UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. dos Anjos · Nov 14, 2020 · Women's Strawweight · Completed
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Age 32
Height 5' 1"
Reach 62.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 40
Height 5' 4"
Reach 63.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Kanako Murata
2.15 SLpM
56.0% Str. Acc.
2.4 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
3.38 TD Avg
56.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Randa Markos
2.97 SLpM
43.0% Str. Acc.
3.1 SApM
58.0% Str. Def.
1.12 TD Avg
28.0% TD Acc.
52.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Kanako Murata - Fight History
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · Oct 07, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Vanessa Demopoulos 0 31 of 65 47% 86 of 144 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:42
Kanako Murata 0 34 of 64 53% 70 of 116 5 of 6 83% 0 0 10:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 17 of 35 48% 27 of 49 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:20
Kanako Murata 0 9 of 16 56% 17 of 27 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:44
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 9 of 23 39% 35 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kanako Murata 0 9 of 19 47% 30 of 46 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:11
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 5 of 7 71% 24 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:22
Kanako Murata 0 16 of 29 55% 23 of 43 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Vanessa Demopoulos 31 of 65 47% 21 of 49 10 of 13 0 of 3 10 of 36 7 of 10 14 of 19
Kanako Murata 34 of 64 53% 27 of 55 4 of 5 3 of 4 10 of 23 1 of 1 23 of 40
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 17 of 35 48% 10 of 22 7 of 10 0 of 3 5 of 20 5 of 7 7 of 8
Kanako Murata 9 of 16 56% 3 of 8 3 of 4 3 of 4 7 of 14 1 of 1 1 of 1
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 9 of 23 39% 8 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 13 1 of 1 5 of 9
Kanako Murata 9 of 19 47% 8 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 12
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 5 of 7 71% 3 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 3 1 of 2 2 of 2
Kanako Murata 16 of 29 55% 16 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 16 of 27
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

Angelo picks Kanako Murata despite a two-year layoff, reasoning that she is young (30) and likely to be the same or better. He highlights her great wrestling, solid BJJ defense, and constant forward pressure with takedown threats. He believes the same version of Murata from a few years ago dominates Vanessa Demopoulos. He has a small parlay including Murata, though he admits it's risky.

Small parlay with Murata (other half not specified yet)
"I do have a small parlay with her I threw her and uh I'll tell you the other half when I get to that fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

Big Brady is confident in Kanako Murata, praising her wrestling and grappling as some of the best in the division. He notes that Vanessa Demopoulos has poor takedown defense and is content to fight off her back, which plays into Murata's strengths. He expects Murata to control the fight on the ground and eventually find a submission, predicting a second-round submission win.

second round submission for Kanako Murata
"I'm going to take kanak and Morada to win this fight I'll take her to win this fight by by second round uh submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

Cody picks Demopoulos as a dog, citing Murata's long layoff, broken arm, and lack of a Plan B if wrestling fails. He believes Demopoulos's BJJ and forward pressure could cause problems, and that Murata may be hesitant. He sees value in the plus money.

Demopoulos by submission
"I'm almost forced into a Vanessa Demopolis... I am taking demopolistic"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

Daniel Levi picks Kanako Murata but is not confident at -360. He notes Murata's grinding top control and ability to neutralize opponents, but also acknowledges Vanessa Demopoulos's dangerous armbar from guard and her high effort. He sees Murata winning by decision but says it's a dog-or-pass situation and he wouldn't parlay it.

dog or pass situation; not parlaying
"I'll go with Morata by decision but I don't know"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2023 (fight day)
Kanako Murata

Lucrative James is confident Murata wins easily, citing her youth, prime condition, and all-around tools. He thinks Demopoulos is old and relies on low-percentage submissions like an armbar from guard. He predicts Murata by decision, as both are tough enough to survive.

"I think Morata is going to win this fight kind easily to be honest"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Oct 6, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Kanako Murata

Murata has been out for over two years, but she is a strong wrestler with top pressure. She should be able to close the distance, drag Demopoulos to the ground, and control her from top position. Demopoulos has shown holes in her striking and has been submitted before. However, the long layoff makes me hesitant on the chalky line. Expect Murata to win by decision.

"I'm going to take Morata here a little bit hesitant on her chalky money line at -300 or -350 considering the fact that she's been offered two plus years"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

Paul picks Demopoulos, agreeing with Cody. He notes Murata's low striking volume and long layoff, and believes Demopoulos can win a volume striking fight or via submission. He likes the plus 275 price and considers a submission prop.

Demopoulos by submission
"Demopolis plus 275 like it because I could see her winning a volume based uh striking Affair"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

The MMA Guru picks Kanako Murata over Vanessa Demopoulos. He likes that Murata took time off after an injury and likely improved. He notes Murata's win over Emily Ducote on the regional scene and her confidence in fighting a veteran early in her career. He criticizes Demopoulos for being 'coddled' and having questionable decisions, and believes Murata is more consistent. He predicts a close competitive decision but mentions potential finish.

potentially by finish, but likely a close competitive decision
"I'm gonna have to go against Vanessa Demopolis here I don't mind kanako Morata in comparison"
LOSS vs Virna Jandiroba
TKO (arm injury) R2 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: The Korean Zombie vs. Ige · Jun 19, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Virna Jandiroba 0 23 of 44 52% 26 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:34
Kanako Murata 0 36 of 80 45% 39 of 83 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Virna Jandiroba 0 14 of 21 66% 17 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:19
Kanako Murata 0 11 of 26 42% 12 of 27 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:46
2 Virna Jandiroba 0 9 of 23 39% 9 of 23 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Kanako Murata 0 25 of 54 46% 27 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Virna Jandiroba 23 of 44 52% 15 of 33 5 of 7 3 of 4 12 of 32 3 of 3 8 of 9
Kanako Murata 36 of 80 45% 32 of 73 4 of 7 0 of 0 35 of 77 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Virna Jandiroba 14 of 21 66% 10 of 16 4 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 9 3 of 3 8 of 9
Kanako Murata 11 of 26 42% 8 of 23 3 of 3 0 of 0 10 of 25 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Virna Jandiroba 9 of 23 39% 5 of 17 1 of 2 3 of 4 9 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kanako Murata 25 of 54 46% 24 of 50 1 of 4 0 of 0 25 of 52 0 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

Angelo picks Kanako Murata, citing her judo and wrestling background. He believes Murata can take Jandiroba down and control her, avoiding submissions. He notes Jandiroba's submission threat but thinks Murata's defensive grappling is sufficient. He placed a bet on Jandiroba to win by submission with decision no action, essentially hedging.

Jandiroba wins by submission, decision equals no action (1 unit, bet online)
"my pick is kanako."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Big Brady is confident in Jandiroba's submission skills, noting she is a BJJ wizard with 13 submission wins. He points out Murata puts herself in bad positions and has a submission loss. He expects Jandiroba to find a submission within 15 minutes.

win by submission
"I'll take jen and january to win by submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

Cody picks Murata as an underdog, citing her wrestling advantage and youth (27). He notes Jandiroba's non-existent striking and believes Murata can win by decision through takedowns and control. He acknowledges Jandiroba's submission threat but thinks Murata's improved grappling will keep her safe.

Murata by decision
"i went with uh kanako murata uh yeah it just comes down to the wrestling advantage again she's still pretty young in 27"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Daniel Levi picks Virna Jandiroba, citing her elite jiu-jitsu and higher level of competition. He believes she is the better grappler and can pull guard, sweep, and get into dominant positions. He notes that wrestlers like Murata don't like being on their backs, and that Jandiroba has fought tougher opponents like Carla Esparza and Mackenzie Dern. He expects a submission or decision win, but acknowledges that if it becomes a striking fight, he is less sure.

"i think that virna janjidova is just more seasoned man and fought the better competition and i like her jiu jitsu game i think it's very elite"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Jacob does not make a clear pick for this fight. He finds it a toss-up between the wrestler and grappler. He leans slightly towards Jandiroba if it goes to the ground but stayed away from picking. He did not include either fighter in his lineup.

"i didn't even pick this fight because i have no idea what's going to happen in this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

The host leans slightly with Kanako Murata, believing her wrestling and strength will allow her to dictate where the fight takes place. He thinks Murata's defensive grappling has improved and that she can nullify Jandiroba's jiu-jitsu. He expects a grappling-heavy fight where both cancel out, leading to a decision. He likes the over 2.5 rounds most, as finishes are unlikely given the skill level. He notes Murata's only loss was early in her career to a more experienced fighter.

Over 2.5 rounds at -200 range; Murata by decision at +245 mentioned
"i'm going to be going with kanako murata by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Paul picks Jandiroba by submission as a small play, noting her superior BJJ and ability to take down wrestlers (as seen against Esparza). He is concerned about Murata's submission defense but thinks Jandiroba can catch her if the fight goes to the ground.

Jandiroba by submission +275
"i ended up taking a shot on verna by sub plus 275 i don't know if the math really checks out all that much"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Virna Jandiroba

The MMA Guru picks Virna Jandiroba to win by submission (arm triangle) in the second round. He expects Murata to push Jandiroba against the cage early and use her strength, but Jandiroba will use jiu-jitsu positions and submission attempts to win scrambles. He predicts Jandiroba will attack many submissions, eventually catching Murata in an arm triangle after transitioning from a leg lock.

submission win, second round, arm triangle
"i'm going to go verna jandarova getting a submission win in the second round... arm triangle"
WIN vs Randa Markos
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. dos Anjos · Nov 14, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kanako Murata 0 29 of 61 47% 37 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Randa Markos 0 29 of 43 67% 79 of 95 4 of 9 44% 2 0 9:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kanako Murata 0 7 of 11 63% 8 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Randa Markos 0 15 of 20 75% 36 of 42 2 of 5 40% 0 0 3:34
2 Kanako Murata 0 15 of 33 45% 22 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Randa Markos 0 8 of 15 53% 20 of 27 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:13
3 Kanako Murata 0 7 of 17 41% 7 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Randa Markos 0 6 of 8 75% 23 of 26 1 of 2 50% 2 0 3:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kanako Murata 29 of 61 47% 12 of 36 10 of 12 7 of 13 19 of 50 9 of 10 1 of 1
Randa Markos 29 of 43 67% 24 of 36 5 of 7 0 of 0 11 of 22 1 of 3 17 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kanako Murata 7 of 11 63% 2 of 5 4 of 4 1 of 2 3 of 7 4 of 4 0 of 0
Randa Markos 15 of 20 75% 14 of 19 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 1 of 1 13 of 13
2 Kanako Murata 15 of 33 45% 6 of 20 4 of 5 5 of 8 10 of 27 5 of 6 0 of 0
Randa Markos 8 of 15 53% 4 of 9 4 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 12 0 of 2 1 of 1
3 Kanako Murata 7 of 17 41% 4 of 11 2 of 3 1 of 3 6 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1
Randa Markos 6 of 8 75% 6 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 4
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

Big Brady picks Murata due to her wrestling pedigree and top control, though he is wary of Markos' submission threat from guard. He notes Markos' poor fight IQ and takedown defense. He expects Murata to win a decision but is not betting due to the sketchy vibe.

decision prop mentioned as a possible look; not betting
"i like morata here i like her by decision but i'm not going to touch it from a betting perspective"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 13, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Kanako Murata

Daniel slightly leans with Murata, noting her disciplined game plan, strength, forward pressure, and ability to mix in takedowns. He thinks she can edge a decision if she stays disciplined. He acknowledges Markos has shown mental lapses and inconsistency, but warns that Murata is not a lock and the fight could be close. He advises not going crazy at the betting window.

"i'll slightly lean with her for that reason"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Randa Markos

The MMA Guru picks Randa Markos, despite her 10-10 record, because she has fought much better competition than Kanako Murata. He notes that Murata went to a split decision against a girl with an 8-5 record and hasn't beaten anyone notable. He believes Markos will piece up Murata on the feet for three rounds and win a unanimous decision.

Unanimous decision; mentions Markos' wins over Angela Hill and Carla Esparza
"I'm going to be going with Randa Markos getting the job done, I think she'll piece up Kanako Murata on the feet for three rounds earning herself a unanimous decision victory."
Randa Markos - Fight History
WIN vs Livinha Souza
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Oct 23, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Randa Markos 0 11 of 27 40% 51 of 71 3 of 6 50% 2 0 3:31
Livinha Souza 0 65 of 96 67% 159 of 207 0 of 0 --- 0 2 8:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Randa Markos 0 3 of 7 42% 24 of 29 1 of 3 33% 2 0 1:43
Livinha Souza 0 21 of 36 58% 40 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:10
2 Randa Markos 0 2 of 4 50% 17 of 21 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:31
Livinha Souza 0 12 of 16 75% 50 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 1 3:00
3 Randa Markos 0 6 of 16 37% 10 of 21 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:17
Livinha Souza 0 32 of 44 72% 69 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 1 3:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Randa Markos 11 of 27 40% 7 of 23 3 of 3 1 of 1 6 of 20 3 of 5 2 of 2
Livinha Souza 65 of 96 67% 55 of 85 7 of 8 3 of 3 29 of 55 20 of 25 16 of 16
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Randa Markos 3 of 7 42% 1 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 4 2 of 3 0 of 0
Livinha Souza 21 of 36 58% 15 of 29 4 of 5 2 of 2 9 of 23 12 of 13 0 of 0
2 Randa Markos 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1
Livinha Souza 12 of 16 75% 10 of 14 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 5 2 of 2 9 of 9
3 Randa Markos 6 of 16 37% 5 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 14 0 of 1 1 of 1
Livinha Souza 32 of 44 72% 30 of 42 1 of 1 1 of 1 19 of 27 6 of 10 7 of 7
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Oct 20, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Livinha Souza

Angelo sees this as a tough fight between two similar fighters. He notes that Souza likely has a striking advantage while Randa has the grappling edge, but neither is good off their back. He ultimately sides with Souza because he thinks she can be the bully and get on top, but he's not confident and won't bet on her at -300.

won't bet on Souza at -300; likes the more/more on the strike line (over 73.5 combined strikes)
"i have to side with susan here though because i do think she can potentially be the bully and get on top"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 19, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Livinha Souza

Big Brady leans toward Souza despite her poor performance against Amanda Lemos, citing Souza's takedown ability and Randa Markos's 52% takedown defense. He expects the fight to play out on the mat where Souza can control and win a decision. However, he admits low confidence due to both fighters' low level and recommends no bet on this fight.

no bet recommended
"i'm kind of leaning on the soza side here um again there's there's not much confidence in this pic because you really can't be confident in soza"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Randa Markos

Cody leans towards Randa Markos as an underdog. He notes that Souza has looked awful in the UFC, quitting in her last fight, while Markos has fought only top competition and never quits. Cody believes Markos's grinding style and durability will be too much for Souza, who seems to lack heart. He sees this as a dogger pass and takes the underdog.

Dogger pass
"it's a dogger pass situation i'll take the underdog"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Randa Markos

Lock picks Markos based on volume and activity. He notes Souza has poor striking output and Markos will outwork her. He expects Markos to win by decision, as she is unlikely to finish. He acknowledges Markos' low fight IQ but thinks she can win.

Markos by decision +150
"i am on the marco's side no bet from me though i do think she goes out there and now volumes who's on the feet"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Paul does not make a pick, asking for Cody's blessing before betting. He notes that Souza has burned him before and that Markos's style may not be favored by judges. Paul seems uncertain and does not commit.

"i want the blessing on souza before i throw any money here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Livinha Souza

The MMA Guru picks Livinha Souza, arguing that she is undervalued due to her looks. He highlights her tough competition and believes Randa Markos has lost motivation. He predicts Souza will win by unanimous decision.

"get your money on liver hernandez she's actually kind of good"
LOSS vs Luana Pinheiro
DQ (illegal upkick) R1 4:16 · UFC on ESPN: Reyes vs. Prochazka · May 01, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luana Pinheiro 0 18 of 40 45% 28 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:29
Randa Markos 0 29 of 53 54% 35 of 61 5 of 6 83% 0 0 0:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luana Pinheiro 0 18 of 40 45% 28 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:29
Randa Markos 0 29 of 53 54% 35 of 61 5 of 6 83% 0 0 0:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luana Pinheiro 18 of 40 45% 12 of 32 6 of 7 0 of 1 12 of 34 5 of 5 1 of 1
Randa Markos 29 of 53 54% 22 of 44 4 of 5 3 of 4 20 of 38 7 of 7 2 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luana Pinheiro 18 of 40 45% 12 of 32 6 of 7 0 of 1 12 of 34 5 of 5 1 of 1
Randa Markos 29 of 53 54% 22 of 44 4 of 5 3 of 4 20 of 38 7 of 7 2 of 8
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Luana Pinheiro

Big Brady picks Luana Pinheiro to win by decision, but expresses hesitation about betting on Contender Series fighters, especially in women's MMA. He likes Pinheiro's aggression, power, and ability to take the fight down, noting Markos's poor takedown defense. However, he acknowledges that Contender Series favorites often fail to cover the price tag. He ultimately picks Pinheiro but says he won't bet on it.

"i will pick panera to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Luana Pinheiro

Cody thinks Pinheiro is a strong prospect with hands and a judo background, training at ATT with her boyfriend Matheus Nicolau. He notes that Randa Markos has lost three in a row and seems to be on a downswing, possibly thinking about retirement. He believes Pinheiro can exploit Markos in many areas and that -170 is a fair price. However, he has low confidence due to the unpredictability of women's MMA and the veteran vs. debutant dynamic.

"i think minus 170 is fair what about you"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Luana Pinheiro

Daniel Levi picks Luana Pinheiro to win, citing her finishing ability and jiu-jitsu credentials. He acknowledges the risk of a debut egg but believes Randa Markos is declining mentally and physically. Levi notes that Pinheiro's path to victory is takedowns and top control, as Markos has been dominated on the ground recently.

"i'm gonna go uh with luana here because i just don't think randa up here mentally is where she once was"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 30, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Randa Markos

The host picks Randa Markos as an underdog, citing her experience and durability. He questions Pinheiro's cardio since all her wins are first-round finishes on the regional scene. He expects Markos to take the fight into deeper waters and grind out a decision.

Randa Markos by decision at +235; Over 2.5 rounds at -220; Fight goes to decision at -185
"I am going to go with marcos not with the utmost confidence and not just because she's canadian"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Luana Pinheiro

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Markos has seen better days and is on a losing streak. He points out that Markos has never won back-to-back fights in the UFC and is getting older. He thinks Pinheiro is a natural finisher with good grappling and striking, and that she looks strong for 115 pounds. He believes Pinheiro can exploit Markos' telegraphing and suspect wrestling. He agrees that -170 is fair but has low confidence due to the level of competition.

"yeah yeah i agree i think rhonda marcos has seen better days"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Luana Pinheiro

The MMA Guru picks Luana Pinheiro over Randa Markos, expressing frustration with Markos' poor decision-making and lack of effort. He highlights Pinheiro's power and finishing ability, noting she has first-round finishes in her recent fights. He predicts Pinheiro will win by first-round finish, either by submission or KO.

first round finish
"i'm going to be picking luanna pinero here pretty confidently uh confidently to beat random archos and i'll say she gets a finish in the first round as well"
LOSS vs Kanako Murata
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. dos Anjos · Nov 14, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kanako Murata 0 29 of 61 47% 37 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Randa Markos 0 29 of 43 67% 79 of 95 4 of 9 44% 2 0 9:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kanako Murata 0 7 of 11 63% 8 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Randa Markos 0 15 of 20 75% 36 of 42 2 of 5 40% 0 0 3:34
2 Kanako Murata 0 15 of 33 45% 22 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Randa Markos 0 8 of 15 53% 20 of 27 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:13
3 Kanako Murata 0 7 of 17 41% 7 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Randa Markos 0 6 of 8 75% 23 of 26 1 of 2 50% 2 0 3:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kanako Murata 29 of 61 47% 12 of 36 10 of 12 7 of 13 19 of 50 9 of 10 1 of 1
Randa Markos 29 of 43 67% 24 of 36 5 of 7 0 of 0 11 of 22 1 of 3 17 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kanako Murata 7 of 11 63% 2 of 5 4 of 4 1 of 2 3 of 7 4 of 4 0 of 0
Randa Markos 15 of 20 75% 14 of 19 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 1 of 1 13 of 13
2 Kanako Murata 15 of 33 45% 6 of 20 4 of 5 5 of 8 10 of 27 5 of 6 0 of 0
Randa Markos 8 of 15 53% 4 of 9 4 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 12 0 of 2 1 of 1
3 Kanako Murata 7 of 17 41% 4 of 11 2 of 3 1 of 3 6 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1
Randa Markos 6 of 8 75% 6 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 4
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

Big Brady picks Murata due to her wrestling pedigree and top control, though he is wary of Markos' submission threat from guard. He notes Markos' poor fight IQ and takedown defense. He expects Murata to win a decision but is not betting due to the sketchy vibe.

decision prop mentioned as a possible look; not betting
"i like morata here i like her by decision but i'm not going to touch it from a betting perspective"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 13, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Kanako Murata

Daniel slightly leans with Murata, noting her disciplined game plan, strength, forward pressure, and ability to mix in takedowns. He thinks she can edge a decision if she stays disciplined. He acknowledges Markos has shown mental lapses and inconsistency, but warns that Murata is not a lock and the fight could be close. He advises not going crazy at the betting window.

"i'll slightly lean with her for that reason"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Randa Markos

The MMA Guru picks Randa Markos, despite her 10-10 record, because she has fought much better competition than Kanako Murata. He notes that Murata went to a split decision against a girl with an 8-5 record and hasn't beaten anyone notable. He believes Markos will piece up Murata on the feet for three rounds and win a unanimous decision.

Unanimous decision; mentions Markos' wins over Angela Hill and Carla Esparza
"I'm going to be going with Randa Markos getting the job done, I think she'll piece up Kanako Murata on the feet for three rounds earning herself a unanimous decision victory."
LOSS vs Mackenzie Dern
Submission (armbar) R1 3:44 · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · Sep 19, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mackenzie Dern 0 9 of 13 69% 11 of 17 0 of 0 --- 5 1 1:45
Randa Markos 0 3 of 5 60% 7 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:36
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mackenzie Dern 0 9 of 13 69% 11 of 17 0 of 0 --- 5 1 1:45
Randa Markos 0 3 of 5 60% 7 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:36
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mackenzie Dern 9 of 13 69% 6 of 10 2 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 7
Randa Markos 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mackenzie Dern 9 of 13 69% 6 of 10 2 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 7
Randa Markos 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Randa Markos

Big Brady picks Randa Markos, citing Dern's poor wrestling (7% takedown accuracy) and striking. He believes the fight will stay on the feet where Markos is the better striker, and Markos has stated she will avoid Dern's strength. He expects a close decision win for Markos.

"give me random marcos to win a close decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Sep 18, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Mackenzie Dern

The host sees this as a 50/50 fight where the winner depends on who imposes their game. He thinks Dern's best path is to get the fight to the ground and use her elite jiu-jitsu for a submission, but he questions her ability to secure takedowns against Markos. He notes Markos has the striking advantage and could outpoint Dern if she keeps it standing. He picks Dern by submission but acknowledges the value is on Markos at +145.

Mackenzie Dern wins by submission +145; under 2.5 rounds +100
"I'm still going to be picking mckenzie during to win this fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Mackenzie Dern

The host picks Mackenzie Dern over Randa Markos, citing Dern's dominant performance against Hannah Cifers and her youth. He notes Markos's age (35) and many losses to top competition. He predicts a submission win in the first or second round.

submission in first or second round
"I'm gonna go with mackenzie dunn getting it done by submission marcos i don't has a good chance on the feet though... i think mackenzie dune gets it done by submission in the first or second."
LOSS vs Amanda Ribas
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–25, 30–25) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · Mar 14, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Ribas 0 85 of 159 53% 173 of 254 1 of 3 33% 2 1 7:24
Randa Markos 0 36 of 77 46% 56 of 99 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Ribas 0 22 of 41 53% 51 of 73 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:04
Randa Markos 0 7 of 15 46% 10 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Amanda Ribas 0 31 of 74 41% 61 of 105 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:25
Randa Markos 0 23 of 51 45% 38 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Amanda Ribas 0 32 of 44 72% 61 of 76 0 of 0 --- 2 1 2:55
Randa Markos 0 6 of 11 54% 8 of 13 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Ribas 85 of 159 53% 57 of 125 18 of 24 10 of 10 45 of 111 8 of 9 32 of 39
Randa Markos 36 of 77 46% 22 of 58 3 of 7 11 of 12 33 of 74 3 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Ribas 22 of 41 53% 14 of 32 6 of 7 2 of 2 10 of 25 2 of 3 10 of 13
Randa Markos 7 of 15 46% 5 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 2 7 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Amanda Ribas 31 of 74 41% 18 of 56 8 of 13 5 of 5 26 of 69 5 of 5 0 of 0
Randa Markos 23 of 51 45% 13 of 38 2 of 4 8 of 9 22 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Amanda Ribas 32 of 44 72% 25 of 37 4 of 4 3 of 3 9 of 17 1 of 1 22 of 26
Randa Markos 6 of 11 54% 4 of 7 1 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 9 2 of 2 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Daniel is confident in Ribas, citing her size advantage, superior jiu-jitsu, and judo. He thinks she can take Markos down and submit her or win a dominant decision. He notes Markos is tough but Ribas is on a different talent level.

"i'ma go a rebus by 30 26 in Brazil I think she gets it done"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

The host picks Amanda Ribas over Randa Markos. He notes that Markos is dangerous but will be too short in reach and length. Ribas is coming off a win over Mackenzie Dern and will use her reach advantage to jab Markos's face for three rounds. He also mentions Markos's age (34) as a factor.

"I'm gonna go over man to Alaska in a job done and jabbing off random al qasas face for free rounds"
WIN vs Ashley Yoder
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · Oct 26, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Randa Markos 0 78 of 140 55% 94 of 158 0 of 1 0% 0 1 3:05
Ashley Yoder 0 44 of 107 41% 82 of 148 2 of 6 33% 0 1 5:36
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Randa Markos 0 8 of 10 80% 9 of 11 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:28
Ashley Yoder 0 11 of 16 68% 22 of 27 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:41
2 Randa Markos 0 39 of 54 72% 54 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:31
Ashley Yoder 0 19 of 36 52% 41 of 61 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:30
3 Randa Markos 0 31 of 76 40% 31 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Ashley Yoder 0 14 of 55 25% 19 of 60 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Randa Markos 78 of 140 55% 58 of 116 10 of 13 10 of 11 42 of 93 26 of 33 10 of 14
Ashley Yoder 44 of 107 41% 30 of 84 11 of 16 3 of 7 24 of 80 5 of 10 15 of 17
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Randa Markos 8 of 10 80% 4 of 6 2 of 2 2 of 2 5 of 7 3 of 3 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 11 of 16 68% 7 of 10 4 of 5 0 of 1 4 of 7 1 of 3 6 of 6
2 Randa Markos 39 of 54 72% 31 of 45 5 of 6 3 of 3 14 of 22 15 of 18 10 of 14
Ashley Yoder 19 of 36 52% 15 of 30 2 of 4 2 of 2 8 of 20 2 of 5 9 of 11
3 Randa Markos 31 of 76 40% 23 of 65 3 of 5 5 of 6 23 of 64 8 of 12 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 14 of 55 25% 8 of 44 5 of 7 1 of 4 12 of 53 2 of 2 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · Jul 06, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cláudia Gadelha 0 40 of 107 37% 41 of 108 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Randa Markos 0 25 of 109 22% 26 of 110 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cláudia Gadelha 0 12 of 35 34% 12 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Randa Markos 0 10 of 34 29% 10 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Cláudia Gadelha 0 10 of 31 32% 11 of 32 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Randa Markos 0 7 of 35 20% 8 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Cláudia Gadelha 0 18 of 41 43% 18 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Randa Markos 0 8 of 40 20% 8 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cláudia Gadelha 40 of 107 37% 36 of 96 1 of 4 3 of 7 37 of 98 3 of 9 0 of 0
Randa Markos 25 of 109 22% 19 of 99 3 of 4 3 of 6 17 of 96 8 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cláudia Gadelha 12 of 35 34% 11 of 33 0 of 0 1 of 2 9 of 29 3 of 6 0 of 0
Randa Markos 10 of 34 29% 8 of 32 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 29 5 of 5 0 of 0
2 Cláudia Gadelha 10 of 31 32% 10 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 3 10 of 28 0 of 3 0 of 0
Randa Markos 7 of 35 20% 5 of 30 1 of 2 1 of 3 6 of 31 1 of 4 0 of 0
3 Cláudia Gadelha 18 of 41 43% 15 of 35 1 of 4 2 of 2 18 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Randa Markos 8 of 40 20% 6 of 37 1 of 1 1 of 2 6 of 36 2 of 4 0 of 0
WIN vs Angela Hill
Submission (armbar) R1 4:24 · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · Mar 23, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Randa Markos 0 13 of 26 50% 20 of 33 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:53
Angela Hill 0 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Randa Markos 0 13 of 26 50% 20 of 33 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:53
Angela Hill 0 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Randa Markos 13 of 26 50% 9 of 21 4 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 13 5 of 5 8 of 8
Angela Hill 2 of 7 28% 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Randa Markos 13 of 26 50% 9 of 21 4 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 13 5 of 5 8 of 8
Angela Hill 2 of 7 28% 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Angela Hill vs. Randa Markos

Round 1
It’s time for a women’s strawweight bout between Randa Markos and Angela Hill. The official in charge of the action is Keith Peterson. No touch of gloves for this one. Hill with a kick to the body. Markos with a straight right and uses it to get inside and clinch up with Hill. But Hill reverses position and now has Markos up against the fence. Markos lands two knees and then an elbow off the break. She marches forward on Hill, who clinches up with her but Markos whips her to the ground with a body lock takedown. Markos is now working in side control. She moves over into mount and then takes the back of Hill. Markos is looking for the rear-naked choke while also landing punches to the head of Hill. She moves back into mount. Hill tries to buck her off but Markos gets her hooks in and takes the back of Hill.
She switches to an armbar and Hill is in massive trouble now. Hill is doing her best to defend but Markos has a minute to work here. Hill is doing a great job of defending but eventually succumbs to the submission as Markos stretches the arm back and Hill taps to the armbar
.

The Official Result
Randa Markos def. Angela Hill via Submission (Armbar) R1, 4:20
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

Big Brady picks Murata due to her wrestling pedigree and top control, though he is wary of Markos' submission threat from guard. He notes Markos' poor fight IQ and takedown defense. He expects Murata to win a decision but is not betting due to the sketchy vibe.

decision prop mentioned as a possible look; not betting
"i like morata here i like her by decision but i'm not going to touch it from a betting perspective"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 13, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Kanako Murata

Daniel slightly leans with Murata, noting her disciplined game plan, strength, forward pressure, and ability to mix in takedowns. He thinks she can edge a decision if she stays disciplined. He acknowledges Markos has shown mental lapses and inconsistency, but warns that Murata is not a lock and the fight could be close. He advises not going crazy at the betting window.

"i'll slightly lean with her for that reason"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Randa Markos

The MMA Guru picks Randa Markos, despite her 10-10 record, because she has fought much better competition than Kanako Murata. He notes that Murata went to a split decision against a girl with an 8-5 record and hasn't beaten anyone notable. He believes Markos will piece up Murata on the feet for three rounds and win a unanimous decision.

Unanimous decision; mentions Markos' wins over Angela Hill and Carla Esparza
"I'm going to be going with Randa Markos getting the job done, I think she'll piece up Kanako Murata on the feet for three rounds earning herself a unanimous decision victory."