vs
-345 +360
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · Sep 23, 2023 · Women's Strawweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot Next Fight
Age 31
Height 5' 3"
Reach 65"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 34
Height 5' 4"
Reach 61.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Mizuki Inoue
4.45 SLpM
52.0% Str. Acc.
4.65 SApM
49.0% Str. Def.
0.75 TD Avg
33.0% TD Acc.
80.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Hannah Goldy
5.19 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
4.67 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
0.66 TD Avg
12.0% TD Acc.
54.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Mizuki Inoue
Moneyline
BetRivers -345
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1600
Submission
BetRivers +320
Decision
BetRivers -118
Hannah Goldy
Moneyline
FanDuel +360
KO/TKO
FanDuel +2600
Submission
FanDuel +1600
Decision
FanDuel +460
Mizuki Inoue - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 321 · Oct 25, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jaqueline Amorim 0 26 of 62 41% 48 of 88 2 of 6 33% 1 1 1:43
Mizuki Inoue 1 62 of 103 60% 150 of 203 2 of 2 100% 0 1 7:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jaqueline Amorim 0 12 of 31 38% 16 of 36 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:27
Mizuki Inoue 0 15 of 32 46% 34 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:07
2 Jaqueline Amorim 0 4 of 8 50% 12 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:16
Mizuki Inoue 0 12 of 18 66% 36 of 47 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:52
3 Jaqueline Amorim 0 10 of 23 43% 20 of 33 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Mizuki Inoue 1 35 of 53 66% 80 of 103 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:29
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jaqueline Amorim 26 of 62 41% 19 of 44 3 of 13 4 of 5 18 of 54 3 of 3 5 of 5
Mizuki Inoue 62 of 103 60% 54 of 93 8 of 10 0 of 0 20 of 52 14 of 17 28 of 34
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jaqueline Amorim 12 of 31 38% 8 of 17 0 of 9 4 of 5 7 of 26 0 of 0 5 of 5
Mizuki Inoue 15 of 32 46% 15 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 20 0 of 0 10 of 12
2 Jaqueline Amorim 4 of 8 50% 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mizuki Inoue 12 of 18 66% 12 of 17 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 10 2 of 2 6 of 6
3 Jaqueline Amorim 10 of 23 43% 7 of 19 3 of 4 0 of 0 8 of 21 2 of 2 0 of 0
Mizuki Inoue 35 of 53 66% 27 of 44 8 of 9 0 of 0 11 of 22 12 of 15 12 of 16
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jaqueline Amorim vs. Mizuki Inoue
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Amorim (-440), Inoue (+340)

Round 1
Ladies will open up the Abu Dhabi-based pay-per-view card that starts early for stateside audiences, and women will not return again after this bout until the co-main attraction. It is strawweight for both matches involving female fighters, a division with a logjam of contenders that may soon include either Amorim (10-1, 4-1 UFC) or Inoue (15-6, 2-1 UFC), depending on who prevails. The two grapple-heavy 115ers will be joined in the cage by referee Kerry Hatley, and the day commences with a glove touch.
Amorim rushes out behind a front kick, and both women are energized and jittery to engage. They proceed to paw at one another with half-hearted range-finding jabs, with the Brazilian beating her foe to the punch during these engagements. Amorim has her kicks caught, but Inoue cannot do anything with the limb and it already struck her so she lets it go on two occasions. Dipping in behind a jab, Inoue works her way forward while Amorim slides laterally. Amorim’s front kick buzzes the side of Inoue’s face, and she gets backed to the corner thanks to the pump-fakes and occasional lead hooks from her opponent. When Inoue advances, Amorim counters with a level change to take her opponent off her feet. Inoue scrambles to back to her feet deftly, but Amorim follows her back upright to be able to circle around take her back standing.
Amorim use her jiu-jitsu to simultaneously threaten while securing the back, and she wrenches Inoue to the mat from behind. From there, a rear-naked choke attempt quickly materializes. Inoue turns the proper direction to break it up, so Amorim snags it under the chin from an unorthodox angle. The woman from Japan keeps turning and twisting, managing not only to break free from the submission but to turn around with Amorim’s body lock wrapped around her waist. Amorim locks Inoue down when placed on her back, preventing all but the lightest of offense getting off from Inoue. Inoue sneaks in a few elbows, and she cracks Amorim with a surprisingly powerful stream of left hands that knock Amorim’s head around and shock her a bit. As Inoue pounds away, possibly stealing the round from her vicious ground-and-pound, the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Inoue
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Inoue
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Inoue

Round 2
The two ladies get back to it, with Inoue putting on the gas while Amorim stays on the outside peppering with kicks. Inoue jabs her way into a few right hands, marking up Amorim’s nose and forcing her to shoot in on her hips. Inoue smoothly stuffs her opponent and presses her against the fencing, where she jacks Amorim in the jaw with shoulder strikes. Inoue manages to drag her opponent to the floor, but this is where Amorim wants to be, as submissions are in play. The Brazilian isolates Inoue’s right leg and wraps her hands underneath it to put together a kneebar, and she tries to crank it.
Inoue defends by keeping her weight pressed down on her own limp to not allow Amorim to extend it, and this shuts down the attempt entirely. From there, Inoue sits up and squirms to work back to her feet, but finds herself still engaged in a tie-up with her adversary. After getting pressed against the wire for some time, Amorim decides to pull guard and lock things down. Inoue slowly, calmly postures up, and she drives down some ground strikes much to Amorim’s chagrin. Inoue sits comfortably in Amorim’s guard, stacking her up to shut down the worst of the subs, but Amorim still manages to roll upside-down and hunt for a last-second armbar. Inoue shrugs it off and smacks the Brazilian with hammerfists until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Inoue
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Inoue
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Inoue

Round 3
The 115ers clap hands to reintroduce themselves, and Inoue appears the fresher of the two but is not entirely out of the woods yet. Amorim barrels towards her, hurling a flurry of punches, and Inoue takes a few on the chin and rolls with others. Amorim backs off to gain a full head of steam, and she shoots in from a wide berth for a takedown that Inoue sees coming from a mile away. The Japanese fighter stands her up and starts jacking her in the jaw with clinch strikes. As Inoue beats on Amorim up close and personal, she drives home knees to the liver that take Amorim off her feet—it is possible that Amorim pulled guard at the same time of one of them, but the knees certainly appear to have had an impact. Amorim hits her back and gets into defensive mode, so Inoue stacks her up and remains fearlessly in her guard until deciding to find another way in. The two throw hard at one another, and Amorim’s face bangs into Inoue’s right eye socket and rips open a cut that bleeds immediately.
Inoue does not appear remotely concerned, as she doggedly presses forward and nails Amorim with punches and a crisp knee. The knee puts Amorim down again, and Inoue considers busting her up with ground shots but decides to stay out of her dangerous guard. The Japanese lady stands back up, and Amorim follows. This allows Inoue to rip a left hand to the liver that compromises Amorim once more, and the takedown shots that follow are feeble and telegraphed. Inoue bowls Amorim over without concern and starts working Amorim over with hammerfists, all-but ignoring Amorim’s left leg looking to set something up. Amorim spins over to her knees and forces herself up to her feet with less than 30 seconds on the clock, and Inoue is mugging her with clinch offense as the time ticks away. Inoue’s strawweight blender of punches, knees and elbows from up close conclude the one-sided fight, one that will likely be a fairly considerable betting upset.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Inoue (30-26 Inoue)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Inoue (30-27 Inoue)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Inoue (30-27 Inoue)

The Official Result
Mizuki Inoue def. Jaqueline Amorim via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Oct 19, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Angelo picks Jacqueline Amorim with extreme confidence, calling minus 450 a gift. He highlights her elite grappling credentials (no-gi and BJJ world champion), powerful striking, and aggressive style. He notes Mizuki Inoue has fought only twice in five years and lacks power, making Amorim a safe bet.

Jacqueline is minus 450. She should be minus 4,500.
"Uh pick Jacqueline. Bet on Jacqueline minus 450 is a gift from the heavens. ... Jacqueline is minus 450. She should be minus 4,500."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Big Brady picks Jaqueline Amorim, citing Mizuki Inoue's inactivity and injury history. He notes Inoue has only three UFC fights in five years and can be taken down easily. While Inoue is a better striker, Brady expects Amorim to get the fight to the mat where her high-level BJJ and ground and pound will dominate. He mentions Amorim's cardio improvements since the Hughes fight and predicts a dominant decision win.

Amorim by decision
"I got to go Amorim. I think Amorim can win by really any method. I think it could be a TKO potentially. I think it could be a submission. But I'll say it's going to be a decision win here …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

Cody picks Mizuki Inoue as a plus 350 underdog, citing her karate background, footwork, and takedown defense. He notes that Amorim is one-dimensional, relying on submissions, and has poor striking and takedown defense. Inoue has fought tough competition and has never been finished. Cody believes Inoue can keep the fight standing and win a decision or even submit Amorim.

"I'm willing to take a chance on Mizuki."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Connor picks Amorim, noting that Inoue has a long history of injuries and inactivity, and her body may not be able to handle the rigors of fighting. He believes Amorim is physical and aggressive, and while her game is incomplete, she is likely to overwhelm Inoue. Connor also points out that Inoue's wins are mostly over lower-level competition, and she struggles against good physical athletes.

Amorim is a huge favorite at -400.
"I just have to pick her to beat Mizuki Inouye. ... Inouye will compete well and be scrappy all the way through. But like, you know, at this point, her career highlight win is like Yanan Wu."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Daniel Vreeland is confident in Amorim's jiu-jitsu and believes she will submit Inoue. He notes that Inoue rarely fights and was taken down by Hannah Goldie, which bodes well for Amorim's takedown and submission game. He also mentions Amorim's experience competing in Abu Dhabi in pure jiu-jitsu.

wins by submission
"I think Jacquelini Amarim is going to come out here and submit Mizuki in a way and extend her win streak."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Lucrative James picks Jaqueline Amorim confidently, citing her elite jiu-jitsu and takedowns. He notes Mizuki Inoue's long layoffs and injuries (knee, eye), which likely diminish her performance. He expects Amorim to get an early takedown and dominate, but questions whether she can finish due to Inoue's toughness. He considers an over 1.5 rounds bet because Inoue is durable.

over 1.5 rounds
"I'm picking Jacqueline Amarim here. ... I might be looking at an over one and a half rounds."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

The host believes Amorim's Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt will be too much for Inoue, who is returning from a two-year layoff. He expects Amorim to find a submission position and force the tap, indicating a confident pick.

submission
"I think it's just a matter of time before Amarim finds that position to force the tap."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

Paul also picks Inoue, calling her his favorite dog on the card. He notes that Amorim's only path is submission, and if Inoue can stuff takedowns and avoid submissions, she can win. Paul mentions Inoue's experience against top competition and her training at Serra-Longo. He believes the plus 350 price offers great value.

"Inoue for me probably my favorite dog on the card."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

The MMA Guru is confident in Jaqueline Amorim, citing her four-fight finish streak and submission skills. He notes that her only loss was to Sam Hughes early in her UFC career, but she has since developed strength and is on a roll. He predicts a submission finish in the first two rounds, as Amorim has been finishing opponents with armbars and rear-naked chokes. He dismisses Mizuki Inoue's inactivity and lack of major wins, calling Amorim a huge favorite for a reason.

submission in first two rounds
"She's going to defeat Mizuki Inoue most definitely. Um I reckon she'll get this one done by finish by submission."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Zane also picks Amorim, citing Inoue's long layoffs and physical decline. He notes that Inoue has only beaten lower-level opponents and that Amorim's aggression and physicality should be enough. Zane acknowledges that Inoue could win if she defends takedowns and out-strikes Amorim, but he doubts she can maintain that over three rounds.

"I think Amorim is confident and aggressive and physically potent and who knows like being raw against Mizuki Inouye."
WIN vs Hannah Goldy
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · Sep 23, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mizuki Inoue 0 55 of 105 52% 83 of 140 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:31
Hannah Goldy 0 47 of 95 49% 64 of 123 1 of 14 7% 0 0 2:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mizuki Inoue 0 18 of 33 54% 27 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:13
Hannah Goldy 0 17 of 29 58% 20 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
2 Mizuki Inoue 0 6 of 9 66% 15 of 22 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:59
Hannah Goldy 0 6 of 10 60% 13 of 21 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:30
3 Mizuki Inoue 0 31 of 63 49% 41 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Hannah Goldy 0 24 of 56 42% 31 of 65 0 of 8 0% 0 0 0:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mizuki Inoue 55 of 105 52% 31 of 72 20 of 29 4 of 4 37 of 77 17 of 26 1 of 2
Hannah Goldy 47 of 95 49% 10 of 43 26 of 39 11 of 13 20 of 55 27 of 40 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mizuki Inoue 18 of 33 54% 6 of 16 10 of 15 2 of 2 11 of 22 7 of 11 0 of 0
Hannah Goldy 17 of 29 58% 1 of 11 10 of 12 6 of 6 7 of 17 10 of 12 0 of 0
2 Mizuki Inoue 6 of 9 66% 3 of 4 3 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 4 2 of 3 1 of 2
Hannah Goldy 6 of 10 60% 0 of 1 5 of 7 1 of 2 1 of 4 5 of 6 0 of 0
3 Mizuki Inoue 31 of 63 49% 22 of 52 7 of 9 2 of 2 23 of 51 8 of 12 0 of 0
Hannah Goldy 24 of 56 42% 9 of 31 11 of 20 4 of 5 12 of 34 12 of 22 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert picked Sep 17, 2023 (6 days before fight)

Angelo is wary of Mizuki's three-year layoff due to injury and thinks the line is too wide. He notes Hannah's non-stop pace could win a decision. He does not make a pick on the moneyline, instead suggesting the over 2.5 rounds is the only bet he feels good about.

over 2.5 rounds
"the over two and a half were definitely gonna get a two and a half round 90 over two and a half here is the only thing that you could bet and feel good about"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

Big Brady picks Mizuki Inoue despite her three-year layoff, reasoning that Hannah Goldy is not good enough to pick against. He notes Inoue has solid striking and volume, but her grappling success has been against low-level opponents and her last submission win was in 2016. He expects the fight to go to decision and thinks it could be more competitive than the line suggests.

"I'm gonna take in a way which is terrifying considering she's been off for so long but there's no way I'm ever picking Hannah Goldie in a fight ever so give me Mizuki and a way to win this fight …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

Cody picks Mizuki Inoue, buying into her training at Sarah Longo's gym. He notes her boxing combinations and volume, while Goldy is physical but lacks technique. He acknowledges Inoue's layoff and previous struggles but believes she has improved.

"I'm just buying into the Sarah Longo thing now is that enough for a minus 300 no... but yeah it's not enough for me to just take the random Underdog pick so I will side with the favorite."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

Daniel picks Mizuki but is wary of the price and her three-year layoff. He notes Goldy has been disappointing in the UFC, with poor takedown defense and low output. He thinks Mizuki's clinch and grappling will be key, and she can submit or dominate on the ground. However, he is not confident enough to lay -300.

"I'll pick Mizuki because I think she's the more uh complete fighter here but she's been out for three years we don't know what she's been up to"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

Lucrative James briefly mentions Mizuki is a decent fighter and strong in the clinch, but he hasn't taped this fight and is not betting it. He thinks she will win but provides no detailed analysis.

"Mizuki is a strong girl I think she's going to win the fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

The host picks Inoue but is hesitant due to the long layoff and minus 300 price. He notes Inoue's technical boxing and footwork, and expects her to outpoint Goldy on the feet. He worries about Goldy's physicality and grappling but thinks Inoue's training with Kanako Murata will help her defend takedowns. He predicts a decision win.

"I'm not so hot on the minus 300 here on anyway but I still think she gets her hand raised by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

Paul picks Inoue but with low confidence. He notes Goldy's best performances are at 115 and Inoue has been off for three years. He thinks Inoue's boxing and movement should win, but won't bet at -300.

"I'll pick in a way with you but I don't see myself putting actual money on it too many question marks bro."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

The MMA Guru confidently picks Mizuki Inoue, dismissing Hannah Goldy as a fighter who entered the sport for promotional reasons rather than skill. He notes Goldy's only win is over Emily Whitmire by armbar and that she lost easily to Molly McCann, whom he considers unremarkable. He highlights Inoue's youth (29), experience (14-6), and impressive performances, including a decision loss to Amanda Lemos and wins over Yanan Wu and Viviane Pereira. He believes Inoue's skills and preparation will secure the win.

"I'm gonna go with Mizuki anyway uh Hannah Goldie I think is one of these women's MMA fighters that sort of got into the sport to promote her..."
LOSS vs Amanda Lemos
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Munhoz vs. Edgar · Aug 22, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Lemos 1 83 of 129 64% 102 of 150 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:22
Mizuki Inoue 0 57 of 94 60% 138 of 181 0 of 1 0% 0 0 6:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Lemos 1 33 of 57 57% 37 of 61 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:53
Mizuki Inoue 0 17 of 30 56% 38 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:49
2 Amanda Lemos 0 22 of 29 75% 32 of 41 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:27
Mizuki Inoue 0 20 of 27 74% 49 of 56 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:22
3 Amanda Lemos 0 28 of 43 65% 33 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Mizuki Inoue 0 20 of 37 54% 51 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Lemos 83 of 129 64% 51 of 92 27 of 32 5 of 5 48 of 84 27 of 33 8 of 12
Mizuki Inoue 57 of 94 60% 30 of 62 18 of 23 9 of 9 34 of 69 23 of 25 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Lemos 33 of 57 57% 22 of 44 9 of 11 2 of 2 20 of 40 7 of 8 6 of 9
Mizuki Inoue 17 of 30 56% 10 of 23 2 of 2 5 of 5 12 of 25 5 of 5 0 of 0
2 Amanda Lemos 22 of 29 75% 12 of 18 8 of 9 2 of 2 12 of 15 8 of 11 2 of 3
Mizuki Inoue 20 of 27 74% 9 of 14 9 of 11 2 of 2 10 of 16 10 of 11 0 of 0
3 Amanda Lemos 28 of 43 65% 17 of 30 10 of 12 1 of 1 16 of 29 12 of 14 0 of 0
Mizuki Inoue 20 of 37 54% 11 of 25 7 of 10 2 of 2 12 of 28 8 of 9 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

Big Brady picks Mizuki Inoue to win by decision. He questions Amanda Lemos' cardio, noting she looked tired in the Leslie Smith fight and was finished in the second round. Inoue has never been finished in 19 fights, has a good submission game, and survived five rounds against Jana Roba. Brady believes if Inoue can survive the first round, she will take over in the second and third, possibly getting a late finish.

"i like inu in this fight i really do i think she's going to be able to weather that storm in the first round... ultimately i'm going to pick mizuki to win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2020 (fight day)
Mizuki Inoue

Daniel Levi picks Mizuki Inoue to win a close decision. He notes Inoue has underrated boxing, high volume, and durability, and that she trains with top guys in New York. Levi acknowledges Lemos's power and improved cardio after dropping two weight classes, but believes Inoue's experience and pace will overwhelm Lemos in the later rounds. He mentions that Lemos's win over Granger was a split decision that should have been a clear loss, and that Inoue's pressure will be key.

decision 29-28, plus 150 value on Lemos earlier
"i actually think uh noah is going to come out here and surprise a lot of people and man sarah longo man they've been on they've been on a roll lately so i'm gonna go with the in a way …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 20, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

Inoue is an efficient in-and-out striker with good footwork and striking defense. Lemos has power but questionable cardio, having gassed in her UFC debut. Inoue can survive the first round and then take over as Lemos fades. Inoue's submission defense is also solid. Expect Inoue to win a decision.

"i gotta lean anyway here i think she just has a more complete game"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Aug 17, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

The MMA Guru picks Mizuki Inoue despite thinking she lost her last fight. He credits her experience, reach, and takedown defense, predicting a unanimous decision. He acknowledges Amanda Lemos is dangerous and suggests a small underdog bet on Lemos might be worthwhile.

maybe it'd be worth putting a little bit of money as an underdog for amanda lemos
"i think i am going to be picking mizuki anyway here this is a dangerous one"
WIN vs Wu Yanan
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang · Aug 31, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mizuki Inoue 0 123 of 270 45% 136 of 283 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:29
Wu Yanan 0 93 of 204 45% 102 of 214 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:36
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mizuki Inoue 0 39 of 88 44% 42 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Wu Yanan 0 22 of 54 40% 23 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Mizuki Inoue 0 37 of 88 42% 43 of 94 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:29
Wu Yanan 0 29 of 65 44% 32 of 68 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:16
3 Mizuki Inoue 0 47 of 94 50% 51 of 98 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Wu Yanan 0 42 of 85 49% 47 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mizuki Inoue 123 of 270 45% 65 of 198 41 of 51 17 of 21 95 of 235 28 of 35 0 of 0
Wu Yanan 93 of 204 45% 86 of 195 7 of 9 0 of 0 74 of 182 19 of 22 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mizuki Inoue 39 of 88 44% 19 of 63 12 of 14 8 of 11 34 of 80 5 of 8 0 of 0
Wu Yanan 22 of 54 40% 20 of 51 2 of 3 0 of 0 17 of 49 5 of 5 0 of 0
2 Mizuki Inoue 37 of 88 42% 16 of 62 16 of 21 5 of 5 25 of 74 12 of 14 0 of 0
Wu Yanan 29 of 65 44% 26 of 61 3 of 4 0 of 0 24 of 57 5 of 8 0 of 0
3 Mizuki Inoue 47 of 94 50% 30 of 73 13 of 16 4 of 5 36 of 81 11 of 13 0 of 0
Wu Yanan 42 of 85 49% 40 of 83 2 of 2 0 of 0 33 of 76 9 of 9 0 of 0
Hannah Goldy - Fight History
LOSS vs Mizuki Inoue
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · Sep 23, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mizuki Inoue 0 55 of 105 52% 83 of 140 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:31
Hannah Goldy 0 47 of 95 49% 64 of 123 1 of 14 7% 0 0 2:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mizuki Inoue 0 18 of 33 54% 27 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:13
Hannah Goldy 0 17 of 29 58% 20 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
2 Mizuki Inoue 0 6 of 9 66% 15 of 22 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:59
Hannah Goldy 0 6 of 10 60% 13 of 21 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:30
3 Mizuki Inoue 0 31 of 63 49% 41 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Hannah Goldy 0 24 of 56 42% 31 of 65 0 of 8 0% 0 0 0:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mizuki Inoue 55 of 105 52% 31 of 72 20 of 29 4 of 4 37 of 77 17 of 26 1 of 2
Hannah Goldy 47 of 95 49% 10 of 43 26 of 39 11 of 13 20 of 55 27 of 40 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mizuki Inoue 18 of 33 54% 6 of 16 10 of 15 2 of 2 11 of 22 7 of 11 0 of 0
Hannah Goldy 17 of 29 58% 1 of 11 10 of 12 6 of 6 7 of 17 10 of 12 0 of 0
2 Mizuki Inoue 6 of 9 66% 3 of 4 3 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 4 2 of 3 1 of 2
Hannah Goldy 6 of 10 60% 0 of 1 5 of 7 1 of 2 1 of 4 5 of 6 0 of 0
3 Mizuki Inoue 31 of 63 49% 22 of 52 7 of 9 2 of 2 23 of 51 8 of 12 0 of 0
Hannah Goldy 24 of 56 42% 9 of 31 11 of 20 4 of 5 12 of 34 12 of 22 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert picked Sep 17, 2023 (6 days before fight)

Angelo is wary of Mizuki's three-year layoff due to injury and thinks the line is too wide. He notes Hannah's non-stop pace could win a decision. He does not make a pick on the moneyline, instead suggesting the over 2.5 rounds is the only bet he feels good about.

over 2.5 rounds
"the over two and a half were definitely gonna get a two and a half round 90 over two and a half here is the only thing that you could bet and feel good about"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

Big Brady picks Mizuki Inoue despite her three-year layoff, reasoning that Hannah Goldy is not good enough to pick against. He notes Inoue has solid striking and volume, but her grappling success has been against low-level opponents and her last submission win was in 2016. He expects the fight to go to decision and thinks it could be more competitive than the line suggests.

"I'm gonna take in a way which is terrifying considering she's been off for so long but there's no way I'm ever picking Hannah Goldie in a fight ever so give me Mizuki and a way to win this fight …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

Cody picks Mizuki Inoue, buying into her training at Sarah Longo's gym. He notes her boxing combinations and volume, while Goldy is physical but lacks technique. He acknowledges Inoue's layoff and previous struggles but believes she has improved.

"I'm just buying into the Sarah Longo thing now is that enough for a minus 300 no... but yeah it's not enough for me to just take the random Underdog pick so I will side with the favorite."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

Daniel picks Mizuki but is wary of the price and her three-year layoff. He notes Goldy has been disappointing in the UFC, with poor takedown defense and low output. He thinks Mizuki's clinch and grappling will be key, and she can submit or dominate on the ground. However, he is not confident enough to lay -300.

"I'll pick Mizuki because I think she's the more uh complete fighter here but she's been out for three years we don't know what she's been up to"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

Lucrative James briefly mentions Mizuki is a decent fighter and strong in the clinch, but he hasn't taped this fight and is not betting it. He thinks she will win but provides no detailed analysis.

"Mizuki is a strong girl I think she's going to win the fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

The host picks Inoue but is hesitant due to the long layoff and minus 300 price. He notes Inoue's technical boxing and footwork, and expects her to outpoint Goldy on the feet. He worries about Goldy's physicality and grappling but thinks Inoue's training with Kanako Murata will help her defend takedowns. He predicts a decision win.

"I'm not so hot on the minus 300 here on anyway but I still think she gets her hand raised by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

Paul picks Inoue but with low confidence. He notes Goldy's best performances are at 115 and Inoue has been off for three years. He thinks Inoue's boxing and movement should win, but won't bet at -300.

"I'll pick in a way with you but I don't see myself putting actual money on it too many question marks bro."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

The MMA Guru confidently picks Mizuki Inoue, dismissing Hannah Goldy as a fighter who entered the sport for promotional reasons rather than skill. He notes Goldy's only win is over Emily Whitmire by armbar and that she lost easily to Molly McCann, whom he considers unremarkable. He highlights Inoue's youth (29), experience (14-6), and impressive performances, including a decision loss to Amanda Lemos and wins over Yanan Wu and Viviane Pereira. He believes Inoue's skills and preparation will secure the win.

"I'm gonna go with Mizuki anyway uh Hannah Goldie I think is one of these women's MMA fighters that sort of got into the sport to promote her..."
LOSS vs Molly McCann
TKO (spinning back elbow and punches) R1 3:52 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · Jul 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Molly McCann 1 24 of 52 46% 29 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Hannah Goldy 0 9 of 33 27% 9 of 33 0 of 5 0% 0 0 1:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Molly McCann 1 24 of 52 46% 29 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Hannah Goldy 0 9 of 33 27% 9 of 33 0 of 5 0% 0 0 1:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Molly McCann 24 of 52 46% 20 of 46 3 of 5 1 of 1 19 of 45 2 of 2 3 of 5
Hannah Goldy 9 of 33 27% 5 of 26 3 of 3 1 of 4 6 of 27 3 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Molly McCann 24 of 52 46% 20 of 46 3 of 5 1 of 1 19 of 45 2 of 2 3 of 5
Hannah Goldy 9 of 33 27% 5 of 26 3 of 3 1 of 4 6 of 27 3 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Angelo picks Molly McCann, citing her hometown crowd advantage and technical boxing. He is surprised by the -400 odds, noting Goldy is likely stronger and faster with better striking differential. He suggests a prop bet on Molly by decision or a 'plus 3.5' round handicap bet, as Molly is not a finisher.

plus 3.5 rounds handicap bet
"i do think molly wins here but i genuinely think it's because of the crowd"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by decision. He thinks the line is too wide but McCann should win, especially with the crowd behind her in London. He notes the striking could be close, but McCann can mix in takedowns. He expects a decision win for McCann.

McCann by decision
"give me molly mccann to win give me molly mccann to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Cody confidently picks Molly McCann, stating she can win any way she wants. He highlights her excellent cardio, high volume striking, and pressure fighting. Cody notes Goldie's striking is not good and she was dropped by Balbita. He thinks McCann's takedown defense is sufficient and that Goldie won't be able to grapple with her. Cody suggests McCann by TKO at +425 as a prop.

McCann by TKO +425
"i think she's going to just come you know continue to come forward and do whatever she wants"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Daniel Levi picks Molly McCann, comparing her to a female Frankie Edgar with a volume boxing style and ability to mix in takedowns. He sees Hannah Goldy as inactive and not winning minutes, relying on opportunistic submissions. Levi expects McCann to outwork and overwhelm Goldy with pace.

"i just see molly mccann coming out here and outworking her putting a pace on her and just overwhelming her"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Hannah Goldy

McCann is not a -400 fighter. Her wrestling is overrated and she has poor takedown defense. Goldy can make it competitive, has output, and can take it to the grappling realm. I'm throwing a half-unit shot on Goldy. The fight will be closer than the odds suggest.

Goldy by submission +1200, Goldy by decision +500 (mentioned as possibilities)
"I'm throwing a half unit shot on Hannah Goldie this fight's gonna play out close"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Paul picks Molly McCann but won't bet at -425. He thinks the line will grow to -500 by fight night due to fan support. He notes McCann has made significant improvements and is a grinder, but went life and death with Ketchup. Paul believes if rounds are close, McCann will get the decision in the UK. He considers a flyer on Goldie but can't bring himself to bet her.

"i'll pick molly mccann but like it just isn't in my dna to lay minus 425 on meatballs so"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

The MMA Guru confidently picks Molly McCann to win by decision. He states it's a no-brainer, citing McCann's experience and toughness. He criticizes Hannah Goldy's level of competition and believes McCann's grappling has improved. On the feet, McCann is scrappy and tough. He expects a 29-28 decision, possibly with Goldy having a moment in the third round.

29-28 decision
"molly mccann gets this one done way more experienced"
Submission (armbar) R1 4:17 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · Sep 18, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Hannah Goldy 0 5 of 13 38% 15 of 26 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:04
Emily Whitmire 0 10 of 22 45% 24 of 46 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Hannah Goldy 0 5 of 13 38% 15 of 26 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:04
Emily Whitmire 0 10 of 22 45% 24 of 46 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Hannah Goldy 5 of 13 38% 3 of 10 1 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 1
Emily Whitmire 10 of 22 45% 1 of 12 2 of 2 7 of 8 9 of 20 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Hannah Goldy 5 of 13 38% 3 of 10 1 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 1
Emily Whitmire 10 of 22 45% 1 of 12 2 of 2 7 of 8 9 of 20 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Hannah Goldy

Angelo picks Hannah Goldy due to her insane volume, forward pressure, and raw strength. He notes that Emily Whitmire has good kickboxing and wrestling but has been submitted in her last two losses. He believes Goldy's strength and clinch work will stifle Whitmire and that the fight goes to decision. He placed a bet at +105 but warns not to touch the current line.

Moneyline bet at +105, 1 unit; fight goes to decision (implied)
"i have hannah goldie winning this fight hannah goldie is my pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Hannah Goldy

Big Brady picks Hannah Goldy as an underdog, believing she can stuff Whitmire's takedowns and outpoint her on the feet. He notes Goldy's reach disadvantage is less severe than in past fights against longer opponents. He also mentions an armbar from guard is live, as Goldy recently got her purple belt. He predicts a decision win for Goldy.

armbar from guard is live
"I'm actually gonna go with the underdog and hannah goldie i think she's going to be strong enough to stuff the takedowns and when it is on the feet i do love the volume of hannah goldie"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Cody does not make a pick, calling it a 'cranberry sauce' fight that he is not interested in betting. He notes that both fighters have flaws and that Whitmire has been submitted multiple times, while Goldie has poor fight IQ. He decides to pass.

"i left the cranberry sauce for grandma see if she wanted any instead"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Hannah Goldy

Daniel Levi picks Hannah Goldy over Emily Whitmire. He notes that Whitmire has mental issues and that Goldy is tougher, citing her fight against Belbita where she showed heart by getting on top in the third round. He believes the striking is more even here, and while Whitmire is a submission specialist, Goldy has faced better grapplers and holds a win over Jillian Robertson. He thinks if Whitmire doesn't get a first-round sub, Goldy can outpoint her and win a decision.

"i actually think that if whitmire doesn't get this first round sub that that goldie can come out here and just kind of out point her win the decision down the stretch so i'm gonna go with goldie"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Hannah Goldy

Preet favors Goldy because he believes Whitmire has not been active enough and that Goldy's distance striking will out-touch Whitmire over 15 minutes. He notes Goldy's recent training with Marina Shafir and Julian Robertson suggests she may try to grapple, but even in a striking fight he expects Goldy to win. He is not confident in a finish, preferring Goldy by decision at +205.

Goldy by decision +205
"I'm actually on the Goldy side no real conviction in terms of props Goldy by decision at plus 205 I think that's probably the spot you gotta take care if you're gonna take anything at all"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Emily Whitmire

Paul tentatively picks Whitmire by decision, noting that Goldie has been figured out and backs straight up to the cage. He believes Whitmire's aggression and takedowns could be the key, but he is not confident and calls it a 'cranberry sauce' fight.

"i'm gonna go with emily whitmire by a decision don't love it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Hannah Goldy

The MMA Guru picks Hannah Goldy over Emily Whitmire, citing Whitmire's struggles with fundamental MMA basics and Goldy's toughness and activity. He notes Goldy's strength in the clinch and decent technical striking compared to Whitmire. He also speculates Goldy may be on performance-enhancing drugs due to her physique. He predicts a unanimous decision win for Goldy.

"i'm gonna be going with hannah goldie here um she i believe is on roids"
LOSS vs Diana Belbiţă
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · Jul 24, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Diana Belbiţă 1 117 of 211 55% 126 of 222 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Hannah Goldy 0 92 of 182 50% 107 of 198 2 of 6 33% 0 0 5:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Diana Belbiţă 1 48 of 76 63% 55 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Hannah Goldy 0 26 of 44 59% 30 of 49 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:14
2 Diana Belbiţă 0 29 of 57 50% 30 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Hannah Goldy 0 29 of 56 51% 31 of 58 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:12
3 Diana Belbiţă 0 40 of 78 51% 41 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Hannah Goldy 0 37 of 82 45% 46 of 91 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Diana Belbiţă 117 of 211 55% 68 of 152 22 of 29 27 of 30 101 of 185 14 of 22 2 of 4
Hannah Goldy 92 of 182 50% 56 of 137 25 of 32 11 of 13 58 of 140 18 of 23 16 of 19
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Diana Belbiţă 48 of 76 63% 23 of 47 14 of 18 11 of 11 34 of 58 12 of 14 2 of 4
Hannah Goldy 26 of 44 59% 12 of 26 10 of 13 4 of 5 18 of 33 6 of 9 2 of 2
2 Diana Belbiţă 29 of 57 50% 16 of 40 4 of 6 9 of 11 27 of 53 2 of 4 0 of 0
Hannah Goldy 29 of 56 51% 14 of 40 11 of 12 4 of 4 21 of 46 8 of 10 0 of 0
3 Diana Belbiţă 40 of 78 51% 29 of 65 4 of 5 7 of 8 40 of 74 0 of 4 0 of 0
Hannah Goldy 37 of 82 45% 30 of 71 4 of 7 3 of 4 19 of 61 4 of 4 14 of 17
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jul 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Diana Belbiţă

Angelo picks Diana Belbiţă because she has solid takedown defense, is just as busy as Hannah Goldy, and is much taller. He notes that Hannah is strong but doesn't have knockout power or use her physicality to ragdoll opponents. He calls this a 'pick 'em fight' and advises not to bet on it, as the odds at +155 aren't enough to justify a bet. He also likes the over on the monkey knife fight line, expecting a high-volume decision.

over on monkey knife fight line (more/more)
"i also have diana balbita winning because her takedown defense is very solid she's just as busy and she's much much taller"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Diana Belbiţă

Big Brady picks Diana Belbiţă as the dog, citing her significant reach advantage (7.5 inches) and ability to keep the fight standing. He notes Hannah Goldie struggled against Miranda Granger's reach and expects Belbiţă to use her length to win a decision. He acknowledges Belbiţă's poor fight IQ in her last bout but believes she won't make the same mistake here.

Belbiţă by decision
"i'll take balbita as the dog here overhand at goldie... getting me down at balbita to win the fight by a decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert picked Jul 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Cody does not make a clear pick, calling it a stay away fight. He notes both fighters have question marks and the line has moved to a pick'em. He says if he had to force a dog, he would take the dog, but he doesn't have a firm stance.

"this is like the definition of stay away from me because i don't really trust either one of them"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Hannah Goldy

Daniel Levi picks Hannah Goldy, expecting her to tip and run from the outside and win a close decision. He notes that Belbiţă is aggressive but redlines and makes mistakes, while Goldy is the polar opposite, playing it safe. Levi acknowledges the layoff for Goldy but expects improvements, and sees value in Goldy at the pick'em price.

"i'm going to go against the public here i'm going to take hannah goldie be a close decision"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Jul 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Diana Belbiţă

Jacob picks Diana Belbiţă based on her walkout with a fox draped over her shoulders, calling it 'enough for me.' He acknowledges that neither fighter is very good and that the fight is tough to pick. He notes that Hannah Goldy looked green on the ground in a grappling match he watched. He does not express strong confidence and sees the fight as a toss-up.

"i'm going with diana just because there was one fight where she came out with a fox draped over her shoulders"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Diana Belbiţă

The host picks Diana Belbiţă, noting her striking advantage and reach (68 inches vs Goldy's 61). He acknowledges her poor fight IQ in the past but believes the year off and training with Adrian Wooley and Kyle Nelson will help. He expects Belbiţă to keep the fight at distance and win by decision, as Goldy is durable but has struggled against longer opponents. He also mentions a potential TKO finish but leans decision.

Belbiţă by decision +175; Belbiţă by TKO +650 (sprinkle)
"i got to go with the babita side of things as i do believe she's going to be able to land the more impactful shots"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Jul 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Paul also does not make a clear pick, calling it a 50/50 fight. He notes Belbiţă has a reach advantage and Goldy has output but is coming off a long layoff. He says if you got plus money on Belbiţă earlier, that was the move, but now it's even money and he doesn't have a firm stance.

"yeah it's definitely stay away but i would say it's a 50 50."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Diana Belbiţă

The Guru picks Belbiţă as an underdog, citing her experience, youth, and activity advantage over Goldy. He criticizes Goldy's inactivity and questions her commitment due to her OnlyFans account. He notes Belbiţă's reach advantage and believes she will win by decision.

"i'm actually going to go with deanna bell beta here as an underdog"
LOSS vs Miranda Granger
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Covington vs. Lawler · Aug 03, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miranda Granger 0 61 of 143 42% 77 of 162 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Hannah Goldy 0 55 of 166 33% 58 of 170 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miranda Granger 0 21 of 48 43% 37 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Hannah Goldy 0 22 of 46 47% 25 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:21
2 Miranda Granger 0 23 of 48 47% 23 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Hannah Goldy 0 15 of 49 30% 15 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
3 Miranda Granger 0 17 of 47 36% 17 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Hannah Goldy 0 18 of 71 25% 18 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miranda Granger 61 of 143 42% 31 of 91 8 of 12 22 of 40 47 of 117 14 of 26 0 of 0
Hannah Goldy 55 of 166 33% 20 of 102 20 of 34 15 of 30 43 of 145 12 of 21 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miranda Granger 21 of 48 43% 12 of 34 2 of 4 7 of 10 10 of 29 11 of 19 0 of 0
Hannah Goldy 22 of 46 47% 9 of 27 8 of 10 5 of 9 15 of 35 7 of 11 0 of 0
2 Miranda Granger 23 of 48 47% 9 of 26 4 of 4 10 of 18 21 of 44 2 of 4 0 of 0
Hannah Goldy 15 of 49 30% 7 of 27 3 of 9 5 of 13 13 of 44 2 of 5 0 of 0
3 Miranda Granger 17 of 47 36% 10 of 31 2 of 4 5 of 12 16 of 44 1 of 3 0 of 0
Hannah Goldy 18 of 71 25% 4 of 48 9 of 15 5 of 8 15 of 66 3 of 5 0 of 0
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert picked Sep 17, 2023 (6 days before fight)
No clear pick

Angelo is wary of Mizuki's three-year layoff due to injury and thinks the line is too wide. He notes Hannah's non-stop pace could win a decision. He does not make a pick on the moneyline, instead suggesting the over 2.5 rounds is the only bet he feels good about.

over 2.5 rounds
"the over two and a half were definitely gonna get a two and a half round 90 over two and a half here is the only thing that you could bet and feel good about"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

Big Brady picks Mizuki Inoue despite her three-year layoff, reasoning that Hannah Goldy is not good enough to pick against. He notes Inoue has solid striking and volume, but her grappling success has been against low-level opponents and her last submission win was in 2016. He expects the fight to go to decision and thinks it could be more competitive than the line suggests.

"I'm gonna take in a way which is terrifying considering she's been off for so long but there's no way I'm ever picking Hannah Goldie in a fight ever so give me Mizuki and a way to win this fight I'll say she wins it by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

Cody picks Mizuki Inoue, buying into her training at Sarah Longo's gym. He notes her boxing combinations and volume, while Goldy is physical but lacks technique. He acknowledges Inoue's layoff and previous struggles but believes she has improved.

"I'm just buying into the Sarah Longo thing now is that enough for a minus 300 no... but yeah it's not enough for me to just take the random Underdog pick so I will side with the favorite."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

Daniel picks Mizuki but is wary of the price and her three-year layoff. He notes Goldy has been disappointing in the UFC, with poor takedown defense and low output. He thinks Mizuki's clinch and grappling will be key, and she can submit or dominate on the ground. However, he is not confident enough to lay -300.

"I'll pick Mizuki because I think she's the more uh complete fighter here but she's been out for three years we don't know what she's been up to"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

Lucrative James briefly mentions Mizuki is a decent fighter and strong in the clinch, but he hasn't taped this fight and is not betting it. He thinks she will win but provides no detailed analysis.

"Mizuki is a strong girl I think she's going to win the fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

The host picks Inoue but is hesitant due to the long layoff and minus 300 price. He notes Inoue's technical boxing and footwork, and expects her to outpoint Goldy on the feet. He worries about Goldy's physicality and grappling but thinks Inoue's training with Kanako Murata will help her defend takedowns. He predicts a decision win.

"I'm not so hot on the minus 300 here on anyway but I still think she gets her hand raised by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

Paul picks Inoue but with low confidence. He notes Goldy's best performances are at 115 and Inoue has been off for three years. He thinks Inoue's boxing and movement should win, but won't bet at -300.

"I'll pick in a way with you but I don't see myself putting actual money on it too many question marks bro."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

The MMA Guru confidently picks Mizuki Inoue, dismissing Hannah Goldy as a fighter who entered the sport for promotional reasons rather than skill. He notes Goldy's only win is over Emily Whitmire by armbar and that she lost easily to Molly McCann, whom he considers unremarkable. He highlights Inoue's youth (29), experience (14-6), and impressive performances, including a decision loss to Amanda Lemos and wins over Yanan Wu and Viviane Pereira. He believes Inoue's skills and preparation will secure the win.

"I'm gonna go with Mizuki anyway uh Hannah Goldie I think is one of these women's MMA fighters that sort of got into the sport to promote her..."