Career Averages - Jack Shore
Career Averages - Makwan Amirkhani
Jack Shore
Makwan Amirkhani
Jack Shore - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Youssef Zalal | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 10 of 21 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 |
| Jack Shore | 1 | 13 of 27 | 48% | 21 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 2:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Youssef Zalal | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 9 of 18 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 |
| Jack Shore | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 13 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:39 | |
| 2 | Youssef Zalal | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jack Shore | 1 | 6 of 10 | 60% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:28 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Youssef Zalal | 8 of 18 | 44% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Jack Shore | 13 of 27 | 48% | 9 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 23 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Youssef Zalal | 7 of 15 | 46% | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Jack Shore | 7 of 17 | 41% | 3 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 15 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Youssef Zalal | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jack Shore | 6 of 10 | 60% | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Zalal (-258), Shore (+210)
Round 1
What was once an extremely promising resume listed at 16-0 has transformed into 17-2 in the span of two years for Welshman Shore (17-2, 6-2 UFC). A pair of stoppages have turned him away from elite opposition, and he now draws a resurgent Zalal (15-5-1, 5-3 UFC) in what should be a fast-paced and exciting featherweight affair. The third man in the Octagon will be referee Luke Boutin, clocking the fighters in as they share a swift tap of gloves. Zalal immediately sticks out a jab, and Shore’s eye is red instantly. Zalal pushes out a front kick and dodges a jab, and he puts a few leg kicks on his opponent’s front wheel. Shore tries to check one and comes out swinging with an overhand right, and the Zalal jabs have further transformed his face to a redder color. Shore crashes the pocket and shoots for a single, and Zalal leans against the fence to defend it. Zalal watches the video screen to see the other side of his opponent, and Shore wrenches him down to his hands. Shore legally knees Zalal in the face while Zalal’s hands are down, and Zalal drops down to a single knee before blasting to his feet. Shore elevates his man down once more, and Zalal lowers himself to a knee to not get kneed in the face. Zalal works his way up and pushes Shore to the wall, and Shore explodes out of it and whips a kick at “The Moroccan Devil.” Zalal loads up on power strikes, opening him up to a three-punch counter. As the fighters trade hands, the fans again decide it is the right time to voice a political opinion about their current leader. Shore takes a few punches on the chin to push Zalal to the wall, and Zalal uses a kimura to turn Shore around. Zalal uses a body lock to lower Shore to the mat, and he hits the ground in half guard. Zalal wraps his arm around Shore’s head to keep him pinned down to the ground, but Shore still fights out of the choke and nearly gives up his back. Zalal positions himself to where he can get both hooks in, and he turns Shore around and starts hunting for a cranking submission. The neck crank does not get a tap, and the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Round 2
The two touch gloves, and Zalal opens up with a few jabs. Shore walks into a jab and a right hand, and Zalal’s counters are quicker and he is evasive enough to block the strikes from coming. As Shore ducks down, “The Moroccan Devil” fires off a devilishly powerful knee up the middle that knocks Shore to his seat. Zalal leaps on top into half guard, and he establishes an arm-triangle choke.
Zalal locks down the arm-triangle and does not even need to move to the side, instead pressing his full body weight down while in mount to complete it. Shore hangs on tight, but he has to tap out before getting rendered unconscious.
Boutin gets between them, and Zalal has just notched arguably the largest win in his career while breaking a tough stretch of decisions tonight. That marks three wins in 2024 for the Factory X fighter, all by submission.
The Official Result
Youssef Zalal def. Jack Shore R2 0:59 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
Angelo sees Youssef Zalal as the better wrestler, grappler, and more technical striker in this matchup. He notes Zalal's 2.0 version since returning to the UFC has been a buzzsaw, with improved wrestling and ground control. He mentions Zalal's low striking absorption rate (1.73 per minute) and high fight IQ. He also highlights Zalal's recent submission win over Jarno Errens. Angelo is confident Zalal will win and considers the -225 price affordable.
Big Brady picks Youssef Zalal to win by decision. He notes that Zalal has looked much more aggressive in his second UFC stint, finishing opponents, while Jack Shore is moving up to featherweight and will be undersized. Brady believes Zalal is the better striker and can compete in grappling, stuffing takedowns and possibly getting his own. He expects a close fight but thinks Zalal does enough over 15 minutes.
Cody picks Youssef Zalal, citing his improved grappling and striking since his return to the UFC. He notes that Zalal is younger, faster, and more well-rounded than Shore, who he sees as undersized and struggling against physical opponents. He believes Zalal's movement and takedown ability will be too much for Shore, and expects a dominant performance.
Daniel Vreeland picks Youssef Zalal, citing his resurgence and improved skills since returning to the UFC. He believes Zalal's movement, footwork, and ability to mix in takedowns will be too much for Jack Shore, who is stuck between weight classes. Vreeland notes that Zalal has looked impressive against solid competition and is on a trajectory to face ranked opponents, while Shore is underwhelming and in the wrong division.
Shore is dealing with recency bias as a big underdog, but his relentless wrestling style can still prove fruitful, especially since Zalal doesn't present the athletic and physical dangers that Shore's recent opponents have, allowing Shore to grind out a win and spoil Zalal's winning streak.
Paul agrees, noting that Zalal has looked impressive in his second UFC stint and has a well-rounded skill set. He points out that Shore struggles against physically stronger opponents and that Zalal's speed and technique will give him problems. He believes Zalal is the rightful favorite and should win comfortably.
The Guru picks Youssef Zalal over Jack Shore, citing that Shore is not a true featherweight and lacks physicality. He notes Zalal's momentum, improvements in grappling, and recent performances, including a win over Billy Quarantillo as an underdog. He believes Zalal's technical skills and confidence will be key, while Shore's move up in weight is a disadvantage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanderson Brito | 0 | 24 of 40 | 60% | 31 of 47 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Jack Shore | 0 | 30 of 56 | 53% | 57 of 86 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 5:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanderson Brito | 0 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 13 of 21 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Jack Shore | 0 | 15 of 31 | 48% | 29 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:31 | |
| 2 | Joanderson Brito | 0 | 15 of 23 | 65% | 18 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jack Shore | 0 | 15 of 25 | 60% | 28 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanderson Brito | 24 of 40 | 60% | 16 of 32 | 7 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 25 | 14 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
| Jack Shore | 30 of 56 | 53% | 4 of 29 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 23 | 20 of 46 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanderson Brito | 9 of 17 | 52% | 5 of 13 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jack Shore | 15 of 31 | 48% | 1 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 13 | 11 of 27 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Joanderson Brito | 15 of 23 | 65% | 11 of 19 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 12 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Jack Shore | 15 of 25 | 60% | 3 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 10 | 9 of 19 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brito (-148), Shore (+124)
Round 1
A place in the top 15 at the talent-rich featherweight division may loom for the victor between Welshman Shore (17-1, 6-1 UFC) and the ultraviolent Chute Boxe fighter Brito (16-3-1, 4-1 UFC). Finish rates of 76% for the former and 87% for the latter mean that the judges might be able to take off this preliminary headliner, while referee Joao Claudio Soares should be ready to step in at a moment’s notice. Before they try to lop the other’s head off at the neck, the heavy hitters bump fists. Brito is the initial aggressor, landing long strikes and finding his range early. Shore throws back to back him away, and he checks a low kick. Brito jabs his way in, and he has another calf kick checked hard. Brito swings for the bleachers, and Shore barely dodges it. The low kick that follows separates Shore from his balance, and he drops to a knee and pops back up. Shore gathers himself and ties the Brazilian up to slow him down, and Brito is quick to turn him around and pepper him with knees. Brito breaks off to throw big hands, and Shore slides away but cannot get away from a heavy leg kick. Brito shreds the front leg again and loads up on power punches, and Shore clinches him up as Brito smiles and sticks his tongue out. Brito pursues a single when turning his man around, kneeing the inner thighs when the takedown is not there. Shore chucks him to the side and looks for a takedown, but Brito hip-checks him and pushes him back to the wire. Shore attempts another level change and hangs on tight to slow Brito down, and they both lower themselves to the ground in a minute when locked up. Brito gets up first and pursues a double, and Shore elbows him in the side of the head to have him knock it off. Brito shoulder strikes his foe while up close and personal in the clinch, and he takes a knee to the belly as the grinding round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Christian Stein scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Round 2
Brito offers a glove touch that is accepted, and he gets right back to his forward momentum. Brito lands a couple leg kicks, completely no-sells getting kicked in the head by the Welshman, and clinches him up. Brito hammers knees on the legs of his opponent and slings him to the mat, and Shore climbs back up without issue. Brito remains stuck to him like he was made of Saran wrap, and Shore pushes him away with a knee up the middle. Brito scores a couple calf kicks, and he ducks when punches are aimed at his face. Shore tries to check a kick and the skin tears open from the impact, as the swelling and welting makes that left leg a horror show less than halfway through the match. Brito sells out for a takedown, and Shore defends it with elbows on the sides of the head. Brito lands a few more short knees as blood leaks out of Shore’s shin. Brito doggedly presses ahead, and he punches the shin several times to further rip open the cut. The apparent damage is so significant that Soares calls in the doctor, who examines the roughly inch-long wound that is at this point gaping. The physician wipes the blood away and feels the bone beneath it, and determines that the bout should not continue. Soares waves the fight off. It is unclear if there is a broken bone, or what the specific reason for the stoppage is, but it will go down as a technical knockout victory for the Brazilian—who hands Shore his first loss by knockout, however unusual.
The Official Result
Joanderson Brito def. Jack Shore R2 3:35 via TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
Angelo picks Brito due to his danger on the feet, but feels the fight is closer to 50/50 than the 2-1 odds suggest. He notes Brito's 50% takedown defense and that Shore could win if he avoids power and gets takedowns. He does not bet on this fight.
Big Brady calls Brito a 'moment winner' with power and finishing ability. He notes Shore's vulnerability to being hurt and questions his takedown success at featherweight. He predicts Brito will land a big shot and knock Shore out in the first round.
Cody picks Brito, citing his physical strength, power, and Brazilian crowd advantage. He notes Shore struggled with physical wrestlers at bantamweight and hasn't looked great at featherweight. Cody expects Brito to land bigger shots and potentially submit Shore.
Daniel Vreeland picks Brito, emphasizing his physicality, power, and multiple finishing threats. He notes that Shore's best wins are against lower-level competition and that Brito has fought tougher opponents. He believes Brito's grappling and striking are superior and that Shore may struggle at featherweight. He considers Brito underpriced and expects him to look like a -600 favorite after the fight.
Shore is the underdog but will put the grind on Brito and win by decision. Brito is dangerous with knockout power and choking ability, but Shore won't make the same mistakes as Jonathan Pearce and will wear on Brito over 15 minutes.
Paul picks Brito, highlighting his power and physicality. He notes Shore's takedown defense and durability are questionable, and Brito's damaging blows will impress judges. Paul expects Brito to win the first two rounds and hold on.
The MMA Guru picks Joanderson Brito, citing his physicality, fast-twitch athleticism, and momentum. He doubts Jack Shore's strength at featherweight and believes Brito will revel in the pay-per-view moment. He also notes Brito's win over Lucas Alexander has aged well, and that Shore was finished by Ricky Simon.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 0 | 28 of 46 | 60% | 45 of 64 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:15 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 10 of 24 | 41% | 14 of 28 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 0 | 5 of 14 | 35% | 19 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 9 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:14 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 0 | 23 of 32 | 71% | 26 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:42 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 4 of 16 | 25% | 5 of 17 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 28 of 46 | 60% | 23 of 40 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 22 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 10 of 24 | 41% | 6 of 19 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 20 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 5 of 14 | 35% | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 6 of 8 | 75% | 3 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 23 of 32 | 71% | 20 of 29 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 4 of 16 | 25% | 3 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is confident in Jack Shore, believing he will bounce back from his first loss. He thinks Shore has quality wins and evolving skills. He notes Amirkhani has been getting finished lately and his chin is questionable. He expects Shore to win via takedowns or striking.
Big Brady picks Shore confidently, noting Amirkhani has terrible cardio and is a one-round fighter. He believes Shore can survive the first round and then take over with superior striking and grappling. He predicts a third-round submission as Amirkhani gasses. He sees no path for Amirkhani unless he submits Shore in round one.
Cody picks Shore, noting Amirkhani is a one-round fighter with cardio issues. He thinks Shore can survive the first round, then take over with his high work rate and cardio. He mentions Amirkhani's submission threat in round one is real but low probability. He doesn't love minus 500 and prefers live betting or round three props.
Connor sees Jack Shore as a fundamentally sound, process-driven fighter who will find the most straightforward path to victory. He contrasts Shore's consistency and ability to adjust with Makwan Amirkhani's pattern of gassing after early aggression. Connor believes Shore's jab and pressure will neutralize Amirkhani's wild offense.
Jacob is very confident in Jack Shore, calling him one of his most confident plays on the card. He thinks Amirkhani is broken and quits if his early takedowns fail. He notes Shore defended takedowns well against Ricky Simon and should handle Amirkhani's wrestling. He has bets on Shore for premium members.
Shore is a cardio machine with a grapple-heavy approach, coming off his first loss. Amirkhani is dangerous early with his anaconda choke but fades if he doesn't get the finish. Shore's defensive grappling and pace should allow him to survive the early onslaught and take over in the second and third rounds, likely finishing inside the distance.
Paul picks Shore, citing Amirkhani's cardio issues and Shore's durability. He notes Shore moving up to 145 after a bad cut could help. He thinks if Shore survives round one, he can tire Amirkhani and win by decision or late finish. He says minus 500 is unappealing and prefers a live entry.
The MMA Guru picks Jack Shore over Makwan Amirkhani, despite the odds. He notes Amirkhani is dangerous in the first round with submissions but fades as the fight goes on. Shore has composure in grappling and a massive advantage on the feet with straight punches and a nasty knee. He predicts Shore will survive early grappling exchanges and win in later rounds, possibly by finish.
Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Shore is a consistent, intelligent fighter who makes the right decisions. He points out that Amirkhani is creative but inconsistent, and Shore's fundamental soundness will prevail. Zane expects Shore to let Amirkhani take risks early, then punish him with jabs and counters.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 2 | 70 of 107 | 65% | 87 of 128 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 4:42 |
| Timur Valiev | 0 | 72 of 150 | 48% | 75 of 155 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 2:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 0 | 24 of 37 | 64% | 26 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Timur Valiev | 0 | 30 of 58 | 51% | 30 of 58 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 0 | 17 of 28 | 60% | 23 of 35 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:38 |
| Timur Valiev | 0 | 21 of 41 | 51% | 24 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:37 | |
| 3 | Jack Shore | 2 | 29 of 42 | 69% | 38 of 54 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 |
| Timur Valiev | 0 | 21 of 51 | 41% | 21 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 70 of 107 | 65% | 46 of 81 | 15 of 17 | 9 of 9 | 54 of 89 | 5 of 7 | 11 of 11 |
| Timur Valiev | 72 of 150 | 48% | 23 of 83 | 26 of 40 | 23 of 27 | 67 of 144 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 24 of 37 | 64% | 12 of 24 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 7 | 22 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Timur Valiev | 30 of 58 | 51% | 8 of 27 | 12 of 18 | 10 of 13 | 28 of 56 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 17 of 28 | 60% | 9 of 19 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Timur Valiev | 21 of 41 | 51% | 4 of 19 | 7 of 12 | 10 of 10 | 20 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jack Shore | 29 of 42 | 69% | 25 of 38 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 11 |
| Timur Valiev | 21 of 51 | 41% | 11 of 37 | 7 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 19 of 48 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jack Shore with a slight edge, citing the home crowd advantage and the fact that Trevin Jones was able to take down Valiev, suggesting Shore can too. He notes that both fighters are grapplers who struggled in their last fights, but he trusts Shore's wrestling and thinks the London crowd will give him extra juice.
Big Brady picks Timur Valiev to win a close decision, acknowledging it's an unpopular pick. He favors Valiev on the feet due to his volume and mixing of tools, and believes Valiev's scrambling ability will allow him to get back up if taken down. Brady notes Jack Shore's best win was a split decision against Hunter Azure and that Shore has not faced a step-up in competition like Valiev. He also mentions Valiev's chin is a concern but doesn't think it will be an issue here.
Cody leans Valiev, citing his speed and striking advantage. He thinks Shore's wrestling might be neutralized and that Valiev's chin is a concern but he has good recovery. He is surprised by line movement and may wait for weigh-ins.
Daniel Levi picks Jack Shore, citing his undefeated record, strong grappling stats (5 takedowns per 15 minutes, 100% takedown defense), and the hometown advantage in the UK. He believes Valiev's best chance is a close decision, but judges will favor Shore in a close fight. Levi also notes that Valiev has been knocked down before and that Shore's submission threat is real. He expects a submission or dominant decision.
Jack Shore is a 15-0 prospect with excellent wrestling and top control, able to drag fights to the ground and dominate. Valiev is more of a flashy striker but can grapple if needed, though he lacks crazy knockout power. Shore's takedowns should be effective, and he can grind out a decision. The line movement from +150 to +100 reflects public support, and I understand why. I like Shore to grind out Valiev over 15 minutes.
Paul picks Shore, emphasizing his undefeated streak, excellent wrestling, and pace. He thinks Valiev has cardio and chin issues, and that Shore's volume and pressure will win rounds. He believes the British judges will favor Shore in a close fight.
The Guru picks Jack Shore as an underdog, citing his grappling pressure and reach advantage. He believes Timur Valiev slows down in fights, as seen against Trevin Jones and Chris Gutierrez. He predicts Shore will grind on Valiev against the cage, take his back, and secure a rear-naked choke in round three. He notes Shore's youth and undefeated record.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 0 | 92 of 155 | 59% | 104 of 168 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 4:28 |
| Liudvik Sholinian | 0 | 19 of 92 | 20% | 33 of 108 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:26 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 0 | 16 of 28 | 57% | 24 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 2:53 |
| Liudvik Sholinian | 0 | 2 of 20 | 10% | 14 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 0 | 33 of 57 | 57% | 36 of 61 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
| Liudvik Sholinian | 0 | 7 of 33 | 21% | 8 of 34 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 | |
| 3 | Jack Shore | 0 | 43 of 70 | 61% | 44 of 71 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Liudvik Sholinian | 0 | 10 of 39 | 25% | 11 of 40 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 92 of 155 | 59% | 59 of 116 | 11 of 14 | 22 of 25 | 80 of 138 | 8 of 12 | 4 of 5 |
| Liudvik Sholinian | 19 of 92 | 20% | 13 of 85 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 89 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 16 of 28 | 57% | 10 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 6 | 11 of 21 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 5 |
| Liudvik Sholinian | 2 of 20 | 10% | 1 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 33 of 57 | 57% | 19 of 41 | 5 of 6 | 9 of 10 | 32 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Liudvik Sholinian | 7 of 33 | 21% | 4 of 30 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jack Shore | 43 of 70 | 61% | 30 of 54 | 5 of 7 | 8 of 9 | 37 of 61 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Liudvik Sholinian | 10 of 39 | 25% | 8 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Jack Shore to win by third-round submission, very confident. He believes Shore is superior everywhere: better wrestling, better grappling (BJJ black belt), and better striking. Sholinian is sloppy on takedowns, hittable, and low volume. Coming in on short notice makes it even harder for Sholinian. Brady expects Shore to put on a pace and finish in the third round.
Cody is a big fan of Shore, citing his chain wrestling, durability, and never-say-die attitude. He thinks Shore outclasses Sholinian everywhere, especially in wrestling and boxing. He expects Shore to grind out a decision or get a late finish, and likes the over 2.5 rounds.
I'm all over Jack Shore. He's a much better grappler than Sholinian, and grappling is low variance. Shore is a finisher who actively looks for submissions and ground-and-pound. Sholinian's path to victory is control, but he's not on Shore's level. Even on the feet, I think Shore is better. I expect Shore to dominate and finish inside the distance. I like Shore inside the distance at -110 and Shore round 2 at +475.
Paul is not betting Shore at -510, finding the price too high. He acknowledges Shore's skills but is nervous about laying heavy juice. He prefers to stay away or consider the over 2.5 rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Jack Shore to win by second-round rear-naked choke. He praises Shore's grappling, comparing him to a Dagestani wrestler, and notes his technical and safe approach. He believes Shore's length and reactionary takedowns will be too much for Sholinian, who is a pressure fighter that walks into punishment. He expects Shore to dominate on the ground and get the submission.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 0 | 45 of 80 | 56% | 78 of 121 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 4:02 |
| Hunter Azure | 0 | 36 of 57 | 63% | 57 of 84 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 0 | 1 | 5:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 0 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 20 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:01 |
| Hunter Azure | 0 | 11 of 17 | 64% | 15 of 23 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 0 | 23 of 37 | 62% | 41 of 59 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 1:54 |
| Hunter Azure | 0 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 22 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 | |
| 3 | Jack Shore | 0 | 8 of 16 | 50% | 17 of 27 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Hunter Azure | 0 | 11 of 17 | 64% | 20 of 28 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 2:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 45 of 80 | 56% | 12 of 37 | 14 of 19 | 19 of 24 | 35 of 64 | 6 of 11 | 4 of 5 |
| Hunter Azure | 36 of 57 | 63% | 24 of 42 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 11 | 27 of 43 | 6 of 10 | 3 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 14 of 27 | 51% | 2 of 12 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 9 | 12 of 22 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
| Hunter Azure | 11 of 17 | 64% | 6 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 11 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 23 of 37 | 62% | 7 of 15 | 7 of 10 | 9 of 12 | 18 of 30 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
| Hunter Azure | 14 of 23 | 60% | 9 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jack Shore | 8 of 16 | 50% | 3 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 |
| Hunter Azure | 11 of 17 | 64% | 9 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 12 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady picks Shore to win by third-round submission, but he is not overly confident and is passing on betting. He notes Azure has good takedown defense early but poor cardio, while Shore has excellent cardio and grappling. Brady expects Shore to wear Azure down and secure a late submission, as Azure has faded in past fights. He would have bet Shore at the opener (-110) but not at the current -160.
Cody picks Shore, praising his wrestling, cardio, and durability. He notes Azure's cardio issues and tendency to fade. He thinks Shore will grind Azure down and get a late submission or decision.
Daniel Levi picks Jack Shore, but expects a closely contested battle. He notes that Shore is a submission specialist from Wales with good fight IQ, but Hunter Azure is a strong wrestler with power. Levi thinks Shore's stand-up will be tested and that Azure's power could change the momentum. He suggests it might be a dog-or-pass situation at the betting window.
The host is high on Shore, citing his great wrestling, top control, and cardio. He expects Shore to pressure Azure, suck his gas tank, and potentially get a third-round finish. He notes that Azure has questionable cardio and has slowed down in past fights. He picks Shore to win by third-round submission, and mentions that -160 is a good price.
Paul picks Shore, noting his grappling advantage and Azure's poor cardio. He thinks Shore will lean on Azure and tire him out. He took Shore by submission and round 3 props.
The MMA Guru picks Jack Shore by second-round rear-naked choke, though he admits worry. He notes Shore's grappling is not wrestling-based but uses body locks and cage pressure. He thinks Azure's muscular build will lead to openings in the second round, allowing Shore to take his back. He also mentions Shore's reach advantage and good knees and kicks.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 0 | 29 of 45 | 64% | 42 of 59 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 1 | 0 | 5:25 |
| Aaron Phillips | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 0 | 22 of 35 | 62% | 26 of 40 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 3:43 |
| Aaron Phillips | 0 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 0 | 7 of 10 | 70% | 16 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:42 |
| Aaron Phillips | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 29 of 45 | 64% | 19 of 32 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 7 | 7 of 14 | 6 of 6 | 16 of 25 |
| Aaron Phillips | 6 of 15 | 40% | 1 of 9 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 22 of 35 | 62% | 16 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 13 of 20 |
| Aaron Phillips | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 7 of 10 | 70% | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
| Aaron Phillips | 3 of 7 | 42% | 1 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Jack Shore, calling him a beast and very high on him. He believes Shore can take Phillips down easily and dominate on the ground. He predicts a third-round submission, as Phillips has never been finished but hasn't faced anyone like Shore. He says Shore will be a known name soon.
Daniel Levi picks Jack Shore by submission, noting that Shore is a Welsh phenom who doesn't waste time and knows his strengths. He believes Shore will take the fight to the ground and finish quickly, as Aaron Phillips has historically struggled to stuff takedowns.
Jack Shore is a highly touted prospect with a 12-0 amateur record and 12-0 pro record, showing elite grappling and submission skills. He completely dominated his UFC debut against Nohelin Hernandez, landing few strikes but securing a submission in the third round. His opponent Aaron Phillips is a short-notice replacement who has lost both of his previous UFC fights. The Guru expects Shore to get an easy submission in the first two rounds, likely a rear-naked choke.
Makwan Amirkhani - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 0 | 28 of 46 | 60% | 45 of 64 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:15 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 10 of 24 | 41% | 14 of 28 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 0 | 5 of 14 | 35% | 19 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 9 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:14 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 0 | 23 of 32 | 71% | 26 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:42 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 4 of 16 | 25% | 5 of 17 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 28 of 46 | 60% | 23 of 40 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 22 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 10 of 24 | 41% | 6 of 19 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 20 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 5 of 14 | 35% | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 6 of 8 | 75% | 3 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 23 of 32 | 71% | 20 of 29 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 4 of 16 | 25% | 3 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is confident in Jack Shore, believing he will bounce back from his first loss. He thinks Shore has quality wins and evolving skills. He notes Amirkhani has been getting finished lately and his chin is questionable. He expects Shore to win via takedowns or striking.
Big Brady picks Shore confidently, noting Amirkhani has terrible cardio and is a one-round fighter. He believes Shore can survive the first round and then take over with superior striking and grappling. He predicts a third-round submission as Amirkhani gasses. He sees no path for Amirkhani unless he submits Shore in round one.
Cody picks Shore, noting Amirkhani is a one-round fighter with cardio issues. He thinks Shore can survive the first round, then take over with his high work rate and cardio. He mentions Amirkhani's submission threat in round one is real but low probability. He doesn't love minus 500 and prefers live betting or round three props.
Connor sees Jack Shore as a fundamentally sound, process-driven fighter who will find the most straightforward path to victory. He contrasts Shore's consistency and ability to adjust with Makwan Amirkhani's pattern of gassing after early aggression. Connor believes Shore's jab and pressure will neutralize Amirkhani's wild offense.
Jacob is very confident in Jack Shore, calling him one of his most confident plays on the card. He thinks Amirkhani is broken and quits if his early takedowns fail. He notes Shore defended takedowns well against Ricky Simon and should handle Amirkhani's wrestling. He has bets on Shore for premium members.
Shore is a cardio machine with a grapple-heavy approach, coming off his first loss. Amirkhani is dangerous early with his anaconda choke but fades if he doesn't get the finish. Shore's defensive grappling and pace should allow him to survive the early onslaught and take over in the second and third rounds, likely finishing inside the distance.
Paul picks Shore, citing Amirkhani's cardio issues and Shore's durability. He notes Shore moving up to 145 after a bad cut could help. He thinks if Shore survives round one, he can tire Amirkhani and win by decision or late finish. He says minus 500 is unappealing and prefers a live entry.
The MMA Guru picks Jack Shore over Makwan Amirkhani, despite the odds. He notes Amirkhani is dangerous in the first round with submissions but fades as the fight goes on. Shore has composure in grappling and a massive advantage on the feet with straight punches and a nasty knee. He predicts Shore will survive early grappling exchanges and win in later rounds, possibly by finish.
Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Shore is a consistent, intelligent fighter who makes the right decisions. He points out that Amirkhani is creative but inconsistent, and Shore's fundamental soundness will prevail. Zane expects Shore to let Amirkhani take risks early, then punish him with jabs and counters.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Pearce | 0 | 11 of 22 | 50% | 12 of 23 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 90 of 112 | 80% | 144 of 178 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 4:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan Pearce | 0 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 7 of 12 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 46 of 51 | 90% | 61 of 67 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:39 | |
| 2 | Jonathan Pearce | 0 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 44 of 61 | 72% | 83 of 111 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Pearce | 11 of 22 | 50% | 9 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 90 of 112 | 80% | 75 of 94 | 11 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 28 | 37 of 37 | 37 of 47 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan Pearce | 6 of 11 | 54% | 4 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 46 of 51 | 90% | 43 of 47 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 7 | 37 of 37 | 6 of 7 | |
| 2 | Jonathan Pearce | 5 of 11 | 45% | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 44 of 61 | 72% | 32 of 47 | 9 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 31 of 40 |
Angelo picks Jonathan Pearce, noting it's a grappler vs grappler matchup and it will come down to who shoots first. He believes Pearce will initiate the takedowns and has a high pace. He mentions Amirkhani just submitted a better wrestler in Mike Grundy, and all of Pearce's losses are grappling-based, so he suggests a live bet on Amirkhani if he gets early takedowns.
Big Brady picks Makwan Amirkhani for the upset by early submission. He likes Jonathan Pearce's style but notes Pearce often gets in bad spots on the mat. Amirkhani has dangerous submissions and good wrestling. However, Amirkhani's cardio is a concern; if he doesn't finish in round one, Pearce takes over. He suggests a live bet on Pearce if Amirkhani doesn't finish round one.
Cody picks Makwan Amirkhani, agreeing the line is fraudulent. He notes Pearce's striking defense is poor and he almost got submitted in his last fight. Cody thinks Amirkhani is dangerous early and can submit Pearce if he shoots. He also notes Amirkhani has good wrestling and could take Pearce down. Cody likes the moneyline at +170.
Daniel Levi picks Jonathan Pearce, emphasizing his high pace and ability to put up large strike and takedown numbers. He acknowledges that Amirkhani is dangerous in the first round with his wrestling and submissions, but notes that Amirkhani gasses out due to health issues. Levi believes if Pearce can survive the first round, his pace will be too much in the later rounds.
Pearce has the striking advantage, overall MMA advantage, and cardio advantage. Amirkhani's only threat is the anaconda choke. Pearce's team will have him prepared. Pearce can finish later or win a decision. I might pull the trigger at -200.
Paul picks Makwan Amirkhani at +170, calling it a dogger pass. He thinks the line is off and the fight is closer to 50-50. Paul notes Pearce's cardio looked poor in his last fight and that Amirkhani is dangerous on the ground. He believes if Pearce takes Amirkhani down, he'll be in trouble. Paul also likes Amirkhani by submission at +350.
The MMA Guru picks Makwan Amirkhani as an underdog, noting he always likes him but often loses when picking him. He believes Amirkhani is dangerous in the first round with submissions, and Jonathan Pearce leaves himself in bad positions during scrambles. Pearce's pressure and cardio are good, but his technical scrambles are not. The Guru expects an anaconda choke finish early.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Mike Grundy | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Mike Grundy | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mike Grundy | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Makwan Amirkhani | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mike Grundy | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Mike Grundy, believing he will be more disciplined in sticking to wrestling. He notes that Grundy's striking is poor, but if he dives for takedowns, he can win. He thinks Amirkhani is a better striker but may get taken down when he tries to strike. He expects Grundy to take damage on the way in but ultimately win.
Big Brady picks Mike Grundy to win by decision, but expresses low confidence. He notes both fighters have bad cardio, but Grundy has slightly better gas tank (7-10 minutes vs 5). He favors Grundy's striking and believes Grundy can dictate where the fight takes place. Brady says it's a tricky fight and he wants nothing to do with it.
Cody picks Grundy, citing his better striking and Amirkhani's poor cardio. He thinks Grundy's wrestling will neutralize Amirkhani's takedowns, and that Grundy's power will be the difference in a striking battle. He is cautious due to Grundy's own cardio issues.
Daniel Levi picks Mike Grundy confidently, citing Makwan Amirkhani's decline in confidence and cardio, as well as a recent brutal knockout. He believes Grundy's wrestling and durability will overwhelm Amirkhani, who has one round of gas and has been figured out. Levi expects Grundy to win by knockout or submission, noting that Amirkhani is vulnerable after his last KO. He also mentions Grundy's power and submission threats.
Grundy has a more reliable gas tank and power striking, while Amirkhani tends to fold when things go wrong. Grundy attempted 20 takedowns in his last fight, showing relentless pressure. Amirkhani may struggle to get Grundy to the ground, and on the feet, Grundy has the advantage. I lean Grundy, but the line is getting out of whack near -200. I'll sprinkle on Grundy by KO at +750 and Grundy in round 3 at +1400.
Paul picks Grundy, arguing that Amirkhani's only good round is the first if he gets takedowns, but Grundy's wrestling is good enough to stop that. He thinks both will tire, but Grundy has better striking and power. He notes Amirkhani is likely fighting for his job.
The Guru picks Mike Grundy, citing his grappling strength and durability. He believes Makwan Amirkhani lacks grit and gas tank, and will fade as the fight goes on. He predicts Grundy will survive an early grappling onslaught, then take over in round two and finish with a TKO against the cage in round three. He notes both are fighting for their careers.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lerone Murphy | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 12 of 16 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 0 | 0 | 4:05 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 1 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lerone Murphy | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 11 of 14 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 0 | 0 | 4:05 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 2 | Lerone Murphy | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 1 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lerone Murphy | 4 of 6 | 66% | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 4 of 5 | 80% | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lerone Murphy | 3 of 4 | 75% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lerone Murphy | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 4 of 5 | 80% | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Big Brady picks Lerone Murphy to win by decision. He explains that Amirkhani is dangerous early with submissions but has poor cardio and gasses after the first round. Murphy is well-rounded with good striking and solid ground game. If Murphy survives the first round, he will take over and win a decision, likely dropping the first round. He suggests live betting Murphy if he survives early.
Cody agrees Murphy wins but suggests betting live because Amirkhani usually doesn't get blown out early. He notes Amirkhani has takedowns in his last 9 fights but fades as fight goes on. Murphy's cardio and ring IQ should take over in later rounds. He prefers to wait for a better price live.
Daniel picks Lerone Murphy, citing his heart and improvement. He notes Amirkhani fades badly after the first round due to health issues. Daniel believes if Murphy survives the early takedowns, he will pick Amirkhani apart. He highlights Murphy's ability to scramble back to his feet. Daniel predicts a third-round knockout.
Murphy will keep the fight standing and punish Amirkhani with leg kicks and power. Amirkhani needs takedowns but Murphy's takedown defense and striking should prevail. Murphy's power will be too much as the fight goes on, likely finishing in the third round.
Paul picks Murphy by decision at +165, noting Amirkhani's durability and wrestling. He thinks Murphy's striking and underrated wrestling will be too much, and Amirkhani will struggle to get takedowns. He expects Murphy to pick him apart on the feet and win a decision.
The MMA Guru picks Lerone Murphy to win by TKO. He criticizes Makwan Amirkhani's mindset and cardio, noting that Amirkhani gassed against a short-notice opponent. He highlights Murphy's takedown defense, physical strength, and composure. He predicts Murphy will stuff takedowns until Amirkhani gasses, then finish with ground and pound. He also mentions Murphy's good knees in the clinch and body shots.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamuela Kirk | 0 | 20 of 49 | 40% | 25 of 56 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 0 | 0 | 6:50 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 28 of 63 | 44% | 100 of 143 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 0 | 1:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kamuela Kirk | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 6 of 16 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 19 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Kamuela Kirk | 0 | 6 of 20 | 30% | 8 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:51 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 13 of 27 | 48% | 46 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Kamuela Kirk | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 11 of 16 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:15 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 4 of 13 | 30% | 35 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamuela Kirk | 20 of 49 | 40% | 14 of 40 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 28 of 63 | 44% | 8 of 34 | 9 of 15 | 11 of 14 | 27 of 62 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kamuela Kirk | 6 of 16 | 37% | 3 of 12 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 11 of 23 | 47% | 3 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 11 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Kamuela Kirk | 6 of 20 | 30% | 5 of 17 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 13 of 27 | 48% | 2 of 10 | 6 of 9 | 5 of 8 | 13 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Kamuela Kirk | 8 of 13 | 61% | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 4 of 13 | 30% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady thinks the line is too wide but favors Amirkhani as the better fighter in every area, especially grappling. He notes Kirk is on short notice and gassed in his last fight after a good first round. He believes Amirkhani will get takedowns and win a decision, though he doesn't expect a submission. He considers the skill sets similar but Amirkhani more skilled by a decent margin.
Cody picks Kirk, agreeing with Paul. He notes Amirkhani's striking deficiencies and that Kirk is a better striker. Cody thinks Kirk's grappling is good enough to avoid submissions. He sees value in the dog and suggests live betting after the first round.
Daniel picks Kirk as a plus-220 underdog, believing Kirk can stuff takedowns and win the boxing exchanges. He notes that Kirk trains at Fight Ready with Henry Cejudo and has improved since his Contender Series loss. Daniel acknowledges Amirkhani's experience and takedown game, but points out that Amirkhani has been dropped multiple times and has questionable cardio. He thinks Kirk's striking is better and if he can avoid gassing, he can win a decision or even get a finish. Daniel is going out on a limb but likes the dog.
Kirk has a striking advantage and a BJJ black belt to defend submissions. Amirkhani fades after the first round and has poor striking. Kirk will survive the early grappling and win rounds two and three on the feet.
Paul picks Kirk as a dog, citing his striking advantage and takedown defense. He notes Amirkhani's low volume and reliance on early submissions. Paul thinks Kirk can survive the first round and then outpoint Amirkhani. He sees value at +205.
The Guru picks Makwan Amirkhani, noting that Kirk is on short notice and lacks the cardio or early power to stop Amirkhani's takedowns. He references Amirkhani's success getting takedowns on Edson Barboza and Shane Burgos. He predicts Amirkhani will control the first two rounds and win a 29-28 decision, though Kirk might have a good third round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edson Barboza | 2 | 32 of 74 | 43% | 34 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:38 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 11 of 39 | 28% | 25 of 59 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edson Barboza | 0 | 13 of 31 | 41% | 15 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 4 of 13 | 30% | 6 of 16 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Edson Barboza | 2 | 12 of 26 | 46% | 12 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:35 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 3 of 15 | 20% | 7 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | |
| 3 | Edson Barboza | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 7 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 12 of 21 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:51 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edson Barboza | 32 of 74 | 43% | 8 of 42 | 18 of 23 | 6 of 9 | 31 of 69 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 4 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 11 of 39 | 28% | 10 of 36 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edson Barboza | 13 of 31 | 41% | 1 of 16 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 6 | 13 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 4 of 13 | 30% | 4 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Edson Barboza | 12 of 26 | 46% | 5 of 16 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 3 | 11 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 3 of 15 | 20% | 3 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Edson Barboza | 7 of 17 | 41% | 2 of 10 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 4 of 11 | 36% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
Big Brady picks Barboza as part of a parlay with Tagir Ulanbekov. He believes Barboza has a great stylistic matchup, with 75% takedown defense against elite wrestlers, and that Amirkhani lacks the wrestling to keep him down. He expects Barboza to survive the early storm, stuff takedowns, and land a knockout as Amirkhani slows down. He notes Barboza is a BJJ black belt himself.
Daniel argues that Edson Barboza is not washed up like Tyron Woodley; he is still competitive with top-15 fighters and wins rounds. He believes Makwan Amirkhani is not on Barboza's level and that Amirkhani will struggle to get takedowns due to Barboza's improved takedown defense. Daniel also notes that Amirkhani has poor cardio and tends to fold when hit hard, while Barboza has the striking advantage and can finish the fight.
Barboza has a significant striking advantage and solid takedown defense. Amirkhani is a first-round threat but fades quickly; Barboza's body work and kicks will drain him. Expect a third-round TKO after Amirkhani's initial blitz fails.
The Guru picks Barboza, acknowledging Amirkhani's dangerous ground game but believing Barboza's takedown defense has improved over years of training. He notes Barboza survived Khabib's grappling and never got submitted. He expects Barboza to defend takedowns early, then take over with body kicks to drain Amirkhani's gas tank, finishing with a body kick TKO in the late second round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Danny Henry | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Danny Henry | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makwan Amirkhani | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Danny Henry | 6 of 16 | 37% | 1 of 6 | 3 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Makwan Amirkhani | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Danny Henry | 6 of 16 | 37% | 1 of 6 | 3 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Makwan Amirkhani by submission in the first round, citing his excellent wrestling and BJJ. He notes Amirkhani's gas tank is poor, so he needs an early finish, and he expects him to take Henry down and submit him early.
Daniel Levi picks Makwan Amirkhani, expecting him to grind out a win via takedowns and top control. He notes Amirkhani has landed a takedown in every UFC fight except his flying knee KO, and believes he can take down Danny Henry. He acknowledges Henry's length and comeback potential but favors Amirkhani's wrestling and submission threat.
Amirkhani has a massive grappling advantage and should be able to take Henry down and submit him. Henry is not as talented as Burgos, who finished Amirkhani, and Amirkhani's cardio issues shouldn't come into play if he gets the finish early. Picks Amirkhani by submission in the second round.
The Guru does not discuss this fight in the transcript. No pick is made.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Burgos | 1 | 105 of 155 | 67% | 161 of 217 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:31 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 22 of 48 | 45% | 23 of 49 | 3 of 19 | 15% | 1 | 0 | 4:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shane Burgos | 0 | 6 of 17 | 35% | 16 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 9 of 15 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 1 | 0 | 2:45 | |
| 2 | Shane Burgos | 0 | 27 of 44 | 61% | 61 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:12 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 5 of 16 | 31% | 5 of 16 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:16 | |
| 3 | Shane Burgos | 1 | 72 of 94 | 76% | 84 of 107 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 0 | 9 of 18 | 50% | 9 of 18 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Burgos | 105 of 155 | 67% | 61 of 108 | 41 of 43 | 3 of 4 | 39 of 78 | 15 of 17 | 51 of 60 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 22 of 48 | 45% | 21 of 46 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shane Burgos | 6 of 17 | 35% | 4 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 15 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 8 of 14 | 57% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Shane Burgos | 27 of 44 | 61% | 11 of 25 | 14 of 16 | 2 of 3 | 14 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 15 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 5 of 16 | 31% | 5 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Shane Burgos | 72 of 94 | 76% | 46 of 68 | 25 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 20 of 35 | 13 of 14 | 39 of 45 |
| Makwan Amirkhani | 9 of 18 | 50% | 8 of 16 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo is confident in Jack Shore, believing he will bounce back from his first loss. He thinks Shore has quality wins and evolving skills. He notes Amirkhani has been getting finished lately and his chin is questionable. He expects Shore to win via takedowns or striking.
Big Brady picks Shore confidently, noting Amirkhani has terrible cardio and is a one-round fighter. He believes Shore can survive the first round and then take over with superior striking and grappling. He predicts a third-round submission as Amirkhani gasses. He sees no path for Amirkhani unless he submits Shore in round one.
Cody picks Shore, noting Amirkhani is a one-round fighter with cardio issues. He thinks Shore can survive the first round, then take over with his high work rate and cardio. He mentions Amirkhani's submission threat in round one is real but low probability. He doesn't love minus 500 and prefers live betting or round three props.
Connor sees Jack Shore as a fundamentally sound, process-driven fighter who will find the most straightforward path to victory. He contrasts Shore's consistency and ability to adjust with Makwan Amirkhani's pattern of gassing after early aggression. Connor believes Shore's jab and pressure will neutralize Amirkhani's wild offense.
Jacob is very confident in Jack Shore, calling him one of his most confident plays on the card. He thinks Amirkhani is broken and quits if his early takedowns fail. He notes Shore defended takedowns well against Ricky Simon and should handle Amirkhani's wrestling. He has bets on Shore for premium members.
Shore is a cardio machine with a grapple-heavy approach, coming off his first loss. Amirkhani is dangerous early with his anaconda choke but fades if he doesn't get the finish. Shore's defensive grappling and pace should allow him to survive the early onslaught and take over in the second and third rounds, likely finishing inside the distance.
Paul picks Shore, citing Amirkhani's cardio issues and Shore's durability. He notes Shore moving up to 145 after a bad cut could help. He thinks if Shore survives round one, he can tire Amirkhani and win by decision or late finish. He says minus 500 is unappealing and prefers a live entry.
The MMA Guru picks Jack Shore over Makwan Amirkhani, despite the odds. He notes Amirkhani is dangerous in the first round with submissions but fades as the fight goes on. Shore has composure in grappling and a massive advantage on the feet with straight punches and a nasty knee. He predicts Shore will survive early grappling exchanges and win in later rounds, possibly by finish.
Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Shore is a consistent, intelligent fighter who makes the right decisions. He points out that Amirkhani is creative but inconsistent, and Shore's fundamental soundness will prevail. Zane expects Shore to let Amirkhani take risks early, then punish him with jabs and counters.
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