UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy

Angelo picks Lerone Murphy because he is the better overall fighter with superior striking and scrambling ability. He notes Movsar Evloev is a boring wrestler who doesn't do damage or seek finishes. He believes Murphy can scramble back to his feet and win rounds with striking, especially with English judges. He bet a small amount on Murphy at +220.

Big Brady confidently picks Movsar Evloev, citing his wrestling advantage and Murphy's poor takedown defense (51%). He notes that Murphy has been taken down multiple times by various opponents, including Gabriel Santos (five times). He thinks Evloev's striking is underrated and that he will mix in takedowns to win a decision. He also mentions that Evloev has had a layoff and visa issues but expects the best version of him.

Cody sees value in Murphy as a plus-money underdog, citing Evloev's cardio issues in five-round fights and Murphy's ability to scramble and land strikes. He expects Murphy to win a decision or late stoppage.

Connor agrees with Zane that Evloev is the right pick due to Murphy's poor takedown defense, but he is more hesitant because of the five-round factor. He notes that Murphy is impossible to break with pace and pressure, and Evloev has never fought five rounds. Connor points to the Arnold Allen fight where Evloev struggled when takedowns stopped working, and suggests Murphy could get a read on Evloev's entries in later rounds. However, he ultimately picks Evloev because Murphy's takedown defense is worse than Allen's and Evloev is a good takedown artist who maintains position.

Daniel leans Evloev as a pure pick, citing his elite athleticism and takedown numbers. He acknowledges Murphy's resilience and gritty comebacks but thinks Evloev can secure a takedown in the fifth round if it's close. He notes Evloev doesn't finish fights and Murphy is hard to put away.

Daniel Vreeland picks Movsar Evloev to win by unanimous decision. He believes Evloev will dominate the first two rounds with takedowns, but Murphy will rally in rounds 3 and 4. However, Evloev will regain control in the fifth round to secure a 48-47 decision.

Evloev's wrestling should be the difference, but Murphy's home advantage and ability to get up make it less certain. Evloev may struggle to hold Murphy down, but his chain wrestling and volume striking could win rounds. On neutral territory, Evloev wins easily; in London, it's closer.

James picks Movsar Evloev to win via decision, citing Evloev's relentless pressure, volume takedowns, and cardio over 25 minutes. He notes that Lerone Murphy has historically struggled with grapplers who shoot volume takedowns, as seen in fights against Zubaira Tukhugov and Gabriel Santos. James also mentions that Murphy's takedown defense is poor, though he has good get-ups. He considers the layoff and illness for Evloev but still favors him.

The host is confident in Movsar Evloev winning by decision. He highlights Evloev's superior grappling, cardio, and pressure, while Murphy is seen as well-rounded but likely to be worn down by takedowns and mat returns. He expects Evloev to dictate the fight on the ground and win decisively on the scorecards.

Paul thinks Evloev will get takedowns repeatedly and grind out a decision, though he acknowledges the risk of home cooking for Murphy. He's confident Evloev wins but not betting heavily.

The MMA Guru picks Movsar Evloev to win by fourth or fifth round finish. He notes Murphy has been taken down easily by lesser wrestlers and Evloev's grappling is elite. He believes Evloev will ragdoll Murphy and eventually find a finish as Murphy tires. He also mentions Evloev's improved physique and that Murphy lacks finishing power.

Zane picks Evloev based on Murphy's poor takedown defense (51% in UFC) and Evloev's consistent wrestling and top control. He notes that while Murphy is a good scrambler and learns during fights, Evloev's relentless pressure and ability to win scrambles will likely overwhelm Murphy over three rounds. Zane acknowledges the five-round question but believes Evloev's gas tank is fine, though his lack of adaptability could be an issue if Murphy figures out his entries late.

Angelo picks Luke Riley confidently, noting he dealt with adversity in his last fight (taken down four times but stayed composed and finished). He believes Luke is a much cleaner and faster striker, and expects him to win, calling it a showcase fight.

Big Brady picks Luke Riley, noting that Riley hits much harder and has more finishing upside than Michael Aswell. He points out that Aswell lands high volume but lacks power, and that his opponents often have bigger moments. He thinks Riley will have the bigger moments and win a damage-based decision, possibly with a knockdown. He also notes that Riley is the hometown favorite and the UFC is building him up.

Cody picks Riley but is not overly confident, noting Aswell's volume and durability. He thinks Riley's power and fan support will edge him a decision.

Connor picks Riley but is hesitant because he sees Aswell as a live dog. He notes that Aswell is a more principled striker and could win minutes, and Riley is volatile and can be dropped. However, Connor believes Riley has the dynamism to turn fights around, while Aswell lacks that ability. He compares Aswell to Garrett Armfield, who looks good in losses but cannot finish or change momentum.

Daniel thinks Riley is the more powerful guy with bigger moments, but Aswell has more volume. He expects a close decision win for Riley, noting the crowd factor in London. He's not fully confident because Aswell is tough and can hang in there.

Daniel Vreeland picks Luke Riley but expects a close fight. He thinks Riley is more athletic and hits harder, but Aswell is technically sound and will make it competitive. He predicts Riley wins a close decision rather than a knockout.

James picks Luke Riley but is hesitant, noting that Riley's style relies on landing a big shot and he can be outworked. He thinks Michael Aswell will have volume and durability, but Riley's power and crowd support in London could sway the judges. He mentions a bias towards Aswell but ultimately goes with Riley via decision.

The host picks Luke Riley by decision but is hesitant. He acknowledges Aswell's durability and consistent output, and notes that Riley is hittable. He expects a competitive fight where Riley's effective damage and hometown crowd give him the edge on the scorecards. He advises against betting Riley at -300.

Paul believes Riley's power and home crowd advantage will overcome Aswell's volume. He expects Riley to land the bigger shots and win a decision or late finish.

The MMA Guru picks Luke Riley to win by TKO, possibly via body shots in round two. He notes Riley has fast hands, power, and good recovery, while Aswell is slower and lacks finishing ability. He expects Riley to pressure, land body shots, and finish as Aswell fades. He also mentions Riley's momentum from a performance bonus in his debut.

Zane picks Riley because he believes Riley has better athleticism and can weather Aswell's early pressure, then find technical answers as the fight goes on. He cites Riley's ability to turn fights around, as seen against Bogdan Grad, whereas Aswell tends to fade and cannot change momentum when behind. Zane acknowledges Aswell's technical striking but sees his athletic limitations and stamina issues as decisive.

Angelo picks Michael Page with extreme confidence, calling it the easiest money. He notes MVP is faster, cleaner, more powerful, and more technical everywhere. He believes Sam Patterson is chinny and that MVP should dominate. He references MVP's public complaints about the matchup.

Big Brady confidently picks Michael Page, praising his unique striking and ability to avoid being hit. He notes that Page out-lands opponents at distance and that Sam Patterson has sub-50% striking defense and a suspect chin. He thinks Page will style on Patterson and potentially knock him out, predicting a second-round KO. However, he acknowledges that if Patterson gets the fight to the ground, he could win.

Cody agrees with Paul, citing Page's experience against bigger opponents and Patterson's durability issues. He sees Page winning by KO or decision.

Connor picks Page, agreeing with Zane that Page is a clear favorite. He emphasizes that Page's style of moving around, mocking opponents, and landing clean shots is a nightmare for Patterson, who wants to step in and crack opponents. Connor notes that Page has shown he can remain calm against good fighters in the UFC, and Patterson's only path is if Page makes a rare mistake. He calls the booking a waste of both fighters' time.

Daniel initially thought MVP would style on Patterson, but after analysis, he sees Patterson as a live dog if he can get the fight to the mat. He notes MVP's age, speed decline, and past takedown issues. He thinks Patterson might be able to capitalize on MVP's vulnerabilities.

Daniel Vreeland picks Sam Patterson as an underdog. He notes that MVP is older and dropping back down to welterweight, and Patterson has a strong submission game. If Patterson can get the fight to the ground, he can submit MVP.

This is a true 50/50 fight: Page has striking advantage, Patterson has grappling advantage. Patterson is the value bet at underdog odds. If Patterson grapples, he can submit or ground-and-pound Page. The under 2.5 rounds is a strong play.

James picks Sam Patterson as a big underdog, believing Patterson's grappling is a massive threat. He notes that Page is a great striker but can be taken down, and Patterson has submission skills. He also cites Patterson's hunger and age advantage, and thinks the odds are off.

The host picks Michael Page by knockout. He believes Page's speed and counter-striking will be too much for Patterson, who may struggle to land cleanly. He expects Patterson to get frustrated and walk into a big shot. However, he notes the lack of reach advantage for Page could be a factor.

Paul thinks Page's speed and striking will be too much for Patterson, who stands upright and is hittable. He expects a KO or clear decision for Page.

The MMA Guru picks Michael Venom Page to win by TKO, his first UFC finish. He notes Patterson is upright and has been caught with straight punches, while MVP is a crafty striker with underrated submission defense. He acknowledges Patterson's jiu-jitsu threat but believes MVP's range and timing will lead to a knockdown and finish.

Zane picks Page confidently, stating that Page is almost certain to beat Patterson. He notes that Page is the king of never getting shook up and always fights to his plan, while Patterson is an opportunistic finisher who relies on aggression and fear. Zane believes Patterson's style of pushing into the pocket and having terrible defense is perfect for Page to pick apart. He acknowledges a small chance Patterson could catch Page if Page times something wrong, but sees Page as a clear favorite.

Angelo picks Iwo Baraniewski confidently, stating he should run through Austen Lane. He notes Iwo has power, wrestling, and is well-rounded, while Lane's only successful wrestling was against a fighter with no takedown defense. He believes this matchup is designed to give Iwo a win to build the division.

Big Brady is very confident in Iwo Baraniewski (Berenice), calling this another 'sanctioned murder.' He notes that Austen Lane has a terrible chin, has been knocked out seven times (six by KO), and is cutting down to 205 at 38 years old, which he doubts will happen. He highlights Baraniewski's power and skill, predicting a brutal first-round knockout. He also questions whether Lane will even make weight.

Cody also picks Baraniewski, noting Lane's history of getting finished and the difficulty of cutting to 205. He expects a first-round KO.

Connor picks Baraniewski, echoing Zane's assessment. He calls Lane a 'short-armed brawler with a tiny reach' who nearly lost to Ibo Aslan. Connor notes that Lane's size makes him easier to hit and he cannot take a punch. He sarcastically comments on Lane's lack of skills and says the fight has 'disaster written all over it' for Lane.

Daniel picks Iwo to knock out Lane in the first round. He acknowledges Iwo is untested past round one but has no faith in Lane, who is dropping to 205 and older. He thinks Iwo's power and finishing ability will be too much.

Daniel Vreeland picks Iwo Baraniewski to win by first-round knockout. He acknowledges questions about Baraniewski's cardio and ground game, but believes Lane is not the one to expose them. He expects Baraniewski's power to be too much.

Baranowski is explosive and durable but unknown beyond round one. Lane has grappling but is likely to get knocked out. Baranowski is unplayable at -600; Lane is a dog or pass.

James picks Iwo Baraniewski to win via knockout in round one, citing his power and Lane's poor chin. He notes that Lane is moving down from heavyweight and has been knocked out before. He thinks Lane's only chance is to land a big shot, but Baraniewski's low center of gravity and judo make him hard to take down.

The host is confident in Iwo Baraniewski winning in round one by knockout. He highlights Baraniewski's power and finishing ability, while Lane is an aging heavyweight cutting weight with poor durability. He expects Baraniewski to overwhelm Lane quickly, possibly via ground and pound or a big shot.

Paul expects Baraniewski to knock out Lane early, given Lane's poor durability and weight cut. He likes the inside the distance prop.

The MMA Guru picks Iwo Baraniewski to KO Austen Lane in the first round. He notes Lane has a suspect chin and poor striking defense, while Baraniewski has crafty power and good recovery. He expects Baraniewski to land a lead hook or check hook and put Lane out cold, as Lane tends to put his hands away when swung at.

Zane picks Baraniewski confidently, calling Lane a disaster. He notes that Lane cannot take a punch, falls over his feet when throwing more than one punch, and has no technique or tenacity. Despite Lane's size advantage (6 inches height, 7 inches reach), Zane sees it as a liability because Lane is easy to hit and cannot take shots. Baraniewski is a short-armed brawler but should overwhelm Lane.

Angelo picks Christian Leroy Duncan because of his speed, athleticism, and striking advantage. He notes Roman Dolidze is a world champion grappler but doesn't always use his wrestling and has poor fight IQ. He is not betting on this fight because Roman can be dangerous on any given day and CLD is not a genius himself.

Big Brady confidently picks Christian Leroy Duncan, noting that Duncan is seven years younger, much quicker, and has more variety on the feet. He points out that Roman Dolidze looked bad in his last fight against Fluffy Hernandez and doesn't wrestle enough (less than one takedown per 15 minutes). He thinks Duncan will pick apart Dolidze over 15 minutes and win a decision, as Dolidze is tough but unlikely to get the fight to the ground.

Cody agrees, citing Duncan's dynamic striking and Dolidze's susceptibility to speed. He expects a finish or clear decision for Duncan.

Connor picks Duncan but is hesitant, agreeing with Zane that the fight could be ugly. He notes that Duncan has a 'meme fighter' aura and can look like a killer in bursts, but lacks a clear idea of how to win rounds. Connor points out that Dolidze is a big, strong galoot who is happy to hold opponents against the fence. He thinks the odds are too wide and calls it more of a coin flip.

Daniel is high on CLD, believing his speed and athleticism will be too much for Dolidze. He thinks CLD will have a breakout performance and knock Dolidze out, giving him his first real knockout loss. He notes Dolidze's gas tank issues and CLD's improved fight IQ.

Daniel Vreeland picks Christian Leroy Duncan to win by knockout. He highlights Duncan's athleticism, speed, and recent improvements, while noting Dolidze is older and slower. He expects Duncan to land at will and eventually finish Dolidze.

Duncan is a favorable stylistic matchup for the British fighter. Dolidze is old, slow, and flat-footed; Duncan is fast, athletic, and accurate. Duncan should dominate on the feet and win easily. The price is too steep to bet, but Duncan should win comfortably.

James picks Christian Leroy Duncan, believing he is the much better striker and will knock out Roman Dolidze. He notes that Dolidze is not a great wrestler and will struggle to take Duncan down. He thinks Duncan's dynamic strikes and clinch work will be too much.

The host picks Christian Leroy Duncan by knockout but is hesitant due to the wide line. He notes Duncan's improved clinch game and knockout power, but warns that Dolidze's pressure and toughness could cause Duncan to break mentally. He expects Duncan to land big shots and get the KO, but advises caution.

Paul sees Duncan as the younger, faster fighter heading in the right direction, while Dolidze is declining. He expects Duncan to win by KO or decision.

The MMA Guru picks Christian Leroy Duncan to finish Roman Dolidze in round two or three. He praises Duncan's chin, composure, and dynamic striking, noting he took big shots from Gregory Rodrigues. He criticizes Dolidze as a plodding, technical grappler who was outgrappled by Anthony Hernandez. He expects Duncan to win the low kick battle, defend takedowns, and land a brutal combination.

Zane picks Duncan but is hesitant, noting several ways the fight could be terrible. He believes Duncan is a better striker and has 70% takedown defense, which should be enough against Dolidze's poor wrestling. However, he worries that Dolidze's strength and clinch work could lead to a grinding fight. Zane sees Duncan's path to a showcase win but acknowledges Dolidze is a tough, strong fighter who can make it ugly.

Angelo picks Kurtis Campbell because of his excellent wrestling and BJJ, expecting him to shoot takedowns repeatedly. He acknowledges Danny Silva is tough and has good takedown defense, but believes Campbell's wrestling will be the difference, especially fighting in England.

Big Brady is confident in Kurtis Campbell, praising his well-rounded skills, nasty ground and pound, and high ceiling. He notes that Campbell is only 23 and the hometown favorite. He thinks Campbell will mix in takedowns and get into dominant positions, but Danny Silva is extremely tough and won't be knocked out. He predicts a decision win for Campbell.

Cody echoes Paul, noting Campbell's diverse arsenal and Silva's defensive liabilities. He expects Campbell to get the job done.

Connor picks Silva as well, echoing Zane's reasoning. He notes that Silva is a fast athlete with volume, but has no sense of pace and makes exchanges he doesn't need to. Connor trusts Silva's athleticism and technique over Campbell's, but admits Campbell could win if Silva fails to dissuade his pressure. He calls Campbell a 'male Jillian Robertson' who relies on grappling.

Daniel likes Campbell's maturity and mindset, comparing him to younger prospects like Vallejos. He thinks Campbell's pressure and mixing of strikes will overwhelm Silva, who tends to fade after the first round. He expects Campbell to win by decision or submission.

Daniel Vreeland picks Charlie Campbell to win his UFC debut. He praises Campbell's wrestling, top pressure, and mental toughness, while criticizing Silva's tendency to fade after the first round. He expects Campbell to take Silva down and control the fight.

Silva has elite cardio, toughness, and durability, which will trouble debutant Campbell. Campbell is more skilled but hasn't faced someone with Silva's pressure. Silva should win if he can survive early rounds and push pace. The odds are too wide; Silva is the value bet.

James picks Charlie Campbell, praising his high fight IQ and well-rounded skills. He thinks Campbell's grappling and ability to make the right decisions will be key. He notes that Silva is tough but lacks standout skills, while Campbell has multiple weapons.

The host is confident in Kurtis Campbell winning by finish (TKO or submission). He praises Campbell's relentless pressure, grappling, and strength, while Silva is seen as a technical striker without knockout power. He expects Campbell to mix in takedowns and dominate on the ground, leading to a finish.

Paul likes Campbell's power, volume, and youth, while Silva is a generalist who struggles in close fights. He expects Campbell to win by decision or late finish.

The MMA Guru picks Kurtis Campbell to win by second-round submission. He praises Campbell's well-roundedness and ability to hurt opponents with seemingly light shots. He notes Silva has a good chin but has taken damage and has scar tissue, and Campbell's dynamic striking and grappling will be too much. He expects Campbell to open Silva up and find a rear-naked choke.

Zane picks Silva but is hesitant because Silva has a tendency to keep opponents in fights despite being athletically superior. He notes that Silva is faster and stronger than anyone Campbell has faced, and has good striking, but he lets opponents stay competitive. Zane trusts Silva's skills over Campbell's, as Campbell's wins are against low-level competition and he relies on bullying. However, he acknowledges Campbell could win if Silva makes characteristic mistakes.

Angelo picks Mason Jones because of his superior wrestling and aggression. He notes Axel Sola is the cleaner striker but Mason is an absolute dog with far better takedowns. He already bet half a unit on Mason at -125 and expects the line to move further.

Big Brady picks Mason Jones but is not confident due to Jones's awful fight IQ. He notes that Jones has all the tools (BJJ black belt, judo black belt, good striking) but often refuses to grapple when he has an advantage. He thinks Jones should use his grappling against Axel Sola, who has decent power but poor cardio and can be taken down. He predicts a decision win for Jones, but warns that Jones is hittable and could get rocked.

Cody picks Jones, citing his well-rounded game and Sola's tendency to fade. He sees Jones winning a competitive decision.

Connor picks Mason Jones as well, emphasizing that Jones is a full-tilt swarming fighter who can afford to be reckless because his aggression leads into his wrestling. He notes that Sola struggled with McKee's size but that Jones is tougher and more physically resilient. Connor expects an absolute war and a beating if Jones wins.

Daniel picks Mason Jones, believing his relentless pressure and ability to break opponents will overcome Sola's early striking success. He thinks Sola's karate style will falter as Jones walks him down and takes over in later rounds. He acknowledges Sola's power but trusts Jones's durability and cardio.

Daniel Vreeland picks Mason Jones to win by breaking Axel Sola in the latter part of the fight. He believes Jones' pressure and pace will overwhelm Sola, who fades after the first few minutes. He expects Jones to take Sola's best shots and then take over.

Jones is consistent, has home advantage, and his relentless pace will wear down Sola. Sola is more technical but fades as the fight goes on. Jones should win by decision or late stoppage. The only risk is a flash KO, but Jones is durable.

James picks Mason Jones but is not confident, as he admits he may have underrated Axel Sola. He thinks Jones' UFC experience and will to win will carry him, but Sola's fight IQ and size are concerns. He predicts a decision win for Jones.

The host picks Axel Sola by decision but is hesitant. He believes Sola's athleticism, reach, and clean striking will expose Jones's lack of speed and durability. He expects Sola to keep the fight standing and outpoint Jones. However, he admits being a Mason Jones fan and acknowledges Jones's toughness.

Paul thinks Jones' wrestling, cardio, and durability will outlast Sola, who has been exposed in the past. He expects Jones to win a decision or late stoppage.

The MMA Guru picks Mason Jones to win by finish in the second or third round. He notes Jones is more well-rounded, physical, and durable, with a judo background and good grappling. He expects Jones to use his durability and cardio advantage, and find a TKO up against the cage with knees and elbows as the fight slows down.

Zane leans toward Mason Jones because Jones has a simpler, more natural style that he sticks to, while Sola has more potential but is less complete. Zane notes that Sola gave up takedowns under pressure in pre-UFC bouts, and Jones's wrestling and aggression could exploit that. He acknowledges Sola's crafty striking and adjustments against McKee but trusts Jones's bruiser mode.

Angelo picks Losene Keita because of his devastating striking and fast sprawls, but he is not betting on him. He notes Keita missed weight in his debut and is untested, while Nathaniel Wood is a proven tough veteran who gets dropped. He respects Wood's toughness but thinks Keita's power could put him out cold. He avoids betting due to the -170 price and weight miss concerns.

Big Brady picks Nathaniel Wood as a live dog, but he is hesitant because Wood has been dropped in many fights and Keita hits very hard. He notes that Wood has incredible volume, can mix in takedowns, and has good recovery, but his chin is a concern. He thinks if Wood doesn't get knocked out, he will win a decision as the hometown favorite. He calls this the best fight on the card and expects it to be a war.

Cody leans toward Wood, noting Keita's layoff and weight cut, but is not fully confident. He sees value in Wood as an underdog.

Connor picks Nathaniel Wood, emphasizing Wood's technical edge everywhere and his ability to handle athletic opponents like Delgado and Shariay. He notes that Keita is a one-dimensional pressure fighter who doesn't cut off the cage or use a jab effectively. Connor believes Wood can weather Keita's power and figure him out, but warns that Wood's tendency to initiate grappling could be risky if Keita overpowers him.

Daniel picks Keita (Radzhabov) to knock out Wood. He notes Wood's chin issues and that Keita is a dynamic finisher with patience. He thinks Wood will have early success but Keita will land a devastating shot. He expects a round two KO.

Daniel Vreeland picks Losene Keita to win his UFC debut. He notes Keita's power and athleticism, and Wood's tendency to get hit early. He thinks Keita can knock Wood out or win a damage-based decision, but acknowledges the risk of debut jitters.

Wood is ruthlessly consistent, has home advantage, and will push a high pace. Keita is more technical but untested at this level. Wood's toughness and cardio should overwhelm Keita late. The odds are wide; all value is on Wood.

James picks Nathaniel Wood, but admits bias as he considers Wood a friend. He thinks Wood is well-rounded and tough, but Keita has power and physicality. He expects a competitive fight and thinks it could end inside the distance.

The host is confident in Losene Keita winning by knockout. He highlights Keita's explosive power, speed, and takedown defense, while Wood is seen as having no significant grappling edge. He expects Keita to close the distance and land big shots, putting Wood away. He feels good about Keita at -220.

Paul fades the hyped prospect Keita, citing Wood's experience, durability, and ability to keep fights close. He expects Wood to win a close decision in London.

The MMA Guru picks Losene Keita to TKO Nathaniel Wood in the first round. He notes Wood often gets hurt and has been in close fights, while Keita is explosive, powerful, and huge for featherweight. He believes Keita's follow-up shots are nastier than Wood's previous opponents, and he will finish Wood when he hurts him.

Zane picks Nathaniel Wood, citing Wood's technical superiority in striking, wrestling, and grappling. He notes that Keita is a raw athlete with power but lacks tactical nuance, often just walking opponents down and throwing right hands. Zane compares Keita to Vinicius Oliveira and believes Wood can stick and move to victory, though he acknowledges Wood's tendency to make fights hard on himself.

Angelo picks Mário Pinto as the better fighter, noting Felipe Franco's record is fraudulent and he was submitted by a short-notice gym teacher. However, he warns that Franco's wrestling could be enough to win, comparing him to Jailton Almeida. He advises caution and says he will likely stay away from betting this fight.

Big Brady is extremely confident in Mário Pinto, calling Felipe Franco a 'fake fighter' and this signing 'despicable.' He notes that Franco's wins are against terrible competition (shopping mall fighters) and that he got exposed on the Contender Series. Pinto, on the other hand, is a good fighter with good striking and wrestling, as shown in his last fight against John Lineker. He predicts a second-round knockout for Pinto.

Cody agrees, noting Pinto's youth and ability to win standing or on the ground. He expects a dominant performance.

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Pinto. He notes that Franco is a beast but too raw to navigate this level, and that Pinto's size and reach advantage will be decisive. Connor also mentions that Pinto can be passive and wait for mistakes, but Franco's lack of experience makes that a viable strategy.

Daniel is very confident in Pinto, calling him a top heavyweight prospect. He thinks Franco is a sacrificial lamb who will struggle with takedowns and gas out. He expects Pinto to finish him in round one, possibly by knockout.

Daniel Vreeland picks Mário Pinto to win by first-round knockout. He highlights Pinto's size, striking, and takedown defense, while criticizing Franco's lack of heavyweight experience and suspect chin. He expects a big level difference.

Pinto is better everywhere, but at -957 in a heavyweight fight, the odds are absurd. Franco is low-level but has puncher's chance. Dog or pass.

James picks Mário Pinto with high confidence, calling it as close to a lock as possible. He notes that Franco has a weak record and was finished on DWCS, while Pinto is a much better striker. He predicts a first-round finish.

The host picks Mário Pinto by knockout. He notes Pinto's well-rounded game and superior striking, while Franco is a light heavyweight moving up on short notice with poor durability. He expects Pinto to keep the fight standing and land a big shot for a KO. He is hesitant on the under 1.5 rounds due to Franco's potential to clinch.

Paul thinks Pinto is a clear step up in competition for Franco, who has only first-round wins against weak opposition. He expects Pinto to win easily.

The MMA Guru picks Mário Pinto to finish Felipe Franco in the second or third round. He notes Franco has never fought a good opponent and lost on the Contender Series, while Pinto looked well-rounded against Jinata Denz with good grappling. He expects Franco to be dangerous early but fade, allowing Pinto to find a finish later.

Zane picks Mário Pinto, noting that Pinto is a solid fighter with fundamental striking and wrestling, while Franco is too raw and has only beaten regional cans. He points out Pinto's size advantage (4 inches taller, 3-inch reach) and that Franco struggled against the only decent opponent he faced. Zane thinks Franco should be in LFA, not the UFC.

Angelo picks Mantis because he is a kickboxer with good power and length, while Antonio Trócoli has lost three in a row by submission and has a history of quitting. He believes Mantis will run through Trócoli, who needs to grapple to win but can't weather the striking. He hopes this doesn't become another Contender Series fade.

Big Brady is very confident in Mantas Kondratavičius (Contra Vicious), calling this a 'sanctioned murder.' He highlights Kondratavičius's devastating power, saying he hits so hard that he felt it through his laptop. He notes that Trócoli is a grappler who has been submitted in back-to-back fights by guillotine, and he doesn't trust Trócoli to get the fight to the ground. He predicts a brutal first-round KO.

Cody picks Kondratavičius, citing Trócoli's poor grappling and cardio. He expects a finish.

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Kondratavičius. He emphasizes that Trócoli is not a real fighter and that Kondratavičius's aggression and unpredictability will be too much. Connor notes that Trócoli's tapology photo says it all.

Daniel picks Mantas to finish Trócoli in round one. He notes Trócoli's lack of interest and poor performances, while Mantas is a talented kickboxer with power. He thinks Trócoli might be dangerous early but will get finished.

Daniel Vreeland picks Mantas Kondratavičius to win by knockout. He praises Kondratavičius' kickboxing and power, while dismissing Trócoli's skills as subpar. He expects Kondratavičius to land a straight right and finish the fight.

Mantas is an unknown with little footage past the first round. Trocoli is low-level but has grappling. Betting Mantas at -769 is crazy; it's dog or pass.

Lucrative James is betting on the fight to go under 1.5 rounds, not picking a specific winner. He believes Mantas is an aggressive finisher who forces early stoppages, and he thinks Trócoli is mentally checked out of MMA, focused on poker, and likely to fold early. He is confident in the under 1.5 rounds bet at -210 odds.

James picks Mantas Kondratavičius, believing Trócoli is more focused on poker than MMA. He thinks Mantas' power and aggression will lead to a first-round knockout. He notes that Trócoli has been finished multiple times and lacks the will to win.

The host is confident in Mantas Kondratavičius winning in round one. He praises Kondratavičius's karate-style striking and finishing ability, while Trócoli is seen as not UFC-level with poor durability. He expects an early finish and prefers the round one prop over the moneyline.

Paul thinks Kondratavičius will catch Trócoli with a knockout, as Trócoli is on a losing streak and seems more focused on poker than fighting.

The MMA Guru picks Mantas Kondratavičius to win by first-round finish. He dismisses Trócoli as a low-level fighter who only got into the UFC due to his relationship with Mackenzie Dern and has done nothing of value. He praises Mantas for destroying opponents on the regional scene and looking dominant in his Contender Series win.

Zane picks Mantas Kondratavičius, describing him as a wild, aggressive fighter who throws jabs with a pivot but lacks self-preservation. However, he notes that Trócoli is an Instagram model who folds under pressure and is not a real fighter. Zane believes Kondratavičius's chaos will overwhelm Trócoli.

Angelo picks Brando Peričić based on his professional kickboxing background, athleticism, and size. He admits both fighters are relatively untested at UFC level, but assumes the faster, cleaner, more athletic kickboxer will win. He notes the -260 odds are probably fair but expresses caution due to lack of data.

Big Brady confidently picks Brando Peričić, stating that Peričić has actual skills while Louie Sutherland doesn't seem good at anything. He notes that Peričić trains at City Kickboxing, has good striking, can mix in takedowns, and has good ground and pound. He expects Peričić to pick apart Sutherland and win a decision, though he warns that heavyweight fights can get greasy.

Cody picks Peričić, noting his kickboxing base and Sutherland's lack of wrestling. He expects a finish but warns about jet lag.

Connor leans toward Peričić, agreeing that his straight punches and size advantage should beat Sutherland's brawling. He notes that Sutherland has never been beaten by striking, only by wrestling, but Peričić's technical edge and clinch work could be decisive. Connor also warns that Peričić is raw and could get caught.

Daniel leans Peričić but is not high on him. He thinks Peričić has an edge on the mat and in the clinch, but the line is too high. He expects the fight to go over 1.5 rounds and possibly to decision. He notes Sutherland's toughness and durability.

Daniel Vreeland picks Brando Peričić to win by submission or ground-and-pound. He notes Peričić's edge on the mat and Sutherland's inability to get back up if taken down. He expects Peričić to take Sutherland down and finish him.

Peričić is the better striker but has unknown cardio and grappling. Sutherland is limited but known quantity. Too many unknowns to bet either side at the current odds.

James picks Brando Peričić, but admits bias as he knows him personally. He thinks Brando's power and speed will lead to a knockout, though he worries about the long flight from New Zealand. He expects Brando to win early.

The host picks Brando Peričić by knockout but is hesitant due to the low level of the fight. He acknowledges Sutherland's well-roundedness and potential to grapple, but believes Peričić's power will be the difference. He expects Peričić to land big shots when Sutherland shoots for takedowns, leading to a knockout. However, he advises against betting due to low confidence.

Paul thinks Peričić's striking and size advantage will be too much for Sutherland, who has poor takedown defense and a soft physique. He expects a first-round finish.

The MMA Guru picks Brando Peričić over Louie Sutherland. He notes Sutherland has physically declined since his regional days and is less athletic, while Peričić is more well-rounded and stronger. He expects Peričić to grapple and get a ground-and-pound TKO in the first or second round, though he warns about Sutherland's low kick that broke Walker's leg.

Zane picks Brando Peričić, noting that he is a straight puncher with fundamental striking (jab, one-twos, low kicks) while Sutherland is a loopy hook brawler. He believes Peričić's style is a nightmare for Sutherland, but acknowledges that Sutherland could land one big hook and win. Zane also mentions Peričić's clinch work with elbows and knees as an advantage.

Angelo picks Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady because he was winning his UFC debut until getting clipped, while Shaqueme Rock looked clueless in his debut. He believes Abdul's forward pressure and chaos will run through Rock if Rock is tentative again. He notes the odds are slight and plans to monitor the line, expecting better value if money comes in on the local fighter.

Big Brady picks Shaqueme Rock (Shamrock) in a fight he calls a 'greaser' that he won't bet on. He notes that Rock has poor striking, cardio, and takedown defense but has a dog in him and good grappling. He is concerned about Al-Selwady's two-year layoff, spine injury, and history of being knocked out (four losses by KO). He thinks Rock can win a greasy split decision with hometown cooking, but he's not confident.

Cody also leans toward Rock, citing Al-Selwady's long layoff and injury issues. He sees it as a 50/50 fight but takes the plus money.

Connor picks Shaqueme Rock, agreeing that Al-Selwady is not a great counter puncher and gives opponents too much play. He notes that Rock is more active and comfortable taking the lead, and can initiate scrambles where he is tough to handle. Connor is not very certain but leans Rock.

Daniel picks Al-Selwady, calling Rock one of the worst fighters on the roster. He thinks Al-Selwady is better across the board despite concerns about his chin and inactivity. He expects a unanimous decision win.

Daniel Vreeland picks Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady to win by unanimous decision, but with low confidence. He believes Al-Selwady is more skilled across the board, but has concerns about his chin and inactivity. He thinks Rock is one of the worst fighters on the roster.

Al-Selwady is better everywhere than Rock, but inactivity and Rock's home advantage are concerns. On neutral territory, it's a no-brainer, but the crowd could sway close rounds. Still tempting at even money.

James picks Shaqueme Rock but is not confident, calling it a close fight. He thinks Rock's cardio, durability, and jiu-jitsu could be key, but Al-Selwady's jab and wrestling are threats. He wants to do more tape study.

The host picks Shaqueme Rock by decision. He believes Rock's reach advantage and better gas tank will allow him to land damage from distance and mix in grappling. He notes Al-Selwady's long layoff and spine injury as concerns, and expects Rock to control the fight and win on the scorecards.

Paul reluctantly picks Rock as the slight underdog, noting both fighters are flawed but Rock has less ring rust and injury history.

The MMA Guru picks Shaqueme Rock to win by submission in the first or second round. He notes Rock is a rangy lightweight with good back-taking ability and grappling, while Al-Selwady has been inactive for two years due to injuries and tends to let fights happen to him. He expects Rock to pressure and find a rear-naked choke.

Zane picks Shaqueme Rock, trusting his base construct and ability to be crafty in exchanges and scrambles. He notes that Al-Selwady is a choosy counter puncher who gives opponents too much space and was owned by Loic Radzhabov when pressured. Zane acknowledges Rock's tendency to trap himself on the cage but believes Rock's activity and versatility will win.

Angelo picks Shanelle Dyer despite her recent Contender Series loss where she was dropped three times. He notes she is a dangerous striker, incredibly tough, and never stops moving forward. He believes Ravena Oliveira can be hit and doesn't see her having success. He acknowledges the -400 odds seem crazy but points to Dyer's ability to put a beating on someone.

Big Brady is very confident in Shanelle Dyer, calling her the much better striker and noting that Ravena Oliveira has no power to make Dyer pay for her defensive flaws. He points out that Oliveira hasn't won a fight in five years, is 0-2 in the UFC, and didn't attempt any takedowns in her last fight. Even if Oliveira tries to grapple, Dyer has good takedown defense. He predicts a decision win but wouldn't be shocked by a finish.

Cody agrees, noting Dyer's youth and potential, while Oliveira has been unimpressive. He expects Dyer to win.

Connor picks Shanelle Dyer but with hesitation, agreeing that the Fordo fight showed defensive issues. He notes that Oliveira doesn't have the volume that Fordo had, which could help Dyer. Connor still sees Dyer as a good prospect with excellent kicking and teeps, but acknowledges she needs to improve her defense.

Daniel picks Dyer (Cheyanne Vlismas) to win, possibly by finish. He notes her striking prowess and thinks Oliveira has nothing for her. He expects Dyer to make a statement in her debut.

Daniel Vreeland picks Shanelle Dyer to win her UFC debut. He praises her striking superiority and expects her to keep the fight standing, where she will outclass Oliveira. He notes Oliveira's path via grappling but doubts she can implement it.

Dyer is the better striker and has home advantage, but the odds are aggressive for a UFC debut. The skill gap isn't huge, and Oliveira could nick a round. Dyer should get the job done, but the value isn't great.

James picks Shanelle Dyer, believing she is the better striker and will outgun Oliveira on the feet. He notes that Oliveira's grappling is not strong enough to compensate. He thinks Dyer will win by decision or possibly finish.

The host is confident in Shanelle Dyer winning inside the distance. He notes Dyer's Muay Thai skills and improved grappling, while Oliveira has shown poor takedown defense and mediocre striking. He expects Dyer to dominate on the feet or on the ground, possibly via submission. He mentions a submission prop at +1000 as a potential sprinkle.

Paul thinks Dyer's boxing and speed will overwhelm Oliveira, who lacks wrestling and power. He expects a decision win for Dyer.

The MMA Guru picks Shanelle Dyer over Ravena Oliveira. He notes Dyer looked technical in her Contender Series fight despite a loss, while Oliveira has lost to lower-level UFC fighters. He believes Dyer's technical skills will get the job done.

Zane picks Shanelle Dyer but with hesitation, noting that her fight against Carol Fordo exposed defensive flaws and a lack of experience being hurt. He still thinks Dyer is a better prospect with good technical skills (jab, low kicks, teeps), but Oliveira can crack and won't go away easily. Zane hopes Dyer has learned from the Fordo fight.