Fight card

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi

November 02, 2024 Rogers Place Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
Brandon Moreno

Brandon Moreno W

23-10-2
Decision (unanimous) (49–46, 50–45, 50–45) R5 5:00
Fight 1 VS Flyweight Completed

Brandon Moreno

No odds available.

Amir Albazi

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Brandon Moreno

Age32
Height5' 7"
Reach70.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Amir Albazi

Age32
Height5' 5"
Reach68.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Brandon Moreno

3.84SLpM
44.0%Str. Acc.
3.64SApM
59.0%Str. Def.
1.36TD Avg
39.0%TD Acc.
65.0%TD Def.
0.4Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Amir Albazi

2.47SLpM
33.0%Str. Acc.
3.88SApM
59.0%Str. Def.
1.18TD Avg
25.0%TD Acc.
62.0%TD Def.
0.4Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Amir Albazi

Angelo picks Amir Albazi to pull off the upset, citing Moreno's recent flat performances and loss of aura. He thinks Albazi can time takedowns and sneak out a win if Moreno looks flat-footed again. He wishes Albazi were more active with pressure and volume, like Brandon Royval. He notes the year layoff for Albazi and uncertainty about Moreno's form, so he will avoid betting on this fight.

"I love Brandon as a fighter I'm gonna pick Amir albazi here I think he can pull off the upset I just wish he was more active if Amir abazi was more active with tons of pressure tons …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Brandon Moreno

Big Brady picks Brandon Moreno to win by decision. He questions Albazi's resume, noting his best win is a controversial decision over Kai Kara-France. Brady thinks Moreno's scrambling will neutralize Albazi's takedowns, and on the feet, Moreno is the better striker with better volume and cardio. He also cites Moreno's activity and experience in five-round fights.

"I'm going to take a Moreno here I'm going to take Mareno to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Brandon Moreno

Cody picks Brandon Moreno, citing his wrestling advantage over Albazi, who has only 33% takedown accuracy and 40% takedown defense. He notes Moreno's volume striking and five-round experience, but acknowledges the risk of Moreno being unmotivated after his partial retirement. He believes Moreno's reinvigorated version will win a decision.

"I want to take my shot on Brandon Moreno... he's got a wrestling advantage over Amir albazi... I'll take Brandon Moreno to hopefully come back and get a successful return."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Amir Albazi

Daniel Vreeland picks Amir Albazi to upset Brandon Moreno. He believes Moreno is at a crossroads after losing the belt twice and showing signs of decline, while Albazi is in his prime and has improved significantly since his neck surgery. Vreeland notes that Albazi is a plus-150 underdog and expects a close, competitive fight where he favors the younger, hungrier fighter. He also mentions that betting against Moreno at dog odds has historically worked for him.

"I'm GNA take Amir albazi to come out here and upset the great Brandon Morena"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Amir Albazi

Lucrative James picks Amir Albazi to win by decision, citing Moreno's decline in recent fights and Albazi's control time advantage. He notes Moreno looked washed against Pantoja and Royval, while Albazi is undefeated in the UFC and has strong grappling. He believes Albazi's trajectory is higher and that Moreno's best days are behind him.

"I have to take am albazi to win here I don't think it's going to be an easy fight I think it's going to be a close fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Brandon Moreno

Moreno looked un-Moreno-like in his last performance, but the layoff will do wonders. He has good defensive work against wrestlers, which will allow him to keep the fight standing where he has the striking and cardio advantage, battering Albazi in three or four of the five rounds and winning on the scorecards.

"I think we've seen good enough defensive work from Moreno in the past specifically against wrestlers and that will allow him to keep this fight in the standup realm where he has the five round experience striking advantage …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Brandon Moreno

Paul agrees with Cody, pointing out that Albazi's takedown defense is a red flag after being taken down twice by Kai Kara-France. He emphasizes Moreno's superior competition and durability, and believes Moreno's volume and wrestling will lead to a decision win. He also notes that Moreno's chin has held up and he's fought the best in the division.

"The volume's never been there for him everything kind of points to Brandon Moreno as far as I'm concerned as well... if Moreno doesn't get knocked out in this fight he should win a volume based decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Brandon Moreno

The Guru picks Brandon Moreno over Amir Albazi, citing Albazi's long layoff and severe injuries (broken spine, neck surgery). He believes Moreno's experience and five-round cardio will be key, and he doubts Albazi can hold Moreno down or out-strike him. He predicts a close decision win for Moreno, 3-2 rounds.

decision win, close 3-2 rounds
"I'm gonna go with Brandon Moreno getting this one done three rounder... Brandon Moreno decision win close 32 on rounds"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Erin Blanchfield

Erin Blanchfield W

14-2
Decision (unanimous) (48–47, 48–47, 48–47) R5 5:00
Fight 2 VS Women's Flyweight Completed

Erin Blanchfield

No odds available.

Rose Namajunas

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Erin Blanchfield

Age27
Height5' 4"
Reach66.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Rose Namajunas

Age33
Height5' 5"
Reach65.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Erin Blanchfield

5.24SLpM
44.0%Str. Acc.
4.25SApM
58.0%Str. Def.
1.96TD Avg
34.0%TD Acc.
78.0%TD Def.
0.9Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Rose Namajunas

3.5SLpM
41.0%Str. Acc.
3.38SApM
63.0%Str. Def.
1.47TD Avg
48.0%TD Acc.
62.0%TD Def.
0.3Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

Angelo picks Rose Namajunas confidently, calling her an all-time great and a better striker than Erin Blanchfield. He notes Blanchfield's inability to get takedowns was exposed against Manon Fiorot, and without that, she is stuck in a striking match with a superior striker. He thinks five rounds help Rose, as she can afford to lose a round if taken down. He placed a half unit bet on Rose at plus 100 (even money).

half unit on Rose Namajunas at +100
"Rose should absolutely win this fight five rounds only helps Rose because if she does get taken down in a round and gives one up she's got four more to cover the distance she's not only the pick …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

Big Brady picks Rose Namajunas to win by decision. He questions Erin Blanchfield's wrestling, noting her low takedown accuracy (33%) and failure to take down opponents like Fiorot and Santos. He believes on the feet, Rose is clearly superior, and even if taken down, Rose's scrambling is good. Brady likes the plus money and thinks the big cage favors Rose.

plus money
"at plus money I'm going to I'm going to take the dog here and and Rose nunas I think it's going to be a very close fight... I'll take her to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

Cody picks Rose Namajunas as an underdog, arguing that Blanchfield's takedown struggles against Manon Fiorot (0 for 3) and Taila Santos (0 for 14) show she can't reliably take down elite grapplers. He believes Rose's striking, footwork, and takedown defense will keep the fight standing, where she has the advantage. He also notes Rose's experience in five-round fights and her ability to mix in takedowns herself.

"I do kind of feel like maybe the plus money on Rose Nom units is a little more warranted so I'm going to go with that and I'm going to take RADS."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Daniel Vreeland picks Erin Blanchfield to win, arguing that the line is influenced by recency bias from Blanchfield's loss to Manon Fiorot. He points out that Rose Namajunas has poor takedown defense (under 60%) compared to Fiorot's 93%, and that Blanchfield's grappling is a different level—she can take the back and submit opponents. Vreeland expects Blanchfield to pressure Namajunas, get takedowns, and potentially finish via ground-and-pound or submission.

"I'm going Aaron blanchfield to get back on track regain her hype"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Lucrative James picks Erin Blanchfield to win inside the distance, emphasizing her grappling advantage. He notes Rose has been taken down in recent fights and that Blanchfield's wrestling will be decisive. He believes Rose has lost some athleticism and that Blanchfield can finish via submission, likely a rear-naked choke.

wins inside the distance
"I'm taking Aaron blanchfield in this one and I actually think she gets it done inside the distance"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

Namajunas has shown tremendous defensive grappling improvements, and that will get her a victory over Blanchfield. She will win at least three of the five rounds by out-pointing and out-damaging Blanchfield, winning on the scorecards and positioning herself for a title shot.

"Namajunas has shown tremendous defensive grappling improvements and I believe that will get her a victory here over Blanchfield look for Namajunas to win at least three of the five rounds here by out pointing and out damaging …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

Paul sides with Rose but is less confident, expecting a close split decision. He notes that Blanchfield's path to victory is through takedowns, but Rose has shown improved takedown defense and can win on the feet. He mentions the common opponent Jessica Andrade, where Rose won by decision and Blanchfield by submission, but sees the fight as competitive. He plans to bet the split decision prop rather than the moneyline.

split decision prop
"I expect the fight to be incredibly close on the feet on the mat and I'm going to side with rose but I don't plan on betting this but yeah I'll be looking for the split decision prop."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

The Guru picks Rose Namajunas over Erin Blanchfield, calling Blanchfield overrated. He praises Namajunas's technical skills, scrambles, and wrestling reactions. He notes Blanchfield's poor performance against Manon Fiorot and believes Namajunas will win as an underdog.

"I'm going to go Rose wellt Tred fighter I don't think she's like man on fioro level but she took it to man on fioro and she broke her hand in that fight"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Brendson Ribeiro

Brendson Ribeiro W

17-10
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00
Fight 3 VS Light Heavyweight Completed

Brendson Ribeiro

No odds available.

Caio Machado

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Brendson Ribeiro

Age29
Height6' 3"
Reach81.0"
Weight205 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Caio Machado

Age31
Height6' 4"
Reach78.0"
Weight250 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Career Averages - Brendson Ribeiro

3.04SLpM
42.0%Str. Acc.
3.91SApM
53.0%Str. Def.
0.85TD Avg
42.0%TD Acc.
21.0%TD Def.
0.6Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Caio Machado

5.82SLpM
53.0%Str. Acc.
2.87SApM
63.0%Str. Def.
0.0TD Avg
0.0%TD Acc.
82.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Caio Machado

Angelo picks Caio Machado as the cleaner fighter with more ways to win. He notes Machado is well-rounded, has volume and footwork, good clinch work, and underrated BJJ. He acknowledges Brendson Ribeiro could come in wild and connect, but outside of that, Machado is the better fighter. He shares a funny anecdote about accidentally messaging Machado instead of another fighter.

"I think Kyle should win he's the cleaner fighter he's more buttoned up he has more ways to win obviously Breon could come in wild and connect but outside of that Kyle's just the better fighter so Kyle's …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Caio Machado

Big Brady picks Caio Machado to win by decision. He notes that Ribeiro has poor cardio (about 7.5 minutes of gas) and that Machado, moving down from heavyweight, should have better cardio and volume. Brady thinks Machado can take over as the fight progresses, either by outworking Ribeiro on the feet or by taking him down. He mentions Ribeiro's takedown defense looked awful in his last fight.

"I'm going Machado here I'm going Machado to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Caio Machado

Cody picks Caio Machado, noting his improved physique at light heavyweight and his volume striking. He criticizes Ribeiro as a glass cannon with poor cardio and durability, and believes Machado's cardio, volume, and grappling advantage will allow him to outwork Ribeiro. He also mentions Machado's experience and the favorable judging in Canada.

over 1.5 rounds
"I think Machado will either win the decision or just beat him late when he Fades so sign me up for bigfoot first time ever I'm back at him."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Caio Machado

Daniel Vreeland picks Caio Machado to win his light heavyweight debut, despite acknowledging his poor technique. He notes that Brendson Ribeiro has a questionable chin and heart, getting hurt in every fight and covering up when in trouble. Vreeland believes Machado's toughness and willingness to push through adversity will overcome Ribeiro's technical edge, especially since Ribeiro has shown a tendency to quit.

"I'm gonna go Kyle Machado to come out here and win his uh light heavyweight debut"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Brendson Ribeiro

Lucrative James picks Brendson Ribeiro, citing his early finishing upside and Machado's questionable durability. He notes Machado is moving down from heavyweight, which may zap his speed advantage, and that Ribeiro has power to finish early. He also mentions Ribeiro's poor fight IQ and cardio but believes he can get the win.

"I'm going to pick Brendan rero in this fight or Brenson rero I should say"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Caio Machado

Machado is going down to light heavyweight for the first time after starting 0-2 in the UFC, but this is a winnable fight where he should have the overall advantage and grind Ribeiro out, winning on the scorecards.

"I do think this is a very winnable fight for him where he should be able to have the overall advantage and grind Ribeiro out winning this fight on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Caio Machado

Paul also picks Machado, citing his volume and cardio advantage over Ribeiro, who he sees as a power puncher with questionable durability. He notes that Machado has looked better at light heavyweight and should be able to outwork Ribeiro. He also mentions the over 1.5 rounds prop as a possibility.

over 1.5 rounds
"I think Machado will either win the decision or just beat him late when he Fades so sign me up for bigfoot first time ever I'm back at him."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Brendson Ribeiro

The Guru picks Brendson Ribeiro over Caio Machado, though he expresses disdain for heavyweights. He notes Ribeiro's close loss to Gadzhi Omargadzhiev and believes regional heavyweights are better athletes. He predicts a TKO win for Ribeiro.

TKO
"I'm going to go with Brenson riro getting a TKO win over Machado"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Jasmine Jasudavicius

Jasmine Jasudavicius W

15-4
Submission (brabo choke) R3 2:28
Fight 4 VS Women's Flyweight Completed

Jasmine Jasudavicius

No odds available.

Ariane da Silva

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Jasmine Jasudavicius

Age37
Height5' 7"
Reach68.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Ariane da Silva

AgeN/A
Height5' 6"
Reach67.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Jasmine Jasudavicius

3.7SLpM
45.0%Str. Acc.
3.71SApM
51.0%Str. Def.
2.59TD Avg
44.0%TD Acc.
75.0%TD Def.
0.6Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Ariane da Silva

4.05SLpM
41.0%Str. Acc.
4.4SApM
50.0%Str. Def.
0.47TD Avg
38.0%TD Acc.
68.0%TD Def.
0.3Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Angelo is confident Jasmine wins, citing her superior wrestling and pressure. He disagrees with those who think Ariane da Silva is a bad matchup for Jasmine. He notes Ariane has improved but Jasmine is a better wrestler than Karini Silva, who outwrestled Ariane. He expects Jasmine to get takedowns and win, though he wishes the line were more affordable. He may add action as the week goes on.

"Jasmine wins this fight she is minus 184 wish she was a little more affordable than that but I am confident she gets the takedown confident she gets the win and we'll have some action on her as …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Big Brady picks Jasmine Jasudavicius to win by decision, but with some concern. He acknowledges that Ariane da Silva has improved her takedown defense significantly, stuffing many takedowns in recent fights. However, Brady believes Jasudavicius is a much better wrestler than those opponents and will get takedowns. He notes that if Jasudavicius can't get takedowns, she is in trouble on the feet, but he leans toward her wrestling winning out.

"I'll take Jasmine here to win this fight by decision could get sketchy she's probably going to eat some big shots but I'll take Jaz deicious to win this fight by decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Cody picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, expecting her to spam takedowns and rack up control time. He notes that Ariane Lipski has been taken down frequently in the past, and Jasudavicius's wrestling should be enough to win a decision. He acknowledges that Jasudavicius's striking is not elite but believes her grappling will be the difference.

"I expect her to go out there spam take Downs get rack up a whole bunch of control time and probably win a very convincing decision."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Daniel Vreeland picks Jasmine Jasudavicius to pace Ariane da Silva, but notes it's a pass at the betting line. He acknowledges da Silva's recent improvements in maturity and output, but believes Jasudavicius's relentless pace and pressure will be too much. Vreeland expects Jasudavicius to push the pace and potentially get a finish, though he's not confident enough to bet at -225.

"I'm picking Jasmine jici is to come out here and the pace Arian lipsky"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Jasudavicius will put a grind on da Silva, put her in uncomfortable positions, chain wrestling attempts together, and win on the scorecards. Da Silva's defensive grappling improvements were against lower-level grapplers, and she struggled against more impressive grapplers like Jasudavicius.

"Jasudavicius should be able to put that grind on her put her in uncomfortable positions chain wrestling attempts together and win this fight on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
No clear pick

Paul picks Ariane Lipski as an underdog, arguing that her takedown defense has improved significantly since joining American Top Team, stuffing 21 straight takedown attempts before facing Karine Silva. He believes Lipski is the better striker and can keep the fight standing, where she has the advantage. He also notes that Jasudavicius struggled to takedown Tracy Cortez and was out struck in that fight.

"I take a flyer on the underdog here for lipsky."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

The Guru picks Jasmine Jasudavicius over Ariane da Silva, noting Jasudavicius's recent decent performances and size advantage. He questions da Silva's consistency and believes Jasudavicius's momentum and reach will carry her to a win.

"I'm going to go Jasmine judicious little bit bigger as well little bit rangier that goes a long way in these lower divisions"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Dustin Stoltzfus

Dustin Stoltzfus W

16-8
KO (punches) R1 4:28
Fight 5 VS Middleweight Completed

Dustin Stoltzfus

No odds available.

Marc-André Barriault

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Dustin Stoltzfus

Age34
Height6' 0"
Reach75.0"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Marc-André Barriault

Age36
Height6' 1"
Reach74"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Dustin Stoltzfus

3.3SLpM
45.0%Str. Acc.
3.23SApM
47.0%Str. Def.
2.08TD Avg
37.0%TD Acc.
46.0%TD Def.
1.1Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Marc-André Barriault

5.65SLpM
47.0%Str. Acc.
5.94SApM
49.0%Str. Def.
0.34TD Avg
28.0%TD Acc.
68.0%TD Def.
0.1Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Angelo picks Marc-André Barriault, expecting him to weather an early storm from Dustin Stoltzfus and take over with volume. He notes Barriault has impressive striking volume (almost 6 sig strikes per minute) but is also hit a lot. He thinks Stoltzfus is dangerous early with power but has a questionable chin. He suggests betting the over if a 1.5 round line is available, as the fight could go long.

over 1.5 rounds if available
"Mark Andre is going to be the pick I think he can weather an early storm Dustin is dangerous and Mark was just knocked out but I think Joe pyer hits at like a completely different velocity than …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Big Brady picks Marc-André Barriault to win by decision. He likes Barriault's cardio, volume, and takedown defense. He thinks Stoltzfus's striking is not good and that Barriault will piece him up over 15 minutes. Brady expects Barriault to stuff takedowns and outwork Stoltzfus on the feet.

"give me bario bario to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Cody picks Marc-André Barriault, citing his pressure, power, and volume advantage over Stoltzfus. He notes that Stoltzfus relies on wrestling but has poor takedown success against strong grapplers, and Barriault's takedown defense is solid. He also mentions Stoltzfus's recent KO loss and potential psychological issues, and believes Barriault can finish him late or win a decision.

"I feel like bario should be one of them."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Daniel Vreeland picks Marc-André Barriault, citing his durability and tendency to get better as the fight progresses. He questions Dustin Stoltzfus's confidence and ability to handle adversity, noting that Barriault will expose any weaknesses in cardio or chin. Vreeland acknowledges Stoltzfus's skills but believes Barriault's toughness and pressure will prevail, though the price (-205) makes it a pass for betting.

"I'mma pick Mark Andre bario"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Lucrative James picks Marc-André Barriault, expecting him to dominate with pace and pressure in the clinch. He believes Stoltzfus will be competitive in round one but fade, and that Barriault will get a third-round finish or decision. He highlights Barriault's body shots and uppercuts in the clinch.

round three or decision
"I'm taking mab to survive T some type of storm to have a competitive round one but start to dominate round two and round three"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Barriault is coming back too quickly after a knockout, but if his durability holds up, he should put pace and pressure on Stoltzfus and finish him in the second or third round via TKO.

finish in second or third round via TKO
"I do believe if his durability hold up holds up here he should do a good enough job in terms of putting pace and pressure on Stoltzfus and finishing him in the second or third round via TKO."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Paul agrees with Cody, adding that Stoltzfus's recent facial fracture and nerve damage may affect his performance. He notes that Barriault's constant pressure and power should overwhelm Stoltzfus, and he sees a potential late stoppage. He also suggests live betting Barriault if he loses the first round.

"I think bario but I'm going to avoid like the split decision kind of angle... I do actually think it's possible that barrier gets him out of there."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

The Guru picks Marc-André Barriault over Dustin Stoltzfus, believing Barriault's pace and activity will be decisive. He notes Stoltzfus lacks finishing ability and cardio, while Barriault keeps a high output. He expects a decision win for Barriault.

decision
"I'm G to go against Dustin stsus shock twist I know and go of Mark Andre barel I just see this making it into the decision area"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Mike Malott

Mike Malott W

14-2-1
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Fight 6 VS Welterweight Completed

Mike Malott

No odds available.

Trevin Giles

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Mike Malott

Age34
Height6' 1"
Reach73.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Trevin Giles

Age33
Height6' 0"
Reach74.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Mike Malott

3.93SLpM
48.0%Str. Acc.
3.06SApM
56.0%Str. Def.
1.88TD Avg
50.0%TD Acc.
14.0%TD Def.
0.8Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Trevin Giles

3.17SLpM
54.0%Str. Acc.
2.39SApM
58.0%Str. Def.
1.07TD Avg
50.0%TD Acc.
72.0%TD Def.
0.3Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Angelo picks Mike Malott despite his recent quit against Neil Magny, calling it a 'quitters discount.' He thinks Malott is better everywhere except the jab, and should be faster, stronger, and a better wrestler. He acknowledges the PTSD from the quit but says Malott should win and is more affordable than he should be. He hesitates to bet due to the quit but thinks it's probably worth betting.

quitters discount
"Mike mot's going to be the pick I do have some Vietnam meme style flashbacks of him just quitting with a couple of seconds left so it's hard for me to pull the trigger in a bet but …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Big Brady picks Mike Malott to win by second-round submission. He acknowledges Malott's questionable chin and cardio but notes that Trevin Giles has a history of finding ways to lose, often by finish (six finish losses). Brady expects Giles to get submitted again, possibly via club and sub. He thinks Malott's power and submission threat will be too much for Giles.

submission in round 2
"give me a Mike mot I'll say submit trevan Giles in the second round maybe even a club and Subs yeah Mike mot second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Cody picks Mike Malott, citing his athleticism, technical striking, and grappling advantage. He notes that Malott took Giles down easily in a previous grappling match and believes he can do so again. He acknowledges Malott's cardio issues in the Neil Magny fight but trusts that Malott has made adjustments. He also mentions Giles's jab as a concern but believes Malott's speed and wrestling will prevail.

"I got Mike mot I think he'll probably end up on the second line but just a little sliver of uncertainty is going to keep him off the first line likely for me this week."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Daniel Vreeland picks Mike Malott, citing Trevin Giles's history of imploding in fights despite looking good early. He references Giles's multiple comeback losses and a previous grappling match where Giles lost after competing early. Vreeland expects Giles to start strong but eventually make a mistake, allowing Malott to secure an opportunistic finish. He notes the price is high but is confident in the pick.

"I'm G pick Mike mot to to get an opportunistic finish"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Trevin Giles

Lucrative James picks Trevin Giles as a value bet, despite predicting Malott is more likely to win. He notes Malott's questionable durability and that Giles has a real chance to win. He likes the fight doesn't go to decision prop as a hedge, expecting a finish either way.

fight doesn't go to decision
"small bet on trevan Gils at the price makes sense for me and maybe a bigger bet on the fight doesn't go to decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Trevin Giles

Malott can land big power and put Giles away, but Giles' striking speed and overall advantage should allow him to put pace on Malott and run away late, getting a finish in the second or third round.

finish in second or third round
"I believe Giles's striking speed and overall Advantage here should allow him to put up pace on Malott and run away late with this matchup and end up getting a finish in the second or third round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Paul also picks Malott, noting his familiarity with Giles from their grappling match and his improved mindset after the Magny loss. He believes Malott's speed and technique will overcome Giles's jab, and that Giles's cardio is also questionable. He sees Malott as the rightful favorite and likely a top pick in their PRP.

"I think he's the rightful favor and I figure he probably going to be relatively at the top of your PRP this week."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The Guru picks Mike Malott over Trevin Giles, citing Malott's grappling advantage and leg kicks. He notes Malott's dominant grappling against Neil Magny and believes he can out-grapple Giles. He predicts a submission win.

submission
"I'm going to go with Mike mallow here I think he'll be able to outg Grapple Trevon Giles and I'll take him by submission"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Aiemann Zahabi

Aiemann Zahabi W

14-2
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Fight 7 VS Bantamweight Completed

Aiemann Zahabi

Moneyline
BetWay -188
KO/TKO
BetWay +1000
Submission
BetMGM +2500
Decision
BetWay +105

Pedro Munhoz

Moneyline
Caesars +190
KO/TKO
FanDuel +1000
Submission
FanDuel +1500
Decision
BetRivers +270
Fighter Stats

Aiemann Zahabi

Age38
Height5' 8"
Reach68.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Pedro Munhoz

Age39
Height5' 6"
Reach65.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Aiemann Zahabi

4.54SLpM
47.0%Str. Acc.
4.08SApM
69.0%Str. Def.
0.12TD Avg
14.0%TD Acc.
83.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Pedro Munhoz

5.38SLpM
41.0%Str. Acc.
6.29SApM
55.0%Str. Def.
0.48TD Avg
16.0%TD Acc.
82.0%TD Def.
0.5Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

Angelo picks Aiemann Zahabi due to high fight IQ and a well-trained corner (brother Firas). He notes Pedro Munhoz is a volume striker with dangerous BJJ but negative striking differential. He thinks Zahabi's point-fighting style could work, but if he just sits on right hands, Munhoz will touch him up. He says over 2.5 rounds is probably safe but likely won't bet this fight.

over 2.5 rounds is probably safe
"aan is going to be the pick because of the high fight IQ because of the the well-trained corner"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Pedro Munhoz

Big Brady picks Pedro Munhoz to win by decision. He criticizes Zahabi's low output (3.43 significant strikes per minute) and boring style, while Munhoz is more active (5.32 per minute) and has fought tougher competition. Brady likes Munhoz's leg kicks, durability, and takedown defense. He notes that Zahabi does nothing in the cage and that Munhoz's experience against top fighters gives him the edge.

"ped mun is by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Pedro Munhoz

Cody picks Pedro Munhoz, citing his durability and higher level of competition. He notes that Munhoz has fought top bantamweights and has a BJJ black belt, though he rarely uses it. He believes Munhoz's aggression and pressure could overwhelm Zahabi, but acknowledges the fight is close and could go either way. He is wary of hometown judging but sides with the Brazilian.

"I'll go with P J Munoz who historically just has like decent you know a very very very good durability."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Pedro Munhoz

Daniel Vreeland picks Pedro Munhoz, despite acknowledging his decline from a top-five ranking. He believes Munhoz's higher output, calf kicks, and durability (never knocked down) will be too much for Aiemann Zahabi. Vreeland notes that Zahabi is 36 and not a young prospect, and that Munhoz's experience and pace should earn him a close decision, though he admits a Canadian bias could affect judging.

"go Pedro Munoz here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

Zahabi is on a Cinderella run with upset victories in his last four wins. He will out-strike and out-volume Munhoz en route to a decision victory.

"Look for him to go out there and pick up his biggest Victory this weekend as he out strikes and out volumes Munoz on route to a decision Victory."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

Paul picks Aiemann Zahabi, arguing that Munhoz is older (38) and has slowed down, while Zahabi is fresher with less mileage. He notes Zahabi's reach advantage and precise striking, and believes he can keep Munhoz at range with his jab. He also mentions Zahabi's four-fight winning streak and momentum, and that Munhoz's aggressive style plays into Zahabi's counter-striking game.

"I'll take a a hobby cuz the lines pretty well even."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

The Guru picks Aiemann Zahabi over Pedro Munhoz, believing Munhoz is declining. He notes Zahabi's movement and strategy from the Firas Zahabi camp, and expects Zahabi to pick apart Munhoz's dipping, hook-swinging style. He predicts a close decision, possibly 29-28.

close decision
"I'm GNA go with amen zahabi I don't think he puts away Pedro manoz but I think he can figure out that style of mun where he just comes in all Twitchy with his hands"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Charles Jourdain

Charles Jourdain W

18-8-1
Submission (guillotine choke) R2 3:43
Fight 8 VS Bantamweight Completed

Charles Jourdain

Moneyline
BetWay -138
KO/TKO
FanDuel +550
Submission
BetWay +1600
Decision
BetRivers +155

Victor Henry

Moneyline
Caesars +150
KO/TKO
FanDuel +1200
Submission
FanDuel +1000
Decision
FanDuel +185
Fighter Stats

Charles Jourdain

Age30
Height5' 9"
Reach69.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceSwitch

Victor Henry

Age39
Height5' 7"
Reach68.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceSwitch

Career Averages - Charles Jourdain

5.48SLpM
49.0%Str. Acc.
4.25SApM
56.0%Str. Def.
0.33TD Avg
21.0%TD Acc.
47.0%TD Def.
0.7Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Victor Henry

7.17SLpM
53.0%Str. Acc.
5.19SApM
48.0%Str. Def.
1.04TD Avg
42.0%TD Acc.
81.0%TD Def.
0.3Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Victor Henry

Angelo is confident Victor Henry wins, calling Charles Jourdain 'just not that good' despite being fun. He thinks Henry has better technique and cardio, and will outwork Jourdain. He notes Henry is 37 but still looks good and fights smart. He placed a half unit bet on Henry at even money (minus 110). He acknowledges Jourdain has a fanbase but insists he is not an upper echelon fighter.

half unit on Victor Henry at -110
"Victor's going to be the pick and I actually threw a half unit on an even money at minus 110"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Victor Henry

Big Brady picks Victor Henry to win by decision. He likes Henry's nonstop volume (8.5 significant strikes per minute) and notes that Jourdain is a slow starter and has struggled with wrestling recently. Brady thinks Jourdain won't be able to take Henry down and that Henry's pace will overwhelm Jourdain over 15 minutes. He is picking against another Canadian.

"I'm going Henry to win this fight just based off of you know just doing a lot more over 15 so Henry by decision for me"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Victor Henry

Cody picks Victor Henry, citing his volume, wrestling, and experience. He questions Jourdain's weight cut to bantamweight and notes his recent KO loss and poor performances. He believes Henry's well-rounded game and durability will allow him to outwork Jourdain, especially if Jourdain struggles with the cut. He expects a close decision but favors Henry.

"I'm going to side with the volume and Victor Henry."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Daniel Vreeland picks Charles Jourdain to win his bantamweight debut, citing the size advantage after dropping down. He believes Jourdain's movement, kicks, and range will trouble Victor Henry, who has been outclassed by faster opponents. Vreeland notes Henry's toughness but thinks Jourdain's experience at higher weight classes and finally being the bigger fighter will lead to a win, though he wants to see the weigh-ins first.

"I'm gonna go Charles a Jordan to come out here and win his bantamweight debut"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Victor Henry

Henry is a very experienced and difficult opponent who has never been finished in his 30-fight career. He will put a pace, pressure, and volume that Jourdain is not used to, allowing Henry to grind out a win on the scorecards.

"Henry has never been finished in his 30 fight career and I expect him to go out there and put a pace pressure and volume that Jourdain is not used to allowing Henry to grind this fight out …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Victor Henry

Paul also picks Henry, noting his superior volume and wrestling. He is concerned about Jourdain's weight cut and recent knockout loss, and believes Henry's pressure and grappling will be too much. He sees the fight as close but expects Henry to edge it out, possibly by split decision.

"I'm with you I'm going to side with the volume and Victor Henry."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

The Guru picks Charles Jourdain over Victor Henry, citing Jourdain's physicality and dynamic striking. He believes Jourdain's clinch work and knees to the body will be key, and he predicts a TKO finish from the clinch. He notes that if Jourdain makes bantamweight effectively, he will have a significant advantage.

TKO from the clinch
"I'm going to go of Jordan with TKO I'm going to say it comes from the clinch"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Youssef Zalal

Youssef Zalal W

18-6-1
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 0:59
Fight 9 VS Featherweight Completed

Youssef Zalal

Moneyline
FanDuel -300
KO/TKO
FanDuel +500
Submission
FanDuel +750
Decision
BetWay +105

Jack Shore

Moneyline
BetWay +250
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1800
Submission
BetRivers +1300
Decision
BetMGM +400
Fighter Stats

Youssef Zalal

Age29
Height5' 10"
Reach72.0"
Weight145 lbs.
StanceSwitch

Jack Shore

Age31
Height5' 8"
Reach71.0"
Weight145 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Youssef Zalal

3.03SLpM
50.0%Str. Acc.
1.78SApM
66.0%Str. Def.
2.17TD Avg
31.0%TD Acc.
59.0%TD Def.
1.4Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Jack Shore

3.6SLpM
58.0%Str. Acc.
2.31SApM
56.0%Str. Def.
3.22TD Avg
39.0%TD Acc.
74.0%TD Def.
0.6Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Angelo sees Youssef Zalal as the better wrestler, grappler, and more technical striker in this matchup. He notes Zalal's 2.0 version since returning to the UFC has been a buzzsaw, with improved wrestling and ground control. He mentions Zalal's low striking absorption rate (1.73 per minute) and high fight IQ. He also highlights Zalal's recent submission win over Jarno Errens. Angelo is confident Zalal will win and considers the -225 price affordable.

likely to do some work with the -225 line
"I love Yousef in this matchup I think he's going to be the better wrestler the better Grappler the more technical Striker and right now this minute he's an affordable minus 225 and I'm likely going to do …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Big Brady picks Youssef Zalal to win by decision. He notes that Zalal has looked much more aggressive in his second UFC stint, finishing opponents, while Jack Shore is moving up to featherweight and will be undersized. Brady believes Zalal is the better striker and can compete in grappling, stuffing takedowns and possibly getting his own. He expects a close fight but thinks Zalal does enough over 15 minutes.

"I'm going zow I'm going as allowed to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Cody picks Youssef Zalal, citing his improved grappling and striking since his return to the UFC. He notes that Zalal is younger, faster, and more well-rounded than Shore, who he sees as undersized and struggling against physical opponents. He believes Zalal's movement and takedown ability will be too much for Shore, and expects a dominant performance.

"The Moroccan devil to keep the winning ways going and you're going to see this kid entering the rankings pretty soon."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Daniel Vreeland picks Youssef Zalal, citing his resurgence and improved skills since returning to the UFC. He believes Zalal's movement, footwork, and ability to mix in takedowns will be too much for Jack Shore, who is stuck between weight classes. Vreeland notes that Zalal has looked impressive against solid competition and is on a trajectory to face ranked opponents, while Shore is underwhelming and in the wrong division.

"give me youus of zow there"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Shore is dealing with recency bias as a big underdog, but his relentless wrestling style can still prove fruitful, especially since Zalal doesn't present the athletic and physical dangers that Shore's recent opponents have, allowing Shore to grind out a win and spoil Zalal's winning streak.

"I believe his Relentless wrestling style can still prove fruitful especially with him starting his career off with a 16-0 perfect record I don't think Zalal presents the athletic and physical dangers that Shore's opponents recently have presented …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Paul agrees, noting that Zalal has looked impressive in his second UFC stint and has a well-rounded skill set. He points out that Shore struggles against physically stronger opponents and that Zalal's speed and technique will give him problems. He believes Zalal is the rightful favorite and should win comfortably.

"I like The Rebirth of zal... seems like he's ready to roll at this point."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

The Guru picks Youssef Zalal over Jack Shore, citing that Shore is not a true featherweight and lacks physicality. He notes Zalal's momentum, improvements in grappling, and recent performances, including a win over Billy Quarantillo as an underdog. He believes Zalal's technical skills and confidence will be key, while Shore's move up in weight is a disadvantage.

"I'm going to have to go with Yousef salao and it pains me to have to go against Jack Shaw because I'm a big fan of Jack sha but a dude is not a featherweight"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

AL

Alexandr Romanov W

Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00
Fight 10 VS Heavyweight Completed

Alexandr Romanov

Moneyline
BetRivers -132
KO/TKO
BetRivers +375
Submission
FanDuel +500
Decision
BetWay +400

Rodrigo Nascimento

Moneyline
Caesars +125
KO/TKO
FanDuel +550
Submission
BetRivers +600
Decision
DraftKings +400
Fighter Stats

Alexandr Romanov

AgeN/A
HeightN/A
ReachN/A
WeightN/A
StanceN/A

Rodrigo Nascimento

Age33
Height6' 2"
Reach80.0"
Weight246 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Alexandr Romanov

No career stats available.

Career Averages - Rodrigo Nascimento

3.71SLpM
47.0%Str. Acc.
4.34SApM
44.0%Str. Def.
1.02TD Avg
37.0%TD Acc.
60.0%TD Def.
0.5Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Alexandr Romanov

Angelo picks Romanov despite acknowledging he has a quit button and has looked soft recently. He believes Romanov is the better wrestler and only needs one takedown per round to win. He notes Romanov has been competing in grappling competitions outside the UFC. He admits he is a 'simp for wrestlers' and bet on Romanov at +115. He worries about Romanov's weight cut and says you never know until you see him on the scale.

bet on Romanov at +115
"I did bet on him at plus 115 I just saw the underdog money I believe in them I am a simp for wrestlers just a FYI so you know love it hate it tail it fade it"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rodrigo Nascimento

Big Brady picks Rodrigo Nascimento to win by second-round submission, but with low confidence. He heavily criticizes Romanov's cardio and submission defense, calling them the worst he's ever seen. Brady notes that if Romanov doesn't finish early, he gasses out. He trusts Nascimento's BJJ black belt and cardio, expecting him to survive takedowns and eventually submit a gassed Romanov. He says he wants to see weigh-ins before finalizing.

submission in round 2
"I got to go naso here just based out the fact that he is a BJJ black belt... I'll take naso second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Alexandr Romanov

Cody picks Alexander Romanov, citing his wrestling advantage and higher level of competition. He notes that Nascimento has poor durability and cardio, and has lost to lower-level opponents. He believes Romanov can win a striking fight or mix in takedowns to secure a victory. He acknowledges Romanov's inconsistency but sees Nascimento as a favorable matchup.

"I think Romanov can just strictly win a striking fight and I think he can mix in a few takedowns along the way."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rodrigo Nascimento

Daniel Vreeland picks Rodrigo Nascimento, citing Alexander Romanov's decline after being figured out and his lack of depth beyond suplexes. He believes Nascimento is more well-rounded and consistent, though he has a questionable chin. Vreeland notes that Romanov hasn't looked the same since his stunts and that Nascimento's improvement fight-to-fight gives him the edge, but he's not highly confident.

"I'm GNA pick uh Nasim Mena"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Rodrigo Nascimento

Romanov is dangerous early with his wrestling, but Nascimento will stay out of danger, pull away in the second and third rounds, and likely get a finish late.

finish late
"I believe Nascimento will be able to stay out of too much danger allowing him to pull away in the second and third rounds and probably getting a finish late."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Alexandr Romanov

Paul picks Romanov but is hesitant, noting his inconsistency and cardio issues. He believes Romanov's wrestling and physicality should be enough to beat Nascimento, who he sees as a lower-level heavyweight. He mentions that Romanov's best skill is his takedown ability, but he struggles to maintain control. He expects a close fight but favors Romanov.

"I'll side with Romanov and the fact that he should be able to dictate range of this fight if he wants."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Alexandr Romanov

The Guru picks Alexander Romanov over Rodrigo Nascimento, believing Romanov's grappling will be the difference. He criticizes Nascimento's talent level and notes Romanov's decent offensive grappling. He suggests a possible early TKO finish in the first round and mentions that betting on Romanov for an early finish might offer good odds.

TKO early, maybe first round finish, good odds
"I'm going to go with Alexander Romanov here to get it done over Rodrigo and asento maybe by TKO early or maybe a finish in the first round might be some good odds here"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Serhiy Sidey

Serhiy Sidey W

12-2
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Fight 11 VS Bantamweight Completed

Serhiy Sidey

Moneyline
Caesars -125
KO/TKO
FanDuel +500
Submission
FanDuel +1100
Decision
FanDuel +160

Garrett Armfield

Moneyline
FanDuel +116
KO/TKO
FanDuel +360
Submission
FanDuel +1600
Decision
BetRivers +360
Fighter Stats

Serhiy Sidey

Age29
Height5' 11"
Reach72.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceSwitch

Garrett Armfield

Age29
Height5' 6"
Reach70.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Serhiy Sidey

4.49SLpM
39.0%Str. Acc.
4.26SApM
54.0%Str. Def.
1.58TD Avg
25.0%TD Acc.
20.0%TD Def.
1.3Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Garrett Armfield

5.35SLpM
53.0%Str. Acc.
3.64SApM
56.0%Str. Def.
1.1TD Avg
50.0%TD Acc.
64.0%TD Def.
0.6Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Serhiy Sidey

Angelo picks Serhiy Sidey but admits he doesn't love Garrett Armfield for illogical reasons. He notes Sidey is tall and long, can grapple, but is chinny and was dropped in his last fight. He thinks Armfield has power and volume, but questions his durability. He expects a close fight and likely won't bet on it, though he notes Armfield is a good dog if on his side.

"I'm going to pick Siri though because I don't know if Garrett is durable enough to survive what Siri can send his way"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Big Brady picks Garrett Armfield as a dog to win by close decision. He acknowledges Sidey's volume and pressure but favors Armfield's power advantage, noting that Sidey has been dropped before. Brady worries about Armfield's cardio but notes he has improved his strength and conditioning. He expects a striking battle that goes the distance, with Armfield's power being the difference.

dog money
"I got to go Armfield here as a dog I'll take him to win this fight by a very close decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Cody picks Garrett Armfield, citing his wrestling background, jab, and experience. He notes that Sidey has poor takedown defense and takes too many shots, while Armfield has shown good volume and power. He believes Armfield's wrestling will be the difference, and that Sidey's face will get busted up. He also mentions Armfield's plus money value.

"I'm gonna go with Garett Armfield."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Serhiy Sidey

Daniel Vreeland picks Serhiy Sidey, citing his height and reach advantage (5'11" vs 5'6") and improved maturity after training with top bantamweights. He believes Sidey can keep the fight at range and out-volume Armfield, who has a history of gassing late. Vreeland acknowledges Armfield's power and ability to hurt opponents, but thinks Sidey's length and smart fight IQ will secure a win, possibly by decision.

"I'm gonna pick him to win this uh win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Serhiy Sidey

Sidey has the clear striking advantage, and as long as his defensive grappling improvements showcase, he should keep the fight in the striking realm, batter Armfield, and finish him in the second or third round.

finish in second or third round
"Sidey will have the clear striking Advantage but as long as his defensive grappling improvements showcase here he should be able to keep this fight in the Striking room batter Armfield and finish him in the second or …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Paul also picks Armfield but is hesitant due to a video showing Armfield injuring his arm in a side-by-side accident. He believes Armfield is the better striker and wrestler, but questions his health. He notes that if Armfield is healthy, he should win, but the injury concern gives him pause.

"Armfield may even have a wrestling Advantage for plus 130 he would definitely be the pick."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Serhiy Sidey

The Guru picks Serhiy Sidey over Garrett Armfield, noting Sidey's reach advantage and prospect status. He was unimpressed by Armfield's last performance against Brady Hiestand, where he was choked out. He expects a scrappy fight on the feet and believes Sidey's straight shots will be effective.

"I'm going to go with Siri City getting this one done straight straight shots down the pipe"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Cody Gibson

Cody Gibson W

22-12
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00
Fight 12 VS Bantamweight Completed

Cody Gibson

Moneyline
BetWay -250
KO/TKO
BetWay +700
Submission
BetRivers +390
Decision
BetMGM +125

Chad Anheliger

Moneyline
DraftKings +310
KO/TKO
FanDuel +1000
Submission
FanDuel +2600
Decision
BetRivers +390
Fighter Stats

Cody Gibson

Age38
Height5' 10"
Reach71.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Chad Anheliger

Age39
Height5' 6"
Reach64.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Cody Gibson

3.63SLpM
46.0%Str. Acc.
3.22SApM
57.0%Str. Def.
2.12TD Avg
37.0%TD Acc.
69.0%TD Def.
0.6Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Chad Anheliger

3.11SLpM
46.0%Str. Acc.
2.76SApM
53.0%Str. Def.
0.68TD Avg
30.0%TD Acc.
38.0%TD Def.
0.5Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Cody Gibson

Angelo picks Cody Gibson because he thinks Gibson can control the striking range and sneak in a few takedowns. He notes Chad Anheliger was taken down four times in his last fight but still won, and suggests a plus 3.5 round spread bet on Chad as a dog. He sees this as a close fight that could be 29-28 type, so the spread is appealing.

plus 3.5 round spread bet on Chad Anheliger
"I'm going to pick Cody here because I think he can control the Striking range and sneak in a few takedowns but it might be a plus three and a half bet on Chad he's a dog and …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Cody Gibson

Big Brady picks Cody Gibson to win by second-round submission. He notes Gibson's size and reach advantages, and that Anheliger has poor takedown defense (42%) and has been submitted six times. Brady expects Gibson to mix in takedowns and eventually work to a submission, citing that Jose Johnson outgrappled Anheliger in his last fight.

submission in round 2
"I like Gibson here I'll take him to win this fight by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Cody Gibson

Cody picks Cody Gibson, citing his size, reach, wrestling, and experience. He notes that Anheliger is smaller and older, and relies on grit but lacks the physical tools to compete with Gibson. He believes Gibson's striking and wrestling will be too much, and that Anheliger's path to victory is limited.

"I got to go with the bigger guy Cody Gibs."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Cody Gibson

Daniel Vreeland picks Cody Gibson, citing his physicality and size advantage over Chad Anheliger, who is notably smaller (5'4" reach). He respects Anheliger's skills and toughness but believes Gibson's physicality will bully him. Vreeland notes that Anheliger has not been finished in the UFC but expects Gibson to out-hustle him and win a decision.

"I'm gonna go Cody Gibson to get this one done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Cody Gibson

Gibson is a much better and more experienced version of Anheliger, utilizing solid boxing and slick combination striking, and his wrestling should be the X-factor, keeping Anheliger on the defensive and allowing Gibson to win on the scorecards.

"I believe Gibson is just a much better and more experienced version of him utilizing a very solid boxing and Slick combination striking approach but also his wrestling which should be the X Factor in this fight will …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Cody Gibson

Paul agrees, noting Gibson's size advantage and higher level of competition. He believes Anheliger's grit won't be enough against a bigger, more skilled opponent. He expects Gibson to win a competitive decision or late stoppage.

"I got to go with the bigger guy Cody Gibs."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Cody Gibson

The Guru picks Cody Gibson over Chad Anheliger, expecting a high-paced fight. He believes Gibson's size and reach advantage (seven inches) will be decisive, and he sees Gibson as more physically imposing. He predicts a decision win, not a finish.

decision
"I'm going to go with Cody Gibson because I think this will be a very high pace fight... Cody Gibson's a lot bigger than him and Cody Gibson's got seven inches of reach on him"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Jamey-Lyn Horth

Jamey-Lyn Horth W

9-3
Decision (split) (30–27, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00
Fight 13 VS Women's Flyweight Completed

Jamey-Lyn Horth

Moneyline
DraftKings -192
KO/TKO
BetMGM +900
Submission
BetMGM +600
Decision
BetMGM -135

Ivana Petrović

Moneyline
BetWay +175
KO/TKO
FanDuel +2100
Submission
FanDuel +1000
Decision
FanDuel +250
Fighter Stats

Jamey-Lyn Horth

Age36
Height5' 7"
Reach66.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Ivana Petrović

Age31
Height5' 8"
Reach70"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Career Averages - Jamey-Lyn Horth

3.63SLpM
55.0%Str. Acc.
2.5SApM
63.0%Str. Def.
1.17TD Avg
42.0%TD Acc.
79.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Ivana Petrović

1.91SLpM
41.0%Str. Acc.
2.05SApM
56.0%Str. Def.
2.12TD Avg
38.0%TD Acc.
61.0%TD Def.
0.8Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Angelo picks Jamey-Lyn Horth but with low confidence, calling the odds 'insane' as Horth is a 2-to-1 favorite after a year away and a loss. He notes Horth is big and strong, a solid striker with good fight IQ, but was dropped multiple times in her last fight. He thinks Ivana Petrović could win if she closes distance and shoots takedowns, but doubts she will because Horth may be too strong to drag down. He finds the odds baffling and won't bet.

"I'm going to pick Jamie but two to one is crazy crazy"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Big Brady picks Jamey-Lyn Horth to win by decision. He highlights Horth's physical strength and ability to bully Petrović against the cage, stuff takedowns, and get on top. He thinks Horth is the better striker and that Petrović has little to offer on the feet. Brady believes Petrović needs takedowns to win but doubts she can get them.

"I like jimy ly hor here I'll take her to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Cody picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her kickboxing background, physicality, and durability. He notes that Petrović relies on takedowns and submissions, but Horth has good takedown defense and will be the stronger striker. He believes Horth's pressure and volume will overwhelm Petrović, and that Petrović's cardio is questionable.

"I like horth."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Daniel Vreeland picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her physicality, technical striking, and higher-level experience. He acknowledges Ivana Petrović's improvements but notes she has been taken down in both UFC fights. Vreeland expects Horth's work rate and assertiveness to earn a decision, though he considers the -220 price too high for a confident bet and calls it a pass.

"I'll pick hor to get it done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Horth's physicality and ability to put Petrović in bad spots and keep her there will allow her to grind this fight out and pick up a win by decision.

"I believe Horth's physicality and ability to put Petrović in bad spots and keep her there will allow her to grind this fight out and pick up a win by decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Paul also picks Horth, noting that Petrović struggled in her last fight and has poor cardio. He believes Horth's tenacity and striking will be too much, and that Petrović will fade as the fight goes on. He expects Horth to win a decision or late stoppage.

"It's horse for me as well."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

The Guru picks Jamey-Lyn Horth over Ivana Petrović, reasoning that Horth's split decision loss to Veronica Hardy is more impressive than anything Petrović has done. He notes Horth's technical ability and questions Petrović's level of competition, calling her unproven.

"I'll go Jamie linor she went to a split with Veronica Hardy who's a very technical women's fighter... I rate that over anything Ivana Petrovic has done in her career"
Fight Notes
BR
brian 10 months, 3 weeks ago

Judo throws for Ivana into side control. Jamey has the build of a tall swimmer.

BR
brian 10 months, 3 weeks ago

The striking from both is mid. Jamey was better. Ivana is mostly a grappler it seems with jiu jistsu. Practicing for 8 years. Enjoys the media side but still training properly. Owns a gym? Brown belt