vs
-127 +155
UFC 329 · Jul 11, 2026 · Middleweight · Scheduled
Age 31
Height 6' 1"
Reach 74"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 32
Height 6' 4"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Switch
Career Averages - Ryan Gandra
13.02 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
1.7 SApM
81.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Zachary Reese
4.48 SLpM
54.0% Str. Acc.
3.92 SApM
43.0% Str. Def.
2.8 TD Avg
61.0% TD Acc.
52.0% TD Def.
1.3 Sub. Avg
Ryan Gandra
Moneyline
Betfair Exchange -127
KO/TKO
Cloudbet 2.21
Submission
Cloudbet 27.74
Decision
BetWay +1200
Zachary Reese
Moneyline
LeoVegas +155
KO/TKO
Cloudbet 5.91
Submission
Cloudbet 7.63
Decision
FanDuel +700
Ryan Gandra - Fight History
SCHED vs Zachary Reese
UFC 329 · Jul 11, 2026
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ryan Gandra vs. Zachary Reese
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gandra (-130), Reese (+110)

Round 1
Fists are sure to fly in this middleweight smash-em-up derby between two men who tend not to waste much time in the cage with dueling finish rates right around 80% a pop. Gandra (9-1, 1-0 UFC) has earned most of his wins via strikes, while half of the victories for Reese (10-3, 1 NC; 4-3, 1 NC UFC) occurred in this similar fashion. Referee Mike Beltran takes charge of the cage, stepping back as the 185ers touch ‘em up.
Reese meanders directly to the center of the cage, dancing away the moment Gandra swats at him with range-finders. Reese catches Gandra coming in with a left hand and a body kick, and he slips a punch to the body. Reese slips and counters again, remaining elusive but not moving too far away so that he is out of range with responses. This allows him to catch Gandra a few times, but Gandra has also landed on both sides of his temple to redden him up. The Terminator that is Gandra winds up a massive left hand, leaping into it with everything he has. Boop. Taking it flush on the jaw, Reese goes flying, hitting his back and shelling up in a hurry. Gandra rains down some punches, and it does not take long for Beltran to step in. The stoppage may have been a little premature given that Reese stood back up and immediately started jawing at Beltran, but he might have also been flashed knocked out and trying to still fight. No matter how one feels about the intervention, to quote the inimitable Mike Goldberg, it is all over. Mulleted athletes no longer remain undefeated tonight, as the blonde-locked Brazilian wipes out the man with business in the front and a party in the back.

The Official Result
Ryan Gandra def. Zachary Reese R1 1:15 via TKO (Punches)
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2026 (10 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

AJ picks Gandra, stating he thinks Gondrez (likely Gandra) will knock Reese out flat. He mentions money line odds at minus 190.

Money line odds at minus 190
"I think Gondrez knocking Reese out. Do we have odds for that on the knockout prop yet? No, I don't have them. Money line odds have them at minus 190. I think Gondrez is going to knock you out flat …"
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 29, 2026 (12 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

AJ picks Ryan Gandra by first-round knockout, highlighting Gandra's power and pressure boxing. He believes Gandra's close-range boxing and overhand shots will overwhelm Zachary Reese, who is a kicker but susceptible to being walked down. He notes Gandra's quick UFC debut knockout and expects a violent finish.

KO prop at plus 200 would be nice
"I'm going Ryan Gondra for the first round knockout."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

AJ picks Gandra to win by knockout, emphasizing his power, forward pressure, and physicality. He believes Reese's striking defense is suspect and that Gandra's aggressive style will overwhelm him. AJ notes that Gandra's power is a major factor and that Reese's recent loss to Pereira shows vulnerability.

Gandra by KO at -120; under 1.5 rounds at +115
"I'm gonna say Gandra's knockout power is pretty live to thrive here."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ryan Gandra

AJ sees this as a close-range boxing mismatch where Gandra will blitz Reese. He thinks Gandra has sensational knockout power and will start fast, likely winning by KO. He notes that Gandra KO is at +100 and under 1.5 rounds at +135. He also mentions Gandra by decision at +1000 as a long shot.

Gandra by KO +100; Gandra under 1.5 +135; Gandra KO under 1.5 +175; Gandra KO round 1 +200; Gandra by decision +1000; Reese by KO +375; Reese by submission +425
"I think this is a pretty big close-range boxing mismatch. I feel like Gandra is going to blitz Reese, but I will tell you, Ryan Gandra is a round one bully."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Angelo picks Ryan Gandra because he is a busy forward pressure striker who lets his hands go and is tough. He notes that Zack Reese is inconsistent and has a special place in his heart for the wrong reasons, having cost him a parlay. He believes Gandra is too tough and will move forward, making him the pick, but sees live bet opportunity if Reese survives early.

"I think Ryan Gond is going to get the win here. Zack Ree has a special place in my heart. Not a good place, a bad place."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Angelo picks Ryan Gandra, believing he will land whatever he wants and keep coming forward. He respects Zachary Reese's toughness but thinks he won't have an answer, especially on the ground where Gandra can control and strike. He notes the fight is low stakes but fun.

"Ryan's the pick. This is a really fun fight and we could have an upset here just because of how tough Zach Ree is."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Big Brady picks Ryan Gandra to win in round one at +215 for 1 unit. He believes Gandra has a couple minutes of explosive offense to finish the chinny Zach Reese, who has poor striking defense and gets hurt often. If the fight extends past round one, he favors Reese's experience and cardio. He also suggests a live bet on Reese if he survives the first round.

Gandra wins in round 1 (+215, 1 unit); suggests live bet on Reese if fight reaches round 2
"I personally took Ryan Gond to win in round one at plus 215 for one unit because I think if it gets out of round one, I I won't feel great about a Ryan Gander bet at all."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2026 (14 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Big Brady picks Ryan Gandra to win by first-round knockout. He praises Gandra's power and takedown defense, expecting him to walk down Reese and land big shots. He criticizes Reese's poor striking defense and suspect chin, noting he has been hurt and knocked out before. He believes Gandra will stuff takedowns and finish early.

Ryan Gonder to win by first round knockout
"I'm going to go with Ryan Gonder to win this fight by first round knockout."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)

Big Brady picks Lone'er Kavanagh, citing Brandon Royval's age (33), accumulated damage, poor striking defense, and questionable chin. He believes Kavanagh is on the rise, with sharp, accurate, and powerful striking, and will clip Royval. He expects a knockout or a damage-based decision, and is surprised the KO prop is plus money.

Kavanagh by knockout (+240)
"I like Kavanaaugh here. And I like Kavanagh by knockout. I was surprised to see the knockout prop at like plus 240."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 30, 2026 (11 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Big Brady is confident Gandra wins by first-round KO, but only at the right price. He laughs at the +190 opener, saying Gandra should be -250 or -300. He thinks Gandra will knock out Reese early, but if it goes past round one, it gets gross due to Gandra's poor cardio. He might bet under 1.5 rounds or KO1, but won't lay -200 on the moneyline.

Gandra KO1; under 1.5 rounds; fight won't start round 2
"If Gond's paying off this price tag, he's knocking out Zach Reese in round one. If he does not knock out Zachary Reese in round one, it's going to get gross."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Cody picks Ryan Gandra, citing his power and Reese's durability issues. He notes Reese's poor cardio and defensive liabilities. He expects a finish, likely by Gandra, and recommends under 2.5 rounds.

Under 2.5 rounds; Gandra round 1 at +224
"I do have Gandra. I think that this fight doesn't go to decision. I think under two and a half. I think someone's getting blasted."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 30, 2026 (11 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Daniel Levi leans toward Zachary Reese, citing his experience and recent strong performance against Michelle Pereira. He acknowledges Gandra's power and physicality but wants to see more from him against real competition. Levi believes Reese can find his range and take over if he weathers the early storm.

"I'm going lean a little bit towards Zach Reese."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Jacob picks Ryan Gandra by first round knockout. He criticizes Zach Reese's defense, saying he doesn't move his head and has typical tall guy defense with his chin up. He believes Gandra's right hand down the middle will connect and hurt Reese, leading to an early knockout. He is not worried about the moneyline and specifically plays the first round knockout prop.

first round knockout
"I'm all over Ryan Gandra. I'm just playing a first round knockout and that's how I'm going to play it."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Jul 4, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Lucrative James picks Zachary Reese via KO, despite Reese's chin issues. He believes Reese is more proven with a diverse skill set and that Gandra's wild striking will be exposed. He notes Gandra's early knockout power but thinks Reese's experience against higher-level competition will prevail.

Zachary Reese by KO
"I'm picking the underdog here. I'm picking Zach Ree to win this fight. And I'll say he wins this one via knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jul 4, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

The host leans with Gandra due to his superior all-around skills, judo, and top control, predicting a submission in the first two rounds. However, he acknowledges Reese's early power and speed could cause an upset, and he would need a better price than -150 to bet.

Gandra by submission, inside the distance, first two rounds
"I'll go with Gandra to win this fight. I think he gets the win inside the distance within the first two rounds. I'm going to even say by submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

The host believes Gandra is technically superior and that will be the difference maker, leading to a stoppage. He specifically picks Gandra by submission.

Gandra by submission
"I'm going to go Gandra by submission."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Paul picks Ryan Gandra, agreeing with Cody. He notes the line movement and believes Gandra's power will be decisive. He plans to bet Gandra round 1 at plus money.

Gandra round 1 at plus 224
"Gander round one plus over plus 200. It's like, okay, I can see how that gets me invested."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

The MMA Guru picks Ryan Gandra to win by KO in the first round. He criticizes Zachary Reese's coordination and chin, noting that Reese has a long neck and tiny head, making him hittable. He trusts Gandra's knockout ability and momentum, but acknowledges that if the fight goes to later rounds, Reese's grappling could be a factor.

KO in first round
"I'm going to go with Ryan Gandra. Zachary Reese is hitable. His chin's there to be smacked. He's got a tiny head. He's got a long neck. It's not a build that you need to to take punishment with."
KO R1 0:41 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · Feb 28, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ryan Gandra 1 14 of 29 48% 14 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
José Daniel Medina 0 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ryan Gandra 1 14 of 29 48% 14 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
José Daniel Medina 0 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ryan Gandra 14 of 29 48% 14 of 27 0 of 2 0 of 0 13 of 28 0 of 0 1 of 1
José Daniel Medina 0 of 3 0% 0 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ryan Gandra 14 of 29 48% 14 of 27 0 of 2 0 of 0 13 of 28 0 of 0 1 of 1
José Daniel Medina 0 of 3 0% 0 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ryan Gandra vs. Jose Medina
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gandra (-550); Medina (+450)

Round 1
It’s another showcase match, this time at 185 pounds, as Brazilian newcomer Gandra (8-1, 0-0 UFC) looks to hunt down the hapless Medina (11-6, 0-3 UFC). Someone’s going to get their first win in the UFC, and referee Horacio Lopez Villanueva will be there for it every step of the way. Gloves are touched before they are traded.
Medina rushes forward, only to be backed up by a long one-two. Gandra reaches out with a long left hand and follows with a push kick to the stomach. He lashes out with a flurry of punches, and Medina puts his back to the wall and takes a flush knee to the chest.
Gandra unloads with a long salvo of punches, and he decks “Chicho” with a brutal right hand on the button that shuts his lights out for a second. When Medina hits the mat, he switches back online, but Villanueva is on him intervening.
Medina grabs hold of Villanueva’s leg on autopilot, but he realizes his error and starts to protest the stoppage while blood leaks down his right eyebrow. Medina is upset but there is nothing left for him to do or say, as he has lost five fights in a row with three of those by stoppage. Gandra declares that he called his shot, as he hunted for a first-round knockout and achieved it in a bit over 40 seconds.

The Official Result
Ryan Gandra def. Jose Medina R1 0:41 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Angelo picks Ryan Gandra because José Medina is one of the worst fighters in the UFC, on a four-fight losing streak. He describes Gandra as a busy forward-pressure striker who throws volume. He expects Gandra to overwhelm Medina with punches, though he notes Medina is tough and could survive into the later rounds.

Suggests a sneaky over 1.5 rounds bet because Medina is tough and might survive a round and a half.
"Ryan Gond is going to be the pick. Maybe a sneaky over one and a half here because even though Medina can't find a win in the UFC, he's actually pretty tough."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Big Brady picks Ryan Gandra, calling José Medina the worst signing in Contender Series history and noting he is 0-3 in the UFC. He admits Gandra is wild and reckless but believes he will win easily, likely by first-round knockout. He notes the line is crazy but cannot picture Medina winning any UFC fight.

first round knockout
"Ryan Gondra first round knockout for me."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Cody picks Gandra, highlighting his finishing ability and Medina's lack of defense. He notes Gandra can win by KO or submission and expects a dominant performance. He sees this as a showcase for Gandra.

"I think he gets the job done. The UFC would like to build up middleweights... This Gandra Kids could look well, he's not kid, he's 30 years old, but he's good enough looking."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Connor agrees with Zane, calling Gandra a promising prospect with a raw game built on power. He criticizes Medina as a normal person who is slow and lacks power, and notes that Gandra should walk through him. Connor expects a quick finish or a dominant decision.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"Yeah, Gondra seems like a normal prospect. Athletic, powerful, aggressive, doesn't have any defense or any real technical center of his game, but he should walk through Medina."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Feb 20, 2024 (739 days before fight)

Daniel does not discuss this fight in the transcript.

DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Feb 28, 2026 (fight day)

The host notes that Gandra is a heavy favorite but the odds are too wide to bet on him. He points out that Medina has a path to victory through his toughness and cardio, especially at high altitude where Gandra may gas out. However, the host is not betting Medina himself, as he expects Gandra to win most of the time. He considers it a dog-or-pass fight.

"I'm not personally betting Medina this weekend because I do think he loses a very high percentage of the time, but this is a matchup where the odds feel very very wide."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

James sees Gandra as a much better fighter with real power, while Medina's only attribute is durability. He believes Gandra will eventually finish Medina, possibly by KO or submission. James predicts a Gandra win, likely by KO.

"I'm picking Ryan Gandra all day here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

The host picks Ryan Gandra by submission, citing his BJJ brown belt and judo. He notes that Medina has lost 8 straight rounds and is not UFC caliber. He expects Gandra to take the fight to the ground and submit Medina, similar to Dusko Todorovic's win. He warns about Medina's durability but believes Gandra's grappling will prevail.

"Give me Ryan Gandra and Gandra by submission."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Paul expects Gandra to finish Medina early, noting Medina's poor record and lack of skills. He recommends the Gandra round 1 prop at +180, but is not fully confident due to Gandra's late arrival at altitude.

Gandra round 1 +180
"I expect Gander to ab to probably get him out of there in round one. The price on that is probably pretty short. Um, you know, because Medina has been finished in the first round. It's plus 180."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2026 (fight day)
Ryan Gandra

The MMA Guru picks Ryan Gandra, calling José Medina a fighter who should not be in the UFC after being dominated by Zachary Reese and Teemu Kärkkäinen. He notes Gandra's impressive Contender Series win and predicts a destructive TKO in the first round.

first round TKO
"Should be a Ryan Gandara destructive TKO in the first round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Zane picks Ryan Gandra based on his athleticism, power, and aggression. He notes that Gandra is a raw prospect but should overwhelm José Medina, who is slow, lacks power, and has lost four straight. Zane expects Gandra to win by landing bigger shots, possibly finishing early.

Gandra opened at -550, now -725; Medina opened at +420, now +525. Betting heavily favors Gandra.
"I'd still pick him to win that fight. By virtue of aggression and athleticism."
Zachary Reese - Fight History
SCHED vs Ryan Gandra
UFC 329 · Jul 11, 2026
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ryan Gandra vs. Zachary Reese
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gandra (-130), Reese (+110)

Round 1
Fists are sure to fly in this middleweight smash-em-up derby between two men who tend not to waste much time in the cage with dueling finish rates right around 80% a pop. Gandra (9-1, 1-0 UFC) has earned most of his wins via strikes, while half of the victories for Reese (10-3, 1 NC; 4-3, 1 NC UFC) occurred in this similar fashion. Referee Mike Beltran takes charge of the cage, stepping back as the 185ers touch ‘em up.
Reese meanders directly to the center of the cage, dancing away the moment Gandra swats at him with range-finders. Reese catches Gandra coming in with a left hand and a body kick, and he slips a punch to the body. Reese slips and counters again, remaining elusive but not moving too far away so that he is out of range with responses. This allows him to catch Gandra a few times, but Gandra has also landed on both sides of his temple to redden him up. The Terminator that is Gandra winds up a massive left hand, leaping into it with everything he has. Boop. Taking it flush on the jaw, Reese goes flying, hitting his back and shelling up in a hurry. Gandra rains down some punches, and it does not take long for Beltran to step in. The stoppage may have been a little premature given that Reese stood back up and immediately started jawing at Beltran, but he might have also been flashed knocked out and trying to still fight. No matter how one feels about the intervention, to quote the inimitable Mike Goldberg, it is all over. Mulleted athletes no longer remain undefeated tonight, as the blonde-locked Brazilian wipes out the man with business in the front and a party in the back.

The Official Result
Ryan Gandra def. Zachary Reese R1 1:15 via TKO (Punches)
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2026 (10 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

AJ picks Gandra, stating he thinks Gondrez (likely Gandra) will knock Reese out flat. He mentions money line odds at minus 190.

Money line odds at minus 190
"I think Gondrez knocking Reese out. Do we have odds for that on the knockout prop yet? No, I don't have them. Money line odds have them at minus 190. I think Gondrez is going to knock you out flat …"
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ryan Gandra

AJ sees this as a close-range boxing mismatch where Gandra will blitz Reese. He thinks Gandra has sensational knockout power and will start fast, likely winning by KO. He notes that Gandra KO is at +100 and under 1.5 rounds at +135. He also mentions Gandra by decision at +1000 as a long shot.

Gandra by KO +100; Gandra under 1.5 +135; Gandra KO under 1.5 +175; Gandra KO round 1 +200; Gandra by decision +1000; Reese by KO +375; Reese by submission +425
"I think this is a pretty big close-range boxing mismatch. I feel like Gandra is going to blitz Reese, but I will tell you, Ryan Gandra is a round one bully."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

AJ picks Gandra to win by knockout, emphasizing his power, forward pressure, and physicality. He believes Reese's striking defense is suspect and that Gandra's aggressive style will overwhelm him. AJ notes that Gandra's power is a major factor and that Reese's recent loss to Pereira shows vulnerability.

Gandra by KO at -120; under 1.5 rounds at +115
"I'm gonna say Gandra's knockout power is pretty live to thrive here."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 29, 2026 (12 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

AJ picks Ryan Gandra by first-round knockout, highlighting Gandra's power and pressure boxing. He believes Gandra's close-range boxing and overhand shots will overwhelm Zachary Reese, who is a kicker but susceptible to being walked down. He notes Gandra's quick UFC debut knockout and expects a violent finish.

KO prop at plus 200 would be nice
"I'm going Ryan Gondra for the first round knockout."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Angelo picks Ryan Gandra, believing he will land whatever he wants and keep coming forward. He respects Zachary Reese's toughness but thinks he won't have an answer, especially on the ground where Gandra can control and strike. He notes the fight is low stakes but fun.

"Ryan's the pick. This is a really fun fight and we could have an upset here just because of how tough Zach Ree is."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Angelo picks Ryan Gandra because he is a busy forward pressure striker who lets his hands go and is tough. He notes that Zack Reese is inconsistent and has a special place in his heart for the wrong reasons, having cost him a parlay. He believes Gandra is too tough and will move forward, making him the pick, but sees live bet opportunity if Reese survives early.

"I think Ryan Gond is going to get the win here. Zack Ree has a special place in my heart. Not a good place, a bad place."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)

Big Brady picks Lone'er Kavanagh, citing Brandon Royval's age (33), accumulated damage, poor striking defense, and questionable chin. He believes Kavanagh is on the rise, with sharp, accurate, and powerful striking, and will clip Royval. He expects a knockout or a damage-based decision, and is surprised the KO prop is plus money.

Kavanagh by knockout (+240)
"I like Kavanaaugh here. And I like Kavanagh by knockout. I was surprised to see the knockout prop at like plus 240."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 30, 2026 (11 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Big Brady is confident Gandra wins by first-round KO, but only at the right price. He laughs at the +190 opener, saying Gandra should be -250 or -300. He thinks Gandra will knock out Reese early, but if it goes past round one, it gets gross due to Gandra's poor cardio. He might bet under 1.5 rounds or KO1, but won't lay -200 on the moneyline.

Gandra KO1; under 1.5 rounds; fight won't start round 2
"If Gond's paying off this price tag, he's knocking out Zach Reese in round one. If he does not knock out Zachary Reese in round one, it's going to get gross."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2026 (14 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Big Brady picks Ryan Gandra to win by first-round knockout. He praises Gandra's power and takedown defense, expecting him to walk down Reese and land big shots. He criticizes Reese's poor striking defense and suspect chin, noting he has been hurt and knocked out before. He believes Gandra will stuff takedowns and finish early.

Ryan Gonder to win by first round knockout
"I'm going to go with Ryan Gonder to win this fight by first round knockout."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Big Brady picks Ryan Gandra to win in round one at +215 for 1 unit. He believes Gandra has a couple minutes of explosive offense to finish the chinny Zach Reese, who has poor striking defense and gets hurt often. If the fight extends past round one, he favors Reese's experience and cardio. He also suggests a live bet on Reese if he survives the first round.

Gandra wins in round 1 (+215, 1 unit); suggests live bet on Reese if fight reaches round 2
"I personally took Ryan Gond to win in round one at plus 215 for one unit because I think if it gets out of round one, I I won't feel great about a Ryan Gander bet at all."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Cody picks Ryan Gandra, citing his power and Reese's durability issues. He notes Reese's poor cardio and defensive liabilities. He expects a finish, likely by Gandra, and recommends under 2.5 rounds.

Under 2.5 rounds; Gandra round 1 at +224
"I do have Gandra. I think that this fight doesn't go to decision. I think under two and a half. I think someone's getting blasted."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 30, 2026 (11 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Daniel Levi leans toward Zachary Reese, citing his experience and recent strong performance against Michelle Pereira. He acknowledges Gandra's power and physicality but wants to see more from him against real competition. Levi believes Reese can find his range and take over if he weathers the early storm.

"I'm going lean a little bit towards Zach Reese."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Jacob picks Ryan Gandra by first round knockout. He criticizes Zach Reese's defense, saying he doesn't move his head and has typical tall guy defense with his chin up. He believes Gandra's right hand down the middle will connect and hurt Reese, leading to an early knockout. He is not worried about the moneyline and specifically plays the first round knockout prop.

first round knockout
"I'm all over Ryan Gandra. I'm just playing a first round knockout and that's how I'm going to play it."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Jul 4, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Lucrative James picks Zachary Reese via KO, despite Reese's chin issues. He believes Reese is more proven with a diverse skill set and that Gandra's wild striking will be exposed. He notes Gandra's early knockout power but thinks Reese's experience against higher-level competition will prevail.

Zachary Reese by KO
"I'm picking the underdog here. I'm picking Zach Ree to win this fight. And I'll say he wins this one via knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

The host believes Gandra is technically superior and that will be the difference maker, leading to a stoppage. He specifically picks Gandra by submission.

Gandra by submission
"I'm going to go Gandra by submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jul 4, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

The host leans with Gandra due to his superior all-around skills, judo, and top control, predicting a submission in the first two rounds. However, he acknowledges Reese's early power and speed could cause an upset, and he would need a better price than -150 to bet.

Gandra by submission, inside the distance, first two rounds
"I'll go with Gandra to win this fight. I think he gets the win inside the distance within the first two rounds. I'm going to even say by submission."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Paul picks Ryan Gandra, agreeing with Cody. He notes the line movement and believes Gandra's power will be decisive. He plans to bet Gandra round 1 at plus money.

Gandra round 1 at plus 224
"Gander round one plus over plus 200. It's like, okay, I can see how that gets me invested."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

The MMA Guru picks Ryan Gandra to win by KO in the first round. He criticizes Zachary Reese's coordination and chin, noting that Reese has a long neck and tiny head, making him hittable. He trusts Gandra's knockout ability and momentum, but acknowledges that if the fight goes to later rounds, Reese's grappling could be a factor.

KO in first round
"I'm going to go with Ryan Gandra. Zachary Reese is hitable. His chin's there to be smacked. He's got a tiny head. He's got a long neck. It's not a build that you need to to take punishment with."
LOSS vs Michel Pereira
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · Feb 21, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zachary Reese 0 74 of 148 50% 81 of 160 1 of 3 33% 1 0 0:47
Michel Pereira 0 63 of 132 47% 70 of 139 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zachary Reese 0 23 of 51 45% 26 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michel Pereira 0 18 of 40 45% 25 of 47 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:42
2 Zachary Reese 0 24 of 44 54% 28 of 49 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:44
Michel Pereira 0 22 of 42 52% 22 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Zachary Reese 0 27 of 53 50% 27 of 55 0 of 2 0% 1 0 0:03
Michel Pereira 0 23 of 50 46% 23 of 50 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zachary Reese 74 of 148 50% 24 of 90 30 of 38 20 of 20 72 of 142 2 of 6 0 of 0
Michel Pereira 63 of 132 47% 29 of 75 31 of 53 3 of 4 53 of 119 9 of 11 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zachary Reese 23 of 51 45% 4 of 29 8 of 11 11 of 11 23 of 50 0 of 1 0 of 0
Michel Pereira 18 of 40 45% 8 of 21 10 of 19 0 of 0 15 of 35 2 of 4 1 of 1
2 Zachary Reese 24 of 44 54% 9 of 25 11 of 15 4 of 4 23 of 41 1 of 3 0 of 0
Michel Pereira 22 of 42 52% 12 of 25 9 of 16 1 of 1 16 of 35 6 of 6 0 of 1
3 Zachary Reese 27 of 53 50% 11 of 36 11 of 12 5 of 5 26 of 51 1 of 2 0 of 0
Michel Pereira 23 of 50 46% 9 of 29 12 of 18 2 of 3 22 of 49 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese

Round 1
Herb Dean is the referee. Pereira lands a hard body kick to begin the main card. Pereira counters a kick with a glancing overhand, but Reese seems to be OK. Pereira jabs the body. Pereira counters another kick with a right hand and Reese goes down. Pereira welcomes Reese back to his feet. Reese lands a body kick. Pereira with a front kick down the middle. Pereira jabs the body. Reese moves in and lands a knee to the body. Reese attempts an inside leg kick, but Herb Dean calls time because it apparently landed low. The crowd isn’t buying it but Pereira takes about a minute. Pereira tries for that same overhand counter following a Reese kick but it’s not as successful as it was earlier. Reese moves in and lands a combination to the body. Reese kicks the body, and Pereira grimaces, as it landed below the belt again. A replay review determines that it was indeed a foul, despite the protests of the fans. Reese lands a kick and they engage in the clinch, with both men swinging wildly during a brief exchange. An errant spinning attack by Reese results in a takedown for Pereira. Reese stands, but Pereira grabs the neck and lands a couple knees on the break. Pereira stabs the body with a front kick. Reese leaps in wildly, but Pereira can’t capitalize. Reese makes his foe stumble with a low kick before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Pereira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Pereira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Pereira

Round 2
Reese targets the body with kicks. They clinch, and Pereira lands a pair of hard knees to the gut. They clinch and Pereira lands another knee before pushing Reese to the wire. They separate in short order. Pereira lands a right followed by a knee. Reese had his fingers extended during an exchange, and he poked Pereira in the eye. This results in the third timeout of the fight due to a foul by Reese. No point is taken and the action resumes. Reese quickly lands a takedown in the center of the cage. Reese peppers the Brazilian with left hands from half guard. Reese maintains a body lock as Pereira stands. Reese is busted open. Reese lands a body kick. A counter left freezes Pereira where he stands. Pereira throws a right to the body. Reese moves in and Pereira land a leaping knee. They crash forward, with both men landing in an exchange. Reese is holding his hands low as he lands a right. Pereira jabs the body while avoiding a high kick. Another body kick for Reese. Reese lands a two-punch combination. Reese throws a front kick to the body and Pereira urges him on. Reese just misses with a flying knee. Pereira responds with a rolling somersault kick at the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Reese
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Reese
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Reese

Round 3
Reese opens with a body kick. Pereira throws a push kick to the body. Reese lands a leg kick and is warned to keep his hands closed. Reese attacks the body with another kick. They collide in the clinch and separate. Reese closes distance and lands a knee. Pereira connects with a straight right. A lead leg head kick lands for Reese, as these two keep trading one-off attacks. Reese with a two-punch solid combination. Pereira sticks a jab. Reese kicks the body. Pereira lands a counter right. Reese lands a right uppercut to the body followed by a left hand over the top. Pereira closes the distance and Reese nearly had a choke locked. Periera was a ble to scramble up. That sets the stage for another exchange. Both men land heavy shots initially, but they’re mostly swinging and missing in the waning seconds, save for a Pereira knee down the middle.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Reese (29-28 Reese)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Reese (29-28 Reese)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Reese (29-28 Reese)

The Official Result
Michel Pereira def. Zachary Reese via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28) R3 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Angelo picks Michel Pereira despite recent poor form, citing his superior athleticism, speed, wrestling, and training partners. He acknowledges Pereira's mental state is a question mark after a public divorce, but believes the version from 2024 would dominate. He goes with his brain over his gut.

"Michel Pereira is the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Big Brady picks Zachary Reese to defeat Michel Pereira, but with clear disgust and hesitation. He believes Pereira is washed, citing his terrible performances against Abus Magomedov and a 40-second knockout loss to Kyle Daukaus. He calls the fight 'disgusting' and hopes it gets canceled. He notes Reese is the underdog but feels he has more faith in Reese at this point. He predicts a first-round knockout, reasoning that if Daukaus could KO Pereira, Reese can too.

Zachary Reese by first-round knockout
"Give me Zac Reese here. You know, it's dirty. It's greasy. ... I'll take Zac Reese to knock out Michel Pereira in the first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Cody thinks Pereira's desperation and flashy style will lead to an early finish. He notes Reese's durability issues and poor cardio. He expects Pereira to win by KO or submission in the first round.

Pereira round one +316
"Pereira is the pick for me."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Connor picks Pereira despite acknowledging he looks shot. He notes that Pereira has better technique and experience, and that Reese has never beaten a good fighter. He points out that Pereira's creativity and speed could still be enough against a limited opponent like Reese, but admits it's a terrible fight and Pereira could lose if he's truly broken.

Reese opened +130, now +130; Pereira opened -150, now -150
"I'm gonna pick perrera. I can't. But that's what this fight is. Just terrible."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

The host heavily leans towards Pereira, citing his superior striking, cardio, and ground game compared to Reese. However, he cannot bet Pereira at -155 because of the red flag from Pereira's passive performance against Abus Magomedov, which may indicate decline. He notes that if Pereira shows up and fights to his potential, he wins easily, but the inconsistency makes him unbettable.

Pereira's inconsistency; potential decline after Abus Magomedov fight
"I heavily lean towards Pereira. He's a very tempting bat. I wouldn't touch Reese here because in my opinion there's no advantage that he has over Pereira."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

James picks Michel Pereira to win by first-round finish, but with hesitation due to Pereira's recent poor performances and questionable chin. He notes that Pereira has far better tools and competition wins, but if he doesn't get an early finish, Reese could take over. James prefers the under 1.5 rounds as a betting angle.

under 1.5 rounds
"I'm going to predict Michelle Pereira to win this fight in round one, but it's a very volatile fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Pereira is on a three-fight losing streak but has faced tough competition and should be motivated to save his roster spot. He is the better fighter on paper with more experience. Reese is dangerous but has durability questions. If Pereira comes back at 80% of his former self, he should find a finish. The under 1.5 rounds is also a good play as both are finishers.

under 1.5 rounds at plus money
"So, I'm going to go Pereira. I'm going to go Pereira by knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Paul agrees, citing Pereira's ability to finish fights early and Reese's tendency to get knocked out. He thinks Pereira's wrestling is underrated and that he can win on the ground if needed. He expects a first-round finish.

Pereira inside distance +120
"I want the more dangerous guy. I want the guy that's more able to capitalize."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Michel Pereira, trusting his ability despite a recent loss to Hernandez. He notes Pereira's cardio issues but thinks he can find Reese's chin. He is unsure due to Pereira's inconsistency but believes Reese's fundamental ability is lacking.

TKO
"I'm going to go with Michael Pahea getting this one done by TKO over Zachary Reese."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Zane picks Reese as a counter to Connor, arguing that Pereira's confidence is shattered after the Hernandez loss and he has looked terrible in his last two fights. He notes that Reese is dangerous early and that Pereira's recent performances suggest he no longer knows how to fight. He admits it's a terrible fight and that Reese could easily lose, but he's willing to take the chance.

"Ah, fuck it. I'll take zach reese. Yeah might as well. Terrible fight."
WIN vs Jackson McVey
Submission R2 1:38 · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · Nov 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jackson McVey 0 32 of 42 76% 81 of 97 3 of 3 100% 1 0 2:24
Zachary Reese 0 56 of 73 76% 68 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jackson McVey 0 31 of 40 77% 61 of 74 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:58
Zachary Reese 0 53 of 67 79% 65 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:23
2 Jackson McVey 0 1 of 2 50% 20 of 23 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:26
Zachary Reese 0 3 of 6 50% 3 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jackson McVey 32 of 42 76% 21 of 31 5 of 5 6 of 6 15 of 19 16 of 21 1 of 2
Zachary Reese 56 of 73 76% 28 of 39 27 of 33 1 of 1 9 of 19 47 of 54 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jackson McVey 31 of 40 77% 21 of 30 5 of 5 5 of 5 14 of 18 16 of 21 1 of 1
Zachary Reese 53 of 67 79% 26 of 34 26 of 32 1 of 1 8 of 16 45 of 51 0 of 0
2 Jackson McVey 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1
Zachary Reese 3 of 6 50% 2 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 2 of 3 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jackson McVey vs. Zachary Reese
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Valentin (-160); McVey (+130)

Round 1
It’s fight day, like many Saturdays before this one. With a dozen bouts playing out the next six-ish hours at the UFC Apex, ranked talents may be at a premium but hopefully the action makes this night worthwhile. The broadcast kicks off without touching on the betting scandal that blossomed last week, so it’s anyone’s guess which direction that will take. Bring on the mutual combat. With this pairing coming together this week, a pair of middleweights elected to set this bout at 195 pounds to alleviate some of the pain of weight cutting. McVey (6-1, 0-1 UFC) was planning on Robert Valentin, but in his injured stead will be Texas’ Reese (9-2, 1 NC; 3-2, 1 NC UFC). The athletes bump fists in front of referee Chris Tognoni to open up the festivities.
McVey offers out an oblique kick, and Reese immediately counters with a left hand over the top. Reese sits down on a nasty calf kick and takes McVey off-balance, prompting McVey to surge forward and attack. McVey bashes his man from up close with elbows and short strikes, and Reese shakes them off and delivers a plethora of damaging uppercuts to shake McVey up. The two proceed to rip into one another, hammering one another in a brutal muay thai fashion with blood already flowing a minute in and some harm inflicted on both sides. Reese takes a few elbows up top and pushes McVey from one side of the cage to the other, but it is McVey who is still in the driver’s seat. McVey punishes his opponent with knees to the body, and one particularly effective one puts Reese on his knees. Reese explodes back to his feet and comes back firing, but it is McVey who is hitting harder.
Reese has some success when under fire, and he gets a bit of unwelcome relief when McVey drives a knee directly into his cup. Reese groans, and Tognoni immediately calls time as McVey apologizes. Reese walks off to recover, and Tognoni calls in the doctor to check on the fresh cut above his eyebrow that spans nearly halfway from end to end. Reese is cleared to continue, and he paces back and forth to keep getting his wind back. A mouse starts to develop on the forehead of “Savage,” who does not appear compromised but may have gassed himself out in the first few minutes of fury so he gets some of that back. The Apex is quiet so there is no external pressure for him to hurry back to placate bloodthirsty fans, allowing Reese to comfortably walk back and forth adjusting his cup. Tognoni keeps him informed, and after 2:30 of time off, they resume and immediately start brawling.
McVey’s swings back Reese up quickly, and they proceed to tie one another up and trade to bash one another with clinch strikes. Reese keeps McVey honest with a few elbows, and he drives a shot to the body to open up more attacks upstairs. Reese presses forward and his momentum bowls McVey over as he lands on top. McVey defends off his back with feeble elbows, because Reese easily clears his hips and moves to side control to isolate one arm for a kimura. Reese goes over a little too far, so he sets up an inverted triangle choke and flirts with an armbar as well. McVey rolls him over and stacks Reese up, and they ride the round out. McVey has now officially completed one round of combat for the first time as a pro.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 McVey
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 McVey
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 McVey

Round 2
The fighters bump fists to reintroduce themselves, and Reese starts off with a sticking leg kick. McVey responds by powering forward to set up his preferred clinch range to let loose with elbows and knees to the body. As Reese sees this coming, he trips “The Moose” up and puts him on his back to take most of his weapons away. Reese postures up to drive down a huge strike, and McVey times him perfectly to spin to the side and get to his knees. Rather than fight back up, however, McVey instead tries to snatch onto a guillotine choke and jump for it. Reese pops out of it almost immediately, and he looks to engage with ground-and-pound. McVey turns to get out, but in the process, he gives up his back.
Reese gladly accepts it, locks up the body triangle and secures a rear-naked choke. McVey’s corner shouts that he cannot give up, but the choke has him dead to rights with no way out. Rather than go out on his shield, “The Moose” calls it quits by tapping out on Reese’s arm a few times.
This marks the first time that Reese had ever performed a stoppage out of the first round.

The Official Result
Zachary Reese def. Jackson McVey R2 1:38 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)

Angelo picks Robert Valentin because he has seen him be tough and get after it, and he knows he can work in takedowns. However, he is not confident and advises against betting on this fight, calling it a mess. He notes that both fighters are not UFC level and it's a win-or-go-back-to-regional matchup.

Do not bet on this fight
"I'm going to pick Robert Valentin because I have seen him be tough. I've seen him get after it. I know he can work in takedowns."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Zachary Reese

Big Brady is not sold on Jackson McVey after his poor debut where he looked atrocious and got armbarred in the first round. He notes that Zachary Reese has powerful striking and a sneaky submission game, though his chin and cardio are questionable. Despite not wanting to lay -300, he believes Reese should finish McVey easily, predicting a first-round submission.

first round submission
"I'm going to go Zachary Reese here. I'm going to say he wins this fight by first round submission."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)

Lucrative James picks Robert Valentine, but the matchup is actually Jackson McVey vs Zachary Reese. He mistakenly refers to Valentine as the opponent. He notes Valentine's superior grappling and predicts an inside-the-distance win, likely by submission. He criticizes McVey's UFC debut loss via armbar and questions his level.

submission
"I'm picking Robert Valentine here. I think he's going to get an inside the distance win. Most likely a submission win."
NC R1 0:51 · UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · Sep 13, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zachary Reese 0 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sedriques Dumas 0 3 of 10 30% 3 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zachary Reese 0 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sedriques Dumas 0 3 of 10 30% 3 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zachary Reese 2 of 7 28% 0 of 3 1 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sedriques Dumas 3 of 10 30% 1 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zachary Reese 2 of 7 28% 0 of 3 1 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sedriques Dumas 3 of 10 30% 1 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Sedriques Dumas vs. Zachary Reese
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Reese (-240); Dumas (+200)

Round 1
Mike Beltran is the referee. Dumas comes out aggressively, with a double jab-straight combination. Fighting from opposing stances, the middleweights trade low kicks. A hard inside low kick lands for Dumas, but moments later, “The Reaper” absorbs an audible kick to the groin from Reese. Dumas immediately collapses to the canvas in agony and the crowd groans upon viewing the replay. Now a doctor has come in to talk to Dumas, who remains on his knees. He informs the doctor that, “I cannot feel my right ball.” Beltran tries to encourage Dumas to stand up, but he says he can’t get up. After that revelation, Beltran waves off the fight. Reese yells in frustration before walking over to apologize to Dumas. This one will be a no contest due to the accidental foul.

The Official Result
Zachary Reese vs. Sedriques Dumas is Ruled a No Contest (Accidental Foul) R1 0:51
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Angelo picks Reese confidently, calling Dumas a disaster and not very good. He notes Reese is a massive middleweight with size and strength, well-rounded, though his wrestling is inconsistent. He says Dumas is scrappy but not skilled or dangerous, and if Reese lands a takedown or big bomb, he finds a finish. He mentions Reese is almost a 3-to-1 favorite and should be.

"Zach Reese the pick. Pretty confident there."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Big Brady picks Reese because Dumas has shown no durability, heart, or volume in the UFC. He criticizes Dumas's training environment and legal issues. He predicts Reese finishes Dumas in the first round by submission, though he notes Reese himself has questionable durability and cardio.

First round submission
"I think Zach Reese probably finishes Dumas and finishes him in the very first round."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Zachary Reese

Connor also picks Reese, agreeing that Dumas is technically poor and lacks coordination. He notes that Reese is not great but is an aggressive grappler, and Dumas has no finishing ability. He mentions that Reese lost to Cody Brundage, but Dumas is even worse.

"I think reese can probably find a submission... Dumas that lack of coordination as I about doesn't finish anybody."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Reese is expected to return to his early finishing ways after defending Dumas's takedowns. The host believes Reese will dictate the pace, land big shots, and produce a round one knockout, showing strong confidence in his power and timing.

round one knockout
"Ree should really start to dictate the pace, land his big shots, and produce another round one knockout."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

The MMA Guru picks Zachary Reese, citing his athleticism, kicks at range, and ability to finish. He expects Reese to hurt Dumas with body kicks and predicts a finish late in the first or second round. He also questions Dumas's discipline and commitment due to legal issues, making him untrustworthy.

Finish in round 1 or 2
"Zachary Reese's really good kicks at range. I can see body kicks hurting Sadri Dumas here. ... I'm going to go against Dumas."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Zachary Reese

Zane picks Reese, noting that Dumas is awkward and uncoordinated on the feet, and Reese is an aggressive grappler who can find a submission. He mentions that Dumas only beats bad opponents and has no finishing ability, while Reese has shown some submission skills.

"I gotta pick reese. That's really it. That's just Doom i'm not picking dumas against anyone with any kind of edge to their game at all."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · May 31, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zachary Reese 0 50 of 108 46% 73 of 135 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:19
Duško Todorović 0 35 of 65 53% 73 of 109 4 of 13 30% 1 1 5:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zachary Reese 0 6 of 11 54% 19 of 27 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:06
Duško Todorović 0 10 of 15 66% 31 of 38 3 of 4 75% 1 1 3:01
2 Zachary Reese 0 17 of 30 56% 25 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Duško Todorović 0 8 of 16 50% 18 of 29 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:10
3 Zachary Reese 0 27 of 67 40% 29 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Duško Todorović 0 17 of 34 50% 24 of 42 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zachary Reese 50 of 108 46% 21 of 72 20 of 23 9 of 13 43 of 98 7 of 10 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 35 of 65 53% 22 of 50 8 of 10 5 of 5 22 of 50 6 of 6 7 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zachary Reese 6 of 11 54% 3 of 7 3 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 6 4 of 5 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 10 of 15 66% 8 of 12 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 6 1 of 1 7 of 8
2 Zachary Reese 17 of 30 56% 7 of 19 7 of 7 3 of 4 15 of 27 2 of 3 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 8 of 16 50% 2 of 10 4 of 4 2 of 2 4 of 11 4 of 4 0 of 1
3 Zachary Reese 27 of 67 40% 11 of 46 10 of 12 6 of 9 26 of 65 1 of 2 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 17 of 34 50% 12 of 28 3 of 4 2 of 2 16 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Zachary Reese vs. Dusko Todorovic
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Reese (-238), Todorovic (+195)

Round 1
The prelims were short at just four bouts, and the main card kicks off with a middleweight action fight that practically promises that referee Herb Dean will get involved before too long. Reese (8-2, 2-2 UFC) and Todorovic (12-5, 3-5 UFC) combine for 18 stoppages in their 20 pro wins, with knockouts their preferred method of victory. Before they try to lop one another’s head off, the two 185ers bump fists. Reese introduces himself with a body kick, and Todorovic does the same. Todorovic doubles up on a kick with another and shoots for a takedown. Reese scrambles and finds his way on top, with Todorovic sitting up for a guillotine choke. Reese lifts Todorovic up and tosses him down, and Todorovic mounts him with the guillotine intact. Reese fights his way through it, his neck still in jeopardy, and he works his way to his feet. Todorovic uses the choke to maintain control and impose his weight, and lowers Reese down to the ground to knee him in the side. When Reese gets up, Todorovic muscles him back to his knees. The Texan explodes back to his feet, kneeing his man in the gut and fighting off a trip to thump “Thunder” with a hard shoulder strike. Reese backs off and avoids a pair of hooks, fires off a head kick that misses the mark and resets. Todorovic charges at him with a swarm of fists, and Reese blocks most of them and gives one back until he gets clinched. Todorovic trips Reese out, and when Todorovic stands above him, Reese searches for a leglock. Todorovic fights it off, and he ignores an upkick on the side of the dome so he can lower himself down to top position. Reese closes his guard, and he hacks with elbows off his back. Todorovic responds with a few right hands from above, and he elbows down to club “Savage” a few times. Todorovic stacks his man up and unleashes nasty hammerfists that drill into his foe’s jaw again and again. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Todorovic
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Todorovic
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Todorovic

Round 2
A glove touch begins the second round, where Reese wants to start off hot and cracks Todorovic with a three-punch combo. Reese reaches his man with a fierce right hand, forcing Todorovic to engage a clinch. Reese breaks away and slaps his foe in the ribs with a kick. When Todorovic shoots for a takedown, Reese counters him with an uppercut but does not break his stride. They share short strikes on one another, and Reese leans back and drives a knee to the stomach that allows him to break off. Todorovic fakes a right hand to shoots for an awkward takedown, and Reese ignores it and counters with an overhand right. Reese stands firm with a one-two on the chin, walking through a body kick to jump at him with a knee. When he misses, Todorovic offers him a high-five. Reese leans back to avoid an overhand right, and Todorovic grabs hold of him and bullies him to the wall. Reese breaks free and catches Todorovic coming in with a short left, but it is one-and-done as he chambers and fires a body kick. What follow is a front kick, and an evasive maneuver when Todorovic rushes him. Todorovic fakes high for a level change, and Reese tosses him aside and wings a right hand and puts a front kick on the chest. Todorovic shoots for and lands a takedown, and Reese defends with a guillotine choke, only to find himself in Von Preux choke danger. Todorovic stacks him up rather than looking for the counter sub, and this lets Reese burst upright to get up. Todorovic stays pressed to him, ripping the body with a few punches and getting uppercutted for his handiwork. The two clinch up and end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Reese
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Reese
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Reese

Round 3
The fighters walk towards one another cautiously to start off the final frame, offering a glove touch and getting back to swinging. Reese loops wider shots, but when they land, they do with audible thuds. Todorovic gets him back with a couple of calf kicks, and Reese splits his guard with a long left hand. Reese twirls Todorovic around when the Serbian fighter shoots in on the hips, and he chains a few punches behind it. When Todorovic scores, Reese clubs him with a right on the ear. Reese spins with a kick to the body, and Todorovic smiles and high-fives him. Reese gathers himself and boots his man in the body and tries one up high, while Todorovic’s volume has plummeted. Reese stays on the outside potshotting his foe with body kicks, and when Todorovic charges him, Reese is light on his feet popping him here and there. Todorovic lashes out with a right hand that busts open Reese’s nose, and Reese responds with a leaping takedown shot that is stonewalled. Todorovic sweeps the leg and connects with another power right hand, using the strikes to set up a takedown. Reese gets pushed to the wall and spins out, sneaking a knee to the body on his way out. Todorovic looks for one final takedown, and Reese stops it and uppercuts him a few times before the grueling match concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Reese (29-28 Reese)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Reese (29-28 Reese)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Reese (29-28 Reese)

The Official Result
Zachary Reese def. Dusko Todorovic via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 18, 2025 (13 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Angelo picks Zachary Reese but is hesitant due to Reese's tendency to play jiu-jitsu off his back and give up positions. He acknowledges Reese's power and size advantages and Todorović's questionable chin, but worries Reese might make bad decisions. He rates it as medium confidence on the website.

"Zach Reese is going to be the pick. He should be able to get it done."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 26, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Big Brady fades Zachary Reese despite being a favorite, citing Reese's poor takedown defense (33%) and tendency to get finished. He notes Todorović has good ground-and-pound and can take Reese down. Although Todorović has terrible striking defense, Brady thinks Reese lacks the power to knock him out. He picks Todorović by second-round TKO.

second round TKO
"I'll take Dusco to to get the fight down to the ground, get on top of Zack Reese and and pound pound him out."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Reese because Todorović is a technical mess and easy to hit. He notes that Reese is also flawed but has more aggression and power. Connor emphasizes that this is a low-level fight and hard to pick with confidence.

"I agree. Yeah. Reese is a sizable favorite open to minus two 89 is currently minus two 27. Todorovich opened it plus two 14th kind of a plus one 96 people betting on these fights. Do you think really like, …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Matt picks Zachary Reese to win by knockout in round one. He expects a short fight, noting that Reese is explosive and violent with 7 of 8 wins in the first round, while Todorović has deteriorating durability and often gets finished. Matt likes the under 1.5 rounds and Reese round one knockout prop, and also mentions Reese by submission round one as a long shot.

under 1.5 rounds -170, Reese round one +155, Reese round one KO +230, Reese round one submission +900, Todorović round one KO +900
"I fully expect this fight to finish in the first round. The under one and a half at minus 170 is a spot I very much like."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 28, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

The MMA Guru picks Zachary Reese by first-round TKO, very confident. He notes Reese's size advantage (6'4") and Todorović's poor durability and chin. He mentions Todorović has been KO'd many times and Reese's pace is strong. He also had a PrizePicks bet on Reese under 5.25 minutes.

First round TKO; PrizePicks: fight less than 5.25 minutes
"I've never smelt a more obvious first round KO for Zachary Ree... I really see a first round finish for Zachary Ree here."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Zane picks Reese because he thinks Reese still has unchecked aggression and faith in his game, whereas Todorović seems to have lost confidence after a brutal loss. He notes that both fighters are low-level, but Todorović's tendency to knock himself out and his poor technical game make him the riskier pick.

"I guess I'll take Reese. Cause I think that he's still, I think that his, his aggression is still unchecked. I think he still has a lot of faith in his game. Even after probably that fact, we'll find out …"
LOSS vs Azamat Bekoev
KO (punches) R1 3:04 · UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · Jan 18, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Azamat Bekoev 0 13 of 24 54% 22 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Zachary Reese 0 21 of 26 80% 52 of 59 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Azamat Bekoev 0 13 of 24 54% 22 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Zachary Reese 0 21 of 26 80% 52 of 59 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Azamat Bekoev 13 of 24 54% 13 of 22 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 7 1 of 1 11 of 16
Zachary Reese 21 of 26 80% 16 of 19 3 of 4 2 of 3 3 of 6 0 of 0 18 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Azamat Bekoev 13 of 24 54% 13 of 22 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 7 1 of 1 11 of 16
Zachary Reese 21 of 26 80% 16 of 19 3 of 4 2 of 3 3 of 6 0 of 0 18 of 20
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Azamat Bekoev vs. Zachary Reese
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bekoev (-198), Reese (+168)

Round 1
As recent as a week ago, Reese (8-1, 2-1 UFC) was planning on facing Sedriques Dumas. Unfortunately for the latter, he was forced to withdraw, and in steps a former LFA middleweight champion—but not Eryk Anders, Markus Perez, Anthony Hernandez, Ian Heinisch, Brendan Allen, Gregory Rodrigues, Josh Silveira, Osman Diaz or Lucas Fernando. It is all about the self-proclaimed “Iron” Bekoev (18-3, 0-0 UFC), a Russian in the American Top Team pipeline that can end a fight any way he chooses. Referee Blake Grice draws the charge for the 185ers, sealing the cage as the combatants come together to gingerly touch their tips—of their gloves. Bekoev pushes the pace immediately, and he walks straight into a head kick. The Russian wears it well and then absorbs a right hand, and he responds with a high kick that bangs into the pectoral. Reese reaches out with a knee and swipes out with a left hook, and he sways back to avoid a counter. Reese knees the body, and Bekoev responds by attacking a single-leg takedown. When Reese connects with an elbow, he falls to his back and almost instantly sets up an armbar. Bekoev punches his way out of it but cannot quite establish top control, holding on as he slides into the guard landing strikes. Reese replies with sharp elbows off his back and an upkick anywhere he can find the space to hit. Both fighters trade surprisingly heavy blows, with Reese hacking with elbows while Bekoev beats on him with his fists. Reese pushes off but cannot get Bekoev off of him, so he resorts to spamming more elbows while absorbing punishment from above. Reese rolls for an armbar, but there is nothing to it as Bekoev starts to work Reese over with punches.
Bekoev continues to club Reese with vicious ground-and-pound, and as his strikes land, Reese goes out. Grice rushes between them to stop the fight, and he inadvertently tackles Reese to bang his head off the back of the mat.
Reese is totally unconscious, and it takes a frightening amount of time for him to regain his senses. He tries to sit up and then stand, but he does not have his legs beneath him as medical professionals tend to him. He has regained consciousness and is responsive to questions, but still looks around the arena wide-eyed as if he has no idea what just happened. Meanwhile, this is a statement introduction for Bekoev, who completely flatlined Reese with ground-and-pound while in the guard—a rare knockout indeed.

The Official Result
Azamat Bekoev def. Zachary Reese R1 3:04 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Angelo picks Zachary Reese, calling him the better fighter overall. He notes Reese's size, power, and well-rounded skills, while criticizing Cedric Dumas' lack of ground game and reliance on corner instructions. He believes the -260 price is a discount and expects the line to widen further.

"Zach Reese is going to be the pick says J Dumas I mean we'll see"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Cody picks Zachary Reese as an underdog, citing his size (6'4", 77-inch reach) and well-rounded skills. He notes that Bekoev has been underwhelming in the US and has a split decision win over Dylan Budka, who has struggled in the UFC. Reese has shown good striking, grappling, and cardio in his recent fights. Cody believes Reese's length and submission threat will be problematic for Bekoev, especially if the fight goes to the ground. He plans to watch more tape but leans Reese.

No specific prop bet mentioned.
"Reese is going to be one of my dogs this week that I think I'm going to go with"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Azamat Bekoev

The host notes Bekoev is the LFA middleweight champion making a short-notice UFC debut. If Bekoev can use his wrestling to stay safe early, he should put Reese through the ringer and win on the scorecards.

"if PV can use his wrestling to stay safe early he should be able to put Reese through the ringer and go on to win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Paul leans Reese as a dog, noting the size advantage and that Bekoev's win over Budka is not impressive. He mentions that Reese has shown cardio and takedown ability in his last fight. Paul is skeptical of the 'Russian tax' and thinks the line is off. He plans to watch more tape but is leaning towards taking the shot on Reese at plus money.

No specific prop bet mentioned.
"I'm gonna take the dog shot on on re at plus 185"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jan 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Azamat Bekoev

The MMA Guru picks Azamat Bekoev over Zachary Reese but is hesitant. He notes Reese lost to Cody Brundage and is not impressed, while Bekoev has momentum and is coming into his prime. He acknowledges Reese could be too athletic and land shots early, but he sides with Bekoev's grappling and recent wins. He predicts a decision win for Bekoev.

"I'm going to have to side towards beo over Zachary Reese I could see Zachary Reese being a little too athletic and getting off some shots early but it's not that bco have some fat slob of a guy"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Borralho · Aug 24, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zachary Reese 0 75 of 129 58% 101 of 162 5 of 9 55% 1 1 5:57
José Daniel Medina 0 32 of 74 43% 53 of 97 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zachary Reese 0 34 of 54 62% 40 of 63 1 of 3 33% 1 1 2:08
José Daniel Medina 0 4 of 15 26% 13 of 26 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:46
2 Zachary Reese 0 26 of 53 49% 31 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
José Daniel Medina 0 18 of 41 43% 20 of 43 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:26
3 Zachary Reese 0 15 of 22 68% 30 of 41 4 of 6 66% 0 0 3:49
José Daniel Medina 0 10 of 18 55% 20 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zachary Reese 75 of 129 58% 42 of 85 20 of 30 13 of 14 57 of 101 2 of 4 16 of 24
José Daniel Medina 32 of 74 43% 20 of 55 5 of 12 7 of 7 30 of 72 1 of 1 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zachary Reese 34 of 54 62% 23 of 42 9 of 10 2 of 2 20 of 33 1 of 2 13 of 19
José Daniel Medina 4 of 15 26% 2 of 11 0 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Zachary Reese 26 of 53 49% 10 of 31 8 of 13 8 of 9 26 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
José Daniel Medina 18 of 41 43% 11 of 29 2 of 7 5 of 5 18 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Zachary Reese 15 of 22 68% 9 of 12 3 of 7 3 of 3 11 of 15 1 of 2 3 of 5
José Daniel Medina 10 of 18 55% 7 of 15 3 of 3 0 of 0 8 of 16 1 of 1 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jose Medina vs. Zachary Reese
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Reese (-500), Medina (+380)

Round 1
Seeing who is about to take the stage next, judges take a sigh of relief while referee Dan Miragliotta sharply inhales. Texas-based chaos agent Reese (7-1, 1-1 UFC) is about to sling leather with ultraviolent Bolivian Medina (11-3, 0-0 UFC) in a middleweight crash-em-up derby. Between the two, they celebrate one win on the scorecards. Before mayhem ensues, there is a brief shared glove touch. Medina wants to get to business, and immediately jabs to say hello. Reese doubles up on body kicks and clubs Medina with a left hand, backing the Bolivian to the wall. Reese dings him with a few punches and backs off rather than staying in firing range, instead coming forward when he finds the angle he seeks. Reese cracks his foe with a right hand, and he ducks down and secures a clean double-leg takedown to put “Chicho” on his back. Reese does not even get in the guard before pounding down with left hands, and he opens up with ground-and-pound that shreds Medina’s forehead open. Medina turns his back to get to his knees and wall-walk, and Reese clings to him from behind and lifts Medina in the air with a single-leg takedown. Medina again gets up, this time with less effort, and Reese attempts a mat return. Medina turns around and Reese lets him have it with three fiery punches. Medina backs off and absorbs a ferocious body kick that nearly doubles him over, and he keeps a stiff upper lip and guards against a head kick. Medina paws his way in with right hooks that miss the mark, and Reese kicks him in the side and then blasts him with a liver kick. Medina retreats to the cage wall, and Reese charges after him, unloading with fists of fury. Medina ducks underneath the power strikes, grabs the Texan from the side and slings him to the canvas. Medina lowers himself into the guard, and Reese sits up and starts to set up a guillotine choke. Reese rolls his man over with the choke, and he uses the painful submission to flip Medina over and nearly secure mount. Medina wriggles out of the submission and gets some space, and Reese stands up and allows Medina to stand. Medina slowly gets up as Miragliotta tells him to hurry, and he is quick to eat two punches and a liver kick. Medina shakes his hand and points at the ground to initiate a brawl, and he runs forward throwing hands. Reese backpedals and gets off a few punches, and he spins with a back fist and jumps with a knee as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Reese
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Reese
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Reese

Round 2
Reese rushes out of his corner ready to attack, and he starts with a lunging right hand and a leg kick. This marks the longest fight of his young career, and he is not totally spent, as he lashes out with a jump knee and kicks Medina in the liver. Medina groans and drops his hands, and Reese goes after him with another jumping knee that misses. Reese hammers the side with a stern kick, and he checks a leg kick. Reese reaches the target with a long left hand and another vicious body kick, and he connects with two left hands as Medina wags his finger at him. Reese does not slow down when Medina plays, punching him in the face a few more times. Medina throws back a single low kick, and Reese boots him twice to the body. Medina offers a single jab and a leg kick, and Reese loops a right hand around the guard. Medina circles away and gets booted in the face, and he smiles and returns fire with a body shot. Medina rushes forward and Reese slips away, and Reese is slowing to throw one power strike rather than setting them up. He gets in another body kick, and then one more thuds to the side, but Medina is right in front of him throwing back. Medina shrugs at him when Reese lands a strike, and Reese comes over the top with a question-mark kick. Medina is as durable as they come, as he walks through a spinning kick to the body so he can wind up with a right hand and a left hook. Reese backs him away with a jab and step-in left hook, and his leg kick makes Medina point at the ground again. Reese kicks the same lead leg two more times as Medina does not like this strike, but Medina steels himself and releases a few punches. Reese counters and beats up the front leg, and Medina shrugs again, wings a right hand and shoots in for a double. Medina pushes Reese against the cage wall, and Reese separates with a second to spare and whiffs on an elbow.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Reese
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Reese
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Reese

Round 3
Medina raises both arms up to signal that he wants a hug, and Reese reluctantly accepts it. They start fighting, and Reese kicks him in the liver and pursues a takedown. Medina stops it and pushes him away, but Reese meets him with another body kick. When a knee from Reese nearly tags the Bolivian, “Chicho” motions to Reese and shares a laugh with Miragliotta that he managed to avoid it. Reese sprints forward and tackles Medina to the canvas, finding a few spots to land power punches before Medina kicks him off. Reese backs off and pushes forward to land another takedown, but Medina is once more able to push Reese off of him. Medina stands up without issue, and he gets belted in the face with a left hand and walks Reese down to land three punches including a liver shot. Medina connects with a left hand that hurts Reese, and Reese retaliates with a slamming takedown that bums Medina out and bloodies up his ear. Reese moves to half guard, and after taking a few seconds to catch his breath, he opens up with right hands. The Texan climbs to half guard on the other side to land strikes, and Medina answers him with hacking elbows off his back. Medina sits up, and Reese snatches up his neck and hunts for a one-arm submission that nearly transitions into a brabo choke. Reese holds on with a potential arm-triangle, and Medina complains that his glove is getting grabbed. Reese slugs away from on top, and Medina sits up to give his back up. Reese steps around to capitalize, but Medina gets to his feet by crawling to the fence. Reese pursues a single, and he deposits the Bolivian to the mat for a second. Medina is not about to go out like this, standing up once more, and he fights off a final takedown and slugs away until the fight concludes. Medina might have lost clearly, but he had a blast every step of the way.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Reese (30-27 Reese)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Reese (30-27 Reese)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Reese (30-27 Reese)

The Official Result
Zachary Reese def. Jose Medina via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Angelo picks Zachary Reese, acknowledging that Reese burned him in the past but attributing that loss to a freak powerbomb. He notes Reese's size, power, and BJJ, but warns that if Reese plays the 'Jiu-Jitsu nerd game' and throws up triangles, he could get ground-and-pounded by Medina. He thinks Reese is the better fighter and should win, but is cautious.

"Zach ree is going to be the pick I think he's the better fighter but we're going to see no way I lose two bets in one calendar year on this guy not happen"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Cody picks Reese because he is a finisher with power and submission skills. He notes that Medina has poor takedown defense and has been dominated on the ground. He thinks Reese will take him down and finish him early. He also mentions that Medina is dropping down to middleweight and may not handle the cut well.

Zachary Reese by submission or KO/TKO (round 1)
"I think ree goes and handles business atus 400 is a little too much for a guy that's never really fought four five minutes into a fight yes minus 600 now"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Aug 22, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Daniel Vreeland picks Zachary Reese but is not confident due to Reese's unknown cardio past the first round. He notes Medina is tough and could survive early onslaught and finish late, but believes Reese's power and aggression will likely get the job done early.

"I'm going to pick Zack Reese but at this minus 600 price tag like I need assurances"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Brevin picks Reese by decision, dismissing his slam KO loss to Cody Brundage as a freak accident. He notes Reese was nearly submitting Brundage before the slam. He thinks Medina is unimpressive and will try to pressure grapple but Reese is better. JP is more confident, picking Reese by KO, calling Medina bad, out of shape, and noting Reese is much bigger and stronger. He calls the Brundage slam a one-off.

Reese by KO (JP)
"I think Reese is going to go in there freaking starch media give me Zachary Reese by KO big KO prop there"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 20, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Paul leans towards Reese but is concerned about the price and Reese's cardio. He notes that Reese has never fought past the first round and could fade. He thinks Medina's durability could be a factor if Reese doesn't finish early. He prefers to look at live betting or late props on Medina.

José Daniel Medina by KO/TKO (round 3) - live betting angle
"I'm looking at Medina like late props here maybe a live betting angle"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

The MMA Guru picks Zachary Reese because he considers José Medina not UFC-level and 'garbage'. He notes Reese is a talented finisher with good submissions off his back and KO power on the feet, despite a previous loss where he was slammed on his head. He dismisses Medina's resume as weak.

"Jose Medina is not UFC level he's garbage and Zachary ree is way better than him"
TKO (body kick and punches) R1 0:20 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Jun 08, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zachary Reese 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julian Marquez 1 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zachary Reese 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julian Marquez 1 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zachary Reese 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julian Marquez 6 of 9 66% 5 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zachary Reese 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julian Marquez 6 of 9 66% 5 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 5
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Julian Marquez vs. Zachary Reese
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Marquez (-130), Reese (+110)

Round 1
From one all-action fight to another we go, as dueling middleweights with 100% finish rates put referee Dan Miragliotta on notice. Marquez (9-4, 3-3 UFC) has not had his hand raised since putting Sam Alvey away in 2021, while Reese (6-1, 0-1 UFC) was unsuccessful in his promotional debut in December when Cody Brundage slammed him through the cage floor. The judges may be able to take this one off. The fighters clap hands, and Marquez reaches out with jabs and a low kick. Reese chambers and fires off a body kick, and Marquez backs away as that got him cleanly.
The mulleted fighter chases and unloads a left hand and an uppercut right on the button, and Marquez collapses to the canvas, already done. To seal the deal, “Savage” clobbers the Missouri native with a salvo of hammerfists, and Miragliotta calls a halt to the match as the crowd goes wild.
Marquez sits up and is a little upset by the stoppage, but he understands why Miragliotta had to get involved, as it was likely only to get worse from there. After eight fights, Reese has still yet to reach the second round, and this is easily his quickest stoppage to date.

The Official Result
Zachary Reese def. Julian Marquez R1 0:20 via TKO (Body Kick and Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Zachary Reese

Angelo leans Zachary Reese, but with low confidence. He notes that Reese is massive for the weight class and has power, but he looked stiff in his last fight and was power bombed. Julian Marquez is tough and dangerous everywhere, but he has been knocked out in his last two fights and has a year layoff. Angelo thinks Reese can weather the early storm and beat a fading Marquez.

"I still believe in zachar I think he can avoid some chaos early weather a storm and I think he can beat a fledging Julian Marquez low confidence here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Julian Marquez

Big Brady picks Julian Marquez to win by first-round knockout. He is not sold on Zachary Reese's UFC caliber, noting his poor competition and tendency to end up on bottom. He thinks Marquez is the much better striker and will smoke Reese if his suspicions are correct.

knockout round 1
"give me Julian Marquez to win this fight I'll say it's first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Cody picks Reese as a slight underdog, noting that Marquez has significant health issues and has not looked good in recent fights. Reese is a big, athletic fighter with first-round finishing ability, but his cardio is untested. Cody believes if Reese can survive the first round, Marquez's poor cardio and durability issues will allow Reese to take over. He acknowledges it's a shot in the dark but leans towards Reese.

"this program we've gotus 130 plus 110 so Reese is the dog that's the side I'm that's the side I'm regardless that was yeah regardless that was the side I was going to end up taking but it's a shot …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Julian Marquez

Daniel picks Marquez based on experience, noting that Reese has never faced real competition and was fraud-checked by Cody Brundage. He acknowledges Marquez has looked terrible since returning from injury but believes his durability and veteran tactics can overcome Reese's size and reach. He calls it a dart throw but leans Marquez.

"I just have to go with Julian Marquez based off the experience he's been there done that"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Julian Marquez

Jacob picks Julian Marquez, noting that Reese eats right hands and was slammed by Cody Brundage. He thinks Marquez will come forward and land bombs, and Reese's chin is suspect. He also warns that going to the ground with Reese is dangerous due to his length, but Marquez's power should be enough. Jacob is confident Marquez gets the win.

"Julian Marquez throws right hands and this dude seems to eat right hands I'm going Julian Marquez"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Julian Marquez

Marquez is a veteran power puncher with a sneaky submission game, while Reese is reckless and was knocked out by a slam in his last fight. This should be a barn burner with both throwing heavy shots. Marquez should finish Reese quickly, making under 1.5 rounds a strong play at -155.

under 1.5 rounds at -155
"I'm leaning more so the under one and a half more than anything I'm currently seeing it around minus 155 which I think is a tremendous line"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Paul picks Reese, citing Marquez's health issues and inactivity. He notes that Reese is younger, longer, and has more pop in his hands. Paul thinks this will be a sloppy fight and favors the younger fighter with less wear and tear. He expects Reese to have a chance if he can avoid Marquez's early power.

"this is going to be a slot Fest Cody um and in a slop Fest I am more like likely to go with the guy who's a little bit younger a little bit less wear and tear"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

The Guru picks Reese because he questions Marquez's motivation, saying Marquez seems more focused on being a personality than fighting. He notes Marquez has taken a lot of damage in his last two fights (losses to Mark-Andre Barriault and Gregory Rodrigues). Reese is younger and hungrier, and the Guru thinks Reese will catch Marquez in the first round. He acknowledges Reese lost to Cody Brundage by slam KO but was going for a submission.

First-round finish prediction
"I'm going to go Zachary Reese first round finish"
Expert Picks (18)
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ryan Gandra

AJ sees this as a close-range boxing mismatch where Gandra will blitz Reese. He thinks Gandra has sensational knockout power and will start fast, likely winning by KO. He notes that Gandra KO is at +100 and under 1.5 rounds at +135. He also mentions Gandra by decision at +1000 as a long shot.

Gandra by KO +100; Gandra under 1.5 +135; Gandra KO under 1.5 +175; Gandra KO round 1 +200; Gandra by decision +1000; Reese by KO +375; Reese by submission +425
"I think this is a pretty big close-range boxing mismatch. I feel like Gandra is going to blitz Reese, but I will tell you, Ryan Gandra is a round one bully."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

AJ picks Gandra to win by knockout, emphasizing his power, forward pressure, and physicality. He believes Reese's striking defense is suspect and that Gandra's aggressive style will overwhelm him. AJ notes that Gandra's power is a major factor and that Reese's recent loss to Pereira shows vulnerability.

Gandra by KO at -120; under 1.5 rounds at +115
"I'm gonna say Gandra's knockout power is pretty live to thrive here."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2026 (10 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

AJ picks Gandra, stating he thinks Gondrez (likely Gandra) will knock Reese out flat. He mentions money line odds at minus 190.

Money line odds at minus 190
"I think Gondrez knocking Reese out. Do we have odds for that on the knockout prop yet? No, I don't have them. Money line odds have them at minus 190. I think Gondrez is going to knock you out flat the side of Reese."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 29, 2026 (12 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

AJ picks Ryan Gandra by first-round knockout, highlighting Gandra's power and pressure boxing. He believes Gandra's close-range boxing and overhand shots will overwhelm Zachary Reese, who is a kicker but susceptible to being walked down. He notes Gandra's quick UFC debut knockout and expects a violent finish.

KO prop at plus 200 would be nice
"I'm going Ryan Gondra for the first round knockout."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Angelo picks Ryan Gandra because he is a busy forward pressure striker who lets his hands go and is tough. He notes that Zack Reese is inconsistent and has a special place in his heart for the wrong reasons, having cost him a parlay. He believes Gandra is too tough and will move forward, making him the pick, but sees live bet opportunity if Reese survives early.

"I think Ryan Gond is going to get the win here. Zack Ree has a special place in my heart. Not a good place, a bad place."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Angelo picks Ryan Gandra, believing he will land whatever he wants and keep coming forward. He respects Zachary Reese's toughness but thinks he won't have an answer, especially on the ground where Gandra can control and strike. He notes the fight is low stakes but fun.

"Ryan's the pick. This is a really fun fight and we could have an upset here just because of how tough Zach Ree is."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Big Brady picks Ryan Gandra to win in round one at +215 for 1 unit. He believes Gandra has a couple minutes of explosive offense to finish the chinny Zach Reese, who has poor striking defense and gets hurt often. If the fight extends past round one, he favors Reese's experience and cardio. He also suggests a live bet on Reese if he survives the first round.

Gandra wins in round 1 (+215, 1 unit); suggests live bet on Reese if fight reaches round 2
"I personally took Ryan Gond to win in round one at plus 215 for one unit because I think if it gets out of round one, I I won't feel great about a Ryan Gander bet at all."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)
No clear pick

Big Brady picks Lone'er Kavanagh, citing Brandon Royval's age (33), accumulated damage, poor striking defense, and questionable chin. He believes Kavanagh is on the rise, with sharp, accurate, and powerful striking, and will clip Royval. He expects a knockout or a damage-based decision, and is surprised the KO prop is plus money.

Kavanagh by knockout (+240)
"I like Kavanaaugh here. And I like Kavanagh by knockout. I was surprised to see the knockout prop at like plus 240."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 30, 2026 (11 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Big Brady is confident Gandra wins by first-round KO, but only at the right price. He laughs at the +190 opener, saying Gandra should be -250 or -300. He thinks Gandra will knock out Reese early, but if it goes past round one, it gets gross due to Gandra's poor cardio. He might bet under 1.5 rounds or KO1, but won't lay -200 on the moneyline.

Gandra KO1; under 1.5 rounds; fight won't start round 2
"If Gond's paying off this price tag, he's knocking out Zach Reese in round one. If he does not knock out Zachary Reese in round one, it's going to get gross."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2026 (14 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Big Brady picks Ryan Gandra to win by first-round knockout. He praises Gandra's power and takedown defense, expecting him to walk down Reese and land big shots. He criticizes Reese's poor striking defense and suspect chin, noting he has been hurt and knocked out before. He believes Gandra will stuff takedowns and finish early.

Ryan Gonder to win by first round knockout
"I'm going to go with Ryan Gonder to win this fight by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Cody picks Ryan Gandra, citing his power and Reese's durability issues. He notes Reese's poor cardio and defensive liabilities. He expects a finish, likely by Gandra, and recommends under 2.5 rounds.

Under 2.5 rounds; Gandra round 1 at +224
"I do have Gandra. I think that this fight doesn't go to decision. I think under two and a half. I think someone's getting blasted."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 30, 2026 (11 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Daniel Levi leans toward Zachary Reese, citing his experience and recent strong performance against Michelle Pereira. He acknowledges Gandra's power and physicality but wants to see more from him against real competition. Levi believes Reese can find his range and take over if he weathers the early storm.

"I'm going lean a little bit towards Zach Reese."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Jacob picks Ryan Gandra by first round knockout. He criticizes Zach Reese's defense, saying he doesn't move his head and has typical tall guy defense with his chin up. He believes Gandra's right hand down the middle will connect and hurt Reese, leading to an early knockout. He is not worried about the moneyline and specifically plays the first round knockout prop.

first round knockout
"I'm all over Ryan Gandra. I'm just playing a first round knockout and that's how I'm going to play it."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Jul 4, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Lucrative James picks Zachary Reese via KO, despite Reese's chin issues. He believes Reese is more proven with a diverse skill set and that Gandra's wild striking will be exposed. He notes Gandra's early knockout power but thinks Reese's experience against higher-level competition will prevail.

Zachary Reese by KO
"I'm picking the underdog here. I'm picking Zach Ree to win this fight. And I'll say he wins this one via knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

The host believes Gandra is technically superior and that will be the difference maker, leading to a stoppage. He specifically picks Gandra by submission.

Gandra by submission
"I'm going to go Gandra by submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jul 4, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

The host leans with Gandra due to his superior all-around skills, judo, and top control, predicting a submission in the first two rounds. However, he acknowledges Reese's early power and speed could cause an upset, and he would need a better price than -150 to bet.

Gandra by submission, inside the distance, first two rounds
"I'll go with Gandra to win this fight. I think he gets the win inside the distance within the first two rounds. I'm going to even say by submission."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

Paul picks Ryan Gandra, agreeing with Cody. He notes the line movement and believes Gandra's power will be decisive. He plans to bet Gandra round 1 at plus money.

Gandra round 1 at plus 224
"Gander round one plus over plus 200. It's like, okay, I can see how that gets me invested."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ryan Gandra

The MMA Guru picks Ryan Gandra to win by KO in the first round. He criticizes Zachary Reese's coordination and chin, noting that Reese has a long neck and tiny head, making him hittable. He trusts Gandra's knockout ability and momentum, but acknowledges that if the fight goes to later rounds, Reese's grappling could be a factor.

KO in first round
"I'm going to go with Ryan Gandra. Zachary Reese is hitable. His chin's there to be smacked. He's got a tiny head. He's got a long neck. It's not a build that you need to to take punishment with."