Christian Leroy Duncan

"CLD"
7-2
Record
Age / DOB 30
(Jul 24, 1995)
Height 6' 2"
Weight 185 lbs.
Reach 79.0"
Stance Switch
Career Averages
4.43 Sig. Strikes / Min
57.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
2.59 Absorbed / Min
52.0% Strike Defense
0.33 TD Avg / 15 min
16.0% TD Accuracy
63.0% TD Defense
0.0 Sub. / Fight
Win Methods (7)
KO/TKO 5
Submission 0
Decision 2
Loss Methods (2)
KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 2

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
Decision R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Roman Dolidze 0 10 of 34 29% 40 of 94 3 of 4 75% 0 0 7:07
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 54 of 99 54% 78 of 125 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Roman Dolidze 0 2 of 6 33% 3 of 7 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:33
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 16 of 29 55% 23 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:37
2 Roman Dolidze 0 5 of 19 26% 9 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:33
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 20 of 44 45% 28 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
3 Roman Dolidze 0 3 of 9 33% 28 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:01
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 18 of 26 69% 27 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Roman Dolidze 10 of 34 29% 8 of 31 0 of 0 2 of 3 9 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 54 of 99 54% 18 of 52 6 of 12 30 of 35 51 of 92 1 of 4 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Roman Dolidze 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 16 of 29 55% 5 of 17 2 of 3 9 of 9 13 of 24 1 of 2 2 of 3
2 Roman Dolidze 5 of 19 26% 4 of 18 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 20 of 44 45% 6 of 24 3 of 5 11 of 15 20 of 42 0 of 2 0 of 0
3 Roman Dolidze 3 of 9 33% 2 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 18 of 26 69% 7 of 11 1 of 4 10 of 11 18 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (12)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Angelo picks Christian Leroy Duncan because of his speed, athleticism, and striking advantage. He notes Roman Dolidze is a world champion grappler but doesn't always use his wrestling and has poor fight IQ. He is not betting on this fight because Roman can be dangerous on any given day and CLD is not a genius himself.

avoiding betting; Roman Dez inside distance no action bet screwed him last time
"I got to pick CLLD. I think the speed's going to be a big difference. I think the athleticism is going to be a big difference, but I'm not going to bet on this because I recognize how good Roman can be on any given day."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Big Brady confidently picks Christian Leroy Duncan, noting that Duncan is seven years younger, much quicker, and has more variety on the feet. He points out that Roman Dolidze looked bad in his last fight against Fluffy Hernandez and doesn't wrestle enough (less than one takedown per 15 minutes). He thinks Duncan will pick apart Dolidze over 15 minutes and win a decision, as Dolidze is tough but unlikely to get the fight to the ground.

Christian Leroy Duncan by decision
"I kind of think Duncan's going to style a little bit here. Give me Duncan to win this fight and win it by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Cody agrees, citing Duncan's dynamic striking and Dolidze's susceptibility to speed. He expects a finish or clear decision for Duncan.

"I got Christian Leroy Duncan minus 500."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Connor picks Duncan but is hesitant, agreeing with Zane that the fight could be ugly. He notes that Duncan has a 'meme fighter' aura and can look like a killer in bursts, but lacks a clear idea of how to win rounds. Connor points out that Dolidze is a big, strong galoot who is happy to hold opponents against the fence. He thinks the odds are too wide and calls it more of a coin flip.

Duncan opened at -300, currently -500; Dolidze opened at +215, currently +385.
"I don't understand what the odds are on this. Honestly, like Christian Leroy Duncan got out worked by Armand Petrosian... And like I would pick Roman Dolidze to beat Armand Petrosian."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Daniel Vreeland picks Christian Leroy Duncan to win by knockout. He highlights Duncan's athleticism, speed, and recent improvements, while noting Dolidze is older and slower. He expects Duncan to land at will and eventually finish Dolidze.

"I think that Christian Leroy Duncan is going to have his breakout performance against Roman Lee."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Daniel is high on CLD, believing his speed and athleticism will be too much for Dolidze. He thinks CLD will have a breakout performance and knock Dolidze out, giving him his first real knockout loss. He notes Dolidze's gas tank issues and CLD's improved fight IQ.

"I think that the speed difference here, Marlo, is going to be like, 'Oh, man. Like oh, shit.' And I think that Saturday night this will be CLD's breakout and coming-out performance."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Duncan is a favorable stylistic matchup for the British fighter. Dolidze is old, slow, and flat-footed; Duncan is fast, athletic, and accurate. Duncan should dominate on the feet and win easily. The price is too steep to bet, but Duncan should win comfortably.

Under 2.5 rounds is interesting; Duncan -3.5 fight spread at 1.50 is worth considering.
"I think he dances around Ledezma and lights him up in this fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

James picks Christian Leroy Duncan, believing he is the much better striker and will knock out Roman Dolidze. He notes that Dolidze is not a great wrestler and will struggle to take Duncan down. He thinks Duncan's dynamic strikes and clinch work will be too much.

"Christian Leroy Duncan is going to knock out Roman Ditz this weekend in my opinion."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The host picks Christian Leroy Duncan by knockout but is hesitant due to the wide line. He notes Duncan's improved clinch game and knockout power, but warns that Dolidze's pressure and toughness could cause Duncan to break mentally. He expects Duncan to land big shots and get the KO, but advises caution.

"I'm going to go Duncan. Duncan by knockout, but just be a little bit skeptical about what Delise could potentially do to Duncan here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Paul sees Duncan as the younger, faster fighter heading in the right direction, while Dolidze is declining. He expects Duncan to win by KO or decision.

"I'm going with CLD. Christian Leroy Duncan. It's exactly like you said. It's two guys headed in opposite directions."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The MMA Guru picks Christian Leroy Duncan to finish Roman Dolidze in round two or three. He praises Duncan's chin, composure, and dynamic striking, noting he took big shots from Gregory Rodrigues. He criticizes Dolidze as a plodding, technical grappler who was outgrappled by Anthony Hernandez. He expects Duncan to win the low kick battle, defend takedowns, and land a brutal combination.

finish in round two or three
"I think he'll get a brutal finish over Roman Dizzy in round two or three."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Mar 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Zane picks Duncan but is hesitant, noting several ways the fight could be terrible. He believes Duncan is a better striker and has 70% takedown defense, which should be enough against Dolidze's poor wrestling. However, he worries that Dolidze's strength and clinch work could lead to a grinding fight. Zane sees Duncan's path to a showcase win but acknowledges Dolidze is a tough, strong fighter who can make it ugly.

Duncan opened at -300, currently -500; Dolidze opened at +215, currently +385.
"I think I'm going to take Duncan, but like I said, I can see, like, three or four, three ways this fight could just be terrible."
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Christian Leroy Duncan 1 23 of 46 50% 40 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:10
Marco Tulio 0 27 of 57 47% 42 of 75 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 0 8 of 18 44% 13 of 26 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:01
Marco Tulio 0 8 of 17 47% 15 of 25 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:31
2 Christian Leroy Duncan 1 15 of 28 53% 27 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Marco Tulio 0 19 of 40 47% 27 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Christian Leroy Duncan 23 of 46 50% 11 of 27 3 of 7 9 of 12 20 of 43 1 of 1 2 of 2
Marco Tulio 27 of 57 47% 13 of 36 3 of 7 11 of 14 22 of 49 5 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 8 of 18 44% 3 of 8 1 of 4 4 of 6 7 of 17 0 of 0 1 of 1
Marco Tulio 8 of 17 47% 2 of 9 1 of 2 5 of 6 6 of 13 2 of 4 0 of 0
2 Christian Leroy Duncan 15 of 28 53% 8 of 19 2 of 3 5 of 6 13 of 26 1 of 1 1 of 1
Marco Tulio 19 of 40 47% 11 of 27 2 of 5 6 of 8 16 of 36 3 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Marco Tulio
BETTING PREVIEW | ODDS : Tulio (-190); Duncan (+160)

Round 1
Knockout rates of 70% or higher for these two middleweights means that referee Mark Smith will need to be ready at a moment’s notice. Of the two men setting foot in the cage next, Duncan (12-2, 5-2 UFC) has earned a higher stoppage rate but has fewer overall wins inside the distance compared to Chute Boxe Diego Lima product Tulio (14-1, 2-0 UFC). Smith steps back after clocking the athletes in, allowing them to tap gloves before engaging.
Duncan has his hands down as he moves to the center of the cage, offering a pair of stomp kicks and a sudden jump knee. Tulio scoots out of the way and drills the lead leg of the Brit several times. Duncan throws back with his own hard calf kick, and he spins with an elbow that splits Tulio’s forehead open. Tulio quickly ties him up to prevent his dynamic offense from coming forth, and he trips Duncan and puts him on his seat. Tulio smothers from on top, imposing his weight as Duncan turns to his knees. Tulio tries to spin on the break, but Duncan bails on it and swings for the bleachers. Tulio throws back hammers, and Duncan crashes forward and blasts him in the face with an overhand right. He spins with a back elbow, and it skims the top of the head as Tulio clinches him.
Tulio squeezes on Duncan against the wire while his fingers are hooked in the chain links, allowing him to sneakily hold Duncan until Duncan explodes to turn him around. Shoulder strikes from Duncan land with audible thuds, and he tries to trip Tulio out like Tulio got him before. Tulio redirects his effort and nearly gets off his own, but he lets it go so he can elbow the Brit in the face. The two split apart, and Duncan runs at the Brazilian with his foot flying. Duncan’s subsequent spinning wheel kick allows Tulio to bowl him over to the mat. Duncan twists before a choke can materialize, and he stands up and lifts Tulio to slam him down with 30 seconds left in the round. Duncan puts himself in side control and then relocates himself to full mount, where he elbows Tulio on the side of the head and rides out back control when Tulio turns until the round wraps.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Duncan
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Duncan
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Duncan

Round 2
The middleweights touch gloves, and then let go simultaneous low kicks that results in their shins clashing. Duncan circles around, flustering the Brazilian with a varied offense that range from flying kicks to spinning strikes and haymakers that could knock down a building. Tulio settles himself down and pierces the pocket with a right hand that cuts Duncan’s left eye. Tulio walks Duncan down with constant pressure and lays into him, keeping him from getting off much wild offense. Duncan still manages to get going, pawing at his bloodied eye and lashing out with swinging fists until the two result clinched up against the wall. Tulio wants to take the fight down, and Duncan stonewalls him. Tulio stays tightly pressed on his man while letting go with short strikes, and Smith is watching on as they break apart.
Duncan’s immediate offense results in another quick tie-up, and Tulio’s first effort to throw the Brit down fails. They offer alternating jabs, and Duncan spins with a back fist and slips when resetting.
Duncan sees the success of the blow and stutter-steps to delay firing off another spinning back fist. The strike connects square on Tulio’s nose, sending him staggering back. Duncan knows his man is in trouble and walks him down with a fierce, straight left and a monstrous right that completely deprives Tulio of all of his senses. Tulio slumps to the mat, already unconscious, but Smith is still trying to get between them.
This allows Duncan to hammer down one final, devastating right hand while Tulio is off dreaming, to fully punctuate the contest. Tulio lays on his stomach lifelessly for a seemingly long time, until medical professionals tend to him and he revives. The triumphant Duncan has reached rarified air, becoming one of a small number of athletes to record multiple stoppage wins in the Octagon by spinning strikes. He joins names like Dennis Siver, Molly McCann and the upcoming Muslin Salikhov, in having achieved this spin-related feat.

The Official Result
Christian Leroy Duncan def. Marco Tulio R2 3:20 via KO (Spinning Back Fist and Punches)
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Marco Tulio

Angelo picks Marco Tulio, stating he is better everywhere. He believes Marco's takedown defense will be good enough to keep the fight standing, and that Christian Leroy Duncan will resort to takedowns too late after getting touched up. He is surprisingly confident given the line.

"Marco Tulio is going to be the pick here. I'm surprisingly confident in it considering this line, but I'm going with Marco Tulio. I think he's just literally better everywhere."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 7, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Marco Tulio

Big Brady leans toward Tulio, noting his incredible striking volume and wrestling/grappling upside. He worries about Tulio's hittability and past knockout loss, but thinks Duncan is KO or bust. He predicts Tulio wins comfortably on the scorecards if Duncan doesn't land a knockout.

decision
"Give me Tulio. Tio by decision in what should be another pretty fun fight."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Marco Tulio

Cody picks Tulio, citing his high volume and pressure. He thinks Duncan's lack of volume and tendency to clinch will be neutralized, and Tulio will outwork him.

"I think Tulio probably does outwork him."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Marco Tulio

Lucrative James picks Marco Tulio, citing his higher ceiling and more vicious striking. He notes Tulio's offensive output and grappling upside, while criticizing Christian Leroy Duncan's lackluster performances against top competition. He acknowledges Tulio's hand injury but believes he has recovered. He expects Tulio to win, though not dominate.

"I'm going to go with Marco Tulio. You know, I think that his ceiling is a lot higher than Christian Leroy Duncan."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The host disagrees with the betting public favoring Tulio, believing Duncan is the better striker with good clinch strength. He expects Duncan to wear Tulio down and eventually land a big shot for a knockout.

Knockout
"I think Duncan will showcase that Tulio is a little bit overrated at this stage. I think Duncan will be the better striker, showcase good strength inside the clinch, really wearing Tulio down."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Marco Tulio

Paul picks Tulio, noting his volume and pressure. He thinks Duncan's durability is fine but Tulio's pace will be too much, and the fight likely goes over 2.5 rounds.

over 2.5 rounds
"I'm going to side with Tulio on just basically staying way busier."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Marco Tulio

The Guru picks Marco Tulio over Christian Leroy Duncan. He believes Tulio has more natural pop in his punches and a better flow state, while Duncan relies on flashy techniques. He expects a close fight with Tulio landing the more significant shots and winning a hard-fought decision.

fight goes to decision
"I'm going to go with a hardfought decision to Marco Leo."
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Eryk Anders 0 7 of 12 58% 18 of 24 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:18
Christian Leroy Duncan 1 24 of 43 55% 27 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Eryk Anders 0 7 of 12 58% 18 of 24 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:18
Christian Leroy Duncan 1 24 of 43 55% 27 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Eryk Anders 7 of 12 58% 2 of 7 4 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 24 of 43 55% 9 of 26 3 of 4 12 of 13 20 of 37 3 of 3 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Eryk Anders 7 of 12 58% 2 of 7 4 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 24 of 43 55% 9 of 26 3 of 4 12 of 13 20 of 37 3 of 3 1 of 3
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Angelo picks Christian Leroy Duncan despite questioning his fight IQ. He notes Duncan is the better striker with solid takedown defense and cardio, but he can be an idiot with game plans. If Duncan decides to wrestle, Anders could bully him. However, Anders' chin is declining, so Duncan should win if he strikes.

"So CLLD is going to have to be the pick. I'm just really hoping this dude isn't making group cheese sandwiches at night."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Big Brady is confident in Christian Leroy Duncan, though he notes Duncan sometimes lacks effort. He points out that Anders has been knocked down in his last three fights by lesser strikers like Jamie Pickett and Chris Weidman, indicating a decline. Brady believes if Duncan cares even a little, he will knock out Anders early. He predicts a first-round knockout for Duncan.

first round knockout
"I like Christian Leroy Duncan. I'm pretty confident he wins this fight. Give me Duncan. I'll take him to win by first round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Connor picks Duncan, noting that Anders is limited as a strategist and technician, and that Duncan's dynamic striking and range management will be too much. He points out that Anders has only beaten low-level opponents in recent years and is slow-footed, while Duncan is dangerous and annoying to fight. Connor expects Duncan to win and move toward a top 15 matchup.

Odds mentioned: Duncan opened -400, currently -500; Anders opened +330, currently +375.
"I just don't think Eric Anders is consistent enough to keep Duncan from hurting him."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The host believes Duncan's speed and power will be too much for Anders, who is slowing down and was hurt badly by Weidman in his last fight. He thinks it's just a matter of time before Duncan lands a clean shot and puts Anders down and out.

by KO
"I think that this is a matchup where the speed and power of Duncan will be too much for Eric Anders, who's starting to slow down a little bit."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The MMA Guru picks Christian Leroy Duncan, calling it a potential schooling. He notes Anders' recent wins are over old fighters and that Anders has become too technical. He expects Duncan to piece up Anders and win a dominant decision, possibly with a 10-8 round.

"I'm going with Christian Leroy Duncan over Eric Anders."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Zane agrees, calling Duncan a meme fighter with flashy skills but noting that Anders is a limited opponent who has struggled against similar fighters. He highlights that Anders has only beaten Kyle Daukaus, Jamie Pickett, and an aged Chris Weidman in recent years, while Duncan's athleticism and tricky style will cause problems. Zane thinks Duncan will win and eventually get exposed against top competition.

Odds mentioned: Duncan opened -400, currently -500; Anders opened +330, currently +375.
"I just don't think he's going to have a good time against a CLD."
Decision R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 73 of 141 51% 116 of 187 0 of 2 0% 0 0 5:36
Andrey Pulyaev 0 18 of 55 32% 36 of 78 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 0 16 of 34 47% 44 of 62 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:50
Andrey Pulyaev 0 4 of 11 36% 14 of 22 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:26
2 Christian Leroy Duncan 0 28 of 57 49% 31 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Andrey Pulyaev 0 12 of 36 33% 14 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
3 Christian Leroy Duncan 0 29 of 50 58% 41 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:04
Andrey Pulyaev 0 2 of 8 25% 8 of 18 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Christian Leroy Duncan 73 of 141 51% 35 of 87 17 of 28 21 of 26 47 of 105 26 of 36 0 of 0
Andrey Pulyaev 18 of 55 32% 8 of 43 7 of 8 3 of 4 14 of 48 4 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 16 of 34 47% 6 of 17 5 of 10 5 of 7 8 of 23 8 of 11 0 of 0
Andrey Pulyaev 4 of 11 36% 1 of 8 2 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Christian Leroy Duncan 28 of 57 49% 10 of 33 5 of 9 13 of 15 27 of 56 1 of 1 0 of 0
Andrey Pulyaev 12 of 36 33% 6 of 28 4 of 5 2 of 3 11 of 34 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Christian Leroy Duncan 29 of 50 58% 19 of 37 7 of 9 3 of 4 12 of 26 17 of 24 0 of 0
Andrey Pulyaev 2 of 8 25% 1 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 4 2 of 4 0 of 0
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Angelo picks Christian Leroy Duncan as a massive favorite, stating the odds are spot on. He notes that while Duncan was out-wrestled in his last fight, Pulyaev's striking is limited to an occasional jab, so Duncan won't have to worry about power. He believes Duncan's takedown defense will hold up, and as the fight goes on, Pulyaev's takedowns will become sloppier.

"I've got to go CLD here he's obviously a massive favorite so no shock there but odds aside I think he wins"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Brady sees Duncan as a big favorite who beats lower-level guys in spectacular fashion. He thinks Pulyaev is in the same category as Duncan's previous wins. Brady predicts a second-round knockout, noting Pulyaev looked good on the contender series but fought a punching bag.

Duncan by KO round 2
"I got Christian lero Duncan here I'm going to take him to win this fight by by second round knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The host believes Duncan is far more athletic, powerful, and quicker on the feet, which will lead to a knockout in the second or third round. He emphasizes Duncan's physical advantages.

knockout in round 2 or 3
"I think Duncan is far more athletic, far more powerful, and way quicker on the feet, and that will ultimately lead to him finding the knockout in the second or third round."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The Guru confidently picks Christian Leroy Duncan, believing he is too powerful and dense for Pulyaev, who he describes as frail and manipulatable. He expects Duncan to pressure Pulyaev backwards, push him against the cage, and land knees and elbows. He predicts a TKO in round two, as Pulyaev becomes more hesitant after being pressured early.

TKO round two
"I think Christian Leroy Duncan is a little too powerful for him I think that's going to be the difference here"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gregory Rodrigues 0 29 of 48 60% 53 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:45
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 45 of 79 56% 78 of 120 4 of 12 33% 0 0 8:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gregory Rodrigues 0 9 of 19 47% 9 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 12 of 21 57% 21 of 34 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:01
2 Gregory Rodrigues 0 13 of 17 76% 24 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:25
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 26 of 43 60% 40 of 58 1 of 7 14% 0 0 1:39
3 Gregory Rodrigues 0 7 of 12 58% 20 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 7 of 15 46% 17 of 28 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:40
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gregory Rodrigues 29 of 48 60% 13 of 28 7 of 10 9 of 10 23 of 40 6 of 8 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 45 of 79 56% 37 of 69 8 of 10 0 of 0 28 of 55 12 of 18 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gregory Rodrigues 9 of 19 47% 3 of 10 2 of 4 4 of 5 9 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 12 of 21 57% 9 of 16 3 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 17 0 of 0 3 of 4
2 Gregory Rodrigues 13 of 17 76% 8 of 11 3 of 4 2 of 2 7 of 10 6 of 7 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 26 of 43 60% 21 of 38 5 of 5 0 of 0 15 of 27 11 of 16 0 of 0
3 Gregory Rodrigues 7 of 12 58% 2 of 7 2 of 2 3 of 3 7 of 11 0 of 1 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 7 of 15 46% 7 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 11 1 of 2 2 of 2
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 21, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Angelo picks Christian Leroy Duncan but with very low confidence, calling it a 51% lean. He cites Duncan's sharp striking and hometown advantage, but acknowledges that Gregory Rodrigues is incredibly durable and dangerous. Angelo warns that Duncan can get too comfortable and showboat, potentially getting caught. He describes this as a very tough fight to pick.

"I'm gonna pick clld because of the sharp striking and the hometown Advantage but he could be a landmine"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Cody picks Christian Leroy Duncan, citing his superior striking, footwork, and precision. He notes that Gregory Rodrigues has a suspect chin and has been knocked out multiple times when standing. Cody believes Duncan can knock him out if Rodrigues chooses to brawl, but acknowledges that Rodrigues could win by grappling. However, he thinks Rodrigues is likely to engage in a striking battle, which favors Duncan.

Christian Leroy Duncan by TKO
"I'm going to go Duncan but you know at the end of the day when you look at like which other these underdogs do you not mind you didn't piay KCK them but it's like I I see the path for them."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Gregory Rodrigues

Daniel picks Gregory Rodrigues (RoboCop), impressed by his knockout of Brad Tavares and his takedown ability. He questions Duncan's competition (exhausted Claudio Ribeiro, Dennis Tiuliulin) and notes that Duncan struggled against Armen Petrosyan. He trusts Rodrigues' power and wrestling, and notes Rodrigues has four knockouts in his last five fights.

"I'm going hobocop here for sure"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gregory Rodrigues

Daniel acknowledges Christian Leroy Duncan's athleticism and flashy style but thinks Gregory Rodrigues has more paths to victory: decision, submission, or knockout. He notes Rodrigues' power, durability, and Jiu-Jitsu, while Duncan may be 'kill or bust.' He is hesitant due to Rodrigues' defensive flaws and stiff movement.

"I'm going to pick him in the spot but I'm very you know I acknowledge the fact that Leroy Duncan is special"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Jeff picks Christian Leroy Duncan, believing he will knock out Rodrigues. He notes that Rodrigues gets hurt in every fight and Duncan has shown power. He cites Duncan's four-inch reach advantage and thinks Duncan's striking will be the difference.

Christian Leroy Duncan via knockout +150
"I'm taking CD I think he's going to knock him out as well hobocop gets caught a lot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Paul also picks Duncan, noting that the fight ending inside the distance is likely. He points out that Rodrigues' chin has been checked many times and that Duncan has never been finished. Paul believes Duncan will knock out Rodrigues, but he also considers the possibility of Rodrigues using grappling, which could expose Duncan's wrestling. He plans to bet on the fight ending inside the distance.

Fight ends inside the distance
"I think the most likely bet that I may add to some like long parlays and stuff his fight ends inside the distance here that's like minus two that's minus 220."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 22, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Gregory Rodrigues

The MMA Guru picks Gregory Rodrigues, citing his grappling edge and KO power. He notes that Rodrigues has better takedowns and can out-grapple Christian Leroy Duncan, who may struggle with grappling defense. The Guru also believes Rodrigues has more punching power and that Duncan hasn't faced someone with that level of power. He references Duncan's fight against Arman Petrosyan, where he was taken down, and suggests Rodrigues can replicate that success.

"I'm going to go with Gregory Rodriguez man I'm gonna pick Gregory Rodriguez I think he's got if there's anyone going to be out grappling the other here it's going to be Rodriguez getting takedowns on Christian Leroy Duncan"
TKO (elbows and punches) R2 1:57
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 65 of 92 70% 75 of 105 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:15
Cláudio Ribeiro 0 4 of 26 15% 13 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 0 41 of 61 67% 48 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:59
Cláudio Ribeiro 0 3 of 20 15% 12 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:44
2 Christian Leroy Duncan 0 24 of 31 77% 27 of 35 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:16
Cláudio Ribeiro 0 1 of 6 16% 1 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Christian Leroy Duncan 65 of 92 70% 39 of 62 8 of 10 18 of 20 31 of 50 12 of 15 22 of 27
Cláudio Ribeiro 4 of 26 15% 1 of 19 1 of 3 2 of 4 4 of 24 0 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 41 of 61 67% 16 of 34 8 of 9 17 of 18 29 of 46 12 of 15 0 of 0
Cláudio Ribeiro 3 of 20 15% 1 of 14 1 of 3 1 of 3 3 of 18 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Christian Leroy Duncan 24 of 31 77% 23 of 28 0 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 22 of 27
Cláudio Ribeiro 1 of 6 16% 0 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 25, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Angelo picks Christian Leroy Duncan as the more technical fighter, noting that both are dangerous strikers but Duncan has better technique. He expects the fight to end inside the distance due to both fighters' recklessness. He mentions that Cláudio Ribeiro is nuts dangerous but Duncan should win.

Fight does not go to the distance (juiced odds, suggests parlaying if possible)
"CLD is the more technical fighter here and he should win he's going to be the pick but claudo is nuts dangerous and the bet here should be fight does not go to the distance"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Big Brady picks Duncan to finish Ribeiro by knockout in the second round. He notes Duncan is much more skilled, with good defensive wrestling and a ton of striking tools. He criticizes Ribeiro's 31% striking defense and poor cardio, and expects Duncan to wear him out and finish him late second round.

second round knockout
"I think Christian Leroy Duncan drags his fight into deeper waters and finishes Claudia hio late second round there by knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Cody picks Duncan, emphasizing Ribeiro's poor durability and lack of defense. He notes that Ribeiro is explosive for one round but fades quickly, and Duncan's precision striking from the outside will be effective. Cody compares Ribeiro to Dennis Tulin, whom Duncan already beat. He expects Duncan to win by knockout in the second or third round.

"Duncan's got much better wrestling right so if lud wants to take the fight to the ground or if he start to Tire or if he got clipped with something and he need to take a break he could take the fight to the ground when he wants"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Duncan is the bigger, stronger fighter and should control the majority of the fight. He can clinch Ribeiro against the cage, wear on him with knees and elbows, and deflate Ribeiro's power and explosiveness. Duncan's maturity was shown in his last fight against Tulan, where he slowed the pace and found the finish in the second round. The over 1.5 rounds at plus money is intriguing, but Duncan should get the knockout in the second round.

over 1.5 rounds at +100 considered, Duncan by knockout
"I think Duncan can control the majority of it he is the bigger stronger fighter in my opinion and I think he might look to go the same route that he did against tan where he was able to clinch Him Up Against the Cage wear on him land some knees land some elbows some dirty boxing"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Paul picks Duncan, noting his technical striking and ability to fight at range. He contrasts Ribeiro's one-dimensional brawling style and poor cardio. Paul believes Duncan will counter Ribeiro's wild swings and finish him inside the distance, similar to how he handled Dennis Tulin. He acknowledges the small cage could be a factor but favors Duncan's skill.

"Duncan's going to find something Duncan will get the job done inside the distance"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The MMA Guru believes Duncan has better movement, kickboxing, and strength in the clinch. He notes Ribeiro has no good wins and is coming off a KO loss, while Duncan is coming off a TKO win. He predicts a highlight-reel KO for Duncan.

KO win
"I think Christian Leroy Duncan moves way better than Ribeiro, way better kickboxing... I reckon we're going to see Christian Leroy Duncan get a highlight reel KO"
TKO (punches and elbows) R2 4:24
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Christian Leroy Duncan 1 65 of 87 74% 90 of 123 0 of 2 0% 0 0 4:51
Denis Tiuliulin 0 30 of 71 42% 37 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 0 13 of 15 86% 38 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 0 4:37
Denis Tiuliulin 0 7 of 14 50% 12 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Christian Leroy Duncan 1 52 of 72 72% 52 of 72 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
Denis Tiuliulin 0 23 of 57 40% 25 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Christian Leroy Duncan 65 of 87 74% 44 of 65 8 of 9 13 of 13 46 of 65 16 of 17 3 of 5
Denis Tiuliulin 30 of 71 42% 19 of 57 6 of 8 5 of 6 26 of 66 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 13 of 15 86% 6 of 8 3 of 3 4 of 4 6 of 8 7 of 7 0 of 0
Denis Tiuliulin 7 of 14 50% 4 of 11 2 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 11 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Christian Leroy Duncan 52 of 72 72% 38 of 57 5 of 6 9 of 9 40 of 57 9 of 10 3 of 5
Denis Tiuliulin 23 of 57 40% 15 of 46 4 of 6 4 of 5 21 of 55 2 of 2 0 of 0
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 12, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Angelo leans Christian Leroy Duncan, hoping his loss to Arman Petrosian woke him up to be less flashy and more focused. He notes Duncan is the better wrestler and should take the fight to the ground. He expects a finish and does not see it going the distance.

Does not see it going the distance
"I am going to lean Christian Duncan here because this is an MMA fight I do not see this Going the Distance"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Big Brady thinks Tiuliulin is not UFC caliber, with no striking defense and the worst ground game in the UFC. He sees Duncan having multiple paths: picking him apart and knocking him out, or taking him down and submitting him. He predicts a first-round knockout, noting Tiuliulin's only chance is landing a big shot.

"I think Christian Duncan's the rightful favorite the rightful big favorite and outside of Dennis tuin Landing a big shot I think Christian Duncan should get this done pretty convincingly so I'll say first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Cody picks Christian Leroy Duncan confidently, citing his movement, footwork, and counter-striking. He notes that Tiuliulin is a brawler with poor footwork and cardio, coming in on short notice. Duncan can pick him apart and likely get a TKO. Cody sees this as an excellent stylistic matchup for Duncan.

"Duncan's got to be the play this week"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Duncan relies on speed, explosiveness, and early power to finish fights. Tiuliulin has been finished by grapplers but Duncan is a striker. Duncan's power and speed should be too much early, leading to a knockout in the first round. However, Duncan is reliant on finishes and may fade if it goes longer. Tiuliulin could make it closer if he survives the early onslaught.

win by knockout
"I still take Duncan to win this matchup and I'll take him to Win It by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Paul agrees, noting Tiuliulin's rudimentary style and poor grappling. He believes Duncan can hang out at range and avoid danger. Paul mentions Tiuliulin's history of getting finished and expects Duncan to win by TKO or submission.

"I'm with you Christian Loro Duncan"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The MMA Guru picks Christian Leroy Duncan to win by body kick KO in round two. He notes Tiuliulin is hittable and requires breaking opponents, and is coming off a nasty KO. He believes Duncan is a much better striker with good cardio and movement, and that Tiuliulin taking the fight on short notice makes it a no-brainer.

body kick KO round two
"I'm going to go Christian Leroy Duncan over Dennis Tiuliulin... I actually think he'll whoop up Dennis Tiuliulin and maybe finish him with a kick to the body in round two."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Armen Petrosyan 0 89 of 156 57% 111 of 179 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:21
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 59 of 122 48% 73 of 136 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Armen Petrosyan 0 37 of 66 56% 37 of 66 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 27 of 51 52% 27 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Armen Petrosyan 0 36 of 62 58% 46 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:04
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 20 of 43 46% 25 of 48 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:41
3 Armen Petrosyan 0 16 of 28 57% 28 of 40 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:17
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 12 of 28 42% 21 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:28
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Armen Petrosyan 89 of 156 57% 37 of 90 15 of 22 37 of 44 77 of 139 10 of 14 2 of 3
Christian Leroy Duncan 59 of 122 48% 23 of 72 8 of 16 28 of 34 58 of 121 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Armen Petrosyan 37 of 66 56% 10 of 30 6 of 10 21 of 26 36 of 64 1 of 2 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 27 of 51 52% 10 of 29 6 of 8 11 of 14 27 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Armen Petrosyan 36 of 62 58% 19 of 42 8 of 10 9 of 10 26 of 50 9 of 10 1 of 2
Christian Leroy Duncan 20 of 43 46% 6 of 24 2 of 6 12 of 13 20 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Armen Petrosyan 16 of 28 57% 8 of 18 1 of 2 7 of 8 15 of 25 0 of 2 1 of 1
Christian Leroy Duncan 12 of 28 42% 7 of 19 0 of 2 5 of 7 11 of 27 0 of 0 1 of 1
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 11, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Angelo picks Christian Leroy Duncan, noting his pressure and creativity. He acknowledges that Armen Petrosyan is a skilled striker with a solid chin, and if Duncan chases an early knockout and gasses, Petrosyan could take over. However, Duncan hasn't shown a gas tank issue yet. Angelo calls Duncan an affordable minus 150.

"Christian is going to be the pick and he is honestly an affordable minus 150 right now"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Big Brady picks Christian Leroy Duncan to win by second-round knockout. He acknowledges that Petrosyan is likely to win the minutes with higher volume, but Duncan has fight-ending power with spinning attacks and flying knees. Brady notes Petrosyan has poor takedown defense and has been knocked out before. He also mentions Duncan has shown some takedown ability and solid ground game, which could be an alternative path. He thinks the line may be a bit wide but leans to Duncan's power.

"I think it's going to be Christian Leroy Duncan who wins the moments and and finds a knockout quite quite frankly."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Armen Petrosyan

Cody takes the underdog Petrosyan, citing his elite striking volume, cardio, and leg kicks. He notes that Petrosyan's takedown defense is poor but his ability to scramble back up and maintain pace is excellent. He believes Duncan, while athletic and rangy, may not have the cardio to keep up with Petrosyan's pressure over three rounds. Cody thinks Petrosyan's leg kicks will slow Duncan's movement, and if Petrosyan can survive the first round, he will take over in the second and third. He also mentions a prop for Petrosyan by split decision at +1250.

Petrosyan by split decision at +1250 (sprinkle)
"I'll go with I've got the arm and Armin special this week"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Connor picks Duncan for similar reasons, citing his power and aggression. He notes that Petrosian is a 'Vettori type' who is difficult to look good against, but Duncan's power and ability to land crushing shots should carry him. Connor is not fully confident but leans to the powerful fighter.

"I got to pick the powerful guy."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Daniel Levi picks Christian Leroy Duncan, citing his athleticism, speed, and reach advantage. He notes Duncan's impressive movement in his debut and believes he can land takedowns on Petrosyan, whose takedown defense is poor. He got Duncan at -125 and thinks the line is good value. He also mentions the age disparity and Duncan entering his prime.

bet at -125, potential finish
"I got him at -125 I thought that was an awesome line for him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Petrosyan is the technically better kickboxer but Duncan's speed, explosiveness, and power will be the difference maker. Petrosyan has been knocked out by less technical strikers before. Duncan throws flying knees and spinning techniques and is likely to land a knockout blow in the first or second round.

Duncan wins by KO in round 1 or 2
"I fully expect him to go out there and lie in that knockout blow on a Petrosian... give me Christian Leroy Duncan probably first or second knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Armen Petrosyan

Paul sides with Cody, noting that Petrosyan's sample size of high-volume striking in three-round fights is impressive, and until he sees more from Duncan, he leans to the underdog. He mentions that Petrosyan by decision is +250 and by split decision is +1250, which could be worth a sprinkle. He thinks the fight could be close and go to the judges.

Petrosyan by decision at +250; Petrosyan by split decision at +1250 (sprinkle)
"slight lean to the underdog here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The MMA Guru picks Christian Leroy Duncan over Armen Petrosyan, emphasizing the eight-inch reach advantage. He notes Petrosyan is a good striker but lacks dynamism, while Duncan throws wheel kicks, front kicks, and flying knees. He expects Duncan to catch Petrosyan pulling out of an exchange and win by TKO.

"I am going to be going with Christian Leroy Duncan over arm and Petrosian... I think the reach Advantage is just everything in this matchup"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Zane picks Duncan because he trusts Duncan's power and comfort in the pocket. He notes that Petrosian is consistent but lacks power, and that Duncan is a more mindful pocket puncher with good vision in exchanges. Zane believes Duncan's dynamic fight-changing power will be too much for Petrosian, who has shown vulnerability to counters.

"I'll take Duncan."
TKO (knee injury) R1 1:52
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 9 of 14 64% 14 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Duško Todorović 0 4 of 6 66% 6 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 0 9 of 14 64% 14 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Duško Todorović 0 4 of 6 66% 6 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Christian Leroy Duncan 9 of 14 64% 3 of 8 2 of 2 4 of 4 8 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 4 of 6 66% 0 of 0 2 of 3 2 of 3 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 9 of 14 64% 3 of 8 2 of 2 4 of 4 8 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 4 of 6 66% 0 of 0 2 of 3 2 of 3 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Angelo thinks Christian Leroy Duncan will win by coming forward and bombing on Todorović, who has a questionable chin. He notes Duncan is a powerful striker with pressure and creativity, while Todorović is more technical but can be chinny. He is not betting but likes the does not go the distance prop.

does not go the distance
"I think Christian Leroy Duncan should win this fight I think he's gonna bomb away find that Chin dusko's Chin is not the best."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Big Brady picks Duncan, noting his power and Todorović's poor striking defense and chin. He acknowledges Todorović has good top game but poor wrestling (12% takedown accuracy). He believes Duncan can get back up if taken down and find a knockout. He predicts a second-round KO, calling Todorović's wins unimpressive.

"I like Duncan here I like Duncan to win by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Cody picks Todorović as a dog, noting his top game and ground-and-pound are strong if he can get takedowns. He thinks Duncan's takedown defense is questionable and he may get taken down. He acknowledges Todorović's chin is a liability and he could get knocked out, but he's taking a small sniff at the dog. He says the fight likely doesn't go the distance.

fight doesn't go the distance
"I will actually take the bite on dusco todorovich and live to regret it heavily I'm sure"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Connor picks Duncan, describing him as a big bully with powerful striking but poor grappling. He notes that Todorović is hittable and has struggled against aggressive fighters. Connor expects a messy fight where Duncan's power and durability will overcome Todorović's wrestling, as Duncan is comfortable in chaotic exchanges.

"I'm kind of gonna pick Duncan. It's gonna be a really stupid messy fight, but I think Duncan's pretty comfortable in those."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Jacob placed this as his first moneyline bet on the card, getting early value for premium members. He thinks Duncan has a huge advantage in striking and cardio, while Todorović needs to wrestle but has poor takedown control and gasses. He expects Duncan to dominate in front of the home crowd and likely finish.

bet placed early at better odds
"this was the first moneyline bet I placed because I think it's still good value I got it early for the premium members."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Duncan is an unorthodox striker with power and a good gas tank, able to conserve energy early and explode later. Todorović has a grappling-heavy approach but tends to slow down if he doesn't get a finish. Duncan's speed and striking should be too much, and he will likely pull away in the second and third rounds. A knockout victory is predicted, possibly in the third round.

"I think he's just way too unorthodox in the Striking realm for todorovich to get a beat on"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Paul picks Duncan, noting he looks good on tape as a Cage Warriors champion with training in Thailand. He thinks Duncan's striking and finishing ability are real, and Todorović's chin is a massive liability. He says if Todorović can't get wrestling going, he gets knocked out. He initially bet Todorović by mistake but cashed out after realizing it was the wrong Duncan.

Christian Duncan by knockout (potential)
"I'm gonna pick Christian Duncan who I think actually has some decent potential moving forward"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The MMA Guru picks Christian Leroy Duncan to win by TKO, highlighting his impressive prospect pedigree and experience against tough competition. He notes Todorović has not beaten any UFC-level opponents and has been finished by everyone still in the UFC. Duncan's size, stand-up, and takedown defense are key advantages, and he predicts a highlight-reel finish via head kick or flying knee.

Duncan wins by TKO
"I'm gonna go with Christian Leroy Duncan over dusco todrovic"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Duncan's disdain for grapplers and his counter-striking will be effective. He points out that Todorović is not a great athlete and has been exposed by similar fighters. Zane believes Duncan's power and willingness to trade will be too much for Todorović.

"I gotta pick Duncan."