Brendan Allen
"All In"Career Averages
Win Methods (14)
Loss Methods (4)
Fight History
Expert Picks (11)
The host predicts Brendan Allen to win by submission in round two, likely with a rear naked choke. He notes that Shahbazyan is dangerous in round one with knockout power, but after that, Allen's grappling advantage takes over. He mentions that Allen has good takedowns and a strong back take, and that Shahbazyan's takedown defense fades as the fight goes on.
AJ picks Allen by submission, emphasizing Allen's elite grappling and wrestling advantage over Shahbazyan. He acknowledges Shahbazyan's striking skills but believes Allen will get the fight to the ground and submit him. AJ notes Allen's recent wins over top competition and expects a submission victory.
Angelo picks Brendan Allen, citing his clear advantage in wrestling and takedowns. He notes that Shahbazyan's takedown defense is a huge hole, and as long as Allen sticks to the game plan of getting takedowns and keeping him on the ground, he wins. He is slightly concerned about Allen's recent training camp comments but assumes he is ready.
Big Brady picks Brendan Allen to win by second round submission. He is not impressed with Shahbazyan's recent wins and notes that Shahbazyan quits when grappled. He thinks Allen should take him down and submit him, but worries about Allen's fight IQ and tendency to strike. He believes Allen is the better fighter and should win.
Brendan Allen fights like an idiot and often sells fights, as seen against Chris Curtis and Anthony Hernandez. Edmen Shahbazyan has knockout power and will likely chin Allen in round two. Shahbazyan is a huge underdog but has been training takedown defense at Extreme Couture.
Cody confidently picks Brendan Allen, arguing that Allen's wrestling and grappling will overwhelm Shahbazyan as the fight progresses. He notes Shahbazyan is dangerous in the first round but fades, and Allen has proven cardio and durability against top competition. He sees Allen as a -600 fighter at -200.
Brendan Allen is picked because he has better versatility and can grapple with Edmen Shahbazyan. The host is not sold on Shahbazyan's resurgence, noting his wins over Andre Muniz and Andre Petroski are not impressive. Allen's ground and pound and submission skills are highlighted, though he makes mistakes. The host expects Allen to win by decision, using cage control and clinch work.
Allen is a top-five middleweight with a clear grappling advantage. Shahbazyan has been submitted by lesser grapplers and hasn't faced anyone near Allen's level. Allen should get a first-round submission.
Lucrative James acknowledges Brendan Allen is the better all-round fighter and would pick him if forced, but sees value in Edmen Shahbazyan as a plus-money underdog. He notes Shahbazyan's knockout power and Allen's questionable durability and fight IQ, especially after Allen's brawl with Marvin Vettori. He believes Shahbazyan's best path is a round 1 or 2 KO, and that the betting value lies on the underdog.
Allen has superior durability and cardio; he should weather Shahbazyan's early striking and then take over in later rounds with grappling and body kicks. Shahbazyan tends to fade, and Allen will likely get a rear-naked choke in round 2.
Paul picks Brendan Allen but is hesitant due to Shahbazyan's first-round danger. He agrees Allen will take over in rounds 2 and 3, but is not getting heavily invested pre-fight. He suggests live betting Allen after the first round for better value.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinier de Ridder | 0 | 9 of 13 | 69% | 61 of 72 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 1 | 0 | 7:05 |
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 22 of 37 | 59% | 97 of 134 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 2 | 11:39 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reinier de Ridder | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 40 of 47 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 4:04 |
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:32 | |
| 2 | Reinier de Ridder | 0 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 10 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:48 |
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 27 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:45 | |
| 3 | Reinier de Ridder | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 4 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:13 |
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 27 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 3:26 | |
| 4 | Reinier de Ridder | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 37 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:56 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinier de Ridder | 9 of 13 | 69% | 4 of 5 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Brendan Allen | 22 of 37 | 59% | 19 of 33 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 27 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reinier de Ridder | 3 of 4 | 75% | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Brendan Allen | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Reinier de Ridder | 5 of 6 | 83% | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Brendan Allen | 12 of 18 | 66% | 11 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 13 | |
| 3 | Reinier de Ridder | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brendan Allen | 4 of 10 | 40% | 4 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | |
| 4 | Reinier de Ridder | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brendan Allen | 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: de Ridder (-200); Allen (+170)
Round 1
Although not born in the Great White North, late replacement Allen (25-7, 13-4 UFC) will nevertheless be hoisting the flag covered by a red maple leaf in honor of his grandparents. He will serve as a fairly significant betting underdog as he takes on submission magician de Ridder (21-2, 4-0 UFC), even though he too is quite a grappler in his own right. What could be a delight on the ground or a wild one on the feet will have five rounds to air out, and referee Jason Herzog brings the 185-pounders to the center of the cage to issue their final instructions. They touch gloves respectfully. It’s on with the show.
De Ridder opens with a low kick and a takedown shot, and Allen stonewalls him immediately and knees him in the chest. They both wrangle one another around in the subsequent clinch while spamming knee strikes, and Allen shoves the Dutchman to the fence. De Ridder deftly hits a trip and lands in full mount, putting Allen in a precarious position less than one minute in. “The Dutch Knight” wraps up an arm-triangle choke from mount that he uses to smother his opponent. Allen stays calm and composed while a roughly 200-pound man is partially using a Mother’s Milk submission on him, and he turns and almost gives his arm up. De Ridder thinks about going after it, but he instead allows Allen to keep twisting so he can secure the back from the Louisiana native.
De Ridder wraps up the body triangle and has Allen leaning on him, so he torques himself to have Allen flat and stuck hand-fighting. While Allen fights off the grip, De Ridder makes his life miserable and lets Allen keep twisting to put him flat on his belly. Allen gets to his knees with the body lock in place, and he tries to drag himself towards the fencing but begins to take shots to the ear from the Dutch fighter. De Ridder rolls and grabs hold of the neck, and Allen, a rear-naked choke specialist, is fully capable at the moment of defending from the various directions. De Ridder clings to the shoulder when Allen almost shakes him off, and he fastens an arm around the chin just to restrict the breathing. De Ridder flattens Allen out for a second and stars bludgeoning him with punches to the side and back of the head, and Herzog is telling him to knock it off but little more. Allen twists his way out and ignores an armbar setup to turn De Ridder over, and the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 de Ridder
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 de Ridder
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 de Ridder
Round 2
The athletes get to the second stanza, and Allen is the one to push the pace. In doing so, he walks into a punch and three body kicks. Allen points at his opponent and spins at him with an elbow, closing the distance to hurl a couple short strikes after it. De Ridder welcomes this, snatching Allen up and pressing him to the wire. De Ridder drives knees to the midsection when not level changing, and he drops down to his knees to go for a double-leg takedown. Allen’s defense holds up on this effort, so de Ridder transitions to an outside trip that he uses to drag Allen to the floor. De Ridder sits on top and pops him with his shoulder a few times, completely nullifying “All In” and making him have to fight off everything. De Ridder imposes his weight on Allen’s back, pushing off the fence to drag them down, and Allen slides out and assumes top control with a sneaky reversal.
Allen connects with short strikes including a few slashing elbows, grinding his forehead down to exude as much pressure as he can muster to shut down the Dutchman. Allen hammers his opponent with elbows, and de Ridder rolls to threaten with an armbar using his offensive guard. Allen breaks through the tries and steps over through to the side so that he can drum down his own attacks. De Ridder looks for an armbar trap while Allen is hacking at him, and Allen stays smart and keeps his strikes tight and compact to not open himself up for anything. De Ridder abandons it and rolls over to his knees, only for Allen to put him back on his back. The Dutch fighter puts his legs up and to the side of the head in hopes of catching Allen unaware, even trying for an armbar before even getting hold of Allen’s limb, and Allen laughs it off and hits de Ridder with ground-and-pound until the round wraps.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Round 3
Allen goes right after his opponent to get started, pitching a body kick at the Dutch fighter who appears to be slowing. De Ridder punches his way into a takedown shot, and Allen runs across the cage with de Ridder behind him and is dragged to the floor. De Ridder clings onto the back and tries to lace up a body triangle, and Allen turns through it until he doesn’t. De Ridder claims back control, and he starts hunting for a choke. Allen punches him behind his own head, and de Ridder appears to have some damage around his right eye that is leaking blood down his cheek. Allen turns all the way through to wind up on top, and de Ridder clings to an arm-triangle choke that he does not get. Allen opens up the guard with elbows, and de Ridder hunts for an armbar that is nowhere near close to finding.
De Ridder does manage to turn over by threatening with his offensive guard, although Allen welcomes this by opening up with power punches to the side of the dome. De Ridder rolls to his back, and Allen lays into him with punishing punches and eviscerating elbows. Blood starts to pool around de Ridder’s eye sockets, and Allen grinds his elbow on the face and keeps doing damage. De Ridder desperately throws up his legs to hook in an inverted triangle choke, and Allen does not appear concerned as he drops down a few hammerfists and slips his head out. The round over, de Ridder is on the ground for quite some time. Herzog asks him if he can get up, and eventually, he stands, but was precariously close to being called out for not getting back to his stool.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Round 4
The physician checks on de Ridder between rounds, who is so visibly fatigued he almost cannot stand up. De Ridder says he is ok, so the fight continues and the championship rounds are here. Allen, knowing that de Ridder’s goose is likely cooked, sprints at his wiped opponent and completes one of the easiest double-leg takedowns he has ever landed against a high-level adversary. De Ridder feebly offers a submission setup from his back, and Allen punches him out of it. Herzog tells Allen to keep it clean, as Allen is drilling de Ridder in the side of the head with his fists and elbows. A hematoma has formed on the right temple of the exhausted Dutchman, and Allen slowly, methodically drums on him with ground-and-pound. Allen resides in de Ridder’s guard, working him over until Herzog tells him to be more active.
This spurs de Ridder, of the two, to offer up some resistance in the form of an armbar. Allen lets de Ridder twist and turn, clubbing him with ground strikes that further make this day the worst for de Ridder in quite some time. The damage is not particularly frightening, but Allen has become a steamroller completely taking all of the energy reserves out of the man on bottom. Allen smothers and grinds, making sure that de Ridder has no room for escape and no space to get something off. Allen stands up, and de Ridder does not. Herzog tells the corner to get away, as they cannot help him back up. De Ridder manages to stand. It is a moral victory, him merely standing up and walking to his stool, as he has nothing left to offer. Rather than send their man out for another five-minute slow cooking, the Dutchman's corner throws in the towel on his behalf. The fight is over, and Allen has prevailed by technical knockout as a late replacement. Allen claimed he wanted to break his opponent, and by definition, he did just that.
In his post-fight interview, Allen first requests a moment of silence for his fallen former coach, "Duke" Roufus, who passed away yesterday. Even after 20 minutes of grueling combat, Allen appears fairly fresh. The skillful middleweight issues three callouts, covering all his bases: Khamzat Chimaev, or if not him, Dricus du Plessis. If for some reason both turn him down, he asks for a rematch with Sean Strickland as the two toed the line about five years ago at 195 pounds. Should any of those happen, we will be here for it. Additionally, UFC 321 is next weekend, with the heavyweight throne on the line. We will absolutely be there for that one, which starts at 10 a.m. ET, and we hope you are too.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Allen
The Official Result
Brendan Allen def. Reinier de Ridder R4 5:00 via TKO (Corner Stoppage)
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo is confident Reinier de Ridder wins, citing his size, grappling, and durability. He notes de Ridder's impressive performances against Whittaker, Bo Nickal, and Cannonier. He believes Brendan Allen will fade, similar to his fight against Anthony Hernandez, and that Allen's camp change is a disadvantage.
Big Brady acknowledges de Ridder's unorthodox striking but highlights his size, power, and dangerous knees. He thinks de Ridder has better cardio than Allen on short notice and is more dangerous in both striking and grappling. He predicts de Ridder knocks out Allen in the second round.
Cody picks de Ridder, citing his size, physicality, and excellent jiu-jitsu. He notes de Ridder's funky striking and ability to tax opponents with cage control, as seen in the Whittaker fight. He believes Brendan Allen's cardio issues and short notice will be exploited over five rounds, leading to a late stoppage or decision.
Connor leans toward de Ridder but acknowledges Allen's chances. He notes that Allen is well-rounded and could be competitive if he pushes forward and stays confident. However, he thinks Allen is likely to grapple with de Ridder, which plays into de Ridder's strengths. Connor also mentions that de Ridder is defensively flawed and could be knocked out by a big shot.
James sees similarities between de Ridder and Dricus du Plessis, noting that de Ridder's unorthodox style, including a devastating step-in knee and judo trips, makes him difficult to prepare for. He believes Brendan Allen will start well but fade due to short notice and cardio issues, with de Ridder's pressure and grappling taking over in later rounds. James predicts a finish in rounds 3 or 4.
The host thinks de Ridder will utilize his aggressiveness to keep Allen on the back foot and mix in wrestling. He believes Allen's submission defense will be good enough to avoid a finish, but unless the short notice fight causes his gas tank to fail, de Ridder will keep top pressure and control to win on the scorecards.
Paul agrees with Cody, emphasizing de Ridder's size and grappling pressure. He highlights Brendan Allen's tendency to fade in later rounds, as seen against Vettori and Curtis, and believes de Ridder's full camp and five-round experience will be decisive. He expects de Ridder to win by late stoppage or decision.
The MMA Guru picks Reinier de Ridder over Brendan Allen. He references de Ridder's performance against Whittaker and his body knees. He believes Allen is stationary and will be vulnerable to body knees, leading to a submission or TKO. He predicts de Ridder will hurt Allen with a knee to the body and finish with a submission in round two or three.
Zane picks de Ridder, citing his aggression and ability to finish. He notes that de Ridder is more aggressive and looks to finish, while Allen tends to have close fights against composed opponents. Zane believes de Ridder's size and ability to reverse positions will be key, and that Allen's attack-focused grappling may lead to losing positions.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Vettori | 0 | 109 of 253 | 43% | 115 of 262 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:17 |
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 111 of 224 | 49% | 119 of 233 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marvin Vettori | 0 | 29 of 58 | 50% | 35 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:17 |
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 30 of 55 | 54% | 38 of 64 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 | |
| 2 | Marvin Vettori | 0 | 36 of 95 | 37% | 36 of 95 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 42 of 83 | 50% | 42 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Marvin Vettori | 0 | 44 of 100 | 44% | 44 of 100 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 39 of 86 | 45% | 39 of 86 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Vettori | 109 of 253 | 43% | 98 of 239 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 7 | 99 of 240 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 8 |
| Brendan Allen | 111 of 224 | 49% | 86 of 194 | 18 of 23 | 7 of 7 | 100 of 210 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 10 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marvin Vettori | 29 of 58 | 50% | 25 of 53 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 21 of 47 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 8 |
| Brendan Allen | 30 of 55 | 54% | 23 of 46 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 10 | |
| 2 | Marvin Vettori | 36 of 95 | 37% | 34 of 92 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 36 of 95 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brendan Allen | 42 of 83 | 50% | 32 of 71 | 6 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 41 of 82 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marvin Vettori | 44 of 100 | 44% | 39 of 94 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 42 of 98 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Brendan Allen | 39 of 86 | 45% | 31 of 77 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 36 of 83 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Allen (-245), Vettori (+200)
Round 1
Last year, middleweight contenders Vettori (19-8-1, 9-6-1 UFC) and Allen (24-7, 12-4 UFC) met on a casino floor, where their meeting ended with a brawl. The promotion elected to place that inside the Octagon, with referee Bassel Mahgoub in charge. They plan on settling their bad blood, and have the next 15 minutes or fewer to do so. There is no glove touch.
Vettori advances, trusting his iron chin, and he tests it early when Allen wings several high kicks and punches at him. Vettori takes them all cleanly without budging, firing back a right hook that shakes Allen up. Allen retaliates and busts Vettori’s nose up, and he shoots in for a double and hurls the Italian to the mat. Allen’s ground-and-pound makes Vettori turn around, and he takes the back and gets both hooks in. Allen starts hunting for a rear-naked choke, but partially because of the blood, Vettori slips his neck free. The explosive Italian surges up to a knee despite Allen riding him like a bucking bronco, under fire the whole time. Chants for “USA” in support of Allen boom in the building, and he clasps his hands and takes Vettori for a ride. Allen clings on the back but slides off, with Vettori assuming top position and finding himself quickly in leglock danger. Vettori pushes through the sub setup to spin around and deliver fierce ground-and-pound until Allen ties him up.
Vettori uses his elbow to bash Allen in the cheek, and his own strikes briefly have Allen turning around to present his own back. Vettori threatens with a rear-naked choke, and Allen shakes him off and gets to his feet. Allen drives a kick to the ribs, and they both nail one another with looping punches. Vettori’s face is a bloody mess but there may not be many individual cuts on it, and he is unconcerned as he lets his hands go and rings Allen’s bell once or twice. Allen absorbs a body kick and a right hand, and he jabs his man back. Allen tries to put a few punches together, and Vettori hits him harder and makes him reevaluate his approach. Vettori follows a jab with a left hand, and Allen cracks him with a right that sends him staggering back. Allen leaps forward and takes a right hand on the bow, and when he lands, they bang it out to the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Round 2
The middleweights measure one another with early jabs, with Allen’ head movement protecting him from most other than a couple straight left hands that reach him. Allen responds with a body kick, and Vettori snaps his head back with power jabs. A huge left hook from Vettori goes wide, and Allen times a solid body shot down the middle. Allen loops two lefts around the guard and points at the Italian, and Vettori returns fire with a pair of one-twos. Allen has busted Vettori up again with his brief but effective combos, and he times an elbow when Vettori comes at him. Allen slams a shin to the ribs and pecks out a jab, escaping out of the way from the worst of a pair of hooks. The two trade it out, with Allen pushing Vettori back after the exchange. Allen snaps out several jabs, rocking Vettori with two subsequent right hands that he celebrates by pointing at Vettori again. Allen walks Vettori down to the wall, cornering him and making him bite on fakes and feints.
Allen is briefly drawn into a slugfest that knocks him back, and he sees the telegraphed hurled arms coming at and past him. When Vettori misses, Allen stabs him in the torso with two front kicks, toes extended. They land at the same time, and Allen counts his connect and hits Vettori again for good measure. Vettori is bloodied and bruised but still throwing just as hard as before, clipping Allen at the end of a left but not slowing him down one instant. Allen is right back in his face with jabs and right hands to follow, and a body kick lands on the belt line as Vettori appears briefly concerned of a foul but does not ask for it to be called. Allen overswings a right hand, and Vettori stands him up with his counter. Allen replies with a right hand and points once more, drawing “The Italian Dream” into a slugfest where he controls the terms of engagement. Vettori knocks Allen back a step with a punch or two, but he cannot get Allen to reset as the pressure may be starting to get to him. Allen wraps his foot upside Vettori’s head, and Vettori drills him with a punch combination right as the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Round 3
Reaching the last round, Allen reintroduces himself with a body kick. Vettori does not want to be left out, and he hurls a high kick at his opponent that bangs into the guard. Allen chips at the front leg to disrupt Vettori’s forward movement, drilling him with a one-two after it. Allen pops Vettori in the chops with a right hand, briefly stunning him, but his remarkable durability is on display again as Allen walks him down pointing at him. Allen keeps his right hand up to parry the check right hook coming his way, slipping around another to catch Vettori. Not to be outdone, Vettori hurts Allen with a combination. Allen gathers his thoughts and makes blood spray from the Italian’s face with a thunderous combination, but Vettori does not so much as wobble. Vettori mixes up punches to split the guard with one, and Allen gives him something to think about with one to the solar plexus. Vettori wings a big left hand that skims off the side of the head, and his right that follows hits a little harder. Allen ignores them to work the body with a kick.
Allen keeps on the pressure, celebrating his handiwork when something clean lands and he avoids the response. He does this a few times, as Vettori slows every so often but is still throwing fire. Vettori whiffs with looping punches, and a left hand knocks Allen back a bit. Allen bites down on his mouthpiece and cracks Vettori back. Vettori is a bruiser and stands right in the pocket to trade, while Allen does the same and follows a few punches with a knee that stings his opponent. Vettori a little shaken up, Allen takes him down with a well-timed double. The Italian does not stay grounded for long, exploding back to his feet with a bit under a minute left. The defense falls through the floor for these two, who jack one another in the jaw with everything they still have. Allen lands a left and gets up a head kick on the other side, and his follow-up elbow hurts Vettori. Vettori backs off to the fence, bounces off it and rallies to engage in one final brawl. “All In” obliges him, and the two middleweights bang it out right to the final bell in a blood-and-guts battle that is an early frontrunner for “Fight of the Night” if one is awarded at night’s end. Each round was individually close, so scores could be all over the map here.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen (30-27 Allen)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Vettori (29-28 Allen)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vettori (29-28 Allen)
The Official Result
Brendan Allen def. Marvin Vettori via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Expert Picks (4)
Angelo picks Marvin Vettori despite being an underdog, citing his durability and consistent forward pressure. He questions Brendan Allen's mental consistency and identity, noting Allen's talent but tendency to underperform. He suggests a plus 3.5 bet on Vettori as a safer play.
Big Brady leans Marvin Vettori, disagreeing with the line that makes Allen a heavy favorite. He argues Vettori has advantages in striking volume, cardio, and durability, and that Allen's best wins are unimpressive. He expects a close split decision, possibly influenced by Allen's hometown.
The host thinks this is a great matchup for Vettori to keep the fight upright, bully Allen in the clinch and in pocket exchanges, and pull away on the scorecards. This indicates a clear path to victory.
The MMA Guru picks Brendan Allen over Marvin Vettori, predicting a 29-28 decision. He criticizes Vettori's lack of power and volume, noting that he landed only about 90 significant strikes in recent fights. Allen is described as more versatile with kicks and grappling, though he can be reckless. The Guru believes Allen will mix in takedowns and out-hustle Vettori, who is coming off a long layoff and personal issues. He also notes that Vettori cannot finish Allen and that Allen's chin is durable enough to handle Vettori's shots.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 14 of 26 | 53% | 53 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 3 | 2:58 |
| Anthony Hernandez | 0 | 30 of 42 | 71% | 72 of 91 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 0 | 2 | 10:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 30 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 2:09 |
| Anthony Hernandez | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 10 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:23 | |
| 2 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:44 |
| Anthony Hernandez | 0 | 13 of 16 | 81% | 25 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 4:04 | |
| 3 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 5 of 12 | 41% | 17 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:05 |
| Anthony Hernandez | 0 | 14 of 21 | 66% | 37 of 49 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 1 | 3:55 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 14 of 26 | 53% | 8 of 19 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Anthony Hernandez | 30 of 42 | 71% | 30 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 18 of 24 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 8 of 13 | 61% | 4 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Anthony Hernandez | 3 of 5 | 60% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | |
| 2 | Brendan Allen | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Anthony Hernandez | 13 of 16 | 81% | 13 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 15 | |
| 3 | Brendan Allen | 5 of 12 | 41% | 4 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Anthony Hernandez | 14 of 21 | 66% | 14 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 6 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
In 2018, Allen (24-6, 12-3 UFC) and Hernandez (13-2, 1 NC; 7-2 UFC) collided for the LFA middleweight strap, and “Fluffy” emerged the victor by decision. Since then, both men have made their mark on the UFC’s 185-pound division, and a spot in the top 10 now looms for the winner. Referee Mike Beltran will get to handle the proceedings for the co-main event, one that should have two extra rounds. Gloves are touched, and Allen opens up with a hearty low kick. Allen probes out a few jabs, and he disrupts Hernandez who is looking for an early takedown. Allen nails his foe with a leg kick and then wraps a head kick around the guard. With Hernandez stunned, Allen jumps on to his back, only for Hernandez to hurl him to his back. Allen scrambles wildly to get to his knees, and he nearly gets Hernandez’ back again in the process. Hernandez stops him from completing a takedown or back take, and he leans Allen against the wall. “Fluffy” wrangles Allen to the mat, where he lands in side control. The knee guard from Allen protects him from losing mount, and he sits up and leans up against the cage while Hernandez is still behind him. Allen tries to stand, but Hernandez is on him like a cheap suit, pushing on the back of Allen’s neck while always flirting with some kind of submission setup. Allen turns him around to claim top position, flipping Hernandez to his back and dropping down a few strikes. Hernandez strikes back off his back, being busy enough to make Allen think twice about recklessly passing guard. Allen partially isolates an arm-triangle choke while sitting in half guard, and Hernandez motions a thumbs-up to his corner. Allen postures up and jacks Hernandez in the jaw with a few punches, and he isolates Hernandez’ arm for an armlock setup. Allen nearly takes the back, but he slides into mount and starts hammering Hernandez in the face with right hands and elbows. Allen wraps up a rear-naked choke, and it is briefly under the chin until Hernandez turns himself to his back and slithers out. Allen smashes down with a number of elbows that split Hernandez’ forehead open, and the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Round 2
Allen kicks off the round with another powerful low kick, and Hernandez sprints at him in pursuit of a takedown. As they whirl around, Hernandez succeeds in grounding Allen. Hernandez hangs on from the side and keeps Allen on his seat, and he leans over to wrap up a guillotine choke. Allen escapes the submissions without a modicum of concern, and he keeps moving in hopes of rolling his foe over. Hernandez follows the scrambles and grabs hold of a rear-naked choke, and this time it is Allen who turns the proper directly to break it up. Hernandez gets one hook in while Allen is on his knees, and he elbows Allen in the side of the head. Allen hangs onto the wrist to keep Hernandez from gaining a dominant position, and he shoots in for a takedown only to find Hernandez setting up an anaconda choke. Allen knows it is coming and turns to his back, permitting Hernandez to establish top position for the moment. Allen turns over voluntarily and keeps spinning, and Hernandez him until exploding around to take Hernandez’ back. Allen has his own hook in, and he attempts a brute force neck crank without bothering to fasting his hooks or the grip all the way. Hernandez grits his teeth and stands up, chucking Allen to his back and dropping down heavy strikes. Allen scrambles and gives up half guard on his back so as to not be in submission danger, but this opens him up to Hernandez’ right hand and elbow. A few more strikes come from Hernandez before the round concludes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hernandez
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Hernandez
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hernandez
Round 3
The fighters hug it out as the third round begins, and this time Allen punches instead of kicks to get going. Hernandez strikes back, and Allen claims he was poked in the eye while Hernandez states it was a closed fist. Beltran calls time and checks the replay, and when they determine it was indeed a punch, they resume the action. Hernandez surges right forward to grapple, and Allen pushes it off and drills Hernandez in the face with a left hook. Hernandez clutches his eye as he is suddenly in jeopardy, and he backs away. When Hernandez’ back hits the fence, he swings hard, and Allen dodges and attempts a standing submission. The two scramble and return to their feet, where Allen again clubs his man in the face to hurt him. Hernandez desperately pursues a takedown, and Allen deliberately lowers himself to one knee to take knees to the head out of the equation. When Hernandez sells out for a takedown, Allen keeps himself afloat and never truly goes down, although he returns to one knee down. Hernandez has his hands clasped around the waist, and he turns the corner and gets Allen down to his seat momentarily. Allen winces and returns to a knee, and Hernandez slips his arm beneath the chin for a second but is stopped from getting a choke. Hernandez keeps heavy on top of his opponent, not letting Allen get to his feet, and Allen appears frustrated and wants to fight instead of wrestle in this stalemate position. Hernandez has no plan on changing gears, and he snatches up a rear-naked choke and falls off the side. Allen uses two-on-one wrist control to free himself from the worst of it, and he smacks Hernandez and knocks his mouthpiece out. The two fall all over the place, possibly from fatigue or sweat, and Hernandez is the one who establishes top position raining down strikes. Allen backwards somersaults in a desperate attempt to get out, but Hernandez hangs onto him until the final buzzer. This could have used two more rounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hernandez (29-28 Hernandez)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Hernandez (29-28 Hernandez)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hernandez (29-28 Hernandez)
The Official Result
Anthony Hernandez def. Brendan Allen via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo, a self-proclaimed 'fluffy underestimator', picks Anthony Hernandez for the first time. He credits Hernandez's incredible cardio as the key weapon that weaponizes his other skills, noting his win over Michel Pereira was wildly impressive. He thinks the pace will matter even in a three-round fight, and that Hernandez's work ethic makes the difference.
Big Brady picks Anthony 'Fluffy' Hernandez, noting his relentless wrestling and scrambling pace that most middleweights can't keep up with. He thinks Brendan Allen may have early success and win the first round, but Hernandez will wear him down, take him down, and dominate the later rounds. He references Allen's poor performance against Imavov, where he was out-grappled, and says if that version of Allen shows up, Hernandez finishes him. He predicts Hernandez by decision.
Connor picks Hernandez, agreeing that Allen's gas tank is a concern and that Hernandez's pressure will be too much. He notes that Allen improved a lot in the UFC and has submitted good grapplers, but Hernandez's style of constant scrambling and pace is a bad matchup. Connor also mentions that Hernandez's striking is terrible but his willingness to eat damage and keep pace makes it work.
The host believes Hernandez is clearly in his prime and will utilize his classic style: putting Allen through the ringer, pushing him against the cage, dragging him to the ground, and being too much. He predicts Hernandez wins on the scorecards.
The Guru picks Hernandez, citing his positional grappling dominance and better cardio compared to Allen. He notes Allen's tendency to lose position by chasing submissions, as seen in the Jacob Malkoun fight. He believes Hernandez is a better version of Malkoun—bigger, rangier, more durable—and will outgrapple Allen over three rounds. He also questions Allen's fight IQ.
Zane picks Hernandez because he believes Hernandez's relentless scrambling and pace will overwhelm Allen, who gassed against Nassourdine Imavov. He notes that Allen's best path is to catch Hernandez in a submission, but Hernandez never accepts a bad position and keeps scrambling. Zane also points out that Allen's striking is poor and he will willingly fall into the clinch, playing into Hernandez's game.
Sep 28, 2024
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nassourdine Imavov | 0 | 57 of 86 | 66% | 79 of 114 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 5:47 |
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 30 of 52 | 57% | 56 of 82 | 1 of 10 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 6:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nassourdine Imavov | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 21 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:45 | |
| 2 | Nassourdine Imavov | 0 | 23 of 33 | 69% | 31 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:32 |
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 8 of 19 | 42% | 11 of 23 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 | |
| 3 | Nassourdine Imavov | 0 | 33 of 50 | 66% | 43 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:15 |
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 18 of 28 | 64% | 24 of 35 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nassourdine Imavov | 57 of 86 | 66% | 51 of 80 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 37 of 59 | 7 of 9 | 13 of 18 |
| Brendan Allen | 30 of 52 | 57% | 20 of 41 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 6 | 20 of 38 | 6 of 10 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nassourdine Imavov | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brendan Allen | 4 of 5 | 80% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | |
| 2 | Nassourdine Imavov | 23 of 33 | 69% | 19 of 29 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 12 |
| Brendan Allen | 8 of 19 | 42% | 4 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Nassourdine Imavov | 33 of 50 | 66% | 31 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 38 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 6 |
| Brendan Allen | 18 of 28 | 64% | 13 of 23 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 21 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
On practically any other Fight Night card, this middleweight pairing would serve as the main attraction—and it could use the five-round treatment, as the winner might not be far from a title shot. Imavov (14-4, 1 NC; 6-2, 1 NC UFC) is coming off the biggest win of his career, having knocked out Jared Cannonier. His opponent Allen (24-5, 13-2 UFC) is riding a dynamite seven-fight win streak on his own ledger, and someone’s momentum will grind to a halt in the next 15 minutes or less. Referee Herb Dean will know first before anyone else, and he tells the fighters to fight as they acknowledge him and do not bump fists. Imavov takes to the center of the cage, and lets Allen come to him. Allen does just that, leaping in to land a few punches. Imavov pushes him away, getting away with an eye poke, and finds himself staring down the barrel of a takedown attempt. Allen easily lands the body lock, putting the Frenchman on his back and landing in side control. Allen imposes heavy shoulder pressure on the side of Imavov’s face, holding him tightly while Imavov signals to Dean that he is just holding him. Dean asks for more activity, leading to Allen shoulder-checking the local fighter. Imavov tries to buck and shift his hips, and he sits up and is otherwise stuck. Allen looks to assume full mount, and he gets caught and pulled into half guard. Allen opens up with short, stay-busy strikes, and he lowers himself down with a possible arm-triangle setup. Dean claps several times to prompt more action, and Imavov reassumes full guard. Allen postures himself up to land a single right hand, and it is one-and-done and makes Dean ask for more fighting a few times. Imavov sets up an armbar, but he lets it go and gets tagged with a hard right hand. Allen connects with a left while Imavov scoots his way closer to the fencing, and Dean is not overly thrilled by the lack of face-punching thus far. Allen allows Imavov to turn over to his knees, working the body with a knee and planting an elbow on the eyebrow before the grinder of a round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Round 2
Allen sprints out of his corner to engage, and he fires off a big right hand only to get poked squarely in the eye. Allen signals to Dean that he has gotten poked again, and Dean calls time. Allen frowns and takes a few seconds before resuming, and Dean tells Imavov to be careful. Allen shoots from one side of the cage to the other with a single, and Imavov defends this time and drops to his knees to sprawl effectively. Allen turns to his back, and Imavov lets him stand up. Allen fires off two low kicks and a left hook, and Imavov counters with a right hand over the top. Imavov rings two punches off and waves Allen on, who connects cleanly and shoots for a double. Imavov stuffs this shot masterfully, and he rolls Allen to his back and gets to north-south position. Imavov moves himself to side control, and Allen turns to his knees and starts absorbing fierce punches from the position. Allen’s small rubber bands holding his hair braids start breaking and shooting off his head, and a pile of them forms beneath him. Imavov postures up and batters “All In” with devastating right hands, and Allen is stunned and still with it. Allen explodes back to his feet and directly into a head kick, but he turns around and lets Imavov have it with counters. Imavov strings a combination together and stops a deep shot from Allen, dropping to his knees and considering a guillotine choke of his own to keep Allen honest. Allen breaks out of the choke and dives after the hips, and he twists and turns to not get tagged. This allows the Frenchman to mount him, and Allen turns to give his back up and surrenders both hooks. Allen hand-fights to protect his neck, and Imavov rolls for an armbar with 10 seconds left in the round. Allen defends properly and flips over, landing a few punches before time expires. Allen flashes a wide grin to his opponent after several minutes of grappling.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Imavov
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Imavov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Imavov
Round 3
The last round kicks off with Allen again pushing the pace, and after landing a few punches, Allen is driven back with a one-two. Imavov flicks a jab out and follows with a right hand, and Allen leaps after a single. Imavov defends with a sprawl in the center of the cage, pulling his leg out and letting Allen roll to his back so he can club him with right hands. Imavov, in guard, drops down a few punches to bloody the nose of the surging contender. Imavov’s left hands continue to find their home, and Allen pushes off the chest with his feet. Imavov dives after him with a right hand, and Allen sits up and spins around to pursue a double. The Frenchman defends with his back to the fencing, elbowing Allen on the side of the head when Allen turns it to a single. Imavov’s defense in the second and third rounds is immaculate, and Allen is the one getting tossed around at this point. Imavov loads up on short punches from inside, and Allen shoves him away and throws caution to the wind. Allen punches his way in close, and he blasts Imavov in the face with a knee. Imavov waves him on, and Allen tries to throw him to the mat. Allen walks Imavov down when they both are upright, and he overswings and ends up in a clinch. Allen informs Dean that Imavov is holding his gloves, and Dean looks closely but does not see anything. They break out of the clinch, and Allen whips an elbow up top and a clean knee on the chin. Allen shoots for a single with a minute to go, and when that fails, they start slugging it out. Imavov tags Allen, and Allen fires back hard. Allen tackles his foe down, but Imavov squirms away. Allen walks him down, gets clinched and spins with an elbow that misses. Imavov lands a few punches, and the nailbiter of a middleweight contest draws to a close.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Imavov (29-28 Imavov)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Imavov (29-28 Imavov)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Imavov (29-28 Imavov)
The Official Result
Nassourdine Imavov def. Brendan Allen via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo picks Nassourdine Imavov, though he thinks the -200 favorite line is a bit wide. He believes Imavov's size and wrestling will be too much for Brendan Allen, who has improved but struggled with Chris Curtis until he wrestled. Allen won't be able to outwrestle Imavov, and Imavov's striking will give Allen trouble. He also likes the over 2.5 rounds.
Big Brady picks Nassourdine Imavov by second-round knockout, citing Imavov's superior striking and takedown defense. He notes Allen has been on a streak but has poor striking defense (47%) and has been knocked out before. He expects Imavov to land significant shots and finish Allen.
Cody sees Brendan Allen as a live underdog due to his superior wrestling and grappling. He notes that Imavov has been protected from wrestlers and has shown defensive grappling vulnerabilities. Allen's game plan of takedowns and top control should neutralize Imavov's striking, and the three-round format favors Allen's approach.
Connor picks Imavov because he believes Allen's defensive deficiencies on the feet will be exploited by Imavov's size, range, and power. He notes that Allen's best wins have come against grapplers or lower-level strikers, and he has struggled against fighters who can keep him at range. Connor also points out that Allen tends to be cautious against strikers he respects, which will play into Imavov's hands. He acknowledges that Allen could win if he pressures relentlessly, but doubts he will do so effectively.
Daniel Vreeland picks Imavov to win, but is not confident he covers the -210 price. He thinks Imavov's speed, power, and distance management will be key, and that he has a good chance to knock out Allen. However, he believes if Imavov doesn't finish, the fight will be close and Allen has value as a dog. He ultimately picks Imavov but notes the price is high.
JP picks Nassourdine Imavov because he thinks the three-round format favors Imavov's striking. He notes Brendan Allen has a grappling advantage but Imavov throws harder, more accurate strikes and is more mobile. He says if it were five rounds, he'd pick Allen, but in three rounds Imavov should edge it out by decision.
Paul agrees with Cody, emphasizing Allen's seven-fight win streak and his ability to take down Chris Curtis six times. He believes Allen's grappling advantage is clear and that Imavov's defensive wrestling is suspect. Paul also notes that the line doesn't reflect the competitive nature of the fight, making Allen a good dog pick.
The MMA Guru picks Nassourdine Imavov over Brendan Allen, citing Imavov's technical striking and ability at all ranges. He notes Imavov's good takedown defense and performance against Strickland. He predicts Imavov will win a decision, possibly 30-27 or 29-28, and that Allen may get frustrated.
Zane picks Imavov because he sees Allen's striking defense as a major liability, especially against a rangy, powerful striker like Imavov. He notes that Allen's recent wins have come against grapplers or lower-tier competition, and he barely squeaked by Chris Curtis. Zane also points out that Imavov is durable and can maintain a steady pace, while Allen tends to struggle when forced to fight off the back foot. He believes this is the point where Allen's upward trajectory plateaus.
Apr 06, 2024
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 112 of 222 | 50% | 128 of 242 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 0 | 0 | 6:05 |
| Chris Curtis | 0 | 124 of 241 | 51% | 141 of 261 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 2 | 1:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 22 of 40 | 55% | 24 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 |
| Chris Curtis | 0 | 13 of 41 | 31% | 16 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 2 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 29 of 66 | 43% | 29 of 66 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Chris Curtis | 0 | 46 of 80 | 57% | 46 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 23 of 42 | 54% | 31 of 52 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:03 |
| Chris Curtis | 0 | 23 of 45 | 51% | 23 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 25 of 39 | 64% | 28 of 44 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 |
| Chris Curtis | 0 | 21 of 44 | 47% | 21 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:05 | |
| 5 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 13 of 35 | 37% | 16 of 38 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
| Chris Curtis | 0 | 21 of 31 | 67% | 35 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 112 of 222 | 50% | 72 of 172 | 25 of 34 | 15 of 16 | 108 of 214 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Curtis | 124 of 241 | 51% | 96 of 205 | 25 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 122 of 237 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 22 of 40 | 55% | 12 of 26 | 7 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 22 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Curtis | 13 of 41 | 31% | 8 of 34 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Brendan Allen | 29 of 66 | 43% | 20 of 55 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 28 of 64 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Curtis | 46 of 80 | 57% | 36 of 67 | 8 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 46 of 80 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Brendan Allen | 23 of 42 | 54% | 14 of 31 | 4 of 6 | 5 of 5 | 22 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Curtis | 23 of 45 | 51% | 18 of 38 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Brendan Allen | 25 of 39 | 64% | 16 of 30 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 25 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Curtis | 21 of 44 | 47% | 17 of 39 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Brendan Allen | 13 of 35 | 37% | 10 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 31 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Curtis | 21 of 31 | 67% | 17 of 27 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Chris Curtis because he already knocked out Brendan Allen in under two minutes in their first fight. He believes Allen's recent win streak is impressive but that he can only win by getting the fight to the ground, which is very difficult against Curtis's takedown defense. Angelo also notes that Curtis on short notice may be better because he doesn't overthink. He mentions that underdogs have won 63% of main events in 2024 and expects that trend to continue.
Big Brady picks Chris Curtis as the underdog, noting that he doesn't understand why Allen is a 2-to-1 favorite. He highlights Curtis's elite takedown defense, durability, and cardio, and believes the fight will take place on the feet, where Curtis is more defensively sound and durable. He thinks Allen is hitable and has been knocked out before, and predicts Curtis will find Allen's chin over 25 minutes and win by third-round knockout.
Cody agrees with Paul, noting that Allen's wins have come against one-dimensional grapplers, while Curtis is a sprawl-and-brawl boxer who works the body and legs. He points out that Curtis has looked midling lately but still has the style to beat Allen. Cody also highlights that Curtis knows Allen from sparring and took the first fight on short notice, and that the five-round fight favors Curtis's power and cardio. He expects Curtis to win by TKO again.
Daniel Vreeland picks Brendan Allen but is hesitant due to Allen's ego and past knockout loss to Curtis. He notes Allen has improved since their first fight, with a six-fight win streak and better grappling as a black belt. However, he worries Allen might get distracted by Sean Strickland's trash talk and engage in pocket exchanges where Curtis excels. Vreeland believes Allen has more paths to victory if he fights smart, using kicks and distance to avoid brawling, and can win by volume or submission if he gets top control.
Curtis has the striking advantage and an iron chin. Allen's wrestling isn't good enough to get Curtis down consistently. In the pocket, Curtis will land the bigger shots and likely knock Allen out again, as he did in their first fight. The line is too wide for Allen.
Paul thinks Chris Curtis is a bad matchup for Brendan Allen again. He notes Allen has improved but Curtis is a brick wall with solid boxing, body work, and five-round cardio. Paul believes Curtis's sprawl-and-brawl style will stifle Allen's takedowns and that Curtis will eventually land his power, likely by TKO. He also mentions Curtis took the fight on short notice last time and still won, and that the five-round distance favors Curtis's pressure.
The host provides a detailed breakdown, noting Allen was doing well in the first fight before getting caught. He highlights Allen's improved offensive grappling (submitting Paul Craig, holding his own against Jacob Malkoun) and striking. He sees Curtis regressing, losing power, and taking the fight on short notice. He predicts Allen will win by submission in the first round via rear-naked choke, using body kicks to set up takedowns and chain wrestling to take Curtis' back.
Nov 18, 2023
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 32 of 43 | 74% | 52 of 64 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 7:58 |
| Paul Craig | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 13 of 21 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 14 of 19 | 73% | 20 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:49 |
| Paul Craig | 0 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:34 | |
| 2 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 14 of 19 | 73% | 28 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 4:47 |
| Paul Craig | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Paul Craig | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 32 of 43 | 74% | 26 of 37 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 19 of 24 |
| Paul Craig | 6 of 14 | 42% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 14 of 19 | 73% | 9 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 8 |
| Paul Craig | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Brendan Allen | 14 of 19 | 73% | 14 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 16 |
| Paul Craig | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Brendan Allen | 4 of 5 | 80% | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Paul Craig | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Allen (-410), Craig (+320)
Round 1
At long last, we have reached the main event. Five rounds or less will decide a much-needed contender in the wide-open middleweight division. Two exceptionally talented and dangerous grapplers will ply their trade against one another, and referee Mark Smith will almost certainly get involved before it is said and done. Allen (22-5, 10-2 UFC) is aiming to add to his five-fight win streak, while Craig (17-6-1, 9-6-1 UFC) introduced himself to his lighter weight category by wrecking Andre Muniz in July. Before they inflict all sorts of violence on one another, they come together and stare down, but Craig does not want to touch gloves. They begin, and Craig leads with a low kick. Allen comes back with two punches, and he lands his own leg kick. Allen swings with everything he has, and he nearly topples over when missing. The two trade jabs, and Allen digs one to the breadbasket. They crash together, and Craig looks for a possible level change only to be met with a knee. Craig presses his man to the wall, and he drops down for a possible takedown. Allen stands him up before anything comes of it, but Craig is pressing him tightly against the wire. Allen knees the body and throws Craig over his hips, where he lands in full mount. Craig turns to his side, and Allen hammers him with a few punches and an elbow. Allen gets pulled back to half guard, and he is warned for hooking his toes in the fence. Allen hunts for an arm-triangle choke with pure chest and shoulder pressure, and Craig pushes both of his hands on Allen’s face to stop it. Allen isolates an arm and sneaks around to get the rear-naked choke, but Craig defends brilliantly with a calf slicer. Allen wrenches his leg out and turns around, and he attacks Craig’s ankle to keep him honest. Craig stands back up, and Allen slams him right back down to the mat. Allen smashes down with an elbow, and he cuts Craig’s eyebrow. The horn sounds, and Allen mocks him as they stand up.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Round 2
The middleweights meander towards one another to start off Round 2, and Allen sits down on a one-two that rocks Craig. Craig weebles and wobbles but does not fall down, and manages to catch Allen with his own right hook on the way. Craig shoots to save his chin, and Allen bowls him over and drives down an elbow. Allen frustrates his opponent with top control and sporadic elbows, and blood flows out of the corner of Craig’s eye. Allen looks for an arm-triangle choke and he steps into full mount, and Craig is in trouble but rolls to his side to break it up. “Bearjew” lands a few heel strikes to the thigh, and Allen answers him with elbows and a few smacking fists. Allen rails Craig with another elbow, and the cut on Craig’s eyebrow splits further. Craig maintains butterfly hooks, and Allen makes his life terrible with elbow after unanswered elbow. Craig throws his legs up to threaten with something, anything he can find, and Allen shucks them to the side and elbows Craig in the busted eye. Allen stacks his man up and gets illegally upkicked, and Smith warns Craig of the fouls. Allen hunts for another arm-triangle choke, and Craig is wise to it and defends before it comes together. Allen sneaks a guillotine under the chin when Craig sits up, and Craig keeps his back against the fence to stop his foe from getting the right leverage. Allen takes Craig’s back with seconds to go, and he looks for another rear-naked choke to end the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Round 3
The middleweights reach Round 3, and Allen starts off with his striking. Allen rips a left to the body and rings Craig’s bell with a left up top, and he jumps over Craig and snatches up a guillotine choke. Craig turns well enough to stop the choke from getting locked down, but he turns the wrong way.
Allen sees the opening and snatches it up in an instant, piggybacking Craig and wrapping up a rear-naked choke with practically zero setup. The RNC aficionado—Allen has won his last three fights with this submission—secures it under the chin and it is now a matter of time. The Scot thinks about going out on his shield, but he taps one time on the forearm to signal that he has been defeated.
Smith is right on top of the action and pulls them apart, and Allen confidently nods and calls for a big fight. On his post-fight interview, Allen asks for any top contender, no matter who they put in front of him, and he celebrates with his daughter in his arms. Allen asks her who won, and all smiles, she replies “Da da!” The UFC will be on break for a week, and fight fans in the U.S. will take the time off and celebrate Thanksgiving. When the UFC is back in December, we will be there, and we hope you are too.
The Official Result
Brendan Allen def. Paul Craig R3 0:38 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo is very confident in Brendan Allen, citing his five-fight win streak and well-rounded game. He notes Allen has better striking and wrestling than Paul Craig, and is putting everything together at the right time. He has bets on Allen and expects him to win.
Big Brady thinks the odds are silly because Paul Craig is always a live dog with his guard-pulling submissions. He questions Allen's fight IQ, expecting him to grapple despite the smarter path being striking. He picks Allen to win by submission, possibly a club and sub, but notes Craig is dangerous and can never be counted out. He says Allen has more ways to win but the fight could get tricky.
Cody picks Brendan Allen confidently, citing his significant advantages on the feet and well-rounded grappling. He notes that Paul Craig's only path is a submission via pulling guard, but Allen's top control and BJJ training make that unlikely. Cody mentions the line is wide but expects Allen to smash Craig, possibly by TKO. He acknowledges Craig's opportunistic submission game but sees Allen as too well-rounded.
Allen is the far superior striker with improved striking defense and a dangerous submission game. Craig has sketchy striking and relies on Jiu-Jitsu, but Allen can keep the fight standing and pick him apart. Allen will eventually find a TKO after posturing up with ground and pound, likely in the second or third round.
Paul agrees with Cody, fading Paul Craig as usual. He acknowledges Craig's magic touch and opportunistic submissions but notes that Craig's wins come against opponents with glaring weaknesses. Brendan Allen is young, well-rounded, and trains at a top gym. Paul highlights Allen's submission win over Andre Muniz and his ability to wrestle, grapple, and strike. He sees Craig's suspect gas tank as a liability in a five-round fight and expects Allen to win, likely by TKO.
The MMA Guru picks Brendan Allen to win by TKO at the end of round one after grappling exchanges. He believes Allen is a better jiu-jitsu player than Andre Muniz and has better takedown defense. He praises Allen's striking, including kicks and boxing, and notes his finishes over Bruno Silva and Krzysztof Jotko. He criticizes Paul Craig's standup and chin, and thinks Allen will land on him.
Jun 24, 2023
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 1 | 30 of 56 | 53% | 40 of 69 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 2:29 |
| Bruno Silva | 0 | 20 of 38 | 52% | 24 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 1 | 30 of 56 | 53% | 40 of 69 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 2:29 |
| Bruno Silva | 0 | 20 of 38 | 52% | 24 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 30 of 56 | 53% | 24 of 49 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 32 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 19 |
| Bruno Silva | 20 of 38 | 52% | 17 of 33 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 33 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 30 of 56 | 53% | 24 of 49 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 32 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 19 |
| Bruno Silva | 20 of 38 | 52% | 17 of 33 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 33 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Allen (-180), Silva (+155)
Round 1
A fight that seems destined for a finish will kick off the main card on ABC, as these two middleweights present dueling finish rates of 81% and 87%. Referee Marc Goddard is on his guard for this encounter between “All In” Allen (21-5, 9-2 UFC) and “Blindado” Silva (23-8, 4-2 UFC). The two do not bump fists before getting to it, and instead it is Allen as the attacker, swinging out a high kick that is parried with ease. Allen rushes out with a straight right hand and attempts another high kick, and the latter is blocked. Allen sneaks up a head kick, and Silva eats it and is forced to defend a takedown effort that follows. Allen rips the body with a kick, and he closes the distance and ignores a knee coming back at him. “All In” jams Silva up against the wire, and he connects with a short elbow as he does. Allen looks to muscle Silva down to the floor, and when his first try come up short, Goddard tells them to work. Allen keeps pressing on his foe to wear on him, and Goddard asks again for more activity. Allen breaks off and gets drilled with a right hand, and he counters Silva with a short right hand to shake the Brazilian up as a result. Allen drives a left hand through and rocks Silva, and he shoots for a double that gets stuffed. Silva backs him away and walks into an uppercut, and when Silva unloads with a few punches, he backs away to reset. Silva stings his man with a combination, and Allen shells up and counters with a pair of rights. Allen smashes his opponent on the side of the head with several vicious right hands, and the last one in a chain of them sends “Blindado” careening to the mat.
Allen jumps on top hoping to finish the job, and he busts Silva up with several punches on the way down. Silva turns to his side, and Allen hopes to take his back in the process. Allen hunts for a back take, and he gets a hook in. He does not need to even secure the other before he fastens a rear-naked choke up tightly.
Allen is in major trouble, and he does not have the wherewithal to fight the grip or get out of the precarious position. Instead, before he goes out, Silva is forced to tap out. That is another rear-naked choke for Allen, who waded through a firefight and showed off his improved striking before getting the club-and-sub finish.
The Official Result
Brendan Allen def. Bruno Silva R1 4:39 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo leans toward Brendan Allen, thinking he probably wins if he avoids Bruno Silva's big power. He notes Allen is well-rounded and on a four-fight win streak, but historically inconsistent. He considers a bet on Bruno Silva inside the distance (finish only) at plus money if available.
Big Brady picks Brendan Allen despite not trusting him, citing Allen's tendency to make poor fight IQ decisions. He notes Silva's massive hole in grappling with seven submission losses. He believes if Allen takes the fight to the mat, he will dominate via submission. However, if Allen chooses to strike, he risks getting knocked out by Silva's power. He predicts a first-round submission.
Cody picks Allen, agreeing that his wrestling and jiu-jitsu will be decisive. He notes Silva's power but thinks Allen can make the fight ugly and take him down. He compares Allen to Pat Sabatini in terms of grappling advantage.
Connor picks Allen, agreeing with Zane. He notes that Silva is a dangerous puncher but lacks form and consistency. Allen has been improving his striking under Henry Hoof and has become more durable. Connor points out that Allen has only been finished once early in his career and that his grappling is elite. He sees Silva's only chance as landing a lucky shot.
Daniel Levi picks Brendan Allen but is concerned about a letdown spot after losing a main event booking. He acknowledges Allen's superior skills but notes Silva's knockout power and Allen's history of being knocked out. He thinks Allen is the more skilled fighter but sees this as a dangerous fight and a dog-or-pass situation at -180.
The host picks Brendan Allen to win by submission. He believes Allen's grappling advantage will be too much for Silva, as Silva has struggled against grapplers in the past. He expects Allen to get the fight to the ground, work to dominant positions, and eventually find a submission. He also suggests the fight doesn't go to decision as a prop.
Paul picks Allen, citing his grappling advantage and ability to take Silva down. He notes Silva's power but thinks Allen can neutralize it with wrestling and submissions. He acknowledges the risk but believes Allen's grappling is the key.
The Guru picks Brendan Allen but expresses worry about Allen's tendency to strike instead of grapple. He believes Allen is much better than Gerald Meerschaert, who dropped Silva, and that Allen can frustrate Silva by mixing in grappling. He predicts Allen will shoot a takedown when Silva rushes with a combo and win by TKO via ground and pound. He pleads with Allen to grapple and not trade power punches.
Zane picks Allen, emphasizing his superior grappling and improving striking. He notes that Silva is a powerful but formless brawler who over-swings and leaves himself in bad positions. Allen is a shockingly good grappler with wins over Andre Muniz and Kevin Holland. Zane believes Allen can win via submission or decision, and that Silva's only path is a puncher's chance.
Feb 25, 2023
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 43 of 112 | 38% | 45 of 114 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| André Muniz | 0 | 42 of 102 | 41% | 64 of 129 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 4:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 16 of 40 | 40% | 16 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| André Muniz | 0 | 19 of 47 | 40% | 19 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 11 of 34 | 32% | 13 of 36 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| André Muniz | 0 | 12 of 28 | 42% | 25 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:44 | |
| 3 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 16 of 38 | 42% | 16 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| André Muniz | 0 | 11 of 27 | 40% | 20 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 1:28 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 43 of 112 | 38% | 25 of 88 | 8 of 13 | 10 of 11 | 43 of 111 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| André Muniz | 42 of 102 | 41% | 21 of 76 | 12 of 16 | 9 of 10 | 40 of 98 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 16 of 40 | 40% | 7 of 28 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 5 | 16 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| André Muniz | 19 of 47 | 40% | 8 of 32 | 6 of 9 | 5 of 6 | 19 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Brendan Allen | 11 of 34 | 32% | 7 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| André Muniz | 12 of 28 | 42% | 6 of 22 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | |
| 3 | Brendan Allen | 16 of 38 | 42% | 11 of 30 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| André Muniz | 11 of 27 | 40% | 7 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Muniz (-205), Allen (+175)
Round 1
A place among the top 10 at middleweight may loom for the victor of this match now serving as the main event. Muniz (23-4, 5-0 UFC) has yet to taste defeat since making his UFC debut in 2019, and he is fast approaching the company’s armbar record. Against him will be fellow willing grappler Allen (20-5, 8-2 UFC), and thrilling ground exchanges may ensue should this one hit the mat – although sometimes, the ground games cancel out and the two get things done with kickboxing instead. No matter where the fight ends up, referee Jason Herzog will be right there on top of the action. All class, the two 185ers touch gloves ahead of their scheduled melee. The two fighters in opposing stances gauge the range without throwing much of merit, other than a single leg kick on either side. Allen offers another low kick, and Muniz picks his leg up to give a partial check in time. Allen walks into a body kick as he chambers a right hand, and he shrugs it off and fires off another right over the top. Muniz front kicks the knee, and he backs off from a hook kick that whizzes past his face. Allen connects with a one-two that knocks the Brazilian back to the wall, shaking Muniz up briefly. Muniz fires back with a vengeance, swinging hard enough to make Allen think twice about coming in with an exchange. Muniz has two hooks bounce off the guard, and Allen catches him with a straight left and smiles. Allen absorbs a spinning kick to the midsection and bounces back, with Muniz’ corner loudly cheering from the audible impact. Allen recovers and strides forward to back Muniz up to the wall, where he lets go with a left hand and a body kick. Muniz replies with a trio of punches, driving Allen back briefly before Allen steps forward with a low kick and a pair of strikes up top. Muniz lines up a right hand that cracks Allen right on the temple, and Allen wears it well and looks for counters. When Allen scores a kick to the body, he ducks a huge right hand coming back from the Brazilian. Muniz pushes forward, ducking a punch, and he pursues a single and lifts Allen’s leg up to drag him away from the wall. Allen hops away and sprints to the fence to get his balance, and he keeps things upright. Allen overextends on a punch, and he just barely dodges oncoming fire aimed at his head. Muniz releases a body kick, and he pushes his hands out and his fingers scrape on Allen’s right eye. Herzog recognizes the accidental foul immediately, and Allen takes 30 seconds to blink it out before he is good to go. Allen strikes first with a fierce right hand, and he throws two more and has one of those blocked off the guard. Allen spins with a back kick to the body, Muniz answers with a flying knee, and Allen gathers his thoughts and strikes back with a superman punch before the bell sounds to end the close round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Round 2
The middleweights greet in the middle with a quick tap of fingers, and Allen reaches out with a right hand to start only to get countered with a body kick. The two trade shins to the midsection, and Muniz goes high with a pair of kicks. Allen rolls with both of them, and he steps through with a one-two down the pipe. The Brazilian measures another body kick, and he lunges with a subsequent right straight to surprise Allen. Allen steps through to spin with a back fist, grazing off the top of Muniz’ head, and Muniz answers with a few punches to the head in response. Allen steps in with a stomp kick to the knee, and Muniz lets three fists fly. Allen backs Muniz up to the wire to engage in a slugfest, and he pops Muniz and mixes in a knee for good measure. Muniz gathers his bearings and sneaks a right hand over the top, and they trade heavy strikes down the middle until “Sergipano” changes levels to take the fight down. When they hit the ground, Allen continues moving, and he manages to sweep Muniz over and put him on his back. Allen postures up to land an elbow, and Muniz wraps him up to prevent any additional blows. Allen pops up again to get off another cheeky elbow, picking his spots and damaging the bridge of Muniz’ nose a little to draw a thin trickle of blood. Allen continues to sneak in elbows as Muniz defends from the rest of the offense, and he uses them to step over into side control. Allen calmly uses presses his elbow on Muniz’ throat to hold him down, frustrating the Brazilian and landing a few punches before the horn blares.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Round 3
There is a respectful bow and an embrace between the two sudden headliners, who are ready for one final round. Muniz spins with a back kick, and when it grazes off Allen’s forearm, Allen motions to it to poke fun at him. Muniz lets his hands go, drilling Allen in the head with a right hook. Allen takes it flush and fires back, and Muniz keeps throwing and marking Allen’s face up. The Brazilian backs off to measure his range, and he scores with a one-two and a body kick in rapid succession. Muniz kicks low and swings a left hand with a wide arc when Allen advances, and he knocks Allen off-balance in a combination. Allen gains his footing and shakes his finger at him. Muniz strings together a few punches, and Allen lands one square on the button. Muniz does not budge and instead throws back with a vengeance until Allen disengages. Muniz throws a kick, and Allen snatches it out of the air, scoops him up and throws him to the mat. The American lands in side control, and he quickly moves to full mount and pursues an arm-triangle choke. Muniz rolls to give up his back, and Allen changes to get both hooks in and pursue a rear-naked choke. Muniz hand-fights to keep himself safe from choke danger, and Allen switches his grip and goes for a rear-naked choke on the other side.
Incredibly, the forearm of “All In” slides all under the chin, and Muniz is in serious jeopardy. Allen squeezes with all his might with both hooks in, and Muniz realizes his goose is cooked. For the first time in his professional career, the Brazilian taps out, surrendering to the choke with less than a minute to go in the fight.
What a spectacular win for Allen, who catapults himself up the middleweight rankings by doing what very few expected. In his victorious post-fight interview, Allen calls for the UFC to travel to Louisiana, and he is ready for the final question by calling for fights against Sean Strickland, Chris Curtis, Jack Hermansson or Dricus Du Plessis. Whether any of those matches materialize, we will be there for them. Next week, however, we have a massive pay-per-view UFC event in Las Vegas, featuring the return of Jon Jones against Ciryl Gane for the vacant heavyweight strap. We will undoubtedly be here for UFC 285, and we hope you are too.
The Official Result
Brendan Allen def. Andre Muniz R3 4:25 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Expert Picks (2)
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Muniz because he is a little too good for Allen. He notes that Allen has gotten lucky battling through bad positions, but this is where that luck runs out. Connor emphasizes Muniz's technical grappling and ability to force submissions, and while Allen is a confident grappler, Muniz's pressure and chain wrestling will be decisive.
Zane picks Muniz because of his superior positional grappling and chain wrestling. He notes that Muniz is a much better back-taker than Jacob Malcolm, who repeatedly took Allen down with single legs. Zane highlights Muniz's ability to cut through guards and create pressure, and while Allen is a tough grappler who scrambles well, Muniz's technical edge should prevail. He also mentions Muniz's tendency to gas in the third round but believes his early dominance will be enough.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 21 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:33 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 12 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 2:24 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 21 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:33 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 12 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 2:24 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 3 of 6 | 50% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 3 of 6 | 50% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 3 of 6 | 50% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 3 of 6 | 50% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Two of the quieter middleweights in the division with solid records and an eye on the rankings will come to blows now. Jotko (24-5, 11-5 UFC), who has earned 10 of his 11 UFC victories on the scorecards, will tangle with Allen (19-5, 7-2 UFC) and his 79% finish rate. The match will be officiated by referee Kerry Hatley, and the bad blood brewing this past week results in no touch of gloves. Jotko claims the center of the cage and takes a stomp kick to the knee when coming forward. Allen swats at him with several left hands, but a body kick is the strike that gets through and lands with a thud that echoes through the empty building. When Allen kicks again, he falls over, and Jotko climbs on top of him. Allen throws his legs up and sets up a straight armlock, but the Polish fighter is savvy enough to twist the right way through it to free his limb and keep top position. Jotko presses heavily with his full body weight while in half guard, smothering Allen and occasionally landing a punch or two. After a stalemate with Jotko holding him down, Allen explodes out of the position and flips Jotko over to his back. Jotko clings with a closed guard to trap Allen from delivering any ground-and-pound, and he holds Allen behind the neck as well. Allen cranks his foe’s neck from behind to open up the guard, and when he begins to open up with strikes, Jotko scrambles and works his way up. When clinched up, Allen muscles Jotko to the mat, and through sheer force of will, he manages to power Jotko to his back. Allen initially claims mount, but he settles for half guard as he fishes for a submission setup. Allen uses his shoulder and right arm to keep Jotko pinned to the mat, and Jotko bucks to turn to his knees.
Allen seizes on this moment expertly, following Jotko every step of the way and claiming his back. From there, Allen instantly finds the neck with a rear-naked choke grip, and it is academic at this point. Jotko rolls to his back, but the choke is going nowhere, so he has to surrender.
Allen is now the first fighter in over eight years to land a submission on Jotko, while notching his fourth sub since joining the UFC in 2019. After getting the finish, Allen goes over to squash the beef with his former opponent, and cooler heads appear to prevail.
The Official Result
Brendan Allen def. Krzysztof Jotko R1 4:17 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Expert Picks (3)
Cody picks Brendan Allen by decision, citing Allen's youth and improvement. He notes that Jotko's style of controlling against the cage may not be enough to win rounds if he doesn't do damage. He expects a greasy, close fight and takes the slight underdog.
Paul leans towards Brendan Allen as a slight underdog, believing the fight is 50/50. He notes that Jotko's control-heavy style may not impress judges, and Allen has shown improvements and a willingness to push the pace. He expects a close fight and gives a slight edge to Allen on the feet.
The MMA Guru picks Krzysztof Jotko, calling him a well-rounded fighter who is better than people admit. He believes Jotko's defensive wrestling and kickboxing will frustrate Brendan Allen, who he views as 'wolf tickets' and unlikely to be ranked. He expects Jotko to win a decision by blending his skills and avoiding Allen's grappling. He considers Jotko a significant favorite and includes him in his parlay.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 45 of 74 | 60% | 89 of 122 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 2 | 3:24 |
| Jacob Malkoun | 0 | 33 of 55 | 60% | 66 of 96 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 7:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 15 of 34 | 44% | 25 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Jacob Malkoun | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 13 of 27 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:24 | |
| 2 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 12 of 16 | 75% | 25 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:39 |
| Jacob Malkoun | 0 | 12 of 19 | 63% | 32 of 43 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:58 | |
| 3 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 18 of 24 | 75% | 39 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 2:06 |
| Jacob Malkoun | 0 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 21 of 26 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:47 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 45 of 74 | 60% | 36 of 62 | 2 of 4 | 7 of 8 | 28 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 17 of 18 |
| Jacob Malkoun | 33 of 55 | 60% | 29 of 50 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 29 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 15 of 34 | 44% | 8 of 24 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 6 | 14 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Jacob Malkoun | 10 of 20 | 50% | 8 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Brendan Allen | 12 of 16 | 75% | 10 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 |
| Jacob Malkoun | 12 of 19 | 63% | 10 of 16 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | |
| 3 | Brendan Allen | 18 of 24 | 75% | 18 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 11 of 12 |
| Jacob Malkoun | 11 of 16 | 68% | 11 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Allen (-280), Malkoun (+225)
Round 1
Moving right along, this next fight comes up at middleweight, when Allen (18-5, 6-2 UFC) drops back down to 185 pounds in hopes of defanging “Mamba” Malkoun (6-1, 2-1 UFC). The third man inside the Octagon will be gold-standard referee Jason Herzog, and he takes a step back when the fighters wade forward with no interest in touching gloves. Allen fires off a few high kicks and a jab to follow, and he catches Malkoun backing up with a leg kick. Allen goes over the top with a right hand, and Malkoun looks to stand firm and blast him back. They trade big punches on the inside, and Allen backs off and aims a kick low. Malkoun scores solidly with a jab, and Allen chomps down on his gumshield to throw heavy leather. “Mamba” is able to slither out of danger and answer Allen with a solid right hand, but Allen is on him giving chase. Allen loads up on power punches, darting forward and making the Aussie retreat. As Allen lands a low kick, Malkoun pursues a takedown. Malkoun takes Allen’s legs out beneath him as Allen pursues a possible guillotine choke setup, and he shrugs his neck out and they both stand up. Malkoun keeps his hands clasped behind Allen’s waist, and he elects to simply drag Allen down on top of him when he cannot otherwise take Allen down. Allen ends up giving his back up when unable to twist around, and Malkoun gets one hook in and holds him tight. Allen turns to his knees and powers back up with Malkoun on his back, and he lifts Allen up but cannot plant him down. Allen hops towards the cage and reverses Malkoun to throw him down to the mat with emphasis. “All In” goes all-in as he claims mount in a hurry, but before he can get off any noteworthy offense, Malkoun is scrambling wildly. Allen threatens with a submission, and they both power back up instead. Allen clings to a guillotine choke when Malkoun looks to tackle him back over, and the Aussie wriggles his neck out and gets on top. Allen scoots his way to the wall on a single knee, and he stands up with a few seconds to spare. Malkoun holds on, taking a short punch and elbow to the face, before the horn blares.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Round 2
The middleweights do decide to touch gloves to start off the second round, and Allen starts off hot with a few power punches that get blocked. Malkoun responds with a looping right hand, and Allen kicks him in the head for good measure. Malkoun pushes out a few jabs, leading to Allen imploring him to strike with him. As Allen advances, Malkoun clips him with a straight left, getting stunned for a moment. They both land powerful hooks, and Allen chains the punch into a low kick. As soon as it lands, Malkoun attacks a single-leg takedown, and Allen fights off this try and a subsequent trip but gets pulled down to the mat. Allen cannot stay upright, even with a cheeky fence grab, and he falls to his back and closes his guard. The Aussie steps over to half guard, and he grinds with his forehead instead of striking. Allen slashes with elbows from his back, and he bucks Malkoun off to walk up the cage back to his feet. Malkoun lets him spin around so that he can wrench Allen down to the ground with a single. Malkoun jumps to half guard and gets off a couple short punches to the body, and he has one go over the top. Malkoun hangs on from on top, and he sits up to drop down a pair of elbows before glomming back down. Allen scrambles after these strikes, getting to a knee and ultimately surrendering his back. Allen times an explosion quickly to gain top position, and he leaps over to side control with about 30 seconds left in the round. Allen hammers down a few short elbows as the round comes to a close.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun
Round 3
To start off the round in a reversal of fortunes, Allen shoots for a takedown early. Although he puts Malkoun on his back, the Aussie scrambles during a transition to get back to his feet. Allen lets his hands go, marking Malkoun up, and Malkoun tries to respond with a few jabs. Malkoun charges wildly forward to hunt for a single, and he grounds Allen momentarily. The American climbs back to his feet as Malkoun is holding his back standing, and Malkoun whips him back down to the canvas. Allen nails him with a couple elbows off his back, but this offense slows when Malkoun holds his own head on top of Allen’s. “All In” kicks off but cannot get Malkoun off of him, and Malkoun takes his back. Allen turns the tables to get on top, and Malkoun doggedly reverses him and goes for a single. Allen steps all the way through to get on top, as both men embark in a thrilling wrestling exchange. Malkoun will not let him into his guard, but Allen lowers himself in and lands a few strikes from above. Allen hacks with an elbow or two as he has Malkoun flat on his back, and he drops down a few punches to mix things up. Malkoun defends with a triangle off his back to tie his man up and reach the scorecards.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun (29-28 Malkoun)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun (29-28 Malkoun)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun (29-28 Malkoun)
The Official Result
Brendan Allen def. Jacob Malkoun via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Malkoun as an underdog, trusting his wrestling and takedown ability. He notes Allen is inconsistent and looked terrible against Sam Alvey despite winning. He believes Malkoun's grappling is as good or better than Allen's, and he likes the plus 3.5 round bet as a safer play.
Big Brady picks Brendan Allen to win by first-round knockout. He highlights Allen's superior grappling, having submitted Kevin Holland and outgrappled Kyle Daukaus, and notes that Malkoun's wins came against lower-level competition. He believes Allen has the striking advantage and will finish Malkoun early, either by TKO or submission.
Cody confidently picks Allen, citing his superior striking and grappling. He dismisses Malkoun's credentials, noting he is a purple belt and not a high-level grappler. He thinks Allen's wrestling is good enough to keep the fight standing and win by TKO or decision.
Daniel Levi picks Brendan Allen, citing his superior athleticism, experience, and grappling. He respects Malkoun's relentless takedown style but believes Allen has the tools to reverse or submit him. He notes that Allen is better everywhere and that Malkoun's path to victory is narrow. He is confident Allen will find a way to win.
Allen is the more complete fighter and should have advantages on the feet and in submission grappling. However, Malkoun is a pure wrestler who can grind out a decision. Allen is overpriced at -320; the value is on Malkoun. I predict Allen wins but the best bet is over 2.5 rounds at plus money.
Paul leans Allen but is not confident due to the price. He thinks Allen is the rightful favorite but the juice is too high. He considers Malkoun by decision at +800 but likely passes.
The MMA Guru picks Brendan Allen to win by 30-27 decision. He believes Allen is bigger and stronger than Malkoun's previous opponents, and that Malkoun's grappling-heavy style won't work against Allen. He notes that Malkoun has relied on takedowns and control, but Allen builds as the fight goes on and won't be out-hustled. He sees no path for Malkoun unless he gets a finish, which he doubts due to lack of explosiveness. He cites Allen's youth and experience advantage.
Feb 05, 2022
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 24 of 57 | 42% | 24 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Sam Alvey | 1 | 36 of 54 | 66% | 36 of 54 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:44 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 18 of 43 | 41% | 18 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 25 of 37 | 67% | 25 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 | |
| 2 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Alvey | 1 | 11 of 17 | 64% | 11 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 24 of 57 | 42% | 20 of 52 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 24 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 36 of 54 | 66% | 15 of 32 | 14 of 15 | 7 of 7 | 32 of 47 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 18 of 43 | 41% | 16 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 25 of 37 | 67% | 11 of 22 | 10 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 23 of 34 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Brendan Allen | 6 of 14 | 42% | 4 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 11 of 17 | 64% | 4 of 10 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Due to a late replacement, Alvey (33-16-1, 1 NC; 10-11-1, 1 NC UFC) now finds himself taking on Allen (17-5, 5-2 UFC) in the light heavyweight division. The two men that hail from an area in Wisconsin about a half hour from one another meet in the center of the cage, and referee Chris Tognoni serves as the onlooker. The gloves do not get touched, as Allen would prefer to come out fighting. Allen comes out swinging, and Alvey backs up to the wall. When Allen throws recklessly, Alvey counters him with a quick, clean right hook that shocks Allen. “All-In” shoots in for a takedown, and Alvey sprawls and pushes Allen down to the mat. “Smile’n Sam” tosses Allen away, and he backs away awaiting an advancing Allen. Allen does just that, marching forward to attack, and Alvey is prepared with a counter right hook again. Allen is wary of this strike, and as he pays attention to it, Alvey kicks his lead leg hard. Alvey connects with a one-two, and Allen shakes it off and walks face-first into a sharp punch. Allen does not slow down, kicking up high with a kick. Alvey catches it, sets the leg down and lands a fast one-two again. Allen tries to find a way in, and he reaches out with a jab to the body. As he lets loose with a high body kick, Alvey reaches out with a long left hand across the bow. Alvey’s one-two just misses again, and he lines another up right when Allen takes the forward step to him. Alvey’s range is giving Allen issues, and he again clips Allen with a right. Allen rushes in, gets pushed away and runs forward with a spinning back fist. The strike is blocked by both of Alvey’s arms, and Allen calmly backs away to start hacking at Alvey’s lead leg. Alvey tags Allen once more with a pair of punches, leading Allen to blitz in and pursue a takedown. Allen splits off and rocks Alvey with a right hook. They both throw at the same time, hurting each other, and a follow-up from Allen drops Alvey to a knee against the wall. Alvey gets up, they brawl it out for a few more seconds, and the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Alvey
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Alvey
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Alvey
Round 2
Allen leads the dance to start off the second round, with a few head kick that are blocked fully. Alvey backs off, and a foot from Allen’s spinning wheel kick grazes his jaw. Alvey blitzes ahead with a surge of punches, and he does this again to give Allen pause. Allen gathers himself and marches Alvey down, and Alvey is there with a heavy leg kick to meet him. “All-In” goes all-in with a body kick, and Alvey takes it like a champ and reaches out with a right. Allen throws up another head kick, and he punches the body and dips back out of the way when Alvey prepares to counter. Alvey charges ahead, and this assault misses the mark. Allen fires off a right to the body and a left to the head, and “Smile’n Sam” is no longer smiling from the strikes.
Alvey falls to his knees in big trouble, and Allen instantly jumps on to take Alvey’s back. Alvey leans towards the fence, only to find that Allen has set up a rear-naked choke without any hooks in. Hooks? “All-In” don't need no stinkin’ hooks. Allen crushes the windpipe with all his might, and Alvey reluctantly surrenders.
The unfortunate winless streak continues for Alvey, who took on a new opponent in a different weight class on a week’s notice.
The Official Result
Brendan Allen def. Sam Alvey R2 2:10 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo picks Brendan Allen but with hesitation. He notes Allen is the better athlete and wrestler, but has chin issues and is coming off a knockout loss. Alvey is on a long winless streak but has power and experience. Angelo thinks Allen should wrestle and take it seriously, but calls it a live bet fight if Allen stands and trades. He picks Allen with the assumption he wrestles.
Cody agrees with Paul, noting that Alvey's only path is a knockout. He points out that Allen has better volume and technique, and that Alvey's takedown defense is historically strong but Allen's wrestling may not be good enough to take him down. However, he thinks Allen should win on the feet. He is confident in Allen.
Daniel Levi leans Brendan Allen but calls it a dog-or-pass situation. He notes Allen is taking the fight on four days' notice, moving up to 205 lbs, and has been knocked out in two of his last three. However, he thinks Allen is the better fighter and should have the tools to beat Alvey, who often does nothing for long stretches. Levi suggests a small bet on Alvey at +325 for those looking for a dog, but his pick is Allen.
Lock of the Night picks Allen, citing the massive skill discrepancy. He notes Allen's improved striking and ability to stay at range, similar to the Soriano fight. He warns that Allen should not chase takedowns excessively to avoid gassing. He likes Allen by decision at +165 and the over 2.5 rounds.
Paul thinks Allen is the younger, faster, and quicker fighter. He notes that Alvey is on a seven-fight winless streak and hasn't won since 2018. He believes Allen's volume and leg kicks will be key, and that Alvey's only path is a lucky punch. He is confident Allen wins but acknowledges the short notice could affect his gas tank.
The MMA Guru picks Brendan Allen (Phil Horse) but expresses concern about his chin, calling it 'genetically bad'. He notes Sam Alvey doesn't have the best chin either, and expects Allen to land better shots and get a first-round KO. However, he is hesitant due to Allen's vulnerability to being wobbled.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Curtis | 0 | 43 of 71 | 60% | 44 of 72 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Brendan Allen | 1 | 61 of 90 | 67% | 64 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Curtis | 0 | 22 of 45 | 48% | 23 of 46 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 31 of 49 | 63% | 34 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 | |
| 2 | Chris Curtis | 0 | 21 of 26 | 80% | 21 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brendan Allen | 1 | 30 of 41 | 73% | 30 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Curtis | 43 of 71 | 60% | 26 of 53 | 10 of 10 | 7 of 8 | 39 of 66 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Brendan Allen | 61 of 90 | 67% | 38 of 65 | 20 of 22 | 3 of 3 | 49 of 76 | 10 of 10 | 2 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Curtis | 22 of 45 | 48% | 11 of 33 | 6 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 22 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Brendan Allen | 31 of 49 | 63% | 22 of 39 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 29 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Chris Curtis | 21 of 26 | 80% | 15 of 20 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 22 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Brendan Allen | 30 of 41 | 73% | 16 of 26 | 14 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 30 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Allen (-198), Curtis (+164)
Round 1
Back in December 2021, Allen (23-5, 11-2 UFC) and Curtis (31-10, 1 NC; 5-2, 1 NC UFC) faced off on the main card of UFC on ESPN 31. Allen may have started with the upper hand in the first round, only for Curtis to stage the comeback and knock Allen’s block off in the second stanza. Since then, Allen has not lost, while racking up five submission wins over increasingly impressive opposition. Curtis fared well enough on his own right, but he was staved back when trying to push to the top 10. This will be a big moment for both of them, as a place in the top echelon looms for the victor. Whether they need 25 seconds or 25 minutes, referee Mark Smith will be here every step of the way. They shake hands, and go back to their corners. When the match begins, Allen fights long, with reaching body kicks to keep the power puncher at bay. Curtis crowds forward with a short series of punches, until Allen backs him off with a sharp one-two. Curtis gives chase but cannot get his hands on him, and Allen ducks down to avoid a punch so he can go after a takedown. Allen slices around to take the back in a hurry as he locks up a body triangle, and Curtis is able to break it around his waist as he hand-fights to keep himself safe. Allen softens him up with a few punches, and Curtis fires back sight unseen. Curtis calmly defends his neck until spinning around and exploding back to his feet. Allen welcomes him back down in the guard, and Curtis laughs him off as they stand up. Allen thanks him by elbowing him in the face, and he chains three punches together and a high kick to follow it. The two middleweights share grins as they trade, and Allen wings two left hooks as Curtis stands his ground and returns fire. Allen whips a kick to the inside thigh, and he digs a kick to the ribs right after it. Curtis tries to walk Allen down, and he manages to get in a body shot. Allen keeps his guard up to block a few punches aimed his way, and he skirts to the side before Curtis can let anything fly. Curtis charges in and gets countered, and Allen lands a solid right and waves him on. Curtis obliges him with a wide overhand left, and he misses with that and a subsequent blow as Allen is light on his feet. Allen sneaks in another body kick, and Curtis flicks out a jab. Allen plants a one-two on the brow, and his head kick is blocked but his body kick is not. Curtis goes for a left to the body and right to the head, and he pushes out a front kick as the bell tolls.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Round 2
Allen begins the second round with a stern high kick that ricochets off the guard. Allen keeps moving and kicks the knee with the side of his foot, and he slides away from the Curtis counter. Allen hyperextends the knee with another such kick, and his head movement and footwork allows him to stick and move. Allen gets drawn into a brief exchange, and he eats a right hand that would have put him down for the count in the past. Allen offers a congratulatory glove touch for hitting him flush, and Curtis strings a few punches together after it. Allen shrugs them off and gets away from the fence, where he kicks the side and tries to go up high with a kick that bounces off the raised arm. Allen doubles up on a jab and rings a right hand down the pipe. Curtis slips and digs a left to the body, and he stuffs a takedown effort that comes at him. Curtis scores a left hook as Allen sits down on a punch, and Allen tags him with a right hand as Curtis shakes his head at him. They both stand still and start banging, and Allen gets Curtis’ attention with another heavy right hand. Allen slowly crowds him and brings out an elbow and lifts a knee on the beard. Curtis pushes his way out and tries for a three-punch salvo, only for Allen to slide away from all of them. Curtis eats a jab to the body and a kick to the same spot, and he unleashes a low kick that lands on the rear leg. Allen shrugs and points at it quizzically, and he eats a right hand on the way out. Allen takes a funny step back as Curtis digs the body, and he knocks Curtis back with two big hooks. Curtis gets in his groove working the body and head, and Allen is not as able to dodge them as before. Allen stomps at the knee and they both give jabs to one another. Allen eats body shots and throws punches up top, and he gets knocked back to the fence with a solid left hand. They both trade strikes to the midsection, and Allen nails Curtis with a right hand. Curtis chains several punches together, and Allen answers him until the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Curtis
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Curtis
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Curtis
Round 3
The middleweights clap hands before engaging, and Allen lashes out with a stomping kick to the knee to get things going. Allen puts a kick behind two punches, and he leans back from the counter. Allen prods out numerous jabs, and he catches Curtis off-balance with a right hook over the top. Allen lands several punches, and Curtis does not bat an eye as he crowds the higher-ranked competitor. Allen rails Curtis with a big right hand, and Curtis smiles at him. Curtis comes loaded for bear, connecting with a clean left hook as Allen throws back with a vengeance. Allen tries for two vertical elbows, and they both inadvertently land cup shots and apologize to one another. Allen digs a body shot and pushes off with his pointer finger jamming straight into Curtis’ left eye. Curtis moans and drops to his knees, and he asks Smith for a towel to wipe his eye out. When there is no towel to be found, he wipes his eye on Smith’s shoulder sleeve. Curtis acknowledges there was no malice behind it as Allen apologizes, and they get back to it throwing bombs. Curtis surges forward, swinging wildly, and he has a head kick graze the hair. Allen eats a punch and gives one back up top, and Curtis smashes him in the face with a left and hurts him with a right. Allen, on wobbly legs, shoots for a takedown to take “The Action Man” down. When Curtis works back to his feet, Allen jumps on his back like a vengeful backpack and starts fishing for chokes as he locks up the body triangle. Curtis speaks to his corner while fighting the hands, having a brief conversation despite a dangerous 185-pound man trying to choke him to sleep at the same time. Any time Allen tries for a rear-naked choke, Curtis easily fights it off and leans against the fence. Allen grabs hold of a face crank for a moment, and he switches arms until Curtis fights that off too. Curtis spins around with seconds to spare, and Allen nails him with an elbow on the break as the horn blares.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Curtis
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Curtis
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Curtis
Round 4
Reaching the championship rounds, the two men hug it out, with no bad blood between them. Curtis strikes first with several quick punches, and Allen gets to a more preferable distance where he can pick at “The Action Man” with reaching strikes. Curtis crowds him and backs him against the cage, and they both release hard leg kicks. Allen eats a jab that shakes him up, and Curtis hammers the body with a right hand as Allen takes a second step to get his balance. Allen signals he is fine and ready to go, and Curtis reaches out and scrapes Allen in the eye. Smith calls time, and he reviews the footage and states it was a punch and not a poke, and he clocks them back. Both men start trading the moment the action resumes, and Allen backs off and reaches out with a right hand. Curtis closes the distance with a short right hook, and he puts three more punches together as Allen bears down on him. Allen lands once and then kicks low before resetting. They both share jabs, and Allen bops Curtis with two hooks before shooting in for a double. Just as Allen is about to climb to mount, Curtis whirls around to give his back up. Allen gets in both hooks easily, but Curtis manages to explode out and get back to his feet without concern at all. Allen follows him upright, and Curtis is on him with powerful body shots. Curtis doubles up on rights to the ribs, and Allen is primarily headhunting. Allen unloads an elbow that sends “The Action Man” staggering back, and he points at Curtis to say that he got him. Curtis regathers his footing, and Allen clocks him with a head kick. Curtis tanks it like a pro and continues to walk Allen down, and Allen still ducks beneath him to partially land a takedown. Curtis scrambles back to his feet before control is established, but he gets dragged back down from behind. Allen looks for a rear-naked choke, and when Curtis tries for his spin move, Allen rides all the way through it to get into mount. Allen gets off one single elbow before the round concludes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Round 5
The middleweights share an embrace when opening the final round, and they split apart and begin the final melee. Allen slides to the side and goes up high with a kick, and Curtis throws back with his fists. Allen stomps at the knee with a kick, and Curtis quickly retaliates with a shot to his ribs. Allen lands his own body kick and shifts laterally with the fence behind him, and he shoots for a takedown. Curtis blocks the first, and when Allen bull-rushes him, Curtis times a perfect knee that smashes right into the chin. Allen miraculously absorbs it and keeps moving to take Curtis’ back. When Curtis moves, Allen goes after a banana split as he torques Curtis’ legs apart. Curtis moves to escape it, and they both stand up. The two men trade bombs on the inside, both keeping their wits about them, until Allen shoots low for a single. Curtis slides away and bloodies up the nose of his opponent with jabs. Curtis walks Allen down, and he eats an uppercut and aims for one back but gets clacked with an elbow. Allen kicks Curtis right in the side of the head, and Curtis is ready to throw back hard. Curtis sprawls when the takedown comes his way, and Curtis is warned for striking the back of the head. Curtis lands body shots as Allen crawls at him, and Allen falls to his back to invite him into the guard. Curtis has him stand back up, and he marches forward like a Terminator. Curtis throws hands, Allen answers him back and attacks for a single. Allen lifts Curtis in the air and takes him on “All In Airlines” as he slams him down to the ground loudly. Allen takes his back and secures both hooks, and he informs Smith that Curtis is grabbing his glove. Smith warns Curtis for the foul, and Allen fishes for the choke that he just can’t find. Curtis uses all of his remaining energy to turn Allen about and dump him on his back. Allen stands back up, and he shoots desperately for a takedown. Allen bails on it to stand, and Curtis limps away. Curtis lays into his damaged opponent with knees and elbows, and Curtis can barely stand up as he suffered some kind of serious leg injury in the fracas. As soon as the final horn sounds in the building, Curtis collapses to the ground in pain and clutches the back of his leg. Allen goes to sit down next to him to celebrate their handiwork, and Smith has him move out of the way so that the medical staff can rush in the cage and tend to the groaning Curtis. The two middleweights successfully put in 25 minutes of thrilling action, and it is not a foregone conclusion as to the victor.
After Allen gets his hand raised, he calls for a title shot against Dricus Du Plessis, as he raises his current win streak to seven. If he does not get that, he would like to face former champ Sean Strickland, who is the only other fighter in the UFC that defeated him. If any of that happens, we will be there for it. More importantly, UFC 300 is next week. You best believe that Sherdog will be running wall-to-wall coverage of that blockbuster show. We will certainly be here for it, and we hope you are too.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen (48-47 Allen)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Allen (48-47 Allen)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Curtis (48-47 Curtis)
The Official Result
Brendan Allen def. Chris Curtis via Split Decision (47-48, 48-47, 49-46)
Expert Picks (8)
Angelo picks Brendan Allen, noting his improved striking and BJJ. He warns that Curtis has power and a boxing background, but Allen can win a technical striking fight or by wrestling. Angelo thinks -350 is too steep but Allen is the pick.
Big Brady picks Brendan Allen to win by submission. He notes Allen is a BJJ black belt with excellent grappling, and if he takes the fight to the mat, he will look like a massive favorite. He highlights Allen's submission wins over Kevin Holland and Tom Breese, and his striking improvements training at Sanford MMA. He criticizes Chris Curtis' takedown defense and notes Curtis has been submitted before. Brady is confident but hopes Allen uses his grappling rather than striking, as Curtis has knockout power.
Cody picks Curtis as a big underdog, citing his experience, body work, and takedown defense. He thinks Curtis's veteran savvy and ability to weather early storms will pay off. Cody notes that Curtis has fought at multiple weight classes and that his cardio and pressure will be key. He believes the line should be closer to -150 and that Curtis has a 40% chance to win.
Daniel Levi picks Brendan Allen to finish Chris Curtis in the first round via submission. He believes Allen's jiu-jitsu is much better and that he will take Curtis down and finish him. He notes that Allen's stand-up has improved and that he gave Punahele Soriano a vet lesson. He warns Allen to keep his emotions in check due to Sean Strickland's presence in Curtis's corner.
Jacob picks Brendan Allen, emphasizing he must wrestle and submit Curtis. He notes Curtis has terrible takedown defense and Allen is a BJJ black belt. Jacob warns that if Allen tries to strike, he will get knocked out like Phil Hawes did.
I like Allen. He is much bigger and should use kicks to keep Curtis at range. Curtis is a natural welterweight and will struggle with the size. Allen can also take the fight to the ground where his jiu-jitsu is a threat. I expect Allen to win a decision, and the decision prop at plus 150 is a good play.
Paul picks Allen, believing he is too big for Curtis and that the -365 line is a bit wide but justified. He notes Allen's win over Puna Soriano showed improvement and that Allen's size and youth are advantages. Paul thinks Allen can use his reach and grappling to control the fight.
The MMA Guru picks Brendan Allen to win by first-round rear-naked choke. He expects Allen to land body kicks and jabs, stuff a takedown from Curtis, then reverse and take Curtis' back. As Curtis tries to get up, he'll give up his neck, and Allen will sink in the choke.
Jul 24, 2021
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 66 of 149 | 44% | 66 of 149 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Punahele Soriano | 0 | 94 of 211 | 44% | 94 of 211 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 28 of 57 | 49% | 28 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Punahele Soriano | 0 | 28 of 62 | 45% | 28 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 18 of 39 | 46% | 18 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Punahele Soriano | 0 | 35 of 72 | 48% | 35 of 72 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 20 of 53 | 37% | 20 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Punahele Soriano | 0 | 31 of 77 | 40% | 31 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 66 of 149 | 44% | 46 of 119 | 17 of 25 | 3 of 5 | 63 of 142 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Punahele Soriano | 94 of 211 | 44% | 47 of 154 | 37 of 46 | 10 of 11 | 85 of 196 | 9 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 28 of 57 | 49% | 18 of 45 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 26 of 54 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Punahele Soriano | 28 of 62 | 45% | 14 of 45 | 8 of 10 | 6 of 7 | 25 of 57 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Brendan Allen | 18 of 39 | 46% | 12 of 32 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 35 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Punahele Soriano | 35 of 72 | 48% | 16 of 49 | 18 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 30 of 63 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Brendan Allen | 20 of 53 | 37% | 16 of 42 | 3 of 8 | 1 of 3 | 20 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Punahele Soriano | 31 of 77 | 40% | 17 of 60 | 11 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 30 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Between these two fringe middleweight contenders of Soriano (8-0, 2-0 UFC) and Allen (16-4, 4-1 UFC), they combine for 21 finishes in their 24 career victories. The lines are close between the two, but Fight Doesn’t Go to Decision is a promising -295, so a stoppage is expected. Stripping away all the nonsense will be referee Keith Peterson, and these two 185-pound action fighters are about to let loose. The touch of gloves a ceremonial gesture to seal the cage, and the anticipated violence is practically simmering inside the cage. Soriano takes the center of the cage, and he gets off a head kick and another follows suit quickly. Both are blocked, but the sheer impact knocks Allen back. Allen avoids a left hand, but Soriano comes forward to tie him up. Soriano’s hands do some damage as Allen bounces off the cage wall, and when they separate, the Hawaiian clubs his man with a left hook. Allen shakes it off and swats away a front kick, and Soriano ducks down to loop a left hand at him. A kick from Allen lands with an audible thud, and Allen lets his hands go and dodges the counters. Soriano sits down on two big punches, and Allen eats them both like sandwiches. Soriano reaches out with a left hand, and Allen’s hair shakes as he absorbs the blow. Allen gathers himself and splits the guard with a right hand, but Soriano fires back with one much heavier. Allen paws with punches and a body kick, and he does not get away in time to avoid the booming punches that pop him in the chops. “All In” goes all-in with a clinch in the center of the cage, getting off a few knees before Soriano loads up on bombs to make him pay. Soriano scores a body kick, and Allen stares him down and kicks his leg. Allen eats a right hand and shakes his head, but Soriano advances and gets clipped with a right hand and a head kick. The Hawaiian smiles, marches forward and loops with a left hand. Allen takes a body kick and gives his foe one right back, and they trade single blows one after the other. Soriano punches his way into a possible clinch, and Allen greets him with a knee up the middle. Soriano backs off and rushes back in with two crisp punches to the body, and Allen grabs his neck to defend himself. “Story Time” backs away to energize himself, and he fires off a pair of punches and grunts as he throws them. Allen sneaks up a head kick, and he chains together two punches into a knee that lands right after the bell sounds. Soriano shrugs, and the two go back to their corners.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Soriano
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Soriano
Round 2
The gloves are touched to clock in the second round, and Allen steps in with a pounding body kick. Soriano winds up on a right hand counter and knocks Allen back, but Allen ignores it and reaches out a front kick. Soriano replies with a body kick, and Allen catches it. In an unexpected move, Soriano spins through and fires off an unorthodox high kick that draws cheers from the crowd. Allen turns a corner and starts to land several strikes to the body, and Soriano’s blows are beginning to slow. The two engage in a violent exchange, and Allen drops down for a takedown but gets stuffed. Soriano eats a few more strikes to the body, and he gives one back right down the middle. Allen continues to target the body with stern kicks, and a few left hands have made Soriano blink it out. Allen lands a few punches and steps in with a knee, and Soriano throws so hard back at him with telegraphed strikes that he nearly falls over. The left hands from Allen have bloodied the nose of the Hawaiian, and the body kicks draw gasping reactions out of his opponent. Soriano is sucking wind as Allen continues to work the body, and his strikes are more labored and less frequent. Allen is able to stay at a safe distance, chaining punches together into kicks. One such body kick makes Soriano contort in pain, and although he grabs the kick, Allen rolls away and gets back up in time. Soriano leaps in with a right hand, but it is wild and wide. When they kick at the same time, Allen’s leg connects with the cup, but Soriano tells Peterson he does not want to take a breather. Allen thanks him for this by booting him in the midsection, and Soriano has no answer for these body blows as they continue to mount. Soriano lowers his elbow to defend them, but Allen sneaks one more in before the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Round 3
The middleweights think to embrace to start off the round, but would rather celebrate their fun battle by hitting each other in the face and body. Soriano blocks a high kick and counters with a left hand that makes Allen bounce off the wall. “All In” sticks him with a jab and pushes out a front kick, and his strikes continue to mount to the head and body. As Allen tees off on him, Soriano throws with all of his might into a left hand that knocks Allen’s head back like a Pez dispenser. Allen survives the devastating blow without so much as a funny step, and he continues to stick his hands in Soriano’s face. Allen lands a thumping kick to the body, and he follows it quickly with a leg kick. Soriano steps in with a left hand, and Allen takes it on the chin without noticing. A possible eye poke is ignored, and the two exchange pleasantries as they slug each other in the face. Allen reaches out with a few left hands, and Soriano loads up on a power punch that Allen takes flush. Allen rips the body a few more times with kicks, and he ducks a missile of a left hand that soars past his face. Soriano tries to come up high with a kick, and Allen sees it coming but gets bullied into the fence. This allows the Hawaiian to put several punches together, but Allen retreats without taking many of them cleanly. Allen keeps his distance, and he is more content to touch Soriano as Soriano loads up again and again. The last seconds allow for a furious brawl, and both nail each other but neither go down. What a fun brawl that turned into, one that made it to the scorecards.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen (29-28 Allen)
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Allen (30-27 Allen)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Allen (29-28 Allen)
The Official Result
Brendan Allen def. Punahele Soriano via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Expert Picks (8)
Angelo does not make a clear pick for this fight, calling it a very hard fight to pick. He notes that Soriano has power and can knock anyone out, while Allen has high fight IQ and grappling. He leans toward grapplers but is undecided. He is confident in the over 1.5 rounds and likes the less/less on monkey knife fight, expecting a decision or late stoppage.
Big Brady picks Punahele Soriano to win by first-round knockout. He highlights Soriano's power (4 knockdowns in last two fights) and wrestling background, while Brendan Allen is very hittable (39% striking defense) and has a history of not attempting takedowns in key fights. He questions Allen's takedown success against Soriano's wrestling and expects the fight to stay standing, where Soriano's power will be decisive.
Cody picks Soriano, citing his massive power and wrestling background. He thinks Allen has durability and cardio issues, and that Soriano will land a bomb. He notes Soriano's training at Extreme Couture with top partners. He is not fully on the bandwagon but expects a first-round finish.
Daniel Levi leans toward Punahele Soriano, citing his power and wrestling base, but notes that Allen's experience and jiu-jitsu are concerns. He questions Soriano's cardio and Allen's durability, stating that the fight starts on the feet where Soriano has the edge. Levi agrees that a dog price is needed to back Soriano, as Allen's body-lock takedowns could be a factor.
Jacob picks Brendan Allen but is not confident enough to put him in his DraftKings lineup. He thinks Allen will find a way to get the fight to the ground and submit Soriano, but he is wary of Soriano's power after being burned by him before. He notes that Soriano's last win was against a fighter who kept his hands down, so he's not as good as he looked.
The host picks Punahele Soriano, expecting him to use his power and wrestling to finish Brendan Allen early. He notes Soriano's D3 wrestling background and training at Extreme Couture. He believes Allen's durability is questionable and Soriano will find a knockout in the first round. He likes Soriano by KO at +165 and Soriano in round one at +300.
Paul also picks Soriano, noting his power in both hands and developing fight IQ. He thinks Allen's gas tank is suspect and that Soriano's wrestling will keep the fight standing. He mentions the line movement and plans to bet Soriano. He sees Soriano as a coming out party.
The Guru picks Soriano, citing his power, chin, and ability to make opponents hesitant. He notes Allen's defensive holes on the feet, such as dropping his hands after exchanges. He believes Soriano's takedown defense is good enough to keep the fight standing, and predicts a first-round KO by landing a big shot over the top of Allen's combinations.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 15 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Karl Roberson | 0 | 9 of 16 | 56% | 15 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 15 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Karl Roberson | 0 | 9 of 16 | 56% | 15 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 6 of 14 | 42% | 5 of 11 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Karl Roberson | 9 of 16 | 56% | 4 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 6 of 14 | 42% | 5 of 11 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Karl Roberson | 9 of 16 | 56% | 4 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
An all-action middleweight contest is next, as two thrillers that prefer to finish their foes lock horns, when Allen (15-4, 3-1 UFC) looks to pacify “Baby K” Roberson (9-3, 4-3 UFC). The Octagon ranger for this battle is referee Dan Miragliotta, and the two decide to touch gloves before trying to take the other’s head off. Allen quickly lets loose a head kick as soon as he retracts the touch, and Roberson is barely able to block it in time. Both men start trading, and both hurt the other with massive shots. Roberson gets off a body kick, and a left hand just misses the target as Allen dances out of the way to score a right. Allen fires off several kicks to the body and legs, and he clips “Baby K” with a right and a left chained into a head kick. “All In” uses his forward momentum to clinch up, where he hits a trip and puts Roberson on his back emphatically. Allen has some damage on the corner of his right eye, but he does not appear bothered by it as he crushes Roberson down in half guard. Roberson is stuck with his neck against the fence, and Allen reaches a little too far to pursue a straight armbar or kimura. Allen nearly falls off, but he readjusts himself and steps into mount, with the so-called “Dagestani handcuff” trapping Roberson’s legs while he can wail on Roberson’s face. Allen tries to pull Roberson’s legs out as he steps over toe the side, and Roberson bursts to his feet only to quickly be thrown back down to the ground. Allen in half guard squeezes with his shoulder, and Roberson can do little but hold on tight to stop the offense from coming. Allen smothers with his top pressure even though he does not land anything of note, but he does grind his elbow on Roberson’s face.
“Baby K” bucks like a bronco into a leglock from his back, and Allen defends in the 50/50 guard with his own heel hook attempt at the same time. Roberson is suddenly in big trouble, as Allen hooks the ankle underneath his armpit. “All In” torques it with seconds to spare, and Roberson grimaces in pain and taps out so his knee and ankle do not get shredded.
That is now submission number nine for Allen, who elicits this rare and elusive ankle-based tapout in impressive fashion.
The Official Result
Brendan Allen def. Karl Roberson R1 4:55 via Submission (Ankle Lock)
Expert Picks (6)
Big Brady picks Allen to win by first-round submission, but is hesitant because Allen often fails to implement his wrestling game plan. He notes Allen's striking defense is poor and he was knocked out by Strickland when he didn't wrestle. However, Roberson's weakness is takedown defense and ground game, and Allen is a good submission artist. He hopes Allen learned from his last loss.
Cody leans toward Allen but is not confident, noting Allen's grappling skills and Roberson's weakness against wrestlers. He worries about Allen's cardio and tendency to stand and strike. He thinks Allen must take Roberson down early to win, and if he doesn't, he could get knocked out. He also likes the over 1.5 rounds.
Daniel picks Brendan Allen, expecting him to take Roberson down and submit him. He notes Roberson has been choked out three times in the UFC and that Allen's striking has improved. He hopes Allen's fight IQ is on point and predicts a first-round submission.
I'm going the opposite way on this one. I think Roberson keeps the fight on the feet and uses his leg kicks to set up a knockout. Allen's takedown accuracy is only 37%, and Roberson has decent takedown defense. If Roberson can stuff the takedowns, he has the striking advantage. I like Roberson by KO at +335, but we need to wait for weigh-ins to see if he makes weight.
Paul picks Allen but is hesitant, citing Allen's grappling advantage and Roberson's susceptibility to takedowns. He notes Allen's cardio issues and tendency to tire if he doesn't get an early finish. He thinks Allen needs to use a wrestling-heavy approach to win, and if he stands with Roberson, he could get knocked out. He also likes the over 1.5 rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Brendan Allen by second-round rear-naked choke. He notes that Allen has good submissions and has submitted Kevin Holland, while Roberson has been taken down and submitted quickly in recent fights. He expects Allen to grapple his way to a win after some stand-up exchanges.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Strickland | 0 | 51 of 90 | 56% | 53 of 92 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brendan Allen | 1 | 94 of 161 | 58% | 106 of 176 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Strickland | 0 | 31 of 59 | 52% | 33 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 56 of 97 | 57% | 68 of 112 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 | |
| 2 | Sean Strickland | 0 | 20 of 31 | 64% | 20 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brendan Allen | 1 | 38 of 64 | 59% | 38 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Strickland | 51 of 90 | 56% | 28 of 63 | 11 of 14 | 12 of 13 | 50 of 88 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Brendan Allen | 94 of 161 | 58% | 90 of 157 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 90 of 155 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Strickland | 31 of 59 | 52% | 16 of 41 | 9 of 12 | 6 of 6 | 31 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Brendan Allen | 56 of 97 | 57% | 53 of 94 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 53 of 93 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sean Strickland | 20 of 31 | 64% | 12 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 7 | 19 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Brendan Allen | 38 of 64 | 59% | 37 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 37 of 62 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
In a fight that came together within a week, Allen (15-3, 3-0 UFC) gets to fight in November after all when he takes on the returning Strickland (21-3, 8-3 UFC) – the latter winning on Halloween and looking to keep things rolling. The Octagon ranger for this 195-pound catchweight fight due to its short-notice nature is referee Herb Dean, and there is no touch of gloves as they decide to jab each other in the face instead. Allen scores with a leg kick and follows it with a one-two, but Strickland is on him with a few solid punches. Allen flings up a head kick and wades forward with punches, but Strickland nails him with a few punches and marks up Allen’s face already. Allen throws a body kick and gets caught, and Strickland tosses him to the ground. Allen very nearly scores an upkick, but Strickland dodges it and jumps into the guard. Allen sweeps Strickland for a second, but “Tarzan” swings back and remains on top. Allen spins out when he kicks Strickland off, and avoids a right hand careening towards his face to scramble to his feet. Allen grabs the fence to stand up and gets warned, and Strickland is on him tight while occasionally landing punches. Strickland keeps on Allen’s back in the clinch, and he breaks free to try to score a few punches. Allen chops at the lead leg but gets caught with a one-two. Strickland scores another right hand, and Allen responds with one of his own and a leg kick to follow. Both men swing wildly, and Strickland defends himself against the cage to block a jumping knee. Strickland pushes off and sticks out his jab, but absorbs a hacking leg kick that sets him off-balance. Strickland keeps his wits about him and lands four or five punches, but Allen drills the calf again to make Strickland pull his leg back. Allen hurts Strickland with a massive right hand, but Strickland retreats to take a quick count of his teeth before getting his jab going again. Strickland disrupts Allen’s advancement with several jabs, and Allen attacks wildly with a body kick and leaping punches. Both men slug it out right to the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Strickland
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Strickland
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Strickland
Round 2
Strickland commences the second round with jabs, and Allen leaps forward with a flying knee and some looping punches. Strickland scores a one-two, and then another sends Allen reeling. Allen keeps his balance and spins around while gathering himself to attack again. “All-in” goes al-in with a barrage of strikes, and Strickland covers up but gets distance to land a long series of one-twos in rapid succession. They may not be imminently powerful, but they are getting Allen’s attention as they continue to land successfully.
As Allen charges in recklessly, Strickland connects with a one-two that staggers Allen. Allen falls forward and slumps into the fence, where Strickland follows him and pounds on him. Strickland pours it on with a few more hellacious punches until Dean intervenes.
We now have our first stoppage of the night, coming in very impressive fashion. Strickland has now recorded two wins in two weeks, and in victory he becomes the first man to ever knock out the durable Allen.
The Official Result
Sean Strickland def. Brendan Allen R2 1:32 via TKO (Punches)
Expert Picks (3)
Big Brady leans toward Allen due to his grappling advantage and improvements, though he is concerned about Allen's gas tank. He notes the catchweight at 195 may favor Allen as the bigger fighter, and he wants to see weigh-ins before betting. He expects Allen to win a close decision by taking the first two rounds.
Daniel slightly leans with Strickland, viewing him as the more well-rounded fighter with a great jab and improved willingness to sit down on his punches. He thinks if Strickland can maintain distance and keep Allen off him, he can outpoint him to a decision. He acknowledges Allen's forward pressure and jiu-jitsu threat but believes Strickland's striking advantage and ability to avoid bad positions will be key.
The MMA Guru picks Brendan Allen, emphasizing that the catchweight bout favors Allen as he doesn't have to cut weight again. He believes Allen will out-grapple Strickland on the ground and finish with a rear-naked choke in the second round. He notes that Strickland's wins over Jack Marshman are not impressive and that Strickland lacks the power to keep Allen off him.
Jun 27, 2020
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 1 | 41 of 66 | 62% | 79 of 109 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 4 | 5:37 |
| Kyle Daukaus | 0 | 34 of 58 | 58% | 92 of 127 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 1 | 7:44 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 1 | 16 of 27 | 59% | 29 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 2:32 |
| Kyle Daukaus | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 11 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 1:54 | |
| 2 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 17 of 26 | 65% | 26 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 2 | 2:42 |
| Kyle Daukaus | 0 | 22 of 36 | 61% | 48 of 62 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:28 | |
| 3 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 24 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:23 |
| Kyle Daukaus | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 33 of 48 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 41 of 66 | 62% | 31 of 55 | 9 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 26 | 3 of 3 | 25 of 37 |
| Kyle Daukaus | 34 of 58 | 58% | 29 of 51 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 35 | 2 of 3 | 13 of 20 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 16 of 27 | 59% | 12 of 23 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 17 |
| Kyle Daukaus | 5 of 10 | 50% | 2 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Brendan Allen | 17 of 26 | 65% | 12 of 20 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 11 |
| Kyle Daukaus | 22 of 36 | 61% | 20 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 14 | |
| 3 | Brendan Allen | 8 of 13 | 61% | 7 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 9 |
| Kyle Daukaus | 7 of 12 | 58% | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Up next at middleweight, two Dana White’s Contender Series victors face off as “All In” Allen (14-3, 2-0 UFC) tries to become the first fighter to beat Daukaus (9-0, 0-0 UFC). Our Octagon ranger is referee Chris Tognoni, and there is no glove touch between the two before slinging leather. Daukaus connects with a heavy kick quickly, and Allen reacts with a high kick that gets blocked. They trade leg kicks, and Allen jumps forward with a left hook. Daukaus catches him in the air and tries to turn it into a takedown, but “All In” stays all on his feet. Daukaus tries to change levels, and Allen times a flush knee right on the button and sends Daukaus face-down to the ground. Allen jumps on top, right into mount, and rains down a few elbows before Daukaus turns around. The undefeated fighter turns to the cage to defend against a choke, so Allen steps over and smashes down some left hands. Daukaus turns to stop taking these punches, and Allen readjusts to hunt for a rear-naked choke as he adjusts himself. With his hooks in and back on the fence, Allen proceeds to soften up his opponent with punches. Daukaus explodes to break the hooks, and stands up much to the chagrin of Allen. In a flash, Daukaus circles out to take Allen’s back, and he tries to wrench Allen down to the ground to implement his own submission game. Allen fights off a brief choke attempt to roll around, but Daukaus is latched on tight to try to get a choke. Allen reverses the position and winds up on top, where he enters full guard and hacks at him with an elbow. That one elbow slices Daukaus’ eyebrow wide open, and it starts pouring blood immediately. Daukaus flails to get out of the bad position, and Allen steps over into half guard to drop down a few more elbows until we hear the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Round 2
Allen kicks off the round by chasing his man down with long punches to the head and body, and Daukaus’s cut is already bleeding again. Allen sticks him with a left, and Daukaus replies with a counter left. Daukaus tags him with a right hand, so Allen replies with a body kick. Daukaus does not like that, and shoots in for a takedown. He briefly manages to get on top, and Allen defends with a guillotine choke that turns into a reversal, allowing the Roufusport product to end up on top. From full guard, Allen wings up and cracks Daukaus with an elbow to the same damaged spot, and blood is flowing into Daukaus’ eyes. The ground-and-pound from Allen is halting any of the submission attempts from Daukaus, but Daukaus manages to explode out of the position again and get back up. When Daukaus tries to take the fight back down, Allen flirts with a Peruvian Necktie, but falls to his back with Daukaus on top in half guard dropping down punches. Daukaus fires off his own elbows, making his opponent pay for those attacks in the previous round. Allen throws his legs up and sets up an omoplata, using it to sweep his foe and get on top again. The blood is fully in Daukaus’ eyes, and he is struggling to see as Allen sends punches and elbows careening off Daukaus’ head. Daukaus fights his way back to his knees, so Allen takes his back. He stands back, allowing Daukaus to stand up so that he can time a knee, and clobbers him with one that might be illegal, as Daukaus appeared to have his left knee down. The foul is not called, and Daukaus is not hurt, standing up but eating a hellacious punch that drops him at the bell. It’s anyone’s guess if Daukaus will be able to continue into Round 3.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Round 3
The durability of the undefeated fighter holds up, as Daukaus answers the bell and is ready for five more minutes of combat. He starts the round by pushing the pace and taking Allen down. Allen tries to defend it with a guillotine choke, but Daukaus defends it and loudly introduces Allen’s forehead to one of his own elbows. Allen throws his legs up to push his opponent off of him, but in the scramble, Daukaus takes side control and briefly considers a north-south choke attempt. The strike from Daukaus has caused some serious damage to Allen, whose nose is leaking and eye is practically swollen shut already. Allen tries to get out of harm’s way, but in the process, gives up his back. Daukaus secures a body triangle, and he starts hunting for a choke. Allen fights it off, and rolls to his stomach, but Daukaus maintains back control while squeezing the waist with his legs. When Allen starts punching Daukaus behind his head – and he is connecting with these punches – Daukaus nearly gets a rear-naked choke locked up. The donated plasma has almost completely obscured the vision of Daukaus, but he does not care as he tries to soften Allen up with punches while fishing for a choke. Allen sways back and forth, turn a bad situation into top position, and he starts blasting Daukaus with strikes to end the round in style. Allen swings with crazy elbows, and dives down to land an emphatic shot. As Daukaus holds on tight, time expires, and this wild and bloody fight is now over.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Daukaus (29-28 Allen)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Daukaus (29-28 Allen)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Daukaus (29-28 Allen)
The Official Result
Brendan Allen def. Kyle Daukaus via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-27, 30-27)
Expert Picks (3)
Big Brady picks Brendan Allen, though he acknowledges the line might be a bit wide due to Daukaus' dangerous BJJ off his back. He thinks Allen is the better striker and stronger fighter, and if he fights smart on the feet or controls top position, he can finish. He predicts a first-round ground-and-pound KO. He notes Daukaus is undefeated and dangerous but favors Allen's upside.
Daniel Levi picks Brendan Allen, emphasizing Allen's experience and recent dominant performances. He notes that Allen has overcome past setbacks and is now confident, while Daukaus is still green and has shown vulnerabilities in grappling exchanges. Levi thinks Allen's top pressure and submission threat will be too much, predicting a finish. He acknowledges Daukaus's size and southpaw stance could cause trouble but believes Allen's experience will prevail.
The MMA Guru picks Brendan Allen, acknowledging Kyle Daukaus is dangerous but noting Daukaus took the fight on short notice and may not have full training. He highlights Allen's wins over Tom Breese and Kevin Holland, and predicts Allen will pick Daukaus apart and finish via ground-and-pound late in the first round. He believes Daukaus is not the type to go for an early KO, which hurts his chances on short notice.
Feb 29, 2020
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 20 of 29 | 68% | 38 of 52 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 4:13 |
| Tom Breese | 0 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 5 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 20 of 29 | 68% | 38 of 52 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 4:13 |
| Tom Breese | 0 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 5 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 20 of 29 | 68% | 17 of 26 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 16 of 23 |
| Tom Breese | 4 of 5 | 80% | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 20 of 29 | 68% | 17 of 26 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 16 of 23 |
| Tom Breese | 4 of 5 | 80% | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
A pair of submission-minded fighters will square off now at middleweight, when Allen (13-3, 1-0 UFC) looks to go “All In” against the returning Breese (11-1, 4-1 UFC). Our Octagon ranger is referee Bill Bookwalter, and the commission is keeping refs busy with back-to-back assignments. This fight starts furiously, as they swing with reckless abandon at one another. Breese goes to the body, and Allen clinches up to hit a trip. Breese defends it well, and nearly lifts up a knee to take him down, so Allen stomps his feet. The two jockey for position against the cage and trade knees, and both fight off trip attempts as Breese goes for one and falls to his back. Allen is in a precarious position, and spins out of danger from back control to take half guard. Allen decides not to land many punches, and instead goes after a kimura on the far side while he pops over to side control. He torques the kimura more, and Breese puts his arm behind his back so he escapes the submission, but in the process eats several heavy punches on the chin. Allen goes after the same arm with another kimura, and then bails on it when he slams down elbows. As he works over Breese with these elbows, the Brit smiles and laughs at him while on his back. Allen, comfortable in side control while landing some powerful strikes, fights off a sweep attempt by walking over the cage. Breese circles around and guns for an armbar, but falls to his back and ends in north-south position briefly. Breese throws his legs up to go after a triangle, but his right leg his trapped beneath his opponent so Allen walks past it and cracks him with some nasty elbows.
The punches and elbows rain down from Allen, and Bookwalter is calling for Breese to get out of it. Allen pours it on, and Bookwalter has no choice but to stop the fight.
This is a massive win for “All In,” as he becomes the first fighter to finish the durable Breese.
The Official Result
Brendan Allen def. Tom Breese R1 4:47 via TKO (Elbows and Punches)
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 10 of 22 | 45% | 23 of 41 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 4 | 2 | 2:54 |
| Kevin Holland | 0 | 22 of 38 | 57% | 37 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 4:44 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 6 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 3 | 1 | 1:54 |
| Kevin Holland | 0 | 14 of 18 | 77% | 19 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 2:45 | |
| 2 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 17 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 1:00 |
| Kevin Holland | 0 | 8 of 20 | 40% | 18 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:59 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 10 of 22 | 45% | 7 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 7 |
| Kevin Holland | 22 of 38 | 57% | 14 of 27 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 5 | 12 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 12 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Kevin Holland | 14 of 18 | 77% | 7 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 12 | |
| 2 | Brendan Allen | 8 of 17 | 47% | 6 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 |
| Kevin Holland | 8 of 20 | 40% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Moving to middleweight, former LFA 185-pound champ Allen (12-3, 0-0 UFC) makes his promotional debut against Holland (16-4, 3-1 UFC). Serving as the referee will be Steve Rita. There is no touch of gloves, as we get right down to business with heavy kicks by both men. The two men are swinging hard right out of the gate, until Allen drives in for a body lock takedown and gets Holland down. Holland gets back to his feet but Allen snatches up his back, and is hanging on like a backpack. Holland spins out to try to break position but Allen is wrapped around his waist and won't let go. As Allen has his back against the fence as Holland leans backward, Allen trips his legs out and drags Holland down. Allen briefly seeks a rear-naked choke attempt until Holland powers out, and shakes Allen off his back. On top but with a leg hooked by Allen, "Trailblazer" tries to set up some powerful ground-and-pound. Holland swings down a heavy elbow that slices the forehead open of Allen, and blood starts flowing immediately. Desperate to get out of the position, Allen pulls for a leg lock, and Holland stands up out of it. The submission attempt is unsuccessful, and Holland puts together some more ground-and-pound before going after a rear-naked choke of his own. Holland wraps his arm under Allen's neck and it is tight?until it isn't, as Allen survives possibly thanks to the slippery blood. Allen remarkably rolls out and after the two jockey for position, Allen grabs hold of Holland's neck with his own rear-naked choke. Holland survives and also shucks off an armbar attempt, and this exciting and bloody round comes to a close.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Holland
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Holland
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Holland
Round 2
Allen charges forward to start the round, swinging punches with reckless abandon to close the distance. Holland backs off and throws a few low kicks, and then a stiff right hand comes over the top from Holland. Holland shoots in for a takedown and Allen immediately pulls for a guillotine choke, but Holland is not concerned and waits for his moment to pop his head out. He does so, and in full guard he pushes away an armbar attempt before Allen sets up a triangle choke. With his arm in the choke, Holland pushes out and regains position to get out of danger. It is not long before Allen throws his legs up again to vie for an arm lock before aiming for that triangle, and as Holland steps over, he throws a punch from his behind his back and clocks Allen right on the chin. Allen explodes out, and the position has changed dramatically, with Allen taking Holland's back before Holland rolls through. Content to take half guard, Allen drops down some elbows to try to open his opponent up too, and as he takes shots, Holland rolls over to try to escape.
Allen capitalizes on that opportunity to latch on to Holland's back, and wraps his arm around Holland's neck for a rear-naked choke. This is tight, and as Holland tries to turn out, there is no escape, and he is forced to tap out.
This is a statement-making win for Allen, who makes his debut in style by submitting a talented prospect in Holland.
The Official Result
Brendan Allen def. Kevin Holland R2 3:38 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
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