UFC 324 · Jan 24, 2026 · Heavyweight · Completed
Age 28
Height 6' 1"
Reach 73"
Weight 236 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 34
Height 6' 1"
Reach 77"
Weight 265 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Josh Hokit
6.07 SLpM
66.0% Str. Acc.
0.83 SApM
66.0% Str. Def.
8.74 TD Avg
46.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Denzel Freeman
2.45 SLpM
56.0% Str. Acc.
3.4 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
50.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Josh Hokit - Fight History
SCHED vs Derrick Lewis
UFC Freedom 250 · Jun 14, 2026
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert picked Jun 3, 2026 (11 days before fight)

AJ does not make a clear pick for this fight. He mentions that Hokit will likely wrestle Derrick Lewis, but does not state a winner.

"I think definitely hockey to wrestle Derrick Lewis."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 327 · Apr 11, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Curtis Blaydes 0 174 of 302 57% 214 of 345 2 of 7 28% 0 0 2:05
Josh Hokit 0 177 of 293 60% 181 of 298 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Curtis Blaydes 0 58 of 108 53% 77 of 128 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:05
Josh Hokit 0 41 of 80 51% 41 of 80 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Curtis Blaydes 0 56 of 91 61% 69 of 106 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Josh Hokit 0 54 of 86 62% 55 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
3 Curtis Blaydes 0 60 of 103 58% 68 of 111 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Josh Hokit 0 82 of 127 64% 85 of 131 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Curtis Blaydes 174 of 302 57% 151 of 276 17 of 19 6 of 7 112 of 226 60 of 73 2 of 3
Josh Hokit 177 of 293 60% 164 of 278 13 of 15 0 of 0 146 of 252 31 of 41 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Curtis Blaydes 58 of 108 53% 54 of 104 3 of 3 1 of 1 31 of 76 25 of 29 2 of 3
Josh Hokit 41 of 80 51% 41 of 80 0 of 0 0 of 0 37 of 73 4 of 7 0 of 0
2 Curtis Blaydes 56 of 91 61% 42 of 77 12 of 12 2 of 2 31 of 62 25 of 29 0 of 0
Josh Hokit 54 of 86 62% 49 of 80 5 of 6 0 of 0 46 of 75 8 of 11 0 of 0
3 Curtis Blaydes 60 of 103 58% 55 of 95 2 of 4 3 of 4 50 of 88 10 of 15 0 of 0
Josh Hokit 82 of 127 64% 74 of 118 8 of 9 0 of 0 63 of 104 19 of 23 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Blaydes (-142), Hokit (+120)

Round 1
After alternating wins and losses the last few years, the UFC heavyweight takedown leader Blaydes (19-5, 1 NC; 14-5, 1 NC UFC) is at a real crossroads at the age of 35. While he still has plenty of time left on the clock, his five knockout losses paint a picture of a beard that is more than willing to crack. Rather than face another top-five-level adversary, he goes way down the lineup to welcome the brash, outspoken Hokit (8-0, 2-0 UFC) to the elite of the division. It’s sink or swim for “The Incredible Hok,” who put his name in headlines this week not for his credentials but because of his antics at media day and the weigh-ins. Referee Herb Dean draws the charge for this heavyweight affair. With all the strange bad blood brewing between them, largely because of what Hokit had to say recently, there is no touch of gloves.
Hokit practically sprints out of his corner hurling a big right hand, and Blaydes ducks the first but takes the second right on the chin. Blaydes responds with a single-leg takedown attempt, and Hokit stuffs it and flicks him the middle finger. Hokit gets caught when going wild, and he wobbles and swings his way forward and staggers Blaydes and busts his nose to the side. Hokit is swinging with reckless abandon, hurting Blaydes a few times and gashing Blaydes open. Blaydes drops to his hands and posts off to stand up, and Hokit runs at him with his hands down punching him as hard as he can. Blaydes ties him up and drags him to the floor from behind, and he shells Hokit on the sides of the head until Hoki wall-walks by pulling his fingers in the fencing. Dean admonishes him for the foul, and Blaydes pulls him away from it to throw him down. Blaydes keeps hold of him and wears on him, and on his second effort, he drags Hokit to the floor. Hokit is breathing hard and still holding the fence and top of the cage, and Blaydes works him over from under the armpits and the backs of the thighs.
Blaydes transitions to a single, but he cannot get the leg to drag him down. Blaydes boxes Hokit up, who wanders away and flips Blaydes off again. Blaydes jabs and staggers Hokit, who is starting to fade and runs away. Hokit may be playing possum, but Blaydes lets him have it with a frenetic flurry of fists that rivals some of the craziest heavyweight action one could ever see. Blaydes jackhammers Hokit with uppercut after unanswered uppercut, batting Hokit’s head around like a piñata. Hokit hangs on for dear life while Blaydes slows himself down to not gas himself, and both men are sucking serious wind four minutes in. Blaydes punches Hokit in the stomach a few times until they separate, and Hokit once more displays his middle finger. Blaydes walks him down and knocks his mouthpiece out, shelling him with an uppercut and a vicious elbow. Hokit flips one more bird as the round ends, and he raises his arm in the air to drink in the cheers from the crowd. What a ludicrous round that was.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Blaydes
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Blaydes
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Blaydes

Round 2
Who has more left in the tank after a ridiculous five-minute sprint? Blaydes starts off landing first with a stiff right hand, and Hokit walks him down and busts him in the jaw with his own overhand right. Hokit has his hands low and just wants to brawl, drawing Blaydes into exchanges and stifling the first takedown shot from Blaydes. When he stands up, he flips Blaydes off. Blaydes sticks out his jab and follows one or two, while Hokit lumbers at him and cracks him with an uppercut. Hokit hurls back with a right hand that staggers Blaydes, who is bloodied and bruised but still in this fight. Hokit backs him to the fence and starts delivering fierce uppercuts until he is forced to tie up. Blaydes punches to break out of the clinch, and Hokit gets him back to the body with a right hand and a knee. Blaydes stuns him with a right, Hokit’s head wobbling around like a children’s play toy. Hokit still comes forward and is willing to trade, so Blaydes welcomes this and uppercuts him repeatedly to the chin and midsection.
Blaydes digs a few more to the body before they split up, and he gets knocked back with a one-two. Hokit follows with two more, and Blaydes is on baby deer legs slipping and stumbling across the Octagon. Hokit unleashes a fury and hurts Blaydes for the umpteenth time, and Blaydes is impossibly tough as he takes undefended shots. Blaydes rushes into action and connects with a long stretch of surprisingly powerful punches, and Hokit does not react well when receiving them but still has the wherewithal to keep trading. Hokit goes for a clinch, and Blaydes thanks him for this by elbowing him and driving him a number of uppercuts to the chest and stomach. Hokit hangs on while Blaydes keeps busting him in the chops with uppercuts, and it is Hokit who forces the separation and knees Blaydes flush in the face. Hokit gets off another knee to the belly, and he misses with an uppercut that would fell lesser men. Blaydes keeps to the clinch so he can offer uppercuts, and Hokit bashes him in the chin with a one-two and is met with an equally powerful one. Hokit dances back to his corner at the bell, middle finger waving, and this heavyweight slobberknocker is almost beyond description.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hokit
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Hokit
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Hokit

Round 3
Hokit raises his arm in the air to pump up the crowd, and when the last round begins, he strides forward to engage. He catches Blaydes a few times, only for Blaydes to rattle his bones with a right hand and a low kick. Blaydes dives after a takedown and falls to the side, so he fights his way back up and proceeds to bash Hokit with punches until they clinch up again. Blaydes uppercuts the torso, while Hokit uses his knees and an elbow once. Blaydes is inspired to us the same for his “Razor” elbows, and he beats Hokit to the punch with a quick one-two. The fighters go punch-for-punch, with Hokit causing further damage as his jab has completely transformed Blaydes into a bloody mess. Blaydes lumbers forward behind two hooks, only one landing, and Hokit gathers a head of steam and connects with a clean uppercut. Hokit keeps his jab going, only stopping when Blaydes racks him up with a right hand. Hokit closes in to land elbows, and Blaydes does the same when in range.
Hokit eats one to land one, and he strings to more together and a knee after it. Elbows are exchanged on the inside, and Hokit breaks off and puts three fists on Blaydes’ face in rapid succession. Blaydes stings Hokit and backs him off, but he does not have the gas tank to hurt him badly. Hokit lands twice, Blaydes closes in to strike him back, and uppercuts come flying from both sides. Blaydes darts out behind a right hand, and he is greeted by a trio of punches. Defense is at a premium while strike totals are off the charts for heavyweights, and Blaydes takes a hard look at the clock that now reads 45 seconds. Hokit does the advancing, hurling punches until Blaydes hits him back. Hokit gets in an elbow when they are up close, and he knees and tees off on Blaydes against the fencing. Blaydes swings back with every thing he has left, and incredibly, these two heavyweights have reached the final bell in what only be described as one of the craziest fights in the history of the division—rivaling the likes of Frye-Takayama and Hunt-Silva. Everyone can now breathe a sigh of relief after that torrid sprint of a battle is over, and these two men can use some oxygen after a sure-fire “Fight of the Year” frontrunner. No matter the victor, Hokit proved that at just nine fights into his professional career, he can hang with the best heavyweights in the world right now.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hokit (29-28 Hokit)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Hokit (29-28 Hokit)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Hokit (29-28 Hokit)

The Official Result
Josh Hokit def. Curtis Blaydes via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Curtis Blaydes

Angelo picks Curtis Blaydes, citing his experience and wrestling, though he notes Blaydes' poor chin and recent struggles. He is skeptical of Josh Hokit's level of competition and thinks Blaydes can survive early chaos and take over late. He stays away from betting due to the fight's unpredictability.

"Curtis has to be the pick here. I'm likely staying far away from anything that resembles a bet because this fight could go a million different ways."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Josh Hokit

Big Brady is intrigued by Josh Barnett (Hokit) despite the massive step up in competition. He notes Blaydes has been knocked out five times and has stopped wrestling, while Barnett has shown pressure and power. He thinks Barnett could knock out Blaydes or get takedowns and ground-and-pound. He finds the line weird, expecting Blaydes to be a bigger favorite.

first round knockout
"I'm going to take Josh Barnett for the upset... I'm going to say Josh Barnett knocks out Curtis Blaydes for the sixth time. Give me Josh Barnett by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Josh Hokit

Cody also picks Hokit, emphasizing his athleticism, pace, and wrestling. He thinks Hokit's speed and pressure will overwhelm Blaydes, who has a history of knockout losses and is coming off a knee injury.

"I love Josh Hoget this week. And I had honestly when I first looked at the matchup... I really came away from it being like, okay, Hoget's gonna absolutely kill him."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Apr 9, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Curtis Blaydes

Connor picks Blaydes but is hesitant, noting that Blaydes has unlearned MMA by becoming overly technical and anxious. He points out that Hokit is a raw fighter with speed and power takedowns, but his striking is just bravado. Connor believes Blaydes should win by using his wrestling and pressure, but he worries that Blaydes' anxiety and tendency to overthink could lead to a loss. He says he won't be shocked if Blaydes loses, which is stupid for a fight like this.

Odds comment: Blaydes opened -160, currently -135; Hokit opened +140, currently +115.
"I think I'm still going to pick him. I'm still going to pick him, but I won't be shocked at all if he loses, which is stupid for a fight like this..."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Josh Hokit

Daniel Vreeland picks Josh Hokit as an underdog, citing Hokit's superior wrestling credentials, athleticism, and speed. He believes Blaydes' chin is compromised after multiple knockouts and that Hokit can catch him. However, he acknowledges the risk due to Blaydes' experience and reach, and is not as confident as his co-hosts.

"I like Barnett here. I think if he's going to win it, he's got to catch him though. He's got to clip him. I'm not as confident as you two about the Barnett win."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Josh Hokit

Daniel is high on Hokit, comparing his style to a young Cain Velasquez. He thinks Blaydes is on the decline, chinny, and coming off a poor performance, while Hokit has better wrestling and faster hands.

"I think that Hokit is the better wrestler. I think Hokit has faster hands. I think Hokit is a lot more confident. And I think Saturday night... Josh Hok is going to come out here and not Curtis Blades the …"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Curtis Blaydes

The host believes Blaydes is a good bet because Hokit is an unknown who has never faced top competition, while Blaydes is arguably the best MMA grappler in the heavyweight division. He notes Hokit's striking looks flat and he lacks power, making it unlikely he can exploit Blaydes' weakness on the feet. Additionally, Hokit's cringey antics add pressure and performance anxiety, which historically few fighters handle well. He caps Blaydes at 60% chance of winning, providing value at the current odds.

Thinks fight likely goes to decision; no specific prop bets mentioned.
"By default, if you have a brain and you have eyes, kind of have to lean Blades pretty heavily here."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Curtis Blaydes

James picks Blaydes due to his experience and ability to weather early pressure, expecting Hokit to fade after the first round. He acknowledges Hokit's potential but believes it's too soon for him.

"I'm going to pick Curtis Blades here, but it's a close fight. Skill for skill, it's a close fight, but I got Curtis Blades edging it in round two and round three with his experience advantage and winning a decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Curtis Blaydes

Blaydes is a veteran with superior wrestling and experience. Hokit is a prospect but this is a massive step up in competition. Hokit's cardio is questionable after expending energy in previous fights. Blaydes can outwrestle and outpoint Hokit, and may even finish him in rounds 2 or 3. Hokit lacks the knockout power to threaten Blaydes, who only loses to elite power punchers.

Blaydes wins inside the distance (rounds 2 or 3)
"I'm going to go Blades here. ... I think he gets a finish in round two or round three."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Josh Hokit

Paul is very confident in Hokit, citing Blaydes' durability issues, knee injury, and Hokit's superior wrestling and pace. He believes Hokit will swarm Blaydes early and get a finish.

"I think he's I think Hoget's going to kill him. Like, I'm actually quite confident of it."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Curtis Blaydes

The MMA Guru picks Curtis Blaydes over Josh Hokit. He believes Blaydes is too composed and experienced, and Hokit's wins are over unranked heavyweights. He notes Blaydes moves well and has good grappling defense. He predicts a TKO in the second or third round, possibly catching Hokit coming in.

"I'm going to go with Blades. I don't see him getting overwhelmed and finished in the first round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Apr 9, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Curtis Blaydes

Zane picks Blaydes but shares Connor's hesitation, emphasizing Blaydes' psychological decline and tendency to avoid his strengths. He notes that Hokit is a mess but has speed and power, and if Blaydes doesn't wrestle, he could walk into a shot. Zane thinks Blaydes should easily out-grapple Hokit, but his anxiety and poor fight IQ make this a dangerous fight. He hopes for a motivated Blaydes but isn't confident.

Odds comment: Blaydes opened -160, currently -135; Hokit opened +140, currently +115.
"I think I'm still going to pick him. I'm still going to pick him, but I won't be shocked at all if he loses..."
KO R1 4:59 · UFC 324 · Jan 24, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Josh Hokit 0 37 of 57 64% 71 of 97 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:47
Denzel Freeman 0 0 of 7 0% 0 of 8 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Josh Hokit 0 37 of 57 64% 71 of 97 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:47
Denzel Freeman 0 0 of 7 0% 0 of 8 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Josh Hokit 37 of 57 64% 31 of 48 6 of 9 0 of 0 17 of 31 9 of 11 11 of 15
Denzel Freeman 0 of 7 0% 0 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Josh Hokit 37 of 57 64% 31 of 48 6 of 9 0 of 0 17 of 31 9 of 11 11 of 15
Denzel Freeman 0 of 7 0% 0 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Denzel Freeman vs. Josh Hokit
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hokit (-245), Freeman (+200)

Round 1
It’s an all-comic showdown as Marvel takes on DC in this heavyweight prelim. “The Incredible Hok” Hokit (7-0, 1-0 UFC) and his 100% finish rate aim to smash anyone getting in his way. A couple years older but having show the ability to go three full rounds if necessary, “Luke Fox” Freeman (7-1, 1-0 UFC) will hoist the mantle of Batwing. The big men will receive oversight from referee Mark Smith, who will keep things on the up-and-up between these destructive forces.
They do not touch gloves, as Hokit instead wants to bull-rush his opponent and dive after his legs for a takedown. Hokit lifts his man off the ground and gingerly deposits him to the mat, and he grazes the forehead with an elbow. Freeman scrambles to turn to his knees, and Hokit knees him in the side before wrenching him face-first to the mat. Freeman posts off his hands with Hokit behind him, and “The Incredible Hok” gets off a punch or two before Freeman scoots his way to the fence. Hokit hands on from behind but cannot keep Freeman down, although he trips his inside leg in hopes of grounding “Luke Fox” again. Freeman shoves him away and they reset in striking range. Hokit flicks out a jab that makes Freeman react poorly, and he probes the body with the front of his foot. Backing off Freeman with his big-swinging fists, Hokit walks his man down and hammers him with punches to the head and midsection. Freeman swings back valiantly, but Hokit drills him with a hard uppercut that drops him down to the floor.
Hokit briefly considers threatening with a choke from behind, but he elects to ground-and-pound the Kill Cliff FC fighter. Freeman keeps twisting and turning to show he is still intelligently defending himself and moving, and Hokit takes his foot off the gas so he does not burn out his energy reserves. Freeman clings to his opponent’s wrist to stifle some of the beating, and he gets pulled down to the mat again when hoping to escape. Hokit begins to spank Freeman a few times to draw a reaction out of the crowd, and Freeman explodes to his feet and drapes his arm over the cage wall. Smith largely admonishes him for this, and Freeman twists around and shoots in for a desperate takedown. Hokit busts him in the chops with an uppercut and easily spins him around and decides to let Freeman up, because Freeman appears out of gas four-ish minutes in. Freeman once more stands, and Hokit lays into him with knees and punches.
Freeman turns tail and runs away, and he gets smacked with a kick on his shoulder on the way out. Freeman stumbles and falls to a knee with one second left, and Hokit flips him the middle finger. Smith determines that even though Hokit was nowhere near “Luke Fox,” Freeman had physically surrendered by dropping to a knee just before the bell sounded and steps in.
The stoppage is an odd one, as the last strike was an off-balance body kick that careened off Freeman’s upper arm and seemingly not a fight-ending blow. Nevertheless, the stoppage stands, in what will appear to be a technical knockout due to a retirement. This makes Hokit, who has built a little momentum as an undefeated finisher with a penchant for off-the-wall interviews, $25K wealthier, and he dons sunglasses and a bandana reminiscent of the pro wrestlers of old. He proceeds to deliver a similarly wrestling-inspired interview that will definitely put him on the map, one that needs to be seen to be believed.

The Official Result
Luke Hokit def. Denzel Freeman R1 4:59 via TKO (Retirement)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Josh Hokit

Angelo picks Josh Hokit, calling him a potential superstar with athleticism, speed, and power. He acknowledges Denzel Freeman's impressive highlights but notes his terrible UFC debut where he made noises instead of fighting. He expects Hokit's wrestling and forward pressure to be too much, though he warns the fight could be oddly competitive.

"Josh Hokit and his instant forward pressure are going to be the pick, but this could be oddly competitive."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 15, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Denzel Freeman

Big Brady leans Freeman despite his poor UFC debut, citing his striking and wrestling background. He thinks the line is inflated due to recency bias. He expects a striking fight since both are wrestlers, and Freeman has the edge on the feet. He predicts Freeman by decision, though he thinks the fight might be slow.

Freeman by decision
"I kind of lean Freeman. I I do lean Freeman in the striking. I lean Hoken in the wrestling. And the cardio of Hoken is another kind of question mark."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ian Freeman

Cody leans toward Ian Freeman, citing his wrestling and durability. He notes Freeman's Greco-Roman background should help him stuff takedowns, and his striking is underrated. Cody believes Freeman can outwork Hokit if the fight goes past the first round, and likes the over 1.5 rounds prop.

Over 1.5 rounds
"I think it's like low-level heavyweight dog pass type of situation here. Um, Freeman coming off of a pretty ugly performance where he got his hand raised, but I just see more more pieces of the puzzle right now."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Denzel Freeman

Connor picks Freeman because he can grind out tough fights and has shown durability, never being knocked out. He notes that Hokit seems like a fighter who either wins instantly or melts down, and Freeman has experience in ugly, grindy fights. Connor is not confident but leans Freeman.

"My gut reaction is to pick freeman because he can actually grind out tough fights and hocket seems exactly like the kind of fighter who wins instantly or has a total meltdown."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Jan 8, 2026 (16 days before fight)
Josh Hokit

Daniel Vreeland picks Josh Hokit but is not confident. He notes that Hokit is a good prospect but needs to prove himself against better competition. Freeman is an awkward wrestler with a Greco background, which could neutralize Hokit's wrestling. Vreeland is curious to see how the fight plays out on the feet and whether Hokit can dominate on the ground.

"I'm going to pick hook it as a pure pick, but I get if people want to keep the bookies honest and take this underdog shot on Freeman."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Jan 14, 2026 (10 days before fight)
Ian Freeman

James leans towards Freeman as an underdog, citing his better overall striking and value at plus odds. He notes Hokit has knockout power but Freeman's kicking and boxing are superior. However, he is not confident and plans to tape study more.

"At plus 195, I think the value's on Freeman, but I'll have to think about it a little bit more."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 20, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Josh Hokit

The host leans towards Hokit by TKO, citing his fight IQ and ability to push a pace. He acknowledges Freeman is more skilled but believes Hokit is the better fighter who will dig deeper. He suggests Freeman is a no-brainer dog shot due to his skill advantage, but picks Hokit to smother Freeman and finish in the second or third round.

Hokit by TKO in rounds 2-3, Freeman moneyline recommended for betting
"I'm going to go hawk it by TKO. I think he smothers Freeman and eventually gets him out of there in the second or third round. But I think the bet, which should be on the Freeman side, given the …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Josh Hokit

Paul picks Josh Hokit but is not confident, noting Freeman's wrestling background and size advantage. He believes Hokit's athleticism and pressure could overwhelm Freeman, but worries about Hokit's cardio and inexperience. Paul prefers the over 1.5 rounds prop.

Over 1.5 rounds
"I'm going to admit bit of a coward's move. I'm not Don't fault you for chasing the value. I fully understand this is a bad style clash. I fully understand this is a bad money line on Hokit. Am still …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Josh Hokit

The MMA Guru picks Josh Hokit, calling him a 'blob destroyer' who finishes fights early. He contrasts Hokit's first-round TKOs with Denzel Freeman's forgettable debut, and believes Hokit will become a contender. He predicts a first-round finish.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with Josh Hockett. I believe in the hype of Josh Hockett."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Denzel Freeman

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Freeman has been in longer fights and has a decision win in his UFC debut, while Hokit's fights have been quick finishes. He thinks if it becomes a grindy fight, Freeman will win. Zane also notes Hokit is a good athlete but unproven in longer fights.

"I think this might be this stands a high chance of being a really ugly grindy fight. Which is it like I say if it's a really ugly grindy fight i'd pick freeman."
WIN vs Max Gimenis
KO R1 0:56 · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · Nov 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Josh Hokit 2 9 of 17 52% 11 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Max Gimenis 0 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Josh Hokit 2 9 of 17 52% 11 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Max Gimenis 0 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Josh Hokit 9 of 17 52% 9 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0 7 of 15 1 of 1 1 of 1
Max Gimenis 3 of 7 42% 0 of 4 1 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Josh Hokit 9 of 17 52% 9 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0 7 of 15 1 of 1 1 of 1
Max Gimenis 3 of 7 42% 0 of 4 1 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Max Gimenis vs. Josh Hokit
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hokit (-400); Gimenis (+300)

Round 1
Twelve wins, 11 finishes for these two debuting goliaths immediately put referee Mark Smith on notice as the prelims roll on. Hokit (6-0, 0-0 UFC) posts all of his triumphs within the distance, while Brazilian by way of Maryland Gimenis (6-1, 0-0 UFC) has heard the final bell once as a pro. While the previous pairing was one many expected would go 15 full minutes, most prognosticators predict the first round is where this one will start and conclude. Gimenis offers a glove touch, but Hokit wants to fight.
Hokit introduces himself with a big right hand, knocking Gimenis all the way back to the wall. Gimenis gathers his thoughts, bounces off and hammers the front leg with a kick.
Hokit walks through them and zings a right hand down the pipe that sets Gimenis down. Gimenis explodes back to his feet, and as soon as his back is up against the wall, Hokit laces a right hand behind the ear that separates Gimenis from his senses. Gimenis bounces back down to his knees, partially still with it, and Hokit lays into him with booming punches. As Hokit obliterates Gimenis, Gimenis falls back to hit the canvas and Smith waves the fight off.
Gimenis’ leg bends awkwardly back in shades of Gabriel Gonzaga vs. Mirko Filipovic, but thankfully he does not appear injured from it. He comes back to, and it’s all over. “The Incredible Hok” blew through him in a little under a minute and maintains his 100% first-round finish rate. To make the most of his screen time, Hokit drops the mic by dropping a mighty pro wrestling-inspired promo that ends with a reference to Chael Sonnen as he calls out Valter Walker.

The Official Result
Josh Hokit def. Max Gimenis R1 0:56 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Josh Hokit

Angelo slightly leans Josh Hokit because he believes athleticism and early takedowns with ground-and-pound can overcome Max Gimenes' world-class jiu-jitsu. He is surprised by the heavy favorite odds (-425) for a UFC debutant with only six fights, and thinks the odds will tighten. He warns that if Hokit tries to control without striking, he could get swept or submitted.

Odds are too high; expects line to tighten
"I am going to slightly lean Josh because jiu-jitsu off your back is not the same as jiu-jitsu on top."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Josh Hokit

Big Brady is not sold on Jimenez as an MMA fighter, noting he is primarily a grappler with poor wrestling and no striking. He believes Hokit should win easily due to his wrestling, cardio, and power. He predicts Hokit by first-round TKO, as Jimenez might roll for a leg and get pounded.

first round TKO
"I think it's Josh Hokit by first round TKO."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Josh Hokit

Cody picks Hokit, citing his wrestling, cardio, and athleticism. He thinks Gimenis will gas in the second round and Hokit will take over with chain wrestling.

"I got Josh Hokit."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Josh Hokit

Lucrative James picks Josh Hokit easily, noting he seems better everywhere. He admits he hasn't seen much tape on Max Gimenis but expects Hokit to finish him inside the first round. He plans to do more research later.

"I'm going to pick Hocket easily. To me, from what I've seen, he seems better everywhere."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Josh Hokit

The host is high on Hokit, citing his grinding wrestling pace and high cardio as key advantages in the heavyweight division. He expects Hokit to make the fight look easy and eventually secure a second or third round TKO.

TKO in round 2 or 3
"I believe Hockett is one of the better heavyweights on the roster because of his ability to mix that grinding wrestling pace, high cardio, and eventually pulling away in deep water."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Josh Hokit

Paul picks Hokit, noting Gimenis's lack of MMA experience and poor striking defense. He thinks Hokit's wrestling will be too much.

"Everything leads me to Hokit."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Josh Hokit

The Guru picks Josh Hokit to win by second-round TKO. He expects Hokit's volume wrestling and pressure to overwhelm Max Gimenis after a feeling-out first round. He notes Gimenis's jiu-jitsu threat but believes Hokit's chain wrestling will neutralize it. He predicts a ground-and-pound finish late in round two.

round 2 TKO
"I'm gonna say this is going to be a second round TKO for Josh Hockett late in the second round."
Denzel Freeman - Fight History
LOSS vs Josh Hokit
KO R1 4:59 · UFC 324 · Jan 24, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Josh Hokit 0 37 of 57 64% 71 of 97 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:47
Denzel Freeman 0 0 of 7 0% 0 of 8 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Josh Hokit 0 37 of 57 64% 71 of 97 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:47
Denzel Freeman 0 0 of 7 0% 0 of 8 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Josh Hokit 37 of 57 64% 31 of 48 6 of 9 0 of 0 17 of 31 9 of 11 11 of 15
Denzel Freeman 0 of 7 0% 0 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Josh Hokit 37 of 57 64% 31 of 48 6 of 9 0 of 0 17 of 31 9 of 11 11 of 15
Denzel Freeman 0 of 7 0% 0 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Denzel Freeman vs. Josh Hokit
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hokit (-245), Freeman (+200)

Round 1
It’s an all-comic showdown as Marvel takes on DC in this heavyweight prelim. “The Incredible Hok” Hokit (7-0, 1-0 UFC) and his 100% finish rate aim to smash anyone getting in his way. A couple years older but having show the ability to go three full rounds if necessary, “Luke Fox” Freeman (7-1, 1-0 UFC) will hoist the mantle of Batwing. The big men will receive oversight from referee Mark Smith, who will keep things on the up-and-up between these destructive forces.
They do not touch gloves, as Hokit instead wants to bull-rush his opponent and dive after his legs for a takedown. Hokit lifts his man off the ground and gingerly deposits him to the mat, and he grazes the forehead with an elbow. Freeman scrambles to turn to his knees, and Hokit knees him in the side before wrenching him face-first to the mat. Freeman posts off his hands with Hokit behind him, and “The Incredible Hok” gets off a punch or two before Freeman scoots his way to the fence. Hokit hands on from behind but cannot keep Freeman down, although he trips his inside leg in hopes of grounding “Luke Fox” again. Freeman shoves him away and they reset in striking range. Hokit flicks out a jab that makes Freeman react poorly, and he probes the body with the front of his foot. Backing off Freeman with his big-swinging fists, Hokit walks his man down and hammers him with punches to the head and midsection. Freeman swings back valiantly, but Hokit drills him with a hard uppercut that drops him down to the floor.
Hokit briefly considers threatening with a choke from behind, but he elects to ground-and-pound the Kill Cliff FC fighter. Freeman keeps twisting and turning to show he is still intelligently defending himself and moving, and Hokit takes his foot off the gas so he does not burn out his energy reserves. Freeman clings to his opponent’s wrist to stifle some of the beating, and he gets pulled down to the mat again when hoping to escape. Hokit begins to spank Freeman a few times to draw a reaction out of the crowd, and Freeman explodes to his feet and drapes his arm over the cage wall. Smith largely admonishes him for this, and Freeman twists around and shoots in for a desperate takedown. Hokit busts him in the chops with an uppercut and easily spins him around and decides to let Freeman up, because Freeman appears out of gas four-ish minutes in. Freeman once more stands, and Hokit lays into him with knees and punches.
Freeman turns tail and runs away, and he gets smacked with a kick on his shoulder on the way out. Freeman stumbles and falls to a knee with one second left, and Hokit flips him the middle finger. Smith determines that even though Hokit was nowhere near “Luke Fox,” Freeman had physically surrendered by dropping to a knee just before the bell sounded and steps in.
The stoppage is an odd one, as the last strike was an off-balance body kick that careened off Freeman’s upper arm and seemingly not a fight-ending blow. Nevertheless, the stoppage stands, in what will appear to be a technical knockout due to a retirement. This makes Hokit, who has built a little momentum as an undefeated finisher with a penchant for off-the-wall interviews, $25K wealthier, and he dons sunglasses and a bandana reminiscent of the pro wrestlers of old. He proceeds to deliver a similarly wrestling-inspired interview that will definitely put him on the map, one that needs to be seen to be believed.

The Official Result
Luke Hokit def. Denzel Freeman R1 4:59 via TKO (Retirement)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Josh Hokit

Angelo picks Josh Hokit, calling him a potential superstar with athleticism, speed, and power. He acknowledges Denzel Freeman's impressive highlights but notes his terrible UFC debut where he made noises instead of fighting. He expects Hokit's wrestling and forward pressure to be too much, though he warns the fight could be oddly competitive.

"Josh Hokit and his instant forward pressure are going to be the pick, but this could be oddly competitive."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 15, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Denzel Freeman

Big Brady leans Freeman despite his poor UFC debut, citing his striking and wrestling background. He thinks the line is inflated due to recency bias. He expects a striking fight since both are wrestlers, and Freeman has the edge on the feet. He predicts Freeman by decision, though he thinks the fight might be slow.

Freeman by decision
"I kind of lean Freeman. I I do lean Freeman in the striking. I lean Hoken in the wrestling. And the cardio of Hoken is another kind of question mark."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ian Freeman

Cody leans toward Ian Freeman, citing his wrestling and durability. He notes Freeman's Greco-Roman background should help him stuff takedowns, and his striking is underrated. Cody believes Freeman can outwork Hokit if the fight goes past the first round, and likes the over 1.5 rounds prop.

Over 1.5 rounds
"I think it's like low-level heavyweight dog pass type of situation here. Um, Freeman coming off of a pretty ugly performance where he got his hand raised, but I just see more more pieces of the puzzle right now."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Denzel Freeman

Connor picks Freeman because he can grind out tough fights and has shown durability, never being knocked out. He notes that Hokit seems like a fighter who either wins instantly or melts down, and Freeman has experience in ugly, grindy fights. Connor is not confident but leans Freeman.

"My gut reaction is to pick freeman because he can actually grind out tough fights and hocket seems exactly like the kind of fighter who wins instantly or has a total meltdown."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Jan 8, 2026 (16 days before fight)
Josh Hokit

Daniel Vreeland picks Josh Hokit but is not confident. He notes that Hokit is a good prospect but needs to prove himself against better competition. Freeman is an awkward wrestler with a Greco background, which could neutralize Hokit's wrestling. Vreeland is curious to see how the fight plays out on the feet and whether Hokit can dominate on the ground.

"I'm going to pick hook it as a pure pick, but I get if people want to keep the bookies honest and take this underdog shot on Freeman."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Jan 14, 2026 (10 days before fight)
Ian Freeman

James leans towards Freeman as an underdog, citing his better overall striking and value at plus odds. He notes Hokit has knockout power but Freeman's kicking and boxing are superior. However, he is not confident and plans to tape study more.

"At plus 195, I think the value's on Freeman, but I'll have to think about it a little bit more."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 20, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Josh Hokit

The host leans towards Hokit by TKO, citing his fight IQ and ability to push a pace. He acknowledges Freeman is more skilled but believes Hokit is the better fighter who will dig deeper. He suggests Freeman is a no-brainer dog shot due to his skill advantage, but picks Hokit to smother Freeman and finish in the second or third round.

Hokit by TKO in rounds 2-3, Freeman moneyline recommended for betting
"I'm going to go hawk it by TKO. I think he smothers Freeman and eventually gets him out of there in the second or third round. But I think the bet, which should be on the Freeman side, given the …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Josh Hokit

Paul picks Josh Hokit but is not confident, noting Freeman's wrestling background and size advantage. He believes Hokit's athleticism and pressure could overwhelm Freeman, but worries about Hokit's cardio and inexperience. Paul prefers the over 1.5 rounds prop.

Over 1.5 rounds
"I'm going to admit bit of a coward's move. I'm not Don't fault you for chasing the value. I fully understand this is a bad style clash. I fully understand this is a bad money line on Hokit. Am still …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Josh Hokit

The MMA Guru picks Josh Hokit, calling him a 'blob destroyer' who finishes fights early. He contrasts Hokit's first-round TKOs with Denzel Freeman's forgettable debut, and believes Hokit will become a contender. He predicts a first-round finish.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with Josh Hockett. I believe in the hype of Josh Hockett."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Denzel Freeman

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Freeman has been in longer fights and has a decision win in his UFC debut, while Hokit's fights have been quick finishes. He thinks if it becomes a grindy fight, Freeman will win. Zane also notes Hokit is a good athlete but unproven in longer fights.

"I think this might be this stands a high chance of being a really ugly grindy fight. Which is it like I say if it's a really ugly grindy fight i'd pick freeman."
WIN vs Marek Bujło
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · Nov 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marek Bujło 0 31 of 80 38% 31 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:28
Denzel Freeman 0 49 of 79 62% 49 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marek Bujło 0 14 of 26 53% 14 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Denzel Freeman 0 13 of 22 59% 13 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Marek Bujło 0 14 of 28 50% 14 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Denzel Freeman 0 15 of 24 62% 15 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Marek Bujło 0 3 of 26 11% 3 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:28
Denzel Freeman 0 21 of 33 63% 21 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marek Bujło 31 of 80 38% 3 of 22 6 of 14 22 of 44 31 of 79 0 of 0 0 of 1
Denzel Freeman 49 of 79 62% 19 of 43 6 of 10 24 of 26 45 of 73 4 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marek Bujło 14 of 26 53% 1 of 2 4 of 8 9 of 16 14 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Denzel Freeman 13 of 22 59% 5 of 11 2 of 4 6 of 7 13 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Marek Bujło 14 of 28 50% 2 of 9 2 of 2 10 of 17 14 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Denzel Freeman 15 of 24 62% 3 of 10 1 of 2 11 of 12 15 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Marek Bujło 3 of 26 11% 0 of 11 0 of 4 3 of 11 3 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 1
Denzel Freeman 21 of 33 63% 11 of 22 3 of 4 7 of 7 17 of 27 4 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Denzel Freeman

Angelo picks Denzel Freeman over Marek Bujło, expressing surprise that 75% of Tapology voters favor Bujło. He describes Freeman as a better wrestler, striker, and athlete, while Bujło is a one-dimensional grappler who avoids striking. Angelo compares it to Josh Hoett's win over a jiu-jitsu guy, expecting Freeman to dominate with powerful shots and takedowns.

"Denzel Freeman is the pick. I have no idea what I'm missing here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Denzel Freeman

Big Brady picks Denzel Freeman based on his superior competition and wrestling background. He notes Freeman's significant striking and cardio advantages, and expects him to stuff takedowns and finish early. He predicts a first-round knockout, citing that BJJ specialists often struggle if they can't get the fight to the ground.

first round knockout
"I'm going to take Denzel Freeman to win this fight by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ian Freeman

Cody picks Ian Freeman, noting his wrestling and cardio. He believes Bujło is inexperienced and has only fought low-level competition. Cody thinks Freeman can take Bujło down and finish him or win a decision.

"I'm willing to eat the [ __ ] on it and take me some Denzel Freeman."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Nov 21, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Marek Bujło

Connor agrees, picking Bujło. He notes that Bujło is bigger and has a more traditional martial arts background, and is undefeated. Freeman has lost a couple of times and is smaller. He says there are no other distinguishing characteristics.

"I'll take Booble."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Denzel Freeman

Freeman is a wrestler with a taekwondo background, moves well, and has a striking advantage. He should be able to work back to his feet if taken down and eventually finish Merrick in the second round. Merrick has faced no real opposition and will struggle against Freeman's resistance.

Freeman by finish in round 2
"I think Freeman will have a striking advantage... I think we'll see Freeman eventually get that finish in the second round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ian Freeman

Paul picks Ian Freeman, citing his wrestling and experience. He notes that Bujło has only fought once in three years and has never been past the first round. Paul believes Freeman's wrestling and cardio will be decisive.

"Freeman's aside for me here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Denzel Freeman

The MMA Guru picks Denzel Freeman over Marek Bujło, citing Bujło's untested competition and Freeman's more proven record. He notes Freeman has KO power, a wrestling background, and a size advantage of 20 lbs. He believes Freeman's experience against undefeated heavyweights like Asplund gives him the edge.

"I'm going to go with Denzel Freeman here. The majority of people are taking Mateusz Gamrot the Polish guy, but I'm going to take Denzel Freeman."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Nov 21, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Marek Bujło

Zane picks Bujło, noting he has a BJJ or judo background and gets trip takedowns from the clinch. He says Freeman relies on bulk. He calls it a coin flip and expects a sloppy heavyweight fight where both may tire quickly.

Odds: Bujło opened -185, jumped to +130, now +170; Freeman opened +160, now -195. Zane finds the line movement weird.
"I'll take Booble. Same, but honestly, flip a coin."
Expert Picks (10)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Josh Hokit

Angelo picks Josh Hokit, calling him a potential superstar with athleticism, speed, and power. He acknowledges Denzel Freeman's impressive highlights but notes his terrible UFC debut where he made noises instead of fighting. He expects Hokit's wrestling and forward pressure to be too much, though he warns the fight could be oddly competitive.

"Josh Hokit and his instant forward pressure are going to be the pick, but this could be oddly competitive."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 15, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Denzel Freeman

Big Brady leans Freeman despite his poor UFC debut, citing his striking and wrestling background. He thinks the line is inflated due to recency bias. He expects a striking fight since both are wrestlers, and Freeman has the edge on the feet. He predicts Freeman by decision, though he thinks the fight might be slow.

Freeman by decision
"I kind of lean Freeman. I I do lean Freeman in the striking. I lean Hoken in the wrestling. And the cardio of Hoken is another kind of question mark."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ian Freeman

Cody leans toward Ian Freeman, citing his wrestling and durability. He notes Freeman's Greco-Roman background should help him stuff takedowns, and his striking is underrated. Cody believes Freeman can outwork Hokit if the fight goes past the first round, and likes the over 1.5 rounds prop.

Over 1.5 rounds
"I think it's like low-level heavyweight dog pass type of situation here. Um, Freeman coming off of a pretty ugly performance where he got his hand raised, but I just see more more pieces of the puzzle right now."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Denzel Freeman

Connor picks Freeman because he can grind out tough fights and has shown durability, never being knocked out. He notes that Hokit seems like a fighter who either wins instantly or melts down, and Freeman has experience in ugly, grindy fights. Connor is not confident but leans Freeman.

"My gut reaction is to pick freeman because he can actually grind out tough fights and hocket seems exactly like the kind of fighter who wins instantly or has a total meltdown."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Jan 8, 2026 (16 days before fight)
Josh Hokit

Daniel Vreeland picks Josh Hokit but is not confident. He notes that Hokit is a good prospect but needs to prove himself against better competition. Freeman is an awkward wrestler with a Greco background, which could neutralize Hokit's wrestling. Vreeland is curious to see how the fight plays out on the feet and whether Hokit can dominate on the ground.

"I'm going to pick hook it as a pure pick, but I get if people want to keep the bookies honest and take this underdog shot on Freeman."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Jan 14, 2026 (10 days before fight)
Ian Freeman

James leans towards Freeman as an underdog, citing his better overall striking and value at plus odds. He notes Hokit has knockout power but Freeman's kicking and boxing are superior. However, he is not confident and plans to tape study more.

"At plus 195, I think the value's on Freeman, but I'll have to think about it a little bit more."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 20, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Josh Hokit

The host leans towards Hokit by TKO, citing his fight IQ and ability to push a pace. He acknowledges Freeman is more skilled but believes Hokit is the better fighter who will dig deeper. He suggests Freeman is a no-brainer dog shot due to his skill advantage, but picks Hokit to smother Freeman and finish in the second or third round.

Hokit by TKO in rounds 2-3, Freeman moneyline recommended for betting
"I'm going to go hawk it by TKO. I think he smothers Freeman and eventually gets him out of there in the second or third round. But I think the bet, which should be on the Freeman side, given the value you're getting on a very skilled fighter."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Josh Hokit

Paul picks Josh Hokit but is not confident, noting Freeman's wrestling background and size advantage. He believes Hokit's athleticism and pressure could overwhelm Freeman, but worries about Hokit's cardio and inexperience. Paul prefers the over 1.5 rounds prop.

Over 1.5 rounds
"I'm going to admit bit of a coward's move. I'm not Don't fault you for chasing the value. I fully understand this is a bad style clash. I fully understand this is a bad money line on Hokit. Am still taking Hoit."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Josh Hokit

The MMA Guru picks Josh Hokit, calling him a 'blob destroyer' who finishes fights early. He contrasts Hokit's first-round TKOs with Denzel Freeman's forgettable debut, and believes Hokit will become a contender. He predicts a first-round finish.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with Josh Hockett. I believe in the hype of Josh Hockett."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Denzel Freeman

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Freeman has been in longer fights and has a decision win in his UFC debut, while Hokit's fights have been quick finishes. He thinks if it becomes a grindy fight, Freeman will win. Zane also notes Hokit is a good athlete but unproven in longer fights.

"I think this might be this stands a high chance of being a really ugly grindy fight. Which is it like I say if it's a really ugly grindy fight i'd pick freeman."