UFC Fight Night: Jacaré vs. Hermansson · Apr 27, 2019 · Middleweight · Completed
UFC Fight Night: Jacaré vs. Hermansson Next Fight
Age 38
Height 6' 1"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age N/A
Height N/A
Reach N/A
Weight N/A
Stance N/A
Career Averages - Jack Hermansson
5.15 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
3.72 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
1.48 TD Avg
29.0% TD Acc.
80.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Jacare Souza

No career stats available

Jack Hermansson - Fight History
KO R1 2:46 · UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · Nov 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Hermansson 0 19 of 38 50% 19 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Myktybek Orolbai 1 15 of 33 45% 15 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Hermansson 0 19 of 38 50% 19 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Myktybek Orolbai 1 15 of 33 45% 15 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Hermansson 19 of 38 50% 9 of 25 5 of 8 5 of 5 17 of 36 2 of 2 0 of 0
Myktybek Orolbai 15 of 33 45% 9 of 25 3 of 5 3 of 3 13 of 31 1 of 1 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Hermansson 19 of 38 50% 9 of 25 5 of 8 5 of 5 17 of 36 2 of 2 0 of 0
Myktybek Orolbai 15 of 33 45% 9 of 25 3 of 5 3 of 3 13 of 31 1 of 1 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Myktybek Orolbai

Angelo picks Myktybek Orolbai over Jack Hermansson, calling it a life savings on the caveman. He describes Orolbai as a fun grappler with non-stop pressure, cardio, and power, while Hermansson is an aging welterweight moving down in weight, which weakens his chin and cardio. Orolbai's game plan is simple: takedown, smash, win.

"Moto Beck wins this fight. A 37-year-old welterweight Jack Herman Manson is not winning this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Myktybek Orolbai

Big Brady picks Myktybek Orolbai (Mairbek Tukhugov) by first-round knockout, citing Hermansson's recent brutal KO loss and quick turnaround. He questions Hermansson's chin and weight cut to welterweight, expecting Orolbai to land a big shot and finish him early.

first round knockout
"Give me Mairbek to win. Mairbek to win by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jack Hermansson

Cody picks Jack Hermansson confidently, pending weight cut. He notes that Orolbai is one-dimensional, a weight bully who relies on takedowns but has poor striking defense. Jack has a reach advantage, excellent wrestling, and BJJ. Cody believes Jack can stuff takedowns and outwork Orolbai, who gasses and gets hit a lot.

"I got Jack Manson as well, but pending that he makes the weight and he looks good on the scales."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Nov 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Myktybek Orolbai

Connor picks Orolbai, citing his physicality and grinding style as a problem for Hermansson. He notes that Hermansson is making a drastic weight cut to welterweight, which often fails at this career stage. Connor acknowledges Hermansson's win over Joe Pyfer but sees Orolbai's natural size and aggression as decisive.

Orolbai by decision or late finish
"I think I'll trust my instincts and take a Ralby. He's basically been fighting as a welterweight already."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Myktybek Orolbai

Lucrative James picks Myktybek Orolbai, citing the weight class advantage (Orolbai moving up from 155, Hermansson cutting from 185). He believes Orolbai has better striking power, durability, and grappling. He notes Hermansson's recent KO loss and questionable chin. He predicts Orolbai will win, possibly by knockout.

"I'm going to take Mick Tbec or buy for this one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Myktybek Orolbai

Orolbai is a pressure grappler with solid cardio and finishing ability. Hermansson is dropping to welterweight at 37, with durability concerns and a long layoff. Orolbai should overwhelm Hermansson and finish him via TKO or submission.

Orolbai inside the distance
"I'm going to go MTAC Oro by inside the distance."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jack Hermansson

Paul picks Jack Hermansson, noting that Orolbai is moving up to welterweight and has struggled with bigger opponents. Jack is a natural welterweight with good wrestling and submission skills. Paul believes Jack's experience and size will be too much for Orolbai, who has poor cardio and striking defense.

"I like if Jack looks good on the scales on Friday, Cody, I'm gonna have a tough time not pulling the trigger on Jack at like plus 200."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Myktybek Orolbai

The MMA Guru picks Myktybek Orolbai over Jack Hermansson, believing Orolbai's speed and technique will overcome Hermansson's size. He notes Hermansson's KO loss and weight cut to welterweight. He trusts Orolbai's grappling defense and offensive submissions, predicting a win.

"I'm going to go with Myktybek Orolbai beating Jack Hermansson."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Nov 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jack Hermansson

Zane picks Hermansson, betting that his size and strength at welterweight will be enough to control Orolbai. He notes that Orolbai's success depends on physicality, and if Hermansson is too strong, Orolbai's one-dimensional pressure will fail. Zane admits it's a risky pick given Hermansson's recent losses.

Hermansson by decision; weight cut could be a factor
"I'm gonna take the flyer on her Manson just being big enough to control this fight and kind of you know, survive a mess."
KO R1 4:21 · UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · Jun 28, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Hermansson 0 30 of 55 54% 30 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Gregory Rodrigues 1 18 of 63 28% 18 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Hermansson 0 30 of 55 54% 30 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Gregory Rodrigues 1 18 of 63 28% 18 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Hermansson 30 of 55 54% 24 of 49 2 of 2 4 of 4 30 of 54 0 of 1 0 of 0
Gregory Rodrigues 18 of 63 28% 11 of 54 6 of 8 1 of 1 18 of 63 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Hermansson 30 of 55 54% 24 of 49 2 of 2 4 of 4 30 of 54 0 of 1 0 of 0
Gregory Rodrigues 18 of 63 28% 11 of 54 6 of 8 1 of 1 18 of 63 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 22, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Gregory Rodrigues

Angelo leans Gregory Rodrigues because he believes Rodrigues's power and early success will carry him in a three-round fight, despite his cardio issues. He compares it to Jack Hermansson's win over Joe Pyfer, where Hermansson survived early and took over, but notes that Rodrigues's loss to Jared Cannonier was in the fourth round and Cannonier hits harder. He is cautious because Rodrigues is a -180 favorite with cardio concerns, and he suggests the over 1.5 rounds might be a good bet.

Angelo mentions he is interested in the over 1.5 rounds line if available, and notes that -180 for a guy who just got finished due to cardio is risky.
"Gregory Rodrigues is going to be the pick. I'm a little iffy on bets. Well, maybe we get a one-and-a-half round line."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Gregory Rodrigues

Big Brady likes Rodrigues stylistically, noting his power advantage over Hermansson. He thinks Hermansson's best path is wrestling, but Rodrigues has good takedown defense and is a BJJ black belt. Brady expects the fight to stay standing, where Rodrigues will land harder shots. He references Marvin Vettori knocking down Hermansson as evidence of his chin vulnerability, and picks Rodrigues by second-round knockout.

Rodrigues wins by second round knockout
"I'm going to take Rodriguez to win this fight by second round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Gregory Rodrigues

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Rodrigues. He notes that Hermansson's wins come against limited fighters, while Rodrigues is a well-rounded athlete who can offer problems everywhere. Hermansson's long layoff and injuries are concerns, and Rodrigues' aggression and durability should carry him.

Odds: Hermansson +196, Rodrigues -205. Connor mentions the odds widening.
"I just got to go. Totally. Odds on the fight. Hermansson is the underdog opened at plus one 52 is currently a plus one 96. Rodriguez opened at minus one 85 currently minus two oh five. So odds only getting …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Gregory Rodrigues

The host notes Hermansson's long layoff and believes Rodrigues will dictate the pace with power punching and ground control, winning on the scorecards.

win on scorecards
"I think the Rodriguez will be able to dictate the pace with his power punching, but also an ability to take this fight to the ground and grind out Herman Manson leading to Rodriguez winning this fight on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Gregory Rodrigues

The host picks Gregory Rodrigues, citing his activity and more intricate striking compared to Hermansson's last opponent. He believes Rodrigues' grappling is good enough to neutralize Hermansson's, and that Hermansson's long layoff is a concern. He predicts a TKO win for Rodrigues in the first or second round.

TKO
"I'm going to go with him over Jack Manson here just because of recency. Like he's on the grind, he's on the hustle, he's on the come up."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Gregory Rodrigues

Zane picks Gregory Rodrigues because he sees Hermansson as a fighter who struggles against well-rounded athletes. Rodrigues is competent everywhere and can land bigger shots, while Hermansson needs time to establish his jab and lacks finishing power. Over three rounds, Rodrigues should be able to put it on Hermansson and win.

Odds: Hermansson +196, Rodrigues -205. Zane notes the odds are widening in Rodrigues' favor.
"I just got to go. Totally. Odds on the fight. Hermansson is the underdog opened at plus one 52 is currently a plus one 96. Rodriguez opened at minus one 85 currently minus two oh five. So odds only getting …"
WIN vs Joe Pyfer
Decision (unanimous) (48–47, 48–47, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · Feb 10, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Hermansson 0 121 of 235 51% 188 of 327 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:08
Joe Pyfer 0 92 of 250 36% 95 of 254 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:50
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Hermansson 0 16 of 38 42% 16 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joe Pyfer 0 24 of 58 41% 24 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jack Hermansson 0 19 of 38 50% 19 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Joe Pyfer 0 22 of 60 36% 22 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jack Hermansson 0 37 of 69 53% 43 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joe Pyfer 0 20 of 65 30% 20 of 65 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
4 Jack Hermansson 0 33 of 57 57% 58 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joe Pyfer 0 22 of 46 47% 23 of 48 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:50
5 Jack Hermansson 0 16 of 33 48% 52 of 90 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:01
Joe Pyfer 0 4 of 21 19% 6 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Hermansson 121 of 235 51% 74 of 174 15 of 23 32 of 38 111 of 219 5 of 6 5 of 10
Joe Pyfer 92 of 250 36% 56 of 196 25 of 34 11 of 20 92 of 250 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Hermansson 16 of 38 42% 3 of 21 8 of 9 5 of 8 16 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joe Pyfer 24 of 58 41% 11 of 41 9 of 10 4 of 7 24 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jack Hermansson 19 of 38 50% 11 of 28 1 of 3 7 of 7 19 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joe Pyfer 22 of 60 36% 11 of 45 9 of 10 2 of 5 22 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jack Hermansson 37 of 69 53% 25 of 54 4 of 7 8 of 8 33 of 64 4 of 5 0 of 0
Joe Pyfer 20 of 65 30% 12 of 54 4 of 7 4 of 4 20 of 65 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Jack Hermansson 33 of 57 57% 21 of 41 2 of 3 10 of 13 32 of 56 1 of 1 0 of 0
Joe Pyfer 22 of 46 47% 19 of 39 2 of 4 1 of 3 22 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Jack Hermansson 16 of 33 48% 14 of 30 0 of 1 2 of 2 11 of 23 0 of 0 5 of 10
Joe Pyfer 4 of 21 19% 3 of 17 1 of 3 0 of 1 4 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Joe Pyfer

Angelo acknowledges Jack Hermansson's grappling credentials but notes his low takedown accuracy (29%). Joe Pyfer has incredible power, good wrestling, and has trained with high-level grapplers, including a win over Gerald Meerschaert. Angelo believes Pyfer is the real deal and that this is a perfect stepping stone fight. He suggests betting or parlaying Pyfer.

could bet and parlay Joey P
"I think Joe's the real deal and I think this is a perfect stepping stone type fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Joe Pyfer

Big Brady picks Joe Pyfer to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Pyfer has dynamite in his hands and hits like a truck, while Hermansson has been knocked out before and struggles to get fights to the mat. He thinks the small cage favors Pyfer's pressure, and he expects Pyfer to knock Hermansson out early. He acknowledges Hermansson's cardio and grappling but believes Pyfer's power is the difference.

first round knockout
"I'm going to take Joe Piper to win this fight and I think he knocks him out in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jack Hermansson

Cody sees value in Hermansson as a plus money underdog. He questions Pyfer's cardio and five-round experience, noting Pyfer has never fought three rounds and relies on early finishes against lower-level competition. Hermansson has proven volume and cardio over five rounds, with wins over Chris Curtis and competitive fights with Strickland and Vettori. Cody believes Pyfer's -260 price is too high given the unknowns, making Hermansson a clear dogger pass pick.

"I'm certainly tempted in a Hermansson bet... minus 260 just seems off to me."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Feb 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Jack Hermansson

Hermansson is a tough veteran with a grappling-heavy approach and good durability. He should be able to weather Pyfer's early power and then take over with his grinding style, potentially winning by decision or late stoppage. Pyfer's cardio is untested against a durable opponent. However, Hermansson is coming off a knee injury, and Pyfer has youth and power. Low confidence pick.

"I have to lean ever so slightly to the veteran here in Jack romanson I have my question marks due to the injuries that he's coming back from uh the the youth advantage of Joe pyer here as well uh …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jack Hermansson

Paul agrees with Cody, calling Hermansson a clear dogger pass. He notes Pyfer's lack of five-round experience and that Hermansson has multiple tools and paths to victory. Paul points out that if the fight goes deep, Hermansson's cardio and volume will be decisive. He also mentions that Pyfer could win by early knockout, but the value is on Hermansson at plus money.

"at plus 220 yeah I think it's pretty clearly a pass type of situation"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joe Pyfer

The MMA Guru picks Joe Pyfer with high confidence, citing Pyfer's knockout power and grappling ability. He notes Pyfer's impressive KO of Gerald Meerschaert and his performance against Abdul Razak Alhassan, where Alhassan seemed scared. He believes Pyfer can put away Hermansson, who he criticizes for losing to Roman Dolidze. He predicts a first-round KO.

first round KO
"Joe pyer is going to absolutely obliterate him round one KO... pyer by KO."
LOSS vs Roman Dolidze
TKO (punches) R2 4:06 · UFC on ESPN: Thompson vs. Holland · Dec 03, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Roman Dolidze 0 47 of 79 59% 48 of 80 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:52
Jack Hermansson 0 25 of 54 46% 39 of 73 0 of 0 --- 3 0 0:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Roman Dolidze 0 25 of 40 62% 26 of 41 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:06
Jack Hermansson 0 4 of 16 25% 7 of 19 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:02
2 Roman Dolidze 0 22 of 39 56% 22 of 39 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:46
Jack Hermansson 0 21 of 38 55% 32 of 54 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:28
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Roman Dolidze 47 of 79 59% 16 of 41 11 of 16 20 of 22 43 of 74 3 of 4 1 of 1
Jack Hermansson 25 of 54 46% 23 of 51 2 of 3 0 of 0 12 of 38 1 of 1 12 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Roman Dolidze 25 of 40 62% 6 of 16 6 of 9 13 of 15 23 of 37 1 of 2 1 of 1
Jack Hermansson 4 of 16 25% 3 of 14 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Roman Dolidze 22 of 39 56% 10 of 25 5 of 7 7 of 7 20 of 37 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jack Hermansson 21 of 38 55% 20 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 23 1 of 1 11 of 14
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 27, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Roman Dolidze

Angelo picks Roman Dolidze, calling him a world champion grappler with real power. He notes Dolidze's impressive recent win over Phil Hawes, where he showed both submission and KO ability. He thinks Hermansson is a good grappler but not on Dolidze's level, and lacks power in his striking. He expects Dolidze to be the favorite by fight night and has a moneyline bet on him.

Has a moneyline bet on Dolidze; notes short notice but Dolidze has stepped up before
"I like Roman Deliza here I got him at plus money I have a money line bet on him"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jack Hermansson

Big Brady is confident in Hermansson, citing his underrated striking, improved cardio, and superior grappling. He notes Dolidze's poor takedown defense (33%) and short-notice fight, expecting Hermansson to win exchanges on the feet, mix in takedowns, and finish a tired Dolidze in the second round by submission. He mentions Hermansson's dominant win over Chris Curtis as evidence.

Hermansson wins by submission, round 2
"I think Jacker Manson is going to be the second one to ever finish Roma to Lindsay here... second round submission for Jack Romancing"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jack Hermansson

Cody agrees, highlighting Hermansson's high output and Dolidze's low volume. He thinks Hermansson can win by decision or even submission, and prefers Hermansson by decision. He notes Dolidze's power but doubts he can land cleanly.

Hermansson by decision; Hermansson over 56.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks
"I think he pushes a pretty decent pace and as he's getting a little bit older he realizes maybe not the greatest chin maybe not the most uh not the most power so why hang it in the pocket and …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 30, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jack Hermansson

Daniel Levi leans Hermansson as a pure pick, citing his better competition, improved striking, and ground-and-pound. However, he notes Dolidze's danger everywhere and calls it a dog-or-pass situation at the current line. He might bet Dolidze if the line widens to +200 or more.

"I lean Jack but minus 190 is not a lean Jack minus 150 is Eileen Jack and actually minus 150 is where Vegas opened and I thought that was pretty appropriate so at this line I actually do think it's …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 29, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jack Hermansson

The host picks Hermansson but is not confident due to Dolidze's tendency to pull off upsets. He thinks Hermansson will dictate the fight with clinching and striking from the outside, similar to his win over Chris Curtis. He likes the over 2.5 rounds as a bet, expecting a slow-paced fight. He warns that Dolidze is a wild man who could finish if he smells blood.

over 2.5 rounds
"I'll still go with her Manson as my prediction I'm gonna take the over two and a half likely as a bet"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jack Hermansson

Paul thinks Hermansson has Dolidze covered everywhere. He notes Dolidze's low volume and Hermansson's output advantage. He expects Hermansson to keep the fight standing and use his reach and cardio to win a decision or possibly get a finish.

Hermansson over 56.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks
"I think minus 200 is a pretty fair price on Jack romance in this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jack Hermansson

The MMA Guru picks Jack Hermansson, citing his superior experience and grappling. He thinks Dolidze's recent wins are over lesser competition and that Hermansson's leg kicks and pressure will be key. He predicts Hermansson will take over in the later rounds and win a decision.

Hermansson by decision (29-28)
"I'm going Jack commandsum"
WIN vs Chris Curtis
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · Jul 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Hermansson 0 100 of 251 39% 100 of 251 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:00
Chris Curtis 0 43 of 125 34% 43 of 125 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Hermansson 0 21 of 65 32% 21 of 65 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Chris Curtis 0 7 of 28 25% 7 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jack Hermansson 0 45 of 108 41% 45 of 108 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Chris Curtis 0 16 of 40 40% 16 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jack Hermansson 0 34 of 78 43% 34 of 78 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Chris Curtis 0 20 of 57 35% 20 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Hermansson 100 of 251 39% 48 of 176 25 of 45 27 of 30 99 of 246 1 of 5 0 of 0
Chris Curtis 43 of 125 34% 18 of 89 25 of 35 0 of 1 41 of 123 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Hermansson 21 of 65 32% 7 of 42 3 of 10 11 of 13 21 of 63 0 of 2 0 of 0
Chris Curtis 7 of 28 25% 3 of 23 4 of 5 0 of 0 7 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jack Hermansson 45 of 108 41% 26 of 80 10 of 18 9 of 10 44 of 105 1 of 3 0 of 0
Chris Curtis 16 of 40 40% 5 of 24 11 of 16 0 of 0 16 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jack Hermansson 34 of 78 43% 15 of 54 12 of 17 7 of 7 34 of 78 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chris Curtis 20 of 57 35% 10 of 42 10 of 14 0 of 1 18 of 55 2 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jul 17, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Chris Curtis

Angelo has a slight lean towards Chris Curtis but expresses buyer's remorse after betting on him. He notes Curtis has good boxing and takedown defense, but gassed in his last fight against Rodolfo Vieira and was outstruck. He points out Jack Hermansson went 0 for 8 on takedowns against Sean Strickland but still won rounds on some scorecards, meaning he can strike. He says the pick might change by fight day.

moneyline bet placed
"i'm still going to have a very like very slight lean towards chris here because jack's takedowns are just awful"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Chris Curtis

Big Brady picks Chris Curtis to win by decision. He notes Curtis has shown improved takedown defense (stuffing all 20 of Rodolfo Vieira's attempts). On the feet, Curtis has the striking advantage. If Hermansson can't take him down, Curtis should outpoint him in a competitive decision. He acknowledges Hermansson's ground game is dangerous if he gets takedowns.

Curtis by decision
"give me chris curtis for the win here i'm to go with chris curtis to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Chris Curtis

Cody is confident in Chris Curtis, citing his excellent cardio, takedown defense, and boxing. He argues that Hermansson's best volume comes in championship rounds, but this is a three-round fight. Cody notes Hermansson has been knocked out by punchers and dropped by Marvin Vettori, while Curtis has power and volume. He also mentions Curtis' training with Sean Strickland and his ability to stuff takedowns. Cody believes Curtis will keep the fight standing and box Hermansson up.

over 76.5 fantasy score on PrizePicks
"i'm gonna take chris curtis again i actually will and i'm not don't know if action man's going to knock him out or win a decision i couldn't tell you a straight prop"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jack Hermansson

Daniel Levi leans towards Jack Hermansson, citing his top-level experience and dangerous ground game, particularly his guillotine choke. He acknowledges Chris Curtis's improved takedown defense and boxing, but questions whether Curtis can handle the step up in competition. Levi notes that Hermansson has been in there with the best and has a lot of heart, but also wonders if Hermansson still has the hunger after recent setbacks. He thinks Hermansson can find opportunistic takedowns and use his ground and pound to win.

Mentions that he missed out on Hermansson at +110, implying he would have bet at that price.
"i lean her manson in this fight man i think he can get back on track as long as he's still into this"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jack Hermansson

Hermansson is too big and strong for Curtis. He will drag the fight to the ground and control him. Curtis defended 20 takedowns against Adolfo Vieira, but Vieira is a jiu-jitsu player, not a wrestler. Hermansson's wrestling is elite. Curtis will realize he should have stayed at 170.

"I'm going to be on her Mansion I'll likely have a decent bet on him as well"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jack Hermansson

Paul picks Jack Hermansson, feeling the line is too close and that there may be too much hype on Chris Curtis. He notes Hermansson is a legitimate pounder with great cardio, excellent wrestling, and complete skills. Paul acknowledges Curtis has been a cash printing machine but thinks this step up in competition might be too much. He wants to hear Cody's take before making any action.

"i'm picking her manson i wanted to hear obviously what the curtis whisperer had to say before i made any action on this though"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Chris Curtis

The MMA Guru picks Chris Curtis to win by decision. He praises Curtis's grappling defense, as seen against Rodolfo Vieira. Hermansson will have success with takedowns early but will slow down. Curtis will land body shots and knees, pulling away in the last two rounds for a 29-28 decision.

29-28 decision
"i'm gonna go if chris curtis getting this one done in the second and third round 29-28 chris curtis says sir manson slows down"
LOSS vs Sean Strickland
Decision (split) (49–46, 47–48, 49–46) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Feb 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sean Strickland 0 137 of 353 38% 137 of 353 0 of 8 0% 0 0 0:31
Jack Hermansson 0 153 of 330 46% 161 of 338 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sean Strickland 0 26 of 47 55% 26 of 47 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Jack Hermansson 0 22 of 51 43% 24 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Sean Strickland 0 32 of 70 45% 32 of 70 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Jack Hermansson 0 32 of 77 41% 32 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Sean Strickland 0 26 of 75 34% 26 of 75 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jack Hermansson 0 27 of 59 45% 27 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Sean Strickland 0 27 of 78 34% 27 of 78 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:18
Jack Hermansson 0 34 of 67 50% 37 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
5 Sean Strickland 0 26 of 83 31% 26 of 83 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:13
Jack Hermansson 0 38 of 76 50% 41 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sean Strickland 137 of 353 38% 22 of 194 64 of 105 51 of 54 134 of 350 3 of 3 0 of 0
Jack Hermansson 153 of 330 46% 125 of 286 24 of 40 4 of 4 151 of 328 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sean Strickland 26 of 47 55% 4 of 15 11 of 20 11 of 12 25 of 46 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jack Hermansson 22 of 51 43% 19 of 46 3 of 5 0 of 0 20 of 49 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Sean Strickland 32 of 70 45% 3 of 35 15 of 21 14 of 14 31 of 69 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jack Hermansson 32 of 77 41% 22 of 65 10 of 12 0 of 0 32 of 77 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Sean Strickland 26 of 75 34% 4 of 43 9 of 19 13 of 13 26 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jack Hermansson 27 of 59 45% 22 of 49 5 of 10 0 of 0 27 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Sean Strickland 27 of 78 34% 6 of 47 13 of 22 8 of 9 26 of 77 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jack Hermansson 34 of 67 50% 30 of 58 2 of 7 2 of 2 34 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Sean Strickland 26 of 83 31% 5 of 54 16 of 23 5 of 6 26 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jack Hermansson 38 of 76 50% 32 of 68 4 of 6 2 of 2 38 of 76 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jack Hermansson vs. Sean Strickland

Round 1
Top-10 middleweights come to blows for the marquee matchup atop UFC Fight Night 200, with possible championship implications in play. “The Joker” Hermansson (22-6, 9-4 UFC) will try to blunt the momentum of the fast-swinging “Tarzan” Strickland (24-3, 11-3 UFC) in a clear-cut style matchup of a savvy grappler against a solid striker. Referee Herb Dean draws the final assignment of the evening, and he may have his hands full depending on where the fight goes. The gloves are touched, the fighters are ready, and it’s time for some action. The middleweights meet in the middle, and Hermansson lands first with a leg kick. Strickland checks the second one that comes to that target, and he flicks out a few jabs as Hermansson comes towards him. Strickland pops out his jab to split the guard repeatedly, and he blocks one from Hermansson but does not block the sweeping low kick. Strickland keeps his jab flowing, and he gets forced to fight off a takedown effort about a minute into the round. Strickland backs up to the fence, keeping himself upright, while Hermansson goes low for a single. Hermansson hooks the leg between his own, and Strickland defends with a few body shots but gets wrenched down to his hands and knees. “Tarzan” swings right back up to his feet, and Hermansson holds him from behind against the wire. Hermansson bails on the single so that he can knee the body, and he kicks Strickland’s calf on the way out. Strickland returns a jab, and Hermansson pushes one back that is far less snappy. Strickland blocks a body kick and is comfortable with his left jab finding the spot again and again. Strickland checks another leg kick, and Hermansson kicks it from the other side when he does. Strickland’s jab pierces the guard again and again, and he keeps at a safe range to dodge a three-punch salvo that swings his way. While Strickland powers out a jab, he eats a heavy body kick and a slapping inside low kick. Hermansson varies his targets while Strickland is primarily focused on sticking out a jab on the nose. Strickland follows a jab with a right, and Hermansson wears it well and replies with a low kick. The American opens up with another one-two, and it gives Hermansson pause for a moment but “The Joker” bites down on his mouthpiece and throws with a right hand and a leg kick. Strickland’s jab continues to find its home, and he adds in a front kick to the body. “Tarzan” dances out of the way of punches right at the end of the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Strickland
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Hermansson
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Strickland

Round 2
The Swede comes out of his corner much more aggressively than the previous frame, swinging wildly with looping shots and heavier kicks. Strickland remains composed with his jabs and effective defense, checking the low kicks and blocking the bigger punches aimed at his head. They both trade strikes, and Hermansson rushes in with a combination that gets intercepted by a pair of punches. Hermansson hammers Strickland’s lead leg with another kick, and the calf is starting to change colors. Without setting it up, Hermansson ducks down for a takedown attempt, and Strickland shucks it off and pushes him aside. Strickland marches ahead with jabs and follow-up right hands, and he swats down a punch aimed at his face. Hermansson may be throwing harder, but the accuracy rate of his vicious strikes is low. Hermansson bites down on his mouthpiece to throw hands, and they begin to trade it out right in front of one another. Hermansson slugs Strickland in the face, and Strickland’s pace does not change that significantly, keeping to jabs and occasional twos. Hermansson has another takedown try stuffed with ease, allowing Strickland to get to his preferred range and smack him in the face with a jab and body with a right hand. Hermansson kicks the body, and Strickland does not register the blow as he checks a leg kick. Strickland picks out with punches and a single body kick, and Hermansson blitzes forward with a wide combination that mostly misses the mark. A heavy low kick connects for the Swede, but it is one-and-done as he backs away to reset. Strickland lands cleanly with a power jab, and he winds up with a power punch only for Hermansson to greet him with one of his own. They club one another in the face with big punches, and Strickland scores a few kicks to the body. Strickland sits back, avoids a punch and lets go with a right hand that knocks Hermansson cleanly off his feet. Strickland does not give chase, letting Hermansson up as the round comes to a close.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Strickland
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Strickland
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Strickland

Round 3
Strickland’s jab starts off again in the round, as he stabs out his fist while Hermansson keeps a high, tight guard. Hermansson’s low kicks have ranging success, as some land cleanly while others get checked. The hand speed shifts in favor of Strickland, catching Hermansson on the way in when Hermansson loads up on powerful strikes. The kicks are marking Strickland’s legs up as well, but Strickland keeps a stiff upper lip and does not change his approach. Hermansson keeps the leg attack going as he eats punches, giving up jabs to land calf kicks. Hermansson tries to bob and weave, and Strickland’s accurate jab is able to still find the target as Hermansson’s face begins to change color. Hermansson sells out for a heavy body kick, and it pounds into Strickland’s liver. Strickland does not budget, and he proceeds to let loose a high kick that glances off Hermansson’s shoulder. “Tarzan” smoothly dodges punches while feeding Hermansson a steady diet of jabs, and he gets tagged with a looping left hand. Strickland gives it back with a body kick, allowing him to take a moment in case he needs to shake off the cobwebs. Hermansson’s variety is much more noteworthy than Strickland, as Strickland sticks to a few fundamentals while Hermansson is trying everything he can to close the distance and land with power punches. Strickland slips and moves, sticking Hermansson with jabs and occasionally mixing in a front kick. Strickland snipes Hermansson with a right hand, and he slings a high kick that is blocked just in the nick of time. They both trade heavy shots, with Strickland scoring a right hand while Hermansson gets off a head kick, and the third frame wraps.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Strickland
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Strickland
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Strickland

Round 4
The jab keeps right on coming from Strickland, but Hermansson is motivated to turn this into a wild brawl. The powerful punches of the Swede hit little but air, as Strickland calmly dodges and counters with jabs up the middle. Hermansson swings wide, using his forward momentum to go after a single-leg takedown, and Strickland keeps smart neck control by pushing Hermansson’s head down to fail on the attempt. The American is able to stop the try and gain some space, where he starts to add right hands in after stinging Hermansson with jabs. One such right hand stuns the Swede momentarily, but Hermansson shakes it off and throws back with bad intentions. Hermansson tries to punch around the jab, getting off a few right hands that loop around Strickland’s outstretched arm. Strickland doubles up on a jab, and Hermansson swings wild and goes wide. Strickland’s defensive nature does not put him into much danger, but it is damaging Hermansson to any noticeable degree. Strickland scores a leg kick, and he backs off as Hermansson goes for broke by ducking down and winging punches. Strickland does not absorb them and stays loose and light, jabbing out while windmilling punches go past him. Hermansson finally lands with a big right hand, but Strickland does not budge. Strickland continues to play the matador to Hermansson’s bull, and he pokes and prods Hermansson from a distance until the bell sounds. Both men appear to be bleeding after exchanges, with Strickland’s nose leaking while Hermansson has a cut under his right eye.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Strickland
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Strickland
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Strickland

Round 5
Sensing he is likely down on the scorecards, Hermansson attacks recklessly with whipping punches. Strickland’s composure never changes, with his jab and footwork keeping him safe from the majority of harm. On the other hand, Hermansson throws so hard he nearly topples over, unable to find the range with more than a single strike in a salvo. Hermansson kicks the legs and body, and Strickland does what he does best with straight, sharp jabs right down Broadway. While Strickland gets off a one-two, Hermansson leaps ahead with a superman punch that pops Strickland on the cheek. Hermansson walks Strickland down, putting everything he has into his punches, and Strickland’s guard remains active and effective at staving off the worst that comes at him. Hermansson does not bother reacting to jabs any longer, and he throws hard at his opponent. Strickland gives it right back with a pair of one-twos, but he settles back to his calm, methodical pace while Hermansson shouts kiais after every strike. Strickland smoothly walks through a leg kick to push out a few jabs, and he leans to the side to slap Hermansson in the side of his calf. A whiff from Hermansson allows Strickland to counter heavily, but Hermansson does not falter. Instead, the Swede crashes forward in pursuit of a single-leg takedown, and Strickland’s takedown defense remains immaculate as he pushes Hermansson away. Strickland shrugs off a low kick so that he can belt Hermansson in the face with a right hand, and he jabs out a few more times for good measure. Strickland starts talking trash, telling Hermansson to brawl with him. Hermansson appears confused at this, and his confusion lets Strickland blast him in the face a few times. Hermansson obliges him in one final throwdown, and they let it go right to the final horn. There is no bad blood after the last exchange, as they slap one another on the shoulder and laugh after five hard-fought rounds. After the head-scratching split decision score is read, Strickland thanks the UFC for the opportunity and says he is a “company man” and would be more than willing to fight the person that holds the belt next, if that is who’s next for him. The middleweight championship will be decided next week in Houston at UFC 271, with Sherdog in the building covering the fight card, so we will absolutely be there for it. We hope you are too.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Strickland (50-45 Strickland)
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Strickland (49-46 Strickland)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Strickland (50-45 Strickland)

The Official Result
Sean Strickland def. Jack Hermansson via Split Decision (49-46, 47-48, 49-46)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jan 30, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Sean Strickland

Angelo picks Sean Strickland but is hesitant. He notes Strickland's insane volume and solid takedown defense, but criticizes his lack of hip rotation and footwork. Hermansson is a great grappler who will shoot takedowns relentlessly. Angelo thinks Strickland's volume can win, but Hermansson could frustrate him with takedowns. He calls it a great live betting card.

Live bet suggestion: if Hermansson has early takedown success, bet him live.
"i am gonna go with sean here because i do think her manson can be submission or bust at times but i wouldn't be surprised if hermansen can get a few takedowns and really frustrate sean strickland and get that …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Sean Strickland

Cody agrees with Paul that Strickland's volume and cardio should win the fight, but he is hesitant about the decision prop. He notes that Hermansson has good wrestling and BJJ, and if anyone can take Strickland down, it's Hermansson. However, he thinks Strickland's takedown defense has improved and that the fight will likely be decided by volume down the stretch. He picks Strickland but is hesitant on the method.

Strickland by decision (hesitant)
"the pick's gonna be sean strickland i will take him by decision but kind of hesitant on that part so far"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Sean Strickland

Daniel Levi picks Sean Strickland, citing his improved power at middleweight and his ability to stuff takedowns and get back up. He notes that Strickland's wrestling is underrated, having taken down Uriah Hall and Brendan Allen. Levi believes Jack Hermansson's herky-jerky striking won't trouble Strickland, and that Hermansson shells up when hit, while Strickland thrives on pressure. He predicts a late finish or unanimous decision for Strickland.

"I gotta go with strickland here to kind of just put it on jack push that pace prevent jack from getting in the spots he wants to be in and light him up so sean strickland i'm gonna say either …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Sean Strickland

Lock of the Night favors Strickland, citing his high output and volume striking that will drown Hermansson on the feet. He acknowledges the unknown of Strickland's takedown defense at 185 but believes his black belt and training with Kutila will suffice. He expects Strickland to get back to his feet and outpoint Hermansson, similar to the Vettori fight. He likes the over 4.5 rounds and Strickland by decision.

over 4.5 rounds -130, fight goes to decision +100, Strickland by decision +150
"i think hermansen gets absolutely drowned with with the output and volume that sean strickland's going to be putting on him"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Sean Strickland

Paul thinks Strickland's volume and cardio will be the difference in a five-round fight. He notes that Strickland lands a high volume of significant strikes and that Hermansson may struggle to keep up. He also mentions that Strickland's wrestling is rarely tested but he trains with great wrestlers, so Hermansson's takedown edge is uncertain. Paul picks Strickland but says the price is about right.

"i'm gonna go with sean strickland to get the job done here but i think the the price is about right"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Sean Strickland

The MMA Guru picks Sean Strickland, citing his experience and underrated grappling. He notes that Khamzat Chimaev flies across the world to train grappling with Strickland, implying high-level skills. He predicts Strickland will piece up Hermansson on the feet, stuff takedowns, and win a decision (50-45 or 50-44). He mentions Hermansson doesn't take damage well, as seen in the Uriah Hall fight.

decision, 50-45, 50-44
"i'm gonna go with sean strickland here over jack manson... i think strickland's gonna do very well here i don't see him anton out striking him i don't see him anson ko in him i just see strickland putting it …"
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · May 22, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Hermansson 0 55 of 100 55% 141 of 192 3 of 6 50% 0 0 7:11
Edmen Shahbazyan 0 40 of 92 43% 42 of 94 0 of 0 --- 1 1 1:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Hermansson 0 18 of 42 42% 18 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Edmen Shahbazyan 0 26 of 67 38% 26 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jack Hermansson 0 6 of 13 46% 24 of 35 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:54
Edmen Shahbazyan 0 10 of 17 58% 12 of 19 0 of 0 --- 1 1 1:51
3 Jack Hermansson 0 31 of 45 68% 99 of 115 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:14
Edmen Shahbazyan 0 4 of 8 50% 4 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Hermansson 55 of 100 55% 44 of 82 3 of 6 8 of 12 20 of 56 0 of 0 35 of 44
Edmen Shahbazyan 40 of 92 43% 34 of 84 6 of 8 0 of 0 30 of 77 3 of 4 7 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Hermansson 18 of 42 42% 7 of 24 3 of 6 8 of 12 18 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
Edmen Shahbazyan 26 of 67 38% 21 of 60 5 of 7 0 of 0 26 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jack Hermansson 6 of 13 46% 6 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 8 0 of 0 4 of 5
Edmen Shahbazyan 10 of 17 58% 10 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 3 of 4 7 of 11
3 Jack Hermansson 31 of 45 68% 31 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 6 0 of 0 31 of 39
Edmen Shahbazyan 4 of 8 50% 3 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jack Hermansson vs. Edmen Shahbazyan

Round 1
The main card commences with a high-stakes middleweight showdown as “The Joker” Hermansson (21-6, 8-4 UFC) will try to take more shine away from “The Golden Boy” Shahbazyan (11-1, 4-1 UFC). Two finishers will collide here, with 27 stoppage wins among their 32 career victories, so referee Herb Dean will need to mind his P’s and Q’s. There is no sign of a glove touch, as the two would rather get right down to business. Hermansson hops around as he takes the center of the cage, where he lets go with several front kicks to the knee. Shahbazyan loads up on a few punches down the middle, and Hermansson swats them away and kicks his lead leg. Shahbazyan sneaks in a right hand, and he follows it with a few more powerful strikes that give Hermansson some pause. “The Joker” sits down on a jab, and he gets countered with a left hand on the way in. Three big punches from Shahbazyan ricochet off Hermansson’s guard, and he splits that guard with an uppercut. Hermansson looses a few head kicks and a leg kick, and a jab that comes his way stings him on the chin. A long shot from Hermansson is unsuccessful, as Shahbazyan hops back and lands a big uppercut as the Swede stands. Hermansson rushes in to throw hands, but Shahbazyan’s sharper jab gives him some pause. A few punches from Shahbazyan have marked up Hermansson’s face, but the Swede gives him a response with a few kicks. Shahbazyan’s hands continue to land, and a single leg kick from Hermansson finds its home. Shahbazyan mixes it up with body shots as he jabs, forcing Hermansson to shoot in on him from a distance. “The Golden Boy” shines as he stuffs it, and he cracks Hermansson with a right hand. Hermansson walks through everything, until he meets a one-two that wobbles his knees. “The Joker” is not laughing as he stalks Shahbazyan down, but Shahbazyan is the one landing practically at will. Shahbazyan circles on the outside and reaches out with a front kick, and he sticks Hermansson with a few jabs. Hermansson fires off a kick on the inside leg, and one on the outside, but Shahbazyan ignores them and drills him in the face with a pair of punches. Hermansson gets busted up with a nasty jab, and Hermansson throws wildly with power strikes but is largely inaccurate. Hermansson attacks, but those strikes do not find their home as the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan

Round 2
Hermansson is ready to throw bombs as he starts the second round, and he clips Shahbazyan with an uppercut as he closes the distance. The Swede gets in close with his strikes, and he attempts a single leg takedown when he has Shahbazyan pushed against the fence. “The Joker” scoops up the legs, and he plants Shahbazyan firmly on his back. Shahbazyan closes the guard, but he is eating some serious ground-and-pound as Hermansson starts to unload on him. As a cut opens on his eyebrow from a strike, Shahbazyan wildly scrambles to burst back to his feet. Hermansson keeps him held tight with the threat of a guillotine choke as he leans against the cage wall, and he tightens it when Shahbazyan tries to step out. One solid elbow from Shahbazyan lands, but Hermansson tackles him down right into a guillotine choke from Shahbazyan. The Swede welcomes the exchange, as he is not concerned about the arm around his neck, and instead puts Shahbazyan down to the ground and hops to mount. Shahbazyan recovers position slightly, and Hermansson sits in a high half guard as he elbows Shahbazyan. A few more elbows for Hermansson land as he puts a knee on the belly to slice to full mount, but Shahbazyan is bucking like a bronco. Hermansson is unable to pass position, but he isolates an arm to hunt for a kimura. When Shahbazyan kicks to get out, Hermansson jumps a bit too high and Shahbazyan slides out the back door. Hermansson falls over, and Shahbazyan climbs on top to land a single elbow. “The Golden Boy” reaches down for a guillotine choke to keep the Swede in a position he would prefer, and bails on it to get into half guard. One big thudding elbow from Shahbazyan lands as Hermansson sits up, and “The Joker” twists and turns but falls short in his escape attempt. Hermansson kicks him off, and misses with a few upkicks. This is the perfect moment for Shahbazyan, who dives down with heavy ground-and-pound to end the round violently.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hermansson
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Hermansson
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hermansson

Round 3
The middleweights meet in the center of the cage, and both land single strikes on the other. Shahbazyan sticks out a few jabs, and Hermansson shrugs them off only to get stung with an uppercut. “The Joker” blocks a front kick up the middle, and Hermansson shoots in for a single. He is able to scoop Shahbazyan off the ground, and a second attempt puts “The Golden Boy” on his back. Hermansson, sitting in half guard, frees his right hand to start raining it down on the jaw of the American. Hermansson clubs him with punches and squeezes down with shoulder pressure to pass to mount. Hermansson elbows him a few times, and lands some thudding right hands that bounce Shahbazyan’s head off the cage floor. The Swede continues to pour it on with punches and elbows, and a big cut has opened up around Shahbazyan’s right eye. Hermansson stays comfortable in half guard, thwarting any of Shahbazyan attempts to get up and making him pay for each one with strikes. The blood continues to flow from the man on bottom, and Hermansson opens up with a barrage of nasty elbows as he looks to force a stoppage. Dean keeps a close eye on the proceedings as Hermansson wails on him, and Hermansson sits up to hammer down with a huge elbow. Hermansson steps over into side control as he lands hammerfists, and he turns it into a north-south before taking the other side. Hermansson steps to mount with seconds to go, and he unloads with a fury of punches until the final bloody round ends. As soon as the bell rings, Hermansson gets up and helps a battered Shahbazyan back up to his feet.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Hermansson (29-27 Hermansson)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Hermansson (29-27 Hermansson)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-8 Hermansson (29-27 Hermansson)

The Official Result
Jack Hermansson def. Edmen Shahbazyan via Unanimous Decision (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 18, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jack Hermansson

Big Brady picks Hermansson to survive Shahbazyan's dangerous first round, then take over with takedowns and ground game. He notes Shahbazyan's cardio issues and high finish rate (91%) but believes Hermansson's grappling and experience will lead to a second-round submission. He acknowledges Shahbazyan could knock him out early.

Hermansson by second-round submission
"i will take jacker manson to win would i be shocked if he got knocked down the first round though i wouldn't"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jack Hermansson

Cody Saftic picks Jack Hermansson, criticizing the matchmaking for Shahbazyan. He notes that Hermansson is a strong wrestler with good cardio, while Shahbazyan has shown poor takedown defense and gassing issues. Saftic believes Hermansson will take the fight to the ground and wear Shahbazyan down, similar to what Derek Brunson did. He sees value at -150 and considers it a strong play.

Hermansson by submission or TKO (late rounds)
"i gotta go to jack hermans and get the job done i'm with you as well i think we're always on that same page"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 20, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Edmen Shahbazyan

Daniel Levi picks Edmen Shahbazyan, arguing that Shahbazyan is a young phenom with knockout power and takedown ability, and that his loss to Brunson was due to inexperience. He believes Jack Hermansson is a one-trick pony with poor striking defense and that he took too much damage in his last fight (broken orbital). He predicts Shahbazyan will knock out Hermansson in the first round, calling it a dog or pass situation.

first round knockout
"i actually think that edmond's going to come out here and knock jack out in the first round i think jack took too much damage that last fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Edmen Shahbazyan

Matt picks Edmen Shahbazyan by knockout, believing Shahbazyan's striking advantage and power will be too much for Hermansson. He notes Hermansson's defensive striking issues, having been hit by Cannonier, Vettori, and others. He thinks Shahbazyan's cardio issues may still exist, but he should finish within two rounds. He compares the matchup to Derek Brunson's win over Shahbazyan, but notes Brunson is more defensively sound than Hermansson. He likes Shahbazyan by KO at +265 and round 1 KO at +325.

Edmen Shahbazyan by KO (+265), Edmen Shahbazyan round 1 (+325)
"i got edmund shabazzian by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jack Hermansson

Paul Shaughnessy agrees with Hermansson, noting that the line seems too good to be true. He points out that Hermansson has fought top competition and has good cardio, while Shahbazyan was dominated by Brunson. He suggests that if Shahbazyan wins, it would likely be by early knockout, but the longer the fight goes, the more it favors Hermansson. He recommends Hermansson by knockout at +265 as a prop.

Shahbazyan by knockout (alternative play)
"i would just take the plus 265 shabazin by knockout i see out there that seems like a much better play"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 22, 2021 (fight day)
Jack Hermansson

The MMA Guru predicts Jack Hermansson will win by first-round submission via arm-in guillotine. He expects Shahbazyan to show improvements on the feet and stuff some takedowns early, but Hermansson will eventually catch him in a scramble as Shahbazyan tries to get back up, latching onto the guillotine for the finish.

"i'm going to be going with the joker jack hermansen i think he's going to get this one done by first round submission"
LOSS vs Marvin Vettori
Decision (unanimous) (49–46, 49–46, 49–45) R5 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Hermansson vs. Vettori · Dec 05, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marvin Vettori 0 122 of 346 35% 139 of 365 2 of 7 28% 0 0 0:28
Jack Hermansson 1 164 of 334 49% 202 of 376 0 of 1 0% 1 1 5:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marvin Vettori 0 16 of 38 42% 17 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jack Hermansson 1 23 of 47 48% 58 of 83 0 of 0 --- 1 0 2:29
2 Marvin Vettori 0 15 of 35 42% 20 of 40 2 of 4 50% 0 0 0:28
Jack Hermansson 0 12 of 24 50% 14 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:28
3 Marvin Vettori 0 29 of 72 40% 35 of 78 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Jack Hermansson 0 23 of 50 46% 23 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Marvin Vettori 0 32 of 106 30% 32 of 106 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jack Hermansson 0 52 of 104 50% 52 of 104 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
5 Marvin Vettori 0 30 of 95 31% 35 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jack Hermansson 0 54 of 109 49% 55 of 111 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:50
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marvin Vettori 122 of 346 35% 86 of 306 18 of 22 18 of 18 118 of 339 4 of 7 0 of 0
Jack Hermansson 164 of 334 49% 143 of 312 18 of 19 3 of 3 156 of 320 0 of 1 8 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marvin Vettori 16 of 38 42% 8 of 28 3 of 5 5 of 5 15 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jack Hermansson 23 of 47 48% 18 of 42 5 of 5 0 of 0 18 of 37 0 of 0 5 of 10
2 Marvin Vettori 15 of 35 42% 7 of 27 4 of 4 4 of 4 14 of 32 1 of 3 0 of 0
Jack Hermansson 12 of 24 50% 7 of 19 2 of 2 3 of 3 9 of 21 0 of 0 3 of 3
3 Marvin Vettori 29 of 72 40% 21 of 62 5 of 7 3 of 3 29 of 72 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jack Hermansson 23 of 50 46% 20 of 47 3 of 3 0 of 0 23 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Marvin Vettori 32 of 106 30% 28 of 102 1 of 1 3 of 3 30 of 103 2 of 3 0 of 0
Jack Hermansson 52 of 104 50% 46 of 98 6 of 6 0 of 0 52 of 103 0 of 1 0 of 0
5 Marvin Vettori 30 of 95 31% 22 of 87 5 of 5 3 of 3 30 of 95 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jack Hermansson 54 of 109 49% 52 of 106 2 of 3 0 of 0 54 of 109 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jack Hermansson vs. Marvin Vettori

Round 1
After a round robin of opponents, “The Joker” Hermansson (21-5, 8-3 UFC) now settles on “The Italian Dream” Vettori (15-4-1, 5-2-1 UFC) in an all-Europe headliner at middleweight. The two thrilling grapplers with 28 stoppages across their 36 combined fights have referee Herb Dean standing between them as they greet for the last time before throwing down. There is a glove touch, but these two are fired up. Both middleweights paw at one another to find their range, and Hermansson lands a leg kick that make Vettori pick his leg up and dance for a second. The Italian loads up on a left hand, and it bounces off Hermansson’s forehead. Vettori lands another left hand, and Hermansson respond with two punches and an inside leg kick. “The Joker” lands on the outside of his opponent’s leg, and Vettori crashes in on him to land a few punches. Vettori charges him and stings Hermansson with an uppercut, and the Swede shakes it off and starts reaching out with a jab. Vettori punches the body, and Hermansson blasts him with a body kick that makes Vettori wince. Both men trade heavy leather on the inside, and Hermansson counters when Vettori lands on him. Hermansson cracks him with a right hand, and then lands a low kick for good measure. Vettori is walking his man down, and Hermansson fakes a takedown to make the Italian reconsider himself. Vettori rushes in with a chain of punches, and he swarms and drops Hermansson with a fierce one-two. As he keeps landing punches from above, Dean is taking a close eye on the action, but Vettori opts to pursue a guillotine choke. Hermansson welcomes it as the choke is not tight, and Vettori lets it go to drop down a few elbows. Hermansson lets him grab on to a guillotine choke again so that he can clear out the cobwebs, and Vettori lets go and works the body with several punches. Hermansson maintains a high guard when Vettori pushes him over, and the Italian drops down some heavy hammerfists as Hermansson is stuck against the fence. Vettori drops down for another guillotine choke, but the arm is not under the chin so Hermansson sits up and gets punched in the ribs repeatedly. Vettori slices over to side control, and when Hermansson sits up, Vettori once more considers the guillotine. Hermansson bursts to his feet and lands an uppercut as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Vettori
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Vettori
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-8 Vettori

Round 2
Hermansson aggressively starts the round with a heavy right hand, and backs Vettori up quickly. The Swede lands a thudding body kick, and Vettori sneaks in a counter to catch Hermansson with a few punches. “The Joker” shoots low for a single leg takedown, and he puts Vettori down on his backside but only for a moment. Vettori defends with a guillotine choke, and Hermansson manages a mat return until Vettori sweeps him to wind up in full guard. Vettori stays heavy to not allow Hermansson to scramble, but the Swede throws his legs up for an omoplata sweep. Vettori breaks it up and remains on top, and pushes over Hermansson to try to advance his position. Hermansson sits up but gets shoved over, and he tries to utilize butterfly hooks to kick off or attempt a submission. Vettori manages to pass to half guard, but Hermansson threats from below to make Vettori stand up. The Italian kicks his foe in the thigh and backside a few times, but Hermansson springs back to his feet and takes a one-two on the chin. “The Italian Dream” targets the body with a right hand, and he slips an overhand right to land two of his own. Hermansson swings and misses with an unusual pawing right hand, and he stops Vettori briefly by kicking the inside leg. Hermansson digs to the body and jabs up top, only to shoot in for a single. Vettori knees him in the chest as he stops the takedown, standing Hermansson up and ducking the spinning back elbow. Vettori lands a few punches as he slips a couple Hermansson punches, and he stings Hermansson with a power right hand. Hermansson slams his shin into the midsection of his foe, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vettori
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vettori
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vettori

Round 3
Hermansson comes out guns blazing again, ripping the body with a kick and landing a couple left hands as well. Vettori clips Hermansson with a lunging left hand, so Hermansson kicks the calf twice. When Hermansson kicks on the inside leg, Vettori checks it and misses with a counter. Vettori scores on a right hand, and Hermansson pays him back with one. Although Hermansson boots him in the head with a kick, Vettori ignores it and walks him down to crack him with a left hand. When Vettori swings hard, Hermansson drops down for a single and grabs the leg. Vettori keeps upright and hops away, but he takes a pair of body kicks on the way out. As Vettori starts to get a jab going, Hermansson again changes levels for a single. “The Italian Dream” scrambles well enough so that they both fall over, and get back up before either can capitalize. Hermansson scores a big right hand, and shoots in for a takedown as Vettori takes a deep breath while stuffing it. Hermansson lands a few punches from a distance, getting off a shovel hook. Hermansson lands a few punches, and Vettori tries to give it back to him but his strikes may not have the same pop on them as the first round. Hermansson lands a few and Vettori clinches, but the Italian shoves him away before either can get a knee off. Both trade jabs, and Vettori blocks two punches to land three. Hermansson smacks Vettori with two big right hands, and Vettori takes them on the chin and throws back. Vettori splits the guard with a left hand, and both land at the same time with heavy punches. Hermansson takes a kick to the breadbasket and walks forward to ding Vettori on the jaw repeatedly, and the Swede’s jab is showing some appreciable damage. A few punches bounce off Hermansson’s guard as the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hermansson
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hermansson
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hermansson

Round 4
Hermansson once more starts aggressively, swinging hard as he marches down his foe. The Italian stands his ground and swings back, landing a few punches in the face and scoring to the body. Vettori sits down on a left hand that catches Hermansson flush, but the Swede takes it on the brow and throws back. Both men swing wildly with right hands, and Vettori sticks a jab and moves to avoid the returning blow. Hermansson lands a glancing right hand to make Vettori retreat, and he stands in front of his Italian foe to make him trade. Vettori is able to repeatedly score his crisp left hand, but they are largely single strikes as Hermansson chains together combinations. A left and a right score from the Swede, and the two are just slugging it out in the center of the cage one after the other. Vettori steps in with a big left, and Hermansson swings recklessly and misses four times. Vettori’s pace has improved from the previous round, but Hermansson is the one doing the pursuing as he makes Vettori back away. The tide keeps turning as one unloads a salvo of punches, only for the other to do the same. Vettori gets off a few left hands that go through the guard, and Hermansson is walking into them as he chambers looping right hooks again and again. Hermansson attacks the leg once, and Vettori reacts but flicks out a jab to make Hermansson take a step back. Hermansson nails Vettori with a pair of hard uppercuts, and Vettori retreats along the fence to gather himself. Vettori bites down on his mouthpiece and lands several concussive punches, ending a powerful combination with a body kick. Three big punches from Vettori land flush, and Hermansson is unable to pay him back for the strikes. Vettori stands firm and swings it out with his foe, landing a few left hands until the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vettori
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vettori
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vettori

Round 5
Hermansson sprints out of his corner like his hair is on fire, landing a leg kick and a few punches. Vettori is ready for him, cracking the Swede with power punches. Vettori stings him with a left, a right and another left. Hermansson fiercely attacks with several massive punches, but Vettori sees them coming and weathers the storm to throw right back. “The Joker” is not joking as he furiously assaults his opponent. Vettori ducks, moves, eats shots and throws back. Vettori backs away from an oncoming combination, and he strings together punches in bunches while Hermansson is loading up on home run punches. Vettori sticks him and moves, landing a few left hands to get Hermansson’s attention. Hermansson wisely clinches up after taking the damage, but Vettori shoves him away to not give his foe a moment to breathe. They are standing in front of each other and trading, and the strike totals are likely off the charts in this clash. Hermansson lands one, Vettori lands two, and so on. Three punches from Vettori are blocked, as Hermansson clips him with three of his own while shouting for emphasis. Hermansson rips several uppercuts through the guard, and Vettori shrugs them off to trade back at him. Hermansson backs Vettori against the cage, but he cannot capitalize on it as Vettori circles away and scores. Vettori’s strikes are straighter and less wild, allowing him to intercept an advancing Hermansson before the hooks can land. Vettori clinches up to grind out the waning seconds, and Dean calls for them to work multiple times. Vettori looks for a trip while Hermansson rolls, and he grabs hold of a heel hook in the last seconds. The Italian spins out and takes top position, where he remains until this frenetic fight ends. This was a spectacular performance from both men, but more so for Vettori, who should take home a decision to become the winningest Italian fighter in UFC history (tied with Alessio Sakara) – doing so in the first-ever UFC headliner for an Italian. This event in the books, next week we will be joined by a pay-per-view card capped by a flyweight title fight with the champ on a short turnaround. We will be here for it, and we hope you are too!

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vettori (49-45 Vettori)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vettori (49-45 Vettori)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vettori (49-45 Vettori)

The Official Result
Marvin Vettori def. Jack Hermansson via Unanimous Decision (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 2, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Jack Hermansson

Big Brady picks Jack Hermansson as a dog, surprised by the line movement making Vettori the favorite. He believes Hermansson's cardio in the championship rounds is superior, as Vettori has slowed in the third round of three-round fights. He sees Hermansson's takedowns and ground game as key to grinding Vettori down, and notes Hermansson has faced tougher competition recently. He expects Hermansson to win a decision, possibly taking the last two rounds.

Hermansson by decision; line movement surprising; Vettori's cardio a concern; Hermansson's cardio looked good in five-round fights
"I'm actually going to believe it or not take the dog here and Jack Hermansson... I just think the extra two rounds it's really sketchy the line is sketchy"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 2, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Jack Hermansson

Daniel picks Jack Hermansson, arguing that Marvin Vettori's hype is inflated by a close fight with Israel Adesanya, which was not a true split decision. He notes that Hermansson has better volume, proven five-round cardio, and submission threats, as seen against Jacare Souza. He also questions Vettori's power, stating he doesn't have the one-punch knockout ability to stop Hermansson. However, he acknowledges that Hermansson's mental state could be a factor if he doesn't want to be there.

Surprised Hermansson is an underdog; thinks he should be a slight favorite.
"I'm actually gonna go on the opposite side here I'm gonna take jack herman... I was actually kind of surprised that he was an underdog in this spot I felt like he should have been at least a sly favorite …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Nov 30, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Jack Hermansson

The host picks Jack Hermansson to win by decision, citing his superior wrestling and top pressure, especially in a five-round fight. He notes that Vettori has not faced someone with Hermansson's ground game and that Hermansson's unorthodox style and lanky strength will be key. He is not confident enough to bet Hermansson at current odds but would consider it if the line widens to +150.

Jack Hermansson by decision at +525 is mentioned as a possible small play; Hermansson inside distance +160; Vettori's durability noted.
"I'm going her mansion here to win by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Jack Hermansson

The MMA Guru picks Jack Hermansson by submission in the first two rounds, emphasizing that Hermansson's style is completely different from Jacare's—he fights on the outside, chops at the legs, and waits for takedowns. He believes Vettori is taking a jump too soon and that Hermansson's explosive grappling will be too much. He notes Hermansson almost submitted Jacare with an arm-in guillotine on short notice and predicts a similar early submission here.

method: submission, round: 1-2
"i think her manson in the first two rounds by submission"
Jacare Souza - Fight History
LOSS vs André Muniz
Technical Submission (armbar) R1 3:59 · UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · May 15, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
André Muniz 0 11 of 19 57% 15 of 23 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:53
Jacare Souza 0 7 of 12 58% 19 of 26 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 André Muniz 0 11 of 19 57% 15 of 23 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:53
Jacare Souza 0 7 of 12 58% 19 of 26 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
André Muniz 11 of 19 57% 5 of 13 4 of 4 2 of 2 7 of 13 0 of 0 4 of 6
Jacare Souza 7 of 12 58% 3 of 8 2 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 André Muniz 11 of 19 57% 5 of 13 4 of 4 2 of 2 7 of 13 0 of 0 4 of 6
Jacare Souza 7 of 12 58% 3 of 8 2 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 11, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jacare Souza

Souza has fought much better competition and is levels above Muniz. Muniz has poor takedown defense and has been knocked out in all four losses. Souza is a BJJ black belt who won't get submitted, and he has power. I think Souza takes Muniz down and finishes him by knockout, as Muniz's chin is suspect.

by KO
"I actually like jockery quite a bit in this fight i'm kind of shocked by the line ... i do like uh jockery sosa to get it done and i'm going to say by knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 12, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jacare Souza

Cody picks Souza, arguing that Muniz's takedown defense is poor and Souza can take him down. He notes that Muniz's striking is not good enough to knock out Souza, and Souza has the advantage in both striking and grappling. Cody believes Souza will win by controlling the fight on the ground.

"jacare souza i think he can dictate it wherever the fight takes place"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
André Muniz

Daniel Levi picks André Muniz, citing Jacare's age (41) and recent decline, especially the Kevin Holland loss. He notes that Muniz is a credentialed jiu-jitsu player and younger (31), and believes Muniz can attack off his back and outgrapple the older Jacare. Levi thinks Jacare's durability and ability to break opponents have diminished, and expects Muniz to win by decision or submission.

mentions Muniz's jiu-jitsu medals and Jacare's age
"i'm gonna go with andre muniz to just kind of be younger fresher"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jacare Souza

The host picks Jacare Souza, giving him the jiu-jitsu advantage and noting his heavy strikes should get the fight to the ground. He acknowledges Souza is 41 and has a questionable chin after the Holland KO, but thinks he still has enough to grind out Muniz. He predicts a decision win and says he is not going to the betting window on this one.

Souza by decision
"i'm going with jakarta here as long as his chin isn't completely shot as some people make it out to be i do think that he grinds our moon is here uh and i think he wins this fight by …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 12, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jacare Souza

Paul picks Souza, believing he still has one good fight left. He notes that Souza's grappling is elite and Muniz's striking is poor. Paul thinks Souza can dictate where the fight takes place and has the advantage on the ground. He acknowledges Souza's recent KO loss but points out that prior to that, Souza was competitive with top guys.

"i'm going to take jacquez who's in the spot"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 9, 2021 (6 days before fight)
André Muniz

The MMA Guru picks André Muniz to win by submission in the first round. He believes Jacare is too old and has declined significantly, as evidenced by Kevin Holland making his grappling look good. He thinks Muniz's athleticism on the ground will be too much for the slower Jacare, and predicts Muniz will catch Jacare on the feet or in a scramble and secure an armbar.

Muniz wins by submission in round 1 (armbar)
"i'm gonna have to pick andre muniz and i think i'm gonna pick andre muniz by submission"
LOSS vs Kevin Holland
KO (punches) R1 1:45 · UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · Dec 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kevin Holland 0 15 of 18 83% 21 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Jacare Souza 0 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kevin Holland 0 15 of 18 83% 21 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Jacare Souza 0 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:27
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kevin Holland 15 of 18 83% 14 of 17 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 2 12 of 14
Jacare Souza 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kevin Holland 15 of 18 83% 14 of 17 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 2 12 of 14
Jacare Souza 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ronaldo Souza vs. Kevin Holland

Round 1
In a potential middleweight passing of the torch match – see also the previous bout – Holland (20-5, 7-2 UFC) will look to earn his fifth UFC win of the year against “Jacare” Souza (26-8, 1 NC; 9-5, 1 NC UFC). Thirteen years separate these two contenders, and referee Mark Smith will keep charge of the cage in this one. They touch gloves, and Holland lets loose a huge overhand right and a leg kick. Souza grabs his leg and hits a takedown, where Holland pulls his leg up to trap Souza and elbow him in the head like Anderson Silva did to Travis Lutter. Souza turns to try to get out of this position, and Holland powers back to his feet. Souza grips hold of a double, and then a single as Holland elbows his way out of danger. Holland latches on to a guillotine choke, and Souza pulls his head out and drops his opponent down. Holland starts talking trash while on his back, and Souza laughs and punches him in the face. Holland from his back nails Souza in the face with a huge right hand, and Souza falls to his back and gets blasted with another big right hand. “Jacare” leans backward as he is incredibly hurt while on his knees, and Holland springs up and drills Souza in the face with three lethal punches to completely shut Souza’s lights out. A few moments later, Souza manages to slump to his stool, and he nearly passes out again from the massive damage he received. Incredible! Holland has now won five fights this year, and done so in just seven impressive months. In his post-fight interview, Holland calls out Khamzat Chimaev to come up to greet him at 185 pounds next week.

The Official Result
Kevin Holland def. Ronaldo Souza R1 1:45 via KO (Punches)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 9, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Jacare Souza

Big Brady picks Jacare Souza to win by submission. He is concerned about Holland's poor takedown defense and submission history, and believes if Souza gets the fight to the mat, it's over. He notes Souza's superior competition and Holland's negative fight IQ. He passes on betting due to line movement but leans Souza.

submission
"i'm going so easy i'm taking the dog well i'm taking the probably going to be the favorite but i'm going so is a pie i'm going to go by submission"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Dec 11, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Kevin Holland

Daniel is torn, acknowledging Holland's youth, reach, and hunger, but worried about his takedown defense and submission vulnerability. He notes Jacare's age and potential decline, but respects his jiu-jitsu. He picks Holland as a contrarian play since the line flipped, but calls it a very unconfident pick.

close decision
"i'ma go with holland but it's not a confident pick like"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 7, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Jacare Souza

Souza is a high-level jiu-jitsu player who should be able to take Holland down and submit him. Holland has shown poor takedown defense and was submitted by Brendan Allen. Souza is older but still competitive, and his grappling is a huge threat. The line should be flipped; Souza is the better fighter here.

Souza via submission (first or second round); already bet 1.5 units at +140
"i do have a bet on jacqueline's souls already i've uh plugged it in at plus 140... i do like jock right here i got him at plus 140 already got a unit and a half on him"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Jacare Souza

The MMA Guru picks Jacare Souza as an underdog, despite liking Kevin Holland. He believes Souza's chin, experience, and full camp will be key. He expects Holland to have a good first round but Souza to wear on him and get a submission win in the third round. He criticizes Holland's rapid fight schedule and lack of improvement.

submission win in the third round
"i'm gonna go with jackaraca and it really hurts me to say that and i really want that to be very clear here"
LOSS vs Jan Błachowicz
Decision (split) (48–47, 47–48, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · Nov 16, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jan Błachowicz 0 71 of 170 41% 105 of 205 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Jacare Souza 0 20 of 48 41% 56 of 88 0 of 5 0% 0 0 8:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jan Błachowicz 0 8 of 16 50% 17 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jacare Souza 0 2 of 5 40% 7 of 14 0 of 1 0% 0 0 3:30
2 Jan Błachowicz 0 15 of 38 39% 21 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jacare Souza 0 9 of 15 60% 16 of 22 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:28
3 Jan Błachowicz 0 16 of 44 36% 22 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Jacare Souza 0 7 of 14 50% 14 of 21 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:26
4 Jan Błachowicz 0 17 of 34 50% 23 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jacare Souza 0 1 of 9 11% 15 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:22
5 Jan Błachowicz 0 15 of 38 39% 22 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jacare Souza 0 1 of 5 20% 4 of 8 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jan Błachowicz 71 of 170 41% 38 of 121 13 of 20 20 of 29 59 of 154 12 of 16 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 20 of 48 41% 8 of 28 3 of 10 9 of 10 18 of 45 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jan Błachowicz 8 of 16 50% 2 of 9 3 of 3 3 of 4 4 of 12 4 of 4 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 2 of 5 40% 0 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jan Błachowicz 15 of 38 39% 8 of 29 2 of 4 5 of 5 15 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 9 of 15 60% 3 of 7 2 of 4 4 of 4 8 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Jan Błachowicz 16 of 44 36% 7 of 30 4 of 7 5 of 7 13 of 40 3 of 4 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 7 of 14 50% 4 of 10 0 of 1 3 of 3 7 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Jan Błachowicz 17 of 34 50% 10 of 24 4 of 5 3 of 5 14 of 30 3 of 4 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 1 of 9 11% 0 of 5 0 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0
5 Jan Błachowicz 15 of 38 39% 11 of 29 0 of 1 4 of 8 13 of 34 2 of 4 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 1 of 5 20% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jan Blachowicz vs. Ronaldo Souza

Round 1
We have reached our main event of the evening, as Blachowicz (24-8, 7-5 UFC) looks to spoil the light heavyweight debut of Souza (26-7, 1 NC; 9-4 UFC) like he did to Luke Rockhold in his last bout. With Brazilian fighters 3-3-1 throughout the night against foreign opponents, this one is for all the proverbial marbles. The headlining bout is under the watchful eye of referee Kevin MacDonald, and with two sportsmanlike shakes of the hands and glove touch to boot, we are underway! Souza starts out feinting and ducking down, but Blachowicz is the one who strikes first with a low leg kick. As he goes after another, Souza shoots in for an early takedown, and Blachowicz stuffs it and stands up with his back against the cage. Souza looks for a trip when they are clinched, but the Pole keeps his balance and defends from persistent attacks. Souza lands a couple foot stops, and a short body shot as he leans heavy on his man. Blachowicz pushes off and they get back to the center of the cage, where "Jacare" throws a long punch to the body and a leg kick as he circles around in herky-jerky fashion. Another low kick finds its home from Blachowicz, but he is largely throwing single strikes as to not overcommit and risk getting planted on his back. A quick head kick comes up from Blachowicz, but the Brazilian is able to block it in time. Souza leaps forward with a right hand to close the distance, and is clipped with an uppercut coming in but gets back to grinding Blachowicz against the cage wall. Blachowicz slams in a solid knee to the midsection, and even briefly tries to hit a trip, before bailing on it and throwing an upward elbow. Blachowicz punches to the thigh and then brings up a short knee, and Souza cannot get him down as the time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Souza
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Souza
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Souza

Round 2
A touch of gloves clock in the second round, and Blachowicz starts out with a kick to his opponent's knee. He then lands a body kick, and as Souza rushes in, he tries to counter with an uppercut but the Brazilian backs off in time. A low kick from Blachowicz is followed by a few jabs, and they both clank solid right hands off each other’s' jaws and disengage. "Jacare" slaps Blachowicz with a heavy leg kick, so the Pole returns fire as the crowd grows increasingly restless. Souza comes at him from a great distance with a double leg takedown attempt, and Blachowicz sees it from a mile away and stuffs it, but he is stuck with his back against the cage wall like much of the opening frame. Souza changes levels to go after a takedown, and Blachowicz is wise to it and pulls him back up, and brings up a knee for good measure. If Mike Goldberg were calling this fight, he would have almost undoubtedly let his "embrace the grind" catchphrase fly by now. Blachowicz separates and takes the center of the Octagon, and Souza is quick to follow. They trade single body kicks, and Souza slowly walks his opponent down but Blachowicz throws a few jabs to back him off. A sweeping low kick comes from Souza, and this time Blachowicz retires with a right to the body and left to the head that makes "Jacare" dart away briefly. The low kick lands again from Souza, and he follows it with a crisp right hand that makes Blachowicz nearly bounce off the fence, but he comes back and throws a spinning wheel kick that is several feet away from his target. This slow round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Souza
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Souza
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Souza

Round 3
This round, like the first two, starts with a glove touch and then a leg kick from Blachowicz. "Jacare" returns fire with one that is much heavier, and Blachowicz tries to respond with one but the power difference in these kicks is substantial. Souza just misses with a right hand, and Blachowicz doubles up with a jab before charging in with a series of punches that only partially land. Souza counters with a right over the top, and barely misses with another right as he pushes in for the clinch. Souza leans heavy, and throws a few mild body shots while Blachowicz responds with some short knees. The Pole breaks free and then turns into a leg kick, and as he throws another, Souza checks it. The Brazilian throws one back and Blachowicz lifts his leg up. A jab comes from Blachowicz, and then a low kick, followed by a jab, and while they land, they are hardly showing an effect. Souza presses forward and wings a right hand, while changing levels to hit a double leg takedown. Souza nearly sweeps the leg but Blachowicz recovers underhooks and reverses the position, lands a shot and breaks free. The two stand in front of one another for a good 30 seconds, until Souza explodes with a right hand that lands, leading to a quick reply from Blachowicz that ends the round. Each of these three so far have been very uneventful and difficult to score.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Blachowicz
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Souza
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Souza

Round 4
A half-hearted head kick comes from Souza to begin the round, and the pace has waned to a crawl. Blachowicz scores a few jabs, and "Jacare" looks to come back but it is nothing doing. As he lands a few more, Souza tries to fire back with heavy shots, and Blachowicz backs off. As Souza rushes in to engage the clinch, Blachowicz catches him on the way in with a few sharp punches, but the Brazilian ignores them to hang on to his opponent. The crowd groans, and lights start to appear in the darkness and begin waving back and forth, voicing and displaying their disapproval for this drag of a fight. Blachowicz separates with a left hand, and then snaps out a jab, but does not do more. A low kick nearly makes Blachowicz trip over, and then he throws one back that causes Souza to stumble. Another few kicks from Blachowicz land, and Souza has started to limp while Blachowicz grins at him. Blachowicz comes up high with a head kick and Souza blocks it, before throwing a low kick that the Brazilian attempts to check it. An inside kick comes up high and Souza complains about a groin shot, but Blachowicz cries foul and the referee says it was not a low blow. Blachowicz comes at him with a body kick and is walking Souza down, and the fourth period ends while we can see the visible damage and swelling of Blachowicz' left foot -- it is transforming into a "balewn."

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Blachowicz
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Blachowicz
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Blachowicz

Round 5
The men touch gloves for one final time, and Blachowicz throws a jab and a low kick as he switches stances. Another kick from Blachowicz's back leg scores, and as Souza rushes in to land a takedown, like many times before, Blachowicz stuffs it and stands up him with his back pressed firmly against the fence. Souza tries to quickly change levels and hit a takedown and Blachowicz staves it off with a slew of punches. From a distance, "Jacare" races forward and goes after a double, but he cannot land it and we go back to the position from before. MacDonald finally separates the two, as he likely should have in the earlier rounds, halfway into Round 5. A head kick from Blachowicz comes up but it is short, and a low kick is also shy of the mark. Souza swings hard into a leg kick but misses, and Blachowicz tags him with a left hand. Souza storms in low for a takedown and gets blasted with an uppercut that makes him slip around like he is on ice skates. Whether a knockdown or a severe slip, Souza ate that on the chin and then took a few more punches along the way. "Jacare" regains his composure but has completely stopped throwing anything from any of his eight limbs. Blachowicz picks at him with a few leg kicks and jabs, misses with one last head kick, and this fight is mercifully over. Both men raise their arms in the air to celebrate their victory, but neither should be happy with that 25-minute display.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Blachowicz (48-47 Blachowicz)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Blachowicz (48-47 Souza)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Blachowicz (48-47 Souza)

The Official Result
Jan Blachowicz def. Ronaldo Souza via Split Decision (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
LOSS vs Jack Hermansson
Decision (unanimous) (49–45, 48–47, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Jacaré vs. Hermansson · Apr 27, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Hermansson 0 90 of 175 51% 120 of 205 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:29
Jacare Souza 0 148 of 372 39% 256 of 496 3 of 10 30% 1 0 6:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Hermansson 0 7 of 17 41% 26 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:29
Jacare Souza 0 26 of 44 59% 29 of 47 0 of 1 0% 1 0 1:32
2 Jack Hermansson 0 8 of 12 66% 10 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jacare Souza 0 9 of 25 36% 107 of 139 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:59
3 Jack Hermansson 0 30 of 50 60% 30 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jacare Souza 0 28 of 81 34% 28 of 81 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:05
4 Jack Hermansson 0 19 of 40 47% 22 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jacare Souza 0 50 of 123 40% 50 of 123 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:32
5 Jack Hermansson 0 26 of 56 46% 32 of 62 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jacare Souza 0 35 of 99 35% 42 of 106 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Hermansson 90 of 175 51% 65 of 141 24 of 33 1 of 1 74 of 154 15 of 20 1 of 1
Jacare Souza 148 of 372 39% 96 of 313 32 of 36 20 of 23 120 of 339 24 of 29 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Hermansson 7 of 17 41% 5 of 14 2 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 15 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 26 of 44 59% 9 of 25 10 of 10 7 of 9 18 of 36 8 of 8 0 of 0
2 Jack Hermansson 8 of 12 66% 7 of 10 0 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jacare Souza 9 of 25 36% 6 of 20 0 of 2 3 of 3 5 of 21 0 of 0 4 of 4
3 Jack Hermansson 30 of 50 60% 21 of 37 9 of 13 0 of 0 27 of 47 3 of 3 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 28 of 81 34% 14 of 67 5 of 5 9 of 9 26 of 78 2 of 3 0 of 0
4 Jack Hermansson 19 of 40 47% 16 of 37 3 of 3 0 of 0 15 of 33 4 of 7 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 50 of 123 40% 41 of 112 9 of 10 0 of 1 44 of 113 6 of 10 0 of 0
5 Jack Hermansson 26 of 56 46% 16 of 43 10 of 13 0 of 0 20 of 48 6 of 8 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 35 of 99 35% 26 of 89 8 of 9 1 of 1 27 of 91 8 of 8 0 of 0
WIN vs Chris Weidman
KO (punches) R3 2:46 · UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · Nov 03, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jacare Souza 0 68 of 193 35% 76 of 201 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:43
Chris Weidman 1 74 of 132 56% 100 of 158 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jacare Souza 0 23 of 68 33% 23 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Weidman 0 14 of 30 46% 15 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jacare Souza 0 26 of 64 40% 34 of 72 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:43
Chris Weidman 0 31 of 59 52% 50 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jacare Souza 0 19 of 61 31% 19 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Weidman 1 29 of 43 67% 35 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jacare Souza 68 of 193 35% 52 of 171 14 of 20 2 of 2 61 of 182 7 of 11 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 74 of 132 56% 42 of 89 24 of 31 8 of 12 57 of 109 15 of 21 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jacare Souza 23 of 68 33% 21 of 65 2 of 3 0 of 0 21 of 66 2 of 2 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 14 of 30 46% 5 of 16 5 of 7 4 of 7 11 of 27 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Jacare Souza 26 of 64 40% 16 of 50 8 of 12 2 of 2 23 of 58 3 of 6 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 31 of 59 52% 19 of 43 10 of 13 2 of 3 21 of 46 9 of 12 1 of 1
3 Jacare Souza 19 of 61 31% 15 of 56 4 of 5 0 of 0 17 of 58 2 of 3 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 29 of 43 67% 18 of 30 9 of 11 2 of 2 25 of 36 3 of 6 1 of 1
LOSS vs Kelvin Gastelum
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · May 12, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kelvin Gastelum 0 64 of 115 55% 78 of 129 1 of 9 11% 1 1 3:28
Jacare Souza 1 53 of 145 36% 57 of 149 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kelvin Gastelum 0 21 of 22 95% 32 of 33 0 of 2 0% 1 1 2:57
Jacare Souza 0 7 of 7 100% 9 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
2 Kelvin Gastelum 0 24 of 56 42% 24 of 56 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:01
Jacare Souza 1 24 of 73 32% 24 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
3 Kelvin Gastelum 0 19 of 37 51% 22 of 40 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:30
Jacare Souza 0 22 of 65 33% 24 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kelvin Gastelum 64 of 115 55% 42 of 84 21 of 30 1 of 1 42 of 90 8 of 11 14 of 14
Jacare Souza 53 of 145 36% 44 of 133 7 of 10 2 of 2 41 of 125 9 of 10 3 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kelvin Gastelum 21 of 22 95% 14 of 14 7 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 1 7 of 7 14 of 14
Jacare Souza 7 of 7 100% 3 of 3 3 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Kelvin Gastelum 24 of 56 42% 15 of 40 9 of 16 0 of 0 24 of 54 0 of 2 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 24 of 73 32% 20 of 67 3 of 5 1 of 1 21 of 63 0 of 0 3 of 10
3 Kelvin Gastelum 19 of 37 51% 13 of 30 5 of 6 1 of 1 18 of 35 1 of 2 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 22 of 65 33% 21 of 63 1 of 2 0 of 0 20 of 62 2 of 3 0 of 0
WIN vs Derek Brunson
KO (head kick and punches) R1 3:50 · UFC on Fox: Jacaré vs. Brunson 2 · Jan 27, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jacare Souza 1 9 of 21 42% 9 of 21 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Derek Brunson 0 8 of 34 23% 8 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jacare Souza 1 9 of 21 42% 9 of 21 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Derek Brunson 0 8 of 34 23% 8 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jacare Souza 9 of 21 42% 7 of 10 2 of 11 0 of 0 6 of 17 1 of 1 2 of 3
Derek Brunson 8 of 34 23% 5 of 28 2 of 4 1 of 2 8 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jacare Souza 9 of 21 42% 7 of 10 2 of 11 0 of 0 6 of 17 1 of 1 2 of 3
Derek Brunson 8 of 34 23% 5 of 28 2 of 4 1 of 2 8 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
TKO (head kick and punches) R2 3:28 · UFC on Fox: Johnson vs. Reis · Apr 15, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Robert Whittaker 0 9 of 36 25% 13 of 40 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:48
Jacare Souza 1 55 of 110 50% 57 of 112 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Robert Whittaker 0 5 of 24 20% 8 of 27 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:48
Jacare Souza 0 18 of 39 46% 19 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
2 Robert Whittaker 0 4 of 12 33% 5 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jacare Souza 1 37 of 71 52% 38 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Robert Whittaker 9 of 36 25% 6 of 31 3 of 5 0 of 0 6 of 32 3 of 4 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 55 of 110 50% 47 of 97 7 of 12 1 of 1 40 of 85 1 of 4 14 of 21
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Robert Whittaker 5 of 24 20% 4 of 21 1 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 20 3 of 4 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 18 of 39 46% 15 of 34 3 of 5 0 of 0 17 of 38 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Robert Whittaker 4 of 12 33% 2 of 10 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 37 of 71 52% 32 of 63 4 of 7 1 of 1 23 of 47 0 of 3 14 of 21
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ronaldo ”Jacare” Souza vs. Robert Whittaker

Round 1
Whittaker tests the range with some long left hands and denies the first attempt by "Jacare" to tie up near the fence. Ninety seconds in, Souza gets the clinch and pins Whittaker to the fence, hits the Australian with a few knees inside and then takes him down. Whittaker tries to roll into top position but Souza keeps hold of an ankle and maintains control on the ground. Whittaker gets back to his feet, gets taken down again and has to escape quickly as Souza tries to take the back. The middleweights are back to striking in the center of the cage with two minutes on the clock. A big left from Whittaker knocks an off-balance Jacare to the ground, but the Brazilian is back on his feet without absorbing damage. Whittaker is starting to find the range with his hands now, clipping Souza with another right hand, now an uppercut. Souza takes back some ground with a pair of blasting overhand rights of his own as they hit the final minute of round one. Whittaker counters a wild punch from Souza with a speedy left-handed counter, then backs up the BJJ black belt with a straight left at the horn.
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 Whittaker
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Whittaker
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Whittaker

Round 2
A massive right hand from Whittaker floors "Jacare" in the first 30 seconds of the round. Whittaker tries to pounce and pound out his wounded opponent, but Souza ties him up in guard and limits the space for striking. Whittaker backs off, stands and wants Souza to do the same. Now it's Souza circling around the edge of the cage, circling directly into a right high kick from Whittaker. The tables have turned as Whittaker stalks from the center, picking his shots as Souza tries to clear the cobwebs. Souza remains on unsteady feet through the middle of the round, and Whittaker does not let up on the pressure. Another right high kick to the face puts "Jacare" on wobbly legs; Whittaker hustles him to the floor and begins punching away, though Souza is avoiding many of the strikes by using his legs to push the standing Whittaker away. Souza rolls to his knees, and referee Mario Yamasaki picks a strange time to step in for the stoppage. Souza, who was clearly hurt from the head kick and ate several punches on the ground, appeared to be moving toward a better position. Nonetheless, the ref's decision stands, and Robert Whittaker has pulled off the upset.

The Official Result
Robert Whittaker def. Ronaldo Souza via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) R2 3:28