vs
+210 -225
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · Sep 23, 2023 · Women's Bantamweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot
Age 37
Height 5' 8"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 27
Height 5' 6"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Montse Rendon
2.95 SLpM
27.0% Str. Acc.
3.65 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
1.91 TD Avg
37.0% TD Acc.
85.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Tamires Vidal
2.91 SLpM
53.0% Str. Acc.
4.46 SApM
49.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
35.0% TD Def.
0.7 Sub. Avg
Montse Rendon
Moneyline
FanDuel +210
KO/TKO
DraftKings +2000
Submission
DraftKings +1200
Decision
BetMGM +275
Tamires Vidal
Moneyline
BetWay -225
KO/TKO
BetRivers +575
Submission
BetRivers +575
Decision
FanDuel +115
Montse Rendon - Fight History
Submission R1 2:07 · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · Mar 14, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Beatriz Mesquita 0 18 of 27 66% 31 of 40 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:46
Montse Rendon 0 0 of 8 0% 0 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Beatriz Mesquita 0 18 of 27 66% 31 of 40 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:46
Montse Rendon 0 0 of 8 0% 0 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Beatriz Mesquita 18 of 27 66% 16 of 25 1 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 6 0 of 1 12 of 20
Montse Rendon 0 of 8 0% 0 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Beatriz Mesquita 18 of 27 66% 16 of 25 1 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 6 0 of 1 12 of 20
Montse Rendon 0 of 8 0% 0 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Beatriz Mesquita vs. Montserrat Rendon
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Mesquita (-550); Rendon (+400)

Round 1
Eric McMahon is the referee. Rendon is stumbled by a right and Mesquita goes on the attack, powering her her way into top position and unloading with ground and pound. Rendon scrambles back up only to be ground again. Mesquita gets full mount, where she’s dropping punches and elbows. Mesquita keeps her composure in the dominant position, picking her spots to land punches, hammerfists and elbows. Mesquita remains heavy on top, and she drops a heavy elbow, prompting Rendon to give up her back.
“Bia” wastes no time locking in a rear-naked choke, and Rendon taps out in a matter of seconds.
The Brazilian grappling ace is now 2-0 in the UFC with a pair of finishes to her credit.

The Official Result
Beatriz Mesquita def. Montserrat Rendon via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) R1 2:07
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 8, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Beatriz Mesquita

Angelo picks Beatriz Mesquita but is not confident. He acknowledges her incredible jiu-jitsu but criticizes her poor striking and wrestling. He thinks if Montse Rendon can keep the fight standing, Mesquita will struggle. However, he picks Mesquita because of her finish upside if the fight goes to the ground. He advises against betting her at -450.

"I'm going to pick Bea because the all the finish upside is there. ... You cannot be betting on her at minus 450."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Beatriz Mesquita

Big Brady picks Beatriz Mesquita to win by first-round submission, citing her elite jiu-jitsu and nasty ground-and-pound. He notes Mesquita can even compete on the feet against Rendon, who is slow and not great at anything. He expects Mesquita to take down Rendon and finish her quickly on the mat.

"give me Bea Mesquita, I'll say first round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Beatriz Mesquita

Cody picks Mesquita, citing her elite BJJ and ability to get takedowns. He notes Rendon's lack of finishing ability and poor striking accuracy. He expects Mesquita to submit or dominate on the ground.

Mesquita by submission +120
"I'm going to take BMs to get the job done."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Beatriz Mesquita

Connor also picks Mesquita, emphasizing that Rendon is glacially slow and Mesquita should be able to take her down and submit her. He notes that Rendon has ideas but lacks the speed to execute them. Connor sees Mesquita's athleticism as the deciding factor.

Mesquita opened at -500, currently -700; Rendon opened at +375, currently +500
"Yeah, she should be able to BS her way to a win, honestly, just on physicality. Just even to speed and throwing an occasional jab and low kick."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Mar 8, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Beatriz Mesquita

James picks Beatriz Mesquita to win by submission, highlighting her elite grappling and Rendon's lack of striking. He believes Rendon's only path is to clinch and make it gritty, but Mesquita will likely reverse or submit her. He expects an inside-the-distance win.

"my prediction is BMU via submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 10, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Beatriz Mesquita

The host picks Mesquita to win but is hesitant due to the steep odds. He acknowledges Mesquita's elite BJJ but questions her striking and wrestling against a strong, athletic opponent like Rendon. He expects the fight to go over 1.5 rounds and possibly to a decision, with Mesquita winning by grinding out a decision. He notes that Rendon's physicality and takedown defense could make it competitive, and he sees value in Rendon at plus odds.

over 1.5 rounds, Mesquita by decision (approx +300 to +400)
"I still believe Mosquito should be the favorite. She should be roughly around minus 150. So minus 550... I feel like there is a little bit of value on the Rendone side of things here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Beatriz Mesquita

Paul picks Mesquita, noting her grappling credentials and Rendon's inability to finish. He thinks Mesquita will get takedowns and control the fight. He mentions the price is steep but justified.

"I think the UFC knows what they're doing here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2026 (fight day)
Beatriz Mesquita

The Guru picks Beatriz Mesquita, calling her a generational jiu-jitsu athlete with dominant ground and pound. He thinks she will get takedowns and submit or ground-and-pound Rendon, though he notes the odds (-750) are too high. He expects Mesquita to get to dominant positions like the back or mount.

Odds comment: shouldn't be -750, more like -200 to -300
"I'm going to go with Bea Malecki here. I don't think she should be a minus 750 favorite."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Beatriz Mesquita

Zane picks Beatriz Mesquita, noting that she is a natural athlete with a jiu-jitsu background, while Rendon is one of the slowest fighters in the UFC. He believes Mesquita's speed and grappling will overwhelm Rendon, unless Rendon's size advantage proves too much. He sees Mesquita as able to win on physicality alone.

Mesquita opened at -500, currently -700; Rendon opened at +375, currently +500
"Yep. Agreed. Physical pick. Miskita is a huge favorite, much bigger than she should be as a five foot four bantamweight, open at minus 500, currently minus 700."
WIN vs Alice Pereira
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · Sep 13, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Montse Rendon 0 45 of 166 27% 60 of 185 0 of 5 0% 1 0 1:45
Alice Pereira 0 37 of 117 31% 43 of 123 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Montse Rendon 0 11 of 40 27% 15 of 44 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:21
Alice Pereira 0 14 of 41 34% 14 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Montse Rendon 0 20 of 62 32% 31 of 77 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:07
Alice Pereira 0 10 of 42 23% 10 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Montse Rendon 0 14 of 64 21% 14 of 64 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:17
Alice Pereira 0 13 of 34 38% 19 of 40 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Montse Rendon 45 of 166 27% 31 of 136 6 of 14 8 of 16 43 of 163 2 of 3 0 of 0
Alice Pereira 37 of 117 31% 29 of 103 7 of 12 1 of 2 35 of 115 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Montse Rendon 11 of 40 27% 6 of 28 2 of 4 3 of 8 10 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0
Alice Pereira 14 of 41 34% 7 of 31 7 of 9 0 of 1 12 of 39 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Montse Rendon 20 of 62 32% 16 of 55 1 of 3 3 of 4 20 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alice Pereira 10 of 42 23% 9 of 39 0 of 2 1 of 1 10 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Montse Rendon 14 of 64 21% 9 of 53 3 of 7 2 of 4 13 of 62 1 of 2 0 of 0
Alice Pereira 13 of 34 38% 13 of 33 0 of 1 0 of 0 13 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 7, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Alice Pereira

Angelo buys into the hype on Alice, a 19-year-old striker with good speed, power, and takedown defense. He notes she is a hyped prospect and the UFC is promoting her heavily. However, he is concerned about her limited MMA experience and the matchup against a grappler with takedowns. He says he would pick Montserrat if he hadn't watched her get out-struck despite getting takedowns in her last fight. He says he cannot bet here.

"I'm going to buy into the hype, at least for now. I'm going to pick Alice. I cannot bet here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 11, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Montse Rendon

Big Brady picks Rendon because she has UFC experience and can wrestle/grapple, while Pereira is a complete unknown with poor competition. However, he calls it a '1-800 gambler matchup' and says he would never bet on it. He notes Pereira looked good but only against mall security-level opponents.

Would never bet on this fight
"I'm gonna pick Rendone just because I've seen her go out there and fight ladies with a pulse."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Alice Pereira

Pereira is seen as a promising prospect despite being young and wild. The host expects her to fend off Rendon's grappling and use her power to win by knockout, making a dominant statement in her UFC debut.

win by knockout
"I expect her to stave off some of the grappling of Rendone and then eventually put that power on her and then win this fight by knockout."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Alice Pereira

The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Alice Pereira, acknowledging her youth and the risk of fading women's MMA prospects. He notes Pereira has power to finish on the feet and consistent finishes, but her last performance was weak. He contrasts her with Montse Rendon, who he sees as unimpressive with only moderate grappling. He trusts Pereira's well-roundedness as a slight favorite.

"I'm going to trust in Alice Pereira. She's got some pretty decent TKOs. She's got power to finish in women's MMA on the feet."
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Ribas vs. Namajunas · Mar 23, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daria Zhelezniakova 0 25 of 147 17% 28 of 156 3 of 6 50% 0 0 5:24
Montse Rendon 0 57 of 150 38% 73 of 171 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daria Zhelezniakova 0 6 of 37 16% 7 of 38 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:23
Montse Rendon 0 10 of 32 31% 18 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Daria Zhelezniakova 0 14 of 66 21% 16 of 70 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:51
Montse Rendon 0 24 of 72 33% 24 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Daria Zhelezniakova 0 5 of 44 11% 5 of 48 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:10
Montse Rendon 0 23 of 46 50% 31 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daria Zhelezniakova 25 of 147 17% 19 of 134 4 of 11 2 of 2 25 of 137 0 of 8 0 of 2
Montse Rendon 57 of 150 38% 36 of 125 21 of 25 0 of 0 51 of 144 6 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daria Zhelezniakova 6 of 37 16% 3 of 33 2 of 3 1 of 1 6 of 35 0 of 2 0 of 0
Montse Rendon 10 of 32 31% 7 of 29 3 of 3 0 of 0 8 of 30 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Daria Zhelezniakova 14 of 66 21% 12 of 61 1 of 4 1 of 1 14 of 62 0 of 2 0 of 2
Montse Rendon 24 of 72 33% 16 of 62 8 of 10 0 of 0 24 of 72 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Daria Zhelezniakova 5 of 44 11% 4 of 40 1 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 40 0 of 4 0 of 0
Montse Rendon 23 of 46 50% 13 of 34 10 of 12 0 of 0 19 of 42 4 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Montserrat Rendon vs. Dariya Zheleznyakova
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Zheleznykova (-218), Rendon (+180)

Round 1
The largest betting favorite of the evening comes in this preliminary women’s bantamweight tilt. Heavy underdog Rendon (6-0, 1-0 UFC) will try to land an upset again powerful Russian Zheleznyakova (8-1, 0-0 UFC), with the latter coming in around -250 depending on the book. Whether the lines can be trusted or if all bets are off, they will have 15 minutes to figure it out. Joining them in the cage will be referee Jason Herzog, who sits back as Zheleznyakova cruises forward ready to throw down. The Russian tags her unbeaten opponent in the mouth with an overhand right, and she backs her off with a pair of punches to follow. Rendon throws back but is out of range, as Zheleznyakova zips in and out to find her own shots. Zheleznyakova connects with a powerful right hand, and Rendon counters inaccurately. Rendon sits down on a right hand after eating a one-two, and she presses forward and takes Zheleznyakova down to the mat with a body lock. Zheleznyakova scoots her way to put her back to the wall, and she wall-walks and grabs the fence to do so. Rendon presses hard on her and searches for a mat return with various trips, and she eats a knee right on the solar plexus that stands her up momentarily. Rendon tries with all her might to secure another body lock takedown, but Zheleznyakova breaks free and jabs her in the face. Zheleznyakova sticks and moves as Rendon comes up shy of the mark with an overhand right, and she is in and out to land another right. Rendon scores at the end of a right hand, and she races forward as Zheleznyakova circles away. Zheleznyakova aims a right to the ribs and meets a blitzing Rendon with a knee to the sternum, shutting down Rendon’s takedown effort. Zheleznyakova overswings on a right hand, leading Rendon to snag hold of her and push her to the fence. Rendon completes the outside trip with her body lock and places Zheleznyakova flat on her back. Rendon lands in half guard, and she hangs on until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zheleznyakova
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Zheleznyakova
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Zheleznyakova

Round 2
Zheleznyakova starts off the second round aggressively, with several punches down the middle. Rendon lets fly her own strikes but is out of range again, as Zheleznyakova keeps her at the end of her punches and knocks her back with a long left hand and a body kick. Zheleznyakova lands a right hand and shuts down a takedown effort with a pair of punches. Rendon scores straight punches that bust open a cut on the Russian’s nose. Rendon pushes forward to pursue a takedown, and she fails to get it and eats a few punches on the nose. Zheleznyakova decides to start slugging it out, her nose leaking red down her face. Zheleznyakova surges forward to land a few, and Rendon has found her home with her power punches. Zheleznyakova spins with a strike and is stopped with a right hand, and Rendon clips her again as she tries to spin. Rendon crashes the pocket in pursuit of a takedown, and Zheleznyakova grabs the fence and has her hand slapped. The close round ends in the clinch.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rendon
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rendon
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rendon

Round 3
Zheleznyakova is cleared to compete in the last round, and they proceed to swing it out inaccurately. Zheleznyakova lobs a big left hand and brushes past the cheek, and she knocks Rendon back with a jab. Rendon crowds her but does not tie her up, instead backing up when she cannot find the right angle for a takedown. Zheleznyakova snaps the head back with a jab, and aims a right hand to the body and just misses a left over the top. Rendon sprints at her recklessly, dodging a strike and tying Zheleznyakova up to go after some kind of awkward takedown. Zheleznyakova shuts it all down and escapes out the side, and she pops out her jab to decent effect. When settling down with a big right hand, she gets backed off, but lands on the chest. Zheleznyakova goes high with a left and low with a right, and she snipes a charging Rendon with shots as Rendon runs at her. Rendon looks for a body lock and a trip, and she gets Zheleznyakova down to a knee for a moment before Zheleznyakova gets right back up. Rendon wrenches her down to a knee again, and she keeps her body weight pressed on the Russian to nullify any other offense. Zheleznyakova aims knees to the body as she tries to escape the clinch, and Rendon hooks her legs between her opponent’s. Zheleznyakova breaks free and lands a jab and a spinning back fist. Zheleznyakova spins with another back fist, and when that misses, she follows with a left that nails the unbeaten fighter. Rendon spins back with a fist that lands, and Zheleznyakova spins two more times to end the bantamweight bout.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zheleznyakova (29-28 Zheleznyakova)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Zheleznyakova (29-28 Zheleznyakova)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Zheleznyakova (29-28 Zheleznyakova)

The Official Result
Dariya Zheleznyakova def. Montserrat Rendon via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 17, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Montse Rendon

Angelo picks Montse Rendon as a very low confidence pick, citing her ground game as the deciding factor. He notes that Rendon can weather the storm, move forward, and grind out a win on the ground, similar to her win over Tamires Vidal. He sees a wide skill gap on the ground favoring Rendon, but acknowledges Daria's striking power. He considers a plus 3.5 round bet if the odds are favorable.

plus 3.5 round bet if odds are favorable
"I'm going to lean towards the wider skill gap on the ground I'm going to pick the ground specialist in monserat randone insanely low confidence pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Daria Zhelezniakova

Big Brady picks Daria Zhelezniakova, impressed by her striking, hand speed, and power. He notes her takedown defense is a potential hole but believes she can win enough minutes on the feet. He mentions that judges are scoring damage over control time, which favors Zhelezniakova if Rendon takes her down but does nothing. He predicts a decision win.

"I'm more on the zelenova side I was really impressed with their striking here I think she should be able to win enough minutes on the feet to to win this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Daria Zhelezniakova

Cody picks Zhelezniakova, citing her striking advantage and power. He notes that Rendon is a grappler who may struggle to get takedowns and hold position. Cody acknowledges the price is high but believes Zhelezniakova's skills on the feet will carry her.

"Daria will be the pick for me."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Daria Zhelezniakova

Daniel Vreeland picks Daria Zhelezniakova by decision, praising her striking speed and technique. He notes Rendon's wrestling is limited to catching kicks and that Zhelezniakova can box her up. He expects Zhelezniakova to win all three rounds on the feet.

Zhelezniakova by decision
"give me zeles nikova by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Montse Rendon

Rendon has solid basics, good physicality, and a BJJ brown belt. She showed improvement in her last fight by mixing in takedowns. Zhelezniakova is a UFC newcomer with questionable takedown defense and doesn't do anything exceptionally well. Rendon's strength and one-two down the pipe could be the difference. However, the line may move, and Rendon is only a lean at current odds.

Would consider if Rendon gets back to +200
"I have to lean with randone here now I'm not going to get to the betting window as of yet... if renon gets back up to plus 200... maybe I'll be forced to take another shot on her here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Daria Zhelezniakova

Paul picks Zhelezniakova but notes the line has moved too much. He thinks her striking and improved takedown defense will be enough. Paul expects a decision win for Zhelezniakova.

"I am going to take Daria but I can fully admit this price tag just doesn't seem very fitting."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Daria Zhelezniakova

The MMA Guru picks Daria Zhelezniakova over Montse Rendon, believing she is a much better striker. He references the Christian Rodriguez vs. Isaac Dulgarian fight to argue that control time doesn't matter to judges; damage does. He thinks Zhelezniakova will land more shots and win on damage, even if she ends up on bottom. He notes her loss to Melissa Mullins but sees her as the younger, more technical fighter.

"I am betting on zelen uh zeles nikova to uh land the better shots I think she's a way better Striker"
WIN vs Tamires Vidal
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · Sep 23, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Montse Rendon 0 60 of 109 55% 78 of 131 0 of 3 0% 1 0 0:54
Tamires Vidal 0 69 of 182 37% 112 of 240 3 of 5 60% 0 0 4:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Montse Rendon 0 23 of 40 57% 31 of 48 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:54
Tamires Vidal 0 17 of 54 31% 27 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:47
2 Montse Rendon 0 21 of 38 55% 21 of 38 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Tamires Vidal 0 25 of 61 40% 35 of 75 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:43
3 Montse Rendon 0 16 of 31 51% 26 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tamires Vidal 0 27 of 67 40% 50 of 97 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Montse Rendon 60 of 109 55% 17 of 59 3 of 3 40 of 47 60 of 108 0 of 1 0 of 0
Tamires Vidal 69 of 182 37% 45 of 148 11 of 18 13 of 16 55 of 151 1 of 2 13 of 29
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Montse Rendon 23 of 40 57% 7 of 23 0 of 0 16 of 17 23 of 39 0 of 1 0 of 0
Tamires Vidal 17 of 54 31% 13 of 47 0 of 2 4 of 5 17 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Montse Rendon 21 of 38 55% 5 of 18 1 of 1 15 of 19 21 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tamires Vidal 25 of 61 40% 17 of 50 6 of 9 2 of 2 20 of 48 1 of 1 4 of 12
3 Montse Rendon 16 of 31 51% 5 of 18 2 of 2 9 of 11 16 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tamires Vidal 27 of 67 40% 15 of 51 5 of 7 7 of 9 18 of 49 0 of 1 9 of 17
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Tamires Vidal

Angelo believes Vidal is better than Rendon at Rendon's best skill. He notes Vidal hits harder, is stronger, has more experience, and should be a much heavier favorite. He sees no path to victory for Rendon and considers Vidal parlayable.

"I love Vidal in this spot I think she is parlayable I really don't see her losing this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Tamires Vidal

Big Brady picks Tamires Vidal, citing her youth (25), improvements, brown belt in BJJ, and power on the feet. He notes she knocked out Ramona Pascual, who is tough, and believes Vidal can win by KO, sub, or decision. He is not betting at -220 but confidently picks her to win, predicting a second-round submission.

second round submission
"I'll take Vidal to win this fight and I'll say she gets it done by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tamires Vidal

Cody picks Tamires Vidal as a live underdog, citing Rendon's age (34), poor wrestling, and close decisions. He notes Vidal's youth (25), explosiveness, and physicality. He thinks Vidal can mix in takedowns and win a decision or finish.

"I think I'm gonna take the small shot to Mira's Fidel... live Underdog live Underdog."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Montse Rendon

Daniel picks Rendon as a dog, believing the odds are off. He criticizes Vidal's performance against Ailin Perez (a loss) and notes she was outstruck by a can. He thinks Rendon is tough, has decent volume, and can win a decision. He sees this as a low-level fight where the underdog has value.

plus 185 moneyline; mentions point spread +3.5
"I'm gonna go monra at renon Via decision uh but if I were to play it it would just be money line"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Lucrative James explicitly says he hasn't taped this fight and is not going to speak about it. He skips it entirely, so no pick is made.

"I'm not even going to speak about them."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Montse Rendon

The host picks Rendon as a plus 185 underdog, questioning Vidal's skills and calling her a 'poor woman's Priscilla Cachoeira.' He notes Rendon's athleticism, tight boxing, and straight shots down the pipe to counter Vidal's wide hooks. He worries about Vidal's grappling but believes Rendon's strength and BJJ brown belt will keep the fight standing. He predicts a decision win.

"give me run down and run down by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Paul has no clear pick for this fight. He is interested in Vidal under 1.5 takedowns on PrizePicks, noting she is more of a striker and was dominated on the ground by Eileen Perez. He does not commit to a winner.

Vidal under 1.5 takedowns on PrizePicks.
"I have no idea what to do with this one... I like the less than 1.5 takedowns I feel like that's how I'm gonna get access to this fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Tamires Vidal

The MMA Guru picks Tamires Vidal to win by TKO, citing her aggression and knockout power. He criticizes Montse Rendon's late start in MMA and unimpressive regional wins, including a split decision over a 4-4 opponent. He notes Vidal's only loss is to Carol Rosa and that she is 2-0 in the UFC, showing confidence from her team. He believes Vidal's power and aggression will overwhelm Rendon.

by TKO
"I'm gonna say that Tamir es Vidal is going to absolutely destroy Montserrat Rendon with a TKO in this fight"
Tamires Vidal - Fight History
Submission (face crank) R3 4:33 · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · Oct 19, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joselyne Edwards 0 81 of 134 60% 151 of 212 4 of 7 57% 2 0 4:30
Tamires Vidal 0 34 of 69 49% 53 of 91 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joselyne Edwards 0 41 of 65 63% 70 of 98 2 of 5 40% 0 0 0:45
Tamires Vidal 0 18 of 41 43% 24 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:42
2 Joselyne Edwards 0 14 of 22 63% 35 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:38
Tamires Vidal 0 5 of 10 50% 17 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:51
3 Joselyne Edwards 0 26 of 47 55% 46 of 69 1 of 1 100% 2 0 2:07
Tamires Vidal 0 11 of 18 61% 12 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joselyne Edwards 81 of 134 60% 48 of 94 20 of 26 13 of 14 61 of 108 9 of 11 11 of 15
Tamires Vidal 34 of 69 49% 15 of 44 9 of 14 10 of 11 25 of 57 9 of 12 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joselyne Edwards 41 of 65 63% 24 of 44 11 of 14 6 of 7 39 of 63 2 of 2 0 of 0
Tamires Vidal 18 of 41 43% 9 of 28 4 of 7 5 of 6 15 of 36 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Joselyne Edwards 14 of 22 63% 5 of 12 3 of 4 6 of 6 8 of 15 6 of 7 0 of 0
Tamires Vidal 5 of 10 50% 1 of 6 1 of 1 3 of 3 4 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Joselyne Edwards 26 of 47 55% 19 of 38 6 of 8 1 of 1 14 of 30 1 of 2 11 of 15
Tamires Vidal 11 of 18 61% 5 of 10 4 of 6 2 of 2 6 of 12 5 of 6 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joselyne Edwards (139: Missed Weight) vs. Tamires Vidal
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Edwards (-258), Vidal (+210)

Round 1
For the third time in her UFC career, Edwards (13-6, 4-4 UFC) comes into a matchup after missing weight. She surrenders a significant portion of her purse to Brazil’s Vidal (7-3, 1-2 UFC), who would like to make her pay even more for that perceived disrespect. Referee Herb Dean will be in there to keep things clean, and perhaps due to the weight miss—Edwards was three pounds heavy for their bantamweight tilt—there is no glove touch. Both women stand in the pocket and trade reaching strikes, with jabs that transition into leg kicks on both sides. Edwards whips a right hand over the top that misses, although her jab and front kick split the guard. Edwards works the body, and Vidal crashes the pocket, ignores a few strikes and pushes her foe to the wall. Edwards flips her over to deflate a takedown effort, and Vidal climbs back to her feet to push Edwards against the fence. Vidal goes low for an unorthodox single on the other side, and Edwards turns her around and tries to mash her up against the fencing. When they break free. Edwards kicks the body on one side and a low kick on the other. Edwards chops at the front leg and jabs, and Vidal is drawn out into spamming big overhand rights. Edwards points at the floor to initiate a brawl, and brawl they do. The ladies wind up on huge power shots, with Vidal getting off multiple overhand rights while Edwards smacks her upside the head with a spinning back fist. Edwards chops at the front leg a few times, spins with another back fist and is grabbed and forced into a clinch. Vidal knees her in the head repeatedly until Edwards can break free, and Edwards scores another back fist. Vidal’s low kick gets checked, and Edwards jabs her in the belly to respond. “La Pantera” tries one more spinning back fist, and Vidal sees it coming and swarms her opponent with punches. Edwards kicks her in the liver, and Vidal waves her on for more. Edwards takes a moment to gather her wind, and Vidal uses this moment to pounce. Vidal lands, Edwards fires back, and Vidal keeps on throwing. When Vidal overswings, Edwards grabs hold of her and throws her down to the floor with emphasis. As soon as Edwards takes her opponent’s back, the violent round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Edwards
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Edwards
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Edwards

Round 2
The kicks come early and often from the ladies, with Edwards throwing them high and low until Vidal closes in briefly. Edwards slides back and kicks Vidal in the gut, and she dances away from an overhand right to drill the Brazilian with a spinning back fist. Vidal’s chin is made of sterner stuff, and these women are throwing with everything they have. Vidal rushes forward to tie the longer woman up, getting hold of a body lock on the side while pushing Edwards to the wall. Vidal ducks under to take the Panamanian’s back standing, and she gets a hook in. Edwards hacks at the thigh with several elbows before whipping one behind her head, making Vidal blink it out. Vidal is warned for grabbing the inside of the gloves, and Edwards complains as Dean is on top of it. Vidal remains tight against her adversary, kneeing her in the back of the thigh like a mean-spirited body suit. Vidal breaks away to kick Edwards upside the head, and Edwards shakes it off, rushes after her and bowls Vidal over with a solid body lock takedown. Edwards lands in half guard and maintains top position, fighting off an effort for Vidal to scramble so she can stay in control. Edwards softens Vidal up with short ground-and-pound, more to stay busy than to inflict damage. Vidal hits a sweep with seconds to go, and Edwards tackles her back down to conclude the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Edwards
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Edwards
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Edwards

Round 3
Edwards comes out of her corner with purpose, walking Vidal down and jabbing her way into a number of front kicks. Vidal slips away, and she gets kicked in the ribs and swings her way into a clinch. They both knee one another before splitting, and Edwards tries for a back fist on the break and is blocked. Edwards jabs the body and has her front leg kicked hard twice. Edwards counters with an overhand right and pitches a front kick, and Vidal is after her loaded for bear. Edwards allows her to get up close and personal so she can deliver several solid uppercuts, and she frames off to nail Vidal with a back fist. When Vidal attempts her own spin, Edwards tackles her to the floor, and Vidal appears frustrated with herself as her opponent is in half guard. Edwards postures up and starts battering Vidal with elbows, and Vidal keeps her hands up and threatens with a leglock as Edwards attempts to advance position. This results in Edwards falling to her back, keeping her left leg safe from getting cranked or torqued the wrong direction. Vidal looks to her corner for ideas, and Edwards times this moment of awkwardness with an explosion and a number of fierce right hands. Vidal turns over, and Edwards happily takes her back to wrap up a rear-naked choke. The Brazilian turns her head to the side, and she hand-fights to try to get out of the move.
Edwards has her forearm fastened on the jaw and not beneath it, and she squeezes with all her might. The crushing grip gives Vidal issues, who quickly realizes she is not in a good place and there is no more hand to fight. Even as it does not become a choke and remains a crank, it is more than enough to force Vidal to surrender.
Arguably the best performance of Edwards’ career is marred by an egregious weight miss, but it might save her place on the roster.

The Official Result
Joselyne Edwards def. Tamires Vidal R3 4:33 via Submission (Face Crank)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

Angelo is high on Joselyne Edwards, praising her kickboxing, range management, and grit. He acknowledges her takedown defense is a weakness but thinks she can keep the fight standing by using leg kicks to slow down Tamires Vidal's pressure. He notes Vidal's striking is almost non-existent and she has lost to BJJ specialists recently. He believes Edwards can dance around on the outside and pick Vidal apart, making Edwards the pick. He also sees the over 2.5 rounds as safe.

over 2.5 rounds
"Jin Edwards is going to be the pick and I think we have another safe over two and a half"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

Big Brady picks Joselyne Edwards by third-round TKO. He criticizes Vidal's quit in previous fights, poor cardio, and durability. He believes Edwards is better everywhere and can finish Vidal, possibly due to a quit job. He notes Edwards often goes to split decision but expects a finish here.

third round TKO
"I got to go Edwards here and I think Edwards is live for a potential finish potential quit job from vial in the third round so I'm going to go Edwards uh third round uh TKO"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 18, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Edwards. He notes that Edwards is a better athlete and has an instinct to get back when someone has success against her. He thinks Vidal is a bully who doesn't want to try hard and will likely lose to Edwards' size and power.

"I think she's probably going to lose to Jocelyn Edwards."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Feb 21, 2026 (fight day)

This fight was not discussed in the transcript.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

Edwards has the technical striking advantage over the slugger Vidal, but a grapple-heavy approach could open up a submission opportunity. Edwards will defeat Vidal inside the distance.

submission
"I think we'll actually see a grapple heavy approach here from Edwards to utilize which could open up a submission opportunity and her to defeat Vidal inside the distance"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Oct 15, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

The Guru flips a tin of multivitamins to decide but ultimately picks Joselyne Edwards based on her experience and wins in the UFC. He notes Vidal is huge for the weight class but hasn't proven she is good. He considers Edwards rangy and closer to her prime.

"I'm gonna go Joselyn Edwards more experienced in the UFC she at least has some wins in the UFC"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 18, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

Zane picks Edwards because she is bigger and a better athlete than Vidal. He notes that Edwards has an instinct to answer back when hit, which he thinks will break Vidal's spirit. He criticizes Vidal for quitting in fights and lacking courage, and believes Edwards' size and awkwardness on the ground will be too much for Vidal.

Edwards opened at -211, now -260; Vidal opened at +184, now +222.
"I think she's probably going to lose to Jocelyn Edwards."
LOSS vs Melissa Gatto
TKO (punch to the body) R3 0:37 · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · May 18, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Melissa Gatto 0 15 of 29 51% 50 of 66 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:53
Tamires Vidal 0 30 of 52 57% 120 of 163 2 of 2 100% 1 0 6:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Melissa Gatto 0 3 of 3 100% 32 of 34 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Tamires Vidal 0 6 of 9 66% 72 of 85 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:33
2 Melissa Gatto 0 11 of 20 55% 17 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:53
Tamires Vidal 0 21 of 35 60% 45 of 70 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:25
3 Melissa Gatto 0 1 of 6 16% 1 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tamires Vidal 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Melissa Gatto 15 of 29 51% 7 of 21 2 of 2 6 of 6 14 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tamires Vidal 30 of 52 57% 13 of 30 16 of 20 1 of 2 22 of 40 1 of 5 7 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Melissa Gatto 3 of 3 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tamires Vidal 6 of 9 66% 4 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 7 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 Melissa Gatto 11 of 20 55% 5 of 14 2 of 2 4 of 4 10 of 19 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tamires Vidal 21 of 35 60% 9 of 21 11 of 12 1 of 2 15 of 25 1 of 5 5 of 5
3 Melissa Gatto 1 of 6 16% 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tamires Vidal 3 of 8 37% 0 of 2 3 of 6 0 of 0 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 12, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Tamires Vidal

Angelo is shocked that Melissa Gatto is the biggest favorite on the card at -820 despite being on a two-fight losing streak, moving up in weight, and having poor takedown accuracy (0 for 7 in her last fight). He believes Tamires Vidal is big, strong, and has a grappling advantage. He plans to bet on Vidal, watching the line movement to decide when to place the bet.

bet on Vidal (timing based on line movement)
"I already thought vial was going to win let alone at these odds I'm going to continue to watch this"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Cody views this as a clear bounceback fight for Gatto, who has lost two close decisions to top competition. He notes Vidal has massive limitations in every area: poor footwork, no head movement, low volume, and no power. Gatto is stronger, more technical, and a better wrestler. Cody believes Gatto will dominate on the ground and get back in the win column.

"Gatto is way strong at 125 that won't finish at 135 she's a way more polished way more powerful way more technical Striker than Vidal."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Vidal is reckless with wide hooks and was out-grinded in her last fight. Gatto is the toughest opponent Vidal has faced and should provide a ton of resistance. Expects Gatto to pressure Vidal, use the clinch, take her down, and eventually find a finish. The line should be closer to -400 or -500.

Inside the distance for Gatto.
"I think the minus 300 on Melissa got to is more than worthy here as I think that she should be closer to minus 400 maybe evenus 500"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Paul sees Gatto as much more powerful and technical than Vidal. He notes Vidal's only UFC win came via flying knee against a low-level opponent, and she was dominated by Montserrat Ruiz. Paul expects Gatto to manhandle Vidal with her grappling and physicality, despite moving up a weight class.

"It's goto for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

The MMA Guru picks Melissa Gatto over Tamires Vidal, despite going against his rule of picking 'thems' in women's MMA. He notes that Gatto had a close fight with Tracy Cortez and that Vidal was taken down three times by a smaller opponent in her last fight. He expects Gatto to use her reach and grappling to control Vidal and win by decision.

"I'm going to go with Melissa GTO here I think she'll be able to take down um tamires vdal"
LOSS vs Montse Rendon
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · Sep 23, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Montse Rendon 0 60 of 109 55% 78 of 131 0 of 3 0% 1 0 0:54
Tamires Vidal 0 69 of 182 37% 112 of 240 3 of 5 60% 0 0 4:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Montse Rendon 0 23 of 40 57% 31 of 48 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:54
Tamires Vidal 0 17 of 54 31% 27 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:47
2 Montse Rendon 0 21 of 38 55% 21 of 38 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Tamires Vidal 0 25 of 61 40% 35 of 75 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:43
3 Montse Rendon 0 16 of 31 51% 26 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tamires Vidal 0 27 of 67 40% 50 of 97 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Montse Rendon 60 of 109 55% 17 of 59 3 of 3 40 of 47 60 of 108 0 of 1 0 of 0
Tamires Vidal 69 of 182 37% 45 of 148 11 of 18 13 of 16 55 of 151 1 of 2 13 of 29
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Montse Rendon 23 of 40 57% 7 of 23 0 of 0 16 of 17 23 of 39 0 of 1 0 of 0
Tamires Vidal 17 of 54 31% 13 of 47 0 of 2 4 of 5 17 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Montse Rendon 21 of 38 55% 5 of 18 1 of 1 15 of 19 21 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tamires Vidal 25 of 61 40% 17 of 50 6 of 9 2 of 2 20 of 48 1 of 1 4 of 12
3 Montse Rendon 16 of 31 51% 5 of 18 2 of 2 9 of 11 16 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tamires Vidal 27 of 67 40% 15 of 51 5 of 7 7 of 9 18 of 49 0 of 1 9 of 17
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Tamires Vidal

Angelo believes Vidal is better than Rendon at Rendon's best skill. He notes Vidal hits harder, is stronger, has more experience, and should be a much heavier favorite. He sees no path to victory for Rendon and considers Vidal parlayable.

"I love Vidal in this spot I think she is parlayable I really don't see her losing this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Tamires Vidal

Big Brady picks Tamires Vidal, citing her youth (25), improvements, brown belt in BJJ, and power on the feet. He notes she knocked out Ramona Pascual, who is tough, and believes Vidal can win by KO, sub, or decision. He is not betting at -220 but confidently picks her to win, predicting a second-round submission.

second round submission
"I'll take Vidal to win this fight and I'll say she gets it done by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tamires Vidal

Cody picks Tamires Vidal as a live underdog, citing Rendon's age (34), poor wrestling, and close decisions. He notes Vidal's youth (25), explosiveness, and physicality. He thinks Vidal can mix in takedowns and win a decision or finish.

"I think I'm gonna take the small shot to Mira's Fidel... live Underdog live Underdog."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Montse Rendon

Daniel picks Rendon as a dog, believing the odds are off. He criticizes Vidal's performance against Ailin Perez (a loss) and notes she was outstruck by a can. He thinks Rendon is tough, has decent volume, and can win a decision. He sees this as a low-level fight where the underdog has value.

plus 185 moneyline; mentions point spread +3.5
"I'm gonna go monra at renon Via decision uh but if I were to play it it would just be money line"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Lucrative James explicitly says he hasn't taped this fight and is not going to speak about it. He skips it entirely, so no pick is made.

"I'm not even going to speak about them."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Montse Rendon

The host picks Rendon as a plus 185 underdog, questioning Vidal's skills and calling her a 'poor woman's Priscilla Cachoeira.' He notes Rendon's athleticism, tight boxing, and straight shots down the pipe to counter Vidal's wide hooks. He worries about Vidal's grappling but believes Rendon's strength and BJJ brown belt will keep the fight standing. He predicts a decision win.

"give me run down and run down by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Paul has no clear pick for this fight. He is interested in Vidal under 1.5 takedowns on PrizePicks, noting she is more of a striker and was dominated on the ground by Eileen Perez. He does not commit to a winner.

Vidal under 1.5 takedowns on PrizePicks.
"I have no idea what to do with this one... I like the less than 1.5 takedowns I feel like that's how I'm gonna get access to this fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Tamires Vidal

The MMA Guru picks Tamires Vidal to win by TKO, citing her aggression and knockout power. He criticizes Montse Rendon's late start in MMA and unimpressive regional wins, including a split decision over a 4-4 opponent. He notes Vidal's only loss is to Carol Rosa and that she is 2-0 in the UFC, showing confidence from her team. He believes Vidal's power and aggression will overwhelm Rendon.

by TKO
"I'm gonna say that Tamir es Vidal is going to absolutely destroy Montserrat Rendon with a TKO in this fight"
TKO (flying knee to the body) R1 3:06 · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · Nov 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tamires Vidal 1 17 of 29 58% 22 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:56
Ramona Pascual 0 13 of 14 92% 17 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tamires Vidal 1 17 of 29 58% 22 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:56
Ramona Pascual 0 13 of 14 92% 17 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tamires Vidal 17 of 29 58% 6 of 17 7 of 8 4 of 4 13 of 25 4 of 4 0 of 0
Ramona Pascual 13 of 14 92% 3 of 4 5 of 5 5 of 5 10 of 10 3 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tamires Vidal 17 of 29 58% 6 of 17 7 of 8 4 of 4 13 of 25 4 of 4 0 of 0
Ramona Pascual 13 of 14 92% 3 of 4 5 of 5 5 of 5 10 of 10 3 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Oct 30, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Ramona Pascual

Angelo picks Ramona Pascual despite acknowledging she has lost previous picks. He notes Pascual is well-rounded and tough, with solid striking and takedown defense, but lacks cardio and elite skills. He questions why Vidal was signed, citing poor stand-up and takedowns, but admits Vidal could dominate if she gets takedowns. The pick is hesitant because he's been wrong on Pascual before.

"I think I gotta go with Ramona Pasquale here not because I think she's gonna be a contender but I I just don't know how Vidal got signed"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 1, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Ramona Pascual

Big Brady sees no reason for Vidal to be favored, calling this a low-level fight where neither fighter deserves to be the favorite. He notes Vidal's poor striking and questionable wins, while Pascual has UFC experience and better striking. However, he has no confidence in the pick and expects a greasy decision, acknowledging Vidal's submission threat from guard.

Pascual wins by decision
"I think Pasquale should get it done but could you really have a ton of confidence in its Center I think her striking is probably better"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ramona Pascual

Cody picks Ramona Pascual, noting that Vidal's only win came via a sloppy heel hook at a very low level. He watched Vidal's fight against Eileen Perez, which was in a makeshift gym, and was unimpressed. Pascual has shown glimpses of improvement, getting three takedowns against Josiane Nunes and dropping Jocelyn Edwards with a body shot. At 135 pounds, Pascual may be more physical and have better Muay Thai and clinch work. Cody thinks Pascual is the better all-around fighter and is surprised she is the underdog.

"I most definitely gonna go Ramona possible on the spot and I'm surprised to see that she was the underdog"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Nov 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Tamires Vidal

Connor picks Vidal, noting that Pascual has never beaten anyone of note and is a dead end at 34. Vidal is younger and has room to grow, though her technique is raw. Connor acknowledges that Pascual has a better process but lacks the athleticism to execute.

"I'll pick tomorrow's Vidal. There's just cause she looks like she's like strong and she has finishing potential."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ramona Pascual

Daniel Levi picks Ramona Pascual based on her UFC experience and success getting takedowns in her UFC fights. He admits he doesn't have much analysis for this low-level fight but goes with the underdog.

"I'll go with Ramona Pasquale for the win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Ramona Pascual

The host sees Vidal as overrated, noting her limited striking (mostly an overhand right) and reliance on grappling against weak competition. He highlights that Vidal's wins came against questionable opponents and she was losing on the feet in previous fights before getting takedowns. He believes Pascual has enough output and grappling to stay safe and grind out a decision, making the underdog line of +135 valuable.

Pascual via decision expected around +200
"give me Pasqual Pasqual via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ramona Pascual

Paul picks Pascual, noting that she opened at +200 and has since moved to +120. He has seen her Instagram and she looks more defined at 135. He thinks Vidal's performance against Perez was horrible and that Pascual has shown she can hang in there. He is not betting it heavily but picks Pascual for the show.

Tamires Vidal under 1.5 takedowns (PrizePicks)
"Pascual for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ramona Pascual

The MMA Guru picks Ramona Pascual as an underdog, citing her size advantage and experience against tougher competition. He notes that Tamires Vidal is unproven and lost to Karol Rosa, while Pascual trains at Syndicate MMA and has looked good against fighters like Josiane Nunes and Jocelyn Edwards. However, he admits uncertainty about Vidal's potential, making this a hesitant pick based on known factors.

"I'm gonna go with the underdog straight away of Ramona Pascal... I don't really know what to sort of give credit to tamira's Vidal 4."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Nov 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Tamires Vidal

Zane picks Vidal because she is more athletic and has finishing potential, while Pascual is slow and unathletic. Vidal's only loss is to a decent fighter, and she has beaten some opponents with wins. However, Zane notes that Vidal's striking is messy and she relies on overhands and takedowns.

"I'll pick tomorrow's Vidal. There's just cause she looks like she's like strong and she has finishing potential."
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Tamires Vidal

Angelo believes Vidal is better than Rendon at Rendon's best skill. He notes Vidal hits harder, is stronger, has more experience, and should be a much heavier favorite. He sees no path to victory for Rendon and considers Vidal parlayable.

"I love Vidal in this spot I think she is parlayable I really don't see her losing this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Tamires Vidal

Big Brady picks Tamires Vidal, citing her youth (25), improvements, brown belt in BJJ, and power on the feet. He notes she knocked out Ramona Pascual, who is tough, and believes Vidal can win by KO, sub, or decision. He is not betting at -220 but confidently picks her to win, predicting a second-round submission.

second round submission
"I'll take Vidal to win this fight and I'll say she gets it done by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tamires Vidal

Cody picks Tamires Vidal as a live underdog, citing Rendon's age (34), poor wrestling, and close decisions. He notes Vidal's youth (25), explosiveness, and physicality. He thinks Vidal can mix in takedowns and win a decision or finish.

"I think I'm gonna take the small shot to Mira's Fidel... live Underdog live Underdog."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Montse Rendon

Daniel picks Rendon as a dog, believing the odds are off. He criticizes Vidal's performance against Ailin Perez (a loss) and notes she was outstruck by a can. He thinks Rendon is tough, has decent volume, and can win a decision. He sees this as a low-level fight where the underdog has value.

plus 185 moneyline; mentions point spread +3.5
"I'm gonna go monra at renon Via decision uh but if I were to play it it would just be money line"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
No clear pick

Lucrative James explicitly says he hasn't taped this fight and is not going to speak about it. He skips it entirely, so no pick is made.

"I'm not even going to speak about them."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Montse Rendon

The host picks Rendon as a plus 185 underdog, questioning Vidal's skills and calling her a 'poor woman's Priscilla Cachoeira.' He notes Rendon's athleticism, tight boxing, and straight shots down the pipe to counter Vidal's wide hooks. He worries about Vidal's grappling but believes Rendon's strength and BJJ brown belt will keep the fight standing. He predicts a decision win.

"give me run down and run down by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
No clear pick

Paul has no clear pick for this fight. He is interested in Vidal under 1.5 takedowns on PrizePicks, noting she is more of a striker and was dominated on the ground by Eileen Perez. He does not commit to a winner.

Vidal under 1.5 takedowns on PrizePicks.
"I have no idea what to do with this one... I like the less than 1.5 takedowns I feel like that's how I'm gonna get access to this fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Tamires Vidal

The MMA Guru picks Tamires Vidal to win by TKO, citing her aggression and knockout power. He criticizes Montse Rendon's late start in MMA and unimpressive regional wins, including a split decision over a 4-4 opponent. He notes Vidal's only loss is to Carol Rosa and that she is 2-0 in the UFC, showing confidence from her team. He believes Vidal's power and aggression will overwhelm Rendon.

by TKO
"I'm gonna say that Tamir es Vidal is going to absolutely destroy Montserrat Rendon with a TKO in this fight"