Career Averages - Maria Oliveira
Career Averages - Gloria de Paula
Maria Oliveira
Gloria de Paula
Maria Oliveira - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 106 of 208 | 50% | 154 of 258 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:04 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 64 of 168 | 38% | 85 of 200 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 4:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 41 of 84 | 48% | 60 of 104 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 28 of 66 | 42% | 36 of 79 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 | |
| 2 | Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 22 of 37 | 59% | 49 of 65 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:29 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 19 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:37 | |
| 3 | Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 43 of 87 | 49% | 45 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 29 of 85 | 34% | 30 of 86 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Belbiţă | 106 of 208 | 50% | 71 of 165 | 20 of 25 | 15 of 18 | 76 of 176 | 22 of 24 | 8 of 8 |
| Maria Oliveira | 64 of 168 | 38% | 45 of 142 | 11 of 18 | 8 of 8 | 62 of 166 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diana Belbiţă | 41 of 84 | 48% | 30 of 68 | 4 of 7 | 7 of 9 | 33 of 76 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 4 |
| Maria Oliveira | 28 of 66 | 42% | 19 of 55 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 28 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Diana Belbiţă | 22 of 37 | 59% | 9 of 24 | 11 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 20 | 12 of 13 | 4 of 4 |
| Maria Oliveira | 7 of 17 | 41% | 5 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Diana Belbiţă | 43 of 87 | 49% | 32 of 73 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 7 | 37 of 80 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Maria Oliveira | 29 of 85 | 34% | 21 of 72 | 4 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 28 of 84 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Maria Oliveira as an underdog. He notes that Diana Belbiţă has been out for over a year due to injuries, while Maria has fought three times in that span. He believes Maria's durability and forward pressure will be key, and that Diana may struggle with takedowns or slow down. He sees Maria winning a close fight.
Big Brady picks Diana Belbiţă because she can exploit Maria Oliveira's poor takedown defense with her judo and throws. Oliveira is the better technical striker, but Belbiţă throws high volume and can mix in takedowns to win close rounds. He also notes the Canadian factor may help in a close decision. He is not confident and has little interest in the fight.
Cody picks Diana Belbiţă, noting that Oliveira is willing to stand and trade, which plays into Belbiţă's hands. He believes Belbiţă has improved her cardio and counter-wrestling under Kruelion. He thinks Oliveira's lack of wrestling will allow Belbiţă to keep the fight standing and win a striking battle. He expects a decision win for Belbiţă.
Connor also picks Maria Oliveira, agreeing that Belbiţă lacks core strength and can be pushed around. He notes that Oliveira's losses are to very good athletes like Vanessa Demopoulos, Tabitha Ricci, and Kana Asakura, while Belbiţă is not at that level. Connor thinks the odds could be more skewed toward Oliveira, as Belbiţă has struggled against anyone who takes her out of her game.
Daniel Levi picks Diana Belbiţă, citing her higher volume and better cardio compared to Maria Oliveira, who he considers one of the worst fighters in the UFC. He notes that Oliveira pushes her punches and has poor fundamentals, while Belbiţă puts out a ton of volume and has shown grit. He believes Belbiţă will outwork Oliveira and win a decision, especially with the Canadian crowd behind her.
James picks Diana Belbiţă to win by decision. He notes that Belbiţă has better striking fundamentals with her hands up and sharp punches, while Maria Oliveira is wild with her chin up. He believes Belbiţă can also take Oliveira down if she wants, as Oliveira has a terrible ground game. He predicts the fight goes to decision but suggests betting on the fight ending inside distance at plus money due to the volatility of low-level women's MMA.
Belbiţă has an aggressive striking style with good body work and forward pressure. She's been improving her defensive grappling and should land more effective strikes than Oliveira, who was dropped multiple times in her last fight. The home crowd advantage in Vancouver may help her in a close decision. However, this is a low-confidence lean given both women are similar strikers.
Paul leans toward Maria Oliveira, citing her slight grappling advantage and reach. He notes that Belbiţă's big win over Hannah Goldie came with a significant reach advantage, and Oliveira is similarly sized. He thinks Oliveira's takedowns and submission threat could be the difference. He acknowledges it's a close fight and expects a decision.
The MMA Guru leans towards Maria Oliveira because she is faster and more talented on the feet, with a range advantage despite being shorter. He notes that Diana Belbiţă has poor grappling, having been submitted when attempting a takedown and out-grappled by Molly McCann. He expects a stand-up fight and predicts a close decision win for Oliveira.
Zane picks Maria Oliveira, citing Belbiţă's lack of core strength, which makes her easy to push around. He notes that Oliveira is a more comfortable, athletic striker who is faster and more confident. Belbiţă's striking has improved, but she lacks the athleticism to impose her will. Zane thinks Oliveira's losses have come against strong grapplers or athletes, and Belbiţă does not fit that mold, so Oliveira should win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 1 | 55 of 80 | 68% | 121 of 154 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 7:59 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 83 of 154 | 53% | 95 of 166 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 31 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:39 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 24 of 46 | 52% | 28 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 1 | 27 of 36 | 75% | 58 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:40 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 24 of 43 | 55% | 28 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 0 | 14 of 21 | 66% | 32 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:40 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 35 of 65 | 53% | 39 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Demopoulos | 55 of 80 | 68% | 44 of 68 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 7 | 18 of 39 | 3 of 3 | 34 of 38 |
| Maria Oliveira | 83 of 154 | 53% | 55 of 124 | 20 of 21 | 8 of 9 | 80 of 151 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 14 of 23 | 60% | 7 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 9 |
| Maria Oliveira | 24 of 46 | 52% | 15 of 37 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 24 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 27 of 36 | 75% | 23 of 32 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 19 |
| Maria Oliveira | 24 of 43 | 55% | 15 of 32 | 7 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 22 of 41 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Vanessa Demopoulos | 14 of 21 | 66% | 14 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 10 |
| Maria Oliveira | 35 of 65 | 53% | 25 of 55 | 9 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 34 of 64 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 96 of 297 | 32% | 99 of 303 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:35 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 105 of 190 | 55% | 116 of 205 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maria Oliveira | 0 | 37 of 111 | 33% | 38 of 113 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 29 of 60 | 48% | 30 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Maria Oliveira | 0 | 25 of 98 | 25% | 25 of 98 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 41 of 72 | 56% | 45 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 | |
| 3 | Maria Oliveira | 0 | 34 of 88 | 38% | 36 of 92 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:13 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 35 of 58 | 60% | 41 of 68 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Oliveira | 96 of 297 | 32% | 66 of 247 | 12 of 23 | 18 of 27 | 94 of 294 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 105 of 190 | 55% | 75 of 155 | 11 of 15 | 19 of 20 | 98 of 182 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maria Oliveira | 37 of 111 | 33% | 24 of 89 | 7 of 11 | 6 of 11 | 36 of 109 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 29 of 60 | 48% | 20 of 49 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 7 | 22 of 53 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Maria Oliveira | 25 of 98 | 25% | 17 of 83 | 2 of 5 | 6 of 10 | 25 of 98 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 41 of 72 | 56% | 29 of 58 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 9 | 41 of 71 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Maria Oliveira | 34 of 88 | 38% | 25 of 75 | 3 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 33 of 87 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 35 of 58 | 60% | 26 of 48 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 35 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Gloria de Paula, noting her stick-and-move striking style and improved wrestling (5 takedowns in her last fight). He acknowledges Maria Oliveira's power but believes de Paula's volume and new grappling dimension will secure the win.
Big Brady picks Gloria de Paula to win by decision, but is not overly confident. He likes de Paula's striking and believes she has more ways to win, including takedowns against Oliveira's poor takedown defense. He notes Oliveira has a massive hole in her ground game and quit in a previous fight, but de Paula's competition has been better.
Cody picks de Paula, citing her better technique and grappling advantage. He thinks she can outpoint Oliveira in a striking battle and mix in takedowns. He expects a decision but is cautious due to women's MMA volatility.
Daniel Levi leans Gloria de Paula, thinking she is better than her record indicates and has nice striking variety. He is not comfortable laying -275, but believes she should win a unanimous decision. He notes Maria Oliveira has shown questionable heart in the past, tapping to strikes, but also has some durability. Levi sees de Paula as the more skilled fighter but the price is too high for a confident bet.
Paul picks Oliveira as a dog, noting the wide line and women's MMA unpredictability. He thinks if one of the two underdogs hits, it could be Oliveira. He acknowledges de Paula is likely better but sees value in the dog.
The MMA Guru picks Maria Oliveira as his underdog of the card. He notes she is younger, bigger, and has a longer reach than Gloria de Paula, who has not impressed him. He points to de Paula's mediocre record and losses, while Oliveira has faced better competition. He predicts Oliveira wins by decision, questioning why de Paula is a heavy favorite.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 62 of 135 | 45% | 103 of 187 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 6:38 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 66 of 178 | 37% | 90 of 207 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 21 of 52 | 40% | 29 of 61 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:22 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 28 of 81 | 34% | 34 of 87 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 29 of 48 | 60% | 44 of 64 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:20 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 19 of 48 | 39% | 25 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 3 | Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 12 of 35 | 34% | 30 of 62 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:56 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 19 of 49 | 38% | 31 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tabatha Ricci | 62 of 135 | 45% | 42 of 109 | 12 of 16 | 8 of 10 | 29 of 98 | 5 of 5 | 28 of 32 |
| Maria Oliveira | 66 of 178 | 37% | 34 of 128 | 18 of 33 | 14 of 17 | 61 of 172 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tabatha Ricci | 21 of 52 | 40% | 11 of 39 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 4 | 14 of 44 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 3 |
| Maria Oliveira | 28 of 81 | 34% | 14 of 57 | 8 of 17 | 6 of 7 | 26 of 78 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Tabatha Ricci | 29 of 48 | 60% | 21 of 37 | 2 of 5 | 6 of 6 | 12 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 17 |
| Maria Oliveira | 19 of 48 | 39% | 8 of 31 | 8 of 12 | 3 of 5 | 17 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Tabatha Ricci | 12 of 35 | 34% | 10 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 12 |
| Maria Oliveira | 19 of 49 | 38% | 12 of 40 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 18 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo sees this as a striker vs grappler matchup and always sides with the grappler. He notes Ricci is a very good grappler who is heavy on top and looks for submissions without sacrificing position. Oliveira is a tall striker who doesn't use her range and has nothing on her back. He thinks Ricci can get the fight to the ground easily and may even get a stoppage. He will spend 8900 on her in DraftKings.
Big Brady is confident in Ricci, calling her a good grappler with a black belt in BJJ, while Oliveira has poor takedown defense and ground game. He believes the UFC is giving Ricci a favorable matchup after a short-notice loss. He predicts a second-round submission despite Oliveira's size advantage.
Cody picks Tabatha Ricci, but hesitantly. He notes that Ricci has a judo black belt and should be able to take Oliveira down, as Oliveira has poor takedown defense. Cody points out that Oliveira has quit in a previous fight and has not fought good competition recently. However, he worries that if Ricci cannot get the takedown, she will struggle on the feet due to her short reach. Cody believes this is a good matchup for Ricci but the price is high.
Lock picks Ricci based on massive grappling advantage. He notes Oliveira is not UFC level and has poor ground game. Ricci should take her down and submit her. He likes Ricci inside the distance and by submission.
Paul is out on this fight, citing concerns about Ricci's wrestling and the steep price. He notes that Oliveira has a significant reach advantage and that Ricci's training partners have not looked great. Paul believes that if the fight stays standing, Oliveira could win. He does not make a pick.
The MMA Guru picks Maria Oliveira as a big underdog, arguing that the public is favoring Tabatha Ricci due to her looks rather than skill. He highlights Oliveira's height, reach, and youth, as well as her training at Parana Vale Tudo with top female fighters. He questions Ricci's best win and believes Oliveira's experience and physical advantages will lead to a win.
Gloria de Paula - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 96 of 297 | 32% | 99 of 303 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:35 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 105 of 190 | 55% | 116 of 205 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maria Oliveira | 0 | 37 of 111 | 33% | 38 of 113 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 29 of 60 | 48% | 30 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Maria Oliveira | 0 | 25 of 98 | 25% | 25 of 98 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 41 of 72 | 56% | 45 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 | |
| 3 | Maria Oliveira | 0 | 34 of 88 | 38% | 36 of 92 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:13 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 35 of 58 | 60% | 41 of 68 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Oliveira | 96 of 297 | 32% | 66 of 247 | 12 of 23 | 18 of 27 | 94 of 294 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 105 of 190 | 55% | 75 of 155 | 11 of 15 | 19 of 20 | 98 of 182 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maria Oliveira | 37 of 111 | 33% | 24 of 89 | 7 of 11 | 6 of 11 | 36 of 109 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 29 of 60 | 48% | 20 of 49 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 7 | 22 of 53 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Maria Oliveira | 25 of 98 | 25% | 17 of 83 | 2 of 5 | 6 of 10 | 25 of 98 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 41 of 72 | 56% | 29 of 58 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 9 | 41 of 71 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Maria Oliveira | 34 of 88 | 38% | 25 of 75 | 3 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 33 of 87 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 35 of 58 | 60% | 26 of 48 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 35 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Gloria de Paula, noting her stick-and-move striking style and improved wrestling (5 takedowns in her last fight). He acknowledges Maria Oliveira's power but believes de Paula's volume and new grappling dimension will secure the win.
Big Brady picks Gloria de Paula to win by decision, but is not overly confident. He likes de Paula's striking and believes she has more ways to win, including takedowns against Oliveira's poor takedown defense. He notes Oliveira has a massive hole in her ground game and quit in a previous fight, but de Paula's competition has been better.
Cody picks de Paula, citing her better technique and grappling advantage. He thinks she can outpoint Oliveira in a striking battle and mix in takedowns. He expects a decision but is cautious due to women's MMA volatility.
Daniel Levi leans Gloria de Paula, thinking she is better than her record indicates and has nice striking variety. He is not comfortable laying -275, but believes she should win a unanimous decision. He notes Maria Oliveira has shown questionable heart in the past, tapping to strikes, but also has some durability. Levi sees de Paula as the more skilled fighter but the price is too high for a confident bet.
Paul picks Oliveira as a dog, noting the wide line and women's MMA unpredictability. He thinks if one of the two underdogs hits, it could be Oliveira. He acknowledges de Paula is likely better but sees value in the dog.
The MMA Guru picks Maria Oliveira as his underdog of the card. He notes she is younger, bigger, and has a longer reach than Gloria de Paula, who has not impressed him. He points to de Paula's mediocre record and losses, while Oliveira has faced better competition. He predicts Oliveira wins by decision, questioning why de Paula is a heavy favorite.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 87 of 252 | 34% | 124 of 295 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 88 of 175 | 50% | 113 of 201 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 5:24 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gloria de Paula | 0 | 28 of 96 | 29% | 35 of 105 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 27 of 61 | 44% | 32 of 66 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:19 | |
| 2 | Gloria de Paula | 0 | 33 of 88 | 37% | 47 of 103 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 31 of 61 | 50% | 39 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:59 | |
| 3 | Gloria de Paula | 0 | 26 of 68 | 38% | 42 of 87 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 30 of 53 | 56% | 42 of 66 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloria de Paula | 87 of 252 | 34% | 43 of 200 | 28 of 35 | 16 of 17 | 79 of 244 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 88 of 175 | 50% | 70 of 156 | 17 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 71 of 156 | 17 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gloria de Paula | 28 of 96 | 29% | 12 of 76 | 10 of 14 | 6 of 6 | 27 of 95 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 27 of 61 | 44% | 21 of 54 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 53 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gloria de Paula | 33 of 88 | 37% | 16 of 69 | 12 of 14 | 5 of 5 | 29 of 84 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 31 of 61 | 50% | 25 of 55 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 25 of 55 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Gloria de Paula | 26 of 68 | 38% | 15 of 55 | 6 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 23 of 65 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 30 of 53 | 56% | 24 of 47 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 25 of 48 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Diana Belbiţă, citing her pressure, experience, and takedowns as the difference. He acknowledges Gloria de Paula is the better striker, but believes Belbiţă's well-roundedness and forward pressure will win out. He notes if de Paula keeps it standing, she could win.
Big Brady hates this fight and refuses to bet on it. He reluctantly picks Diana Belbiţă because she throws more volume and might take de Paula down, but he has no confidence. He notes de Paula has poor fight IQ and doesn't try to get up from takedowns. He predicts Belbiţă wins by decision.
Cody picks Belbiţă, noting her improvements under coach Kru Allen at Iron Tiger. He highlights her better volume and power, and believes she can out-strike de Paula. Cody acknowledges that both fighters have poor wrestling, but thinks Belbiţă's striking is superior and that she should win a stand-up fight.
Levi leans toward Belbiţă, citing her confidence from a recent win and de Paula's struggles in the UFC. He notes de Paula looked like a deer in headlights and has been knocked out. Levi believes Belbiţă will be more aggressive and break away in the later rounds, though he acknowledges both have liabilities on the ground.
De Paula is the cleaner striker with better discipline and leg kicks. She should counter Belbiţă's wild forward pressure. The concern is Belbiţă's volume could sway judges, but de Paula's crisp striking should earn a decision. A KO at +500 is also intriguing but less likely.
Paul picks Belbiţă, citing de Paula's recent knockout loss and Belbiţă's longer combinations. He expects Belbiţă to be a slight favorite by fight time and likes the value at -110.
The MMA Guru picks Diana Belbiţă to win by decision, citing her experience and reach advantage. He notes that Gloria de Paula has been KO'd early in her career and is inconsistent. While both fighters are low-level, Belbiţă's 14-6 record compared to de Paula's 5-4 gives him confidence in the more experienced fighter.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 1 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 11 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cheyanne Vlismas | 1 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 11 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheyanne Vlismas | 11 of 16 | 68% | 11 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 8 |
| Gloria de Paula | 5 of 8 | 62% | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cheyanne Vlismas | 11 of 16 | 68% | 11 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 8 |
| Gloria de Paula | 5 of 8 | 62% | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks the underdog Gloria de Paula, believing the line should be closer. He thinks de Paula is the better striker with a reach advantage and that Vlismas' path to victory is via takedowns, which she doesn't do often. He calls it a coin flip but takes de Paula to win a close split decision.
Cody leans towards Cheyanne Buys based on her superior striking volume and cardio, as seen in her Contender Series performance. He notes that Buys has decent grappling and should be able to take down de Paula, whose takedown defense looked abysmal against Jinh Yu Frey. However, he is not fully confident because Buys' wrestling is unproven and de Paula has good Muay Thai. He suggests that if Buys can mix in takedowns, she should win, but the -170 price is risky.
Levi sees this as a dog or pass situation and leans toward de Paula. He notes that de Paula has diverse Muay Thai striking but struggles to get up from bottom. However, Vlismas is an aggressive brawler who doesn't typically attempt takedowns, so Levi expects the fight to stay on the feet where de Paula has the advantage. He questions whether Vlismas can implement a grappling game plan despite having coach Eric Nicks, given her previous inability to stop a headlock. Levi picks de Paula to bounce back and get her first UFC win.
Vlismas should use her grappling to nullify de Paula's striking advantage. De Paula has poor takedown defense and struggles off her back. The head-and-arm submission loss to Ruiz was an anomaly; Vlismas is a decent fighter. She should grind out a decision. The line is a buy-low opportunity.
Paul considers taking the underdog Gloria de Paula, noting that her Muay Thai looked solid in the second round against Frey. He argues that if de Paula can keep the fight standing, she has a chance to win a striking match. However, he is concerned about her poor takedown defense and one-dimensional game. He ultimately sees this as a 'dog or pass' spot and is not sold on either side.
The MMA Guru picks Cheyanne Vlismas over Gloria de Paula, stating that Vlismas is more scrappy and technically better. He notes that de Paula was figured out easily in her last fight against Jinh Yu Frey, and that Vlismas has more grit and can push a better pace. He expects a scrappy back-and-forth fight, possibly winning Fight of the Night, with Vlismas winning on the feet.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 31 of 63 | 49% | 51 of 95 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 24 of 79 | 30% | 50 of 125 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 | 0 | 9:33 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 26 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:44 | |
| 2 | Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 27 of 55 | 49% | 29 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 15 of 61 | 24% | 17 of 63 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 3 | Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 14 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 7 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 4:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinh Yu Frey | 31 of 63 | 49% | 18 of 48 | 7 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 27 of 59 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 24 of 79 | 30% | 10 of 62 | 3 of 5 | 11 of 12 | 17 of 70 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinh Yu Frey | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 8 of 13 | 61% | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 | |
| 2 | Jinh Yu Frey | 27 of 55 | 49% | 16 of 42 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 24 of 52 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 15 of 61 | 24% | 6 of 49 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 7 | 15 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jinh Yu Frey | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gloria de Paula | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Gloria de Paula, largely fading Jinh Yu Frey due to her extremely low volume and inability to reach 30 significant strikes in her UFC fights. He notes de Paula is the bigger fighter, trains at a good camp (Shoot Box with Mara Romero Borella), and should be able to stuff takedowns. He sees de Paula out-striking Frey and possibly finishing her, though he predicts a decision win.
Daniel Levi picks Gloria de Paula because she is more aggressive, has cleaner strikes, and better takedown defense than her girlfriend Mayra Bueno Silva. He dismisses Jinh Yu Frey's experience advantage, noting she lost to less experienced opponents. He believes de Paula's willingness to go forward and her heart will overwhelm Frey, who hesitates and has been broken in recent fights.
Lock leans Frey due to not knowing much about de Paula. He notes Frey is a veteran with solid experience, a former champion in Rizin, and a strong all-around fighter. He acknowledges he needs to research de Paula to understand why she's the favorite. His lean is strictly based on unfamiliarity with de Paula.
The Guru is impressed with Gloria de Paula's performance on the Contender Series, noting her technical striking, patience, and increasing volume as the fight progressed. He believes de Paula has great potential and is younger than Frey. He criticizes Frey for being too small for the strawweight division and suggests an atomweight division should exist. He predicts de Paula will win by unanimous decision, 30-27, outstriking Frey and not finishing her because Frey is tough.
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo picks Gloria de Paula, noting her stick-and-move striking style and improved wrestling (5 takedowns in her last fight). He acknowledges Maria Oliveira's power but believes de Paula's volume and new grappling dimension will secure the win.
Big Brady picks Gloria de Paula to win by decision, but is not overly confident. He likes de Paula's striking and believes she has more ways to win, including takedowns against Oliveira's poor takedown defense. He notes Oliveira has a massive hole in her ground game and quit in a previous fight, but de Paula's competition has been better.
Cody picks de Paula, citing her better technique and grappling advantage. He thinks she can outpoint Oliveira in a striking battle and mix in takedowns. He expects a decision but is cautious due to women's MMA volatility.
Daniel Levi leans Gloria de Paula, thinking she is better than her record indicates and has nice striking variety. He is not comfortable laying -275, but believes she should win a unanimous decision. He notes Maria Oliveira has shown questionable heart in the past, tapping to strikes, but also has some durability. Levi sees de Paula as the more skilled fighter but the price is too high for a confident bet.
Paul picks Oliveira as a dog, noting the wide line and women's MMA unpredictability. He thinks if one of the two underdogs hits, it could be Oliveira. He acknowledges de Paula is likely better but sees value in the dog.
The MMA Guru picks Maria Oliveira as his underdog of the card. He notes she is younger, bigger, and has a longer reach than Gloria de Paula, who has not impressed him. He points to de Paula's mediocre record and losses, while Oliveira has faced better competition. He predicts Oliveira wins by decision, questioning why de Paula is a heavy favorite.
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