vs
-500 +460
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023 · Featherweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 Next Fight
Age 31
Height 5' 8"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 37
Height 5' 10"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Jack Shore
3.6 SLpM
58.0% Str. Acc.
2.31 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
3.22 TD Avg
39.0% TD Acc.
74.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Makwan Amirkhani
1.33 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
2.98 SApM
46.0% Str. Def.
3.96 TD Avg
43.0% TD Acc.
35.0% TD Def.
1.1 Sub. Avg
Jack Shore
Moneyline
BetRivers -500
KO/TKO
BetRivers +215
Submission
FanDuel +290
Decision
FanDuel +210
Makwan Amirkhani
Moneyline
Caesars +460
KO/TKO
BetRivers +2200
Submission
BetMGM +800
Decision
FanDuel +1400
Jack Shore - Fight History
LOSS vs Youssef Zalal
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 0:59 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Nov 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Youssef Zalal 0 8 of 18 44% 10 of 21 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:49
Jack Shore 1 13 of 27 48% 21 of 37 1 of 2 50% 1 0 2:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Youssef Zalal 0 7 of 15 46% 9 of 18 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:49
Jack Shore 0 7 of 17 41% 13 of 23 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:39
2 Youssef Zalal 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jack Shore 1 6 of 10 60% 8 of 14 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:28
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Youssef Zalal 8 of 18 44% 8 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 2 7 of 17 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jack Shore 13 of 27 48% 9 of 22 1 of 2 3 of 3 11 of 23 0 of 2 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Youssef Zalal 7 of 15 46% 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 2 6 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jack Shore 7 of 17 41% 3 of 12 1 of 2 3 of 3 7 of 15 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Youssef Zalal 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jack Shore 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jack Shore vs. Youssef Zalal
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Zalal (-258), Shore (+210)

Round 1
What was once an extremely promising resume listed at 16-0 has transformed into 17-2 in the span of two years for Welshman Shore (17-2, 6-2 UFC). A pair of stoppages have turned him away from elite opposition, and he now draws a resurgent Zalal (15-5-1, 5-3 UFC) in what should be a fast-paced and exciting featherweight affair. The third man in the Octagon will be referee Luke Boutin, clocking the fighters in as they share a swift tap of gloves. Zalal immediately sticks out a jab, and Shore’s eye is red instantly. Zalal pushes out a front kick and dodges a jab, and he puts a few leg kicks on his opponent’s front wheel. Shore tries to check one and comes out swinging with an overhand right, and the Zalal jabs have further transformed his face to a redder color. Shore crashes the pocket and shoots for a single, and Zalal leans against the fence to defend it. Zalal watches the video screen to see the other side of his opponent, and Shore wrenches him down to his hands. Shore legally knees Zalal in the face while Zalal’s hands are down, and Zalal drops down to a single knee before blasting to his feet. Shore elevates his man down once more, and Zalal lowers himself to a knee to not get kneed in the face. Zalal works his way up and pushes Shore to the wall, and Shore explodes out of it and whips a kick at “The Moroccan Devil.” Zalal loads up on power strikes, opening him up to a three-punch counter. As the fighters trade hands, the fans again decide it is the right time to voice a political opinion about their current leader. Shore takes a few punches on the chin to push Zalal to the wall, and Zalal uses a kimura to turn Shore around. Zalal uses a body lock to lower Shore to the mat, and he hits the ground in half guard. Zalal wraps his arm around Shore’s head to keep him pinned down to the ground, but Shore still fights out of the choke and nearly gives up his back. Zalal positions himself to where he can get both hooks in, and he turns Shore around and starts hunting for a cranking submission. The neck crank does not get a tap, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Zalal

Round 2
The two touch gloves, and Zalal opens up with a few jabs. Shore walks into a jab and a right hand, and Zalal’s counters are quicker and he is evasive enough to block the strikes from coming. As Shore ducks down, “The Moroccan Devil” fires off a devilishly powerful knee up the middle that knocks Shore to his seat. Zalal leaps on top into half guard, and he establishes an arm-triangle choke.
Zalal locks down the arm-triangle and does not even need to move to the side, instead pressing his full body weight down while in mount to complete it. Shore hangs on tight, but he has to tap out before getting rendered unconscious.
Boutin gets between them, and Zalal has just notched arguably the largest win in his career while breaking a tough stretch of decisions tonight. That marks three wins in 2024 for the Factory X fighter, all by submission.

The Official Result
Youssef Zalal def. Jack Shore R2 0:59 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Angelo sees Youssef Zalal as the better wrestler, grappler, and more technical striker in this matchup. He notes Zalal's 2.0 version since returning to the UFC has been a buzzsaw, with improved wrestling and ground control. He mentions Zalal's low striking absorption rate (1.73 per minute) and high fight IQ. He also highlights Zalal's recent submission win over Jarno Errens. Angelo is confident Zalal will win and considers the -225 price affordable.

likely to do some work with the -225 line
"I love Yousef in this matchup I think he's going to be the better wrestler the better Grappler the more technical Striker and right now this minute he's an affordable minus 225 and I'm likely going to do some work …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Big Brady picks Youssef Zalal to win by decision. He notes that Zalal has looked much more aggressive in his second UFC stint, finishing opponents, while Jack Shore is moving up to featherweight and will be undersized. Brady believes Zalal is the better striker and can compete in grappling, stuffing takedowns and possibly getting his own. He expects a close fight but thinks Zalal does enough over 15 minutes.

"I'm going zow I'm going as allowed to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Cody picks Youssef Zalal, citing his improved grappling and striking since his return to the UFC. He notes that Zalal is younger, faster, and more well-rounded than Shore, who he sees as undersized and struggling against physical opponents. He believes Zalal's movement and takedown ability will be too much for Shore, and expects a dominant performance.

"The Moroccan devil to keep the winning ways going and you're going to see this kid entering the rankings pretty soon."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Daniel Vreeland picks Youssef Zalal, citing his resurgence and improved skills since returning to the UFC. He believes Zalal's movement, footwork, and ability to mix in takedowns will be too much for Jack Shore, who is stuck between weight classes. Vreeland notes that Zalal has looked impressive against solid competition and is on a trajectory to face ranked opponents, while Shore is underwhelming and in the wrong division.

"give me youus of zow there"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Shore is dealing with recency bias as a big underdog, but his relentless wrestling style can still prove fruitful, especially since Zalal doesn't present the athletic and physical dangers that Shore's recent opponents have, allowing Shore to grind out a win and spoil Zalal's winning streak.

"I believe his Relentless wrestling style can still prove fruitful especially with him starting his career off with a 16-0 perfect record I don't think Zalal presents the athletic and physical dangers that Shore's opponents recently have presented him allowing …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Paul agrees, noting that Zalal has looked impressive in his second UFC stint and has a well-rounded skill set. He points out that Shore struggles against physically stronger opponents and that Zalal's speed and technique will give him problems. He believes Zalal is the rightful favorite and should win comfortably.

"I like The Rebirth of zal... seems like he's ready to roll at this point."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

The Guru picks Youssef Zalal over Jack Shore, citing that Shore is not a true featherweight and lacks physicality. He notes Zalal's momentum, improvements in grappling, and recent performances, including a win over Billy Quarantillo as an underdog. He believes Zalal's technical skills and confidence will be key, while Shore's move up in weight is a disadvantage.

"I'm going to have to go with Yousef salao and it pains me to have to go against Jack Shaw because I'm a big fan of Jack sha but a dude is not a featherweight"
TKO (doctor stoppage) R2 3:35 · UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · May 04, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanderson Brito 0 24 of 40 60% 31 of 47 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:48
Jack Shore 0 30 of 56 53% 57 of 86 1 of 1 100% 0 0 5:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanderson Brito 0 9 of 17 52% 13 of 21 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:48
Jack Shore 0 15 of 31 48% 29 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:31
2 Joanderson Brito 0 15 of 23 65% 18 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jack Shore 0 15 of 25 60% 28 of 41 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanderson Brito 24 of 40 60% 16 of 32 7 of 7 1 of 1 10 of 25 14 of 15 0 of 0
Jack Shore 30 of 56 53% 4 of 29 4 of 4 22 of 23 20 of 46 10 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanderson Brito 9 of 17 52% 5 of 13 3 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 13 4 of 4 0 of 0
Jack Shore 15 of 31 48% 1 of 16 2 of 2 12 of 13 11 of 27 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Joanderson Brito 15 of 23 65% 11 of 19 4 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 12 10 of 11 0 of 0
Jack Shore 15 of 25 60% 3 of 13 2 of 2 10 of 10 9 of 19 6 of 6 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joanderson Brito vs. Jack Shore
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brito (-148), Shore (+124)

Round 1
A place in the top 15 at the talent-rich featherweight division may loom for the victor between Welshman Shore (17-1, 6-1 UFC) and the ultraviolent Chute Boxe fighter Brito (16-3-1, 4-1 UFC). Finish rates of 76% for the former and 87% for the latter mean that the judges might be able to take off this preliminary headliner, while referee Joao Claudio Soares should be ready to step in at a moment’s notice. Before they try to lop the other’s head off at the neck, the heavy hitters bump fists. Brito is the initial aggressor, landing long strikes and finding his range early. Shore throws back to back him away, and he checks a low kick. Brito jabs his way in, and he has another calf kick checked hard. Brito swings for the bleachers, and Shore barely dodges it. The low kick that follows separates Shore from his balance, and he drops to a knee and pops back up. Shore gathers himself and ties the Brazilian up to slow him down, and Brito is quick to turn him around and pepper him with knees. Brito breaks off to throw big hands, and Shore slides away but cannot get away from a heavy leg kick. Brito shreds the front leg again and loads up on power punches, and Shore clinches him up as Brito smiles and sticks his tongue out. Brito pursues a single when turning his man around, kneeing the inner thighs when the takedown is not there. Shore chucks him to the side and looks for a takedown, but Brito hip-checks him and pushes him back to the wire. Shore attempts another level change and hangs on tight to slow Brito down, and they both lower themselves to the ground in a minute when locked up. Brito gets up first and pursues a double, and Shore elbows him in the side of the head to have him knock it off. Brito shoulder strikes his foe while up close and personal in the clinch, and he takes a knee to the belly as the grinding round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Christian Stein scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brito

Round 2
Brito offers a glove touch that is accepted, and he gets right back to his forward momentum. Brito lands a couple leg kicks, completely no-sells getting kicked in the head by the Welshman, and clinches him up. Brito hammers knees on the legs of his opponent and slings him to the mat, and Shore climbs back up without issue. Brito remains stuck to him like he was made of Saran wrap, and Shore pushes him away with a knee up the middle. Brito scores a couple calf kicks, and he ducks when punches are aimed at his face. Shore tries to check a kick and the skin tears open from the impact, as the swelling and welting makes that left leg a horror show less than halfway through the match. Brito sells out for a takedown, and Shore defends it with elbows on the sides of the head. Brito lands a few more short knees as blood leaks out of Shore’s shin. Brito doggedly presses ahead, and he punches the shin several times to further rip open the cut. The apparent damage is so significant that Soares calls in the doctor, who examines the roughly inch-long wound that is at this point gaping. The physician wipes the blood away and feels the bone beneath it, and determines that the bout should not continue. Soares waves the fight off. It is unclear if there is a broken bone, or what the specific reason for the stoppage is, but it will go down as a technical knockout victory for the Brazilian—who hands Shore his first loss by knockout, however unusual.

The Official Result
Joanderson Brito def. Jack Shore R2 3:35 via TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Apr 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Angelo picks Brito due to his danger on the feet, but feels the fight is closer to 50/50 than the 2-1 odds suggest. He notes Brito's 50% takedown defense and that Shore could win if he avoids power and gets takedowns. He does not bet on this fight.

"I am going to pick Jo Anderson breu because of the danger because of how scary he is on his feet but I'm not going to bet on Joe Anderson bre2"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Big Brady calls Brito a 'moment winner' with power and finishing ability. He notes Shore's vulnerability to being hurt and questions his takedown success at featherweight. He predicts Brito will land a big shot and knock Shore out in the first round.

"I'm taking Joanderson Brito to win this fight by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Cody picks Brito, citing his physical strength, power, and Brazilian crowd advantage. He notes Shore struggled with physical wrestlers at bantamweight and hasn't looked great at featherweight. Cody expects Brito to land bigger shots and potentially submit Shore.

Brito by submission
"I think burrito is the rightful favorite here... I wouldn't even be shocked by burrito sub..."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Daniel Vreeland picks Brito, emphasizing his physicality, power, and multiple finishing threats. He notes that Shore's best wins are against lower-level competition and that Brito has fought tougher opponents. He believes Brito's grappling and striking are superior and that Shore may struggle at featherweight. He considers Brito underpriced and expects him to look like a -600 favorite after the fight.

"Britto is a guy I think is underpriced this week on a week when you got a lot of people that are overpriced"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 3, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Jack Shore

Shore is the underdog but will put the grind on Brito and win by decision. Brito is dangerous with knockout power and choking ability, but Shore won't make the same mistakes as Jonathan Pearce and will wear on Brito over 15 minutes.

"I ultimately think it's going to be the underdog Jack Shaw who's able to go out there and put the grind on Bru and come out Victorious by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Paul picks Brito, highlighting his power and physicality. He notes Shore's takedown defense and durability are questionable, and Brito's damaging blows will impress judges. Paul expects Brito to win the first two rounds and hold on.

"I got to agree as well with the favorite and go with Joanderson Brito."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

The MMA Guru picks Joanderson Brito, citing his physicality, fast-twitch athleticism, and momentum. He doubts Jack Shore's strength at featherweight and believes Brito will revel in the pay-per-view moment. He also notes Brito's win over Lucas Alexander has aged well, and that Shore was finished by Ricky Simon.

"I'm gonna go with Jo Anderson bro man I'm gonna go Jo Anderson bro"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 4:27 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Shore 0 28 of 46 60% 45 of 64 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:15
Makwan Amirkhani 0 10 of 24 41% 14 of 28 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Shore 0 5 of 14 35% 19 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:33
Makwan Amirkhani 0 6 of 8 75% 9 of 11 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:14
2 Jack Shore 0 23 of 32 71% 26 of 35 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:42
Makwan Amirkhani 0 4 of 16 25% 5 of 17 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Shore 28 of 46 60% 23 of 40 4 of 4 1 of 2 22 of 39 2 of 2 4 of 5
Makwan Amirkhani 10 of 24 41% 6 of 19 4 of 5 0 of 0 6 of 20 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Shore 5 of 14 35% 3 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 2 3 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 2
Makwan Amirkhani 6 of 8 75% 3 of 5 3 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 5 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Jack Shore 23 of 32 71% 20 of 29 3 of 3 0 of 0 19 of 28 1 of 1 3 of 3
Makwan Amirkhani 4 of 16 25% 3 of 14 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Angelo is confident in Jack Shore, believing he will bounce back from his first loss. He thinks Shore has quality wins and evolving skills. He notes Amirkhani has been getting finished lately and his chin is questionable. He expects Shore to win via takedowns or striking.

"I trust Jack Shore to get it done."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Big Brady picks Shore confidently, noting Amirkhani has terrible cardio and is a one-round fighter. He believes Shore can survive the first round and then take over with superior striking and grappling. He predicts a third-round submission as Amirkhani gasses. He sees no path for Amirkhani unless he submits Shore in round one.

"I gotta absolutely pick Jack Shore I'm gonna pick Jack short to win by third round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Cody picks Shore, noting Amirkhani is a one-round fighter with cardio issues. He thinks Shore can survive the first round, then take over with his high work rate and cardio. He mentions Amirkhani's submission threat in round one is real but low probability. He doesn't love minus 500 and prefers live betting or round three props.

Jack Shore round 3 (plus 500)
"Jack Shore's got the kind of cardio to replicate that same game plan but at this money line it's like I don't want to just hope he's made those corrections"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Connor sees Jack Shore as a fundamentally sound, process-driven fighter who will find the most straightforward path to victory. He contrasts Shore's consistency and ability to adjust with Makwan Amirkhani's pattern of gassing after early aggression. Connor believes Shore's jab and pressure will neutralize Amirkhani's wild offense.

"Shore is a guy who will find the most straightforward path to beating you and stick to it."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Jacob is very confident in Jack Shore, calling him one of his most confident plays on the card. He thinks Amirkhani is broken and quits if his early takedowns fail. He notes Shore defended takedowns well against Ricky Simon and should handle Amirkhani's wrestling. He has bets on Shore for premium members.

bets on Shore for premium members
"this is one of the um this one more my more confident plays on this card."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Shore is a cardio machine with a grapple-heavy approach, coming off his first loss. Amirkhani is dangerous early with his anaconda choke but fades if he doesn't get the finish. Shore's defensive grappling and pace should allow him to survive the early onslaught and take over in the second and third rounds, likely finishing inside the distance.

Shore inside the distance, round 3 prop
"I'm fully expecting it to go into the second round and I think from there we're going to see that momentum swing"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Paul picks Shore, citing Amirkhani's cardio issues and Shore's durability. He notes Shore moving up to 145 after a bad cut could help. He thinks if Shore survives round one, he can tire Amirkhani and win by decision or late finish. He says minus 500 is unappealing and prefers a live entry.

"I'm gonna pick Jack Shore here... but at mine is 500 it's like I don't really think there's much meat on the bone pre-flop"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jack Shore

The MMA Guru picks Jack Shore over Makwan Amirkhani, despite the odds. He notes Amirkhani is dangerous in the first round with submissions but fades as the fight goes on. Shore has composure in grappling and a massive advantage on the feet with straight punches and a nasty knee. He predicts Shore will survive early grappling exchanges and win in later rounds, possibly by finish.

"I'm going with Jack Shore anywhere mukwan American is dangerous in the first round but Jack Shaw has got such a composer composure to him in the grappling"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Shore is a consistent, intelligent fighter who makes the right decisions. He points out that Amirkhani is creative but inconsistent, and Shore's fundamental soundness will prevail. Zane expects Shore to let Amirkhani take risks early, then punish him with jabs and counters.

"It's a pretty easy fight to pick for Jack Shore."
LOSS vs Ricky Simón
Submission R2 3:28 · UFC on ABC: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · Jul 16, 2022
WIN vs Timur Valiev
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29-28, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · Mar 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Shore 2 70 of 107 65% 87 of 128 3 of 7 42% 0 0 4:42
Timur Valiev 0 72 of 150 48% 75 of 155 2 of 3 66% 1 0 2:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Shore 0 24 of 37 64% 26 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:29
Timur Valiev 0 30 of 58 51% 30 of 58 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:22
2 Jack Shore 0 17 of 28 60% 23 of 35 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:38
Timur Valiev 0 21 of 41 51% 24 of 46 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:37
3 Jack Shore 2 29 of 42 69% 38 of 54 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:35
Timur Valiev 0 21 of 51 41% 21 of 51 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Shore 70 of 107 65% 46 of 81 15 of 17 9 of 9 54 of 89 5 of 7 11 of 11
Timur Valiev 72 of 150 48% 23 of 83 26 of 40 23 of 27 67 of 144 5 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Shore 24 of 37 64% 12 of 24 5 of 6 7 of 7 22 of 35 2 of 2 0 of 0
Timur Valiev 30 of 58 51% 8 of 27 12 of 18 10 of 13 28 of 56 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Jack Shore 17 of 28 60% 9 of 19 7 of 8 1 of 1 15 of 25 2 of 3 0 of 0
Timur Valiev 21 of 41 51% 4 of 19 7 of 12 10 of 10 20 of 40 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Jack Shore 29 of 42 69% 25 of 38 3 of 3 1 of 1 17 of 29 1 of 2 11 of 11
Timur Valiev 21 of 51 41% 11 of 37 7 of 10 3 of 4 19 of 48 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 12, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Angelo picks Jack Shore with a slight edge, citing the home crowd advantage and the fact that Trevin Jones was able to take down Valiev, suggesting Shore can too. He notes that both fighters are grapplers who struggled in their last fights, but he trusts Shore's wrestling and thinks the London crowd will give him extra juice.

"i do think that jack fighting in london is going to give him a little extra juice and the fact that trevin jones was able to take down teamer tells me that jack sure should be able to do that …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Timur Valiev

Big Brady picks Timur Valiev to win a close decision, acknowledging it's an unpopular pick. He favors Valiev on the feet due to his volume and mixing of tools, and believes Valiev's scrambling ability will allow him to get back up if taken down. Brady notes Jack Shore's best win was a split decision against Hunter Azure and that Shore has not faced a step-up in competition like Valiev. He also mentions Valiev's chin is a concern but doesn't think it will be an issue here.

"i am going to side with tamir valeev to win a very very close decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Timur Valiev

Cody leans Valiev, citing his speed and striking advantage. He thinks Shore's wrestling might be neutralized and that Valiev's chin is a concern but he has good recovery. He is surprised by line movement and may wait for weigh-ins.

"i think valley of is the side here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Daniel Levi picks Jack Shore, citing his undefeated record, strong grappling stats (5 takedowns per 15 minutes, 100% takedown defense), and the hometown advantage in the UK. He believes Valiev's best chance is a close decision, but judges will favor Shore in a close fight. Levi also notes that Valiev has been knocked down before and that Shore's submission threat is real. He expects a submission or dominant decision.

Shore by submission +700 mentioned as value
"give me a jack tank shore to edge out the decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Jack Shore is a 15-0 prospect with excellent wrestling and top control, able to drag fights to the ground and dominate. Valiev is more of a flashy striker but can grapple if needed, though he lacks crazy knockout power. Shore's takedowns should be effective, and he can grind out a decision. The line movement from +150 to +100 reflects public support, and I understand why. I like Shore to grind out Valiev over 15 minutes.

Shore via decision
"I like the Jack Shore side here I think he grinds out Valiev over 15 minutes and takes home a decision victory."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Paul picks Shore, emphasizing his undefeated streak, excellent wrestling, and pace. He thinks Valiev has cardio and chin issues, and that Shore's volume and pressure will win rounds. He believes the British judges will favor Shore in a close fight.

"i'm going with jack shore"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jack Shore

The Guru picks Jack Shore as an underdog, citing his grappling pressure and reach advantage. He believes Timur Valiev slows down in fights, as seen against Trevin Jones and Chris Gutierrez. He predicts Shore will grind on Valiev against the cage, take his back, and secure a rear-naked choke in round three. He notes Shore's youth and undefeated record.

third round rear-naked choke
"i'm going with jack shaw as well... i reckon he gets a rear naked choke in round three on timo valliv"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · Sep 04, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Shore 0 92 of 155 59% 104 of 168 2 of 8 25% 1 0 4:28
Liudvik Sholinian 0 19 of 92 20% 33 of 108 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Shore 0 16 of 28 57% 24 of 36 1 of 2 50% 1 0 2:53
Liudvik Sholinian 0 2 of 20 10% 14 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
2 Jack Shore 0 33 of 57 57% 36 of 61 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:37
Liudvik Sholinian 0 7 of 33 21% 8 of 34 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:47
3 Jack Shore 0 43 of 70 61% 44 of 71 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:58
Liudvik Sholinian 0 10 of 39 25% 11 of 40 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:33
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Shore 92 of 155 59% 59 of 116 11 of 14 22 of 25 80 of 138 8 of 12 4 of 5
Liudvik Sholinian 19 of 92 20% 13 of 85 6 of 7 0 of 0 16 of 89 2 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Shore 16 of 28 57% 10 of 21 1 of 1 5 of 6 11 of 21 1 of 2 4 of 5
Liudvik Sholinian 2 of 20 10% 1 of 19 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Jack Shore 33 of 57 57% 19 of 41 5 of 6 9 of 10 32 of 56 1 of 1 0 of 0
Liudvik Sholinian 7 of 33 21% 4 of 30 3 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Jack Shore 43 of 70 61% 30 of 54 5 of 7 8 of 9 37 of 61 6 of 9 0 of 0
Liudvik Sholinian 10 of 39 25% 8 of 36 2 of 3 0 of 0 9 of 38 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Big Brady picks Jack Shore to win by third-round submission, very confident. He believes Shore is superior everywhere: better wrestling, better grappling (BJJ black belt), and better striking. Sholinian is sloppy on takedowns, hittable, and low volume. Coming in on short notice makes it even harder for Sholinian. Brady expects Shore to put on a pace and finish in the third round.

Shore by submission in round 3
"give me jack shore here all day and i actually am going to say that jack tor does find a finish eventually in that third round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Cody is a big fan of Shore, citing his chain wrestling, durability, and never-say-die attitude. He thinks Shore outclasses Sholinian everywhere, especially in wrestling and boxing. He expects Shore to grind out a decision or get a late finish, and likes the over 2.5 rounds.

Over 2.5 rounds (-125), Shore by decision (+150)
"i'm a big jack short guy man he's one of these guys that's just gonna chain wrestle"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jack Shore

I'm all over Jack Shore. He's a much better grappler than Sholinian, and grappling is low variance. Shore is a finisher who actively looks for submissions and ground-and-pound. Sholinian's path to victory is control, but he's not on Shore's level. Even on the feet, I think Shore is better. I expect Shore to dominate and finish inside the distance. I like Shore inside the distance at -110 and Shore round 2 at +475.

Shore inside the distance -110, Shore round 2 +475, Under 2.5 rounds -110
"I like Shore all day here... I think he dominates this fight fairly easily and I like the ITD a lot."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Sep 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Paul is not betting Shore at -510, finding the price too high. He acknowledges Shore's skills but is nervous about laying heavy juice. He prefers to stay away or consider the over 2.5 rounds.

Over 2.5 rounds (-125)
"i'm a little nervous about laying the wood at -510 on shore here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Jack Shore

The MMA Guru picks Jack Shore to win by second-round rear-naked choke. He praises Shore's grappling, comparing him to a Dagestani wrestler, and notes his technical and safe approach. He believes Shore's length and reactionary takedowns will be too much for Sholinian, who is a pressure fighter that walks into punishment. He expects Shore to dominate on the ground and get the submission.

second round rear naked choke
"i'm going with jack shaw of course jack shaw was supposed to be taking on saeed nurmagomedov"
WIN vs Hunter Azure
Decision (split) (30–27, 28–29, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Vettori vs. Holland · Apr 10, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Shore 0 45 of 80 56% 78 of 121 0 of 6 0% 1 1 4:02
Hunter Azure 0 36 of 57 63% 57 of 84 6 of 13 46% 0 1 5:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Shore 0 14 of 27 51% 20 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:01
Hunter Azure 0 11 of 17 64% 15 of 23 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:50
2 Jack Shore 0 23 of 37 62% 41 of 59 0 of 1 0% 1 0 1:54
Hunter Azure 0 14 of 23 60% 22 of 33 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:08
3 Jack Shore 0 8 of 16 50% 17 of 27 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:07
Hunter Azure 0 11 of 17 64% 20 of 28 3 of 6 50% 0 1 2:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Shore 45 of 80 56% 12 of 37 14 of 19 19 of 24 35 of 64 6 of 11 4 of 5
Hunter Azure 36 of 57 63% 24 of 42 4 of 4 8 of 11 27 of 43 6 of 10 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Shore 14 of 27 51% 2 of 12 5 of 6 7 of 9 12 of 22 1 of 4 1 of 1
Hunter Azure 11 of 17 64% 6 of 10 1 of 1 4 of 6 8 of 11 1 of 3 2 of 3
2 Jack Shore 23 of 37 62% 7 of 15 7 of 10 9 of 12 18 of 30 3 of 5 2 of 2
Hunter Azure 14 of 23 60% 9 of 17 3 of 3 2 of 3 11 of 20 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Jack Shore 8 of 16 50% 3 of 10 2 of 3 3 of 3 5 of 12 2 of 2 1 of 2
Hunter Azure 11 of 17 64% 9 of 15 0 of 0 2 of 2 8 of 12 2 of 4 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Big Brady picks Shore to win by third-round submission, but he is not overly confident and is passing on betting. He notes Azure has good takedown defense early but poor cardio, while Shore has excellent cardio and grappling. Brady expects Shore to wear Azure down and secure a late submission, as Azure has faded in past fights. He would have bet Shore at the opener (-110) but not at the current -160.

"i'm gonna say jack shore by third round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Cody picks Shore, praising his wrestling, cardio, and durability. He notes Azure's cardio issues and tendency to fade. He thinks Shore will grind Azure down and get a late submission or decision.

Shore by submission +300; Shore round 3 +1100
"jack shore's gonna be at the top jack shore's honest for sure i like jack shore a lot"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Apr 9, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jack Shore

Daniel Levi picks Jack Shore, but expects a closely contested battle. He notes that Shore is a submission specialist from Wales with good fight IQ, but Hunter Azure is a strong wrestler with power. Levi thinks Shore's stand-up will be tested and that Azure's power could change the momentum. He suggests it might be a dog-or-pass situation at the betting window.

Dog or pass situation at the betting window
"The pick is jack shore might it might actually be a dog or pass situation at the betting window"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jack Shore

The host is high on Shore, citing his great wrestling, top control, and cardio. He expects Shore to pressure Azure, suck his gas tank, and potentially get a third-round finish. He notes that Azure has questionable cardio and has slowed down in past fights. He picks Shore to win by third-round submission, and mentions that -160 is a good price.

Shore by submission round 3
"i really like jack short on the spot i don't see andra azure knocking him out i don't see him out wrestling him over 15 minutes"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Paul picks Shore, noting his grappling advantage and Azure's poor cardio. He thinks Shore will lean on Azure and tire him out. He took Shore by submission and round 3 props.

Shore by submission +300; Shore round 3 +1100
"i took shore by sub plus 300 and sure round three plus 1100"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Jack Shore

The MMA Guru picks Jack Shore by second-round rear-naked choke, though he admits worry. He notes Shore's grappling is not wrestling-based but uses body locks and cage pressure. He thinks Azure's muscular build will lead to openings in the second round, allowing Shore to take his back. He also mentions Shore's reach advantage and good knees and kicks.

second round rear-naked choke submission
"i'm going with jack shaw but i worry i worry here"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 2:29 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Ige · Jul 16, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Shore 0 29 of 45 64% 42 of 59 3 of 8 37% 1 0 5:25
Aaron Phillips 0 6 of 15 40% 7 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Shore 0 22 of 35 62% 26 of 40 2 of 7 28% 0 0 3:43
Aaron Phillips 0 3 of 8 37% 4 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
2 Jack Shore 0 7 of 10 70% 16 of 19 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:42
Aaron Phillips 0 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Shore 29 of 45 64% 19 of 32 5 of 6 5 of 7 7 of 14 6 of 6 16 of 25
Aaron Phillips 6 of 15 40% 1 of 9 5 of 6 0 of 0 5 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Shore 22 of 35 62% 16 of 26 3 of 4 3 of 5 3 of 9 6 of 6 13 of 20
Aaron Phillips 3 of 8 37% 0 of 5 3 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jack Shore 7 of 10 70% 3 of 6 2 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 5
Aaron Phillips 3 of 7 42% 1 of 4 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Big Brady picks Jack Shore, calling him a beast and very high on him. He believes Shore can take Phillips down easily and dominate on the ground. He predicts a third-round submission, as Phillips has never been finished but hasn't faced anyone like Shore. He says Shore will be a known name soon.

"I like Jack Shore quite a bit I'm very high on this guy he is very very good"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Daniel Levi picks Jack Shore by submission, noting that Shore is a Welsh phenom who doesn't waste time and knows his strengths. He believes Shore will take the fight to the ground and finish quickly, as Aaron Phillips has historically struggled to stuff takedowns.

by submission
"I'm going Jack shore by submission here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Jack Shore is a highly touted prospect with a 12-0 amateur record and 12-0 pro record, showing elite grappling and submission skills. He completely dominated his UFC debut against Nohelin Hernandez, landing few strikes but securing a submission in the third round. His opponent Aaron Phillips is a short-notice replacement who has lost both of his previous UFC fights. The Guru expects Shore to get an easy submission in the first two rounds, likely a rear-naked choke.

submission in first two rounds, rear-naked choke
"I could cheat Jack Shaw just going in there and getting an easy submission in the first two rounds I expect that to happen Jack Shaw by submission in the first two rounds probably really naked choke because he likes …"
Makwan Amirkhani - Fight History
LOSS vs Jack Shore
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 4:27 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Shore 0 28 of 46 60% 45 of 64 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:15
Makwan Amirkhani 0 10 of 24 41% 14 of 28 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Shore 0 5 of 14 35% 19 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:33
Makwan Amirkhani 0 6 of 8 75% 9 of 11 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:14
2 Jack Shore 0 23 of 32 71% 26 of 35 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:42
Makwan Amirkhani 0 4 of 16 25% 5 of 17 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Shore 28 of 46 60% 23 of 40 4 of 4 1 of 2 22 of 39 2 of 2 4 of 5
Makwan Amirkhani 10 of 24 41% 6 of 19 4 of 5 0 of 0 6 of 20 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Shore 5 of 14 35% 3 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 2 3 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 2
Makwan Amirkhani 6 of 8 75% 3 of 5 3 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 5 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Jack Shore 23 of 32 71% 20 of 29 3 of 3 0 of 0 19 of 28 1 of 1 3 of 3
Makwan Amirkhani 4 of 16 25% 3 of 14 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Angelo is confident in Jack Shore, believing he will bounce back from his first loss. He thinks Shore has quality wins and evolving skills. He notes Amirkhani has been getting finished lately and his chin is questionable. He expects Shore to win via takedowns or striking.

"I trust Jack Shore to get it done."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Big Brady picks Shore confidently, noting Amirkhani has terrible cardio and is a one-round fighter. He believes Shore can survive the first round and then take over with superior striking and grappling. He predicts a third-round submission as Amirkhani gasses. He sees no path for Amirkhani unless he submits Shore in round one.

"I gotta absolutely pick Jack Shore I'm gonna pick Jack short to win by third round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Cody picks Shore, noting Amirkhani is a one-round fighter with cardio issues. He thinks Shore can survive the first round, then take over with his high work rate and cardio. He mentions Amirkhani's submission threat in round one is real but low probability. He doesn't love minus 500 and prefers live betting or round three props.

Jack Shore round 3 (plus 500)
"Jack Shore's got the kind of cardio to replicate that same game plan but at this money line it's like I don't want to just hope he's made those corrections"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Connor sees Jack Shore as a fundamentally sound, process-driven fighter who will find the most straightforward path to victory. He contrasts Shore's consistency and ability to adjust with Makwan Amirkhani's pattern of gassing after early aggression. Connor believes Shore's jab and pressure will neutralize Amirkhani's wild offense.

"Shore is a guy who will find the most straightforward path to beating you and stick to it."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Jacob is very confident in Jack Shore, calling him one of his most confident plays on the card. He thinks Amirkhani is broken and quits if his early takedowns fail. He notes Shore defended takedowns well against Ricky Simon and should handle Amirkhani's wrestling. He has bets on Shore for premium members.

bets on Shore for premium members
"this is one of the um this one more my more confident plays on this card."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Shore is a cardio machine with a grapple-heavy approach, coming off his first loss. Amirkhani is dangerous early with his anaconda choke but fades if he doesn't get the finish. Shore's defensive grappling and pace should allow him to survive the early onslaught and take over in the second and third rounds, likely finishing inside the distance.

Shore inside the distance, round 3 prop
"I'm fully expecting it to go into the second round and I think from there we're going to see that momentum swing"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Paul picks Shore, citing Amirkhani's cardio issues and Shore's durability. He notes Shore moving up to 145 after a bad cut could help. He thinks if Shore survives round one, he can tire Amirkhani and win by decision or late finish. He says minus 500 is unappealing and prefers a live entry.

"I'm gonna pick Jack Shore here... but at mine is 500 it's like I don't really think there's much meat on the bone pre-flop"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jack Shore

The MMA Guru picks Jack Shore over Makwan Amirkhani, despite the odds. He notes Amirkhani is dangerous in the first round with submissions but fades as the fight goes on. Shore has composure in grappling and a massive advantage on the feet with straight punches and a nasty knee. He predicts Shore will survive early grappling exchanges and win in later rounds, possibly by finish.

"I'm going with Jack Shore anywhere mukwan American is dangerous in the first round but Jack Shaw has got such a composer composure to him in the grappling"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Shore is a consistent, intelligent fighter who makes the right decisions. He points out that Amirkhani is creative but inconsistent, and Shore's fundamental soundness will prevail. Zane expects Shore to let Amirkhani take risks early, then punish him with jabs and counters.

"It's a pretty easy fight to pick for Jack Shore."
LOSS vs Jonathan Pearce
TKO (punches) R2 4:10 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · Jul 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jonathan Pearce 0 11 of 22 50% 12 of 23 3 of 7 42% 0 0 1:25
Makwan Amirkhani 0 90 of 112 80% 144 of 178 4 of 5 80% 0 0 4:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jonathan Pearce 0 6 of 11 54% 7 of 12 3 of 7 42% 0 0 1:25
Makwan Amirkhani 0 46 of 51 90% 61 of 67 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:39
2 Jonathan Pearce 0 5 of 11 45% 5 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Makwan Amirkhani 0 44 of 61 72% 83 of 111 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jonathan Pearce 11 of 22 50% 9 of 19 0 of 1 2 of 2 11 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Makwan Amirkhani 90 of 112 80% 75 of 94 11 of 14 4 of 4 16 of 28 37 of 37 37 of 47
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jonathan Pearce 6 of 11 54% 4 of 8 0 of 1 2 of 2 6 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Makwan Amirkhani 46 of 51 90% 43 of 47 2 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 7 37 of 37 6 of 7
2 Jonathan Pearce 5 of 11 45% 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Makwan Amirkhani 44 of 61 72% 32 of 47 9 of 11 3 of 3 13 of 21 0 of 0 31 of 40
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jonathan Pearce

Angelo picks Jonathan Pearce, noting it's a grappler vs grappler matchup and it will come down to who shoots first. He believes Pearce will initiate the takedowns and has a high pace. He mentions Amirkhani just submitted a better wrestler in Mike Grundy, and all of Pearce's losses are grappling-based, so he suggests a live bet on Amirkhani if he gets early takedowns.

live bet on Amirkhani if he gets early takedowns
"i think that's jonathan pierce so he's the pick but let's not forget amira connie just submitted mike grundy"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Makwan Amirkhani

Big Brady picks Makwan Amirkhani for the upset by early submission. He likes Jonathan Pearce's style but notes Pearce often gets in bad spots on the mat. Amirkhani has dangerous submissions and good wrestling. However, Amirkhani's cardio is a concern; if he doesn't finish in round one, Pearce takes over. He suggests a live bet on Pearce if Amirkhani doesn't finish round one.

Amirkhani by submission in round 1; live bet Pearce if Amirkhani doesn't finish round 1
"i think i'm going to take mac on here for the upset to get an early submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Makwan Amirkhani

Cody picks Makwan Amirkhani, agreeing the line is fraudulent. He notes Pearce's striking defense is poor and he almost got submitted in his last fight. Cody thinks Amirkhani is dangerous early and can submit Pearce if he shoots. He also notes Amirkhani has good wrestling and could take Pearce down. Cody likes the moneyline at +170.

"i like this card i like a lot of the favorites on this card but there's going to be favorites that are gonna do [ __ ] in the apple pie and jsp looks like he almost did it to …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jonathan Pearce

Daniel Levi picks Jonathan Pearce, emphasizing his high pace and ability to put up large strike and takedown numbers. He acknowledges that Amirkhani is dangerous in the first round with his wrestling and submissions, but notes that Amirkhani gasses out due to health issues. Levi believes if Pearce can survive the first round, his pace will be too much in the later rounds.

"if he does get past the first round um i think that the pace for jsp is gonna be too much in the second and third"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jonathan Pearce

Pearce has the striking advantage, overall MMA advantage, and cardio advantage. Amirkhani's only threat is the anaconda choke. Pearce's team will have him prepared. Pearce can finish later or win a decision. I might pull the trigger at -200.

"give me Pierce give me Pierce either later finish or decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Makwan Amirkhani

Paul picks Makwan Amirkhani at +170, calling it a dogger pass. He thinks the line is off and the fight is closer to 50-50. Paul notes Pearce's cardio looked poor in his last fight and that Amirkhani is dangerous on the ground. He believes if Pearce takes Amirkhani down, he'll be in trouble. Paul also likes Amirkhani by submission at +350.

Amirkhani by submission +350
"i took mac one um on the money line plus 170. i just think that this is more of like a 50 50 fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Makwan Amirkhani

The MMA Guru picks Makwan Amirkhani as an underdog, noting he always likes him but often loses when picking him. He believes Amirkhani is dangerous in the first round with submissions, and Jonathan Pearce leaves himself in bad positions during scrambles. Pearce's pressure and cardio are good, but his technical scrambles are not. The Guru expects an anaconda choke finish early.

anaconda choke
"i'm going to go makwana mikani getting it done early with a submission"
WIN vs Mike Grundy
Technical Submission (anaconda choke) R1 0:57 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · Mar 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Makwan Amirkhani 0 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:31
Mike Grundy 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Makwan Amirkhani 0 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:31
Mike Grundy 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Makwan Amirkhani 0 of 3 0% 0 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mike Grundy 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Makwan Amirkhani 0 of 3 0% 0 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mike Grundy 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Mike Grundy

Angelo picks Mike Grundy, believing he will be more disciplined in sticking to wrestling. He notes that Grundy's striking is poor, but if he dives for takedowns, he can win. He thinks Amirkhani is a better striker but may get taken down when he tries to strike. He expects Grundy to take damage on the way in but ultimately win.

"i do like mike grundy to win here but he's probably going to take a little bit of damage on the way in"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Mike Grundy

Big Brady picks Mike Grundy to win by decision, but expresses low confidence. He notes both fighters have bad cardio, but Grundy has slightly better gas tank (7-10 minutes vs 5). He favors Grundy's striking and believes Grundy can dictate where the fight takes place. Brady says it's a tricky fight and he wants nothing to do with it.

"i gotta go grundy here just because of that i think grundy is going to be able to dictate where this fight takes place"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mike Grundy

Cody picks Grundy, citing his better striking and Amirkhani's poor cardio. He thinks Grundy's wrestling will neutralize Amirkhani's takedowns, and that Grundy's power will be the difference in a striking battle. He is cautious due to Grundy's own cardio issues.

"i'm gonna lean towards grundy here myself"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Mike Grundy

Daniel Levi picks Mike Grundy confidently, citing Makwan Amirkhani's decline in confidence and cardio, as well as a recent brutal knockout. He believes Grundy's wrestling and durability will overwhelm Amirkhani, who has one round of gas and has been figured out. Levi expects Grundy to win by knockout or submission, noting that Amirkhani is vulnerable after his last KO. He also mentions Grundy's power and submission threats.

Grundy by KO/TKO +750; Grundy by submission +450
"grundy all day long i'll let you all decide by which method"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mike Grundy

Grundy has a more reliable gas tank and power striking, while Amirkhani tends to fold when things go wrong. Grundy attempted 20 takedowns in his last fight, showing relentless pressure. Amirkhani may struggle to get Grundy to the ground, and on the feet, Grundy has the advantage. I lean Grundy, but the line is getting out of whack near -200. I'll sprinkle on Grundy by KO at +750 and Grundy in round 3 at +1400.

Grundy by KO (+750); Grundy in round 3 (+1400)
"I'm going to lean with the Mike Grundy side but I'll have a little sprinkles on a couple of his props."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mike Grundy

Paul picks Grundy, arguing that Amirkhani's only good round is the first if he gets takedowns, but Grundy's wrestling is good enough to stop that. He thinks both will tire, but Grundy has better striking and power. He notes Amirkhani is likely fighting for his job.

"i got grundy"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Mike Grundy

The Guru picks Mike Grundy, citing his grappling strength and durability. He believes Makwan Amirkhani lacks grit and gas tank, and will fade as the fight goes on. He predicts Grundy will survive an early grappling onslaught, then take over in round two and finish with a TKO against the cage in round three. He notes both are fighting for their careers.

third round TKO
"i'm going to go with mike grundy here... mcquann's gassed out in round three and mike grundy puts him away standing tko"
LOSS vs Lerone Murphy
KO (knee) R2 0:14 · UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · Oct 30, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lerone Murphy 0 4 of 6 66% 12 of 16 5 of 7 71% 0 0 4:05
Makwan Amirkhani 1 4 of 5 80% 7 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lerone Murphy 0 3 of 4 75% 11 of 14 5 of 6 83% 0 0 4:05
Makwan Amirkhani 0 0 of 0 --- 3 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
2 Lerone Murphy 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Makwan Amirkhani 1 4 of 5 80% 4 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lerone Murphy 4 of 6 66% 3 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 4
Makwan Amirkhani 4 of 5 80% 4 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lerone Murphy 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 4
Makwan Amirkhani 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Lerone Murphy 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Makwan Amirkhani 4 of 5 80% 4 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 3
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Big Brady picks Lerone Murphy to win by decision. He explains that Amirkhani is dangerous early with submissions but has poor cardio and gasses after the first round. Murphy is well-rounded with good striking and solid ground game. If Murphy survives the first round, he will take over and win a decision, likely dropping the first round. He suggests live betting Murphy if he survives early.

Murphy by decision; live betting Murphy after first round
"I'm going to pick him to win by decision i think maquon's very tough but i think he's i think he's a gasser."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Cody agrees Murphy wins but suggests betting live because Amirkhani usually doesn't get blown out early. He notes Amirkhani has takedowns in his last 9 fights but fades as fight goes on. Murphy's cardio and ring IQ should take over in later rounds. He prefers to wait for a better price live.

"i think i can just improve it by waiting three to five minutes"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Daniel picks Lerone Murphy, citing his heart and improvement. He notes Amirkhani fades badly after the first round due to health issues. Daniel believes if Murphy survives the early takedowns, he will pick Amirkhani apart. He highlights Murphy's ability to scramble back to his feet. Daniel predicts a third-round knockout.

predicts third-round knockout and 50k bonus
"i think euron murphy's going to knock up machuan amerikani out probably third round"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Murphy will keep the fight standing and punish Amirkhani with leg kicks and power. Amirkhani needs takedowns but Murphy's takedown defense and striking should prevail. Murphy's power will be too much as the fight goes on, likely finishing in the third round.

Murphy by KO +150, Murphy in round 3 +850, under 2.5 rounds +100, fight doesn't go to decision -120.
"I think that lauren murphy survives the early onslaught on the ground uh keeps the fight vertical for the second and third round but eventually finds that finish in the third round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Paul picks Murphy by decision at +165, noting Amirkhani's durability and wrestling. He thinks Murphy's striking and underrated wrestling will be too much, and Amirkhani will struggle to get takedowns. He expects Murphy to pick him apart on the feet and win a decision.

Murphy by decision +165 (DraftKings)
"laurel murphy by decision would probably be the way to attack this one"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

The MMA Guru picks Lerone Murphy to win by TKO. He criticizes Makwan Amirkhani's mindset and cardio, noting that Amirkhani gassed against a short-notice opponent. He highlights Murphy's takedown defense, physical strength, and composure. He predicts Murphy will stuff takedowns until Amirkhani gasses, then finish with ground and pound. He also mentions Murphy's good knees in the clinch and body shots.

ko by ground and pound
"lauren murphy gets this one down he's got a strong base he's a physical specimen very strong for the featherweight division"
LOSS vs Kamuela Kirk
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · Jun 05, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kamuela Kirk 0 20 of 49 40% 25 of 56 5 of 9 55% 0 0 6:50
Makwan Amirkhani 0 28 of 63 44% 100 of 143 0 of 0 --- 3 0 1:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kamuela Kirk 0 6 of 16 37% 6 of 16 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:44
Makwan Amirkhani 0 11 of 23 47% 19 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
2 Kamuela Kirk 0 6 of 20 30% 8 of 24 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:51
Makwan Amirkhani 0 13 of 27 48% 46 of 66 0 of 0 --- 3 0 0:00
3 Kamuela Kirk 0 8 of 13 61% 11 of 16 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:15
Makwan Amirkhani 0 4 of 13 30% 35 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kamuela Kirk 20 of 49 40% 14 of 40 4 of 7 2 of 2 15 of 42 0 of 0 5 of 7
Makwan Amirkhani 28 of 63 44% 8 of 34 9 of 15 11 of 14 27 of 62 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kamuela Kirk 6 of 16 37% 3 of 12 3 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Makwan Amirkhani 11 of 23 47% 3 of 15 3 of 3 5 of 5 11 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Kamuela Kirk 6 of 20 30% 5 of 17 1 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 16 0 of 0 2 of 4
Makwan Amirkhani 13 of 27 48% 2 of 10 6 of 9 5 of 8 13 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Kamuela Kirk 8 of 13 61% 6 of 11 0 of 0 2 of 2 5 of 10 0 of 0 3 of 3
Makwan Amirkhani 4 of 13 30% 3 of 9 0 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Makwan Amirkhani

Big Brady thinks the line is too wide but favors Amirkhani as the better fighter in every area, especially grappling. He notes Kirk is on short notice and gassed in his last fight after a good first round. He believes Amirkhani will get takedowns and win a decision, though he doesn't expect a submission. He considers the skill sets similar but Amirkhani more skilled by a decent margin.

"some mac one by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Kamuela Kirk

Cody picks Kirk, agreeing with Paul. He notes Amirkhani's striking deficiencies and that Kirk is a better striker. Cody thinks Kirk's grappling is good enough to avoid submissions. He sees value in the dog and suggests live betting after the first round.

"if this is a 50 50 fight i want the dog"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 3, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Kamuela Kirk

Daniel picks Kirk as a plus-220 underdog, believing Kirk can stuff takedowns and win the boxing exchanges. He notes that Kirk trains at Fight Ready with Henry Cejudo and has improved since his Contender Series loss. Daniel acknowledges Amirkhani's experience and takedown game, but points out that Amirkhani has been dropped multiple times and has questionable cardio. He thinks Kirk's striking is better and if he can avoid gassing, he can win a decision or even get a finish. Daniel is going out on a limb but likes the dog.

"i'm going to go out on a limb i'm gonna take the plus 220 dog here i'm gonna go with kirk"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Kamuela Kirk

Kirk has a striking advantage and a BJJ black belt to defend submissions. Amirkhani fades after the first round and has poor striking. Kirk will survive the early grappling and win rounds two and three on the feet.

Kirk by decision +390, over 1.5 rounds -160
"I'll go kirk decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Kamuela Kirk

Paul picks Kirk as a dog, citing his striking advantage and takedown defense. He notes Amirkhani's low volume and reliance on early submissions. Paul thinks Kirk can survive the first round and then outpoint Amirkhani. He sees value at +205.

"i almost feel like uh there might be something worth it there on on kamuela kirk"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 30, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Makwan Amirkhani

The Guru picks Makwan Amirkhani, noting that Kirk is on short notice and lacks the cardio or early power to stop Amirkhani's takedowns. He references Amirkhani's success getting takedowns on Edson Barboza and Shane Burgos. He predicts Amirkhani will control the first two rounds and win a 29-28 decision, though Kirk might have a good third round.

unanimous decision, 29-28
"i feel like kwan amir khan is going to get this one you either need really bad really massive power in the first two rounds or really good cardio"
LOSS vs Edson Barboza
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · Oct 11, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Edson Barboza 2 32 of 74 43% 34 of 77 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:38
Makwan Amirkhani 0 11 of 39 28% 25 of 59 3 of 6 50% 0 0 3:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Edson Barboza 0 13 of 31 41% 15 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Makwan Amirkhani 0 4 of 13 30% 6 of 16 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:08
2 Edson Barboza 2 12 of 26 46% 12 of 26 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:35
Makwan Amirkhani 0 3 of 15 20% 7 of 22 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:14
3 Edson Barboza 0 7 of 17 41% 7 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Makwan Amirkhani 0 4 of 11 36% 12 of 21 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:51
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Edson Barboza 32 of 74 43% 8 of 42 18 of 23 6 of 9 31 of 69 0 of 1 1 of 4
Makwan Amirkhani 11 of 39 28% 10 of 36 1 of 3 0 of 0 10 of 36 0 of 1 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Edson Barboza 13 of 31 41% 1 of 16 7 of 9 5 of 6 13 of 30 0 of 1 0 of 0
Makwan Amirkhani 4 of 13 30% 4 of 12 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Edson Barboza 12 of 26 46% 5 of 16 6 of 7 1 of 3 11 of 22 0 of 0 1 of 4
Makwan Amirkhani 3 of 15 20% 3 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Edson Barboza 7 of 17 41% 2 of 10 5 of 7 0 of 0 7 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Makwan Amirkhani 4 of 11 36% 3 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 9 0 of 0 1 of 2
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Edson Barboza

Big Brady picks Barboza as part of a parlay with Tagir Ulanbekov. He believes Barboza has a great stylistic matchup, with 75% takedown defense against elite wrestlers, and that Amirkhani lacks the wrestling to keep him down. He expects Barboza to survive the early storm, stuff takedowns, and land a knockout as Amirkhani slows down. He notes Barboza is a BJJ black belt himself.

Barboza by third round knockout; parlay with Tagir Ulanbekov
"i really like that parley i just think it's a great stylistic matchup for barbosa here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Edson Barboza

Daniel argues that Edson Barboza is not washed up like Tyron Woodley; he is still competitive with top-15 fighters and wins rounds. He believes Makwan Amirkhani is not on Barboza's level and that Amirkhani will struggle to get takedowns due to Barboza's improved takedown defense. Daniel also notes that Amirkhani has poor cardio and tends to fold when hit hard, while Barboza has the striking advantage and can finish the fight.

Daniel mentions that Barboza should win but it's a 'dogger pass' for betting due to the line. He also notes that Amirkhani's only path is a submission, but he doubts he can get Barboza down.
"I just think that there's levels to this [ __ ] and when barbosa wins this fight... I got edson barboza here man"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Edson Barboza

Barboza has a significant striking advantage and solid takedown defense. Amirkhani is a first-round threat but fades quickly; Barboza's body work and kicks will drain him. Expect a third-round TKO after Amirkhani's initial blitz fails.

Barboza wins in round 3 at +800
"i truly think that we see barboza put on a clinic on the feet"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Edson Barboza

The Guru picks Barboza, acknowledging Amirkhani's dangerous ground game but believing Barboza's takedown defense has improved over years of training. He notes Barboza survived Khabib's grappling and never got submitted. He expects Barboza to defend takedowns early, then take over with body kicks to drain Amirkhani's gas tank, finishing with a body kick TKO in the late second round.

body kick finish late second round
"i'm gonna go over to barboza getting the job done i'll say body kick finish late second round"
WIN vs Danny Henry
Technical Submission (anaconda choke) R1 3:15 · UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · Jul 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Makwan Amirkhani 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:47
Danny Henry 0 6 of 16 37% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Makwan Amirkhani 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:47
Danny Henry 0 6 of 16 37% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Makwan Amirkhani 2 of 6 33% 1 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danny Henry 6 of 16 37% 1 of 6 3 of 7 2 of 3 6 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Makwan Amirkhani 2 of 6 33% 1 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danny Henry 6 of 16 37% 1 of 6 3 of 7 2 of 3 6 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Makwan Amirkhani

Big Brady picks Makwan Amirkhani by submission in the first round, citing his excellent wrestling and BJJ. He notes Amirkhani's gas tank is poor, so he needs an early finish, and he expects him to take Henry down and submit him early.

submission round 1
"i just see him getting down henry probably in that first round i think he's going to get him out of there in that first round ... i do think he's going to get a submission uh pretty early in …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Makwan Amirkhani

Daniel Levi picks Makwan Amirkhani, expecting him to grind out a win via takedowns and top control. He notes Amirkhani has landed a takedown in every UFC fight except his flying knee KO, and believes he can take down Danny Henry. He acknowledges Henry's length and comeback potential but favors Amirkhani's wrestling and submission threat.

"I'm gonna take mock when I'm your Connie to kind of grind this one out potentially get a submission along the way"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Makwan Amirkhani

Amirkhani has a massive grappling advantage and should be able to take Henry down and submit him. Henry is not as talented as Burgos, who finished Amirkhani, and Amirkhani's cardio issues shouldn't come into play if he gets the finish early. Picks Amirkhani by submission in the second round.

submission in second round
"I expect not want to go out there wrestle him and then pull off a submission with in the first round or two rounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert picked Jul 8, 2020 (4 days before fight)

The Guru does not discuss this fight in the transcript. No pick is made.

LOSS vs Shane Burgos
TKO (punches) R3 4:32 · UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · Nov 02, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Shane Burgos 1 105 of 155 67% 161 of 217 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:31
Makwan Amirkhani 0 22 of 48 45% 23 of 49 3 of 19 15% 1 0 4:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Shane Burgos 0 6 of 17 35% 16 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
Makwan Amirkhani 0 8 of 14 57% 9 of 15 3 of 10 30% 1 0 2:45
2 Shane Burgos 0 27 of 44 61% 61 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:12
Makwan Amirkhani 0 5 of 16 31% 5 of 16 0 of 5 0% 0 0 1:16
3 Shane Burgos 1 72 of 94 76% 84 of 107 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:43
Makwan Amirkhani 0 9 of 18 50% 9 of 18 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Shane Burgos 105 of 155 67% 61 of 108 41 of 43 3 of 4 39 of 78 15 of 17 51 of 60
Makwan Amirkhani 22 of 48 45% 21 of 46 1 of 2 0 of 0 21 of 47 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Shane Burgos 6 of 17 35% 4 of 15 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 15 1 of 2 0 of 0
Makwan Amirkhani 8 of 14 57% 8 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0 7 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Shane Burgos 27 of 44 61% 11 of 25 14 of 16 2 of 3 14 of 28 1 of 1 12 of 15
Makwan Amirkhani 5 of 16 31% 5 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Shane Burgos 72 of 94 76% 46 of 68 25 of 25 1 of 1 20 of 35 13 of 14 39 of 45
Makwan Amirkhani 9 of 18 50% 8 of 16 1 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Angelo is confident in Jack Shore, believing he will bounce back from his first loss. He thinks Shore has quality wins and evolving skills. He notes Amirkhani has been getting finished lately and his chin is questionable. He expects Shore to win via takedowns or striking.

"I trust Jack Shore to get it done."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Big Brady picks Shore confidently, noting Amirkhani has terrible cardio and is a one-round fighter. He believes Shore can survive the first round and then take over with superior striking and grappling. He predicts a third-round submission as Amirkhani gasses. He sees no path for Amirkhani unless he submits Shore in round one.

"I gotta absolutely pick Jack Shore I'm gonna pick Jack short to win by third round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Cody picks Shore, noting Amirkhani is a one-round fighter with cardio issues. He thinks Shore can survive the first round, then take over with his high work rate and cardio. He mentions Amirkhani's submission threat in round one is real but low probability. He doesn't love minus 500 and prefers live betting or round three props.

Jack Shore round 3 (plus 500)
"Jack Shore's got the kind of cardio to replicate that same game plan but at this money line it's like I don't want to just hope he's made those corrections"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Connor sees Jack Shore as a fundamentally sound, process-driven fighter who will find the most straightforward path to victory. He contrasts Shore's consistency and ability to adjust with Makwan Amirkhani's pattern of gassing after early aggression. Connor believes Shore's jab and pressure will neutralize Amirkhani's wild offense.

"Shore is a guy who will find the most straightforward path to beating you and stick to it."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Jacob is very confident in Jack Shore, calling him one of his most confident plays on the card. He thinks Amirkhani is broken and quits if his early takedowns fail. He notes Shore defended takedowns well against Ricky Simon and should handle Amirkhani's wrestling. He has bets on Shore for premium members.

bets on Shore for premium members
"this is one of the um this one more my more confident plays on this card."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Shore is a cardio machine with a grapple-heavy approach, coming off his first loss. Amirkhani is dangerous early with his anaconda choke but fades if he doesn't get the finish. Shore's defensive grappling and pace should allow him to survive the early onslaught and take over in the second and third rounds, likely finishing inside the distance.

Shore inside the distance, round 3 prop
"I'm fully expecting it to go into the second round and I think from there we're going to see that momentum swing"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Paul picks Shore, citing Amirkhani's cardio issues and Shore's durability. He notes Shore moving up to 145 after a bad cut could help. He thinks if Shore survives round one, he can tire Amirkhani and win by decision or late finish. He says minus 500 is unappealing and prefers a live entry.

"I'm gonna pick Jack Shore here... but at mine is 500 it's like I don't really think there's much meat on the bone pre-flop"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jack Shore

The MMA Guru picks Jack Shore over Makwan Amirkhani, despite the odds. He notes Amirkhani is dangerous in the first round with submissions but fades as the fight goes on. Shore has composure in grappling and a massive advantage on the feet with straight punches and a nasty knee. He predicts Shore will survive early grappling exchanges and win in later rounds, possibly by finish.

"I'm going with Jack Shore anywhere mukwan American is dangerous in the first round but Jack Shaw has got such a composer composure to him in the grappling"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Shore is a consistent, intelligent fighter who makes the right decisions. He points out that Amirkhani is creative but inconsistent, and Shore's fundamental soundness will prevail. Zane expects Shore to let Amirkhani take risks early, then punish him with jabs and counters.

"It's a pretty easy fight to pick for Jack Shore."