Michał Oleksiejczuk

10-7
Record
Age / DOB 31
(Feb 22, 1995)
Height 6' 0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Reach 74"
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages
5.85 Sig. Strikes / Min
53.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
4.5 Absorbed / Min
59.0% Strike Defense
1.02 TD Avg / 15 min
42.0% TD Accuracy
52.0% TD Defense
0.0 Sub. / Fight
Win Methods (10)
KO/TKO 8
Submission 0
Decision 2
Loss Methods (7)
KO/TKO 0
Submission 5
Decision 2

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 140 of 221 63% 143 of 225 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:30
Marc-André Barriault 0 77 of 201 38% 79 of 204 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 47 of 73 64% 47 of 73 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:08
Marc-André Barriault 0 19 of 54 35% 19 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 41 of 68 60% 42 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marc-André Barriault 0 33 of 80 41% 34 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 52 of 80 65% 54 of 83 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:22
Marc-André Barriault 0 25 of 67 37% 26 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michał Oleksiejczuk 140 of 221 63% 91 of 161 39 of 49 10 of 11 138 of 218 1 of 1 1 of 2
Marc-André Barriault 77 of 201 38% 57 of 178 16 of 19 4 of 4 59 of 173 18 of 28 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 47 of 73 64% 32 of 56 8 of 9 7 of 8 46 of 71 0 of 0 1 of 2
Marc-André Barriault 19 of 54 35% 9 of 44 6 of 6 4 of 4 19 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Michał Oleksiejczuk 41 of 68 60% 27 of 49 11 of 16 3 of 3 40 of 67 1 of 1 0 of 0
Marc-André Barriault 33 of 80 41% 28 of 74 5 of 6 0 of 0 21 of 60 12 of 20 0 of 0
3 Michał Oleksiejczuk 52 of 80 65% 32 of 56 20 of 24 0 of 0 52 of 80 0 of 0 0 of 0
Marc-André Barriault 25 of 67 37% 20 of 60 5 of 7 0 of 0 19 of 59 6 of 8 0 of 0
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Angelo picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing his fast hands and power, with 8 knockouts in 9 UFC wins. He notes that Barriault's chin seems to be fading and that Oleksiejczuk hits incredibly hard. He acknowledges Barriault's wrestling could be a problem but thinks Oleksiejczuk's speed and power will prevail. He suggests under 2.5 rounds might be solid.

Under 2.5 rounds might be solid
"I'm going to pick McCall here because I think the chin's kind of fading a little bit on Mark Andre. McCall hits hard as hell."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Big Brady picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing that Marc-André Barriault's chin has been cracked recently, with three knockout losses in his last four fights. He believes Oleksiejczuk's pressure and power will be too much for Barriault, who has taken a lot of damage. He predicts a first-round finish.

by first round finish
"Mikuel Jose by first round finish."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Cody agrees, highlighting Oleksiejczuk's 8 first-round KOs in 9 UFC wins. He notes Barriault's history of being knocked out in the first round and his inability to change his game. Cody expects Oleksiejczuk to win by KO or decision, but is confident in the victory.

"He's either going to knock out Mark Andre Barry in the first round or he's going to win a split decision. But I think he wins in either case."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Oleksiejczuk is a good athlete who is not shot, while Barriault is past his prime and gets hurt easily. He thinks Oleksiejczuk will put it all on Barriault and likely hurt him early. He mentions that Barriault's only chance is if Oleksiejczuk's cardio fades.

Same odds discussion.
"I'll take a look at Sajak too."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Lucrative James picks Michał Oleksiejczuk to win by KO in round one. He believes Barriault's chin is compromised and that Oleksiejczuk's power and early-round danger will be too much. James notes that Barriault's style of walking forward plays into Oleksiejczuk's hands, and he expects a quick finish.

KO in round 1
"My official prediction on this fight is Michelle Alex to KO Mar Andre Bariel in round one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The host picks Oleksiejczuk by knockout, but notes the line is too wide at -350. He believes Oleksiejczuk's power will eventually find Barriault's chin, but warns that Barriault could make it tough if his chin holds up, using clinch work and cardio to wear Oleksiejczuk down. He suggests a live bet on Barriault in later rounds.

plus 285 on Barriault is worth a sprinkle; live betting Barriault in rounds 2-3
"So the prediction is going to be Ole Shuk by knock. I think he eventually lands that big shot and puts Bario away. But in terms of odds, minus 350 is just far too wide to be confident enough on that type of outcome."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Paul picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, expecting a first-round knockout. He notes Barriault's recent durability issues and Oleksiejczuk's power, especially since joining Fighting Nerds. Paul believes Oleksiejczuk's improved patience and game planning will lead to an early finish.

"Mikey O knockout round one for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The host picks Michał Oleksiejczuk over Marc-André Barriault. He notes Oleksiejczuk has real power at middleweight and a resurgence since joining Fighting Nerds. He thinks Barriault has been on the receiving end of too many TKO losses. He predicts a first-round TKO.

first round TKO
"I think Michał Oleksiejczuk's dusting him up in round one by TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Zane picks Oleksiejczuk because he is not physically washed and has a good multi-level striking attack. He notes that Barriault gets hurt too easily and is vulnerable, as seen in his fight against Shara Bullet. He thinks Oleksiejczuk will hurt Barriault quickly, though if it doesn't work out, it could become a hairy fight.

Oleksiejczuk opened at -225, currently -550; Barriault at +400.
"I think I have to take Michael Oksajuk."
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gerald Meerschaert 0 3 of 16 18% 3 of 16 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 23 of 51 45% 23 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gerald Meerschaert 0 3 of 16 18% 3 of 16 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 23 of 51 45% 23 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gerald Meerschaert 3 of 16 18% 2 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 23 of 51 45% 18 of 46 5 of 5 0 of 0 11 of 31 0 of 0 12 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gerald Meerschaert 3 of 16 18% 2 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 23 of 51 45% 18 of 46 5 of 5 0 of 0 11 of 31 0 of 0 12 of 20
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 10, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Angelo notes Oleksiejczuk is a pure striker with power and fast hands, while Meerschaert is a grappler with questionable chin and takedown accuracy. He thinks it's easier for Oleksiejczuk to stay on the feet and land strikes than for Meerschaert to get the fight to the ground. He leans Oleksiejczuk but says he should not be a -225 favorite in such a tricky matchup.

Under no circumstances should he be a minus 225 in a very tricky matchup
"I'm going to lean McCall because I think it's easier for him to stay away from the takedowns while letting his hands fly against a somewhat chinny Gerro Mirard."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Big Brady picks Michał Oleksiejczuk to win by first-round knockout. He notes Oleksiejczuk is a phenomenal striker with bodywork, volume, and power, while Meerschaert is at a massive striking disadvantage. However, he acknowledges the grappling danger: Meerschaert has 30 submission wins and Oleksiejczuk has been submitted six times. He thinks Oleksiejczuk can keep the fight standing and knock out Meerschaert, especially if he has improved his takedown defense. He mentions Oleksiejczuk's ability to get back up when taken down.

Oleksiejczuk by KO, round 1
"I think Oluk knocks out Mirart, and I think he does it in round number one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The host believes Oleksiejczuk's improvements from training with the fighting nerds will carry over, though it may result in a more measured approach. He expects Oleksiejczuk to wear Meerschaert down with striking and secure a finish in the third round.

finish in the third round
"I think he'll eventually be able to muster up a finish in the third round of this fight as he wears Mirard down with his striking approach"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The Guru picks Michał Oleksiejczuk to win by TKO in the first or second round. He believes Oleksiejczuk has improved since joining the Fighting Nerds and has nasty ground and pound and power. The Guru notes that Meerschaert is on borrowed time and doesn't move his head well, making him vulnerable. He also mentions that Oleksiejczuk has good grappling defense and reversals, so he won't be a fish out of water on the ground.

TKO first or second round; Oleksiejczuk finishes Meerschaert
"I'm going with Macaux. ... TKO first or second round."
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sedriques Dumas 0 3 of 26 11% 3 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 34 of 57 59% 34 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sedriques Dumas 0 3 of 26 11% 3 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 34 of 57 59% 34 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sedriques Dumas 3 of 26 11% 0 of 18 2 of 5 1 of 3 3 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 34 of 57 59% 27 of 49 7 of 8 0 of 0 13 of 27 0 of 0 21 of 30
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sedriques Dumas 3 of 26 11% 0 of 18 2 of 5 1 of 3 3 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 34 of 57 59% 27 of 49 7 of 8 0 of 0 13 of 27 0 of 0 21 of 30
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2025 (fight day)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Daniel Levi was happy to see Michał Oleksiejczuk get a first-round stoppage over Sedriques Dumas. He praises Oleksiejczuk for changing his training environment to the Fighting Nerds and showing maturity and measured striking, outstriking Dumas 34 to 3 in under three minutes.

"What I was really happy about was seeing Mllicha go out there and get that first round stoppage over Cedric's Dumas."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 97 of 178 54% 123 of 209 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 77 of 146 52% 94 of 172 3 of 7 42% 0 0 2:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 40 of 74 54% 42 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 35 of 53 66% 36 of 54 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:08
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 35 of 64 54% 37 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 24 of 52 46% 28 of 58 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:44
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 22 of 40 55% 44 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 18 of 41 43% 30 of 60 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:47
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sharabutdin Magomedov 97 of 178 54% 52 of 112 33 of 52 12 of 14 89 of 163 8 of 15 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 77 of 146 52% 45 of 103 18 of 27 14 of 16 72 of 138 4 of 6 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 40 of 74 54% 16 of 39 17 of 26 7 of 9 38 of 69 2 of 5 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 35 of 53 66% 23 of 38 9 of 11 3 of 4 34 of 50 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 35 of 64 54% 24 of 48 7 of 12 4 of 4 33 of 60 2 of 4 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 24 of 52 46% 12 of 35 5 of 9 7 of 8 22 of 50 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 22 of 40 55% 12 of 25 9 of 14 1 of 1 18 of 34 4 of 6 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 18 of 41 43% 10 of 30 4 of 7 4 of 4 16 of 38 1 of 1 1 of 2
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Angelo picks Magomedov despite concerns about his recent activity and lack of killer instinct. He thinks Magomedov is still very powerful and should be good enough to win, especially as Oleksiejczuk fades late. He notes Magomedov's busy schedule and possible lack of camp, but still expects a win.

Over 1.5 rounds if line available
"Char marov is going to be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Big Brady is confident in Sharabutdin due to Oleksiejczuk's concerning situation: he is not with a team, training in his garage, talking about retirement, and has been finished quickly in recent fights. He thinks Oleksiejczuk's heart is not in it and he will fold after the first few minutes, predicting a first-round knockout for Sharabutdin.

"I got to go sh here I I'm not sure what's going on with meluk but whatever is going on it's it's super weird"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Cody picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, noting that Michał Oleksiejczuk has one foot out the door, training in his garage and talking about retirement. He believes Shara is still improving and has more upside, while Oleksiejczuk has stagnated. Cody thinks Shara's cardio and grappling will improve fight to fight, and that Oleksiejczuk's only path is an early knockout. He also mentions Shara is being fed winnable opponents.

"Char is the pick."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Daniel believes Shara has a superior striking arsenal and will capitalize on Oleksiejczuk's overly aggressive style. He notes that Oleksiejczuk makes bonehead mistakes on the mat and likes to brawl, which plays into Shara's hands. He thinks Shara will blast the body and take advantage of openings, and that the time to fade Shara is not now but against a real grappler.

"give me Shara there to come out here and get the dub"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Oleksiejczuk will crowd Magomedov, causing issues for his kicking game. If he reins in his durability, he should land big power and possibly knock out Magomedov in the first two rounds.

knockout in first two rounds
"ol shj has a little bit of a durability issue but if he can Reign it in for this matchup and really keep Mago medov on the back foot he should be able to land that big Power and I think he could possibly knock out malov in the first two rounds"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Paul picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, citing Oleksiejczuk's poor cardio and submission losses. He notes that Oleksiejczuk has been submitted multiple times and that Shara's striking is good enough to outvolume him. Paul expects Shara to finish late or win a decision, and mentions a potential Shara late finish prop. He also points out that Oleksiejczuk has no cardio and poor grappling.

Shara late finish prop
"I'd be interested in like um Mega mov late prop maybe this squeez into the third round."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

The MMA Guru picks Sharabutdin Magomedov over Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing Magomedov's superior striking and low kicks. He notes Oleksiejczuk's poor mindset, having commented that he will probably lose. He thinks Magomedov's technical outside work will be enough, despite his weak ground game. He mentions Oleksiejczuk's vulnerability to low kicks while moving backwards.

"I'm going to pick Shara magedov to win this fight I think he's better than maau Alex Atri on the feet"
Technical Submission (armbar) R1 1:34
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kevin Holland 0 8 of 17 47% 8 of 17 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:16
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 8 of 18 44% 9 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kevin Holland 0 8 of 17 47% 8 of 17 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:16
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 8 of 18 44% 9 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kevin Holland 8 of 17 47% 5 of 13 3 of 4 0 of 0 8 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 8 of 18 44% 5 of 15 3 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kevin Holland 8 of 17 47% 5 of 13 3 of 4 0 of 0 8 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 8 of 18 44% 5 of 15 3 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 5
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 26, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

Angelo picks Kevin Holland despite the short notice, believing his range, accuracy, and experience will overcome Michał Oleksiejczuk's early power. He notes that Holland is the bigger fighter and has a massive advantage on the ground. He is a little worried about Oleksiejczuk's fast hands but is confident Holland will win.

"Kevin Holland is going to be the pick I'm pretty confident in him to get it done"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 31, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Kevin Holland

Big Brady likes Kevin Holland a lot, stating he should not only win but win dominantly by finish (KO or submission). He believes Holland has advantages everywhere and that Oleksiejczuk is a round-one knockout bust if the fight goes to the second. He acknowledges Holland's poor fight IQ but thinks this is a big step down in competition. He expects a finish, possibly in the first round.

Kevin Holland wins inside the distance, finish in first round possible
"I like Holland here and he's not too expensive he's only 9k I think he's live for a finish it could be early as well"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 29, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

Cody picks Holland, calling Oleksiejczuk a 'glass cannon' who fades after the first round. He notes Oleksiejczuk's six first-round KOs but argues his wins are over low-level opposition. Cody believes Holland's durability, volume, and pace will be too much, and that Holland's frame at 185 lbs is fine. He suggests Holland is a better value at -280 than Makhachev at -700.

"Oleksiejczuk is a front runner... his game just totally falls apart when the fight extends beyond the first round... Kevin Holland is the pick."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked May 30, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

Daniel Vreeland picks Kevin Holland despite being unhappy about it. He argues that Holland doesn't walk into shots on the feet and has survived fights with excellent strikers like Jack Della Maddalena and Michael Venom Page without being knocked out. Vreeland doesn't see Oleksiejczuk as the guy to finally tag Holland, nor does he think Oleksiejczuk can win a decision. He acknowledges Holland fights stupidly but sees no path for Oleksiejczuk.

"I don't see a way that Ola shck gets his hands on him"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 28, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Daniel fades Holland due to his tendency to fool around and rely on physical gifts. He believes Oleksiejczuk's pressure and durability will break Holland, citing his fights with Krylov and Jacoby. He worries about Holland's neck attacks but sees value in the underdog.

"I'm gonna go on a limb here and actually take the underdog"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked May 30, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Jeff Fox picks Oleksiejczuk because he has no faith in Kevin Holland fighting smart. He notes Holland has lost two straight and tends to eat shots. Fox points to Oleksiejczuk's knockout of Sam Alvey and his power, believing he can catch Holland. He dismisses Holland's durability against top strikers, saying Oleksiejczuk is the type to land a big shot.

"I don't have any faith in Kevin Holland I'm taking here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 27, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

The host expects Holland to use his length and footwork to keep Oleksiejczuk at range and eventually find a finish. Oleksiejczuk's pressure style may be nullified by Holland's striking and sneaky submission game. However, the host notes that Holland is tough to trust at -260, but if he fights smart, he should win inside the distance.

inside the distance
"I'm going to go Holland and Holland inside the distance."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 29, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

Paul picks Holland, noting his incredible chin and durability. He expects Oleksiejczuk to have early success but fade, and Holland to find his groove and finish via submission (club and sub). He mentions Holland's submission skills and Oleksiejczuk's poor cardio. Paul likes Holland by submission at +275.

Holland by submission (+275)
"Holland for all his flaws his chin is incredible... I feel like Oleksiejczuk will have some big time success early and then Holland will find his groove... I kind of see this ending in a club and sub type of situation."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked May 27, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The MMA Guru picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, though he is hesitant. He believes Kevin Holland has lost his snap and grit, and that Oleksiejczuk will have a weight advantage at 185. He notes Oleksiejczuk's underrated grappling and ability to outgrapple Holland. He worries about Holland's motivation and thinks Oleksiejczuk has more drive.

"I'm going to go with maau atrick though I think he's got more drive"
Technical Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 1:01
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michel Pereira 0 11 of 15 73% 11 of 15 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:18
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michel Pereira 0 11 of 15 73% 11 of 15 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:18
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michel Pereira 11 of 15 73% 5 of 9 6 of 6 0 of 0 9 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 of 4 25% 0 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michel Pereira 11 of 15 73% 5 of 9 6 of 6 0 of 0 9 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 of 4 25% 0 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Angelo picks Michel Pereira, citing his better cardio, power, and grappling. He notes Oleksiejczuk has a great chin but can fade. He has a half-unit bet on Pereira at -130, but keeps it small because Oleksiejczuk could survive early and outpoint him.

Half unit bet on Pereira at -130.
"I still think P wins this fight and I do like the odds at minus 130 I've got a little bit of a bet on that as well half a unit on P here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Big Brady picks Michał Oleksiejczuk to win by decision. He notes that while Pereira has a BJJ black belt, he doesn't wrestle often and lacks the cardio to grapple for 15 minutes. He expects the fight to stay on the feet, where Oleksiejczuk's forward pressure, body work, and volume will wear down Pereira and win the later rounds.

win by decision
"I'm going to go Mel o to win this fight Win It by decision I think the bodyw work's going to come into play the cardio the volume is all going to come into play"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Cody notes that Pereira has matured and now fights more conservatively, using his accuracy and wrestling. He thinks Oleksiejczuk is a reckless brawler with poor takedown defense, and Pereira will counter him and mix in takedowns to win a decision.

"I will go with Pereira"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 4, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Oleksiejczuk has great durability and forward pressure, marching forward and breaking opponents with his boxing. He has eaten clean shots and continued to push. Pereira is dangerous early with his unorthodox power, but Oleksiejczuk's durability should allow him to weather the early storm. As the fight goes on, Oleksiejczuk will start to catch Pereira, coral him against the cage, and land combinations. I expect Oleksiejczuk to get a finish in the second or third round, possibly by knockout.

Oleksiejczuk by knockout, live betting Oleksiejczuk after first round
"I have to lean with the O shuk side here as I believe that his durability will allow him to kind of just way through the early threat that Pera normally uh implements in his fights and from there I think that o shuk will start to catch up with Pereira"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Paul agrees, highlighting Pereira's improved fight IQ and the fact that he looked great at 185. He thinks Oleksiejczuk's wrestling is exploitable and that Pereira has multiple ways to win.

"Pereira is the pick for me as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The MMA Guru picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing concerns about Michel Pereira's finishing ability and cardio. He notes Pereira failed to finish chinny fighters like Andre Fialho and Nico Price, and that Oleksiejczuk is extremely tough and has power. He predicts Oleksiejczuk will pressure Pereira, take him down, and finish with a body shot TKO in round two.

round two body shot TKO
"I'm GNA say round two body shot TKO from maau Alex huk"
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 29 of 57 50% 30 of 58 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:09
Chidi Njokuani 0 44 of 72 61% 54 of 85 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:36
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 29 of 57 50% 30 of 58 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:09
Chidi Njokuani 0 44 of 72 61% 54 of 85 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:36
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michał Oleksiejczuk 29 of 57 50% 7 of 21 18 of 32 4 of 4 19 of 37 10 of 20 0 of 0
Chidi Njokuani 44 of 72 61% 31 of 59 12 of 12 1 of 1 17 of 36 4 of 5 23 of 31
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 29 of 57 50% 7 of 21 18 of 32 4 of 4 19 of 37 10 of 20 0 of 0
Chidi Njokuani 44 of 72 61% 31 of 59 12 of 12 1 of 1 17 of 36 4 of 5 23 of 31
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Aug 20, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Angelo likes Njokuani's speed, power, and distance control, but worries about his low volume and tendency to let others dictate pace. He notes that Oleksiejczuk has a solid chin but gets hit, and Njokuani could fall behind on scorecards. He picks Njokuani but with low to medium confidence and plans to stay away from betting or check props.

"Chidi will be the pick here because while McCall does have a solid chin he gets hit"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 21, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Big Brady likes both fighters but is concerned about Oleksiejczuk's size disadvantage, as Njokuani has a six-inch reach advantage and will tower over him. He thinks the fight will stay standing and Njokuani's power and reach will be key. He acknowledges Oleksiejczuk's body work and chin but picks Njokuani to land a big shot early. He calls it his least confident pick.

first round knockout
"I'm gonna pick Chidi and jaquani here to to land a big shot early"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Cody picks Oleksiejczuk, noting his power and forward pressure. He thinks Njokuani is vulnerable and may fade. Cody expects a finish inside the distance, likely by knockout.

fight ends inside distance
"I just feel like maybe he's vulnerable and uh a guy like Michael Alexa check can go out there and capitalize"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Daniel picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing his insane pressure and body work. He notes that Chidi doesn't like pressure fighters and has a questionable gas tank. He mentions that Michał is hittable but comes forward relentlessly. He is not confident, calling it a slight lean, and thinks the fight ends inside the distance. He suggests betting both KO props for profit.

Fight ends inside the distance (minus 280), Chidi by KO +215, Michał by KO +190
"I like Nicole here I'm waiting The Lion King people keep betting chitty so I'm just gonna wait as this line goes down and I'm gonna try to hit Nicole hopefully at the bottom"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 26, 2023 (fight day)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

James picks Michał Oleksiejczuk after initially leaning the other way. He believes Chidi Njokuani can be a flake if things don't go his way, and his cardio drops when he's not dominating. He thinks Oleksiejczuk's pressure, volume, and boxing will break Njokuani late, and he also has round one knockout upside. He notes Oleksiejczuk has never been finished and is dropping to a better weight class.

bet on Michał Oleksiejczuk moneyline
"I've got a bet on Michelle here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The host acknowledges Chidi Njokuani's Muay Thai and speed advantage, but believes he does not handle pressure well. He expects Michał Oleksiejczuk's forward pressure and body work to break Njokuani down, leading to a finish in the second or third round. The host notes that Oleksiejczuk has improved his grappling defense and that Njokuani is primarily a striker, so the Pole won't have to worry about takedowns.

"I feel like Olex will break into kawani and then find that finished in the second or third round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Paul picks Oleksiejczuk, citing his better durability and power. He notes Njokuani's takedown defense issues and expects a brawl. Paul is not highly confident but leans Oleksiejczuk.

fight ends inside distance
"The pick is mikeyo confidence isn't very high"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The MMA Guru picks Chidi Njokuani over Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing Njokuani's significant reach and height advantage (80-inch reach vs 74). He believes the fight will be mostly stand-up, where Njokuani's frame and presence will be imposing. He notes Oleksiejczuk's split decisions and less impressive wins, while Njokuani had close fights against Albert Duraev and Gregory Rodrigues. He predicts a TKO win for Njokuani.

TKO finish predicted
"I'm gonna have to go with Chinese here ... I like the frame of chidina jaquani here the imposure the presence in the cage"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 2:49
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Caio Borralho 0 34 of 55 61% 52 of 74 3 of 6 50% 1 0 2:39
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 30 of 65 46% 30 of 65 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Caio Borralho 0 25 of 45 55% 30 of 50 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:41
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 26 of 55 47% 26 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
2 Caio Borralho 0 9 of 10 90% 22 of 24 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:58
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 4 of 10 40% 4 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Caio Borralho 34 of 55 61% 19 of 37 10 of 13 5 of 5 18 of 37 5 of 7 11 of 11
Michał Oleksiejczuk 30 of 65 46% 13 of 44 17 of 21 0 of 0 26 of 61 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Caio Borralho 25 of 45 55% 12 of 29 10 of 13 3 of 3 13 of 31 5 of 7 7 of 7
Michał Oleksiejczuk 26 of 55 47% 12 of 38 14 of 17 0 of 0 22 of 51 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Caio Borralho 9 of 10 90% 7 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 2 5 of 6 0 of 0 4 of 4
Michał Oleksiejczuk 4 of 10 40% 1 of 6 3 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (4)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Caio Borralho

Cody picks Borralho despite the high price, citing Borralho's superior grappling, wrestling, and cardio advantages. He notes that Borralho is a smart fighter with high ring IQ who will use his grappling to control the fight, even if it's not exciting. He acknowledges Oleksiejczuk's power and chance early, but believes Borralho's path to victory is clear through takedowns and control.

"I think Kyle will do the right thing which is use his grappling which is the easiest path to victory for him here so I do think he's gonna win"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Connor is unimpressed with Borralho's striking, calling it a 'paper tiger' with low activity and poor defense. He thinks Oleksiejczuk's chaotic pressure and durability will overwhelm Borralho, and that Borralho's takedown game won't be enough to control Oleksiejczuk for three rounds. He notes Oleksiejczuk's tendency to gas but believes Borralho lacks the discipline to exploit it.

Odds mentioned: Borralho opened -292, currently -338. Oleksiejczuk opened +248, currently +280.
"I am also going to pick Alex Sajak largely because Bihalyo hasn't lost yet."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Paul is intrigued by Oleksiejczuk as a live underdog, noting his power and that he is a superior striker who can keep the fight standing. He points out that Oleksiejczuk has a history of first-round finishes and that Borralho has struggled to finish fights. Paul took a small bet on Oleksiejczuk by KO at +650, acknowledging the risk but seeing value.

Michał Oleksiejczuk by KO +650
"I found a Mikey Oh by KO plus 650 and I couldn't help myself I took a little dabble of that because that is wild and that's how he wins most of his fights"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Zane agrees with Connor, citing Borralho's poor striking and decision-making. He thinks Oleksiejczuk's pressure and scrambling will cause Borralho problems, and that Borralho's takedowns won't be enough to secure a win. He notes the odds are wide but sticks with his feeling that Oleksiejczuk can do real damage.

Same odds commentary as Connor.
"I am also going to pick Alex Sajak largely because Bihalyo hasn't lost yet."
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 0 of 2 0% 1 of 3 3 of 3 100% 0 0 1:53
Cody Brundage 0 15 of 29 51% 25 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 0 of 2 0% 1 of 3 3 of 3 100% 0 0 1:53
Cody Brundage 0 15 of 29 51% 25 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Brundage 15 of 29 51% 13 of 27 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 15 of 28
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Brundage 15 of 29 51% 13 of 27 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 15 of 28
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cody Brundage vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Oleksiejczuk (-275), Brundage (+230)

Round 1
The main card kicks off in the middleweight division, as two proud finishers come to blows in hopes of moving up the ladder in a wide-open 185-pound category. On the heels of two first-round stoppages, Brundage (8-2, 2-1 UFC) will battle it out against ex-light heavyweight Oleksiejczuk (17-5, 1 NC; 5-3, 1 NC UFC), who has also secured his last two victories in Round 1. It might be a short night at the office for referee Mark Smith, who is nevertheless prepared should we go all the way. The sportsmen touch fists to commence their scheduled melee, and Oleksiejczuk is quick to dart in and out with a left hand. Brundage sprints forward and takes one leg out, and he drags Oleksiejczuk straight down to the floor with a single. Brundage sits on top and hooks the leg to keep the Polish fighter down, but Oleksiejczuk still manages to work his way back up. Brundage leverages his body weight to drag Oleksiejczuk down from behind, and Oleksiejczuk grabs the fence to stop it but is sternly warned for the foul. Brundage still manages to get Oleksiejczuk down, and he hits a mat return as soon as Oleksiejczuk stands once more. Oleksiejczuk has his hand slapped out of the fence as he tugs on it to get a better spot, and Brundage slides to the side and attempts to claim mount. Oleksiejczuk turns the tables brilliantly to flip Brundage to his back, and he is quick to slam down fists and elbows to make up for lost time. Oleksiejczuk belts the American with vicious punches and elbows, all while moving Brundage away from the wall so he cannot stand up.
Oleksiejczuk wings wide left hands that collide on the dome, and Brundage drifts in and out of consciousness as he absorbs these unblocked, brutal blows. Oleksiejczuk continues pounding on Brundage, unleashing a fury of hellacious punches until Smith has seen enough and Brundage might have gone out.
The Polish fighter makes a statement by showing that he can survive off his back long enough to turn the tables, and laying a beating on the American wrestler.

The Official Result
Michal Oleksiejczuk def. Cody Brundage R1 3:16 via KO (Punches)
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Angelo picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing that Cody Brundage is on short notice and he is wary of short notice fights at the end of the year. He thinks Oleksiejczuk can weather an early storm and potentially take a decision or late finish. He notes Oleksiejczuk has shoddy takedown defense but believes his speed and power will be enough.

Plans to bet on Cody Brundage more takedowns (prop bet) if the line is reasonable (e.g., -350 to -400)
"I think McCall's going to be able to weather an early storm potentially take a decision or even maybe a late finish McCall's gonna be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Big Brady picks Oleksiejczuk to win by first-round knockout, noting his striking advantage and power. He acknowledges Brundage has good wrestling and could submit Oleksiejczuk if he gets takedowns, but thinks Oleksiejczuk's takedown defense may have improved. He expects the fight to start on the feet where Oleksiejczuk has a significant edge and will finish early.

Oleksiejczuk wins by KO in round 1
"I'll take Ola zaychuk to knock out Cody Brundage here... I'll take old zhuk to win by first round finish here knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Cody picks Oleksiejczuk, emphasizing his dynamic striking and power. He notes Brundage is there to get hit and has slow starts. He thinks Oleksiejczuk's cardio may be better at 185 and he will finish early. He likes under 2.5 rounds and inside the distance by knockout.

under 2.5 rounds, inside the distance by knockout
"I'm gonna go with the the Michael Alexa Chuck um inside the distance more specifically by knockout I think he gets the job done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 17, 2022 (fight day)
Cody Brundage

Oleksiejczuk looks like a killer but struggles when taken down and put on his back. Brundage has the ground game to get him down and either submit or TKO from top position. It will be a sweat getting the fight to the ground, but once there, Brundage should dominate.

1 unit at +230
"the fact of the matter is when guys are able to get him to the ground uh he looks like a fish water out of water off of his back"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Paul picks Oleksiejczuk, noting he looked good at middleweight against Sam Alvey. He thinks Brundage is not elite and has been in tough spots. He expects Oleksiejczuk to land a knockout, as he is more talented and younger. He is concerned about cardio but thinks the power will be enough.

Oleksiejczuk inside the distance, specifically by knockout
"Mikey oh Mikey oh knockout is that how this one shakes out what do you think"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The MMA Guru picks Michał Oleksiejczuk over Cody Brundage, citing Oleksiejczuk's crisp striking and experience. He notes Brundage is explosive but has a fluke factor to his wins, and was getting beaten up by Daukšas before finding a guillotine. He believes Oleksiejczuk is more prepared, having trained for a similar opponent, and predicts a first-round KO. He also mentions Brundage took the fight on short notice, which may affect his performance.

"I'm going with Macau Alex a truck here over Cody brandage"
TKO (punches) R1 1:56
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 3 of 11 27% 3 of 11 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Sam Alvey 2 22 of 37 59% 40 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:57
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 3 of 11 27% 3 of 11 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Sam Alvey 2 22 of 37 59% 40 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:57
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michał Oleksiejczuk 3 of 11 27% 1 of 9 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sam Alvey 22 of 37 59% 18 of 33 4 of 4 0 of 0 10 of 19 0 of 1 12 of 17
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 3 of 11 27% 1 of 9 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sam Alvey 22 of 37 59% 18 of 33 4 of 4 0 of 0 10 of 19 0 of 1 12 of 17
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Angelo picks Michał Oleksiejczuk despite his poor performance against Dustin Jacoby. He highlights Oleksiejczuk's speed and pressure, and notes that Sam Alvey's chin may be fading after getting rocked by Brendan Allen. He believes Oleksiejczuk can stay on the outside and avoid Alvey's wild strikes to win.

"michael's going to be my pick here because even though he looked pretty bad in that fight with dustin jacoby he's still lightning fast and we saw that sam alvey's chin might be fading here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 2, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Big Brady is very confident in Michał Oleksiejczuk, noting that Sam Alvey is on an eight-fight winless streak and has not won since 2018. He describes Alvey's style as low-volume and predictable, while Oleksiejczuk is a fast starter who throws combinations and attacks the body. He predicts a first-round knockout win for Oleksiejczuk, stating that Alvey's chin is questionable and he expects a statement performance.

first round knockout prediction
"i think ola zach should win this fight and i'm actually going to take all the stage to win by knockout and i'll say he does knock out alvey in the very first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Cody also picks Oleksiejczuk, noting that Alvey's durability is fading and he has been stopped in recent fights. He mentions that Alvey's only chance is a puncher's chance, but his power hasn't been there. Cody believes Oleksiejczuk will swarm Alvey and finish him early, especially if Alvey goes into 'YOLO mode' for his last fight.

Under 1.5 rounds (+140); fight doesn't go to decision (-170)
"Oleksiejczuk gets the job done... I would say the under one and a half rounds... this will be a violent fight."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Daniel Levi picks Michał Oleksiejczuk as part of a parlay with Jamahal Hill, citing Sam Alvey's eight-fight winless streak, low output, and declining chin. He expects Oleksiejczuk to walk Alvey down and land big body shots and hooks, likely finishing him in the first round. Levi notes Alvey's counter right hand and guillotine as minor threats but believes Oleksiejczuk's power and pressure will be too much.

Parlayed with Jamahal Hill at -158 to win 2 units; predicts first-round KO
"I think Me Hall's gonna walk this dude down and I think he's gonna come out here land big body shots... knock out Sam Alvey in the first round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Paul picks Oleksiejczuk but is wary of the -700 price. He notes that Alvey is on a long losing streak and has lost durability. Paul is concerned about Oleksiejczuk's weight cut to 185 and wants to see weigh-ins. He suggests props like Oleksiejczuk by decision (+175) or inside the distance (-140).

Oleksiejczuk by decision (+175) or inside the distance (-140); under 1.5 rounds (+140)
"Oleksiejczuk will be the pick... minus 700 is too wide for me... I want to see the cut."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The MMA Guru picks Michał Oleksiejczuk by first-round TKO via body shot. He notes Sam Alvey's recent decline, being finished by Brendan Allen and Julian Marquez. He praises Oleksiejczuk's toughness and win over Shamil Gamzatov, and believes Alvey has no answer on the feet or on the ground. He also mentions Oleksiejczuk is only 27 and improving.

first round tko via body shot
"i'm going to go first round tko with her body shot for macaulay alex heychuck against sam alvey"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Jacoby 0 89 of 243 36% 107 of 269 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:10
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 69 of 173 39% 72 of 176 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Jacoby 0 22 of 80 27% 25 of 84 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:12
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 27 of 71 38% 27 of 71 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:06
2 Dustin Jacoby 0 36 of 80 45% 39 of 83 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:14
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 24 of 52 46% 25 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
3 Dustin Jacoby 0 31 of 83 37% 43 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:44
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 18 of 50 36% 20 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Jacoby 89 of 243 36% 74 of 222 13 of 19 2 of 2 70 of 214 18 of 28 1 of 1
Michał Oleksiejczuk 69 of 173 39% 59 of 160 10 of 13 0 of 0 66 of 170 3 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Jacoby 22 of 80 27% 13 of 69 8 of 10 1 of 1 22 of 80 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 27 of 71 38% 21 of 64 6 of 7 0 of 0 27 of 71 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Dustin Jacoby 36 of 80 45% 33 of 76 3 of 4 0 of 0 19 of 55 16 of 24 1 of 1
Michał Oleksiejczuk 24 of 52 46% 22 of 49 2 of 3 0 of 0 21 of 49 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Dustin Jacoby 31 of 83 37% 28 of 77 2 of 5 1 of 1 29 of 79 2 of 4 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 18 of 50 36% 16 of 47 2 of 3 0 of 0 18 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 25, 2022 (8 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Angelo picks Jacoby confidently, agreeing with the odds. He highlights Jacoby's leg kicks and technical striking. He notes Oleksiejczuk has a speed advantage but Jacoby's leg kicks will neutralize it. He expects Jacoby to win by TKO or one-sided decision.

"pretty confident here in dustin jacoby"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Big Brady picks Dustin Jacoby to win by decision. He notes that Jacoby has a significant size and reach advantage, and that Oleksiejczuk is small for light heavyweight. Brady believes Jacoby's kickboxing background and leg kicks will be key, and that Oleksiejczuk will have to close distance to land power shots. He also mentions that both fighters prefer to strike, and Jacoby is the more technical striker. Brady thinks the odds are about right and that Jacoby should win a decision.

Jacoby by decision
"i think dustin jacoby wins this fight and let's say he does win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Cody believes Jacoby is a bad matchup for Oleksiejczuk. He notes Jacoby's kicking game is a staple, while Oleksiejczuk throws almost no kicks and is a pure boxer. Jacoby can stay on the outside and kick, while Oleksiejczuk is undersized for 205 and may struggle to close distance. Cody expects Jacoby to win a decision or late finish.

"i think dustin jacoby absolutely uh absolutely eats his lunch makes it look pretty easy"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Daniel Levi picks Michał Oleksiejczuk as a dog, citing the plus 180 odds. He thinks the line is off and that this is a close fight. He acknowledges Jacoby's diverse weapons but believes Oleksiejczuk's pressure and power could lead to a knockout. He notes that Jacoby gets hit and has a kickboxing chin, and that Oleksiejczuk is a dangerous striker. He says he slightly leans Oleksiejczuk from a betting perspective.

plus 180 odds
"i think it is you know mccall is the side if you're going to play this fight i just don't feel comfortable laying jacoby"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Jacoby is a technically superior striker with great feints, jabs, and leg kicks. Oleksiejczuk is a power puncher who struggles against technical strikers, as seen in the Bukowski fight. Jacoby's size and reach will allow him to control the distance and counter effectively. Oleksiejczuk's only chance is to land a big shot, but Jacoby's chin is solid. Jacoby should win a decision or get a late finish.

sprinkle on round 3 prop
"i already pulled the trigger at minus 194 i think that's a damn good spot i think he has a field day with mihal"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Paul picks Oleksiejczuk but is not confident. He notes Oleksiejczuk's boxing and aggression could be effective if he can back Jacoby up, but Jacoby's kicking and veteran savvy are concerns. Paul calls it a dog-or-pass fight and leans Oleksiejczuk due to his youth and improvements.

"i think i'm going to take prince michael but you like princess again i don't i don't love it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

The MMA Guru picks Dustin Jacoby over Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing Jacoby's superior striking technique, cardio, range control, and chin compared to Modestas Bukauskas, who gave Oleksiejczuk a close fight. He believes Jacoby's kicks will be the difference, keeping Oleksiejczuk at range, and predicts a close 29-28 decision, possibly with a scare where Oleksiejczuk drops Jacoby in one round. He notes Oleksiejczuk has a power advantage but trusts Jacoby's full camp preparation.

"i'm going to side with dustin jacoby here over macau alexey chuck"
TKO (punches) R1 3:31
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 35 of 67 52% 35 of 67 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Shamil Gamzatov 1 32 of 55 58% 32 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 35 of 67 52% 35 of 67 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Shamil Gamzatov 1 32 of 55 58% 32 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michał Oleksiejczuk 35 of 67 52% 16 of 45 13 of 16 6 of 6 34 of 65 1 of 2 0 of 0
Shamil Gamzatov 32 of 55 58% 27 of 48 5 of 7 0 of 0 29 of 48 0 of 0 3 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 35 of 67 52% 16 of 45 13 of 16 6 of 6 34 of 65 1 of 2 0 of 0
Shamil Gamzatov 32 of 55 58% 27 of 48 5 of 7 0 of 0 29 of 48 0 of 0 3 of 7
Expert Picks (6)
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 26, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Big Brady picks the underdog Michał Oleksiejczuk to win a close decision. He is unimpressed with Gamzatov, noting he doesn't go for takedowns despite Oleksiejczuk's poor takedown defense. He thinks Oleksiejczuk will be more active and aggressive, and the fight will be close, possibly a split decision. He acknowledges Gamzatov has a clear path to victory if he wrestles, but doubts he will.

"I'm going to pick the dog here and mikhail olozaychuk to slightly edge it out."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Cody leans towards Oleksiejczuk as a dog, citing Gamzatov's unimpressive record and poor cardio. He notes Gamzatov hasn't finished anyone in 6 years, has low output, and gasses. Oleksiejczuk is faster, sharper, and has good body work. He thinks Oleksiejczuk can pressure, tire Gamzatov, and take him down.

"i'll finally take the lean towards the dog and take that plus 120 on my kio"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Daniel picks Michał Oleksiejczuk for the upset, citing his aggression and output. He notes Gamzatov is a low-output point fighter with unimpressive wins. Daniel believes Oleksiejczuk's forward pressure and body shots will be key. He acknowledges Oleksiejczuk's size disadvantage but thinks his volume and power will overcome it.

"give me michal oleg zaychuk for the upset here just by being the busier guy and landing the bigger blows"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Oleksiejczuk's constant forward pressure and volume should overwhelm Gamzatov, who prefers to counterstrike. Gamzatov doesn't grapple much, which he would need to slow Oleksiejczuk. Oleksiejczuk likely wins a decision by optically controlling the fight.

Oleksiejczuk by decision +285.
"I gotta favor the guy that's gonna be coming forward pretty much the entire time and in my opinion that's gonna be mihal oleg shayjuk."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
No clear pick

Paul has trust issues with Oleksiejczuk after his poor performance against Modestas Bukauskas. He doesn't commit to a pick, saying he's not sure if he'll get there. He acknowledges the value might be on the dog but doesn't make a clear selection.

"i have trust issues with mikey oh right now i'm not sure if i'm gonna get there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Shamil Gamzatov

The MMA Guru picks Shamil Gamzatov over Michał Oleksiejczuk. He acknowledges that Gamzatov had a close fight with Clinton Dabbrow but considers Dabbrow underrated. He uses Ankalaev's similar close fight with Dabbrow as a placeholder, noting that Ankalaev went on to beat top competition. He thinks Oleksiejczuk is too one-dimensional, looking for the KO, and if he can't get it, he has no backup plan. He predicts Gamzatov will win by unanimous decision, possibly after surviving an early scare.

"i just feel like macau alex atrix a little bit too one-dimensional he looks for the ko blow if you can't really get the ko blow i don't really know what he does to try and get a win here"
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 58 of 167 34% 62 of 172 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Modestas Bukauskas 0 56 of 122 45% 77 of 144 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 18 of 62 29% 18 of 63 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Modestas Bukauskas 0 14 of 38 36% 14 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 23 of 56 41% 23 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Modestas Bukauskas 0 20 of 40 50% 23 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
3 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 17 of 49 34% 21 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Modestas Bukauskas 0 22 of 44 50% 40 of 63 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:59
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michał Oleksiejczuk 58 of 167 34% 44 of 146 14 of 21 0 of 0 55 of 159 3 of 8 0 of 0
Modestas Bukauskas 56 of 122 45% 30 of 93 26 of 29 0 of 0 53 of 119 3 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 18 of 62 29% 13 of 54 5 of 8 0 of 0 17 of 57 1 of 5 0 of 0
Modestas Bukauskas 14 of 38 36% 9 of 33 5 of 5 0 of 0 14 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Michał Oleksiejczuk 23 of 56 41% 16 of 48 7 of 8 0 of 0 22 of 54 1 of 2 0 of 0
Modestas Bukauskas 20 of 40 50% 12 of 31 8 of 9 0 of 0 19 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Michał Oleksiejczuk 17 of 49 34% 15 of 44 2 of 5 0 of 0 16 of 48 1 of 1 0 of 0
Modestas Bukauskas 22 of 44 50% 9 of 29 13 of 15 0 of 0 20 of 42 2 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Modestas Bukauskas vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk

Round 1
Hold on tight, we are about to be treated to a light heavyweight brawl between Bukauskas (11-3, 1-1 UFC) and Oleksiejczuk (14-4, 1 NC; 2-2, 1 NC UFC) in an all-Eastern Europe clash. Eighteen knockouts across their combined 25 victories are attributed the 205-pound sluggers, and referee Jason Herzog may have his work cut out for him. There is a respectful glove touch before fists start flying. Bukauskas charges forward with a punch and a spinning back kick, and Oleksiejczuk ducks it and throws a haymaker back at him. There is no feeling-out process here, as Oleksiejczuk lands and Bukauskas fires right back. Bukauskas reaches out with a front kick, and dances out of the way when his Polish foe charges at him with a swarm of punches. Oleksiejczuk lands a left hand, and Bukauskas is able to retreat before the others that follow it can find his chin. The Lithuanian lands another front kick, and he is timing the bull-rush of Oleksiejczuk and shoots in with a takedown only to get stood up. Bukauskas stands up and gets off a right hand, but he gets clipped with a left backing away. The two clinch up, only to shove off and trade leather again. Oleksiejczuk stalks him down, cutting off the cage and not letting Bukauskas get away. “Lord” gets off a left hand, but he gets rocked with a right hand. Bukauskas hurts him with follow-up shots, and a front kick to the solar plexus stings him as well. Oleksiejczuk gathers himself and recovers with a right hand, and Bukauskas’ hands are quicker and he reaches out a jab. Oleksiejczuk wings up with a monster right hook and hurts Bukauskas, but the Lithuanian shakes it off and gets back to his range. Oleksiejczuk lands at the end of a right hand, and he rushes forward with a looping left hand that Bukauskas is able toa void. “The Baltic Gladiator” stabs out a front kick a few times, piercing his foe’s midsection a few times with his toes. Bukauskas keeps his distance with long punches, but Oleksiejczuk catches up with him and plants his fist on Bukauskas’ body. Oleksiejczuk puts everything he has into a few wildly inaccurate strikes, and he bobs and weaves when Bukauskas comes back at him. Bukauskas gets off a spinning back kick to the body, and Oleksiejczuk cracks him with a right high kick moments before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bukauskas
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Bukauskas
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bukauskas

Round 2
The round begins with a huge overhand right from Bukauskas, and Oleksiejczuk is barely able to roll with it. Bukauskas circles out as Oleksiejczuk is chasing after him, but Oleksiejczuk is still able to reach him with a left and then a right. Bukauskas blocks a right hand, only for the second punch to get through his guard, but he wears it well. Bukauskas whiffs on a one-two, and Oleksiejczuk rushes forward with a left hand that lands flush to the liver. Oleksiejczuk charges in like a bull, winging left hands and unable to find his mark. Bukauskas stands still to throw a strike, but in doing so, he allows for Oleksiejczuk to counter him. Oleksiejczuk tags him with a left hand, but Bukauskas does not let Oleksiejczuk continue with a barrage as he backs off and kicks the body. Oleksiejczuk returns fire with a punch to the body, and his left hand is finding its home more in this round. Bukauskas puts his foot on Oleksiejczuk’s body, Oleksiejczuk walks through it to throw a pair of big shots. Bukauskas blocks them but they still leave their mark, and the two clinch up and Oleksiejczuk gets off a knee. Oleksiejczuk lumbers forward with wild punches, but this allows Bukauskas to circle off and throw a trio of huge right hands that all come short of his intended target. Bukauskas lets go with a body kick, and although Oleksiejczuk catches it, he cannot take advantage of the position. Oleksiejczuk continues to stride forward to attack, and Bukauskas counters him with a short elbow but he cannot keep the Polish man at bay from clinching. After a brief twirl about on the fence, they separate and Bukauskas boots Oleksiejczuk in the head. Bukauskas’ punches do some damage as he lets them go with reckless abandon, and he chases Oleksiejczuk down and lands several more before the horn blares to signal the end of the frame.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bukauskas
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Bukauskas
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bukauskas

Round 3
The light heavyweights touch gloves to clock in the last five-minute period, and Oleksiejczuk blitzes forward to throw several big punches. Bukauskas counters with a right hand, stifling the movement of Oleksiejczuk and allowing Bukauskas to retreat. Bukauskas lands a one-two, and he paws away an oncoming punch as he keeps his distance. Oleksiejczuk has a left hand bounce off Bukauskas’ high guard, and Bukauskas blasts him with an uppercut. Oleksiejczuk eats it like bigos stew and starts to fire back, scoring successfully with his stern left hand on a few occasions. Oleksiejczuk works the body as Bukauskas tries to back off, but Oleksiejczuk is on him and clinches up while blocking a counter elbow up top. Oleksiejczuk keeps his body weight pressed on his foe, but Bukauskas eventually has enough of it and pushes off with a knee up the middle. Oleksiejczuk pours it on with a storm of punches, and Bukauskas is able to keep his composure and counter the strikes while staying on his bike. The Lithuanian spins around and has a back kick bounce off Oleksiejczuk’s shoulder, and Oleksiejczuk returns fire with a left hook. Oleksiejczuk cracks Bukauskas with a right hook, and Bukauskas greets him coming forward with his own left hand. The two start trading recklessly, and Oleksiejczuk hurts Bukauskas badly with a left hand to the liver. Oleksiejczuk does not see that he damaged Bukauskas, and instead goes after a single leg takedown that is thwarted. Bukauskas gathers himself, fires off a high kick, and reaches out with a few punches while staying away from the power punches coming his way. The tense round, and fight, ends with a brief flurry from both sluggers.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk (29-28 Bukauskas)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk (29-28 Bukauskas)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk (29-28 Bukauskas)

The Official Result
Michal Oleksiejczuk def. Modestas Bukauskas via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Expert Picks (6)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Big Brady picks Michał Oleksiejczuk to win by first-round knockout. He notes Oleksiejczuk's early power and body work, and that Bukauskas has poor striking defense and is hittable. He acknowledges Bukauskas' cardio and ability to come back late if Oleksiejczuk gasses, but believes the finish will come early. He also likes the prop 'fight doesn't go to decision' as a better bet than the moneyline.

Oleksiejczuk by KO round 1; fight doesn't go to decision (under)
"i'm going to go with olez chuck to win by first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Cody picks Oleksiejczuk but prefers the under 2.5 rounds prop. He notes that Oleksiejczuk has a lot of power and comes out aggressively, but his cardio is poor. He thinks Bukauskas has a tall man stance and suspect chin, so Oleksiejczuk will likely finish him early or gas out and get finished himself. The under 2.5 rounds covers both scenarios.

Under 2.5 rounds -155
"the move here is you probably go for that under two and a half rounds that minus 155"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 23, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Daniel Levi picks Michał Oleksiejczuk to knock out Modestas Bukauskas early. He notes that Oleksiejczuk has better boxing and technique, but worries about his cardio and chin after the OSP fight. Levi believes Bukauskas is a big boy who can come on late if Oleksiejczuk slows down, but he thinks Oleksiejczuk will finish it before that happens. He mentions Oleksiejczuk's size advantage and Bukauskas's tendency to get finished in the first round.

early knockout
"i'ma say it doesn't get there i'm gonna go with mccall early"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The host leans toward Michał Oleksiejczuk to win by second-round KO. He praises Oleksiejczuk's pressure, body work, and durability, but notes his poor takedown defense. He thinks Bukauskas will struggle to get him down and that Oleksiejczuk's striking will overwhelm him. He wants to see improved grappling from Oleksiejczuk before betting him confidently, but still expects a finish on the feet.

"I'll go mihao via second round ko"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Paul picks Oleksiejczuk, citing his power and good strike selection. He notes that Bukauskas has been knocked out before and has poor defense. He thinks Oleksiejczuk will win by knockout, but also likes the under 2.5 rounds prop. He is confident in the pick.

"i think he wins i would be more inclined to bet him by knockout though"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The Guru picks Michał Oleksiejczuk by first-round TKO, citing Bukauskas's weak chin and hesitancy. He notes Bukauskas was KO'd by Jimmy Crute and has been dropped in wins. He compares Crute's game plans: Crute grappled Oleksiejczuk but stood with Bukauskas, indicating Oleksiejczuk's striking is superior. He expects Bukauskas to be gun-shy and get clipped by a combination. He dismisses Bukauskas's UFC win as an illegal finish.

Oleksiejczuk by TKO round 1
"i'm going to go with macau alexay chuck my first round tko over modesto spakauskas"
Submission (kimura) R1 3:29
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jimmy Crute 0 2 of 8 25% 13 of 23 8 of 10 80% 1 0 3:01
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 3 of 6 50% 7 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jimmy Crute 0 2 of 8 25% 13 of 23 8 of 10 80% 1 0 3:01
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 3 of 6 50% 7 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jimmy Crute 2 of 8 25% 2 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 2 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jimmy Crute 2 of 8 25% 2 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 2 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (2)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Daniel Levi picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, arguing that he is more mature and further along in his development than Jimmy Crute. He notes that Oleksiejczuk has faced tougher competition and has shown better composure, while Crute fights with his hands down and lacks discipline. Levi believes Oleksiejczuk's firepower will be too much early, and he predicts a first-round knockout.

first round knockout
"I think that Mikolajczyk has always been more far along than gym crew, I think he's better than gym crew."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2020 (9 days before fight)
Jimmy Crute

The host picks Jimmy Crute, noting that Michał Oleksiejczuk gasses badly if he doesn't get a finish in the first minute. He believes Crute can wear out Oleksiejczuk's arms in the first round and cruise to a unanimous decision. He also mentions Crute's previous win over Misha Cirkunov.

unanimous decision
"I think Jimmy Cruz gonna get this one done by unanimous decision getting the job done"
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ovince Saint Preux 0 37 of 78 47% 39 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:30
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 14 of 48 29% 20 of 54 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ovince Saint Preux 0 33 of 59 55% 35 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:17
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 5 of 27 18% 5 of 27 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:20
2 Ovince Saint Preux 0 4 of 19 21% 4 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 9 of 21 42% 15 of 27 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:29
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ovince Saint Preux 37 of 78 47% 23 of 59 13 of 18 1 of 1 32 of 71 2 of 2 3 of 5
Michał Oleksiejczuk 14 of 48 29% 5 of 36 9 of 12 0 of 0 11 of 45 3 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ovince Saint Preux 33 of 59 55% 20 of 43 13 of 16 0 of 0 29 of 53 1 of 1 3 of 5
Michał Oleksiejczuk 5 of 27 18% 3 of 23 2 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Ovince Saint Preux 4 of 19 21% 3 of 16 0 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 9 of 21 42% 2 of 13 7 of 8 0 of 0 7 of 19 2 of 2 0 of 0
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 6 of 13 46% 6 of 13 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 3 8 of 10 80% 8 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 6 of 13 46% 6 of 13 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 3 8 of 10 80% 8 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michał Oleksiejczuk 6 of 13 46% 5 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 8 of 10 80% 8 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 1 of 1 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 6 of 13 46% 5 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 8 of 10 80% 8 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 1 of 1 4 of 4
TKO (body punch) R1 1:34
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 9 of 20 45% 9 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gian Villante 1 14 of 22 63% 14 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 9 of 20 45% 9 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gian Villante 1 14 of 22 63% 14 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michał Oleksiejczuk 9 of 20 45% 6 of 12 0 of 4 3 of 4 9 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gian Villante 14 of 22 63% 10 of 18 4 of 4 0 of 0 13 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 9 of 20 45% 6 of 12 0 of 4 3 of 4 9 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gian Villante 14 of 22 63% 10 of 18 4 of 4 0 of 0 13 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 3
No Contest (overturned) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 52 of 180 28% 67 of 198 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 76 of 130 58% 113 of 171 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 26 of 87 29% 26 of 87 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 33 of 54 61% 35 of 56 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:00
2 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 19 of 71 26% 20 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 36 of 66 54% 36 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 7 of 22 31% 21 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 7 of 10 70% 42 of 49 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michał Oleksiejczuk 52 of 180 28% 37 of 153 12 of 21 3 of 6 44 of 171 8 of 9 0 of 0
Khalil Rountree Jr. 76 of 130 58% 40 of 89 29 of 33 7 of 8 67 of 120 3 of 4 6 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 26 of 87 29% 16 of 73 8 of 11 2 of 3 20 of 80 6 of 7 0 of 0
Khalil Rountree Jr. 33 of 54 61% 19 of 39 14 of 15 0 of 0 33 of 53 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Michał Oleksiejczuk 19 of 71 26% 14 of 58 4 of 10 1 of 3 17 of 69 2 of 2 0 of 0
Khalil Rountree Jr. 36 of 66 54% 15 of 41 15 of 18 6 of 7 33 of 63 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Michał Oleksiejczuk 7 of 22 31% 7 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0 7 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Khalil Rountree Jr. 7 of 10 70% 6 of 9 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 6