Career Averages - Arman Tsarukyan
Career Averages - Joaquim Silva
Arman Tsarukyan
Joaquim Silva
Arman Tsarukyan - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 42 of 60 | 70% | 69 of 89 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 6:02 |
| Dan Hooker | 0 | 10 of 33 | 30% | 17 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 19 of 30 | 63% | 32 of 45 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:16 |
| Dan Hooker | 0 | 5 of 20 | 25% | 9 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 2 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 23 of 30 | 76% | 37 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:46 |
| Dan Hooker | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 42 of 60 | 70% | 33 of 49 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 6 | 18 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 27 |
| Dan Hooker | 10 of 33 | 30% | 3 of 20 | 6 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 30 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 19 of 30 | 63% | 12 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 15 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Dan Hooker | 5 of 20 | 25% | 2 of 13 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 17 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Arman Tsarukyan | 23 of 30 | 76% | 21 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 25 |
| Dan Hooker | 5 of 13 | 38% | 1 of 7 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans Arman Tsarukyan over Dan Hooker, but calls the -550 odds insane. He notes Tsarukyan's wrestling and striking are elite, but Hooker has heart and takedown defense, as seen against Gamrot. Tsarukyan should get takedowns and control Hooker, but Hooker could make it a dogfight. Angelo suggests Hooker at +5.5 is a decent bet.
Big Brady picks Arman Tsarukyan (Magomed Ankalaev) by third-round KO, citing his championship caliber and youth. He notes Hooker's struggles against top competition and expects Ankalaev to finish him via TKO on the mat or a big shot on the feet.
Cody picks Arman Tsarukyan but is hesitant due to the betting line. He notes Arman has the grappling edge and is younger, but Dan Hooker thrives in five-round fights and has a decent get-up game. Cody worries about Arman's past fatigue and the possibility of judges favoring damage over control time in Qatar. He suggests hedging after the first round if Hooker is still competitive.
Connor picks Tsarukyan as a knee-jerk reaction, citing his elite grappling and top control. He notes Hooker's vulnerability to early finishes and slow starts, but acknowledges Hooker's toughness and 25% chance of a KO. Connor emphasizes Tsarukyan's bullying style and potential to finish quickly on the ground.
Lucrative James picks Arman Tsarukyan despite rooting for Dan Hooker. He cites Arman's elite wrestling as the key factor, noting Hooker's historical struggles with grapplers. He mentions Arman's age advantage (29 vs 35), recent training with the Russian Olympic wrestling team, and improved submission game. He also notes Hooker's inactivity and hand surgery concerns. However, he acknowledges Hooker's dangerous striking and hopes for an upset.
Tsarukyan is a top lightweight with elite wrestling and cardio. Hooker is durable but has taken a lot of damage. Tsarukyan should dominate with grappling and pressure, winning by decision or late finish. The method is uncertain but the win is solid.
Paul leans towards Dan Hooker as a plus money underdog, citing value at plus 420. He acknowledges Arman's takedowns are the path of least resistance against Hooker, but believes Hooker can hang around and make it competitive. Paul mentions that if forced to bet one side right now, he'd take Hooker, but he doesn't have to bet it.
The MMA Guru picks Arman Tsarukyan over Dan Hooker, citing Arman's superior grappling and ability to maintain dominant positions. He notes Hooker's broken arms and believes Arman will finish him via ground and pound in round two or three. He acknowledges Hooker's underrated takedown defense but trusts Arman's improvement.
Zane agrees with Connor, picking Tsarukyan due to his superior wrestling and top control. He notes Hooker's tendency to start slow and get overwhelmed, but also mentions Hooker's durability and ability to make fights competitive over five rounds. Zane highlights Tsarukyan's power and speed as key factors.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 19 of 37 | 51% | 33 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 4 | 1 | 2:32 |
| Charles Oliveira | 0 | 49 of 83 | 59% | 75 of 117 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 8:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 9 of 11 | 81% | 12 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:44 |
| Charles Oliveira | 0 | 9 of 16 | 56% | 19 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 2:42 | |
| 2 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 14 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Charles Oliveira | 0 | 22 of 36 | 61% | 38 of 54 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:49 | |
| 3 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 5 of 17 | 29% | 7 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 1 | 0:48 |
| Charles Oliveira | 0 | 18 of 31 | 58% | 18 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 19 of 37 | 51% | 11 of 22 | 5 of 9 | 3 of 6 | 7 of 24 | 6 of 6 | 6 of 7 |
| Charles Oliveira | 49 of 83 | 59% | 37 of 69 | 10 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 23 of 50 | 3 of 4 | 23 of 29 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 9 of 11 | 81% | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 |
| Charles Oliveira | 9 of 16 | 56% | 6 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 7 | |
| 2 | Arman Tsarukyan | 5 of 9 | 55% | 4 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
| Charles Oliveira | 22 of 36 | 61% | 19 of 32 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 18 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 16 | |
| 3 | Arman Tsarukyan | 5 of 17 | 29% | 2 of 10 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Charles Oliveira | 18 of 31 | 58% | 12 of 25 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 6 |
Angelo picks Arman Tsarukyan, comparing him to Islam Makhachev with slightly better striking and slightly worse wrestling. He believes Tsarukyan's wrestling will be too much for Oliveira, similar to how Islam submitted him. He notes the public heavily favors Oliveira but the oddsmakers have Tsarukyan as favorite for a reason.
Cody believes Charles Oliveira's defensive flaws will be exposed. He notes Oliveira takes a lot of damage and relies on comebacks, which is unsustainable. Tsarukyan is a strong wrestler with good takedown defense (only taken down by Islam Makhachev and a former KSW champion). Cody thinks Oliveira won't be able to take Tsarukyan down, forcing a striking battle where Tsarukyan's power and youth will prevail. He mentions Tsarukyan's impressive physique and recent knockout of Beneil Dariush. Cody sees Tsarukyan as the fresher, ascending fighter who will eventually land a big right hand and finish Oliveira.
Daniel Vreeland picks Arman Tsarukyan, agreeing with guest Giani that Tsarukyan's wrestling and pressure will be key. He notes that Tsarukyan is younger, has a comparable style to Islam Makhachev, and will not hesitate to follow Oliveira to the ground. Vreeland believes Oliveira's submission threat is real but Tsarukyan's top control and ground-and-pound will win rounds.
Daniel Vreeland picks Arman Tsarukyan, noting that the line is a bit wide but he likes Tsarukyan's youth and finishing ability. He mentions that Tsarukyan's grappling and wrestling are top-notch, and that Oliveira will struggle to get takedowns. He also notes that Tsarukyan has power on the feet and less mileage than Oliveira.
Jeff Fox picks Arman Tsarukyan, citing that the only fighters who have given Oliveira trouble are exceptional wrestlers. He notes that Oliveira's takedown game won't be enough against Tsarukyan's wrestling, and that Tsarukyan's kickboxing will take over. He also mentions that Tsarukyan's scrambles with Islam Makhachev on short notice show his level.
Lucrative James does not make a pick for this fight. He mentions that bookmakers expect Arman Tsarukyan to win as a decent favorite, and that if he wins, a rematch with Islam Makhachev is likely. He calls it a banger but does not state his own prediction.
Tsarukyan will nullify Oliveira's grappling and his submission defense will keep Oliveira in bad positions. Tsarukyan's big power on the feet will find Oliveira's chin and knock him out within two rounds.
Paul sees Tsarukyan as the fresher fighter with fewer miles. He notes that Tsarukyan's short-notice fight against Islam Makhachev was competitive and looks good in hindsight. Paul points out that Tsarukyan has a good chin and has only been knocked out once, early in his career. He expects Charles to come out hot and have early success, but Tsarukyan will weather the storm and take over. Paul also mentions that if Tsarukyan scores takedowns, he must be careful of Oliveira's guard, but he believes Tsarukyan's youth and power will be the difference.
The MMA Guru picks Charles Oliveira to submit Arman Tsarukyan via guillotine in round one. He believes Oliveira will wobble Tsarukyan with a left hook, prompting a panicked takedown attempt that Oliveira will capitalize on. He dismisses Tsarukyan's grappling credentials, noting he was wobbled by Walkin Silva.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Beneil Dariush | 1 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Beneil Dariush | 1 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Beneil Dariush | 8 of 15 | 53% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Beneil Dariush | 8 of 15 | 53% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Tsarukyan (-278), Dariush (+225)
Round 1
Lightweights close the show in the five-round headliner, where Dariush (22-5-1, 16-5-1 UFC) sets his sights on Tsarukyan (20-3, 7-2 UFC) at 155 pounds. Tsarukyan has rattled off eight victories across his past nine outings.
For more on the American Top Team standout, see “Rivalries: Arman Tsarukyan” in Features
. Smith administers the law and order once the Octagon door closes. They touch gloves to get us started in the final bout of the night. Dariush fires an inside leg kick, eats a jab and then attacks the leg again.
Tsarukyan steps forward with a knee and follows it with a brutal right hook, dropping Dariush where he stands. He then dives in with punches and pounds Dariush unconscious. A signature victory for the young lightweight contender
.
The Official Result
Arman Tsarukyan def. Beneil Dariush—KO (Punches) 1:04 R1
Big Brady picks Arman Tsarukyan, citing youth, cardio, and durability advantages. He notes Dariush has been finished in all five of his losses, and that Tsarukyan's relentless pace will break him down in the later rounds. He predicts a third-round TKO, as Tsarukyan's ground and pound and big shots will eventually finish Dariush.
Cody picks Tsarukyan but acknowledges Dariush's skills and path to victory. He notes Dariush's cardio, high ring IQ, and BJJ black belt, but thinks Tsarukyan's speed and youth are decisive. He mentions Tsarukyan's five-round experience and that he's only getting better. He doesn't love the money line but expects Tsarukyan to win, possibly by finish.
Lucrative James picks Beneil Dariush, stating that the line is wide and disrespectful at +240. He believes Dariush can defend takedowns and scramble well, and is the better striker. He notes that Tsarukyan's youth and tenacity could be a factor in a five-round fight, but still sees Dariush as the side. He would go heavy on Dariush if it were a three-round fight.
Tsarukyan has high-level wrestling and improving striking, and he is expected to control the fight with his grappling and striking advantage. However, Dariush is a live underdog with great scrambling and BJJ, making the fight closer than the odds suggest. Tsarukyan is predicted to win by decision over 3.5 rounds, but a small underdog shot on Dariush is also recommended due to value.
Paul thinks Tsarukyan is the rightful favorite due to a sizable speed advantage and good enough grappling to avoid submissions. He notes the line is wide but doesn't see much value at -310. He mentions Tsarukyan's speed in striking and entrances/exits as the biggest difference. He is not lining up to bet it but picks Tsarukyan.
The MMA Guru picks Arman Tsarukyan, believing his youth, wrestling, and striking will be too much for Beneil Dariush. He notes Tsarukyan's reach advantage and ability to win the leg kick battle. He predicts Tsarukyan will break Dariush down and win by TKO in the fourth round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 80 of 115 | 69% | 134 of 175 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 9:01 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 23 of 41 | 56% | 77 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 12 of 13 | 92% | 28 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:26 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 27 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 33 of 57 | 57% | 39 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:47 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 16 of 30 | 53% | 41 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 35 of 45 | 77% | 67 of 83 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:48 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 80 of 115 | 69% | 64 of 95 | 13 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 32 of 64 | 7 of 8 | 41 of 43 |
| Joaquim Silva | 23 of 41 | 56% | 11 of 27 | 9 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 25 | 10 of 13 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 12 of 13 | 92% | 9 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 9 |
| Joaquim Silva | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Arman Tsarukyan | 33 of 57 | 57% | 23 of 43 | 7 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 23 of 46 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 4 |
| Joaquim Silva | 16 of 30 | 53% | 8 of 20 | 6 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 19 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Arman Tsarukyan | 35 of 45 | 77% | 32 of 42 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 28 of 30 |
| Joaquim Silva | 5 of 8 | 62% | 2 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is extremely confident in Arman Tsarukyan, calling him a massive favorite. He expects Tsarukyan to dominate with relentless wrestling, avoiding Silva's submissions. Silva has knockout power but will be defending takedowns the entire time. Angelo says there is no reason to overcomplicate this pick.
Big Brady picks Arman Tsarukyan to win by first-round knockout. He calls this an astronomical step down in competition for Tsarukyan, who has fought top-tier opponents like Islam Makhachev and Mateusz Gamrot. Brady believes Tsarukyan will get takedowns at will, as Silva's takedown defense and durability are poor. He expects a vicious finish, either by knockout on the feet or TKO via ground and pound, similar to Tsarukyan's win over Joel Alvarez. Brady questions why this fight was even made.
Cody sees this as a massive step down for Tsarukyan, who has been fighting elite competition. He expects Tsarukyan to win easily, likely by TKO in the second round, as Tsarukyan has a traditional Russian grinding style that breaks down lesser opponents. He notes Silva is a banger with knockout power but poor takedown defense, and at 34, his skills aren't improving. Cody thinks Tsarukyan will take him down and finish him in the second round.
Connor agrees with Zane, calling Tsarukyan a 'gimme matchup' for Silva. He highlights Tsarukyan's elite grappling and physicality, and notes that Silva's only path to victory is an early knockout. Connor is confident Tsarukyan will dominate with his wrestling and pressure.
Daniel Levi picks Arman Tsarukyan to win by knockout in round one or two. He notes Tsarukyan's improved striking and power, and expects a dominant performance. He compares it to the Giagos fight where Tsarukyan finished quickly, rather than the Fiziev fight which was more competitive. He respects Silva but sees a clear mismatch.
Tsarukyan can dominate Silva anywhere and will finish him. He is a solid grappler with improving striking and cardio. Silva is a BJJ black belt but prefers striking and has been knocked out in recent fights. Tsarukyan should make an emphatic statement. The pick is Tsarukyan inside the distance rather than the heavy moneyline.
Paul agrees Tsarukyan is a justifiable massive favorite, but he doesn't see an edge in betting the moneyline at -1000. He prefers to chase a prop or just avoid the fight entirely. He notes that Tsarukyan is 26, improving, and has gone five rounds before, while Silva is a banger with nothing to lose but likely gets taken down and finished.
The MMA Guru picks Arman Tsarukyan easily, calling it a straightforward matchup. He notes Silva has been KO'd by Ricky Glenn and Nazareno Malegarie, and hasn't had a first-round finish since 2014. He expects Tsarukyan to stay calm, out-strike Silva, and get a late TKO.
Zane sees this as a complete stylistic layup for Tsarukyan. He notes that Tsarukyan is one of the best wrestler-grapplers in the sport, while Silva is a dynamic but limited striker who struggles against physical pressure. Zane believes Tsarukyan will bully Silva on the feet and take him down at will, making Silva's only chance a flying knee in the first minute.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 34 of 81 | 41% | 50 of 105 | 7 of 21 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 9:25 |
| Damir Ismagulov | 0 | 36 of 86 | 41% | 51 of 106 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 9 of 23 | 39% | 15 of 29 | 1 of 10 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 3:04 |
| Damir Ismagulov | 0 | 13 of 26 | 50% | 24 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 2 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 12 of 27 | 44% | 18 of 35 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:24 |
| Damir Ismagulov | 0 | 11 of 28 | 39% | 13 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 13 of 31 | 41% | 17 of 41 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:57 |
| Damir Ismagulov | 0 | 12 of 32 | 37% | 14 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 34 of 81 | 41% | 14 of 57 | 12 of 15 | 8 of 9 | 31 of 76 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
| Damir Ismagulov | 36 of 86 | 41% | 18 of 60 | 15 of 21 | 3 of 5 | 26 of 74 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 9 of 23 | 39% | 2 of 14 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 9 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Damir Ismagulov | 13 of 26 | 50% | 7 of 18 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 13 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Arman Tsarukyan | 12 of 27 | 44% | 7 of 21 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Damir Ismagulov | 11 of 28 | 39% | 6 of 18 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 23 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Arman Tsarukyan | 13 of 31 | 41% | 5 of 22 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Damir Ismagulov | 12 of 32 | 37% | 5 of 24 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 26 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Arman Tsarukyan, his guy, hoping the loss to Gamrot helps him improve. He notes that Damir is not the wrestler Gamrot is, so he sees Arman getting takedowns and winning the scrambles. He acknowledges Arman faded in his last fight but this is a three-round fight, which favors him.
Big Brady picks Tsarukyan, citing his elite wrestling and power advantage. He notes Ismagulov has 90% takedown defense but hasn't faced a wrestler like Tsarukyan. He thinks Tsarukyan will mix in takedowns and win a competitive decision. He wants to see Ismagulov's weight cut but leans Tsarukyan.
Cody likes Ismagulov as an underdog because of his well-rounded skills, solid takedown defense, and durability. He thinks Ismagulov can stay on the outside, use his jab, and stifle Tsarukyan's takedowns to win a striking battle. He notes Tsarukyan is still green and was taken down by Gamrot, which raises questions.
Ismagulov is very talented and this should be a 50/50 fight. He didn't show his best in his last two fights due to long layoffs, but this is his second fight in six months, so he should be in better shape. He can be defensively responsible with his grappling and outstrike Tsarukyan on the feet. The line is too wide in favor of Tsarukyan.
Paul picks Tsarukyan, believing he is a top talent with all the skills. He thinks Tsarukyan will land takedowns and is super quick on the feet. He notes Tsarukyan is young and still developing, expecting to see the best version of him. He is not confident enough to bet but picks him.
The MMA Guru picks Arman Tsarukyan over Damir Ismagulov, noting the three-round fight favors Tsarukyan's cardio. He believes Tsarukyan's lead switch kick to the body will be effective against Ismagulov's high guard, and that Ismagulov doesn't have the offensive grappling of Mateusz Gamrot to threaten takedowns. He also thinks Ismagulov took damage in his last fight against Guram Kutateladze. He predicts Tsarukyan's higher fight IQ and youth (26) will lead to a win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Gamrot | 1 | 95 of 247 | 38% | 110 of 264 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 1:39 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 81 of 138 | 58% | 108 of 166 | 6 of 21 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 4:58 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mateusz Gamrot | 0 | 15 of 37 | 40% | 19 of 41 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 10 of 19 | 52% | 11 of 20 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 | |
| 2 | Mateusz Gamrot | 0 | 19 of 64 | 29% | 21 of 68 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 18 of 38 | 47% | 21 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 3 | Mateusz Gamrot | 0 | 22 of 45 | 48% | 23 of 46 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 20 of 33 | 60% | 30 of 43 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 | |
| 4 | Mateusz Gamrot | 1 | 16 of 47 | 34% | 18 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 13 of 23 | 56% | 18 of 29 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:41 | |
| 5 | Mateusz Gamrot | 0 | 23 of 54 | 42% | 29 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 20 of 25 | 80% | 28 of 33 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Gamrot | 95 of 247 | 38% | 43 of 182 | 39 of 48 | 13 of 17 | 88 of 235 | 3 of 6 | 4 of 6 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 81 of 138 | 58% | 68 of 121 | 9 of 12 | 4 of 5 | 73 of 129 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mateusz Gamrot | 15 of 37 | 40% | 3 of 21 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 7 | 14 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 10 of 19 | 52% | 6 of 13 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Mateusz Gamrot | 19 of 64 | 29% | 7 of 47 | 9 of 12 | 3 of 5 | 18 of 62 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 18 of 38 | 47% | 13 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Mateusz Gamrot | 22 of 45 | 48% | 11 of 33 | 8 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 20 of 43 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 20 of 33 | 60% | 19 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 18 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Mateusz Gamrot | 16 of 47 | 34% | 9 of 38 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 13 of 23 | 56% | 12 of 21 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Mateusz Gamrot | 23 of 54 | 42% | 13 of 43 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 21 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 4 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 20 of 25 | 80% | 18 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Arman Tsarukyan but bets on Mateusz Gamrot via buying points. He notes both are mirror images as wrestlers with improving hands, but Tsarukyan has never been out-wrestled except by Islam Makhachev, while Gamrot has struggled with takedown efficiency in some fights. He expects a close decision and buys +5.5 points on Gamrot, believing Gamrot can steal rounds on scorecards.
Big Brady picks Arman Tsarukyan to win by decision. He believes Tsarukyan's wrestling will be the difference, getting takedowns and controlling Gamrot. He notes Tsarukyan's youth (25 vs 31), improved striking, and success against Islam Makhachev. He questions Gamrot's cardio in a five-round fight (Gamrot admitted doubts about cardio in a three-round fight). He expects a back-and-forth fight but Tsarukyan winning minutes with takedowns and top control. He says the line is wide but Tsarukyan is the pick.
Cody agrees with Paul, but thinks Gamrot is a live dog. He notes Gamrot's slow starts and potential cardio issues in a five-round fight. He believes Tsarukyan's speed and power will be too much, and he also likes Tsarukyan by decision.
Paul thinks Tsarukyan is the total package with elite striking and grappling, and he's only 24. He notes the price is a bit wide but Tsarukyan is a rightful favorite. He expects Tsarukyan to win, possibly by decision, and mentions Tsarukyan decision at +150 as a prop.
The host picks Arman Tsarukyan, citing his consistent cardio and ability to improve as the fight goes on. He notes Gamrot slows down in later rounds, as seen against Diego Ferreira. He expects Tsarukyan to take over in rounds 3-5 and predicts a fourth-round TKO. He acknowledges Gamrot's explosiveness but believes Tsarukyan's overall game is superior.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Alvarez | 0 | 36 of 53 | 67% | 93 of 122 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 6:08 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 7 of 10 | 70% | 27 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joel Alvarez | 0 | 13 of 19 | 68% | 50 of 59 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:22 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 25 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Joel Alvarez | 0 | 23 of 34 | 67% | 43 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:46 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Alvarez | 36 of 53 | 67% | 31 of 48 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 32 of 44 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 7 of 10 | 70% | 5 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joel Alvarez | 13 of 19 | 68% | 10 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 12 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 5 of 8 | 62% | 4 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | |
| 2 | Joel Alvarez | 23 of 34 | 67% | 21 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 23 of 32 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
It’s a pairing of four-fight winning streaks for these lightweight prospects, and Chris Tognoni will referee the bout. Tsarukyan sticks a jab early. Tsarukyan kicks Alvarez’s leg and is able to score a takedown with his opponent off balance. Tsarukyan is now inside the lanky Spaniard’s guard. Alvarez lands an elbow from his back. Tsarukyan remains heavy on top, and he’s working diligently to pass to half guard. Alvarez does a good job preventing the pass. Tsarukyan drops an elbow from above. Alvarez is active with his guard and lands a hammerfist from his back. Tsarukyan floats into a front headlock before finding himself in the full guard of his opponent. A slashing elbow lands for Tsarukyan, who then lands a short elbow to the face. It’s control time galore for the Russian standout, and another elbow cuts Alvarez wide open. Alvarez is just gushing blood in the waning seconds, and Tsarukyan is pouring it on. Another elbow lands before the horn. The fight could be in danger of being stopped between rounds, as Alvarez’s face is a crimson mask.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Tsarukyan
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Tsarukyan
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Tsarukyan
Round 2
Amazingly, Alvarez is allowed to continue for another round after a brief examination from the cageside doctor. Tsarukyan shoots immediately. Alvarez looks for a guillotine but his foe passes to side control. Tsarukyan briefly achieves a mounted crucifix but Alvarez frees his arm. From side control, Tsarukyan drops brual elbows and punches, and Alvarez is spewing blood again, his vision obviously obscured. Alvarez is on all fours, eating punches. The Spaniard attempts to stand, and Tsarukyan ragdolls him back down near the fence. More punches from Tsarukyan, and Tognoni urges Alvarez to fight back.
From back mount, Tsarukyan controls the wrists and unloads with more left hands. Tognoni has finally seen enough and mercifully calls off the fight.
The Official Result
Arman Tsarukyan def. Joel Alvarez via TKO (Punches) R2 1:57
Big Brady picks Joel Alvarez to win inside the distance. He notes Alvarez has a massive eight-inch height and 4.5-inch reach advantage, and is dangerous everywhere: striking and submissions. He points out that Tsarukyan's wrestling could play into Alvarez's game, as Alvarez has a 0% takedown defense but is very dangerous off his back with multiple submission wins. Brady was initially surprised that money was coming in on Alvarez but now sees it as justified. He believes Alvarez can finish by knockout or submission.
Cody picks Tsarukyan by decision, citing his superior speed, wrestling, and cardio. He notes Alvarez's submission threats but believes Tsarukyan's head placement and takedown defense will keep him safe. Cody mentions Tsarukyan's camp in Russia as a slight concern but still sees him winning via volume and takedowns.
Daniel Levi picks Arman Tsarukyan to win by decision. He emphasizes Tsarukyan's relentless takedown game and ability to neutralize submissions. Levi notes Alvarez is dangerous with submissions off his back and has knockout power, but believes Tsarukyan will avoid standing and grind out a win. He disagrees with the dog-or-pass label and expects Tsarukyan to cover the spread.
The host hesitantly picks Alvarez as an underdog, citing his size, confidence, and finishing streak. He believes Alvarez can keep the fight standing and land big strikes, potentially drawing a desperation takedown from Tsarukyan that could lead to a guillotine. He acknowledges Tsarukyan is a top prospect but thinks the odds are too wide and Alvarez deserves more respect. He predicts a second-round TKO.
Paul agrees with Tsarukyan by decision, emphasizing his wrestling and striking advantage. He notes Alvarez's improved striking but trusts Tsarukyan's ability to mix takedowns and avoid submissions. Paul suggests waiting for a better price on Tsarukyan as the line may move.
The MMA Guru picks Joel Alvarez to win, calling it a 51-49 lean. He acknowledges Arman Tsarukyan's skills but believes Alvarez's size, reach, and power are decisive factors. He notes that Alvarez is much bigger and may have a weight advantage, and that his immediate damaging shots (elbows, guillotines) give him more paths to victory. The Guru expects Tsarukyan to win by decision if he wins, while Alvarez can finish early by TKO or submission. He also mentions Alvarez's chin held up against Thiago Moises.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 1 | 22 of 31 | 70% | 27 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Christos Giagos | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 1 | 22 of 31 | 70% | 27 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Christos Giagos | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:49 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 22 of 31 | 70% | 21 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 21 |
| Christos Giagos | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 22 of 31 | 70% | 21 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 21 |
| Christos Giagos | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Arman Tsarukyan, calling him the biggest favorite on the card. He praises Arman's wrestling, striking, and athleticism, noting he improves between fights. He thinks Christos Giagos is tough but will be outmatched everywhere. He expects a one-sided beating and suggests the under on rounds might be worth a bet for plus money.
Big Brady is very confident in Arman Tsarukyan, citing his relentless wrestling and high pace. He notes Giagos has poor takedown defense and cardio, and has been finished five times. He predicts Tsarukyan will get a late finish, specifically a third-round submission, as Giagos slows down.
Cody is very confident in Tsarukyan, highlighting his youth, wrestling, and experience against tough competition. He believes Giagos' only path is wrestling, but Tsarukyan is a superior wrestler and will not be taken down. Cody predicts a late finish as Giagos gasses.
Daniel Levi picks Arman Tsarukyan to win. He says Giagos might make it competitive for five minutes before gassing, then Tsarukyan will take over with takedowns. He questions whether -800 is worth it for a decision win but is sure Tsarukyan wins. He mentions Tsarukyan's only scored over 100 fantasy points once (against Matt Frevola) but sees potential for a breakthrough.
Preet is very confident Tsarukyan will win and finish Giagos. He notes Tsarukyan's striking is improving and he owns Giagos everywhere. Giagos has poor cardio and will slow down, allowing Tsarukyan to get his first UFC finish. He likes Tsarukyan inside the distance at +170 and round 2-3 props.
Paul picks Tsarukyan as a parlay piece, noting that Giagos has suspect cardio and was outstruck by Sean Soriano before getting a submission. He believes Tsarukyan's wrestling and durability will be too much. Paul mentions he has Tsarukyan in a three-leg parlay.
The MMA Guru picks Arman Tsarukyan by submission in the second round, calling it a mismatch. He highlights Tsarukyan's well-rounded skills, great grappling, and cardio. He notes Giagos is not a prolific finisher and predicts Tsarukyan will easily get takedowns and finish with a rear-naked choke.
Joaquim Silva - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claudio Puelles | 0 | 21 of 63 | 33% | 58 of 102 | 4 of 16 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 7:25 |
| Joaquim Silva | 1 | 25 of 66 | 37% | 95 of 136 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Claudio Puelles | 0 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 37 of 44 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 4:22 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 29 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Claudio Puelles | 0 | 6 of 31 | 19% | 6 of 31 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 11 of 29 | 37% | 13 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:18 | |
| 3 | Claudio Puelles | 0 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 15 of 27 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 2:08 |
| Joaquim Silva | 1 | 14 of 33 | 42% | 53 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claudio Puelles | 21 of 63 | 33% | 14 of 56 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 56 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 5 |
| Joaquim Silva | 25 of 66 | 37% | 12 of 50 | 9 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 19 of 52 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Claudio Puelles | 3 of 8 | 37% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Claudio Puelles | 6 of 31 | 19% | 3 of 28 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Joaquim Silva | 11 of 29 | 37% | 2 of 18 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Claudio Puelles | 12 of 24 | 50% | 8 of 20 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Joaquim Silva | 14 of 33 | 42% | 10 of 28 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 19 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 9 |
Angelo is torn on this fight. He calls Puelles a 'butt scooter' who looks like a puppy cleaning a dingleberry, but acknowledges his takedowns looked improved in his last fight. He says if Puelles' takedowns look as good as they did last time, he wins. He admits his gut won't let him say it out loud, but he's leaning Puelles. He notes Silva is a BJJ guy with big power and explosive striking, always looking for the knockout.
Big Brady leans toward Silva because Puelles is one-dimensional and has no plan B if his grappling fails. He notes Silva has a BJJ base, power on the feet, and has hurt top competition. He predicts Silva wins by second-round knockout, as Puelles has been knocked out before and Silva has the power to do it.
Silva is a big fan favorite and the host is surprised he is an underdog. He notes Silva has never been submitted and has a striking advantage. He expects Silva to fend off takedowns, walk Puelles down, and win by knockout in the second or third round.
The MMA Guru picks Joaquim Silva, expressing disdain for Claudio Puelles' jiu-jitsu style. He describes Silva as a strong, powerful, explosive lightweight who can cause problems on the feet. He criticizes Puelles as a 'martial artist, not a fighter' and recalls his quit against Dan Hooker. He believes Silva's power will be a big factor.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drakkar Klose | 1 | 59 of 93 | 63% | 143 of 179 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:55 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 70 of 123 | 56% | 96 of 151 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 5:33 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drakkar Klose | 0 | 20 of 30 | 66% | 25 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 29 of 54 | 53% | 35 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 | |
| 2 | Drakkar Klose | 0 | 15 of 20 | 75% | 79 of 86 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 17 of 23 | 73% | 35 of 43 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:58 | |
| 3 | Drakkar Klose | 1 | 24 of 43 | 55% | 39 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 24 of 46 | 52% | 26 of 48 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drakkar Klose | 59 of 93 | 63% | 25 of 53 | 21 of 27 | 13 of 13 | 33 of 63 | 22 of 26 | 4 of 4 |
| Joaquim Silva | 70 of 123 | 56% | 40 of 82 | 22 of 30 | 8 of 11 | 44 of 91 | 26 of 32 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drakkar Klose | 20 of 30 | 66% | 6 of 14 | 7 of 9 | 7 of 7 | 15 of 23 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Joaquim Silva | 29 of 54 | 53% | 18 of 36 | 8 of 12 | 3 of 6 | 19 of 41 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Drakkar Klose | 15 of 20 | 75% | 3 of 6 | 10 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 11 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Joaquim Silva | 17 of 23 | 73% | 5 of 9 | 11 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 8 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Drakkar Klose | 24 of 43 | 55% | 16 of 33 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 29 | 8 of 10 | 4 of 4 |
| Joaquim Silva | 24 of 46 | 52% | 17 of 37 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 42 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Klose as the more technical and well-rounded fighter with multiple paths to victory. He notes Silva's power makes him live but Klose is durable. He mentions Klose's neck injury from a weigh-in shove but says he hasn't looked different since.
Big Brady likes Klose's well-rounded game, including cardio, volume, takedowns, and BJJ. He questions Silva's durability and notes his knockout loss to Ricky Glenn. He predicts Klose will land a big shot and finish Silva by third-round knockout.
Cody picks Klose, citing his superior wrestling, durability, and fresher fight miles. He notes Silva is a brawler with durability issues and has been knocked out by lesser fighters. Cody expects Klose to break Silva down and finish late.
Daniel Vreeland leans with Silva, citing his one-punch power and the home crowd advantage in Brazil. He acknowledges Klose's physicality and close-fight history but is not confident enough to lay the -175 price. He notes Silva's slow starts but believes he can land a big shot or edge a decision in Brazil.
Klose is the more complete fighter, utilizing striking and takedowns to outwork Silva. Silva is dangerous with early knockout power, but Klose's chin should hold up. Klose wins by decision.
Paul picks Klose, noting his level of competition and ability to avoid big shots. He believes Silva is knockout-or-bust and Klose's volume and takedowns will win rounds. Paul expects Klose by decision or late stoppage.
The MMA Guru picks Drakkar Klose by decision, citing his consistency, composure, and professional decision-making. He notes Klose's wins over Bobby Green and others, and believes he will outpoint Joaquim Silva with crisp kicks, jabs, and body work. He acknowledges Silva's potential in scrambles but trusts Klose's experience.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 43 of 134 | 32% | 63 of 155 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 4:23 |
| Clay Guida | 0 | 46 of 91 | 50% | 85 of 141 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 | 0 | 2:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joaquim Silva | 0 | 18 of 64 | 28% | 19 of 66 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Clay Guida | 0 | 15 of 32 | 46% | 40 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:39 | |
| 2 | Joaquim Silva | 0 | 14 of 33 | 42% | 29 of 48 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 3:19 |
| Clay Guida | 0 | 15 of 20 | 75% | 26 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:31 | |
| 3 | Joaquim Silva | 0 | 11 of 37 | 29% | 15 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
| Clay Guida | 0 | 16 of 39 | 41% | 19 of 42 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:25 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joaquim Silva | 43 of 134 | 32% | 19 of 103 | 14 of 20 | 10 of 11 | 36 of 127 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Clay Guida | 46 of 91 | 50% | 33 of 72 | 9 of 15 | 4 of 4 | 28 of 64 | 15 of 19 | 3 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joaquim Silva | 18 of 64 | 28% | 6 of 51 | 6 of 6 | 6 of 7 | 17 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Clay Guida | 15 of 32 | 46% | 13 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 20 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 7 | |
| 2 | Joaquim Silva | 14 of 33 | 42% | 9 of 26 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 30 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Clay Guida | 15 of 20 | 75% | 12 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 9 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Joaquim Silva | 11 of 37 | 29% | 4 of 26 | 3 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 34 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Clay Guida | 16 of 39 | 41% | 8 of 25 | 6 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 35 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Cody picks Silva, echoing that Guida is old and Silva has power. He thinks Silva's takedown defense is okay and his cardio is decent. He notes Guida's only path is takedowns and Silva can stuff them. He also mentions a Clay Guida by split decision prop as a possible sprinkle.
Lucrative James picks Joaquim Silva, noting that Silva showed enough in his last fight to be favored. He believes Silva can get a submission, possibly a guillotine when Clay Guida shoots for a takedown. However, he is not betting at -350 due to Guida's grappling ability and durability.
Silva is a powerful striker with a BJJ black belt, and he should be able to land big shots on Guida if he lets his hands go. Guida relies on movement and cardio, but Silva's power and pressure could lead to a finish. However, if the fight reaches the third round, Guida's cardio could make things competitive. Silva is expected to win, possibly by finish.
Paul picks Silva but doesn't love the money line. He thinks Silva's takedown defense is decent and his cardio is good enough to outlast Guida. He notes Guida is almost 42 and slowing down, and if Guida can't get takedowns early, he'll get boxed up. He considers a Clay Guida by split decision prop as a sprinkle.
The MMA Guru picks Joaquim Silva, citing his power, jiujitsu, and finishing ability. He notes that Clay Guida tends to lose to fighters with finishing ability and that Silva is dangerous. He believes Silva's technical skills outweigh Guida's grit and expects Silva to win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 80 of 115 | 69% | 134 of 175 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 9:01 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 23 of 41 | 56% | 77 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 12 of 13 | 92% | 28 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:26 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 27 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 33 of 57 | 57% | 39 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:47 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 16 of 30 | 53% | 41 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 35 of 45 | 77% | 67 of 83 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:48 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 80 of 115 | 69% | 64 of 95 | 13 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 32 of 64 | 7 of 8 | 41 of 43 |
| Joaquim Silva | 23 of 41 | 56% | 11 of 27 | 9 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 25 | 10 of 13 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 12 of 13 | 92% | 9 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 9 |
| Joaquim Silva | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Arman Tsarukyan | 33 of 57 | 57% | 23 of 43 | 7 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 23 of 46 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 4 |
| Joaquim Silva | 16 of 30 | 53% | 8 of 20 | 6 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 19 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Arman Tsarukyan | 35 of 45 | 77% | 32 of 42 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 28 of 30 |
| Joaquim Silva | 5 of 8 | 62% | 2 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is extremely confident in Arman Tsarukyan, calling him a massive favorite. He expects Tsarukyan to dominate with relentless wrestling, avoiding Silva's submissions. Silva has knockout power but will be defending takedowns the entire time. Angelo says there is no reason to overcomplicate this pick.
Big Brady picks Arman Tsarukyan to win by first-round knockout. He calls this an astronomical step down in competition for Tsarukyan, who has fought top-tier opponents like Islam Makhachev and Mateusz Gamrot. Brady believes Tsarukyan will get takedowns at will, as Silva's takedown defense and durability are poor. He expects a vicious finish, either by knockout on the feet or TKO via ground and pound, similar to Tsarukyan's win over Joel Alvarez. Brady questions why this fight was even made.
Cody sees this as a massive step down for Tsarukyan, who has been fighting elite competition. He expects Tsarukyan to win easily, likely by TKO in the second round, as Tsarukyan has a traditional Russian grinding style that breaks down lesser opponents. He notes Silva is a banger with knockout power but poor takedown defense, and at 34, his skills aren't improving. Cody thinks Tsarukyan will take him down and finish him in the second round.
Connor agrees with Zane, calling Tsarukyan a 'gimme matchup' for Silva. He highlights Tsarukyan's elite grappling and physicality, and notes that Silva's only path to victory is an early knockout. Connor is confident Tsarukyan will dominate with his wrestling and pressure.
Daniel Levi picks Arman Tsarukyan to win by knockout in round one or two. He notes Tsarukyan's improved striking and power, and expects a dominant performance. He compares it to the Giagos fight where Tsarukyan finished quickly, rather than the Fiziev fight which was more competitive. He respects Silva but sees a clear mismatch.
Tsarukyan can dominate Silva anywhere and will finish him. He is a solid grappler with improving striking and cardio. Silva is a BJJ black belt but prefers striking and has been knocked out in recent fights. Tsarukyan should make an emphatic statement. The pick is Tsarukyan inside the distance rather than the heavy moneyline.
Paul agrees Tsarukyan is a justifiable massive favorite, but he doesn't see an edge in betting the moneyline at -1000. He prefers to chase a prop or just avoid the fight entirely. He notes that Tsarukyan is 26, improving, and has gone five rounds before, while Silva is a banger with nothing to lose but likely gets taken down and finished.
The MMA Guru picks Arman Tsarukyan easily, calling it a straightforward matchup. He notes Silva has been KO'd by Ricky Glenn and Nazareno Malegarie, and hasn't had a first-round finish since 2014. He expects Tsarukyan to stay calm, out-strike Silva, and get a late TKO.
Zane sees this as a complete stylistic layup for Tsarukyan. He notes that Tsarukyan is one of the best wrestler-grapplers in the sport, while Silva is a dynamic but limited striker who struggles against physical pressure. Zane believes Tsarukyan will bully Silva on the feet and take him down at will, making Silva's only chance a flying knee in the first minute.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joaquim Silva | 1 | 45 of 90 | 50% | 51 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Jesse Ronson | 0 | 39 of 83 | 46% | 39 of 83 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joaquim Silva | 0 | 20 of 41 | 48% | 22 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Jesse Ronson | 0 | 25 of 53 | 47% | 25 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Joaquim Silva | 1 | 25 of 49 | 51% | 29 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Jesse Ronson | 0 | 14 of 30 | 46% | 14 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joaquim Silva | 45 of 90 | 50% | 26 of 67 | 12 of 16 | 7 of 7 | 38 of 76 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 14 |
| Jesse Ronson | 39 of 83 | 46% | 22 of 55 | 11 of 18 | 6 of 10 | 39 of 83 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joaquim Silva | 20 of 41 | 48% | 13 of 31 | 3 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 20 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jesse Ronson | 25 of 53 | 47% | 12 of 32 | 9 of 14 | 4 of 7 | 25 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Joaquim Silva | 25 of 49 | 51% | 13 of 36 | 9 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 18 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 14 |
| Jesse Ronson | 14 of 30 | 46% | 10 of 23 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 14 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Cody picks Jesse Ronson as an underdog, citing his better striking and size advantage. He acknowledges Ronson looked bad in his last fight but attributes it to the illegal knee and layoff. He believes Ronson's counter-punching could knock out Silva, who has a questionable chin. He is not very confident but likes the plus money.
Paul picks Joaquim Silva, but is not confident. He notes that both fighters are coming off losses and are in a 'kill or be killed' situation. He believes Silva has a slight grappling advantage and that Ronson looked poor in his last fight. He prefers the 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop as the best bet on this fight.
The MMA Guru picks Joaquim Silva, noting that Silva has fought better competition and is more reliable than Jesse Ronson. He mentions that Ronson is 'chokey' and has questionable split decision losses, while Silva has been training grappling extensively. He thinks Silva can win by submission or decision, but is not confident enough to bet on it.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Glenn | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joaquim Silva | 2 | 10 of 17 | 58% | 14 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricky Glenn | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joaquim Silva | 2 | 10 of 17 | 58% | 14 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Glenn | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Joaquim Silva | 10 of 17 | 58% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 10 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricky Glenn | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Joaquim Silva | 10 of 17 | 58% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 10 |
Angelo picks Joaquim Silva, citing his knockout power and ability to close distance. He notes that Silva's power is always present and that he doesn't give up. However, he is hesitant due to the long layoff for both fighters. He does not have Silva in his DraftKings lineup and is not placing a money bet.
Big Brady is hesitant due to long layoffs for both fighters. He notes Silva hits hard and Glenn is hittable, but Glenn has never been knocked out. He expects Silva to land harder shots and win a decision, but recommends staying away from betting.
Cody picks Silva, citing Silva's power and experience at 155 lbs. He notes Glenn's long layoff (almost 3 years) and move up in weight, which could be problematic. Silva's power and pressure should be too much for Glenn, who is not a big hitter.
Daniel Levi picks Joaquim Silva, citing his power and durability. He notes that while Ricky Glenn has better technique, he is defensively vulnerable and marks up easily. He thinks Silva will bruise Glenn up and possibly get a knockout or decision. He also mentions Silva's black belt in jiu-jitsu as an additional threat.
Jacob also picks Joaquim Silva, but with low confidence. He worries about Silva's cardio and notes that Silva's last loss was to a southpaw, and Ricky Glenn is also a southpaw. He sees both as counter punchers and expects a slow fight. He is not putting Silva in his lineup and would not bet on it.
The host is confident in Joaquim Silva, citing his heavy Muay Thai striking, power, and ability to capitalize on Ricky Glenn's wild, open striking. He notes Glenn's low takedown accuracy (13% in UFC) and that Silva has put cardio concerns to rest with third-round finishes. He expects Silva to land damaging blows and predicts a second-round knockout, as Glenn's durability may be tested by Silva's power. He mentions Silva's body work and that Glenn's layoff and hip surgery could be factors.
Paul picks Silva, agreeing with Cody. He notes Glenn's layoff and weight class change, and Silva's recent competition. Paul thinks Silva's power and durability will be key.
The MMA Guru picks Ricky Glenn to win by unanimous decision (30-27). He believes Glenn's size and strength will be too much for Joaquim Silva, despite Glenn moving up from featherweight. He expects Glenn to land good shots on the feet early, mix in takedowns, and use his range with kicks. He thinks Silva won't have the strength to deal with Glenn's pressure and grappling.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasrat Haqparast | 0 | 15 of 56 | 26% | 15 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joaquim Silva | 1 | 21 of 38 | 55% | 21 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nasrat Haqparast | 0 | 13 of 49 | 26% | 13 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 9 of 22 | 40% | 9 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Nasrat Haqparast | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joaquim Silva | 1 | 12 of 16 | 75% | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasrat Haqparast | 15 of 56 | 26% | 0 of 35 | 6 of 11 | 9 of 10 | 15 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Joaquim Silva | 21 of 38 | 55% | 18 of 33 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nasrat Haqparast | 13 of 49 | 26% | 0 of 30 | 5 of 10 | 8 of 9 | 13 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Joaquim Silva | 9 of 22 | 40% | 7 of 18 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Nasrat Haqparast | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Joaquim Silva | 12 of 16 | 75% | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 9 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 116 of 194 | 59% | 149 of 228 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 4:24 |
| Jared Gordon | 0 | 95 of 191 | 49% | 121 of 218 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 0:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joaquim Silva | 0 | 37 of 55 | 67% | 60 of 79 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:39 |
| Jared Gordon | 0 | 19 of 37 | 51% | 25 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Joaquim Silva | 0 | 37 of 56 | 66% | 45 of 64 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:45 |
| Jared Gordon | 0 | 25 of 51 | 49% | 45 of 72 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:38 | |
| 3 | Joaquim Silva | 0 | 42 of 83 | 50% | 44 of 85 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jared Gordon | 0 | 51 of 103 | 49% | 51 of 103 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joaquim Silva | 116 of 194 | 59% | 94 of 166 | 10 of 15 | 12 of 13 | 88 of 163 | 13 of 15 | 15 of 16 |
| Jared Gordon | 95 of 191 | 49% | 54 of 138 | 30 of 42 | 11 of 11 | 78 of 172 | 15 of 17 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joaquim Silva | 37 of 55 | 67% | 28 of 43 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 7 | 18 of 34 | 9 of 11 | 10 of 10 |
| Jared Gordon | 19 of 37 | 51% | 13 of 28 | 2 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 14 of 32 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Joaquim Silva | 37 of 56 | 66% | 26 of 44 | 6 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 30 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 |
| Jared Gordon | 25 of 51 | 49% | 14 of 39 | 10 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 47 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Joaquim Silva | 42 of 83 | 50% | 40 of 79 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 40 of 81 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jared Gordon | 51 of 103 | 49% | 27 of 71 | 18 of 26 | 6 of 6 | 43 of 93 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Gordon opens with a front kick to the face. Gordon mixing up his kicks early, going low and to the body of his opponent. A one-two lands for Gordon. “Flash” hurts Silva in an exchange and catches him in an arm-triangle choke as he drives the Brazilian to the canvas. Silva works his way to his feet and eats a knee to the face. Silva presses forward with a combination and gets dazed by a massive right hand. Gordon lands a takedown after eating a couple shots. The Roufusport member is in half guard, applying pressure from above. Silva recovers full guard but has his head bounced off the canvas with a right hand. Silva works his way toward the fence and stands. Silva’s ear has busted open and his eye is swollen. The Brazilian hurts Gordon with an overhand right and follows up with a flying knee. Gordon shoots out of desperation. Silva locks in a 10-finger guillotine. Gordon appears to be on his way out, but Silva lets go just before the horn sounds. 10-10.
Round 2
Silva is aggressive right away. Gordon mixes up his kicks before shooting. Silva sprawls and Gordon tries again, but “Neto BJJ” defends once more. Silva lands an uppercut before Gordon shoots for a takedown against the fence. Gordon is working his way toward Silva’s back, but the Brazilian falls to his back. Gordon is inside Silva’s full guard. “Flash” lands some solid left hands after passing to half guard. Silva stands with Gordon attached to him. Gordon lands a knee in the clinch before the combatants separate. Gordon follows a combination with a high kick. Silva answers with a knee. Silva shucks off a takedown attempt, and both fighters trade in the pocket. Gordon lands a hard right during the exchange. A jab and a low kick connect for Gordon, and Silva responds with an uppercut. Silva explodes for a takedown with about 30 seconds remaining in the round. Silva is attached to his foe’s back as Gordon returns to his feet. Silva nearly has a kneebar as time expires. 10-9 Gordon.
Round 3
Gordon makes Silva stumble back briefly with a right hand. Gordon might be feeling the effects of the kneebar at the end of the previous round, as he’s movement somewhat gingerly around the Octagon. Nonetheless, another right hand lands for “Flash.” Gordan works his jab while Silva attacks with leg kicks. A right hook to the body lands for Silva, but Gordon is doing well with combinations. Both fighters are trading willingly in the pocket for an extended period. Silva sprawls on a takedown and they go right back to trading punches in the pocket. Silva digs numerous body shots to Gordon. Silva lands a left hook and follows up with a pair of straight shots. They’re still going toe-to-toe and it’s a left hook to the chin followed by a a massive right hand from Silva that stuns Gordon. The American falls back into the fence, and
Silva seals the deal with a three-punch combination.
The fight is halted with Gordon out on his feet.
The Official Result
Joaquim Silva def. Jared Gordon via TKO (Punches) R3 2:39
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo is extremely confident in Arman Tsarukyan, calling him a massive favorite. He expects Tsarukyan to dominate with relentless wrestling, avoiding Silva's submissions. Silva has knockout power but will be defending takedowns the entire time. Angelo says there is no reason to overcomplicate this pick.
Big Brady picks Arman Tsarukyan to win by first-round knockout. He calls this an astronomical step down in competition for Tsarukyan, who has fought top-tier opponents like Islam Makhachev and Mateusz Gamrot. Brady believes Tsarukyan will get takedowns at will, as Silva's takedown defense and durability are poor. He expects a vicious finish, either by knockout on the feet or TKO via ground and pound, similar to Tsarukyan's win over Joel Alvarez. Brady questions why this fight was even made.
Cody sees this as a massive step down for Tsarukyan, who has been fighting elite competition. He expects Tsarukyan to win easily, likely by TKO in the second round, as Tsarukyan has a traditional Russian grinding style that breaks down lesser opponents. He notes Silva is a banger with knockout power but poor takedown defense, and at 34, his skills aren't improving. Cody thinks Tsarukyan will take him down and finish him in the second round.
Connor agrees with Zane, calling Tsarukyan a 'gimme matchup' for Silva. He highlights Tsarukyan's elite grappling and physicality, and notes that Silva's only path to victory is an early knockout. Connor is confident Tsarukyan will dominate with his wrestling and pressure.
Daniel Levi picks Arman Tsarukyan to win by knockout in round one or two. He notes Tsarukyan's improved striking and power, and expects a dominant performance. He compares it to the Giagos fight where Tsarukyan finished quickly, rather than the Fiziev fight which was more competitive. He respects Silva but sees a clear mismatch.
Tsarukyan can dominate Silva anywhere and will finish him. He is a solid grappler with improving striking and cardio. Silva is a BJJ black belt but prefers striking and has been knocked out in recent fights. Tsarukyan should make an emphatic statement. The pick is Tsarukyan inside the distance rather than the heavy moneyline.
Paul agrees Tsarukyan is a justifiable massive favorite, but he doesn't see an edge in betting the moneyline at -1000. He prefers to chase a prop or just avoid the fight entirely. He notes that Tsarukyan is 26, improving, and has gone five rounds before, while Silva is a banger with nothing to lose but likely gets taken down and finished.
The MMA Guru picks Arman Tsarukyan easily, calling it a straightforward matchup. He notes Silva has been KO'd by Ricky Glenn and Nazareno Malegarie, and hasn't had a first-round finish since 2014. He expects Tsarukyan to stay calm, out-strike Silva, and get a late TKO.
Zane sees this as a complete stylistic layup for Tsarukyan. He notes that Tsarukyan is one of the best wrestler-grapplers in the sport, while Silva is a dynamic but limited striker who struggles against physical pressure. Zane believes Tsarukyan will bully Silva on the feet and take him down at will, making Silva's only chance a flying knee in the first minute.
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