Career Averages - Wang Cong
Career Averages - Bruna Brasil
Wang Cong
Bruna Brasil
Wang Cong - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wang Cong | 1 | 39 of 71 | 54% | 147 of 195 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 3:11 |
| Eduarda Moura | 0 | 12 of 34 | 35% | 40 of 70 | 3 of 12 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 8:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wang Cong | 1 | 26 of 46 | 56% | 48 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:57 |
| Eduarda Moura | 0 | 8 of 24 | 33% | 15 of 33 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:57 | |
| 2 | Wang Cong | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 54 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Eduarda Moura | 0 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 17 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 4:31 | |
| 3 | Wang Cong | 0 | 10 of 21 | 47% | 45 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 2:11 |
| Eduarda Moura | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 8 of 12 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wang Cong | 39 of 71 | 54% | 16 of 39 | 15 of 20 | 8 of 12 | 23 of 49 | 10 of 14 | 6 of 8 |
| Eduarda Moura | 12 of 34 | 35% | 12 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 29 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wang Cong | 26 of 46 | 56% | 10 of 25 | 11 of 14 | 5 of 7 | 17 of 33 | 4 of 7 | 5 of 6 |
| Eduarda Moura | 8 of 24 | 33% | 8 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 21 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Wang Cong | 3 of 4 | 75% | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Eduarda Moura | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | |
| 3 | Wang Cong | 10 of 21 | 47% | 5 of 13 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 13 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 2 |
| Eduarda Moura | 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Wang Cong confidently, citing her excellent striking, power, speed, and accuracy. He notes her takedown defense has held up well. He thinks Eduarda Moura's striking is nowhere near good enough to hang, and if Wang defends takedowns, she will win easily. He expects Moura to shoot desperate takedowns from far away. He also mentions that Vegas hates wrestlers, so even if Moura gets takedowns, it may not matter.
Big Brady picks Wang Cong, praising her as one of the best strikers in the division with excellent takedown defense. He notes that Moura may have early grappling success but will slow down, and Cong will piece her up over 15 minutes. He expects a decision win for Cong.
Cody agrees, highlighting Wang's volume and Moura's struggles at 125. He notes Moura's weight-cutting issues and inability to bully larger opponents. Cody expects Wang to dominate on the feet and win comfortably.
Connor agrees, noting that Wang has good instincts to counter wrestle and that Moura's game is meat-and-potatoes striking. He points out that Moura threw a lot against Lauren Murphy but landed very little, and that Wang will not be scared off. Connor expects Wang to win comfortably.
Lucrative James picks Wang Cong to win by TKO in round three. He believes Wang's striking is far superior and that she will defend takedowns, while Moura tends to gas out. James notes Wang's chin might be a concern, but he trusts her takedown defense and striking volume to secure a late finish.
The host picks Wang Cong by TKO in round three. He believes Wang's superior striking and takedown defense will be too much for Moura, who struggles to get takedowns and has poor cardio. He expects Wang to stick and move, punishing Moura's entries, and eventually put together a barrage in the third round for a finish.
Paul picks Wang Cong, citing her elite striking and physical strength. He notes Moura's lack of standout skills and poor striking defense. Paul expects Wang to outwork Moura and win a decision or late stoppage.
The host picks Wang Cong over Eduarda Moura. He notes Wang Cong is fundamentally sound on feet and ground, with good takedown defense. He thinks Moura has had close fights and stinkers, and if someone is sharper and can match her strength, they will do well. He expects Wang Cong to win.
Zane picks Wang Cong, believing she can stuff enough of Moura's grappling to keep the fight at distance where Moura is uncomfortable. He notes that Moura's high-volume but low-accuracy striking will be dangerous against Wang, who is fast and accurate. Zane expects a tepid fight where Wang works her from long range.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 63 of 176 | 35% | 65 of 178 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Wang Cong | 1 | 143 of 222 | 64% | 147 of 226 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ariane da Silva | 0 | 17 of 41 | 41% | 17 of 41 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Wang Cong | 0 | 46 of 65 | 70% | 48 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Ariane da Silva | 0 | 19 of 59 | 32% | 21 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Wang Cong | 1 | 42 of 64 | 65% | 44 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 3 | Ariane da Silva | 0 | 27 of 76 | 35% | 27 of 76 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Wang Cong | 0 | 55 of 93 | 59% | 55 of 93 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariane da Silva | 63 of 176 | 35% | 31 of 121 | 20 of 37 | 12 of 18 | 55 of 164 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Wang Cong | 143 of 222 | 64% | 75 of 148 | 28 of 31 | 40 of 43 | 127 of 206 | 13 of 13 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ariane da Silva | 17 of 41 | 41% | 9 of 29 | 4 of 7 | 4 of 5 | 15 of 37 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Wang Cong | 46 of 65 | 70% | 16 of 34 | 12 of 12 | 18 of 19 | 39 of 58 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ariane da Silva | 19 of 59 | 32% | 11 of 44 | 5 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 16 of 56 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Wang Cong | 42 of 64 | 65% | 19 of 39 | 8 of 8 | 15 of 17 | 37 of 59 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | |
| 3 | Ariane da Silva | 27 of 76 | 35% | 11 of 48 | 11 of 20 | 5 of 8 | 24 of 71 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Wang Cong | 55 of 93 | 59% | 40 of 75 | 8 of 11 | 7 of 7 | 51 of 89 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Wang Cong but is not fully confident. He acknowledges Ariane Lipski's underrated striking and ability to make it competitive. He thinks Wang's power will add up over time and Lipski will become afraid to engage. He notes the odds are almost 4-to-1 and says he will likely avoid betting on this fight.
Big Brady picks Wang Cong, citing her high-level striking and the fact that Ariane da Silva has been finished in five of her losses, four by KO. He thinks da Silva doesn't like getting hit and that Cong can finish her on the feet or by mixing in takedowns, as da Silva's ground game is suspect. He predicts a second-round knockout.
Wang Cong is expected to be more effective with her footwork, distance management, and combinations. She will land more effective damage throughout the fight and chip away at Lipski to win on the scorecards.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Wang Cong, citing her superior kickboxing, power, and ability to finish. He notes Ariane da Silva has submission skills but lacks power and is reactionary. He predicts Wang Cong wins by TKO in the first round, dominating exchanges. He mentions Wang Cong's only loss was a fluke submission she would win 8 out of 10 times.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wang Cong | 0 | 103 of 181 | 56% | 104 of 182 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 31 of 64 | 48% | 31 of 64 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wang Cong | 0 | 30 of 49 | 61% | 30 of 49 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Wang Cong | 0 | 35 of 60 | 58% | 35 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Wang Cong | 0 | 38 of 72 | 52% | 39 of 73 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 14 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wang Cong | 103 of 181 | 56% | 38 of 99 | 21 of 32 | 44 of 50 | 102 of 177 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 3 |
| Bruna Brasil | 31 of 64 | 48% | 11 of 30 | 12 of 19 | 8 of 15 | 30 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wang Cong | 30 of 49 | 61% | 11 of 28 | 4 of 5 | 15 of 16 | 29 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Bruna Brasil | 10 of 20 | 50% | 3 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 8 | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Wang Cong | 35 of 60 | 58% | 10 of 29 | 8 of 12 | 17 of 19 | 35 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruna Brasil | 7 of 17 | 41% | 1 of 5 | 4 of 8 | 2 of 4 | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Wang Cong | 38 of 72 | 52% | 17 of 42 | 9 of 15 | 12 of 15 | 38 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruna Brasil | 14 of 27 | 51% | 7 of 15 | 6 of 9 | 1 of 3 | 13 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Wang Cong to win, but he is not laying -515 on her. He notes that Bruna Brasil is moving up a weight class and will be a small flyweight. He questions Brasil's chin, as she has been knocked out three times and looked uncomfortable in the Denise Gomes fight. Brady believes Wang Cong will land big shots and get a knockout, predicting a second-round finish.
Daniel Levi mentions Wang Cong as a massive favorite against Bruna Brasil, noting Wang's knockout wins and Bruna's recent career-best performance against Molly McCann. He does not state a pick, only describing the matchup and asking if Bruna can come through as a big underdog.
Wang Cong is looking to bounce back from her first professional loss. She will showcase a more disciplined approach, pick apart Brasil, and stop takedown attempts. The fight is expected to go to the scorecards with Wang winning by decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 46 of 111 | 41% | 48 of 113 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Wang Cong | 1 | 18 of 59 | 30% | 19 of 61 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:28 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 23 of 56 | 41% | 25 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Wang Cong | 0 | 6 of 26 | 23% | 7 of 28 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 2 | Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 23 of 55 | 41% | 23 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Wang Cong | 1 | 12 of 33 | 36% | 12 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriella Fernandes | 46 of 111 | 41% | 15 of 66 | 21 of 32 | 10 of 13 | 46 of 111 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Wang Cong | 18 of 59 | 30% | 13 of 50 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 6 | 18 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriella Fernandes | 23 of 56 | 41% | 7 of 30 | 12 of 19 | 4 of 7 | 23 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Wang Cong | 6 of 26 | 23% | 5 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 6 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gabriella Fernandes | 23 of 55 | 41% | 8 of 36 | 9 of 13 | 6 of 6 | 23 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Wang Cong | 12 of 33 | 36% | 8 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Angelo is very confident in Wang Cong, citing her kickboxing background and power. He believes Fernandes will struggle with Wang's power and resort to desperate takedowns. He calls it one of his most confident picks on the card.
Big Brady picks Wang Cong to win by decision. He thinks Wang is the better striker and also has a sneaky path to victory via takedowns, as Fernandes can be taken down and controlled on the mat. Despite the massive -800 line, Brady expects Wang to get it done, likely on the feet or with grappling.
Cody agrees, calling Wang a legitimate prospect with world-class kickboxing. He notes that Fernandes has been taken down and outstruck in recent fights, and Wang's physicality in the clinch will be too much. He expects Wang to win big, possibly by knockout or even submission, as she continues to develop her grappling.
Connor also picks Wang, comparing her to a more athletic Yan Xiaonan with less experience. He notes that Fernandes is not a great grappler but a physical fighter, and Wang's athleticism and striking should prevail. Connor acknowledges that Wang's ground game could implode under pressure but thinks it's unlikely against Fernandes. He agrees the odds are too wide.
Daniel Vreeland picks Wang Cong despite the steep -800 line. He highlights her clean kickboxing, having beaten Valentina Shevchenko in a kickboxing match, and her well-rounded game including takedowns. He acknowledges Gabriella Fernandes' power and improving get-up game but sees a clear technique gap. He expects Wang Cong to pick her apart, though not necessarily with a highlight-reel KO.
James leans towards Wang Cong as a real prospect, but admits he hasn't done full tape study. He notes Wang's striking and thinks Fernandes is not a great fighter, but the -800 price is too high to bet. He may look for a decision or KO prop after further research.
Paul picks Wang Cong confidently, noting her elite striking and improving grappling. He points out that Fernandes is not a strong grappler and has been outmuscled in the clinch. He expects Wang to win by knockout, possibly early, and sees this as a showcase fight to build her up.
The MMA Guru picks Wang Cong confidently, citing her aura, power, KO ability, and kickboxing background. He mentions she knocked out Victoria Leonardo and beat Valentina Shevchenko in kickboxing. He acknowledges Gabriella Fernandes is strong and athletic but lost to Jazzy Decious and Theresa Bleda. He predicts a KO win for Wang Cong.
Zane picks Wang Cong, citing her superior striking speed, power, and form. He notes that Fernandes is a cumbersome striker who will likely get countered repeatedly. Zane also mentions that Wang showed composure when grappled in previous fights, which should help against Fernandes' physical but not elite grappling. However, he warns that Wang is untested and the odds are too wide.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wang Cong | 1 | 10 of 26 | 38% | 10 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 0 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wang Cong | 1 | 10 of 26 | 38% | 10 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 0 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wang Cong | 10 of 26 | 38% | 4 of 16 | 1 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wang Cong | 10 of 26 | 38% | 4 of 16 | 1 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Wang Cong, calling her the biggest favorite on the card at 8-to-1 odds. He notes her high-level kickboxing background, including a win over Valentina Shevchenko, and her striking speed and power. He thinks she is light years ahead of Leonardo in striking and should win, potentially by stoppage. However, he warns against betting the moneyline because the odds are too far gone and she is an untested UFC debut. He considers a bet on the under 2.5 rounds if the line is juiced.
Cody picks Wang Cong because of her striking pedigree, including a kickboxing win over Valentina Shevchenko. He notes that Leonardo is 1-3 in the UFC and has been finished by lesser strikers. He thinks Wang Cong's power and precision will be too much. He also mentions that the UFC is building her up as a potential contender.
Daniel Vreeland confidently picks Wang Cong, noting her kickboxing background and Leonardo's history of being finished by UFC-caliber opponents. He expects a dominant performance, possibly by head kick or other finish.
Brevin picks Wang Cong by KO, citing her strong wrestling and grappling, and noting that Leonardo is a terrible striker with no striking ability. He is confident Wang will get the job done on Saturday. JP piggybacks, also taking Wang by KO, emphasizing Leonardo's poor record of 1-4 with KOs.
Paul picks Wang Cong, noting her kickboxing background and the UFC's intention to build a Chinese star. He thinks Leonardo is a gatekeeper who will be used to propel Wang Cong. He also mentions that Wang Cong showed grappling skills on Road to the UFC. He says he's willing to pay the chalk.
The MMA Guru picks Wang Cong because she is undefeated and Victoria Leonardo is 'garbage' and should not be in the UFC. He dismisses Leonardo's skills entirely, suggesting she has no business being signed. He does not elaborate on Wang's specific strengths but is confident in her victory.
Bruna Brasil - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexia Thainara | 0 | 73 of 150 | 48% | 137 of 227 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 2 | 0 | 9:34 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 37 of 56 | 66% | 72 of 94 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexia Thainara | 0 | 29 of 59 | 49% | 41 of 75 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 | 0 | 2:16 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 16 of 23 | 69% | 25 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alexia Thainara | 0 | 28 of 51 | 54% | 59 of 85 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:45 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 15 of 20 | 75% | 33 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alexia Thainara | 0 | 16 of 40 | 40% | 37 of 67 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 3:33 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 14 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexia Thainara | 73 of 150 | 48% | 32 of 91 | 25 of 37 | 16 of 22 | 53 of 119 | 12 of 18 | 8 of 13 |
| Bruna Brasil | 37 of 56 | 66% | 13 of 29 | 15 of 17 | 9 of 10 | 31 of 50 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexia Thainara | 29 of 59 | 49% | 11 of 32 | 8 of 14 | 10 of 13 | 25 of 55 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Bruna Brasil | 16 of 23 | 69% | 5 of 11 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 7 | 15 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alexia Thainara | 28 of 51 | 54% | 14 of 34 | 12 of 14 | 2 of 3 | 18 of 37 | 6 of 8 | 4 of 6 |
| Bruna Brasil | 15 of 20 | 75% | 4 of 8 | 10 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 15 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alexia Thainara | 16 of 40 | 40% | 7 of 25 | 5 of 9 | 4 of 6 | 10 of 27 | 4 of 8 | 2 of 5 |
| Bruna Brasil | 6 of 13 | 46% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is extremely confident in Alexia Thainara, calling her the biggest favorite on the card. He describes her as a strong, forward-pressure fighter with heavy hands and grappling ability, who bullied Loma Lookboonmee. He contrasts Bruna Brasil's recent timid performances and poor takedown defense, predicting Alexia will run through her.
Cody picks Thainara, citing her physicality, improved wrestling, and cardio. He acknowledges the previous loss but believes Thainara has improved significantly since then.
Connor also picks Thainara, agreeing that she has improved and that Brasil has not. He notes that Thainara's recent performances show good give and take on the ground.
Daniel expects Thainara to dominate Brasil, who he criticizes for being timid and running away. He believes Thainara's grappling and striking will overwhelm Brasil, leading to a clear win.
Thainara is a massive favorite at -768, and the host believes she should win easily due to her aggression, high pace, and wrestling. He notes that Bruna Brasil is more technical but passive and tentative, often failing to impose herself. Thainara's work rate and grappling in the clinch should overwhelm Brasil, and a finish is possible but not necessary for the win.
The host believes Thainara has made significant improvements since her first fight with Brasil, evidenced by her 11-fight winning streak. He notes her aggression in striking and grappling, ability to establish top position, and youth at 28. He expects her to dominate with forward pressure and takedowns, though he is less confident in a finish, predicting a decision win. He mentions she is worthy of being a parlay piece despite the chalky price.
Paul agrees, noting Thainara's trajectory and Brasil's inconsistency. He thinks Thainara's strength and wrestling will be too much.
The MMA Guru picks Alexia Thainara, citing her recent win over Luma Lookboonmee and her physical strength. He believes Thainara is too muscular and strong in grappling exchanges for Bruna Brasil, who is coming off a loss. He notes that Thainara's takedown ability and pressure will be key, and that Brasil can be tricky on the back foot but will likely get taken down.
Zane picks Thainara confidently, noting that she has improved since their first fight and looks controlled in recent performances. He mentions that she worked top position methodically against McCann and defended an armbar smoothly. He assumes she won't make the same mistake of walking into a guillotine again.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 31 of 60 | 51% | 65 of 101 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Ketlen Souza | 0 | 33 of 69 | 47% | 64 of 109 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 8:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 12 of 19 | 63% | 32 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Ketlen Souza | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 19 of 30 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:26 | |
| 2 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 11 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Ketlen Souza | 0 | 14 of 30 | 46% | 26 of 48 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:15 | |
| 3 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 12 of 25 | 48% | 22 of 40 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Ketlen Souza | 0 | 14 of 26 | 53% | 19 of 31 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruna Brasil | 31 of 60 | 51% | 10 of 32 | 17 of 23 | 4 of 5 | 25 of 53 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Ketlen Souza | 33 of 69 | 47% | 18 of 42 | 12 of 22 | 3 of 5 | 24 of 59 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruna Brasil | 12 of 19 | 63% | 2 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ketlen Souza | 5 of 13 | 38% | 4 of 10 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Bruna Brasil | 7 of 16 | 43% | 2 of 8 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ketlen Souza | 14 of 30 | 46% | 7 of 17 | 6 of 10 | 1 of 3 | 12 of 27 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Bruna Brasil | 12 of 25 | 48% | 6 of 15 | 4 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ketlen Souza | 14 of 26 | 53% | 7 of 15 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 21 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Souza (-160); Brasil (+130)
Round 1
With the weigh-in silliness out of the way, the remaining nine pairings on the billing will proceed at their originally scheduled weight divisions. This one comes at the lightest of strawweight, in a must-win between countrywomen Brasil (11-5-1, 3-3 UFC) and “Esquentadinha” Souza (15-6, 2-3 UFC). The latter’s nickname means “little hothead,” much like the red emotion character from the animated film “Inside Out” voiced by the inimitable Lewis Black. It’s on with the fights, as the women clap hands under the watchful eye of referee Herb Dean.
The taller Brasil is light on her feet, keeping her distance with long, reaching kicks as Souza walks her down. Brasil pounds Souza with an especially emphatic body kick that doubles her foe over, and she times a knee to the body when Souza rushes at her. Souza pursues a single-leg takedown, elevating the left leg of “The Special One” and setting it down to try to lift Brasil off the ground entirely. When that fails, she stomps on Brasil’s toes while pressing her weight on Brasil in the clinch. Dean asks for more activity, so Brasil takes note and knees Souza in the stomach to separate them. Souza charges in with her hands down to wing an out-of-range uppercut, and Brasil steps in with a solid knee to the solar plexus. Souza smiles and whiffs on her responses, spinning with a strike before pushing forward to tie Brasil up again.
When available, Brasil lifts up short knees to the abdomen, and Souza responds with knees to the thigh until Brasil trips her up and deposits her to the mat with a body lock. Souza pops right back up and gloms back on Brasil, imposing her weight without offering much else. Brasil is at least trying to fight, while Souza clings to her opponent as Dean claps at her. When Souza does not respond, Dean implores her for more activity than just competitive snuggling, and he breaks them up with 45 seconds left. Both women adjust their clothes, and Souza rushes forward and gets kicked off her feet. Souza tries to spin back, and she takes a knee to the sternum when pushing into the clinch. Brasil rolls her eyes as she gets shoved to the wall, and she mixes in a few knees before Souza backs off. Souza boots her in the face, and Brasil shakes her head as the round concludes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brasil
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Brasil
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brasil
Round 2
Between rounds, Dean warns Brasil for timidity in just clinching without putting any offense behind it. The second stanza starts off like the first, with the short, stocky Souza chasing down Brasil, who is on her bike potshotting away. A high kick skims the side of Brasil’s face, who smiles and circles out the side as Souza bears down on her with punches. The tall, lanky Brasil rearranges her midsection with a ferocious knee, and Souza rushes through it to engage in a clinch. Brasil does not settle for getting pushed to the fencing, and she spins Souza around. Souza muscles her back around and holds her there, partially threatening with a level change but largely hanging out in the clinch. Dean’s urging for Souza to do something fall on deaf ears, as Souza has no plan in changing things up. Brasil actually strikes, with a knee to the body, and a frustrated Dean split them up. Souza responds to this by rushing out with a single right hand, and Brasil replies with a knee and tries for a flying kick.
Souza grips her arms around Brasil and is about to take her for a ride, but Brasil regains her balance and breaks out. Souza practically runs at her, and she lets loose a wheel kick that slams loudly into the guard, the kind of kick that even when blocked has a serious impact. Brasil knows the clinch is coming, but she cannot stop it as Souza dives after a single. Brasil shuts it down but is stifled against the wall, with Souza either going all-out for a takedown or occasionally kneeing the thigh. Brasil gets away and tosses out a thudding body kick, and she gets jabbed hard and appears to be compromised in her right eye. She does not complain that it was a poke, so it appears to be a legal punch square on the eye socket. Brasil wipes it out, and Souza does not take advantage of this, instead pressing in for a takedown. Brasil winces as she rides out the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Souza
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Souza
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Souza
Round 3
The Brazilians hug it out to start off the last round, likely tied on the scorecards. Brasil is fully aware of the impending charge, a bull-rush that comes from the shorter Souza and pushes her all the way to the fence. Brasil offers up short knees on the inside to little effect, staying busy as Souza does nothing but hang on. Dean is already telling Souza to actually fight when in this clinch, and she ignores him. He breaks them up, and the crowd cheers. The ladies high-five, and Souza takes a moment to awkwardly wipe her hands off on her shorts while Brasil does not know if she is bowing at her or something else. Souza walks forward to engage, and she strides directly into a step-in knee. She shrugs it off completely, crashing forward hellbent for leather. She loads up on power punches from both hands, knocking Brasil around the cage but not pinning her down or hurting her badly. Brasil keeps moving, but the steady diet of hooks off her raised guard keep her from offering up much of her own. She scores a big wheel kick that bangs into Souza’s head, and Souza tanks it and keeps on rolling. Rather than keep on with what actually was working for her, Souza chooses to suck the energy out of the building by pressing into a clinch.
Dean is not having it, allowing Souza far less time grinding before saying something and stepping in. Souza wipes her hands off a few more times, and Brasil looks at her strangely until leaping at her with a knee. Brasil circles to the side, into the power right hand of Souza, who tries to hit her hard with her raised hand. Souza snatches up Brasil’s leg and sets her down with a leg drop like pro wrestlers, and then inexplicably backs off to let Brasil back up. Brasil turns the tables for her own trip takedown, and Souza hits a 50-50 position and works back up. Souza initiates yet another clinch, and Brasil knees her in the stomach several times until the excruciating slog of a match finally ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Souza (29-28 Souza)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Souza (29-28 Souza)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Souza (29-28 Souza)
The Official Result
Ketlen Souza def. Bruna Brasil via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Bruna Brasil but is hesitant. He thinks she is the better fighter skill-for-skill but worries she has lost her aggression after training with Fighting Nerds. He notes she has become a distance pitter-patter striker instead of a creative power striker. He expects her to dance around and avoid Ketlen Souza's pressure, but if she loses a decision, he wouldn't be surprised. He advises not to bet on this fight.
Big Brady picks Ketlen Souza, citing her aggression, power, and pressure. He notes that Bruna Brasil is low volume and doesn't like getting hit, having been knocked out multiple times. He expects Souza to land big shots and potentially get a knockout, specifically predicting a second-round finish.
Cody also picks Souza, highlighting her strength and ability to get up from takedowns. He notes Brasil's pattern of alternating wins and losses, and expects Souza to outwork her. Cody is confident despite the line moving to favorite.
Connor also picks Souza, noting that she is the more pressing aggressive fighter and that Brazil's wins have been over no-hopers. He mentions that Souza made a close competitive fight out of Angela Hill, who is a better technician than Brazil. However, he acknowledges the fight could be a narrow decision.
Lucrative James leans toward Ketlen Souza to win by decision. He believes Souza is more durable and has more power, and notes that Brasil has been knocked out before. James also thinks Souza has faced higher-level competition and may have a slight edge in takedowns.
The host picks Souza with very low confidence, calling both women wild cards. He expects Souza to corral Brasil against the cage, mix in clinch work and takedowns, and grind out a decision. He notes Brasil can be passive and allow opponents to dictate pace, which Souza can exploit.
Paul picks Ketlen Souza, citing her power and experience against tougher competition. He notes Brasil's poor striking defense and lack of power. Paul expects Souza to land the bigger shots and win a close decision, though he admits it's a 50-50 fight.
The host picks Bruna Brasil over Ketlen Souza, going against his rule of women's MMA. He notes Brasil has good range, nasty knees, and clinch work. He thinks unless Souza can get takedowns, Brasil will outstrike her at range and beat her up in the clinch. He predicts a 30-27 decision.
Zane picks Souza hesitantly, trusting her to keep attacking and land with authority. He notes that Brazil tends to fly backwards in a straight line when pressed and get hit, while Souza is more likely to press forward. However, he acknowledges that Souza might take time off and get poked, leading to a narrow decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wang Cong | 0 | 103 of 181 | 56% | 104 of 182 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 31 of 64 | 48% | 31 of 64 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wang Cong | 0 | 30 of 49 | 61% | 30 of 49 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Wang Cong | 0 | 35 of 60 | 58% | 35 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Wang Cong | 0 | 38 of 72 | 52% | 39 of 73 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 14 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wang Cong | 103 of 181 | 56% | 38 of 99 | 21 of 32 | 44 of 50 | 102 of 177 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 3 |
| Bruna Brasil | 31 of 64 | 48% | 11 of 30 | 12 of 19 | 8 of 15 | 30 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wang Cong | 30 of 49 | 61% | 11 of 28 | 4 of 5 | 15 of 16 | 29 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Bruna Brasil | 10 of 20 | 50% | 3 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 8 | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Wang Cong | 35 of 60 | 58% | 10 of 29 | 8 of 12 | 17 of 19 | 35 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruna Brasil | 7 of 17 | 41% | 1 of 5 | 4 of 8 | 2 of 4 | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Wang Cong | 38 of 72 | 52% | 17 of 42 | 9 of 15 | 12 of 15 | 38 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruna Brasil | 14 of 27 | 51% | 7 of 15 | 6 of 9 | 1 of 3 | 13 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Wang Cong to win, but he is not laying -515 on her. He notes that Bruna Brasil is moving up a weight class and will be a small flyweight. He questions Brasil's chin, as she has been knocked out three times and looked uncomfortable in the Denise Gomes fight. Brady believes Wang Cong will land big shots and get a knockout, predicting a second-round finish.
Daniel Levi mentions Wang Cong as a massive favorite against Bruna Brasil, noting Wang's knockout wins and Bruna's recent career-best performance against Molly McCann. He does not state a pick, only describing the matchup and asking if Bruna can come through as a big underdog.
Wang Cong is looking to bounce back from her first professional loss. She will showcase a more disciplined approach, pick apart Brasil, and stop takedown attempts. The fight is expected to go to the scorecards with Wang winning by decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 32 of 56 | 57% | 57 of 84 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 3:31 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 44 of 74 | 59% | 63 of 99 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 5:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 10 of 21 | 47% | 10 of 22 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 25 of 38 | 65% | 31 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:44 | |
| 2 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 11 of 20 | 55% | 30 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 11 of 19 | 57% | 21 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 | |
| 3 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 11 of 15 | 73% | 17 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 11 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 3:31 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruna Brasil | 32 of 56 | 57% | 19 of 38 | 11 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 28 of 52 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Molly McCann | 44 of 74 | 59% | 20 of 46 | 22 of 24 | 2 of 4 | 32 of 56 | 8 of 9 | 4 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruna Brasil | 10 of 21 | 47% | 7 of 15 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Molly McCann | 25 of 38 | 65% | 8 of 18 | 15 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 18 of 28 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 5 | |
| 2 | Bruna Brasil | 11 of 20 | 55% | 6 of 13 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Molly McCann | 11 of 19 | 57% | 6 of 14 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 15 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Bruna Brasil | 11 of 15 | 73% | 6 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Molly McCann | 8 of 17 | 47% | 6 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
Angelo picks Molly McCann despite originally leaning toward Bruna Brasil. He explains that Bruna has the tools but is too low volume and doesn't pull the trigger, while Molly's forward pressure, output, and crowd energy will be decisive. He acknowledges that Bruna has power and could win, but believes Molly's aggression will earn a close decision.
Cody picks Molly McCann, citing her motivation after dropping to strawweight and her improved performance in her last fight. He notes that Bruna Brasil has shown poor grappling defense and was taken down easily by Denise Gomes and Loma Lookboonmee. Cody believes McCann's size, strength, and pressure will be too much, and she can win by decision or late finish.
Daniel believes Molly McCann will bully Bruna Brasil with pressure, takedowns, and ground control. He notes Bruna's poor chin and lack of heart, while Molly is the more physical fighter. He predicts a dominant win by submission, TKO, or decision.
Paul also picks McCann, noting that Bruna Brasil hasn't shown any reason to believe she can compete at this level. He points out that McCann's grappling and pressure will be key, and that the hometown crowd will support her. Paul expects McCann to win, possibly by decision.
The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann, citing her physicality advantage at strawweight and her finishing ability. He notes that McCann has KO power and a spinning elbow KO, which is rare for women's MMA. He believes Bruna Brasil is not a grappler and may struggle on the back foot. The Guru expects McCann to pressure and eventually get a TKO later in the fight, though he admits it's a tricky matchup.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loma Lookboonmee | 0 | 58 of 112 | 51% | 73 of 131 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 28 of 63 | 44% | 52 of 99 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loma Lookboonmee | 0 | 15 of 34 | 44% | 17 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 8 of 20 | 40% | 11 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 | |
| 2 | Loma Lookboonmee | 0 | 25 of 50 | 50% | 28 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 12 of 30 | 40% | 14 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 3 | Loma Lookboonmee | 0 | 18 of 28 | 64% | 28 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 27 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:45 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loma Lookboonmee | 58 of 112 | 51% | 15 of 52 | 29 of 38 | 14 of 22 | 47 of 98 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruna Brasil | 28 of 63 | 44% | 9 of 39 | 12 of 16 | 7 of 8 | 22 of 55 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loma Lookboonmee | 15 of 34 | 44% | 2 of 16 | 8 of 10 | 5 of 8 | 13 of 31 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruna Brasil | 8 of 20 | 40% | 1 of 9 | 4 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Loma Lookboonmee | 25 of 50 | 50% | 9 of 26 | 10 of 15 | 6 of 9 | 23 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruna Brasil | 12 of 30 | 40% | 6 of 23 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Loma Lookboonmee | 18 of 28 | 64% | 4 of 10 | 11 of 13 | 3 of 5 | 11 of 19 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruna Brasil | 8 of 13 | 61% | 2 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Suphisara (-265), Brasil (+215)
Round 1
The lone women’s bout of the evening comes in the strawweight division, between two strikers with fairly different backgrounds. Talented Thai “Loma Lookboonmee” Suphisara (8-3, 5-2 UFC) will battle it out with a woman named Brasil (9-3-1, 1-1 UFC)—this is not a nickname, and the Brazilian’s surname is indeed Brasil—and fists are sure to fly. Referee Jason Herzog will be watching out for any errant blows, and he does recognize the ladies clapping their hands together before getting after it. Both ladies measure out with high kicks early, but the first landed blow comes from the Brazilian in the form of a solid leg kick. Suphisara responds with a front kick that grazes past her target, and Brasil times another low kick. Suphisara whips a kick to the side, and Brasil recommits to her thudding leg kicks that force the Thai to switch stances. They both trade body kicks, and Brasil swings for the fences but misses the mark. Suphisara punches her way forward, missing those, but ultimately connecting with the body kick that comes with it. Suphisara slams her shin on the lead calf of her opponent, forcing a stumble, and Brasil gathers her thoughts and spins with a kick that pushes Suphisara rebounding off the fence. Suphisara strides forward to plant a kick on the ribs, and she side kicks the rear leg of her foe. Suphisara catches a kick from Brasil, and she ties the Brazilian up to push her against the wall and elbow her repeatedly. Suphisara attempts a throw, but the taller woman regains her footing and does not go down. When Brasil escapes, Suphisara gets off a kick to her side. Suphisara sprints forward with another punch combination, and the kick is the only one that lands. A welt beneath Brasil’s armpit has formed from the powerful kicks from the Thai, and Suphisara aims a kick to that same spot. Suphisara hops in, kicks, and hops back, before racing forward against with a body kick. “Loma Lookboonmee” ducks away from a spinning kick to the body, and then evades a spinning elbow that follows suit. Brasil succeeds in pushing Suphisara to the wall, but cannot keep her there for more than a few seconds. Suphisara dodges a strike, ducks down and grabs hold of a body lock takedown to put Brasil on the mat right before the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Round 2
The strawweights bump fists before getting back to business in the second stanza, and Brasil is quick to crowd the Thai. Suphisara pushes her back with a front kick, and she swipes out a low kick that does not reach. Suphisara takes a punch and nails the lead leg to force Brasil to take a funny step, and she kicks the other side as Brasil’s leg turns red. Suphisara pushes off with the ball of her foot, and fires off a switch kick that is blocked. Suphisara catches a kick and replies with a harder one to the ribcage, and she glances a kick off the side before chambering and firing another to the same spot. Brasil goes after a leg kick, and Suphisara answers her immediately. Brasil sells out with a spinning wheel kick, and Suphisara sees it coming and slides to the proper direction to totally avoid it. Brasil rushes forward throwing hands, and Suphisara stands in the pocket and trades, landing with a left hook that stuns her adversary. Brasil glares and advances with punches, and Suphisara is out of the way and spamming kicks. Suphisara slides to one side, counters, and dips to the other to tag Brasil while Brasil is whiffing. “Loma Lookboonmee” continues prodding Brasil with kicks to the body, and she is cognizant of the punches coming from the Brazilian and defends against the lion’s share of them. Brasil catches Suphisara with one on her way forward, resulting in a brief clinch, but Suphisara pays her back with a slashing elbow as she breaks. Brasil spins and misses, allowing Suphisara to kick her in the midsection and leaps at her with a Superwoman punch. The sparring match of a round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Round 3
The strawweights come together one last time for a fist bump, and they get back to their exchanges of Suphisara kicking the body and Brasil looking for punches. Brasil lands one clean right hand, and Suphisara strafes to avoid eating more than one. Brasil lands a low kick, and she stays there too long and gets popped by the Thai with a right hook. Suphisara stays close to the fence, continuing to move, and Brasil’s strikes rarely land flush while Suphisara is connecting with her own offense. Brasil gets off a push kick, and when Suphisara crowds her, she spins away and bops Suphisara with a back fist. The unfazed Thai answers her with several body kicks, and Brasil cannot pin her down. Brasil fakes her way into a possible level change, and she is stonewalled by Suphisara. As they continue to move, Suphisara ends up with a partial standing back take, and Brasil hangs on with her right arm around Suphisara’s neck and under Suphisara’s left armpit. The commentary booth is so thrilled by the action or lack thereof in the cage, one starts discussing cracking his back. Brasil turns around and stays tightly pressed to her opponent, but she is so close that she cannot get off any knees. Suphisara shoves her away after some stalling and kicks the red and shiny section of Brasil’s torso. Suphisara takes her time and lands another kick to the same spot when Brasil does not do anything, until Brasil runs at her and body locks her way into a takedown. Suphisara sits up to stand and starts elbowing the Brazilian in the face, and the disappointing 115-pound pairing comes to a conclusion.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara (30-27 Suphisara)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara (30-27 Suphisara)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara (30-27 Suphisara)
The Official Result
Konklak Suphisara def. Bruna Brasil via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo praises Loma's Muay Thai, volume, and improved takedowns, but notes she is undersized and struggles off her back. Bruna Brasil is a larger striker with power but poor striking defense and struggles backing up. Angelo thinks Loma's forward pressure and Muay Thai should allow her to tee off, but worries about Bruna's size and ability to hold Loma against the cage. He picks Loma but suggests a live bet or over 2.5 rounds prop.
Big Brady picks Loma Lookboonmee to win by decision. He notes that Lookboonmee is a great striker with good kicks and has been emphasizing wrestling, getting takedowns in recent fights. He thinks the striking will be competitive at worst, and Lookboonmee can take the fight down if needed. He is not laying -260 but picks her to win.
Cody picks Lookboonmee, emphasizing her wrestling advantage. He notes she has successfully mixed in takedowns in recent fights, while Brasil has shown poor takedown defense. Lookboonmee's compact frame helps her get to the hips. Cody expects her to grind out a decision, possibly by takedowns and top control.
Brasil has a significant size and strength advantage, with a 5-inch height and 4-inch reach edge. She should be able to use her clinch and grappling to control the fight, potentially finding submissions or reversals. Lookboonmee is a talented striker but may be outmatched in the grappling realm. The line at +230 is too wide for a fighter with Brasil's potential. Brasil by decision or submission.
Paul agrees, noting Lookboonmee has evolved from a Muay Thai fighter to a wrestler. He thinks Brasil's takedown defense is suspect and that Lookboonmee's pressure and grappling will be too much. Paul expects a clear path for Lookboonmee: strike to set up takedowns and control.
The MMA Guru picks Loma Lookboonmee because he considers her one of the better unranked strawweights. He notes her wins over Elise Reed and Denise Gomes, and her Muay Thai background. He does not like Bruna Brasil and does not see her working a grappling clinic. He believes Lookboonmee has a more well-rounded and better-suited MMA striking game.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 54 of 144 | 37% | 124 of 223 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:05 |
| Shauna Bannon | 0 | 56 of 90 | 62% | 73 of 111 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 16 of 51 | 31% | 16 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Shauna Bannon | 0 | 20 of 34 | 58% | 20 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 19 of 42 | 45% | 56 of 86 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Shauna Bannon | 0 | 16 of 25 | 64% | 28 of 38 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:45 | |
| 3 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 19 of 51 | 37% | 52 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Shauna Bannon | 0 | 20 of 31 | 64% | 25 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:36 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruna Brasil | 54 of 144 | 37% | 22 of 84 | 19 of 38 | 13 of 22 | 51 of 139 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Shauna Bannon | 56 of 90 | 62% | 30 of 58 | 14 of 19 | 12 of 13 | 39 of 72 | 12 of 13 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruna Brasil | 16 of 51 | 31% | 9 of 36 | 1 of 6 | 6 of 9 | 16 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Shauna Bannon | 20 of 34 | 58% | 12 of 25 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 7 | 20 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Bruna Brasil | 19 of 42 | 45% | 6 of 22 | 10 of 15 | 3 of 5 | 16 of 38 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Shauna Bannon | 16 of 25 | 64% | 6 of 12 | 7 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 17 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Bruna Brasil | 19 of 51 | 37% | 7 of 26 | 8 of 17 | 4 of 8 | 19 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Shauna Bannon | 20 of 31 | 64% | 12 of 21 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 21 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 5 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brasil (-150), Bannon (+130)
Round 1
The lone fighter from Ireland on the lengthy billing will make her company debut low on the undercard, as unbeaten “Mama B” Bannon (5-0, 0-0 UFC) tries to get the British Isles on the board early. She will collide with a Brazilian strawweight whose name is actually Brasil (8-3-1, 0-1 UFC), and not a nickname the likes of “Paulo Shogun” or “Thiago Vampiro” from days past. The ladies do not touch ‘em up before the watchful eyes of referee Dan Movahedi. Bannon starts off with a leg kick, and Brasil gives one right back to her just the same. Brasil sprints forward suddenly to rip the body with a kick, and she slips on the way out. The Brazilian gathers herself and loads up on a right hand, and Bannon shakes it out and pushes out a jab. Brasil stands firm and pops her with a left hook, and she beats Bannon to the punch with another few quick punches. The Dubliner whiffs on an axe kick, and she comes up short on a wide overhand right. Brasil crashes the pocket swinging her fists, and “Mama B” is able to skirt out of the way but cannot avoid the sweeping low kick at the end. Brasil whips a high kick that comes up over the guard and smacks Bannon in the face. Bannon steels herself and charges forward, but Brasil is able to evade her oncoming attack and get out of harm’s way. Brasil fakes a spin and loads up on a pair of leg kicks, and the second draws a reaction out of her opponent. Brasil shrugs off a step-in high kick that slaps into her cheek, and she strafes when Bannon charges with a flurry of punches. Bannon pushes out with a body kick, and Brasil swings with a haymaker and glances off the side of Bannon’s head. Brasil’s left hand down the pipe busts up the nose of the undefeated fighter, and she snipes a charging Bannon with a short left hook. Bannon misses with a head kick and then one down low, and her kicks are largely missing the mark. Brasil winds up with a big right hand, and it bounces off the shoulder as she then leans back from a head kick. Bannon pushes off the chest with the ball of her foot, and Brasil is out of the way when Bannon attempts another axe kick. Brasil backs her off with a head kick try, and the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brasil
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brasil
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Brasil
Round 2
Bannon is a woman on a mission leaving her corner, hopping forward to fire off a side kick right when the round begins. Brasil easily evades it and ignores the traditional martial arts-style movement of her adversary, instead chambering an overhand right and smacking Bannon with it. Bannon tries to keep a safe distance with front kicks and side kicks, and Brasil is the one who continues moving actively to not let most of the blows reach her. Bannon presses forward into the clinch, and after holding on, Brasil is able to turn her around and knee her up the middle. Bannon hunts for trips, but the Brazilian woman is easily able to stifle them and muscle her into the wire. Movahedi asks for them to do more when they are locked up together, leading Bannon to fishing for a trip. Bannon redoubles her effort, and Brasil nearly succeeds in hitting a reversal. At the last second, the Irishwoman is able to keep her balance, and she drives her knee to the body. Movahedi splits them up, and Bannon sprints at Brasil and belts her with a huge right hand. Brasil counters effectively with a left hook, and Bannon is the one reaching her with a jab and a side kick. Brasil replies with a right hand, but Bannon is spamming front kicks and quick high kicks. Bannon backpedals to dodge a looping right hand, and she loads up with one of her own to tag Brasil. Both ladies swing for the bleachers, and they proceed to miss the mark. Brasil jumps and spins with a back kick that collides with the liver, and she keeps her momentum going by spinning with a back fist that whacks Bannon in the face. With Bannon reeling from the two blows, Brasil runs at her and tackles her to the canvas. Brasil moves right into half guard, where she grinds her elbow on the face of Bannon until the round concludes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brasil
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brasil
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Brasil
Round 3
Like the last round, Bannon opens up with side kicks right out of the gate. Brasil is quick to get on her bike, making sure the biggest kicks from Bannon do not find their target. Bannon comes up short with a spinning wheel kick, and Brasil counters her with a few punches. Bannon strings together a one-two, and she chains an axe kick into it. Brasil catches the leg and dumps her foe to the floor, where she slams her shin into Bannon’s lower leg down on the floor. Bannon springs back up and gets back into her kickfighting game, using her foot as a jab. The axe kicks keep coming, but Brasil does not bite on many of them. Brasil is more composed and throwing standard strikes, and Bannon settles down and lets her hands go. Brasil gets tagged with a few punches and shakes her head, and Bannon is psyched up as she bounces in and out of range to land. Brasil whiffs on a step-in left hook, and Bannon is able to dodge her and bust her in the chops with a right hand. Brasil stumbles back, and before Bannon can capitalize, the Brazilian races forward to tie her up and potentially go after a takedown. Bannon stonewalls her and jams her up against the fence, and Brasil turns her about. Brasil sneaks up a few knees and tries to tangle Bannon’s legs up for a trip. Bannon uses her right hand to bop Brasil in the mouth several times, and when she opens her fist to start landing short palm strikes, Brasil trips her up and throws her to the mat. Brasil lands and claims three-quarter mount, and she hammers Bannon with a right hand. Brasil drops down a heavy elbow, and Bannon snatches that arm up in pursuit of an armbar. The final horn sounds before anything can come from it, and the two ladies have gone to the judges.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bannon (29-28 Brasil)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bannon (29-28 Brasil)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bannon (29-28 Brasil)
The Official Result
Bruna Brasil def. Shauna Bannon via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
Angelo believes Bruna Brasil is the more technical striker with power, and that her power will force Shauna Bannon to back up, which is key since Brasil struggles when pressured. He notes the line is near even money and plans to monitor it, possibly betting if Brasil becomes a favorite. He rates it as medium confidence.
Big Brady picks Chris Duncan by decision, leaning on his wrestling game plan. He notes Duncan has poor striking defense but showed improved wrestling against Omar Morales. He thinks Duncan can grind out a decision by taking Ashmouz down and controlling him. He acknowledges Ashmouz has power and could knock Duncan out if it stays standing.
Cody bet Brasil earlier at -120 and sees this as a bounce-back spot. He thinks Brasil is a better technical striker and that her loss to Denise Gomes is not a big concern. He is willing to make a shoei bet against Paul.
Daniel picks Shauna Bannon, expressing skepticism about Bruna Brasil's toughness and mental fortitude. He believes Brasil is a front-runner who breaks when pressured, as seen in her loss to Denise Gomes. He notes Bannon has a kickboxing background and good dexterity, and thinks the line should be closer to a pick'em. He is not confident enough to bet it but goes with the underdog. He hopes his co-host wins his bet on Brasil but disagrees with the hype.
The host picks Shauna Bannon, noting her aggressiveness, forward pressure, and takedowns as key advantages. He mentions that Bruna Brasil falters when pressured and that Bannon is a small underdog worth the price. He predicts Bannon wins by decision, but cautions about debuting women.
Paul picks Bannon, citing her aggressive style, judo background, and wrestling. He thinks Brasil fights on the back foot with her hands low and is hittable. He expects Bannon to come forward and outwork Brasil for a decision.
The MMA Guru picks Shauna Bannon as an underdog, highlighting her undefeated record and 'main character syndrome'. He praises her grappling, top control, and clinch work, noting she trains with Paddy Holohan. He criticizes Bruna Brasil's performance against Denise Gomes, where she folded under pressure, and questions her quick turnaround. The Guru expects Bannon to push forward and win a 29-28 decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denise Gomes | 0 | 15 of 22 | 68% | 43 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:19 |
| Bruna Brasil | 1 | 54 of 93 | 58% | 94 of 133 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:53 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denise Gomes | 0 | 10 of 15 | 66% | 29 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:19 |
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 23 of 40 | 57% | 58 of 75 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:00 | |
| 2 | Denise Gomes | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 14 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Bruna Brasil | 1 | 31 of 53 | 58% | 36 of 58 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:53 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denise Gomes | 15 of 22 | 68% | 7 of 11 | 6 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 15 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruna Brasil | 54 of 93 | 58% | 28 of 58 | 8 of 8 | 18 of 27 | 21 of 47 | 10 of 12 | 23 of 34 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denise Gomes | 10 of 15 | 66% | 3 of 5 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 9 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruna Brasil | 23 of 40 | 57% | 12 of 25 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 10 | 15 of 30 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Denise Gomes | 5 of 7 | 71% | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruna Brasil | 31 of 53 | 58% | 16 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 17 | 6 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 23 of 34 |
Angelo picks Bruna Brasil as the better striker overall, noting her creativity and power. However, he is hesitant because of the risk of a UFC debut freeze-up, citing a similar situation at UFC 287. He expects Bruna to be the better fighter but is not placing a bet due to the uncertainty of debut jitters.
Big Brady picks Bruna Brasil to win by decision. He believes Brasil is the better striker and has solid takedown defense to keep the fight standing. He criticizes Denise Gomes' striking defense and overall skill, though acknowledges her toughness. He is not laying heavy chalk on Brasil but expects her to get the job done.
Cody notes Brasil's reach and length advantage, and thinks her striking from the outside will be key. He acknowledges Gomes' path to victory is to make it ugly and wrestle, but believes Brasil's takedown defense and strength will hold up.
Connor agrees, noting that Gomes is too low output and lacks urgency. He believes Brasil's kick-heavy offense and clinch work will create opportunities, and that Gomes' pressure is not backed by actual aggression.
Brasil's size, reach, and striking will keep Gomes at bay. Gomes is a brawler who struggles with range and can be reversed on the ground. Brasil's takedown defense and scrambling have improved. She should win by decision, using her reach to outpoint Gomes. The line may improve, but Brasil is the better fighter.
Paul bet Gomes earlier at +200 and thinks the line movement is accurate. He acknowledges Brasil's advantages but notes Gomes' toughness and ability to make it a dogfight. He's not confident but took the plus money.
The MMA Guru picks Bruna Brasil, impressed by her striking, especially her head kick KO on Contender Series. He notes her reach advantage and believes she can keep the fight at range and land heavy shots. He is not impressed by Gomes' UFC debut and thinks Brasil has more promise.
Zane picks Brasil because she has volume and clinch striking, while Gomes is low output and just walks forward without throwing much. He notes that Brasil's kick-heavy game and pressure will allow her to light up Gomes, who lacks urgency and has poor wrestling.
Expert Picks (3)
Big Brady picks Wang Cong to win, but he is not laying -515 on her. He notes that Bruna Brasil is moving up a weight class and will be a small flyweight. He questions Brasil's chin, as she has been knocked out three times and looked uncomfortable in the Denise Gomes fight. Brady believes Wang Cong will land big shots and get a knockout, predicting a second-round finish.
Daniel Levi mentions Wang Cong as a massive favorite against Bruna Brasil, noting Wang's knockout wins and Bruna's recent career-best performance against Molly McCann. He does not state a pick, only describing the matchup and asking if Bruna can come through as a big underdog.
Wang Cong is looking to bounce back from her first professional loss. She will showcase a more disciplined approach, pick apart Brasil, and stop takedown attempts. The fight is expected to go to the scorecards with Wang winning by decision.
Comments (2)
Bruna moving up weight, 5.0? Pity its not at 115. Fighting nerds, great win over molly
Bruno sadly drifted in this fight, no chance
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