Career Averages - Chepe Mariscal
Career Averages - Jack Jenkins
Chepe Mariscal
Jack Jenkins
Chepe Mariscal - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Sabatini | 0 | 12 of 29 | 41% | 40 of 61 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 0 | 0 | 10:37 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 7 of 19 | 36% | 48 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:48 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pat Sabatini | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 8 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:39 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:33 | |
| 2 | Pat Sabatini | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 21 of 31 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:36 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 32 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 | |
| 3 | Pat Sabatini | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 11 of 15 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:22 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 11 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Sabatini | 12 of 29 | 41% | 10 of 24 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 9 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 7 of 19 | 36% | 2 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 13 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pat Sabatini | 4 of 11 | 36% | 3 of 7 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Pat Sabatini | 7 of 13 | 53% | 6 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 6 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 5 of 10 | 50% | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 2 | |
| 3 | Pat Sabatini | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal, praising his pressure, wrestling, and scrambling ability. He believes Chepe is the better striker and wrestler, and that Pat Sabatini's striking is stiff and he is chinny. Angelo is confident and placed a bet at -113, expecting the line to expand.
Big Brady picks Chepe Mariscal as a slight underdog, acknowledging a clear path for Sabatini via wrestling but favoring Mariscal's striking power. He notes Sabatini's questionable chin, having been knocked out by Damon Jackson and Diego Lopez, and believes Mariscal can exploit that. Brady sees Mariscal's judo as helpful in getting back to his feet and predicts a second-round knockout.
Cody picks Sabatini, noting that his grappling is elite and that Mariscal has been taken down by everyone. He believes Sabatini has learned from his knockout losses and will stick to wrestling. Cody thinks Sabatini can grind out a decision or possibly submit Mariscal. He is not fully confident but sees the path.
Connor also picks Mariscal, agreeing with Zane. He notes that Mariscal is one of the most fluidly offensively minded fighters and that Sabatini needs to dominate and stop the fight from happening, which he can't do against Mariscal. He thinks Mariscal's style is a nightmare for Sabatini.
Daniel sees this as a close fight and picks the underdog Mariscal to win again. He notes that Sabatini's chin is suspect and Mariscal's judo and wild style could keep the fight standing, where Sabatini is vulnerable. He expects a back-and-forth scrap that could end in a knockout for Mariscal.
Lucrative James picks Pat Sabatini to win, believing his elite grappling and top control will be too much for Mariscal. He notes Sabatini's improved control since their first fight and Mariscal's tendency to be taken down. He expects Sabatini to secure takedowns and control the fight on the ground, possibly winning by submission or decision.
Mariscal makes it look more dominant than their first fight. He scrambles and stays ahead of Sabatini, then overwhelms him on the feet leading to a TKO victory.
Paul leans towards Mariscal, noting that he is a better striker and has knockout power. He points out that Sabatini has been knocked out when he tries to strike. Paul thinks Mariscal could win by knockout if he keeps the fight standing. However, he acknowledges the risk of Sabatini's grappling and is not fully committed.
The Guru picks Chepe Mariscal, highlighting his pressure, volume, chin, and scrambling ability. He believes Mariscal's stocky frame will make him hard to hold down for Sabatini, who relies on control. The Guru also notes that judging trends may favor Mariscal if the fight is close. He predicts a late finish or decision win for Mariscal.
Zane picks Mariscal, noting that Mariscal is an excellent scrambler who never stops fighting and that Sabatini struggles to lock him down. He thinks the fight will be uncomfortable for Sabatini because Mariscal is fluid and creative in scrambles. He also notes that Mariscal has never been submitted and has a good chin.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 37 of 91 | 40% | 37 of 91 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 85 of 162 | 52% | 125 of 210 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 15 of 28 | 53% | 15 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 28 of 49 | 57% | 42 of 66 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 | |
| 2 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 8 of 24 | 33% | 8 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 42 of 67 | 62% | 49 of 76 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 | |
| 3 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 14 of 39 | 35% | 14 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 15 of 46 | 32% | 34 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 37 of 91 | 40% | 17 of 63 | 14 of 18 | 6 of 10 | 32 of 84 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 85 of 162 | 52% | 59 of 122 | 9 of 14 | 17 of 26 | 64 of 132 | 14 of 19 | 7 of 11 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 15 of 28 | 53% | 7 of 19 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 13 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 28 of 49 | 57% | 24 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 13 of 29 | 8 of 9 | 7 of 11 | |
| 2 | Ricardo Ramos | 8 of 24 | 33% | 5 of 18 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 42 of 67 | 62% | 29 of 52 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 12 | 38 of 63 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ricardo Ramos | 14 of 39 | 35% | 5 of 26 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 6 | 13 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Chepe Mariscal | 15 of 46 | 32% | 6 of 27 | 5 of 9 | 4 of 10 | 13 of 40 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal confidently, highlighting his relentless pressure, cardio, and well-rounded skills. He notes that Mariscal is not amazing at anything but his pace and forward movement wear opponents down. He sees the only path to victory for Ricardo Ramos as a slick submission, but believes Mariscal is too much of a dog to get caught.
Big Brady picks Chepe Mariscal, noting his heart, cardio, and durability. He criticizes Ricardo Ramos for lacking heart, cardio, and durability, and expects Mariscal to break him. He predicts a third-round TKO finish.
The host agrees with the public betting love for Mariscal, citing his high pace and superior overall grappling (wrestling and BJJ). He expects Mariscal to shut down Ramos's game, overwhelm him, and win on the scorecards.
The Guru picks Chepe Mariscal over Ricardo Ramos. He praises Mariscal's consistency, pace, chin, and ability to win scrambles. He criticizes Ramos as inconsistent and notes Mariscal is undefeated in the UFC. He predicts a finish, specifically a second or third round TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 32 of 49 | 65% | 49 of 72 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 1 | 4:18 |
| Damon Jackson | 0 | 73 of 100 | 73% | 218 of 267 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 0 | 2 | 8:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 18 of 27 | 66% | 23 of 38 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:37 |
| Damon Jackson | 0 | 25 of 37 | 67% | 53 of 69 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 | |
| 2 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 8 of 12 | 66% | 14 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:17 |
| Damon Jackson | 0 | 29 of 38 | 76% | 94 of 114 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:30 | |
| 3 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 6 of 10 | 60% | 12 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 1:24 |
| Damon Jackson | 0 | 19 of 25 | 76% | 71 of 84 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 2 | 2:56 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepe Mariscal | 32 of 49 | 65% | 5 of 16 | 26 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 15 | 27 of 34 | 0 of 0 |
| Damon Jackson | 73 of 100 | 73% | 59 of 86 | 13 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 18 | 17 of 21 | 48 of 61 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chepe Mariscal | 18 of 27 | 66% | 3 of 10 | 15 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 8 | 15 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Damon Jackson | 25 of 37 | 67% | 16 of 28 | 8 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 9 | 11 of 14 | 11 of 14 | |
| 2 | Chepe Mariscal | 8 of 12 | 66% | 0 of 2 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Damon Jackson | 29 of 38 | 76% | 26 of 35 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 25 of 31 | |
| 3 | Chepe Mariscal | 6 of 10 | 60% | 2 of 4 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Damon Jackson | 19 of 25 | 76% | 17 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 16 |
Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal because he is the more well-rounded fighter with BJJ, kickboxing, and wrestling credentials, and is a dog who won't break. However, he is hesitant because Chepe is a favorite for the first time, his wins have been close, and Damon Jackson with a new hair transplant has been the best version of himself. He warns not to overexpose on Chepe.
Cody picks Mariscal because he is more durable, has a cast iron chin, judo black belt, trains at altitude with top fighters, and has good takedown defense. He notes Jackson needs to finish early and tends to gas, while Mariscal's forward pressure and volume will wear him down. Cody suggests a possible third-round finish.
Mariscal has a high work rate, good scrambling, and cardio that should overwhelm Jackson as the fight goes on. Jackson is dangerous early with submissions, but if he doesn't finish, Mariscal will take over in rounds two and three. The prediction is Mariscal by decision, with a possible third-round finish.
Paul echoes Cody's sentiments, highlighting Mariscal's activity, striking with ill intent, and ability to get back to his feet. He notes Jackson's history of gassing and that Mariscal has the dog in him. Paul also jokes about Jackson's new hair plugs giving him confidence.
The MMA Guru picks Chepe Mariscal, comparing him to a slightly worse Dan Ige. He highlights Mariscal's scrambling ability, pressure, and striking advantage over Damon Jackson. He notes Jackson's grappling threat but believes Mariscal's 'ball of muscle' physique and urgency in scrambles will neutralize it. He also jokes about hairline envy affecting Jackson.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 49 of 104 | 47% | 75 of 139 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 | 1 | 3:42 |
| Morgan Charrière | 0 | 71 of 137 | 51% | 121 of 199 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 | 1 | 3:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 10 of 24 | 41% | 19 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0:57 |
| Morgan Charrière | 0 | 16 of 29 | 55% | 25 of 44 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 2:30 | |
| 2 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 33 of 61 | 54% | 35 of 63 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Morgan Charrière | 0 | 32 of 67 | 47% | 32 of 67 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 3 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 6 of 19 | 31% | 21 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:21 |
| Morgan Charrière | 0 | 23 of 41 | 56% | 64 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepe Mariscal | 49 of 104 | 47% | 30 of 83 | 16 of 17 | 3 of 4 | 45 of 98 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Morgan Charrière | 71 of 137 | 51% | 42 of 94 | 10 of 19 | 19 of 24 | 50 of 110 | 12 of 17 | 9 of 10 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chepe Mariscal | 10 of 24 | 41% | 7 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 19 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Morgan Charrière | 16 of 29 | 55% | 5 of 14 | 2 of 5 | 9 of 10 | 7 of 16 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Chepe Mariscal | 33 of 61 | 54% | 20 of 48 | 11 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 32 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Morgan Charrière | 32 of 67 | 47% | 19 of 46 | 5 of 10 | 8 of 11 | 29 of 63 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Chepe Mariscal | 6 of 19 | 31% | 3 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Morgan Charrière | 23 of 41 | 56% | 18 of 34 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 14 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 9 |
Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal because he has been an underdog in all three UFC fights and is 2-0, showing he is tough, can pressure, and wrestle. He believes Chepe will make the fight ugly and grind out Morgan Charrière. Angelo notes that Chepe is currently a +145 dog and expects the line to move, so he plans to bet on Chepe soon. He mentions Chepe's BJJ championship, kickboxing credentials, and collegiate wrestling as reasons for his confidence.
Big Brady picks Morgan Charrière to win by decision. He notes that Charrière is good everywhere, a really good striker and wrestler with vicious ground and pound. He acknowledges that Mariscal is tough and has the dog in him, but thinks Charrière has more ways to win and will be slightly better wherever the fight goes. He expects a back-and-forth war that goes to a split decision.
Cody agrees with Paul, noting that Chepe has fought tougher competition outside the UFC, including Gregor Gillespie and Bryce Mitchell. He highlights Chepe's constant work rate, durability, and takedown game. Cody thinks Charrière's low output and tendency to fight close decisions make him a bad favorite, and that Chepe's pressure will earn him the win.
Daniel Vreeland picks Chepe Mariscal, citing his toughness and Judo background. He notes Morgan Charrière is more athletic and powerful but has low output and close decisions against lesser competition. Vreeland points out Mariscal's win over Jack Jenkins was dominant, not a fluke injury, and his regional wins over UFC-level fighters like Yousef Zalal and Pat Sabatini. He expects a close fight but favors Mariscal's forward pressure and willingness to exchange.
Mariscal is more battle-tested with higher output and volume. Charrière is more hype than talent, with cardio issues and a low pace. Mariscal can mix in grappling and striking, and his durability has held up. He should outwork Charrière and win by decision, with a possible late stoppage.
Paul is confident in Chepe Mariscal at plus money. He criticizes Charrière's low-volume, counter-heavy style and notes his record is full of split decisions. Chepe is aggressive, has good durability, cardio from training at altitude, and mixes in takedowns. Paul believes Chepe's constant work rate will overwhelm Charrière, especially in the Apex where judges favor damage and volume.
The host expresses personal dislike for Charrière due to UFC signing him over Paul Hughes and Jordan Vucenic, but acknowledges Charrière is good. He notes Charrière's power, dangerous striking, great kicks, finishing instincts, and strong takedown defense. He predicts Charrière will smoke Mariscal by TKO, despite Mariscal's scrappy win over Trevor Peek.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 41 of 68 | 60% | 43 of 70 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Jack Jenkins | 0 | 38 of 87 | 43% | 87 of 143 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 31 of 50 | 62% | 33 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jack Jenkins | 0 | 23 of 60 | 38% | 38 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:27 | |
| 2 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 10 of 18 | 55% | 10 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Jack Jenkins | 0 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 49 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepe Mariscal | 41 of 68 | 60% | 16 of 36 | 13 of 18 | 12 of 14 | 35 of 60 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Jack Jenkins | 38 of 87 | 43% | 14 of 53 | 11 of 16 | 13 of 18 | 23 of 65 | 14 of 21 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chepe Mariscal | 31 of 50 | 62% | 14 of 27 | 7 of 11 | 10 of 12 | 29 of 47 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jack Jenkins | 23 of 60 | 38% | 10 of 41 | 8 of 11 | 5 of 8 | 18 of 52 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Chepe Mariscal | 10 of 18 | 55% | 2 of 9 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Jack Jenkins | 15 of 27 | 55% | 4 of 12 | 3 of 5 | 8 of 10 | 5 of 13 | 9 of 13 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Jack Jenkins, citing his lethal leg kicks as the difference. He notes that Chepe Mariscal is a two-to-one underdog with great wrestling and striking, but Jack's leg kicks will take away Chepe's movement and takedown ability. Angelo has parlayed Jack Jenkins with Nasrat Haqparast at plus money.
Big Brady picks Jack Jenkins, citing his technical striking and wrestling. He notes a red flag from Mariscal's fight with Sean Soriano, where Soriano outgrappled him. He thinks Jenkins can mix in takedowns and control the fight. He predicts a decision win.
Cody picks Jenkins, citing his superior wrestling, leg kicks, and technical striking. He notes that Mariscal's takedown defense is not yet developed and that Jenkins can exploit that. Cody expects Jenkins to win by decision, possibly a close one, and likes the Jenkins by decision prop.
Daniel Levi picks Jack Jenkins confidently, highlighting his leg kicks that have broken three opponents' tibias. He also praises Jenkins' defensive responsibility, fight IQ, and ability to mix in takedowns. Levi believes Mariscal's brawling style will leave openings for Jenkins to land his shots. He expects Jenkins to take over in the second and third rounds, potentially getting a knockout or a decision.
Jenkins is athletic, fast, with great wrestling and relentless calf kicking that destroys opponents' movement. He blends striking and wrestling well. Mariscal is a short-notice call-up who showed good wrestling but may have durability issues. Jenkins has physical advantages and should win by decision, with a small sprinkle on a KO prop due to Mariscal's potential chin issues.
Paul picks Jenkins but is leaning, noting that Jenkins should lean on his wrestling and make it ugly. He acknowledges that Mariscal is tough and durable, but believes Jenkins' wrestling and striking will be the difference. Paul sees this as a potential fight of the night.
The MMA Guru picks Jack Jenkins over Chepe Mariscal, calling it a no-brainer. He notes that Jenkins is an extremely technical striker with a tight guard, while Mariscal is less technical. He acknowledges Mariscal's win over Trevor Peek but points out that Peek is a sloppy fighter. Jenkins has a close decision loss to Jamal Emmers but is active, having fought twice this year. He predicts Jenkins will win a competitive 29-28 decision, possibly losing the third round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 51 of 125 | 40% | 65 of 140 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:23 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 71 of 117 | 60% | 145 of 203 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 1 | 1 | 5:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 24 of 59 | 40% | 29 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 26 of 51 | 50% | 45 of 71 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 1 | 0 | 1:49 | |
| 2 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 13 of 22 | 59% | 16 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:52 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 12 of 17 | 70% | 44 of 54 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 2:33 | |
| 3 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 14 of 44 | 31% | 20 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 33 of 49 | 67% | 56 of 78 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepe Mariscal | 51 of 125 | 40% | 25 of 91 | 23 of 31 | 3 of 3 | 39 of 105 | 12 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 71 of 117 | 60% | 51 of 94 | 11 of 14 | 9 of 9 | 41 of 78 | 20 of 23 | 10 of 16 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chepe Mariscal | 24 of 59 | 40% | 14 of 45 | 8 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 50 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 26 of 51 | 50% | 18 of 41 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 32 | 7 of 8 | 7 of 11 | |
| 2 | Chepe Mariscal | 13 of 22 | 59% | 6 of 12 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 12 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 12 of 17 | 70% | 6 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 5 | |
| 3 | Chepe Mariscal | 14 of 44 | 31% | 5 of 34 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 33 of 49 | 67% | 27 of 42 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 25 of 40 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal, citing his superior experience and skills. He notes Chepe is a fantastic grappler who can duck under Trevor Peek's chaos and get takedowns. He mentions the line has moved from +170 to +155 and he has a quarter unit on Chepe at +155. He also strongly recommends the 'does not go the distance' prop as a safer bet.
Big Brady picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging that Mariscal is probably the better fighter with tougher competition. He compares it to the Torres-Moda fight where the better striker lost to a big shot. He trusts Peek's chin and toughness, noting Peek took a beating on the Contender Series and came back to finish. He also notes Mariscal is moving up a weight class on short notice. He predicts a first-round knockout.
Cody picks Peek, citing his durability and power. He thinks Peek's pressure will eventually overwhelm Mariscal, who has questionable durability. He notes Peek's size advantage and the rumor of a quick turnaround if he wins.
Connor picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging he is a terrible technician. He loves Peek's insane confidence and recklessness, which makes him effective. Connor notes that Peek is a great athlete with fast and powerful strikes, and his chaotic style overwhelms opponents. He thinks Mariscal is not technical enough to cross that confidence and will get drawn into a messy brawl. Connor admits he will keep picking Peek until and probably after he loses because he enjoys watching him fight.
Daniel Levi picks Trevor Peek, citing his physicality, power, and ability to take a shot. He thinks Mariscal is smaller and has been knocked out before. He believes Peek's brute strength and fight-changing power will be too much, especially as the fight goes on. He notes Peek's improved training after quitting his job.
The host picks Chepe Mariscal to win, possibly by finish. He believes Mariscal is more experienced and talented overall, with a solid grappling and striking game. He notes Peek's brawling style and durability but thinks Mariscal can take advantage of Peek's aggression. He suggests the fight doesn't go to decision as a prop, but is cautious about Mariscal's durability.
Paul leans towards Mariscal, citing his technical kickboxing and speed. He thinks Mariscal can outpoint Peek and avoid his power. He acknowledges Peek's toughness but believes Mariscal's technique will prevail.
The Guru picks Trevor Peek, calling him the 'Derek Lewis of the lightweight division' with good get-ups from takedowns and dangerous first-round power. He believes Mariscal, making his UFC debut on short notice, may have octagon jitters and get smoked. He predicts Peek will march forward, get up from takedowns, and finish with a standing hammerfist.
Zane picks Mariscal, reasoning that while Peek is fun to watch, his technique is terrible and he is a bad fighter. Zane notes that Mariscal has more technique and is always on the borderline of throwing it all away to brawl, but that inconsistency is a problem. However, Zane thinks Mariscal's ability to be a messy scrapper who can overwhelm opponents gives him the edge. He acknowledges that Peek's confidence and athleticism make him dangerous, but ultimately believes Mariscal's slightly better technique will prevail.
Jack Jenkins - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Jenkins | 0 | 65 of 109 | 59% | 73 of 123 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 3:58 |
| Ramon Taveras | 0 | 43 of 113 | 38% | 68 of 142 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:39 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Jenkins | 0 | 32 of 56 | 57% | 32 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ramon Taveras | 0 | 16 of 43 | 37% | 16 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Jack Jenkins | 0 | 29 of 42 | 69% | 29 of 43 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:04 |
| Ramon Taveras | 0 | 20 of 58 | 34% | 30 of 68 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 | |
| 3 | Jack Jenkins | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 12 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 2:54 |
| Ramon Taveras | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 22 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Jenkins | 65 of 109 | 59% | 29 of 68 | 16 of 21 | 20 of 20 | 58 of 95 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 9 |
| Ramon Taveras | 43 of 113 | 38% | 36 of 98 | 6 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 38 of 106 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Jenkins | 32 of 56 | 57% | 14 of 33 | 11 of 16 | 7 of 7 | 29 of 52 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Ramon Taveras | 16 of 43 | 37% | 11 of 34 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 16 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jack Jenkins | 29 of 42 | 69% | 12 of 25 | 5 of 5 | 12 of 12 | 28 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ramon Taveras | 20 of 58 | 34% | 18 of 52 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jack Jenkins | 4 of 11 | 36% | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 9 |
| Ramon Taveras | 7 of 12 | 58% | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
Angelo picks Jack Jenkins despite thinking he is overrated, because he believes Jenkins can win with forward pressure and volume, similar to how Davy Grant beat Taveras. He notes Taveras chases overhands and power, which Jenkins can counter. He attributes the line collapse to Jenkins' ironic mustache, not his skills.
Big Brady picks Jack Jenkins to win by decision. He notes Jenkins has more tools, including leg kicks that will target Taveras's lead leg. He also mentions Jenkins can mix in takedowns. He thinks the line is a bit wide but still expects Jenkins to win at home.
Cody picks Jenkins, citing his devastating leg kicks that will slow Taveras down over time. He notes Taveras is a better boxer but flat-footed and has no takedown attempts in his UFC career, making him vulnerable to Jenkins' kicks and potential wrestling. He also mentions Taveras missed weight in past fights and is traveling to Perth, which could affect his performance.
Connor also picks Jenkins, agreeing that Taveras is a good matchup for him. He notes that Taveras is an expert at letting things happen to him and has a big head, making him easy to hit. Connor thinks Jenkins's low kicks and counter punching will be effective, and that Taveras's toughness won't be enough to overcome Jenkins's advantages. He cautions that Jenkins's game is thin, but Taveras is not the kind of fighter to expose it.
James has not done tape study on this fight and passes on making a pick. He mentions he likes Jack Jenkins as a fighter but does not provide a prediction.
The host notes Taveras is moving up to 145 lbs after weight issues at 135. He thinks Taveras will struggle against Jenkins' calf kicking and grappling game, keeping Taveras on the defensive and leading to a decision win for Jenkins.
The Guru picks Jack Jenkins, citing his ability to break bones with strikes and his kicking game. He notes Taveras is moving up from bantamweight and has been victimized by kicks before. He expects a sustained beating leading to a TKO in round two or three.
Zane picks Jenkins confidently, noting that Taveras has trouble with low kicks and has a big head that is easy to punch. He believes Jenkins's crushing low kicks and top game will be too much for Taveras, who is tough but not skilled enough to deter Jenkins. Zane expects Jenkins to look great in this fight, though he acknowledges Jenkins's game is narrow and he struggles against fighters who can control distance.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Jenkins | 1 | 34 of 48 | 70% | 39 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:20 |
| Gabriel Santos | 0 | 39 of 61 | 63% | 96 of 123 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 2 | 0 | 6:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Jenkins | 1 | 28 of 36 | 77% | 33 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:17 |
| Gabriel Santos | 0 | 9 of 20 | 45% | 22 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:50 | |
| 2 | Jack Jenkins | 0 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 5 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Gabriel Santos | 0 | 24 of 32 | 75% | 58 of 69 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:48 | |
| 3 | Jack Jenkins | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabriel Santos | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 16 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 1:41 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Jenkins | 34 of 48 | 70% | 22 of 35 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 7 | 13 of 22 | 5 of 6 | 16 of 20 |
| Gabriel Santos | 39 of 61 | 63% | 26 of 44 | 6 of 9 | 7 of 8 | 23 of 45 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 13 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Jenkins | 28 of 36 | 77% | 19 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 7 of 10 | 5 of 6 | 16 of 20 |
| Gabriel Santos | 9 of 20 | 45% | 3 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jack Jenkins | 5 of 11 | 45% | 2 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Santos | 24 of 32 | 75% | 19 of 25 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 12 | |
| 3 | Jack Jenkins | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Santos | 6 of 9 | 66% | 4 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady is a big fan of Gabriel Santos, believing he is much better than his 1-2 UFC record indicates. He notes Santos's well-rounded skills, power, and BJJ black belt. He thinks Santos has a significant grappling advantage over Jack Jenkins, who was taken down and controlled by Jamal Emmers. Brady predicts Santos will win a decision, possibly with a submission.
Santos is considered the better fighter, slicker with Muay Thai and more aggressive with BJJ. His Muay Thai will allow him to check Jenkins' kicks and counter with straight shots. The fight is expected to go to decision with Santos winning.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Jenkins | 2 | 73 of 126 | 57% | 98 of 152 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:44 |
| Herbert Burns | 0 | 24 of 79 | 30% | 45 of 101 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 1:54 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Jenkins | 0 | 39 of 66 | 59% | 53 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Herbert Burns | 0 | 15 of 53 | 28% | 28 of 66 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:09 | |
| 2 | Jack Jenkins | 1 | 20 of 38 | 52% | 31 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:15 |
| Herbert Burns | 0 | 6 of 23 | 26% | 14 of 32 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0:45 | |
| 3 | Jack Jenkins | 1 | 14 of 22 | 63% | 14 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Herbert Burns | 0 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Jenkins | 73 of 126 | 57% | 44 of 95 | 15 of 15 | 14 of 16 | 59 of 99 | 0 of 1 | 14 of 26 |
| Herbert Burns | 24 of 79 | 30% | 11 of 61 | 7 of 10 | 6 of 8 | 21 of 73 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Jenkins | 39 of 66 | 59% | 24 of 51 | 11 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 39 of 65 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Herbert Burns | 15 of 53 | 28% | 8 of 43 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 4 | 14 of 51 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jack Jenkins | 20 of 38 | 52% | 8 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 11 | 14 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 12 |
| Herbert Burns | 6 of 23 | 26% | 2 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 2 | |
| 3 | Jack Jenkins | 14 of 22 | 63% | 12 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 |
| Herbert Burns | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is confident Jack Jenkins will win, citing his superior striking, takedown defense, and multiple ways to win. He dismisses Herbert Burns as a submission-or-bust fighter with poor offensive wrestling who seems to hate fighting. Angelo expects Jenkins to light Burns up on the feet and suggests parlaying him before the odds get even shorter.
Big Brady picks Jack Jenkins to win by second-round knockout. He notes Herbert Burns is very dangerous in the first five minutes but has poor cardio, heart, and durability, and has been knocked out in the second round in his last three losses. He believes Jenkins can survive the first round, possibly in bad spots, and then finish Burns in the second. He cautions that Jenkins has been finished in all three of his losses, so Burns has a five-minute window to submit him, but overall he expects Jenkins to get the knockout.
Cody is confident Jenkins will win but notes the price is blown out. He expects Jenkins to survive the first round and then take over as Burns gasses. He mentions Jenkins' leg kicks and cardio as advantages, but warns that Burns has a puncher's chance early. Cody suggests live betting Jenkins after the first round.
Daniel Vreeland picks Jack Jenkins to win by late finish, likely in round two or three. He notes that Jenkins is a systematic leg kicker who will chop Burns down, while Burns gasses and has been finished repeatedly. Vreeland suggests playing Jenkins round two as a hedge against the under 1.5 rounds.
The host picks Jenkins, noting his solid striking and mixing of martial arts. He expects Jenkins to avoid Burns' early power and then put a pace on him, finishing him likely by knockout. He mentions the under 1.5 rounds prop as a potential bet, and notes Jenkins' round 2 prop at +550.
Paul acknowledges Jenkins is not a potent finisher but believes he will outlast Burns, who has terrible cardio. He notes that Burns has been submitted in his last two and that Jenkins has never been knocked out. Paul calls it a cop-out but picks Jenkins, though he is priced out of betting.
The MMA Guru picks Jack Jenkins over Herbert Burns. He criticizes Burns as a quitter with only one round of cardio, comparing him to Makwan Amirkhani. He praises Jenkins' takedown defense, noting his strong hips and foot positioning. He predicts Burns will have early moments but gas out and get finished in the second or third round, possibly by TKO. He also mentions body kicks on the ground as a potential finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 41 of 68 | 60% | 43 of 70 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Jack Jenkins | 0 | 38 of 87 | 43% | 87 of 143 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 31 of 50 | 62% | 33 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jack Jenkins | 0 | 23 of 60 | 38% | 38 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:27 | |
| 2 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 10 of 18 | 55% | 10 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Jack Jenkins | 0 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 49 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepe Mariscal | 41 of 68 | 60% | 16 of 36 | 13 of 18 | 12 of 14 | 35 of 60 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Jack Jenkins | 38 of 87 | 43% | 14 of 53 | 11 of 16 | 13 of 18 | 23 of 65 | 14 of 21 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chepe Mariscal | 31 of 50 | 62% | 14 of 27 | 7 of 11 | 10 of 12 | 29 of 47 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jack Jenkins | 23 of 60 | 38% | 10 of 41 | 8 of 11 | 5 of 8 | 18 of 52 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Chepe Mariscal | 10 of 18 | 55% | 2 of 9 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Jack Jenkins | 15 of 27 | 55% | 4 of 12 | 3 of 5 | 8 of 10 | 5 of 13 | 9 of 13 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Jack Jenkins, citing his lethal leg kicks as the difference. He notes that Chepe Mariscal is a two-to-one underdog with great wrestling and striking, but Jack's leg kicks will take away Chepe's movement and takedown ability. Angelo has parlayed Jack Jenkins with Nasrat Haqparast at plus money.
Big Brady picks Jack Jenkins, citing his technical striking and wrestling. He notes a red flag from Mariscal's fight with Sean Soriano, where Soriano outgrappled him. He thinks Jenkins can mix in takedowns and control the fight. He predicts a decision win.
Cody picks Jenkins, citing his superior wrestling, leg kicks, and technical striking. He notes that Mariscal's takedown defense is not yet developed and that Jenkins can exploit that. Cody expects Jenkins to win by decision, possibly a close one, and likes the Jenkins by decision prop.
Daniel Levi picks Jack Jenkins confidently, highlighting his leg kicks that have broken three opponents' tibias. He also praises Jenkins' defensive responsibility, fight IQ, and ability to mix in takedowns. Levi believes Mariscal's brawling style will leave openings for Jenkins to land his shots. He expects Jenkins to take over in the second and third rounds, potentially getting a knockout or a decision.
Jenkins is athletic, fast, with great wrestling and relentless calf kicking that destroys opponents' movement. He blends striking and wrestling well. Mariscal is a short-notice call-up who showed good wrestling but may have durability issues. Jenkins has physical advantages and should win by decision, with a small sprinkle on a KO prop due to Mariscal's potential chin issues.
Paul picks Jenkins but is leaning, noting that Jenkins should lean on his wrestling and make it ugly. He acknowledges that Mariscal is tough and durable, but believes Jenkins' wrestling and striking will be the difference. Paul sees this as a potential fight of the night.
The MMA Guru picks Jack Jenkins over Chepe Mariscal, calling it a no-brainer. He notes that Jenkins is an extremely technical striker with a tight guard, while Mariscal is less technical. He acknowledges Mariscal's win over Trevor Peek but points out that Peek is a sloppy fighter. Jenkins has a close decision loss to Jamal Emmers but is active, having fought twice this year. He predicts Jenkins will win a competitive 29-28 decision, possibly losing the third round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Jenkins | 0 | 57 of 155 | 36% | 76 of 185 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 2 | 4:17 |
| Jamall Emmers | 0 | 59 of 119 | 49% | 85 of 154 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Jenkins | 0 | 21 of 69 | 30% | 21 of 69 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jamall Emmers | 0 | 20 of 40 | 50% | 20 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jack Jenkins | 0 | 28 of 71 | 39% | 29 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:08 |
| Jamall Emmers | 0 | 31 of 61 | 50% | 31 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 3 | Jack Jenkins | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 26 of 43 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 1 | 4:09 |
| Jamall Emmers | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 34 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Jenkins | 57 of 155 | 36% | 26 of 98 | 18 of 38 | 13 of 19 | 51 of 146 | 1 of 3 | 5 of 6 |
| Jamall Emmers | 59 of 119 | 49% | 26 of 67 | 14 of 21 | 19 of 31 | 53 of 110 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Jenkins | 21 of 69 | 30% | 6 of 40 | 10 of 21 | 5 of 8 | 20 of 67 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamall Emmers | 20 of 40 | 50% | 8 of 20 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 11 | 19 of 38 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jack Jenkins | 28 of 71 | 39% | 13 of 44 | 7 of 16 | 8 of 11 | 27 of 70 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Jamall Emmers | 31 of 61 | 50% | 12 of 32 | 6 of 11 | 13 of 18 | 31 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jack Jenkins | 8 of 15 | 53% | 7 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 5 |
| Jamall Emmers | 8 of 18 | 44% | 6 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 |
Angelo gives a slight lean to Jamall Emmers due to his 100% takedown defense. He acknowledges Jack Jenkins is a real prospect with power and leg kicks, but notes Jenkins has low IQ moments where he grapples when he shouldn't. He expects a decision and suggests the best bet might be Jack Jenkins at +3.5 points (buying a round).
Big Brady picks Jamall Emmers but is hesitant due to Emmers' poor fight IQ, citing examples like striking with Giga Chikadze instead of wrestling and getting injured against Pat Sabatini. He acknowledges Emmers' talent and well-rounded skills, including a significant reach advantage. He believes Emmers can win if he fights smart, but warns against betting on him at -210. He predicts a decision victory.
Cody picks Jenkins, agreeing with Paul. He notes Emmers's poor decisions and inactivity, and thinks Jenkins can win a striking battle. He expects a decision.
Connor picks Jenkins, impressed by his low-kicking and combination punching. He notes that Jenkins creatively sets up low kicks from various angles and uses them to set up hands and body punches. Connor thinks Emmers will struggle with Jenkins' low kicks because Emmers doesn't have a way to block or protect his leg. He also notes that Emmers' boxing is very Bobby Green-like, relying on sliding away and not sitting down on punches, which could make him hard to track but also leaves his leg exposed. Connor believes Jenkins' intuitive scrambling and ground game are also advantages.
Daniel Levi picks Jamall Emmers, citing his experience, length, and well-rounded game. He notes Emmers's wrestling and striking, and his ability to mix them. He acknowledges Jenkins's leg kicks and potential but thinks Emmers is ahead at this stage. He is not betting at -210 but picks Emmers.
The host picks Jamall Emmers to win by decision. He believes Emmers has the speed and striking advantage, and if he uses his fight IQ, he can stuff takedowns and pick Jenkins apart. He notes Jenkins is a good prospect but thinks this is a step up too far. He would only take Emmers around -150, but thinks he wins.
Paul picks Jenkins, citing Emmers's questionable fight IQ and inactivity. He thinks Jenkins can outbox him and that Emmers may not use his wrestling. He notes the plus money is attractive.
The Guru picks Jamall Emmers, citing his experience against top competition and reach advantage. He feels Jack Jenkins' win over Don Shainis was unimpressive and that Emmers, after shaking off rust, will perform better. He predicts Emmers will keep the fight at range and win a 2-1 decision, with Jenkins having moments inside but too little too late.
Zane agrees with Connor, picking Jenkins. He notes that Jenkins' low-kicking and combination punching are excellent, and he creatively sets up low kicks from various angles. Zane thinks Emmers will struggle with Jenkins' low kicks because Emmers doesn't have a way to block or protect his leg. He also notes that Emmers' boxing is very Bobby Green-like, relying on sliding away and not sitting down on punches, which could make him hard to track but also leaves his leg exposed. Zane believes Jenkins' intuitive scrambling and ground game are also advantages.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Jenkins | 0 | 82 of 123 | 66% | 100 of 150 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 6:00 |
| Don Shainis | 0 | 50 of 102 | 49% | 128 of 187 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 2 | 2 | 2:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Jenkins | 0 | 34 of 59 | 57% | 35 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Don Shainis | 0 | 25 of 55 | 45% | 28 of 58 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 | |
| 2 | Jack Jenkins | 0 | 23 of 33 | 69% | 25 of 35 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:59 |
| Don Shainis | 0 | 15 of 28 | 53% | 58 of 74 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 2 | 1:30 | |
| 3 | Jack Jenkins | 0 | 25 of 31 | 80% | 40 of 55 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:01 |
| Don Shainis | 0 | 10 of 19 | 52% | 42 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Jenkins | 82 of 123 | 66% | 45 of 81 | 23 of 26 | 14 of 16 | 53 of 90 | 21 of 24 | 8 of 9 |
| Don Shainis | 50 of 102 | 49% | 26 of 68 | 17 of 23 | 7 of 11 | 29 of 73 | 14 of 21 | 7 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Jenkins | 34 of 59 | 57% | 13 of 35 | 12 of 13 | 9 of 11 | 24 of 49 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Don Shainis | 25 of 55 | 45% | 9 of 34 | 11 of 13 | 5 of 8 | 16 of 43 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jack Jenkins | 23 of 33 | 69% | 11 of 19 | 8 of 10 | 4 of 4 | 14 of 21 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Don Shainis | 15 of 28 | 53% | 10 of 19 | 3 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 14 | 4 of 8 | 5 of 6 | |
| 3 | Jack Jenkins | 25 of 31 | 80% | 21 of 27 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 9 |
| Don Shainis | 10 of 19 | 52% | 7 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
Angelo picks Jack Jenkins, describing him as a powerful striker with multiple tools, though he notes Jenkins can be stiff and doesn't flow smoothly between striking and grappling. He believes Jenkins' power and leg kicks will be too much for Don Shainis, who is tough but limited. He considers it a safe bet but wants to see Jenkins mix his skills more.
Big Brady thinks Jenkins is a solid fighter with good striking and wrestling. He expects Shainis to come out aggressively but fade, and Jenkins to take over. He predicts a decision win for Jenkins, noting Shainis's low level of competition.
Cody is confident Jenkins wins, citing his pressure, wrestling, and cardio. He notes Shainis was submitted quickly by Sadiq Yusuff and doesn't have the skills to hang. He thinks Jenkins will wear him down with leg kicks and takedowns, likely winning inside the distance or by decision. He took Jenkins over 2 takedowns on PrizePicks.
Connor picks Jenkins, agreeing that Shainis is easily swept and has no control in grappling. He notes that Shainis is gritty but everything is on the razor's edge, and that Jenkins' wrestling, though flawed, will be enough to take Shainis down and control him.
Jenkins is the more complete fighter with superior striking and grappling. Shainis was finished quickly by Sadiq Yusuf in his UFC debut. Jenkins' top pressure and ground-and-pound will be dominant. Shainis may have some success with calf kicks, but Jenkins will take him down and control the fight. Jenkins' cardio allows him to maintain pressure for 15 minutes. He should win a dominant decision, though a finish is possible.
Paul picks Jenkins, noting Shainis's poor UFC debut and lack of a well-rounded game. He thinks Jenkins' leg kicks and wrestling will be too much. He mentions Jenkins is not a finisher but should control the fight.
The MMA Guru picks Jack Jenkins over Don Shainis, criticizing Shainis's record and noting his loss to Jay Ellis as a sign of low level. He believes Jenkins is fundamentally sound and patient, and will finish Shainis in the third round by TKO, matching his contender series performance.
Zane picks Jenkins, describing him as a ground-and-pound specialist with a sticky scrambling style. He notes that Jenkins has a limited game but that Shainis loves getting out-grappled and has poor control. Zane expects Jenkins to get to his spots and flatten Shainis on the ground, despite Jenkins' terrible shot and lack of striking.
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Jack Jenkins, citing his lethal leg kicks as the difference. He notes that Chepe Mariscal is a two-to-one underdog with great wrestling and striking, but Jack's leg kicks will take away Chepe's movement and takedown ability. Angelo has parlayed Jack Jenkins with Nasrat Haqparast at plus money.
Big Brady picks Jack Jenkins, citing his technical striking and wrestling. He notes a red flag from Mariscal's fight with Sean Soriano, where Soriano outgrappled him. He thinks Jenkins can mix in takedowns and control the fight. He predicts a decision win.
Cody picks Jenkins, citing his superior wrestling, leg kicks, and technical striking. He notes that Mariscal's takedown defense is not yet developed and that Jenkins can exploit that. Cody expects Jenkins to win by decision, possibly a close one, and likes the Jenkins by decision prop.
Daniel Levi picks Jack Jenkins confidently, highlighting his leg kicks that have broken three opponents' tibias. He also praises Jenkins' defensive responsibility, fight IQ, and ability to mix in takedowns. Levi believes Mariscal's brawling style will leave openings for Jenkins to land his shots. He expects Jenkins to take over in the second and third rounds, potentially getting a knockout or a decision.
Jenkins is athletic, fast, with great wrestling and relentless calf kicking that destroys opponents' movement. He blends striking and wrestling well. Mariscal is a short-notice call-up who showed good wrestling but may have durability issues. Jenkins has physical advantages and should win by decision, with a small sprinkle on a KO prop due to Mariscal's potential chin issues.
Paul picks Jenkins but is leaning, noting that Jenkins should lean on his wrestling and make it ugly. He acknowledges that Mariscal is tough and durable, but believes Jenkins' wrestling and striking will be the difference. Paul sees this as a potential fight of the night.
The MMA Guru picks Jack Jenkins over Chepe Mariscal, calling it a no-brainer. He notes that Jenkins is an extremely technical striker with a tight guard, while Mariscal is less technical. He acknowledges Mariscal's win over Trevor Peek but points out that Peek is a sloppy fighter. Jenkins has a close decision loss to Jamal Emmers but is active, having fought twice this year. He predicts Jenkins will win a competitive 29-28 decision, possibly losing the third round.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!