UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · Mar 02, 2024 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
Age 35
Height 5' 11"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 31
Height 5' 8"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Loik Radzhabov
2.89 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
3.76 SApM
46.0% Str. Def.
4.65 TD Avg
57.0% TD Acc.
42.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
4.61 SLpM
41.0% Str. Acc.
3.43 SApM
60.0% Str. Def.
1.47 TD Avg
23.0% TD Acc.
54.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Loik Radzhabov
Moneyline
FanDuel +126
KO/TKO
BetMGM +450
Submission
BetRivers +1400
Decision
BetWay +350
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
Moneyline
Caesars -125
KO/TKO
BetRivers +390
Submission
BetRivers +1400
Decision
FanDuel +180
Loik Radzhabov - Fight History
LOSS vs Trey Ogden
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · Jul 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Trey Ogden 0 42 of 86 48% 97 of 157 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:36
Loik Radzhabov 0 24 of 47 51% 116 of 148 4 of 5 80% 2 0 9:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Trey Ogden 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Loik Radzhabov 0 1 of 3 33% 40 of 47 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:35
2 Trey Ogden 0 22 of 49 44% 33 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Loik Radzhabov 0 22 of 42 52% 41 of 61 1 of 2 50% 2 0 2:05
3 Trey Ogden 0 18 of 33 54% 62 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:33
Loik Radzhabov 0 1 of 2 50% 35 of 40 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Trey Ogden 42 of 86 48% 38 of 78 2 of 6 2 of 2 23 of 56 1 of 1 18 of 29
Loik Radzhabov 24 of 47 51% 14 of 35 5 of 5 5 of 7 21 of 44 2 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Trey Ogden 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Loik Radzhabov 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Trey Ogden 22 of 49 44% 19 of 42 1 of 5 2 of 2 21 of 48 1 of 1 0 of 0
Loik Radzhabov 22 of 42 52% 14 of 32 5 of 5 3 of 5 19 of 39 2 of 2 1 of 1
3 Trey Ogden 18 of 33 54% 17 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 18 of 29
Loik Radzhabov 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Trey Ogden vs. Loik Radzhabov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Radzhabov (-115), Ogden (-105)

Round 1
After suffering the first stoppage loss in his career, Radzhabov (18-5-1, 2-1 UFC) bounced back in a big way by clubbing Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady in March. He hopes to pull another knockout rabbit out of his hat when he throws down with Marathon MMA head coach Ogden (17-6, 1 NC; 2-2, 1 NC UFC). Of note, Ogden’s last victory came over Kurt Holobaugh, and yet Holobaugh will fight much higher up on this card tonight. The third man in the Octagon will be referee Herb Dean, and the lightweights touch ‘em up. Radzhabov is ready and waiting when Ogden comes after him, and he coils and fires a right hand to back Ogden off. “The Shamurai” ducks a second looping punch, and he snatches up the legs of his opponent and deposits Radzhabov down to the canvas to send an early message. Radzhabov posts off his right arm and tries to work himself up to his knees, and Ogden holds on from behind and looks for a mat return. Radzhabov grabs the fence, and the onlookers cry foul as Dean takes a look but does say anything. Ogden succeeds in dragging “The Tajik Tank” down from behind, getting both of his hooks in as he is quick to search for a rear-naked choke. Ogden drapes his arm on Radzhabov’s face and squeezes, and he lets it go as Radzhabov turns around to his knees. Ogden smacks Radzhabov on the sides of the head from behind as he looks to flatten Radzhabov, and he goes hunting for another rear-naked choke that nearly gets beneath the chin. Ogden turns Radzhabov over and secures a body triangle, and he softens Radzhabov up with strikes on either side. Radzhabov twists and turns but is unable to get the body lock off of him, and Ogden makes his life miserable by covering his mouth and holding tight. Ogden tries for a brute force neck crank, but Radzhabov turns his head to the right direction to stop it from going anywhere. Radzhabov hand-fights effectively to stop Ogden from sinking the choke in, and he turns over to his knees but is unsuccessful to get out thanks in part to Ogden’s body triangle. Ogden gets closer on his choke attempt, but once more Radzhabov defends it properly. Ogden gets a forearm on the chin, and he thinks about using a face crank but does not decide to turn his arms out. Radzhabov defends himself enough to survive the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ogden
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Ogden
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ogden

Round 2
Before the second round begins, Dean brings in the translator to issue a hard warning for Radzhabov grabbing the fence in the previous round. Radzhabov acknowledges this and the round begins. Radzhabov comes out firing, and Ogden is elusive enough to avoid the worst of the blows but takes a solid uppercut before tying Radzhabov up. Radzhabov spins away and whips a left hook at his man, and he races forward swinging hard. Radzhabov stifles a desperate single, and Ogden is backed up against the cage wall and gets clipped by the hard-swinging fighter known as “The Tajik Tank.” Ogden lands a low kick to briefly slow Radzhabov down, and he brings up a knee when they clinch for a second. Ogden tosses out a left hand as he wobbles back from big right hands from his adversary, and Radzhabov swings that same blow at him several times to moderate effect. Ogden checks a leg kick and gives one back, and Radzhabov crashes the pocket and lands two thudding right hooks before Ogden ties him up again. Ogden chooses to break free and reset, and Radzhabov continues plodding forward swinging mighty fists. The fighter from Tajikistan connects with a stern uppercut, and Ogden replies with a body lock and a takedown that he lands with relative ease. Even easier, Ogden walks into full mount, and he uses a modified arm-triangle choke to flatten Radzhabov out from above. Ogden sits down on the arm-triangle choke and presses his weight down, and Radzhabov’s face starts changing colors even as he defends the grip by answering the phone. Ogden leans down on one side and remains in full mount as he does so, and he elects to move to the side to complete it but loses the grip and hops back to mount. Radzhabov survives the submission as Ogden uses heavy shoulder pressure to frustrate him, and he bucks as hard as he can to scramble and get Ogden off of him. Ogden looks to flip him over and trap him in a submission roll, but he cannot keep Radzhabov grounded. Both men get to their feet, and Radzhabov tries and fails to land power strikes before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ogden
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Ogden
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ogden

Round 3
Radzhabov’s corner spills ice and water on the floor, a veteran move to get more time, and someone has to rush into the cage to wipe up the excess liquid as Joe Rogan is screaming at his screen from afar. Ogden begins the round by backpedaling when Radzhabov comes at him, and he uses Radzhabov’s momentum against him by tackling him to the mat and landing in a controlling half guard. Ogden bops Radzhabov with a few short, light strikes before wrapping his left arm around the back of Radzhabov’s head to set up another submission. Like a snake, Ogden slowly and methodically wraps up the arm-triangle choke, and Radzhabov keeps himself from getting snared entirely but cannot keep Ogden from climbing into the full mount position. Radzhabov smacks Ogden on the side of the head with his free right hand, irritating Ogden enough to bring his hand up to block the blows before lowering himself all the way flat on top. An Ezekiel choke is briefly in play for “Shamurai,” but he decides against wrapping his forearm on the windpipe so he can drill Radzhabov in the face with shoulder shots. Dean calls for more action even with Ogden in mount, and Radzhabov answers the call and explodes upright and falls into a guillotine choke. Radzhabov spins out of it and flips Ogden to his back, and he hammers down with vicious ground-and-pound until Ogden ties him up for a second. Ogden uses a butterfly guard to put his feet on the hips and hits a sweep, but Radzhabov is savvy enough to lower himself into the guard and posture up to blast Ogden with heavy punches. Radzhabov grabs the fence to turn himself in an effort to secure better position, and Dean goes to slap his hand but Radzhabov pulls it back to release more punches and elbows on Ogden’s dome. Ogden retaliates by sending Radzhabov flying when he kicks off the hips, and Radzhabov races after him to get on top and ride out the remainder of the bout.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ogden (30-27 Ogden)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Radzhabov (29-28 Ogden)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Radzhabov (29-28 Ogden)

The Official Result
Trey Ogden def. Loik Radzhabov via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Trey Ogden

Angelo picks Trey Ogden as an underdog because he trusts Ogden's consistent, boring game plan of takedowns and control. He notes that Loik Radzhabov has subpar takedown defense and can be taken down multiple times, while Ogden is confident and will shoot takedowns. He plans to watch the line movement and potentially bet if the odds improve.

watching line movement for better odds
"I think Trey wins this fight and I love him as an underdog I'm going to keep an eye on these odds and see if I can get it better than plus 127"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Trey Ogden

Cody picks Ogden, citing his 100% takedown defense in the UFC and his ability to neutralize opponents with top control. He questions Radzhabov's cardio and thinks Ogden can outwork him with volume and key takedowns. He admits it's a close fight but likes Ogden's game plan.

"I locked in with Ogden and I ain't changing it."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Loik Radzhabov

Daniel Vreeland picks Loik Radzhabov, criticizing Trey Ogden's safe, risk-averse style. He notes Ogden's recent wins were against opponents who underperformed, and that Radzhabov is a physical, aggressive fighter who will force a fight. Vreeland believes Radzhabov's pressure and takedown ability will overwhelm Ogden.

"I'm gonna go lck ratol to beat Trey Ogden"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Trey Ogden

Ogden is a pick'em at -110. He has a disciplined game plan and excellent top control, as seen against Holobaugh. He can weather Radzhabov's early power and then take over with his wrestling and cardio in the second and third rounds. Radzhabov tends to fade, and Ogden's fight IQ should allow him to set up takedowns as the fight progresses. The main concern is Ogden's durability, but his overall game plan and cardio favor him.

"I think that Ogden will set up a good enough game plan here to keep rajabov working so that those takedowns will start to come easier in the second and third rounds"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Trey Ogden

Paul also picks Ogden, liking his last two fights and smart game plans. He thinks it will be a close, greasy fight likely going to decision. He suggests looking at split decision props.

"I'm going to side with you on Trey Ogden as well."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Loik Radzhabov

The MMA Guru picks Loik Radzhabov over Trey Ogden. He compares Ogden to Abdul Kareem Al-Selwady and notes Ogden's tricky outside fighting style but points out his loss to Jordan Leavitt as worrying. He highlights Radzhabov's dangerous early rounds and close fight with Esteban Ribovics, and believes Radzhabov can win by TKO or decision, possibly slowing down in the third.

by tKO or maybe even a decision win 2928
"I am going to go against uh Trey Ogden here and I'm going to go with Lo rajabov getting this one done by either t KO or maybe even a decision win"
KO (punches) R3 0:49 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · Mar 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Loik Radzhabov 0 38 of 68 55% 50 of 84 3 of 7 42% 0 0 2:44
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 1 39 of 90 43% 57 of 115 4 of 5 80% 0 0 1:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Loik Radzhabov 0 12 of 26 46% 17 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:00
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 0 14 of 35 40% 25 of 49 4 of 4 100% 0 0 1:19
2 Loik Radzhabov 0 22 of 33 66% 29 of 42 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:40
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 0 12 of 34 35% 18 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Loik Radzhabov 0 4 of 9 44% 4 of 9 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:04
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 1 13 of 21 61% 14 of 23 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Loik Radzhabov 38 of 68 55% 15 of 34 8 of 11 15 of 23 34 of 61 4 of 7 0 of 0
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 39 of 90 43% 33 of 72 6 of 15 0 of 3 18 of 63 2 of 2 19 of 25
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Loik Radzhabov 12 of 26 46% 4 of 11 4 of 6 4 of 9 11 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 0
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 14 of 35 40% 13 of 29 1 of 4 0 of 2 4 of 21 2 of 2 8 of 12
2 Loik Radzhabov 22 of 33 66% 9 of 16 4 of 5 9 of 12 21 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 12 of 34 35% 7 of 22 5 of 11 0 of 1 12 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Loik Radzhabov 4 of 9 44% 2 of 7 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 6 2 of 3 0 of 0
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 13 of 21 61% 13 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 8 0 of 0 11 of 13
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Feb 25, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Angelo leans Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady because he believes the striking danger matters more than the takedown danger. He notes that every round starts on the feet and Loik Radzhabov, who was just knocked out, will have to worry about Abdul's power. He thinks Abdul likely wins by finish but is unsure about bets.

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady wins by finish (value)
"I am going to lean Abdul here because I think the Striking danger matters more than the takedown danger"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Big Brady picks Al-Selwady, noting his impressive performance against George Hardwick where he outstruck a hyped fighter. He thinks Al-Selwady will keep the fight standing and out-volume Radzhabov, who has low volume and has been hurt on the feet. He expects a decision win for Al-Selwady, as Radzhabov is durable but may tire.

"I am going to take Kareem Abdul alsaadi to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Cody picks Al-Selwady, noting Radzhabov's reliance on wrestling and poor cardio. He points out that when Radzhabov can't get takedowns, he struggles, as seen in his loss to Mateusz Rębecki. Cody believes Al-Selwady's wrestling and pace will tire Radzhabov, leading to a decision or late TKO. He mentions Radzhabov's durability issues.

"I think elati goes out there and uh like I could see it being a decision win but I could see him tiring him out and TKO him some way in the second late second into the third"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Loik Radzhabov

Radzhabov has a slight height and striking advantage, being cleaner down the pipe. Al-Selwady usually wings shots and crashes the pocket, but Radzhabov's pure wrestling advantage should allow him to dictate where the fight takes place. Radzhabov has far better experience against legitimate opponents and should outpoint Al-Selwady for a decision win.

Radzhabov by decision
"I think radov has far better experience against legitimate opponents uh and I think he has all the chops here to go out there and pull off the upset"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Paul picks Al-Selwady, citing his solid cardio, pace, and well-rounded skills. He notes Radzhabov's tendency to overexert and his poor durability, having been knocked out multiple times. Paul believes Al-Selwady will outwork Radzhabov and possibly finish him late. He mentions Al-Selwady's impressive win over George Hardwick on the Contender Series.

"I like what I see out of him... he's well-rounded he puts a pace on you he makes good decisions and he just they do enough to win rounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

The MMA Guru picks Al-Selwady over Radzhabov, calling Radzhabov 'dog [__]' and lacking athleticism. He praises Al-Selwady's performance against George Hardwick, noting his stance switching, leg kicks, and takedown threats. He believes Al-Selwady will outwork Radzhabov and cause damage as the fight goes on.

"I'm going with Al-Selwady over Loik Radzhabov... Loik Radzhabov is absolute dog [__]"
TKO (punch) R2 2:36 · UFC on ABC: Emmett vs. Topuria · Jun 24, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mateusz Rębecki 2 54 of 95 56% 64 of 110 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:57
Loik Radzhabov 0 19 of 54 35% 19 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mateusz Rębecki 0 28 of 54 51% 35 of 64 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:53
Loik Radzhabov 0 10 of 30 33% 10 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
2 Mateusz Rębecki 2 26 of 41 63% 29 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Loik Radzhabov 0 9 of 24 37% 9 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mateusz Rębecki 54 of 95 56% 24 of 58 12 of 17 18 of 20 54 of 95 0 of 0 0 of 0
Loik Radzhabov 19 of 54 35% 16 of 50 3 of 4 0 of 0 19 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mateusz Rębecki 28 of 54 51% 13 of 33 8 of 13 7 of 8 28 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
Loik Radzhabov 10 of 30 33% 7 of 26 3 of 4 0 of 0 10 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Mateusz Rębecki 26 of 41 63% 11 of 25 4 of 4 11 of 12 26 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Loik Radzhabov 9 of 24 37% 9 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0 9 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Loik Radzhabov (157.25: Missed Weight) vs. Mateusz Rebecki
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rebecki (-155), Radzhabov (+135)

Round 1
A classic battle of Poland vs. Tajikistan is about to play out in a match that was initially scheduled at lightweight. Both looking to make their sophomore appearance a positive one, “Chinczyk” Rebecki (17-1, 1-0 UFC) will battle it out with the heavy PFL export Radzhabov (17-4-1, 1-0 UFC). The third man in the Octagon for this de facto 158-pound catchweight contest will be referee James Larry Folsom, and the fighters still touch gloves despite the weight discrepancy. Rebecki moves into striking range, backing his foe off and not worried about a big punch aimed at his direction. Rebecki loads up on a body kick, and he walks into a looping right hand. Rebecki rushes at his man with a pair of punches, and Radzhabov bounces off the fence and absorbs a pair of big leg kicks. Radzhabov gets a head of steam and aims a right hand and a body kick back. Rebecki continues to hammer the lead wheel, and he punches Radzhabov square in the face as Radzhabov tries to duck. Rebecki scoots back from a right hand and hammers the inside calf with a kick. Radzhabov swings his way into a body lock takedown attempt, and Rebecki breaks out of the clinch and kicks the ribcage. Radzhabov races forward to sling punches, and Rebecki takes them and goes back to crowding Radzhabov against the wall. Rebecki pins Radzhabov back and pops him with a left hook and a few jabs, and he suddenly changes levels to snatch up a double. Radzhabov falls to his back and grabs hold of a guillotine choke, and Rebecki pops his head out as he steps into an advantageous position with Radzhabov’s legs trapped between his own. Rebecki slugs Radzhabov in the chops with a right hand in his partial mount position, as he could shimmy up to sit on Radzhabov’s hips. Instead, Rebecki hops out of it to the side, so he can elbow Radzhabov on the dome. The fighter from Tajikistan scrambles to his knees and forces his way back to his feet, and he launches a big leg kick. Rebecki lunges forward with a fiery right hand, and he blasts Radzhabov with a leg kick that separates Radzhabov from his balance. Rebecki jumps on top of a fallen Radzhabov and locks up a crucifix position in a hurry with 20 seconds to go. Rebecki sets up a straight armlock from his angle, and he lets it go to hold Radzhabov down until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rebecki
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Rebecki
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rebecki

Round 2
The fighters touch gloves before getting right back to it, and Radzhabov starts by slugging it out. Rebecki nails him with a kick, and Radzhabov is barely able to stand up. Radzhabov wobbles back to the fence to let it help keep him upright, and Rebecki attacks it relentlessly. Rebecki measures his punches as Radzhabov is up against the wall, and he does not get reckless as Radzhabov is throwing big counters back his way. Radzhabov scores a leg hand, an elbow and another few punches. Rebecki measures his man and drives home several more low kicks to both legs, and Radzhabov cannot stand up and drops to his knees. Through sheer force of will, Radzhabov stands back up, and he entices Rebecki into a mad brawl. Rebecki obliges and busts Radzhabov in the chops, and he swings low kicks that make Radzhabov react physically every time. Even when Radzhabov lifts his leg up, the shin slams into it and makes him wince.
Radzhabov takes a hard look at the clock, which says 2:45 left in the round, and Rebecki is stalking him with accurate, dangerous blows. Rebecki decks Radzhabov with a massive left hand, and Radzhabov crashes to the ground.
Folsom immediately leaps in between them to call a halt to the contest, giving fans their first finish of the night in what some might consider a mercy stoppage. Rebecki limps away, having suffered some serious damage to his foot from the hellacious kicks, and he successfully pushes his impressive win streak to 15 straight.

The Official Result
Mateusz Rebecki def. Loik Radzhabov R2 2:36 via TKO (Punch)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 18, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Mateusz Rębecki

Angelo gives a slight lean to Mateusz Rębecki, thinking his wrestling and striking are a little better. He expects a banger and says the odds are perfect with Rębecki as a slight favorite. He has no bet on this fight and plans to just watch.

"I do think these odds are perfect with Rebecca as just the slight favorite here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Loik Radzhabov

Big Brady picks the underdog Loik Radzhabov, citing his wrestling ability and tougher competition. He notes that Rębecki's win over Nick Fiore aged poorly after Chase Hooper beat him. He has concerns about Radzhabov's cardio but thinks he can implement takedowns early. He predicts a close, competitive split decision.

"I'm gonna take the dog here and look rajabov but this is gonna be a close fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mateusz Rębecki

Cody picks Rębecki, noting his better cardio and wrestling. He thinks Radzhabov will gas and Rębecki can take over. He considers live betting if Radzhabov wins the first round.

Live betting considered.
"I think Rebecca's got that cardio Advantage I think he's in better shape."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mateusz Rębecki

Connor initially leaned toward Radzhabov because he sees more depth in his takedown game, but after discussion he switches to Rębecki. He notes that Rębecki is a better boxer with more creativity, able to throw left hands and body punches, while Radzhabov is limited to timing the right hand. Connor thinks both fighters are similar wrestle-boxers who gas after one round, but Rębecki's bullishness and ability to tank damage and keep slinging hard shots gives him the edge. He also points out that Radzhabov's confidence crumples when things go south, while Rębecki keeps coming.

"I'm leaning for the pole. I'm leaning for Ribesky."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mateusz Rębecki

Daniel Levi picks Mateusz Rębecki, arguing that the market overreacted to his decision win over Fiore. He thinks Rębecki dominated that fight and gassed from beating his opponent, not from poor cardio. He sees Rębecki as more physical and believes he will overwhelm Radzhabov. He thinks there is value at -145 and plans to bet.

Plans to bet Rębecki at -145 or -150.
"I'm on rambesky here and I will move in at some point soon"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Mateusz Rębecki

The host picks Mateusz Rębecki to win by decision. He believes Rębecki's size and strength will be too much for Radzhabov to get his takedowns, and that Rębecki will get the better positions on top and land more significant damage. He notes both fighters have cardio issues but expects Rębecki to edge out a grappling-heavy decision.

"give me the Polish fighter here to get his hand raised by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mateusz Rębecki

Paul picks Rębecki, citing his wrestling advantage and cardio. He notes Radzhabov's tendency to gas and thinks Rębecki can out-grapple him. He expects a decision win.

"I'll side with the with with machus Rebecca to be able to get those positions."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Mateusz Rębecki

The Guru picks Mateusz Rębecki, noting that Loik Radzhabov struggled against Esteban Ribovics, who stuffed takedowns and showed more potential. He believes Rębecki is a shorter, stockier, great grappler who can stuff takedowns and be a wrecking machine. He predicts Rębecki will get a KO at the end of round one or two after pressuring Radzhabov backwards.

Predicts KO in round 1 or 2.
"I'm gonna go with matteus rebecci... I can actually see him getting a KO at the end of round one or the end of round two"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mateusz Rębecki

Zane initially leaned toward Rębecki because he thinks Rębecki is a better boxer with more creativity, able to throw left hands and body punches, while Radzhabov is limited to timing the right hand. After discussion, he agrees with Connor that Rębecki's bullishness and ability to tank damage and keep slinging hard shots gives him the edge. Zane also notes that Radzhabov's confidence crumples when things go south, while Rębecki keeps coming. He thinks both fighters are similar wrestle-boxers who gas after one round, but Rębecki's creativity in striking makes the difference.

"I think they're going to end up stuck on their feet against each other. And Roger Bob can, he can land hard. And he's not, you know, he's not without power. But if he has to stay standing, he's just …"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · Mar 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Loik Radzhabov 1 66 of 129 51% 98 of 162 0 of 1 0% 1 1 0:31
Esteban Ribovics 0 40 of 85 47% 67 of 117 11 of 21 52% 0 0 7:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Loik Radzhabov 0 14 of 32 43% 19 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Esteban Ribovics 0 8 of 23 34% 20 of 37 4 of 5 80% 0 0 3:00
2 Loik Radzhabov 1 25 of 47 53% 38 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Esteban Ribovics 0 13 of 28 46% 18 of 33 4 of 9 44% 0 0 2:24
3 Loik Radzhabov 0 27 of 50 54% 41 of 64 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:27
Esteban Ribovics 0 19 of 34 55% 29 of 47 3 of 7 42% 0 0 2:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Loik Radzhabov 66 of 129 51% 52 of 114 11 of 12 3 of 3 61 of 124 1 of 1 4 of 4
Esteban Ribovics 40 of 85 47% 33 of 78 6 of 6 1 of 1 37 of 81 1 of 2 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Loik Radzhabov 14 of 32 43% 10 of 28 3 of 3 1 of 1 14 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
Esteban Ribovics 8 of 23 34% 7 of 22 0 of 0 1 of 1 8 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Loik Radzhabov 25 of 47 53% 18 of 40 6 of 6 1 of 1 21 of 43 0 of 0 4 of 4
Esteban Ribovics 13 of 28 46% 11 of 26 2 of 2 0 of 0 13 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Loik Radzhabov 27 of 50 54% 24 of 46 2 of 3 1 of 1 26 of 49 1 of 1 0 of 0
Esteban Ribovics 19 of 34 55% 15 of 30 4 of 4 0 of 0 16 of 30 1 of 2 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Loik Radzhabov

Angelo picks Loik Radzhabov based on his pressure, cardio, and non-stop wrestling, which he believes will be the difference. He notes that Radzhabov can push a pace for 15 minutes and has solid takedowns, but his striking can be sloppy and he gets tired. Angelo is hesitant because both fighters are making their UFC debut, making the outcome unpredictable, and he advises against betting on this fight.

fight does not go to distance (minus 160)
"I think Lloyd's pressure cardio and non-stop wrestling are gonna be the difference here but I wouldn't lay money on two UFC debuts like this that are just who the hell knows what's gonna happen here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Esteban Ribovics

Big Brady picks Esteban Ribovics as a dog despite Radzhabov being the favorite. He notes Radzhabov is on short notice and has questionable cardio, while Ribovics is dangerous everywhere with submissions and power. However, he acknowledges Ribovics is untested against good competition. He predicts a second-round KO for Ribovics.

second round knockout
"I think I'm gonna kick off the card with a dog... I'll take ribavix to win this fight though and I'm going to take him to win this fight I'm gonna say second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Loik Radzhabov

Cody picks Radzhabov, citing his experience against higher-level competition in PFL. He thinks Ribovics' regional competition is too low level and his grappling defense is suspect. He expects Radzhabov to take him down and dominate.

Under 2.5 rounds (-135) but hesitant due to short notice
"I'll pick loick because I'll pick them but yeah minus 275 kind of scares me off"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Loik Radzhabov

Connor picks Loik Radzhabov, relying on his wrestling and durability. He notes that Ribovics is a heavy-handed puncher but has limited grappling, and Radzhabov has never been knocked out. Connor thinks that if Radzhabov can survive the early exchanges, he will take the fight to the clinch and use his Greco-Roman wrestling to control the fight. He acknowledges the risk of Ribovics landing a knockout.

"I'm just gonna look at the way he's putting his sleep and say it's true. This dude hits like a truck but yeah, you know just hitting hard alone. It's not enough to beat a good fighter who has options."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Esteban Ribovics

Jacob picks Esteban Ribovics, citing Radzhabov's tendency to get tired and put his hands down, which will leave him vulnerable to Ribovics' power. He believes Ribovics can survive the first round and then take over as Radzhabov fades. Jacob is 50/50 on the fight and sees value in a Ribovics finish in the second or third round.

Esteban Ribovics second/third round finish
"I think Esteban can survive and if he does survive the first round I think that this fight is going to turn very very quickly"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Loik Radzhabov

Radzhabov is a grapple-heavy fighter who will close distance and drag the fight to the ground, where he does damage from top position. Ribovics has questionable takedown defense and his Kimura sweep path to his feet won't work at this level. Radzhabov will repeatedly take him down and grind out a decision victory.

"I think eventually he'll be able to get a hold of him drag him to the ground and then from there I don't think that Kimura sweep path to his feet is going to work for rebovix at this level"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Loik Radzhabov

Paul is confident in Radzhabov, calling it a talent gap. He thinks Ribovics' submission attempts won't work at this level and Radzhabov's pressure and takedowns will be too much. He notes Radzhabov's cardio is a concern but expects a finish.

"I just don't see that happening he not known for his cardio him being on short notice isn't great"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Loik Radzhabov

The MMA Guru picks Loik Radzhabov over Esteban Ribovics, citing Radzhabov's experience against tough competition in PFL and his durability, having never been finished. He notes Ribovics' recent win was against a low-level opponent and doubts he can finish Radzhabov. He predicts a decision win for Radzhabov, 29-28.

"I'm still going to pick Raja buff to win... I think he will win this fight by decision plus."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Loik Radzhabov

Zane also picks Radzhabov, though he is hesitant. He notes that Ribovics is a powerful puncher but Radzhabov is durable and has a strong clinch game. Zane thinks that if Radzhabov can avoid getting knocked out early, he will grind out a win with his wrestling. He acknowledges that Ribovics could land a knockout, but Radzhabov's chin and experience give him the edge.

"I'm going to just because he's never been knocked out before. That's probably enough for me to go."
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady - Fight History
WIN vs Shaqueme Rock
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · Mar 21, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Shaqueme Rock 0 47 of 128 36% 52 of 134 1 of 6 16% 0 0 0:55
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 0 81 of 146 55% 105 of 173 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Shaqueme Rock 0 17 of 46 36% 22 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:30
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 0 27 of 52 51% 28 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
2 Shaqueme Rock 0 11 of 36 30% 11 of 36 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:24
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 0 25 of 50 50% 48 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
3 Shaqueme Rock 0 19 of 46 41% 19 of 47 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:01
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 0 29 of 44 65% 29 of 44 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Shaqueme Rock 47 of 128 36% 26 of 101 16 of 22 5 of 5 43 of 123 3 of 3 1 of 2
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 81 of 146 55% 48 of 102 13 of 14 20 of 30 71 of 130 8 of 11 2 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Shaqueme Rock 17 of 46 36% 10 of 37 4 of 6 3 of 3 15 of 43 1 of 1 1 of 2
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 27 of 52 51% 16 of 33 2 of 2 9 of 17 25 of 47 2 of 4 0 of 1
2 Shaqueme Rock 11 of 36 30% 7 of 30 3 of 5 1 of 1 10 of 35 1 of 1 0 of 0
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 25 of 50 50% 14 of 36 5 of 6 6 of 8 24 of 48 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Shaqueme Rock 19 of 46 41% 9 of 34 9 of 11 1 of 1 18 of 45 1 of 1 0 of 0
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 29 of 44 65% 18 of 33 6 of 6 5 of 5 22 of 35 5 of 5 2 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Angelo picks Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady because he was winning his UFC debut until getting clipped, while Shaqueme Rock looked clueless in his debut. He believes Abdul's forward pressure and chaos will run through Rock if Rock is tentative again. He notes the odds are slight and plans to monitor the line, expecting better value if money comes in on the local fighter.

monitoring line for better odds; expects Abdul to be a gift at current odds
"I got to go with Abdul here. If Shem is the same tentative guy and he has that same demeanor in this fight that he had in his last fight, I think Abdul's chaos and the forward pressure is just …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 16, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Shaqueme Rock

Big Brady picks Shaqueme Rock (Shamrock) in a fight he calls a 'greaser' that he won't bet on. He notes that Rock has poor striking, cardio, and takedown defense but has a dog in him and good grappling. He is concerned about Al-Selwady's two-year layoff, spine injury, and history of being knocked out (four losses by KO). He thinks Rock can win a greasy split decision with hometown cooking, but he's not confident.

Shaqueme Rock by decision
"I'm going to take Shamrock to win this fight by a very greasy decision. Maybe some hometown cooking involved."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Shaqueme Rock

Cody also leans toward Rock, citing Al-Selwady's long layoff and injury issues. He sees it as a 50/50 fight but takes the plus money.

"I will also take him because he's plus money and it's a dog or pass. There's no real dog."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Shaqueme Rock

Connor picks Shaqueme Rock, agreeing that Al-Selwady is not a great counter puncher and gives opponents too much play. He notes that Rock is more active and comfortable taking the lead, and can initiate scrambles where he is tough to handle. Connor is not very certain but leans Rock.

Odds comment: Rock opened +160, now +101; Al-Selwady opened -185, now -121. Connor says the fight should be close to dead even.
"Yeah, I had to take Shamrock, but Shamrock will probably give away a lot of opportunity for El Sawadi to find moments of flow."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Daniel picks Al-Selwady, calling Rock one of the worst fighters on the roster. He thinks Al-Selwady is better across the board despite concerns about his chin and inactivity. He expects a unanimous decision win.

"I got Al-Selwady to come out here and win a unanimous decision in London, England."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Daniel Vreeland picks Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady to win by unanimous decision, but with low confidence. He believes Al-Selwady is more skilled across the board, but has concerns about his chin and inactivity. He thinks Rock is one of the worst fighters on the roster.

"I'm going to pick Abdul Karim Alawari to win via unanimous decision."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Al-Selwady is better everywhere than Rock, but inactivity and Rock's home advantage are concerns. On neutral territory, it's a no-brainer, but the crowd could sway close rounds. Still tempting at even money.

Fight likely goes over 2.5 rounds; not interested in fight spreads.
"Al Selwady is a very tempting bet because I do think he is better than Shamrock everywhere."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Shaqueme Rock

James picks Shaqueme Rock but is not confident, calling it a close fight. He thinks Rock's cardio, durability, and jiu-jitsu could be key, but Al-Selwady's jab and wrestling are threats. He wants to do more tape study.

"I'm going to pick Shamrock. He is English. I like him. We follow each other on Instagram. I'm going to root for him."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Shaqueme Rock

The host picks Shaqueme Rock by decision. He believes Rock's reach advantage and better gas tank will allow him to land damage from distance and mix in grappling. He notes Al-Selwady's long layoff and spine injury as concerns, and expects Rock to control the fight and win on the scorecards.

"Give me Shamrock Shamrock by decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Shaqueme Rock

Paul reluctantly picks Rock as the slight underdog, noting both fighters are flawed but Rock has less ring rust and injury history.

"Sadly, I think the answer is Shamrock, but I hate myself for saying that, Paul. Truly, I do."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Shaqueme Rock

The MMA Guru picks Shaqueme Rock to win by submission in the first or second round. He notes Rock is a rangy lightweight with good back-taking ability and grappling, while Al-Selwady has been inactive for two years due to injuries and tends to let fights happen to him. He expects Rock to pressure and find a rear-naked choke.

first or second round rear naked choke submission
"I'm going to say that Shamrock gets it done by first or second round rear naked choke submission over Abdul Karim Alwadi."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Shaqueme Rock

Zane picks Shaqueme Rock, trusting his base construct and ability to be crafty in exchanges and scrambles. He notes that Al-Selwady is a choosy counter puncher who gives opponents too much space and was owned by Loic Radzhabov when pressured. Zane acknowledges Rock's tendency to trap himself on the cage but believes Rock's activity and versatility will win.

Odds comment: Rock opened +160, now +101; Al-Selwady opened -185, now -121. Zane says the fight should be close to dead even.
"I just trust Shemrock a lot more in a base kind of construct."
CANCEL vs Matheus Camilo
UFC 321 · Oct 25, 2025
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 19, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Angelo picks Abdul Karim Al-Sowadi (Al-Selwady) over Mateusz Gamrot, citing Al-Sowadi's speed and accuracy. He expects Gamrot to chase wild submissions and leave himself open, allowing Al-Sowadi to land cleaner shots. Angelo notes it's a tough fight to pick and he's not betting it.

"I am going to slightly lean long name, and that's because he will be a little bit faster, and when Gamrot starts chasing and starts doing wild stuff to try to find a finish, I expect Al-Sowadi to be able …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Big Brady leans toward Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady, considering him the more well-rounded fighter with better striking, pressure, wrestling, and top control. However, he is concerned about Al-Selwady's durability, as all four of his losses are by KO. He expects Al-Selwady to push a high pace, mix in takedowns, and finish a gassed Matheus Camilo (referred to as Gamrot in transcript) via late-round TKO. He acknowledges Camilo has power and could knock out Al-Selwady.

Al-Selwady by late round TKO
"I'm going to go Al-Selwady to win this fight by late round finish. I'm going to say late round TKO after Gamrot kind of gases out and slows down."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Cody picks Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady but is not confident, calling it a 50/50 fight. He notes that Al-Selwady has good grappling and may have a home-field advantage in Abu Dhabi. However, he acknowledges that Camilo (referred to as Gamrot in transcript) is a good prospect who could win if he doesn't gas. Cody suggests passing on this fight.

"the pick for me is Al-Zahwali, and I really don't like that at all, Paul."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Matheus Camilo

Connor picks Camilo, noting that Al-Selwady looks like a meme fighter who struggles when faced with athletic parity. He points out that Al-Selwady's losses are by knockout when his wild style fails, while Camilo's losses are by submission due to over-aggression. Connor believes Camilo is more battle-tested and has a more solid game, though he acknowledges Al-Selwady could catch him with a trick shot.

Odds are close; Camilo is trending toward favorite.
"Camilo looks like the kind of fighter I would expect to beat any fighter like Al-Selwady, to be honest."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Daniel Vreeland is reluctant due to both fighters' clear weaknesses: Al-Selwady's chin and Camilo's submission defense. He thinks Al-Selwady's lateral movement, stance switching, and takedowns can earn him a decision if he avoids getting knocked out. He notes the Abu Dhabi advantage for Al-Selwady and picks him to win a close decision.

wins by decision
"I'm going to go with Alawadi to win a decision in Abu Dhabi."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Matheus Camilo

Lucrative James picks Matheus Camilo to win by knockout. He notes Al-Selwady's chinny nature and tendency to get hurt, while Camilo has power and pressure. He believes Camilo's pace and boxing will overwhelm Al-Selwady, who doesn't like to get hit. He also mentions that Camilo has good jiu-jitsu and can defend takedowns, and that he bet on Camilo at +115 earlier.

KO
"I'm predicting Camo to win this fight. And I'm predicting him to win it via knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Despite a year-and-a-half layoff, the host thinks this is a great comeback fight for Al-Selwady, showcasing his improved striking, takedown game, and BJJ. He expects a submission win.

submission
"I expect him to do it once again here as he wins this fight by submission."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Paul also leans Al-Selwady but is hesitant, noting that he doesn't rate either fighter highly. He mentions that Camilo (Gamrot) has shown cardio issues and that Al-Selwady could win a contentious decision. Paul prefers to pass or wait for live betting.

"I'll go with the guy named Abdul Kareem Al-Zahwali to win a contentious decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

The MMA Guru picks Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady by decision. He describes Al-Selwady as a 'Walmart Volkanovski' who moves well, uses low kicks, and mixes in takedowns. He notes that Matheus Camilo is young and inexperienced, and lacks finishing potential. He believes if the fight goes to decision, Al-Selwady's volume and movement will earn him a 29-28 or 30-27 win.

"I've got Abdul Kareem Al-Selwady by decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Matheus Camilo

Zane also picks Camilo, citing his athleticism and ability to set up takedowns with his jab. He notes that Camilo looked dominant against Gabe Green despite losing, while Al-Selwady was overwhelmed by Loik Radzhabov. Zane believes Camilo's aggression is more controlled and that he is less likely to get knocked out than Al-Selwady.

"I'm picking Camilo. He's also not out there surprising people by submitting them when they start to out wrestle him."
CANCEL vs Bolaji Oki
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 26, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Angelo picks Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady because of his relentless pressure and ability to maintain pace, while Bolaji Oki tends to slow down as fights go on. He notes that Al-Selwady had a full camp and is a pressure striker who mixes in takedowns. He acknowledges that Oki is a tough opponent with a good jab and fast sprawls, but believes Al-Selwady's cardio and pressure will be the difference.

Expects odds movement; advises to take advantage of early lines.
"I'm sticking with alati he had the full Camp he has the incredible pressure bagok slows down over time alawa does not so I'm going alati here"
LOSS vs Loik Radzhabov
KO (punches) R3 0:49 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · Mar 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Loik Radzhabov 0 38 of 68 55% 50 of 84 3 of 7 42% 0 0 2:44
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 1 39 of 90 43% 57 of 115 4 of 5 80% 0 0 1:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Loik Radzhabov 0 12 of 26 46% 17 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:00
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 0 14 of 35 40% 25 of 49 4 of 4 100% 0 0 1:19
2 Loik Radzhabov 0 22 of 33 66% 29 of 42 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:40
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 0 12 of 34 35% 18 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Loik Radzhabov 0 4 of 9 44% 4 of 9 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:04
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 1 13 of 21 61% 14 of 23 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Loik Radzhabov 38 of 68 55% 15 of 34 8 of 11 15 of 23 34 of 61 4 of 7 0 of 0
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 39 of 90 43% 33 of 72 6 of 15 0 of 3 18 of 63 2 of 2 19 of 25
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Loik Radzhabov 12 of 26 46% 4 of 11 4 of 6 4 of 9 11 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 0
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 14 of 35 40% 13 of 29 1 of 4 0 of 2 4 of 21 2 of 2 8 of 12
2 Loik Radzhabov 22 of 33 66% 9 of 16 4 of 5 9 of 12 21 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 12 of 34 35% 7 of 22 5 of 11 0 of 1 12 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Loik Radzhabov 4 of 9 44% 2 of 7 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 6 2 of 3 0 of 0
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 13 of 21 61% 13 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 8 0 of 0 11 of 13
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Feb 25, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Angelo leans Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady because he believes the striking danger matters more than the takedown danger. He notes that every round starts on the feet and Loik Radzhabov, who was just knocked out, will have to worry about Abdul's power. He thinks Abdul likely wins by finish but is unsure about bets.

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady wins by finish (value)
"I am going to lean Abdul here because I think the Striking danger matters more than the takedown danger"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Big Brady picks Al-Selwady, noting his impressive performance against George Hardwick where he outstruck a hyped fighter. He thinks Al-Selwady will keep the fight standing and out-volume Radzhabov, who has low volume and has been hurt on the feet. He expects a decision win for Al-Selwady, as Radzhabov is durable but may tire.

"I am going to take Kareem Abdul alsaadi to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Cody picks Al-Selwady, noting Radzhabov's reliance on wrestling and poor cardio. He points out that when Radzhabov can't get takedowns, he struggles, as seen in his loss to Mateusz Rębecki. Cody believes Al-Selwady's wrestling and pace will tire Radzhabov, leading to a decision or late TKO. He mentions Radzhabov's durability issues.

"I think elati goes out there and uh like I could see it being a decision win but I could see him tiring him out and TKO him some way in the second late second into the third"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Loik Radzhabov

Radzhabov has a slight height and striking advantage, being cleaner down the pipe. Al-Selwady usually wings shots and crashes the pocket, but Radzhabov's pure wrestling advantage should allow him to dictate where the fight takes place. Radzhabov has far better experience against legitimate opponents and should outpoint Al-Selwady for a decision win.

Radzhabov by decision
"I think radov has far better experience against legitimate opponents uh and I think he has all the chops here to go out there and pull off the upset"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Paul picks Al-Selwady, citing his solid cardio, pace, and well-rounded skills. He notes Radzhabov's tendency to overexert and his poor durability, having been knocked out multiple times. Paul believes Al-Selwady will outwork Radzhabov and possibly finish him late. He mentions Al-Selwady's impressive win over George Hardwick on the Contender Series.

"I like what I see out of him... he's well-rounded he puts a pace on you he makes good decisions and he just they do enough to win rounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

The MMA Guru picks Al-Selwady over Radzhabov, calling Radzhabov 'dog [__]' and lacking athleticism. He praises Al-Selwady's performance against George Hardwick, noting his stance switching, leg kicks, and takedown threats. He believes Al-Selwady will outwork Radzhabov and cause damage as the fight goes on.

"I'm going with Al-Selwady over Loik Radzhabov... Loik Radzhabov is absolute dog [__]"
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Feb 25, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Angelo leans Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady because he believes the striking danger matters more than the takedown danger. He notes that every round starts on the feet and Loik Radzhabov, who was just knocked out, will have to worry about Abdul's power. He thinks Abdul likely wins by finish but is unsure about bets.

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady wins by finish (value)
"I am going to lean Abdul here because I think the Striking danger matters more than the takedown danger"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Big Brady picks Al-Selwady, noting his impressive performance against George Hardwick where he outstruck a hyped fighter. He thinks Al-Selwady will keep the fight standing and out-volume Radzhabov, who has low volume and has been hurt on the feet. He expects a decision win for Al-Selwady, as Radzhabov is durable but may tire.

"I am going to take Kareem Abdul alsaadi to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Cody picks Al-Selwady, noting Radzhabov's reliance on wrestling and poor cardio. He points out that when Radzhabov can't get takedowns, he struggles, as seen in his loss to Mateusz Rębecki. Cody believes Al-Selwady's wrestling and pace will tire Radzhabov, leading to a decision or late TKO. He mentions Radzhabov's durability issues.

"I think elati goes out there and uh like I could see it being a decision win but I could see him tiring him out and TKO him some way in the second late second into the third"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Loik Radzhabov

Radzhabov has a slight height and striking advantage, being cleaner down the pipe. Al-Selwady usually wings shots and crashes the pocket, but Radzhabov's pure wrestling advantage should allow him to dictate where the fight takes place. Radzhabov has far better experience against legitimate opponents and should outpoint Al-Selwady for a decision win.

Radzhabov by decision
"I think radov has far better experience against legitimate opponents uh and I think he has all the chops here to go out there and pull off the upset"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Paul picks Al-Selwady, citing his solid cardio, pace, and well-rounded skills. He notes Radzhabov's tendency to overexert and his poor durability, having been knocked out multiple times. Paul believes Al-Selwady will outwork Radzhabov and possibly finish him late. He mentions Al-Selwady's impressive win over George Hardwick on the Contender Series.

"I like what I see out of him... he's well-rounded he puts a pace on you he makes good decisions and he just they do enough to win rounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

The MMA Guru picks Al-Selwady over Radzhabov, calling Radzhabov 'dog [__]' and lacking athleticism. He praises Al-Selwady's performance against George Hardwick, noting his stance switching, leg kicks, and takedown threats. He believes Al-Selwady will outwork Radzhabov and cause damage as the fight goes on.

"I'm going with Al-Selwady over Loik Radzhabov... Loik Radzhabov is absolute dog [__]"