UFC 324 · Jan 24, 2026 · Welterweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 324
Age 37
Height 6' 1"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 26
Height 6' 2"
Reach 77"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Adam Fugitt
4.88 SLpM
46.0% Str. Acc.
5.33 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
1.63 TD Avg
22.0% TD Acc.
50.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Ty Cole Miller
7.16 SLpM
38.0% Str. Acc.
4.65 SApM
64.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
75.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Adam Fugitt - Fight History
LOSS vs Ty Cole Miller
KO R1 4:59 · UFC 324 · Jan 24, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Adam Fugitt 0 36 of 73 49% 39 of 76 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Ty Cole Miller 1 59 of 121 48% 65 of 129 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Adam Fugitt 0 36 of 73 49% 39 of 76 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Ty Cole Miller 1 59 of 121 48% 65 of 129 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Adam Fugitt 36 of 73 49% 10 of 42 21 of 26 5 of 5 30 of 67 6 of 6 0 of 0
Ty Cole Miller 59 of 121 48% 55 of 115 4 of 6 0 of 0 55 of 115 3 of 4 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Adam Fugitt 36 of 73 49% 10 of 42 21 of 26 5 of 5 30 of 67 6 of 6 0 of 0
Ty Cole Miller 59 of 121 48% 55 of 115 4 of 6 0 of 0 55 of 115 3 of 4 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Ty Cole Miller

Angelo picks Ty Miller, praising his clean boxing, length, and scramble skills. He notes Miller's takedown defense is poor but believes if Miller focuses on striking and doesn't get obsessed with defending takedowns, he should win. He acknowledges Fugitt's strength and wrestling but thinks Miller's forward pressure and volume will be enough.

"Ty Miller is going to be the pick. I think he wins this fight, but we're just going to have to trust that a relatively young kid has the wherewithal to stick to his game plan and not worry about …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Ty Cole Miller

Big Brady is impressed with Ty Miller's Contender Series performance, noting his length, rangy striking, and slick combinations. He criticizes Adam Fugitt as a 'walking punching bag' with poor striking defense and no clear strengths. Brady predicts Miller will piece him up and potentially knock him out in the third round, though he hesitates to lay -415 on a debutant.

Miller by KO/TKO in round 3
"I like Tom Miller here. Do I like him at minus 415? No. I mean, it's it's hard to lay minus 415 on somebody making their debut, but I mean, I just can't pick Adam Fugat here to win the …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jim Miller

Cody is confident in Jim Miller, citing his length, boxing, and youth. He notes Miller's reach advantage and technical striking should be too much for Fugitt, who has durability issues. Cody expects Miller to win by knockout or decision and will include him in parlays.

"I'm going to load up on Ty Miller and and if he loses, then I have to move to plan B."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ty Cole Miller

Connor picks Miller, seeing him as a young athlete with potential, good form, and pressure. He notes that Miller is a sniper who can one-shot people, but worries about his lack of a next gear. However, he thinks Miller's size and power could overwhelm Fugitt, who is a mediocre fighter.

"I'm gonna take ty miller. All right, i'm gonna take fuget. I think that miller is just extremely undercooked no doubt about that."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2026 (16 days before fight)
Jim Miller

Daniel Vreeland picks Jim Miller (Tai Miller) to win by knockout. He notes that Miller is younger, taller, and has a reach advantage, while Fugitt is 37, chinny, and has been lucky in recent fights. Vreeland believes Miller's sharp striking and viciousness will be too much for Fugitt, predicting a knockout.

"I think Ty Miller is going to come out here at UFC 324. I think he's going to knock out Adam Fuga."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 14, 2026 (10 days before fight)
Jim Miller

James picks Miller, comparing his style to Petr Yan's data-downloading approach. He believes Miller will stalk Fugitt, get his reads, and knock him out with boxing combinations. He predicts a knockout in round two.

"I think Miller's going to spark him. I think Miller's going to knock him out when he gets his game going."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 20, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Ty Cole Miller

The host picks Miller by decision, believing his technical striking will outpoint Fugitt. However, he notes the odds are too wide and that Fugitt has value at +355 due to his experience and pressure. He expects Miller to win but warns against the chalky price.

Miller by decision, Fugitt moneyline recommended for betting value
"The odds are just way too wide in my opinion, right? There's always that hype with these Contender Series guys, and you have to take that into consideration when you're betting these fights."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jim Miller

Paul also picks Jim Miller, noting his striking combinations and southpaw stance. He believes Fugitt's Muay Thai stance and lack of wrestling will be exploited. Paul expects Miller to land clean shots and finish Fugitt, and he likes Miller by KO.

Jim Miller by KO
"I bet Tai Miller by knockout. I think uh Fugu is going to try to close the pocket. Actually, probably try to hold up against the cage, maybe get some takedowns. I just don't think he really has the pieces …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ty Cole Miller

The MMA Guru picks Ty Cole Miller, citing his length and rangy style, as well as his win over Eric Nolan on the regional scene. He notes that Adam Fugitt has been humbled and dominated in recent fights, and that Miller is an undefeated prospect making his debut. He predicts a TKO finish.

TKO
"I'm going to go with Tai Miller by TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Adam Fugitt

Zane picks Fugitt, arguing that Miller is undercooked and hasn't faced a seasoned pro. He notes that Fugitt is a mediocre fighter but has a professional MMA game, while Miller struggled to finish a low-level opponent. Zane thinks Fugitt's awkwardness and takedown attempts could give Miller problems.

"I think to date he has not actually had to face that. He got a really on athletic killer could be killed fighter and jimmy drago and didn't kill him."
LOSS vs Islam Dulatov
KO R1 4:06 · UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · Jul 19, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Adam Fugitt 0 14 of 27 51% 16 of 29 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:59
Islam Dulatov 1 21 of 41 51% 23 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Adam Fugitt 0 14 of 27 51% 16 of 29 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:59
Islam Dulatov 1 21 of 41 51% 23 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Adam Fugitt 14 of 27 51% 5 of 16 2 of 4 7 of 7 13 of 23 1 of 4 0 of 0
Islam Dulatov 21 of 41 51% 17 of 37 3 of 3 1 of 1 16 of 35 2 of 3 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Adam Fugitt 14 of 27 51% 5 of 16 2 of 4 7 of 7 13 of 23 1 of 4 0 of 0
Islam Dulatov 21 of 41 51% 17 of 37 3 of 3 1 of 1 16 of 35 2 of 3 3 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Islam Dulatov

Angelo picks Islam Dulatov, calling him the much better striker with good takedown defense. He notes that Adam Fugitt is tough but too hittable. He acknowledges the year of busted prospects but still leans on Dulatov's skills.

"Islam should win here. Honestly, minus 550 seems correct."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 15, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Islam Dulatov

Big Brady is high on Islam Dulatov, calling him the real deal with aggressive finishing ability. He notes Dulatov has 11 first-round wins in a row and believes Fugitt is hittable with a questionable chin. He predicts Dulatov wins by first-round knockout.

Dulatov by first round knockout
"Give me Islam to win this fight. I'll take him to win this fight by first round knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Islam Dulatov

The host believes Dulatov is 'the truth' and expects him to make his UFC debut in emphatic fashion, finishing Fugitt within a round and a half. This indicates strong confidence in a dominant performance.

finishes within a round and a half
"I think Dulattov is the truth and I think he makes his UFC debut in emphatic fashion here as he finishes Fugate within a round and a half."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Islam Dulatov

The MMA Guru picks Islam Dulatov over Adam Fugitt, predicting a second-round TKO. He notes that Fugitt is a survivalist who has made it to later rounds against tough opponents like Michael Morales, so the fight will likely go past the first round. Dulatov is making his UFC debut after a Contender Series win, and the Guru expects him to bulldoze Fugitt with ground and pound or clinch work. He also mentions a prop bet that the fight will last more than 4.5 minutes.

Fight lasts more than 4.5 minutes (prop bet mentioned earlier in transcript)
"I'm gonna go with Islam Dulov over Adam Fuji."
WIN vs Josh Quinlan
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Perez vs. Taira · Jun 15, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Adam Fugitt 0 53 of 126 42% 53 of 126 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Josh Quinlan 0 80 of 205 39% 80 of 205 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Adam Fugitt 0 23 of 45 51% 23 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Josh Quinlan 0 22 of 58 37% 22 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Adam Fugitt 0 16 of 39 41% 16 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Josh Quinlan 0 27 of 62 43% 27 of 62 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Adam Fugitt 0 14 of 42 33% 14 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Josh Quinlan 0 31 of 85 36% 31 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Adam Fugitt 53 of 126 42% 25 of 93 11 of 14 17 of 19 53 of 126 0 of 0 0 of 0
Josh Quinlan 80 of 205 39% 29 of 131 40 of 59 11 of 15 80 of 204 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Adam Fugitt 23 of 45 51% 8 of 29 4 of 4 11 of 12 23 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
Josh Quinlan 22 of 58 37% 4 of 34 11 of 14 7 of 10 22 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Adam Fugitt 16 of 39 41% 8 of 28 3 of 5 5 of 6 16 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Josh Quinlan 27 of 62 43% 8 of 35 16 of 24 3 of 3 27 of 61 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Adam Fugitt 14 of 42 33% 9 of 36 4 of 5 1 of 1 14 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
Josh Quinlan 31 of 85 36% 17 of 62 13 of 21 1 of 2 31 of 85 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 14, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Josh Quinlan

Angelo picks Josh Quinlan, noting his power and striking advantage over Adam Fugitt's loose boxing. He thinks Josh can defend takedowns and land meaningful shots. He also notes Adam's year layoff and submission loss, and that Vegas judges don't favor wrestlers. He considers it a close fight but leans Josh.

"I do think Josh Quinlan can defend a few key takedowns land the more meaningful shots and win this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Josh Quinlan

Cody picks Josh Quinlan, citing his power and ability to knock out Fugitt, who has been knocked down before. He notes that Quinlan is a BJJ black belt but relies on power punching. Cody is concerned about Quinlan's cardio and volume but thinks he can catch Fugitt early. He calls it a 'dogger pass' and is not highly confident.

"sign me up ever so slightly for Quinland but again a smart guy probably just stays away from this one."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Josh Quinlan

Daniel Vreeland is critical of Adam Fugitt's athleticism, speed, and chin, calling him too slow and hittable for the UFC level. He favors Josh Quinlan for his power and athleticism advantage, despite Quinlan's past steroid failures and brutal loss. He believes Quinlan is the harder hitter and more athletic, and that Fugitt is the least athletic guy on the roster.

"I'm gonna go quinland here just because I think he's got the power Advantage um the athleticism Advantage"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Jun 14, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Josh Quinlan

Jacob picks Josh Quinlan but is not betting it. He thinks Josh is the better striker and may use his jiu-jitsu if taken down. He notes Josh has been hard to trust since the USADA issues but considers this a step down in competition. He expects a close fight.

"He's my pick but not betting it"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 13, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Adam Fugitt

Fugitt is coming off a year-long layoff but has changed training camps to Fight Ready in Arizona. His pace, movement, and overall game should be too much for Quinlan's power punching style, leading to a decision win.

"I have to lean with fugit who's coming off of a year-long layoff but has changed up his training camp going down there to fight ready in Arizona"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Jun 12, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Adam Fugitt

Paul picks Fugitt for the purpose of the show but states he has no intention of betting the fight. He notes that Fugitt's durability is questionable and Quinlan's power may be overrated. Paul thinks Fugitt could win if he pushes the pace and uses wrestling, but he is not confident.

"for the purpose of the show I'll pick Fugitt but yeah I have no intentions of betting that fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 11, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Josh Quinlan

The MMA Guru picks Josh Quinlan by TKO. He does not rate Adam Fugitt at all, calling him slow and lacking fast-twitch muscle fibers. He thinks Quinlan is more athletic, better in grappling speed and strength, and that Fugitt has to be consistently better for 15 minutes to win, which he doubts. He notes Quinlan took big shots from Danny Barlow and kept trying, and that Fugitt is not a threat to knock him out.

TKO
"I'm going to go with Josh quinland getting a TKO over Adam Fuji it just seems like a no-brainer"
LOSS vs Mike Malott
Submission (guillotine choke) R2 1:06 · UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · Jun 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Malott 1 19 of 41 46% 19 of 41 2 of 2 100% 1 1 1:26
Adam Fugitt 0 9 of 28 32% 16 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Malott 0 14 of 33 42% 14 of 33 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:19
Adam Fugitt 0 7 of 23 30% 14 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Mike Malott 1 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:07
Adam Fugitt 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Malott 19 of 41 46% 9 of 29 10 of 10 0 of 2 19 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Adam Fugitt 9 of 28 32% 2 of 17 6 of 9 1 of 2 9 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Malott 14 of 33 42% 7 of 25 7 of 7 0 of 1 14 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Adam Fugitt 7 of 23 30% 2 of 15 4 of 6 1 of 2 7 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Mike Malott 5 of 8 62% 2 of 4 3 of 3 0 of 1 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Adam Fugitt 2 of 5 40% 0 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Adam Fugitt vs. Mike Malott
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-205), Fugitt (+175)

Round 1
In the “featured fight of the night” slot, two unranked welterweights with plenty to prove and sky-high finish rates will do their darnedest to pump up the masses before the final two big bouts on the card. Surging into this main card opportunity, Haligonian Malott (9-1-1, 2-0 UFC) will throw down with Oregon native Fugitt (9-3, 1-1 UFC) in a vintage U.S. vs. Canada affair. Before the fight begins, during Malott’s entrance, fans lean on the railing by the walkout area and break it, and a number of them fall down to the floor. Hopefully everyone is ok. Back to the fight action, keeping a lid on things in the cage will be referee Dan Miragliotta. There is no glove touch, as these two want to start trading and do exactly that. Malott scores a few right hands, and he digs a body kick that hurts the Oregonian early. Malott rushes after him, throwing strikes, and Fugitt backs him off with a counter hook. Malott watches a few head kicks soar past him, and he aims another kick to the ribs. The right hand from Malott has marked up Fugitt’s left eye already, and he is making the body change colors as well from his kicks. Fugitt swipes out with a left hand, and Malott lashes out a head kick to keep him honest. As Malott is circling, he slips unexpectedly, but he is able to get back up without issue. Malott releases a body kick that bangs into the top of Fugitt’s cup, and Miragliotta sees it and steps in. Fugitt waves him off, declaring he is fine, and they get back to it. Fugitt, on the restart, punches his way into a takedown. Malott counters it by throwing the American down to the floor with a lateral drop, and he lands in half guard and is quick to line up an arm-triangle choke. Fugitt pulls him back to the guard, so Malott stands up. Fugitt uses his upkicks to toss his man off of him, and he fights back to his feet. Malott fires off a head kick, and Fugitt spins with a kick that misses. Malott punches his way to a head kick, and all three strikes miss as Fugitt is out of the way. Fugitt similarly misses with a head kick, and he chambers and fires a body kick. The Canadian catches it and dumps Fugitt to the floor. Malott moves to half guard, and Fugitt employs butterfly guard to try to kick Malott off. A temporary effort of rubber guard is abandoned by Fugitt, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 2
The second round begins with Malott leading off from a head kick. Fugitt blocks it and marches forward, and the two hand-fight with alternating stances. Malott jabs the body with his toes extended, and Fugitt misses the mark with his own head kick. Malott steps in with a kick, and he blasts Fugitt with a right and a left. The American topples to the mat, and Malott surges after him in an effort to secure the stoppage. Fugitt tries to get to a knee so that he can stand up again, and this is the worst idea he can have, as Malott leaps to snatch up a guillotine choke trained well by his gym of Team Alpha Male. Malott rolls Fugitt over to his back and locks down the mounted guillotine, and it is only a matter of time now. Fugitt realizes he is caught in a web, and he taps out frantically. That makes it a clean sweep for Canadian fighters tonight at 5-0 against the world, which might be a statistical achievement for the Great White North at a UFC card. The crowd erupts for their fighter, and for shared success, after a sensational performance for a fast-rising welterweight talent.

The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Adam Fugitt R2 1:06 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Angelo picks Mike Malott, believing he is better everywhere except straight wrestling. He notes that Malott is a well-rounded prospect with three stoppage wins in the UFC. He expects a fun fight and thinks Malott will get it done. He plans to bet on Adam Fugitt to have more takedowns when prop lines drop.

Bet: Adam Fugitt over 2.5 takedowns or more takedowns (prop not yet available)
"I think Mike Milan is absolutely gonna get it done"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Big Brady picks Mike Malott to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Malott is dangerous everywhere, with solid striking and high-level BJJ, while Fugitt is hittable and not as skilled. Malott has never been past the first round (all wins in round 1), and Brady expects an early finish. However, if the fight extends, Fugitt could take over if Malott gasses.

first round knockout
"give me Mike milot I'll say first round knockout for Mike milot the guy hits like a truck"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Cody picks Mike Malott, highlighting his well-rounded skills (BJJ black belt, good striker) and smart fight IQ. He thinks Malott will use his speed advantage and stay on the outside, avoiding wrestling with Fugitt. He notes that Malott's cardio is unproven beyond the first round, as most of his wins are early finishes. He expects Malott to land a big shot or secure a submission if the fight goes to the ground.

"I think the great thing about Mike Milo and he's been around the Canadian scene for a long time he's kind of like known as that next breakout Canadian star"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Connor picks Malott, noting that Fugitt reacts poorly to getting hit and has bad body language when eating strikes. He believes Malott's aggressive pocket boxing will overwhelm Fugitt, who is technically limited. He also notes that Malott is a credible submission threat on the ground.

Malott opened at -200, currently -201; Fugitt opened at +177, currently +178.
"I'm taking a lot. No question."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Daniel Levi picks Mike Malott but with almost zero faith, acknowledging that Malott has holes in his striking defense and that the fade is coming. He notes that Malott is a better athlete and has first-round finishing upside, but he sees openings that could be exploited. He mentions that he played Fugitt at plus odds for value, but thinks Malott will still find a way to win. He warns against parlaying Malott heavily.

played Fugitt at +277 for value
"I'm gonna go milot with almost zero faith"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Jun 10, 2023 (fight day)
Adam Fugitt

James picks Adam Fugitt, despite having lost money fading Malott in the past. He thinks Fugitt has a good chance to win, especially if the fight goes past round one. Malott is a strong round-one finisher but tends to fade. James believes Fugitt is the perfect archetype to break Malott. He sees the fight as a pick'em: Malott has a 50% chance to win early, Fugitt 50% to win late. He also includes Fugitt inside the distance in a degenerate parlay.

Adam Fugitt inside the distance (in parlay)
"I'm betting Adam fugit here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Malott has a Muay Thai base and improving jiu-jitsu, and he's on a hot streak since moving to welterweight. Fugitt is a solid fighter but may be capped at this level. Both have finishing upside, making the under 2.5 rounds attractive. Malott should find a submission after getting the fight to the ground, but Fugitt's power makes this a risky chalk play.

Under 2.5 rounds (-230), Malott wins by submission
"I'm going to lean with them a lot side here who eventually finds this takedown finds a submission and wraps it up"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Paul picks Mike Malott but with hesitancy, noting that Fugitt is being overlooked. He points out that Malott's cardio is unproven beyond the first round, and Fugitt is a bigger, rugged welterweight with a reach advantage. However, he believes Malott's superior footwork and striking will allow him to chip away or find a finish. He expects Malott to win but is not fully confident.

"I will take Mike Malad as well but uh bit of hesitancy this is a good fight it's actually well matched"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The MMA Guru picks Mike Malott, noting he is a Canadian prospect given a favorable matchup. He praises Malott's easy wins over tricky opponents and his great grappling. He believes Fugitt lacks the ability to knock out or out-grapple Malott. He predicts a first-round submission via arm triangle.

prediction of first round submission via arm triangle
"I'm going with Mike Mallett he's been given an opponent although they'll never say this we know what it is"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Zane picks Malott, citing that Fugitt's wrestling is not reliable enough to implement a game plan. He notes that Malott is aggressive on the ground and can scramble, making it hard for Fugitt to hold him down. He also mentions that Fugitt's striking is a mess and Malott will have opportunities.

"I'm going to pick him largely because even though I suspect Fujit will take him down, I don't really trust Fujit to put together a game plan built entirely around that."
TKO (elbows) R1 4:36 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · Feb 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Adam Fugitt 0 10 of 24 41% 11 of 25 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Yusaku Kinoshita 0 21 of 33 63% 33 of 54 4 of 7 57% 0 0 2:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Adam Fugitt 0 10 of 24 41% 11 of 25 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Yusaku Kinoshita 0 21 of 33 63% 33 of 54 4 of 7 57% 0 0 2:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Adam Fugitt 10 of 24 41% 6 of 20 1 of 1 3 of 3 10 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yusaku Kinoshita 21 of 33 63% 16 of 23 4 of 7 1 of 3 11 of 22 4 of 4 6 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Adam Fugitt 10 of 24 41% 6 of 20 1 of 1 3 of 3 10 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yusaku Kinoshita 21 of 33 63% 16 of 23 4 of 7 1 of 3 11 of 22 4 of 4 6 of 7
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Yusaku Kinoshita

Big Brady likes Kinoshita's power and finishing ability, noting his 100% finish rate. He thinks Fugitt is hittable and has been knocked out before. He predicts a first-round knockout for Kinoshita.

first round knockout
"I like hinoshi to get the first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Adam Fugitt

Cody picks Fugitt as a dog for the show, but is not confident enough to bet. He notes Fugitt's size and wrestling, but acknowledges Kinoshita's speed advantage. He thinks Fugitt could exploit wrestling but the speed differential is massive. He prefers to live bet if Fugitt gets an early takedown.

"for the purpose of the show and then like on tote master I'm gonna pick fugit because of plus 270 underdog but uh but yeah I don't know if I'm gonna get to the betting window with it"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Yusaku Kinoshita

Connor picks Yusaku Kinoshita, praising his pressure striking and weight transfer. He notes that Fugitt is not durable or fast, and that Kinoshita's chaotic style will overwhelm him. Connor expects a knockout, as Fugitt has been shaken by big shots before. He compares Kinoshita's style to Dan Henderson's.

win by knockout
"I got to take kina shita here to win by knockout at some point."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Yusaku Kinoshita

Paul picks Kinoshita, calling him a legitimate prospect with better skills. He notes Kinoshita's speed, power, and finishing ability, though he is unproven at 22. He thinks Fugitt is durable but limited, and that Kinoshita will likely finish him. He acknowledges the risk of betting a young debutant but believes the skill gap is real.

"I'm going to agree largely on a lot of points I got the usaku kinshina but the worry here for me is that he's 22 years old and he's for the most part rather unproven"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Yusaku Kinoshita

Zane picks Yusaku Kinoshita, agreeing that it's a classic game of chicken. He notes that Kinoshita is more willing to stand his ground and come forward, and that Fugitt's wrestling is less effective when he's backing up. Zane acknowledges Kinoshita's defensive flaws but believes Fugitt is not the fighter to exploit them.

"I'm with you. I think basically this is a classic mma fight dynamic... I got to take kina shita here."
LOSS vs Michael Morales
TKO (punches) R3 1:09 · UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · Jul 30, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michael Morales 2 83 of 151 54% 89 of 157 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:12
Adam Fugitt 0 64 of 113 56% 70 of 120 1 of 8 12% 0 0 1:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michael Morales 0 26 of 50 52% 29 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Adam Fugitt 0 25 of 42 59% 30 of 48 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:31
2 Michael Morales 0 32 of 70 45% 34 of 72 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Adam Fugitt 0 32 of 58 55% 33 of 59 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:08
3 Michael Morales 2 25 of 31 80% 26 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Adam Fugitt 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michael Morales 83 of 151 54% 74 of 140 7 of 9 2 of 2 64 of 127 12 of 17 7 of 7
Adam Fugitt 64 of 113 56% 32 of 74 20 of 26 12 of 13 58 of 99 6 of 10 0 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michael Morales 26 of 50 52% 20 of 43 5 of 6 1 of 1 22 of 46 3 of 3 1 of 1
Adam Fugitt 25 of 42 59% 10 of 25 8 of 9 7 of 8 24 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 4
2 Michael Morales 32 of 70 45% 29 of 66 2 of 3 1 of 1 28 of 63 4 of 7 0 of 0
Adam Fugitt 32 of 58 55% 15 of 36 12 of 17 5 of 5 28 of 50 4 of 8 0 of 0
3 Michael Morales 25 of 31 80% 25 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0 14 of 18 5 of 7 6 of 6
Adam Fugitt 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0 6 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Michael Morales

Big Brady picks Michael Morales to win by first-round knockout. He is very high on Morales, citing his physical strength, offensive wrestling, takedown defense, and power. He notes Fugitt is on short notice and outmatched. He acknowledges Morales is hittable but believes he runs through Fugitt.

"give me morales to win give me morales to win by first round knockout i think it gets it done here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Michael Morales

Cody picks Morales, describing him as a promising young fighter with a judo brown belt, BJJ brown belt, and national wrestling team experience. He notes that Fugitt is a short-notice replacement who shouldn't be in the UFC. He thinks Morales will take him out inside the distance, likely by TKO/KO, because Fugitt is not durable. He also mentions that Morales is strong, physical, and improving quickly.

Morales inside the distance by TKO/KO
"i think morales has got him snuffed out i like the kid i like the kid... i would think morales inside the distance specifically by tko or ko"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 27, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Michael Morales

Daniel is high on Morales, calling him a very talented prospect with wrestling, knockout power, and size. He notes the massive speed and athleticism advantage over Fugitt. He warns about Morales' maturity after receiving a $50k bonus, but thinks as long as he stays focused, he will win. He predicts a knockout, saying Fugitt is too slow. He calls the -600 line justified but does not bet due to the price.

Predicts Morales by knockout
"I'm gonna go Michael Morales by knockout here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2022 (fight day)
Adam Fugitt

Preet took a shot on the over 1.5 rounds at -103, banking on Fugitt's durability and ability to make it a clinchy, grinding fight. He acknowledges Morales should win but sees value on Fugitt's side, noting his wrestling background and pressure. He may also place a half-unit on Fugitt's moneyline if it reaches +500.

over 1.5 rounds -103
"i took a shot on the over one and a half at minus 103"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Michael Morales

Paul also picks Morales, agreeing that Fugitt is a short-notice replacement who shouldn't be in the UFC. He notes that Morales is young, strong, and has a promising future. He thinks Morales will win, possibly inside the distance, but the price is steep. He also mentions that the over/under is 1.5 rounds with juice to the under.

"yeah we were both picking morales it's just you know you have to pay the price to pay uh to play"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2022 (fight day)
Michael Morales

The MMA Guru picks Michael Morales by submission (d'arce choke) in round two. He expects Fugitt to have some early success with takedowns and clinch work, but Morales will find his timing in round two, land big shots, stuff a takedown, and cinch the choke. The Guru notes Morales' ability to compose himself after early adversity.

submission in round 2
"second round submission i think he gets a dash choke over adam future here"
Ty Cole Miller - Fight History
WIN vs Adam Fugitt
KO R1 4:59 · UFC 324 · Jan 24, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Adam Fugitt 0 36 of 73 49% 39 of 76 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Ty Cole Miller 1 59 of 121 48% 65 of 129 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Adam Fugitt 0 36 of 73 49% 39 of 76 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Ty Cole Miller 1 59 of 121 48% 65 of 129 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Adam Fugitt 36 of 73 49% 10 of 42 21 of 26 5 of 5 30 of 67 6 of 6 0 of 0
Ty Cole Miller 59 of 121 48% 55 of 115 4 of 6 0 of 0 55 of 115 3 of 4 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Adam Fugitt 36 of 73 49% 10 of 42 21 of 26 5 of 5 30 of 67 6 of 6 0 of 0
Ty Cole Miller 59 of 121 48% 55 of 115 4 of 6 0 of 0 55 of 115 3 of 4 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Ty Cole Miller

Angelo picks Ty Miller, praising his clean boxing, length, and scramble skills. He notes Miller's takedown defense is poor but believes if Miller focuses on striking and doesn't get obsessed with defending takedowns, he should win. He acknowledges Fugitt's strength and wrestling but thinks Miller's forward pressure and volume will be enough.

"Ty Miller is going to be the pick. I think he wins this fight, but we're just going to have to trust that a relatively young kid has the wherewithal to stick to his game plan and not worry about …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Ty Cole Miller

Big Brady is impressed with Ty Miller's Contender Series performance, noting his length, rangy striking, and slick combinations. He criticizes Adam Fugitt as a 'walking punching bag' with poor striking defense and no clear strengths. Brady predicts Miller will piece him up and potentially knock him out in the third round, though he hesitates to lay -415 on a debutant.

Miller by KO/TKO in round 3
"I like Tom Miller here. Do I like him at minus 415? No. I mean, it's it's hard to lay minus 415 on somebody making their debut, but I mean, I just can't pick Adam Fugat here to win the …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jim Miller

Cody is confident in Jim Miller, citing his length, boxing, and youth. He notes Miller's reach advantage and technical striking should be too much for Fugitt, who has durability issues. Cody expects Miller to win by knockout or decision and will include him in parlays.

"I'm going to load up on Ty Miller and and if he loses, then I have to move to plan B."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ty Cole Miller

Connor picks Miller, seeing him as a young athlete with potential, good form, and pressure. He notes that Miller is a sniper who can one-shot people, but worries about his lack of a next gear. However, he thinks Miller's size and power could overwhelm Fugitt, who is a mediocre fighter.

"I'm gonna take ty miller. All right, i'm gonna take fuget. I think that miller is just extremely undercooked no doubt about that."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2026 (16 days before fight)
Jim Miller

Daniel Vreeland picks Jim Miller (Tai Miller) to win by knockout. He notes that Miller is younger, taller, and has a reach advantage, while Fugitt is 37, chinny, and has been lucky in recent fights. Vreeland believes Miller's sharp striking and viciousness will be too much for Fugitt, predicting a knockout.

"I think Ty Miller is going to come out here at UFC 324. I think he's going to knock out Adam Fuga."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 14, 2026 (10 days before fight)
Jim Miller

James picks Miller, comparing his style to Petr Yan's data-downloading approach. He believes Miller will stalk Fugitt, get his reads, and knock him out with boxing combinations. He predicts a knockout in round two.

"I think Miller's going to spark him. I think Miller's going to knock him out when he gets his game going."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 20, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Ty Cole Miller

The host picks Miller by decision, believing his technical striking will outpoint Fugitt. However, he notes the odds are too wide and that Fugitt has value at +355 due to his experience and pressure. He expects Miller to win but warns against the chalky price.

Miller by decision, Fugitt moneyline recommended for betting value
"The odds are just way too wide in my opinion, right? There's always that hype with these Contender Series guys, and you have to take that into consideration when you're betting these fights."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jim Miller

Paul also picks Jim Miller, noting his striking combinations and southpaw stance. He believes Fugitt's Muay Thai stance and lack of wrestling will be exploited. Paul expects Miller to land clean shots and finish Fugitt, and he likes Miller by KO.

Jim Miller by KO
"I bet Tai Miller by knockout. I think uh Fugu is going to try to close the pocket. Actually, probably try to hold up against the cage, maybe get some takedowns. I just don't think he really has the pieces …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ty Cole Miller

The MMA Guru picks Ty Cole Miller, citing his length and rangy style, as well as his win over Eric Nolan on the regional scene. He notes that Adam Fugitt has been humbled and dominated in recent fights, and that Miller is an undefeated prospect making his debut. He predicts a TKO finish.

TKO
"I'm going to go with Tai Miller by TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Adam Fugitt

Zane picks Fugitt, arguing that Miller is undercooked and hasn't faced a seasoned pro. He notes that Fugitt is a mediocre fighter but has a professional MMA game, while Miller struggled to finish a low-level opponent. Zane thinks Fugitt's awkwardness and takedown attempts could give Miller problems.

"I think to date he has not actually had to face that. He got a really on athletic killer could be killed fighter and jimmy drago and didn't kill him."
Expert Picks (10)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Ty Cole Miller

Angelo picks Ty Miller, praising his clean boxing, length, and scramble skills. He notes Miller's takedown defense is poor but believes if Miller focuses on striking and doesn't get obsessed with defending takedowns, he should win. He acknowledges Fugitt's strength and wrestling but thinks Miller's forward pressure and volume will be enough.

"Ty Miller is going to be the pick. I think he wins this fight, but we're just going to have to trust that a relatively young kid has the wherewithal to stick to his game plan and not worry about what Adam Fugat is doing."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Ty Cole Miller

Big Brady is impressed with Ty Miller's Contender Series performance, noting his length, rangy striking, and slick combinations. He criticizes Adam Fugitt as a 'walking punching bag' with poor striking defense and no clear strengths. Brady predicts Miller will piece him up and potentially knock him out in the third round, though he hesitates to lay -415 on a debutant.

Miller by KO/TKO in round 3
"I like Tom Miller here. Do I like him at minus 415? No. I mean, it's it's hard to lay minus 415 on somebody making their debut, but I mean, I just can't pick Adam Fugat here to win the fight."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jim Miller

Cody is confident in Jim Miller, citing his length, boxing, and youth. He notes Miller's reach advantage and technical striking should be too much for Fugitt, who has durability issues. Cody expects Miller to win by knockout or decision and will include him in parlays.

"I'm going to load up on Ty Miller and and if he loses, then I have to move to plan B."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ty Cole Miller

Connor picks Miller, seeing him as a young athlete with potential, good form, and pressure. He notes that Miller is a sniper who can one-shot people, but worries about his lack of a next gear. However, he thinks Miller's size and power could overwhelm Fugitt, who is a mediocre fighter.

"I'm gonna take ty miller. All right, i'm gonna take fuget. I think that miller is just extremely undercooked no doubt about that."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2026 (16 days before fight)
Jim Miller

Daniel Vreeland picks Jim Miller (Tai Miller) to win by knockout. He notes that Miller is younger, taller, and has a reach advantage, while Fugitt is 37, chinny, and has been lucky in recent fights. Vreeland believes Miller's sharp striking and viciousness will be too much for Fugitt, predicting a knockout.

"I think Ty Miller is going to come out here at UFC 324. I think he's going to knock out Adam Fuga."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 14, 2026 (10 days before fight)
Jim Miller

James picks Miller, comparing his style to Petr Yan's data-downloading approach. He believes Miller will stalk Fugitt, get his reads, and knock him out with boxing combinations. He predicts a knockout in round two.

"I think Miller's going to spark him. I think Miller's going to knock him out when he gets his game going."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 20, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Ty Cole Miller

The host picks Miller by decision, believing his technical striking will outpoint Fugitt. However, he notes the odds are too wide and that Fugitt has value at +355 due to his experience and pressure. He expects Miller to win but warns against the chalky price.

Miller by decision, Fugitt moneyline recommended for betting value
"The odds are just way too wide in my opinion, right? There's always that hype with these Contender Series guys, and you have to take that into consideration when you're betting these fights."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jim Miller

Paul also picks Jim Miller, noting his striking combinations and southpaw stance. He believes Fugitt's Muay Thai stance and lack of wrestling will be exploited. Paul expects Miller to land clean shots and finish Fugitt, and he likes Miller by KO.

Jim Miller by KO
"I bet Tai Miller by knockout. I think uh Fugu is going to try to close the pocket. Actually, probably try to hold up against the cage, maybe get some takedowns. I just don't think he really has the pieces to do that."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ty Cole Miller

The MMA Guru picks Ty Cole Miller, citing his length and rangy style, as well as his win over Eric Nolan on the regional scene. He notes that Adam Fugitt has been humbled and dominated in recent fights, and that Miller is an undefeated prospect making his debut. He predicts a TKO finish.

TKO
"I'm going to go with Tai Miller by TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Adam Fugitt

Zane picks Fugitt, arguing that Miller is undercooked and hasn't faced a seasoned pro. He notes that Fugitt is a mediocre fighter but has a professional MMA game, while Miller struggled to finish a low-level opponent. Zane thinks Fugitt's awkwardness and takedown attempts could give Miller problems.

"I think to date he has not actually had to face that. He got a really on athletic killer could be killed fighter and jimmy drago and didn't kill him."