UFC 329 · Jul 11, 2026 · Heavyweight · Scheduled
Age 26
Height N/A
Reach N/A
Weight 249 lbs.
Stance N/A
Age N/A
Height N/A
Reach N/A
Weight N/A
Stance N/A
Career Averages - Gable Steveson
0.0 SLpM
0.0% Str. Acc.
0.0 SApM
0.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
0.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Ezra Aldern

No career stats available

Gable Steveson - Fight History
CANCEL vs Elisha Ellison
UFC 329 · Jul 11, 2026
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 29, 2026 (12 days before fight)
Gable Steveson

AJ picks Gable Steveson to win by first-round ground and pound, calling it a mismatch. He highlights Steveson's Olympic gold medal wrestling and freak athleticism, and expects him to take Ellison down at will and finish quickly. He notes Ellison's regional-level competition and previous loss to Brandon Paris.

knockout round one, under half a round
"Gable Stevenson should win by ground and pound round number one two and a half minutes in or less."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Gable Steveson

AJ considers Gable Steveson a massive favorite and says there's no real betting value except for under 1.5 rounds. He recommends Gable under 1.5 at -175, noting that Gable will win quickly. He dismisses Ellison's chances, calling Ellison KO at +1400 a long shot.

Gable under 1.5 -175; Gable KO under 1.5 -175; Gable KO round 1 -155; Gable win round 1 -375; Ellison KO +1400
"Gable Stevenson is the biggest favorite ever. This is not a betting fight. You want to go Gable round one, do it. Gable under half a round. I don't have the option in my book. Um, I don't really feel …"
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Gable Steveson

AJ picks Gable Steveson to win easily, likely by first-round TKO. He highlights Steveson's Olympic-level wrestling, athleticism, and training with Jon Jones. AJ believes Ellison lacks confidence after his loss to Paris and that Steveson will dominate on the ground with ground and pound.

Steveson by first round TKO at -225; under 1.5 rounds at -525
"Gable Stevenson should deliver a first round TKO. probably ground and pound, sticks to what he's best at, which is wrestling."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Jul 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Gable Steveson

Angelo is extremely confident Gable will win, calling anyone who picks against him an idiot. He expects a first-round finish. He notes Gable is an Olympic gold medalist wrestler with knockout power, while Ellison is a part-time fighter coming off a knockout loss.

Gable wins by finish in the first round.
"Gable Stevenson wins this fight. He wins by finish. He wins it in the first round."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Gable Steveson

Angelo picks Gable Steveson as a lock, calling him a phenomenal athlete with Olympic gold medal wrestling and knockout power. He dismisses any chance of an upset, saying anyone picking against him is trying to be a fake genius. He believes Steveson will win easily and the odds are still a gift.

"Gabel Stevenson destroys Alicia Ellisonus 2700. These odds are outrageous. They're still a discount."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Gable Steveson

Big Brady is extremely confident in Gable Steveson finishing Elisha Ellison early, taking the under half a round at +160 for 1.5 units. He calls Ellison's ground game the worst he's ever seen and expects Steveson to finish within the first 2.5 minutes. He also bets on the fight to end by first round knockout at -125 for 1 unit and includes the fight not starting round two in a parlay. He does not explicitly pick Steveson on the moneyline but clearly expects a quick finish.

Under 0.5 rounds (+160, 1.5 units); fight ends by first round KO (-125, 1 unit); fight won't start round two (parlayed); mentions 60-second prop as worst price but likely hits
"I took the under half of a round, which I very rarely bet. at plus 160 and I have one and a half units on it. I think Stefson should finish this guy within the first two and a half …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lock picked Jun 27, 2026 (14 days before fight)
Gable Steveson

Big Brady picks Gable Steveson to win by first-round TKO. He calls the matchup a mismatch, criticizing Ellison's poor cardio and grappling. He believes Steveson's wrestling and power will lead to a brutal finish. He states the line is not wide enough and expects a quick destruction.

Gable Stevenson to win by first round TKO
"Give me Gable Stefson. Give me Gable Stevenson to win by first round TKO. It's going to be brutal."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 30, 2026 (11 days before fight)
Gable Steveson

Big Brady is extremely confident Gable Steveson wins by first-round KO. He notes Steveson's phenomenal wrestling and nasty ground-and-pound, while Ellison is terrible off his back, has horrible cardio, and made a mistake pulling guard in his debut. He expects the under 1.5 rounds to be the most chalky in UFC history, possibly -600, but still a good bet.

Steveson round 1 KO; under 1.5 rounds; fight doesn't start round 2
"I think it's Stefson round one KO. I'd be shocked if it's anything other than that."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lock picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Gable Steveson

Cody picks Gable Steveson by first-round TKO, calling Ellison a non-competitive opponent. He notes the only risk is if Steveson plays with his food or goes for a submission, but otherwise it's a guaranteed win.

Steveson first round; Gable by TKO first round
"I got Stevenson first round and I also got Gable by TKO first round."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 30, 2026 (11 days before fight)
Gable Steveson

Daniel Levi picks Gable Steveson without hesitation, jokingly stating he won't pick a grown man named Alicia. He acknowledges the massive odds and expects Steveson to win easily in his UFC debut.

"I ain't picking no grown man named Alicia to win a UFC fight. My pick is Gable Stevenson."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lock picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Gable Steveson

Jacob picks Gable Steveson, agreeing with Angelo that he is a lock. He compares Steveson's wrestling to Bo Nickal, noting Steveson is technically better. He dismisses any criticism and confidently states Gable wins.

"Gabel wins."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 4, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Gable Steveson

Lucrative James picks Gable Steveson via KO in round one, calling it a mismatch. He notes Steveson's Olympic-level wrestling and coaching from Jon Jones, but admits Steveson looks raw in MMA. He expects a quick finish, possibly within 60 seconds, and suggests betting on a first-minute KO prop.

Fight ends in 60 seconds, Gable Steveson KO round 1
"Gable Stevenson knockout in round one is my official prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Gable Steveson

The host sees this as a lay-up spot for Steveson's UFC debut. He expects a big knockout in round one.

knockout in round one
"I'm expecting him to get the big knockout here over Ellison, and I expect it to come in round one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 4, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Gable Steveson

The host expects Steveson to win easily by first-round knockout, given his athleticism and power against a limited opponent. He notes the -3500 line is unplayable but predicts a quick finish.

Steveson round 1, knockout
"I'm going Gable Stevenson round one and I think we see Stevenson get the knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lock picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Gable Steveson

Paul picks Gable Steveson by first-round finish, calling it a mismatch. He notes Ellison is a handpicked opponent and expects an absolute drubbing. He advises betting under 1.5 rounds or round 1 props.

Under 1.5 rounds; Gable round 1; Gable by TKO round 1
"I struggle to see this lasting more than three minutes to be perfectly honest."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Gable Steveson

The MMA Guru picks Gable Steveson to win by TKO in the first round. He dismisses Elisha Ellison as a non-heavyweight who shouldn't be in the UFC. He notes Steveson's incredible wrestling and KO power, but questions his readiness for top competition. He is confident Steveson will finish Ellison easily.

first round TKO; -2500 favorite
"I'm going to go with Gable Stevenson by TKO in the first round. ... He's a minus 2,500 favorite for a reason."
SCHED vs Ezra Aldern
UFC 329 · Jul 11, 2026
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 30, 2026 (11 days before fight)
Gable Steveson

Big Brady is extremely confident Gable Steveson wins by first-round KO. He notes Steveson's phenomenal wrestling and nasty ground-and-pound, while Ellison is terrible off his back, has horrible cardio, and made a mistake pulling guard in his debut. He expects the under 1.5 rounds to be the most chalky in UFC history, possibly -600, but still a good bet.

Steveson round 1 KO; under 1.5 rounds; fight doesn't start round 2
"I think it's Stefson round one KO. I'd be shocked if it's anything other than that."
Ezra Aldern - Fight History
SCHED vs Gable Steveson
UFC 329 · Jul 11, 2026
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 30, 2026 (11 days before fight)
Gable Steveson

Big Brady is extremely confident Gable Steveson wins by first-round KO. He notes Steveson's phenomenal wrestling and nasty ground-and-pound, while Ellison is terrible off his back, has horrible cardio, and made a mistake pulling guard in his debut. He expects the under 1.5 rounds to be the most chalky in UFC history, possibly -600, but still a good bet.

Steveson round 1 KO; under 1.5 rounds; fight doesn't start round 2
"I think it's Stefson round one KO. I'd be shocked if it's anything other than that."
Expert Picks (1)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 30, 2026 (11 days before fight)
Gable Steveson

Big Brady is extremely confident Gable Steveson wins by first-round KO. He notes Steveson's phenomenal wrestling and nasty ground-and-pound, while Ellison is terrible off his back, has horrible cardio, and made a mistake pulling guard in his debut. He expects the under 1.5 rounds to be the most chalky in UFC history, possibly -600, but still a good bet.

Steveson round 1 KO; under 1.5 rounds; fight doesn't start round 2
"I think it's Stefson round one KO. I'd be shocked if it's anything other than that."