Manon Fiorot vs Mayra Bueno Silva

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Manon Fiorot	0	16 of 27	59%	17 of 28	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:06
Jasmine Jasudavicius	0	2 of 14	14%	2 of 14	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Manon Fiorot	0	16 of 27	59%	17 of 28	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:06
Jasmine Jasudavicius	0	2 of 14	14%	2 of 14	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Manon Fiorot	16 of 27	59%	16 of 26	0 of 1	0 of 0	8 of 16	0 of 2	8 of 9
Jasmine Jasudavicius	2 of 14	14%	2 of 14	0 of 0	0 of 0	2 of 14	0 of 0	0 of 0

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Manon Fiorot	16 of 27	59%	16 of 26	0 of 1	0 of 0	8 of 16	0 of 2	8 of 9
Jasmine Jasudavicius	2 of 14	14%	2 of 14	0 of 0	0 of 0	2 of 14	0 of 0	0 of 0

Manon Fiorot vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fiorot (-250); Jasudavicius (+200)

Round 1
As the main card continues, the victor of this match may be arguably closer than any other on the card—besides perhaps Reinier de Ridder should he get it done—to a title shot. Fiorot (12-2, 7-1 UFC) lost in her last time out vying for it, but a win would go a long way in keeping her right in the conversation. On her way up is Canada’s Jasudavicius (14-3, 8-2 UFC), who might punch her ticket for flyweight gold if she pulls off the upset. Referee Dan Miragliotta—the crowd doesn’t like his assignment—will be the first to know who that winner will be, although he does not want to interfere and stays back as the ladies opt not to bump gloves together.
Fiorot gets right behind her jab, peppering the Canadian right out of the gate by doubling and tripling up on it. Fiorot pecks at Jasudavicius and scoots out of the way, beating the Canadian to the punch repeatedly. The quick punches have already started to have an effect on Jasudavicius’s nose. Jasudavicius sells out with a big right hand, and it skims off the shoulder. Fiorot slips to the side and delivers a sneaky left hand on the way out, and she times a sharp one-two that shocks Jasudavicius down to her core. Jasudavicius’ legs nearly give out beneath her like a baby deer on an icy lake, and Fiorot sees her opening and immediately strikes.
The Frenchwoman drives a knee to the stomach, and she puts another on Jasudavicius’ face as she throws her foe to her seat. Fiorot unleashes a fury of left hands to brutalize Jasudavicius, and with Jasudavicius on her knees reaching out with her left arm to Fiorot’s hip, Miragliotta decides that enough is enough and waves the fight off.
The audience is silenced in an instant, except for Jasudavicius screaming at Miragliotta that she was not out and that she was still fighting back. This is a huge win for Fiorot, not only ending her own stretch of decision wins but destroying the win streak of a promising up-and-comer who would have been a fresh new face for flyweight queen Valentina Shevchenko. Much like Joe Benavidez as the unrelenting gatekeeper to Demetrious Johnson’s historic reign, Fiorot eradicates a rising contender with one of the speediest finishes in women’s flyweight history.

The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Jasmine Jasudavicius R1 1:14 via TKO (Punches)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Angelo picks Manon Fiorot, citing her size, takedown defense, and striking. He expects her to manage range and stuff Jasudavicius's wrestling. He notes Jasudavicius's wrestling credentials but doubts she can close distance against Fiorot. He prefers Jasudavicius as a fantasy dart due to lower salary.

Fiorot wins decision, low fantasy scoring for both

"I think Manon Fiorot wins this fight."

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)

Jasmine Jasudavicius

Big Brady is impressed by Jasudavicius's improvements, especially her ground and pound and submissions. He thinks Fiorot's takedown defense hasn't been properly tested and believes Jasudavicius can get takedowns. He predicts Jasudavicius wins two rounds and takes a decision.

"I'm going to say Jasmine wins this fight. Picks up two rounds and wins this fight by decision."

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Cody picks Fiorot, citing her excellent takedown defense and superior striking. He notes Jasudavicius struggles when she can't get takedowns, as seen against Cortez. Fiorot's lateral movement and volume will keep Jasudavicius at bay. Cody expects Fiorot to win by decision.

Fiorot by decision

"So for me it's a FO pick and a FO by decision."

Bookie Beatdown

Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Connor picks Fiorot, emphasizing her physicality and takedown defense. He notes that Fiorot is difficult to deal with physically and escapes quickly when taken down. Connor thinks Jasudavicius's path to victory is through repeated takedowns, which is hard to envision. He believes Fiorot will outwork Jasudavicius in a scrappy fight, as she has done against other high-volume opponents.

Odds: Fiorot opened at -200, currently -225; Jasudavicius opened at +170, currently +190.

"I think that that is really where Giussudevisius is going to land here."

MMA Vivisection

Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

James views this as a striker vs grappler matchup, with Fiorot having elite takedown defense and superior striking. He acknowledges Jasudavicius's ground threat but doubts she can secure takedowns consistently. James notes Fiorot's toughness from her fight with Valentina Shevchenko (broken nose) and predicts a dominant decision win.

"I got to pick man on throw here. Too physical, too much of a better striker, powerful. I don't think she finishes Jazz just cuz Jazz is so effing tough, but I'm picking man on throw here via decision."

Lucrative MMA

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The host thinks Fiorot's perpetual movement, footwork, and distance striking will cause Jasudavicius too many problems, leaving her a sitting duck on the feet. He expects a classic Fiorot performance leading to a decision victory.

"I think Fido's perpetual movement, footwork, uh, and her distance striking will cause Jaz Deviscious too many problems."

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Paul picks Fiorot, agreeing with Cody. He highlights Fiorot's takedown defense against top grapplers like Blanchfield and Shevchenko. He believes Jasudavicius's striking is a hole and that Fiorot's speed and footwork will be too much. Paul expects Fiorot to win.

"I think it's a horrible stylistic matchup for her. Um Mopia Rose the side for me."

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot over Jasmine Jasudavicius. He notes Fiorot's close fight with Valentina Shevchenko and her takedown defense. He believes Jasudavicius's takedown-heavy style won't work against Fiorot, and that she lacks the striking to beat Fiorot. He predicts Fiorot will stuff takedowns and out-land Jasudavicius for a decision win.

decision win 29-28 or 30-27

"I'm going against Jasudavicius and I'm trusting in Manon Fiorot to get this one done by decision win, 29-28 or 30-27."

THE MMA GURU

Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Zane picks Fiorot, citing her technical striking and ability to outwork opponents. He notes that Fiorot has consistently outstruck high-volume fighters like Blanchfield and Semenara. Zane believes Jasudavicius, despite her drive and improved takedowns, will struggle to repeatedly take Fiorot down and will be outworked on the feet. He acknowledges Jasudavicius's top game but doubts she can maintain control.

Odds: Fiorot opened at -200, currently -225; Jasudavicius opened at +170, currently +190.

"But unfortunately, I think I have to pick Firo."

MMA Vivisection

LOSS vs Valentina Shevchenko

Decision R5 5:00 · UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · May 10, 2025

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Valentina Shevchenko	1	72 of 149	48%	173 of 251	2 of 9	22%	0	0	1:52
Manon Fiorot	0	71 of 160	44%	150 of 239	1 of 12	8%	0	0	7:07

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Valentina Shevchenko	0	19 of 36	52%	57 of 75	1 of 1	100%	1:34
1	Manon Fiorot	0	13 of 32	40%	20 of 39	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Valentina Shevchenko	0	8 of 20	40%	21 of 33	0 of 3	0%	0:00
2	Manon Fiorot	0	12 of 28	42%	31 of 47	1 of 5	20%	1:59
3	Valentina Shevchenko	0	14 of 28	50%	36 of 50	0 of 1	0%	0:00
3	Manon Fiorot	0	14 of 28	50%	29 of 43	0 of 5	0%	1:40
4	Valentina Shevchenko	1	16 of 32	50%	29 of 45	1 of 2	50%	0:18
4	Manon Fiorot	0	14 of 33	42%	32 of 51	0 of 2	0%	1:31
5	Valentina Shevchenko	0	15 of 33	45%	30 of 48	0 of 2	0%	0:00
5	Manon Fiorot	0	18 of 39	46%	38 of 59	0 of 0	---	1:57

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Valentina Shevchenko	72 of 149	48%	48 of 118	7 of 12	17 of 19	62 of 126	7 of 18	3 of 5
Manon Fiorot	71 of 160	44%	29 of 113	35 of 37	7 of 10	40 of 124	29 of 33	2 of 3

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Valentina Shevchenko	19 of 36	52%	15 of 31	0 of 1	4 of 4	18 of 35	0 of 0	1 of 1
1	Manon Fiorot	13 of 32	40%	6 of 25	5 of 5	2 of 2	13 of 32	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Valentina Shevchenko	8 of 20	40%	5 of 16	3 of 4	0 of 0	5 of 16	3 of 4	0 of 0
2	Manon Fiorot	12 of 28	42%	7 of 22	4 of 4	1 of 2	5 of 19	5 of 6	2 of 3
3	Valentina Shevchenko	14 of 28	50%	6 of 18	1 of 2	7 of 8	11 of 22	3 of 6	0 of 0
3	Manon Fiorot	14 of 28	50%	5 of 16	8 of 10	1 of 2	4 of 18	10 of 10	0 of 0
4	Valentina Shevchenko	16 of 32	50%	10 of 26	1 of 1	5 of 5	14 of 22	0 of 6	2 of 4
4	Manon Fiorot	14 of 33	42%	5 of 23	8 of 8	1 of 2	7 of 25	7 of 8	0 of 0
5	Valentina Shevchenko	15 of 33	45%	12 of 27	2 of 4	1 of 2	14 of 31	1 of 2	0 of 0
5	Manon Fiorot	18 of 39	46%	6 of 27	10 of 10	2 of 2	11 of 30	7 of 9	0 of 0

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

UFC Women’s Flyweight Title Fight: Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fiorot (-148), Shevchenko (+124)

Round 1
For the first time since 2022, champion Shevchenko (24-4-1, 13-3-1 UFC) will be facing a woman not named Grasso. She draws surging Frenchwoman Fiorot (12-1, 7-0 UFC), who could become the first French-born undisputed champion in UFC history—Ciryl Gane won the interim heavyweight strap. To the surprise of some, Fiorot will close as the betting favorite, but when the cage door closes, it’s all between the two flyweights and referee Marc Goddard. They cordially tap their gloves together to make it official. Shevchenko slaps out a leg kick and leans to avoid a head kick, with Fiorot advancing early. Shevchenko pushes her away to score a body kick, and she zips away before another high kick can reach her. Shevchenko clips the challenger with a one-two, who seems surprised by the blows and has to blink them out. Shevchenko blocks a kick to get off a right hand, and she ducks a right hook when Fiorot strikes. Fiorot plants a kick on the lead leg, and she is countered when trying a second. Shevchenko lets Fiorot come in so she can catch her with a check right hook, and Fiorot looks for a kick on the other side. Shevchenko considers changing levels, but ends up blocking a kick and skirting to the side. Shevchenko stands the Frenchwoman up with a right hand, and her low kick continues to find its mark. Shevchenko flicks up a kick to the nose that reddens it up fast, and Fiorot adjusts it. Shevchenko spins with a wheel kick, and Fiorot dodges but cannot get her hands on the champ. Fiorot walks face-first into a right hand, and she bangs her lead leg into her foe’s guard. The right hand from Shevchenko bloodies up Fiorot’s nose, and she stings her again and shakes her up. The nose for the challenger is busted and bleeding badly just three minutes in, and Fiorot ignores it and surges forward. Shevchenko dances easily out of the way to reset, and she is met with a kick that she catches and tackles Fiorot to the ground. Shevchenko lands in half guard, where she lords over her foe and completely controls her. Goddard asks for more action, with Shevchenko content to impose heavy shoulder pressure. Fiorot elbows her opponent in the posterior while Shevchenko lands a few punches, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko

Round 2
Fiorot starts the round with her foot flying, and she shoots in for a double. Shevchenko leans against the wall to defend it, and she ducks away to escape. Shevchenko whips a kick up high that starts the bleeding again, and Fiorot promptly wipes her nose. Shevchenko spins with a back kick that slams into her ribs, and she skips away to evade a counter. Fiorot level changes and hits a 5-foot-5 wall that punches her in the face. Fiorot comes up short with a head kick, and she goes after a single that is equally futile. Shevchenko stands and waits for her opponent to come to her, countering her and hitting a trip to put the Frenchwoman on the mat. Fiorot scrambles madly to flip Shevchenko over, and they both get to their feet. Shevchenko beats Fiorot to the punch with her jab repeatedly, and she shoots for a double and cannot quite get it as Fiorot hops around skillfully. Fiorot pushes her foe back to get back to kickboxing range, and she raises up a high kick that gets blocked. Fiorot shoots for a takedown, and Shevchenko sprawls against the wall. Fiorot peels her leg away and grabs her from behind, leaning on the champ and kneeing her to the back of the thigh. Shevchenko spins away, but not before eating an elbow. Fiorot’s head kick cannot find its target, and she times a right hand with a takedown shot. Fiorot uses pure brute force to lift Shevchenko up in the air and dump her down, where she laces her legs around “Bullet” to pin her to her seat. Shevchenko posts off her right arm and barely blocks an illegal knee while she was grounded that Goddard did not see. Shevchenko does not protest, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 3
Goddard issues a hard warning between rounds, having acknowledged the near-foul, and the ladies get back to combat. They trade leg kicks to start, and Shevchenko goes high while Fiorot goes low a second time. Fiorot ignores a head kick that soars past her, and she stands there waiting for more offense to come at her. It is another blockable head kick, and she stuffs a takedown and reaches out with a right hand as Fiorot abandons it. The champ kicks the inside of the lead leg and flicks out a few jabs to get some space, and she nearly gets caught with a high kick. Shevchenko kicks the outer side of the leg, and they crash together when both going for level changes. Fiorot brings up a knee and an elbow, and Shevchenko scores a few jabs. When Fiorot charges, Shevchenko turns to the side and sprints around the cage to reset. Shevchenko shoots for a takedown that is unsuccessful, and she comes up top with a right hand. Fiorot fails on her own takedown effort, and she clinches up to drive four knees to the midsection. Shevchenko misses on a front kick to break, and she proceeds to work the front leg further. Fiorot flails her way in, inaccurate with her approach, and Shevchenko knees her in the face when Fiorot ducks down. This does not deter the Frenchwoman, who looks for a body lock takedown. Fiorot scores a knee or two to the inner thigh, and she plants one on the groin that Shevchenko once again does not protest. On the break, Shevchenko busts her foe’s nose open again with a right hand. The jab is soon to follow from the champ, who spins with a powerful back fist that forces Fiorot to shoot. Fiorot uses pure power to elevate her foe, and Shevchenko is able to hop around and keep her balance with the wall at her side. Fiorot knees the back of the leg, and Shevchenko pushes off the cage as Fiorot’s team claim falsely that she grabbed the fence—Goddard replies, “not even close.” Shevchenko pushes off with a punch and a kick, and the close round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 4
The women meet the championship rounds, and Fiorot is amped up and ready to continue as she pitches kicks and jabs out. Fiorot lands a side kick, and Shevchenko surges forward with two hooks. Shevchenko times a head kick to spin with a wheel kick that nails the challenger on the chin. Fiorot shakes her head, and she has her nose bleeding early with peppery jabs. Fiorot ducks under one in pursuit of a double, and she succeeds in pushing Shevchenko against the cage but no further. Fiorot settles for a few knees up close and personal, and she transitions to a single that Shevchenko thwarts with a few punches up top. Fiorot zips past her foe with offense, and Shevchenko is calm and a cucumber and counters her. Shevchenko tries a quick takedown, and Fiorot backs her off with a knee to the midsection. Shevchenko knees Fiorot and skirts to the side to let the Frenchwoman go past her again, playing the matador. She drills Fiorot with a stern spinning kick to the ribcage, and all Fiorot can do is reset and try to move forward and clinch. Fiorot scores a knee in the tie-up before pushing her to the wall, where she leans heavily on her adversary and scoring a few more knees. Shevchenko breaks free while dodging a knee up the middle, and she kicks the lead leg of her advancing foe. Fiorot leaps forward and is out of range, and Shevchenko times a sneaky takedown to drag Fiorot to her seat. Fiorot rushes back to her feet and starts kneeing the champ in the side. Fiorot manages to get off an elbow in the clinch, and she pushes out a side kick. Fiorot spins with nothing, and Shevchenko counters her with a right hand that sends her flying to the ground. Shevchenko pounces, ending the round in style with ground-and-pound.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko

Round 5
The fifth round has arrived, and it could be split leading into it. Fiorot acknowledges this and fights behind her jab, while Shevchenko shifts to the side and keeps moving. Fiorot chases her down and knees her once in the belly before tying her up, and she looks for a body lock takedown. Fiorot whiffs with an elbow on the break, and a high kick grazes her chin on the way out. Shevchenko counters her over the top with a left hand, and Fiorot bites down on her mouthpiece and slings leather back her direction. Shevchenko ducks a few punches to change levels, and Fiorot stonewalls her and shoves her back. Shevchenko smacks the front leg with a kick, continuously moving and blasting Fiorot with a spinning back fist. Fiorot is tough as a stale baguette, and she pushes forward into the clinch. Shevchenko breaks away and kicks her in the side. Shevchenko pecks out a jab, and she leaps forward with a Superwoman punch and a level change. Fiorot turns her about and pushes her to the wall, but she cannot keep the champ there. Fiorot fakes a spin, and she is at least a foot away from a head kick. Shevchenko connects with a punch, and Fiorot darts towards her with a short punch salvo before clinching up again. Fiorot knees her in the belly and leans on her, winding up with distance to plant the knees on the thigh. Fiorot sneaks around to grab the back of the champion, who spins around with a right hand as Fiorot tosses a head kick at her. Shevchenko counters a kick with a right hand, and her one-two comes up short. Her second lands, but not before Fiorot scores too. Shevchenko dings the challenger with a spinning back fist, and Fiorot pays her back with a knee and an elbow. Shevchenko knees back, and she aims a head kick at the bell. They go the distance, and the scores could go either way. Both women put their hands in the air after 25 minutes of fairly evenly-matched combat.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shevchenko (48-47 Shevchenko)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (48-47 Fiorot)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (48-47 Fiorot)

The Official Result
Valentina Shevchenko def. Manon Fiorot via Unanimous Decision (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 4, 2025 (6 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Angelo picks Manon Fiorot to become the new champion, citing her size, power, takedown defense, and striking. He acknowledges Valentina Shevchenko's evolution into wrestling but believes Fiorot's takedown defense and power will be too much. He thinks Fiorot controls the striking and keeps the fight on her feet.

"Mannon Fau is going to be the pick. I think she controls the striking. I think she keeps a fight on her feet and I think she becomes the new strawweight world champion."

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Big Brady is hesitant but leans Fiorot. He notes Fiorot's high-volume striking, elite takedown defense (93%), and physical strength. He acknowledges Shevchenko looked great against Grasso but questions if that was due to Grasso's poor performance. He thinks Fiorot's movement and the big cage help her, and she can defend takedowns. He predicts a close decision win for Fiorot.

"I am going to go with Man on Fior to win a a close and competitive decision."

DFS by the Numbers

Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 8, 2025 (2 days before fight)

Valentina Shevchenko

Connor picks Valentina Shevchenko, agreeing with Zane that she is a master of distance management. He notes that Fiorot's wrestling has not been tested against someone like Shevchenko, who has developed new takedown entries. Connor believes that Fiorot's game is not dynamic enough to exploit any potential age-related decline in Shevchenko.

"I'm surprised that chef chenko is an underdog here. I really am too. I have to assume she won't close as an underdog."

MMA Vivisection

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 7, 2025 (3 days before fight)

Valentina Shevchenko

The host notes Shevchenko has been an underdog three times in the UFC and is 3-0 in those fights, expecting her to go 4-0. He believes she will compete in striking but ultimately use her clinch and grappling to dictate the pace and win on the scorecards.

"Shvchenko has already come into the UFC as an underdog three times, and she's 3-0 in those matchups."

MMA Lock of the Night

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)

Valentina Shevchenko

The MMA Guru picks Shevchenko, believing she is being disrespected as an underdog. He notes her championship experience, reach advantage, and recent dominant win over Grasso. He questions Fiorot's performance against Rose Namajunas, who fought with a broken hand, and thinks Shevchenko's technical striking and adjustments will win her a decision.

decision

"I'm going to go with Valentina Chevhenko getting this one done by decision."

THE MMA GURU

Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 8, 2025 (2 days before fight)

Valentina Shevchenko

Zane picks Valentina Shevchenko, arguing that she is a master of distance management and preventative footwork, making it incredibly difficult for opponents to get into range. He notes that Fiorot's striking has structural flaws, with her chin rising and feet squaring when she commits. Zane believes that if Fiorot wins, it will be more a sign of Shevchenko's age than Fiorot's skill.

"I'm surprised that chef chenko is an underdog here. I really am too. I have to assume she won't close as an underdog."

MMA Vivisection

WIN vs Erin Blanchfield

Decision (unanimous) (50–45, 50–45, 50–45) R5 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Mar 30, 2024

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Manon Fiorot	0	130 of 386	33%	135 of 394	0 of 3	0%	1	0	0:48
Erin Blanchfield	0	172 of 359	47%	181 of 369	1 of 4	25%	0	0	0:53

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Ctrl
1	Manon Fiorot	21 of 58	36%	22 of 60	0 of 0	---	1	0:27
1	Erin Blanchfield	28 of 57	49%	30 of 59	1 of 1	100%	0	0:46
2	Manon Fiorot	21 of 77	27%	22 of 78	0 of 1	0%	0	0:00
2	Erin Blanchfield	27 of 61	44%	27 of 62	0 of 0	---	0	0:02
3	Manon Fiorot	24 of 68	35%	24 of 69	0 of 1	0%	0	0:00
3	Erin Blanchfield	29 of 70	41%	29 of 70	0 of 0	---	0	0:05
4	Manon Fiorot	37 of 98	37%	38 of 99	0 of 1	0%	0	0:00
4	Erin Blanchfield	46 of 85	54%	47 of 86	0 of 3	0%	0	0:00
5	Manon Fiorot	27 of 85	31%	29 of 88	0 of 0	---	0	0:21
5	Erin Blanchfield	42 of 86	48%	48 of 92	0 of 0	---	0	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Manon Fiorot	130 of 386	33%	80 of 318	25 of 40	25 of 28	124 of 371	6 of 15	0 of 0
Erin Blanchfield	172 of 359	47%	143 of 321	18 of 25	11 of 13	167 of 346	5 of 13	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Manon Fiorot	21 of 58	36%	14 of 48	3 of 6	4 of 4	21 of 55	0 of 3	0 of 0
1	Erin Blanchfield	28 of 57	49%	25 of 52	2 of 2	1 of 3	25 of 53	3 of 4	0 of 0
2	Manon Fiorot	21 of 77	27%	11 of 64	6 of 8	4 of 5	19 of 70	2 of 7	0 of 0
2	Erin Blanchfield	27 of 61	44%	18 of 50	6 of 8	3 of 3	26 of 57	1 of 4	0 of 0
3	Manon Fiorot	24 of 68	35%	15 of 52	6 of 11	3 of 5	21 of 65	3 of 3	0 of 0
3	Erin Blanchfield	29 of 70	41%	24 of 64	3 of 4	2 of 2	29 of 68	0 of 2	0 of 0
4	Manon Fiorot	37 of 98	37%	22 of 81	8 of 10	7 of 7	37 of 97	0 of 1	0 of 0
4	Erin Blanchfield	46 of 85	54%	40 of 78	3 of 4	3 of 3	46 of 83	0 of 2	0 of 0
5	Manon Fiorot	27 of 85	31%	18 of 73	2 of 5	7 of 7	26 of 84	1 of 1	0 of 0
5	Erin Blanchfield	42 of 86	48%	36 of 77	4 of 7	2 of 2	41 of 85	1 of 1	0 of 0

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Erin Blanchfield vs. Manon Fiorot
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Blanchfield (-192), Fiorot (+160)

Round 1
A possible shot at the flyweight title is on the line here as Blanchfield and Fiorot bring their dueling six-fight Octagon winning streaks into the “UFC Atlantic City” main event. Drawing the final referee assignment of the evening is Vitor “Shaolin” Ribeiro. Fiorot is southpaw, Blanchfield orthodox. Fiorot sticks out the jab early. Blanchfield throws a body kick, but takes a lefty counter upstairs. Fiorot changes levels, hoists Blanchfield into the air and slams her to the canvas. Blanchfield grabs a guillotine and it’s tight. Fiorot tries to get out of Blanchfield’s guard and to safety, and Blanchfield gets to her feet, still holding the choke. They fight out the position against the cage, Fiorot fighting the hands as Blanchfield tries to tighten the choke. Blanchfield finally gives up on the submission and they split and reset in the middle of the cage. Fiorot works with the jab again, keeping the shorter woman on the outside. Blanchfield throws a high kick that glances off the chest and arms of Fiorot. Blanchfield backs Fiorot up to the fence with a string of punches, then grabs a body lock and tries to take her down. She can’t get the takedown, and eats a sharp right hand on the break. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 2
Blanchfield bounces into range, trying to get past Fiorot’s jab, but Fiorot is wise to it. Blanchfield throws a body kick that glances off the arms. Blanchfield steps in and uses a body lock and trip to take Fiorot down. She succeeds, but Fiorot uses muscle and balance to sweep her and land on top, then stands and makes Blanchfield follow. Fiorot lands a karate-style side kick to the lead leg of Blanchfield, stopping her forward progress. Blanchfield steps in and grabs another body lock, and again Fiorot just kind of muscles her away. Fiorot steps inside a punch to clinch, then throws a knee as they separate. Blanchfield is relentless in her forward movement, but Fiorot is doing a brilliant job so far of using jabs and low kicks to keep her outside, or collapsing the distance and clinching when she gets in. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 3
Blanchfield swings her way into the pocket and lands a couple of punches. Fiorot makes some space between them and meets Blanchfield’s next entry with a downward low kick. Blanchfield shoves into the clinch, and Fiorot simply tosses her by, throwing her toward the fence. Blanchfield draws a jab out of Fiorot and counters with a nice straight. Blanchfield is finding some success landing her right hand over Fiorot’s left. Blanchfield charges in, and once again Fiorot just kind of flings her on her way. Blanchfield spins down to one knee before turning to re-engage. Blanchfield is bleeding from a small cut outside her left eye, though the blood is thankfully not running into the eye. Blanchfield clinches, and while Fiorot shucks her off, Blanchfield connects with a nice short right on the way out. Under a minute to go, and the Atlantic City crowd is audibly restive. Fiorot meets a Blanchfield charge with a hard knee up the middle. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 4
The main event rounds open with Blanchfield again coming forward aggressively, swinging hooks with both hands. Again, Fiorot meets her calmly with the jab and leg kick. Blanchfield, perhaps knowing that she needs to do something big, throws caution to the wind, charging into the pocket and swinging away. Fiorot gives ground, her composure momentarily shaken, and Blanchfield lands a couple of solid punches. They clinch and Fiorot grabs a body lock, considers hoisting Blanchfield for another slam, but can’t complete it and they separate. Two minutes to go in the round and Blanchfield is still the aggressor, but Fiorot is back to managing the distance and keeping the shorter woman on the outside. With under 30 seconds to go, Fiorot catches Blanchfield coming in with a kick to the body, stopping her in her tracks. The 10-second clapper sounds, and neither woman lands anything of substance before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 5
Blanchfield’s corner sends her back out with the instruction, “You need a f***in’ finish,” mirroring our scorecards here at Sherdog. Blanchfield comes out throwing with abandon, and lands a head kick that staggers the Frenchwoman. Fiorot recovers quickly, but damage was done. Fiorot enters the pocket and Fiorot shoves her with both hands, dropping her to her seat. Blanchfield is trying to walk Fiorot down, perhaps corral her against the fence, but Fiorot is wise to it and continues to dominate the distance battle. Fiorot’s lead left hook is finding the American’s head on the entry or exit from almost every exchange. Blanchfield marches forward, but Fiorot meets her with a one-two that snaps her head back. Blanchfield pushes through, clinches and shoves Fiorot into the cage with under a minute left. They disengage and Fiorot, far from sitting on her lead, throws a flying knee at the oncoming Blanchfield. Blanchfield misses with a high kick and Fiorot throws a spinning attack that ends in a collision. The final horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (50-45 Fiorot)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (50-45 Fiorot)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (50-45 Fiorot)

The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Erin Blanchfield via Unanimous Decision (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2024 (6 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Angelo picks Manon Fiorot but is not very confident. He cites Fiorot's striking power and 91% takedown defense, contrasting with Blanchfield's poor takedown attempts in her last fight. He worries that Blanchfield's toughness and forward pressure could trouble Fiorot. He notes underdogs have won 66% of main events in 2024.

"I am going to pick man in here I'm not very confident Aaron is not soft she is tough as hell"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 25, 2024 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Big Brady picks Manon Fiorot to win by decision, taking the underdog. He sees it as a close fight that likely goes the distance. He favors Fiorot in the striking early, but worries about Blanchfield's pressure and grappling later. He notes Blanchfield's takedown accuracy is low and Fiorot's takedown defense is elite. Brady expects a split decision where Fiorot does better work early.

"I'm going to take the dog here in fioro I'll take her to win a very very tight decision here"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Cody sees Fiorot as a live underdog due to her takedown defense and counter-striking. He notes Blanchfield's recent struggles with takedowns (0 for 14 against Santos) and believes Fiorot can keep the fight standing and outpoint her. However, he admits it's more of a price play and not a high-confidence pick.

"I am going to go with furo for the record we will break down the fight but seems like the value play would be on her side"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Daniel Vreeland picks Manon Fiorot at plus money, stating he bet her at +170. He believes Fiorot is very disciplined, won't get carried away, and can frustrate Blanchfield by staying on the feet and using her movement. He notes that Fiorot has survived takedowns before (e.g., against Jennifer Maia) and that Blanchfield's wrestling isn't elite. He acknowledges Blanchfield's submission threat but thinks Fiorot can avoid being finished and win a decision.

"I did take that plus 170 on my known field row and to me it's just about playing it smart here"

Half the Battle

Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Feb 14, 2023 (410 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

James sees this as a 50/50 fight due to the unknowns of whether Blanchfield can get takedowns against Andrade. He notes Blanchfield's grappling is elite but her striking defense is poor, while Andrade has one-punch power and strong clinch work. He leans Blanchfield because of her youth and potential to get takedowns in later rounds, but is not confident. He mentions Blanchfield at +150 offers value.

"I do lean on the side that Aaron Blanchfield is actually going to shock some people here and that she will get some takedowns."

Lucrative MMA

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Fiorot's takedown defense and movement are key; she has only been controlled for 1:40 in 77 minutes of UFC cage time. Blanchfield's takedown success has plummeted (2 of 22 in last 4 fights), and she gets hit often. Fiorot's lateral movement and ability to pivot off Blanchfield's entries should allow her to land straight shots and avoid prolonged grappling. The fight resembles Leon Edwards vs. Kamaru Usman where the wrestler fails on takedowns and eats damage. Fiorot by decision is the most likely outcome, though the last two rounds could be close.

Fiorot by decision; half unit at +160; may add more if line improves

"I got to go with Foo here odds wise I think plus 160 is a damn good number to take a shot on"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Paul agrees with Cody that Fiorot is a live underdog, citing Blanchfield's takedown struggles and Fiorot's technical striking. He mentions the close fight with Rose Namajunas as a reference but admits he doesn't feel great about it, calling it a 'dog or pass' situation.

"I generally tend to agree with you here I mean but looking back on doing I guess a little bit of MMA math it's like looking how Rose did against heus this past weekend"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Erin Blanchfield

The host picks Erin Blanchfield to win by decision. He believes Blanchfield's takedown attempts and aggression will be key, especially in a five-round fight. He notes that Fiorot may struggle to stuff takedowns over five rounds and that Blanchfield is willing to shoot repeatedly. He also sees opportunities for Blanchfield to take Fiorot's back when Fiorot turns after combinations. He predicts a 49-46 decision, with Blanchfield losing one round.

decision win, 49-46

"I'm going to go with Aon blanchfield I think she'll be able to push and also I watched back her fight with Jessica and dra it wasn't what I remember... I'm actually going to pick blanchfield by decision 4946"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Rose Namajunas

Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · Sep 02, 2023

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Manon Fiorot	0	58 of 225	25%	62 of 232	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:24
Rose Namajunas	0	60 of 150	40%	60 of 152	0 of 6	0%	0	0	0:25

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Manon Fiorot	18 of 88	20%	18 of 89	0 of 0	---	0:00
1	Rose Namajunas	23 of 56	41%	23 of 57	0 of 2	0%	0:00
2	Manon Fiorot	19 of 69	27%	23 of 75	0 of 1	0%	0:24
2	Rose Namajunas	15 of 40	37%	15 of 41	0 of 2	0%	0:12
3	Manon Fiorot	21 of 68	30%	21 of 68	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Rose Namajunas	22 of 54	40%	22 of 54	0 of 2	0%	0:13

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Manon Fiorot	58 of 225	25%	39 of 197	15 of 22	4 of 6	53 of 214	4 of 10	1 of 1
Rose Namajunas	60 of 150	40%	32 of 107	15 of 26	13 of 17	59 of 148	1 of 2	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Manon Fiorot	18 of 88	20%	14 of 82	2 of 4	2 of 2	18 of 88	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Rose Namajunas	23 of 56	41%	11 of 37	4 of 8	8 of 11	23 of 56	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Manon Fiorot	19 of 69	27%	11 of 55	7 of 11	1 of 3	17 of 62	2 of 7	0 of 0
2	Rose Namajunas	15 of 40	37%	10 of 31	4 of 8	1 of 1	14 of 38	1 of 2	0 of 0
3	Manon Fiorot	21 of 68	30%	14 of 60	6 of 7	1 of 1	18 of 64	2 of 3	1 of 1
3	Rose Namajunas	22 of 54	40%	11 of 39	7 of 10	4 of 5	22 of 54	0 of 0	0 of 0

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Manon Fiorot vs. Rose Namajunas
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fiorot (-185), Namajunas (+154)

Round 1
The bout that likely holds the greatest immediate title implications today comes in the co-main event, between two flyweights. Competing in MMA on French soil for the first time, Nice-born Fiorot (10-1, 5-0 UFC) hopes that a win over former champ Namajunas (11-5, 9-4 UFC) will propel her to the top of the weight class. On the other side of the equation, “Thug Rose” will be making her first jaunt to 125 pounds after multiple championship reigns down at strawweight. The size difference is not as significant as some might expect, and the women will have upwards of 15 minutes to state their case as elite members of the division. As referee Rich Mitchell stands by, the two ladies decide against bumping fists. Namajunas snaps out a quick right hand, and Fiorot responds with a left. Namajunas lands a low kick, and she pushes off with a side kick as Fiorot crowds her. Namajunas misses with a back fist, and Fiorot lands with a stern right hook. Fiorot stands fearlessly in front of her opponent, and she misses with a one-two and tries to catch her with a second. Namajunas slides to the side and sneak out a left hook. Fiorot catches Namajunas before the former champ can get off a combination, and she connects with a body shot when Namajunas closes the distance. Namajunas kicks low and shoots for a single, and the Frenchwoman tosses her aside with little effort. Fiorot keeps her range with a low kick and lunging jab, and her kicks are successfully keeping Namajunas at bay. Fiorot gets off a jab and a one-two, and Namajunas parries the latter. Namajunas beats Fiorot to the punch with a left hand, and she lands this same punch two more times. Namajunas kicks the lead leg, and Fiorot backs her off with short combinations of punches. Namajunas lands one kick and takes three punches off the top before she can reset. Namajunas manages to get in a single left, and Fiorot ignores it. Fiorot misses with a strike, and Namajunas slips her and connects cleanly with a left hand. As the former champ blocks a kick, she meanders forward and evades the other strikes with decent head movement. Namajunas drops down to her knees to snatch up a single, and Fiorot shuts it down and gets away. Fiorot lands cleanly with a left hand on the nose, and she bats Namajunas away with a side kick. The round ends with Fiorot jabbing.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 2
Between rounds, Namajunas informs her corner that she broke her right pink finger, and partner Pat Barry says “that’s alright, you don’t need her finger.” Namajunas is not discouraged despite the potential injury, and she is ready to resume action. Namajunas gets in Fiorot’s face early with a flurry of punches, and Fiorot stays composed and does not take many strikes cleanly. Fiorot boxes Namajunas up with a few shots ending with a short right hook, and two punches send Namajunas off-balance. Namajunas topples over, and she climbs to her knees and up as Fiorot rushes at her. Namajunas fights her way out of the clinch, only to absorb a flush knee to the body. Namajunas swipes out with a left, and her strikes do not have near the impact compared to her opponent’s – and the size difference does appear to be widening the competitive gap between the two. Fiorot takes a hook kick on the nose, and she leans back to dodge a subsequent spinning wheel kick in the nick of time. Fiorot spams punches, and Namajunas evades every single one and comes back with a right hand over the top. Fiorot times a head kick as Namajunas comes in on her, and Namajunas is able to respond with a huge right hand that shakes Fiorot up at the same time Fiorot tosses a side kick. Namajunas uses the moment to pursue a takedown, but Fiorot outmuscles her and keeps herself upright before breaking free. Namajunas lands a right hand on the break, and she holds her guard high to defend against a kick. Both women swing at the same time and duck down, and their heads clack together as a sizeable cut opens on Fiorot’s right temple. Fiorot pays it no mind and tells Mitchell she is fine, and the blood flow is not presenting any issues. Namajunas times a left hand on that target, and she gets pushed back from a side kick. Fiorot sweeps the leg, and she absorbs a good right hand on the way out. Namajunas scores a short left, but Fiorot lands two back at her. Namajunas swings hard, and she does land a left hook, only for Fiorot to completely ignore it as the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 3
There is no plan on a glove touch to start the last round, and instead Namajunas is ready to go to battle and try to pull off a comeback. Namajunas lets go with a head kick and shoots for a single, and Fiorot blocks the former and stuffs the latter. Namajunas resets and chops at the lead leg, and she darts forward with a pair of punches that whiz past the Frenchwoman. Namajunas whips a left hand over the top, and she lands another before changing levels. Fiorot will not allow herself to be taken down, and she bucks out of the posture and gets back to kickboxing range. Fiorot gets off a stomp kick to the knee, and Namajunas rushes at her opponent only to miss wide. Namajunas sticks Fiorot during an exchange, and Fiorot retaliates with a trio of punches. Fiorot comes up just short when trying to counter a leg kick, and she absorbs a flush right hand but keeps on moving. The former champ scores a right hand, but it is one-and-done as Fiorot is well away from any strikes that could possibly follow. Fiorot snipes with her jab and swiping right hook, using it to stop Namajunas from getting on the inside. Namajunas chases after Fiorot, and they trade head kicks – Fiorot’s lands much harder. Namajunas tries to cut off the cage, but Fiorot is elusive and her timing is erratic enough to not let Namajunas track her down. Namajunas dings her foe with three left hooks, and Fiorot slips but gathers herself and leans back against the wall instead of falling down. Namajunas looks for a few strikes, and Fiorot breaks off and escapes. Namajunas continues her pursuit, and Fiorot gets out of danger and watches a spin kick soar past her as time elapses.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)

The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Rose Namajunas via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 26, 2023 (7 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Angelo is confident Manon Fiorot dominates, citing her size, power, and volume. He notes Rose Namajunas is moving up in weight and lacks volume compared to Manon. He points out Manon has landed more strikes in each of her last five wins than Rose did in five-round fights. He has parlayed Manon with Ange Loosa.

parlayed with Ange Loosa for plus money

"I think mannon dominates this fight... I have parlayed her with Ange loosa for some plus money"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Big Brady picks Fiorot, citing her size, strength, power, and volume advantage over the smaller Namajunas moving up from strawweight. He doubts Rose can outgrapple, outvolume, or knock out Fiorot. He expects Fiorot to win a decision, though he acknowledges Rose's striking talent and calls it an interesting test.

"in terms of a pick I'm gonna pick Fiora to win this fight... fioro does get it done and get it done here by decision"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Cody picks Fiorot due to size and strength advantages at flyweight, and questions Rose's motivation after a lackluster performance against Esparza. He notes Rose's striking advantages were not used in that fight and she has been off for a year. Fiorot's kicking game and French crowd support are key factors. Cody sees Rose's offensive wrestling as a potential path but doubts she can take down or hold down a strong flyweight.

"the pick will be minnow Fiero for me"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Daniel Levi picks Manon Fiorot, arguing that Fiorot's elusive, outside-fighting style will frustrate Rose Namajunas, who thrives in pocket boxing exchanges. He believes Fiorot will use sidekicks and movement to keep Rose at range, preventing her from letting her hands go. Levi dismisses the size narrative, stating that Fiorot is not a pressure grappler so the weight class difference is irrelevant. He expects a clear 30-27 decision, noting that Fiorot has a history of outpointing tough opponents like Mayra Bueno Silva.

Fiorot by decision

"I think Manon fioro is going to be on the outside and she's gonna make rose now my units come to her... I think she's gonna frustrate her and I see her 30-27 here"

Half the Battle

Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Sep 2, 2023 (fight day)

Manon Fiorot

Lucrative James is on Fiorot, having bet on her almost every fight. He thinks Fiorot is legit, top-five material, and that Rose is meeting her at the wrong time. He notes Rose's mental issues, long layoff, career-worst performance, and step up in weight. He believes Fiorot is bigger and stronger, and that Rose hasn't been finished except by Carla Esparza long ago. He likes Fiorot by points at +140, as he doesn't see a finish.

Manon Fiorot by decision (+140)

"I like Pharrell here and I like ferovia points at plus 140. I think that's a good bet."

Lucrative MMA

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

I'm leaning with Fiorot here. She has great takedown defense and a dynamic striking style with power and volume. Rose is a wild card mentally and may struggle with the weight cut to flyweight. Fiorot's footwork and ability to stay at distance should allow her to land significant strikes. However, I don't have a boatload of confidence because Rose has the experience advantage and could potentially get takedowns if she closes the distance. I think Fiorot wins by decision.

"I'm gonna lean with hero here you know she's gonna have a two inch height Advantage uh uh just an inch reach Advantage but I think it's mainly the power in which he throws and her comfortability in the Striking …"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Paul also picks Fiorot, emphasizing her size and strength advantage. He doubts Rose's motivation and notes her inability to engage against Esparza. Paul thinks Rose's offensive wrestling could be a factor but that Fiorot's takedown defense and submission defense are solid. He expects a striking affair where Fiorot's speed and kicking game prevail, likely by decision (29-28 or 30-27).

"I'm gonna go firo five round fight... at least 29 28 hopefully a 30 27."

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 29, 2023 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot by TKO, citing her physicality and dangerous stand-up, while Rose Namajunas appears mentally checked out. He notes Rose's lack of activity, her poor performance against Carla Esparza, and her loss in a grappling match. He believes Fiorot will overwhelm Rose with a flurry of punches in round one.

"I'm going with man on Fiora TKO is my prediction I think Rose is checked out of the game"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Katlyn Cerminara

Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · Oct 22, 2022

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Manon Fiorot	0	76 of 286	26%	76 of 286	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00
Katlyn Cerminara	0	98 of 279	35%	99 of 280	1 of 2	50%	0	0	0:14

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Manon Fiorot	25 of 86	29%	25 of 86	0 of 0	---	0:00
1	Katlyn Cerminara	29 of 84	34%	29 of 84	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Manon Fiorot	23 of 94	24%	23 of 94	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Katlyn Cerminara	43 of 95	45%	43 of 95	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Manon Fiorot	28 of 106	26%	28 of 106	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Katlyn Cerminara	26 of 100	26%	27 of 101	1 of 2	50%	0:14

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Manon Fiorot	76 of 286	26%	35 of 223	21 of 40	20 of 23	72 of 278	4 of 8	0 of 0
Katlyn Cerminara	98 of 279	35%	58 of 225	16 of 28	24 of 26	96 of 273	2 of 5	0 of 1

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Manon Fiorot	25 of 86	29%	13 of 65	5 of 12	7 of 9	25 of 84	0 of 2	0 of 0
1	Katlyn Cerminara	29 of 84	34%	15 of 64	4 of 10	10 of 10	29 of 82	0 of 2	0 of 0
2	Manon Fiorot	23 of 94	24%	12 of 74	5 of 14	6 of 6	21 of 91	2 of 3	0 of 0
2	Katlyn Cerminara	43 of 95	45%	29 of 76	7 of 12	7 of 7	43 of 95	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Manon Fiorot	28 of 106	26%	10 of 84	11 of 14	7 of 8	26 of 103	2 of 3	0 of 0
3	Katlyn Cerminara	26 of 100	26%	14 of 85	5 of 6	7 of 9	24 of 96	2 of 3	0 of 1

Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 16, 2022 (6 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Angelo leans Manon Fiorot, citing her superior striking, power, and takedowns. He acknowledges that Katlyn Chookagian knows how to win decisions and could steal a close fight, but believes Fiorot should be better everywhere. He advises no money or parlays on Fiorot.

"I am gonna pick man in here because she should literally be better absolutely anywhere but if anyone is going to steal a decision on this card it is Caitlyn chikagian"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Big Brady picks Fiorot to win by decision. He highlights Fiorot's power advantage and ability to mix in takedowns, noting she took down black belts Jennifer Maia and Mayra Bueno Silva. Cerminara has low striking accuracy (35%) and poor takedown defense (54%). He believes Fiorot can land the more impactful shots and control the fight on the ground if needed.

"I like Fiora here quite a bit I like her to win by decision I don't really see a finish in this fight"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Cody is sold on Fiorot, calling her the best in the division not named Valentina. He notes her speed, power, and complete game, and that she has been rolling through opponents. He thinks Chookagian's volume lacks impact and that Fiorot is better in every aspect. Cody expects Fiorot to win and eventually challenge for the title.

"I think fioros the real deal"

Bookie Beatdown

Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 20, 2022 (2 days before fight)

Katlyn Cerminara

Connor picks Cerminara, believing she has improved her boxing and ability to create memorable contact, making her a consistent round winner. He notes that Fiorot is often one-and-done with her striking and leaves openings, which Cerminara can exploit. He sees this as a natural gatekeeper role for Cerminara against a rising prospect.

"I think I'm gonna pick Chookagian. I think she's found her role as the gatekeeper to the elite in this division."

MMA Vivisection

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Daniel Levi picks Manon Fiorot to win by decision. He thinks Fiorot can match or surpass Katlyn Cerminara's volume while minimizing strikes absorbed, citing Fiorot's 70% defense. He notes Fiorot has takedown defense and has landed takedowns herself. Levi respects Cerminara's experience and ability to win decisions, but believes Fiorot is the more promising fighter with fewer holes. He does not see value at -215 but picks Fiorot to pass this test.

Picks Fiorot by decision.

"my official pick is going to be uh manofio decision"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 18, 2022 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Fiorot does the same thing as Chookagian but with more power and efficiency. She has good takedown defense and can redirect momentum. Chookagian may try to grapple, but Fiorot is stronger in the clinch. Fiorot by decision at -110 is a better line than the moneyline.

Fiorot by decision at -110

"give me fiod give me fiod by decision which is -110 much better line than a money line"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Paul likely picks Fiorot but is not confident, noting that it could be a close striking battle. He mentions Chookagian's experience and that Fiorot is still improving. Paul thinks Fiorot should win but acknowledges it could be a split decision.

"likely rules but I can't say I got a whole lot of confidence in this one"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot over Katlyn Cerminara (Chookagian) by TKO. He believes Fiorot's stand-up is superior and that she will hurt Chookagian with body kicks, then swarm for a TKO. He notes Chookagian's tendency for close decisions and Fiorot's youth and improvement.

TKO

"I'm actually going to go over TKO for man on Fiora here"

THE MMA GURU

Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 20, 2022 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Zane picks Fiorot, citing her size, power, and ability to make Cerminara uncomfortable. He notes that Cerminara has struggled against good athletes who can get to her, and Fiorot's strength and reach will pose problems. He acknowledges it's a coin flip but leans on Fiorot's power and the fact that Cerminara's recent wins have been against smaller opponents.

"I'm going to pick Manon Fiorot. I think that the fight is ripe for Chookagian to play spoiler, but I still don't trust her to pull that off against somebody who can match her for size and speed."

MMA Vivisection

WIN vs Jennifer Maia

Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · Mar 26, 2022

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Manon Fiorot	0	37 of 121	30%	56 of 141	1 of 4	25%	0	0	1:16
Jennifer Maia	0	83 of 138	60%	101 of 157	2 of 4	50%	0	0	2:37

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Manon Fiorot	16 of 57	28%	16 of 57	0 of 0	---	0:09
1	Jennifer Maia	34 of 68	50%	34 of 68	0 of 1	0%	0:16
2	Manon Fiorot	5 of 20	25%	23 of 39	1 of 2	50%	0:28
2	Jennifer Maia	19 of 24	79%	37 of 43	2 of 3	66%	2:12
3	Manon Fiorot	16 of 44	36%	17 of 45	0 of 2	0%	0:39
3	Jennifer Maia	30 of 46	65%	30 of 46	0 of 0	---	0:09

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Manon Fiorot	37 of 121	30%	23 of 103	9 of 13	5 of 5	30 of 111	6 of 9	1 of 1
Jennifer Maia	83 of 138	60%	40 of 91	24 of 28	19 of 19	76 of 131	2 of 2	5 of 5

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Manon Fiorot	16 of 57	28%	9 of 48	5 of 7	2 of 2	14 of 53	2 of 4	0 of 0
1	Jennifer Maia	34 of 68	50%	13 of 46	11 of 12	10 of 10	32 of 66	2 of 2	0 of 0
2	Manon Fiorot	5 of 20	25%	5 of 20	0 of 0	0 of 0	3 of 18	1 of 1	1 of 1
2	Jennifer Maia	19 of 24	79%	13 of 18	3 of 3	3 of 3	14 of 19	0 of 0	5 of 5
3	Manon Fiorot	16 of 44	36%	9 of 35	4 of 6	3 of 3	13 of 40	3 of 4	0 of 0
3	Jennifer Maia	30 of 46	65%	14 of 27	10 of 13	6 of 6	30 of 46	0 of 0	0 of 0

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Manon Fiorot vs. Jennifer Maia

Round 1
Second verse, same as the first: the previous fight featured flyweights that drew unexpectedly low card placement given their relative place in their division, and the same can be said between the no. 4 Maia (19-8-1, 4-4 UFC) and the 13th ranked female flyweight known as “The Beast” Fiorot (8-1, 3-0 UFC). Drawing the charge for this interesting style matchup is referee Herb Dean, who gets a huge pop from the crowd. Dean who will know before anyone else whether Maia holds the line or if Fiorot can crash through to the top five. There is no glove touch, and instead the Frenchwoman wants to start striking, with side kicks to the lead leg. Maia replies with a straight left hand, and they both throw hands at the same time. Fiorot’s hands are faster, and her intercepting kicks are effective when Maia comes forward. Fiorot scores a few more kicks as Maia bears down on her, and she scores two or three punches before Maia can reach her. Maia is not deterred, as she continues to walk through body kicks to swing with heavy punches. Fiorot tags her opponent with a straight right hand, and she breaks it up with punches to the body as Maia looks to almost exclusively box with her. Fiorot lets Maia come at her so she can counter quickly and slip away to score kicks on the outside. “The Beast” lets go with a head kick, and Maia shrugs it off to score with a big left hand. Fiorot is forced to shake it off, and Maia lands another on the chin. Fiorot preemptively counters an advancing Maia with a left hook a few times, and she is doing damage to Maia’s lead leg as well with sharp kicks. The punches from the French kickboxer have opened up the nose of her foe, and Maia rushes ahead to try to tie her up. When Fiorot turns her around, Maia wings a quick elbow that gets Fiorot’s attention. Fiorot responds with a thudding body kick, and Maia tries to pay her back with an overhand right but is just out of reach. Fiorot slips the blow and dings her with a left hand, and Maia greets her with a right hand counter. Maia takes a leg kick so that she can swarm ahead, and she goes up high with a kick that stings Fiorot. The Frenchwoman threatens with a takedown, and Maia turns her around with ease until Fiorot pushes off. Fiorot scores a side kick to the midsection, and she lands a clean left hand right before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 2
The round begins with Maia coming out aggressively. Fiorot catches her coming in with a kick to the body, but she cannot slow her as Maia tags her with a couple punches. Suddenly, Fiorot changes levels and hits a clean takedown right in the middle of the cage, putting the Brazilian on her back. Maia sits up and threatens to sweep, and Fiorot hacks at her with elbows to make her sit back down. Maia keeps a high guard, keeping Fiorot honest with a triangle setup. Fiorot sits up and has her leg snagged by Maia, who latches on to an ankle lock. Fiorot rushes to get back to her feet, and Maia goes right after her hips to hit a takedown of her own. As she looks to set up some sort of submission, Fiorot tosses her around and sets Maia on her back. Fiorot appears much more cautious this time in Maia’s guard, not willing to sit up and put herself in submission danger. Instead, Fiorot springs back up to her feet, not interested in playing the ground game anymore. Maia follows her back upright, and Fiorot gets off several kicks to the body. Maia cannot reach her as Fiorot snipes her from afar, and the Frenchwoman catches Maia on the way in and dumps her to the mat. Maia scrambles to get back up and boots Fiorot in the head, and Fiorot is in big trouble as she adjusts her top and tries to get her legs about her. Maia goes after another high kick, and Fiorot blocks it and is still trying to shake out the cobwebs. Maia gives chase, whiffing on another head kick and walking face-first into a punch. Maia comes up short on a Superwoman punch, and Fiorot circles away until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 3
The third round begins with Maia once more pressing the action, and she tries to engage in a brawl as Fiorot wants to stay on the outside with side kicks to the body. Fiorot looks to keep her distance, but Maia will not have it, pushing the pace and clinching her up. Maia cannot keep her tied up for long, and Fiorot returns to her preferred range with long, prodding kicks. The Brazilian continuously comes forward, only to absorb kicks to the body and legs. Maia starts to work on Fiorot’s lead leg, and Fiorot plants her feet to go after a hook kick. Maia blocks it and sprints ahead to go after a body lock takedown, and although she hits it, Fiorot spins her around and rolls through to stand back up. Maia advances without cutting her opponent off, absorbing kicks flush without being able to answer back. Fiorot jumps forward with a knee that slams into Maia’s guard, and Maia rubs her nose and marches onward. Maia takes a punch on the chin so that she can set up a thudding body kick, and Fiorot replies in kind with a side kick to the torso. Maia walks right into a kick to her chest, and she completely ignores it and brushes past a crescent kick in order to tie up the Frenchwoman. Maia goes to clinch, and Fiorot pushes away. Maia attacks with a high kick when Fiorot goes low, and Maia kicks the body and slips back when Fiorot spins with a kick. Maia hears the 10-second clapper and begins to bull-rush her adversary, throwing hands right until the bitter end.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maia (29-28 Fiorot)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)

The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Jennifer Maia via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2022 (6 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Angelo picks Manon Fiorot, citing her nasty striking, killer instinct, and finishing power. He notes that Jennifer Maia's 33% takedown accuracy and only two takedowns in eight UFC fights won't be enough to get her out of danger against Fiorot's striking. He acknowledges Maia's experience and well-roundedness but believes Fiorot's striking differential and ability to work back to her feet make the difference.

"i like manafort to come in here throw hands get the job done so mayna ferreau is the pick"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Big Brady picks Manon Fiorot to win by decision. He states that Maia does not use her grappling, averaging only 0.25 takedowns per 15 minutes, and will not win a striking fight against Fiorot. He notes that Fiorot is a big favorite and the line is widening. He cautions that Fiorot should not take Maia down, as Maia is dangerous off her back, but expects Fiorot to out-strike her.

Manon Fiorot wins by decision

"You gotta go fiora here... I will take man if you were to win I'll take her to win by decision."

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Cody picks Fiorot, comparing her to Caitlin Chookagian who outpointed Maia. He notes Fiorot's mobility, karate background, and striking variety. He thinks Maia is slow and will be outpointed. He likes Fiorot by decision prop.

Fiorot by decision

"i think that fioro fights the exact same game plan"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Daniel Levi picks Manon Fiorot, believing she will outpoint Maia with her sidekicks and volume. He notes Maia has the tools to win via takedowns but doesn't trust her to execute early enough. He thinks Fiorot is a legit prospect and will win on the scorecards, but the price (-400) is too high to bet. He calls it a dog or pass situation.

Fiorot by decision, pass on betting due to price

"I think that this is one more on the win column for the hot prospect manon fiore"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The host is high on Fiorot, citing her striking improvement, size advantage, and ability to replicate the game plan Catelyn Chookagian used against Maia. He expects Fiorot to keep the fight standing, use her speed and power, and potentially get a finish. He notes Maia is on short notice and that Fiorot's takedown defense and balance are strong.

Fiorot inside the distance

"i think fyro is worth the minus 400 shock in this spot because i think she'll do a good job in terms of keeping this fight standing"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Paul picks Fiorot, expecting her to win a decision. He notes her range weapons and pace will break Maia. He thinks Maia is durable but slow and flat-footed. He prefers Fiorot by decision prop.

Fiorot by decision

"i see fioro winning a a very convincing 30-27 decision"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot over Jennifer Maia, calling it a massive risk that no one is talking about. He notes Maia's grappling ability (taking down Shevchenko for a round) but believes Fiorot's takedown defense and physical strength will hold up. The Guru expects Fiorot to cruise to a 30-27 decision with power shots, as Maia may be hesitant to press in due to the power difference.

"i'm gonna go with man on fiora over jessica i or jennifer meyer"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Mayra Bueno Silva

Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · Oct 16, 2021

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Manon Fiorot	0	91 of 267	34%	112 of 291	2 of 6	33%	0	0	4:05
Mayra Bueno Silva	0	48 of 111	43%	92 of 156	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:04

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Manon Fiorot	29 of 99	29%	30 of 102	1 of 1	100%	0:30
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	17 of 39	43%	20 of 43	0 of 0	---	0:03
2	Manon Fiorot	27 of 84	32%	36 of 93	0 of 2	0%	1:16
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	18 of 45	40%	56 of 83	0 of 0	---	0:01
3	Manon Fiorot	35 of 84	41%	46 of 96	1 of 3	33%	2:19
3	Mayra Bueno Silva	13 of 27	48%	16 of 30	0 of 0	---	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Manon Fiorot	91 of 267	34%	47 of 218	37 of 42	7 of 7	79 of 245	4 of 8	8 of 14
Mayra Bueno Silva	48 of 111	43%	13 of 55	21 of 32	14 of 24	39 of 100	7 of 9	2 of 2

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Manon Fiorot	29 of 99	29%	13 of 82	12 of 13	4 of 4	28 of 95	0 of 2	1 of 2
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	17 of 39	43%	0 of 11	8 of 13	9 of 15	16 of 38	0 of 0	1 of 1
2	Manon Fiorot	27 of 84	32%	16 of 69	11 of 15	0 of 0	24 of 80	3 of 4	0 of 0
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	18 of 45	40%	7 of 25	8 of 13	3 of 7	14 of 39	4 of 6	0 of 0
3	Manon Fiorot	35 of 84	41%	18 of 67	14 of 14	3 of 3	27 of 70	1 of 2	7 of 12
3	Mayra Bueno Silva	13 of 27	48%	6 of 19	5 of 6	2 of 2	9 of 23	3 of 3	1 of 1

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Manon Fiorot vs. Mayra Bueno Silva

Round 1
A pair of flyweights with seven wins and one defeat but vastly different styles will meet in the Octagon next, when the surging French striker Fiorot (7-1, 2-0 UFC) battles Brazilian submission specialist Silva (16-2-1, 4-1 UFC). High 86% finish rates for each woman will be tested as they get ready for battle, and referee Chris Tognoni could have his hands full in this 125-pound tilt. There is no glove touch to get things started, and instead, Fiorot begins with a leg kick. Silva returns fire with a body kick and a right hand, and she is warned for her outstretched fingers already. Silva looks to sweep the leg, but the Frenchwoman is out of the way and jumps in with a solid one-two. Silva continues to miss with low leg kicks, and Fiorot drills her in the midsection with a side kick. A few punches get through from Fiorot, who side kicks the body, strings a few more punches together and once more kicks the body with a strike from traditional martial arts. Silva has a loud calf kick get off, and Fiorot kiais and connects with four or five punches. Silva puts her hands up to shrug after she blocks strikes, which allows Fiorot to kick her in the side. Fiorot connects with another such kick, and Silva again motions that it did not hurt. The showboating does not stop Fiorot from landing cleanly on her, and Silva’s offense is limited to single leg strikes. Fiorot hops out of the way from one and lands a few punches, with a side kick to end it that sends Silva flying to the ground. Silva climbs back up and high-fives her opponent for the strike. Fiorot has a few punches and a side kick get through, with this side kick to the body her most effective strike. Silva loads up on a body kick of her own, but Fiorot is there to keep her fists in her foe’s face. Silva gives chase, but Fiorot’s combinations keep her guessing and slow her down. Silva has a body and then head kick get through and up, and she gets chewed up with a few punches that have marked the top of her face up. The Brazilian continues to signal that the strikes mean nothing to her, but Fiorot’s volume is adding up quickly while Silva is content to throw single strikes. As Silva swipes at her opponent, the Frenchwoman changes things up entirely by hitting a clean takedown and putting Silva flat on her back. As Fiorot lands ground-and-pound, Silva attacks an armbar and then a kneebar. The subsequent submission try trips Fiorot up so that she falls to the ground, and Silva lords over her with a few leg kicks before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 2
While Silva marches out to start the round, Fiorot lands first and often. Seven punches connect for the Frenchwoman before Silva is able to respond. As she chains punches together, Fiorot dives in for a takedown. Silva is able to stuff it and stand back up, and they press up against one another in the clinch. As Fiorot grinds, her shoulder lifts the top up of the Brazilian, and Tognoni is right there to stop the action briefly to allow her to reset it before any inadvertent exposures occur. Fiorot ties up the leg and tries to trip her foe down, but bails on it to knee the thigh a few times. Tognoni asks them to stay busy as they are stuck against the fence, and before long, he intervenes to separate them. Fiorot is quick to thank Tognoni for this split by landing several punches. Silva connects back and marks Fiorot’s face up, and she signals that she has Fiorot stung. Fiorot returns fire with punches and side kicks, and Silva is loading up on counter strikes. A faked side kick allows Fiorot to go over the top with punches, as she mixes things up and lands mostly on the guard of her foe. Silva gets off a right hand that makes Fiorot grimace, and Fiorot grabs hold of her to knee before backing off to get back to combination striking. The power of Silva is far in her favor, but she lands few and far between while Fiorot is beating her to the punch early and often. Silva puts her hands behind her back to signal that Fiorot’s shots mean nothing to her, and Fiorot does not buy in and keeps to her gameplan of punches up top and side kicks to the breadbasket. Every strike from Fiorot is bolstered by a kiai, furthering the impact and emphasis of the blows, and Silva again mocks her by putting her hands behind her back. Fiorot kicks her in the chest, and the punches from the Frenchwoman have also marked Silva’s face up. There is no single punch thrown from Fiorot, and instead three or four each time. Fiorot circles on the outside and gets a head kick up that knocks Silva back and surprises her. Fiorot keeps kicking the body, and Silva rocks her with a right hand suddenly. Right before the bell, the Brazilian looks to finish the job with a head kick, but it goes over the head and brushes the hair to conclude the second frame.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 3
The two flyweights meet in the middle, and a pair of one-twos come from Fiorot to begin. Fiorot chains a side kick to a left hand into a single leg takedown try. Silva looks to latch on to her, but she bails on it to kick the rear leg and wobble Fiorot’s legs. Another leg kick flusters Fiorot, and Silva marches forward with a head kick to follow. Fiorot connects to the body with yet another unanswered, unblocked sidekick, and she strings a few punches into a double leg try. The Frenchwoman lifts Silva up in the air and slams her hard on the mat, where she immediately claims half guard out of most submission danger. Fiorot delivers a few punches and elbows that bloody the nose up of the Brazilian, and she steps over to side control as she rains down punches. A few shots land to the back of the head, and she is warned for these and adjusts when Silva rolls to her back. Silva scores a powerful upkick that dislodges Fiorot’s mouthpiece, and her gumshield gets stuck between the corner of the floor and the fence, taking a few seconds to recover it. When they resume, Fiorot is ready for battle, as she lands punches and a flying knee while Silva wags her tongue at her. As the Brazilian continues to showboat instead of throw effective offense, Fiorot’s striking numbers are racking up as are her takedown attempts. The Frenchwoman leans heavily into Silva on the wire, while Silva’s nose leaks blood on her foe’s blonde locks. Silva tries to explode out of the position, or even turn her opponent around, but instead relies on Tognoni to split them up with 50 seconds to go. Three punches and a side kick come from Fiorot, but Silva catches her foe and jumps in the air with a knee to the chin. Fiorot eats it like a baguette and continues to lay into Silva with punch combinations, all while Silva recklessly walks her down. Silva has an angry look on her face while blood trickles down it, and Fiorot stays on her bike, sticks and moves and lands without issue. This continues right to the final bell, putting an end to a relatively one-sided bout for "The Beast" that will likely see a massive strike total discrepancy.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)

The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Mayra Bueno Silva via Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Angelo picks Manon Fiorot confidently, highlighting her elite striking differential (lands 8, gets hit less than 2). She has killer instinct, solid fight IQ, and works back to her feet quickly if taken down. Mayra Bueno Silva is a good striker and grappler but her wrestling is not great, making it hard to get the fight to the ground. Angelo likes Fiorot at 8900 in DraftKings and the more more on monkey knife fight.

more more on monkey knife fight

"Such a killer on her feet so much power so accurate she's so impressive striking that you gotta go with man and she will be in my draftkings lineup 8900 bucks i love it"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2021 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Big Brady picks Fiorot by third-round knockout, citing her striking advantage and Silva's poor striking defense. He notes Silva has attempted zero takedowns in the UFC, which is a major concern. If Silva doesn't grapple, Fiorot will dominate on the feet. He acknowledges Silva's dangerous ground game but doubts she can get the fight there.

by TKO in round 3

"i'm going to take man off fiora to win i'm going to take her to win by um i'm actually going to say she wins by third round knockout"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Cody is very confident in Fiorot, citing her high-level kickboxing background, lateral movement, and improved clinch and takedown defense. He believes Bueno Silva's aggressive, forward-marching style plays into Fiorot's strengths of kicking from distance and moving laterally. His only concern is if the fight goes to the ground, but he thinks Fiorot's jiu-jitsu is good enough to survive.

"i'm really sold on what i see from her"

Bookie Beatdown

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Paul agrees with Cody, calling Fiorot the pick of the week. He notes her impressive UFC wins, including a head-kick KO, and her maturity at 31 years old. He thinks she will chew Bueno Silva up on the feet and that the only way it gets greasy is if it goes to the mat.

"i got my no fioro as long as you're not against that i'm feeling confident about it"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2021 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot by late second-round TKO, citing her takedown defense and striking. He expects Bueno Silva to pressure and attempt takedowns but fail, leading to Fiorot lighting her up on the feet. He notes Fiorot's recent head-kick KOs and believes she will finish as Bueno Silva tires.

late second round tko

"i think man on fierroth's going to be good enough and i think she's going to get a late second round tko again"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Tabatha Ricci

TKO (punches) R2 3:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · Jun 05, 2021

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Manon Fiorot	1	84 of 172	48%	85 of 173	1 of 1	100%	0	0	0:40
Tabatha Ricci	0	17 of 90	18%	17 of 91	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:00

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Manon Fiorot	0	31 of 80	38%	31 of 80	0 of 0	---	0:00
1	Tabatha Ricci	0	11 of 63	17%	11 of 63	0 of 1	0%	0:00
2	Manon Fiorot	1	53 of 92	57%	54 of 93	1 of 1	100%	0:40
2	Tabatha Ricci	0	6 of 27	22%	6 of 28	0 of 0	---	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Manon Fiorot	84 of 172	48%	68 of 154	8 of 10	8 of 8	61 of 140	17 of 24	6 of 8
Tabatha Ricci	17 of 90	18%	6 of 69	5 of 12	6 of 9	16 of 89	1 of 1	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Manon Fiorot	31 of 80	38%	22 of 70	4 of 5	5 of 5	30 of 79	1 of 1	0 of 0
1	Tabatha Ricci	11 of 63	17%	6 of 51	2 of 7	3 of 5	11 of 63	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Manon Fiorot	53 of 92	57%	46 of 84	4 of 5	3 of 3	31 of 61	16 of 23	6 of 8
2	Tabatha Ricci	6 of 27	22%	0 of 18	3 of 5	3 of 4	5 of 26	1 of 1	0 of 0

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Manon Fiorot vs. Tabatha Ricci

Round 1
The first women’s match of the night takes place in the flyweight division, as French powerhouse Fiorot (6-1, 1-0 UFC) meets Brazilian newcomer Ricci (5-0, 0-0 UFC). Referee Herb Dean will take charge of this 125-pound contest, and the ladies do not touch gloves before coming out swinging. Fiorot opens up with a side kick that pushes Ricci back, and she uses another that catches the Brazilian unaware. Fiorot continues to walk Ricci down, and she kicks high and low as she looks a weight class larger than her opponent. Fiorot takes advantage of her size by landing more side kicks and punches, and Ricci tries to fire back but her strikes are far less impactful. Ricci uses jabs to keep her distance, and Fiorot marches forward with a pair of looping right hands. Ricci’s counters are all inaccurate, and a potential takedown attempt is shoved away with ease. “The Beast” rages with kicks to the legs and head, and Ricci is forced to charge forward to break these up, where she scores a single right hand. Fiorot chows down on it like a baguette and strides forward to land a swarm of punches and a knee up the middle. Fiorot splits the guard with a left hand, and Ricci gathers herself and slings a right hand that catches Fiorot flush. Fiorot scores a few punches and a kick to the knee, and she chains a few punches together to knock Ricci back. “Baby Shark” swims forward to consider a takedown, but she is easily rebuffed as Fiorot tees off on her. Ricci tries to keep her at bay with punches buoyed by kiais, but Fiorot’s are louder and her strikes are heavier. Two big punches from Fiorot surprise Ricci, and she slips as she rushes forward and gets countered to the body. Fiorot shakes it off and lands a stern left hand right before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot

Round 2
The Frenchwoman comes out of her corner possessed, landing a few side kicks and heavy punches as Ricci throws wildly in response. Fiorot plants the ball of her foot on Ricci’s body, and she pushes forward to take the fight down. Ricci breaks free and pushes off, where she takes a few jabs in the face when backing off. A few punches from “The Beast” score directly, and she has found the mark and is teeing off on Ricci. Ricci stays tough, blocking the heaviest kicks and backs out of danger before any of the biggest shots connect flush. Fiorot stings her foe with a left hand, and she continues wading forward with punches and a few elbows when Ricci is on the fence. Fiorot turns up the heat as she lands strikes, and Ricci tries and fails with a takedown.
Fiorot clubs Ricci with several ferocious punches, making the newcomer stumble to the ground in dire straits. Fiorot does not let her off the hook, holding on tight and blasting Ricci again and again while Dean keeps a close eye on the action. Ricci works her way up, but she takes a short, final barrage of punches to give Dean cause to stop the fight.
With this drubbing, Fiorot becomes the first woman to defeat Ricci.

The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Tabatha Ricci R2 3:00 via TKO (Punches)

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2021 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Big Brady sees Fiorot as a phenomenal striker with power and volume, though her level of competition is low. He notes Ricci is hittable with 53% striking defense and negative strike differential. He doubts Ricci can take Fiorot down or hold her down, citing Ricci's poor takedown accuracy (18%) and Fiorot's strong takedown defense and get-up game. He predicts Fiorot wins by decision, calling it a big test she will pass.

"give me fioro by decision"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Cody picks Fiorot, noting her diverse striking and improvements in grappling. He thinks her size and strength will be too much for Ricci, who is moving up on short notice. Cody expects Fiorot to win comfortably.

"monofiero looks like a serious problem man like a serious problem"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Daniel picks Fiorot to win by knockout, specifically a body kick knockout. He notes that Fiorot is much bigger (5'7" vs 5'1"), physical, has nasty kicks, and improving takedown defense. He believes Ricci is too small and that Fiorot will be able to keep the fight standing and land her strikes. Daniel is confident Fiorot will steamroll Ricci and get a finish.

"i'm gonna go with manon fiore via uh she got a head kick knockout last night i'm gonna say body kick knockout this time"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (1 day before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Fiorot is bigger, stronger, and a better striker. Ricci is on short notice and moving up in weight. Fiorot should keep the fight standing and win by decision or TKO.

Fiorot inside distance -140, Fiorot by decision +240, fight goes distance +155

"I think fido will be successful in keeping this fight on the feet butchering her on the feet with her striking"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

Paul picks Fiorot confidently, citing her striking and size advantage. He notes Ricci is a natural strawweight taking the fight on short notice. Paul thinks Fiorot's kicks and clinch will be too much. He expects Fiorot to be a heavy favorite.

"fioro looks like the real deal"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 30, 2021 (6 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

The Guru picks Manon Fiorot, praising her striking and grappling. He notes she has finishes in later rounds, which he finds impressive for a French fighter. He believes she is arguably undefeated (he thought she beat Leah McCourt). He predicts a TKO in round 1 or 2 against Marina Moroz (note: transcript says 'marina marazz' but likely refers to Tabatha Ricci's opponent; however, the fight is Fiorot vs Ricci, so the pick is for Fiorot).

TKO round 1 or 2

"i'm going to go with man on fiorock getting a tko round one or two against marina moroz"

THE MMA GURU

View all 9 fights

Mayra Bueno Silva - Fight History

LOSS vs Michelle Montague

Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · Apr 25, 2026

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Mayra Bueno Silva	0	26 of 45	57%	34 of 53	0 of 0	---	1	1	1:39
Michelle Montague	0	42 of 83	50%	108 of 161	2 of 6	33%	0	2	10:14

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	0 of 0	---	0 of 0	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:00
1	Michelle Montague	16 of 20	80%	46 of 51	1 of 1	100%	0	0	4:56
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	20 of 37	54%	24 of 41	0 of 0	---	1	0	0:29
2	Michelle Montague	18 of 43	41%	21 of 46	0 of 4	0%	0	1	2:01
3	Mayra Bueno Silva	6 of 8	75%	10 of 12	0 of 0	---	0	1	1:10
3	Michelle Montague	8 of 20	40%	41 of 64	1 of 1	100%	0	1	3:17

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Mayra Bueno Silva	26 of 45	57%	11 of 27	10 of 12	5 of 6	22 of 38	3 of 6	1 of 1
Michelle Montague	42 of 83	50%	41 of 80	1 of 3	0 of 0	21 of 58	0 of 1	21 of 24

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	0 of 0	---	0 of 0	0 of 0	0 of 0	0 of 0	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Michelle Montague	16 of 20	80%	16 of 20	0 of 0	0 of 0	1 of 4	0 of 0	15 of 16
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	20 of 37	54%	8 of 23	8 of 9	4 of 5	16 of 30	3 of 6	1 of 1
2	Michelle Montague	18 of 43	41%	17 of 40	1 of 3	0 of 0	18 of 42	0 of 1	0 of 0
3	Mayra Bueno Silva	6 of 8	75%	3 of 4	2 of 3	1 of 1	6 of 8	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Michelle Montague	8 of 20	40%	8 of 20	0 of 0	0 of 0	2 of 12	0 of 0	6 of 8

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Montague (-375); Bueno Silva (+300)

Round 1
It’s moving night in the rankings at 135 pounds for women, with three of the four repping that weight class currently sporting a number next to their name. Silva (10-6-1, 1 NC; 5-6-1, 1 NC UFC) is one of those three despite not recording a win since February 2023, and there is no truth to the rumor that her mother’s maiden name is Capulet. PFL expat Montague (7-0, 1-0 UFC) is looking to get there, and a victory tonight will almost certainly grant her a numerical designation. Before they throw hands, the ladies touch gloves, and referee Herb Dean will handle anything after that.
There is one strategy for Montague in this match, and she implements it immediately. Walking the former title challenger and putting three fists in her face, she closes the distance and hits a body lock takedown to put the Brazilian on her back. Silva defends off her back by isolating one wrist with both hands, and the Kiwi shakes out of it and smacks Silva with several powerful hammerfists. The punches are so mighty that Silva decides she should probably protect her mug and abandon the escape effort. When she does this, Montague elbows her a few times to force Silva turning. Montague hangs on with her right arm posted off Silva’s face, and she rolls Silva back over when Silva tries to buck out of the precarious position. Montague establishes herself in half guard, again fighting off the baseball grip on her left wrist so she can further beat down on “Sheetara.”
Montague floats when Silva tries to buck her off, staying heavy with the need arises and dropping down power strikes when they are open. The size difference is significant, as Silva keeps twisting and turning but is stuck on her knees until she voluntarily rolls to the side so she can sneakily search for a leglock off her back. Montague stacks her up and uses a can opener with her hands clutched behind Silva’s neck, and Silva responds with another leg submission attempt until Montague just steps over her. Montague hammers Silva with a free hand, dominating the former title challenger right to the end of the round. The only question is whether that performance merits a 10-8 in her favor, while Silva struggles to get back to her feet and manages to make her way back to her corner.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Montague
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Montague
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-8 Montague

Round 2
Montague practically runs at Silva as the round kicks off, punching her way into range. Silva times a charge and throws Montague to the side, drilling her with a heavy right hand. Montague breaks off and circles away, shooting for a takedown when Silva lashes out with a low kick. Montague chambers and looses one to the ribs, and then kicks high while Montague walks her down without fear. Montague snaps the head back with a jab and shoots from a long way away, allowing Silva to wrap her arms around her neck. Silva latches onto a front choke, and this sudden ninja choke is tight as Montague lowers herself down to relieve the pressure. The Kiwi hits the deck in order to snap out of it, with Silva not quick enough to follow her while maintaining her grip strength. Montague sticks out a right hand and jabs with the ball of her foot, and Silva steels herself and nails Montague with a combination. Montague backs herself to the wall, and she gets stung a few more times and shoots for a desperate takedown.
Silva briefly stops it, but considers taking her back in the process and is tripped up to put herself on her back. Silva hangs on with a kimura sweep, until the bigger, stronger woman muscles her way out of it and shifts to climb into side control on the opposite side. Montague hunts for a crucifix setup, only for Silva to twist and turn to at least prevent the dominant position from locking down. Montague moves to Silva’s open guard, with Silva using butterfly hooks to sweep her. Silva kicks off, with Montague on one knee, and her heel bangs square into Montague’s jaw. Dean immediately calls time, while someone from the audience shouts that he should take a point. Dean asks her if Montague is ok after the blow, and they resume 45 seconds later with Montague smiling and ready to continue. Montague is quick to shoot for a takedown, and she pushes Silva to the wire. Silva frames off with short, effective punches, until the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Silva

Round 3
Montague engages again early, but this time, Silva is ready for it. Silva punches back to keep Montague honest, but she is unable to stop the double-leg takedown that sweeps Silva clean off her feet. Montague lands in side control, fighting off any early effort for Silva to sweep or get out. When Silva turns to her knees, Montague punches her in the face repeatedly. Slick as a whistle, “Sheetara” slips around to the side to take Montague’s back.
Montague twists and keeps moving while Silva looks for any exposed limb. As Montague continues shifting and fighting, she flips Silva over to position herself in side control. When she gets it, “The Wild One” pounds on her with any free fist or elbow she can find. Silva contorts herself to get away, but the heavier Montague clubs and smothers her seemingly without end. The only thing that ends this is the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Montague (29-27 Montague)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Montague (29-27 Montague)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Montague (29-27 Montague)

The Official Result
Michelle Montague def. Mayra Bueno Silva via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2026 (6 days before fight)

Michelle Montague

Angelo is very confident in Michelle Montague, calling her a spectacular grappler with world-level wrestling and jiu-jitsu experience. He notes that Mayra Bueno Silva is on a four-fight losing streak and has poor wrestling, making it hard for her to get the fight to the ground. He expects Montague to control where the fight goes and win a decision without being in any trouble.

Angelo predicts a decision win for Montague.

"Michelle Monte's the pick. Like this took almost no consideration whatsoever."

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 21, 2026 (4 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

Big Brady picks Mayra Bueno Silva (referred to as Michelle Waterson) over Marina Rodriguez Silva. He criticizes Marina's fight IQ and notes she is on a losing streak. He believes Waterson's wrestling and ground-and-pound will be too much, predicting a TKO in the second or third round.

Waterson wins by second round TKO

"Give me Michelle Waterson by second round TKO here."

DFS by the Numbers

Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2026 (1 day before fight)

Michelle Montague

Connor picks Montague because Bueno Silva appears depressed and has been figured out by better fighters. He notes that Montague is aggressive, confident, and young in her career, and that Silva's recent losses have shown she doesn't know how to learn. However, Connor acknowledges that Silva has been beaten by a much higher class of fighter and that Montague is not at that level, making this a risky pick.

Montague opened at -400, still -400; Silva at +330, still +330. Connor thinks the line is too wide.

"i'm going to take a chance on her here damn this is like a fight though where we're kind of like i wonder what the outcome will mean yeah immediately sets it above the likes of right like the women …"

MMA Vivisection

Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Hesitant picked Apr 25, 2026 (fight day)

Mayra Bueno Silva

The host sees this as a classic striker vs grappler matchup where Silva has a massive advantage on the feet and Montague on the ground. He doubts Montague's ability to get the fight down due to her poor offensive wrestling and Silva's good takedown defense in the clinch. He says it's an IQ test: Montague is unbetable, so Silva is the only value play, but she is weak off her back. He prefers live betting and notes the fight likely goes to decision.

Fight likely goes to distance; prefers live betting; fight spreads not good value

"It's clearly dog or pass, but just know you're betting on a fighter that's very weak off her back against a strong grappler."

Diary of a Pro Gambler

Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2026 (6 days before fight)

Michelle Montague

James picks Montague, believing she will dominate with takedowns and ground and pound, similar to Jasmine Jasudavicius' win over Silva. He predicts a TKO stoppage due to ground and pound, though Silva's toughness may extend the fight.

TKO from ground and pound

"I got Michelle Montigu to take her down. Ground and pound, submission attack... I think she gets a stoppage."

Lucrative MMA

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Apr 21, 2026 (4 days before fight)

Michelle Montague

Montague is a strong grappler with good top control and submission threat, but her striking is robotic and she can be wobbled. Bueno Silva has submission skills off her back and could threaten with submissions, but she has been struggling and has a poor gas tank. Montague's size and strength should allow her to grind out a decision, but the chalk is hard to trust.

Bueno Silva by submission at +950 (hedge)

"I fully expect Montigue to keep Buenos Silva on her back and grind her out and bust her up with some ground and pound, maybe even threaten with a submission or two."

MMA Lock of the Night

Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Apr 24, 2026 (1 day before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

Zane picks Bueno Silva despite her recent losing streak, because he believes Montague is not skilled enough to capitalize on Silva's weaknesses. He notes that Silva has power, aggression, and dynamic submissions, and that Montague's grappling is not at a level to control her. Zane also points out that Silva's losses came against a much better class of fighter than Montague.

Montague opened at -400, still -400; Silva at +330, still +330. Zane thinks the line is too wide in favor of Montague.

"i'm going to pick bueno sova here but i'll take montague yeah because i think on top of that bueno sova is she also looks like she's now has no choice but to reckon with the fact that she just …"

MMA Vivisection

LOSS vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · Nov 08, 2025

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Mayra Bueno Silva	0	39 of 97	40%	46 of 107	0 of 4	0%	0	0	1:12
Jacqueline Cavalcanti	0	80 of 164	48%	87 of 172	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:55

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	9 of 24	37%	11 of 26	0 of 1	0%	0:57
1	Jacqueline Cavalcanti	21 of 40	52%	21 of 40	0 of 0	---	0:01
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	16 of 31	51%	21 of 39	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Jacqueline Cavalcanti	23 of 57	40%	28 of 63	0 of 0	---	0:54
3	Mayra Bueno Silva	14 of 42	33%	14 of 42	0 of 3	0%	0:15
3	Jacqueline Cavalcanti	36 of 67	53%	38 of 69	0 of 0	---	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Mayra Bueno Silva	39 of 97	40%	15 of 62	8 of 14	16 of 21	36 of 93	3 of 4	0 of 0
Jacqueline Cavalcanti	80 of 164	48%	45 of 118	20 of 26	15 of 20	73 of 156	7 of 8	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	9 of 24	37%	1 of 11	2 of 7	6 of 6	8 of 23	1 of 1	0 of 0
1	Jacqueline Cavalcanti	21 of 40	52%	6 of 21	5 of 7	10 of 12	20 of 38	1 of 2	0 of 0
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	16 of 31	51%	3 of 16	5 of 5	8 of 10	15 of 30	1 of 1	0 of 0
2	Jacqueline Cavalcanti	23 of 57	40%	15 of 45	8 of 10	0 of 2	20 of 54	3 of 3	0 of 0
3	Mayra Bueno Silva	14 of 42	33%	11 of 35	1 of 2	2 of 5	13 of 40	1 of 2	0 of 0
3	Jacqueline Cavalcanti	36 of 67	53%	24 of 52	7 of 9	5 of 6	33 of 64	3 of 3	0 of 0

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Jacqueline Cavalcanti vs. Mayra Bueno Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Cavalcanti (-250); Bueno Silva (+210)

Round 1
The promotion as of late has fallen in love with smashing two fighters together of drastically different trajectories hoping the one on the rise pulls it off. In this case, it is the women’s bantamweight division in dire need of contenders. It would be unfair to claim that the promotion
wants
one fighter to win, but the younger woman in Cavalcanti (9-1, 4-0 UFC) with a spotless UFC record intact is a far easier sell. In her fifth walk to the UFC cage, she collides with former flyweight title challenger Silva (10-5-1, 1 NC; 5-5-1, 1 NC UFC), who has tumbled down the rankings and may be fighting to keep her place on the roster. Referee Chris Tognoni draws the charge for this uneven momentum bout, one that should see some movement at 135 pounds no matter who prevails.
The ladies bump their fists together. Cavalcanti bounces back and forth to establish herself in the cage, pushing out a jab and trading low kicks. Cavalcanti connects with a kick to the thigh, and Silva’s response goes wide. Cavalcanti chips at the front leg, and she checks one coming back and doubles up on counters. She goes to the midsection, and Silva responds in kind. Silva ignores a one-two to sit down on a calf kick, and she stays out of range of Cavalcanti’s subsequent punches. The two are jittery and still not willing to commit to much, with Silva barely even in first gear. When she does throw something, it is in response and generally mirroring what already struck her. She chains a low kick into a wheel kick, and Cavalcanti leans back to dodge the latter and drills Silva with a right hand down the middle.
Silva stabs her toes out with a kick to the body, and Cavalcanti has not stopped with her low kick attack yet. She mixes in front kicks with calf kicks, and she swarms her way in. Silva ties her up, and Cavalcanti knees her in the gut and pushes off the face. Silva shoots down suddenly in pursuit of a double-leg entry, and Cavalcanti puts her back to the wall to defend it. Tognoni asks for them to do more, so Silva tries to lift her foe but cannot elevate her very high. Silva breaks off willingly, and she flicks out a few jabs. Cavalcanti looks to loop punches behind the jab, and she changes stances to keep Silva guessing at which side the kicks will be from. One final push kick from “Sheetara” concludes the tepid sparring match of a round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti

Round 2
The bantamweights touch gloves to get going again, and Cavalcanti gets right in her rhythm of low kicks, jabs and forward movement. Silva tries to fire back, and Cavalcanti pushes off before getting caught with anything. Silva turns her hips into a harder-than-usual low kick, so Cavalcanti walks her down and strings five punches together to the body and head. Cavalcanti lifts a leg to check a kick and knees Silva in the belly to push her to the wire. They trade knees on the inside, with Cavalcanti spinning her foe around and landing more knees. Cavalcanti abandons the tie-up, and she puts three punches on the face.
Cavalcanti lifts her leg up to take some of the sting out of a kick, and both women let their lands go in a sudden exchange. Silva starts committing to more heavy leg kicks, and Cavalcanti’s volume remains steady with moves that touch rather than sting. Silva boots Cavalcanti upside the head, and it is narrowly blocked in time. Commentator Dominick Cruz chastises the women for not putting their full effort into this fight, and they apparently can hear him as they again whir into action and start drilling one another with strikes. Cavalcanti kicks, and Silva kicks her back in the ribs. Cavalcanti splits the guard with a jab and shakes her hand out, and she plants a one-two on the jaw as she drives the Brazilian back. Cavalcanti stomp kicks the lead knee of her adversary, and her jab has marked up the bridge of Silva’s nose. As Silva tries to circle to the side and avoid all contact to end the round, Cavalcanti walks her down and boots her in the guts as time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti

Round 3
Of the two women in the cage, it is Cavalcanti who is fired up and ready to push the pace in the final frame. She does just that right out of the cage, walking behind a right hand that she bangs into Silva’s temple. As she chains punches together, Cavalcanti’s punches draw a failed takedown shot out of her opponent that pushes her to the wire but little else. Cavalcanti’s offense has drawn some swelling around Silva’s left eye and right temple, and she is quickly blowing up all over like golf balls slid under her skin. Cavalcanti pecks at the front leg with sticking her hands out, and she even tries a trip and throw but Silva bounces off. Cavalcanti’s one-two barely reaches as Silva’s right hand does not land cleanly, and Cavalcanti is walking forward without fear of reprisal.
Cavalcanti jabs the body with the ball of her foot, and she reams Silva with a one-two. Silva tries to grab hold of the woman from Portugal and get some dirty boxing going, but when that does not amount to much, it is a power jab that has the best effect of her strikes thus far. Cavalcanti recovers and snaps out her own jab in Silva’s face, using it to open up a few clubbing right hands. The once-beaten woman lets Silva buzz past her with a spinning strike, and she resets and works the body. Silva loads up on a right hand, and her subsequent low kick is checked. They flash jabs simultaneously, but Silva will likely need more if she wants to get her hand raised in the next 55 seconds. Cavalcanti stays in front of her foe, and she measures a right hand on the swollen eye socket. She follows it with a few more, and Silva walks forward as if she wants to brawl. When Cavalcanti lands on her, she changes her mind. Cavalcanti’s stance switches alone take most of Silva’s offense out of the equation, and she marches the former title challenger down and busts her in the chops with a left hand. The fight concludes, and the two ladies embrace as a camera quickly shows that Silva’s right foot has also ballooned as a result of this match.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti (30-27 Cavalcanti)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti (30-27 Cavalcanti)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti (30-27 Cavalcanti)

The Official Result
Jacqueline Cavalcanti def. Mayra Bueno Silva via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)

Angelo picks Joselyne Edwards because she is the much better striker and can piece up Mayra Bueno Silva on the feet. He notes that Mayra is on a three-fight skid and may be desperate for takedowns, but Joselyne's takedown defense should hold up if she avoids naked kicks. He prefers Joselyne to box rather than kick to avoid getting taken down.

"Joselyne is the pick. I think she can keep this standing. Mayra Bueno Silva on a three-fight skid is not a great look."

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 7, 2025 (1 day before fight)

Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Big Brady is not high on Cavalcanti, noting her underwhelming wins and split decisions against lower-level opponents. He acknowledges Bueno Silva's dangerous guard but criticizes her refusal to wrestle offensively. He thinks Cavalcanti will pick apart Bueno Silva at range for 15 minutes, winning a decision, but notes Bueno Silva has a path if she takes the fight to the ground.

decision

"I think Kvaki is going to pick apart Maruenos Silva at range for 15 minutes. Going to be a very underwhelming fight. But yeah, I'm going to go Kavoci. Kakoni by decision."

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

Cody picks Silva as a dog, citing her superior grappling and competition level. He thinks Cavalcanti's wins are over low-level opponents and that Silva can take her down and submit her.

"I'm going to take the underdog here."

Bookie Beatdown

Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)

Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Lucrative James confidently picks Jacqueline Cavalcanti. He notes her cleaner striking, volume, and defensive skills, while Mayra Bueno Silva is on a downslide and has bounced between weight classes. He acknowledges Silva's submission threat but believes Cavalcanti can avoid it and win a decision. He also mentions Silva's recent black belt but doubts it will change the outcome.

"I'm picking Cavalcante via decision in this fight."

Lucrative MMA

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)

Jacqueline Cavalcanti

The host believes Cavalcanti's striking edge will allow her to pick Silva apart from distance, though Silva's aggression could make it close. Ultimately, Cavalcanti should land better shots and win on the scorecards.

"I believe Kavakanti striking edge here should allow her to pick Silva apart from distance, but the aggression of Silva in the striking and grappling game could make this a lot closer than the odds suggest."

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)

Paul is torn, leaning pass. He notes Silva's inconsistency and Cavalcanti's lack of impressive wins, but can't back Cavalcanti at minus 260.

"Dog or pass, CF dot model for me, but I'm leaning more towards a pass."

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)

Jacqueline Cavalcanti

The Guru picks Jacqueline Cavalcanti over Mayra Bueno Silva. He cites Silva's recent losses and inability to bully opponents, while Cavalcanti has shown good striking and range management. He expects a competitive decision, with Cavalcanti outlanding Silva to a 29-28 win.

fight goes to decision

"I'm going to go with Jacqueline Cavalcante at range picking at Mayor Robeno Silva, outlanding her to a 29-28."

THE MMA GURU

LOSS vs Jasmine Jasudavicius

Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · Feb 01, 2025

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Jasmine Jasudavicius	0	56 of 105	53%	164 of 229	3 of 5	60%	0	0	7:11
Mayra Bueno Silva	0	37 of 72	51%	41 of 76	0 of 0	---	1	0	0:00

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Ctrl
1	Jasmine Jasudavicius	14 of 25	56%	35 of 51	1 of 2	50%	0	2:48
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	10 of 18	55%	10 of 18	0 of 0	---	1	0:00
2	Jasmine Jasudavicius	30 of 54	55%	62 of 88	1 of 2	50%	0	1:20
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	21 of 38	55%	24 of 41	0 of 0	---	0	0:00
3	Jasmine Jasudavicius	12 of 26	46%	67 of 90	1 of 1	100%	0	3:03
3	Mayra Bueno Silva	6 of 16	37%	7 of 17	0 of 0	---	0	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Jasmine Jasudavicius	56 of 105	53%	23 of 66	20 of 26	13 of 13	48 of 94	8 of 10	0 of 1
Mayra Bueno Silva	37 of 72	51%	23 of 53	8 of 12	6 of 7	30 of 64	7 of 8	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Jasmine Jasudavicius	14 of 25	56%	5 of 14	5 of 7	4 of 4	13 of 24	1 of 1	0 of 0
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	10 of 18	55%	4 of 10	2 of 3	4 of 5	10 of 18	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Jasmine Jasudavicius	30 of 54	55%	14 of 36	9 of 11	7 of 7	27 of 49	3 of 4	0 of 1
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	21 of 38	55%	15 of 29	4 of 7	2 of 2	15 of 32	6 of 6	0 of 0
3	Jasmine Jasudavicius	12 of 26	46%	4 of 16	6 of 8	2 of 2	8 of 21	4 of 5	0 of 0
3	Mayra Bueno Silva	6 of 16	37%	4 of 14	2 of 2	0 of 0	5 of 14	1 of 2	0 of 0

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius

Round 1
Attention next shifts to the 125-pound weight class, where Bueno Silva (10-4-1, 5-4-1 UFC) awaits Jasudavicius (12-3, 6-2 UFC) in a compelling women’s flyweight affair. Mark Smith officiates. No glove touch. Bueno Silva rushes to the center and stars with a leg kick. Rear-leg front kick to the midsection from the Brazilian. Jasudavicius fires of a two-punch volley and circles off the fence. They trade and separate. Bueno Silva sneaks in a left hook and backs it up with two leg kicks, followed by a one-two. Jasudavicius circles, then secures a takedown. Bueno Silva catches a guillotine. Jasudavicius breaks the grip and sets up in full guard. Two minutes to go. Jasudavicius passes side control and lands in a topside crucifix. Short elbows fall. Bueno Silva frees herself briefly, but the Canadian cuts off her escape and powers into half guard. Bueno Silva mostly neutralizing her from the bottom, but Jasudavicius still manages to sneak in a few shots. Bueno Silva makes a pass at a leg lock as the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicus
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicus

Round 2
Bueno Silve emerges with a significant hematoma above her left eye. They circle one another in the center. One-twos from Jasudavicius. Bueno Silva threatens with a standing guillotine but releases the choke. The Brazilian grabs the Thai clinch and throws a few knees. Nice counter right hand over the top from Jasudavicius. Bueno Silva stalks forward and connects with two vicious left hooks to the body. Now, the Brazilian gets her jab in gear. Powerful one-two from Jasudavicius, followed by a front kick to the body. Midway through the round. Bueno Silva closes the distance and fires elbows from both sides. Right hand over the top from Jasudavicius. The Canadian clinches and lands an elbow on the break. Jasudavicius secures a takedown, scores with shoulder strikes, controls the scramble and scores with ground-and-pound. Bueno Silva hunts a leg lock. No luck. Jasudavicius closes with ground-and-pound.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius

Round 3
Jasudavicius likely enters the final round with a lead. Bueno Silva’s movements labored now. Jasudavicius circles. Bueno Silva cuts loose with a combo and mixes in a nice elbow. The Brazilian stalks, lands another elbow and then eats a few knees. They trade, with neither woman gaining a discernible advantage. Jasudavicius feints a takedown, resets and swoops in four a successful double-leg. Bueno Silva looks discouraged, as the action stalls. Jasudavicius passes to half guard and steps over into full mount. She frames an arm-triangle choke but bails on it. Bueno Silva surrenders her back. Jasudavicius pounding away with punches to the body and head. Back to mount for the Canadian. Jasudavicius stays busy with ground-and-pound and draws a warning for a head butt. Bueno Silva flirts with an armbar, only to eat more punishment before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-27 Jasudavicius)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius (30-26 Jasudavicius)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-27 Jasudavicius)

The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Mayra Bueno Silva—Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 26, 2025 (6 days before fight)

Jasmine Jasudavicius

Angelo picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, citing her wrestling pedigree and ability to control where the fight goes. He acknowledges Mayra Bueno Silva's toughness and dangerous ground game, but notes that Jasudavicius is a much better wrestler. He mentions that public comments overwhelmingly favor Jasudavicius, which has increased his confidence, though he admits he's unsure if that's influencing him.

"Jasmine Jaz divicious is the pick I think she wins I'm more confident now than I was a few weeks ago"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)

Jasmine Jasudavicius

Big Brady believes Jasmine Jasudavicius needs to get the fight to the ground, where she can control Mayra Bueno Silva. He notes Silva has poor takedown defense and doesn't mind being on her back, but is dangerous with submissions. Brady thinks Jasudavicius will be smart on top and win a decision, though Silva could be live for a submission. He predicts a 30-27 Jasudavicius decision.

decision

"Jasmine Jaz divicious by decision I think is the most likely outcome here"

DFS by the Numbers

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)

Jasmine Jasudavicius

Jasudavicius's grappling will be the key to victory, allowing her to grind out a decision. She may also showcase improved striking from her Thailand camp, but her wrestling will bail her out of bad spots.

"I believe the grappling of Jasudavicius will prevail for her here... look for the grappling of Jasudavicius to bail her out of bad spots and that will allow her to grind this fight out and win it on the scorecards."

MMA Lock of the Night

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2025 (4 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

The MMA Guru picks Mayra Bueno Silva as an underdog, noting she has competitive fights with top-level fighters and wins that Jasudavicius could only dream of. He believes Silva's physicality, clinch work, and grappling will be key, and that she will be bigger at flyweight. He also suggests she may miss weight but still win.

"I'm G to go with Mayra Bueno Silva as an underdog... she's a very physical female fighter... I think she will beat jaser vicious"

THE MMA GURU

LOSS vs Macy Chiasson

TKO (doctor stoppage) R2 1:58 · UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · Jun 29, 2024

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Macy Chiasson	0	46 of 59	77%	53 of 66	0 of 4	0%	0	0	1:19
Mayra Bueno Silva	0	50 of 85	58%	64 of 99	1 of 1	100%	0	0	1:48

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Macy Chiasson	42 of 52	80%	47 of 57	0 of 4	0%	0:58
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	37 of 62	59%	50 of 75	0 of 0	---	0:28
2	Macy Chiasson	4 of 7	57%	6 of 9	0 of 0	---	0:21
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	13 of 23	56%	14 of 24	1 of 1	100%	1:20

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Macy Chiasson	46 of 59	77%	24 of 34	20 of 22	2 of 3	21 of 32	23 of 25	2 of 2
Mayra Bueno Silva	50 of 85	58%	27 of 59	13 of 16	10 of 10	22 of 52	18 of 23	10 of 10

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Macy Chiasson	42 of 52	80%	20 of 28	20 of 22	2 of 2	19 of 27	23 of 25	0 of 0
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	37 of 62	59%	21 of 44	13 of 15	3 of 3	19 of 41	18 of 21	0 of 0
2	Macy Chiasson	4 of 7	57%	4 of 6	0 of 0	0 of 1	2 of 5	0 of 0	2 of 2
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	13 of 23	56%	6 of 15	0 of 1	7 of 7	3 of 11	0 of 2	10 of 10

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Macy Chiasson
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bueno Silva (-115), Chiasson (-105)

Round 1
With the 135-pound title picture in flux, the winner of Silva (10-3-1, 1 NC; 5-3-1, 1 NC UFC) and Chiasson (9-3, 7-3 UFC) could be next in line for a shot at gold—although Silva fell short her last time out vying for the title in an exceptionally dull affair. The 32-year-old bantamweights come together to touch gloves to start the fight all while referee Chris Tognoni prepares himself to officiate. Silva maintains the center of the cage while Chiasson strafes on the outside. Chiasson swings too hard with a right hand, resulting in Silva grabbing hold of her and clinching her to land a knee and an elbow. Chiasson separates and reaches out with a left hook, and on a second effort she misses with the same strike as a body kick belts her in the ribs. Silva kicks the front leg, sticks out a right hand and evades a counter. Silva plants the ball of her foot on Chiasson’s chest, fires a head kick off from the other leg and punches her way into the clinch. When up close and personal, the Brazilian strikes with an elbow, and Chiasson answers her with one of her own. Silva breaks out of the tie-up after absorbing this strike, and she misses a body kick and keeps turning to slap Chiasson in the face with a wheel kick. Chiasson scores a front kick and a low kick, and she keeps her guard up to defend a head kick. Silva works the body with several punches and knees, and she pulls Chiasson down to knee her in the face a few times. Chiasson defends from a takedown and walks to the fence, and she uses body shots in close range with several uppercuts. Silva tries to go after the trip, and Chiasson stifles it and takes a few knees to the midsection. Silva gets off an elbow, and Chiasson rips the body and goes up high in a flurry. Silva backs herself up against the cage wall, and the two end up back in the clinch trading body blows. Chiasson lines up several knees to the body, and Silva pushes away and tags Chiasson with a right hand. Silva uses the opportunity to shoot for a double, and Chiasson sprawls against the wall but is tripped to a knee for a second. Chiasson springboards back up and presses Silva against the wire until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Silva

Round 2
The ladies clap hands, and Chiasson is ready to party and starts trading strikes. Head shots lead to other punches to the body and kicks, and she decides to take the fight down to the ground and succeeds. One single elbow from Chiasson slices a massive cut open above Silva’s right eyebrow. Chiasson stays tightly pressed to her opponent, and Silva throws her legs up in pursuit of an armbar. Chiasson remains stacked up on top until Silva abandons it, and Silva kicks her off of her. Chiasson stands and whips low kicks at the thigh from both sides, while Silva lays on her back with her hands behind her head bicycling upkicks. Chiasson decides to let Silva up, and Tognoni calls time to bring in the physician to observe the monstrous cut above her eyebrow. This appears to be a fight-ending cut, nearly two inches wide from one to the other. The doctor tells Tognoni the cut is extremely deep and that the blood will pour into her eye, and it already has as Silva’s face is covered with blood. Tognoni waves the fight off, and Silva is incensed, to the point that she climbs out of the cage and tries to plead her case to UFC head Dana White. He and others around him back away as she is leaking all over the place, and White tells her she needs to go see the doctor and get patched up. No matter her cries, this is a legitimate stoppage and way to win the fight—the head wound is no joke, much like the headliner of PFL last night.

The Official Result
Macy Chiasson def. Mayra Bueno Silva R2 1:58 via TKO (Doctor Stoppage)

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Macy Chiasson

Cody picks Chiasson, citing her size, wrestling, and cardio advantages. He notes that Bueno Silva has poor takedown defense and cardio issues, and that Chiasson has consistently scored takedowns against tough opponents. Cody believes Chiasson will use her clinch work and wrestling to wear on Bueno Silva, and that she can win a decision or possibly get a submission. He also mentions that Bueno Silva's best wins are over lower-tier competition and that she failed a drug test.

"I'll take Macy Chiasson to again probably a close competitive first round... she may get taken down herself but it's all about using that strength and physicality."

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Macy Chiasson

Daniel Vreeland picks Macy Chiasson because she has looked better recently, rounding out her game and improving her takedown defense. He notes that Chiasson is a better striker than Bueno Silva and has a significant reach advantage (six inches). Vreeland believes Bueno Silva's only path to victory is grinding, but Chiasson has the skills to stuff takedowns and keep the fight standing. He also cites Bueno Silva's poor gas tank in her last fight against Raquel Pennington as a concern.

"I'm going to go with Macy Shon... she's looked a lot better as of late... she seems to be really working on her takedown defense... she's always been a better Striker than my rib bua silda."

MMA Gambling Podcast

Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

Daniel believes Bueno Silva has championship potential, citing her power, calf kicks, and opportunistic submissions. He notes that her loss to Pennington came when she was sick and had a busted eardrum. He views Chiasson as having physical attributes but being flaky and prone to mistakes under pressure. He thinks Bueno Silva is meaner, more athletic, and has a higher trajectory.

"I'm going Mya... I think she's meaner I think she's more athletic and I think she's got a higher trajectory I think she can be a champion."

Half the Battle

Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Macy Chiasson

Jeff Fox picks Macy Chiasson, echoing Vreeland's reasoning. He notes that Bueno Silva did not look good in her last fight and has gas tank concerns. Fox points out that Chiasson is way bigger, a better striker, and has improved her grappling. He also mentions that Chiasson's coach will keep her focused.

"I like the Macy chaon as well... buo Silva did not look good in her last fight... way bigger better Striker and as you said she's bringing better at her grappling."

MMA Gambling Podcast

Lucrative James Expert picked Jun 26, 2024 (3 days before fight)

The host does not discuss this fight at all in the transcript. The entire podcast is focused on the Conor McGregor vs Michael Chandler fight, which is not on the provided fight card. Therefore, no pick is made for this fight.

Lucrative MMA

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 25, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Macy Chiasson

The host leans Chiasson, citing her strength and ability to grind on Bueno Silva. He notes Bueno Silva is dangerous with submissions off her back early, but if Chiasson can control her against the cage for the first 6-7 minutes and then take her down, she will have success. He mentions the line has moved from +180 to nearly pick'em, indicating confidence in Chiasson.

Chiasson by decision

"I'm going to lean kiasan here and I think it's going to be her ability to just body and and and grind on Bueno Silva."

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 26, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

Paul picks Bueno Silva by submission, noting that her submission grappling is her biggest weapon. He acknowledges that Chiasson is bigger and has better wrestling, but believes Bueno Silva can catch her in a submission if the fight goes to the ground. Paul points out that Bueno Silva has a history of pulling off submissions from seemingly losing positions, and that the plus-370 odds for her by submission offer value.

by submission +370

"I found a couple of my books they got plus 370 on Bueno Silva by sub... I feel like that is the play."

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 25, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Macy Chiasson

The Guru picks Macy Chiasson as an underdog over Mayra Bueno Silva. He notes Chiasson's size and reach advantage, and that Bueno Silva looked terrible in her last fight. He believes Chiasson can muscle her around and out-hustle her. He also mentions Chiasson's flexibility in submissions and her competitive fight against Norma Dumont.

"I'm going to go with Macy chasson... she's a lot than Mayra buo Silva"

THE MMA GURU

LOSS vs Raquel Pennington

Decision (unanimous) (49–46, 49–46, 49–45) R5 5:00 · UFC 297: Strickland vs. du Plessis · Jan 20, 2024

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Raquel Pennington	0	134 of 201	66%	265 of 342	1 of 3	33%	2	2	11:28
Mayra Bueno Silva	0	69 of 88	78%	96 of 118	3 of 9	33%	3	0	8:58

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Raquel Pennington	11 of 22	50%	26 of 39	0 of 2	0%	0	0	0:16
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	18 of 22	81%	27 of 31	2 of 2	100%	0	0	3:20
2	Raquel Pennington	33 of 52	63%	47 of 66	0 of 0	---	0	1	1:04
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	20 of 30	66%	29 of 41	0 of 1	0%	1	0	2:46
3	Raquel Pennington	27 of 43	62%	52 of 68	1 of 1	100%	0	0	2:32
3	Mayra Bueno Silva	17 of 20	85%	20 of 23	0 of 2	0%	1	0	1:35
4	Raquel Pennington	29 of 38	76%	75 of 86	0 of 0	---	0	1	3:17
4	Mayra Bueno Silva	7 of 8	87%	8 of 10	1 of 2	50%	1	0	1:11
5	Raquel Pennington	34 of 46	73%	65 of 83	0 of 0	---	2	0	4:19
5	Mayra Bueno Silva	7 of 8	87%	12 of 13	0 of 2	0%	0	0	0:06

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Raquel Pennington	134 of 201	66%	91 of 156	32 of 34	11 of 11	54 of 110	38 of 43	42 of 48
Mayra Bueno Silva	69 of 88	78%	32 of 44	26 of 30	11 of 14	28 of 45	38 of 40	3 of 3

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Raquel Pennington	11 of 22	50%	7 of 18	4 of 4	0 of 0	9 of 19	2 of 3	0 of 0
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	18 of 22	81%	11 of 13	4 of 5	3 of 4	7 of 11	10 of 10	1 of 1
2	Raquel Pennington	33 of 52	63%	29 of 47	4 of 5	0 of 0	23 of 40	10 of 12	0 of 0
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	20 of 30	66%	7 of 14	10 of 11	3 of 5	7 of 16	12 of 13	1 of 1
3	Raquel Pennington	27 of 43	62%	13 of 28	12 of 13	2 of 2	9 of 23	14 of 16	4 of 4
3	Mayra Bueno Silva	17 of 20	85%	6 of 8	9 of 10	2 of 2	4 of 6	13 of 14	0 of 0
4	Raquel Pennington	29 of 38	76%	22 of 31	7 of 7	0 of 0	5 of 11	5 of 5	19 of 22
4	Mayra Bueno Silva	7 of 8	87%	3 of 3	3 of 4	1 of 1	4 of 5	3 of 3	0 of 0
5	Raquel Pennington	34 of 46	73%	20 of 32	5 of 5	9 of 9	8 of 17	7 of 7	19 of 22
5	Mayra Bueno Silva	7 of 8	87%	5 of 6	0 of 0	2 of 2	6 of 7	0 of 0	1 of 1

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

UFC Women’s Bantamweight Title Fight: Raquel Pennington vs. Mayra Bueno Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bueno Silva (-170), Pennington (+142)

Round 1
The post-Amanda Nunes era at bantamweight truly begins, as eternal contender Pennington and the red-hot Bueno Silva meet to contest the belt vacated last year by the “Lioness,” who in a nice touch by the UFC is in attendance cageside with her family. Canada’s own Jerin Valel draws the referee assignment for this five-round title fight. Both fighters are in orthodox stance to open the fight. Bueno Silva throws a leg kick that glances, and Pennington rushes forward with a flurry of punches, backing the Brazilian up. Bueno Silva touches Pennington’s lead leg with a solid low kick. They engage again, and Pennington grabs hold of Bueno Silva and shoves her to the fence. Bueno Silva clasps her arms as Pennington throws a few short strikes. Bueno Silva breaks the clinch, and lands another hard calf kick. Pennington grabs a single-leg and tries to take Bueno Silva down, but Bueno Silva defends easily. Pennington goes for another quick single moments later, and they move to the fence. Bueno Silva takes Pennington’s back as she drags her to the canvas and quickly locks up a choke. Pennington fights the hands expertly, standing as she does so. Pennington breaks the grip to the point that she feels safe throwing elbow strikes to the thigh of Bueno Silva. Bueno Silva gives up on the choke and briefly loses back control as Pennington scrapes her against the chain-link, but hops back on her back and pulls her to a sitting position against the fence. She throws strikes from seated back control until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Bueno Silva
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Bueno Silva
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Bueno Silva

Round 2
Pennington comes forward with a triple jab, backing Bueno Silva up and dodging the first calf kick that comes her way. Bueno Silva throws another calf kick, backing Pennington to the fence as she does so, then uses underhooks to keep her there. Pennington throws knee up the middle, then another, and switches her hooks to reverse Bueno Silva against the fence. She lets Bueno Silva off the fence and tags her with three punches as she does so. Bueno Silva comes back with a single counter, but it’s a solid one. Bueno Silva clinches and puts Pennington back on the fence. They exchange knee strikes in close quarters. Bueno Silva tags Pennington with a pair of uppercuts to the body, and Pennington comes back across the top with a big punch to the head that rocks her. They get a little space and Pennington hits her with two more good shots to the head. Bueno Silva is hurt and goes staggering back to the fence. Pennington gives chase but ends up clinching, without enough space to follow up with more big shots. They disengage and fight a running battle all the way back across the cage, where Bueno Silva takes Pennington’s back once again and tries for the rear-naked choke. Pennington calmly defends, but again she is standing with Bueno Silva in back control. Bueno Silva loses the choke moments before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Pennington
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Pennington
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Pennington

Round 3
Pennington scores first with a long overhand right. Bueno Silva lands two good right low kicks in succession. Pennington clinches and runs Bueno Silva to the fence, where the Brazilian promptly reverses her. Bueno Silva pushes her into the chain-link, looking to move to her back, but Pennington defends well and throws a knee to the body. Pennington takes the outside position. Bueno Silva uses a whizzer kick to toss Pennington to the ground, but Pennington kicks her off and sweeps to stand. Halfway through the round it’s Pennington driving Bueno Silva into the cage. Bueno Silva throws a knee to the body then reverses Pennington into the fence. The two would-be champs spend several long moments exchanging sporadic knees on the inside. Bueno Silva grabs a front headlock and briefly threatens, but Pennington escapes and tosses her to the canvas, ending up on top in half guard with an arm around the neck. Pennington gets up and Bueno Silva stays on the ground, suddenly looking very tired. She seems to want Pennington to go back into her guard, but Pennington is having none of it and Valel waves her up. The round expires a few moments later.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Pennington
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Pennington
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Pennington

Round 4
Pennington steps right in a smashes Bueno Silva with a right overhand. She throws another pair of punches as Bueno Silva comes forward, looking for the clinch. Pennington quickly reverses her against the cage, but elects to stay there, throwing short punches—rather than disengage as her corner is loudly imploring her to do. Bueno Silva moves to try and take Pennington’s back against the cage. Pennington defends for a moment, but Bueno Silva persists and gets the position, then slaps on another rear-naked choke. It isn’t completely under the chin, and Pennington is turning red as she fights it off. She shrugs Bueno Silva partway off her back, but Bueno Silva continues to threaten with the choke even from the side. Finally, Pennington spins all the way into Bueno Silva’s guard at the base of the fence. She throws strikes as Bueno Silva throws her legs up for a possible triangle or armbar, but none of them are enough to really threaten, and Pennington keeps pouring on the punches and hammerfists. At the 30-second mark, Pennington postures up and comes down with a big hammerfist that draws a reaction from the Brazilian. The round ends a moment later, and Bueno Silva is slow to get up.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Pennington
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Pennington
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Pennington

Round 5
Pennington is first off the blocks with a left and right hook. Bueno Silva swings back, advancing as she does so. Pennington seems motivated to deny her the clinch, especially against the cage, but Bueno Silva manages to get her there anyway. Bueno Silva tries for some kind of body lock, but bails on it and goes for a kneebar on her way down. There’s nothing doing there, and Pennington lands on top, sliding to mount as she locks up an arm-triangle choke. Bueno Silva is surviving just fine, as Pennington is in complete control of the position but apparently can’t get enough torque to finish the choke. Pennington moves out to one side without completely surrendering the mount, and Bueno Silva is slowly turning away from her. A minute and a half to go, and Pennington gives up the choke, settling in Bueno Silva’s half guard. Pennington pours on the punches as Bueno Silva clings to her, eyes closed, just hanging on. Valel looks on and Pennington stands out of guard, throwing kicks to the legs of her supine foe. Pennington dives in with a couple of big, but glancing punches right before the final horn. Barring a historically horrible judging gaffe, “Rocky” should be your new UFC women's bantamweight champion in about two minutes here.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Pennington (49-45 Pennington)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Pennington (49-46 Pennington)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Pennington (49-46 Pennington)

The Official Result
Raquel Pennington def. Mayra Bueno Silva via Unanimous Decision (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)

Raquel Pennington

Angelo picks Pennington, citing her experience, pressure, and control style. He acknowledges Bueno Silva's power and submissions but believes Pennington's grit and high-level experience will prevail. He has a quarter unit on Pennington at plus 135 and will monitor for better value. He notes the potential distraction of Pennington's eight-month-old baby.

Quarter unit bet at +135; may add more if value improves

"I'm going to go rockel Pennington she is the pick"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

Big Brady picks Silva, noting her submission skills are top-notch. He expects the fight to hit the mat at some point, where Silva will have the advantage. He thinks the striking will be close but Silva's forward pressure and durability will be key. He predicts a submission win for Silva.

submission

"give me Silva to win this fight and I guess she's going to become bantamweight champion"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

Cody picks Bueno Silva but is not confident, citing her submission threat and the fact that Pennington fights in the clinch where Silva caught Holly Holm. However, he worries about Silva's cardio and the lack of her ADHD medication (ritalinic acid) in a five-round fight. He sees Pennington as a live underdog but ultimately goes with Silva.

"I got Mayra Bueno Silva but there's a whole lot of red flags... the pick's going to be Bueno Silva."

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

Vreeland picks Bueno Silva, analyzing her striking success against Holly Holm. He notes that Silva found the range against Holm and landed impactful strikes. He contrasts Pennington's lack of range kicks and long fighting style, which should allow Silva to close distance. Vreeland also mentions Silva's submission threat if Pennington shoots takedowns. He sees Silva overwhelming Pennington on the feet.

"I'm gonna go marro Buena Silva I think if you watch her fight with Holly Holm she was actually having some success in the Striking in finding the range of Holly Holm who's you know notoriously kind of hard to …"

MMA Gambling Podcast

Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

Daniel Vreeland picks Mayra Bueno Silva to become the new bantamweight champion. He highlights her heavy power, devastating leg kicks, and finishing instinct, including the ninja choke. He expects her calf kicks to be effective against Pennington's stationary boxing style, and believes she will land the harder shots throughout the fight, possibly finishing or winning a decision.

"I'm picking maira Shara Bueno Silva to become the new UFC bantamweight champion"

Half the Battle

Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

Fox picks Bueno Silva as the better fighter, but acknowledges Pennington's tendency to win. He notes Pennington's year-long layoff as a concern. Fox doesn't provide detailed technical analysis but defers to Silva's overall skill advantage.

"I'm taking Myra buo Silva as well just a better Fighter um it's hard though Pennington somehow she wins gumy she always wins so I can that could very easily happen here again but I think I'm going to take …"

MMA Gambling Podcast

Lucrative James Expert picked Feb 6, 2025 (fight day)

This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host only covers the main event, co-main event (Weili Zhang vs Tatiana Suarez), and other fights, but not Pennington vs Bueno Silva.

Lucrative MMA

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

I'm leaning on Bueno Silva to win inside the distance, likely by submission. Pennington could be the busier fighter and win rounds with volume, but Bueno Silva has a finish-heavy style that can break and frustrate Pennington. I think Bueno Silva lands a shot that opens up a clinch and sub opportunity. I'm not taking the moneyline at -155; I prefer the inside distance prop. I'd be very surprised if Pennington finishes Bueno Silva.

inside distance, submission victory

"I'm going to say Bueno Sila inside the distance that will likely end up being a bet too but I think she wins this fight"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Raquel Pennington

Paul picks Pennington, emphasizing her experience in five-round fights, superior cardio, and wrestling. He notes Bueno Silva's submission threat but believes Pennington can avoid submissions and take over in later rounds. He also jokes about Silva missing her ADHD medication affecting her focus.

"I'm going to enact the CF dot model for this one... it's Pennington for me."

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

The MMA Guru picks Mayra Bueno Silva, citing her higher finishing potential and submission ability. He notes her win over Holly Holm (though overturned) and her competitive fight with Manon Fiorot. He believes she will submit Pennington with a knee bar in round two.

submission via knee bar, round 2

"I'm going with Maya Bueno Silva over Raquel Pennington I think her finishing potential is just way higher than Raquel Pennington"

THE MMA GURU

LOSS vs Holly Holm

No Contest (overturned) R2 0:38 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · Jul 15, 2023

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Holly Holm	0	27 of 39	69%	50 of 70	0 of 1	0%	0	0	3:05
Mayra Bueno Silva	0	20 of 37	54%	31 of 50	0 of 0	---	1	0	0:00

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Ctrl
1	Holly Holm	26 of 38	68%	49 of 69	0 of 1	0%	0	2:42
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	19 of 33	57%	30 of 46	0 of 0	---	0	0:00
2	Holly Holm	1 of 1	100%	1 of 1	0 of 0	---	0	0:23
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	1 of 4	25%	1 of 4	0 of 0	---	1	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Holly Holm	27 of 39	69%	15 of 24	10 of 12	2 of 3	21 of 31	6 of 8	0 of 0
Mayra Bueno Silva	20 of 37	54%	9 of 21	7 of 10	4 of 6	13 of 28	7 of 9	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Holly Holm	26 of 38	68%	15 of 24	9 of 11	2 of 3	20 of 30	6 of 8	0 of 0
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	19 of 33	57%	8 of 17	7 of 10	4 of 6	12 of 24	7 of 9	0 of 0
2	Holly Holm	1 of 1	100%	0 of 0	1 of 1	0 of 0	1 of 1	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	1 of 4	25%	1 of 4	0 of 0	0 of 0	1 of 4	0 of 0	0 of 0

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Holly Holm vs. Mayra Bueno Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Holm (-170), Bueno Silva (+145)

Round 1
Likely the lone fight on the card with immediate championship implications, former champ Holm (15-6, 8-6 UFC) will look to send a message to the matchmakers that she is still at the top of her game at 41 years of age. Silva (10-2-1, 5-2-1 UFC), 10 years younger, is gunning for an upset, with upwards of five rounds to do just that. Needing no further introduction, referee Keith Peterson prepares for the bantamweight main attraction, one that opens up with a quick tap of gloves and not a lick of nonsense. Silva advances slowly, and Holm races at her and throws punches to back her away. Silva kicks the lead calf twice, and Holm gives her a scare with a head kick. Holm is moving quickly on the outside, and she sticks Silva twice with right hands before changing levels for a single. Silva stands up and elbows her foe in the face, leading Holm to let it go and squeeze against her in the clinch. They trade short knees on the inside to little effect, and Holm settles down to impose her weight and will. Holm pushes off and gets away without a strike on the break, and she lifts her leg up to check a body kick. Holm moves quickly to get Silva’s attention with a few punches, and she is out of the way before a counter finds its mark. Holm uses her momentum to clinch Silva up again. When they stall out, Holm times an elbow to break away, and she separates to back off only to lunge forward with a few punches. Silva wings an elbow that slams into Holm’s temple, and Holm has to shake it off and retreat. Silva chases with a few punches, and Holm kicks her way out of a clinch and starts working the body with her feet. Silva comes up short on a front kick, and Holm bounces around before Silva comes towards her. Holm dodges a spinning strike, and she takes a left on the chin and a subsequent right hand to stun Holm. The former champ shoots in for a double after getting her bell rung, and the Brazilian keeps her back to the cage wall and even lifts up a knee to hit Holm during the takedown. Silva motions to Peterson to get between them, but the round ends with Holm hanging on tight.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Holm
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Holm
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Holm

Round 2
Holm paces back and forth in her corner before they start fighting again, and Silva takes the center of the cage and gets kicked in the midsection on the way in. Cutting Holm off, Silva pops Holm with a right hook. The former kickboxer moves forward to clinch, and Silva slides her arm under the chin with her back leaned against the wall.
As Holm leans over for a potential takedown, Silva connects her arm to set up a ninja choke that is a modified, dangerous guillotine choke. Holm wriggles but is shocked at this situation, as she is trapped and cannot come up with a way to get out of the bad spot. “Sheetara” leans forward to press her chest down and put more pressure on the neck and submission grip, and she knows she has set the hook. Before she goes out, Holm frantically taps out on the side of her opponent.
Peterson rushes to the other side to see if there had been a tap, and Silva releases the grip before Peterson is able to get between them and separate them. This is a massive feather in the cap for the Brazilian, who is only the second fighter to ever submit Holm – and the first, Miesha Tate, did so to win the bantamweight title. The victorious Silva is the only betting underdog to have pulled off a win tonight, and she made a real statement and stamped herself as an instant contender for the champ-less division. In her post-fight interview, Silva speaks about her mental health issues, thanking those that helped her through the worst days that are behind her. Calling for a title shot, it could be entirely possible that “Sheetara” punched her ticket for that opportunity, as the line of contenders is hardly a determined one. If she gets the next crack at the 135-pound title, we will be here for it. We hope you are too.

The Official Result
Mayra Bueno Silva def. Holly Holm R2 0:38 via Submission (Ninja Choke)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)

Holly Holm

Angelo is confident in Holly Holm, calling her the more technical striker with better takedown defense and offense. He notes Silva's losses have come via wrestling, and Holly can do the same. He thinks Holly can hold Silva against the cage, get takedowns, and avoid submissions. He placed a one-unit moneyline bet at minus 160. He disagrees with a DM suggesting Silva should be the favorite, stating Holly has earned the right to be favored.

one unit moneyline bet at -160

"Holly Holm confident pick and I have that one unit moneyline bet on her"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Holly Holm

Big Brady picks Holly Holm but with hesitation, as he sees two clear outcomes: Holm dominating on the feet or Bueno Silva catching an armbar. He notes Holm is 41 but still looks good, and if she fights smart and keeps it standing, she should cruise. However, he worries Holm might take Bueno Silva down and get submitted. He is not betting this fight due to the risk.

Not betting this fight

"I'm gonna take Holly home here but I could 100 see a scenario where Holly Holm takes down Bueno Silva and gets like armbarred and I'm extremely annoyed because I bet holy home but luckily I'm I'm not betting this …"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Holly Holm

Cody picks Holly Holm, comparing her to a Rolex watch that keeps going. He highlights her high ring IQ, ability to adapt, and wrestling improvements. He notes Silva's takedown defense issues and that Holm can mix in takedowns. He expects Holm to Matador from the outside, mix in takedowns, and win a decision, possibly winning championship rounds.

"I gotta go with Holly Holm as well minus 180 women's MMA again... she's like a Rolex watch man she just keeps going"

Bookie Beatdown

Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

James is leaning towards Mayra Bueno Silva as an underdog. He notes that Holly Holm is 41 years old and may be declining, while Bueno Silva has strong submission skills and finishing ability. He mentions that many respected bettors are on Holm, but he is skeptical of her grappling and thinks Bueno Silva could submit her. He plans to watch more tape but is leaning towards the dog side.

submission finish

"I do think that Buena Silva has some submission upside that Holly Holm maybe hasn't seen before"

Lucrative MMA

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)

Holly Holm

The host believes Holm's veteran savvy and clinch-heavy approach will keep her safe from Bueno Silva's submissions. He expects Holm to mix striking, clinch, and grappling to cruise to a decision win. He notes Bueno Silva's lack of urgency and low volume as weaknesses.

"I think she wins by decision"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Holly Holm

Paul picks Holly Holm, citing her technical striking, experience, and ability to win at range. He expects a slow, tepid fight with Holm winning a decision, similar to the Vieira fight. He notes the line moved from -145 to -180, so he missed his betting window. He also mentions the PrizePicks over 90.5 significant strikes is tight and won't play it.

mentioned over 90.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks but won't play it

"I think experience wins out here she can win with volume on the feet... I expect a slow tepid Affair 25 minutes and home gets her hand raised"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)

Holly Holm

The MMA Guru picks Holly Holm over Mayra Bueno Silva, noting Holm's activity, athleticism, and ability to control fights against the cage. He questions Silva's cardio for a five-round fight and doubts her submission threat, believing Holm can dictate where the fight takes place. He predicts Holm wins by decision or late stoppage.

"I'm gonna go with Holly Holm confident in her I think mayor Bueno Silva's dangerous but I don't think she's dangerous enough on the feet"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Lina Länsberg

Submission (kneebar) R2 4:45 · UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · Feb 18, 2023

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Mayra Bueno Silva	0	25 of 50	50%	40 of 72	0 of 0	---	0	1	0:21
Lina Länsberg	0	39 of 69	56%	58 of 90	2 of 3	66%	1	0	5:09

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	17 of 36	47%	27 of 52	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:10
1	Lina Länsberg	24 of 47	51%	31 of 55	1 of 2	50%	0	0	1:16
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	8 of 14	57%	13 of 20	0 of 0	---	0	1	0:11
2	Lina Länsberg	15 of 22	68%	27 of 35	1 of 1	100%	1	0	3:53

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Mayra Bueno Silva	25 of 50	50%	16 of 41	7 of 7	2 of 2	18 of 43	7 of 7	0 of 0
Lina Länsberg	39 of 69	56%	13 of 38	17 of 20	9 of 11	21 of 47	11 of 13	7 of 9

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	17 of 36	47%	10 of 29	5 of 5	2 of 2	12 of 31	5 of 5	0 of 0
1	Lina Länsberg	24 of 47	51%	3 of 21	14 of 17	7 of 9	16 of 36	8 of 9	0 of 2
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	8 of 14	57%	6 of 12	2 of 2	0 of 0	6 of 12	2 of 2	0 of 0
2	Lina Länsberg	15 of 22	68%	10 of 17	3 of 3	2 of 2	5 of 11	3 of 4	7 of 7

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Lina Lansberg
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-435), Lansberg (+350)

Round 1
The only fighters tonight holding a ranked spot on the roster are the four women competing. Before the big-time main event, two bantamweights on the outer edge of the top 15 will look to maintain or improve that number. Lansberg (10-7, 4-6 UFC), at the age of 40 and on a three-fight skid dating back to 2020, has her back against the wall. Meanwhile, Silva (9-2-1, 4-2-1 UFC) has gotten her hand raised both times in 2022 with plenty of momentum on her side, and a potential passing of the torch moment might be coming soon. The ladies will be joined by referee Jacob Montalvo, who clocks them in right before they bump fists. Lansberg reaches her hands out to hand-fight, and Silva leads off with a low kick. Lansberg, with her fingers outstretched, jab straight into the Brazilian’s right eye, and we have a pause about 15 seconds into the match. Silva blinks it out and is good to go before long, and they resume. Lansberg scores a jab, and Silva flails back with punches and spins with a back kick to the liver. Lansberg wears it well but is backed against the cage, and Silva is on top of her landing strikes to the head and body before disengaging. They go back to hand-fighting before Silva plods forward with two body kicks. Lansberg looks to get off a standing elbow up close, but Silva stops it and kicks her in the calf and then ribs. A punch from Silva forces Lansberg to ricochet off the fencing, and they clinch up to allow Lansberg to rip an elbow over the top. Silva breaks off and lets fly with a barrage of leg kicks and follow-up shins to the liver area. Silva stabs her toes to the body with a subsequent kick, and Lansberg takes it flush and walks her down to clinch up and strike up close. Silva is the one that gets off elbows on the inside, and not “Elbow Queen,” as she mixes in knees before they separate. Lansberg looks to search for the clinch again, and she scores a few knees and uppercuts before Silva unloads with a knee to the body to get her to break up. Silva spins with another back kick to the body, and Lansberg ties her up and knees the ribs. Silva spins her around up against the wire, and they trade knees one after the other. Silva changes levels in search of a single-leg takedown, and the Swede sprawls and gets her legs tripped up briefly. Silva muscles Lansberg down to the mat, dropping the 40-year-old right on her face. Silva moves to half guard as Lansberg winds up on her back, and she slashes down with a quick elbow. Silva fights off a sweep attempt and hacks down with another elbow before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Silva

Round 2
The second round begins with a sharp striking exchange, with Lansberg pushing the pace early and winging elbows when clinching up. Silva pushes her away and pounds the calf with kicks, marking up an already welted lead wheel for the Swede. As Lansberg recklessly pushes forward to initiate some sort of offense, Silva uses her foe’s momentum against her and trips her to the ground. The Brazilian hits the mat in half guard from above, and she uses her shoulder to press down on Lansberg’s chin. Silva slowly works her way to attempt a guard pass, preferring position over submission or damage. Lansberg protects her mug from any ground strikes, but she is being wholly controlled on bottom. Silva shifts to three-quarter mount and happily takes the back when Lansberg scrambles, sliding both hooks in instinctively. Lansberg hand-fights to protect her neck from a submission, and Silva drops down a pair of elbows to the side of the head. Silva softens Lansberg up with strikes, and she pulls back to resume the back control with her hooks in. The Brazilian cinches up a body triangle, and Lansberg keeps a tight grip on Silva’s left arm beneath her armpit. Silva elbows her foe repeatedly until she forces a scramble, and Lansberg scrambles to get out of an armbar setup that develops in a hurry. Lansberg keeps moving and stands up, but instead of forcing Silva to stand back up, she decides to dive back in the fire and claim top position.
“Sheetara” welcomes this, as she finds that Lansberg landed on the mat in such a position that she can grab hold of the foot and torque it to straight the leg out. Silva locks up a kneebar, and before it hyperextends and the tendons shred like a chuck roast in a crock pot, Lansberg taps out on her opponent’s hip.
In the blink of an eye, Silva now finds herself on a three-fight win streak with two submissions in that run, and she calls for a top contender like Raquel Pennington, Miesha Tate or Julianna Pena next to get a crack at gold.

The Official Result
Mayra Bueno Silva def. Lina Lansberg R2 4:45 via Submission (Kneebar)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

Angelo is confident in Bueno Silva but acknowledges the matchup is tricky. He notes Bueno Silva has zero takedowns in the UFC despite four submission wins, relying on pulling guard or submissions from bottom. Länsberg is a world champion Muay Thai striker who can't defend takedowns, but Bueno Silva may struggle to get the fight to the ground. Angelo still expects Bueno Silva to win, likely by submission, but admits Länsberg could win if she keeps it standing.

"Meyer Buena Silva is going to win this fight she's my pick I'm very I'm pretty confident in that."

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

Big Brady notes that Bueno Silva has incredible grappling but never initiates takedowns (0-for-1 in UFC). He thinks the fight will stay on the feet, where Länsberg has power and has been competitive as a dog. He still picks Bueno Silva to win by decision, but warns against the -425 line.

Bueno Silva by decision

"give me more Bueno Silva to win give me Mario Bueno Silva to Myra buenos Silva to win by decision"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

Cody picks Bueno Silva but is not confident at -500. He notes she is very slow and plotted, with zero percent takedown accuracy in the UFC. Her best attribute is the armbar, but she has no wrestling to set it up. He says if she can't take Länsberg down, it becomes a striking battle where Länsberg is effective in the clinch. However, Länsberg is 40 and doesn't have the cardio to keep pace. He thinks the fight likely goes to decision and warns that holding a -500 ticket in women's MMA is risky due to judging.

Cody mentions the over/under: fight goes to decision is minus 125. He says Bueno Silva's first-round submission win over Edgar is cooked into the line. He thinks the fight will be closer than -500 indicates.

"I think Mary Buena Silva wins but at minus 500 I don't feel great about it and there's certain issues that I do have pertaining to this matchup."

Bookie Beatdown

Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

Connor agrees with Zane, calling it a physicality pick. He notes that Länsberg has been outmuscled by less athletic fighters like Pannie Kianzad, and that she lacks a functional game against stronger opponents. He also points out that Länsberg is trying to change her style at age 40, which is unlikely to succeed. Connor feels bad for Länsberg but sees Silva as the clear winner.

"Yeah, I'm with you. And I really don't have a lot to add. It's mostly a physicality pick."

MMA Vivisection

Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

Jacob agrees with Bueno Silva but thinks the fight could be closer than expected. He notes Länsberg wants to clinch and hold against the cage, and Bueno Silva is also a Muay Thai striker who doesn't mind clinch positions. Jacob emphasizes Bueno Silva needs to use trips and judo to get the fight to the ground, where her Jiu-Jitsu dominates. He believes if she can do that, she finishes the fight.

"I love my buenosova... she needs to win those clinch exchanges happen she needs to have trips and Judo ready."

We Want Picks

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

Bueno Silva has youth, speed, and power advantages, and her striking should overwhelm the aging Länsberg. Länsberg is on the decline and has been outworked in recent fights. Expect Bueno Silva to land a big shot and finish via submission (club and sub) in the second round.

under 2.5 rounds; Silva wins by submission in round 2

"I lean the under two and a half more than I do the chalky Silva price tag... Silva via club and sub probably second round."

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

Paul picks Bueno Silva but says minus 500 doesn't get him out of bed. He thinks the most interesting part is the over/under, noting Länsberg is durable and the fight likely goes to decision. He says the first-round finish against Edgar is cooked into the line. He plans to bet the fight goes to decision at minus 125. He calls Bueno Silva the pick but won't lay the heavy chalk.

Paul bets half a unit on fight goes to decision at -125. He says Länsberg is durable and slow-plodding, and Bueno Silva's takedown accuracy is zero percent.

"I'll be picking maribueno Silva Landsberg is kind of like a Sitting Duck... I think there is an opportunity to make some money on fico's the decision."

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

The MMA Guru confidently picks Mayra Bueno Silva, calling Lina Länsberg a middle-aged mom who hasn't finished anyone in years. He praises Silva's forward pressure, good chin, and recent performance against Manon Fiorot. He predicts Silva will beat Länsberg on the feet, leading to a panic takedown attempt from Länsberg, and Silva will latch on a submission from the bottom, likely an armbar or triangle in the first two rounds.

submission in the first two rounds, armbar from on bottom

"I'm gonna trust in her this time definitely maraboyno Silva is going to push forward beat up Lena Landsberg on the feet"

THE MMA GURU

Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

Zane notes that Länsberg is 40 years old on a three-fight losing streak and has tried to change her style but hasn't succeeded. He describes Silva as a hard-hitting opportunist who knows how to implement her game, even if her technique is rough. He believes Länsberg lacks the physicality and technical skill to stop Silva from imposing her will, and that Silva's aggression and submission threats will be too much. Zane also mentions that Länsberg's attempts to become an out-fighter have not worked, and she is likely to be bullied.

"So I got to take part of this over here."

MMA Vivisection

WIN vs Stephanie Egger

Submission (armbar) R1 1:17 · UFC on ESPN: Santos vs. Hill · Aug 06, 2022

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Mayra Bueno Silva	0	4 of 4	100%	4 of 4	0 of 0	---	1	0	0:00
Stephanie Egger	0	8 of 13	61%	12 of 17	1 of 1	100%	0	0	0:44

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	0	4 of 4	100%	4 of 4	0 of 0	---	1	0	0:00
1	Stephanie Egger	0	8 of 13	61%	12 of 17	1 of 1	100%	0	0	0:44

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Mayra Bueno Silva	4 of 4	100%	1 of 1	0 of 0	3 of 3	4 of 4	0 of 0	0 of 0
Stephanie Egger	8 of 13	61%	6 of 11	0 of 0	2 of 2	2 of 7	0 of 0	6 of 6

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	4 of 4	100%	1 of 1	0 of 0	3 of 3	4 of 4	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Stephanie Egger	8 of 13	61%	6 of 11	0 of 0	2 of 2	2 of 7	0 of 0	6 of 6

Play-by-Play

View on Sherdog

Stephanie Egger vs. Mayra Bueno Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-110), Egger (-110)

Round 1
This ESPN card has taken some hits right before it was set to go down, but it will proceed with 10 fights at the UFC Apex. The first comes in the women’s bantamweight category, as two finish-minded ladies each sporting stoppage rates at 75% or above toe the line. Brazil’s Bueno Silva (8-2-1, 3-2-1 UFC) will battle it out with well-rounded Egger (7-2, 2-1 UFC), and the referee in charge of their meeting is Chris Tognoni. The gloves get to touched to start off this evening’s violence, and the women measure their range and clash shins together with the first strikes of the night. Bueno Silva swats at her foe with a few punches, and Egger responds by grabbing her and hip tossing Bueno Silva over. Bueno Silva takes her back for a moment, only to get rolled around. When Egger claims top position, she starts smashing down punches and elbows. Egger falls into an armbar as she is throwing strikes, and Bueno Silva locks it up fast.
The Swiss fighter stacks her up, but she falls forward and the submission is tighter. Bueno Silva shouts to Tognoni that Egger tapped, and she lets go of the move and holds her arms up. Everyone is confused, because Egger does not admit she tapped out, and just glances at Tognoni with a quizzical look. After a few seconds of awkwardness, Tognoni waves the fight off, apparently from Bueno Silva’s claim of the tap.
Tognoni goes to consult the replay official to review the stoppage, and when this does not prove conclusive, he does the rare but proper call of polling the judges – this means, asking the judges what they saw and if there is something only seen from one of their vantage points. Judge Ron McCarthy declares that he clearly saw a tapout, and that is all that is needed to put this result in the books. A unique instance, but proper in the confines of the rules. Egger protests that she did not tap out, but it’s all over. This speedy submission for Bueno Silva goes down as one of the quickest in UFC women’s divisional history.

The Official Result
Mayra Bueno Silva def. Stephanie Egger R1 1:17 via Submission (Armbar)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2022 (6 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

Angelo picks Mayra Bueno Silva despite her takedown defense concerns. He notes she defended 19 takedowns combined in her three fights where she was taken down, and believes her physicality and striking should get her the win. He acknowledges the risk of being controlled on the ground but trusts her ability to keep it standing enough to win a decision.

"I do think I'm going to go with buena silva here because yes she was taken down in those losses but she defended the hell out of a lot of takedowns as well"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 2, 2022 (4 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

Big Brady favors Mayra Bueno Silva as a dog, citing her superior striking volume and power, as well as her dangerous grappling off her back. He notes that Stephanie Egger's grappling is solid but her striking is still developing, and he believes Bueno Silva can keep the fight on the feet and outpoint Egger. He also mentions that if taken down, Bueno Silva is extremely active and dangerous on the mat. He predicts a decision win for Bueno Silva.

dog pick, decision win prediction

"i do like mara bueno silva uh the line did flip she has a dog i will take the dog to start off the card"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

Cody also picks Bueno Silva, agreeing that she has the striking advantage. He notes that Egger's only path is to get the fight to the ground, but Bueno Silva has shown durability and ability to survive bad spots. Cody is concerned about Bueno Silva's habit of shaking off punches, which may not impress judges. He thinks she wins but won't lay money.

"I'll agree with you... I'm not gonna lay money on it... she definitely has the advantage on the feet."

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

Daniel Levi picks Bueno Silva at underdog odds, citing her power striking and ability to land damage on the feet. He worries about her takedown defense, as Egger has a strong grappling background, but believes Bueno Silva can win by knockout or submission if she avoids being controlled. He likes the value since the line flipped.

"Since the line flipped I'm gonna go with Bueno Silva at the underdog odds but not confident for the reasons I mentioned"

Half the Battle

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

Paul picks Bueno Silva as a dog, noting that she is strong, physical, and durable. He mentions that Egger is a judoka who needs the clinch, while Bueno Silva wants to strike. Paul thinks Bueno Silva's power and tenacity will be enough to rough up Egger. He is waiting for a better price, as the line has moved to +117.

"I believe that dog to be Mayra Bueno Silva... she's strong, she's physical... I think she ends up roughing up Egger."

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2022 (5 days before fight)

Mayra Bueno Silva

The MMA Guru picks Mayra Bueno Silva, citing her toughness, durability, and excellent jiu-jitsu. He believes she can tough out positions and push the pace in later rounds, winning 29-28. He notes that Stephanie Egger's recent wins over Jessica-Rose Clark and others are not impressive, and that Bueno Silva has submissions and a draw with Montana De La Rosa.

"i am actually going to be going with mayor bueno silva here... i feel as though she's very very tough very hard to put away very hard to submit as well because she does have very good jujitsu"

THE MMA GURU

View all 14 fights

Expert Picks (5)

Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

more more on monkey knife fight

"Such a killer on her feet so much power so accurate she's so impressive striking that you gotta go with man and she will be in my draftkings lineup 8900 bucks i love it"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2021 (5 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

by TKO in round 3

"i'm going to take man off fiora to win i'm going to take her to win by um i'm actually going to say she wins by third round knockout"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

"i'm really sold on what i see from her"

Bookie Beatdown

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

"i got my no fioro as long as you're not against that i'm feeling confident about it"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2021 (4 days before fight)

Manon Fiorot

late second round tko

"i think man on fierroth's going to be good enough and i think she's going to get a late second round tko again"

THE MMA GURU

Manon Fiorot

Mayra Bueno Silva

Career Averages - Manon Fiorot

Career Averages - Mayra Bueno Silva

Manon Fiorot

Mayra Bueno Silva

Manon Fiorot - Fight History

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Mayra Bueno Silva - Fight History

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