Career Averages - Ronaldo Rodríguez
Career Averages - Denys Bondar
Ronaldo Rodríguez - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo Rodríguez | 0 | 64 of 151 | 42% | 64 of 151 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0:57 |
| Kevin Borjas | 1 | 83 of 141 | 58% | 84 of 142 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronaldo Rodríguez | 0 | 10 of 25 | 40% | 10 of 25 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Kevin Borjas | 1 | 17 of 31 | 54% | 18 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Ronaldo Rodríguez | 0 | 17 of 42 | 40% | 17 of 42 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Kevin Borjas | 0 | 23 of 33 | 69% | 23 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Ronaldo Rodríguez | 0 | 37 of 84 | 44% | 37 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kevin Borjas | 0 | 43 of 77 | 55% | 43 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo Rodríguez | 64 of 151 | 42% | 31 of 110 | 11 of 16 | 22 of 25 | 63 of 149 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Kevin Borjas | 83 of 141 | 58% | 72 of 129 | 6 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 78 of 135 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronaldo Rodríguez | 10 of 25 | 40% | 4 of 16 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 6 | 10 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kevin Borjas | 17 of 31 | 54% | 13 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Ronaldo Rodríguez | 17 of 42 | 40% | 7 of 30 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 8 | 16 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Kevin Borjas | 23 of 33 | 69% | 20 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 22 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ronaldo Rodríguez | 37 of 84 | 44% | 20 of 64 | 6 of 9 | 11 of 11 | 37 of 83 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Kevin Borjas | 43 of 77 | 55% | 39 of 72 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 42 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rodriguez (-170), Borjas (+142)
Round 1
Due to some card rejiggering, the catchweight contest between Rodriguez (17-2, 2-0 UFC) and Borjas (9-3, 0-2 UFC) is currently the main card opener. The fight was originally booked at 125 pounds, but “Lazy Boy” could not help himself and exceeded the divisional cap by a pound. Despite their differences in momentum, this is one of the matches tonight with the closest betting line, with Rodriguez still the favored man of the two both in the building and on the books. The fighters are ready, and referee Herb Dean is ready too. The crowd is alive, and the fighters are as energized as it gets. They choose not to touch gloves, and take advantage of the amperage. Both fighters aim at one another without pulling the trigger, until about 45 second passes. Suddenly, Rodriguez spins with a wheel kick that glances off the target, and his second attack is a jumping switch kick. Rodriguez uses kicks to back Borjas off, and Borjas walks him down and smashes him square in the jaw and sets him down. Rodriguez reverse-somersaults to roll through the knockdown blow, and somehow appears not compromises at all and in fact waves Borjas on. Rodriguez lands a few times to get back at Borjas, and he walks the Peruvian fighter down looking for a way in. A Rodriguez spin kick slaps off the raised hands, and he presses forward calmly with his right hand ready to fire. When Borjas catches his foe’s leg, Rodriguez yanks his limb free and resets. Borjas just misses with a one-two, and Rodriguez gets in a low kick and ducks away from a counter right hand. Borjas connects with another overhand right, and Rodriguez responds with kicks. A fireball of a Borjas right hand torches Rodriguez and knocks him off his feet again, and like before, “Lazy Boy” returns right back upright and is again prepared to brawl. Borjas enters and fires off more strikes, only to be met with a crisp right hand that stuns him. Rodriguez shoots into a takedown attempt, and Borjas times a jump knee and clacks it off Rodriguez’ knee. Rodriguez lifts his foe’s leg up and attempts to slam it down to simultaneously go for a takedown and hyperextend the limb. On his second try, Rodriguez gets his foe down. Time expires before he can do anything with the position.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Borjas
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Borjas
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Borjas
Round 2
Rodriguez is the initial aggressor in the second round despite getting dropped twice. He tries a jumping kick that is well off the mark, and Borjas lets it soar way past him. Rodriguez chips at the front leg with a kick as he settles himself down, and he springs into action with a looping left and a body kick on the other side. Rodriguez slaps the front leg with another kick, and he gets caught with a few jabs but slings heavy leather. Rodriguez just misses with a front kick, and he swings a left hand that turns out to be a strange level change. Borjas is easily out of the way, and once more he has a jump knee waiting for the shot that he expects and eventually comes from Rodriguez. Borjas stands in the pocket and drills his man with a one-two, and Rodriguez reels and re-enters the melee while pointing at the floor for more of that. Borjas does not go for broke, and Rodriguez chases him around the Octagon and scores a leg kick. Rodriguez has a wheel kick partially connect, and he sprints at Borjas to attack more. Borjas escapes, but he does not avoid the low kick that comes. Borjas stands his man up with a clean right hand, and Rodriguez answers him with a front kick straight up the middle. Rodriguez gets popped when kicking the front leg, as Borjas is prepared with counters, especially the power right. Rodriguez spins and his heel bounces off the chest, and he chains a low kick into a jumping switch kick. Borjas slips and moves, and he times a right hand that drops Rodriguez to a knee. Rodriguez, steel in his noodle, rebounds and crashes the pocket for a single-leg entry. Borjas defends it by putting his back to the wall, and he keeps his guard up to block a spinning back fist right before the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Borjas
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Borjas
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Borjas
Round 3
Rodriguez runs out of his corner to attack with a big front kick to start things off, and Borjas easily deflects it. When Rodriguez engages, Borjas doubles up on a jab and rifles off his nasty right hand. Rodriguez keeps in the pocket throwing hands rather than backing off, resulting in Borjas ripping the body after. A right hand from the Peruvian fighter busts Rodriguez’ nose up, and Rodriguez chains a few punches together that get Borjas’ attention. Jabs are traded, and Borjas uses a right hand to break up a leg kick try. When Rodriguez throws, Borjas clacks him with his overhand right, a strike that seemingly cannot miss. Rodriguez jumps with a switch kick and then lands to toss out a wheel kick, but he is too close to do anything with it. This allows Borjas to plant his feet and blast him in the face with a mean right hand, and he seconds it with another that Rodriguez tries to absorb by leaning back. Rodriguez accepts that he will get jabbed as he starts loading up with more power, and he ducks and protects himself from a head kick that he nearly leaned into. Rodriguez gets stood up when throwing hands once more, and he lobs a low kick at his opponent. Borjas rolls with a punch and looses a few more, breaking up a combo with a head kick and then stifling Rodriguez with a second. Borjas checks a kick and points at Rodriguez, who came up gimpy from the shin-on-shin contact. Rodriguez bites down on his mouthpiece, blood streaming down his mouth, and he slings several failed wheel kicks and power strikes that do not connect. Rodriguez points to the mat to force a final brawl, and Borjas thinks twice and then decides to oblige him. Rodriguez clips him back, and he even has a cartwheel kick bounce off the Peruvian’s guard. Rodriguez pounds a leg kick home, and the two swing it out right to the final bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Borjas (30-27 Borjas)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Borjas (30-26 Borjas)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Borjas (30-27 Borjas)
The Official Result
Kevin Borjas def. Ronaldo Rodriguez via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo Rodríguez | 0 | 35 of 69 | 50% | 68 of 117 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 9:14 |
| Ode' Osbourne | 1 | 37 of 68 | 54% | 55 of 93 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 2 | 1 | 1:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronaldo Rodríguez | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 25 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 4:14 |
| Ode' Osbourne | 1 | 18 of 32 | 56% | 30 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Ronaldo Rodríguez | 0 | 19 of 24 | 79% | 29 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:10 |
| Ode' Osbourne | 0 | 6 of 10 | 60% | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:22 | |
| 3 | Ronaldo Rodríguez | 0 | 10 of 31 | 32% | 14 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:50 |
| Ode' Osbourne | 0 | 13 of 26 | 50% | 19 of 38 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo Rodríguez | 35 of 69 | 50% | 29 of 61 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 10 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 25 of 38 |
| Ode' Osbourne | 37 of 68 | 54% | 28 of 59 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 22 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 22 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronaldo Rodríguez | 6 of 14 | 42% | 4 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 |
| Ode' Osbourne | 18 of 32 | 56% | 15 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 18 | |
| 2 | Ronaldo Rodríguez | 19 of 24 | 79% | 18 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 22 |
| Ode' Osbourne | 6 of 10 | 60% | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | |
| 3 | Ronaldo Rodríguez | 10 of 31 | 32% | 7 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 |
| Ode' Osbourne | 13 of 26 | 50% | 8 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Ronaldo Rodríguez but advises against betting. He notes Ronaldo has multiple paths to victory (striking, ground) but his takedowns are not great, while Osbourne is a dangerous striker who has only lost due to wrestling, not striking. Angelo warns against the narrative that Osbourne is a free bet, as he is a good striker. He picks Ronaldo but stays away from betting.
Big Brady initially had concerns about Rodríguez after his first round against Bonder, but he favors Rodríguez's durability and heart over Osbourne's questionable durability. He predicts Rodríguez will lose the first round but break Osbourne in the second via submission.
Daniel Vreeland also picks Ronaldo Rodríguez, citing Osbourne's wrestling background being more wrestling than jiu-jitsu, and that Rodríguez is a sharp grappler who can reverse positions. He notes Osbourne has lost a step and is too slow and hitable. He also mentions Rodríguez's youth and speed at 125 pounds.
Daniel picks Ronaldo Rodríguez, calling Ode' Osbourne a 'busted prospect' who hasn't improved and struggles with weight cuts. He notes Rodríguez's durability, faster hands, and scrambling ability, and believes Rodríguez will win despite being green. He expects to fade Rodríguez later but not this fight.
Jeff Fox picks Ronaldo Rodríguez because he is ascending and much younger, while Ode' Osbourne is on the way down. He notes Osbourne's wrestling background hasn't played out well recently and that Rodríguez is a sharp grappler who can handle Osbourne's takedowns. He also mentions Rodríguez's speed and athleticism at flyweight.
The transcript does not discuss this fight.
Rodriguez is a very solid fighter who will cause Osborne a lot of trouble. Osborne may have early success with takedowns and control time, but Rodriguez will provide resistance and pressure Osborne on the feet, eventually finding a finish in the second round, likely by submission.
The MMA Guru picks Ronaldo Rodríguez. He notes Osbourne has been beaten too many times and has been submitted in his last two fights. Rodríguez is a consistent finisher with submissions, and Osbourne has been put away by submission recently. He also mentions Rodríguez's win over Dennis Bondar and that Osbourne lost to Charles Johnson (though he thought Johnson won).
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo Rodríguez | 0 | 31 of 69 | 44% | 50 of 93 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 3 | 2:56 |
| Denys Bondar | 0 | 41 of 63 | 65% | 46 of 77 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 1 | 2:52 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronaldo Rodríguez | 0 | 14 of 38 | 36% | 17 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:21 |
| Denys Bondar | 0 | 31 of 46 | 67% | 32 of 50 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:41 | |
| 2 | Ronaldo Rodríguez | 0 | 17 of 31 | 54% | 33 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 2 | 2:35 |
| Denys Bondar | 0 | 10 of 17 | 58% | 14 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 1:11 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo Rodríguez | 31 of 69 | 44% | 19 of 55 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 13 of 43 | 5 of 7 | 13 of 19 |
| Denys Bondar | 41 of 63 | 65% | 22 of 39 | 8 of 13 | 11 of 11 | 32 of 51 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronaldo Rodríguez | 14 of 38 | 36% | 5 of 27 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 31 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Denys Bondar | 31 of 46 | 67% | 18 of 29 | 7 of 11 | 6 of 6 | 23 of 35 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 8 | |
| 2 | Ronaldo Rodríguez | 17 of 31 | 54% | 14 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 19 |
| Denys Bondar | 10 of 17 | 58% | 4 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Denys Bondar but with very low confidence, calling it impossible to know what will happen. He notes that if Luis keeps it standing, he wins, but Bondar's wrestling and slams could be decisive. He says he will watch without any bets.
Big Brady picks Luis Rodriguez (Ronaldo Rodríguez) to win by third-round submission. He criticizes Denys Bondar's fraudulent record and poor performances, including a loss to Malcolm Gordon and a brutal knockout loss to Carlos Hernandez. He notes Rodriguez has been in Mexico City for six weeks, giving him a cardio advantage, and believes Bondar's durability and cardio are questionable. He expects Bondar to have some early success but fade as the fight goes on.
Cody picks Bondar, noting Rodriguez is making his UFC debut, is young and green, and has suspect takedown defense and cardio. Bondar is aggressive, has forward pressure, and a wrestling advantage. He thinks Bondar can march him down and win a decision. He admits it's a coin flip and doesn't have high confidence.
The host believes Bondar is the better fighter despite his recent losing streak and durability concerns. He thinks Bondar will be the best wrestler Rodríguez has faced and, as long as Rodríguez doesn't get an early finish, Bondar will grind out a decision victory.
Paul picks Bondar as a slight underdog. He notes Rodriguez is unimpressive and Bondar has more aggression and wrestling. He thinks Bondar's forward pressure and takedowns will be enough. He acknowledges Bondar's poor UFC record but sees a path to victory.
Denys Bondar - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo Rodríguez | 0 | 31 of 69 | 44% | 50 of 93 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 3 | 2:56 |
| Denys Bondar | 0 | 41 of 63 | 65% | 46 of 77 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 1 | 2:52 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronaldo Rodríguez | 0 | 14 of 38 | 36% | 17 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:21 |
| Denys Bondar | 0 | 31 of 46 | 67% | 32 of 50 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:41 | |
| 2 | Ronaldo Rodríguez | 0 | 17 of 31 | 54% | 33 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 2 | 2:35 |
| Denys Bondar | 0 | 10 of 17 | 58% | 14 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 1:11 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo Rodríguez | 31 of 69 | 44% | 19 of 55 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 13 of 43 | 5 of 7 | 13 of 19 |
| Denys Bondar | 41 of 63 | 65% | 22 of 39 | 8 of 13 | 11 of 11 | 32 of 51 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronaldo Rodríguez | 14 of 38 | 36% | 5 of 27 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 31 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Denys Bondar | 31 of 46 | 67% | 18 of 29 | 7 of 11 | 6 of 6 | 23 of 35 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 8 | |
| 2 | Ronaldo Rodríguez | 17 of 31 | 54% | 14 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 19 |
| Denys Bondar | 10 of 17 | 58% | 4 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Denys Bondar but with very low confidence, calling it impossible to know what will happen. He notes that if Luis keeps it standing, he wins, but Bondar's wrestling and slams could be decisive. He says he will watch without any bets.
Big Brady picks Luis Rodriguez (Ronaldo Rodríguez) to win by third-round submission. He criticizes Denys Bondar's fraudulent record and poor performances, including a loss to Malcolm Gordon and a brutal knockout loss to Carlos Hernandez. He notes Rodriguez has been in Mexico City for six weeks, giving him a cardio advantage, and believes Bondar's durability and cardio are questionable. He expects Bondar to have some early success but fade as the fight goes on.
Cody picks Bondar, noting Rodriguez is making his UFC debut, is young and green, and has suspect takedown defense and cardio. Bondar is aggressive, has forward pressure, and a wrestling advantage. He thinks Bondar can march him down and win a decision. He admits it's a coin flip and doesn't have high confidence.
The host believes Bondar is the better fighter despite his recent losing streak and durability concerns. He thinks Bondar will be the best wrestler Rodríguez has faced and, as long as Rodríguez doesn't get an early finish, Bondar will grind out a decision victory.
Paul picks Bondar as a slight underdog. He notes Rodriguez is unimpressive and Bondar has more aggression and wrestling. He thinks Bondar's forward pressure and takedowns will be enough. He acknowledges Bondar's poor UFC record but sees a path to victory.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 102 of 233 | 43% | 108 of 239 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Denys Bondar | 0 | 76 of 170 | 44% | 82 of 176 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 35 of 71 | 49% | 36 of 72 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Denys Bondar | 0 | 22 of 48 | 45% | 22 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 2 | Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 27 of 82 | 32% | 31 of 86 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Denys Bondar | 0 | 33 of 61 | 54% | 34 of 62 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | |
| 3 | Carlos Hernandez | 0 | 40 of 80 | 50% | 41 of 81 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Denys Bondar | 0 | 21 of 61 | 34% | 26 of 66 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernandez | 102 of 233 | 43% | 87 of 213 | 12 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 78 of 209 | 17 of 17 | 7 of 7 |
| Denys Bondar | 76 of 170 | 44% | 37 of 121 | 29 of 38 | 10 of 11 | 68 of 157 | 7 of 12 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Hernandez | 35 of 71 | 49% | 28 of 62 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 29 of 65 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Denys Bondar | 22 of 48 | 45% | 6 of 28 | 12 of 16 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 40 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Carlos Hernandez | 27 of 82 | 32% | 23 of 76 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 77 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Denys Bondar | 33 of 61 | 54% | 20 of 43 | 11 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 30 of 57 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Carlos Hernandez | 40 of 80 | 50% | 36 of 75 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 27 of 67 | 6 of 6 | 7 of 7 |
| Denys Bondar | 21 of 61 | 34% | 11 of 50 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Cristian Quiñonez because he believes Quiñonez's relentless forward pressure and wrestling will get Kang down repeatedly. He notes that Kang has cleaner technique and a good jab, but Quiñonez's pace and grappling should be the difference. Angelo also hopes for an over 1.5 rounds line and would bet the over if available, as Kang is tough and the fight likely goes into the second round.
Big Brady picks Denys Bondar to win by submission. He was very high on Bondar initially but tempered expectations after Bondar lost to Malcolm Gordon due to injury and was losing on the feet. However, he sees this as a great stylistic matchup for Bondar, as Hernandez has poor takedown defense. Bondar has strong wrestling and grappling with a 100% finish rate. Brady thinks Bondar will get takedowns easily and be dangerous on the mat, eventually submitting Hernandez. He is curious to see where the odds open.
Cody takes the underdog Hernandez, citing Bondar's padded record and poor UFC debut where he got his arm broken. He notes that Bondar's wrestling looked good against cans, but Hernandez has faced better competition. Cody thinks Hernandez's takedown defense is a weakness, but Bondar's striking is non-existent, and if Bondar can't get takedowns, Hernandez will win on the feet. He expects a close, greasy fight.
Connor agrees with Zane, stating he trusts Bondar's physicality and grinding style over Hernandez's scrappy but limited game. He notes that Hernandez is not athletic enough to keep up with Bondar's pace and pressure. Connor expects Bondar to impose his will with takedowns and top control, leading to a clear decision or late finish.
Daniel Levi leans toward Carlos Hernandez, citing his superior competition and volume. He notes Hernandez's body shots and activity, but acknowledges Bondar's grappling threat. He thinks if Bondar can't hold him down, Hernandez will outpoint him. He sees it as a close fight and takes the underdog.
Hernandez consistently moves backwards and puts himself in bad positions near the cage, which Bondar can exploit with takedowns. Bondar is an aggressive grappler who looks to finish from top position. Even if Hernandez gets the better of striking exchanges, Bondar's takedowns and top control should win rounds. Bondar wins by decision.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Bondar's wrestling is unproven at UFC level and that Hernandez's takedown defense has been exploited but Bondar may not be able to exploit it. He thinks the over 2 takedowns for Bondar is possible but not a play. Paul picks Hernandez but is not confident.
The MMA Guru picks Cristian Quiñonez over Kyung Ho Kang, citing Kang's age (35), long layoffs, and lackluster performances against bottom feeders. He notes Quiñonez is an up-and-coming prospect on a win streak, with an impressive first-round KO debut against Khalid Taha. He believes the prospect should be favored over the older, injury-prone veteran.
Zane picks Bondar, viewing his debut loss as a fluke and trusting his grinding style of takedowns and top control. He notes that Hernandez is scrappy but not athletic, and will fight whatever fight his opponent wants. Zane believes Bondar's pressure and ability to stay in his face will overwhelm Hernandez, who lacks the athleticism to get Bondar off his game. He expects Bondar to control the fight with wrestling and clinch work.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Gordon | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 6 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 0:15 |
| Denys Bondar | 0 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malcolm Gordon | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 6 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 0:15 |
| Denys Bondar | 0 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Gordon | 3 of 11 | 27% | 3 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Denys Bondar | 4 of 5 | 80% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malcolm Gordon | 3 of 11 | 27% | 3 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Denys Bondar | 4 of 5 | 80% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Denys Bondar for his wild, aggressive style and offensive wrestling. He notes Bondar's wild punches and old-school slams, while Gordon has a suspect chin and low takedown accuracy. Despite Gordon's speed and technique advantage on the feet, Bondar's power and wrestling should secure the win.
Cody agrees with Paul, noting that Bondar has better wrestling and cardio, and Gordon has a weak chin. He thinks Bondar will take him down and grind him out or knock him out. He is confident Bondar wins and likes the round one prop.
Daniel Levi picks Denys Bondar, citing his devastating ground and pound, forward pressure, and dog mentality. He questions Malcolm Gordon's chin and mental toughness, noting that Gordon folds when put in bad spots. Levi acknowledges Bondar's competition level is questionable but likes his skills and progression. He expects Bondar to win his UFC debut, likely by finish.
Lock of the Night picks Bondar, citing his grappling advantage and Gordon's fragility. He expects Bondar to take the fight to the ground and finish. He likes Bondar inside the distance at +100.
Paul thinks Bondar is being set up for a win. He notes that Gordon has a weak chin and has been knocked out multiple times. Bondar has power and good wrestling. He is confident Bondar wins, likely by knockout in round one.
The MMA Guru picks Denys Bondar, citing Malcolm Gordon's weak chin and poor grappling defense. He notes Bondar has a grappling advantage and predicts a submission win by rear-naked choke in the second round. He references Gordon's previous loss to Amir Albazi via triangle choke as evidence of his vulnerability on the ground.
Expert Picks (5)
Angelo picks Denys Bondar but with very low confidence, calling it impossible to know what will happen. He notes that if Luis keeps it standing, he wins, but Bondar's wrestling and slams could be decisive. He says he will watch without any bets.
Big Brady picks Luis Rodriguez (Ronaldo Rodríguez) to win by third-round submission. He criticizes Denys Bondar's fraudulent record and poor performances, including a loss to Malcolm Gordon and a brutal knockout loss to Carlos Hernandez. He notes Rodriguez has been in Mexico City for six weeks, giving him a cardio advantage, and believes Bondar's durability and cardio are questionable. He expects Bondar to have some early success but fade as the fight goes on.
Cody picks Bondar, noting Rodriguez is making his UFC debut, is young and green, and has suspect takedown defense and cardio. Bondar is aggressive, has forward pressure, and a wrestling advantage. He thinks Bondar can march him down and win a decision. He admits it's a coin flip and doesn't have high confidence.
The host believes Bondar is the better fighter despite his recent losing streak and durability concerns. He thinks Bondar will be the best wrestler Rodríguez has faced and, as long as Rodríguez doesn't get an early finish, Bondar will grind out a decision victory.
Paul picks Bondar as a slight underdog. He notes Rodriguez is unimpressive and Bondar has more aggression and wrestling. He thinks Bondar's forward pressure and takedowns will be enough. He acknowledges Bondar's poor UFC record but sees a path to victory.
Ronaldo Rodriguez should’ve went for takedowns but didn’t or has short good stand up to win a good boxing match