Career Averages - Jamey-Lyn Horth
Career Averages - Ivana Petrović
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Ivana Petrović
Jamey-Lyn Horth - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 50 of 149 | 33% | 52 of 154 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 70 of 230 | 30% | 73 of 233 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JJ Aldrich | 0 | 7 of 43 | 16% | 9 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 21 of 54 | 38% | 23 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | JJ Aldrich | 0 | 16 of 46 | 34% | 16 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 21 of 88 | 23% | 22 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | JJ Aldrich | 0 | 27 of 60 | 45% | 27 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 28 of 88 | 31% | 28 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Aldrich | 50 of 149 | 33% | 35 of 127 | 5 of 8 | 10 of 14 | 50 of 149 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 70 of 230 | 30% | 28 of 158 | 25 of 48 | 17 of 24 | 70 of 230 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JJ Aldrich | 7 of 43 | 16% | 5 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 7 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 21 of 54 | 38% | 11 of 33 | 8 of 15 | 2 of 6 | 21 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | JJ Aldrich | 16 of 46 | 34% | 11 of 39 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 16 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 21 of 88 | 23% | 7 of 67 | 5 of 10 | 9 of 11 | 21 of 88 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | JJ Aldrich | 27 of 60 | 45% | 19 of 50 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 27 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 28 of 88 | 31% | 10 of 58 | 12 of 23 | 6 of 7 | 28 of 88 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her power, range control, and higher fight IQ. He notes that JJ Aldrich is coming off a layoff and was never dangerous, and that Horth's takedown defense is a concern but JJ is not a strong wrestler. He expects Horth to win a shutout decision.
Big Brady picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her size, strength, and physicality. He believes Horth will win in the clinch and grind out a close split decision, despite Aldrich having better striking at distance. He expects an unexciting fight.
Cody picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her physical strength and ability to pressure. He notes that JJ Aldrich has mental toughness issues and tends to fade when pressured. He expects Horth to win by decision or late stoppage.
Connor picks Aldrich because she is a much better technician with faster hands and superior skills everywhere. He notes that Horth is not the kind of athlete that beats Aldrich, and Aldrich has beaten similar fighters like Jillian Robertson and Vanessa Demopoulos. However, he expresses concern that Aldrich's tendency to abandon what works could make the fight closer than it should be.
Aldrich is the better fighter everywhere: more technical boxing, southpaw stance, improved takedown defense, and better MMA grappling. Horth has home advantage but poor fight IQ and is an inexperienced striker. Aldrich's main issue is putting her stamp on rounds, but she should do enough to win a close decision. The odds are off; Aldrich should be at least 50%.
James picks JJ Aldrich as an underdog, believing the line is too wide. He thinks Aldrich's boxing and takedown defense will keep the fight competitive, and that Horth's advantages are overstated. He predicts a decision win.
The host thinks Aldrich is the superior striker technically and has a strength of schedule advantage. He believes she will land more effective shots and withstand Horton's power. He notes that Horton throws with more power, which gives him pause, but sees value on Aldrich as a live underdog. He predicts Aldrich by decision.
Paul picks JJ Aldrich as a slight underdog, citing her experience and plus money. He notes that both fighters are similar but Aldrich has fought better competition. He expects a close decision and likes the value on Aldrich.
Zane agrees with Connor, emphasizing that Aldrich is a good technician and solid grappler who has beaten better fighters than Horth. He notes that Horth's best win is over Vanessa Demopoulos, while Aldrich has wins over better competition. He also points out that Horth is not a reckless fighter like Andrea Lee, so Aldrich may not get easy counters, but she should still win handily.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 16 of 22 | 72% | 18 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Tereza Bledá | 0 | 2 of 12 | 16% | 2 of 12 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 16 of 22 | 72% | 18 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Tereza Bledá | 0 | 2 of 12 | 16% | 2 of 12 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 16 of 22 | 72% | 12 of 17 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 15 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Tereza Bledá | 2 of 12 | 16% | 0 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 16 of 22 | 72% | 12 of 17 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 15 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Tereza Bledá | 2 of 12 | 16% | 0 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bleda (-150); Horth (+120)
Round 1
Who’s ready to say goodbye to the UFC on ESPN era? The promotion decided against going out with a bang for its final show on the ESPN airwaves—at least, until the Paramount deal ends in seven years, in which case broadcasting rights will be up for grabs again. The so-called “final” pay-per-view behind us, we move towards a Fight Night card on big ESPN that should have what it takes to entertain for the next six hours. We kick things off at 125 pounds, when a pair of ladies looking to break out come to blows. In a classic matchup of Canada vs. the Czech Republic, Horth (8-2, 3-2 UFC) represents the Great White North against her European adversary Bleda (7-1, 1-1 UFC). Referee Kerry Hatley will take charge of the Octagon for the first encounter of the evening, and it starts with a respectful gloves touch.
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Bleda starts off the fight aggressively by darting at her opponent to pursue a takedown, but when it is rebuffed, she takes a few punches around the eye. She fires back with offense of her own and then tries for another takedown, a single-leg entry after a left hook. Horth hops around on one foot to defend it, putting her back against the wall to otherwise maintain her balance. Bleda transitions to a low double-leg effort where she eventually reaches down for Horth’s ankle, but Horth stands her up and knees her in the belly a few times. Bleda stays doggedly pursuant to the takedown, and Horth shuts her down and proceeds to bash her face in. The Canadian unleashes a fury of fists, blasting Bleda in the nose with a right hand. Bleda backpedals and takes another right on the button, sending her squirrely as she retreats as fast as she can. Horth chases her down and batters her with vicious right hands, clubbing the woman from the Czech Republic relentless until her balance starts to waver and Hatley’s trigger finger gets itchy.
He lets it play out as Horth keeps smacking Bleda around like Bleda owes her money, and Bleda is in a bad way as she falls to a knee. While she bounces back up under fire, Horth continues hurling her fiery fists until Hatley sees that Bleda is done and intervenes.
What a heck of a way to start the fight card, with a thrilling performance by the Canadian who earns her first finish since 2021.
The Official Result
Jamey-Lyn Horth def. Tereza Bleda R1 2:05 via TKO (Punches)
Cody picks Bledá, citing her youth and physical strength. He thinks her clinch work and volume will outwork Horth, who struggles against strong grapplers. He expects a decision win.
Connor agrees with Horth, noting that Bledá is only 24 and has potential but is at the wrong weight class. He points out that Horth is a mean clinch fighter with a strong top game, while Bledá has no striking or wrestling. He believes Horth's skills will outweigh Bledá's physicality.
Lucrative James picks Tereza Bledá confidently, citing her superior strength, athleticism, and relentless grappling. He notes Jamey-Lyn Horth's takedown defense issues and believes Bledá will dominate on the ground. He acknowledges Bledá's long layoff but expects improvements. He projects Bledá as a -200 favorite.
Paul also picks Bledá, citing her youth and potential. He thinks Horth's muscular style is not enough against a strong grappler like Bledá, and expects Bledá to control the clinch and win a decision.
Zane picks Horth confidently, noting that Bledá is huge for flyweight but relies only on strength and physicality with no real technique. Horth is also big and has actual skills like a mean clinch and strong top game. He believes Bledá's holding game won't work against Horth's size and aggression.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 101 of 167 | 60% | 115 of 183 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:34 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 36 of 119 | 30% | 44 of 131 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 35 of 57 | 61% | 36 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 5 of 39 | 12% | 7 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 | |
| 2 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 33 of 60 | 55% | 35 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 20 of 52 | 38% | 23 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 | |
| 3 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 33 of 50 | 66% | 44 of 63 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:35 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 11 of 28 | 39% | 14 of 35 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 101 of 167 | 60% | 64 of 123 | 24 of 31 | 13 of 13 | 90 of 153 | 8 of 11 | 3 of 3 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 36 of 119 | 30% | 15 of 87 | 17 of 26 | 4 of 6 | 30 of 107 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 35 of 57 | 61% | 22 of 43 | 8 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 33 of 55 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 5 of 39 | 12% | 0 of 30 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 35 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 33 of 60 | 55% | 22 of 45 | 7 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 30 of 55 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 20 of 52 | 38% | 7 of 33 | 9 of 14 | 4 of 5 | 15 of 45 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 33 of 50 | 66% | 20 of 35 | 9 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 27 of 43 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 |
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 11 of 28 | 39% | 8 of 24 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Horth (-520), Demopoulos (+390)
Round 1
Atlanta! The capital of Georgia! The City in a Forest, The A, The Gate City, Hollywood of the South, ATL, Hotlanta, A City Among the Hills, Dogwood City…and many other names. The UFC has arrived to the city that holds over six million people in its metropolitan area, returning for the first time since Max Holloway and Dustin Poirier threw down for the second time all the way back in 2019. While no all-time banger is slated for this event’s lineup, with 13 bouts of varied significance, something is bound to bring the goods. UFC on ESPN 69 kicks off with a women’s flyweight contest pitting a Canadian in Horth (7-2, 2-2 UFC) struggling to find her way against a former strawweight in Demopoulos (11-7, 5-4 UFC) also trying to figure things out. Even with Horth sporting massive odds in her favor around -600, she is not even in top three heaviest betting favorites tonight. Here be squash matches. Referee Nate Mann takes the wheel for the first fight of the night, and the ladies touch gloves before his eyes to get started. Demopoulos, the shorter and smaller woman of the two by a wide margin, tries to get her offense going but is well out of range. Horth, meanwhile, easily slaps her opponent in the face with the first strike she throws: a front kick. Horth flicks out a low kick and avoids the return fire, with the former strawweight too distant. Horth goes to the well with another kick, and Demopoulos’s calf is already welting and reddening. Demopoulos lunges forward a few times, to no avail. Horth nearly wraps her head kick around the guard, forcing Demopoulos to mind her P’s and Q’s. Horth pitches a high kick to the other side, and the impact alone makes Demopoulos have to take a step back. Horth uses her long legs to do work, and she pins a body kick and follows it with a front kick to the midsection. Demopoulos’s responses rebound off the guard or come up short, so she engages in a clinch. The two jockey for position as soon as they find their way tied up, turning one another about, and Horth clocks Demopoulos with a right hand. Horth walks her foe down, landing with impunity, and turning the older woman’s face a brilliant shade of red. Horth picks away with jabs, stepping in with a kick to the body and giving Demopoulos all she can handle. Horth splits the guard with a one-two, and she again finds her target with a front kick. A trickle of blood appears on the side of Demopoulos’ nose, and Horth sees it and kicks at it. The front kick is one of the Canadian’s best weapons, freezing Demopoulos with one and then stinging her with a one-two. Demopoulos whiffs when trying to pay her back, and she looks for a takedown or something to get hold of her steamrolling opponent. Horth shucks it off and starts blasting the former dancer, allowing Demopoulos to try to get hold of her so she can toss Demopoulos to the mat. Horth lands in an awkward position as Demopoulos tries to reverse somersault, and the horn sounds.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Round 2
The ladies touch ‘em up to get going in the second round, and Demopoulos tries to take advantage of the close proximity but ends up missing on a few punches. Horth steps back and pops her with a right hook. Demopoulos chambers and fires a single kick, only to get her jaw jacked with a hook combination. Horth pounds the midsection with a liver kick, and she chains a front kick and two right hooks behind it. When the Canadian attacks another kick, Demopoulos grabs her and tries to tie her up. Demopoulos’ cheek starts leaking crimson fluid, with Horth’s strikes having a visible effect while Demopoulos might not have connected with 10 significant strikes over six and a half minutes in. On the break, Horth drills her opponent with a left hand that spins Demopoulos all the way around. Demopoulos recovers and loops a right hand back at her, but her six-plus inch reach deficiency is her worst enemy. Horth watches Demopoulos soar past her with strikes, chipping at her with jabs and punishing her with a right hand when Demopoulos charges her. Demopoulos gets off first and shoots for a double-leg takedown, but the taller woman turns her about and drills her in the jaw with a knee. The size discrepancy is jarring, as Horth can reach her at will with kicks while even Demopoulos’ kicks do not always get there. An axe kick from Demopoulos is nowhere near the mark, but she gets aggravated and wings a right hand that surprises Horth. The Canadian has to shake it off, and she marches forward and drives a kick to the ribcage. Demopoulos is tough as nails, but Horth is connecting constantly and effectively. When they clinch, Horth breaks it out of thanks to a few knees. A home run right hand from Demopoulos misses by a mile, and she takes a punch to give one back but is seemingly out-powered as well. Horth chains a kick into two punches, and she ducks the right hook at the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Round 3
Horth springs out of her corner behind her jab, allowing Demopoulos to come at her so she can do work. Demopoulos’ charges put her at risk to getting kicked in the stomach, and Horth does this twice—the second sends Demopoulos flying. Demopoulos stands up and nods that she got hit with a good one, and she tries to grab hold of Horth. The Canadian allows Demopoulos to sell out for a takedown so she can wind up on top, and she hops away and trips. Demopoulos gives chase, but Horth is upright before she gets grounded for real. The Factory X fighter sells out for a takedown, even giving up dominant position in hopes of taking the back, but Horth turns her about and reams her with an elbow. Horth sits comfortably in the full guard of her foe, listening to her corner’s instructions while pummeling “Lil Monster” with ground-and-pound. Any time Demopoulos tosses her legs up for a submission of some kind, Horth busts her in the chops. Horth elects to stand back up, and she sways back to partially dodge a one-two. Chants for “USA” in support of Demopoulos rain down, and she salutes the crowd and takes a knee square on the jaw when not paying attention. Horth potshots her from a safe distance, her body kick about as clutch at it can be. Demopoulos walks through a head kick to wind a big right hand, and her power strikes are one-and-done while Horth is much busier, accurate and stronger. Demopoulos sprints towards her foe for a level change, and she tries to pull guard but Horth walks away. Demopoulos comes out firing with a one-two when getting back to her feet, and she snaps Horth’s head to the side with a solid jab. The prodding jabs from Horth keep her safe from the worst of it, and Demopoulos tries to catch a body kick but ends up eating four punches instead. Horth’s body kick leads to a shot up top, and she springs away to avoid a looping punch. Demopoulos fakes a takedown to throw hands, and she even attempts an Imanari roll to get hold of the Canadian. They trade hands, with Horth landing the flusher of the two, until the final bell rings.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Horth (30-27 Horth)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Horth (30-27 Horth)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horth (30-27 Horth)
The Official Result
Jamey-Lyn Horth def. Vanessa Demopoulos via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Angelo picks Horth because of her size advantage and ability to defend takedowns against the cage. He believes her range, length, and striking will be too much for Demopoulos, who is stepping up on short notice.
Big Brady picks Jamey-Lyn Horth due to her significant size and strength advantages, noting a 5-inch height and 6.5-7 inch reach advantage. He believes Horth will use her size to push Demopoulos against the cage and take her down, similar to how Allen Carr controlled Demopoulos. He acknowledges Demopoulos has been on the winning side of questionable decisions but expects Horth to win a boring decision. He is surprised Horth is a -475 favorite but agrees with the line.
Horth's size, physicality, and strength are expected to overwhelm Demopoulos, who is coming up a weight class on short notice. Horth will pin Demopoulos against the cage, drag her to the ground, and grind out a decision win.
The Guru picks Jamey-Lyn Horth based on her physicality advantage, noting she is 5'7" to Demopoulos's 5'2" with more reach. He criticizes Demopoulos's lack of technical skill, saying she 'has no idea what she's doing' and spent 13 minutes on bottom in her last fight. He expects Horth to outgrapple Demopoulos and win a 30-27 decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 24 of 68 | 35% | 61 of 117 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 6:50 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 15 of 55 | 27% | 63 of 111 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 1 | 3:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 8 of 24 | 33% | 20 of 37 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:49 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 4 of 19 | 21% | 21 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 15 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:37 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 22 of 27 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 1 | 2:54 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 13 of 40 | 32% | 26 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:24 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 9 of 32 | 28% | 20 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 24 of 68 | 35% | 12 of 50 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 12 | 23 of 65 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 15 of 55 | 27% | 11 of 45 | 3 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 14 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 8 of 24 | 33% | 3 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 7 | 8 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 4 of 19 | 21% | 2 of 15 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 13 of 40 | 32% | 9 of 34 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 13 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 9 of 32 | 28% | 8 of 27 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Maverick (-470), Horth (+360)
Round 1
Andrew Glenn will referee the final women's MMA fight inside the UFC this year. Horth takes the middle of the cage. Maverick is circling well and entering with combinations, although they've all come up short so far. A series of left hooks lands for Maverick. Horth defends a takedown attempt against the cage. Maverick landing short knees to the leg. Maverick stays with it, locking her hands around the left knee of Horth. Maverick starts eating elbows from Horth. Slow opening round as Maverick has been obsessed with getting a takedown that she couldn't get. Just 30 seconds left. Horth eats some knees but stays upright as the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Round 2
Maverick complained of shots to the back of the head between rounds. Maverick goes for another takedown, and Horth is up against the cage, defending well. The crowd is booing. Maverick landing some nice knees. Horth tries to jump the back for a second and is now looking for a takedown of her own as she gets back control standing. Maverick gives up her back and is now on the ground. Horth is looking for a rear-naked choke. The decision to grapple and go for nonstop takedown attempts has backfired for Maverick. Horth is cranking the neck currently. Maverick gets back to her feet with two minutes left and finally gets a takedown of her own. Horth gives up her back in a scramble. Maverick gets complacent for a second and is reversed. Horth is in full guard with a minute left. Horth lands a few punches on top before Maverick gets back to her feet.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Round 3
Horth eats an overhand left from Maverick to start the round. Maverick has shown a clear advantage on the feet, so her insistence on takedowns has been strange. Maverick keeping her distance and is starting to use her kicks. Horth has a longer reach but isn't using her jab. Horth swings wildly and gets taken down as a result. Maverick is in half-guard and is landing some short punches from top position. Horth needs to show some urgency to get up but isn't doing so. Maverick postures up and tries to pass but can't get side control. Horth scrambles for a leg, but they're mostly just tangled up. One minute left. Maverick is cruising to a decision win by staying on top. Horth finally gets up with 30 seconds left. Maverick lands a nice left straight and is outstriking Horth easily. The fight ends with Maverick clinching her opponent against the cage.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (29-28 Maverick)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (29-28 Maverick)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (29-28 Maverick)
The Official Result
Miranda Maverick def. Jamey-Lyn Horth via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28); R3, 5:00.
Angelo picks Maverick because she can dictate the grappling and get the fight to the ground, exploiting Horth's poor takedown defense. He notes Maverick's pressure, strength, and takedowns, but acknowledges she is not a finisher. He expects the fight to go to decision and suggests the over 2.5 rounds might be a better bet if the odds are close to the moneyline.
Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win by decision. He is confident Maverick is a much better fighter than Horth, noting Horth's close fights with lower-level opponents. He thinks Maverick's losses are to elite fighters and that she was robbed against Barber. He does not see a finish likely, so picks decision.
Cody picks Miranda Maverick, citing her wrestling advantage and Horth's inability to stop takedowns. He notes that Horth is slow and flat-footed, and Maverick's physicality should secure takedowns and control. Cody warns that the line is high but sees Maverick as a safe play.
Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Maverick is a much better athlete and has been improving her game. He points out that Horth is a slow, uncoordinated fighter who lacks the size and seasoning of Jasmine Jasudavicius, who beat Maverick. As long as Maverick uses her wrestling and doesn't get into unnecessary striking exchanges, she should win easily.
Daniel Vreeland picks Miranda Maverick, noting she has more tools, experience, and better competition. However, he is cautious due to the -600 price and the state of women's MMA judging. He expects Maverick to win but advises proceeding with caution.
Maverick's physicality and grinding approach will keep Horth in defensive positions, allowing Maverick to win by decision. The chalky odds are expected to come through.
Paul picks Miranda Maverick but avoids the money line due to the high price. He notes that Horth struggles with wrestlers and Maverick is the best wrestler she's faced. Paul expects Maverick to secure takedowns and control, but is not confident enough to bet heavily.
The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick without much elaboration, stating she is well-trained with talent in grappling and striking. He dismisses Jamey-Lyn Horth's recent split decision win over Iana Petrovic, calling Petrovic 'absolute garbage', and notes that Horth's close fight with Veronica Hardy doesn't impress him. He concludes that Maverick is simply a more talented fighter.
Zane picks Maverick confidently, noting that she is a much better athlete than Horth, faster and stronger. He points out that Maverick has been learning to connect her striking to her wrestling and showed better control in recent fights. Horth is slow, uncoordinated, and barely beat Petrovich, getting taken down at will. As long as Maverick doesn't trip over her own feet, she should win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 29 of 70 | 41% | 50 of 94 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:30 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 25 of 75 | 33% | 67 of 128 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 2 | 7:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 10 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:02 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 20 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 3:23 | |
| 2 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 10 of 19 | 52% | 21 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 9 of 25 | 36% | 14 of 31 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:43 | |
| 3 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 16 of 43 | 37% | 19 of 47 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:06 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 15 of 41 | 36% | 33 of 64 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:39 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 29 of 70 | 41% | 17 of 52 | 11 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 58 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Ivana Petrović | 25 of 75 | 33% | 17 of 64 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 25 of 75 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 3 of 8 | 37% | 1 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ivana Petrović | 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 10 of 19 | 52% | 5 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ivana Petrović | 9 of 25 | 36% | 5 of 19 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 16 of 43 | 37% | 11 of 32 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 35 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Ivana Petrović | 15 of 41 | 36% | 11 of 36 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Horth (-205), Petrovic (+170)
Round 1
In July 2019, the promotion last posted up at the Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada, with a pay-per-view offering that put a featherweight belt on the line. At night’s end, Max Holloway defended his throne against Frankie Edgar, with the co-headliner seeing Cris Cyborg punish Felicia Spencer. Five and change years later, the UFC comes back to the same building, with a fight card that is far less stacked but still ram-packed with Canadian talent. The night opens with Canadian faithful getting a home country woman in Horth (6-1-1, 1-1 UFC) setting foot in the cage. She battles Norway’s Petrovic (7-1, 1-1 UFC), in a contest between who ladies who each sport a single decision win on their respective ledgers. Referee Blake Grice is on call for the first assignment of the night, and he checks the fight in as the flyweights touch gloves. Petrovic immediately gets behind her jab, and she flicks up a head kick. Horth swipes out with two right hands, but comes up short and is warned for outstretched fingers. Petrovic returns to the center of the cage, catching a body kick and looking for a counter. Petrovic walks square into an overhand right, and she does not like it. Rather than slugging it out, Petrovic meanders forward into a clinch, where she jams Horth up and presses her across the cage to the wall. Clapping and chants for “Let’s go Jamey” come down in support of the local lady, but she is unable to channel their energy to get out of the clinch. Petrovic continues grinding despite the warning for Grice to do something, and when she gets a little too aggressive with a level change, Petrovic is spun around. When Horth starts pressing, she is countered and dumped on her head with a head-and-arm throw. Horth tugs her toes on the fence in hopes of escaping bottom position, while Petrovic lords over her and smacks her occasionally with hammerfists and clubbing strikes. Horth pushes her foe off and fights back to her feet, and she gloms onto Petrovic to bop her in the noggin a few times. Horth threatens with her own trip takedown, and she succeeds in sneaking a hook around when taking the back. Horth snatches hold of a rear-naked choke without both hooks in, and the submission is on the face and Petrovic is standing up trying to wriggle her off the back. Horth loses her grip and falls to her back, where Petrovic sits on top elbowing her in the face. Petrovic stops Horth’s scrambles until the bell sounds.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petrovic
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Petrovic
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petrovic
Round 2
The ladies clap hands to start the second stanza, and Petrovic shifts early to the middle of the cage and paws out a side kick. Petrovic reaches out with a left hook that is parried, and she smacks the front leg with a kick. Horth responds with a body kick, and Petrovic grabs it and chucks Horth to the ground like a side of Canadian bacon. When Petrovic assumes top position, Horth throws her legs up and sets up an armbar. Petrovic stacks her opponent up to keep the weight pressed down and safe herself from getting tapped, and Horth smacks her in the gut a few times with awkward hammerfists when the submission leverage dissipates. Petrovic walks from one side to the other, all while maintaining pressure, and she drops elbows down to further irritate the Canadian. Petrovic rests her knees on Horth’s forehead while keeping all the pressure she can muster on top of Horth. Petrovic finally slides her arm out of danger, standing up briefly to lower herself down. Horth scrambles at the right moment, and the ensuing movement results in a brief wardrobe malfunction for Petrovic, who looks to Grice for relief. Grice tells them to fight on, and she gets spun around and pushed to the wall. Horth breaks out of it and kicks her opponent in the ribs, and Petrovic does not make her pay for the naked kick. Petrovic sets up a left hand down the middle, and Horth retaliates with a flurry of punches that redden the Norwegian woman’s nose up. They trade straight strikes one after the other, seeing openings and lowering their defenses to throw more. Petrovic whips a kick to the side and then one up high, and they go after body strikes. Petrovic shoots for a takedown when Horth overswings, and Horth’s sprawl defends her from getting put on her back. Horth jumps for a guillotine, but time expires before anything comes of it.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Round 3
One final glove touch is shared between the two, and fists are soon to fly after. Petrovic reintroduces herself with a salvo of punches, catching Horth unaware and outdoing her with volume. Horth strides forward intent on forcing a clinch, and she is soon spun around with her back pushed to the wire. As Petrovic imposes her will, Horth explodes out of the tie-up and starts throwing hands. Petrovic backs off, dodging one series of punches but eating the second. Petrovic lands, Horth gives her one back to think about, and Petrovic comes back at her. A Horth high kick glances off the shoulder, and she sets up another with a pair of punches. Petrovic spins with a back fist, and Horth sees it coming and clinches her. With her back against the wall, Petrovic tries to counter her foe with another head-and-arm throw, but Horth sees it coming and shifts. Petrovic tries for another on the other side, and Horth leans against the fencing to not go down. Horth uses a turning Petrovic to toss her to the ground, and she jumps onto Petrovic’s back to set up a submission. Petrovic lowers herself down and shimmies her way out of danger, where she gains top position as Horth closes her guard. Petrovic drops down hammerfists until Horth hits a quick sweep, putting Petrovic on her seat. Both women spring back to their feet and punches their way into a clinch. Horth walks her foe down and kicks her in the side, and Petrovic responds with one of her own. Horth bites down on her mouthpiece and starts slugging it out, and Petrovic retreats and tries to counter but is beaten to the punch a few times. Petrovic fails on a takedown and backs away just enough to dodge a head kick. Horth shoots for a single-leg takedown, and Petrovic turns her about to land on top. Petrovic drops down ground-and-pound until the final horn, and it could be a close one.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Horth)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Horth)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Horth)
The Official Result
Jamey-Lyn Horth def. Ivana Petrovic via Split Decision (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
Angelo picks Jamey-Lyn Horth but with low confidence, calling the odds 'insane' as Horth is a 2-to-1 favorite after a year away and a loss. He notes Horth is big and strong, a solid striker with good fight IQ, but was dropped multiple times in her last fight. He thinks Ivana Petrović could win if she closes distance and shoots takedowns, but doubts she will because Horth may be too strong to drag down. He finds the odds baffling and won't bet.
Big Brady picks Jamey-Lyn Horth to win by decision. He highlights Horth's physical strength and ability to bully Petrović against the cage, stuff takedowns, and get on top. He thinks Horth is the better striker and that Petrović has little to offer on the feet. Brady believes Petrović needs takedowns to win but doubts she can get them.
Cody picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her kickboxing background, physicality, and durability. He notes that Petrović relies on takedowns and submissions, but Horth has good takedown defense and will be the stronger striker. He believes Horth's pressure and volume will overwhelm Petrović, and that Petrović's cardio is questionable.
Daniel Vreeland picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her physicality, technical striking, and higher-level experience. He acknowledges Ivana Petrović's improvements but notes she has been taken down in both UFC fights. Vreeland expects Horth's work rate and assertiveness to earn a decision, though he considers the -220 price too high for a confident bet and calls it a pass.
Horth's physicality and ability to put Petrović in bad spots and keep her there will allow her to grind this fight out and pick up a win by decision.
Paul also picks Horth, noting that Petrović struggled in her last fight and has poor cardio. He believes Horth's tenacity and striking will be too much, and that Petrović will fade as the fight goes on. He expects Horth to win a decision or late stoppage.
The Guru picks Jamey-Lyn Horth over Ivana Petrović, reasoning that Horth's split decision loss to Veronica Hardy is more impressive than anything Petrović has done. He notes Horth's technical ability and questions Petrović's level of competition, calling her unproven.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 43 of 101 | 42% | 61 of 122 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 43 of 87 | 49% | 74 of 125 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:59 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 17 of 37 | 45% | 17 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 16 of 34 | 47% | 16 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 13 of 33 | 39% | 19 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 7 of 21 | 33% | 23 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 13 of 31 | 41% | 25 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 20 of 32 | 62% | 35 of 51 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 43 of 101 | 42% | 29 of 86 | 11 of 11 | 3 of 4 | 30 of 81 | 13 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 43 of 87 | 49% | 16 of 49 | 20 of 26 | 7 of 12 | 23 of 59 | 20 of 28 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 17 of 37 | 45% | 12 of 31 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 31 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 16 of 34 | 47% | 5 of 17 | 6 of 8 | 5 of 9 | 12 of 30 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 13 of 33 | 39% | 10 of 30 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 26 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 7 of 21 | 33% | 0 of 12 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 16 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 13 of 31 | 41% | 7 of 25 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 24 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 20 of 32 | 62% | 11 of 20 | 8 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 13 | 13 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hardy (-112), Horth (-108)
Round 1
Women’s flyweights get the ball rolling, as Hardy (7-4-1, 2-4 UFC) takes on the undefeated Horth at 125 pounds. The 33-year-old Horth (6-0, 1-0 UFC) has finished five of her first six opponents. Mark Smith draws the officiating assignment. They touch gloves, and we are underway in the Texas capital. They spend the first 45 seconds sizing up one another. Horth slips on a kick and eats a right hand for her troubles. The Canadian has a significant size advantage. They trade body kicks, and Hardy circles on the perimeter. The Venezuelan lands an inside leg kicks, and Horth returns fire with one of her own. Not much in terms of meaningful offense from either women in what has been a tepid start. Hardy unleashes and overhand left, setting off a brief flurry between the two. She then pins Horth along the fence and scores with punches from both hands. Hardy initiating a majority of the exchanges. She sits down an off-balance Horth with a one-two, then engages the Canadian in the clinch. Hardy complains about an eye poke, and Smith decides to pause the action. Horth declines attention from the cageside physician, and the two women get back to business.
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Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Round 2
Hardy pumps out her jab in a bid to gauge distance, then fires a few left hands over the top. Horth not doing much to maximize her physical advantages. Hardy darts in and out of the pocket, punctuating a combination with a kick to the body. Speed a definite factor in the Venezuelan’s favor. Hardy gets in and gets out with punches before the Canadian can answer. Horth pulls guard, but Hardy lifts her back to her feet and engages her in the clinch. She lands a close-range elbow over the top but absorbs a few knees to the body. They continue to jockey for position in the clinch, then separate. Horth closes the distance and completes a takedown, setting up shop in full guard with a minute to go. She scores with body-head combinations from the top but not yet connecting with anything significant. Horth stands up and absorbs a upkick to the chest that knocks her off-balance for an instant. She finishes the round in top position.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Round 3
Hardy steps into a two-punch combination from her southpaw stance, then fires a kick to the body and another to the leg. Horth lands an elbow over the top that gets Hardy’s attention, then sticks the Venezuelan with a right hand. Hardy follows a body kick with a left hook. Horth turning to elbows in the standup exchanges, making her first noticeable adjustment on the feet. She once again ties up Hardy along the fence, fires a knee to the body and separates. They both connect on the break. Hardy slams another kick into the Canadian’s midsection. Horth closes the distance, plants an elbow upstairs and moves into the clinch. They trade knees to the legs. Hardy doing everything she can to stay upright. Horth hacks away with elbows to the head and eats a few punches. She drops an off-balance Hardy with a stepping elbow, but the Venezuelan gets back to her feet. They engage one another in the clinch. Hardy counters a takedown into top position, and they scramble back to a standing position, trading along the fence to close it out.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Hardy)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Hardy)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Hardy)
The Official Result
Veronica Hardy def. Jamey Lyn-Horth—Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
Big Brady believes Jamey-Lyn Horth is being undervalued after the line flipped from Hardy being a big underdog. He notes Horth has a three-inch height and reach advantage, plus a strength advantage, and should be able to dictate where the fight takes place. He thinks Horth is the better striker and can stuff takedowns or get her own. He predicts a decision win for Horth.
Cody picks Hardy as an underdog. He thinks Hardy's speed, footwork, and game plan with Dan Hardy can overcome Horth's size. He notes Hardy looked great in her last fight after a layoff. He believes if Hardy uses lateral movement and mixes in takedowns, she can win. He acknowledges Horth's strength but thinks Hardy's technique and game plan are key.
Lucrative James picks Veronica Hardy, citing her improved striking and speed advantage. He notes that while Jamey-Lyn Horth is a decent fighter with good wins, Hardy's in-and-out movement and early-round success should carry her. He acknowledges that Horth may grow into the fight later, but believes Hardy will have enough gas to win the early rounds and secure the victory.
Hardy's lateral footwork, speed, and striking from distance, combined with improved grappling from training with Dan Hardy, should allow her to exploit Horth's weaknesses on the ground. Horth is undefeated but has shown vulnerability when put in bad positions. Hardy's fight IQ and cardio will be key to wearing Horth down over three rounds. The plus 155 underdog price is seen as a good value spot.
Paul picks Horth, citing her size and strength. He thinks she can grind out Hardy. He notes the line movement is strange but he's going with the Canadian. He acknowledges Hardy's speed and game plan but believes Horth's physicality will be too much.
The MMA Guru picks Jamey-Lyn Horth over Veronica Hardy, citing Horth's physicality advantage and post-30-year-old female rage. He acknowledges Hardy may be more technical but believes Horth's size and reach will be decisive. He expects a close decision, likely 29-28, and goes with the larger fighter.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 63 of 150 | 42% | 85 of 173 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 4:50 |
| Hailey Cowan | 0 | 76 of 104 | 73% | 99 of 128 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 21 of 55 | 38% | 25 of 59 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
| Hailey Cowan | 0 | 24 of 29 | 82% | 31 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:35 | |
| 2 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 23 of 53 | 43% | 31 of 62 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 |
| Hailey Cowan | 0 | 28 of 42 | 66% | 37 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 3 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 19 of 42 | 45% | 29 of 52 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
| Hailey Cowan | 0 | 24 of 33 | 72% | 31 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 63 of 150 | 42% | 38 of 111 | 21 of 34 | 4 of 5 | 43 of 126 | 16 of 20 | 4 of 4 |
| Hailey Cowan | 76 of 104 | 73% | 37 of 59 | 30 of 33 | 9 of 12 | 46 of 74 | 30 of 30 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 21 of 55 | 38% | 15 of 40 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 12 of 45 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Hailey Cowan | 24 of 29 | 82% | 13 of 16 | 7 of 8 | 4 of 5 | 13 of 18 | 11 of 11 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 23 of 53 | 43% | 11 of 39 | 9 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 44 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 3 |
| Hailey Cowan | 28 of 42 | 66% | 14 of 25 | 11 of 12 | 3 of 5 | 18 of 32 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 19 of 42 | 45% | 12 of 32 | 6 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 37 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
| Hailey Cowan | 24 of 33 | 72% | 10 of 18 | 12 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 24 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Horth (-140), Cowan (+120)
Round 1
Chris Tognoni will referee the opening bout of the card, which matches a pair of former Legacy Fighting Alliance competitors. Cowan will forfeit 20 percent of her purse due to missing weight. The combatants come out in opposite stances, and Horth lands an inside leg kick. Cowan counters with a two-plunch combination. A solid body kick lands for Horth. Cowan catches the strike after it lands and attempts to counter. Cowan moves forward and connects with a straight left. Horth follows a hard body kick with a right hand. A right from Horth lands on the chest of her foe. Cowan misses a kick to the head. Horth slams another kick to the body. A spinning back kick to the midsection lands for Cowan and the fighters clinch. Horth pushes Cowan back into the fence. They trade knees and Cowan reverses position, landing a short elbow in the clinch. Both fighters land knees and Horth lands an elbow as they break. A headkick finds the mark for Horth, and Cowan shoots for a takedown behind a flurry of punches. Horth sprawls nicely and now Cowan shoves her into the cage. Cowan with a short elbow in close. Cowan is cut above the left eye. Horth breaks free and lands a right hand. Cowan fires off a series of punches that miss the mark at the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Cowan
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Horth
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Round 2
Cowan goes right back to the clinch and shoves her foe into the fence. Horth lands a knee to the midsection. Cowan with a knee as they separatea nd Horth responds with a 1-2. A right to the body lands for Horth, who then goes back to the well with a body kick. This time, Cowan catches it and takes Horth to the canvas. Cowan gets to work from top position, and drops an elbow before Horth scrambles to her feet. They clinch again and Cowan lands a knee, which is answered by a Horth right hand. Cowan pressures behind a jumping switch kick but can’t land anything substantial. Horth lands a side kick to the gut. Cowan blocks a head kick. Cowan follows a head kick with a left hand. Cowan lands a right uppercut before forcing the clinch against the cage. Horth with a knee to the midsection. Cowan cointinues to control the position, applying pressure with her head. Cowan lands a knee. Horth lands a right hand as they break, and Cowan answers. Cowan shoves Horth to the mat after catching a kick right before the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cowan
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Cowan
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cowan
Round 3
Cowan sticks a jab at the outset of the round. Cowan probes with push kicks only to absorb another body kick from Horth. Cowan closes the distance and shoves Horth into the fence. Horth uses a fence grab to halt a takedown attempt from Cowan, and she is warned by Tognoni. Cowan maintains control and knees the midsection. Horth throws some knees of her own with her back to the fence. Horth turns off the cage and lands a knee and a right hand before being taken down. A scramble ensues and now it’s Horth driving for a takedown against the fence. Cowan defends well and they get back to range. A right jab connects for Horth. Cowan looks fatigued as Horth lands another body kick. Horth follows a high kick with a right hand. Cowan steps in with a straight left. Cowan puts on the pressure but Horth circles away and lands a 1-2. Cowan with a kick to the body. Horth steps in to the pocket and snaps her foe’s head back with a right. A left lands for Cowan, and Horth answers with a kick to the head and body. Another head kick lands for Horth. Cowan capitalizes with a takedown, and she’ll ride out the final seconds on top.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Horth)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Cowan)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Horth)
The Official Result
Jamey-Lyn Horth def. Hailey Cowan via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) R3 5:00
Cody picks Horth, noting her solid takedown defense and kickboxing skills. He believes she can keep the fight at range and land bigger shots. He mentions that Cowan likes to clinch but Horth should be able to shut that down. He also notes that Horth has been a hidden gem in Canada with good training partners.
Connor picks Horth, noting her striking is like a more confident Lucie Pudilova, crashing into the clinch with wide right hands. He emphasizes her grimy clinch style and hard elbows, and that Cowan is extremely raw and lacks a functional MMA game. Connor believes Horth's physicality and aggression will be too much.
Paul picks Horth, having bet her at -103. He notes that Cowan has had weight issues and unimpressive performances. He believes Horth's undefeated record and Canadian background make her a solid pick. He also mentions a PrizePicks play on Cowan under 60.5 fantasy score.
Zane picks Horth because she is a bully with good clinch work, hard elbows, and a grinding ground game. He notes Cowan is raw, unskilled, and relies on physicality, which Horth can match. Zane sees Horth's violence as the difference.
Ivana Petrović - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 22 of 55 | 40% | 54 of 101 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 8:10 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 25 of 53 | 47% | 57 of 87 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juliana Miller | 0 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 11 of 20 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:04 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 32 of 39 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:48 | |
| 2 | Juliana Miller | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 24 of 38 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:33 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 8 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 | |
| 3 | Juliana Miller | 0 | 14 of 32 | 43% | 19 of 43 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:33 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 12 of 26 | 46% | 17 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juliana Miller | 22 of 55 | 40% | 11 of 41 | 8 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 46 | 1 of 3 | 5 of 6 |
| Ivana Petrović | 25 of 53 | 47% | 8 of 33 | 9 of 12 | 8 of 8 | 25 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juliana Miller | 4 of 12 | 33% | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 9 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ivana Petrović | 7 of 12 | 58% | 0 of 3 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Juliana Miller | 4 of 11 | 36% | 2 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Ivana Petrović | 6 of 15 | 40% | 2 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Juliana Miller | 14 of 32 | 43% | 5 of 21 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
| Ivana Petrović | 12 of 26 | 46% | 6 of 19 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo acknowledges both fighters are low-level and tough, but he expects Ivana Petrović to win because she is more well-rounded and has better grappling. He notes that Juliana Miller is inexperienced and fights on instinct, which often fails her. However, he strongly advises against betting on this fight because the odds are too wide and the outcome is unpredictable.
Big Brady picks Ivana Petrović but is not confident, calling it a fight to stay away from. He notes Petrović has a significant striking advantage by default because Miller's striking defense is terrible (32%). However, he worries that both fighters accept bottom position and are submission over position, making the fight potentially messy. He expects a close competitive decision going to the judges, and he questions Miller's motivation after a long layoff and multiple surgeries.
Miller is coming off a poor performance but that was against Luana Santos, a different style opponent. She has since changed camps to Sik Jitsu and claims to be healthier than ever. I expect her to take Petrović down and grind out a decision win, surprising many.
The MMA Guru picks Ivana Petrović because Juliana Miller is 'absolutely awful' and has no business in the UFC. He notes that while Petrović isn't great either, she is more technical, bigger, and stronger. He expects a 30-27 decision win for Petrović.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 29 of 70 | 41% | 50 of 94 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:30 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 25 of 75 | 33% | 67 of 128 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 2 | 7:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 10 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:02 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 20 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 3:23 | |
| 2 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 10 of 19 | 52% | 21 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 9 of 25 | 36% | 14 of 31 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:43 | |
| 3 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 16 of 43 | 37% | 19 of 47 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:06 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 15 of 41 | 36% | 33 of 64 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:39 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 29 of 70 | 41% | 17 of 52 | 11 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 58 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Ivana Petrović | 25 of 75 | 33% | 17 of 64 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 25 of 75 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 3 of 8 | 37% | 1 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ivana Petrović | 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 10 of 19 | 52% | 5 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ivana Petrović | 9 of 25 | 36% | 5 of 19 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 16 of 43 | 37% | 11 of 32 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 35 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Ivana Petrović | 15 of 41 | 36% | 11 of 36 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Horth (-205), Petrovic (+170)
Round 1
In July 2019, the promotion last posted up at the Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada, with a pay-per-view offering that put a featherweight belt on the line. At night’s end, Max Holloway defended his throne against Frankie Edgar, with the co-headliner seeing Cris Cyborg punish Felicia Spencer. Five and change years later, the UFC comes back to the same building, with a fight card that is far less stacked but still ram-packed with Canadian talent. The night opens with Canadian faithful getting a home country woman in Horth (6-1-1, 1-1 UFC) setting foot in the cage. She battles Norway’s Petrovic (7-1, 1-1 UFC), in a contest between who ladies who each sport a single decision win on their respective ledgers. Referee Blake Grice is on call for the first assignment of the night, and he checks the fight in as the flyweights touch gloves. Petrovic immediately gets behind her jab, and she flicks up a head kick. Horth swipes out with two right hands, but comes up short and is warned for outstretched fingers. Petrovic returns to the center of the cage, catching a body kick and looking for a counter. Petrovic walks square into an overhand right, and she does not like it. Rather than slugging it out, Petrovic meanders forward into a clinch, where she jams Horth up and presses her across the cage to the wall. Clapping and chants for “Let’s go Jamey” come down in support of the local lady, but she is unable to channel their energy to get out of the clinch. Petrovic continues grinding despite the warning for Grice to do something, and when she gets a little too aggressive with a level change, Petrovic is spun around. When Horth starts pressing, she is countered and dumped on her head with a head-and-arm throw. Horth tugs her toes on the fence in hopes of escaping bottom position, while Petrovic lords over her and smacks her occasionally with hammerfists and clubbing strikes. Horth pushes her foe off and fights back to her feet, and she gloms onto Petrovic to bop her in the noggin a few times. Horth threatens with her own trip takedown, and she succeeds in sneaking a hook around when taking the back. Horth snatches hold of a rear-naked choke without both hooks in, and the submission is on the face and Petrovic is standing up trying to wriggle her off the back. Horth loses her grip and falls to her back, where Petrovic sits on top elbowing her in the face. Petrovic stops Horth’s scrambles until the bell sounds.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Petrovic
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Petrovic
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petrovic
Round 2
The ladies clap hands to start the second stanza, and Petrovic shifts early to the middle of the cage and paws out a side kick. Petrovic reaches out with a left hook that is parried, and she smacks the front leg with a kick. Horth responds with a body kick, and Petrovic grabs it and chucks Horth to the ground like a side of Canadian bacon. When Petrovic assumes top position, Horth throws her legs up and sets up an armbar. Petrovic stacks her opponent up to keep the weight pressed down and safe herself from getting tapped, and Horth smacks her in the gut a few times with awkward hammerfists when the submission leverage dissipates. Petrovic walks from one side to the other, all while maintaining pressure, and she drops elbows down to further irritate the Canadian. Petrovic rests her knees on Horth’s forehead while keeping all the pressure she can muster on top of Horth. Petrovic finally slides her arm out of danger, standing up briefly to lower herself down. Horth scrambles at the right moment, and the ensuing movement results in a brief wardrobe malfunction for Petrovic, who looks to Grice for relief. Grice tells them to fight on, and she gets spun around and pushed to the wall. Horth breaks out of it and kicks her opponent in the ribs, and Petrovic does not make her pay for the naked kick. Petrovic sets up a left hand down the middle, and Horth retaliates with a flurry of punches that redden the Norwegian woman’s nose up. They trade straight strikes one after the other, seeing openings and lowering their defenses to throw more. Petrovic whips a kick to the side and then one up high, and they go after body strikes. Petrovic shoots for a takedown when Horth overswings, and Horth’s sprawl defends her from getting put on her back. Horth jumps for a guillotine, but time expires before anything comes of it.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Round 3
One final glove touch is shared between the two, and fists are soon to fly after. Petrovic reintroduces herself with a salvo of punches, catching Horth unaware and outdoing her with volume. Horth strides forward intent on forcing a clinch, and she is soon spun around with her back pushed to the wire. As Petrovic imposes her will, Horth explodes out of the tie-up and starts throwing hands. Petrovic backs off, dodging one series of punches but eating the second. Petrovic lands, Horth gives her one back to think about, and Petrovic comes back at her. A Horth high kick glances off the shoulder, and she sets up another with a pair of punches. Petrovic spins with a back fist, and Horth sees it coming and clinches her. With her back against the wall, Petrovic tries to counter her foe with another head-and-arm throw, but Horth sees it coming and shifts. Petrovic tries for another on the other side, and Horth leans against the fencing to not go down. Horth uses a turning Petrovic to toss her to the ground, and she jumps onto Petrovic’s back to set up a submission. Petrovic lowers herself down and shimmies her way out of danger, where she gains top position as Horth closes her guard. Petrovic drops down hammerfists until Horth hits a quick sweep, putting Petrovic on her seat. Both women spring back to their feet and punches their way into a clinch. Horth walks her foe down and kicks her in the side, and Petrovic responds with one of her own. Horth bites down on her mouthpiece and starts slugging it out, and Petrovic retreats and tries to counter but is beaten to the punch a few times. Petrovic fails on a takedown and backs away just enough to dodge a head kick. Horth shoots for a single-leg takedown, and Petrovic turns her about to land on top. Petrovic drops down ground-and-pound until the final horn, and it could be a close one.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Horth)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Horth)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Horth)
The Official Result
Jamey-Lyn Horth def. Ivana Petrovic via Split Decision (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
Angelo picks Jamey-Lyn Horth but with low confidence, calling the odds 'insane' as Horth is a 2-to-1 favorite after a year away and a loss. He notes Horth is big and strong, a solid striker with good fight IQ, but was dropped multiple times in her last fight. He thinks Ivana Petrović could win if she closes distance and shoots takedowns, but doubts she will because Horth may be too strong to drag down. He finds the odds baffling and won't bet.
Big Brady picks Jamey-Lyn Horth to win by decision. He highlights Horth's physical strength and ability to bully Petrović against the cage, stuff takedowns, and get on top. He thinks Horth is the better striker and that Petrović has little to offer on the feet. Brady believes Petrović needs takedowns to win but doubts she can get them.
Cody picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her kickboxing background, physicality, and durability. He notes that Petrović relies on takedowns and submissions, but Horth has good takedown defense and will be the stronger striker. He believes Horth's pressure and volume will overwhelm Petrović, and that Petrović's cardio is questionable.
Daniel Vreeland picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her physicality, technical striking, and higher-level experience. He acknowledges Ivana Petrović's improvements but notes she has been taken down in both UFC fights. Vreeland expects Horth's work rate and assertiveness to earn a decision, though he considers the -220 price too high for a confident bet and calls it a pass.
Horth's physicality and ability to put Petrović in bad spots and keep her there will allow her to grind this fight out and pick up a win by decision.
Paul also picks Horth, noting that Petrović struggled in her last fight and has poor cardio. He believes Horth's tenacity and striking will be too much, and that Petrović will fade as the fight goes on. He expects Horth to win a decision or late stoppage.
The Guru picks Jamey-Lyn Horth over Ivana Petrović, reasoning that Horth's split decision loss to Veronica Hardy is more impressive than anything Petrović has done. He notes Horth's technical ability and questions Petrović's level of competition, calling her unproven.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 36 of 73 | 49% | 101 of 150 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 1 | 1 | 5:37 |
| Liang Na | 0 | 24 of 52 | 46% | 49 of 89 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 2:51 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivana Petrović | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 29 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0:58 |
| Liang Na | 0 | 11 of 21 | 52% | 28 of 49 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 2:15 | |
| 2 | Ivana Petrović | 0 | 31 of 60 | 51% | 67 of 105 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:25 |
| Liang Na | 0 | 12 of 28 | 42% | 18 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:36 | |
| 3 | Ivana Petrović | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:14 |
| Liang Na | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivana Petrović | 36 of 73 | 49% | 28 of 63 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 33 | 2 of 4 | 26 of 36 |
| Liang Na | 24 of 52 | 46% | 8 of 34 | 10 of 11 | 6 of 7 | 23 of 48 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivana Petrović | 4 of 10 | 40% | 3 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Liang Na | 11 of 21 | 52% | 4 of 13 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 18 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ivana Petrović | 31 of 60 | 51% | 24 of 51 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 22 | 1 of 3 | 25 of 35 |
| Liang Na | 12 of 28 | 42% | 4 of 19 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ivana Petrović | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Liang Na | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is confident in Ivana Petrović because she is more durable and well-rounded than Liang Na. He notes Liang Na is a good wrestler who gets takedowns but then stops fighting, often getting finished shortly after. He expects Liang Na to look good early with takedowns but then fade and get swept or finished. He also mentions potential prop bets on the under if the round line is 2.5, and suggests PrizePicks plays on Liang Na's takedown numbers.
Cody picks Petrović, citing her superior grappling and wrestling. He notes Na gasses quickly and has poor durability. He expects Petrović to win by submission or ground and pound, though he warns about her own cardio issues.
Daniel thinks Na has poor cardio and fades after the first round, while Petrović has good cardio and decent grappling. He leans with the favorite, hoping Vegas is right, but has little interest in the fight.
Liang Na is aggressive and does her best work when she can get opponents to the ground, where she can assert dominant position and open up finishing opportunities. Petrović has shown takedown defense issues, especially against a striker like Lana Carolina. I expect Liang Na to get the fight to the mat early and find a finish, possibly in the first round. The 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop is also a good look.
Paul picks Petrović, noting Na's three-fight losing streak and tendency to gas. He thinks Petrović is the better all-around fighter and should win, but suggests live betting Na if she has early success.
The MMA Guru picks Ivana Petrović, though he admits his reasoning is not very logical. He notes that Petrović is bigger, has more reach, and has a striking background. He criticizes Liang Na for being shorter, less physical, and consistently getting finished in women's MMA, which he sees as a sign of mistakes. He trusts Petrović's composure and ground game, predicting a submission in the later rounds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 22 of 62 | 35% | 77 of 122 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 | 1 | 4:11 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 41 of 87 | 47% | 112 of 167 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 5:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 3 of 15 | 20% | 18 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:22 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 10 of 22 | 45% | 31 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:08 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 13 of 32 | 40% | 28 of 48 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:58 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 16 of 38 | 42% | 47 of 70 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 31 of 40 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 2 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 34 of 53 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 22 of 62 | 35% | 15 of 51 | 5 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 16 of 50 | 4 of 10 | 2 of 2 |
| Ivana Petrović | 41 of 87 | 47% | 18 of 60 | 11 of 15 | 12 of 12 | 27 of 66 | 7 of 8 | 7 of 13 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 3 of 15 | 20% | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ivana Petrović | 10 of 22 | 45% | 3 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 7 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 13 of 32 | 40% | 9 of 25 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 22 | 4 of 8 | 2 of 2 |
| Ivana Petrović | 16 of 38 | 42% | 6 of 25 | 7 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 32 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 6 of 15 | 40% | 3 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ivana Petrović | 15 of 27 | 55% | 9 of 21 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 |
Angelo picks Ivana Petrović, expecting her grappling to be the difference. He notes she should be able to take down Luana Carolina and either submit or grind out a decision. However, he finds the -200 odds too wide for a UFC debut with only six fights and advises against betting. He warns against the over 2.5 rounds as the fight could end either way.
Big Brady picks Luana Carolina by decision, but is very reluctant. He thinks Carolina is the better striker and has solid takedown defense, but notes she has been taken down and put in trouble before. Petrović has a good ground game and could finish if she gets on top. Brady calls it a terrible fight and advises not to bet on it.
Cody likes Carolina as a plus-money underdog. He notes Petrović is very green (less than 2 years pro) and has been dropped in fights. Carolina has fought better competition and has a striking advantage. Cody thinks Carolina can keep the fight standing and win a decision, especially if she defends takedowns. He compares it to other recent underdog wins.
Daniel picks Luana Carolina as an underdog, citing her experience and takedown defense (2 of 15 allowed against Godinez). He notes Petrović is hittable and unproven at UFC level, and that debuts often disappoint. He sees a close kickboxing match where Carolina's volume and durability could edge her ahead. He is willing to take a shot at plus odds.
Paul is considering Carolina as a dog. He notes Petrović's wrestling is her only path, but her stand-up is green and she was dropped by a short elbow. Carolina has good balance in the clinch and striking advantage. Paul thinks if Petrović can't get takedowns, Carolina wins. He is watching the market for a better price.
The Guru picks Ivana Petrović, citing her undefeated record (6-0) and good cardio shown in a fourth-round submission win. He notes Luana Carolina's losses to Molly McCann and Joanne Calderwood, and while Carolina beat Lupita Godinez, she was much larger. He trusts the undefeated prospect but acknowledges women's MMA is unpredictable.
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Jamey-Lyn Horth but with low confidence, calling the odds 'insane' as Horth is a 2-to-1 favorite after a year away and a loss. He notes Horth is big and strong, a solid striker with good fight IQ, but was dropped multiple times in her last fight. He thinks Ivana Petrović could win if she closes distance and shoots takedowns, but doubts she will because Horth may be too strong to drag down. He finds the odds baffling and won't bet.
Big Brady picks Jamey-Lyn Horth to win by decision. He highlights Horth's physical strength and ability to bully Petrović against the cage, stuff takedowns, and get on top. He thinks Horth is the better striker and that Petrović has little to offer on the feet. Brady believes Petrović needs takedowns to win but doubts she can get them.
Cody picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her kickboxing background, physicality, and durability. He notes that Petrović relies on takedowns and submissions, but Horth has good takedown defense and will be the stronger striker. He believes Horth's pressure and volume will overwhelm Petrović, and that Petrović's cardio is questionable.
Daniel Vreeland picks Jamey-Lyn Horth, citing her physicality, technical striking, and higher-level experience. He acknowledges Ivana Petrović's improvements but notes she has been taken down in both UFC fights. Vreeland expects Horth's work rate and assertiveness to earn a decision, though he considers the -220 price too high for a confident bet and calls it a pass.
Horth's physicality and ability to put Petrović in bad spots and keep her there will allow her to grind this fight out and pick up a win by decision.
Paul also picks Horth, noting that Petrović struggled in her last fight and has poor cardio. He believes Horth's tenacity and striking will be too much, and that Petrović will fade as the fight goes on. He expects Horth to win a decision or late stoppage.
The Guru picks Jamey-Lyn Horth over Ivana Petrović, reasoning that Horth's split decision loss to Veronica Hardy is more impressive than anything Petrović has done. He notes Horth's technical ability and questions Petrović's level of competition, calling her unproven.
Comments (2)
Judo throws for Ivana into side control. Jamey has the build of a tall swimmer.
The striking from both is mid. Jamey was better. Ivana is mostly a grappler it seems with jiu jistsu. Practicing for 8 years. Enjoys the media side but still training properly. Owns a gym? Brown belt
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