Career Averages - Luana Carolina
Career Averages - Loopy Godinez
Luana Carolina
Loopy Godinez
Luana Carolina - Fight History
Angelo picks Luana Carolina because she is the better striker with solid takedown defense (68%). He notes Melissa Mullins is too hittable with no head movement and her offensive wrestling is not great. He believes Luana should win everywhere and is surprised she is the underdog, expecting the line to flip.
Big Brady picks Melissa Mullins despite her terrible fight IQ, noting that she has a massive advantage on the ground with nasty ground and pound. He points out that Luana Carolina has been taken down in her last eight fights and that Mullins should be able to take her down and control her. However, he is hesitant because Mullins often refuses to wrestle and instead tests her striking, as seen in her last fight. He predicts a decision win for Mullins.
Cody agrees, noting Mullins' weight misses and lack of heart. He expects Carolina to win.
Connor picks Melissa Mullins, agreeing that you take the grappler in this matchup. He notes that Mullins is relentlessly aggressive with takedowns and ground control, while Carolina is a volume striker who can be beaten by grappling. Connor also advises against betting on this fight.
Daniel leans Carolina due to her experience and ability to weasel decisions. He notes Mullins has head-scratching moments and can be finished. However, he acknowledges it's women's MMA and the British fighter might have crowd support.
Daniel Vreeland picks Luana Carolina to win by decision. He cites her experience and striking prowess, but acknowledges she can be taken down. He expects Carolina to get back to her feet and outpoint Mullins over three rounds.
James picks Luana Carolina but is not confident. He thinks Carolina is the better striker and has more UFC experience, but her takedown defense is a concern. He notes that Mullins has poor fight IQ and may not shoot takedowns consistently. He predicts a decision win for Carolina.
The host is hesitant but leans towards Luana Carolina. He notes that Mullins has a grappling advantage but questions whether she will actually wrestle after failing to do so in her last fight. He believes Carolina's striking edge and improved defensive grappling could lead to a decision win. However, he admits he has underrated Carolina in the past and sees this as a potential breakout performance.
Paul picks Carolina, citing Mullins' poor durability and tendency to quit. He expects Carolina to outwork and finish Mullins.
The MMA Guru picks Melissa Mullins over Luana Carolina, though he admits neither fighter has been impressive. He notes Mullins is younger and may show more improvement fight to fight, while Carolina hasn't done much lately and has lost to lower-level opponents. He seems uncertain but goes with Mullins.
Zane picks Melissa Mullins, reasoning that in a matchup between a relentless grappler (Mullins) and a volume striker (Carolina), you take the grappler who can control the fight. He notes that Mullins is aggressive with takedowns and ground control, but if she can't get takedowns, she's cooked. Zane advises not betting on this fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Montague | 0 | 41 of 88 | 46% | 99 of 164 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 0 | 0 | 10:43 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 48 of 82 | 58% | 75 of 115 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michelle Montague | 0 | 10 of 32 | 31% | 25 of 56 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:44 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 24 of 36 | 66% | 39 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Michelle Montague | 0 | 17 of 32 | 53% | 38 of 55 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:42 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 15 of 25 | 60% | 22 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Michelle Montague | 0 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 36 of 53 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:17 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 14 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Montague | 41 of 88 | 46% | 34 of 77 | 6 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 28 of 51 |
| Luana Carolina | 48 of 82 | 58% | 31 of 60 | 5 of 6 | 12 of 16 | 46 of 77 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michelle Montague | 10 of 32 | 31% | 8 of 28 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 |
| Luana Carolina | 24 of 36 | 66% | 11 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 12 | 23 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Michelle Montague | 17 of 32 | 53% | 12 of 25 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 19 |
| Luana Carolina | 15 of 25 | 60% | 12 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 14 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | |
| 3 | Michelle Montague | 14 of 24 | 58% | 14 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 24 |
| Luana Carolina | 9 of 21 | 42% | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Michelle Montague (Darrell Montague) over Luana Carolina, citing Montague's wrestling and jiu-jitsu background at an international level, her willingness to strike, and her size. He acknowledges Luana Carolina's takedown defense and clinch work but believes Montague's aggression and grappling will be too much. He dismisses the knockout loss to Molly McCann as a fluke.
Big Brady picks Darrell Montague to win by second-round submission. He highlights Montague's submission expertise, noting all six wins are by rear-naked choke. He acknowledges Montague is one-dimensional and has poor striking, but believes she will get a takedown due to her physicality and Carolina's questionable takedown defense. He notes Carolina has been taken down frequently in recent fights.
Cody picks Montague, citing her grappling pedigree and size advantage moving down to 135. He notes Carolina has been taken down in her last eight fights and is moving up in weight, while Montague is a strong grappler with a rear-naked choke streak. He warns about Montague's cardio but thinks she can win the first two rounds.
Connor agrees, noting that Montague's recent fights show her shooting immediately for back takes, which will be a problem for Carolina. He also mentions that Carolina's chin is high and she relies on reach, but Montague has the same reach and is bigger. He thinks Montague's grappling will be decisive.
James is confident in Michelle Montague (Darrell Montague) due to her massive size advantage and elite back-taking ability. He notes she has submitted every opponent via rear-naked choke and that Luana Carolina is moving up from flyweight, making her vulnerable to grappling. He predicts a submission win.
The host expresses concern about Montague's weight cut to 135 lbs for the first time, but if successful, expects her to ragdoll Luana Carolina and secure another submission victory. The pick is conditional on making weight.
The Guru picks Michelle Montigue (Darrell Montague) confidently, impressed by her consistent first-round submission finishes and amateur experience. He sees Luana Carolina as a potential fraud check but believes Montigue's training at American Top Team and dominant style will lead to another first-round rear-naked choke victory.
Zane sees Montague as a bigger, stronger fighter who will shoot for takedowns and back takes, which should wreck Carolina. He notes that Carolina's success depends on being taller and longer, but Montague is two inches taller with the same reach and looks more muscular. He also points out that Montague has shown a consistent ability to stay on the back foot and outpoint opponents if needed.
Angelo picks Luana Carolina, citing her superior striking and solid takedown defense (74%). He believes she can keep the fight standing and outpoint Montana De La Rosa, who relies on wrestling. He notes that Carolina is used to opponents trying to take her down and sees her as a solid bet, possibly worth a stab.
Big Brady leans toward Luana Carolina, impressed by her takedown defense. He notes that Montana De La Rosa will try to wrestle, but if she can't get takedowns, Carolina is the better striker. He expects a close split decision.
The host expects De La Rosa's wrestling style to pay off and expose holes in Luana Carolina's game. He looks for De La Rosa to smother her with grappling, possibly opening a submission opportunity, but primarily controlling the fight and winning on the scorecards.
The Guru picks Luana Carolina over Montana De La Rosa. He notes that Montana has had takedowns but hasn't established dominant control, while Luana will win on the feet with more grit and determination. He also mentions a psychological edge: Luana will be jealous of Montana's looks and fight with rage. He predicts a split decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 94 of 167 | 56% | 114 of 199 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 43 of 114 | 37% | 62 of 145 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 33 of 51 | 64% | 38 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 6 of 32 | 18% | 14 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 24 of 50 | 48% | 28 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 22 of 43 | 51% | 27 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 37 of 66 | 56% | 48 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 15 of 39 | 38% | 21 of 53 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 94 of 167 | 56% | 45 of 101 | 23 of 35 | 26 of 31 | 73 of 142 | 21 of 25 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 43 of 114 | 37% | 25 of 86 | 16 of 23 | 2 of 5 | 27 of 93 | 16 of 21 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 33 of 51 | 64% | 14 of 29 | 6 of 9 | 13 of 13 | 25 of 41 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 6 of 32 | 18% | 5 of 25 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 3 | 5 of 29 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 24 of 50 | 48% | 13 of 36 | 7 of 9 | 4 of 5 | 16 of 41 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 22 of 43 | 51% | 12 of 33 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 28 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 37 of 66 | 56% | 18 of 36 | 10 of 17 | 9 of 13 | 32 of 60 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 15 of 39 | 38% | 8 of 28 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is surprised that Luana Carolina is a plus-money underdog, as he believes she is the better striker with solid takedown defense and clinch work. He notes that Lucie Pudilová has poor takedown defense and is not the better wrestler or striker. He has placed a half-unit bet on Luana at plus money, expecting the line to move.
Cody picks Carolina, highlighting her better competition, volume, and ability to defend takedowns. He notes Pudilová's poor takedown accuracy and that she struggles when taken down. He thinks Carolina will win with damage in the clinch and on the ground, and that judges will favor her output.
Daniel Vreeland picks Luana Carolina, citing Pudilová's poor record with judges and her increased hesitancy. He notes Carolina's Muay Thai background and recent submission win. Vreeland expects a kickboxing match that goes to decision, with Carolina getting the nod.
Pudilová is a slight underdog at +100. She has improved her grappling since her first UFC stint and can use her striking to set up takedowns, unlike Stoliarenko who pulls guard. Pudilová's aggressiveness and ability to mix in takedowns should keep Carolina uncomfortable at distance. I think Pudilová is the better overall fighter and can grind out a decision win.
Paul agrees, saying Carolina is the pick all day. He thinks wrestling will be negated and that Carolina's striking and clinch work will be key. He was impressed with her win over Stoliarenko.
The MMA Guru picks Luana Carolina, calling Lucie Pudilová 'garbage'. He notes Carolina stuffed takedowns from Lupita Godinez, who has good wrestling, and believes Carolina can out-grapple or out-strike Pudilová. He compares Pudilová's win over Yanan Wu unfavorably to Carolina's similar style, and cites Carolina's size and reach advantage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 66 of 136 | 48% | 138 of 230 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 5:27 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 16 of 59 | 27% | 21 of 68 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 3 | 0 | 3:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 12 of 32 | 37% | 35 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:04 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 6 of 25 | 24% | 6 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:46 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 25 of 55 | 45% | 43 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 10 of 28 | 35% | 14 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:12 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 29 of 49 | 59% | 60 of 89 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:25 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 3 | 0 | 0:49 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 66 of 136 | 48% | 41 of 96 | 15 of 26 | 10 of 14 | 28 of 75 | 13 of 20 | 25 of 41 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 16 of 59 | 27% | 7 of 40 | 6 of 10 | 3 of 9 | 11 of 51 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 12 of 32 | 37% | 6 of 20 | 3 of 7 | 3 of 5 | 7 of 27 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 6 of 25 | 24% | 2 of 17 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 22 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 25 of 55 | 45% | 13 of 38 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 8 | 14 of 36 | 4 of 6 | 7 of 13 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 10 of 28 | 35% | 5 of 19 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 3 | 6 of 23 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 29 of 49 | 59% | 22 of 38 | 6 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 12 | 5 of 10 | 17 of 27 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Julija Stoliarenko to win but strongly advises against betting on her. He compares her to Malcolm Gordon, a previous 'cash cow' that lost. He notes that Stoliarenko's path to victory is getting a takedown, but she is not a good fighter overall. He emphasizes that Luana Carolina is the better fighter overall but has been taken down frequently, which could be exploited.
Big Brady picks Julija Stoliarenko to win by first-round armbar. He notes that Stoliarenko is an armbar specialist with 10 wins by armbar, all in the first round. He believes her aggressiveness and improved wrestling will cause problems for Luana Carolina, who has questionable decision-making and has almost been submitted in recent fights. He expects the fight to hit the mat, where Stoliarenko is extremely dangerous.
Cody picks Stoliarenko by submission, calling it the play of the week. He notes Stoliarenko's elite armbar from guard and Carolina's poor takedown defense and physical strength. He expects Stoliarenko to get the fight to the mat and submit her quickly.
Stoliarenko's persistence and expertise in armbars should be too much for Carolina. Once Stoliarenko snatches an arm, it's only a matter of time before she gets the tap. Carolina's takedown defense is improving, but Stoliarenko's strength and Judo will likely get the fight to the ground.
Paul picks Stoliarenko by submission, agreeing with Cody. He highlights Carolina's vulnerability to takedowns and Stoliarenko's dangerous armbar. He thinks the plus-205 price is excellent value.
The MMA Guru picks Luana Carolina over Julija Stoliarenko, questioning whether Stoliarenko is actually good or just benefited from Molly McCann's poor ground game. He notes Carolina has better standup and overall ability, and that Stoliarenko has a rough weight cut at 125. He expects Carolina to win, likely as an underdog.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 22 of 62 | 35% | 77 of 122 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 | 1 | 4:11 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 41 of 87 | 47% | 112 of 167 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 5:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 3 of 15 | 20% | 18 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:22 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 10 of 22 | 45% | 31 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:08 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 13 of 32 | 40% | 28 of 48 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:58 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 16 of 38 | 42% | 47 of 70 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 31 of 40 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 2 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 34 of 53 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 22 of 62 | 35% | 15 of 51 | 5 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 16 of 50 | 4 of 10 | 2 of 2 |
| Ivana Petrović | 41 of 87 | 47% | 18 of 60 | 11 of 15 | 12 of 12 | 27 of 66 | 7 of 8 | 7 of 13 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 3 of 15 | 20% | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ivana Petrović | 10 of 22 | 45% | 3 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 7 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 13 of 32 | 40% | 9 of 25 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 22 | 4 of 8 | 2 of 2 |
| Ivana Petrović | 16 of 38 | 42% | 6 of 25 | 7 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 32 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 6 of 15 | 40% | 3 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ivana Petrović | 15 of 27 | 55% | 9 of 21 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 |
Angelo picks Ivana Petrović, expecting her grappling to be the difference. He notes she should be able to take down Luana Carolina and either submit or grind out a decision. However, he finds the -200 odds too wide for a UFC debut with only six fights and advises against betting. He warns against the over 2.5 rounds as the fight could end either way.
Big Brady picks Luana Carolina by decision, but is very reluctant. He thinks Carolina is the better striker and has solid takedown defense, but notes she has been taken down and put in trouble before. Petrović has a good ground game and could finish if she gets on top. Brady calls it a terrible fight and advises not to bet on it.
Cody likes Carolina as a plus-money underdog. He notes Petrović is very green (less than 2 years pro) and has been dropped in fights. Carolina has fought better competition and has a striking advantage. Cody thinks Carolina can keep the fight standing and win a decision, especially if she defends takedowns. He compares it to other recent underdog wins.
Daniel picks Luana Carolina as an underdog, citing her experience and takedown defense (2 of 15 allowed against Godinez). He notes Petrović is hittable and unproven at UFC level, and that debuts often disappoint. He sees a close kickboxing match where Carolina's volume and durability could edge her ahead. He is willing to take a shot at plus odds.
Paul is considering Carolina as a dog. He notes Petrović's wrestling is her only path, but her stand-up is green and she was dropped by a short elbow. Carolina has good balance in the clinch and striking advantage. Paul thinks if Petrović can't get takedowns, Carolina wins. He is watching the market for a better price.
The Guru picks Ivana Petrović, citing her undefeated record (6-0) and good cardio shown in a fourth-round submission win. He notes Luana Carolina's losses to Molly McCann and Joanne Calderwood, and while Carolina beat Lupita Godinez, she was much larger. He trusts the undefeated prospect but acknowledges women's MMA is unpredictable.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 131 of 228 | 57% | 177 of 278 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 100 of 199 | 50% | 123 of 222 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 38 of 62 | 61% | 55 of 79 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 38 of 65 | 58% | 42 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:31 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 33 of 60 | 55% | 56 of 87 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 24 of 53 | 45% | 33 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 0 | 60 of 106 | 56% | 66 of 112 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 38 of 81 | 46% | 48 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Wood | 131 of 228 | 57% | 61 of 142 | 46 of 53 | 24 of 33 | 84 of 177 | 46 of 50 | 1 of 1 |
| Luana Carolina | 100 of 199 | 50% | 55 of 144 | 34 of 40 | 11 of 15 | 75 of 165 | 25 of 34 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Wood | 38 of 62 | 61% | 13 of 32 | 17 of 20 | 8 of 10 | 20 of 42 | 18 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 38 of 65 | 58% | 15 of 38 | 16 of 19 | 7 of 8 | 25 of 50 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Joanne Wood | 33 of 60 | 55% | 16 of 39 | 8 of 10 | 9 of 11 | 21 of 48 | 11 of 11 | 1 of 1 |
| Luana Carolina | 24 of 53 | 45% | 14 of 40 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 18 of 44 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Joanne Wood | 60 of 106 | 56% | 32 of 71 | 21 of 23 | 7 of 12 | 43 of 87 | 17 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 38 of 81 | 46% | 26 of 66 | 9 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 32 of 71 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo thinks Joanne Wood should win because she is better everywhere and has faced elite competition. He notes her losses are to champions and title contenders. He placed a half-unit bet on her at -150 three weeks ago and got good closing value. He is concerned about Wood's motivation and age but still expects her to win.
Big Brady picks Joanne Wood but with low confidence, noting she has looked like she doesn't want to be there recently. He acknowledges Wood's losses are to elite competition, and she should win this fight due to volume striking and Carolina's lack of takedowns. However, he is scared by Wood's recent performances and will not bet this fight.
Cody picks Wood reluctantly, noting her experience and technical Muay Thai. He thinks Carolina's takedown defense is poor and Wood can take her down if needed. He acknowledges Wood's durability and motivation are questions at 37, but believes Carolina is there to be beaten. He says he's likely screwed betting women's MMA but picks Wood.
Connor picks Wood but is very hesitant, acknowledging her recent mental and physical decline. He believes she should win against a fighter as limited as Carolina, but he doubts Wood's current mindset. He notes that Wood has never been knocked out and has the tools to win if she fights on the front foot.
Jacob sees this as a very close fight and is staying away. He thinks both fighters have similar styles and it will likely go to a split decision. He notes Luana Carolina could come on strong late and that Joanne Wood's motivation is questionable. He might bet on a split decision prop but is not picking a winner.
Wood is on a three-fight losing streak but those losses came against top competition (Santos, Grasso). She is a solid striker with good footwork, output, and elbows. Carolina is a decent striker but her wins are questionable and she was knocked out by Molly McCann. Wood should be the better technical striker and outwork Carolina over three rounds, possibly mixing in elbows. Carolina's takedowns are not expected to be a threat.
Paul picks Wood, but his favorite prop is over 63.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks. He thinks the fight goes 15 minutes and Wood lands well over that number. He says Wood by decision is likely but the moneyline is better than the decision prop. He notes Wood's recent losses were to elite competition and she should handle Carolina.
The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood over Luana Carolina, calling it a 'no-brainer' despite the unpredictability of women's MMA. He notes Wood has lost only to top competition like Grasso, Santos, and Murphy, while Carolina lost to Molly McCann who is not elite. He acknowledges Wood's jiu-jitsu vulnerabilities but believes her striking and experience will carry her to a decision win.
Zane picks Carolina as a gut pick, citing Wood's psychological fragility. He notes that Wood has looked increasingly flinchy and prone to giving up, while Carolina is scrappy and has shown resilience. Zane believes Carolina's pressure and clinch work could break Wood's will, even though Carolina is technically inferior.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 1 | 85 of 159 | 53% | 99 of 174 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:30 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 64 of 132 | 48% | 76 of 144 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 0 | 56 of 107 | 52% | 61 of 112 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 22 of 52 | 42% | 23 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | |
| 2 | Molly McCann | 0 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 23 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:05 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 26 of 51 | 50% | 33 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Molly McCann | 1 | 14 of 22 | 63% | 15 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 16 of 29 | 55% | 20 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 85 of 159 | 53% | 52 of 118 | 28 of 36 | 5 of 5 | 69 of 139 | 14 of 18 | 2 of 2 |
| Luana Carolina | 64 of 132 | 48% | 26 of 88 | 33 of 39 | 5 of 5 | 47 of 113 | 17 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 56 of 107 | 52% | 35 of 79 | 19 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 47 of 96 | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 22 of 52 | 42% | 6 of 32 | 13 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 46 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Molly McCann | 15 of 30 | 50% | 5 of 19 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Luana Carolina | 26 of 51 | 50% | 13 of 37 | 12 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 16 of 40 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Molly McCann | 14 of 22 | 63% | 12 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 17 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 16 of 29 | 55% | 7 of 19 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Molly McCann with a slight edge, citing her cleaner boxing and willingness to grapple to steal rounds. He notes that Luana Carolina has 88% takedown defense but was taken down in her last two fights and still won. He says it's a razor-thin fight and he's siding with the bookies who have Molly as a slight favorite.
Big Brady picks Luana Carolina to win a close split decision. He notes Carolina has good takedown defense (88%) and a height and reach advantage. He expects the fight to stay on the feet, where Carolina will land more strikes. Brady acknowledges Molly McCann has the home crowd and walks forward, but he sees Carolina improving and pulling off the upset.
Cody picks McCann but is hesitant, citing home-cage advantage and judging bias. He thinks McCann's volume and pressure will be key, but acknowledges Carolina's reach and size. He says the pick is McCann by decision, but he's not confident.
Daniel Levi picks Molly McCann, citing the hometown advantage at the O2 Arena. He believes McCann's volume boxing, opportunistic takedowns, and toughness will overwhelm Luana Carolina, who has a reach advantage but may struggle with McCann's pressure. Levi expects a close decision that will favor McCann due to the crowd and judges. He also notes that McCann's heart and willpower are key factors.
McCann's forward pressure and hard-nosed striking should overwhelm Carolina, who isn't that good. Carolina's win over Godinez was overrated due to Godinez taking the fight on short notice up a weight class. McCann is more fit for flyweight and should use her speed to close distance and land strikes. The hometown crowd will help sway judges. I'm picking McCann via decision, but a sprinkle on McCann by submission at +1100 is worth it given her activity off her back.
Paul picks Carolina on paper but is wary of British judging. He thinks Carolina's reach and striking could give McCann trouble, but the crowd and potential robbery scare him. He says he'll pick Carolina for the show but likely won't bet.
The Guru picks Luana Carolina as an upset, citing her size, reach advantage (7 inches), youth, and recent win over Lupita Godinez. He believes Molly McCann is overrated due to her association with Paddy Pimblett and the Scouse crew. He thinks Carolina can stuff takedowns and outgrapple McCann, and predicts a split decision win despite potential UK judging bias.
Loopy Godinez - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatiana Suarez | 0 | 12 of 26 | 46% | 56 of 77 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 5:12 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 18 of 25 | 72% | 25 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatiana Suarez | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 50 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:39 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 17 of 22 | 77% | 23 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 | |
| 2 | Tatiana Suarez | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 6 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:33 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatiana Suarez | 12 of 26 | 46% | 4 of 14 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 14 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 7 |
| Loopy Godinez | 18 of 25 | 72% | 16 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 10 of 13 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatiana Suarez | 7 of 13 | 53% | 4 of 7 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 7 |
| Loopy Godinez | 17 of 22 | 77% | 15 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 13 | |
| 2 | Tatiana Suarez | 5 of 13 | 38% | 0 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Tatiana Suarez despite finding her boring, citing her dominant wrestling and predictability. He acknowledges Loopy Godinez's skills and striking but criticizes her low fight IQ and poor decisions. He believes Loopy could win if she sticks to striking but expects her to make mistakes and end up on her back.
Big Brady is worried about Tatiana Suarez after her poor performances against Zhang Weili and Amanda Lemos, noting she gassed and couldn't get dominant positions. He thinks Loopy Godinez has good takedown defense and superior striking with volume and boxing. He expects a close split decision and leans Godinez.
Cody picks Godinez, citing Suarez's injuries, layoffs, and declining wrestling. He thinks Godinez's scrambling, boxing, and volume will earn her a decision win.
Connor picks Suarez over three rounds, citing her superior wrestling and size. He notes that Suarez will get Godinez down and control her, as Godinez is also a wrestler but not at Suarez's level. He mentions that the fight should be five rounds to see if Godinez can survive and force Suarez to gas, but over three rounds it's a foregone conclusion.
Daniel Vreeland picks Loopy Godinez as an underdog, believing that Tatiana Suarez is in decline after injuries and poor performances. He thinks Godinez's wrestling can keep the fight standing and that she has better striking. He acknowledges Godinez's questionable in-fight decisions but sees value at plus money.
Daniel believes Suarez is on a decline due to injuries and age, while Godinez has the wrestling to keep the fight standing and better hands. He picks Godinez to win by decision.
James picks the underdog Godinez, fading Suarez for the third time. He believes Suarez has declined and that Godinez can win a striking battle, though he acknowledges Suarez's size and fight IQ advantages.
Suarez is the best wrestler in the division and should dominate Godinez on the ground. Godinez has a slight striking edge but her wrestling is not at Suarez's level. Suarez's size and reach advantage will help her close distance for takedowns. She can grind out a decision or find a submission. The line is surprisingly low for Suarez, offering value.
Paul picks Suarez, believing her wrestling is still superior and she can control Godinez. He acknowledges her decline but thinks she has one more good performance.
The MMA Guru picks Loopy Godinez over Tatiana Suarez, though he admits it's a questionable pick. He likes Godinez's scrambles and grappling defense, and thinks Suarez's stand-up is abysmal. He believes Godinez can eke out a 29-28 decision as a slight underdog, citing Suarez's injury history and potential 'loser energy' from her husband Patchy Mix.
Zane picks Suarez, agreeing that she will dominate early and Godinez won't be able to finish her. He notes that Suarez's wrestling is too strong and Godinez's boxing isn't good enough to keep her off. He also comments that the odds are too slim and should be wider in Suarez's favor.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 90 of 287 | 31% | 97 of 297 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 107 of 213 | 50% | 119 of 226 | 1 of 14 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 1:33 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 18 of 83 | 21% | 18 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 40 of 71 | 56% | 41 of 72 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 15 of 63 | 23% | 22 of 72 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 31 of 50 | 62% | 40 of 59 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 | |
| 3 | Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 57 of 141 | 40% | 57 of 142 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 36 of 92 | 39% | 38 of 95 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jéssica Andrade | 90 of 287 | 31% | 58 of 242 | 21 of 31 | 11 of 14 | 87 of 279 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 107 of 213 | 50% | 91 of 195 | 12 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 94 of 195 | 11 of 16 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jéssica Andrade | 18 of 83 | 21% | 13 of 75 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 5 | 17 of 82 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 40 of 71 | 56% | 31 of 62 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 39 of 70 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jéssica Andrade | 15 of 63 | 23% | 11 of 55 | 0 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 14 of 60 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 31 of 50 | 62% | 26 of 45 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 40 | 6 of 8 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Jéssica Andrade | 57 of 141 | 40% | 34 of 112 | 19 of 25 | 4 of 4 | 56 of 137 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 36 of 92 | 39% | 34 of 88 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 32 of 85 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo believes Godinez has a giant grappling advantage and is the better fighter technically, but her fight IQ is questionable. He assumes she will make the right decisions and take Pepto before the fight. He thinks Andrade is a brute force brawler with limited skills, so Godinez should win if she doesn't do dumb things.
Big Brady picks Loopy Godinez to win by second-round submission. He notes Andrade has been inconsistent and looks awful on the ground recently, with poor takedown defense. He thinks Godinez's path to victory is to mix in takedowns and grapple, as Andrade has been submitted many times. He worries about Godinez's fight IQ but trusts her to wrestle here. He mentions Godinez has a couple of submissions in the UFC and is working on her grappling.
The host expresses disappointment in Godinez's development but thinks she can handle Andrade's aggressive striking. He predicts Godinez will land enough takedowns in the first two rounds to grind out a decision, surviving the third round.
The Guru picks Jéssica Andrade to win by TKO in round two. He believes Andrade will be too overwhelming with her punches for Loopy Godinez. The Guru notes that Godinez is easily hittable and has had close fights with lower-level competition. He doesn't see Godinez finishing Andrade or taking her down and submitting her. Despite Andrade's recent losses, the Guru thinks she is a step above Godinez's level.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 84 of 150 | 56% | 114 of 184 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 7:30 |
| Julia Polastri | 0 | 87 of 151 | 57% | 117 of 186 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 11 of 22 | 50% | 26 of 38 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:26 |
| Julia Polastri | 0 | 14 of 25 | 56% | 24 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 26 of 41 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:16 |
| Julia Polastri | 0 | 15 of 33 | 45% | 25 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 58 of 101 | 57% | 62 of 105 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Julia Polastri | 0 | 58 of 93 | 62% | 68 of 103 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 84 of 150 | 56% | 71 of 135 | 9 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 75 of 141 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 2 |
| Julia Polastri | 87 of 151 | 57% | 58 of 112 | 14 of 23 | 15 of 16 | 78 of 135 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 12 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 11 of 22 | 50% | 8 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julia Polastri | 14 of 25 | 56% | 4 of 11 | 5 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 13 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 15 of 27 | 55% | 12 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Julia Polastri | 15 of 33 | 45% | 7 of 21 | 3 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 11 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | |
| 3 | Loopy Godinez | 58 of 101 | 57% | 51 of 93 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 51 of 94 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Julia Polastri | 58 of 93 | 62% | 47 of 80 | 6 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 54 of 89 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Connor picks Godinez but is hesitant, noting that Polastri is a powerful bully who could pressure Godinez into hesitation. He thinks Godinez needs to be the aggressor and use her wrestling to control the fight. He compares her to Sam Hughes in needing consistency and determination.
Zane picks Godinez but shares Connor's worry about her confidence. He notes that Godinez has struggled against pressure and that Polastri is a dangerous, powerful striker. However, he thinks Godinez can be busier and more successful at range, and that Polastri's lack of range control will allow Godinez to wrestle effectively.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 72 of 203 | 35% | 103 of 235 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:45 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 67 of 146 | 45% | 72 of 152 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 1 | 1:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 25 of 67 | 37% | 49 of 92 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 15 of 38 | 39% | 17 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0:20 | |
| 2 | Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 24 of 68 | 35% | 27 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 24 of 55 | 43% | 24 of 55 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:45 | |
| 3 | Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 23 of 68 | 33% | 27 of 72 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:56 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 28 of 53 | 52% | 31 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Dern | 72 of 203 | 35% | 61 of 188 | 5 of 6 | 6 of 9 | 66 of 195 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 67 of 146 | 45% | 45 of 116 | 16 of 23 | 6 of 7 | 58 of 136 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mackenzie Dern | 25 of 67 | 37% | 22 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 24 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 15 of 38 | 39% | 13 of 33 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 35 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mackenzie Dern | 24 of 68 | 35% | 20 of 62 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 23 of 66 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 24 of 55 | 43% | 18 of 47 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 23 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Mackenzie Dern | 23 of 68 | 33% | 19 of 63 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 19 of 63 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 28 of 53 | 52% | 14 of 36 | 12 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 23 of 47 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Godinez but is hesitant due to her notoriously low fight IQ. He thinks she is the better fighter everywhere except BJJ, with better striking, wrestling, and athleticism. He notes Dern's poor takedown accuracy and reliance on toughness. He bet only a quarter unit because he doesn't trust Godinez.
Big Brady is taking another underdog, citing Godinez's superior wrestling and boxing on the feet. He notes Dern has poor takedown accuracy (15%) and cannot take Godinez down, while Godinez should keep the fight standing and outpoint Dern. However, he admits he doesn't trust Godinez either, calling it a weird fight.
Cody picks Loopy Godinez, citing her superior boxing and wrestling. He notes that Dern has poor takedown accuracy and has been roughed up on the feet recently. Cody thinks Godinez can stuff takedowns and win a volume decision. However, he acknowledges Dern's ability to create scrambles and capitalize on mistakes, so he's not fully confident. He mentions that Godinez is a slight underdog and that women's MMA is volatile.
Daniel picks Dern, citing her toughness and ability to overcome adversity. He criticizes Godinez's fight IQ and tendency to abandon game plans. He believes Dern will gas pedal Godinez and be the tougher fighter, despite potential striking exchanges.
Godinez should avoid the clinch and use footwork to out-strike Dern, stuffing takedowns. She should land better damage and win on the scorecards.
Paul picks Loopy Godinez, noting that she is the better striker and can avoid Dern's grappling. He thinks Godinez's volume and takedown defense should be enough to win a decision. Paul acknowledges Dern's scrambling ability but believes Godinez can stay away and win on the feet. He also mentions that Godinez went the distance with Virna Jandiroba, which looks good in hindsight.
The MMA Guru picks Loopy Godinez over Mackenzie Dern, citing Dern's lack of seriousness and Godinez's activity and better striking. He thinks Godinez can scramble and keep the fight on the feet, where she has a technical advantage. He notes Godinez has good takedown defense and works her way back up. He mentions she might be an underdog and likes that.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 30 of 108 | 27% | 86 of 180 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 3 | 1 | 6:35 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 38 of 95 | 40% | 50 of 116 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:52 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 12 of 45 | 26% | 18 of 53 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:47 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 13 of 34 | 38% | 17 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 2 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 5 of 21 | 23% | 38 of 63 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:31 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 9 of 26 | 34% | 15 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:57 | |
| 3 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 13 of 42 | 30% | 30 of 64 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 3 | 0 | 2:17 |
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 16 of 35 | 45% | 18 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virna Jandiroba | 30 of 108 | 27% | 27 of 100 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 30 of 106 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 38 of 95 | 40% | 25 of 79 | 11 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 30 of 82 | 7 of 11 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virna Jandiroba | 12 of 45 | 26% | 12 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 13 of 34 | 38% | 9 of 28 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 30 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Virna Jandiroba | 5 of 21 | 23% | 5 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 9 of 26 | 34% | 6 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | |
| 3 | Virna Jandiroba | 13 of 42 | 30% | 10 of 35 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Loopy Godinez | 16 of 35 | 45% | 10 of 28 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 30 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Loopy Godinez, believing she is better everywhere, including wrestling. He notes Virna Jandiroba is a grinder with a one-dimensional game plan of shooting takedowns. He thinks Godinez's striking improvements and defensive wrestling will be enough to win, though he acknowledges Jandiroba's relentless takedown attempts could be a problem.
Big Brady picks Loopy Godinez to win by decision, but expresses concern about her fight IQ. He believes Godinez should keep the fight standing to avoid Jandiroba's dangerous BJJ, but worries she might wrestle unnecessarily. He thinks Godinez is the much better striker and should stuff takedowns, but is not fully confident due to her past poor decisions.
Cody believes Godinez is the better boxer and wrestler, with superior cardio and durability. He thinks Jandiroba's one-dimensional grappling won't be enough, and even if she gets takedowns, Godinez will survive and win rounds with striking volume.
Daniel Vreeland picks Loopy Godinez, citing her superior striking, power, and athleticism. He thinks she can keep the fight standing and use a sprawl-and-brawl game plan to avoid Jandiroba's dangerous jiu-jitsu. He notes Jandiroba's willingness to stand and trade, which plays into Godinez's hands. He predicts Godinez by decision.
Godinez has improved striking and wrestling advantage. Jandiroba's hands are poor; she got outboxed by McKenzie Dern and Amanda Lemos. Godinez should keep the fight standing and land punches, potentially earning her first UFC knockout. The plus 750 KO prop is worth a sprinkle. Godinez controls pace and location.
Paul sees Godinez as the more versatile fighter, able to win on the feet or with wrestling. He notes Jandiroba's aging and limited striking, and expects Godinez to outwork her over three rounds, likely by decision.
The host picks Loopy Godinez, stating he never picks Virna Jandiroba. He believes Godinez can keep the fight on the feet and has a boxing and grit advantage. He thinks Godinez's grappling is good enough to defend takedowns and that she will win a decision, possibly 29-28. He notes that close decisions tend to go against Jandiroba.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 84 of 224 | 37% | 91 of 232 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:22 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 98 of 221 | 44% | 101 of 225 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 22 of 61 | 36% | 24 of 64 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 23 of 73 | 31% | 23 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 31 of 90 | 34% | 32 of 91 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 36 of 72 | 50% | 38 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 31 of 73 | 42% | 35 of 77 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 39 of 76 | 51% | 40 of 77 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 84 of 224 | 37% | 68 of 197 | 8 of 11 | 8 of 16 | 78 of 218 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 98 of 221 | 44% | 81 of 200 | 15 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 85 of 207 | 11 of 12 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 22 of 61 | 36% | 17 of 50 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 8 | 20 of 59 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 23 of 73 | 31% | 18 of 67 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 69 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 31 of 90 | 34% | 24 of 80 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 29 of 88 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 36 of 72 | 50% | 29 of 63 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 32 of 67 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Loopy Godinez | 31 of 73 | 42% | 27 of 67 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 29 of 71 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 39 of 76 | 51% | 34 of 70 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 34 of 71 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Godinez, emphasizing her wrestling and size advantage. He criticizes Ricci's striking and takedowns, believing Godinez can defend takedowns and win on the feet. He is not insanely confident but thinks Godinez gets it done.
Big Brady picks Loopy Godinez by decision. He believes Godinez is the better striker with good volume and power, and also the better wrestler with strong takedown defense. He thinks Godinez can dictate where the fight takes place and win striking exchanges even if she doesn't wrestle. He notes Godinez's past fight IQ issues but doesn't think they'll matter here.
Cody picks Godinez, citing her boxing volume, pressure, and improved ring IQ. He notes she has size and strength advantages, and that Ricci's wrestling likely won't be enough. He thinks Godinez wins on volume and pressure, though he's not confident enough to bet heavily.
Godinez's wrestling background should allow her to keep the fight upright where she has the striking advantage. Ricci will need to take it to the ground to have success, but Godinez can control where the fight takes place. The line has moved from -120/-130 to -170, which makes sense, but he would prefer a better line around -130 to bet. Prediction is Godinez by decision.
Paul agrees, noting Godinez's striking advantage and that Ricci's wrestling will be negated. He thinks Godinez will win on volume, though he acknowledges the New York commission can be unpredictable. He sees Godinez as the rightful favorite.
The MMA Guru picks Loopy Godinez, citing her advantage in standup and aggression. He thinks Godinez will force a high pace that Ricci is not comfortable with, and notes that Godinez is tough and throws punches like a man. He predicts a decision win for Godinez.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 1 | 21 of 31 | 67% | 37 of 51 | 5 of 5 | 100% | 6 | 0 | 6:29 |
| Elise Reed | 0 | 3 of 13 | 23% | 34 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 1 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 14 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 5 | 0 | 3:39 |
| Elise Reed | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 15 of 20 | 75% | 23 of 31 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:50 |
| Elise Reed | 0 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 29 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 21 of 31 | 67% | 15 of 25 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 4 |
| Elise Reed | 3 of 13 | 23% | 0 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 6 of 11 | 54% | 3 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Elise Reed | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 15 of 20 | 75% | 12 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 |
| Elise Reed | 2 of 9 | 22% | 0 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Angelo picks Lupita Godinez as the better fighter, citing her size, strength, and wrestling. He acknowledges her inconsistency and notes that the version that fought Cynthia Calvillo would lose to Elise Reed. He believes Godinez should win but considers the odds too wide to bet due to her unreliability.
Big Brady picks Godinez but expresses concern about her fight IQ and recent reluctance to wrestle. He notes that if Godinez wrestles, she should dominate easily, as Reed has poor ground game and takedown defense. However, if Godinez strikes, the fight could be closer. He predicts Godinez will eventually take the fight to the mat and submit Reed in the second round.
Cody picks Godinez, emphasizing her size, strength, and wrestling advantage. He notes Reed's poor takedown defense and Godinez's ability to win even if she strikes. He expects Godinez to control the fight and possibly get a submission, but thinks a decision is also likely.
Daniel Levi is confident in Lupita Godinez, citing her wrestling advantage as Elise Reed has been taken down in every UFC fight. He notes Godinez's high output in her last fight and believes she can win on the feet as well, but the path of least resistance is through takedowns. Levi expects Godinez to dominate and sees this as a showcase for her improved skills.
Godinez has a tremendous wrestling advantage over Reed, who has been submitted in losses to grapplers. Godinez's striking is underrated, but she should focus on takedowns and top control. Reed alternates wins and losses and is coming off a win, so she's due for a loss. I expect Godinez to drag the fight to the ground and finish inside the distance.
Paul picks Godinez confidently, noting she can win anywhere but should wrestle. He mentions her inconsistency in game plans but believes she is a massive step up in competition for Reed. He sees a first-round submission as very possible if she wrestles.
The MMA Guru picks Lupita Godinez over Elise Reed, calling it a mismatch. He notes Godinez's wins over better competition like Emily Ducote and Cynthia Calvillo, while Reed's recent win was over Jin Yu Frey. He believes Godinez's boxing is crisper and she mixes in takedowns better, making her more versatile.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 112 of 270 | 41% | 117 of 275 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 132 of 246 | 53% | 133 of 248 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 34 of 81 | 41% | 34 of 81 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 49 of 81 | 60% | 49 of 81 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 43 of 102 | 42% | 43 of 102 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 43 of 77 | 55% | 43 of 77 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 35 of 87 | 40% | 40 of 92 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 40 of 88 | 45% | 41 of 90 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 112 of 270 | 41% | 71 of 214 | 21 of 33 | 20 of 23 | 106 of 262 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 132 of 246 | 53% | 106 of 214 | 12 of 18 | 14 of 14 | 121 of 232 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 34 of 81 | 41% | 19 of 61 | 7 of 11 | 8 of 9 | 32 of 79 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 49 of 81 | 60% | 39 of 71 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 46 of 78 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 43 of 102 | 42% | 28 of 81 | 8 of 13 | 7 of 8 | 40 of 98 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 43 of 77 | 55% | 36 of 68 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 36 of 67 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Loopy Godinez | 35 of 87 | 40% | 24 of 72 | 6 of 9 | 5 of 6 | 34 of 85 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Emily Ducote | 40 of 88 | 45% | 31 of 75 | 4 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 39 of 87 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Emily Ducote because she is a former Invicta champion with slick counter-striking, power, and good wrestling. He criticizes Lupita Godinez for poor decision-making and a miserable track record on short notice. He has a small 0.25-unit bet on Ducote at +119, expecting the line to flip to favor Ducote.
Big Brady picks Lupita Godinez to win by decision, but with a caveat. He notes Godinez is a phenomenal wrestler but has recently fallen in love with her hands, which makes no sense to him. If she wrestles, she wins easily; if she doesn't, it could be close. He expects her to mix in takedowns and win a decision, but he's not fully confident in her game plan.
Cody sees this as a close striking match where both women have wrestling but may not use it. He favors Ducote's striking volume and power, and questions Godinez's fight IQ after she failed to wrestle against Angela Hill. He expects a decision win for Ducote.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Ducote but with low confidence. He thinks Godinez won't push a pace that makes Ducote uncomfortable, leaving Ducote as the sharper striker. However, he notes that Godinez is capable of a complete performance and that Ducote hasn't shown she can handle a high-level all-around fight. He also mentions that if Godinez accepts taking hard counters and tries to break Ducote, it could work, but he suspects Ducote will persuade her not to.
Daniel Levi picks Emily Ducote as a slight underdog. He thinks Godinez is still developing and has shown vulnerabilities, while Ducote has better volume and striking. He envisions the fight being close, possibly 1-1 going into the third, where Ducote's experience and output could earn her a decision. He notes Ducote landed 116 significant strikes in her UFC debut and believes she can stuff takedowns and chip away over three rounds.
The host picks Lupita Godinez, believing her wrestling will be the difference maker. He thinks Godinez has slicker boxing and can chain takedowns behind combinations. He expects a decision win, though notes Ducate is a good kickboxer and the fight could be close.
Paul agrees, noting that Godinez's win over Calvillo was close and could have gone either way. He thinks Ducote is more dynamic on the feet and that the line offers value. He is not confident enough to bet but picks Ducote.
The MMA Guru picks Lupita Godinez, citing her versatility as a Swiss Army knife compared to Ducote's striking-focused style. He likes the quick turnaround and believes Godinez will mix in grappling to push a pace. He notes Godinez's wins over Ariane Carnelossi and Loma Lookboonmee, the latter being a better striker than Ducote. He expects a close decision, 29-28.
Zane picks Ducote, reasoning that Godinez's pressure style may not work well against a sharp counter puncher like Ducote. He notes that Ducote has a reach advantage and can land counters when Godinez tries to swarm. However, he expresses concern about Ducote's tendency to shut down under pressure, as seen against Angela Hill, and her lackluster UFC performances. He also worries about Godinez's wrestling if she can get the fight to the ground.
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Sijara Eubanks but is hesitant due to her cardio issues and age. He notes Eubanks has good wrestling and a BJJ black belt, and her cardio seemed fixed in her last fight. Luana Carolina is a striker with good clinch work and 90% takedown defense, but Angelo questions the quality of opponents. He believes Eubanks will eventually get takedowns and control the fight, but the odds are too wide. He considers prop bets but is unsure.
Big Brady picks Loopy Godinez (referred to as Eubanks) as the clear winner, citing her superior striking and ground game. He notes Godinez is a black belt with submissions, while Carolina has questionable ground game but good takedown defense. He has concerns about Godinez's age and weight cut affecting her gas tank, but still expects a win.
Cody is high on Godinez, noting her improved grappling and boxing. He believes she can win on the feet with clean technical boxing or take the fight to the ground where Carolina is weak. He points out Carolina's poor grappling and suspect cardio, and thinks Godinez's skills translate well regardless of the weight class.
Daniel picks Luana Carolina as a slight underdog, feeling the line is too wide. He notes that Luana has paid more dues in the UFC and showed improvement in her last fight against Poliana Botelho. He compares Loopy Godinez to Jessica Andrade but thinks Luana's Muay Thai and experience with power punchers (like Priscila Cachoeira) give her a chance. He calls it a dog-or-pass situation and expects a close decision.
Godinez is a much better wrestler than anyone Carolina has faced, and Carolina's takedown defense is untested against high-level grappling. Godinez will close the distance, take the fight to the ground, and likely finish via submission or ground-and-pound. The inside distance prop at +255 is excellent value.
Paul does not make a clear pick, expressing concern about the size disparity and the possibility of the fight being scrapped due to weight issues. He notes Carolina's reach advantage and that Godinez is moving up in weight on short notice.
The MMA Guru picks Loopy Godinez (referred to as Ciara Eubanks) due to her tougher competition and physical strength. He criticizes Luana Carolina's ground game and predicts Godinez will make it messy, get takedowns, and win by ground-and-pound TKO in the first or second round. He emphasizes Godinez's masculinity and power.
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