Career Averages - Jasmine Jasudavicius
Career Averages - Ariane da Silva
Jasmine Jasudavicius - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 18 of 76 | 23% | 72 of 138 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 8:09 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 15 of 43 | 34% | 88 of 127 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 1 of 17 | 5% | 5 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 36 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 9 of 37 | 24% | 20 of 50 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:20 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 4 of 21 | 19% | 12 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 8 of 22 | 36% | 47 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:00 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 40 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 18 of 76 | 23% | 11 of 65 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 74 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Karine Silva | 15 of 43 | 34% | 5 of 30 | 1 of 3 | 9 of 10 | 14 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 1 of 17 | 5% | 0 of 13 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Karine Silva | 7 of 12 | 58% | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 9 of 37 | 24% | 4 of 32 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Karine Silva | 4 of 21 | 19% | 2 of 17 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 8 of 22 | 36% | 7 of 20 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Karine Silva | 4 of 10 | 40% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jasudavicius (-300); Silva (+250)
Round 1
The final women’s bout of the evening could perhaps put the victor closer to a title shot than any other match on the billing. Canada’s own Jasudavicius (14-4, 8-3 UFC) had her momentum blunted last October when Manon Fiorot punched her out, so she will look to put another run together. She starts by facing Fighting Nerds representative Silva (19-6, 5-2 UFC). The referee will be Jerin Valel, who watches over the flyweights that elect to touch gloves.
They are tentative to engage right off the bat, both hovering around the center of the Octagon with little more than a single leg kick to show for it after 30 seconds. Silva strikes with another calf kick after the ensuing lull, and her front kick goes wide. Jasudavicius looks to string a right hand down the pipe, but Silva parries it. It is nothing but shadowboxing for the two for minutes at a time.
Shortly after the midpoint of the round, Silva tries to clinch up and knee, but Jasudavicius pushes her away before long and they resume their staring contest. Jasudavicius considers catching a kick to take the fight down, Silva recoils it in time. This results in a clinch, and when Silva tries to throw her foe down, Jasudavicius counters her and trips her to the mat. The Canadian lowers herself into the guard, and Silva fastens it tightly around her waist. Silva lifts one leg up for a rubber guard, and she brings her other to tie Jasudavicius up and even sit up for an insanely flexible triangle choke setup. Jasudavicius mashes her back down to smother Silva down, but she is still caught in this arms-in triangle choke. Silva has her leg cinched around the right shoulder, the pressure on the back of Jasudavicius’ squeezing her into the chest of the Brazilian. The round ends seconds before the clock said the round was over, possibly saving Jasudavicius from a precarious predicament.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Round 2
There are no strikes seriously thrown for the first 25 seconds of the round, until Jasudavicius attempts to string a jab and follow-up behind it. Silva elbows her on the forehead, and Jasudavicius kicks her away. Silva leans and offers up a right hand, and she sways back to evade the expected counter that does not come in full force. Jasudavicius probes with a long front kick as the lulls in the action begin to grow, punctuated with brief exchanges of two or three punches and a possible kick. Silva catches the body kick and knocks her back a step with a right hand, releasing the limb to get more going but nothing follows it. Jasudavicius pinpoints a one-two while Silva ducks down for a possible level change, and she is out of range of a front kick tossed her direction. Jasudavicius marches Silva down and shoots in for a single, and she finds herself in immediate guillotine choke submission danger. Jasudavicius lets go of the takedown, and Silva jumps guard in hopes of locking it down but recovers her footing when Jasudavicius is not going down.
Jasudavicius shakes out of the sub attempt and resets of her own accord, where she proceeds to jab her way forward. The Canadian dives after a double, completing it to put Silva on her back on the corner between the floor and the fencing. Jasudavicius pulls Silva away from the cage to position herself in side control, and Silva wraps her legs around the back of her foe’s head for a potential reverse triangle choke. Jasudavicius frees herself without much concern and drops down punches and knees to the side. Silva pushes her feet off the cage to put herself in a better place than the north-south that has materialized, but Jasudavicius smothers her down and begins drumming on her face with her free right hand. Silva protects her self by placing it under Jasudavicius’ backside until Jasudavicius turns to put herself in a more traditional side control. The round ends with Jasudavicius hacking down with short elbows, and she stands up and raises up her index finger to the crowd.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Round 3
The first official strike comes seven seconds into the round courtesy of the Brazilian, who chops at the inside and outside of Jasudavicius’ lead leg. Jasudavicius reaches with a right hand and comes up short. Jasudavicius fakes a level change and stands Silva up with an uppercut, appearing to come out more aggressively as she dings Silva with a second uppercut. Jasudavicius shoots in on the hips and places Silva gingerly to her back. Silva uses her rubber guard right leg to wrap it up behind Jasudavicius’ head early, but she does not have the flexibility or gumption at the moment to do the same with her left. This results in nothing but pitter-patter bops to the side of Jasudavicius’ face. Silva slithers her leg up around the shoulder to tie up a triangle choke, and Jasudavicius sits up to keep the pressure off her neck and pitches the legs to the side to climb into side control. From there, the Canadian drops down the shortest of elbows anywhere she can find them, be it the shoulder, face, stomach or elsewhere.
Silva bucks and kicks, bringing Jasudavicius back to half guard but not taking any pressure off herself as Jasudavicius is using heavy shoulder and chest pressure to keep Silva stuck in this position. Jasudavicius is active enough with her offense, nothing overwhelmingly damaging but it is enough to keep Valel at bay. Silva pushes and kicks off the cage, getting warned for hooking her toes in it to move herself around, and she wraps her right leg up and around the back to set up an extremely unorthodox buggy choke. This stifles Jasudavicius from getting off more offense, although the submission danger is not very great from this specific angle. Silva clings to her sub effort until she runs out of steam in her arms and bursts over to flip to her knees. Jasudavicius follows her and keeps her on her back while raining down elbows, and time expires. The judges could go either way here.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Silva)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Silva)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Silva)
The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Karine Silva via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo confidently picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, using MMA math: Macy Barber took down Karine Silva three times, so Jasmine will do the same. He notes Karine struggles under pressure, while Jasmine never backs down. He dismisses Jasmine's recent loss to Manon Fiorot as a high-level opponent.
Big Brady confidently picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, highlighting her size, strength, and vicious ground and pound. He notes Karine Silva's poor takedown defense (20%) and tendency to slow down. Brady predicts Jasudavicius will take Silva down, beat her up with elbows, and eventually find a submission in the third round.
Cody picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, citing her superior wrestling and top control. He notes that Karine Silva struggles when taken down and that Jasudavicius has multiple paths to victory. He acknowledges the price is high but expects her to win.
Daniel views Jasudavicius as a top contender who has improved her striking and maintains a relentless pace. He thinks Silva is dangerous but will fade, and that Jasudavicius can avoid submissions and dominate. He picks Jasudavicius to get back in the win column.
Jasudavicius is a nightmare stylistic matchup for Silva. She is Canadian with home crowd, aggressive, well-rounded, and has a size advantage. Silva has poor takedown defense and gives up position on the ground. Jasudavicius can win standing or on the ground. Very high confidence she wins.
James predicts Jasmine Jasudavicius will win via round three finish. He expects Jasudavicius to survive early submission threats and use her pressure and cardio to gas out Silva, leading to a late TKO. He also suggests a 'round three or decision' prop.
The host believes Jasudavicius will be safe enough in the striking realm and that it's a matter of time before the fight hits the mat. He trusts her submission defense and thinks she will grind out Silva from top position, landing big damage. He predicts a decision win, as Silva has shown cardio issues and Jasudavicius can accrue control time and damage.
Paul also picks Jasudavicius but is not heavily invested due to the price. He thinks she wins by decision and notes the Canadian crowd support. He mentions that the line is accurate but sees no value at -300.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manon Fiorot | 0 | 16 of 27 | 59% | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 2 of 14 | 14% | 2 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manon Fiorot | 0 | 16 of 27 | 59% | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 2 of 14 | 14% | 2 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manon Fiorot | 16 of 27 | 59% | 16 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 16 | 0 of 2 | 8 of 9 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 2 of 14 | 14% | 2 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manon Fiorot | 16 of 27 | 59% | 16 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 16 | 0 of 2 | 8 of 9 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 2 of 14 | 14% | 2 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fiorot (-250); Jasudavicius (+200)
Round 1
As the main card continues, the victor of this match may be arguably closer than any other on the card—besides perhaps Reinier de Ridder should he get it done—to a title shot. Fiorot (12-2, 7-1 UFC) lost in her last time out vying for it, but a win would go a long way in keeping her right in the conversation. On her way up is Canada’s Jasudavicius (14-3, 8-2 UFC), who might punch her ticket for flyweight gold if she pulls off the upset. Referee Dan Miragliotta—the crowd doesn’t like his assignment—will be the first to know who that winner will be, although he does not want to interfere and stays back as the ladies opt not to bump gloves together.
Fiorot gets right behind her jab, peppering the Canadian right out of the gate by doubling and tripling up on it. Fiorot pecks at Jasudavicius and scoots out of the way, beating the Canadian to the punch repeatedly. The quick punches have already started to have an effect on Jasudavicius’s nose. Jasudavicius sells out with a big right hand, and it skims off the shoulder. Fiorot slips to the side and delivers a sneaky left hand on the way out, and she times a sharp one-two that shocks Jasudavicius down to her core. Jasudavicius’ legs nearly give out beneath her like a baby deer on an icy lake, and Fiorot sees her opening and immediately strikes.
The Frenchwoman drives a knee to the stomach, and she puts another on Jasudavicius’ face as she throws her foe to her seat. Fiorot unleashes a fury of left hands to brutalize Jasudavicius, and with Jasudavicius on her knees reaching out with her left arm to Fiorot’s hip, Miragliotta decides that enough is enough and waves the fight off.
The audience is silenced in an instant, except for Jasudavicius screaming at Miragliotta that she was not out and that she was still fighting back. This is a huge win for Fiorot, not only ending her own stretch of decision wins but destroying the win streak of a promising up-and-comer who would have been a fresh new face for flyweight queen Valentina Shevchenko. Much like Joe Benavidez as the unrelenting gatekeeper to Demetrious Johnson’s historic reign, Fiorot eradicates a rising contender with one of the speediest finishes in women’s flyweight history.
The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Jasmine Jasudavicius R1 1:14 via TKO (Punches)
Angelo picks Manon Fiorot, citing her size, takedown defense, and striking. He expects her to manage range and stuff Jasudavicius's wrestling. He notes Jasudavicius's wrestling credentials but doubts she can close distance against Fiorot. He prefers Jasudavicius as a fantasy dart due to lower salary.
Big Brady is impressed by Jasudavicius's improvements, especially her ground and pound and submissions. He thinks Fiorot's takedown defense hasn't been properly tested and believes Jasudavicius can get takedowns. He predicts Jasudavicius wins two rounds and takes a decision.
Cody picks Fiorot, citing her excellent takedown defense and superior striking. He notes Jasudavicius struggles when she can't get takedowns, as seen against Cortez. Fiorot's lateral movement and volume will keep Jasudavicius at bay. Cody expects Fiorot to win by decision.
Connor picks Fiorot, emphasizing her physicality and takedown defense. He notes that Fiorot is difficult to deal with physically and escapes quickly when taken down. Connor thinks Jasudavicius's path to victory is through repeated takedowns, which is hard to envision. He believes Fiorot will outwork Jasudavicius in a scrappy fight, as she has done against other high-volume opponents.
James views this as a striker vs grappler matchup, with Fiorot having elite takedown defense and superior striking. He acknowledges Jasudavicius's ground threat but doubts she can secure takedowns consistently. James notes Fiorot's toughness from her fight with Valentina Shevchenko (broken nose) and predicts a dominant decision win.
The host thinks Fiorot's perpetual movement, footwork, and distance striking will cause Jasudavicius too many problems, leaving her a sitting duck on the feet. He expects a classic Fiorot performance leading to a decision victory.
Paul picks Fiorot, agreeing with Cody. He highlights Fiorot's takedown defense against top grapplers like Blanchfield and Shevchenko. He believes Jasudavicius's striking is a hole and that Fiorot's speed and footwork will be too much. Paul expects Fiorot to win.
The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot over Jasmine Jasudavicius. He notes Fiorot's close fight with Valentina Shevchenko and her takedown defense. He believes Jasudavicius's takedown-heavy style won't work against Fiorot, and that she lacks the striking to beat Fiorot. He predicts Fiorot will stuff takedowns and out-land Jasudavicius for a decision win.
Zane picks Fiorot, citing her technical striking and ability to outwork opponents. He notes that Fiorot has consistently outstruck high-volume fighters like Blanchfield and Semenara. Zane believes Jasudavicius, despite her drive and improved takedowns, will struggle to repeatedly take Fiorot down and will be outworked on the feet. He acknowledges Jasudavicius's top game but doubts she can maintain control.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 11 of 18 | 61% | 27 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 11 of 18 | 61% | 27 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jéssica Andrade | 4 of 8 | 50% | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 11 of 18 | 61% | 9 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jéssica Andrade | 4 of 8 | 50% | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 11 of 18 | 61% | 9 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jasudavicius (-298), Andrade (+240)
Round 1
Andrade (26-13, 17-11 UFC), the winningest female fighter in the company, would like nothing more than to add one more to her ledger. Standing in her way will be significant betting favorite and sentimental local favorite Jasudavicius (13-3, 7-2 UFC), who rides the longest win streak (four) of her career. Referee Jason Herzog clocks the flyweights in as they get down to business, starting off with a glove touch. Andrade takes the center of the Octagon, while Jasudavicius looks for a jab that is out of range early. Andrade rushes out with a right hand and then hops back, and she leans in with kicks on the inside and outside of the lead leg. Jasudavicius kicks her back once, and she tags the Brazilian with a one-two. Andrade smiles at her. Andrade tosses out a right hand and a low kick, and her foe catches her with a long right hand. When Andrade tries to strike back, Jasudavicius lifts her in the air and slams her down hard. Jasudavicius starts beating on the former strawweight champ, landing punches and taking her back. Andrade looks to crawl back up, and Jasudavicius is a 125-pound weight on her back dragging her down. Jasudavicius gets one hook in and starts fishing for a rear-naked choke. When there is no submission, Jasudavicius smacks her on both sides of the head.
Jasudavicius flattens Andrade out, and she wraps up a rear-naked choke that is tight as a drum. Andrade posts off and tries to grit it out, but there is nothing she can do at this point in that position. With her other hand, “Bate Estaca” taps out
, and the roof on the building practically blows off. The Canadian releases the grip and rushes to her corner to celebrate, who award her with her Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt as a prize for the career-best triumph. It was smooth sailing for the Canadian, who barely got touched by one of the most dangerous women to ever grace the cage.
The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Jessica Andrade R1 2:40 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo is confident in Jasmine Jasudavicius, calling it a tailor-made fight for her. He notes Jasmine is a wrestler with great hips and cardio, while Andrade is a bully without great takedown defense. He expresses minor concern about Jasmine's win streak and whether she's truly top-tier, but ultimately picks her. He mentions possibly parlaying her with Mike Malott.
Big Brady is confident in Jasudavicius, citing her size, strength, and ground game. He notes Andrade has poor takedown defense and looks like a white belt off her back. He predicts Jasudavicius will dominate on the ground, eventually securing a submission in the second round, possibly a front choke or crucifix TKO.
The host views this as a perfect stylistic matchup for the Canadian Jasudavicius, expecting her to avoid Andrade's power striking and use her size and reach advantage to take the fight to the ground. He predicts she will land big shots from top position and get a TKO victory.
The MMA Guru picks Jasudavicius, noting her recent dominance and improvement. He thinks Andrade loses presence at flyweight and can be overwhelmed by a scrappy, larger opponent. He expects Jasudavicius to mix striking and grappling, eventually securing takedowns and control, winning by decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 56 of 105 | 53% | 164 of 229 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 7:11 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 0 | 37 of 72 | 51% | 41 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 14 of 25 | 56% | 35 of 51 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:48 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 0 | 10 of 18 | 55% | 10 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 30 of 54 | 55% | 62 of 88 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 0 | 21 of 38 | 55% | 24 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 12 of 26 | 46% | 67 of 90 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:03 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 56 of 105 | 53% | 23 of 66 | 20 of 26 | 13 of 13 | 48 of 94 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 1 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 37 of 72 | 51% | 23 of 53 | 8 of 12 | 6 of 7 | 30 of 64 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 14 of 25 | 56% | 5 of 14 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 13 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 10 of 18 | 55% | 4 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 10 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 30 of 54 | 55% | 14 of 36 | 9 of 11 | 7 of 7 | 27 of 49 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 21 of 38 | 55% | 15 of 29 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 32 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 12 of 26 | 46% | 4 of 16 | 6 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 21 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | 6 of 16 | 37% | 4 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Attention next shifts to the 125-pound weight class, where Bueno Silva (10-4-1, 5-4-1 UFC) awaits Jasudavicius (12-3, 6-2 UFC) in a compelling women’s flyweight affair. Mark Smith officiates. No glove touch. Bueno Silva rushes to the center and stars with a leg kick. Rear-leg front kick to the midsection from the Brazilian. Jasudavicius fires of a two-punch volley and circles off the fence. They trade and separate. Bueno Silva sneaks in a left hook and backs it up with two leg kicks, followed by a one-two. Jasudavicius circles, then secures a takedown. Bueno Silva catches a guillotine. Jasudavicius breaks the grip and sets up in full guard. Two minutes to go. Jasudavicius passes side control and lands in a topside crucifix. Short elbows fall. Bueno Silva frees herself briefly, but the Canadian cuts off her escape and powers into half guard. Bueno Silva mostly neutralizing her from the bottom, but Jasudavicius still manages to sneak in a few shots. Bueno Silva makes a pass at a leg lock as the round concludes.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicus
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicus
Round 2
Bueno Silve emerges with a significant hematoma above her left eye. They circle one another in the center. One-twos from Jasudavicius. Bueno Silva threatens with a standing guillotine but releases the choke. The Brazilian grabs the Thai clinch and throws a few knees. Nice counter right hand over the top from Jasudavicius. Bueno Silva stalks forward and connects with two vicious left hooks to the body. Now, the Brazilian gets her jab in gear. Powerful one-two from Jasudavicius, followed by a front kick to the body. Midway through the round. Bueno Silva closes the distance and fires elbows from both sides. Right hand over the top from Jasudavicius. The Canadian clinches and lands an elbow on the break. Jasudavicius secures a takedown, scores with shoulder strikes, controls the scramble and scores with ground-and-pound. Bueno Silva hunts a leg lock. No luck. Jasudavicius closes with ground-and-pound.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Round 3
Jasudavicius likely enters the final round with a lead. Bueno Silva’s movements labored now. Jasudavicius circles. Bueno Silva cuts loose with a combo and mixes in a nice elbow. The Brazilian stalks, lands another elbow and then eats a few knees. They trade, with neither woman gaining a discernible advantage. Jasudavicius feints a takedown, resets and swoops in four a successful double-leg. Bueno Silva looks discouraged, as the action stalls. Jasudavicius passes to half guard and steps over into full mount. She frames an arm-triangle choke but bails on it. Bueno Silva surrenders her back. Jasudavicius pounding away with punches to the body and head. Back to mount for the Canadian. Jasudavicius stays busy with ground-and-pound and draws a warning for a head butt. Bueno Silva flirts with an armbar, only to eat more punishment before the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-27 Jasudavicius)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius (30-26 Jasudavicius)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-27 Jasudavicius)
The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Mayra Bueno Silva—Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Angelo picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, citing her wrestling pedigree and ability to control where the fight goes. He acknowledges Mayra Bueno Silva's toughness and dangerous ground game, but notes that Jasudavicius is a much better wrestler. He mentions that public comments overwhelmingly favor Jasudavicius, which has increased his confidence, though he admits he's unsure if that's influencing him.
Big Brady believes Jasmine Jasudavicius needs to get the fight to the ground, where she can control Mayra Bueno Silva. He notes Silva has poor takedown defense and doesn't mind being on her back, but is dangerous with submissions. Brady thinks Jasudavicius will be smart on top and win a decision, though Silva could be live for a submission. He predicts a 30-27 Jasudavicius decision.
Jasudavicius's grappling will be the key to victory, allowing her to grind out a decision. She may also showcase improved striking from her Thailand camp, but her wrestling will bail her out of bad spots.
The MMA Guru picks Mayra Bueno Silva as an underdog, noting she has competitive fights with top-level fighters and wins that Jasudavicius could only dream of. He believes Silva's physicality, clinch work, and grappling will be key, and that she will be bigger at flyweight. He also suggests she may miss weight but still win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 42 of 92 | 45% | 43 of 93 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 36 of 84 | 42% | 130 of 218 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 | 0 | 5:44 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 27 of 57 | 47% | 27 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 13 of 46 | 28% | 20 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 9 of 20 | 45% | 10 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 17 of 28 | 60% | 83 of 120 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:42 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 6 of 10 | 60% | 27 of 38 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 1:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 42 of 92 | 45% | 26 of 65 | 15 of 23 | 1 of 4 | 41 of 88 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Ariane da Silva | 36 of 84 | 42% | 29 of 76 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 24 of 70 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 13 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 27 of 57 | 47% | 17 of 39 | 10 of 15 | 0 of 3 | 27 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ariane da Silva | 13 of 46 | 28% | 10 of 42 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 9 of 20 | 45% | 4 of 13 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ariane da Silva | 17 of 28 | 60% | 15 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 12 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 6 of 15 | 40% | 5 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 11 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Ariane da Silva | 6 of 10 | 60% | 4 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo is confident Jasmine wins, citing her superior wrestling and pressure. He disagrees with those who think Ariane da Silva is a bad matchup for Jasmine. He notes Ariane has improved but Jasmine is a better wrestler than Karini Silva, who outwrestled Ariane. He expects Jasmine to get takedowns and win, though he wishes the line were more affordable. He may add action as the week goes on.
Big Brady picks Jasmine Jasudavicius to win by decision, but with some concern. He acknowledges that Ariane da Silva has improved her takedown defense significantly, stuffing many takedowns in recent fights. However, Brady believes Jasudavicius is a much better wrestler than those opponents and will get takedowns. He notes that if Jasudavicius can't get takedowns, she is in trouble on the feet, but he leans toward her wrestling winning out.
Cody picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, expecting her to spam takedowns and rack up control time. He notes that Ariane Lipski has been taken down frequently in the past, and Jasudavicius's wrestling should be enough to win a decision. He acknowledges that Jasudavicius's striking is not elite but believes her grappling will be the difference.
Daniel Vreeland picks Jasmine Jasudavicius to pace Ariane da Silva, but notes it's a pass at the betting line. He acknowledges da Silva's recent improvements in maturity and output, but believes Jasudavicius's relentless pace and pressure will be too much. Vreeland expects Jasudavicius to push the pace and potentially get a finish, though he's not confident enough to bet at -225.
Jasudavicius will put a grind on da Silva, put her in uncomfortable positions, chain wrestling attempts together, and win on the scorecards. Da Silva's defensive grappling improvements were against lower-level grapplers, and she struggled against more impressive grapplers like Jasudavicius.
Paul picks Ariane Lipski as an underdog, arguing that her takedown defense has improved significantly since joining American Top Team, stuffing 21 straight takedown attempts before facing Karine Silva. He believes Lipski is the better striker and can keep the fight standing, where she has the advantage. He also notes that Jasudavicius struggled to takedown Tracy Cortez and was out struck in that fight.
The Guru picks Jasmine Jasudavicius over Ariane da Silva, noting Jasudavicius's recent decent performances and size advantage. He questions da Silva's consistency and believes Jasudavicius's momentum and reach will carry her to a win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 40 of 89 | 44% | 93 of 165 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 7:48 |
| Fatima Kline | 0 | 39 of 81 | 48% | 48 of 94 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:52 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 10 of 23 | 43% | 31 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:32 |
| Fatima Kline | 0 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 6 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 17 of 29 | 58% | 29 of 49 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:25 |
| Fatima Kline | 0 | 16 of 31 | 51% | 19 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 13 of 37 | 35% | 33 of 61 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 2:51 |
| Fatima Kline | 0 | 19 of 38 | 50% | 23 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 40 of 89 | 44% | 25 of 65 | 9 of 18 | 6 of 6 | 27 of 70 | 4 of 6 | 9 of 13 |
| Fatima Kline | 39 of 81 | 48% | 32 of 73 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 33 of 74 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 10 of 23 | 43% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 |
| Fatima Kline | 4 of 12 | 33% | 2 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 17 of 29 | 58% | 9 of 18 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 22 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
| Fatima Kline | 16 of 31 | 51% | 13 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 13 of 37 | 35% | 9 of 30 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 |
| Fatima Kline | 19 of 38 | 50% | 17 of 36 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Kline (-122), Jasudavicius (+102)
Round 1
Originally expecting to face Viviane Araujo, powerful Canadian Jasudavicius (10-3, 4-2 UFC) will now meet the debuting Kline (6-0, 0-0 UFC). The unbeaten Kline, who held titles at two divisions in Cage Fury FC, steps up on extremely short notice as she previously planned on appearing on the Contender Series this season. Keeping tabs on the flyweights will be referee Joel Ojeda, and there is no glove touch to commence the matchup. Kline moves in and out to get going, changing stances frequently and ultimately landing with a leg kick for the first strike of the match. Jasudavicius answers a second low kick with a right hand counter, and she brings her leg up to check another kick. When Kline reaches her, Jasudavicius counters with a sharp left that knocks Kline back. Jasudavicius nearly sweeps the leg with a low calf kick, and she parries a jab coming back her way. Jasudavicius fires off a head kick that slams into the raised guard of her foe, and Kline pays it no mind and does not appear to hear the “USA” chants in support of her ringing through the cage. Kline crashes forward, walking through a low kick and tackles the Canadian to the mat as they possibly clash heads. Jasudavicius uses butterfly guard in hopes of a sweep, and she prevents Kline from getting on top. Kline tries to leap over her to get a better position, but Jasudavicius fights it off and turns the corner to lift the newcomer up and muscle her to the floor. Kline crawls to the corner of the cage wall, and Jasudavicius rains down right hands and an elbow that slams into the back of the head. Jasudavicius is warned for the illegal blow, and she stays heavy on top with one hook in and hunts for a rear-naked choke that results in a face crank. Kline pulls the arm away, and Jasudavicius hangs on from behind to trap Kline’s left arm from defending herself. Jasudavicius keeps working from on top until Kline lowers herself to her back, in part due to “The Archangel” fighting out of a rear-naked choke setup. Jasudavicius gets away with a knee that bumps into Kline’s face, and she unleashes some serious ground-and-pound including at least one more shot to the back of the head. Kline shifts and turns to stay active, and Jasudavicius mauls her until the bell ends the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Round 2
The women zoom out of their corners and pass one another, and Kline strikes first with a front kick. Jasudavicius replies with a low kick, and Kline splits the guard with a left hand. Jasudavicius fires off a head kick and backpedals to avoid two leaping punches coming her way. Kline beats Jasudavicius to the punch with a one-two, and she does this a second time as the Canadian staggers for a second and gathers her thoughts. The crowd is lathered up by the striking exchanges, and Jasudavicius reaches her foe with a right hand to calm them. Jasudavicius sneaks a right hand over the guard, and she shrugs off a body kick and resets. Jasudavicius takes a right hand and gives one back, and she snaps out a jab and pushes off with the ball of her foot. The two fight in a phone booth, and Kline gets her with an uppercut before breaking. Jasudavicius steps in with an elbow and backs away when a one-two finds the mark, and she paws out a left hook when Kline comes at her. Jasudavicius targets the body, and Kline retreats and tries to set up a trap to release an elbow while jumping. Jasudavicius ties her opponent up, and Kline circles around and hops on to take the back for a split second. Jasudavicius starts blasting the body with knees after turning Kline back around, and Kline’s body language changes and she is dragged down to a knee from the Canadian. Jasudavicius imposes her weight and puts Kline down, briefly flattening her out and hanging on in dominant position while blasting the unbeaten woman with elbows and punches. As Jasudavicius rides, she has one hook in and loops left hands behind and on the ear. Ojeda warns the Niagara Top Team fighter for another strike to the back of the head, and Kline turns around and ends up giving up her back. Jasudavicius welcomes this and hooks up the body triangle almost immediately, and she begins softening Kline up with body shots. Jasudavicius searches for a choke as Kline hand-fights effectively, and she occasionally gets off strikes as Kline twists and turns. Kline goes to her knees, and Jasudavicius flips around to snatch up an armbar. Kline bucks her off and smacks her with three hammerfists before the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Round 3
Jasudavicius appears the fresher of the two as she jogs out of her corner to begin the last round, while Kline takes to the center of the cage and prods out a front kick. Jasudavicius jabs her back to the belly, and this fires Kline up. Kline lashes out with two mighty one-twos, stumbling the Canadian, but Jasudavicius rises and lets her have it with retaliatory blows. The two women go punch-for-punch and kick-for-kick, and Kline’s handiwork excites the fans enough to cheer for her again. Jasudavicius lets Kline bounce fists off her guard so she can loop strikes back, and Kline still manages to reach her with a few blows. Jasudavicius stays behind a jab and stings her foe with an uppercut, and they clash heads as they come together. Jasudavicius scores a right hand and a left, and when Kline backs off, Jasudavicius steps forward with an elbow. They tie up, and Kline tries to throw the Canadian to the floor but gives her back up standing. Jasudavicius wrenches Kline to the floor, and she lands on top and jacks Kline in the jaw with an elbow. Jasudavicius moves herself to half guard and quickly is able to assume full mount, but Kline’s scrambling ability allows her to stand up. This victory is short-lived, as Jasudavicius slings her back down to the floor like a sack of potatoes. Jasudavicius lands and immediately presses down heavily to trap Kline from bucking, and she smothers the newcomer and lands occasional body shots. Kline tugs her toes off the fencing to try to improve her position, and Ojeda tells her to knock it off. Kline closes her guard, and Jasudavicius does not mind as she continues to work Kline over with ground strikes. Kline turns her back, and Jasudavicius sells out for a rear-naked choke. Kline backwards somersaults, and Jasudavicius lets her do this so she can fasten the choke under the chin. Time expires before the submission lands, but Jasudavicius drills her with one thudding elbow after the fight ends. There is no ill will for the strike landing at 15:01, and they hug it out to conclude the flyweight pairing.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-27 Jasudavicius)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-27 Jasudavicius)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-27 Jasudavicius)
The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Fatima Kline via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Angelo picks Jasmine Jasudavicius despite Fatima Kline's line movement from underdog to favorite. He believes Jasmine's superior wrestling, full fight camp, size advantage, and elevation experience will be key. He notes that Fatima is dangerous and a bad stylistic matchup as she also wants to wrestle, but Jasmine's offensive wrestling and pressure should prevail. Angelo is monitoring the line and may bet on Jasmine if the odds become favorable, possibly using a plus 3.5 round handicap.
Cody picks Kline, citing her superior grappling and back-taking ability. He believes she can take Jasudavicius down and control the fight on the ground. He notes Jasudavicius's brawling style and thinks Kline's jiu-jitsu will be the difference.
Daniel Vreeland picks Fatima Kline to win her debut. He was initially skeptical but after watching tape, he believes Kline is a legitimate prospect with well-rounded skills. He notes her high-level training with Aaron Blanchfield and thinks she is technically superior to Jasudavicius. He acknowledges the short notice and altitude but is impressed by her tape.
Fatima Kline is taking this fight on short notice but is a complete enough fighter to handle Jasudavicius' grappling-heavy approach. Kline has a slight striking advantage and will showcase she deserves to be at this level, winning by decision.
Paul picks Jasudavicius, citing her full camp and altitude preparation. He notes Kline's short notice and weight class jump, and believes Jasudavicius's experience and volume will be key. He expects a decision win for Jasudavicius.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 1 | 93 of 120 | 77% | 326 of 398 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 3 | 0 | 11:25 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 24 of 50 | 48% | 26 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 32 of 43 | 74% | 138 of 173 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:36 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 1 | 34 of 40 | 85% | 110 of 129 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 4:38 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 27 of 37 | 72% | 78 of 96 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 2:11 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 18 of 34 | 52% | 19 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 93 of 120 | 77% | 84 of 109 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 23 of 34 | 2 of 3 | 68 of 83 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 24 of 50 | 48% | 19 of 44 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 20 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 32 of 43 | 74% | 32 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 31 of 40 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 4 of 11 | 36% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 34 of 40 | 85% | 33 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 32 of 38 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 27 of 37 | 72% | 19 of 27 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 20 of 29 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 5 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 18 of 34 | 52% | 16 of 31 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jasudavicius (-395), Cachoeira (+310)
Round 1
Jasudavicius will look to get the host country in the win column against Brazil’s Cachoeira, in a fight that was moved from 125 to 135 pounds apparently at Cachoeira's request. Referee Matt Rocca is the third person in the cage. The ersatz bantamweights set up in matching orthodox stances, and after a moment of cautious feeling-out, Cachoeira lands a sweeping hook. Jasudavicius steps in and takes Cachoeira down easily, dumping her onto her back near the fence. Jasudavicius sets up in the Brazilian’s half guard and rains down hammerfists from above. Cachoeira turns to the side and Jasudavicius takes the back with a single hook, then flattens her out with both hooks. Jasudavicius throws big punches to the head from back mount as the referee looks on closely. Cachoeira turns to her back, giving up full mount. Jasudavicius keeps throwing punches. Cachoeira manages to block a few with her arms, but most are getting through with varying degrees of impact. Ninety seconds left and Jasudavicius is in total control, thrashing the Brazilian with both hands. Cachoeira doesn’t even seem to be doing anything to escape the position, though she traps the left hand of Jasudavicius with her right arm, briefly slowing the assault. In the final 30 seconds, the pace slows, but Cachoeira remains flat on her back with Jasudavicius in full mount, throwing punches. The horn sounds on as one-sided a full round as you’ll see all year.
Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Round 2
Cachoeira, apparently not having learned her lesson, charges straight at Jasudavicius to open Round 2. Cachoeira lands a low kick and gets countered over the top with a right hand that drops her in the middle of the Octagon. Jasudavicius dives into half guard and resumes raining down punches and elbows. Jasudavicius moves to side control, then to mount, while keeping Cachoeira on the defensive with a steady stream of ground-and-pound. Cachoeira locks her arms behind Jasudavicius’ back, trying to control her posture, and Jasudavicius slides to side control, then places a knee on the belly of Cachoeira. Halfway into the round, Jasudavicius locks up a brabo choke from top position. Cachoeira’s hand hovers, appearing on the point of tapping, but she survives. Jasudavicius adjusts her position and attacks with the choke again. It looks very tight, but there is no tap forthcoming. Sixty seconds to go and Jasudavicius releases the choke, takes mount and goes right back to dropping elbows. Cachoeira is in survival mode, weakly trying to block the offense coming from the pissed-off Canadian. The horn sounds and we have a “Beatdown of the Year” candidate in the works here, folks.
Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Round 3
Cachoeira flicks out the jab once, twice. She changes stance and lands a left hand. Jasudavicius tries a double-leg takedown but Cachoeira manages to stay upright. Jasudavicius comes forward for another takedown and is met with a right hand that knocks her down off-balance. Cachoeira’s hands are at her waist, but she is landing punches and has thus far fought off both of Jasudavicius’ takedown attempts. Third time is the charm, however, as Jasudavicius hauls her down on her third try and moves instantly to side control, then to a mounted crucifix, there she begins dropping leather. Jasudavicius pivots to almost a north-south position, near to an inverted choke setup, but gives it up and goes back to dropping punches and elbows from top position. A minute left and Jasudavicius is basically sitting on Cachoeira’s head, knocking the cashews out of her with body punches.
Out of nowhere, Jasudavicius slaps on a modified, mounted guillotine choke and cranks. The tap comes in seconds, capping off 14 minutes of one-way traffic.
Wow.
The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Priscila Cachoeira R3 4:21 via Submission (Anaconda Choke)
Angelo is extremely confident in Jasudavicius, calling her his most confident pick on the card. He highlights her wrestling background, pressure, and ability to take down opponents, noting that Cachoeira is vulnerable to wrestlers. He believes Jasudavicius will dominate via takedowns and control, and considers her at minus 400 to be great value.
Big Brady is confident in Jasudavicius due to her wrestling base and physical strength. He notes that Cachoeira struggles against wrestlers and is helpless on her back. He expects Jasudavicius to take her down repeatedly and win a decision. He also mentions Cachoeira's history of cheating but doesn't think it will matter.
Cody picks Jasudavicius, citing her wrestling and pace. He thinks she will mix in takedowns and control the fight, avoiding a brawl. He notes Cachoeira's vulnerability to wrestling and expects a clear decision or late stoppage for Jasudavicius.
Daniel Vreeland picks Jasmine Jasudavicius but calls it a dog-or-pass situation. He notes Jasudavicius is relentless with takedowns and physical, while Cachoeira has power and will cheat. He expects Jasudavicius to dominate on top and win a decision or get a finish, but acknowledges Cachoeira's threat on the feet.
This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Jasudavicius vs Cachoeira.
I fully expect Jasudavicius to have no trouble getting this fight to the mat and then dominate with her wrestling. She has great scrambles and control from top position. However, I'm not 100% sold on her getting a finish, as Cachoeira might show enough resistance to grind out a decision. The moneyline at -370 is chalky but I feel the advantage is so far in Jasudavicius's favor that I might as well throw it into a parlay. I see this as a shoo-in spot for her to be dominant with her wrestling.
Paul picks Cachoeira as a sentimental underdog, having bet her at +330. He hopes for a brawl and a KO, but acknowledges Jasudavicius is the more likely winner. He admits it's a heart pick.
The MMA Guru picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, citing her higher level of competition and technical skill compared to Priscila Cachoeira. He notes Jasudavicius's win over Miranda Maverick and her durability, while acknowledging Cachoeira's power advantage. He also mentions Jasudavicius's reach advantage and the home crowd factor in Canada.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy Cortez | 0 | 103 of 212 | 48% | 116 of 225 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 77 of 206 | 37% | 95 of 225 | 2 of 10 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 3:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tracy Cortez | 0 | 39 of 75 | 52% | 39 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 24 of 63 | 38% | 25 of 64 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 2 | Tracy Cortez | 0 | 28 of 61 | 45% | 29 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 18 of 56 | 32% | 32 of 71 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:52 | |
| 3 | Tracy Cortez | 0 | 36 of 76 | 47% | 48 of 88 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 35 of 87 | 40% | 38 of 90 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy Cortez | 103 of 212 | 48% | 63 of 164 | 16 of 23 | 24 of 25 | 91 of 198 | 12 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 77 of 206 | 37% | 43 of 148 | 25 of 47 | 9 of 11 | 58 of 176 | 19 of 30 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tracy Cortez | 39 of 75 | 52% | 20 of 55 | 6 of 6 | 13 of 14 | 34 of 70 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 24 of 63 | 38% | 14 of 47 | 6 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 20 of 57 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Tracy Cortez | 28 of 61 | 45% | 16 of 46 | 7 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 22 of 53 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 18 of 56 | 32% | 11 of 40 | 5 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 14 of 48 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Tracy Cortez | 36 of 76 | 47% | 27 of 63 | 3 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 35 of 75 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 35 of 87 | 40% | 18 of 61 | 14 of 22 | 3 of 4 | 24 of 71 | 11 of 16 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Cortez (-120), Jasudavicius (+100)
Round 1
Women’s flyweights step into the spotlight, as Cortez (10-1, 4-0 UFC) looks to build on a 10-fight winning streak and continue her climb on the 125-pound ladder. Jasudavicius (9-2, 3-1 UFC) steps into the Octagon on the strength of back-to-back victories over Gabriella Fernandes and Miranda Maverick. Jason Herzog serves as the referee. Jasudavicius turns down the glove tap, preferring to get right down to business. They paw at one another with jabs, as Cortez unleashes an inside leg kick and eats a counter right hand from the Canadian. Cortez connects in combination, setting up her attacks with the jab. Jasudavicius lands with a heavy outside leg kick and nearly spins around the Arizonan. Cortez’s hands look considerably sharper. Jasudavicius lands on occasion but lacks the necessary oomph to give her opponent pause. Cortez sneaks in a right hand over the top, fires more punches and finishes a combination with a clean left hook. Cortez shuts down a takedown attempt, threatens the neck and delivers a knee on the exit. Jasudavicius clinches but gets nowhere, and the flyweight separate. Cortez continues to connect in combination until the bell sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Cortez
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cortez
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cortez
Round 2
Cortez re-asserts herself with a sharp one-two to start the middle stanza. She keeps a safe distance with a push kick to the body, scores with a leg kick and exits into open space. Cortez delivers a knee up the middle at close range and snaps the Canadian’s head sideways with a searing left hook. Jasudavicius needs a change of pace. She backs up Cortez with a pair of head kicks, then throw punches down the middle. Cortez goes headhunting and leaves herself open for a takedown. Jasudavicius takes top position midway through the second round. Cortez, however, wall walks to an upright position but allows her opponent to sneak behind her. Jasudavicius powers her way to another takedown and moves to half guard before chipping away with punches. Cortez builds a base again and gets back to her feet, bracing herself against the fence. Jasudavicius lingers in the clinch for too long and ends up with her back to the cage. They move into open space with 20 seconds left and exchange.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Round 3
It looks to be anyone’s fight as Round 3 gets underway. Cortez connects with a right hand over the top and follows it with a leg kick. Jasudavicius presses forward, shoots on the hips and clinches. She works hard for a takedown, only to fail initially. The Canadian pesters Cortez with knees to the head in close quarters but allows her to move to the center of the cage. A clean one-two from Cortez backs up Jasudavicius, energizing the crowd with her efforts. They exchange in the center of the cage. Jasudavicius moves into clinch once more and connects with a knee on the break. Cortez spending too much time moving backward but continues to land, especially with her right hand. Fatigue becoming a factor for both women. Jasudavicius follows a knee with a partially blocked head kick and punches. Trash talk ensues after Jasudavicius gets away with pulling the hair in the center of the cage. Cortez keeps her hands busy in the waning seconds. This one could go either way.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Jasudavicius)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cortez (29-29 Cortez)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cortez (29-28 Cortez)
The Official Result
Tracy Cortez def. Jasmine Jasudavicius—Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Angelo picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, citing her superior wrestling credentials and ability to keep the fight standing. He notes Tracy Cortez has poor striking and relies on takedowns, but Jasmine's wrestling defense is strong. He acknowledges Cortez could win if she initiates takedowns, but favors Jasmine's toughness and recent form. He has a half-unit bet on her at +100.
Big Brady picks Cortez but acknowledges the fight could be close. He believes Cortez has better striking and grappling, especially top control, and that Jasudavicius has been outlanded at distance. He expects a decision and notes the crowd support for Cortez. However, he is hesitant due to the close line and the possibility of a wrestling stalemate.
Cody picks Jasudavicius, noting her wrestling base, grit, and improvement. He points out Cortez's inactivity, weight issues, and vulnerability in recent fights. He believes Jasudavicius can stuff takedowns and outwork Cortez on the feet.
Daniel Levi picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, citing her relentless pace and 'dog' mentality. He worries about Tracy Cortez's long layoff and mental health issues, and believes Jasmine will push the pace and potentially break Cortez in the later rounds. Levi acknowledges Cortez's technical wrestling advantage but thinks Jasmine's pressure and volume can win two rounds if she avoids being neutralized.
Cortez is one of the best wrestlers in the division, with excellent takedowns and top pressure. Jasudavicius is coming off an upset win over Miranda Maverick, but I think there's recency bias; Cortez is a step up in wrestling. Cortez should close the distance and impose her will, winning by decision. I've already bet her at minus 170 and think she's still a good spot up to that range.
Paul leans toward Jasudavicius as an underdog, citing her wrestling, durability, and recent wins as a dog. He notes Cortez's inactivity, weight cut issues, and close fights. He likes Jasudavicius's pace and thinks she can outwork Cortez.
The MMA Guru picks Jasmine Jasudavicius over Tracy Cortez, despite most people favoring Cortez. He believes Jasudavicius is more game, stronger, and tougher. He notes Cortez's split decision win over Justine Kish as a poor performance and highlights Jasudavicius's recent grappling dominance over Miranda Maverick. He expects Jasudavicius to win in the second and third rounds via stand-up fight.
Ariane da Silva - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 63 of 176 | 35% | 65 of 178 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Wang Cong | 1 | 143 of 222 | 64% | 147 of 226 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ariane da Silva | 0 | 17 of 41 | 41% | 17 of 41 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Wang Cong | 0 | 46 of 65 | 70% | 48 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Ariane da Silva | 0 | 19 of 59 | 32% | 21 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Wang Cong | 1 | 42 of 64 | 65% | 44 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 3 | Ariane da Silva | 0 | 27 of 76 | 35% | 27 of 76 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Wang Cong | 0 | 55 of 93 | 59% | 55 of 93 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariane da Silva | 63 of 176 | 35% | 31 of 121 | 20 of 37 | 12 of 18 | 55 of 164 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Wang Cong | 143 of 222 | 64% | 75 of 148 | 28 of 31 | 40 of 43 | 127 of 206 | 13 of 13 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ariane da Silva | 17 of 41 | 41% | 9 of 29 | 4 of 7 | 4 of 5 | 15 of 37 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Wang Cong | 46 of 65 | 70% | 16 of 34 | 12 of 12 | 18 of 19 | 39 of 58 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ariane da Silva | 19 of 59 | 32% | 11 of 44 | 5 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 16 of 56 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Wang Cong | 42 of 64 | 65% | 19 of 39 | 8 of 8 | 15 of 17 | 37 of 59 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | |
| 3 | Ariane da Silva | 27 of 76 | 35% | 11 of 48 | 11 of 20 | 5 of 8 | 24 of 71 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Wang Cong | 55 of 93 | 59% | 40 of 75 | 8 of 11 | 7 of 7 | 51 of 89 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Wang Cong but is not fully confident. He acknowledges Ariane Lipski's underrated striking and ability to make it competitive. He thinks Wang's power will add up over time and Lipski will become afraid to engage. He notes the odds are almost 4-to-1 and says he will likely avoid betting on this fight.
Big Brady picks Wang Cong, citing her high-level striking and the fact that Ariane da Silva has been finished in five of her losses, four by KO. He thinks da Silva doesn't like getting hit and that Cong can finish her on the feet or by mixing in takedowns, as da Silva's ground game is suspect. He predicts a second-round knockout.
Wang Cong is expected to be more effective with her footwork, distance management, and combinations. She will land more effective damage throughout the fight and chip away at Lipski to win on the scorecards.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Wang Cong, citing her superior kickboxing, power, and ability to finish. He notes Ariane da Silva has submission skills but lacks power and is reactionary. He predicts Wang Cong wins by TKO in the first round, dominating exchanges. He mentions Wang Cong's only loss was a fluke submission she would win 8 out of 10 times.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 42 of 92 | 45% | 43 of 93 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 36 of 84 | 42% | 130 of 218 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 | 0 | 5:44 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 27 of 57 | 47% | 27 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 13 of 46 | 28% | 20 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 9 of 20 | 45% | 10 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 17 of 28 | 60% | 83 of 120 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:42 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 6 of 10 | 60% | 27 of 38 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 1:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 42 of 92 | 45% | 26 of 65 | 15 of 23 | 1 of 4 | 41 of 88 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Ariane da Silva | 36 of 84 | 42% | 29 of 76 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 24 of 70 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 13 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 27 of 57 | 47% | 17 of 39 | 10 of 15 | 0 of 3 | 27 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ariane da Silva | 13 of 46 | 28% | 10 of 42 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 9 of 20 | 45% | 4 of 13 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ariane da Silva | 17 of 28 | 60% | 15 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 12 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 6 of 15 | 40% | 5 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 11 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Ariane da Silva | 6 of 10 | 60% | 4 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo is confident Jasmine wins, citing her superior wrestling and pressure. He disagrees with those who think Ariane da Silva is a bad matchup for Jasmine. He notes Ariane has improved but Jasmine is a better wrestler than Karini Silva, who outwrestled Ariane. He expects Jasmine to get takedowns and win, though he wishes the line were more affordable. He may add action as the week goes on.
Big Brady picks Jasmine Jasudavicius to win by decision, but with some concern. He acknowledges that Ariane da Silva has improved her takedown defense significantly, stuffing many takedowns in recent fights. However, Brady believes Jasudavicius is a much better wrestler than those opponents and will get takedowns. He notes that if Jasudavicius can't get takedowns, she is in trouble on the feet, but he leans toward her wrestling winning out.
Cody picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, expecting her to spam takedowns and rack up control time. He notes that Ariane Lipski has been taken down frequently in the past, and Jasudavicius's wrestling should be enough to win a decision. He acknowledges that Jasudavicius's striking is not elite but believes her grappling will be the difference.
Daniel Vreeland picks Jasmine Jasudavicius to pace Ariane da Silva, but notes it's a pass at the betting line. He acknowledges da Silva's recent improvements in maturity and output, but believes Jasudavicius's relentless pace and pressure will be too much. Vreeland expects Jasudavicius to push the pace and potentially get a finish, though he's not confident enough to bet at -225.
Jasudavicius will put a grind on da Silva, put her in uncomfortable positions, chain wrestling attempts together, and win on the scorecards. Da Silva's defensive grappling improvements were against lower-level grapplers, and she struggled against more impressive grapplers like Jasudavicius.
Paul picks Ariane Lipski as an underdog, arguing that her takedown defense has improved significantly since joining American Top Team, stuffing 21 straight takedown attempts before facing Karine Silva. He believes Lipski is the better striker and can keep the fight standing, where she has the advantage. He also notes that Jasudavicius struggled to takedown Tracy Cortez and was out struck in that fight.
The Guru picks Jasmine Jasudavicius over Ariane da Silva, noting Jasudavicius's recent decent performances and size advantage. He questions da Silva's consistency and believes Jasudavicius's momentum and reach will carry her to a win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karine Silva | 0 | 42 of 81 | 51% | 89 of 153 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:06 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 27 of 75 | 36% | 53 of 120 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 0 | 0 | 7:32 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karine Silva | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 20 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 4 of 17 | 23% | 15 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:58 | |
| 2 | Karine Silva | 0 | 9 of 18 | 50% | 22 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 23 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:39 | |
| 3 | Karine Silva | 0 | 26 of 50 | 52% | 47 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 13 of 38 | 34% | 15 of 42 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:55 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karine Silva | 42 of 81 | 51% | 12 of 37 | 22 of 29 | 8 of 15 | 31 of 66 | 8 of 11 | 3 of 4 |
| Ariane da Silva | 27 of 75 | 36% | 8 of 29 | 9 of 32 | 10 of 14 | 21 of 65 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karine Silva | 7 of 13 | 53% | 4 of 8 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 |
| Ariane da Silva | 4 of 17 | 23% | 0 of 7 | 2 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Karine Silva | 9 of 18 | 50% | 1 of 8 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 9 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ariane da Silva | 10 of 20 | 50% | 4 of 10 | 3 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 5 | |
| 3 | Karine Silva | 26 of 50 | 52% | 7 of 21 | 16 of 20 | 3 of 9 | 19 of 41 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Ariane da Silva | 13 of 38 | 34% | 4 of 12 | 4 of 18 | 5 of 8 | 11 of 35 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Jason Herzog is the referee. Lipski catches a kick and lands the first punch. Silva lands a jumping kick to the body. Lipski uses her jab and lands a straight right to the body. Silva gets a takedown and winds up in half-guard. Elbows from Silva land. Lipski pushes her opponent off. Silva engages on the ground again and gets into side control. Lipski gives up her neck as Silva is cranking. Lipski gets out of the submission attempt. Silva gets pushed off again, and Lipski gets up. Lipski lands leg kicks and gets into guard. Lipski finishes the round on top, landing a few elbows.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Round 2
The two fighters exchange leg kicks on the feet. Lipski uses her jab and goes high with a kick. Silva catches a leg and is forced to give it up after Lipski throws a bunch of punches. Silva is able to throw Lipski to the ground. Silva is in half-guard and in full control of Lipski. Some nice elbows are landing for Silva. Lipski goes for a leg lock. Silva defends well. Silva gets to her feet and lands a few leg kicks. Lipski with a good upkick. Silva lands a damaging body kick as Lipski gets up. Silva drags Lipski back to the ground and has her back. Lipski defends well and survives the round.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Round 3
Lipski comes out swinging as she knows she needs a finish. Silva slows the pace with some leg kicks. Lipski answers with some body kicks. Silva catches a kick and goes for a takedown. Lipski rips her hands free, but the two are still clinched against the fence. A few knees land for Lipski, who then backs away. Silva throws a front kick. Halfway through the round. Lipski landing more kicks but isn't putting Silva in any danger. They clinch again. Silva is just holding on and not doing any damage. Lipski gets back to her feet, although Silva manages to scramble and take the back. Silva looks for a rear-naked choke as the fight ends.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Lipski (29-28 Silva)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Silva (30-27 Silva)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Lipski (29-28 Silva)
The Official Result
Karine Silva def. Ariane Lipski via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28); R3, 5:00.
Angelo bet Karine Silva at +118 underdog, noting she has 17 wins all by stoppage. He believes she can get the fight to the ground and find a submission or ground-and-pound. He gives credit to Ariane da Silva for improving her grappling and takedown defense, but thinks Karine's finishing ability will be the difference. He is confident she wins and notes the line has since flipped to -140.
Cody picks Lipski as a dog, citing her improved takedown defense (stuffed 19 of 20 attempts in last three fights) and volume striking. He believes she can survive Silva's early submission threats and win a decision, noting she has never been submitted.
Daniel is impressed by Silva's 100% finish rate (17 finishes) and her dangerous ground game, including a rare leg lock. He thinks her striking is hittable but she's confident because she's dangerous on the ground. He believes she will finish Lipski, noting that in women's MMA, such finishing upside is huge.
Ariane da Silva has shown improved takedown defense, stuffing all 25 takedown attempts in her last five fights. She should be able to keep the fight standing and use her striking to beat Karine Silva. Karine Silva is dangerous on the ground but has holes in her striking. I lean Ariane da Silva by decision.
Paul also picks Lipski, highlighting her three-fight winning streak as an underdog since moving to American Top Team. He notes her takedown defense and ability to keep fights standing, and expects her volume to outwork Silva over three rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Karine Silva, highlighting her consistent finishing ability with five or six submissions in a row. He criticizes Ariane da Silva's wins as over weak competition and notes her submission game is more opportunistic. He believes Silva's ability to force submissions will be the difference, and predicts she will get past da Silva.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 31 of 74 | 41% | 32 of 75 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Casey O'Neill | 0 | 64 of 127 | 50% | 86 of 152 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:58 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ariane da Silva | 0 | 28 of 68 | 41% | 29 of 69 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Casey O'Neill | 0 | 39 of 93 | 41% | 44 of 98 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 2 | Ariane da Silva | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 3 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Casey O'Neill | 0 | 25 of 34 | 73% | 42 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:53 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariane da Silva | 31 of 74 | 41% | 17 of 57 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 14 | 29 of 72 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Casey O'Neill | 64 of 127 | 50% | 45 of 106 | 16 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 37 of 95 | 9 of 11 | 18 of 21 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ariane da Silva | 28 of 68 | 41% | 15 of 52 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 13 | 26 of 66 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Casey O'Neill | 39 of 93 | 41% | 21 of 73 | 15 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 29 of 81 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Ariane da Silva | 3 of 6 | 50% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Casey O'Neill | 25 of 34 | 73% | 24 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 20 |
Angelo leans Ariane da Silva, noting her recent evolution in grappling and takedown defense. He contrasts her upward trajectory with Casey O'Neill's recent struggles. He fears O'Neill's size but picks Ariane, comparing the fight to Veronica Hardy vs. Jamie Lorth.
Big Brady picks Casey O'Neill to win by second-round TKO, citing a phenomenal stylistic matchup. He notes O'Neill's vicious ground and pound and believes she will take down Lipski and dominate, as Lipski has been finished 4 times and struggles with ground pressure. Brady acknowledges Lipski's recent wins stuffing takedowns but thinks O'Neill's wrestling and volume will be too much. He also mentions O'Neill could knock Lipski out on the feet.
Cody picks Lipski as an underdog, citing her recent improvements at American Top Team and her wins as an underdog over JJ Aldrich and Melissa Gatto. He notes that O'Neill's wrestling has not been as effective against higher-level competition and that Lipski can keep the fight standing and make it competitive. Cody believes Lipski's volume and clinch elbows could be key, and at +165 she offers value.
Lucrative James picks Ariane Lipski outright. He notes that Lipski's takedown defense has improved dramatically, and if she stuffs takedowns, she will piece Casey O'Neill up on the feet. He believes Casey's path is only via takedown and ground control, but Lipski's improved defense and the value on her as an underdog make her the side. He has already bet Lipski.
The host, who previously faded Lipski, is now on board after her recent improvements. He believes Lipski has a technical striking advantage, better takedown defense, and growing confidence. He expects Lipski to keep the fight standing, land the more damaging blows, and win a decision. He notes that O'Neill is still raw and untested, and that Lipski can provide a similar type of loss as Jennifer Maia did to O'Neill.
Paul picks O'Neill but is not confident. He notes that O'Neill has good volume and takedowns against lower-level competition, but her wrestling has been less effective against better opponents. He believes O'Neill should use her wrestling to win but is hesitant because Lipski has improved. Paul expects a competitive fight and thinks O'Neill by decision is likely, but he is not fully confident.
The Guru picks Casey O'Neill over Ariane Lipski, citing O'Neill's higher volume striking and physicality. He notes O'Neill threw nearly 400 significant strikes against Roxanne Modafferi, while Lipski's output is lower. He expects a decision win for O'Neill.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 66 of 149 | 44% | 81 of 166 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 85 of 186 | 45% | 100 of 201 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:57 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ariane da Silva | 0 | 16 of 49 | 32% | 18 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 28 of 53 | 52% | 28 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 | |
| 2 | Ariane da Silva | 0 | 26 of 46 | 56% | 39 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 33 of 66 | 50% | 45 of 78 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:16 | |
| 3 | Ariane da Silva | 0 | 24 of 54 | 44% | 24 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 24 of 67 | 35% | 27 of 70 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariane da Silva | 66 of 149 | 44% | 28 of 101 | 27 of 36 | 11 of 12 | 53 of 131 | 12 of 15 | 1 of 3 |
| Melissa Gatto | 85 of 186 | 45% | 39 of 117 | 34 of 50 | 12 of 19 | 70 of 165 | 15 of 21 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ariane da Silva | 16 of 49 | 32% | 3 of 30 | 9 of 15 | 4 of 4 | 14 of 45 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Melissa Gatto | 28 of 53 | 52% | 13 of 31 | 10 of 15 | 5 of 7 | 25 of 49 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ariane da Silva | 26 of 46 | 56% | 10 of 27 | 12 of 14 | 4 of 5 | 18 of 37 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Melissa Gatto | 33 of 66 | 50% | 11 of 37 | 17 of 21 | 5 of 8 | 23 of 52 | 10 of 14 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ariane da Silva | 24 of 54 | 44% | 15 of 44 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 21 of 49 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 3 |
| Melissa Gatto | 24 of 67 | 35% | 15 of 49 | 7 of 14 | 2 of 4 | 22 of 64 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Ariane Lipski (da Silva) based on her last performance against JJ Aldrich, where her hands and wrestling looked great. He acknowledges the logical pick is Melissa Gatto due to Lipski's history of being outgrappled, but he goes against logic. He suggests a plus 3.5 point buy on the scorecard for Lipski as a safer bet.
Big Brady picks Melissa Gatto to win by first-round submission. He notes Gatto has improved significantly, with better striking and takedown defense, and has power. He points out that Ariane da Silva (Lipski) has been dominated on the ground by fighters like Montana De La Rosa and Antonina Shevchenko, and Gatto's top game is dangerous. He expects Gatto to get on top and finish early.
Cody sees Lipski as a live underdog. He notes Gatto's low volume (17 significant strikes in nearly 3 rounds against Eubanks) and poor defensive wrestling. Lipski showed improved wrestling at ATT and has high volume (101 significant strikes against Aldrich). Cody thinks if Lipski can stuff takedowns, she wins the striking battle. He also notes Lipski is only 29 and improving.
Daniel confidently picks Gatto, citing her superior heart, durability, and grappling. He notes Lipski's history of quitting when pressured and her poor defensive grappling, while Gatto showed toughness against Tracy Cortez, reversing positions and landing takedowns. He believes Gatto's chin and submission threat are key, and that Lipski's recent win over JJ Aldrich is overrated. However, he missed the opening line (-150) and won't bet at -230, but expects Gatto to win.
Paul is tempted by the CF dog model. He notes Lipski's last performance against Aldrich was impressive and that Gatto's wins are over low-level competition. He questions if Lipski has turned the corner and thinks the line is off. Paul believes Lipski has a legitimate chance.
The Guru picks Melissa Gatto, noting her impressive win over Ariane Lipski via front kick to the body and her submission win over Karol Rosa. He acknowledges her loss to Tracy Cortez but believes she has improved during her year off. He predicts a submission off her back, possibly an armbar.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 101 of 204 | 49% | 113 of 216 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 49 of 99 | 49% | 56 of 106 | 0 of 12 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ariane da Silva | 0 | 35 of 67 | 52% | 40 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 11 of 20 | 55% | 14 of 23 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 | |
| 2 | Ariane da Silva | 0 | 35 of 73 | 47% | 35 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 20 of 39 | 51% | 20 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Ariane da Silva | 0 | 31 of 64 | 48% | 38 of 71 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 18 of 40 | 45% | 22 of 44 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariane da Silva | 101 of 204 | 49% | 47 of 134 | 42 of 56 | 12 of 14 | 77 of 176 | 24 of 28 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 49 of 99 | 49% | 42 of 92 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 45 of 95 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ariane da Silva | 35 of 67 | 52% | 17 of 42 | 15 of 20 | 3 of 5 | 22 of 53 | 13 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 11 of 20 | 55% | 9 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ariane da Silva | 35 of 73 | 47% | 15 of 48 | 15 of 20 | 5 of 5 | 30 of 68 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 20 of 39 | 51% | 18 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ariane da Silva | 31 of 64 | 48% | 15 of 44 | 12 of 16 | 4 of 4 | 25 of 55 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 18 of 40 | 45% | 15 of 37 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in JJ Aldrich, describing her as a solid, dependable grinder who will stick to a game plan and grind forward. He notes she is dangerous nowhere but good everywhere, and despite breaking his rule against betting on women's MMA, he places a 1.5 unit bet at -220. He believes she will win without taking risks.
Big Brady is confident in JJ Aldrich, noting she is the much more technical striker with better footwork. He highlights Lipski's huge hole in her ground game, calling it 'atrocious' and noting she has been finished on the mat multiple times. Brady expects Aldrich to mix takedowns and eventually get a late TKO, though he acknowledges decision is more likely.
Cody picks Aldrich, citing her training and striking. He notes da Silva's lack of improvement and thinks Aldrich can finish or win a decision. He is cautious about the price but sees Aldrich as a safe parlay piece.
Connor picks Aldrich confidently, citing her superior striking, takedown ability, and experience. He notes that Lipski has poor takedown defense and tends to focus on punching when pressured, which Aldrich can exploit with clinch work and takedowns. He believes Aldrich is a level above Lipski's previous competition.
Aldrich's footwork, combination striking, and experience should be too much for Lipski. Lipski has struggled against higher-level competition and has been finished in her losses. Aldrich can win on the feet or even on the ground. I expect Aldrich to box her way to a decision victory, controlling the distance and landing the cleaner shots.
Paul picks Aldrich, noting her striking advantage and improved wrestling. He thinks she can win standing or on the ground, but is wary of the -450 price. He mentions the under 2.5 rounds prop as interesting.
The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich, calling her underrated. He notes she trains with top fighters and performed decently against Blanchfield before getting guillotined. He believes Aldrich is more well-rounded and tougher, and will win a decision by out-grappling and making Ariane da Silva gun-shy.
Zane picks Aldrich, noting that she is a consistent, well-rounded fighter who should handle Lipski's aggressive but flawed style. He points out that Lipski's best win is against Luana Carolina, who is messy, and that Aldrich's takedown threat and counter-striking will be too much.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Priscila Cachoeira | 1 | 20 of 35 | 57% | 20 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 4 of 15 | 26% | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Priscila Cachoeira | 1 | 20 of 35 | 57% | 20 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 4 of 15 | 26% | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Priscila Cachoeira | 20 of 35 | 57% | 15 of 27 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 3 | 6 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 18 |
| Ariane da Silva | 4 of 15 | 26% | 3 of 12 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Priscila Cachoeira | 20 of 35 | 57% | 15 of 27 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 3 | 6 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 18 |
| Ariane da Silva | 4 of 15 | 26% | 3 of 12 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Lipski (-195), Cachoeira (+165)
Round 1
This is another rescheduled fight from last week’s event, with both women moving up a division to keep the bout intact. After a rough start to her UFC tenure, Brazil’s Cachoeira is building momentum with three wins in her last four outings. A former KSW champ, Lipski has been up and down since signing with the Las Vegas-based promotion. Herb Dean is in charge of the contest. Lipski catches Cachoeira with a counter right. Cachoeira lands a right of her own. “Zombie Girl” moves forward to force the brawl she desires and Lipski obliges. That turns out to be the wrong decision, as a left hook from Cachoeira backs up “The Violence Queen.” Cachoeira forces the issue, landing more shots.
Lipski is firing back but leaving herself exposed, and eventually the onslaught from Cachoeira drops her opponent — puncutated by a right to the chin. Cachoeira smells blood, and a barrage of punches and hammerfists on the canvas on a defenseless Lipski brings the show to a close.
The Official Result
Priscila Cachoeira def. Ariane Lipski via TKO (Punches) R1 1:05
Angelo switched his pick from Lipski to Cachoeira due to Lipski's weight cut issues and medical problems. He notes Cachoeira is the more dangerous fighter with heavy pressure and power, and Lipski may not be at 100% after cutting weight twice in a short period.
Big Brady picks Ariane Lipski (da Silva) to win by first-round submission. He notes that Cachoeira absorbs an absurd 7.91 significant strikes per minute with 45% striking defense, calling her the definition of blocking punches with her face. Lipski hits hard and has a good submission game, and Cachoeira has been submitted twice in the UFC. Brady believes Lipski will take the fight down and submit her easily in the first round.
Cody picks Lipski, criticizing Cachoeira's technique and durability. He notes Cachoeira missed weight and had lingering COVID symptoms, which are bad signs. Cody thinks Lipski is better standing and in the clinch, and he cannot bet Cachoeira.
Paul picks Cachoeira, having already bet her at +150 and a round three prop at 20-1. He acknowledges she missed weight and had COVID issues but still believes she can win. Paul is sticking with his bet despite the line moving against him.
The host picks Ariane Lipski (Ariane da Silva) over Priscila Cachoeira, citing Cachoeira's weak UFC wins and losses to fighters like Molly McCann and Luana Carolina. He expects Lipski to take the fight to the ground and secure a submission in the first or second round, referencing Lipski's previous dominant submission win over Luana Carolina who also beat Cachoeira.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariane da Silva | 2 | 87 of 194 | 44% | 116 of 233 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 4:26 |
| Mandy Böhm | 0 | 36 of 108 | 33% | 47 of 123 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ariane da Silva | 0 | 17 of 50 | 34% | 44 of 83 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:04 |
| Mandy Böhm | 0 | 12 of 26 | 46% | 17 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 | |
| 2 | Ariane da Silva | 1 | 35 of 72 | 48% | 36 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Mandy Böhm | 0 | 12 of 41 | 29% | 15 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Ariane da Silva | 1 | 35 of 72 | 48% | 36 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
| Mandy Böhm | 0 | 12 of 41 | 29% | 15 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariane da Silva | 87 of 194 | 44% | 27 of 106 | 53 of 73 | 7 of 15 | 64 of 157 | 15 of 23 | 8 of 14 |
| Mandy Böhm | 36 of 108 | 33% | 18 of 84 | 12 of 16 | 6 of 8 | 31 of 101 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ariane da Silva | 17 of 50 | 34% | 7 of 34 | 9 of 13 | 1 of 3 | 14 of 43 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 2 |
| Mandy Böhm | 12 of 26 | 46% | 2 of 12 | 6 of 10 | 4 of 4 | 9 of 21 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ariane da Silva | 35 of 72 | 48% | 10 of 36 | 22 of 30 | 3 of 6 | 25 of 57 | 6 of 9 | 4 of 6 |
| Mandy Böhm | 12 of 41 | 29% | 8 of 36 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ariane da Silva | 35 of 72 | 48% | 10 of 36 | 22 of 30 | 3 of 6 | 25 of 57 | 6 of 9 | 4 of 6 |
| Mandy Böhm | 12 of 41 | 29% | 8 of 36 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Ariane Lipski (da Silva) confidently. He thinks she is a little better everywhere and has a huge experience edge (20 fights vs 7). He notes that Mandy Böhm is undefeated but has no specific elite skill to lean on, and that Lipski's losses came on her back, which he doesn't think will happen here. He placed a 1-unit bet on the moneyline at -121.
Big Brady picks underdog Mandy Böhm, believing her grappling will be the difference. He notes Ariane Lipski has poor takedown defense (42%) and a weak ground game, having been finished on the mat multiple times. He predicts Böhm will exploit this and win by second-round TKO or submission.
Cody picks Mandy Böhm, citing her superior striking, reach advantage, and underrated wrestling. He criticizes Ariane da Silva's poor takedown defense and low output, calling her 'fraudulent.' Cody notes that Böhm has a year layoff but believes she has the skills to win if she shows up in shape.
Daniel Levi leans with Ariane Lipski. He notes Lipski has lost twice in a row but those losses were to high-level fighters (Montana De La Rosa, Antonina Shevchenko). He thinks Mandy Böhm is green, with issues getting off the fence and off her back. He credits Böhm's toughness and clinch elbows but believes Lipski's experience will prevail. He says he's not confident enough to bet Lipski but picks her to get back on track.
Preet reluctantly picks Lipski because she is the much better striker and has trained at ATT. However, he is concerned about her takedown defense. He thinks Lipski will overwhelm Böhm on the feet and get a TKO in the second round. He likes Lipski by TKO at +500 and under 2.5 rounds at +185.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Ariane da Silva was dominated on the ground by Antonina Shevchenko, who is not a strong grappler. He believes Böhm's clinch work and cage control will be key. Paul says he cannot bet anyone who gets 'throttled' by Shevchenko.
The MMA Guru picks Mandy Böhm over Ariane Lipski, noting Böhm's technical skill, athleticism, and undefeated record. He criticizes Lipski's inconsistency against fundamentally sound opponents. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision for Böhm.
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo is confident Jasmine wins, citing her superior wrestling and pressure. He disagrees with those who think Ariane da Silva is a bad matchup for Jasmine. He notes Ariane has improved but Jasmine is a better wrestler than Karini Silva, who outwrestled Ariane. He expects Jasmine to get takedowns and win, though he wishes the line were more affordable. He may add action as the week goes on.
Big Brady picks Jasmine Jasudavicius to win by decision, but with some concern. He acknowledges that Ariane da Silva has improved her takedown defense significantly, stuffing many takedowns in recent fights. However, Brady believes Jasudavicius is a much better wrestler than those opponents and will get takedowns. He notes that if Jasudavicius can't get takedowns, she is in trouble on the feet, but he leans toward her wrestling winning out.
Cody picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, expecting her to spam takedowns and rack up control time. He notes that Ariane Lipski has been taken down frequently in the past, and Jasudavicius's wrestling should be enough to win a decision. He acknowledges that Jasudavicius's striking is not elite but believes her grappling will be the difference.
Daniel Vreeland picks Jasmine Jasudavicius to pace Ariane da Silva, but notes it's a pass at the betting line. He acknowledges da Silva's recent improvements in maturity and output, but believes Jasudavicius's relentless pace and pressure will be too much. Vreeland expects Jasudavicius to push the pace and potentially get a finish, though he's not confident enough to bet at -225.
Jasudavicius will put a grind on da Silva, put her in uncomfortable positions, chain wrestling attempts together, and win on the scorecards. Da Silva's defensive grappling improvements were against lower-level grapplers, and she struggled against more impressive grapplers like Jasudavicius.
Paul picks Ariane Lipski as an underdog, arguing that her takedown defense has improved significantly since joining American Top Team, stuffing 21 straight takedown attempts before facing Karine Silva. He believes Lipski is the better striker and can keep the fight standing, where she has the advantage. He also notes that Jasudavicius struggled to takedown Tracy Cortez and was out struck in that fight.
The Guru picks Jasmine Jasudavicius over Ariane da Silva, noting Jasudavicius's recent decent performances and size advantage. He questions da Silva's consistency and believes Jasudavicius's momentum and reach will carry her to a win.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!