vs
-115 +105
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · Sep 10, 2023 · Catchweight (149.75 lb) · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland Next Fight
Age 36
Height 5' 11"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 32
Height 5' 8"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Gabriel Miranda
3.23 SLpM
43.0% Str. Acc.
6.01 SApM
37.0% Str. Def.
4.75 TD Avg
38.0% TD Acc.
0.0% TD Def.
1.9 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Shane Young
5.19 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
5.46 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
0.63 TD Avg
18.0% TD Acc.
64.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Gabriel Miranda
Moneyline
BetMGM -115
KO/TKO
FanDuel +1000
Submission
BetWay +210
Decision
BetMGM +650
Shane Young
Moneyline
Caesars +105
KO/TKO
BetRivers +350
Submission
FanDuel +1500
Decision
BetRivers +285
Gabriel Miranda - Fight History
LOSS vs Jamall Emmers
KO R1 4:06 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · Mar 29, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jamall Emmers 2 33 of 54 61% 35 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:49
Gabriel Miranda 0 18 of 35 51% 20 of 37 2 of 4 50% 1 0 1:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jamall Emmers 2 33 of 54 61% 35 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:49
Gabriel Miranda 0 18 of 35 51% 20 of 37 2 of 4 50% 1 0 1:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jamall Emmers 33 of 54 61% 24 of 45 7 of 7 2 of 2 26 of 47 3 of 3 4 of 4
Gabriel Miranda 18 of 35 51% 10 of 24 5 of 7 3 of 4 16 of 32 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jamall Emmers 33 of 54 61% 24 of 45 7 of 7 2 of 2 26 of 47 3 of 3 4 of 4
Gabriel Miranda 18 of 35 51% 10 of 24 5 of 7 3 of 4 16 of 32 2 of 3 0 of 0
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jamall Emmers

Connor picks Emmers, noting his solid boxing and wrestling base. He thinks Miranda's gambit style of sacrificing everything for a submission is unlikely to work against a competent fighter like Emmers. He compares Miranda to Derek Minter and Terence McKinney, noting that his best wins are against cans.

"I still gotta pick him to beat Gabriel Miranda. Miranda is a gambit fighter... when it does not work it does not work catastrophically."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jamall Emmers

Zane picks Emmers, agreeing that Miranda's all-or-nothing submission hunting is unlikely to succeed. He notes that Miranda has been shown up by higher-level fighters like Benoit Saint-Denis and Morgan Charrière. Zane thinks Emmers is underrated and should win comfortably.

"I'm picking Jamall Emmers. Unfortunate getting nuked by Nate Landwehr aside, I still do believe he's one of the most underrated fighters."
KO (punch) R2 0:27 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · Sep 28, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Morgan Charrière 1 19 of 28 67% 28 of 37 2 of 2 100% 0 1 2:12
Gabriel Miranda 0 11 of 38 28% 17 of 45 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Morgan Charrière 0 16 of 24 66% 25 of 33 2 of 2 100% 0 1 2:10
Gabriel Miranda 0 10 of 33 30% 16 of 40 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:07
2 Morgan Charrière 1 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Gabriel Miranda 0 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Morgan Charrière 19 of 28 67% 15 of 23 1 of 1 3 of 4 10 of 17 2 of 3 7 of 8
Gabriel Miranda 11 of 38 28% 7 of 23 3 of 11 1 of 4 9 of 34 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Morgan Charrière 16 of 24 66% 13 of 20 1 of 1 2 of 3 9 of 15 1 of 2 6 of 7
Gabriel Miranda 10 of 33 30% 7 of 21 3 of 10 0 of 2 8 of 29 2 of 4 0 of 0
2 Morgan Charrière 3 of 4 75% 2 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1
Gabriel Miranda 1 of 5 20% 0 of 2 0 of 1 1 of 2 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 22, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Morgan Charrière

Angelo is very confident in Morgan Charrière. He praises Charrière's explosive striking, takedown defense, cardio, and scrambles. He believes Charrière will dominate, as Miranda is a one-dimensional BJJ specialist who is comfortable on his back but will get outstruck and controlled.

"Morgan's going to be the pick and pretty confident pick at that... I expect him to absolutely dominate in this matchup."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Morgan Charrière

Big Brady picks Morgan Charrière by second-round knockout, noting Miranda is a round-one submission threat but has poor takedown defense and is stepping in on short notice. He expects Charrière's superior striking and grappling to overwhelm Miranda, dropping him and finishing him in the second round.

Charrière by second round knockout
"it's going be Shier second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Cody passes on betting the moneyline due to Charrière's high price (-700) and his history of close decisions. He notes Charrière's low volume and tendency to leave fights to the judges. He might look at props but doesn't have a strong pick.

"it's a dogger pass for me probably a pass on the money line but I'll be looking at some props"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Morgan Charrière

Connor picks Charrière because he believes Charrière's improved aggression and takedown defense will be too much for Miranda, who is a one-dimensional grappler. He notes that Charrière has never been submitted and has only lost close decisions, while Miranda tends to give up position in pursuit of submissions. Connor points out that Miranda's striking is poor and his path to victory is narrow, while Charrière should be able to outwork him over three rounds.

Odds: Charrière -671, Miranda +494. Connor expresses surprise at the odds, noting Charrière should not be the biggest favorite on the card.
"It should be a really good bounce back for him."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Morgan Charrière

Daniel Vreeland picks Morgan Charrière to win by knockout. He believes Charrière is a better striker with good durability and cardio, while Miranda is a first-round finisher who fades. He thinks Charrière will stuff takedowns and land a body kick or other strike to finish Miranda.

wins by KO
"I think Shy's gonna knock him out personally I think the body Kick's gonna be money"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Morgan Charrière

JP picks Morgan Charrière because he thinks Charrière is better everywhere and has fought better competition. He notes Miranda is a submission specialist but Charrière is better on the ground and feet. He also jokes about Miranda's mustache and age (34). He expects Charrière to win easily.

"Shier he's just better everywhere uh better on on the ground better on the feet I think I like Shier a lot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Morgan Charrière

Paul picks Charrière to win but acknowledges the price is too high. He notes Charrière's durability and power, and Miranda's susceptibility to submissions. However, he warns that Charrière's low volume and close decision history make -700 a terrible bet. He expects Charrière to win but not at that price.

"Shier wins but minus 700 my God... he's the play no doubt he's the play at what stage do you put them"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Morgan Charrière

The MMA Guru picks Morgan Charrière over Gabriel Miranda, noting Charrière's good performances against Paul Hughes and Venik. He criticizes Miranda's age (34) and lack of quality wins. He predicts a TKO win for Charrière.

TKO
"I'm going to go with Morgan sharier getting this one done by TKO I'm going to say TKO for sharer"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Morgan Charrière

Zane picks Charrière because he sees Miranda as a limited fighter who relies on early submissions and has poor striking. He notes that Charrière has good takedown defense and has never been submitted, making Miranda's main threat ineffective. Zane also points out that Charrière's recent loss to Chepe Mariscal was a close fight where he showed improvement, and he should be able to handle Miranda's pressure. He believes Charrière will win a decision or possibly finish Miranda late.

Odds: Charrière -671, Miranda +494. Zane agrees the odds are high but notes Charrière is capable of losing close fights.
"It's very difficult to envision Miranda's path to victory."
WIN vs Shane Young
Technical Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 0:59 · UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · Sep 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabriel Miranda 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shane Young 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabriel Miranda 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shane Young 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabriel Miranda 1 of 4 25% 0 of 2 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shane Young 2 of 6 33% 0 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 2 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabriel Miranda 1 of 4 25% 0 of 2 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shane Young 2 of 6 33% 0 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 2 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Shane Young

Angelo picks Shane Young because he trusts his cardio and takedown defense. He notes that Shane looked stiff in his last fight after a layoff but defended six takedowns before giving one up. The ground gap is big if Gabriel gets it to the mat, but Angelo thinks Shane's takedown defense should hold up.

"The pick is going to be Shane only because I do trust his cardio and I think the takedown defense should be there"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Shane Young

Big Brady picks Shane Young but is hesitant due to the price. He notes Miranda's early success but fades quickly, and Young's takedown defense should keep it standing. He thinks Young's striking is superior and will pick apart Miranda as the fight goes on. He predicts a second-round knockout.

bet Miranda in first round if you like him
"I like Shane Young striking here and I like him to win this fight down the stretch"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Gabriel Miranda

Cody picks Miranda as a value underdog, noting that Young is a limited kickboxer with poor takedown defense. He believes Miranda's grappling and size advantage will be the difference, and that he can win by submission or decision. Cody sees this as a dog pick and likes the plus money.

"this to me ends up being one of the dog picks this week Gabriel Miranda"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Shane Young

Daniel Levi picks Shane Young confidently, citing his durability, cardio, and high volume. He notes that Miranda has never won a decision and tends to wilt in later rounds. Levi believes if Miranda doesn't submit Young in the first round, Young will take over and win by decision. He references Young's ability to survive against top competition like Volkanovski.

Odds mentioned: Young minus 170, Miranda plus 145.
"If he doesn't submit Shane Young in the first round then there's absolutely no chance of him winning."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Sep 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Shane Young

Lucrative James thinks Shane Young will win but is not confident enough to bet at the current juice. He notes Young often goes to decision and doesn't push pace anymore, while Miranda fights like a madman and could force a finish. James considered the 'doesn't go to decision' prop at -170 but didn't like the odds. He mentions Young decision at +200 as not bad, but overall he doesn't have a great read on the fight.

Mentions 'doesn't go to decision' prop at -170 (dislikes), Young decision at +200 (not bad).
"I do think he's gonna win... I can't really bet young at juice even though I think he's gonna win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Shane Young

Shane Young is on a three-fight losing streak but faces Gabriel Miranda who has poor gas tank management and tends to fade after the first round. Miranda is aggressive early but if he doesn't secure a submission, he gasses and Young will have target practice. Young should avoid early grappling onslaught and finish in the first or second round. The fight doesn't go to decision is a favorite spot.

under 1.5 rounds at +165, fight doesn't go to decision
"I love the plus money I think it was plus 165 that we were getting on the under one and a half but I also really like the fight doesn't go to decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Gabriel Miranda

Paul picks Miranda, agreeing that Young is uninspiring and that Miranda's grappling should be the key. He notes that Miranda had a tough debut but should be better with a full camp at 145. Paul believes Miranda can get takedowns and control the fight.

"I think it's dogger pass Gabriel Miranda for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Gabriel Miranda

The MMA Guru picks Gabriel Miranda over Shane Young, citing that Young is one of the weaker members of the City Kickboxing team. He notes that Miranda showed heart in his debut loss to Benoit Saint-Denis and has a good ground game, with submissions in the first round. He believes Miranda's grappling will be a problem for Young, who has historically struggled when opponents mix in grappling. He predicts Miranda will secure a rear-naked choke in the second round.

submission in round 2
"I'm gonna have to go against Shane Young when it comes to Gabriel Miranda"
TKO (punches) R2 0:16 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · Sep 03, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Benoît Saint Denis 3 42 of 67 62% 81 of 110 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:17
Gabriel Miranda 0 20 of 37 54% 33 of 53 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Benoît Saint Denis 2 35 of 56 62% 74 of 99 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:14
Gabriel Miranda 0 18 of 34 52% 31 of 50 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:20
2 Benoît Saint Denis 1 7 of 11 63% 7 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Gabriel Miranda 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Benoît Saint Denis 42 of 67 62% 35 of 59 5 of 6 2 of 2 24 of 43 2 of 2 16 of 22
Gabriel Miranda 20 of 37 54% 13 of 30 7 of 7 0 of 0 17 of 34 3 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Benoît Saint Denis 35 of 56 62% 29 of 49 5 of 6 1 of 1 20 of 35 2 of 2 13 of 19
Gabriel Miranda 18 of 34 52% 11 of 27 7 of 7 0 of 0 15 of 31 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Benoît Saint Denis 7 of 11 63% 6 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 8 0 of 0 3 of 3
Gabriel Miranda 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 27, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Benoît Saint Denis

Angelo picks Benoît Saint Denis because he is the better MMA fighter and has good wrestling and top pressure. He warns that Benoît should avoid going to the ground with Miranda, who is a slick BJJ guy. He hopes Benoît keeps it standing and uses elbows from top if it goes to the ground. No bets on this fight yet.

"benoit denise is the pick no bets on this fight at this point"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Benoît Saint Denis

Big Brady picks Benoît Saint Denis to win by finish in the second round. He notes that Miranda is dangerous early with submissions but gasses after the first round, and Saint Denis can weather the storm and take over. He expects Saint Denis to eventually finish Miranda via TKO or submission once Miranda tires.

second round finish
"i think saint denis wins this fight in that second round though"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Benoît Saint Denis

Cody picks Benoît Saint Denis confidently, citing his durability, wrestling, and pressure. He notes that Gabriel Miranda has a padded record with wins over low-level competition and has never faced anyone near Saint Denis's level. Saint Denis is a strong grappler with good cardio, and Miranda's only path is a submission off his back, which is unlikely. Cody likes the over 1.5 rounds prop and believes Saint Denis will dominate.

Over 1.5 rounds
"Got to be benoit saying to me right does the minus 275 seem a little bit deep for benoit st tony yeah it does but yeah i think you got to pay to play."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Benoît Saint Denis

Daniel Levi is confident in Benoît Saint Denis, citing his toughness and size advantage. He notes that Miranda is too small for lightweight and that Saint Denis will likely dominate with wrestling and pressure. He expects Saint Denis to cover the -285 price.

"I think he's gonna get him out of there and I think he covers his price tag"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Benoît Saint Denis

The host is confident in Benoît Saint Denis due to his relentless pace, cardio, and finishing ability. He notes that both fighters are early finishers, but Saint Denis's superior cardio will allow him to outlast Miranda, who tends to fade after the first round. He expects a finish in the second or third round.

fight doesn't go to decision (minus 240), under 1.5 rounds (minus 125)
"Give me Bono saying to me probably by second or third round finish."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Benoît Saint Denis

Paul also picks Benoît Saint Denis, agreeing with Cody. He highlights Saint Denis's durability and grappling, and notes that Miranda's record is suspicious. Paul is concerned about the -275 price but thinks Saint Denis should win, possibly by submission.

"Benoit saint denis for the uh victory here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 29, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Benoît Saint Denis

The MMA Guru picks Benoît Saint Denis over Gabriel Miranda, despite some worry about Miranda's cardio from MMA Masters. He believes Saint Denis is strong for the division and will use his stockier build to overpower Miranda, who is tall and lanky. He predicts Saint Denis will get a submission win in the first round by throwing Miranda around.

Saint Denis wins by submission in round 1
"i'm going to be going with uh bunwar st denise i do worry about this pick though i'll be honest with you guys"
Shane Young - Fight History
LOSS vs Gabriel Miranda
Technical Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 0:59 · UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · Sep 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabriel Miranda 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shane Young 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabriel Miranda 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shane Young 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabriel Miranda 1 of 4 25% 0 of 2 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shane Young 2 of 6 33% 0 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 2 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabriel Miranda 1 of 4 25% 0 of 2 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shane Young 2 of 6 33% 0 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 2 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Shane Young

Angelo picks Shane Young because he trusts his cardio and takedown defense. He notes that Shane looked stiff in his last fight after a layoff but defended six takedowns before giving one up. The ground gap is big if Gabriel gets it to the mat, but Angelo thinks Shane's takedown defense should hold up.

"The pick is going to be Shane only because I do trust his cardio and I think the takedown defense should be there"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Shane Young

Big Brady picks Shane Young but is hesitant due to the price. He notes Miranda's early success but fades quickly, and Young's takedown defense should keep it standing. He thinks Young's striking is superior and will pick apart Miranda as the fight goes on. He predicts a second-round knockout.

bet Miranda in first round if you like him
"I like Shane Young striking here and I like him to win this fight down the stretch"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Gabriel Miranda

Cody picks Miranda as a value underdog, noting that Young is a limited kickboxer with poor takedown defense. He believes Miranda's grappling and size advantage will be the difference, and that he can win by submission or decision. Cody sees this as a dog pick and likes the plus money.

"this to me ends up being one of the dog picks this week Gabriel Miranda"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Shane Young

Daniel Levi picks Shane Young confidently, citing his durability, cardio, and high volume. He notes that Miranda has never won a decision and tends to wilt in later rounds. Levi believes if Miranda doesn't submit Young in the first round, Young will take over and win by decision. He references Young's ability to survive against top competition like Volkanovski.

Odds mentioned: Young minus 170, Miranda plus 145.
"If he doesn't submit Shane Young in the first round then there's absolutely no chance of him winning."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Sep 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Shane Young

Lucrative James thinks Shane Young will win but is not confident enough to bet at the current juice. He notes Young often goes to decision and doesn't push pace anymore, while Miranda fights like a madman and could force a finish. James considered the 'doesn't go to decision' prop at -170 but didn't like the odds. He mentions Young decision at +200 as not bad, but overall he doesn't have a great read on the fight.

Mentions 'doesn't go to decision' prop at -170 (dislikes), Young decision at +200 (not bad).
"I do think he's gonna win... I can't really bet young at juice even though I think he's gonna win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Shane Young

Shane Young is on a three-fight losing streak but faces Gabriel Miranda who has poor gas tank management and tends to fade after the first round. Miranda is aggressive early but if he doesn't secure a submission, he gasses and Young will have target practice. Young should avoid early grappling onslaught and finish in the first or second round. The fight doesn't go to decision is a favorite spot.

under 1.5 rounds at +165, fight doesn't go to decision
"I love the plus money I think it was plus 165 that we were getting on the under one and a half but I also really like the fight doesn't go to decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Gabriel Miranda

Paul picks Miranda, agreeing that Young is uninspiring and that Miranda's grappling should be the key. He notes that Miranda had a tough debut but should be better with a full camp at 145. Paul believes Miranda can get takedowns and control the fight.

"I think it's dogger pass Gabriel Miranda for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Gabriel Miranda

The MMA Guru picks Gabriel Miranda over Shane Young, citing that Young is one of the weaker members of the City Kickboxing team. He notes that Miranda showed heart in his debut loss to Benoit Saint-Denis and has a good ground game, with submissions in the first round. He believes Miranda's grappling will be a problem for Young, who has historically struggled when opponents mix in grappling. He predicts Miranda will secure a rear-naked choke in the second round.

submission in round 2
"I'm gonna have to go against Shane Young when it comes to Gabriel Miranda"
LOSS vs Blake Bilder
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · Feb 12, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Blake Bilder 0 80 of 196 40% 81 of 197 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:03
Shane Young 0 111 of 190 58% 126 of 206 1 of 7 14% 0 0 1:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Blake Bilder 0 16 of 30 53% 16 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shane Young 0 19 of 33 57% 27 of 42 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:43
2 Blake Bilder 0 27 of 66 40% 28 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Shane Young 0 37 of 54 68% 37 of 54 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Blake Bilder 0 37 of 100 37% 37 of 100 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Shane Young 0 55 of 103 53% 62 of 110 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Blake Bilder 80 of 196 40% 42 of 151 21 of 28 17 of 17 79 of 194 1 of 2 0 of 0
Shane Young 111 of 190 58% 62 of 134 11 of 17 38 of 39 107 of 182 3 of 5 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Blake Bilder 16 of 30 53% 3 of 17 7 of 7 6 of 6 16 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shane Young 19 of 33 57% 8 of 22 1 of 1 10 of 10 18 of 30 0 of 0 1 of 3
2 Blake Bilder 27 of 66 40% 15 of 49 8 of 13 4 of 4 26 of 65 1 of 1 0 of 0
Shane Young 37 of 54 68% 15 of 27 6 of 10 16 of 17 35 of 51 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Blake Bilder 37 of 100 37% 24 of 85 6 of 8 7 of 7 37 of 99 0 of 1 0 of 0
Shane Young 55 of 103 53% 39 of 85 4 of 6 12 of 12 54 of 101 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Blake Bilder

Angelo picks Blake Bilder, believing his aggressive grappling will be too much for Shane Young, who is returning after a layoff and losses. He notes that Young is a solid striker but likely cannot keep the fight standing against Bilder's takedowns. He compares the situation to Al Iaquinta vs Bobby Green, suggesting Young is on the card for hometown reasons rather than a career resurgence.

"Blake is definitely gonna be the pick here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Shane Young

Big Brady is not a big fan of this matchup from a betting perspective. He likes Young's pressure and volume, and thinks Young can stuff takedowns and be the better striker. However, he notes Bilder is dangerous on the ground and leaves openings. He picks Young by decision but with low confidence.

"I'm gonna take Shane Young For the Win I don't feel that great about it"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Blake Bilder

Cody picks Bilder as an underdog, citing his power, athleticism, and aggression. He notes Young has looked disinterested and lacks physicality, while Bilder is a wild man who can knock people out or submit them. He thinks Young's two-year layoff and poor recent performances are concerning. He likes the fight doesn't go to decision prop.

fight doesn't go to decision at -125
"I will go with the underdog here plus 115 nothing nothing sexy here on Blake Builder"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Feb 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Blake Bilder

Connor picks Bilder, believing that despite his passive style and awkward defense, he is a great athlete who can take Young's back at some point. He notes that Young has a habit of drifting out of fights when pressured, and that Bilder's athleticism and ability to capitalize on mistakes could lead to a win. However, Connor is not confident because Bilder's game is very limited.

"I'll stick with Builders. We'll just keep it interesting, I guess."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Shane Young

Young is the crisper striker with better movement and takedown defense. Bilder's path to victory is grappling, but Young's improving takedown defense and ability to get back up will keep the fight standing. Young's speed and precision will allow him to land combinations and eventually find a knockout. Bilder has been hurt in fights before. Young, returning after a layoff, will want to make a statement. Expect a second-round KO.

"I do like the Shane Young side here I do think that he's a good spot to go out there and get a win even a knockout Victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Blake Bilder

Paul agrees with Cody, adding that he took the fight doesn't go to decision at -125. He notes Bilder is a wrecking ball and Young has never been impressive. He thinks the fight will be high volatility and likely end inside the distance.

fight doesn't go to decision at -125
"I'm gonna add actually the the fight doesn't go to the decision I see a minus 125 out there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Blake Bilder

The MMA Guru picks Blake Bilder over Shane Young, citing Young's poor performances and long layoff. He believes Bilder's momentum from the contender series and his experience will lead to a first-round finish. He notes Young has let him down too many times.

first round finish
"I'm going to be going with Blake Builder here over Shane Young getting some kind of finish in the first round"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Feb 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Shane Young

Zane picks Young, citing that Bilder is a passive fighter who starts slow and doesn't do much, allowing opponents to crush him. He notes that Young has a nice off-speed boxing game and can land power shots. However, Zane is hesitant because Young can shut down when he feels physicality he isn't prepared for, and Bilder is a great athlete who could win by accident.

"I'll stick with the young pick. I'll, I want Shane Young to be better than you."
LOSS vs Omar Morales
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou 2 · Mar 27, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Omar Morales 0 46 of 105 43% 59 of 120 1 of 5 20% 0 0 3:26
Shane Young 0 69 of 144 47% 74 of 150 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Omar Morales 0 8 of 14 57% 8 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:37
Shane Young 0 7 of 14 50% 11 of 19 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:46
2 Omar Morales 0 18 of 37 48% 18 of 37 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:38
Shane Young 0 28 of 61 45% 28 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
3 Omar Morales 0 20 of 54 37% 33 of 69 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:11
Shane Young 0 34 of 69 49% 35 of 70 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Omar Morales 46 of 105 43% 17 of 65 19 of 26 10 of 14 40 of 99 6 of 6 0 of 0
Shane Young 69 of 144 47% 48 of 120 7 of 10 14 of 14 59 of 133 9 of 10 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Omar Morales 8 of 14 57% 2 of 5 3 of 4 3 of 5 5 of 11 3 of 3 0 of 0
Shane Young 7 of 14 50% 2 of 9 4 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 10 3 of 3 1 of 1
2 Omar Morales 18 of 37 48% 5 of 20 9 of 11 4 of 6 17 of 36 1 of 1 0 of 0
Shane Young 28 of 61 45% 19 of 50 2 of 4 7 of 7 27 of 59 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Omar Morales 20 of 54 37% 10 of 40 7 of 11 3 of 3 18 of 52 2 of 2 0 of 0
Shane Young 34 of 69 49% 27 of 61 1 of 2 6 of 6 29 of 64 5 of 5 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Big Brady picks Omar Morales to win by second-round knockout, likely via head kick. He notes Morales' power and body kicks, and that Young is very hittable with poor striking defense (56% striking defense, absorbs 5.15 strikes per minute). He references Young's last fight where he was hurt by a head kick. He believes Morales is levels above Young technically and will put him away.

Morales by KO round 2; head kick finish
"i'm going to take home morales i'm going to say second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Shane Young

Cody leans towards Young as an underdog, noting that Morales is 35 and may have peaked. He thinks Young's volume and pace could be key, and that Morales was hesitant in his last fight. He is tentatively picking Young for the parlay, but is not fully confident.

"i'm gonna pencil in shane young tentatively"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Omar Morales

The host is confident in Omar Morales to win by second-round KO. He notes Morales' power, pressure, and durability, and believes Shane Young will struggle with Morales' ferocity and size. He compares Young's losses to fighters who pressured him, like Volkanovski and Ludovit Klein, and expects Morales to do the same. He calls Morales his 'strongest lean' on the card and thinks he will overwhelm Young with strikes and possibly a takedown.

"I'll take him by second round ko... probably my strongest lean on this card"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Shane Young

Paul also leans towards Young, citing Morales' poor game plan against Giga Chikadze and his reluctance to wrestle. He thinks Young's pressure and cardio could be too much for Morales, who has shown low volume. He is not fully confident but likes the underdog value.

"i'm gonna take shane young for the time being"
LOSS vs Ľudovít Klein
KO (head kick and punches) R1 1:16 · UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · Sep 27, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ľudovít Klein 0 4 of 7 57% 4 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shane Young 1 9 of 13 69% 9 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ľudovít Klein 0 4 of 7 57% 4 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Shane Young 1 9 of 13 69% 9 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ľudovít Klein 4 of 7 57% 0 of 0 1 of 3 3 of 4 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shane Young 9 of 13 69% 6 of 10 3 of 3 0 of 0 8 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ľudovít Klein 4 of 7 57% 0 of 0 1 of 3 3 of 4 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Shane Young 9 of 13 69% 6 of 10 3 of 3 0 of 0 8 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Big Brady is high on Klein, impressed by his head kicks and power. He thinks Young is too hittable and doesn't play defense, making him vulnerable to a head kick knockout. He notes Klein is an underdog but looks legit, and the line has moved in his favor.

Klein by second-round knockout; underdog pick; line movement
"give me a i'm going to say second round uh klein knockout here i think he's the better fighter he is an underdog too"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Daniel Levi picks Ľudovít Klein, praising his southpaw style, jab, body shots, and signature high kick. He believes Klein's takedown defense and ability to get back up are good, and that Shane Young's iron chin and forward pressure will eventually be his downfall as Klein finds an opening for a knockout. He notes Klein is the first Slovakian UFC fighter.

"i think eventually ludovic klein will find that opening for that high kick and i think he's going to come out here and knock him out so shout out to anyone that took the dog money on ludovic klein"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

The host picks Ľudovít Klein, citing his higher output, cleaner striking, and recent activity compared to Shane Young. He believes Klein's aggressiveness will be key and that Young's confidence may falter if he can't establish his game early. He predicts a second-round KO for Klein.

under 2.5 rounds (-115)
"I do like klein to win this fight i'm going to say by second round finish but the under two and a half is probably the most intriguing spot."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

The MMA Guru picks Ľudovít Klein because he is the number two guy out of Eastern Europe, a tough region, and Klein has a more aggressive style. He notes Klein is naturally bigger, fought at lightweight before, and has been active in 2020, while Shane Young hasn't fought since February 2019. He believes Klein is a live dog and could win by finish, possibly a head kick KO.

Klein is a live dog, could be evens odds, win by finish (head kick and punches)
"i'm gonna be going with ludovic klein coming in on short notice because it basically isn't really short notice"
WIN vs Austin Arnett
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · Feb 10, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Shane Young 1 120 of 308 38% 121 of 309 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:17
Austin Arnett 0 77 of 209 36% 78 of 210 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Shane Young 0 39 of 108 36% 40 of 109 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Austin Arnett 0 21 of 65 32% 21 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Shane Young 0 41 of 94 43% 41 of 94 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
Austin Arnett 0 30 of 72 41% 31 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Shane Young 1 40 of 106 37% 40 of 106 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Austin Arnett 0 26 of 72 36% 26 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Shane Young 120 of 308 38% 69 of 237 32 of 46 19 of 25 119 of 307 1 of 1 0 of 0
Austin Arnett 77 of 209 36% 72 of 201 3 of 6 2 of 2 76 of 208 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Shane Young 39 of 108 36% 19 of 80 12 of 19 8 of 9 38 of 107 1 of 1 0 of 0
Austin Arnett 21 of 65 32% 19 of 62 2 of 3 0 of 0 21 of 65 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Shane Young 41 of 94 43% 22 of 70 11 of 15 8 of 9 41 of 94 0 of 0 0 of 0
Austin Arnett 30 of 72 41% 27 of 67 1 of 3 2 of 2 29 of 71 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Shane Young 40 of 106 37% 28 of 87 9 of 12 3 of 7 40 of 106 0 of 0 0 of 0
Austin Arnett 26 of 72 36% 26 of 72 0 of 0 0 of 0 26 of 72 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Rolando Dy
TKO (elbow and punches) R2 4:40 · UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · Jun 23, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Shane Young 0 57 of 152 37% 58 of 153 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rolando Dy 0 104 of 215 48% 116 of 230 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Shane Young 0 24 of 71 33% 25 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rolando Dy 0 52 of 97 53% 54 of 101 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:57
2 Shane Young 0 33 of 81 40% 33 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rolando Dy 0 52 of 118 44% 62 of 129 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:47
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Shane Young 57 of 152 37% 41 of 131 13 of 18 3 of 3 49 of 140 8 of 12 0 of 0
Rolando Dy 104 of 215 48% 74 of 183 20 of 22 10 of 10 89 of 191 15 of 24 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Shane Young 24 of 71 33% 14 of 59 8 of 10 2 of 2 20 of 67 4 of 4 0 of 0
Rolando Dy 52 of 97 53% 29 of 72 15 of 17 8 of 8 49 of 93 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Shane Young 33 of 81 40% 27 of 72 5 of 8 1 of 1 29 of 73 4 of 8 0 of 0
Rolando Dy 52 of 118 44% 45 of 111 5 of 5 2 of 2 40 of 98 12 of 20 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–26, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · Nov 19, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexander Volkanovski 0 68 of 114 59% 79 of 128 5 of 14 35% 0 0 8:21
Shane Young 0 18 of 81 22% 20 of 83 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexander Volkanovski 0 20 of 39 51% 21 of 40 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:49
Shane Young 0 7 of 33 21% 8 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alexander Volkanovski 0 29 of 47 61% 32 of 50 3 of 5 60% 0 0 2:31
Shane Young 0 8 of 41 19% 8 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Alexander Volkanovski 0 19 of 28 67% 26 of 38 1 of 4 25% 0 0 4:01
Shane Young 0 3 of 7 42% 4 of 8 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexander Volkanovski 68 of 114 59% 36 of 78 11 of 13 21 of 23 40 of 71 14 of 25 14 of 18
Shane Young 18 of 81 22% 11 of 67 5 of 10 2 of 4 15 of 75 3 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexander Volkanovski 20 of 39 51% 6 of 23 5 of 5 9 of 11 16 of 29 4 of 10 0 of 0
Shane Young 7 of 33 21% 3 of 27 4 of 6 0 of 0 5 of 30 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Alexander Volkanovski 29 of 47 61% 17 of 35 4 of 4 8 of 8 18 of 33 4 of 5 7 of 9
Shane Young 8 of 41 19% 7 of 37 0 of 2 1 of 2 8 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alexander Volkanovski 19 of 28 67% 13 of 20 2 of 4 4 of 4 6 of 9 6 of 10 7 of 9
Shane Young 3 of 7 42% 1 of 3 1 of 2 1 of 2 2 of 4 1 of 3 0 of 0
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Shane Young

Angelo picks Shane Young because he trusts his cardio and takedown defense. He notes that Shane looked stiff in his last fight after a layoff but defended six takedowns before giving one up. The ground gap is big if Gabriel gets it to the mat, but Angelo thinks Shane's takedown defense should hold up.

"The pick is going to be Shane only because I do trust his cardio and I think the takedown defense should be there"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Shane Young

Big Brady picks Shane Young but is hesitant due to the price. He notes Miranda's early success but fades quickly, and Young's takedown defense should keep it standing. He thinks Young's striking is superior and will pick apart Miranda as the fight goes on. He predicts a second-round knockout.

bet Miranda in first round if you like him
"I like Shane Young striking here and I like him to win this fight down the stretch"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Gabriel Miranda

Cody picks Miranda as a value underdog, noting that Young is a limited kickboxer with poor takedown defense. He believes Miranda's grappling and size advantage will be the difference, and that he can win by submission or decision. Cody sees this as a dog pick and likes the plus money.

"this to me ends up being one of the dog picks this week Gabriel Miranda"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Shane Young

Daniel Levi picks Shane Young confidently, citing his durability, cardio, and high volume. He notes that Miranda has never won a decision and tends to wilt in later rounds. Levi believes if Miranda doesn't submit Young in the first round, Young will take over and win by decision. He references Young's ability to survive against top competition like Volkanovski.

Odds mentioned: Young minus 170, Miranda plus 145.
"If he doesn't submit Shane Young in the first round then there's absolutely no chance of him winning."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Sep 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Shane Young

Lucrative James thinks Shane Young will win but is not confident enough to bet at the current juice. He notes Young often goes to decision and doesn't push pace anymore, while Miranda fights like a madman and could force a finish. James considered the 'doesn't go to decision' prop at -170 but didn't like the odds. He mentions Young decision at +200 as not bad, but overall he doesn't have a great read on the fight.

Mentions 'doesn't go to decision' prop at -170 (dislikes), Young decision at +200 (not bad).
"I do think he's gonna win... I can't really bet young at juice even though I think he's gonna win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Shane Young

Shane Young is on a three-fight losing streak but faces Gabriel Miranda who has poor gas tank management and tends to fade after the first round. Miranda is aggressive early but if he doesn't secure a submission, he gasses and Young will have target practice. Young should avoid early grappling onslaught and finish in the first or second round. The fight doesn't go to decision is a favorite spot.

under 1.5 rounds at +165, fight doesn't go to decision
"I love the plus money I think it was plus 165 that we were getting on the under one and a half but I also really like the fight doesn't go to decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Gabriel Miranda

Paul picks Miranda, agreeing that Young is uninspiring and that Miranda's grappling should be the key. He notes that Miranda had a tough debut but should be better with a full camp at 145. Paul believes Miranda can get takedowns and control the fight.

"I think it's dogger pass Gabriel Miranda for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Gabriel Miranda

The MMA Guru picks Gabriel Miranda over Shane Young, citing that Young is one of the weaker members of the City Kickboxing team. He notes that Miranda showed heart in his debut loss to Benoit Saint-Denis and has a good ground game, with submissions in the first round. He believes Miranda's grappling will be a problem for Young, who has historically struggled when opponents mix in grappling. He predicts Miranda will secure a rear-naked choke in the second round.

submission in round 2
"I'm gonna have to go against Shane Young when it comes to Gabriel Miranda"