UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · Feb 24, 2024 · Flyweight · Completed
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Age 27
Height 5' 6"
Reach 65"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 33
Height 5' 6"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Ronaldo Rodríguez
2.71 SLpM
43.0% Str. Acc.
3.8 SApM
44.0% Str. Def.
1.09 TD Avg
36.0% TD Acc.
64.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Denys Bondar
4.59 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
5.16 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
3.99 TD Avg
58.0% TD Acc.
62.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Ronaldo Rodríguez - Fight History
LOSS vs Kevin Borjas
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · Mar 29, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ronaldo Rodríguez 0 64 of 151 42% 64 of 151 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:57
Kevin Borjas 1 83 of 141 58% 84 of 142 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ronaldo Rodríguez 0 10 of 25 40% 10 of 25 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:43
Kevin Borjas 1 17 of 31 54% 18 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Ronaldo Rodríguez 0 17 of 42 40% 17 of 42 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:14
Kevin Borjas 0 23 of 33 69% 23 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ronaldo Rodríguez 0 37 of 84 44% 37 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kevin Borjas 0 43 of 77 55% 43 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ronaldo Rodríguez 64 of 151 42% 31 of 110 11 of 16 22 of 25 63 of 149 1 of 2 0 of 0
Kevin Borjas 83 of 141 58% 72 of 129 6 of 7 5 of 5 78 of 135 3 of 4 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ronaldo Rodríguez 10 of 25 40% 4 of 16 2 of 3 4 of 6 10 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kevin Borjas 17 of 31 54% 13 of 27 2 of 2 2 of 2 14 of 28 1 of 1 2 of 2
2 Ronaldo Rodríguez 17 of 42 40% 7 of 30 3 of 4 7 of 8 16 of 41 1 of 1 0 of 0
Kevin Borjas 23 of 33 69% 20 of 30 2 of 2 1 of 1 22 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Ronaldo Rodríguez 37 of 84 44% 20 of 64 6 of 9 11 of 11 37 of 83 0 of 1 0 of 0
Kevin Borjas 43 of 77 55% 39 of 72 2 of 3 2 of 2 42 of 76 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kevin Borjas vs. Ronaldo Rodriguez (127: Missed Weight)
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rodriguez (-170), Borjas (+142)

Round 1
Due to some card rejiggering, the catchweight contest between Rodriguez (17-2, 2-0 UFC) and Borjas (9-3, 0-2 UFC) is currently the main card opener. The fight was originally booked at 125 pounds, but “Lazy Boy” could not help himself and exceeded the divisional cap by a pound. Despite their differences in momentum, this is one of the matches tonight with the closest betting line, with Rodriguez still the favored man of the two both in the building and on the books. The fighters are ready, and referee Herb Dean is ready too. The crowd is alive, and the fighters are as energized as it gets. They choose not to touch gloves, and take advantage of the amperage. Both fighters aim at one another without pulling the trigger, until about 45 second passes. Suddenly, Rodriguez spins with a wheel kick that glances off the target, and his second attack is a jumping switch kick. Rodriguez uses kicks to back Borjas off, and Borjas walks him down and smashes him square in the jaw and sets him down. Rodriguez reverse-somersaults to roll through the knockdown blow, and somehow appears not compromises at all and in fact waves Borjas on. Rodriguez lands a few times to get back at Borjas, and he walks the Peruvian fighter down looking for a way in. A Rodriguez spin kick slaps off the raised hands, and he presses forward calmly with his right hand ready to fire. When Borjas catches his foe’s leg, Rodriguez yanks his limb free and resets. Borjas just misses with a one-two, and Rodriguez gets in a low kick and ducks away from a counter right hand. Borjas connects with another overhand right, and Rodriguez responds with kicks. A fireball of a Borjas right hand torches Rodriguez and knocks him off his feet again, and like before, “Lazy Boy” returns right back upright and is again prepared to brawl. Borjas enters and fires off more strikes, only to be met with a crisp right hand that stuns him. Rodriguez shoots into a takedown attempt, and Borjas times a jump knee and clacks it off Rodriguez’ knee. Rodriguez lifts his foe’s leg up and attempts to slam it down to simultaneously go for a takedown and hyperextend the limb. On his second try, Rodriguez gets his foe down. Time expires before he can do anything with the position.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Borjas
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Borjas
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Borjas

Round 2
Rodriguez is the initial aggressor in the second round despite getting dropped twice. He tries a jumping kick that is well off the mark, and Borjas lets it soar way past him. Rodriguez chips at the front leg with a kick as he settles himself down, and he springs into action with a looping left and a body kick on the other side. Rodriguez slaps the front leg with another kick, and he gets caught with a few jabs but slings heavy leather. Rodriguez just misses with a front kick, and he swings a left hand that turns out to be a strange level change. Borjas is easily out of the way, and once more he has a jump knee waiting for the shot that he expects and eventually comes from Rodriguez. Borjas stands in the pocket and drills his man with a one-two, and Rodriguez reels and re-enters the melee while pointing at the floor for more of that. Borjas does not go for broke, and Rodriguez chases him around the Octagon and scores a leg kick. Rodriguez has a wheel kick partially connect, and he sprints at Borjas to attack more. Borjas escapes, but he does not avoid the low kick that comes. Borjas stands his man up with a clean right hand, and Rodriguez answers him with a front kick straight up the middle. Rodriguez gets popped when kicking the front leg, as Borjas is prepared with counters, especially the power right. Rodriguez spins and his heel bounces off the chest, and he chains a low kick into a jumping switch kick. Borjas slips and moves, and he times a right hand that drops Rodriguez to a knee. Rodriguez, steel in his noodle, rebounds and crashes the pocket for a single-leg entry. Borjas defends it by putting his back to the wall, and he keeps his guard up to block a spinning back fist right before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Borjas
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Borjas
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Borjas

Round 3
Rodriguez runs out of his corner to attack with a big front kick to start things off, and Borjas easily deflects it. When Rodriguez engages, Borjas doubles up on a jab and rifles off his nasty right hand. Rodriguez keeps in the pocket throwing hands rather than backing off, resulting in Borjas ripping the body after. A right hand from the Peruvian fighter busts Rodriguez’ nose up, and Rodriguez chains a few punches together that get Borjas’ attention. Jabs are traded, and Borjas uses a right hand to break up a leg kick try. When Rodriguez throws, Borjas clacks him with his overhand right, a strike that seemingly cannot miss. Rodriguez jumps with a switch kick and then lands to toss out a wheel kick, but he is too close to do anything with it. This allows Borjas to plant his feet and blast him in the face with a mean right hand, and he seconds it with another that Rodriguez tries to absorb by leaning back. Rodriguez accepts that he will get jabbed as he starts loading up with more power, and he ducks and protects himself from a head kick that he nearly leaned into. Rodriguez gets stood up when throwing hands once more, and he lobs a low kick at his opponent. Borjas rolls with a punch and looses a few more, breaking up a combo with a head kick and then stifling Rodriguez with a second. Borjas checks a kick and points at Rodriguez, who came up gimpy from the shin-on-shin contact. Rodriguez bites down on his mouthpiece, blood streaming down his mouth, and he slings several failed wheel kicks and power strikes that do not connect. Rodriguez points to the mat to force a final brawl, and Borjas thinks twice and then decides to oblige him. Rodriguez clips him back, and he even has a cartwheel kick bounce off the Peruvian’s guard. Rodriguez pounds a leg kick home, and the two swing it out right to the final bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Borjas (30-27 Borjas)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Borjas (30-26 Borjas)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Borjas (30-27 Borjas)

The Official Result
Kevin Borjas def. Ronaldo Rodriguez via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
WIN vs Ode' Osbourne
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 306: O'Malley vs. Dvalishvili · Sep 14, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ronaldo Rodríguez 0 35 of 69 50% 68 of 117 1 of 2 50% 0 1 9:14
Ode' Osbourne 1 37 of 68 54% 55 of 93 1 of 3 33% 2 1 1:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ronaldo Rodríguez 0 6 of 14 42% 25 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 1 4:14
Ode' Osbourne 1 18 of 32 56% 30 of 45 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:08
2 Ronaldo Rodríguez 0 19 of 24 79% 29 of 40 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:10
Ode' Osbourne 0 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:22
3 Ronaldo Rodríguez 0 10 of 31 32% 14 of 40 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:50
Ode' Osbourne 0 13 of 26 50% 19 of 38 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ronaldo Rodríguez 35 of 69 50% 29 of 61 1 of 2 5 of 6 10 of 31 0 of 0 25 of 38
Ode' Osbourne 37 of 68 54% 28 of 59 4 of 4 5 of 5 22 of 46 0 of 0 15 of 22
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ronaldo Rodríguez 6 of 14 42% 4 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 2 1 of 6 0 of 0 5 of 8
Ode' Osbourne 18 of 32 56% 15 of 29 2 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 14 0 of 0 12 of 18
2 Ronaldo Rodríguez 19 of 24 79% 18 of 23 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 18 of 22
Ode' Osbourne 6 of 10 60% 5 of 9 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 3 of 4
3 Ronaldo Rodríguez 10 of 31 32% 7 of 27 0 of 1 3 of 3 8 of 23 0 of 0 2 of 8
Ode' Osbourne 13 of 26 50% 8 of 21 2 of 2 3 of 3 13 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Sep 8, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Ronaldo Rodríguez

Angelo picks Ronaldo Rodríguez but advises against betting. He notes Ronaldo has multiple paths to victory (striking, ground) but his takedowns are not great, while Osbourne is a dangerous striker who has only lost due to wrestling, not striking. Angelo warns against the narrative that Osbourne is a free bet, as he is a good striker. He picks Ronaldo but stays away from betting.

Advises staying away from bets; warns against assuming Ronaldo is a free bet.
"I am going to pick Ronaldo here because of he's you know the multiple pass to Victory... but I'm likely staying away from bets here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Ronaldo Rodríguez

Big Brady initially had concerns about Rodríguez after his first round against Bonder, but he favors Rodríguez's durability and heart over Osbourne's questionable durability. He predicts Rodríguez will lose the first round but break Osbourne in the second via submission.

second round submission
"I'm going to go with Rodriguez here I'll say he loses the first round and then kind of breaks oday in the second so give me Rodriguez to win this fight by second round submission"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Ronaldo Rodríguez

Daniel Vreeland also picks Ronaldo Rodríguez, citing Osbourne's wrestling background being more wrestling than jiu-jitsu, and that Rodríguez is a sharp grappler who can reverse positions. He notes Osbourne has lost a step and is too slow and hitable. He also mentions Rodríguez's youth and speed at 125 pounds.

"I personally think OD is just probably going to be too slow he's probably going to be too hitable and if he does try to get that wrestling going I don't think it works for him here either so give …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ronaldo Rodríguez

Daniel picks Ronaldo Rodríguez, calling Ode' Osbourne a 'busted prospect' who hasn't improved and struggles with weight cuts. He notes Rodríguez's durability, faster hands, and scrambling ability, and believes Rodríguez will win despite being green. He expects to fade Rodríguez later but not this fight.

"I think that lazy boy can scramble back up and I think despite how green Lazy Boy is I think he's gonna win this fight"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Ronaldo Rodríguez

Jeff Fox picks Ronaldo Rodríguez because he is ascending and much younger, while Ode' Osbourne is on the way down. He notes Osbourne's wrestling background hasn't played out well recently and that Rodríguez is a sharp grappler who can handle Osbourne's takedowns. He also mentions Rodríguez's speed and athleticism at flyweight.

"I like Rob Ruez he is ascending for sure against the guy who's seems to like I said be on the way down so give me the much younger guy at a uh lightweight class pretty much any day"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Jun 2, 2025 (fight day)

The transcript does not discuss this fight.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Ronaldo Rodríguez

Rodriguez is a very solid fighter who will cause Osborne a lot of trouble. Osborne may have early success with takedowns and control time, but Rodriguez will provide resistance and pressure Osborne on the feet, eventually finding a finish in the second round, likely by submission.

finish in the second round, likely by submission
"I think Rodriguez will continue to provide resistance and then pressure Osborne on the feet eventually finding that finish in the second round likely by submission"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 9, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Ronaldo Rodríguez

The MMA Guru picks Ronaldo Rodríguez. He notes Osbourne has been beaten too many times and has been submitted in his last two fights. Rodríguez is a consistent finisher with submissions, and Osbourne has been put away by submission recently. He also mentions Rodríguez's win over Dennis Bondar and that Osbourne lost to Charles Johnson (though he thought Johnson won).

"I'm gonna go Ronaldo Rodriguez OD Osborne's just been beaten too many times for my Lykan um and Ronaldo Rodriguez is a consistent finisher"
WIN vs Denys Bondar
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 4:59 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · Feb 24, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ronaldo Rodríguez 0 31 of 69 44% 50 of 93 0 of 0 --- 1 3 2:56
Denys Bondar 0 41 of 63 65% 46 of 77 4 of 6 66% 0 1 2:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ronaldo Rodríguez 0 14 of 38 36% 17 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:21
Denys Bondar 0 31 of 46 67% 32 of 50 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:41
2 Ronaldo Rodríguez 0 17 of 31 54% 33 of 50 0 of 0 --- 1 2 2:35
Denys Bondar 0 10 of 17 58% 14 of 27 2 of 2 100% 0 1 1:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ronaldo Rodríguez 31 of 69 44% 19 of 55 7 of 9 5 of 5 13 of 43 5 of 7 13 of 19
Denys Bondar 41 of 63 65% 22 of 39 8 of 13 11 of 11 32 of 51 3 of 4 6 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ronaldo Rodríguez 14 of 38 36% 5 of 27 6 of 8 3 of 3 9 of 31 5 of 7 0 of 0
Denys Bondar 31 of 46 67% 18 of 29 7 of 11 6 of 6 23 of 35 2 of 3 6 of 8
2 Ronaldo Rodríguez 17 of 31 54% 14 of 28 1 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 12 0 of 0 13 of 19
Denys Bondar 10 of 17 58% 4 of 10 1 of 2 5 of 5 9 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert picked Feb 18, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

Angelo picks Denys Bondar but with very low confidence, calling it impossible to know what will happen. He notes that if Luis keeps it standing, he wins, but Bondar's wrestling and slams could be decisive. He says he will watch without any bets.

"Dennis is going to be the pick but it's impossible to know what's going to happen this fight I'm just going to watch without any bets"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Ronaldo Rodríguez

Big Brady picks Luis Rodriguez (Ronaldo Rodríguez) to win by third-round submission. He criticizes Denys Bondar's fraudulent record and poor performances, including a loss to Malcolm Gordon and a brutal knockout loss to Carlos Hernandez. He notes Rodriguez has been in Mexico City for six weeks, giving him a cardio advantage, and believes Bondar's durability and cardio are questionable. He expects Bondar to have some early success but fade as the fight goes on.

Rodriguez wins by submission in round 3
"I'm going to take Rodriguez here for the win I'm going to take him to win by late finish I think Bond might have some success early but I don't think he has the best cardio I don't think he …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

Cody picks Bondar, noting Rodriguez is making his UFC debut, is young and green, and has suspect takedown defense and cardio. Bondar is aggressive, has forward pressure, and a wrestling advantage. He thinks Bondar can march him down and win a decision. He admits it's a coin flip and doesn't have high confidence.

"I'll side with you but I think this one's a pretty rightful coin flip"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

The host believes Bondar is the better fighter despite his recent losing streak and durability concerns. He thinks Bondar will be the best wrestler Rodríguez has faced and, as long as Rodríguez doesn't get an early finish, Bondar will grind out a decision victory.

"I think that he is the better fighter of the two here you have to worry about the health and durability that he brings into this fight considering how we got finished by Carlos Hernandez in his last matchup but …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

Paul picks Bondar as a slight underdog. He notes Rodriguez is unimpressive and Bondar has more aggression and wrestling. He thinks Bondar's forward pressure and takedowns will be enough. He acknowledges Bondar's poor UFC record but sees a path to victory.

"I'll pick bond for the purposes of this show"
Denys Bondar - Fight History
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 4:59 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · Feb 24, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ronaldo Rodríguez 0 31 of 69 44% 50 of 93 0 of 0 --- 1 3 2:56
Denys Bondar 0 41 of 63 65% 46 of 77 4 of 6 66% 0 1 2:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ronaldo Rodríguez 0 14 of 38 36% 17 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:21
Denys Bondar 0 31 of 46 67% 32 of 50 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:41
2 Ronaldo Rodríguez 0 17 of 31 54% 33 of 50 0 of 0 --- 1 2 2:35
Denys Bondar 0 10 of 17 58% 14 of 27 2 of 2 100% 0 1 1:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ronaldo Rodríguez 31 of 69 44% 19 of 55 7 of 9 5 of 5 13 of 43 5 of 7 13 of 19
Denys Bondar 41 of 63 65% 22 of 39 8 of 13 11 of 11 32 of 51 3 of 4 6 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ronaldo Rodríguez 14 of 38 36% 5 of 27 6 of 8 3 of 3 9 of 31 5 of 7 0 of 0
Denys Bondar 31 of 46 67% 18 of 29 7 of 11 6 of 6 23 of 35 2 of 3 6 of 8
2 Ronaldo Rodríguez 17 of 31 54% 14 of 28 1 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 12 0 of 0 13 of 19
Denys Bondar 10 of 17 58% 4 of 10 1 of 2 5 of 5 9 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert picked Feb 18, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

Angelo picks Denys Bondar but with very low confidence, calling it impossible to know what will happen. He notes that if Luis keeps it standing, he wins, but Bondar's wrestling and slams could be decisive. He says he will watch without any bets.

"Dennis is going to be the pick but it's impossible to know what's going to happen this fight I'm just going to watch without any bets"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Ronaldo Rodríguez

Big Brady picks Luis Rodriguez (Ronaldo Rodríguez) to win by third-round submission. He criticizes Denys Bondar's fraudulent record and poor performances, including a loss to Malcolm Gordon and a brutal knockout loss to Carlos Hernandez. He notes Rodriguez has been in Mexico City for six weeks, giving him a cardio advantage, and believes Bondar's durability and cardio are questionable. He expects Bondar to have some early success but fade as the fight goes on.

Rodriguez wins by submission in round 3
"I'm going to take Rodriguez here for the win I'm going to take him to win by late finish I think Bond might have some success early but I don't think he has the best cardio I don't think he …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

Cody picks Bondar, noting Rodriguez is making his UFC debut, is young and green, and has suspect takedown defense and cardio. Bondar is aggressive, has forward pressure, and a wrestling advantage. He thinks Bondar can march him down and win a decision. He admits it's a coin flip and doesn't have high confidence.

"I'll side with you but I think this one's a pretty rightful coin flip"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

The host believes Bondar is the better fighter despite his recent losing streak and durability concerns. He thinks Bondar will be the best wrestler Rodríguez has faced and, as long as Rodríguez doesn't get an early finish, Bondar will grind out a decision victory.

"I think that he is the better fighter of the two here you have to worry about the health and durability that he brings into this fight considering how we got finished by Carlos Hernandez in his last matchup but …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

Paul picks Bondar as a slight underdog. He notes Rodriguez is unimpressive and Bondar has more aggression and wrestling. He thinks Bondar's forward pressure and takedowns will be enough. He acknowledges Bondar's poor UFC record but sees a path to victory.

"I'll pick bond for the purposes of this show"
Technical Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 4:59 · UFC on ESPN: Vettori vs. Cannonier · Jun 17, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Carlos Hernandez 0 102 of 233 43% 108 of 239 2 of 7 28% 0 0 0:40
Denys Bondar 0 76 of 170 44% 82 of 176 2 of 5 40% 0 0 0:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Carlos Hernandez 0 35 of 71 49% 36 of 72 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:09
Denys Bondar 0 22 of 48 45% 22 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
2 Carlos Hernandez 0 27 of 82 32% 31 of 86 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:08
Denys Bondar 0 33 of 61 54% 34 of 62 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:14
3 Carlos Hernandez 0 40 of 80 50% 41 of 81 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:23
Denys Bondar 0 21 of 61 34% 26 of 66 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Carlos Hernandez 102 of 233 43% 87 of 213 12 of 17 3 of 3 78 of 209 17 of 17 7 of 7
Denys Bondar 76 of 170 44% 37 of 121 29 of 38 10 of 11 68 of 157 7 of 12 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Carlos Hernandez 35 of 71 49% 28 of 62 6 of 8 1 of 1 29 of 65 6 of 6 0 of 0
Denys Bondar 22 of 48 45% 6 of 28 12 of 16 4 of 4 17 of 40 5 of 8 0 of 0
2 Carlos Hernandez 27 of 82 32% 23 of 76 4 of 6 0 of 0 22 of 77 5 of 5 0 of 0
Denys Bondar 33 of 61 54% 20 of 43 11 of 15 2 of 3 30 of 57 2 of 3 1 of 1
3 Carlos Hernandez 40 of 80 50% 36 of 75 2 of 3 2 of 2 27 of 67 6 of 6 7 of 7
Denys Bondar 21 of 61 34% 11 of 50 6 of 7 4 of 4 21 of 60 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 11, 2023 (6 days before fight)

Angelo picks Cristian Quiñonez because he believes Quiñonez's relentless forward pressure and wrestling will get Kang down repeatedly. He notes that Kang has cleaner technique and a good jab, but Quiñonez's pace and grappling should be the difference. Angelo also hopes for an over 1.5 rounds line and would bet the over if available, as Kang is tough and the fight likely goes into the second round.

over 1.5 rounds (hoping for the line)
"I think though that this fight is ultimately going to come down to Christian's wrestling and he will more than likely get Kang down over and over again"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

Big Brady picks Denys Bondar to win by submission. He was very high on Bondar initially but tempered expectations after Bondar lost to Malcolm Gordon due to injury and was losing on the feet. However, he sees this as a great stylistic matchup for Bondar, as Hernandez has poor takedown defense. Bondar has strong wrestling and grappling with a 100% finish rate. Brady thinks Bondar will get takedowns easily and be dangerous on the mat, eventually submitting Hernandez. He is curious to see where the odds open.

"give me Denise bondar to win this fight I'm going to take him to win this fight by submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Hernandez

Cody takes the underdog Hernandez, citing Bondar's padded record and poor UFC debut where he got his arm broken. He notes that Bondar's wrestling looked good against cans, but Hernandez has faced better competition. Cody thinks Hernandez's takedown defense is a weakness, but Bondar's striking is non-existent, and if Bondar can't get takedowns, Hernandez will win on the feet. He expects a close, greasy fight.

over 2 takedowns for Bondar (considered but no play)
"I'm actually gonna go with the underdog and take uh Carlos Hernandez"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

Connor agrees with Zane, stating he trusts Bondar's physicality and grinding style over Hernandez's scrappy but limited game. He notes that Hernandez is not athletic enough to keep up with Bondar's pace and pressure. Connor expects Bondar to impose his will with takedowns and top control, leading to a clear decision or late finish.

"I just trust Hernandez physically to be able to keep up with Bondar."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Carlos Hernandez

Daniel Levi leans toward Carlos Hernandez, citing his superior competition and volume. He notes Hernandez's body shots and activity, but acknowledges Bondar's grappling threat. He thinks if Bondar can't hold him down, Hernandez will outpoint him. He sees it as a close fight and takes the underdog.

"I'm a lean with the underdog Carlos Hernandez here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

Hernandez consistently moves backwards and puts himself in bad positions near the cage, which Bondar can exploit with takedowns. Bondar is an aggressive grappler who looks to finish from top position. Even if Hernandez gets the better of striking exchanges, Bondar's takedowns and top control should win rounds. Bondar wins by decision.

"I'm gonna take Dennis bondera to win by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Hernandez

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Bondar's wrestling is unproven at UFC level and that Hernandez's takedown defense has been exploited but Bondar may not be able to exploit it. He thinks the over 2 takedowns for Bondar is possible but not a play. Paul picks Hernandez but is not confident.

over 2 takedowns for Bondar (considered but no play)
"I think Carlos Hernandez"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2023 (4 days before fight)

The MMA Guru picks Cristian Quiñonez over Kyung Ho Kang, citing Kang's age (35), long layoffs, and lackluster performances against bottom feeders. He notes Quiñonez is an up-and-coming prospect on a win streak, with an impressive first-round KO debut against Khalid Taha. He believes the prospect should be favored over the older, injury-prone veteran.

"I'm gonna go with Quinones over him he's 35 this guy... I've got to pick him he's one of those manual you kind of got to pick the prospect here against the older guy"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

Zane picks Bondar, viewing his debut loss as a fluke and trusting his grinding style of takedowns and top control. He notes that Hernandez is scrappy but not athletic, and will fight whatever fight his opponent wants. Zane believes Bondar's pressure and ability to stay in his face will overwhelm Hernandez, who lacks the athleticism to get Bondar off his game. He expects Bondar to control the fight with wrestling and clinch work.

"I'm going to take Bondar here. I don't trust Hernandez to be a good enough athlete to get Bondar off his game."
LOSS vs Malcolm Gordon
TKO (arm injury) R1 1:22 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Feb 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Malcolm Gordon 0 3 of 11 27% 6 of 15 1 of 1 100% 1 1 0:15
Denys Bondar 0 4 of 5 80% 4 of 5 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Malcolm Gordon 0 3 of 11 27% 6 of 15 1 of 1 100% 1 1 0:15
Denys Bondar 0 4 of 5 80% 4 of 5 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Malcolm Gordon 3 of 11 27% 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Denys Bondar 4 of 5 80% 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 2 4 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Malcolm Gordon 3 of 11 27% 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Denys Bondar 4 of 5 80% 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 2 4 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

Angelo picks Denys Bondar for his wild, aggressive style and offensive wrestling. He notes Bondar's wild punches and old-school slams, while Gordon has a suspect chin and low takedown accuracy. Despite Gordon's speed and technique advantage on the feet, Bondar's power and wrestling should secure the win.

"dennis bodnar is the absolute pick here i think gordon's gonna have a speed advantage and honestly a technique advantage on the feet as well but badner's wild punches that the power comes from the craziness and his just very …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

Cody agrees with Paul, noting that Bondar has better wrestling and cardio, and Gordon has a weak chin. He thinks Bondar will take him down and grind him out or knock him out. He is confident Bondar wins and likes the round one prop.

Bondar wins in round one (+275)
"bondar round one"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

Daniel Levi picks Denys Bondar, citing his devastating ground and pound, forward pressure, and dog mentality. He questions Malcolm Gordon's chin and mental toughness, noting that Gordon folds when put in bad spots. Levi acknowledges Bondar's competition level is questionable but likes his skills and progression. He expects Bondar to win his UFC debut, likely by finish.

"give me uh denny's bonder to come out here and win his ufc debut and most likely get a finish"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

Lock of the Night picks Bondar, citing his grappling advantage and Gordon's fragility. He expects Bondar to take the fight to the ground and finish. He likes Bondar inside the distance at +100.

Bondar inside the distance +100
"i'm gonna go up on there my favorite prop on it and i might actually sprinkle a little bit on it myself is bonder inside the distance at plus 100"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

Paul thinks Bondar is being set up for a win. He notes that Gordon has a weak chin and has been knocked out multiple times. Bondar has power and good wrestling. He is confident Bondar wins, likely by knockout in round one.

Bondar wins in round one (+275)
"dennis bondar looks like the kind of guy i want to get into business with"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

The MMA Guru picks Denys Bondar, citing Malcolm Gordon's weak chin and poor grappling defense. He notes Bondar has a grappling advantage and predicts a submission win by rear-naked choke in the second round. He references Gordon's previous loss to Amir Albazi via triangle choke as evidence of his vulnerability on the ground.

submission, round 2, rear-naked choke
"i'm gonna go dennis bonder i think he's got a grappling advantage... i will see a submission win for dennis bonder in the second round route by real naked choke"
Expert Picks (5)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert picked Feb 18, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

Angelo picks Denys Bondar but with very low confidence, calling it impossible to know what will happen. He notes that if Luis keeps it standing, he wins, but Bondar's wrestling and slams could be decisive. He says he will watch without any bets.

"Dennis is going to be the pick but it's impossible to know what's going to happen this fight I'm just going to watch without any bets"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Ronaldo Rodríguez

Big Brady picks Luis Rodriguez (Ronaldo Rodríguez) to win by third-round submission. He criticizes Denys Bondar's fraudulent record and poor performances, including a loss to Malcolm Gordon and a brutal knockout loss to Carlos Hernandez. He notes Rodriguez has been in Mexico City for six weeks, giving him a cardio advantage, and believes Bondar's durability and cardio are questionable. He expects Bondar to have some early success but fade as the fight goes on.

Rodriguez wins by submission in round 3
"I'm going to take Rodriguez here for the win I'm going to take him to win by late finish I think Bond might have some success early but I don't think he has the best cardio I don't think he has the best durability and LS Rodriguez seems to be …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

Cody picks Bondar, noting Rodriguez is making his UFC debut, is young and green, and has suspect takedown defense and cardio. Bondar is aggressive, has forward pressure, and a wrestling advantage. He thinks Bondar can march him down and win a decision. He admits it's a coin flip and doesn't have high confidence.

"I'll side with you but I think this one's a pretty rightful coin flip"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

The host believes Bondar is the better fighter despite his recent losing streak and durability concerns. He thinks Bondar will be the best wrestler Rodríguez has faced and, as long as Rodríguez doesn't get an early finish, Bondar will grind out a decision victory.

"I think that he is the better fighter of the two here you have to worry about the health and durability that he brings into this fight considering how we got finished by Carlos Hernandez in his last matchup but I think that he is going to be the best …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Denys Bondar

Paul picks Bondar as a slight underdog. He notes Rodriguez is unimpressive and Bondar has more aggression and wrestling. He thinks Bondar's forward pressure and takedowns will be enough. He acknowledges Bondar's poor UFC record but sees a path to victory.

"I'll pick bond for the purposes of this show"