Career Averages - Charlie Campbell
Career Averages - Alex Reyes
Charlie Campbell
Alex Reyes
Charlie Campbell - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Nolan | 0 | 26 of 61 | 42% | 33 of 69 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Charlie Campbell | 0 | 15 of 42 | 35% | 15 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Nolan | 0 | 26 of 61 | 42% | 33 of 69 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Charlie Campbell | 0 | 15 of 42 | 35% | 15 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Nolan | 26 of 61 | 42% | 13 of 35 | 9 of 20 | 4 of 6 | 23 of 55 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Charlie Campbell | 15 of 42 | 35% | 7 of 30 | 1 of 5 | 7 of 7 | 14 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Nolan | 26 of 61 | 42% | 13 of 35 | 9 of 20 | 4 of 6 | 23 of 55 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Charlie Campbell | 15 of 42 | 35% | 7 of 30 | 1 of 5 | 7 of 7 | 14 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Nolan (-160); Campbell (+130)
Round 1
To kick off the main card, the UFC paired off a couple of strikers who have never landed a submission in their respective careers. “Big Train” Nolan (9-1, 3-1 UFC) wants to keep the Oceania train rolling tonight, and he faces a capable brawler in Campbell (9-2, 2-0 UFC) who wants to deck him in the schnoz. Before the fists fly—and they almost certainly will, in great numbers—referee Jim Perdios has to tell them it’s go time. Fists are bumped, and deep breaths are taken around the building.
Both athletes let their kicks go, seemingly trading them one after the other. They go to the body, and then the lead leg. Campbell chew up the front leg with a few heavy kicks, and he lashes out with a pair of left hands that knock Nolan off his feet. Campbell lets the Aussie up, and he walks face-first into a spinning back elbow. The momentum of Campbell pushing forward results him in inadvertently tackling Nolan to the ground, and he backs off and lets Nolan up again. Campbell goes back to attacking the front leg with a kick, and then mixing things up with one up high. Nolan jumps in the air with a knee, and Campbell intercepts him midair with a low kick. The straight punches of Campbell roped in have bloodied the nose of “Big Train,” who takes a few more shots and fires back with a vengeance. Nolan connects with a hard spinning back kick, stunning “The Cannibal” for a second.
Campbell shakes out of it, and he lets Nolan have it with offense that leads him into a clinch. Campbell breaks out of the tie-up and works the body. Patches of Nolan all over are turning red from the impact of the strikes, and Nolan does not mind one bit as he bites down on his mouthpiece and blasts Campbell in the face. Campbell in zombie mode lurches forward to attack, and Nolan drops him. When
Campbell scrambles to his feet but gives up his back, and Nolan drags him down to the floor from behind. The Aussie quickly sets up a rear-naked choke, and it is under the chin almost immediately. While Campbell thinks about toughing it out, before he loses consciousness, he surrenders.
That marks the first sub win for Nolan, and the first submission defeat for Campbell. Fighters from the area still remain undefeated tonight.
The Official Result
Tom Nolan def. Charlie Campbell R1 4:08 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo picks Tom Nolan over Charlie Campbell, believing Nolan's length, durability, and forward pressure will overcome Campbell's technical striking and leg kicks. He notes that Campbell's leg kicks require planting, which Nolan's movement will prevent. He expects a decision and suggests waiting for round line props.
Big Brady picks Charlie Campbell to win by first-round KO. He notes both fighters have power and questionable chins, but Campbell's killer instinct and Nolan's defensive flaws lead him to take the dog. He acknowledges it could go either way.
Cody takes Campbell as a dog, citing Nolan's chin issues and poor takedown defense. He notes Campbell has power and can mix in wrestling, and that Nolan's tall frame makes him vulnerable to leg kicks and overhands. He also mentions Nolan's weight cut to 155 may be a factor.
Connor also picks Nolan, agreeing that Campbell's power is inconsistent and that he doesn't set up his shots. He notes that Nolan is willing to scrap and will put pressure on Campbell, and that Campbell's tendency to fling himself into clinches will play into Nolan's hands. Connor thinks Nolan's chin is not great but good enough to withstand Campbell's power, and that Nolan's volume will win out.
James picks his friend Charlie Campbell, citing Campbell's striking ability and familiarity with Nolan from sparring. He believes Campbell has the power to knock out Nolan, who has been wobbled before. He is confident in Campbell's skills and rooting for him.
The host expects Nolan's power to come through. He thinks Nolan will counter Campbell effectively, land big shots, mix in takedowns and threaten with a front choke, but ultimately a knee or elbow will connect and put Campbell out clean.
The Guru picks Tom Nolan, citing his height and reach advantage over Charlie Campbell, as well as Nolan's momentum and development. He notes Campbell's inactivity and believes Nolan's diverse striking (spinning kicks, low kicks) will be too much. He predicts a second-round TKO.
Zane picks Nolan, reasoning that Nolan is willing to scrap and will put pressure on Campbell, sitting down in the pocket and throwing tight combinations. He notes that Nolan has clinch offense and will attack off his back if taken down. Zane thinks Campbell's power is chancy and that he doesn't set up his shots well, making him vulnerable to Nolan's volume and pressure.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Campbell | 0 | 47 of 97 | 48% | 62 of 118 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:15 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 54 of 100 | 54% | 100 of 153 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 0 | 1 | 5:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlie Campbell | 0 | 19 of 41 | 46% | 19 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:05 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 27 of 50 | 54% | 43 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 2 | Charlie Campbell | 0 | 24 of 45 | 53% | 33 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:16 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 24 of 39 | 61% | 35 of 53 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 | |
| 3 | Charlie Campbell | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 22 of 34 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 3:41 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Campbell | 47 of 97 | 48% | 32 of 77 | 6 of 11 | 9 of 9 | 34 of 81 | 10 of 11 | 3 of 5 |
| Trevor Peek | 54 of 100 | 54% | 20 of 50 | 18 of 29 | 16 of 21 | 40 of 80 | 13 of 18 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlie Campbell | 19 of 41 | 46% | 10 of 28 | 2 of 6 | 7 of 7 | 17 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Trevor Peek | 27 of 50 | 54% | 7 of 21 | 9 of 13 | 11 of 16 | 22 of 44 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Charlie Campbell | 24 of 45 | 53% | 18 of 38 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 33 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 3 |
| Trevor Peek | 24 of 39 | 61% | 11 of 20 | 9 of 15 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 29 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Charlie Campbell | 4 of 11 | 36% | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 3 of 11 | 27% | 2 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 |
Angelo picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging that Charlie Campbell is the more skilled technical fighter. He believes Peek's granite chin, high pressure, and chaotic style make him very difficult to beat. He says that Campbell cannot out-technique Peek because Peek is so crazy and in your face. Angelo notes that Peek is a 2-to-1 underdog and that based on skills alone he should be a 10-to-1 underdog, but with Peek's chin and aggression, it's a pick 'em fight. He picks the dog.
Big Brady picks Trevor Peek with no confidence, acknowledging a huge skill deficit. He notes that Campbell is the much better mixed martial artist, but Peek makes up for it with heart, durability, and toughness. He worries that Campbell may beat Peek up early but fail to finish, allowing Peek to come back and find a finish in the second round, similar to Peek's previous fights.
Cody is confident in Peek, noting his dog mentality and ability to overcome adversity. He points out Campbell's tendency to fight in the pocket and his high chin, which plays into Peek's power. Cody also highlights Peek's training at altitude with Justin Gaethje and Cory Sandhagen, which should improve his cardio. He predicts a Peek knockout, especially in the small Apex cage.
Daniel Vreeland picks Trevor Peek despite admitting bias, as he loves Peek's brawling style. He acknowledges Charlie Campbell is more technical and will likely win round one, but believes Peek can take over late if Campbell doesn't finish early. Vreeland notes Campbell is green and has been knocked out by lesser athletes like Chris Duncan, and expects Peek to rough him up against the fence and test his heart in deep waters.
Campbell is the technically better striker with good range management and patience. He learned from his loss to Duncan and now lets knockouts come to him. Peek has an iron chin and forward pressure, but Campbell can pot-shot him from distance. The fight likely goes to decision, but Campbell should outland him.
Paul picks Trevor Peek as a dog, citing his durability, pressure, and power. He notes Campbell has a reach advantage but fights with his head high and has been knocked out by Chris Duncan after dominating. Paul thinks Peek's ability to take a punch and return fire will be key, and that Peek's training camp at altitude with top guys will improve his cardio. He expects a Peek knockout.
The host praises Campbell's crispy boxing, footwork, and patience. He notes Campbell learned from getting KO'd by Chris Duncan after dominating early. He predicts Campbell will use his reach advantage, find a shot to wobble Peek, and finish with crisp one-twos. He expects a TKO win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Campbell | 0 | 14 of 38 | 36% | 15 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Alex Reyes | 1 | 43 of 72 | 59% | 43 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlie Campbell | 0 | 14 of 38 | 36% | 15 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Alex Reyes | 1 | 43 of 72 | 59% | 43 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Campbell | 14 of 38 | 36% | 8 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 32 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Alex Reyes | 43 of 72 | 59% | 27 of 53 | 10 of 13 | 6 of 6 | 35 of 60 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlie Campbell | 14 of 38 | 36% | 8 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 32 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Alex Reyes | 43 of 72 | 59% | 27 of 53 | 10 of 13 | 6 of 6 | 35 of 60 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 2 |
Angelo is confident in Charlie Campbell despite his short notice UFC debut. He highlights Campbell's technical striking, good takedown defense, and training at a high-level gym. He dismisses Campbell's knockout loss as not reflective of his skill. He notes Alex Reyes has been away for six years and is a question mark. However, he hesitates to bet at -400 due to the price on a debut fighter.
Big Brady picks Charlie Campbell due to Alex Reyes' six-year layoff and questionable improvements. He notes Campbell was close to finishing Chris Duncan on the contender series and expects him to knock out Reyes early, as Reyes was knocked out by Mike Perry in his last fight. He mentions Reyes is a solid grappler but the layoff and injuries are major concerns.
Cody picks Campbell, emphasizing Reyes's long layoff and poor performance. He notes Campbell's offensive dynamism and finishing ability. He expects an early knockout and suggests betting Campbell inside the distance.
Daniel Levi is confident in Charlie Campbell, citing the six-year layoff for Alex Reyes and the historical struggles of fighters returning from such long absences. He compares Campbell's aggressive, kill-or-be-killed style to a young Clay Collard and expects him to overwhelm Reyes with non-stop output. Levi notes that Reyes's only UFC fight ended in a first-round knockout and that his regional competition was weak.
Campbell is a minus 400 favorite with a strong striking game, particularly his calf kicks that set up his hands for knockouts. Reyes has been out for six years, is 37, and has ring rust, making it hard for him to compete at this level. I expect Campbell to beat up the lead leg, slow Reyes down, and eventually find a knockout. The fight likely doesn't go to decision, but I'm not sure about under 1.5 rounds as Campbell may need time to get going.
Paul picks Campbell, noting Reyes's six-year layoff and poor performance against Mike Perry. He believes Campbell's speed and power will lead to an early finish. He is wary of the wide line but thinks Campbell is warranted as a big favorite.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Charlie Campbell over Alex Reyes, emphasizing Reyes's six-year layoff due to injuries. He believes Campbell is a nasty striker with wicked power in the first round and predicts a first-round finish. He notes that Reyes has been out since September 2017 and is now 36 years old, making it unlikely he can handle Campbell's pressure.
Alex Reyes - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Nolan | 0 | 84 of 176 | 47% | 104 of 198 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Alex Reyes | 0 | 69 of 140 | 49% | 89 of 161 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 4:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Nolan | 0 | 23 of 62 | 37% | 25 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alex Reyes | 0 | 23 of 43 | 53% | 26 of 47 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:29 | |
| 2 | Tom Nolan | 0 | 32 of 63 | 50% | 40 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alex Reyes | 0 | 27 of 55 | 49% | 28 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:56 | |
| 3 | Tom Nolan | 0 | 29 of 51 | 56% | 39 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Alex Reyes | 0 | 19 of 42 | 45% | 35 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:51 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Nolan | 84 of 176 | 47% | 40 of 112 | 32 of 49 | 12 of 15 | 58 of 141 | 26 of 33 | 0 of 2 |
| Alex Reyes | 69 of 140 | 49% | 30 of 87 | 21 of 33 | 18 of 20 | 52 of 114 | 16 of 25 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Nolan | 23 of 62 | 37% | 10 of 40 | 10 of 19 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 51 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 2 |
| Alex Reyes | 23 of 43 | 53% | 8 of 22 | 7 of 13 | 8 of 8 | 17 of 35 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Tom Nolan | 32 of 63 | 50% | 18 of 42 | 10 of 15 | 4 of 6 | 22 of 51 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Alex Reyes | 27 of 55 | 49% | 13 of 37 | 7 of 10 | 7 of 8 | 21 of 45 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Tom Nolan | 29 of 51 | 56% | 12 of 30 | 12 of 15 | 5 of 6 | 20 of 39 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Alex Reyes | 19 of 42 | 45% | 9 of 28 | 7 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 14 of 34 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Nolan (-1350), Reyes (+800)
Round 1
The UFC knew exactly what it was doing when matching this next affair, and bettors have seen right through the charade. With odds as high as -1500, power-punching Aussie Nolan (7-1, 1-1 UFC) is largely expected to run over Reyes (13-4, 0-2 UFC) while living up to his nickname of “Big Train.” Reyes has not won a fight since 2017, although he took six years away from the sport due to an infection in his spine. This sport always surprises, and Reyes does sport a 100% finish rate on his own ledger. Before fists fly, the lightweights meet in the middle to tap them while referee Rich Mitchell watches on stoically, ready to step in at a moment’s notice. Nolan walks Reyes down right out of the gate, absorbing a body kick as he works his way forward. Reyes jabs out with his toe extended with a kick, and he chains together a few punches into another kick. Nolan backs him off with a head kick try, but Reyes comes at him with a low kick and punches. Nolan zings a spinning wheel kick on the side of the head, and Reyes frowns and kicks the body. Nolan kicks him back in the side, and he has a head kick bump off the guard. Nolan surges into attack, and Reyes times this blitz so he can take him down easily and take his back while Nolan stands. Reyes slides off the back but holds on from behind, and Nolan grabs the cage to not get pulled away from it. Nolan turns himself about in the clinch, and he gets off an elbow on the inside but is dragged to the mat. Reyes keeps one hook in, only to slide out the back door. Nolan bursts a kick out and pushes Reyes over, and he charges wildly with a knee and a few punches before the underdog ties him up again. Reyes rings him up with two punches, and Nolan gets space and sprints to jump at him with a knee. Nolan slashes out with an elbow, and the two kick at the same time. Reyes misses with a head kick, and he takes deep breaths. Nolan stomps with a kick aimed at the knee, and Reyes responds with a right hand to the body. Nolan spins but does not land anything, and the two start brawling. The overwhelming favorite gets his bell rung and he backs off, but he fires off a few strikes to keep Reyes honest. Reyes backs off and dodges a wheel kick, and he flicks out a front kick. Nolan kicks the body twice and whiffs on a spinning back fist, and he guards himself from a combination and stops a takedown with a knee up the middle. Reyes backs off to gather himself, and they kick at the same time and hit the ground. Nolan somersaults himself backwards, and when he is on his knees, Reyes drills him with a knee illegally. Mitchell sees the foul and calls time, issuing a hard warning without deducting a point. Nolan does not appear compromised, and when they get back to it, he lashes out with a jump knee as the bell rings.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Nolan
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Reyes
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Nolan
Round 2
There is a touch of gloves from the lightweights to get the second stanza going, and they do not take long to start trading. Nolan lands a few punches and sticks out a few kicks, and he twirls around to smack Reyes in the face with a back fist. Reyes gets his hands on him and clinches, and they dirty box and bang heads together as Mitchell warns them. They split apart, and Reyes darts away to avoid a spin. Nolan keeps stalking forward, letting go with a wheel kick, and Reyes is able to block it. Nolan attacks with power strikes, and Reyes stands firm and elbows him in the dome. Simultaneous kicks land, and Nolan recovers faster and sticks Reyes with a left hand that sets Reyes on his seat. Reyes jumps back up, absorbs a flush jump knee and looks for an overhand right. Nolan jabs and follows with a cross, stinging Reyes again. Reyes recovers to counter, and he even tries a spinning back fist, but it lands on the trapezius muscles. Reyes aims a one-two and is countered with a right hand, and Nolan prepares check knees to stop Reyes from considering a level change. Nolan walks through a right hand as he keeps the pressure on the underdog, cutting Reyes off and checking a low kick. Reyes grabs him and turns him to the fencing, looking for a body lock takedown and settling for trip attempts while clasping his hands from behind. Nolan spins around to break up the grip, elbowing Reyes with short strikes that bust his nose open. Reyes splits off and absorbs a hard spinning kick to his ribs, and he blocks a head kick in the nick of time. Nolan counters a right hand with a step-in knee, and he parries a body kick but takes a right hand flush. Nolan chips at the lead leg, and he spins with a back fist and checks another kick. “Big Train” stands Reyes up with a one-two, and he puts punches together as Reyes tanks them but is bloodied up. The horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Nolan
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Nolan
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Nolan
Round 3
A final glove touch opens up the last round, and Nolan is kicking early and often. Reyes throws one kick of his own before Nolan busts him in the nose with a short left. Reyes reaches his man with a looping right, but Nolan does not even register it and marches ever-forward to do damage. Nolan connects with a leg kick and blocks a high kick aimed at his direction, and he stops a takedown effort only for a body kick to land cleanly. Nolan punts Reyes in the guts, and Reyes keeps a stiff upper lip and retaliates with a big right hook. Reyes tries to slow down his man with a calf kick, only for Nolan to laugh it off and walk towards him. A short combo lands from Reyes, who blocks a body kick and eats a jump knee. Nolan lands a hard body kick, and Reyes does the same. When Nolan spins, Reyes times a takedown, and this results in Nolan setting up a brabo choke while standing. Nolan uses the submission to wrench Reyes to the floor, and lets it go when it is clear Reyes is not in imminent danger. Reyes works to his feet and pushes into a clinch, ducking under to grab Nolan from behind and lean Nolan against the fence. Nolan elbows him in the nose several times to cause blood to flow, and he turns himself around. They trade elbows from close, and their foreheads clack together. Reyes knees the body and is clipped by a spinning elbow, but he is tough as a two-dollar steak and remains in the fight. Elbows continue to land on one another until Reyes shoots, but Nolan is an Australian wall not going anywhere. With seconds to spare, Reyes lets his man have it, throwing caution to the wind with one final flurry. Nolan does the same, and they swing it out and surprisingly have fought a full 15 minutes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Nolan (30-27 Nolan)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Nolan (29-28 Nolan)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Nolan (30-27 Nolan)
The Official Result
Tom Nolan def. Alex Reyes via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Angelo is extremely confident Tom Nolan will win, calling him a -1000 favorite who should win 98% of the time. He mocks the idea of betting on Nolan at those odds sarcastically, but clearly believes Nolan will steamroll Alex Reyes, who has been out for six years with health issues and looked stiff and chinny in his return. Angelo sees no path for Reyes and considers this a mismatch.
Big Brady picks Tom Nolan to win by first-round knockout. He criticizes the matchmaking, calling it a fight that shouldn't be sanctioned, as Alex Reyes has fought only three times in seven years and hasn't won in nearly seven years. He notes Nolan is 13 years younger, has a massive height advantage, and is a huge favorite. He believes Nolan will get a vicious first-round knockout, though he acknowledges Nolan is hittable and maybe chinny, but Reyes is unlikely to knock him out.
Cody believes Nolan will win easily but is concerned about his chin after being knocked out in his debut. He notes that Reyes is 37, has fought once in seven years, and has been knocked out in the first round in his last two fights. Cody expects a first-round finish but says the price is too high to bet.
Daniel Vreeland picks Tom Nolan to win by first-round knockout, noting that Reyes is a washed-up fighter who doesn't belong in the UFC. He acknowledges Nolan's defensive lapses but believes the matchup is predatory and that Nolan will finish early.
The host is confident in Nolan, citing his size, striking, and youth. He notes Nolan's knockout power and knee up the middle, while dismissing Reyes as past his prime and on a losing streak. He expects a first-round knockout, but warns against betting the heavy chalk due to volatility.
Paul agrees that Nolan should win easily, calling Reyes a 'freebie fight' for the UFC to build Nolan up. He notes Nolan's size and youth advantage, and that Reyes has been inactive and knocked out recently. Paul says Nolan is the pick but the price is ludicrous.
The MMA Guru picks Tom Nolan over Alex Reyes. He notes that Reyes is 37 years old, coming off a KO loss to Charlie Campbell after a long layoff, and has had many injuries. He contrasts Reyes' career timeline, starting his pro career in 2007, with Nolan's debut in 2020, calling Reyes a different generation. He acknowledges Nolan has a chin issue but believes his length and youth will prevail. He expects Nolan to win via KO or decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Campbell | 0 | 14 of 38 | 36% | 15 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Alex Reyes | 1 | 43 of 72 | 59% | 43 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlie Campbell | 0 | 14 of 38 | 36% | 15 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Alex Reyes | 1 | 43 of 72 | 59% | 43 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Campbell | 14 of 38 | 36% | 8 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 32 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Alex Reyes | 43 of 72 | 59% | 27 of 53 | 10 of 13 | 6 of 6 | 35 of 60 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlie Campbell | 14 of 38 | 36% | 8 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 32 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Alex Reyes | 43 of 72 | 59% | 27 of 53 | 10 of 13 | 6 of 6 | 35 of 60 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 2 |
Angelo is confident in Charlie Campbell despite his short notice UFC debut. He highlights Campbell's technical striking, good takedown defense, and training at a high-level gym. He dismisses Campbell's knockout loss as not reflective of his skill. He notes Alex Reyes has been away for six years and is a question mark. However, he hesitates to bet at -400 due to the price on a debut fighter.
Big Brady picks Charlie Campbell due to Alex Reyes' six-year layoff and questionable improvements. He notes Campbell was close to finishing Chris Duncan on the contender series and expects him to knock out Reyes early, as Reyes was knocked out by Mike Perry in his last fight. He mentions Reyes is a solid grappler but the layoff and injuries are major concerns.
Cody picks Campbell, emphasizing Reyes's long layoff and poor performance. He notes Campbell's offensive dynamism and finishing ability. He expects an early knockout and suggests betting Campbell inside the distance.
Daniel Levi is confident in Charlie Campbell, citing the six-year layoff for Alex Reyes and the historical struggles of fighters returning from such long absences. He compares Campbell's aggressive, kill-or-be-killed style to a young Clay Collard and expects him to overwhelm Reyes with non-stop output. Levi notes that Reyes's only UFC fight ended in a first-round knockout and that his regional competition was weak.
Campbell is a minus 400 favorite with a strong striking game, particularly his calf kicks that set up his hands for knockouts. Reyes has been out for six years, is 37, and has ring rust, making it hard for him to compete at this level. I expect Campbell to beat up the lead leg, slow Reyes down, and eventually find a knockout. The fight likely doesn't go to decision, but I'm not sure about under 1.5 rounds as Campbell may need time to get going.
Paul picks Campbell, noting Reyes's six-year layoff and poor performance against Mike Perry. He believes Campbell's speed and power will lead to an early finish. He is wary of the wide line but thinks Campbell is warranted as a big favorite.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Charlie Campbell over Alex Reyes, emphasizing Reyes's six-year layoff due to injuries. He believes Campbell is a nasty striker with wicked power in the first round and predicts a first-round finish. He notes that Reyes has been out since September 2017 and is now 36 years old, making it unlikely he can handle Campbell's pressure.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Perry | 1 | 11 of 18 | 61% | 11 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Alex Reyes | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Perry | 1 | 11 of 18 | 61% | 11 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Alex Reyes | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Perry | 11 of 18 | 61% | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 11 | 6 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
| Alex Reyes | 6 of 13 | 46% | 1 of 7 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Perry | 11 of 18 | 61% | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 11 | 6 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
| Alex Reyes | 6 of 13 | 46% | 1 of 7 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo is confident in Charlie Campbell despite his short notice UFC debut. He highlights Campbell's technical striking, good takedown defense, and training at a high-level gym. He dismisses Campbell's knockout loss as not reflective of his skill. He notes Alex Reyes has been away for six years and is a question mark. However, he hesitates to bet at -400 due to the price on a debut fighter.
Big Brady picks Charlie Campbell due to Alex Reyes' six-year layoff and questionable improvements. He notes Campbell was close to finishing Chris Duncan on the contender series and expects him to knock out Reyes early, as Reyes was knocked out by Mike Perry in his last fight. He mentions Reyes is a solid grappler but the layoff and injuries are major concerns.
Cody picks Campbell, emphasizing Reyes's long layoff and poor performance. He notes Campbell's offensive dynamism and finishing ability. He expects an early knockout and suggests betting Campbell inside the distance.
Daniel Levi is confident in Charlie Campbell, citing the six-year layoff for Alex Reyes and the historical struggles of fighters returning from such long absences. He compares Campbell's aggressive, kill-or-be-killed style to a young Clay Collard and expects him to overwhelm Reyes with non-stop output. Levi notes that Reyes's only UFC fight ended in a first-round knockout and that his regional competition was weak.
Campbell is a minus 400 favorite with a strong striking game, particularly his calf kicks that set up his hands for knockouts. Reyes has been out for six years, is 37, and has ring rust, making it hard for him to compete at this level. I expect Campbell to beat up the lead leg, slow Reyes down, and eventually find a knockout. The fight likely doesn't go to decision, but I'm not sure about under 1.5 rounds as Campbell may need time to get going.
Paul picks Campbell, noting Reyes's six-year layoff and poor performance against Mike Perry. He believes Campbell's speed and power will lead to an early finish. He is wary of the wide line but thinks Campbell is warranted as a big favorite.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Charlie Campbell over Alex Reyes, emphasizing Reyes's six-year layoff due to injuries. He believes Campbell is a nasty striker with wicked power in the first round and predicts a first-round finish. He notes that Reyes has been out since September 2017 and is now 36 years old, making it unlikely he can handle Campbell's pressure.
**Pick:** Tom Nolan (Unanimous, but hesitant) **Analysis:** This is a 'bottom of the barrel pick 'em' between two raw fighters. Charlie Campbell is an athlete with some power, but lacks technical depth, combinations, and a real plan. Tom Nolan is less athletic but a harder 'scrapper' who will engage in the clinch and throw tight punches in the pocket. Unless Campbell lands a big, chancy knockout shot early, Nolan's willingness to scrap and apply pressure will win him the fight. **Props:** No specific props were mentioned.
**Pick:** Tom Nolan (slight lean) **Analysis:** This is a very close fight, but leaning towards Nolan due to his constant improvement, home-field advantage in Australia, and his awkward, long (6'3') fighting style that Campbell hasn't faced before. Both fighters may have durability issues, but Nolan's unique style gives him the edge. **Props:** No specific props were mentioned.
**Pick:** Charlie Campbell **Analysis:** Taking a shot on the underdog, citing Tom Nolan's questionable chin and struggles when pressured. Nolan has been knocked out before and was dropped in his fight against Victor Martinez. Campbell has enough power to potentially knock Nolan out and could also have a wrestling advantage, given Nolan's performance against Alex Reyes. **Props:** No specific props were mentioned.