Career Averages - Nina Nunes
Career Averages - Cynthia Calvillo
Nina Nunes
Cynthia Calvillo
Nina Nunes - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 48 of 139 | 34% | 66 of 159 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:09 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 39 of 133 | 29% | 47 of 142 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 10 of 40 | 25% | 10 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 10 of 37 | 27% | 10 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 9 of 41 | 21% | 27 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 9 of 39 | 23% | 16 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 29 of 58 | 50% | 29 of 58 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 20 of 57 | 35% | 21 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Nunes | 48 of 139 | 34% | 16 of 86 | 17 of 26 | 15 of 27 | 47 of 138 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 39 of 133 | 29% | 17 of 94 | 4 of 12 | 18 of 27 | 38 of 131 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nina Nunes | 10 of 40 | 25% | 4 of 26 | 1 of 4 | 5 of 10 | 10 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 10 of 37 | 27% | 1 of 21 | 1 of 4 | 8 of 12 | 10 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Nina Nunes | 9 of 41 | 21% | 3 of 28 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 6 | 9 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 9 of 39 | 23% | 5 of 30 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 6 | 8 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Nina Nunes | 29 of 58 | 50% | 9 of 32 | 12 of 15 | 8 of 11 | 28 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 20 of 57 | 35% | 11 of 43 | 2 of 5 | 7 of 9 | 20 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Nina Nunes as an underdog, citing Calvillo's decline after the Andrade loss and her quitting on the stool. He believes Nunes is more consistent, tough, and will not break. He notes Calvillo is the more talented fighter but has lost her edge.
Big Brady hesitantly picks Nina Nunes to win by decision. He notes that both fighters are on losing streaks and have question marks: Nunes is 36, coming off a layoff and a loss, while Calvillo is 35, on a three-fight skid, and seems distracted. Stylistically, Nunes has better takedown defense and striking. Brady says he would never bet on this fight but picks Nunes to stuff takedowns and win on the feet.
Cody picks Nina Nunes, citing red flags on both sides but favoring Nunes' striking advantage and improved grappling camp with Amanda Nunes. He notes Calvillo's recent lack of wrestling and poor durability. Cody thinks Nunes can scramble back to her feet and win on the feet.
Daniel Levi passes on this fight, noting that both fighters are in uncertain form. He says Cynthia Calvillo has been quitting on the stool and Nina Nunes had a baby and COVID. He cannot confidently pick a winner.
The host mentions Nunes as an underdog he likes but wants nothing to do with that fight, so he does not make a pick. He does not provide any analysis or reasoning for either fighter.
Paul leans toward Nina Nunes as an underdog. He notes that Calvillo hasn't dominated with wrestling at 125 lbs and that if the fight stays standing, Nunes wins. He is considering a shot on the dog, citing Calvillo's recent poor performances and lack of desire.
The host picks Cynthia Calvillo, questioning Nina Nunes's focus and commitment. He notes Nunes's easy loss to Mackenzie Dern and believes Calvillo's grappling and recent competition level will lead to a 29-28 decision. He expects Calvillo to pull ahead after a tough first round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 31 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 4:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 31 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 4:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Dern | 4 of 7 | 57% | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Nina Nunes | 12 of 22 | 54% | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mackenzie Dern | 4 of 7 | 57% | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Nina Nunes | 12 of 22 | 54% | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 6 |
Big Brady is very confident in Nunes, calling her one of his most confident picks on the card. He highlights Nunes' excellent takedown defense (77%) and her ability to stuff takedowns from elite wrestlers like Tatiana Suarez. He criticizes Dern's takedown accuracy (5%) and zero takedown defense, arguing that Dern cannot get the fight to the mat. Brady believes Nunes will out-strike Dern and win a one-sided decision. He already bet Nunes at -110 and is happy with the pick.
Cody picks Nunes by decision, citing her superior game planning, striking volume, and takedown defense. He notes Dern's poor takedown accuracy and that Nunes can survive on the ground. He thinks Nunes will pepper Dern on the feet and win a decision.
Daniel Levi picks Nina Nunes, but expresses concern about her coming back after pregnancy, noting that many female fighters lay an egg in their first fight back. He thinks Nunes is the better overall fighter with good calf kicks and improving takedown defense, and if she keeps the fight standing and pulls the trigger, she can win a decision. However, he acknowledges that if Dern takes her back, it could be trouble.
The host thinks Nunes has the striking advantage with her jab and movement, and that Dern's takedown accuracy is poor. He notes that Dern's striking improvements are overblown, as she hasn't faced a striker of Nunes' caliber. He picks Nunes to win by decision, though he acknowledges the layoff and motherhood are concerns.
Paul picks Nunes, emphasizing her elite coaching at ATT, striking volume, and ability to avoid Dern's submissions. He notes Dern's takedown struggles and that Nunes can outwork her. He acknowledges the pregnancy layoff but thinks Nunes is the more refined fighter.
The MMA Guru picks Mackenzie Dern due to her recent activity and improvement, especially her win over Virna Jandiroba. He notes Nina Nunes has been out for a long time and has been controlled on the ground by wrestlers like Randa Markos and Claudia Gadelha. He thinks Dern will hustle to a close 29-28 unanimous decision, showing improved striking and grappling.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatiana Suarez | 0 | 75 of 142 | 52% | 95 of 166 | 4 of 13 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 8:16 |
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 48 of 99 | 48% | 54 of 105 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatiana Suarez | 0 | 17 of 30 | 56% | 28 of 43 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 4:38 |
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Tatiana Suarez | 0 | 25 of 39 | 64% | 34 of 50 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:20 |
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 16 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Tatiana Suarez | 0 | 33 of 73 | 45% | 33 of 73 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 30 of 63 | 47% | 31 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatiana Suarez | 75 of 142 | 52% | 29 of 85 | 22 of 29 | 24 of 28 | 42 of 100 | 7 of 7 | 26 of 35 |
| Nina Nunes | 48 of 99 | 48% | 31 of 66 | 15 of 26 | 2 of 7 | 39 of 89 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatiana Suarez | 17 of 30 | 56% | 8 of 20 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 22 |
| Nina Nunes | 3 of 6 | 50% | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | |
| 2 | Tatiana Suarez | 25 of 39 | 64% | 14 of 23 | 6 of 10 | 5 of 6 | 11 of 23 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 13 |
| Nina Nunes | 15 of 30 | 50% | 9 of 19 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 4 | 10 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Tatiana Suarez | 33 of 73 | 45% | 7 of 42 | 9 of 12 | 17 of 19 | 29 of 69 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Nina Nunes | 30 of 63 | 47% | 19 of 41 | 10 of 19 | 1 of 3 | 29 of 61 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 49 of 112 | 43% | 85 of 149 | 2 of 10 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 3:21 |
| Cláudia Gadelha | 0 | 96 of 211 | 45% | 123 of 238 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 13 of 31 | 41% | 28 of 47 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:45 |
| Cláudia Gadelha | 0 | 19 of 37 | 51% | 22 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 34 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:36 |
| Cláudia Gadelha | 0 | 25 of 58 | 43% | 49 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 23 of 52 | 44% | 23 of 52 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cláudia Gadelha | 0 | 52 of 116 | 44% | 52 of 116 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Nunes | 49 of 112 | 43% | 45 of 106 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 38 of 97 | 4 of 8 | 7 of 7 |
| Cláudia Gadelha | 96 of 211 | 45% | 62 of 173 | 5 of 9 | 29 of 29 | 91 of 205 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nina Nunes | 13 of 31 | 41% | 13 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 4 |
| Cláudia Gadelha | 19 of 37 | 51% | 12 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 6 | 17 of 34 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Nina Nunes | 13 of 29 | 44% | 11 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 22 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 3 |
| Cláudia Gadelha | 25 of 58 | 43% | 18 of 49 | 0 of 2 | 7 of 7 | 22 of 55 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Nina Nunes | 23 of 52 | 44% | 21 of 49 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cláudia Gadelha | 52 of 116 | 44% | 32 of 94 | 4 of 6 | 16 of 16 | 52 of 116 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 23 of 72 | 31% | 30 of 79 | 1 of 11 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 4:57 |
| Randa Markos | 0 | 49 of 118 | 41% | 56 of 127 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 14 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:36 |
| Randa Markos | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 11 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 7 of 28 | 25% | 7 of 28 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Randa Markos | 0 | 24 of 57 | 42% | 24 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 8 of 21 | 38% | 9 of 22 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:09 |
| Randa Markos | 0 | 19 of 49 | 38% | 21 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Nunes | 23 of 72 | 31% | 20 of 68 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 17 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 11 |
| Randa Markos | 49 of 118 | 41% | 20 of 84 | 6 of 10 | 23 of 24 | 44 of 107 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nina Nunes | 8 of 23 | 34% | 5 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 11 |
| Randa Markos | 6 of 12 | 50% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Nina Nunes | 7 of 28 | 25% | 7 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Randa Markos | 24 of 57 | 42% | 8 of 38 | 4 of 6 | 12 of 13 | 24 of 54 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Nina Nunes | 8 of 21 | 38% | 8 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Randa Markos | 19 of 49 | 38% | 11 of 39 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 15 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 107 of 230 | 46% | 108 of 233 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Angela Hill | 0 | 143 of 309 | 46% | 146 of 312 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 37 of 81 | 45% | 38 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Angela Hill | 0 | 41 of 89 | 46% | 41 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 37 of 76 | 48% | 37 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Angela Hill | 0 | 52 of 112 | 46% | 54 of 114 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 33 of 73 | 45% | 33 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Angela Hill | 0 | 50 of 108 | 46% | 51 of 109 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Nunes | 107 of 230 | 46% | 68 of 173 | 18 of 31 | 21 of 26 | 99 of 222 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Angela Hill | 143 of 309 | 46% | 81 of 230 | 23 of 35 | 39 of 44 | 135 of 293 | 7 of 14 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nina Nunes | 37 of 81 | 45% | 21 of 62 | 4 of 7 | 12 of 12 | 37 of 81 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Angela Hill | 41 of 89 | 46% | 27 of 71 | 2 of 5 | 12 of 13 | 40 of 87 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Nina Nunes | 37 of 76 | 48% | 24 of 56 | 7 of 10 | 6 of 10 | 32 of 71 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Angela Hill | 52 of 112 | 46% | 28 of 82 | 12 of 17 | 12 of 13 | 49 of 106 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Nina Nunes | 33 of 73 | 45% | 23 of 55 | 7 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 30 of 70 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Angela Hill | 50 of 108 | 46% | 26 of 77 | 9 of 13 | 15 of 18 | 46 of 100 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Ansaroff strikes first with a low kick but gets her head snapped back by Hill's speedy jab. Hill takes another pair of low kicks, now counters Ansaroff's jab with a left hook. Hill catches Ansaroff throwing a spinning kick and rushes in to take the back, hustling the ATT fighter against the fence. Ansaroff breaks out quickly and goes back to kicking at Hill's lead leg. Hill responds with a heavy pair of low kicks of her own as the strawweights continue to try and chop one another down. Hill lands two more leg kicks, then catches Ansaroff's return kick and chops her to the ground. Ansaroff gets back on her feet and is forced backward with a left hand to the grill. Hill looks to be taking over the battle of the leg kicks, as she ups her volume and starts to check more of Ansaroff's kicks. Hill is the fighter pressing forward in the final minutes of the round, too, as her speed and volume begins to put Ansaroff in a defensive mode.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round 10-9 Hill
Mike Fridley scores the round 10-9 Hill
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Hill
Round 2
Ansaroff catches the incoming Hill with a clean left kick to the body, then bloodies the nose of "Overkill" with a right hook. Hill steps into the pocket and grabs for the Thai clinch, but she's easily shoved away by the larger fighter. Ansaroff shoots for a takedown but gets no purchase on her shot as Hill shuts it down and circles away. Hill continues to work Ansaroff's lead leg with hard, loud kicks, and midway through the round plants a pair of punches on "The Strina" before backing away again. Ansaroff fires back with an outside leg kick that nearly chops Hill to the floor, but the Alliance MMA fighter keeps her balance. Hill gets the Thai plum and drives a hard knee into Ansaroff's midsection. Ansaroff takes a step back after eating a clean counter right hand. Hill looks for the clinch again, but this time Ansaroff avoids damage and pushes Hill away, landing a heavy low kick on the way out. Now it's Hill's turn to bloody Ansaroff's nose with a hook. Ansaroff eats the punch well and continues to press the action as round two comes to an end.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round 10-9 Ansaroff
Mike Fridley scores the round 10-9 Ansaroff
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Ansaroff
Round 3
Hill lands a quick right hand over the top and quickly backs up to dodge Ansaroff's kicks. Ansaroff lands a glancing spinning back kick to the body, slips a right hand from Hill and counters with a right hook. Hill strikes back with a nice uppercut on the end of a combination, but Ansaroff answers with two leg kicks that force Hill to back up momentarily. Both strawweights throw right straights, and Ansaroff looks to land the cleaner blow. She touches Hill with a jab, now throws a kick which is caught by Hill, but Ansaroff pulls the leg back before her opponent can capitalize. Ansaroff eats a right over the top but immediately reclaims the ground by backing up Hill to the wall with two low kicks and a right of her own. Hill bursts off the wall, looking charge Ansaroff with punches, but the Floridian is evasive. Ansaroff catches another kick and trips Hill to the floor in the center of the cage, but Hill jumps up before Ansaroff can pin her down. Ansaroff lands the last hard shot of the bout, sending a right high kick over the glove of Hill.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round 10-9 Ansaroff (29-28 Ansaroff)
Mike Fridley scores the round 10-9 Ansaroff (29-28 Ansaroff)
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Ansaroff (29-28 Ansaroff)
The Official Result
Nina Ansaroff def. Angela Hill via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) R3 5:00
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 21 of 73 | 28% | 33 of 86 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger | 0 | 48 of 106 | 45% | 89 of 155 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 8:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 10 of 43 | 23% | 21 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger | 0 | 23 of 55 | 41% | 38 of 73 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:15 | |
| 2 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger | 0 | 11 of 18 | 61% | 30 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 4:41 | |
| 3 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 9 of 26 | 34% | 9 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger | 0 | 14 of 33 | 42% | 21 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:35 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Nunes | 21 of 73 | 28% | 15 of 62 | 2 of 5 | 4 of 6 | 18 of 66 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger | 48 of 106 | 45% | 37 of 84 | 5 of 9 | 6 of 13 | 24 of 74 | 6 of 8 | 18 of 24 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nina Nunes | 10 of 43 | 23% | 5 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 9 of 38 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger | 23 of 55 | 41% | 17 of 42 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 7 | 14 of 40 | 4 of 6 | 5 of 9 | |
| 2 | Nina Nunes | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger | 11 of 18 | 61% | 10 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 11 | |
| 3 | Nina Nunes | 9 of 26 | 34% | 8 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger | 14 of 33 | 42% | 10 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 8 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justine Kish | 0 | 72 of 135 | 53% | 91 of 155 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 2:51 |
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 92 of 174 | 52% | 107 of 194 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 2:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justine Kish | 0 | 41 of 77 | 53% | 41 of 77 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 57 of 104 | 54% | 61 of 108 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 2 | Justine Kish | 0 | 16 of 35 | 45% | 20 of 39 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 29 of 53 | 54% | 33 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Justine Kish | 0 | 15 of 23 | 65% | 30 of 39 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 6 of 17 | 35% | 13 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 2:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justine Kish | 72 of 135 | 53% | 45 of 94 | 12 of 19 | 15 of 22 | 50 of 106 | 17 of 23 | 5 of 6 |
| Nina Nunes | 92 of 174 | 52% | 50 of 117 | 20 of 34 | 22 of 23 | 76 of 150 | 15 of 22 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justine Kish | 41 of 77 | 53% | 27 of 56 | 6 of 9 | 8 of 12 | 26 of 58 | 14 of 17 | 1 of 2 |
| Nina Nunes | 57 of 104 | 54% | 33 of 69 | 16 of 26 | 8 of 9 | 44 of 89 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Justine Kish | 16 of 35 | 45% | 8 of 23 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 7 | 16 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Nina Nunes | 29 of 53 | 54% | 13 of 36 | 3 of 4 | 13 of 13 | 28 of 49 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Justine Kish | 15 of 23 | 65% | 10 of 15 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 15 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 4 |
| Nina Nunes | 6 of 17 | 35% | 4 of 12 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 12 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 2 |
Cynthia Calvillo - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 104 of 333 | 31% | 107 of 338 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:15 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 87 of 180 | 48% | 93 of 188 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 18 of 83 | 21% | 21 of 87 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 19 of 45 | 42% | 24 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 38 of 118 | 32% | 38 of 118 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 32 of 54 | 59% | 33 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 48 of 132 | 36% | 48 of 133 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 36 of 81 | 44% | 36 of 81 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 104 of 333 | 31% | 58 of 249 | 30 of 64 | 16 of 20 | 104 of 333 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 87 of 180 | 48% | 65 of 146 | 15 of 24 | 7 of 10 | 87 of 178 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 18 of 83 | 21% | 12 of 70 | 3 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 18 of 83 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 19 of 45 | 42% | 14 of 37 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 19 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 38 of 118 | 32% | 21 of 84 | 13 of 26 | 4 of 8 | 38 of 118 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 32 of 54 | 59% | 25 of 43 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 2 | 32 of 52 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Loopy Godinez | 48 of 132 | 36% | 25 of 95 | 14 of 28 | 9 of 9 | 48 of 132 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 36 of 81 | 44% | 26 of 66 | 7 of 11 | 3 of 4 | 36 of 81 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Lupita Godinez but is not betting due to her unreliable performance against Angela Hill. He notes that when Lupita shows up, she is a big, strong, powerful wrestler with clean boxing, but she needs to be the bully. He thinks she should be able to push Cynthia Calvillo around, but needs to prove herself after the last fight.
Big Brady picks Lupita Godinez but with hesitation due to her poor game plan against Angela Hill where she didn't wrestle. He believes Godinez should win by using her wrestling against Calvillo, who is on a losing streak. He predicts a decision win but expresses distrust in Godinez's consistency.
Cody picks Calvillo as a value play. He notes Godinez's inconsistency and poor fight IQ, and believes Calvillo has a chance despite her losing streak. He mentions Calvillo's wrestling background and that she has been competitive against top fighters. Cody says he already put $200 on Calvillo earlier in the week and may add more. He calls it a system play based on Pat Mayo's CF model.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Godinez. He notes that Calvillo's division switch is a bad sign and that her game doesn't connect. Connor also mentions that Godinez is aggressive and should win.
Jacob is leaning towards Lupita but is wary after being burned by her last fight. He notes that if Lupita uses her wrestling, she can dominate, but if she doesn't, it will be a close fight. He thinks Cynthia Calvillo may be 'broke' with zero confidence, but Lupita's inconsistency makes him hesitant.
Godinez has good wrestling and BJJ, but needs to blend takedowns behind her striking. Calvillo has struggled with her striking and confidence, and a recent camp change may not help at 35. Godinez should have a striking advantage and can stuff takedowns. My only concern is Godinez getting stuck in bad positions, but I think she pulls away via decision.
Paul picks Godinez but is very hesitant. He criticizes Godinez's poor fight IQ, noting she often abandons her wrestling and strikes instead. He points to her fight against Angela Hill where she didn't wrestle despite having a clear advantage. Paul thinks Calvillo is on a losing streak but has faced tough competition. He says Godinez is talented but unreliable at -300.
The MMA Guru picks Lupita Godinez to win by 29-28 split decision. He expects Godinez to land crisper shots on the feet and mix in takedowns in the first two rounds, while Calvillo will come back in the third round. He sees round two as a toss-up but believes Godinez's takedowns will be the difference maker. The prediction is close and acknowledges Calvillo's late surge.
Zane picks Godinez because Calvillo has been mentally in a hole and her game is dysfunctional. He notes that Godinez is crazy and aggressive, which should be enough to win. However, he worries that if Godinez can't get takedowns, she loses confidence in her boxing.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 48 of 139 | 34% | 66 of 159 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:09 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 39 of 133 | 29% | 47 of 142 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 10 of 40 | 25% | 10 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 10 of 37 | 27% | 10 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 9 of 41 | 21% | 27 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 9 of 39 | 23% | 16 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 29 of 58 | 50% | 29 of 58 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 20 of 57 | 35% | 21 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Nunes | 48 of 139 | 34% | 16 of 86 | 17 of 26 | 15 of 27 | 47 of 138 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 39 of 133 | 29% | 17 of 94 | 4 of 12 | 18 of 27 | 38 of 131 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nina Nunes | 10 of 40 | 25% | 4 of 26 | 1 of 4 | 5 of 10 | 10 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 10 of 37 | 27% | 1 of 21 | 1 of 4 | 8 of 12 | 10 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Nina Nunes | 9 of 41 | 21% | 3 of 28 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 6 | 9 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 9 of 39 | 23% | 5 of 30 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 6 | 8 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Nina Nunes | 29 of 58 | 50% | 9 of 32 | 12 of 15 | 8 of 11 | 28 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 20 of 57 | 35% | 11 of 43 | 2 of 5 | 7 of 9 | 20 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Nina Nunes as an underdog, citing Calvillo's decline after the Andrade loss and her quitting on the stool. He believes Nunes is more consistent, tough, and will not break. He notes Calvillo is the more talented fighter but has lost her edge.
Big Brady hesitantly picks Nina Nunes to win by decision. He notes that both fighters are on losing streaks and have question marks: Nunes is 36, coming off a layoff and a loss, while Calvillo is 35, on a three-fight skid, and seems distracted. Stylistically, Nunes has better takedown defense and striking. Brady says he would never bet on this fight but picks Nunes to stuff takedowns and win on the feet.
Cody picks Nina Nunes, citing red flags on both sides but favoring Nunes' striking advantage and improved grappling camp with Amanda Nunes. He notes Calvillo's recent lack of wrestling and poor durability. Cody thinks Nunes can scramble back to her feet and win on the feet.
Daniel Levi passes on this fight, noting that both fighters are in uncertain form. He says Cynthia Calvillo has been quitting on the stool and Nina Nunes had a baby and COVID. He cannot confidently pick a winner.
The host mentions Nunes as an underdog he likes but wants nothing to do with that fight, so he does not make a pick. He does not provide any analysis or reasoning for either fighter.
Paul leans toward Nina Nunes as an underdog. He notes that Calvillo hasn't dominated with wrestling at 125 lbs and that if the fight stays standing, Nunes wins. He is considering a shot on the dog, citing Calvillo's recent poor performances and lack of desire.
The host picks Cynthia Calvillo, questioning Nina Nunes's focus and commitment. He notes Nunes's easy loss to Mackenzie Dern and believes Calvillo's grappling and recent competition level will lead to a 29-28 decision. He expects Calvillo to pull ahead after a tough first round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 47 of 154 | 30% | 47 of 154 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 84 of 210 | 40% | 85 of 211 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrea Lee | 0 | 25 of 87 | 28% | 25 of 87 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 43 of 116 | 37% | 44 of 117 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Andrea Lee | 0 | 22 of 67 | 32% | 22 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 41 of 94 | 43% | 41 of 94 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Lee | 47 of 154 | 30% | 18 of 99 | 21 of 46 | 8 of 9 | 47 of 154 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 84 of 210 | 40% | 46 of 155 | 30 of 45 | 8 of 10 | 83 of 208 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrea Lee | 25 of 87 | 28% | 11 of 62 | 10 of 20 | 4 of 5 | 25 of 87 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 43 of 116 | 37% | 27 of 92 | 12 of 19 | 4 of 5 | 43 of 115 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Andrea Lee | 22 of 67 | 32% | 7 of 37 | 11 of 26 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 41 of 94 | 43% | 19 of 63 | 18 of 26 | 4 of 5 | 40 of 93 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Andrea Lee, citing her polished striking and comfort on the feet. He notes that Calvillo looks uncomfortable striking and that Lee has improved grappling. Angelo has a moneyline bet on Lee at near even money and thinks she can control the striking exchanges.
Big Brady picks Cynthia Calvillo but is hesitant, noting Andrea Lee has superior striking volume and accuracy. However, he highlights Lee's poor takedown defense (57%) and that she has been taken down in every UFC fight except one. Brady believes Calvillo can win by wrestling, but recalls her fight against Chookagian where she didn't wrestle enough, causing doubt.
Cody has a gut feeling that Calvillo might lose. He notes that Lee has been working on her wrestling and that Calvillo is 1-2 at 125 lbs. He thinks if Lee can stuff takedowns, she can out-strike Calvillo. He calls it a 'dog or pass' and might take a small shot on Lee.
Daniel Levi picks Cynthia Calvillo, citing her dominant ground game and ability to get takedowns. He notes that Andrea Lee has been taken down multiple times by previous opponents (Roxanne Modafferi, Lauren Murphy, Joanne Calderwood) and believes Calvillo only needs one or two takedowns to win rounds or secure a finish. Levi acknowledges Lee's striking volume but thinks Calvillo's grappling will be the difference.
Jacob picks Cynthia Calvillo, believing she will dominate on the ground. He thinks Calvillo will get in the pocket, take Lee down, and control the fight. Jacob is a big Calvillo fan and thinks the UFC gave her a winnable matchup after her loss to Andrade.
Paul believes Calvillo has a massive wrestling advantage and should spam takedowns. He notes that Andrea Lee gives up takedowns to everyone. He thinks Calvillo can control the fight on the ground and win a decision.
The Guru picks Cynthia Calvillo by unanimous decision (29-27). He expects Andrea Lee to win the first round on the feet, but Calvillo's takedowns and ground control in rounds two and three will secure the win. Calvillo will get a 10-8 in the third due to dominant ground and pound.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 48 of 86 | 55% | 48 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 27 of 75 | 36% | 27 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 48 of 86 | 55% | 48 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 27 of 75 | 36% | 27 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jéssica Andrade | 48 of 86 | 55% | 34 of 70 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 13 | 41 of 72 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 27 of 75 | 36% | 10 of 52 | 13 of 18 | 4 of 5 | 27 of 75 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jéssica Andrade | 48 of 86 | 55% | 34 of 70 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 13 | 41 of 72 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 27 of 75 | 36% | 10 of 52 | 13 of 18 | 4 of 5 | 27 of 75 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Andrade, noting her power, bullying style, and that her losses are only to champions. He believes Andrade's strength and aggression will overwhelm Calvillo, who is more technical but lacks power. Angelo thinks Andrade will bully Calvillo and win.
Big Brady picks Jéssica Andrade to win by decision. He believes Andrade is the better striker with more power and volume, and she should stuff Calvillo's takedowns. He notes Andrade has fought much better competition and expects a dominant performance.
Cody is confident Andrade wins, citing her superior strength, pressure, and well-rounded skills. He thinks she will finish Calvillo, who has never been finished in MMA but has shown vulnerabilities. He likes Andrade inside the distance at +150.
Daniel Levi picks Jéssica Andrade, acknowledging her power and history of knockouts in the women's divisions. He notes that Andrade's power can override technique, but he questions her motivation after losing two title fights. He respects Cynthia Calvillo's ground game and toughness, but believes if Andrade is mentally focused, she will win. He expresses concern about a potential title-fight letdown.
Jacob picks Calvillo, seeing value at +220. He thinks Calvillo can out-tough Andrade and threaten submissions. Jacob notes that Andrade may not be able to bully Calvillo at flyweight. He admits he doesn't think Calvillo will dominate but sees a path to victory.
The host picks Jéssica Andrade via decision. He believes Andrade will march forward, land big shots, and stop takedowns. He thinks Calvillo's wrestling is not good enough to take Andrade down repeatedly. He notes that Andrade has a power advantage and will do damage, but Calvillo is durable. He expects the fight to take place mostly on the feet where Andrade has the edge.
Paul is confident Andrade wins, calling her a 'body snatcher' and noting her power and durability. He acknowledges Calvillo's path to victory via wrestling but doubts she can impose her will. He expects Andrade to dominate.
The MMA Guru picks Jéssica Andrade over Cynthia Calvillo, citing Andrade's superior striking and grappling. He notes that Calvillo has no finishing ability and cannot keep Andrade down. He expects Andrade to win a decision, possibly with a late-round finish, as she builds momentum. He mentions that Andrade is younger and has fought for titles, while Calvillo couldn't crack the top 10 at strawweight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 69 of 230 | 30% | 69 of 230 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 60 of 197 | 30% | 60 of 197 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 27 of 72 | 37% | 27 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 21 of 60 | 35% | 21 of 60 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 24 of 80 | 30% | 24 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 17 of 71 | 23% | 17 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 18 of 78 | 23% | 18 of 78 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 22 of 66 | 33% | 22 of 66 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 69 of 230 | 30% | 45 of 190 | 11 of 22 | 13 of 18 | 68 of 227 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 60 of 197 | 30% | 31 of 134 | 17 of 46 | 12 of 17 | 59 of 196 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 27 of 72 | 37% | 11 of 51 | 7 of 10 | 9 of 11 | 27 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 21 of 60 | 35% | 11 of 42 | 4 of 11 | 6 of 7 | 21 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 24 of 80 | 30% | 19 of 71 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 23 of 79 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 17 of 71 | 23% | 8 of 51 | 6 of 15 | 3 of 5 | 17 of 71 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 18 of 78 | 23% | 15 of 68 | 2 of 7 | 1 of 3 | 18 of 77 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 22 of 66 | 33% | 12 of 41 | 7 of 20 | 3 of 5 | 21 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Cynthia Calvillo to win by decision. He notes Calvillo has good wrestling and Chookagian has poor takedown defense (48%). He thinks Calvillo will take her down and control the fight, though the line is too wide for a close fight.
Daniel picks Calvillo, citing her toughness, improved striking, and ground game. He notes Chookagian has been talking about retirement and was stopped in her last fight. He believes Calvillo is hungrier and will impose her will, especially if she gets top position.
The host picks Katlyn Cerminara to win by decision, seeing massive value at plus money. He believes her movement and range will cause problems for Calvillo, and that she can keep the fight on the feet or hold her own on the ground. He thinks the line is too wide and that Cerminara has a good chance.
The MMA Guru picks Cynthia Calvillo to win by unanimous decision (30-27). He believes Calvillo's takedowns will be the difference, as she has evolved and has good grappling. He notes Chookagian may be coming back too soon after a body shot loss, and that Calvillo has wins over top flyweights like Joanne Calderwood.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 70 of 280 | 25% | 70 of 283 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 113 of 237 | 47% | 150 of 294 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 7:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 20 of 82 | 24% | 20 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 24 of 68 | 35% | 24 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 7 of 23 | 30% | 7 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 30 of 43 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:47 | |
| 3 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 14 of 55 | 25% | 14 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 23 of 53 | 43% | 26 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 | |
| 4 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 5 of 34 | 14% | 5 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 17 of 30 | 56% | 33 of 59 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 | |
| 5 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 24 of 86 | 27% | 24 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 37 of 68 | 54% | 37 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cynthia Calvillo | 70 of 280 | 25% | 59 of 261 | 10 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 69 of 276 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 113 of 237 | 47% | 77 of 185 | 32 of 48 | 4 of 4 | 105 of 225 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 11 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cynthia Calvillo | 20 of 82 | 24% | 16 of 78 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 80 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 24 of 68 | 35% | 13 of 54 | 8 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 24 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Cynthia Calvillo | 7 of 23 | 30% | 4 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 12 of 18 | 66% | 9 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | |
| 3 | Cynthia Calvillo | 14 of 55 | 25% | 14 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 14 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 23 of 53 | 43% | 15 of 37 | 7 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Cynthia Calvillo | 5 of 34 | 14% | 5 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 17 of 30 | 56% | 14 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Cynthia Calvillo | 24 of 86 | 27% | 20 of 77 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 86 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 37 of 68 | 54% | 26 of 53 | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 33 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 7 |
Daniel Levi slightly leans towards Cynthia Calvillo, emphasizing her opportunistic ground game and finishing ability. He notes that while Jessica Eye may have advantages in boxing and athleticism, Calvillo can capitalize on takedowns and ground control to steal rounds. Levi acknowledges his bias against Eye but believes Calvillo's cardio and opportunistic nature could edge her to a close decision or even a finish.
The MMA Guru picks Jessica Eye, citing her reach advantage, size, takedown defense, and superior boxing. He notes that Cynthia Calvillo is 32 and not a young talent, so he favors Eye's experience. He predicts a boring five-round unanimous decision with Eye winning every round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 56 of 140 | 40% | 61 of 145 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 78 of 130 | 60% | 112 of 173 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 5:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 22 of 53 | 41% | 27 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 21 of 32 | 65% | 25 of 37 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:35 | |
| 2 | Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 29 of 71 | 40% | 29 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 13 of 39 | 33% | 14 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 3 | Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 5 of 16 | 31% | 5 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 44 of 59 | 74% | 73 of 96 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Rodriguez | 56 of 140 | 40% | 30 of 110 | 18 of 20 | 8 of 10 | 39 of 117 | 17 of 23 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 78 of 130 | 60% | 51 of 90 | 17 of 26 | 10 of 14 | 30 of 72 | 2 of 2 | 46 of 56 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marina Rodriguez | 22 of 53 | 41% | 17 of 48 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 44 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 21 of 32 | 65% | 12 of 19 | 4 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 16 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | |
| 2 | Marina Rodriguez | 29 of 71 | 40% | 13 of 51 | 11 of 13 | 5 of 7 | 20 of 58 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 13 of 39 | 33% | 5 of 22 | 4 of 10 | 4 of 7 | 12 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marina Rodriguez | 5 of 16 | 31% | 0 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 44 of 59 | 74% | 34 of 49 | 9 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 42 of 52 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 73 of 176 | 41% | 73 of 177 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 82 of 192 | 42% | 82 of 192 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 24 of 58 | 41% | 24 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 32 of 62 | 51% | 32 of 62 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 22 of 52 | 42% | 22 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 28 of 63 | 44% | 28 of 63 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 | |
| 3 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 27 of 66 | 40% | 27 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 22 of 67 | 32% | 22 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cynthia Calvillo | 73 of 176 | 41% | 41 of 136 | 6 of 8 | 26 of 32 | 72 of 175 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 82 of 192 | 42% | 41 of 139 | 17 of 24 | 24 of 29 | 79 of 186 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cynthia Calvillo | 24 of 58 | 41% | 14 of 47 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 9 | 24 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 32 of 62 | 51% | 10 of 37 | 8 of 11 | 14 of 14 | 29 of 59 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Cynthia Calvillo | 22 of 52 | 42% | 12 of 38 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 11 | 22 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 28 of 63 | 44% | 15 of 45 | 7 of 10 | 6 of 8 | 28 of 61 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Cynthia Calvillo | 27 of 66 | 40% | 15 of 51 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 12 | 26 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 22 of 67 | 32% | 16 of 57 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 7 | 22 of 66 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Nina Nunes as an underdog, citing Calvillo's decline after the Andrade loss and her quitting on the stool. He believes Nunes is more consistent, tough, and will not break. He notes Calvillo is the more talented fighter but has lost her edge.
Big Brady hesitantly picks Nina Nunes to win by decision. He notes that both fighters are on losing streaks and have question marks: Nunes is 36, coming off a layoff and a loss, while Calvillo is 35, on a three-fight skid, and seems distracted. Stylistically, Nunes has better takedown defense and striking. Brady says he would never bet on this fight but picks Nunes to stuff takedowns and win on the feet.
Cody picks Nina Nunes, citing red flags on both sides but favoring Nunes' striking advantage and improved grappling camp with Amanda Nunes. He notes Calvillo's recent lack of wrestling and poor durability. Cody thinks Nunes can scramble back to her feet and win on the feet.
Daniel Levi passes on this fight, noting that both fighters are in uncertain form. He says Cynthia Calvillo has been quitting on the stool and Nina Nunes had a baby and COVID. He cannot confidently pick a winner.
The host mentions Nunes as an underdog he likes but wants nothing to do with that fight, so he does not make a pick. He does not provide any analysis or reasoning for either fighter.
Paul leans toward Nina Nunes as an underdog. He notes that Calvillo hasn't dominated with wrestling at 125 lbs and that if the fight stays standing, Nunes wins. He is considering a shot on the dog, citing Calvillo's recent poor performances and lack of desire.
The host picks Cynthia Calvillo, questioning Nina Nunes's focus and commitment. He notes Nunes's easy loss to Mackenzie Dern and believes Calvillo's grappling and recent competition level will lead to a 29-28 decision. He expects Calvillo to pull ahead after a tough first round.
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