vs
+188 -200
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · Sep 10, 2023 · Featherweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland Next Fight
Age 33
Height 5' 7"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 32
Height 5' 7"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Switch
Career Averages - Chepe Mariscal
4.14 SLpM
55.0% Str. Acc.
2.66 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
2.34 TD Avg
39.0% TD Acc.
59.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Jack Jenkins
4.48 SLpM
61.0% Str. Acc.
2.95 SApM
59.0% Str. Def.
1.98 TD Avg
60.0% TD Acc.
71.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Chepe Mariscal
Moneyline
FanDuel +188
KO/TKO
FanDuel +850
Submission
BetMGM +1200
Decision
FanDuel +360
Jack Jenkins
Moneyline
BetWay -200
KO/TKO
BetRivers +295
Submission
BetRivers +1700
Decision
BetWay +150
Chepe Mariscal - Fight History
LOSS vs Pat Sabatini
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 322 · Nov 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pat Sabatini 0 12 of 29 41% 40 of 61 7 of 12 58% 0 0 10:37
Chepe Mariscal 0 7 of 19 36% 48 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pat Sabatini 0 4 of 11 36% 8 of 15 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:39
Chepe Mariscal 0 1 of 4 25% 5 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:33
2 Pat Sabatini 0 7 of 13 53% 21 of 31 4 of 8 50% 0 0 3:36
Chepe Mariscal 0 5 of 10 50% 32 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
3 Pat Sabatini 0 1 of 5 20% 11 of 15 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:22
Chepe Mariscal 0 1 of 5 20% 11 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pat Sabatini 12 of 29 41% 10 of 24 2 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 18 2 of 2 6 of 9
Chepe Mariscal 7 of 19 36% 2 of 13 2 of 3 3 of 3 6 of 13 1 of 4 0 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pat Sabatini 4 of 11 36% 3 of 7 1 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
Chepe Mariscal 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Pat Sabatini 7 of 13 53% 6 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 1 of 1 5 of 6
Chepe Mariscal 5 of 10 50% 1 of 6 1 of 1 3 of 3 4 of 5 1 of 3 0 of 2
3 Pat Sabatini 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3
Chepe Mariscal 1 of 5 20% 0 of 3 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal, praising his pressure, wrestling, and scrambling ability. He believes Chepe is the better striker and wrestler, and that Pat Sabatini's striking is stiff and he is chinny. Angelo is confident and placed a bet at -113, expecting the line to expand.

bet at -113 odds
"Chepee is the pick. And right off the rip, we've got a pretty affordable money line."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Big Brady picks Chepe Mariscal as a slight underdog, acknowledging a clear path for Sabatini via wrestling but favoring Mariscal's striking power. He notes Sabatini's questionable chin, having been knocked out by Damon Jackson and Diego Lopez, and believes Mariscal can exploit that. Brady sees Mariscal's judo as helpful in getting back to his feet and predicts a second-round knockout.

second round knockout
"Give me Chepe Mariscal to win this fight by second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Cody picks Sabatini, noting that his grappling is elite and that Mariscal has been taken down by everyone. He believes Sabatini has learned from his knockout losses and will stick to wrestling. Cody thinks Sabatini can grind out a decision or possibly submit Mariscal. He is not fully confident but sees the path.

"I actually have him going Pat Sabatini."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Connor also picks Mariscal, agreeing with Zane. He notes that Mariscal is one of the most fluidly offensively minded fighters and that Sabatini needs to dominate and stop the fight from happening, which he can't do against Mariscal. He thinks Mariscal's style is a nightmare for Sabatini.

Odds: Mariscal opened -200, currently -130? Connor says 'I agreed'.
"I agreed."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Nov 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Daniel sees this as a close fight and picks the underdog Mariscal to win again. He notes that Sabatini's chin is suspect and Mariscal's judo and wild style could keep the fight standing, where Sabatini is vulnerable. He expects a back-and-forth scrap that could end in a knockout for Mariscal.

"I'm going to take the underdog chep Marisk to beat Pat Sabatini for a second time."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Pat Sabatini

Lucrative James picks Pat Sabatini to win, believing his elite grappling and top control will be too much for Mariscal. He notes Sabatini's improved control since their first fight and Mariscal's tendency to be taken down. He expects Sabatini to secure takedowns and control the fight on the ground, possibly winning by submission or decision.

"I'm picking Patrick Sabatini to get his revenge and win this fight as the underdog."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Mariscal makes it look more dominant than their first fight. He scrambles and stays ahead of Sabatini, then overwhelms him on the feet leading to a TKO victory.

TKO victory
"I expect him to make it look more dominant while he scrambles and stays ahead of the game with Sabatini and then eventually overwhelms Sabatini on the feet leading to a TKO victory for Jeep Mariscal."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Paul leans towards Mariscal, noting that he is a better striker and has knockout power. He points out that Sabatini has been knocked out when he tries to strike. Paul thinks Mariscal could win by knockout if he keeps the fight standing. However, he acknowledges the risk of Sabatini's grappling and is not fully committed.

Chepe by knockout (suggested at +370)
"Chepe by knockout if you get a good price on it, 100% on the table."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

The Guru picks Chepe Mariscal, highlighting his pressure, volume, chin, and scrambling ability. He believes Mariscal's stocky frame will make him hard to hold down for Sabatini, who relies on control. The Guru also notes that judging trends may favor Mariscal if the fight is close. He predicts a late finish or decision win for Mariscal.

"I'm going to go with Shet Mariscal here. Um, I actually might take him by finish for once."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Zane picks Mariscal, noting that Mariscal is an excellent scrambler who never stops fighting and that Sabatini struggles to lock him down. He thinks the fight will be uncomfortable for Sabatini because Mariscal is fluid and creative in scrambles. He also notes that Mariscal has never been submitted and has a good chin.

Odds: Mariscal opened -200, currently +110? Actually, transcript says 'Marasco is an underdog mind open a minus 200 currently plus one 10' but then '17, you the favorite, but a plus one 70 currently minus one 30' - likely confusion. Based on context, Mariscal is favorite at -130. Zane says 'I don't understand that at all' about the odds.
"I still think it's going to be a fight that it's just fundamentally uncomfortable for Sabatini because it's very difficult to lock Chepe Marasco down and keep him out of the fight."
WIN vs Ricardo Ramos
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night 253 · Mar 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricardo Ramos 0 37 of 91 40% 37 of 91 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:28
Chepe Mariscal 0 85 of 162 52% 125 of 210 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricardo Ramos 0 15 of 28 53% 15 of 28 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:28
Chepe Mariscal 0 28 of 49 57% 42 of 66 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:55
2 Ricardo Ramos 0 8 of 24 33% 8 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chepe Mariscal 0 42 of 67 62% 49 of 76 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:53
3 Ricardo Ramos 0 14 of 39 35% 14 of 39 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Chepe Mariscal 0 15 of 46 32% 34 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:47
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricardo Ramos 37 of 91 40% 17 of 63 14 of 18 6 of 10 32 of 84 5 of 7 0 of 0
Chepe Mariscal 85 of 162 52% 59 of 122 9 of 14 17 of 26 64 of 132 14 of 19 7 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricardo Ramos 15 of 28 53% 7 of 19 5 of 5 3 of 4 13 of 26 2 of 2 0 of 0
Chepe Mariscal 28 of 49 57% 24 of 43 1 of 2 3 of 4 13 of 29 8 of 9 7 of 11
2 Ricardo Ramos 8 of 24 33% 5 of 18 3 of 6 0 of 0 6 of 21 2 of 3 0 of 0
Chepe Mariscal 42 of 67 62% 29 of 52 3 of 3 10 of 12 38 of 63 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Ricardo Ramos 14 of 39 35% 5 of 26 6 of 7 3 of 6 13 of 37 1 of 2 0 of 0
Chepe Mariscal 15 of 46 32% 6 of 27 5 of 9 4 of 10 13 of 40 2 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal confidently, highlighting his relentless pressure, cardio, and well-rounded skills. He notes that Mariscal is not amazing at anything but his pace and forward movement wear opponents down. He sees the only path to victory for Ricardo Ramos as a slick submission, but believes Mariscal is too much of a dog to get caught.

"chpe should win this fight I think he's reasonably priced atus 400 he may be minus 360 on some sports books but he's about a three and a half or a 4 to one favorite here and I think that …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Big Brady picks Chepe Mariscal, noting his heart, cardio, and durability. He criticizes Ricardo Ramos for lacking heart, cardio, and durability, and expects Mariscal to break him. He predicts a third-round TKO finish.

Mariscal by TKO round 3
"I like Chepe here... I think he's going to cook Ricardo Ramos I think he's going to break him and I think he's going to finish him in the third round"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

The host agrees with the public betting love for Mariscal, citing his high pace and superior overall grappling (wrestling and BJJ). He expects Mariscal to shut down Ramos's game, overwhelm him, and win on the scorecards.

public betting and parlaying him
"mariscal Tak taking a ton of love from the public in terms of betting and parlaying him and I have to agree I think he sets too high of a pace and has way a much Superior overall grappling game …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

The Guru picks Chepe Mariscal over Ricardo Ramos. He praises Mariscal's consistency, pace, chin, and ability to win scrambles. He criticizes Ramos as inconsistent and notes Mariscal is undefeated in the UFC. He predicts a finish, specifically a second or third round TKO.

"I'm going with Shep mariscal to win this fight... probably by finish... second or third round TKO for sheet mariscal."
WIN vs Damon Jackson
Decision (unanimous) (30–25, 30–25, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · Aug 10, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chepe Mariscal 0 32 of 49 65% 49 of 72 1 of 5 20% 0 1 4:18
Damon Jackson 0 73 of 100 73% 218 of 267 5 of 7 71% 0 2 8:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chepe Mariscal 0 18 of 27 66% 23 of 38 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:37
Damon Jackson 0 25 of 37 67% 53 of 69 3 of 4 75% 0 0 2:05
2 Chepe Mariscal 0 8 of 12 66% 14 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:17
Damon Jackson 0 29 of 38 76% 94 of 114 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:30
3 Chepe Mariscal 0 6 of 10 60% 12 of 16 1 of 1 100% 0 1 1:24
Damon Jackson 0 19 of 25 76% 71 of 84 1 of 2 50% 0 2 2:56
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chepe Mariscal 32 of 49 65% 5 of 16 26 of 32 1 of 1 5 of 15 27 of 34 0 of 0
Damon Jackson 73 of 100 73% 59 of 86 13 of 13 1 of 1 8 of 18 17 of 21 48 of 61
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chepe Mariscal 18 of 27 66% 3 of 10 15 of 17 0 of 0 3 of 8 15 of 19 0 of 0
Damon Jackson 25 of 37 67% 16 of 28 8 of 8 1 of 1 3 of 9 11 of 14 11 of 14
2 Chepe Mariscal 8 of 12 66% 0 of 2 7 of 9 1 of 1 1 of 2 7 of 10 0 of 0
Damon Jackson 29 of 38 76% 26 of 35 3 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 4 3 of 3 25 of 31
3 Chepe Mariscal 6 of 10 60% 2 of 4 4 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 5 5 of 5 0 of 0
Damon Jackson 19 of 25 76% 17 of 23 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 5 3 of 4 12 of 16
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Aug 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal because he is the more well-rounded fighter with BJJ, kickboxing, and wrestling credentials, and is a dog who won't break. However, he is hesitant because Chepe is a favorite for the first time, his wins have been close, and Damon Jackson with a new hair transplant has been the best version of himself. He warns not to overexpose on Chepe.

Be careful; do not overly expose
"chpe is going to be the pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Cody picks Mariscal because he is more durable, has a cast iron chin, judo black belt, trains at altitude with top fighters, and has good takedown defense. He notes Jackson needs to finish early and tends to gas, while Mariscal's forward pressure and volume will wear him down. Cody suggests a possible third-round finish.

Mariscal round three finish (plus 1000)
"chpe Marisol for my money's worth is just the more durable guy I mean when you look at Damon Jackson his best success is when he's able to get these guys down early submit them early"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Mariscal has a high work rate, good scrambling, and cardio that should overwhelm Jackson as the fight goes on. Jackson is dangerous early with submissions, but if he doesn't finish, Mariscal will take over in rounds two and three. The prediction is Mariscal by decision, with a possible third-round finish.

Mariscal by decision; possible third-round finish
"Jackson will have success early here but given the scrambling ability and just constant work rate of mariscal I think we're going to see Jackson really start to slow down and later on in this matchup"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Paul echoes Cody's sentiments, highlighting Mariscal's activity, striking with ill intent, and ability to get back to his feet. He notes Jackson's history of gassing and that Mariscal has the dog in him. Paul also jokes about Jackson's new hair plugs giving him confidence.

"Maris skull's just the more active fighter more busy on the feet lands with a little bit more ill intent the risk of getting taken down controlled is there but we know he's going to be fighting tooth and nail …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

The MMA Guru picks Chepe Mariscal, comparing him to a slightly worse Dan Ige. He highlights Mariscal's scrambling ability, pressure, and striking advantage over Damon Jackson. He notes Jackson's grappling threat but believes Mariscal's 'ball of muscle' physique and urgency in scrambles will neutralize it. He also jokes about hairline envy affecting Jackson.

"I'm gonna go with shet mariscal over Damon Jackson... I just think he's levels above him on the feet and he'll keep scrambling with him"
Decision (split) (29–28, 27–30, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · Apr 06, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chepe Mariscal 0 49 of 104 47% 75 of 139 2 of 5 40% 1 1 3:42
Morgan Charrière 0 71 of 137 51% 121 of 199 1 of 8 12% 0 1 3:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chepe Mariscal 0 10 of 24 41% 19 of 37 0 of 1 0% 1 1 0:57
Morgan Charrière 0 16 of 29 55% 25 of 44 1 of 6 16% 0 0 2:30
2 Chepe Mariscal 0 33 of 61 54% 35 of 63 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:24
Morgan Charrière 0 32 of 67 47% 32 of 67 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:01
3 Chepe Mariscal 0 6 of 19 31% 21 of 39 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:21
Morgan Charrière 0 23 of 41 56% 64 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chepe Mariscal 49 of 104 47% 30 of 83 16 of 17 3 of 4 45 of 98 4 of 6 0 of 0
Morgan Charrière 71 of 137 51% 42 of 94 10 of 19 19 of 24 50 of 110 12 of 17 9 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chepe Mariscal 10 of 24 41% 7 of 20 3 of 4 0 of 0 7 of 19 3 of 5 0 of 0
Morgan Charrière 16 of 29 55% 5 of 14 2 of 5 9 of 10 7 of 16 9 of 13 0 of 0
2 Chepe Mariscal 33 of 61 54% 20 of 48 11 of 11 2 of 2 32 of 60 1 of 1 0 of 0
Morgan Charrière 32 of 67 47% 19 of 46 5 of 10 8 of 11 29 of 63 3 of 3 0 of 1
3 Chepe Mariscal 6 of 19 31% 3 of 15 2 of 2 1 of 2 6 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Morgan Charrière 23 of 41 56% 18 of 34 3 of 4 2 of 3 14 of 31 0 of 1 9 of 9
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 31, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal because he has been an underdog in all three UFC fights and is 2-0, showing he is tough, can pressure, and wrestle. He believes Chepe will make the fight ugly and grind out Morgan Charrière. Angelo notes that Chepe is currently a +145 dog and expects the line to move, so he plans to bet on Chepe soon. He mentions Chepe's BJJ championship, kickboxing credentials, and collegiate wrestling as reasons for his confidence.

Angelo plans to bet on Chepe at +145, watching line movement; expects Chepe to become favorite
"I like Chepe to make this fight ugly and grind out Morgan Charrière"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Morgan Charrière

Big Brady picks Morgan Charrière to win by decision. He notes that Charrière is good everywhere, a really good striker and wrestler with vicious ground and pound. He acknowledges that Mariscal is tough and has the dog in him, but thinks Charrière has more ways to win and will be slightly better wherever the fight goes. He expects a back-and-forth war that goes to a split decision.

"I'll take sh for the win but I think the line is about accurate probably probably should be about to pick him here Sher decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Cody agrees with Paul, noting that Chepe has fought tougher competition outside the UFC, including Gregor Gillespie and Bryce Mitchell. He highlights Chepe's constant work rate, durability, and takedown game. Cody thinks Charrière's low output and tendency to fight close decisions make him a bad favorite, and that Chepe's pressure will earn him the win.

"I agree with you on all the takes there... he'll be the pick for me"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Daniel Vreeland picks Chepe Mariscal, citing his toughness and Judo background. He notes Morgan Charrière is more athletic and powerful but has low output and close decisions against lesser competition. Vreeland points out Mariscal's win over Jack Jenkins was dominant, not a fluke injury, and his regional wins over UFC-level fighters like Yousef Zalal and Pat Sabatini. He expects a close fight but favors Mariscal's forward pressure and willingness to exchange.

"I'm going to pick Chepe here for the upset."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Mariscal is more battle-tested with higher output and volume. Charrière is more hype than talent, with cardio issues and a low pace. Mariscal can mix in grappling and striking, and his durability has held up. He should outwork Charrière and win by decision, with a possible late stoppage.

Mariscal by decision; sprinkle Mariscal round 3 at +2200
"I'm going to go marcow and marcow by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Paul is confident in Chepe Mariscal at plus money. He criticizes Charrière's low-volume, counter-heavy style and notes his record is full of split decisions. Chepe is aggressive, has good durability, cardio from training at altitude, and mixes in takedowns. Paul believes Chepe's constant work rate will overwhelm Charrière, especially in the Apex where judges favor damage and volume.

"I'm like in chpe I got some plus money plays on him already... if you're going to give me plus money on chpe mariscal I think he's got just the volume"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 2, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Morgan Charrière

The host expresses personal dislike for Charrière due to UFC signing him over Paul Hughes and Jordan Vucenic, but acknowledges Charrière is good. He notes Charrière's power, dangerous striking, great kicks, finishing instincts, and strong takedown defense. He predicts Charrière will smoke Mariscal by TKO, despite Mariscal's scrappy win over Trevor Peek.

TKO win predicted
"I think he'll smoke shet mariscal so I'm going to go with him by TKO"
WIN vs Jack Jenkins
TKO (arm injury) R2 3:19 · UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · Sep 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chepe Mariscal 0 41 of 68 60% 43 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Jack Jenkins 0 38 of 87 43% 87 of 143 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chepe Mariscal 0 31 of 50 62% 33 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jack Jenkins 0 23 of 60 38% 38 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
2 Chepe Mariscal 0 10 of 18 55% 10 of 18 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Jack Jenkins 0 15 of 27 55% 49 of 65 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chepe Mariscal 41 of 68 60% 16 of 36 13 of 18 12 of 14 35 of 60 6 of 8 0 of 0
Jack Jenkins 38 of 87 43% 14 of 53 11 of 16 13 of 18 23 of 65 14 of 21 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chepe Mariscal 31 of 50 62% 14 of 27 7 of 11 10 of 12 29 of 47 2 of 3 0 of 0
Jack Jenkins 23 of 60 38% 10 of 41 8 of 11 5 of 8 18 of 52 5 of 8 0 of 0
2 Chepe Mariscal 10 of 18 55% 2 of 9 6 of 7 2 of 2 6 of 13 4 of 5 0 of 0
Jack Jenkins 15 of 27 55% 4 of 12 3 of 5 8 of 10 5 of 13 9 of 13 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Angelo picks Jack Jenkins, citing his lethal leg kicks as the difference. He notes that Chepe Mariscal is a two-to-one underdog with great wrestling and striking, but Jack's leg kicks will take away Chepe's movement and takedown ability. Angelo has parlayed Jack Jenkins with Nasrat Haqparast at plus money.

Parlayed with Nasrat Haqparast at plus money
"I think Jack Jenkins leg kicks which are lethal and he has stopped multiple fights with them are going to be the difference"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Big Brady picks Jack Jenkins, citing his technical striking and wrestling. He notes a red flag from Mariscal's fight with Sean Soriano, where Soriano outgrappled him. He thinks Jenkins can mix in takedowns and control the fight. He predicts a decision win.

"I think Jack Jenkins gets it done and I think Jack Jenkins gets it done by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Cody picks Jenkins, citing his superior wrestling, leg kicks, and technical striking. He notes that Mariscal's takedown defense is not yet developed and that Jenkins can exploit that. Cody expects Jenkins to win by decision, possibly a close one, and likes the Jenkins by decision prop.

Jenkins by decision (+160)
"I think Jenkins pulls away in this fight great fight fun fight I think he gets fight of the night but I think Jack Jenkins is just a little more Superior"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Daniel Levi picks Jack Jenkins confidently, highlighting his leg kicks that have broken three opponents' tibias. He also praises Jenkins' defensive responsibility, fight IQ, and ability to mix in takedowns. Levi believes Mariscal's brawling style will leave openings for Jenkins to land his shots. He expects Jenkins to take over in the second and third rounds, potentially getting a knockout or a decision.

Odds mentioned: Jenkins minus 200, Mariscal plus 170.
"I think that Jack Jenkins is just so much more technically sound so much more defensively responsible."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Jenkins is athletic, fast, with great wrestling and relentless calf kicking that destroys opponents' movement. He blends striking and wrestling well. Mariscal is a short-notice call-up who showed good wrestling but may have durability issues. Jenkins has physical advantages and should win by decision, with a small sprinkle on a KO prop due to Mariscal's potential chin issues.

small sprinkle on KO prop
"give me Jenkins and Jenkins by decision small sprinkle on a potential KO prop here in case mariscal's chin uh is still as flimsy as I believe it could be"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Paul picks Jenkins but is leaning, noting that Jenkins should lean on his wrestling and make it ugly. He acknowledges that Mariscal is tough and durable, but believes Jenkins' wrestling and striking will be the difference. Paul sees this as a potential fight of the night.

"Jenkins will be the pick for I I imagine lean on the wrestling a little bit wear them down make it a little bit uh ugly don't turn it into a slobber knocker"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

The MMA Guru picks Jack Jenkins over Chepe Mariscal, calling it a no-brainer. He notes that Jenkins is an extremely technical striker with a tight guard, while Mariscal is less technical. He acknowledges Mariscal's win over Trevor Peek but points out that Peek is a sloppy fighter. Jenkins has a close decision loss to Jamal Emmers but is active, having fought twice this year. He predicts Jenkins will win a competitive 29-28 decision, possibly losing the third round.

"I'm gonna go Jack Jenkins"
WIN vs Trevor Peek
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Emmett vs. Topuria · Jun 24, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chepe Mariscal 0 51 of 125 40% 65 of 140 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:23
Trevor Peek 0 71 of 117 60% 145 of 203 4 of 12 33% 1 1 5:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chepe Mariscal 0 24 of 59 40% 29 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Trevor Peek 0 26 of 51 50% 45 of 71 3 of 4 75% 1 0 1:49
2 Chepe Mariscal 0 13 of 22 59% 16 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:52
Trevor Peek 0 12 of 17 70% 44 of 54 1 of 4 25% 0 1 2:33
3 Chepe Mariscal 0 14 of 44 31% 20 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Trevor Peek 0 33 of 49 67% 56 of 78 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chepe Mariscal 51 of 125 40% 25 of 91 23 of 31 3 of 3 39 of 105 12 of 20 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 71 of 117 60% 51 of 94 11 of 14 9 of 9 41 of 78 20 of 23 10 of 16
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chepe Mariscal 24 of 59 40% 14 of 45 8 of 12 2 of 2 19 of 50 5 of 9 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 26 of 51 50% 18 of 41 4 of 6 4 of 4 12 of 32 7 of 8 7 of 11
2 Chepe Mariscal 13 of 22 59% 6 of 12 7 of 10 0 of 0 6 of 12 7 of 10 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 12 of 17 70% 6 of 11 4 of 4 2 of 2 4 of 6 5 of 6 3 of 5
3 Chepe Mariscal 14 of 44 31% 5 of 34 8 of 9 1 of 1 14 of 43 0 of 1 0 of 0
Trevor Peek 33 of 49 67% 27 of 42 3 of 4 3 of 3 25 of 40 8 of 9 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal, citing his superior experience and skills. He notes Chepe is a fantastic grappler who can duck under Trevor Peek's chaos and get takedowns. He mentions the line has moved from +170 to +155 and he has a quarter unit on Chepe at +155. He also strongly recommends the 'does not go the distance' prop as a safer bet.

does not go the distance; quarter unit on Chepe at +155
"I'm gonna pick chepe to win here he's got more experience more actual skills"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Big Brady picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging that Mariscal is probably the better fighter with tougher competition. He compares it to the Torres-Moda fight where the better striker lost to a big shot. He trusts Peek's chin and toughness, noting Peek took a beating on the Contender Series and came back to finish. He also notes Mariscal is moving up a weight class on short notice. He predicts a first-round knockout.

first round knockout
"I like Trevor Peak here and I like Trevor Peak to make this an absolute war and knock out mariscal in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Cody picks Peek, citing his durability and power. He thinks Peek's pressure will eventually overwhelm Mariscal, who has questionable durability. He notes Peek's size advantage and the rumor of a quick turnaround if he wins.

Peek by KO mentioned.
"I think at some point the dog's gonna come out of peak peek's gonna land something put him away."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Connor picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging he is a terrible technician. He loves Peek's insane confidence and recklessness, which makes him effective. Connor notes that Peek is a great athlete with fast and powerful strikes, and his chaotic style overwhelms opponents. He thinks Mariscal is not technical enough to cross that confidence and will get drawn into a messy brawl. Connor admits he will keep picking Peek until and probably after he loses because he enjoys watching him fight.

"I'm going to keep picking Trevor Peak until and probably after he loses because I just love it."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Daniel Levi picks Trevor Peek, citing his physicality, power, and ability to take a shot. He thinks Mariscal is smaller and has been knocked out before. He believes Peek's brute strength and fight-changing power will be too much, especially as the fight goes on. He notes Peek's improved training after quitting his job.

"I think Trevor's gonna catch him um at some point in this fight so let's go Trevor"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

The host picks Chepe Mariscal to win, possibly by finish. He believes Mariscal is more experienced and talented overall, with a solid grappling and striking game. He notes Peek's brawling style and durability but thinks Mariscal can take advantage of Peek's aggression. He suggests the fight doesn't go to decision as a prop, but is cautious about Mariscal's durability.

fight doesn't go to decision
"give me Jose chepe mariscal to pull off the upset here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Paul leans towards Mariscal, citing his technical kickboxing and speed. He thinks Mariscal can outpoint Peek and avoid his power. He acknowledges Peek's toughness but believes Mariscal's technique will prevail.

Fight of the Night considered.
"I'll lean towards chapter mariscal mostly just to trigger you."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

The Guru picks Trevor Peek, calling him the 'Derek Lewis of the lightweight division' with good get-ups from takedowns and dangerous first-round power. He believes Mariscal, making his UFC debut on short notice, may have octagon jitters and get smoked. He predicts Peek will march forward, get up from takedowns, and finish with a standing hammerfist.

Predicts standing hammerfist KO in the first round.
"I'm going to be going with Trevor Peak here I'm going with the standing hammerfist KO in the first round let's keep the meme alive"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chepe Mariscal

Zane picks Mariscal, reasoning that while Peek is fun to watch, his technique is terrible and he is a bad fighter. Zane notes that Mariscal has more technique and is always on the borderline of throwing it all away to brawl, but that inconsistency is a problem. However, Zane thinks Mariscal's ability to be a messy scrapper who can overwhelm opponents gives him the edge. He acknowledges that Peek's confidence and athleticism make him dangerous, but ultimately believes Mariscal's slightly better technique will prevail.

"I don't think that that serves him better. You know, not knowing or not being able to have the kind of fight you want. Is against somebody like Trevor Peak. That just gives me more pause about your ability to …"
Jack Jenkins - Fight History
WIN vs Ramon Taveras
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · Sep 28, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Jenkins 0 65 of 109 59% 73 of 123 3 of 6 50% 1 0 3:58
Ramon Taveras 0 43 of 113 38% 68 of 142 0 of 4 0% 0 1 1:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Jenkins 0 32 of 56 57% 32 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ramon Taveras 0 16 of 43 37% 16 of 43 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
2 Jack Jenkins 0 29 of 42 69% 29 of 43 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:04
Ramon Taveras 0 20 of 58 34% 30 of 68 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:25
3 Jack Jenkins 0 4 of 11 36% 12 of 24 2 of 3 66% 1 0 2:54
Ramon Taveras 0 7 of 12 58% 22 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Jenkins 65 of 109 59% 29 of 68 16 of 21 20 of 20 58 of 95 4 of 5 3 of 9
Ramon Taveras 43 of 113 38% 36 of 98 6 of 14 1 of 1 38 of 106 0 of 1 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Jenkins 32 of 56 57% 14 of 33 11 of 16 7 of 7 29 of 52 3 of 4 0 of 0
Ramon Taveras 16 of 43 37% 11 of 34 4 of 8 1 of 1 16 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jack Jenkins 29 of 42 69% 12 of 25 5 of 5 12 of 12 28 of 41 1 of 1 0 of 0
Ramon Taveras 20 of 58 34% 18 of 52 2 of 6 0 of 0 20 of 57 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Jack Jenkins 4 of 11 36% 3 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 9
Ramon Taveras 7 of 12 58% 7 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 5 of 6
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Angelo picks Jack Jenkins despite thinking he is overrated, because he believes Jenkins can win with forward pressure and volume, similar to how Davy Grant beat Taveras. He notes Taveras chases overhands and power, which Jenkins can counter. He attributes the line collapse to Jenkins' ironic mustache, not his skills.

"I personally do think Jack is overrated. So, for me to pick Jack while thinking he's overrated should tell you something. I think he's just getting too much credit for breaking somebody's leg five years ago or 10, whatever the …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Big Brady picks Jack Jenkins to win by decision. He notes Jenkins has more tools, including leg kicks that will target Taveras's lead leg. He also mentions Jenkins can mix in takedowns. He thinks the line is a bit wide but still expects Jenkins to win at home.

"Give me Jack Jenkins and Jack Jenkins by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Cody picks Jenkins, citing his devastating leg kicks that will slow Taveras down over time. He notes Taveras is a better boxer but flat-footed and has no takedown attempts in his UFC career, making him vulnerable to Jenkins' kicks and potential wrestling. He also mentions Taveras missed weight in past fights and is traveling to Perth, which could affect his performance.

"I think Jack Jenkins wins. I think he wins. I I like this guy's leg kicks."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Connor also picks Jenkins, agreeing that Taveras is a good matchup for him. He notes that Taveras is an expert at letting things happen to him and has a big head, making him easy to hit. Connor thinks Jenkins's low kicks and counter punching will be effective, and that Taveras's toughness won't be enough to overcome Jenkins's advantages. He cautions that Jenkins's game is thin, but Taveras is not the kind of fighter to expose it.

"Feels like a very good fight for Jenkins, honestly."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Sep 19, 2025 (9 days before fight)

James has not done tape study on this fight and passes on making a pick. He mentions he likes Jack Jenkins as a fighter but does not provide a prediction.

"I'm going to pass on this one, boys."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

The host notes Taveras is moving up to 145 lbs after weight issues at 135. He thinks Taveras will struggle against Jenkins' calf kicking and grappling game, keeping Taveras on the defensive and leading to a decision win for Jenkins.

"Diverus being forced to go up to 145 pounds now after multiple issues at 135 pounds. But I think he's going to struggle here against Jack Jenkins who has a great calf kicking game and a good grappling game. And …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

The Guru picks Jack Jenkins, citing his ability to break bones with strikes and his kicking game. He notes Taveras is moving up from bantamweight and has been victimized by kicks before. He expects a sustained beating leading to a TKO in round two or three.

TKO in round 2 or 3
"I'm going with Jack Jenkins over Ramon."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Zane picks Jenkins confidently, noting that Taveras has trouble with low kicks and has a big head that is easy to punch. He believes Jenkins's crushing low kicks and top game will be too much for Taveras, who is tough but not skilled enough to deter Jenkins. Zane expects Jenkins to look great in this fight, though he acknowledges Jenkins's game is narrow and he struggles against fighters who can control distance.

"Feels like a very good fight for Jenkins, honestly."
LOSS vs Gabriel Santos
Submission R3 2:06 · UFC 312: du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · Feb 09, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Jenkins 1 34 of 48 70% 39 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:20
Gabriel Santos 0 39 of 61 63% 96 of 123 4 of 7 57% 2 0 6:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Jenkins 1 28 of 36 77% 33 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:17
Gabriel Santos 0 9 of 20 45% 22 of 34 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:50
2 Jack Jenkins 0 5 of 11 45% 5 of 11 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Gabriel Santos 0 24 of 32 75% 58 of 69 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:48
3 Jack Jenkins 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gabriel Santos 0 6 of 9 66% 16 of 20 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Jenkins 34 of 48 70% 22 of 35 5 of 6 7 of 7 13 of 22 5 of 6 16 of 20
Gabriel Santos 39 of 61 63% 26 of 44 6 of 9 7 of 8 23 of 45 3 of 3 13 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Jenkins 28 of 36 77% 19 of 26 3 of 4 6 of 6 7 of 10 5 of 6 16 of 20
Gabriel Santos 9 of 20 45% 3 of 12 2 of 3 4 of 5 9 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jack Jenkins 5 of 11 45% 2 of 8 2 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gabriel Santos 24 of 32 75% 19 of 25 3 of 5 2 of 2 9 of 17 3 of 3 12 of 12
3 Jack Jenkins 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gabriel Santos 6 of 9 66% 4 of 7 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Big Brady is a big fan of Gabriel Santos, believing he is much better than his 1-2 UFC record indicates. He notes Santos's well-rounded skills, power, and BJJ black belt. He thinks Santos has a significant grappling advantage over Jack Jenkins, who was taken down and controlled by Jamal Emmers. Brady predicts Santos will win a decision, possibly with a submission.

"I'm going to say Gabriel Santos wins a decision here and what should be a fun fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Santos is considered the better fighter, slicker with Muay Thai and more aggressive with BJJ. His Muay Thai will allow him to check Jenkins' kicks and counter with straight shots. The fight is expected to go to decision with Santos winning.

decision
"I believe Santos is the better fighter here in terms of being more dangerous I think he's a little bit Slicker with his Muay Thai a little bit more aggressive with his BJJ"
WIN vs Herbert Burns
TKO (retirement) R3 0:48 · UFC 305: du Plessis vs. Adesanya · Aug 18, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Jenkins 2 73 of 126 57% 98 of 152 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:44
Herbert Burns 0 24 of 79 30% 45 of 101 2 of 9 22% 0 0 1:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Jenkins 0 39 of 66 59% 53 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Herbert Burns 0 15 of 53 28% 28 of 66 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:09
2 Jack Jenkins 1 20 of 38 52% 31 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:15
Herbert Burns 0 6 of 23 26% 14 of 32 1 of 6 16% 0 0 0:45
3 Jack Jenkins 1 14 of 22 63% 14 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Herbert Burns 0 3 of 3 100% 3 of 3 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Jenkins 73 of 126 57% 44 of 95 15 of 15 14 of 16 59 of 99 0 of 1 14 of 26
Herbert Burns 24 of 79 30% 11 of 61 7 of 10 6 of 8 21 of 73 3 of 4 0 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Jenkins 39 of 66 59% 24 of 51 11 of 11 4 of 4 39 of 65 0 of 1 0 of 0
Herbert Burns 15 of 53 28% 8 of 43 4 of 6 3 of 4 14 of 51 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Jack Jenkins 20 of 38 52% 8 of 24 3 of 3 9 of 11 14 of 26 0 of 0 6 of 12
Herbert Burns 6 of 23 26% 2 of 17 2 of 3 2 of 3 5 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 2
3 Jack Jenkins 14 of 22 63% 12 of 20 1 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 8 0 of 0 8 of 14
Herbert Burns 3 of 3 100% 1 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 11, 2024 (7 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Angelo is confident Jack Jenkins will win, citing his superior striking, takedown defense, and multiple ways to win. He dismisses Herbert Burns as a submission-or-bust fighter with poor offensive wrestling who seems to hate fighting. Angelo expects Jenkins to light Burns up on the feet and suggests parlaying him before the odds get even shorter.

Suggests parlaying Jenkins before odds get crazy
"Jack Jenkins is going to be safe here he's going to light up Herbert Burns and you should probably parlay him before those odds get crazy."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Big Brady picks Jack Jenkins to win by second-round knockout. He notes Herbert Burns is very dangerous in the first five minutes but has poor cardio, heart, and durability, and has been knocked out in the second round in his last three losses. He believes Jenkins can survive the first round, possibly in bad spots, and then finish Burns in the second. He cautions that Jenkins has been finished in all three of his losses, so Burns has a five-minute window to submit him, but overall he expects Jenkins to get the knockout.

knockout in round 2
"give me Jack Jenkins and give me Jack Jenkins by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Cody is confident Jenkins will win but notes the price is blown out. He expects Jenkins to survive the first round and then take over as Burns gasses. He mentions Jenkins' leg kicks and cardio as advantages, but warns that Burns has a puncher's chance early. Cody suggests live betting Jenkins after the first round.

"I will take jenin"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Daniel Vreeland picks Jack Jenkins to win by late finish, likely in round two or three. He notes that Jenkins is a systematic leg kicker who will chop Burns down, while Burns gasses and has been finished repeatedly. Vreeland suggests playing Jenkins round two as a hedge against the under 1.5 rounds.

round 2 finish
"I think he's going to get a round two finish Herbert's been finished in round two like 10 times in a row or something crazy like that"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

The host picks Jenkins, noting his solid striking and mixing of martial arts. He expects Jenkins to avoid Burns' early power and then put a pace on him, finishing him likely by knockout. He mentions the under 1.5 rounds prop as a potential bet, and notes Jenkins' round 2 prop at +550.

Under 1.5 rounds, Jenkins round 2 prop (+550)
"I'm going to go Jenkins I think Jenkins finishes Burns maybe knocks him out"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Paul acknowledges Jenkins is not a potent finisher but believes he will outlast Burns, who has terrible cardio. He notes that Burns has been submitted in his last two and that Jenkins has never been knocked out. Paul calls it a cop-out but picks Jenkins, though he is priced out of betting.

"it's Jack Jenkins but at minus 800 I don't I'm not entirely sure what to do with it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

The MMA Guru picks Jack Jenkins over Herbert Burns. He criticizes Burns as a quitter with only one round of cardio, comparing him to Makwan Amirkhani. He praises Jenkins' takedown defense, noting his strong hips and foot positioning. He predicts Burns will have early moments but gas out and get finished in the second or third round, possibly by TKO. He also mentions body kicks on the ground as a potential finish.

Late first or second round TKO
"I'm going to go Jack Jenkins he actually was doing pretty well against the grappling of sheet marisca early in their fight showed some good Australian takedown defense"
LOSS vs Chepe Mariscal
TKO (arm injury) R2 3:19 · UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · Sep 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chepe Mariscal 0 41 of 68 60% 43 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Jack Jenkins 0 38 of 87 43% 87 of 143 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chepe Mariscal 0 31 of 50 62% 33 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jack Jenkins 0 23 of 60 38% 38 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
2 Chepe Mariscal 0 10 of 18 55% 10 of 18 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Jack Jenkins 0 15 of 27 55% 49 of 65 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chepe Mariscal 41 of 68 60% 16 of 36 13 of 18 12 of 14 35 of 60 6 of 8 0 of 0
Jack Jenkins 38 of 87 43% 14 of 53 11 of 16 13 of 18 23 of 65 14 of 21 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chepe Mariscal 31 of 50 62% 14 of 27 7 of 11 10 of 12 29 of 47 2 of 3 0 of 0
Jack Jenkins 23 of 60 38% 10 of 41 8 of 11 5 of 8 18 of 52 5 of 8 0 of 0
2 Chepe Mariscal 10 of 18 55% 2 of 9 6 of 7 2 of 2 6 of 13 4 of 5 0 of 0
Jack Jenkins 15 of 27 55% 4 of 12 3 of 5 8 of 10 5 of 13 9 of 13 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Angelo picks Jack Jenkins, citing his lethal leg kicks as the difference. He notes that Chepe Mariscal is a two-to-one underdog with great wrestling and striking, but Jack's leg kicks will take away Chepe's movement and takedown ability. Angelo has parlayed Jack Jenkins with Nasrat Haqparast at plus money.

Parlayed with Nasrat Haqparast at plus money
"I think Jack Jenkins leg kicks which are lethal and he has stopped multiple fights with them are going to be the difference"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Big Brady picks Jack Jenkins, citing his technical striking and wrestling. He notes a red flag from Mariscal's fight with Sean Soriano, where Soriano outgrappled him. He thinks Jenkins can mix in takedowns and control the fight. He predicts a decision win.

"I think Jack Jenkins gets it done and I think Jack Jenkins gets it done by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Cody picks Jenkins, citing his superior wrestling, leg kicks, and technical striking. He notes that Mariscal's takedown defense is not yet developed and that Jenkins can exploit that. Cody expects Jenkins to win by decision, possibly a close one, and likes the Jenkins by decision prop.

Jenkins by decision (+160)
"I think Jenkins pulls away in this fight great fight fun fight I think he gets fight of the night but I think Jack Jenkins is just a little more Superior"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Daniel Levi picks Jack Jenkins confidently, highlighting his leg kicks that have broken three opponents' tibias. He also praises Jenkins' defensive responsibility, fight IQ, and ability to mix in takedowns. Levi believes Mariscal's brawling style will leave openings for Jenkins to land his shots. He expects Jenkins to take over in the second and third rounds, potentially getting a knockout or a decision.

Odds mentioned: Jenkins minus 200, Mariscal plus 170.
"I think that Jack Jenkins is just so much more technically sound so much more defensively responsible."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Jenkins is athletic, fast, with great wrestling and relentless calf kicking that destroys opponents' movement. He blends striking and wrestling well. Mariscal is a short-notice call-up who showed good wrestling but may have durability issues. Jenkins has physical advantages and should win by decision, with a small sprinkle on a KO prop due to Mariscal's potential chin issues.

small sprinkle on KO prop
"give me Jenkins and Jenkins by decision small sprinkle on a potential KO prop here in case mariscal's chin uh is still as flimsy as I believe it could be"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Paul picks Jenkins but is leaning, noting that Jenkins should lean on his wrestling and make it ugly. He acknowledges that Mariscal is tough and durable, but believes Jenkins' wrestling and striking will be the difference. Paul sees this as a potential fight of the night.

"Jenkins will be the pick for I I imagine lean on the wrestling a little bit wear them down make it a little bit uh ugly don't turn it into a slobber knocker"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

The MMA Guru picks Jack Jenkins over Chepe Mariscal, calling it a no-brainer. He notes that Jenkins is an extremely technical striker with a tight guard, while Mariscal is less technical. He acknowledges Mariscal's win over Trevor Peek but points out that Peek is a sloppy fighter. Jenkins has a close decision loss to Jamal Emmers but is active, having fought twice this year. He predicts Jenkins will win a competitive 29-28 decision, possibly losing the third round.

"I'm gonna go Jack Jenkins"
WIN vs Jamall Emmers
Decision (split) (27–30, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Emmett vs. Topuria · Jun 24, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Jenkins 0 57 of 155 36% 76 of 185 1 of 6 16% 0 2 4:17
Jamall Emmers 0 59 of 119 49% 85 of 154 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Jenkins 0 21 of 69 30% 21 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jamall Emmers 0 20 of 40 50% 20 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jack Jenkins 0 28 of 71 39% 29 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:08
Jamall Emmers 0 31 of 61 50% 31 of 61 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:10
3 Jack Jenkins 0 8 of 15 53% 26 of 43 1 of 5 20% 0 1 4:09
Jamall Emmers 0 8 of 18 44% 34 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Jenkins 57 of 155 36% 26 of 98 18 of 38 13 of 19 51 of 146 1 of 3 5 of 6
Jamall Emmers 59 of 119 49% 26 of 67 14 of 21 19 of 31 53 of 110 1 of 2 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Jenkins 21 of 69 30% 6 of 40 10 of 21 5 of 8 20 of 67 1 of 2 0 of 0
Jamall Emmers 20 of 40 50% 8 of 20 7 of 9 5 of 11 19 of 38 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Jack Jenkins 28 of 71 39% 13 of 44 7 of 16 8 of 11 27 of 70 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jamall Emmers 31 of 61 50% 12 of 32 6 of 11 13 of 18 31 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jack Jenkins 8 of 15 53% 7 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 9 0 of 1 4 of 5
Jamall Emmers 8 of 18 44% 6 of 15 1 of 1 1 of 2 3 of 11 0 of 0 5 of 7
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 18, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jamall Emmers

Angelo gives a slight lean to Jamall Emmers due to his 100% takedown defense. He acknowledges Jack Jenkins is a real prospect with power and leg kicks, but notes Jenkins has low IQ moments where he grapples when he shouldn't. He expects a decision and suggests the best bet might be Jack Jenkins at +3.5 points (buying a round).

Jack Jenkins +3.5 points (spread)
"I'm gonna do slight lean towards Jamal because of that 100 takedown defense"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamall Emmers

Big Brady picks Jamall Emmers but is hesitant due to Emmers' poor fight IQ, citing examples like striking with Giga Chikadze instead of wrestling and getting injured against Pat Sabatini. He acknowledges Emmers' talent and well-rounded skills, including a significant reach advantage. He believes Emmers can win if he fights smart, but warns against betting on him at -210. He predicts a decision victory.

"the pick is Jamal Embers but I will not be betting this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Cody picks Jenkins, agreeing with Paul. He notes Emmers's poor decisions and inactivity, and thinks Jenkins can win a striking battle. He expects a decision.

"I'll take Jack Jenkins Jack Jenkins by decide it's only plus 240."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Connor picks Jenkins, impressed by his low-kicking and combination punching. He notes that Jenkins creatively sets up low kicks from various angles and uses them to set up hands and body punches. Connor thinks Emmers will struggle with Jenkins' low kicks because Emmers doesn't have a way to block or protect his leg. He also notes that Emmers' boxing is very Bobby Green-like, relying on sliding away and not sitting down on punches, which could make him hard to track but also leaves his leg exposed. Connor believes Jenkins' intuitive scrambling and ground game are also advantages.

"I kind of feel like he's going to struggle with Jack Jenkins. I don't know that it has been tested very much, but I do look at Jamal Emmers at range. And I think that this dude is ripe for …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jamall Emmers

Daniel Levi picks Jamall Emmers, citing his experience, length, and well-rounded game. He notes Emmers's wrestling and striking, and his ability to mix them. He acknowledges Jenkins's leg kicks and potential but thinks Emmers is ahead at this stage. He is not betting at -210 but picks Emmers.

"I'm gonna still pick emmers um I think he's paid his dues"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jamall Emmers

The host picks Jamall Emmers to win by decision. He believes Emmers has the speed and striking advantage, and if he uses his fight IQ, he can stuff takedowns and pick Jenkins apart. He notes Jenkins is a good prospect but thinks this is a step up too far. He would only take Emmers around -150, but thinks he wins.

"I think he's the side here I think he wins this fight and like I said I think he gets it done by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Paul picks Jenkins, citing Emmers's questionable fight IQ and inactivity. He thinks Jenkins can outbox him and that Emmers may not use his wrestling. He notes the plus money is attractive.

Jenkins by decision at plus 240 mentioned.
"I'll take Jack Jenkins he'll love it but yeah it's another dog pick."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jamall Emmers

The Guru picks Jamall Emmers, citing his experience against top competition and reach advantage. He feels Jack Jenkins' win over Don Shainis was unimpressive and that Emmers, after shaking off rust, will perform better. He predicts Emmers will keep the fight at range and win a 2-1 decision, with Jenkins having moments inside but too little too late.

Predicts decision win.
"I'm going with Jamal lemmers... I think he's going to secure himself the first two rounds here and win this fight 2-1"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Jenkins. He notes that Jenkins' low-kicking and combination punching are excellent, and he creatively sets up low kicks from various angles. Zane thinks Emmers will struggle with Jenkins' low kicks because Emmers doesn't have a way to block or protect his leg. He also notes that Emmers' boxing is very Bobby Green-like, relying on sliding away and not sitting down on punches, which could make him hard to track but also leaves his leg exposed. Zane believes Jenkins' intuitive scrambling and ground game are also advantages.

"I kind of feel like he's going to struggle with Jack Jenkins. I don't know that it has been tested very much, but I do look at Jamal Emmers at range. And I think that this dude is ripe for …"
WIN vs Don Shainis
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · Feb 12, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Jenkins 0 82 of 123 66% 100 of 150 4 of 5 80% 0 0 6:00
Don Shainis 0 50 of 102 49% 128 of 187 1 of 3 33% 2 2 2:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Jenkins 0 34 of 59 57% 35 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Don Shainis 0 25 of 55 45% 28 of 58 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:46
2 Jack Jenkins 0 23 of 33 69% 25 of 35 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:59
Don Shainis 0 15 of 28 53% 58 of 74 1 of 1 100% 0 2 1:30
3 Jack Jenkins 0 25 of 31 80% 40 of 55 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:01
Don Shainis 0 10 of 19 52% 42 of 55 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Jenkins 82 of 123 66% 45 of 81 23 of 26 14 of 16 53 of 90 21 of 24 8 of 9
Don Shainis 50 of 102 49% 26 of 68 17 of 23 7 of 11 29 of 73 14 of 21 7 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Jenkins 34 of 59 57% 13 of 35 12 of 13 9 of 11 24 of 49 10 of 10 0 of 0
Don Shainis 25 of 55 45% 9 of 34 11 of 13 5 of 8 16 of 43 9 of 12 0 of 0
2 Jack Jenkins 23 of 33 69% 11 of 19 8 of 10 4 of 4 14 of 21 9 of 12 0 of 0
Don Shainis 15 of 28 53% 10 of 19 3 of 7 2 of 2 6 of 14 4 of 8 5 of 6
3 Jack Jenkins 25 of 31 80% 21 of 27 3 of 3 1 of 1 15 of 20 2 of 2 8 of 9
Don Shainis 10 of 19 52% 7 of 15 3 of 3 0 of 1 7 of 16 1 of 1 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Angelo picks Jack Jenkins, describing him as a powerful striker with multiple tools, though he notes Jenkins can be stiff and doesn't flow smoothly between striking and grappling. He believes Jenkins' power and leg kicks will be too much for Don Shainis, who is tough but limited. He considers it a safe bet but wants to see Jenkins mix his skills more.

"Jack's gonna be the pick it's probably a pretty safe bet as well"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Big Brady thinks Jenkins is a solid fighter with good striking and wrestling. He expects Shainis to come out aggressively but fade, and Jenkins to take over. He predicts a decision win for Jenkins, noting Shainis's low level of competition.

"I'll say Jenkins by by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Cody is confident Jenkins wins, citing his pressure, wrestling, and cardio. He notes Shainis was submitted quickly by Sadiq Yusuff and doesn't have the skills to hang. He thinks Jenkins will wear him down with leg kicks and takedowns, likely winning inside the distance or by decision. He took Jenkins over 2 takedowns on PrizePicks.

Jenkins over 2 takedowns on PrizePicks
"I think Jack Jenkins wins likely inside the distance"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Connor picks Jenkins, agreeing that Shainis is easily swept and has no control in grappling. He notes that Shainis is gritty but everything is on the razor's edge, and that Jenkins' wrestling, though flawed, will be enough to take Shainis down and control him.

"Yeah, I am definitely picking Jack Jenkins."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Jenkins is the more complete fighter with superior striking and grappling. Shainis was finished quickly by Sadiq Yusuf in his UFC debut. Jenkins' top pressure and ground-and-pound will be dominant. Shainis may have some success with calf kicks, but Jenkins will take him down and control the fight. Jenkins' cardio allows him to maintain pressure for 15 minutes. He should win a dominant decision, though a finish is possible.

"I feel very damn good about Jack in the spot you know I think he's more than deserving of the chalky price that he's at"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Paul picks Jenkins, noting Shainis's poor UFC debut and lack of a well-rounded game. He thinks Jenkins' leg kicks and wrestling will be too much. He mentions Jenkins is not a finisher but should control the fight.

"Jack Jenkins seems like again I think he's like 29 maybe 30 years old... he's talented he's got skills"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

The MMA Guru picks Jack Jenkins over Don Shainis, criticizing Shainis's record and noting his loss to Jay Ellis as a sign of low level. He believes Jenkins is fundamentally sound and patient, and will finish Shainis in the third round by TKO, matching his contender series performance.

third round TKO
"I'm going with Jack Jenkins we move on up the card"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Zane picks Jenkins, describing him as a ground-and-pound specialist with a sticky scrambling style. He notes that Jenkins has a limited game but that Shainis loves getting out-grappled and has poor control. Zane expects Jenkins to get to his spots and flatten Shainis on the ground, despite Jenkins' terrible shot and lack of striking.

"I am definitely picking Jack Jenkins. Yeah. It's going to be weird and ugly and dysfunctional. But once he gets to his spots, he is going to flatten Don Janis on the ground."
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Angelo picks Jack Jenkins, citing his lethal leg kicks as the difference. He notes that Chepe Mariscal is a two-to-one underdog with great wrestling and striking, but Jack's leg kicks will take away Chepe's movement and takedown ability. Angelo has parlayed Jack Jenkins with Nasrat Haqparast at plus money.

Parlayed with Nasrat Haqparast at plus money
"I think Jack Jenkins leg kicks which are lethal and he has stopped multiple fights with them are going to be the difference"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Big Brady picks Jack Jenkins, citing his technical striking and wrestling. He notes a red flag from Mariscal's fight with Sean Soriano, where Soriano outgrappled him. He thinks Jenkins can mix in takedowns and control the fight. He predicts a decision win.

"I think Jack Jenkins gets it done and I think Jack Jenkins gets it done by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Cody picks Jenkins, citing his superior wrestling, leg kicks, and technical striking. He notes that Mariscal's takedown defense is not yet developed and that Jenkins can exploit that. Cody expects Jenkins to win by decision, possibly a close one, and likes the Jenkins by decision prop.

Jenkins by decision (+160)
"I think Jenkins pulls away in this fight great fight fun fight I think he gets fight of the night but I think Jack Jenkins is just a little more Superior"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Daniel Levi picks Jack Jenkins confidently, highlighting his leg kicks that have broken three opponents' tibias. He also praises Jenkins' defensive responsibility, fight IQ, and ability to mix in takedowns. Levi believes Mariscal's brawling style will leave openings for Jenkins to land his shots. He expects Jenkins to take over in the second and third rounds, potentially getting a knockout or a decision.

Odds mentioned: Jenkins minus 200, Mariscal plus 170.
"I think that Jack Jenkins is just so much more technically sound so much more defensively responsible."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Jenkins is athletic, fast, with great wrestling and relentless calf kicking that destroys opponents' movement. He blends striking and wrestling well. Mariscal is a short-notice call-up who showed good wrestling but may have durability issues. Jenkins has physical advantages and should win by decision, with a small sprinkle on a KO prop due to Mariscal's potential chin issues.

small sprinkle on KO prop
"give me Jenkins and Jenkins by decision small sprinkle on a potential KO prop here in case mariscal's chin uh is still as flimsy as I believe it could be"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

Paul picks Jenkins but is leaning, noting that Jenkins should lean on his wrestling and make it ugly. He acknowledges that Mariscal is tough and durable, but believes Jenkins' wrestling and striking will be the difference. Paul sees this as a potential fight of the night.

"Jenkins will be the pick for I I imagine lean on the wrestling a little bit wear them down make it a little bit uh ugly don't turn it into a slobber knocker"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jack Jenkins

The MMA Guru picks Jack Jenkins over Chepe Mariscal, calling it a no-brainer. He notes that Jenkins is an extremely technical striker with a tight guard, while Mariscal is less technical. He acknowledges Mariscal's win over Trevor Peek but points out that Peek is a sloppy fighter. Jenkins has a close decision loss to Jamal Emmers but is active, having fought twice this year. He predicts Jenkins will win a competitive 29-28 decision, possibly losing the third round.

"I'm gonna go Jack Jenkins"