vs
+100 +105
UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Emmett · Jun 18, 2022 · Welterweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Emmett Next Fight
Age 39
Height 5' 9"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Switch
Age 41
Height 5' 11"
Reach 75.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Jeremiah Wells
2.35 SLpM
46.0% Str. Acc.
1.28 SApM
48.0% Str. Def.
3.06 TD Avg
46.0% TD Acc.
50.0% TD Def.
1.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Court McGee
4.5 SLpM
36.0% Str. Acc.
3.65 SApM
60.0% Str. Def.
1.78 TD Avg
24.0% TD Acc.
70.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Jeremiah Wells
Moneyline
BetWay +100
KO/TKO
BetRivers +450
Submission
BetRivers +500
Decision
FanDuel +300
Court McGee
Moneyline
DraftKings +105
KO/TKO
FanDuel +750
Submission
FanDuel +1600
Decision
FanDuel +160
Jeremiah Wells - Fight History
CANCEL vs Nicolas Dalby
LU
Lucrative James Expert pick date unknown

This fight was not discussed in the transcript. No pick was made.

Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · Nov 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jeremiah Wells 0 32 of 53 60% 59 of 84 3 of 5 60% 3 0 6:05
Themba Gorimbo 0 18 of 33 54% 80 of 102 6 of 9 66% 0 1 5:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jeremiah Wells 0 1 of 3 33% 2 of 5 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:57
Themba Gorimbo 0 4 of 4 100% 29 of 34 4 of 6 66% 0 0 3:36
2 Jeremiah Wells 0 14 of 26 53% 27 of 41 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:15
Themba Gorimbo 0 10 of 22 45% 33 of 46 1 of 2 50% 0 1 0:52
3 Jeremiah Wells 0 17 of 24 70% 30 of 38 1 of 2 50% 2 0 2:53
Themba Gorimbo 0 4 of 7 57% 18 of 22 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jeremiah Wells 32 of 53 60% 23 of 43 5 of 5 4 of 5 21 of 39 0 of 0 11 of 14
Themba Gorimbo 18 of 33 54% 8 of 22 9 of 10 1 of 1 15 of 30 1 of 1 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jeremiah Wells 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Themba Gorimbo 4 of 4 100% 0 of 0 4 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2
2 Jeremiah Wells 14 of 26 53% 9 of 20 2 of 2 3 of 4 12 of 22 0 of 0 2 of 4
Themba Gorimbo 10 of 22 45% 7 of 18 3 of 4 0 of 0 10 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jeremiah Wells 17 of 24 70% 13 of 20 3 of 3 1 of 1 8 of 14 0 of 0 9 of 10
Themba Gorimbo 4 of 7 57% 1 of 4 2 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Themba Gorimbo vs. Jeremiah Wells
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gorimbo (-140); Wells (+110)

Round 1
In the “featured fight of the night” slot, a pair of 170-pound brawlers with matching 4-2 records in the promotion try to improve their fortunes at the expense of the other. Wells (12-4-1, 4-2 UFC) likely has his back against the wall more of the two, as he turned 39 on Thursday. Gorimbo (14-5, 4-2 UFC) is no spring chicken, but at 34, he still has at least a half decade left if history is any indication. Drawing the assignment for this pairing is referee Chris Tognoni, who will be on his A-game for as long as this lasts. They do not touch gloves.
Both fighters bounce back and forth towards one another, and after 20 seconds of that, Wells lets loose a kick. Gorimbo responds with a double-leg takedown, grounding the Philadelphia native for a moment. Wells bounces back to his feet, and Gorimbo uses full-on muscle to throw him back to the mat. Wells pulls his finger in the fence to try to improve his position, and when he tries again, Tognoni shouts him down. In the meantime, Gorimbo has advanced to full mount, and he forces Wells to turn over when he is about to engage with ground-and-pound. Wells twists to his knees and grabs hold of Gorimbo’s right hand to control it and prevent him from getting struck. He uses this limb control to stand up and subsequently attempt a trip takedown. “The Answer” answers him with a throw that plants the Renzo Gracie Philly product flat on his back.
Gorimbo controls with right hands as Wells tries to scramble, and Wells still works his way to the cage and grabs the fence immediately. Gorimbo chucks him to the floor like a sack of potatoes and reassumes top position. When Gorimbo sits up to blast with ground strikes, Wells scurries to put himself closer to the fencing. Just as Wells is about to sit and follow him, Gorimbo strips his legs out beneath him. Wells simply explodes back up to his feet, and he turns Gorimbo to the fence and imposes his weight all while tugging his fingers in the chain links illegally. That makes three, maybe four loud warnings from Tognoni with nothing else to it. Wells turns things around and sits himself down on top of Gorimbo as the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo

Round 2
Wells reintroduces himself to his opponent with a vicious body kick as the round kicks off, and Gorimbo answers him with one right back just as mean and loud. Wells goes low with a calf kick, and Gorimbo stands him up with two straight right hands down the middle. Gorimbo splits the guard with his power right, and he ducks a Wells blitz to counter him with heavy punches. Gorimbo shoots in on the hips for a double, and Wells counters him with a counter choke and pulls guard to lock up what was a guillotine choke. Gorimbo keeps pushing through to bowl Wells over and break out of the submission, where he gets to the guard and revs up his GNP engine. Wells does not want to deal with that, so he bursts to his feet and snatches up a standing choke that he uses to bend Gorimbo over. The Zimbabwe native is able to free himself from the attack, but it is an effort that is rewarded by a successful Wells tackling takedown.
Wells asserts himself in the guard, ripping body shots and some to the head to advance to half guard. Wells stops striking and climbs into mount so he can isolate an arm-triangle choke. Wells looks to pass to the other side, but Gorimbo turns himself to stay close enough to the fence to prevent Wells from getting the proper leverage to pull off the sub. Wells bails on it to get situated in full mount, and he tries for an arm-triangle on the other side. Gorimbo breaks free and turns Wells over, shucking off an armbar setup to put Wells on his back as the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Wells
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Wells
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Wells

Round 3
Leg kicks fly from both sides as the fighters have no plan on bumping fists, with plenty of time to share pleasantries after the melee concludes. They proceed to share the other’s thinking by striking one after the other, mirroring one another until Gorimbo wants to take the fight horizontally. Wells jumps guard with a guillotine choke, and he has a hook in but does not appear to have Gorimbo in trouble. Gorimbo calmly removes himself from submission danger and positions himself in half guard, only for Wells to sit up and rush to his seat against the wall. Gorimbo pushes off rather than deal with a possible standing choke, and he allows Wells to come to him so he can offer up a head kick. Wells tanks it and shoots in for a single, transitioning it to a double to take “The Answer” off his feet. Gorimbo butt-scoots to the fence, and Wells drags him away from it and gets to mount with 2:40 left in the match.
Gorimbo turns to a side to prevent bombardment that has not yet begun, and Wells instead sets up an arm-triangle choke on the other side. Wells still looks to put himself against the fence, and Gorimbo strategically as it at his side to prevent Wells from locking it down. Wells abandons it and saves himself from falling off the side when Gorimbo moves, and he follows Gorimbo every step of the way and pulls him to his back on the floor. Gorimbo turns over, and Wells hangs on from the side with his arm draped around the chest like a seatbelt that also punches you. Wells grinds down elbows while closely pressed to Gorimbo in side control, and Tognoni slaps Gorimbo’s toes out of the fence as they are pulling on it to try to get him a better spot. He does this with both feet, and Wells is crushing him with elbows. Wells does this until time expires, and we go to the scorecards.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Wells (29-28 Wells)
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Wells (29-28 Wells)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Wells (29-28 Wells)

The Official Result
Jeremiah Wells def. Themba Gorimbo via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Themba Gorimbo

Angelo picks Themba Gorimbo, citing his striking at distance and in the pocket, takedowns, and toughness. He notes Jeremiah Wells is 39 years old and has been out for 19 months, which could lead to fading. He expects Wells to come out hot but fade, while Gorimbo gains steam. He acknowledges Wells' power and jiu-jitsu but thinks Gorimbo's youth and hunger will prevail.

"I'm going Themba Gorimbo, and I think he can prove a point here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

Big Brady picks Jeremiah Wells but is hesitant due to Wells being 39 and inactive for two years. He criticizes Themba Gorimbo's chin, submission defense, and cardio, calling him not sold on. He notes Wells has a wrestling background, trains with Renzo Gracie Philly, and has knockout power. He sees a potential knockout or submission, predicting a first-round submission.

first round submission, plus 120 underdog
"I'm going to pick Wells. I'm going to pick Wells to get the job done. ... I'll say first round submission"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert pick date unknown

Connor does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses the matchup but does not state a preference, focusing on the low level and lack of significance.

"It's really no easier to suss out than in the main event, but it is a considerably lower level of ability and significance."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident pick date unknown
Themba Gorimbo

Lucrative James picks Themba Gorimbo to win, citing his superior technical striking and grappling compared to Jeremiah Wells. He notes that Wells is 38 years old, has shown deterioration in recent performances, and has pulled out of fights due to injury. Gorimbo is more well-rounded, has good takedown defense, and outgrappled opponents like Ramiz Brahimaj and Nico Price. James also mentions Gorimbo's mental state after a loss, but still favors him stylistically.

"I am going to side with Feber Garbo on this one, though. Like I said, stylistically, he is a lot more put together."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

Wells is the better grappler with more knockout power. He can take Gorimbo to the mat and find a submission. The host is not sure why there is love for Gorimbo.

submission
"I'm not sure what the love out there is for Grimbo. I think Wells is the better grappler, has more knockout power, and has the ability to take Grimbo to the mat and eventually find a submission, which is the …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean pick date unknown
Themba Gorimbo

The MMA Guru leans towards Themba Gorimbo, citing his volume, range, and recent activity. He thinks Jeremiah Wells is inconsistent with his KO power and aging. He predicts Gorimbo wins by decision, 29-28, though Wells may have moments.

"I'm going to lean towards Themba Gorimbo getting this one done. And I'm going to say he gets it done by decision win, 29-28."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean pick date unknown
Themba Gorimbo

Zane picks Gorimbo because if he can get to a good position, he will cling to it and suck the life out of the fight. He notes that Wells is predictable, charging in and clinching in a cycle, and that Gorimbo resembles Carlston Harris who submitted Wells. He also mentions Wells is 39 and has been injured.

"I think I'm gonna take Garimbo here just cuz I know that if he can get to a good position he will just cling to it and suck the life out of the fight."
CANCEL vs Andreas Gustafsson
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Andreas Gustafsson

Angelo picks Andreas Gustafsson but is hesitant, citing the risk of a UFC debutant making dumb decisions. He notes Gustafsson's wrestling, power, and youth, but draws a parallel to Gabe Green's recent win over a debutant who made a mistake. He explicitly says he is not betting on this fight due to unknown fight IQ.

No bet due to unknown fight IQ.
"I'm going to pick Gustiffson. Not betting on him. That lesson has been learned."
LOSS vs Max Griffin
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · Feb 10, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Max Griffin 0 26 of 53 49% 36 of 65 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:40
Jeremiah Wells 0 32 of 86 37% 43 of 97 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Max Griffin 0 6 of 18 33% 13 of 26 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:10
Jeremiah Wells 0 7 of 26 26% 7 of 26 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:44
2 Max Griffin 0 10 of 16 62% 11 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Jeremiah Wells 0 17 of 36 47% 17 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:56
3 Max Griffin 0 10 of 19 52% 12 of 22 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:16
Jeremiah Wells 0 8 of 24 33% 19 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Max Griffin 26 of 53 49% 21 of 48 4 of 4 1 of 1 24 of 51 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jeremiah Wells 32 of 86 37% 27 of 76 5 of 7 0 of 3 32 of 85 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Max Griffin 6 of 18 33% 5 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jeremiah Wells 7 of 26 26% 7 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 1 7 of 25 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Max Griffin 10 of 16 62% 8 of 14 2 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 14 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jeremiah Wells 17 of 36 47% 13 of 30 4 of 5 0 of 1 17 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Max Griffin 10 of 19 52% 8 of 17 1 of 1 1 of 1 10 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jeremiah Wells 8 of 24 33% 7 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 1 8 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Max Griffin vs. Jeremiah Wells
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Wells (-170), Griffin (+142)

Round 1
Action will be on display as these two offense-first welterweights enter the cage. This is a crucial contest for the 38-year-old Griffin (19-11, 7-8 UFC), who could get back to .500 with a win. All he has to do is get past the fast and frenetic Wells (12-3-1, 4-1 UFC), who is only one year his junior. These elder statesmen at 170 pounds will be officiated by referee Chris Tognoni, and they have no interest in touching them up as Wells instead spins with a heel kick to the midsection unexpectedly. Griffin deftly avoids it and he proceeds to stalk Wells down, chasing him around the cage for about 30 seconds without throwing anything. Wells spins with a wheel kick that glances off the side of Griffin’s head, and he keeps moving by spinning with an elbow that dings Griffin again. Griffin backs off instead of trying to counter, and Wells feints and stomps the floor with loud screams. Griffin acknowledges him with a sharp jab in response, but it is one-and-done as he continues to follow Wells around. Wells gets a jab back with his own, and Griffin surges ahead with a trio of punches. Wells dips back, and Griffin gives chase with a few more heavy shots until Wells retreats out of range. The two continue to measure one another for long stretches of inactivity, perhaps a little too respectful of one another’s power. Wells connects with a left hand, and he blitzes forward with another left hook and enough forward momentum that allows him to tackle Griffin to the canvas. Griffin fights back to his feet by wall-walking, and Wells presses on him with his full body weight. Wells ropes out several haymakers that sting Griffin, but Griffin manages to catches his opponent with a short right hand. Wells keeps a decent poker face despite being stung, and Griffin scores another right that makes Wells think twice about exchanging. Griffin’s own advancing gets him into range, and he secures a sudden takedown that puts Wells on his back for the remainder of the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Wells
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Wells
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Wells

Round 2
The welterweights are tentative to engage to start off the round, both leading with single jabs but otherwise operating with plenty of fakes and feints but few actual committed strikes. Griffin keeps Wells on his back foot, and he holds his guard high to block a huge overhand right from Wells. Griffin is out of range when a subsequent wrecking ball of a left hook comes his way, and he does not bite when Wells fakes a spin. Wells attempts a front kick that grazes off the body, and he swats out a left hand that is parried. Griffin connects with a right hand, and Wells welcomes the exchange and hurls himself forward into the melee. Both men crack one another with violent blows, and Griffin’s chin holds together as he is pressed towards the fencing. After jockeying for position, the two split up and they return to kickboxing range. Wells, his nose bleeding, pokes out a jab and then swings a left hook that would blow Tognoni’s hair back if he had any. Wells connects with a body kick, and he spins with a kick to the same target as Griffin grimaces. Griffin eats a jumping kick to the body and a right hand on the chin, but he still manages to reply with a short right hand that gives Wells brief pause. Wells fires off a side kick that careens off the guard, and he doubles up on a jab as well. Wells reaches in with a left, but Griffin catches him with a right that makes Wells back off. Griffin comes at him to throw hands, and Wells practically sprints towards him so he can tie Griffin up again. This clinch position ends the round, and Griffin takes him down after the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Wells
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Wells
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Wells

Round 3
Wells leads the dance with a spinning kick to the ribs, and Griffin grunts when it lands flush. Wells throws a sloppy right hand, and Griffin sees it coming and replies with a short right that Wells does not like. After another agonizing stretch of feinting, Wells lashes out with two hooks, and even though Griffin blocks it, they hurt. Griffin replies with a single kick, and they reset and start jabbing. Griffin times another big punch from Wells and beats him to the punch with a short right, but Wells continues throwing bombs and keeps Griffin cautious. Wells lobs haymakers as they soar past Griffin, and Griffin gets one shot in and makes Wells shake it off. The welterweights whiff on concussive blows, and Griffin dances out of the way when Wells jumps with a stomp kick aimed at his knee. Both men miss the mark with looping strikes, just out of range from one another. Wells spins with a wheel kick, and the crook of his knee wraps around the back of Griffin’s head as Griffin times an explosion forward in pursuit of a takedown. The resulting collision pushes Wells back against the fence, and he holds him there without doing much else. Wells slaps Griffin a few times on the ear, and the strange fight comes to a conclusion when the final bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Griffin (29-28 Wells)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Griffin (29-28 Wells)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Griffin (29-28 Wells)

The Official Result
Max Griffin def. Jeremiah Wells via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

Angelo highlights Jeremiah Wells' well-rounded game, with explosive hands and high-level BJJ, and notes that Wells transitions effortlessly to grappling. He thinks Max Griffin's punches lose power later in fights, and that Wells will get takedowns and grind out a win. He acknowledges Griffin's toughness but believes Wells will be too much, though he will be biting his nails.

"Jeremiah wells should win this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Max Griffin

Big Brady picks Max Griffin as an underdog. He notes that Griffin is bigger, more experienced, has better technical striking and volume, and has good takedown defense. He acknowledges Wells' power and physicality but believes Griffin can win as long as he avoids a big shot.

"I am going to go Max Griffin um a lot of men a lot of reasons to like this guy as a dog here I'm going to take him to win as a dog"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Max Griffin

Cody picks Griffin as a dog, noting Wells has fought low-level competition and has cardio issues. Griffin has fought better guys and has sneaky power, with knockdowns in recent fights. Cody thinks Wells will tire in later rounds, and Griffin's wrestling and durability will be key. He sees clear value on Griffin at plus money.

"this is a dog worthy shot"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

Wells is very dangerous early with power and top pressure. Griffin is 38 and has faltered against tougher opponents. Wells should be able to secure an early knockout or grind out a decision. The odds are a bit close, but Wells' power and tenacity should be the difference. Griffin's experience may not be enough to stay away from Wells' danger.

"I think he's going to falter under the power of Jeremiah Wells here whether that's an early knockout which is ultimately going to be my prediction or a grind out over 15 minutes I just don't know if Griffin has …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Max Griffin

Paul also picks Griffin, echoing Cody's points. He notes Wells' opponents have a combined 0-7 record after fighting him, indicating he is being protected. Griffin is a step up in competition and has the skills to win. Paul thinks Griffin's power and experience will be too much for Wells.

"take the dog take the dog take the dog and the dog or pass type of situation"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

The MMA Guru picks Jeremiah Wells because he believes Wells can out-grapple Max Griffin, especially in the first two rounds. He notes that Griffin has shown a tendency to break when put in a losing position. He also thinks Wells has more power on the feet, even if his standup is slightly worse. He does not see Griffin having the submission ability to catch Wells like Carlston Harris did.

"I'm going to go Jeremiah wells plus I think he's got way more power on the feet even if he's a little bit worse in a standup."
LOSS vs Carlston Harris
Technical Submission (anaconda choke) R3 1:50 · UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Font · Aug 05, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Carlston Harris 0 18 of 48 37% 41 of 78 3 of 5 60% 2 0 9:26
Jeremiah Wells 0 5 of 19 26% 19 of 36 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Carlston Harris 0 3 of 8 37% 10 of 16 2 of 2 100% 2 0 4:24
Jeremiah Wells 0 0 of 0 --- 6 of 7 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Carlston Harris 0 13 of 22 59% 29 of 44 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:34
Jeremiah Wells 0 1 of 4 25% 9 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Carlston Harris 0 2 of 18 11% 2 of 18 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:28
Jeremiah Wells 0 4 of 15 26% 4 of 16 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Carlston Harris 18 of 48 37% 16 of 46 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 25 2 of 3 11 of 20
Jeremiah Wells 5 of 19 26% 1 of 14 3 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Carlston Harris 3 of 8 37% 2 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 5
Jeremiah Wells 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Carlston Harris 13 of 22 59% 12 of 21 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 5 2 of 2 9 of 15
Jeremiah Wells 1 of 4 25% 0 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Carlston Harris 2 of 18 11% 2 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 17 0 of 1 0 of 0
Jeremiah Wells 4 of 15 26% 1 of 11 2 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Carlston Harris vs. Jeremiah Wells
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Wells (-130), Harris (+110)

Round 1
Jason Herzog gets his first assignment of the night for this welterweight bout. Wells moves in with a standing side kick that sends Harris into the cage. Wells explodes into punching range then assumes top position after a failed Harris takedown. Wells is working from half guard, covering Harris’ mouth with his glove. Wells stays heavy on top, grinding his forearm into his foe’s face. As Harris attempts to stand, Wells secures a brabo choke. They roll over into the center of the cage, with Harris on his back now. The choke is not properly applied, but Wells continues to drive his shoulder. Wells adjusts the position, and now he has a ninja choke. Wells has a tight squeeze, but Harris defends with his back to the mat. Harris scrambles to his feet and Wells drives him into the fence. Wells drops for a single leg, adjusts and connects his hands before pulling Harris off the cage and planting him on the canvas. Wells has Harris mounted near the fence, controlling the wrist of his opponent. Wells goes back to half guard and tees off with left hands. He ends the round with more left hands on his grounded foe.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Wells
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Wells
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Wells

Round 2
Wells steps in with an uppercut-left hand combination. A spinning attack from Wells misses the mark, but he shoves Harris to the mat and takes top position. He lands some solid shots and then puts Harris back on the mat. Harris scoots to a seated position with his back to the fence, but Wells is still heavy on top. Wells passes to mount, then returns to half guard. Harris is being overpowered here. Every time he posts, Wells lifts the legs and adjusts his position. Wells is back in half guard, landing the occasional right hand. Wells continues to grind away, but Harris can do no better than a seated position. Wells puts him on his back and drops some heavy elbows. Wells’ offense has been more forceful from inside Harris’ full guard, as he ends the round with more solid elbows.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Wells
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Wells
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Wells

Round 3
Wells comes out winging heavy leather, but Harris is avoiding the majority of it. Wells uses his punches to shoot for a takedown. Harris defends with a choke and they separate. Harris lands a nice punch to the body, but Wells shoots a powerful takedown. Harris defends well and goes to the mat,
locking in an anaconda choke in the process. For a moment it doesn’t seem like Wells is in danger, but Harris flips him to his back and lifts his foe’s head. Harris maintains the grip and Herzog steps in to take a look. Wells is unconscious
and this one, along with his four-bout UFC winning streak, is over. A nice comeback victory for Harris.

The Official Result
Carlston Harris def. Jeremiah Wells via Submission (Anaconda Choke) R3 1:50
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

Angelo picks Jeremiah Wells but is hesitant, noting the fight is very close. He gives Wells a slight edge in wrestling and notes his toughness after being dropped twice in his last fight. He acknowledges Carlston Harris has a better chin and is dangerous on the ground. Angelo does not place a bet because Harris is dangerous, but thinks Wells will get it done.

"ultimately he is going to be the pick despite being dropped twice in his last fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean pick date unknown
Carlston Harris

Big Brady thinks this is a very close fight and expects a first-round knockout. He notes both fighters have power and are hittable. He picks Harris slightly because he thinks Harris can land a big shot and Wells won't be able to grapple his way out like he did against Semelsberger. He predicts Harris by first-round KO.

Harris by KO in round 1; fight ends in first round
"I like Harris here ever so slightly but I think somebody's getting served in this matchup"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Carlston Harris

Cody is confident in Harris as an underdog, citing his unorthodox striking, reach (77 inches), power, and BJJ black belt. He notes Wells' struggles against grapplers and his tendency to get rocked. He believes Harris can chop Wells up on the feet and has a good chance of finishing inside the distance.

Harris inside the distance
"I'm gonna go with the underdog play here and probably and inside the distance type of pick as well"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean pick date unknown
Carlston Harris

Daniel Levi leans toward Carlston Harris, citing his length, jab, and volume striking. He worries about Wells' wrestling success but thinks Harris can defend takedowns and pick him apart at range. Levi notes both fighters have questionable chins, but believes Harris' activity and process give him an edge. He sees this as a dog-or-pass situation and prefers Harris at plus money.

No specific prop bet. Notes that sharp action has been on Harris.
"I'll go carlston here."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

James disagrees with the line moving toward Harris. He acknowledges Harris's front choke series is dangerous, especially if Wells shoots. However, he thinks Wells has insane punching power and good takedown top upside. He believes Wells is the deserved favorite but says it's not a hill he wants to die on.

fight doesn't go to distance (minus 200) - not a bet he likes
"I think Jeremiah Wells is the deserved favorite in this fight and I think he's going to win the fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

Both fighters are reckless strikers looking for knockouts, but Wells is shorter and stockier while Harris is long and lanky. Wells has a slight edge in Jiu-Jitsu, but Harris has a better gas tank. I think Wells gets an early knockout under 2.5 rounds, likely in the first, but I don't have any real interest in betting this matchup.

early knockout under 2.5 rounds, likely first round
"I think that it's going to end up being Wells who gets that early knockout under that two and a half round mark likely coming in the first round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Carlston Harris

Paul agrees with Harris, noting that the market has moved and Harris is now the rightful favorite. He cites Wells' poor performance against Samuelsberger and his vulnerability early. He plans to take a small bet on Harris and considers a live bet after the first round.

"carlston Harris for me as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

The host picks Jeremiah Wells, calling him an 'absolute dog' with power and grit. He believes Wells has the power advantage and can get inside, while Harris is lengthy but not on the same level. He notes Wells is a BJJ black belt and can handle grappling exchanges. He likes Wells at -163 or lower, and sees value on Harris as a dog if the line moves.

line dipped from -188 to -163; suggests Wells at -155 or lower is a solid play; value on Harris as dog
"give me Jeremiah Wells here"
Decision (split) (30–27, 28–29, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · Apr 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jeremiah Wells 0 36 of 76 47% 86 of 158 6 of 10 60% 0 0 11:12
Matthew Semelsberger 2 20 of 37 54% 39 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jeremiah Wells 0 17 of 38 44% 35 of 69 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:31
Matthew Semelsberger 1 11 of 18 61% 15 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:59
2 Jeremiah Wells 0 16 of 33 48% 32 of 59 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:09
Matthew Semelsberger 1 6 of 12 50% 19 of 26 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:30
3 Jeremiah Wells 0 3 of 5 60% 19 of 30 3 of 4 75% 0 0 4:32
Matthew Semelsberger 0 3 of 7 42% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jeremiah Wells 36 of 76 47% 29 of 67 7 of 9 0 of 0 10 of 28 2 of 3 24 of 45
Matthew Semelsberger 20 of 37 54% 17 of 33 3 of 4 0 of 0 12 of 22 4 of 5 4 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jeremiah Wells 17 of 38 44% 14 of 34 3 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 8 2 of 3 12 of 27
Matthew Semelsberger 11 of 18 61% 10 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 5 4 of 5 3 of 8
2 Jeremiah Wells 16 of 33 48% 15 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 15 0 of 0 12 of 18
Matthew Semelsberger 6 of 12 50% 5 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 2
3 Jeremiah Wells 3 of 5 60% 0 of 2 3 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Matthew Semelsberger 3 of 7 42% 2 of 5 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Matthew Semelsberger vs. Jeremiah Wells
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Wells (-110), Semelsberger (-110)

Round 1
The UFC chose violence for this event’s main card opener, as when Wells (11-2-1, 3-0 UFC) and Semelsberger (11-4, 5-2 UFC) get down to business, all hell might break loose. Needing no more introduction as there is about to be some exciting action, referee Marc Goddard takes charge. There is no touch of gloves as Wells practically sprints into action, and Semelsberger catches him with a stiff right hand and stuns him. Wells backs off, gathers his thoughts and charges recklessly again. Semelsberger counters him cleanly and downs his man, and Wells scrambles when he hits the mat instead of getting pounded out by the forceful strikes of “Semi the Jedi.” Wells moves when he needs to, and he stands up to pursue a takedown. Semelsberger stuffs him and jams him against the wall, and the pace slows down from the veritable car crash of offense from before. Wells spins himself deftly to throw Semelsberger down to the floor, and he ends up in the closed guard of his opponent trying to rain down right hands. Semelsberger leans his upper back against the wall to partially sit up, and Wells continues to remains on top pounding on Semelsberger. On his back, Semelsberger tries to hook his toes in the cage to pull off of it, and he is warned for it as Wells smacks Semelsberger with ground strikes. Semelsberger pushes his man off of him, but Wells leaps back on top of him. Semelsberger stands and nearly gives up his back, only for him to wriggle it free and get shoved against the wire. Wells looks for another change in leverage to secure a throw, and he lets go to throw hands. When Semelsberger defends from the oncoming fire, Wells changes levels and successfully hits a double. Wells postures up in the guard to hammer with punches from on high, and the round ends in this position.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Semelsberger
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Wells
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Semelsberger

Round 2
The round begins far less wild than the first, as Semelsberger instead meanders forward to claim the center of the cage with Wells eventually leaping in and out with two punches. They collide with fists at the same time, and a monster left hook from “Semi the Jedi” and a right hand smash into Wells dome and send him wobbling back until he falls over. Semelsberger does not finish the job, instead patiently landing a few shots, before backing off to reset. Wells swings for the bleachers when upright again, and Semelsberger tags him with a sharp right hand to stun him once more. Wells tries to grab his foe and throw him down, but there is nothing to it, so he gets back to striking range to lob bombs. Wells ducks a looping punch and pursues a single this time, and he elevates Semelsberger and drops him hard to the mat. Wells settles for the closed guard to pummel Semelsberger with ground-and-pound, forcing Semelsberger to open up his guard for some better position on his back. Wells calmly sits up and lands a few strikes, with an elbow that he drops down with his full body weight behind. Elbows from Wells continue to land on the forehead, and he hammers the body a few times when Goddard tells him to keep working. Semelsberger looks to set up a high guard, and Wells leaps over it and briefly gets to half guard before being pulled back to the guard again. Wells slashes down with additional elbows, working Semelsberger over effectively until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Wells
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Wells
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Wells

Round 3
The last round has surprisingly been reached, and unsurprisingly, both men load up on their punches right out of the gate and nail each other. Wells leaps forward with a flying knee that skims off the side of the head, and Semelsberger sneaks through a body shot when his man lands. Wells rushes forward in pursuit of a double, and he scoops Semelsberger up like Matt Hughes and loudly deposits him to the floor. When Semelsberger climbs back upright, Wells quickly slams him back down for an exclamation point. Wells manages to work his way into the half guard as he presses down to keep the moving Semelsberger from standing. Semelsberger turns just enough to isolate a leg to go after a leglock, and Wells is wise to it and circles all the way around to tug his limb free and lower himself into half guard on the other side. Semelsberger sweeps from this position and fights his way upright, but Wells is relentless at trying to bring him right back to the floor. Semelsberger fights off one try, and Wells clasps his hands and lowers Semelsberger to the floor. Semelsberger defends with a kimura, isolating Wells’ left arm with a two-on-one wrist lock, and Wells wrenches it out to wind up on top in half guard again. Semelsberger pulls his opponent back to the guard for a bit of a moral victory, and he tries to set up a triangle choke and pulls his toes on the fence to get them over Wells’ shoulders. Wells shucks it off and moves to the side, and he drives elbows down on Semelsberger’s unguarded face. Semelsberger bursts back to his feet, and Wells slings him back down in a final effort. The horn sounds, and the scorecards could be all over the map depending on how the judges value the power Semelsberger displayed in the opening spurts of the first two rounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Wells (29-28 Wells)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Wells (30-27 Wells)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Wells (29-28 Wells)

The Official Result
Jeremiah Wells def. Matthew Semelsberger via Split Decision (30-27, 28-29, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

Angelo picks Jeremiah Wells, citing his power, technical striking, and BJJ black belt. He thinks Wells should be more technically sound on the feet and have better BJJ than Semelsberger. He notes that Semelsberger is tough and has made fools of bettors before, so he is not betting despite seeing value at -135. He is concerned about Wells' wrestling defense against Semelsberger's pressure.

No bet, but notes value at -135.
"Jeremiah Wells is gonna be the pick here... minus 135 seems like very good value but I got my vasectomy and they may have taken out my manhood as well because I don't have the balls to bet on him …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

Big Brady picks Jeremiah Wells to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Wells has a ton of power and a very good grappling game, and he mixes in takedowns well. Brady is concerned about Wells's cardio if the fight extends, but he believes Wells will finish Semelsberger early. He also mentions that this could be a good live betting spot if Semelsberger survives the first round, but he expects Wells to get him out of there early.

first round knockout, good live betting spot if Semelsberger survives first round
"I'm going to take Wells to finish him early though I'm gonna say Wells wins this fight by first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Matthew Semelsberger

Cody picks Semelsberger, emphasizing his cardio and ability to go 15 minutes, while Wells is a first-round finisher with suspect gas tank. He notes Semelsberger's takedown defense and striking are good, and he has shown improvement. Cody believes if Semelsberger survives the first round, he will take over and win by decision or late finish. He sees a live betting opportunity to get a better price on Semelsberger after the first round.

Live betting Semelsberger after round 1
"I'm gonna go semi the Jedi Matthew summersburger to get the job done but uh this is a fight that's probably going to either end in the first round and be a win for Jeremiah Wells or I can get …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean pick date unknown
Matthew Semelsberger

Connor picks Semelsberger, noting that he is working hard to overcome his anxiety against punchers. He points out that Semelsberger's approach against Jake Matthews was more assertive and that he has the durability to survive Wells's power. He thinks Semelsberger can take the fight to Wells and wilt him, but admits it's not a smart pick.

"I'll take Semelsberger, but not for like smart reasons."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Matthew Semelsberger

Jeremiah Wells has first-round finishing power but fades in later rounds. Matthew Semelsberger is younger, has knockout power of his own, and a better gas tank. Semelsberger can keep distance, stuff takedowns, and take over as Wells slows down. The fight likely ends in a finish, with Semelsberger coming on late to win by TKO. However, Wells could land early, making this a sketchy pick.

Fight doesn't go to decision; Semelsberger by TKO
"I do like the fight doesn't go to decision the most... I'm gonna go with someone's burger here though as I think he'll come on late and put away Jeremiah was after a while"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

Paul picks Wells but is hesitant, acknowledging the points Cody made about cardio. He notes Wells is more explosive and dangerous than AJ Fletcher, who had success against Semelsberger. Paul thinks the price is more accurate now and is not sure he will bet it. He agrees the longer the fight goes, the worse it is for Wells.

"I'm gonna pick up for the purposes of this show um but yeah a lot of the points that you say it's just like I think the longer this fight goes it's going to be bad for or it's going …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Matthew Semelsberger

The MMA Guru picks Matthew Semelsberger as an underdog. He notes Semelsberger's underrated chin and grappling, and his reach advantage. He thinks Semelsberger's straight punches will counter Wells' looping shots. He cites Semelsberger's competitive fight with Chaos Williams and his performance against Jake Matthews. He predicts a KO in the first round.

KO in the first round
"I'm going with Matthew simmonsberger over Jeremiah Wells it's a dangerous pick it really is a dangerous pick"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

Zane picks Wells but is not confident, noting that Wells is a powerful puncher but has no depth to his game. He thinks Semelsberger might be the one to adjust and solve Wells, but he has a feeling that Semelsberger will get shocked and fall out of his groove. He mentions that Wells is like a new 'all the Wally Bong Bosch' and is very awkward.

"I'm just taking Wells. I just have a feeling that Semelsberger is just going to get shocked by something and it's going to throw him out of his groove."
WIN vs Court McGee
KO (punch) R1 1:34 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Emmett · Jun 18, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jeremiah Wells 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Court McGee 1 7 of 16 43% 7 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jeremiah Wells 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Court McGee 1 7 of 16 43% 7 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jeremiah Wells 3 of 8 37% 0 of 4 2 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Court McGee 7 of 16 43% 7 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 14 0 of 0 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jeremiah Wells 3 of 8 37% 0 of 4 2 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Court McGee 7 of 16 43% 7 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 14 0 of 0 2 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Court McGee vs. Jeremiah Wells
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: McGee (-120), Wells (+100)

Round 1
Even though UFC experience and fight mileage both weigh heavily on “The Crusher” McGee (21-10, 10-9 UFC), he will come into this matchup on his first UFC win streak since 2013. The Utah native will clock in only two years the elder of Wells (10-2-1, 2-0 UFC), who surges into this contest on the heels of four finishes in two rounds or less. Referee Herb Dean might have his hands full for this one, as Wells is darting back and forth and does not engage to touch gloves. Instead, Wells shifts laterally back and forth, and McGee reaches out towards him with a jab to the chest. Wells keeps his range and switches stances constantly, lulling McGee into a rhythm. “The Crusher” simply remains calm and lands a heavy leg kick, and he blocks high when Wells crashes towards him with punches. Wells throws himself off-balance when swinging at him, and McGee blocks the blows and splits the guard with a one-two in response. Wells jumps forward to attack, and he pushes out a jab and a right that comes up short.
The Pennsylvania follows up with a left hook that connects right on the button, and McGee is out cold as he falls with his limbs frozen in rigor mortis down to the canvas. The back of McGee’s head collides with the mat, and when it does, Wells follows him down with two brutal punches, which are all that land until Dean can sprint across the cage to break them up and pull Wells off.
There’s something in the water here today in Austin, as Wells practically did the unthinkable by cleanly knocking McGee all the way out.

The Official Result
Jeremiah Wells def. Court McGee R1 1:34 via KO (Punch)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Court McGee

Angelo picks Court McGee, noting his recent grappling resurgence and dominant wins over Claudio Silva and Ramiz Brahimaj. He believes McGee's takedowns and control will lead to another decision win. He acknowledges Jeremiah Wells' danger but thinks McGee's durability and cardio will prevail.

"i think i'm going court mcgee here because if he comes forward the way he did against ramis he can have success with the takedowns and the control to win another decision"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Court McGee

Big Brady picks Court McGee to win by decision. He believes McGee is the more experienced fighter with better volume and technical striking, and has shown improved wrestling. He notes Wells has power but lacks volume and cardio, and McGee is extremely durable with only one finish loss. He thinks McGee will be the minute winner on the feet and can handle Wells' grappling.

decision
"I think court mcgee is the rightful favor i think he's fought the much better competition by a mile he's the more experienced fighter by mile"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Court McGee

Cody picks McGee, citing his durability, wrestling, and experience. He thinks Wells will come out hot but fade, and McGee will grind him down in rounds 2 and 3. He suggests McGee by decision as a prop.

Court McGee by decision
"i think court mcgee's uh i think i think he's gonna be my rightful selection"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

Daniel Levi is confident in Jeremiah Wells as an underdog, citing Wells' athleticism, power, and black belt jiu-jitsu. He notes Court McGee is 37 and has lost five of his last eight, while Wells is younger and hungrier. Levi likes that Wells is getting plus money and believes he will be too fast and strong for McGee. He is considering a bet on Wells.

underdog shot; Wells +105; considering a bet
"i like jeremiah wells here as an underdog shot and i think he comes out here and takes care of the guy we all respect"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Court McGee

Paul agrees with McGee, noting Wells' one-dimensional style and McGee's takedown ability. He thinks McGee can survive the early storm and take over. He suggests waiting to see how round one goes before betting.

"i think court mcgee's uh he's live"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

The MMA Guru picks Jeremiah Wells to win by KO, noting that Court McGee is 37 and has taken a lot of damage. He believes Wells is a freak athlete with explosive power and good grappling, as shown against Blood Diamond. He predicts Wells will catch McGee with a straight right and finish him in the first round.

first round ko
"jeremiah wells is going to get this one done i reckon he's going to get it done by ko here... first round ko for jeremiah wells with a straight right hand"
WIN vs Mike Mathetha
Technical Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 4:38 · UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · Feb 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jeremiah Wells 0 15 of 19 78% 23 of 27 1 of 5 20% 1 0 4:25
Mike Mathetha 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jeremiah Wells 0 15 of 19 78% 23 of 27 1 of 5 20% 1 0 4:25
Mike Mathetha 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jeremiah Wells 15 of 19 78% 14 of 17 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 2 1 of 1 14 of 16
Mike Mathetha 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jeremiah Wells 15 of 19 78% 14 of 17 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 2 1 of 1 14 of 16
Mike Mathetha 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Mike Mathetha vs. Jeremiah Wells

Round 1
No matter what the broadcast displays, the debuting fighter out of City Kickboxing’s name is Mike Mathetha (3-0, 0-0 UFC), and not “Blood Diamond.” That is just his nickname. In his first Octagon appearance with just three pro MMA fights on his belt and an unknown number of kickboxing contests in the past, he will take on the surging powerhouse Wells (9-2-1, 1-0 UFC) at welterweight. Keeping his head on a swivel will be referee Jacob Montalvo, and Wells decides against touching gloves and instead sprints around the edge of the cage to possibly gain momentum and fly out with a strike, but he trips and nearly blows out his ankle. Mathetha crashes in while loading up on a right hand, and he misses it and they clinch up, with Wells trying to take the fight down. The action stalls out with Wells in pursuit of a body lock, but he cannot get the right leverage and cannot trip Mathetha down. Wells opts to lift Mathetha in the air, and he slams him to the mat and immediately lands in mount. “Blood Diamond” turns over, and he gives up his back while Wells hunts for a quick rear-naked choke. Wells flattens Mathetha out as Mathetha turns to his side, and Wells slugs away at him before latching on to another rear-naked choke. The City Kickboxing fighter turns into the choke with his chin tucked, stifling the submission, and Wells postures up to blast Mathetha with high elbows and punches. Mathetha gets to his knees, only to get wrenched back down, all while Wells works him over with punches. Wells pounds on Mathetha with right hands, and a strike or two hits the back of the head without any protest. Wells goes for another rear-naked choke, and bails on it to find a better angle as Mathetha sits up.
“Blood Diamond” makes a grave mistake by trying to stand without fighting off the choke, and he falls down to the mat when Wells sinks in the choke once and for all. Without any hooks in, the Philadelphia native squeezes with all his might, and “Blood Diamond” goes out on his shield and falls unconscious instead of tapping out.
Wells lets Montalvo know Wells is sleeping, Montalvo checks Mathetha’s arm, and it is limp. Montalvo intervenes quickly, and Mathetha comes to soon enough with no harm done.

The Official Result
Jeremiah Wells def. Mike Mathetha R1 4:38 via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

Angelo picks Jeremiah Wells because he is the more complete MMA fighter with solid takedowns and very good BJJ. He acknowledges that Mathetha is a dangerous striker but believes Wells can close the distance, drop down for takedowns, and work his jiu-jitsu. He notes that Wells' striking is wild but sets up his grappling.

"i've got to go with jeremiah here because while he will not be anywhere near the technical striker that blood diamond is he is still dangerous on his feet he's got solid takedowns very good bjj"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

Big Brady is confident in Jeremiah Wells due to his well-rounded skills, power, and cardio. He notes Wells trains at Renzo Gracie Philly and has a legit black belt in BJJ with good wrestling. He expects Wells to take down Blood Diamond and submit him in the first round, as Blood Diamond's competition has been weak and his takedown defense is questionable. Brady also mentions Wells has never been knocked out.

Wells by first round submission
"I think wells makes quick work of blood diamond here... easy path to victory here wells take him down submit him in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

Cody agrees, noting Wells' BJJ black belt and power. He thinks Mathetha's lack of ground game and poor fundamentals will be exposed. He expects Wells to finish early, possibly by submission.

under 1.5 rounds -120
"i'm all over the under"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

Daniel Levi picks Jeremiah Wells, citing his experience, black belt in jiu-jitsu, and improvement on the feet. He notes that Mike Mathetha is a kickboxer transitioning to MMA with only three fights and a two-year layoff. Levi believes Wells will use his grappling to expose Mathetha's lack of MMA experience.

"i'm going jeremiah wells i just think he's the more complete fighter"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

Wells is a strong grappler who should easily take Mathetha down and finish him. Mathetha is a kickboxer with poor takedown defense and has been controlled against the cage in past fights. Wells has seen harder shots and has cardio comparable to Mathetha. The inside the distance line at -125 is the best play as Wells should get a finish.

inside the distance at -125; first round submission
"i think the inside the distance line is currently sitting at minus 125 which i think is probably the best way to play this as i think he's going to be able to get matata out of there pretty easily"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

Paul is very confident in Wells, citing his grappling advantage and power. He notes Mathetha has no ground game and is a kickboxer with sloppy technique. He expects Wells to take him down and submit him early.

under 1.5 rounds -120
"i think wells takes him down and absolutely mauls him down there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

The MMA Guru picks Jeremiah Wells to win by first-round KO. He criticizes Mike Mathetha's kickboxing level, calling him clumsy and overhyped, while noting Wells' explosive power and grappling advantage. He believes the debut pressure will be too much for Mathetha.

first round ko
"i reckon jeremiah wells is going to score a first round brutal ko over mike mathetha"
Court McGee - Fight History
LOSS vs Michael Chiesa
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley · Jun 14, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michael Chiesa 0 72 of 160 45% 81 of 169 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:32
Court McGee 0 39 of 145 26% 51 of 158 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michael Chiesa 0 15 of 45 33% 15 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Court McGee 0 10 of 41 24% 11 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Michael Chiesa 0 24 of 57 42% 25 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Court McGee 0 17 of 58 29% 20 of 62 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Michael Chiesa 0 33 of 58 56% 41 of 66 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:11
Court McGee 0 12 of 46 26% 20 of 54 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michael Chiesa 72 of 160 45% 47 of 128 25 of 32 0 of 0 52 of 132 20 of 28 0 of 0
Court McGee 39 of 145 26% 9 of 95 16 of 29 14 of 21 36 of 140 3 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michael Chiesa 15 of 45 33% 15 of 41 0 of 4 0 of 0 15 of 43 0 of 2 0 of 0
Court McGee 10 of 41 24% 2 of 27 6 of 9 2 of 5 9 of 39 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Michael Chiesa 24 of 57 42% 20 of 53 4 of 4 0 of 0 21 of 53 3 of 4 0 of 0
Court McGee 17 of 58 29% 4 of 39 4 of 9 9 of 10 16 of 56 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Michael Chiesa 33 of 58 56% 12 of 34 21 of 24 0 of 0 16 of 36 17 of 22 0 of 0
Court McGee 12 of 46 26% 3 of 29 6 of 11 3 of 6 11 of 45 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean pick date unknown
Court McGee

Angelo leans Court McGee because he is all-in on fighting while Chiesa has outside distractions. He notes that McGee looked great in his last fight and is durable. He believes whoever gets the first takedown wins, and McGee is strong enough to avoid submissions.

plus three and a half
"I'm going to go out on a limb and I'm going to pick him here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Michael Chiesa

Big Brady picks Michael Chiesa by decision but is hesitant, noting that Court McGee has great takedown defense and has fought tough grapplers. He believes Chiesa has a little left in the tank while McGee is older and has been knocked out recently. He expects a competitive fight despite the wide line.

"I'm going to go Kesa here to win by decision but I just feel like it could be a little bit more competitive than the massive favorite line does indicate."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Michael Chiesa

Connor believes Chiesa is a much higher-level fighter than McGee, with more dynamic offense and a variety of ways to finish. He expects Chiesa to use his speed and size advantage to outscramble McGee, despite Chiesa's susceptibility to submissions. Connor notes that McGee's submission threat is low, as he hasn't submitted anyone since 2010.

"I expect that he will just be physically overpowering and obviously faster and bigger than court McGee."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean pick date unknown
Michael Chiesa

Chiesa's superior grappling will keep McGee in bad spots, likely snatching the back and grinding out a decision win.

"I have to lean with Kiesta here as I think his grappling will be superior..."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Michael Chiesa

The Guru picks Michael Chiesa by submission, noting Chiesa has been given favorable matchups recently (Tony Ferguson, Max Griffin). He expects Chiesa to take McGee down and get a submission in the first or second round, citing McGee's age (mid-40s) and Chiesa's back-take game.

Michael Chiesa by submission, round 1 or 2
"I'm going to take Michael Kasa to win this fight by submission. Um, I don't know who Michael Kasa has been nice to behind the scenes in the UFC to be getting all of these types of matchups when it …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Michael Chiesa

Zane agrees that Chiesa should win, citing that Chiesa has beaten a much higher level of opponent throughout his career. He notes that McGee is a slow, loopy striker who can be outwrestled by a faster, more dynamic fighter like Chiesa. Zane thinks Chiesa's wrestling and scrambling will be key.

"It's just, he's beat a higher level of opponent his whole career."
WIN vs Tim Means
Submission (neck crank) R1 3:19 · UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · Oct 05, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Court McGee 0 14 of 24 58% 19 of 35 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:58
Tim Means 0 5 of 13 38% 12 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Court McGee 0 14 of 24 58% 19 of 35 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:58
Tim Means 0 5 of 13 38% 12 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Court McGee 14 of 24 58% 9 of 18 3 of 4 2 of 2 14 of 22 0 of 2 0 of 0
Tim Means 5 of 13 38% 2 of 9 2 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Court McGee 14 of 24 58% 9 of 18 3 of 4 2 of 2 14 of 22 0 of 2 0 of 0
Tim Means 5 of 13 38% 2 of 9 2 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean pick date unknown
Court McGee

Angelo picks Court McGee, believing the fight is 50-50 and McGee's wrestling and pressure can be the difference. He notes Tim Means is a 2-to-1 favorite, which he considers unjustified given both fighters are old and worn. He placed a small bet on McGee at +195.

Bet 0.25 units on Court McGee at +195
"I'm leaning court court is going to be the pick... I threw a quarter of a unit on him at plus 195"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Tim Means

Big Brady is hesitant on this fight, noting that both fighters are veterans and he doesn't trust either. He leans towards Tim Means because he believes Means still has a little left in the tank, while Court McGee hasn't had a finish since 2010 and has been losing to lower-level competition. He expects McGee to attempt takedowns but thinks Means will do better work on the feet and win a decision.

"I just feel like Tim Means is has just a little little bit left in the gas tank at at this at this point of time so I think it's going to be close it's probably going to be greasy …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Court McGee

Cody picks McGee, citing his home-field advantage in Utah and cardio. He notes Means' tendency to gas and get submitted. He believes McGee can outlast Means and possibly win by submission.

Court McGee by submission
"it's me and mgee as well brother"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean pick date unknown
Tim Means

Connor picks Means based on sentiment, acknowledging it's not a sound analysis. He notes that Means is old and has lost speed, but Court McGee is not a powerful striker and Means' craft might be enough. He wants Means to go out on a win.

"I'm going to pick Tim Means simply because I adore him. And I would like this to be his last fight. And I would like him to go out on a win."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tim Means

Daniel Vreeland picks Tim Means, citing his slick striking and improved wrestling. He notes that Court McGee has slowed down drastically and was nearly beaten by Alex Morono. Vreeland expects Means to knock out McGee, though he is hesitant to lay heavy chalk on a fighter who has lost four of his last five.

"I like the Slicker striking style of Tim me his wrestling's gotten a lot better I think he's got a good chance to come out here and knock out Court McGee"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tim Means

The host believes Tim Means is the better overall fighter and will utilize his clinch with knees and elbows, as well as distance striking with kicks and long-range weapons, to pick apart Court McGee. He expects Means to win on the scorecards, noting that McGee lacks significant knockout power.

"I do think that means is the better overall fighter in this spot and I don't think he'll have too much knockout power to worry about on the McGee side"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Court McGee

Paul picks McGee, emphasizing his durability and wrestling. He thinks McGee can mix in takedowns and control the fight. He sees value at plus 170 and expects a close decision or late finish.

"McGee for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Court McGee

The MMA Guru picks Court McGee over Tim Means, citing McGee's training at altitude in Utah as a key advantage. He notes both fighters are past their prime but believes McGee is less finishable and will employ a boring cage control game, failing takedowns but winning the pressure game. He predicts a decision victory for McGee, as neither fighter is likely to finish early.

"I'm going to say Court McGee wins this one by decision and I'm pretty confident in it."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean pick date unknown
Tim Means

Zane also picks Means for sentimental reasons, calling himself a long-time Dirty Bird fan. He acknowledges that Means has lost a step but notes that McGee is not a dangerous striker and Means' experience might carry him. He admits it's not a pick based on sound analysis.

"I'm going to rise with Tim Means just for us. Long time Dirty Bird fans."
LOSS vs Alex Morono
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · Apr 06, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Morono 0 60 of 160 37% 78 of 184 1 of 6 16% 0 0 3:20
Court McGee 0 38 of 141 26% 42 of 149 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Morono 0 22 of 52 42% 22 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Court McGee 0 12 of 50 24% 12 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alex Morono 0 20 of 41 48% 36 of 61 0 of 2 0% 0 0 3:12
Court McGee 0 9 of 28 32% 12 of 34 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
3 Alex Morono 0 18 of 67 26% 20 of 71 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:08
Court McGee 0 17 of 63 26% 18 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Morono 60 of 160 37% 14 of 73 29 of 55 17 of 32 52 of 148 0 of 1 8 of 11
Court McGee 38 of 141 26% 26 of 118 9 of 18 3 of 5 38 of 139 0 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Morono 22 of 52 42% 3 of 16 13 of 25 6 of 11 22 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
Court McGee 12 of 50 24% 8 of 42 2 of 6 2 of 2 12 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alex Morono 20 of 41 48% 7 of 21 8 of 12 5 of 8 12 of 30 0 of 1 8 of 10
Court McGee 9 of 28 32% 6 of 25 3 of 3 0 of 0 9 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alex Morono 18 of 67 26% 4 of 36 8 of 18 6 of 13 18 of 66 0 of 0 0 of 1
Court McGee 17 of 63 26% 12 of 51 4 of 9 1 of 3 17 of 61 0 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Alex Morono

Angelo picks Alex Morono because he believes Morono is a step ahead everywhere in this fight and could potentially finish an aging Court McGee. He notes that McGee relied on his work ethic and chin, but at 39, that chin is gone and hard work alone won't get wins. Morono is somewhat unreliable himself, but Angelo thinks he should be good here.

"Morono is going to be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Alex Morono

Big Brady picks Alex Morono to win by decision. He notes that Morono is six years younger, has better striking volume, and good jiu-jitsu. He believes Court McGee's durability is waning after recent knockouts, but doesn't expect a finish. He thinks Morono will be better wherever the fight goes.

win by decision
"I'm taking morono here I'm taking morono to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Alex Morono

Cody agrees, noting McGee's recent knockout losses to Matt Brown and Jeremiah Wells. He thinks Morono's volume and speed will be too much, and that McGee's pressure game won't work against a more technical striker. Cody also mentions Morono's competitive fight with Joaquin Buckley has aged well.

"morona kills him... I think it's Justified Chuck on Alex morono"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Alex Morono

Daniel Vreeland confidently picks Alex Morono to finish Court McGee in the first round. He compares McGee to past veterans Morono has stopped, like Josh Burkman and Tim Means, noting McGee is 40 and slow. Vreeland believes Morono's speed, power, and vicious intent will overwhelm McGee, and even if taken down, Morono can pop back up. He predicts a first-round knockout or submission.

first round finish
"I actually think Alex Morano gets a first round finish man."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Alex Morono

Morono is younger, more durable, and has better striking volume and power. McGee's chin is fading after recent knockouts. Morono's defensive grappling should be enough to keep the fight standing, where he can land damaging combinations. Expect a finish in the second or third round.

Morono by KO/TKO or submission (club and sub)
"I think he knocks out or clubs and Subs McGee at some point in this matchup early going should be a little bit grindy a little bit close but as this fight starts to wear on is and as morono …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Alex Morono

Paul is confident in Morono, citing McGee's age, declining durability, and recent knockout losses. He notes McGee's wins are over one-dimensional grapplers, while Morono has better footwork, volume, and takedown defense. Paul thinks Morono will outwork McGee and possibly knock him out, as McGee's durability is gone.

by KO
"morona kills him... don't mind Alex morono knockout one"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Alex Morono

The host picks Morono based on output and commitment. He notes Morono looked amazing against Buckley and is better than Ventre. He criticizes McGee's recent losses to Matt Brown and Jeremiah Wells. He predicts neither will get a KO or dominate grappling, so Morono's higher volume will win a decision.

"I'm going to go Alex morono more committed to the game more volume on the feet and I doubt either of them get a KO over over each other"
LOSS vs Matt Brown
KO (punch) R1 4:09 · UFC on ABC: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · May 13, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Matt Brown 1 11 of 15 73% 22 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Court McGee 0 8 of 31 25% 17 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:57
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Matt Brown 1 11 of 15 73% 22 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Court McGee 0 8 of 31 25% 17 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:57
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Matt Brown 11 of 15 73% 2 of 4 3 of 4 6 of 7 10 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0
Court McGee 8 of 31 25% 2 of 21 2 of 5 4 of 5 6 of 29 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Matt Brown 11 of 15 73% 2 of 4 3 of 4 6 of 7 10 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0
Court McGee 8 of 31 25% 2 of 21 2 of 5 4 of 5 6 of 29 2 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean pick date unknown
Matt Brown

Angelo picks Matt Brown, saying he thinks Brown will be the more durable of the two. He notes Court McGee is coming off a bad knockout loss and his chin is a question. He acknowledges the line movement tracker shows McGee went from +140 to -180 favorite, and that trend has been 7-1, but he goes against it. He is not betting on this fight.

"I'm still going to lean Matt Brown I'm gonna go against that Trend there but no bet absolutely no bet"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Court McGee

Big Brady picks Court McGee but expresses distrust after McGee's fight against Condit where he didn't attempt a single takedown. He believes if McGee uses the right game plan—wrestling and taking down Matt Brown—he should win easily. Brady notes Brown is 42 with poor takedown defense and cardio, and McGee has better cardio and wrestling. He predicts a third-round submission, but says he can't fully trust McGee after the Condit fight.

third round submission
"I'll say he does do that I'll say he goes out there takes down Matt Brown rents the repeat and grinds this guy across three rounds maybe even a late finish could be on the table here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Court McGee

Cody picks McGee, citing his better gas tank and durability. He notes that Brown's chin and reflexes have declined with age, and that McGee's kickboxing is good enough to compete. He expects McGee to wrestle and control the fight, especially in later rounds. He mentions the 'died and came back' theory for cardio.

"I got to go with the durability and the cardio which both still favor Court McGee so I too will take Court McGee but uh it's an old man Legends fight which I am so down for"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean pick date unknown
Court McGee

Connor leans toward Court McGee, acknowledging that Matt Brown could knock him out early but that McGee's durability and pace are likely to carry him. He notes that Brown's endurance has declined and that McGee's grinding style is antithetical to Brown's current capabilities. Connor expects McGee to win by decision, as Brown's recent fights show he fades.

"I think I just have to lean McGee, like sure. Matt Brown could knock him out in the first round, right?"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean pick date unknown
Matt Brown

Daniel Levi picks Matt Brown, admitting bias as he will attend the fight and is a fan. He believes Brown is historically the better fighter, having reached number five in the welterweight rankings, while McGee never cracked the top 15. However, he acknowledges Brown's age (42) and cardio issues, which could allow McGee to push the pace and mix in takedowns. Levi hopes Brown gets a knockout to tie the UFC record, but notes the pick is not based on a betting edge.

Brown by KO to tie UFC knockout record; no bet placed
"I'm gonna pick Matt Brown uh just because historically speaking I think he wins this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Court McGee

McGee has a cardio and pace advantage over the aging Brown. He will tie Brown up, use footwork to avoid big shots, and weaponize his cardio to take over in the later rounds. Brown has slowed down in recent fights and his wrestling may not be effective against McGee. McGee will grind out a decision victory.

"I think Court McGee will do a good job of tying him up using his but you know footwork and bicycle to get out of the way of these big shots of Matt Brown"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Court McGee

Paul picks McGee, emphasizing his wrestling and cardio advantage. He notes that McGee can make the fight easy by sticking to takedowns and controlling Brown. He added McGee to a chalk parlay. He acknowledges the possibility of a 'gentleman's agreement' striking affair but believes McGee's grappling is the key.

added to parlay with Garry and Ulberg
"I think Court McGee can make this fight very easy on himself by sticking to the wrestling getting up in Matt Brown's face and getting takedowns and securing them and holding in position"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Matt Brown

The MMA Guru picks Matt Brown, citing his better recent performances and the fact that Court McGee is coming off a brutal KO loss. He believes Brown's toughness and aggression will be too much, predicting a KO in the second or third round.

KO in the second or third round
"I'm actually going to pick Matt Brown by KO in the second or third round here against Court mcgear"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean pick date unknown
Court McGee

Zane picks Court McGee because he believes McGee's pace and grinding style will overwhelm Matt Brown, who fades as fights progress. He notes that Brown is still dangerous early but lacks the endurance to keep up with McGee's constant pressure and wrestling. Zane expects McGee to win a decision, as Brown's recent losses show he slows down significantly.

"I guess I'll take court McGee just cause one round of chance from exactly."
LOSS vs Jeremiah Wells
KO (punch) R1 1:34 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Emmett · Jun 18, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jeremiah Wells 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Court McGee 1 7 of 16 43% 7 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jeremiah Wells 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Court McGee 1 7 of 16 43% 7 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jeremiah Wells 3 of 8 37% 0 of 4 2 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Court McGee 7 of 16 43% 7 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 14 0 of 0 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jeremiah Wells 3 of 8 37% 0 of 4 2 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Court McGee 7 of 16 43% 7 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 14 0 of 0 2 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Court McGee vs. Jeremiah Wells
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: McGee (-120), Wells (+100)

Round 1
Even though UFC experience and fight mileage both weigh heavily on “The Crusher” McGee (21-10, 10-9 UFC), he will come into this matchup on his first UFC win streak since 2013. The Utah native will clock in only two years the elder of Wells (10-2-1, 2-0 UFC), who surges into this contest on the heels of four finishes in two rounds or less. Referee Herb Dean might have his hands full for this one, as Wells is darting back and forth and does not engage to touch gloves. Instead, Wells shifts laterally back and forth, and McGee reaches out towards him with a jab to the chest. Wells keeps his range and switches stances constantly, lulling McGee into a rhythm. “The Crusher” simply remains calm and lands a heavy leg kick, and he blocks high when Wells crashes towards him with punches. Wells throws himself off-balance when swinging at him, and McGee blocks the blows and splits the guard with a one-two in response. Wells jumps forward to attack, and he pushes out a jab and a right that comes up short.
The Pennsylvania follows up with a left hook that connects right on the button, and McGee is out cold as he falls with his limbs frozen in rigor mortis down to the canvas. The back of McGee’s head collides with the mat, and when it does, Wells follows him down with two brutal punches, which are all that land until Dean can sprint across the cage to break them up and pull Wells off.
There’s something in the water here today in Austin, as Wells practically did the unthinkable by cleanly knocking McGee all the way out.

The Official Result
Jeremiah Wells def. Court McGee R1 1:34 via KO (Punch)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Court McGee

Angelo picks Court McGee, noting his recent grappling resurgence and dominant wins over Claudio Silva and Ramiz Brahimaj. He believes McGee's takedowns and control will lead to another decision win. He acknowledges Jeremiah Wells' danger but thinks McGee's durability and cardio will prevail.

"i think i'm going court mcgee here because if he comes forward the way he did against ramis he can have success with the takedowns and the control to win another decision"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Court McGee

Big Brady picks Court McGee to win by decision. He believes McGee is the more experienced fighter with better volume and technical striking, and has shown improved wrestling. He notes Wells has power but lacks volume and cardio, and McGee is extremely durable with only one finish loss. He thinks McGee will be the minute winner on the feet and can handle Wells' grappling.

decision
"I think court mcgee is the rightful favor i think he's fought the much better competition by a mile he's the more experienced fighter by mile"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Court McGee

Cody picks McGee, citing his durability, wrestling, and experience. He thinks Wells will come out hot but fade, and McGee will grind him down in rounds 2 and 3. He suggests McGee by decision as a prop.

Court McGee by decision
"i think court mcgee's uh i think i think he's gonna be my rightful selection"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

Daniel Levi is confident in Jeremiah Wells as an underdog, citing Wells' athleticism, power, and black belt jiu-jitsu. He notes Court McGee is 37 and has lost five of his last eight, while Wells is younger and hungrier. Levi likes that Wells is getting plus money and believes he will be too fast and strong for McGee. He is considering a bet on Wells.

underdog shot; Wells +105; considering a bet
"i like jeremiah wells here as an underdog shot and i think he comes out here and takes care of the guy we all respect"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Court McGee

Paul agrees with McGee, noting Wells' one-dimensional style and McGee's takedown ability. He thinks McGee can survive the early storm and take over. He suggests waiting to see how round one goes before betting.

"i think court mcgee's uh he's live"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

The MMA Guru picks Jeremiah Wells to win by KO, noting that Court McGee is 37 and has taken a lot of damage. He believes Wells is a freak athlete with explosive power and good grappling, as shown against Blood Diamond. He predicts Wells will catch McGee with a straight right and finish him in the first round.

first round ko
"jeremiah wells is going to get this one done i reckon he's going to get it done by ko here... first round ko for jeremiah wells with a straight right hand"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Chikadze · Jan 15, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Court McGee 1 54 of 91 59% 76 of 113 5 of 11 45% 1 0 10:57
Ramiz Brahimaj 0 32 of 62 51% 35 of 65 1 of 3 33% 1 0 0:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Court McGee 1 30 of 51 58% 42 of 63 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:58
Ramiz Brahimaj 0 15 of 33 45% 17 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Court McGee 0 21 of 37 56% 24 of 40 2 of 5 40% 0 0 3:11
Ramiz Brahimaj 0 14 of 25 56% 15 of 26 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:30
3 Court McGee 0 3 of 3 100% 10 of 10 1 of 2 50% 1 0 4:48
Ramiz Brahimaj 0 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Court McGee 54 of 91 59% 30 of 63 17 of 21 7 of 7 46 of 81 4 of 6 4 of 4
Ramiz Brahimaj 32 of 62 51% 21 of 51 10 of 10 1 of 1 25 of 53 7 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Court McGee 30 of 51 58% 13 of 31 13 of 16 4 of 4 28 of 48 1 of 2 1 of 1
Ramiz Brahimaj 15 of 33 45% 11 of 29 4 of 4 0 of 0 13 of 30 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Court McGee 21 of 37 56% 16 of 31 3 of 4 2 of 2 15 of 30 3 of 4 3 of 3
Ramiz Brahimaj 14 of 25 56% 9 of 20 5 of 5 0 of 0 10 of 20 4 of 5 0 of 0
3 Court McGee 3 of 3 100% 1 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ramiz Brahimaj 3 of 4 75% 1 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ramiz Brahimaj

Angelo picks Brahimaj, citing his world-class jiu-jitsu and the blueprint from Sean Brady's win over McGee. He notes Brahimaj's tendency to strike instead of grapple but expects him to stick to grappling here. He believes Brahimaj will get takedowns and control McGee to a decision win, as McGee is incredibly tough to finish.

"i expect the exact same thing for rami's brahimage i think he will grapple in this fight i think he'll get some takedowns and i think he'll have solid top pressure"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Court McGee

Big Brady highlights that Brahimaj has a 100% submission rate but has never been past the first round, while McGee has never been submitted in 30 fights. He expects Brahimaj to slow down after the first round, allowing McGee's cardio and striking to take over. He picks McGee by decision, noting McGee's takedown defense and ability to get back up.

"i'm going to take court megiddo in i'm going to take court mcgee to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ramiz Brahimaj

Cody picks Brahimaj, emphasizing his youth, athleticism, and grappling. He notes McGee's skills are outdated and his takedown defense is poor. He expects Brahimaj to win via decision, possibly with a submission attempt. He mentions McGee's cardio but doubts it will be enough.

Brahimaj by decision
"decision victory for ramis brahimaj and honestly the straight-up money line is uh not too bad"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ramiz Brahimaj

Daniel Levi picks Ramiz Brahimaj, citing youth and momentum. He notes that Brahimaj is a beast on the mat when fresh, but has cardio and plan B concerns. Levi believes Brahimaj can finish Court McGee, who is 37 and has shown signs of slowing. He argues that McGee's recent wins are over older opponents and that Brahimaj's talent will shine. Levi expects a statement finish from Brahimaj.

finish
"i'm going to go with ron means to to get a finisher"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Court McGee

The host favors Court McGee due to his veteran savvy, cardio, and takedown defense. He notes Brahimaj's all-offense style and suspect cardio, expecting McGee to weather an early storm and take over in later rounds. The host highlights McGee's never-submitted record and ability to get back to his feet. He predicts a decision win for McGee, possibly with a late finish if Brahimaj gasses.

Live betting opportunity on McGee after round 1 mentioned.
"official prediction here is going to be court mcgee via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Ramiz Brahimaj

Paul leans toward Brahimaj, noting his youth, athleticism, and grappling. He expects Brahimaj to take McGee down and control him. He questions if Brahimaj can maintain pace for three rounds but thinks his submission threat will be enough. He mentions McGee's durability and cardio as potential factors.

"i'm kind of with you i'll lean towards rami's probably maj to get the job done"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ramiz Brahimaj

The MMA Guru picks Ramiz Brahimaj to win, noting that he is younger, trains at a good gym, and has more finishing ability. He was initially tempted by Court McGee as an underdog but realized Brahimaj is actually the underdog. He trusts Brahimaj's grappling and striking in the early rounds, and believes his desire to return after the ear injury shows dedication. He acknowledges McGee's pressure and toughness could be a factor in later rounds, but thinks Brahimaj will win the early rounds enough to take a decision or finish.

Brahimaj is an underdog.
"i think ram is brahimage is going to win this one very good in the early rounds"
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · May 22, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Court McGee 0 37 of 74 50% 110 of 157 3 of 5 60% 1 0 8:03
Cláudio Silva 0 21 of 56 37% 81 of 126 1 of 10 10% 0 0 1:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Court McGee 0 10 of 30 33% 29 of 50 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:51
Cláudio Silva 0 6 of 24 25% 13 of 33 0 of 5 0% 0 0 1:09
2 Court McGee 0 16 of 25 64% 36 of 48 0 of 1 0% 1 0 3:35
Cláudio Silva 0 3 of 11 27% 15 of 25 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:22
3 Court McGee 0 11 of 19 57% 45 of 59 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:37
Cláudio Silva 0 12 of 21 57% 53 of 68 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Court McGee 37 of 74 50% 22 of 53 9 of 14 6 of 7 23 of 58 2 of 3 12 of 13
Cláudio Silva 21 of 56 37% 8 of 36 9 of 15 4 of 5 19 of 52 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Court McGee 10 of 30 33% 4 of 19 3 of 7 3 of 4 10 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cláudio Silva 6 of 24 25% 2 of 16 1 of 4 3 of 4 6 of 23 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Court McGee 16 of 25 64% 13 of 22 2 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 13 1 of 2 9 of 10
Cláudio Silva 3 of 11 27% 1 of 8 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Court McGee 11 of 19 57% 5 of 12 4 of 5 2 of 2 7 of 15 1 of 1 3 of 3
Cláudio Silva 12 of 21 57% 5 of 12 6 of 8 1 of 1 11 of 19 1 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Court McGee

Big Brady picks McGee, expecting him to survive Silva's dangerous first round and take over in rounds 2 and 3 due to superior cardio and output. He notes Silva's cardio fades, McGee's never been submitted, and his takedown defense and get-up game are solid. He predicts a 29-28 decision or late finish.

McGee by decision or late finish
"i will take court mckee to survive that first round not get submitted"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Court McGee

Cody Saftic picks Court McGee, expressing frustration with Cláudio Silva's ugly style but acknowledging Silva's ability to win. He believes McGee's cardio and durability will allow him to survive Silva's early takedowns and win the later rounds. Saftic notes that Silva has poor striking and takedowns, and that McGee is a good gatekeeper who should be able to sprawl and brawl. He suggests a live bet on McGee if Silva wins the first round.

live bet McGee
"i'm gonna go with court mcgee uh but there's not a whole lot of guys in the ufc i would bet court mcgee over at this point"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Cláudio Silva

Daniel Levi picks Cláudio Silva, citing Silva's aggression, opportunistic style, and world-class jiu-jitsu. He notes that Court McGee's style hasn't evolved, he's been getting dropped in fights, and he's 3-7 in his last 10. He predicts Silva will take McGee down and submit him, possibly becoming the first man to submit McGee. He also thinks Silva could win a decision if it goes three rounds.

first round submission
"i personally think claudio is going to take him down one time and the fight's going to be over shortly after but if it becomes a three-round war i also take lajo there as well but i'm going to say …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean pick date unknown
Court McGee

Matt picks Court McGee by decision, but with very low confidence, calling it a stay-away fight. He notes McGee has looked past his prime, while Silva has a poor gas tank. He thinks McGee can nullify Silva's takedowns and pick him apart on the feet as Silva fades. However, he acknowledges Silva's elite jiu-jitsu is a threat, and McGee has never been submitted. He mentions a possible third-round finish for McGee at +1600 but is not confident.

Court McGee round 3 (+1600)
"i'll go core mcgee i think he ends up staying away from the takedowns and just picks apart claudio silva"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Court McGee

Paul Shaughnessy agrees with McGee, noting that Silva is frustrating to watch and that McGee has better cardio and durability. He believes McGee will win the second and third rounds after surviving Silva's early grappling. He mentions that Silva's wins are often close decisions and that McGee is the logical choice.

"for that reason i gotta go with court mcgee am i super pumped up about that no um but to me it's the logical and it's the right choice"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Cláudio Silva

The MMA Guru predicts Cláudio Silva will win by split decision in a very close fight. He expects McGee to outstrike Silva on the feet, but Silva will time takedowns and have close submission attempts that sway the rounds in his favor. He compares it to the Bobby Green vs Thiago Moises fight, but with Silva winning this time.

"i'm going to be going with claudio silva by split decision"
LOSS vs Carlos Condit
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Aldana · Oct 04, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Carlos Condit 1 88 of 230 38% 88 of 230 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Court McGee 0 84 of 182 46% 84 of 182 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Carlos Condit 1 15 of 38 39% 15 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Court McGee 0 31 of 63 49% 31 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Carlos Condit 0 30 of 71 42% 30 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Court McGee 0 26 of 56 46% 26 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Carlos Condit 0 43 of 121 35% 43 of 121 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Court McGee 0 27 of 63 42% 27 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Carlos Condit 88 of 230 38% 50 of 173 17 of 34 21 of 23 87 of 228 0 of 0 1 of 2
Court McGee 84 of 182 46% 9 of 73 28 of 51 47 of 58 84 of 182 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Carlos Condit 15 of 38 39% 5 of 19 4 of 12 6 of 7 15 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Court McGee 31 of 63 49% 3 of 22 11 of 17 17 of 24 31 of 63 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Carlos Condit 30 of 71 42% 17 of 54 7 of 11 6 of 6 30 of 71 0 of 0 0 of 0
Court McGee 26 of 56 46% 3 of 19 6 of 17 17 of 20 26 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Carlos Condit 43 of 121 35% 28 of 100 6 of 11 9 of 10 42 of 119 0 of 0 1 of 2
Court McGee 27 of 63 42% 3 of 32 11 of 17 13 of 14 27 of 63 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean pick date unknown
Court McGee

Big Brady picks Court McGee to win by decision. He notes McGee's clear path to victory via takedowns, as Condit has poor takedown defense. He thinks Condit's only chance is a submission off his back, but McGee has never been submitted.

"give me court mcgee to win a pretty pretty ugly decision here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean pick date unknown
Carlos Condit

Daniel leans with Condit, reasoning that McGee's training camp was subpar (mainly drilling with his 13-year-old son) and that Condit has had moments of success against higher-level competition. He acknowledges Condit's five-fight losing streak but thinks this is a winnable fight, predicting a split decision. He notes that McGee's takedowns could be a factor but Condit might capitalize on submissions.

Condit by split decision; mentions McGee's camp issues; notes Condit's submission threat off his back
"i think conde might actually this is the one fight con that can win ben saunders beat this guy so i'm gonna go with carlos conde via split decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Court McGee

The host leans toward Court McGee due to Condit's poor takedown defense and McGee's durability, but he is not confident enough to bet at -135. He predicts a decision win for McGee but says he would only bet if McGee were plus money.

Over 2.5 rounds -250 (not recommended)
"my head definitely says court mcgee... but even at minus 135 i can't take the shot"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Carlos Condit

The Guru picks Carlos Condit, noting his good ground game and submission threats against Michael Chiesa. He believes Condit is naturally bigger and can push the pace, and predicts a submission by armbar in the second round or a decision. He sees nothing in McGee's game to suggest he can beat Condit.

Prediction: submission (armbar) round 2 or decision
"i'm going to be going with carlos condit getting a job done taller guy naturally bigger welterweight can push the pace as well"
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Court McGee

Angelo picks Court McGee, noting his recent grappling resurgence and dominant wins over Claudio Silva and Ramiz Brahimaj. He believes McGee's takedowns and control will lead to another decision win. He acknowledges Jeremiah Wells' danger but thinks McGee's durability and cardio will prevail.

"i think i'm going court mcgee here because if he comes forward the way he did against ramis he can have success with the takedowns and the control to win another decision"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Court McGee

Big Brady picks Court McGee to win by decision. He believes McGee is the more experienced fighter with better volume and technical striking, and has shown improved wrestling. He notes Wells has power but lacks volume and cardio, and McGee is extremely durable with only one finish loss. He thinks McGee will be the minute winner on the feet and can handle Wells' grappling.

decision
"I think court mcgee is the rightful favor i think he's fought the much better competition by a mile he's the more experienced fighter by mile"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Court McGee

Cody picks McGee, citing his durability, wrestling, and experience. He thinks Wells will come out hot but fade, and McGee will grind him down in rounds 2 and 3. He suggests McGee by decision as a prop.

Court McGee by decision
"i think court mcgee's uh i think i think he's gonna be my rightful selection"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

Daniel Levi is confident in Jeremiah Wells as an underdog, citing Wells' athleticism, power, and black belt jiu-jitsu. He notes Court McGee is 37 and has lost five of his last eight, while Wells is younger and hungrier. Levi likes that Wells is getting plus money and believes he will be too fast and strong for McGee. He is considering a bet on Wells.

underdog shot; Wells +105; considering a bet
"i like jeremiah wells here as an underdog shot and i think he comes out here and takes care of the guy we all respect"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Court McGee

Paul agrees with McGee, noting Wells' one-dimensional style and McGee's takedown ability. He thinks McGee can survive the early storm and take over. He suggests waiting to see how round one goes before betting.

"i think court mcgee's uh he's live"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jeremiah Wells

The MMA Guru picks Jeremiah Wells to win by KO, noting that Court McGee is 37 and has taken a lot of damage. He believes Wells is a freak athlete with explosive power and good grappling, as shown against Blood Diamond. He predicts Wells will catch McGee with a straight right and finish him in the first round.

first round ko
"jeremiah wells is going to get this one done i reckon he's going to get it done by ko here... first round ko for jeremiah wells with a straight right hand"