch submissions. He plans to wait for prop bets like plus 3.5 rounds or win inside distance.

Angelo says he will wait for prop bets such as Chris Padilla plus 3.5 rounds or win inside distance (decision no action).
"I'm going out on a limb I'm picking the dog Chris Padilla"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Rong Zhu

Big Brady picks Rong Zhu to win by decision. He notes Zhu is a big favorite at -265 and is improving at 24 years old. Brady thinks Zhu is the much better striker and his takedown defense is improving. He acknowledges Padilla can wrestle but lacks top control, so he expects Zhu to keep it on the feet and win a decision.

"I'll go rangu to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chris Padilla

Cody picks Padilla, arguing that Zhu's competition on Road to UFC is weak and he has been taken down by lesser fighters. He notes Padilla's wrestling and submission skills, and believes he can neutralize Zhu's striking. He sees the -220 line on Zhu as too wide and takes the plus money.

"I'm G take Chris Padilla this is another PRP type long shot play"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Rong Zhu

Daniel thinks Rong Zhu has matured since his first UFC stint and is now ready. He believes Zhu's takedown defense is good enough to keep the fight standing, and that his volume, calf kicks, and athleticism will overwhelm Padilla. He expects Zhu to stuff takedowns and chip away at Padilla, possibly winning a decision.

"I think Rong zoo is gonna stuff this man's takedowns and bust him up... I'm going Rong zooo here to get back on track."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rong Zhu

Rong Zhu is a dangerous striker with improved takedown defense and get-ups. Padilla is a power puncher who relies on grappling, but Rong Zhu should nullify that and find a finish within two rounds. The host sees a more mature version of Rong Zhu now.

Rong Zhu by finish within 2 rounds
"I'm going to go uh wrong zuu here and I think he eventually finds the Finish within possibly two rounds or so."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chris Padilla

Paul is interested in Padilla's submission prop at +600, noting his recent submission wins and wrestling advantage. He believes Padilla can take Zhu down and control him, as Zhu has been taken down by lesser competition. He sees value at plus money and picks Padilla as an underdog.

Chris Padilla by submission +600 (playable)
"Padilla I was interested in his submission prop it's obviously early in the week so numbers aren't the greatest six plus 600 is the best on Market which I think is like playable"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Rong Zhu

The MMA Guru picks Rong Zhu over Chris Padilla. He criticizes Padilla's recent losses and long career, while praising Zhu's youth (24), activity, and evolution as a fighter. He notes Zhu has been fighting higher-level competition and is on a streak since being cut from the UFC. He expects Zhu to have a good performance.

"I think he's going to go out there and have a good performance against Chris Pilla... I think he's going to get this one done over Chris Padilla"
Submission (brabo choke) R3 1:40 · UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · Feb 26, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ignacio Bahamondes 0 48 of 129 37% 49 of 130 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:20
Rong Zhu 0 126 of 194 64% 133 of 204 0 of 0 --- 2 0 1:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ignacio Bahamondes 0 9 of 17 52% 9 of 17 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Rong Zhu 0 42 of 66 63% 48 of 75 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:11
2 Ignacio Bahamondes 0 31 of 83 37% 31 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rong Zhu 0 60 of 97 61% 61 of 98 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ignacio Bahamondes 0 8 of 29 27% 9 of 30 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:14
Rong Zhu 0 24 of 31 77% 24 of 31 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ignacio Bahamondes 48 of 129 37% 34 of 114 9 of 10 5 of 5 46 of 126 1 of 2 1 of 1
Rong Zhu 126 of 194 64% 86 of 151 25 of 28 15 of 15 117 of 178 3 of 3 6 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ignacio Bahamondes 9 of 17 52% 6 of 14 0 of 0 3 of 3 8 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1
Rong Zhu 42 of 66 63% 24 of 46 11 of 13 7 of 7 36 of 53 0 of 0 6 of 13
2 Ignacio Bahamondes 31 of 83 37% 20 of 71 9 of 10 2 of 2 30 of 81 1 of 2 0 of 0
Rong Zhu 60 of 97 61% 43 of 80 11 of 11 6 of 6 59 of 96 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ignacio Bahamondes 8 of 29 27% 8 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0 8 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Rong Zhu 24 of 31 77% 19 of 25 3 of 4 2 of 2 22 of 29 2 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Big Brady picks Ignacio Bahamondes to win by decision. He praises Bahamondes' takedown defense shown against Roosevelt Roberts, where he stuffed 12 takedowns. He notes Bahamondes throws high volume (over 7.5 significant strikes per minute) and has a significant reach advantage. He criticizes Rong Zhu's striking, pointing out that he was outlanded 94-40 by Kazula Vargas at distance. Brady believes Bahamondes will keep the fight on the feet and outwork Zhu.

Bahamondes by decision
"I like baja monas to win here i like baja monas to win probably by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Cody picks Bahamondes by decision, citing his size, volume, and takedown defense. He notes Bahamondes' improvement and ability to stuff takedowns, while Zhu is still raw. Cody likes the decision prop at +150 and plans to bet it later in the week.

Bahamondes by decision +150 (DraftKings)
"baja mondez by decision i haven't bet it yet it's something i wanted to talk through with you"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Daniel Levi leans Ignacio Bahamondes but is cautious. He notes Bahamondes has a tendency to fight to the level of his competition and sometimes underperforms. Levi praises Bahamondes' striking and chin, but worries about Rong Zhu's talent and youth. He calls it a dog-or-pass situation and says if Bahamondes performs to his potential, he wins.

"i lean ignacio but this is one of the fights that i'm very curious to see how it plays out"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

The host is confident in Bahamondes, citing his volume striking, takedown defense, and ability to overwhelm opponents. He notes that Bahamondes stuffed takedowns from Roosevelt Roberts and expects similar success against Rong Zhu. He thinks Rong Zhu's only chance is a knockout, but Bahamondes should control the fight and win by decision.

"i do like bahamut in the spot i do think he goes out there and has a classic ignacio uh performance"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Paul agrees with Bahamondes by decision, noting his pressure, volume, and takedown defense. He acknowledges Zhu's power but believes Bahamondes' size and output will win rounds. Paul also likes the decision prop at +150.

Bahamondes by decision +150 (DraftKings)
"i got the same pick"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

The MMA Guru picks Ignacio Bahamondes to win by 29-28 decision. He believes Bahamondes has more potential and a higher ceiling than Rong Zhu, citing Bahamondes' impressive performance against Roosevelt Roberts and his toughness in the John McDermott fight. He criticizes Zhu's loss to Rodrigo Vargas and thinks Bahamondes will pressure Zhu, lose the first round, but come back in the second and third with better pacing to take Zhu into deep waters and win the last two rounds.

29-28 decision
"i'm going to go with ignacio baramondez 29-28 based on the last two rounds"
TKO (punches) R3 4:35 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · Sep 18, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rong Zhu 1 86 of 134 64% 134 of 198 6 of 8 75% 0 0 9:27
Brandon Jenkins 0 41 of 105 39% 67 of 138 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rong Zhu 1 35 of 51 68% 38 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:01
Brandon Jenkins 0 22 of 56 39% 23 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Rong Zhu 0 30 of 46 65% 57 of 74 3 of 5 60% 0 0 4:00
Brandon Jenkins 0 10 of 22 45% 27 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:04
3 Rong Zhu 0 21 of 37 56% 39 of 69 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:26
Brandon Jenkins 0 9 of 27 33% 17 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rong Zhu 86 of 134 64% 71 of 118 8 of 9 7 of 7 43 of 74 1 of 1 42 of 59
Brandon Jenkins 41 of 105 39% 17 of 69 7 of 16 17 of 20 36 of 98 3 of 5 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rong Zhu 35 of 51 68% 24 of 40 4 of 4 7 of 7 18 of 31 1 of 1 16 of 19
Brandon Jenkins 22 of 56 39% 5 of 32 3 of 8 14 of 16 20 of 54 1 of 1 1 of 1
2 Rong Zhu 30 of 46 65% 28 of 44 2 of 2 0 of 0 18 of 28 0 of 0 12 of 18
Brandon Jenkins 10 of 22 45% 7 of 18 3 of 4 0 of 0 7 of 17 2 of 4 1 of 1
3 Rong Zhu 21 of 37 56% 19 of 34 2 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 15 0 of 0 14 of 22
Brandon Jenkins 9 of 27 33% 5 of 19 1 of 4 3 of 4 9 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Brandon Jenkins

Angelo picks Dakota Bush (Brandon Jenkins) because he thinks Zhu Rong is the better striker but needs to dictate the pace. He believes Dakota's willingness to come forward, mix in wrestling, and make it a dirty fight will put Zhu on the back foot, causing him to react rather than inflict. He notes Zhu's record is a bit hollow.

"dakota bush is my pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 14, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Rong Zhu

Big Brady picks underdog Rong Zhu, believing he is better than his poor UFC debut showed. He thinks Zhu has cardio and striking advantages, and can stuff Jenkins' takedowns. He notes Jenkins has poor takedown defense and may slow down. He predicts a decision win for Zhu but is not overly confident.

"i'm gonna say that wrong zoo is a lot better than we saw in that first fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Cody does not make a firm pick, noting that Rong Zhu looked shell-shocked in his debut but has potential, while Brandon Jenkins is a short-notice replacement with mediocre technique. He suggests the under might be the best play if the price is right, as both fighters are aggressive finishers.

Under 2.5 rounds (if price is right)
"i would be interested in taking wrong but we don't have a line in front of us"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Rong Zhu

Daniel Levi picks Rong Zhu to win but calls it a dog-or-pass situation. He notes Zhu underperformed in his last fight due to the flight from China, but this time he trained at ATT in Florida, so the flight won't be an issue. He thinks Zhu should be around -175 to -200, not -350. He acknowledges Jenkins is an opportunistic finisher and hittable, but if he were to bet a side, he would bet Jenkins. As a pure pick, he goes with Zhu.

dog-or-pass situation; if betting, would take Brandon Jenkins
"if i were to bet a side here i would bet brandon jenkins i'm not gonna lay minus 350 on wrong shoe here but i'll pick as a pure pick wrong shoe this is a dogger pass situation guys"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Rong Zhu

Preet leans Rong Zhu but thinks the line is too wide. He believes Zhu is a crisper striker and may have a grappling advantage, but Jenkins is durable and has better timing. He expects chaos and likes the under 2.5 rounds at -125.

Under 2.5 rounds -125
"I'm still coming out on the other side pickings are wrong to win this fight I just can't trust him at this match 335"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Paul does not make a pick, noting that the fight was just booked and he hasn't studied it. He mentions he would be interested in the under if the total is set reasonably, as both fighters have finishing ability.

"i'll be paying close attention to what the total gets set on this because i probably want to bed and under"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Rong Zhu

The MMA Guru picks Rong Zhu over Brandon Jenkins, noting Zhu's youth (21) and experience (18-5). He criticizes Jenkins' lack of notable wins and believes Zhu will improve from his debut. He predicts a TKO win for Zhu.

TKO
"i'm gonna go with wrongzhu here dakota bush is kind of like they're offering up a hey chinese guy that we want to win"
LOSS vs Kazula Vargas
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · Apr 24, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kazula Vargas 0 96 of 176 54% 111 of 192 0 of 1 0% 1 1 1:10
Rong Zhu 0 42 of 105 40% 49 of 114 3 of 4 75% 0 0 2:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kazula Vargas 0 47 of 82 57% 47 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rong Zhu 0 13 of 32 40% 13 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Kazula Vargas 0 8 of 13 61% 23 of 29 0 of 0 --- 1 1 1:10
Rong Zhu 0 2 of 7 28% 7 of 12 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:32
3 Kazula Vargas 0 41 of 81 50% 41 of 81 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Rong Zhu 0 27 of 66 40% 29 of 70 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kazula Vargas 96 of 176 54% 50 of 121 29 of 34 17 of 21 94 of 174 1 of 1 1 of 1
Rong Zhu 42 of 105 40% 40 of 101 2 of 4 0 of 0 40 of 100 0 of 0 2 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kazula Vargas 47 of 82 57% 17 of 47 18 of 21 12 of 14 47 of 82 0 of 0 0 of 0
Rong Zhu 13 of 32 40% 11 of 29 2 of 3 0 of 0 13 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Kazula Vargas 8 of 13 61% 3 of 8 2 of 2 3 of 3 6 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 1
Rong Zhu 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 2
3 Kazula Vargas 41 of 81 50% 30 of 66 9 of 11 2 of 4 41 of 81 0 of 0 0 of 0
Rong Zhu 27 of 66 40% 27 of 65 0 of 1 0 of 0 26 of 63 0 of 0 1 of 3
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Rong Zhu

Big Brady picks Rong Zhu to win by second-round knockout. He believes Rong Zhu is a much more technical striker with harder hits, and that Vargas is wild and low-output. He also notes Rong Zhu has good ground and pound if he takes Vargas down. He expects a finish because both fighters have high finish rates.

Rong Zhu by KO in round 2
"i'm gonna take wrong zoo to win this fight i'm going to say he wins by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Rong Zhu

Cody leans toward Zhu, noting his youth and striking. He acknowledges Vargas's wrestling but thinks Zhu's aggression and cardio will be factors. He is not confident due to the lack of tape on Zhu and the -255 price. He passes on betting.

"i think this kid's gonna outlast him i think this kid's gonna last him the strike is gonna be a little bit better he's aggressive he's got a good gasoline"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Rong Zhu

Daniel picks Rong Zhu, believing he is the best Chinese prospect on the card and that Kazula Vargas is not UFC caliber. He notes Zhu's length and aggression, and expects him to land better shots. He is not sure about the -250 line but still picks Zhu to win.

"i'm gonna pick him to win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Rong Zhu

I think Rong Zhu has the most potential among the Chinese debutants. He's well-rounded with solid grappling and striking, and he's only 21 with 20 pro fights. Vargas is durable but limited; he's been finished only by Jose Caceres. I expect the fight to stay standing and Zhu to outpoint him, possibly finishing late. The prop I like is Zhu by KO at +135, but I'm not investing serious money due to the unknowns.

Zhu by KO +135
"i think that we'll get wrong uh having the upper hand pretty much at all times in this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Kazula Vargas

Paul picks Vargas as a dog, citing Zhu's takedown defense issues and Vargas's wrestling. He notes Zhu's youth and potential but thinks Vargas can exploit the grappling gap. He likes the plus money and thinks the line should be closer to a pick 'em. He also mentions that Zhu is on the card because of the Chinese market.

"i took a shot on the duck and i don't hate it you know what i wouldn't hate it either it's plus 215 it's a dog shot"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Rong Zhu

The MMA Guru picks Rong Zhu by TKO in the second round. He is impressed by Zhu's highlight reel and activity, noting he has a 10-fight win streak and disguises his wins among lesser competition. He thinks Vargas is older and not as good, and that Zhu will finish him via ground and pound after Vargas survives a bit.

TKO in second round
"i'm going with wrong zhu"
Kody Steele - Fight History
WIN vs Dom Mar Fan
Submission R1 3:56 · UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · May 02, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dom Mar Fan 0 1 of 2 50% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:28
Kody Steele 0 1 of 1 100% 19 of 25 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dom Mar Fan 0 1 of 2 50% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:28
Kody Steele 0 1 of 1 100% 19 of 25 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:44
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dom Mar Fan 1 of 2 50% 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kody Steele 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dom Mar Fan 1 of 2 50% 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kody Steele 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele

Round 1
Good evening, or as we say here in Texas, good morning! In the UFC Perth curtain jerker, Road to UFC product Mar Fan (9-2) makes his proper Octagon debut against
Dana White's Contender Series
Season 8 alum Steele (7-1; 0-1 UFC). The third man in the cage is referee Matt Wynne. Both lightweights set up in orthodox and it’s the taller Mar Fan pawing out with a long jab. Steele shoots a double-leg from outside and secures a clean takedown. Mar Fan closes his guard and uses his arms to control Steele’s posture. Ninety seconds in, Steele passes to half guard. He’s throwing short punches and using shoulder pressure to make his foe uncomfortable. Steele tries to pass to mount as Mar Fan looks for a sweep. He does, but Mar Fan times him perfectly and rolls him right over, sweeping to top position. Steele scrambles and they end up in an awkward-looking leglock race position. Under two minutes left in the round and Steele is the only one actually threatening his foe’s leg.
Mar Fan starts to stand out of the position, Steele adjusts his hold to a wild kneebar/heel hook hybrid attack and suddenly Mar Fan taps!
Wynne is there to save him in a flash and Kody Steele has his first UFC win. Impressive stuff from the combat jiu-jitsu star.

The Official Result
Kody Steele def. Dom Mar Fan R1 3:56 via Submission (Heel Hook)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Angelo picks Kody Steele despite his last fight stats looking bad, because he believes Steele's pressure and takedowns will be effective against Dom Mar Fan's weak takedown defense. He notes that Steele can hang in striking and then sneak takedowns. Angelo hopes the odds tighten as he expects public perception to favor Dom based on stats.

Angelo hopes odds tighten; mentions -175 odds.
"Cody's going to be the pick. I hope these odds tighten. I hope people do look at the last fight and the stats and just make some snap judgments and bet the other side."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Big Brady picks Kody Steele to win by decision. He notes that Steele has a strong grappling background but tends to strike, which he believes will be an advantage against Dom Mar Fan's grappling-focused style. Brady thinks Steele is the better striker and grappler, and expects him to stuff takedowns and outwork Mar Fan on the feet over three rounds.

Steele by decision
"I like Steel here to win the fight. I'm going to take him to win the fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Cody picks Steele, citing his superior grappling and BJJ black belt. He believes Steele's wrestling and submission skills will be too much for Mar Fan, despite Steele's tendency to brawl.

"I got to go with the best guy with the best skill set who I believe is going to win. And it's Cody Steel."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Dom Mar Fan

Connor picks Mar Fan, noting that he is calm and composed, while Steele is a hothead who gets mad and fights stupidly when frustrated. He compares Steele to Cody Garbrandt in his worst aspects. He thinks Mar Fan's technical problem-solving and composure will frustrate Steele and lead to a win.

"Yeah, I feel inclined to take Don Marfan actually. Yeah, I think he's I just think he's real calm and composed and steel is accustomed to the idea of people freaking out."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Daniel Vreeland picks Kody Steele to get his first UFC win, believing he is more physical and athletic than Dom Mar Fan. He notes Steele's durability and pace, and thinks Mar Fan is not a significant step up in competition.

"I think Cody Steel gets back on track, gets his first UFC win. I think he probably bullies this guy a little bit."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Apr 26, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Lucrative James picks Kody Steele to win via knockout. He believes Steele's grappling base and physicality will neutralize Dom Mar Fan's wrestling, and that Steele has a striking advantage. He notes Steele's recent loss to Zhu Rong but expects a bounce-back performance. He plans to review more tape on Steele's grappling.

"I'll take Cody Steel to win this one and I'll take Cody Steel to win this one via knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 28, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Kody Steele

The host believes Kody Steele is the better grappler with superior wrestling and BJJ, and expects him to outscramble Dom Mar Fan. On the feet, Steele's power, aggressiveness, and pace will cause Fan problems, leading to a knockout victory, likely in the third round. The host notes that Steele's striking is more confident than typical BJJ specialists, but his takedown defense needs work. The host also mentions a prop for round three KO at +400.

Round three KO at +400
"I think Steel is the better grappler. He's a better wrestler, better BJJ specialist. And I think he'll be able to outscramble and showcase a better gas tank than Domar fan as well."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Dom Mar Fan

Paul picks Mar Fan as a dog, citing his resourcefulness and ability to win close fights. He believes Mar Fan's grit and home crowd could lead to a controversial split decision.

"Dogger pass for me. controversial split decision just for just to blow up people's parlays early in the day."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Kody Steele

The MMA Guru picks Kody Steele, citing his grappling prowess and experience in grappling tournaments. He notes that Dom Mar Fan's Road to UFC wins were against lower-level competition and his last performance wasn't impressive. He believes Steele's grappling will be the deciding factor.

"I'm going to go with Cody Steel with his grappling prowess here taking over in this fight."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Kody Steele

Zane picks Steele because he believes Steele's physical ceiling is higher and he knows how to fight going forward. He notes that Steele is an underperformer but has the tools to put pressure on Mar Fan. However, he acknowledges Steele's tendency to get frustrated and fight stupid when things don't go his way.

"I'm still gonna pick Cody steel. Just because I do think the physical ceiling is higher and he does know how to fight going forward."
LOSS vs Rong Zhu
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 312: du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · Feb 09, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rong Zhu 1 125 of 241 51% 126 of 243 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:18
Kody Steele 0 59 of 209 28% 59 of 209 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rong Zhu 0 33 of 75 44% 34 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:08
Kody Steele 0 27 of 86 31% 27 of 86 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:06
2 Rong Zhu 1 32 of 64 50% 32 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Kody Steele 0 9 of 36 25% 9 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Rong Zhu 0 60 of 102 58% 60 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kody Steele 0 23 of 87 26% 23 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rong Zhu 125 of 241 51% 108 of 220 4 of 8 13 of 13 125 of 241 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kody Steele 59 of 209 28% 47 of 194 10 of 11 2 of 4 58 of 205 1 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rong Zhu 33 of 75 44% 27 of 69 2 of 2 4 of 4 33 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kody Steele 27 of 86 31% 21 of 79 4 of 4 2 of 3 26 of 82 1 of 4 0 of 0
2 Rong Zhu 32 of 64 50% 28 of 59 1 of 2 3 of 3 32 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kody Steele 9 of 36 25% 8 of 33 1 of 2 0 of 1 9 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Rong Zhu 60 of 102 58% 53 of 92 1 of 4 6 of 6 60 of 102 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kody Steele 23 of 87 26% 18 of 82 5 of 5 0 of 0 23 of 87 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Big Brady is a fan of Kody Steele, noting his BJJ black belt and improved striking. He believes Steele has a massive grappling advantage over Rong Zhu, who has been submitted four times. However, he worries that Steele might fall in love with his hands and stand and bang, which could give Rong a chance. Brady predicts a second-round submission if Steele mixes in takedowns.

"I like Cody steel here um rangu could be live early on especially if they stand in bang a little bit but especially as this fight goes on whether steel grapples or not as this fight goes on I like …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert picked Feb 4, 2025 (5 days before fight)

Daniel Levi discusses Kody Steele's UFC debut, noting his impressive Contender Series performance and Dana White's praise. He mentions Steele's opponent Rong Zhu, who has been in the UFC before. He does not pick a winner, only advising viewers to pay attention to Steele.

"Definitely pay attention to this kid cody Steel because he looked very promising in his Regional and Dana White's Contender series footage"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Rong Zhu

Rong Zhu's experience and striking advantage are expected to overcome Steele's undefeated record. Steele will struggle to get the fight to the ground due to Rong Zhu's improved defensive grappling. The pick is for Rong Zhu to win by decision.

decision
"I do believe the experience and striking advantage of rangu will allow him to overcome The Undefeated record of Cody steel"
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Big Brady is a fan of Kody Steele, noting his BJJ black belt and improved striking. He believes Steele has a massive grappling advantage over Rong Zhu, who has been submitted four times. However, he worries that Steele might fall in love with his hands and stand and bang, which could give Rong a chance. Brady predicts a second-round submission if Steele mixes in takedowns.

"I like Cody steel here um rangu could be live early on especially if they stand in bang a little bit but especially as this fight goes on whether steel grapples or not as this fight goes on I like the cardio the pressure of pace of Steel"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert picked Feb 4, 2025 (5 days before fight)
No clear pick

Daniel Levi discusses Kody Steele's UFC debut, noting his impressive Contender Series performance and Dana White's praise. He mentions Steele's opponent Rong Zhu, who has been in the UFC before. He does not pick a winner, only advising viewers to pay attention to Steele.

"Definitely pay attention to this kid cody Steel because he looked very promising in his Regional and Dana White's Contender series footage"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Rong Zhu

Rong Zhu's experience and striking advantage are expected to overcome Steele's undefeated record. Steele will struggle to get the fight to the ground due to Rong Zhu's improved defensive grappling. The pick is for Rong Zhu to win by decision.

decision
"I do believe the experience and striking advantage of rangu will allow him to overcome The Undefeated record of Cody steel"
Comments (1)
BR
brian 1 month, 1 week ago

Kody loves to trade blows, when taken to the ground went for a heel hook, (bad attempt ab) ... Still not high level but fun