Career Averages - Dhiego Lima
Career Averages - Court McGee
Dhiego Lima - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brown | 1 | 27 of 49 | 55% | 30 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Dhiego Lima | 0 | 23 of 54 | 42% | 23 of 54 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:52 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Brown | 0 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 15 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Dhiego Lima | 0 | 12 of 32 | 37% | 12 of 32 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Matt Brown | 1 | 12 of 19 | 63% | 15 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Dhiego Lima | 0 | 11 of 22 | 50% | 11 of 22 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:52 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brown | 27 of 49 | 55% | 12 of 27 | 11 of 17 | 4 of 5 | 22 of 44 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Dhiego Lima | 23 of 54 | 42% | 8 of 38 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 12 | 22 of 53 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Brown | 15 of 30 | 50% | 8 of 18 | 4 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 15 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dhiego Lima | 12 of 32 | 37% | 2 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 9 | 11 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Matt Brown | 12 of 19 | 63% | 4 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 14 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Dhiego Lima | 11 of 22 | 50% | 6 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Matt Brown as an underdog, citing Lima's brother's recent loss as a potential emotional distraction. He thinks Brown's toughness, power, and underrated wrestling could be factors. He is not confident and has no bets on the fight, but likes the over on strikes for both.
Big Brady picks the younger Lima, citing Brown's age (40) and 13 finished losses. He thinks Lima's leg kicks and youth will lead to a finish, but acknowledges Brown could knock Lima out. He recommends staying away from betting.
Cody picks Lima but is hesitant, noting Lima's questionable chin and recent split decisions. He acknowledges Matt Brown's early power but believes Brown's cardio and speed have declined. Cody thinks Lima's calf kicks and jab will allow him to pull away in later rounds, but he is not confident enough to bet.
Daniel Levi picks Dhiego Lima, citing youth and freshness. He notes that Matt Brown is 40 years old and his durability is declining, as seen in the Miguel Baeza fight where he was knocked out by punches for the first time. He believes Lima's calf kicks and left hook will be effective, and that he can either finish or win a decision. He respects Brown but thinks the age and recent performances favor Lima.
Jacob picks Dhiego Lima, expecting him to chew up Brown's legs with kicks and out-strike him. He thinks Brown's age and lack of volume will be issues. He has Lima in his lineup at $9,000 and believes Lima will dominate without a finish.
The host picks Dhiego Lima by decision, citing his calf kicks and striking advantage. He notes Lima's cardio issues in his last fight but believes he can implement a similar game plan to the Miguel Baeza fight, where calf kicks debilitated Brown. He thinks Lima can get in and out of exchanges and slow Brown down. He is not highly confident but sees Lima as the better fighter against the 40-year-old Brown, who may be on a three-fight skid.
Paul picks Lima, citing Lima's youth and striking advantage. He notes Brown's age (40) and declining cardio, and believes Lima can win by decision or late finish. Paul also bets under 2.5 rounds, expecting a finish either way.
The MMA Guru picks Dhiego Lima to win by first-round TKO via lead hook. He believes Matt Brown has taken too much damage and will rush in with his hands down, allowing Lima to land a check hook similar to the one Miguel Baeza landed on Brown. He references Lima's previous lead hook KO of Chad Laprise and expects Lima to finish Brown at the end of the first round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belal Muhammad | 0 | 129 of 264 | 48% | 136 of 284 | 1 of 10 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 2:42 |
| Dhiego Lima | 0 | 69 of 203 | 33% | 70 of 206 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belal Muhammad | 0 | 42 of 93 | 45% | 42 of 94 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Dhiego Lima | 0 | 19 of 69 | 27% | 19 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Belal Muhammad | 0 | 38 of 79 | 48% | 39 of 83 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
| Dhiego Lima | 0 | 25 of 76 | 32% | 25 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Belal Muhammad | 0 | 49 of 92 | 53% | 55 of 107 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:52 |
| Dhiego Lima | 0 | 25 of 58 | 43% | 26 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belal Muhammad | 129 of 264 | 48% | 109 of 232 | 20 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 118 of 248 | 11 of 16 | 0 of 0 |
| Dhiego Lima | 69 of 203 | 33% | 26 of 156 | 17 of 19 | 26 of 28 | 69 of 203 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belal Muhammad | 42 of 93 | 45% | 31 of 78 | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 41 of 91 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Dhiego Lima | 19 of 69 | 27% | 10 of 57 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 10 | 19 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Belal Muhammad | 38 of 79 | 48% | 34 of 71 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 36 of 76 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Dhiego Lima | 25 of 76 | 32% | 7 of 58 | 5 of 5 | 13 of 13 | 25 of 76 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Belal Muhammad | 49 of 92 | 53% | 44 of 83 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 41 of 81 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Dhiego Lima | 25 of 58 | 43% | 9 of 41 | 11 of 12 | 5 of 5 | 25 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Moving on to the welterweight division, perpetually tough out Muhammad (17-3, 8-3 UFC) looks to halt the momentum of two-time “The Ultimate Fighter” competitor Lima (15-7, 4-5 UFC). Our Octagon ranger for what could be a fun one is referee Herb Dean, and there is no glove touch to precede the action. Lima paws out with a jab as Muhammad presses the pace on him, and Muhammad crashes forward with a few punches until shooting in for a double leg takedown. The Brazilian thwarts the early takedown to break free from the position and a clinch. Muhammad allows him to circle away so that he can fling a head kick at him, and Lima is barely able to block it in time. Muhammad lands a solid left hand, and Lima pushes off with his left hand to jab the eye. There is a minor question of whether Muhammad is wearing contact lenses, and the fight resumes as Muhammad blinks it out. “Remember the Name” makes Lima remember his fists by landing several punches across the forward bow. Muhammad tattoos the body with several punches, and one of his right hands has started some swelling on Lima’s forehead. Muhammad bears down on Lima with strikes, pressuring the Brazilian and never letting Lima breathe. Muhammad wings a big right hand that collides with Lima’s temple, and he presses forward to consider a takedown but just swings a right hook instead. Lima delivers two big leg kicks to draw reactions out of Muhammad, but Muhammad is unconcerned as he pushes the pace again and rips the body with a right hand. Muhammad walks through a leg kick and plods forward to throw bombs, catching Lima on the chin repeatedly. Muhammad bobs and weaves a few punches to throw big shots, and Lima absorbs a heavy right hand. Lima is able to disrupt Muhammad’s movement for a moment with a leg kick that he and his sibling, Bellator champ Douglas Lima, are famous for. Muhammad hunts for a takedown, and he gets rebuffed and walks face-first into a huge right hand. Muhammad stumbles back, takes a quick count of his teeth, and wades back into the fray. Lima works the calf with more kicks, and Muhammad throws huge shots to make Lima bounce off the cage. Muhammad has a spinning back fist clack into Lima’s guard, and a few punches from the Roufusport export end the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Round 2
The two are amped up and ready to resume, so much so that Dean has to ask them back to away before engaging again. Muhammad starts up where he left off, pushing the pace aggressively to make Lima fight off his back foot. Muhammad sticks him with a jab and dips a big right hook to walk forward to fire off a single right hook. Muhammad digs the body with a kick, and he plants his gloves on Lima’s chin repeatedly. Lima wears it well, and he gives some strikes back to Muhammad, but Muhammad keeps at him with body shots. Muhammad slaps away a few punches before stepping in with a knee, and he uses the forward momentum to attack a double leg takedown. Once more, Lima defends the takedown flawlessly and backs away to gain separation. Muhammad is quick to pursue him with powerful strikes, and Lima ricochets off the fencing to land a calf kick that stuns Muhammad. Lima hits the same spot with the kick again, and Muhammad fearlessly pushes forward to throw punches in bunches. Lima continues to attack the calf, and Muhammad’s leg is marked up badly and he is struggling to put his full weight on it. Muhammad continues to throw punches in number, but they may not be quite as powerful as before with a wounded leg. Lima uses head movement to evade strikes and counter, and the two stand before one another landing at a high pace. Muhammad tries to lift his leg up to avoid a kick, but Lima still scores it. Like a zombie, Muhammad is back in Lima’s face putting shots on him to the head and body. Lima replies with punches and low kicks of his own, but Muhammad’s pressure appears to be fatiguing Lima. Muhammad shoots in low for a takedown, and he nearly takes Lima’s back standing up, but Lima manages to stay upright again. Muhammad throws a high kick but his calf gets plugged two more times, and Muhammad’s leg is nearly falling away beneath him. Muhammad takes the kicks flush, and he presses heavy on Lima into a clinch to ride out the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Round 3
Lima starts the round not with a leg kick, but one over the top, and Muhammad takes it well without flinching. Lima then targets the lead leg, and Muhammad marches in to throw looping shots. He clips Lima with a right hand, and Lima pushes off with his fingers outstretch, with a one finger jamming directly into Muhammad’s eye. Muhammad does not want Lima to take any time to recharge his batteries, so he tells Dean he is fine to resume. When clocked back in, Muhammad advances to throw strikes into a clinch, where once more he aims for a takedown attempt. Like every time before in this match, Lima stops the takedown from succeeding. Lima defends another that follows immediately after, and Muhammad winds up with a huge right hand that stings Lima. Muhammad gets off a solid one-two that shakes up Lima, and he rolls with punches while putting a pace on his foe. Lima lands a heavy uppercut to the chest, and Muhammad attacks with a takedown but is stuffed. Lima backs up and takes a deep breath, but Muhammad is on him throwing high volume as Lima struggles and his arms slow when throwing back. Muhammad fires to the head and body indiscriminately, with punches that have marked up Lima’s nose. Muhammad tags Lima with a one-two that forces Lima to shoot for a takedown, but Muhammad easily pulls his leg away and keeps up his brutal pressure. Muhammad lands punches over the top, and he changes levels low for a double, but Lima shoves him off. Lima lands a body kick, but in the process, Muhammad grabs hold of him and finally lands the takedown he has been pursuing for the last 14 minutes. Lima stands up, and Muhammad climbs on to his back like a backpack, securing a body triangle as the Brazilian stands up. Muhammad lands punches to the side of Lima’s head, and Lima tries to wiggle his man off of him. Muhammad does not fall away, and he maintains this position until the final horn blares.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad (30-27 Muhammad)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad (30-27 Muhammad)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad (30-27 Muhammad)
The Official Result
Belal Muhammad def. Dhiego Lima via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Big Brady picks Belal Muhammad to win by decision. He thinks Muhammad is better everywhere and deserving of being a big favorite. He notes that Lima absorbs more than he gives out and has been knocked out multiple times. He sees Muhammad winning by decision or possibly a knockout, and considers Muhammad a fine parlay piece.
Daniel Levi picks Belal Muhammad by unanimous decision, citing his high work rate and pressure. He notes that Lima must finish to win, but Belal's output and takedown mixing should overwhelm him. He acknowledges Lima's power and calf kicks but believes Belal's pace is too much. He says Belal is the rightful favorite and should win clearly.
The host picks Muhammad to win but considers the fight closer than the odds suggest. He notes that Lima has a path to victory with his striking and range, and that Muhammad's all-around game may struggle if Lima uses calf kicks effectively. He warns that he might bet Lima if the odds reach +350 or +400.
The Guru picks Belal Muhammad confidently, calling it one of his most confident picks on the card. He believes Muhammad's wrestling and stand-up will be too much for Dhiego Lima, who he sees as chinny and lacking durability. He predicts Muhammad will mix takedowns with striking, wear Lima down, and finish with ground-and-pound TKO in the second round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dhiego Lima | 0 | 24 of 95 | 25% | 24 of 95 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Luke Jumeau | 0 | 32 of 105 | 30% | 49 of 124 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:39 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dhiego Lima | 0 | 7 of 28 | 25% | 7 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Luke Jumeau | 0 | 9 of 37 | 24% | 9 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Dhiego Lima | 0 | 7 of 28 | 25% | 7 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Luke Jumeau | 0 | 9 of 32 | 28% | 25 of 50 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:56 | |
| 3 | Dhiego Lima | 0 | 10 of 39 | 25% | 10 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Luke Jumeau | 0 | 14 of 36 | 38% | 15 of 37 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dhiego Lima | 24 of 95 | 25% | 17 of 85 | 1 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 24 of 95 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Luke Jumeau | 32 of 105 | 30% | 15 of 72 | 2 of 12 | 15 of 21 | 30 of 99 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dhiego Lima | 7 of 28 | 25% | 3 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Luke Jumeau | 9 of 37 | 24% | 2 of 18 | 1 of 9 | 6 of 10 | 9 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Dhiego Lima | 7 of 28 | 25% | 7 of 25 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Luke Jumeau | 9 of 32 | 28% | 5 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 5 | 7 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | |
| 3 | Dhiego Lima | 10 of 39 | 25% | 7 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Luke Jumeau | 14 of 36 | 38% | 8 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 14 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dhiego Lima | 1 | 65 of 228 | 28% | 69 of 232 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:01 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 65 of 159 | 40% | 67 of 161 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dhiego Lima | 0 | 16 of 58 | 27% | 18 of 60 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 18 of 39 | 46% | 20 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 | |
| 2 | Dhiego Lima | 0 | 23 of 82 | 28% | 23 of 82 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 22 of 58 | 37% | 22 of 58 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 | |
| 3 | Dhiego Lima | 1 | 26 of 88 | 29% | 28 of 90 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 25 of 62 | 40% | 25 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dhiego Lima | 65 of 228 | 28% | 28 of 166 | 15 of 34 | 22 of 28 | 60 of 223 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
| Court McGee | 65 of 159 | 40% | 47 of 135 | 16 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 62 of 155 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dhiego Lima | 16 of 58 | 27% | 6 of 38 | 6 of 14 | 4 of 6 | 15 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 18 of 39 | 46% | 11 of 30 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Dhiego Lima | 23 of 82 | 28% | 10 of 62 | 4 of 9 | 9 of 11 | 23 of 82 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 22 of 58 | 37% | 18 of 51 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Dhiego Lima | 26 of 88 | 29% | 12 of 66 | 5 of 11 | 9 of 11 | 22 of 84 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Court McGee | 25 of 62 | 40% | 18 of 54 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 59 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dhiego Lima | 0 | 8 of 16 | 50% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chad Laprise | 1 | 5 of 25 | 20% | 5 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dhiego Lima | 0 | 8 of 16 | 50% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chad Laprise | 1 | 5 of 25 | 20% | 5 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dhiego Lima | 8 of 16 | 50% | 2 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 6 | 8 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Chad Laprise | 5 of 25 | 20% | 4 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dhiego Lima | 8 of 16 | 50% | 2 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 6 | 8 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Chad Laprise | 5 of 25 | 20% | 4 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yushin Okami | 0 | 11 of 24 | 45% | 17 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Dhiego Lima | 0 | 15 of 19 | 78% | 57 of 66 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 0 | 0 | 12:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yushin Okami | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Dhiego Lima | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 10 of 13 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 4:10 | |
| 2 | Yushin Okami | 0 | 9 of 18 | 50% | 13 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Dhiego Lima | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 13 of 15 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 3:47 | |
| 3 | Yushin Okami | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Dhiego Lima | 0 | 10 of 11 | 90% | 34 of 38 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 4:33 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yushin Okami | 11 of 24 | 45% | 6 of 16 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 19 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
| Dhiego Lima | 15 of 19 | 78% | 14 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 16 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yushin Okami | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dhiego Lima | 4 of 6 | 66% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | |
| 2 | Yushin Okami | 9 of 18 | 50% | 6 of 13 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 13 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
| Dhiego Lima | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Yushin Okami | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dhiego Lima | 10 of 11 | 90% | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 10 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Taylor | 1 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Dhiego Lima | 0 | 21 of 24 | 87% | 50 of 59 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 | 1 | 5:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jesse Taylor | 0 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Dhiego Lima | 0 | 19 of 22 | 86% | 48 of 57 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 4:53 | |
| 2 | Jesse Taylor | 1 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Dhiego Lima | 0 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:36 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Taylor | 4 of 4 | 100% | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Dhiego Lima | 21 of 24 | 87% | 21 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 23 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jesse Taylor | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Dhiego Lima | 19 of 22 | 86% | 19 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 22 | |
| 2 | Jesse Taylor | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Dhiego Lima | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Li Jingliang | 1 | 13 of 39 | 33% | 13 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Dhiego Lima | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Li Jingliang | 1 | 13 of 39 | 33% | 13 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Dhiego Lima | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Li Jingliang | 13 of 39 | 33% | 13 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 15 |
| Dhiego Lima | 6 of 16 | 37% | 5 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Li Jingliang | 13 of 39 | 33% | 13 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 15 |
| Dhiego Lima | 6 of 16 | 37% | 5 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Court McGee - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Chiesa | 0 | 72 of 160 | 45% | 81 of 169 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:32 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 39 of 145 | 26% | 51 of 158 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Chiesa | 0 | 15 of 45 | 33% | 15 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 10 of 41 | 24% | 11 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Michael Chiesa | 0 | 24 of 57 | 42% | 25 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 17 of 58 | 29% | 20 of 62 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Michael Chiesa | 0 | 33 of 58 | 56% | 41 of 66 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 12 of 46 | 26% | 20 of 54 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Chiesa | 72 of 160 | 45% | 47 of 128 | 25 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 52 of 132 | 20 of 28 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 39 of 145 | 26% | 9 of 95 | 16 of 29 | 14 of 21 | 36 of 140 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Chiesa | 15 of 45 | 33% | 15 of 41 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 43 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 10 of 41 | 24% | 2 of 27 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 5 | 9 of 39 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Michael Chiesa | 24 of 57 | 42% | 20 of 53 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 53 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 17 of 58 | 29% | 4 of 39 | 4 of 9 | 9 of 10 | 16 of 56 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Michael Chiesa | 33 of 58 | 56% | 12 of 34 | 21 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 36 | 17 of 22 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 12 of 46 | 26% | 3 of 29 | 6 of 11 | 3 of 6 | 11 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans Court McGee because he is all-in on fighting while Chiesa has outside distractions. He notes that McGee looked great in his last fight and is durable. He believes whoever gets the first takedown wins, and McGee is strong enough to avoid submissions.
Big Brady picks Michael Chiesa by decision but is hesitant, noting that Court McGee has great takedown defense and has fought tough grapplers. He believes Chiesa has a little left in the tank while McGee is older and has been knocked out recently. He expects a competitive fight despite the wide line.
Chiesa's superior grappling will keep McGee in bad spots, likely snatching the back and grinding out a decision win.
The Guru picks Michael Chiesa by submission, noting Chiesa has been given favorable matchups recently (Tony Ferguson, Max Griffin). He expects Chiesa to take McGee down and get a submission in the first or second round, citing McGee's age (mid-40s) and Chiesa's back-take game.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Court McGee | 0 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 19 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:58 |
| Tim Means | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 12 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Court McGee | 0 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 19 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:58 |
| Tim Means | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 12 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Court McGee | 14 of 24 | 58% | 9 of 18 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 22 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Tim Means | 5 of 13 | 38% | 2 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Court McGee | 14 of 24 | 58% | 9 of 18 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 22 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Tim Means | 5 of 13 | 38% | 2 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Court McGee, believing the fight is 50-50 and McGee's wrestling and pressure can be the difference. He notes Tim Means is a 2-to-1 favorite, which he considers unjustified given both fighters are old and worn. He placed a small bet on McGee at +195.
Big Brady is hesitant on this fight, noting that both fighters are veterans and he doesn't trust either. He leans towards Tim Means because he believes Means still has a little left in the tank, while Court McGee hasn't had a finish since 2010 and has been losing to lower-level competition. He expects McGee to attempt takedowns but thinks Means will do better work on the feet and win a decision.
Cody picks McGee, citing his home-field advantage in Utah and cardio. He notes Means' tendency to gas and get submitted. He believes McGee can outlast Means and possibly win by submission.
Connor picks Means based on sentiment, acknowledging it's not a sound analysis. He notes that Means is old and has lost speed, but Court McGee is not a powerful striker and Means' craft might be enough. He wants Means to go out on a win.
Daniel Vreeland picks Tim Means, citing his slick striking and improved wrestling. He notes that Court McGee has slowed down drastically and was nearly beaten by Alex Morono. Vreeland expects Means to knock out McGee, though he is hesitant to lay heavy chalk on a fighter who has lost four of his last five.
The host believes Tim Means is the better overall fighter and will utilize his clinch with knees and elbows, as well as distance striking with kicks and long-range weapons, to pick apart Court McGee. He expects Means to win on the scorecards, noting that McGee lacks significant knockout power.
Paul picks McGee, emphasizing his durability and wrestling. He thinks McGee can mix in takedowns and control the fight. He sees value at plus 170 and expects a close decision or late finish.
The MMA Guru picks Court McGee over Tim Means, citing McGee's training at altitude in Utah as a key advantage. He notes both fighters are past their prime but believes McGee is less finishable and will employ a boring cage control game, failing takedowns but winning the pressure game. He predicts a decision victory for McGee, as neither fighter is likely to finish early.
Zane also picks Means for sentimental reasons, calling himself a long-time Dirty Bird fan. He acknowledges that Means has lost a step but notes that McGee is not a dangerous striker and Means' experience might carry him. He admits it's not a pick based on sound analysis.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Morono | 0 | 60 of 160 | 37% | 78 of 184 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 3:20 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 38 of 141 | 26% | 42 of 149 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Morono | 0 | 22 of 52 | 42% | 22 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 12 of 50 | 24% | 12 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alex Morono | 0 | 20 of 41 | 48% | 36 of 61 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:12 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 9 of 28 | 32% | 12 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alex Morono | 0 | 18 of 67 | 26% | 20 of 71 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 17 of 63 | 26% | 18 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Morono | 60 of 160 | 37% | 14 of 73 | 29 of 55 | 17 of 32 | 52 of 148 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 11 |
| Court McGee | 38 of 141 | 26% | 26 of 118 | 9 of 18 | 3 of 5 | 38 of 139 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Morono | 22 of 52 | 42% | 3 of 16 | 13 of 25 | 6 of 11 | 22 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 12 of 50 | 24% | 8 of 42 | 2 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alex Morono | 20 of 41 | 48% | 7 of 21 | 8 of 12 | 5 of 8 | 12 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 10 |
| Court McGee | 9 of 28 | 32% | 6 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alex Morono | 18 of 67 | 26% | 4 of 36 | 8 of 18 | 6 of 13 | 18 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Court McGee | 17 of 63 | 26% | 12 of 51 | 4 of 9 | 1 of 3 | 17 of 61 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Alex Morono because he believes Morono is a step ahead everywhere in this fight and could potentially finish an aging Court McGee. He notes that McGee relied on his work ethic and chin, but at 39, that chin is gone and hard work alone won't get wins. Morono is somewhat unreliable himself, but Angelo thinks he should be good here.
Big Brady picks Alex Morono to win by decision. He notes that Morono is six years younger, has better striking volume, and good jiu-jitsu. He believes Court McGee's durability is waning after recent knockouts, but doesn't expect a finish. He thinks Morono will be better wherever the fight goes.
Cody agrees, noting McGee's recent knockout losses to Matt Brown and Jeremiah Wells. He thinks Morono's volume and speed will be too much, and that McGee's pressure game won't work against a more technical striker. Cody also mentions Morono's competitive fight with Joaquin Buckley has aged well.
Daniel Vreeland confidently picks Alex Morono to finish Court McGee in the first round. He compares McGee to past veterans Morono has stopped, like Josh Burkman and Tim Means, noting McGee is 40 and slow. Vreeland believes Morono's speed, power, and vicious intent will overwhelm McGee, and even if taken down, Morono can pop back up. He predicts a first-round knockout or submission.
Morono is younger, more durable, and has better striking volume and power. McGee's chin is fading after recent knockouts. Morono's defensive grappling should be enough to keep the fight standing, where he can land damaging combinations. Expect a finish in the second or third round.
Paul is confident in Morono, citing McGee's age, declining durability, and recent knockout losses. He notes McGee's wins are over one-dimensional grapplers, while Morono has better footwork, volume, and takedown defense. Paul thinks Morono will outwork McGee and possibly knock him out, as McGee's durability is gone.
The host picks Morono based on output and commitment. He notes Morono looked amazing against Buckley and is better than Ventre. He criticizes McGee's recent losses to Matt Brown and Jeremiah Wells. He predicts neither will get a KO or dominate grappling, so Morono's higher volume will win a decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brown | 1 | 11 of 15 | 73% | 22 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 8 of 31 | 25% | 17 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:57 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Brown | 1 | 11 of 15 | 73% | 22 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 8 of 31 | 25% | 17 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:57 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brown | 11 of 15 | 73% | 2 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 7 | 10 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 8 of 31 | 25% | 2 of 21 | 2 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Brown | 11 of 15 | 73% | 2 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 7 | 10 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 8 of 31 | 25% | 2 of 21 | 2 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Matt Brown, saying he thinks Brown will be the more durable of the two. He notes Court McGee is coming off a bad knockout loss and his chin is a question. He acknowledges the line movement tracker shows McGee went from +140 to -180 favorite, and that trend has been 7-1, but he goes against it. He is not betting on this fight.
Big Brady picks Court McGee but expresses distrust after McGee's fight against Condit where he didn't attempt a single takedown. He believes if McGee uses the right game plan—wrestling and taking down Matt Brown—he should win easily. Brady notes Brown is 42 with poor takedown defense and cardio, and McGee has better cardio and wrestling. He predicts a third-round submission, but says he can't fully trust McGee after the Condit fight.
Cody picks McGee, citing his better gas tank and durability. He notes that Brown's chin and reflexes have declined with age, and that McGee's kickboxing is good enough to compete. He expects McGee to wrestle and control the fight, especially in later rounds. He mentions the 'died and came back' theory for cardio.
Connor leans toward Court McGee, acknowledging that Matt Brown could knock him out early but that McGee's durability and pace are likely to carry him. He notes that Brown's endurance has declined and that McGee's grinding style is antithetical to Brown's current capabilities. Connor expects McGee to win by decision, as Brown's recent fights show he fades.
Daniel Levi picks Matt Brown, admitting bias as he will attend the fight and is a fan. He believes Brown is historically the better fighter, having reached number five in the welterweight rankings, while McGee never cracked the top 15. However, he acknowledges Brown's age (42) and cardio issues, which could allow McGee to push the pace and mix in takedowns. Levi hopes Brown gets a knockout to tie the UFC record, but notes the pick is not based on a betting edge.
McGee has a cardio and pace advantage over the aging Brown. He will tie Brown up, use footwork to avoid big shots, and weaponize his cardio to take over in the later rounds. Brown has slowed down in recent fights and his wrestling may not be effective against McGee. McGee will grind out a decision victory.
Paul picks McGee, emphasizing his wrestling and cardio advantage. He notes that McGee can make the fight easy by sticking to takedowns and controlling Brown. He added McGee to a chalk parlay. He acknowledges the possibility of a 'gentleman's agreement' striking affair but believes McGee's grappling is the key.
The MMA Guru picks Matt Brown, citing his better recent performances and the fact that Court McGee is coming off a brutal KO loss. He believes Brown's toughness and aggression will be too much, predicting a KO in the second or third round.
Zane picks Court McGee because he believes McGee's pace and grinding style will overwhelm Matt Brown, who fades as fights progress. He notes that Brown is still dangerous early but lacks the endurance to keep up with McGee's constant pressure and wrestling. Zane expects McGee to win a decision, as Brown's recent losses show he slows down significantly.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Wells | 0 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Court McGee | 1 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremiah Wells | 0 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Court McGee | 1 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Wells | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 7 of 16 | 43% | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremiah Wells | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 7 of 16 | 43% | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: McGee (-120), Wells (+100)
Round 1
Even though UFC experience and fight mileage both weigh heavily on “The Crusher” McGee (21-10, 10-9 UFC), he will come into this matchup on his first UFC win streak since 2013. The Utah native will clock in only two years the elder of Wells (10-2-1, 2-0 UFC), who surges into this contest on the heels of four finishes in two rounds or less. Referee Herb Dean might have his hands full for this one, as Wells is darting back and forth and does not engage to touch gloves. Instead, Wells shifts laterally back and forth, and McGee reaches out towards him with a jab to the chest. Wells keeps his range and switches stances constantly, lulling McGee into a rhythm. “The Crusher” simply remains calm and lands a heavy leg kick, and he blocks high when Wells crashes towards him with punches. Wells throws himself off-balance when swinging at him, and McGee blocks the blows and splits the guard with a one-two in response. Wells jumps forward to attack, and he pushes out a jab and a right that comes up short.
The Pennsylvania follows up with a left hook that connects right on the button, and McGee is out cold as he falls with his limbs frozen in rigor mortis down to the canvas. The back of McGee’s head collides with the mat, and when it does, Wells follows him down with two brutal punches, which are all that land until Dean can sprint across the cage to break them up and pull Wells off.
There’s something in the water here today in Austin, as Wells practically did the unthinkable by cleanly knocking McGee all the way out.
The Official Result
Jeremiah Wells def. Court McGee R1 1:34 via KO (Punch)
Angelo picks Court McGee, noting his recent grappling resurgence and dominant wins over Claudio Silva and Ramiz Brahimaj. He believes McGee's takedowns and control will lead to another decision win. He acknowledges Jeremiah Wells' danger but thinks McGee's durability and cardio will prevail.
Big Brady picks Court McGee to win by decision. He believes McGee is the more experienced fighter with better volume and technical striking, and has shown improved wrestling. He notes Wells has power but lacks volume and cardio, and McGee is extremely durable with only one finish loss. He thinks McGee will be the minute winner on the feet and can handle Wells' grappling.
Cody picks McGee, citing his durability, wrestling, and experience. He thinks Wells will come out hot but fade, and McGee will grind him down in rounds 2 and 3. He suggests McGee by decision as a prop.
Daniel Levi is confident in Jeremiah Wells as an underdog, citing Wells' athleticism, power, and black belt jiu-jitsu. He notes Court McGee is 37 and has lost five of his last eight, while Wells is younger and hungrier. Levi likes that Wells is getting plus money and believes he will be too fast and strong for McGee. He is considering a bet on Wells.
Paul agrees with McGee, noting Wells' one-dimensional style and McGee's takedown ability. He thinks McGee can survive the early storm and take over. He suggests waiting to see how round one goes before betting.
The MMA Guru picks Jeremiah Wells to win by KO, noting that Court McGee is 37 and has taken a lot of damage. He believes Wells is a freak athlete with explosive power and good grappling, as shown against Blood Diamond. He predicts Wells will catch McGee with a straight right and finish him in the first round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Court McGee | 1 | 54 of 91 | 59% | 76 of 113 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 1 | 0 | 10:57 |
| Ramiz Brahimaj | 0 | 32 of 62 | 51% | 35 of 65 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 0:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Court McGee | 1 | 30 of 51 | 58% | 42 of 63 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:58 |
| Ramiz Brahimaj | 0 | 15 of 33 | 45% | 17 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Court McGee | 0 | 21 of 37 | 56% | 24 of 40 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 3:11 |
| Ramiz Brahimaj | 0 | 14 of 25 | 56% | 15 of 26 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 | |
| 3 | Court McGee | 0 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 10 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 4:48 |
| Ramiz Brahimaj | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Court McGee | 54 of 91 | 59% | 30 of 63 | 17 of 21 | 7 of 7 | 46 of 81 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 |
| Ramiz Brahimaj | 32 of 62 | 51% | 21 of 51 | 10 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 25 of 53 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Court McGee | 30 of 51 | 58% | 13 of 31 | 13 of 16 | 4 of 4 | 28 of 48 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Ramiz Brahimaj | 15 of 33 | 45% | 11 of 29 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 30 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Court McGee | 21 of 37 | 56% | 16 of 31 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 30 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 |
| Ramiz Brahimaj | 14 of 25 | 56% | 9 of 20 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 20 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Court McGee | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ramiz Brahimaj | 3 of 4 | 75% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Brahimaj, citing his world-class jiu-jitsu and the blueprint from Sean Brady's win over McGee. He notes Brahimaj's tendency to strike instead of grapple but expects him to stick to grappling here. He believes Brahimaj will get takedowns and control McGee to a decision win, as McGee is incredibly tough to finish.
Big Brady highlights that Brahimaj has a 100% submission rate but has never been past the first round, while McGee has never been submitted in 30 fights. He expects Brahimaj to slow down after the first round, allowing McGee's cardio and striking to take over. He picks McGee by decision, noting McGee's takedown defense and ability to get back up.
Cody picks Brahimaj, emphasizing his youth, athleticism, and grappling. He notes McGee's skills are outdated and his takedown defense is poor. He expects Brahimaj to win via decision, possibly with a submission attempt. He mentions McGee's cardio but doubts it will be enough.
Daniel Levi picks Ramiz Brahimaj, citing youth and momentum. He notes that Brahimaj is a beast on the mat when fresh, but has cardio and plan B concerns. Levi believes Brahimaj can finish Court McGee, who is 37 and has shown signs of slowing. He argues that McGee's recent wins are over older opponents and that Brahimaj's talent will shine. Levi expects a statement finish from Brahimaj.
The host favors Court McGee due to his veteran savvy, cardio, and takedown defense. He notes Brahimaj's all-offense style and suspect cardio, expecting McGee to weather an early storm and take over in later rounds. The host highlights McGee's never-submitted record and ability to get back to his feet. He predicts a decision win for McGee, possibly with a late finish if Brahimaj gasses.
Paul leans toward Brahimaj, noting his youth, athleticism, and grappling. He expects Brahimaj to take McGee down and control him. He questions if Brahimaj can maintain pace for three rounds but thinks his submission threat will be enough. He mentions McGee's durability and cardio as potential factors.
The MMA Guru picks Ramiz Brahimaj to win, noting that he is younger, trains at a good gym, and has more finishing ability. He was initially tempted by Court McGee as an underdog but realized Brahimaj is actually the underdog. He trusts Brahimaj's grappling and striking in the early rounds, and believes his desire to return after the ear injury shows dedication. He acknowledges McGee's pressure and toughness could be a factor in later rounds, but thinks Brahimaj will win the early rounds enough to take a decision or finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Court McGee | 0 | 37 of 74 | 50% | 110 of 157 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 | 0 | 8:03 |
| Cláudio Silva | 0 | 21 of 56 | 37% | 81 of 126 | 1 of 10 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 1:48 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Court McGee | 0 | 10 of 30 | 33% | 29 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Cláudio Silva | 0 | 6 of 24 | 25% | 13 of 33 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:09 | |
| 2 | Court McGee | 0 | 16 of 25 | 64% | 36 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 3:35 |
| Cláudio Silva | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 15 of 25 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 3 | Court McGee | 0 | 11 of 19 | 57% | 45 of 59 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:37 |
| Cláudio Silva | 0 | 12 of 21 | 57% | 53 of 68 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Court McGee | 37 of 74 | 50% | 22 of 53 | 9 of 14 | 6 of 7 | 23 of 58 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 13 |
| Cláudio Silva | 21 of 56 | 37% | 8 of 36 | 9 of 15 | 4 of 5 | 19 of 52 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Court McGee | 10 of 30 | 33% | 4 of 19 | 3 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cláudio Silva | 6 of 24 | 25% | 2 of 16 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Court McGee | 16 of 25 | 64% | 13 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 10 |
| Cláudio Silva | 3 of 11 | 27% | 1 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Court McGee | 11 of 19 | 57% | 5 of 12 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
| Cláudio Silva | 12 of 21 | 57% | 5 of 12 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks McGee, expecting him to survive Silva's dangerous first round and take over in rounds 2 and 3 due to superior cardio and output. He notes Silva's cardio fades, McGee's never been submitted, and his takedown defense and get-up game are solid. He predicts a 29-28 decision or late finish.
Cody Saftic picks Court McGee, expressing frustration with Cláudio Silva's ugly style but acknowledging Silva's ability to win. He believes McGee's cardio and durability will allow him to survive Silva's early takedowns and win the later rounds. Saftic notes that Silva has poor striking and takedowns, and that McGee is a good gatekeeper who should be able to sprawl and brawl. He suggests a live bet on McGee if Silva wins the first round.
Daniel Levi picks Cláudio Silva, citing Silva's aggression, opportunistic style, and world-class jiu-jitsu. He notes that Court McGee's style hasn't evolved, he's been getting dropped in fights, and he's 3-7 in his last 10. He predicts Silva will take McGee down and submit him, possibly becoming the first man to submit McGee. He also thinks Silva could win a decision if it goes three rounds.
Matt picks Court McGee by decision, but with very low confidence, calling it a stay-away fight. He notes McGee has looked past his prime, while Silva has a poor gas tank. He thinks McGee can nullify Silva's takedowns and pick him apart on the feet as Silva fades. However, he acknowledges Silva's elite jiu-jitsu is a threat, and McGee has never been submitted. He mentions a possible third-round finish for McGee at +1600 but is not confident.
Paul Shaughnessy agrees with McGee, noting that Silva is frustrating to watch and that McGee has better cardio and durability. He believes McGee will win the second and third rounds after surviving Silva's early grappling. He mentions that Silva's wins are often close decisions and that McGee is the logical choice.
The MMA Guru predicts Cláudio Silva will win by split decision in a very close fight. He expects McGee to outstrike Silva on the feet, but Silva will time takedowns and have close submission attempts that sway the rounds in his favor. He compares it to the Bobby Green vs Thiago Moises fight, but with Silva winning this time.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Condit | 1 | 88 of 230 | 38% | 88 of 230 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 84 of 182 | 46% | 84 of 182 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Condit | 1 | 15 of 38 | 39% | 15 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 31 of 63 | 49% | 31 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Carlos Condit | 0 | 30 of 71 | 42% | 30 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 26 of 56 | 46% | 26 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Carlos Condit | 0 | 43 of 121 | 35% | 43 of 121 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Court McGee | 0 | 27 of 63 | 42% | 27 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Condit | 88 of 230 | 38% | 50 of 173 | 17 of 34 | 21 of 23 | 87 of 228 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Court McGee | 84 of 182 | 46% | 9 of 73 | 28 of 51 | 47 of 58 | 84 of 182 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Condit | 15 of 38 | 39% | 5 of 19 | 4 of 12 | 6 of 7 | 15 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 31 of 63 | 49% | 3 of 22 | 11 of 17 | 17 of 24 | 31 of 63 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Carlos Condit | 30 of 71 | 42% | 17 of 54 | 7 of 11 | 6 of 6 | 30 of 71 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Court McGee | 26 of 56 | 46% | 3 of 19 | 6 of 17 | 17 of 20 | 26 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Carlos Condit | 43 of 121 | 35% | 28 of 100 | 6 of 11 | 9 of 10 | 42 of 119 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Court McGee | 27 of 63 | 42% | 3 of 32 | 11 of 17 | 13 of 14 | 27 of 63 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Court McGee to win by decision. He notes McGee's clear path to victory via takedowns, as Condit has poor takedown defense. He thinks Condit's only chance is a submission off his back, but McGee has never been submitted.
Daniel leans with Condit, reasoning that McGee's training camp was subpar (mainly drilling with his 13-year-old son) and that Condit has had moments of success against higher-level competition. He acknowledges Condit's five-fight losing streak but thinks this is a winnable fight, predicting a split decision. He notes that McGee's takedowns could be a factor but Condit might capitalize on submissions.
The host leans toward Court McGee due to Condit's poor takedown defense and McGee's durability, but he is not confident enough to bet at -135. He predicts a decision win for McGee but says he would only bet if McGee were plus money.
The Guru picks Carlos Condit, noting his good ground game and submission threats against Michael Chiesa. He believes Condit is naturally bigger and can push the pace, and predicts a submission by armbar in the second round or a decision. He sees nothing in McGee's game to suggest he can beat Condit.
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