UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Oct 23, 2021 · Women's Strawweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori Next Fight
Age 31
Height 5' 1"
Reach 61.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 29
Height 5' 6"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Tabatha Ricci
4.0 SLpM
37.0% Str. Acc.
4.83 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
2.51 TD Avg
37.0% TD Acc.
65.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Maria Oliveira
5.03 SLpM
38.0% Str. Acc.
5.76 SApM
44.0% Str. Def.
0.95 TD Avg
44.0% TD Acc.
47.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Tabatha Ricci
Moneyline
BetWay -250
KO/TKO
BetRivers +450
Submission
BetMGM +250
Decision
BetWay +200
Maria Oliveira
Moneyline
FanDuel +235
KO/TKO
BetRivers +700
Submission
BetRivers +1800
Decision
BetRivers +400
Tabatha Ricci - Fight History
LOSS vs Virna Jandiroba
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · Apr 04, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Virna Jandiroba 0 26 of 64 40% 122 of 174 6 of 12 50% 0 0 8:00
Tabatha Ricci 0 37 of 82 45% 89 of 144 1 of 2 50% 0 1 1:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Virna Jandiroba 0 3 of 10 30% 26 of 34 3 of 6 50% 0 0 3:00
Tabatha Ricci 0 7 of 13 53% 9 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Virna Jandiroba 0 9 of 16 56% 61 of 79 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:33
Tabatha Ricci 0 6 of 14 42% 50 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
3 Virna Jandiroba 0 14 of 38 36% 35 of 61 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:27
Tabatha Ricci 0 24 of 55 43% 30 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:47
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Virna Jandiroba 26 of 64 40% 19 of 56 7 of 8 0 of 0 24 of 60 1 of 3 1 of 1
Tabatha Ricci 37 of 82 45% 27 of 68 5 of 7 5 of 7 33 of 77 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Virna Jandiroba 3 of 10 30% 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tabatha Ricci 7 of 13 53% 5 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Virna Jandiroba 9 of 16 56% 8 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 13 1 of 2 1 of 1
Tabatha Ricci 6 of 14 42% 3 of 10 1 of 1 2 of 3 4 of 12 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Virna Jandiroba 14 of 38 36% 8 of 31 6 of 7 0 of 0 14 of 37 0 of 1 0 of 0
Tabatha Ricci 24 of 55 43% 19 of 47 3 of 5 2 of 3 22 of 52 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 29, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Angelo picks Virna Jandiroba, believing she is the better wrestler and can control the fight. He criticizes Tabatha Ricci's striking, saying she thinks she's a boxer but isn't, and her takedowns are poor. He notes Jandiroba is one judge away from being champion and expects her to grind out a win. He placed a half-unit bet on Jandiroba at +115.

Angelo says 'I threw a half a unit on Verna at plus 115.'
"Vera's going to get all the takedowns, have all the control time."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 30, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Big Brady leans toward Tabatha Ricci but with low confidence. He acknowledges Jandiroba is a higher-level grappler but thinks Ricci is stronger, has better wrestling, and is the better striker. He sees a path where Ricci stuffs takedowns and wins on the feet. He also notes Jandiroba's age (37) and potential lack of motivation after a title loss. He will not bet this fight.

No bet
"I'm leaning Ricci here. Not with a ton of confidence cuz Verna is a tricky tricky fighter to pick and bet against. I will not be betting this fight."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 2, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Cody picks Ricci because she is the better striker and has excellent takedown defense, making it hard for Jandiroba to hold her down. He believes the judges will favor damage over control time, and Ricci's striking will leave a lasting impression.

"Rei just maybe lands a few more damaging blows. Reachi's last fight with Hebas, you saw those elbows from the clinch, big shots against the cage. That's probably what's going to be the lasting impression on the judg's minds."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Apr 4, 2026 (fight day)

The host is torn on the winner, seeing strong cases for both. He initially leaned Ricci due to youth and volume, but after research, he sees Jandiroba's power and ground advantage as significant. He concludes the fight is too close to bet pre-fight and prefers live betting. However, he does bet Ricci +3.5 on the fight spread.

Bet on Tabatha Ricci +3.5 (fight spread).
"I do like Richie plus 3.5 just because I think with how much Janderroa slows down and the pace at which Richie fights at, I think no matter what happens, Richie will make Jander Robba work very hard."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Apr 1, 2026 (3 days before fight)

James mentions the co-main event but does not give a pick for either fighter. He only describes the matchup as interesting.

"We have a co-main event that doesn't light your hair on fire, but it's probably going to be a interesting match-up at least."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 30, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

James leans toward Virna Jandiroba as the underdog, surprised by the odds given Jandiroba's recent title fight and superior grappling. He believes Jandiroba's top control and submission threat are the best in the division, and that Ricci hasn't faced such a test. He notes Ricci's striking advantage but doubts her power, calling her knockout of Amanda Ribas a fluke. However, he hesitates due to Jandiroba's age (37) and potential post-title-fight letdown, and mentions he might bet the over instead. He picks Jandiroba via decision but is not confident enough to bet.

Considering over 2.5 rounds; no bet placed
"I have to pick Vera for that reason. I don't know if I'm going to bet her though honestly, boys."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 31, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

The host believes Jandiroba's grappling will be too much for Ricci, as she can get takedowns and keep Ricci in defensive positions. He notes Ricci's improved striking but doubts she can provide enough danger to keep Jandiroba from her game. He expects Jandiroba to win by decision, controlling the fight with top pressure.

"I think Janji Doba is a good enough grappler that she'll be able to keep Reachi in defensive positions for the most part... I like Jangidoba here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 2, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Paul leans towards Ricci, noting that Jandiroba's grappling-heavy style may not score well if judges prioritize damage. He acknowledges Jandiroba's takedown ability but thinks Ricci's striking and ability to get back up will be key.

"I don't know. It's basically a pick them and it's going to be a fight for who can get top control and really nobody's been getting top control and and and being able to win that type of fight against …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2026 (fight day)
Tabatha Ricci

The MMA Guru picks Tabatha Ricci, predicting a controversial decision win. He believes Ricci will be out-grappled but the judges will favor her, possibly setting up a future fight with Mackenzie Dern. He notes Jandiroba looked bad against Dern and that Ricci is coming off a TKO win.

Controversial decision predicted
"I'm going to go with Tabatha Ricci, man. I can see this being a weird scorecard, 29-28. They give it a win."
WIN vs Amanda Ribas
KO R2 2:59 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder · Jul 26, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Ribas 0 30 of 72 41% 77 of 122 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:18
Tabatha Ricci 0 34 of 76 44% 82 of 140 1 of 4 25% 0 0 4:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Ribas 0 22 of 47 46% 55 of 83 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:18
Tabatha Ricci 0 14 of 42 33% 48 of 86 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:39
2 Amanda Ribas 0 8 of 25 32% 22 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tabatha Ricci 0 20 of 34 58% 34 of 54 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Ribas 30 of 72 41% 18 of 57 5 of 6 7 of 9 29 of 68 1 of 4 0 of 0
Tabatha Ricci 34 of 76 44% 23 of 60 6 of 10 5 of 6 20 of 61 4 of 5 10 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Ribas 22 of 47 46% 13 of 37 5 of 5 4 of 5 22 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tabatha Ricci 14 of 42 33% 8 of 33 3 of 6 3 of 3 14 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Amanda Ribas 8 of 25 32% 5 of 20 0 of 1 3 of 4 7 of 21 1 of 4 0 of 0
Tabatha Ricci 20 of 34 58% 15 of 27 3 of 4 2 of 3 6 of 19 4 of 5 10 of 10
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Angelo picks Amanda Ribas but is split between brain and gut. He notes Ribas is well-rounded with solid takedown defense and striking, while Tabatha Ricci has abandoned her grappling for boxing due to her boyfriend's influence. He believes Ricci's new style is ineffective and Ribas is the better fighter, but acknowledges Ricci's pressure and cardio could cause an upset.

"Ultimately, the pick is going to be Amanda because the reality is while Amanda made a couple of mistakes in her last fight, she is the absolute type of person to feel bad for herself for about five minutes, pick …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Big Brady picks Amanda Ribas, believing she is the better striker and grappler. He notes Ribas has a reach advantage and a positive striking differential, while Ricci has low volume and a very short reach. He acknowledges Ribas has chin issues but thinks Ricci lacks power to exploit it. He predicts a decision win.

decision
"I got to go with Heboss here. I think she's just a little bit better everywhere."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 23, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Both women are flaky, but Ricci has the ability to work through Ribas's unflashy striking game and could even land takedowns to grind out a decision win.

Ricci by decision
"I think Richi has the ability to work through that unflashy game of Hebos in the striking room. And I think Richi could even land some takedowns to grind Hebos out. So, I'm going to go Reichi and Reichi by …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jul 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

The MMA Guru picks Tabatha Ricci despite acknowledging she has been 'gifted' decisions in the past. He notes Ribas's chinny nature and recent submission loss, but is hesitant because Ricci's wins are often controversial. He predicts a close 29-28 decision, possibly a robbery, in Ricci's favor.

"I'm going with Taba Richie to get this one done. She's an industry plant. ... Robbery 2928 decision."
LOSS vs Yan Xiaonan
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · Nov 23, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yan Xiaonan 0 78 of 161 48% 89 of 172 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tabatha Ricci 0 15 of 103 14% 17 of 106 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yan Xiaonan 0 16 of 40 40% 16 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tabatha Ricci 0 0 of 13 0% 0 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Yan Xiaonan 0 25 of 54 46% 34 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tabatha Ricci 0 8 of 30 26% 10 of 33 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:16
3 Yan Xiaonan 0 37 of 67 55% 39 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tabatha Ricci 0 7 of 60 11% 7 of 60 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yan Xiaonan 78 of 161 48% 45 of 118 25 of 34 8 of 9 77 of 159 1 of 2 0 of 0
Tabatha Ricci 15 of 103 14% 8 of 85 1 of 4 6 of 14 15 of 101 0 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yan Xiaonan 16 of 40 40% 5 of 25 7 of 11 4 of 4 16 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tabatha Ricci 0 of 13 0% 0 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Yan Xiaonan 25 of 54 46% 16 of 40 7 of 11 2 of 3 25 of 53 0 of 1 0 of 0
Tabatha Ricci 8 of 30 26% 3 of 21 1 of 3 4 of 6 8 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Yan Xiaonan 37 of 67 55% 24 of 53 11 of 12 2 of 2 36 of 66 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tabatha Ricci 7 of 60 11% 5 of 52 0 of 1 2 of 7 7 of 59 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Yan Xiaonan

Angelo picks Yan Xiaonan, praising her boxing and technical striking. He acknowledges Tabatha Ricci's pressure and cardio but believes Yan's skills and takedown defense will prevail. He suggests the over 2.5 rounds is a good bet.

over two and a half rounds is good as gold
"Yan is going to be the pick tabi his pressure can obviously winner round winner a couple of rounds so the over two and a half to plus three and a half good as gold"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Big Brady picks Tabatha Ricci with little confidence. He thinks the odds are off and that Yan Xiaonan's takedown defense is questionable, recalling the Carla Esparza loss where Yan was easily taken down. If Ricci can get takedowns, she can win minutes on top. Even on the feet, Ricci can push Yan against the cage and burn clock. Brady sees a path for Ricci to win by decision but is not confident.

"I'm going to pick re with like little to no confidence just because I feel like two takedowns in this fight could be could be a win"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Cody picks Ricci as a live underdog, arguing that Yan's takedown defense is suspect and Ricci's grappling is elite. He notes that Ricci has taken down multiple black belts and that Yan was exposed by Carla Esparza's wrestling. He believes Ricci can get takedowns, control top position, and grind out a decision or even a submission. He likes Ricci by decision at plus money.

Ricci by decision
"I see a world where Yan couldn't win too sure but at minus 200 I I don't want to live in that world I want to live in the one where tab the REI scores here as an underdog"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Yan Xiaonan

Connor also picks Yan, emphasizing that Yan's boxing is far superior and that Ricci's grappling, while strong, may not be effective against a bigger, high-output striker. He notes that Ricci's top game is static and she struggles to finish, so Yan can survive takedowns and win on the feet. Connor agrees that the three-round format helps Ricci but still favors Yan.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I think I'm gonna pick Yan as well, but that certainly makes it difficult. I think it should be a close odds kind of fight, but I will take Yan Xiaonan mostly because I don't trust Ricci's process."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Yan Xiaonan

Daniel Vreeland is a long-time Yan Xiaonan backer and continues the trend here. He sees a big size and striking advantage for Yan, noting Ricci's janky striking and poor top control. He references Ricci's inability to hold down Angela Hill and believes Yan's improved takedown defense and toughness will allow her to get back up. He expects Yan to light Ricci up on the feet and win decisively.

"I'm going right back to Yan xan and let me explain to you exactly why"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Yan Xiaonan

James leans towards Yan Xiaonan as the better striker, but is cautious due to Yan coming off a brutal loss and Ricci's improving grappling. He expects Yan to win a 29-28 decision on damage, but considers it a pass fight with no strong betting opinion.

"I feel like Yan Janam will win it on damage maybe 2928"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Yan Xiaonan

Paul picks Yan Xiaonan but is hesitant, noting that Ricci has a path to victory via takedowns and control. He thinks Yan's striking power and ferocity will be the difference, but she must stay off her back and get up immediately if taken down. He expects a close fight that goes to decision and could see a split.

"I think it's a rightful favorite as long as she comes back from a very significant beating... xan with the the more uh devastating punches will be the pick"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Yan Xiaonan

The MMA Guru picks Yan Xiaonan over Tabatha Ricci, citing Yan's better boxing, range control, and size advantage. He notes Yan has fought top competition, including a decision loss to Zhang Weili where she dropped Zhang, and wins over Jessica Andrade and Mackenzie Dern. He believes Ricci's 'bunder' won't sway judges in China. He predicts a decision win for Yan.

decision win
"I'm gonna go Yan xiaan getting this one done by decision win"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Yan Xiaonan

Zane picks Yan Xiaonan, citing her superior striking volume, technique, and power. He acknowledges Ricci's improved boxing and strong double-leg takedown, but doubts Ricci's ability to control Yan on the ground due to size and static top game. Zane also notes that the three-round format helps Ricci, but Yan's striking advantage should carry her if she avoids being controlled for two rounds.

Yan opened -196, now -190; Ricci opened +172, now +167.
"I think I'm gonna pick Yan as well, but that certainly makes it difficult. I think it should be a close odds kind of fight, but I will take Yan Xiaonan mostly because I don't trust Ricci's process."
WIN vs Angela Hill
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Borralho · Aug 24, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tabatha Ricci 0 112 of 216 51% 140 of 245 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
Angela Hill 0 101 of 239 42% 140 of 280 3 of 4 75% 0 0 5:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tabatha Ricci 0 21 of 47 44% 35 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Angela Hill 0 27 of 62 43% 42 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:07
2 Tabatha Ricci 0 44 of 79 55% 51 of 87 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Angela Hill 0 35 of 76 46% 44 of 86 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:58
3 Tabatha Ricci 0 47 of 90 52% 54 of 97 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Angela Hill 0 39 of 101 38% 54 of 116 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:59
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tabatha Ricci 112 of 216 51% 66 of 152 43 of 61 3 of 3 88 of 182 19 of 26 5 of 8
Angela Hill 101 of 239 42% 82 of 215 8 of 13 11 of 11 88 of 219 10 of 14 3 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tabatha Ricci 21 of 47 44% 10 of 34 11 of 13 0 of 0 14 of 37 7 of 10 0 of 0
Angela Hill 27 of 62 43% 18 of 52 4 of 5 5 of 5 20 of 53 7 of 9 0 of 0
2 Tabatha Ricci 44 of 79 55% 27 of 52 14 of 24 3 of 3 32 of 62 8 of 10 4 of 7
Angela Hill 35 of 76 46% 29 of 67 2 of 5 4 of 4 31 of 68 1 of 2 3 of 6
3 Tabatha Ricci 47 of 90 52% 29 of 66 18 of 24 0 of 0 42 of 83 4 of 6 1 of 1
Angela Hill 39 of 101 38% 35 of 96 2 of 3 2 of 2 37 of 98 2 of 3 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Angela Hill vs. Tabatha Ricci
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ricci (-112), Hill (-108)

Round 1
While Magny-Morales was one “passing of the torch” match, this co-main event is set up to be one as well. At the tender age of 39, Hill (17-13, 12-13 UFC) has won four of five and is trying to make one final push to get into top contention at 115 pounds. Ricci (10-2, 5-2 UFC) saw her own momentum fall away after a close loss last year, but a razor-close victory in May got her back in the win column. While the two are on the outer edge of the top 10, it is a must-win encounter for either woman. Referee Keith Peterson serves as the official for the nonsense-free strawweight tilt, and the ladies have no interest in touching gloves. Ricci marches forward and gets caught with a right hand early, and she pushes in to tie Hill up against the fence. Hill uses her elbow to try to frame off, and Ricci gets her underhooks in pursuit of a body lock takedown. Hill uses knees to fight her way out, and she eats a right hand on the outside. Ricci blasts forward to attack, landing a few shots, and Hill lands one back before they clinch up again. Ricci tries for another takedown, but Hill stands her up as they trade knees. The two break, and Hill pushes off a front kick when she gets space. Ricci connects at the end of a right hand, and she lands a second and ducks under a Hill counter to change levels. Hill defends it and breaks free, but not before absorbing a flush knee to the breadbasket. Both ladies land one big right hand, and Ricci resets and races at her, attacking with a tornado of offense. Hill responds and pushes her away, and she ducks down to smack “Baby Shark” with an overhand right. Ricci blitzes once more, and Hill is out of harm’s way in time. Ricci lands a low kick and punches her way in, although Hill strafes to the side to disrupt the forward momentum. Ricci nonetheless runs straight at her to the her up, ignoring a knee up the middle to try for something. Hill stops a takedown before it materializes and separates. Hill sneaks a right hand around a jab, and she spins with an elbow but Ricci is out of range. Hill targets the body with three punches, and Ricci walks her down and tries to slug it out. Hill hits her back and decides to initiate the clinch, and they jockey for position while Hill tries for her own trip takedown. Ricci stifles it and gets kneed in the belly, and Hill targets the same spot with another as they split apart. They let frantic hands fly right to the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ricci
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ricci
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ricci

Round 2
Ricci pushes the pace right out of her corner, not slowing down even when Hill punches her in the face. Ricci uses her momentum to sling Hill to the mat, and she drops down fierce hammerfists and is drilled with an upkick. Ricci lowers herself down, and Hill sets up a triangle choke to keep her honest. When Ricci backs off, Hill powers her way back to her feet, and Ricci is quick to jam her up against the fencing. Hill turns her about and breaks free, tossing out a head kick that is nowhere near the target. Ricci gathers a head of steam and rushes forward, and Hill backs her off with a short combination ending with a body kick. Ricci lands two punches, Hill scores back, and Ricci is right there to keep the pressure on. Ricci looks for an up-elbow as she throws everything at her opponent, and Hill catches her with a right hand and ducks down to grab hold of her lead leg to take her off-balance. Hill catches a kick to drag Ricci to the wall, but she cannot hold it. Hill targets the body with a knee, and when Ricci backs off, Hill kicks her in the ribs. Ricci sprints into clinch range, and Hill lines up a Thai clinch to knee her in the midsection. Hill breaks off with a body kick, and she jabs and leans to avoid a knee flying at her melon. Ricci scores a one-two, and Hill responds with a push kick. A leaping elbow strike from Ricci brushes off the guard, and the two are mixing it up and not letting either get an upper hand. Hill drops down and comes up with a right hand, and Ricci stands right in front of her and bops her with an uppercut. Hill sits down on a hard right hand, and Ricci answers her back immediately. Hill connects with another clean right, and Ricci wants to slug it out until she shoots in for a single and hits it. Hill ties her up with a one-armed guillotine until Ricci is able to wrench her neck out. Ricci sits up, and Hill hacks with elbows. Ricci gets pushed off with upkicks, and the two meet in the clinch and start blasting one another like Frye vs. Takayama until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ricci
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hill

Round 3
The two women come out firing immediately, with Ricci running into the melee. Hill drills her with a spinning elbow, forcing Ricci to take a back step. Ricci takes a quick count of her teeth and throws back, with Hill answering and reddening her nose up with more powerful strikes. Ricci targets the body with a kick, and Hill comes over the top with a right hand and tries for an up-elbow. Hill shoots for a takedown, and Ricci turns her around and puts Hill on her seat. Hill kicks off Ricci’s chest to send Ricci flying, and they both get back up. Ricci plods forward, and Hill stands right in the pocket and trades until Ricci’s forward movement results in a clinch. Ricci slows things down as she stomps Hill’s toes and offers the occasional knee, and Hill knees her back until they split up. Ricci beats Hill to the punch in an exchange, and Hill appears to be slowing while Ricci is just as amped up as ever. Hill buzzes the hair with a spinning elbow, and she drives a right hand on the chin and a front kick. Ricci crashes forward to strike, and Hill intercepts her with an uppercut and backs off to take a breath. Hill eats a left hand and counters, and she kicks Ricci in the ribs. Ricci lands a head shot and then one to the body, and Hill kicks her in the guts. Ricci shoots for a low double, and Hill defends and latches onto Ricci’s neck. Ricci pulls her head out of danger, and Hill kicks her in the ribs. Even with Hill appearing winded, she still outlands Ricci and draws some blood with her fists. Hill kicks the body and then spins with an elbow that grazes the cheek. Ricci scores a single leg kick, and she follows it with a one-two. Hill throws back, knocking Ricci back with a hard right hand and uppercuts Ricci in the chin for good measure. Hill jumps forward with a knee, and as Ricci rushes at her, Hill knees her twice more. Ricci backs off, and Hill kicks her a few more times until this wild and crazy strawweight scrap comes to a close. It’s anyone’s guess who will get their hand raised after that frenetic 15-minute fracas.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hill (29-28 Hill)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hill (29-28 Ricci)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hill (29-28 Hill)

The Official Result
Tabatha Ricci def. Angela Hill via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Angela Hill

Angelo picks Angela Hill, citing her veteran savvy, length, cardio, and experience. He notes that Hill has found a late-career resurgence at 39 and is a high-IQ striker who can avoid takedowns and exploit rookie mistakes. He mentions that Ricci went 1-for-10 on takedowns in her last fight and was outstruck, but judges favored her pressure. He thinks Hill can steal a decision and recommends the over 2.5 rounds.

over 2.5 rounds
"Angela Hill is going to be the pick the over two and a half is probably good here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Cody picks Ricci because of her youth, athleticism, and superior grappling. He believes she can take Hill down and control the fight, as Hill is not as elusive as other grapplers Ricci has faced. He notes Ricci's path to victory is clear: mix in takedowns and control time. He also mentions that Hill is 39 and may not have the same durability.

Tabatha Ricci by decision
"I'm going go with tabii if I want to try to move it over to a little plus money I would take tabichi by decision"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Aug 22, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Daniel Vreeland picks Tabatha Ricci but is not confident due to inconsistent judging. He notes Ricci's improving volume and jiu-jitsu advantage, while Hill has been on a resurgence. He thinks Ricci might win by split decision or submission, but acknowledges the fight could be a robbery.

submission
"I'll go Tabitha here but could be a split it could be a sub it could be a robbery"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Angela Hill

Brevin picks Angela Hill, noting she has entered her prime at 39 with sharp striking and improved grappling. He thinks her length and volume will be key. He acknowledges Ricci's grappling advantage but believes Hill can defend takedowns and win on the feet. JP disagrees, picking Ricci by decision, citing Hill's 12-13 UFC record and age. He thinks Ricci's grappling, though not submission-heavy, will be enough, and notes Hill goes to decision often but doesn't win dominantly.

over 1.5 rounds, fight goes distance
"I think I'm gonna take Angela Hill in this one um I think it's a pick him right now but I'm going with the striker over the grappler give me Andre Hill"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 20, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Angela Hill

Paul leans towards Hill because of her high volume striking and improved grappling. He thinks Hill can outwork Ricci on the feet and avoid takedowns. He notes the fight is a coin flip but sides with the steam on Hill. He also mentions that Hill's experience and recent submission win show her grappling improvements.

"I side with the steam I think that um that Angela Hill can put up super volume and we have seen at least massive improvements in the grapple game"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Angela Hill

The MMA Guru picks Angela Hill because he thinks she is a much better fighter than Tabatha Ricci. He worries about Ricci holding her down but believes Hill's striking and experience will prevail. He notes Hill's recent win over Denise Gomes and expects a decision victory.

decision
"I think Angela Hill is a way better fighter than taba for Richie um so I'll go with Angela Hill"
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento · May 11, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tabatha Ricci 0 54 of 143 37% 94 of 186 1 of 10 10% 0 0 5:15
Tecia Pennington 0 80 of 219 36% 92 of 231 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tabatha Ricci 0 25 of 76 32% 26 of 77 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:07
Tecia Pennington 0 42 of 107 39% 47 of 112 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Tabatha Ricci 0 10 of 27 37% 32 of 50 0 of 5 0% 0 0 3:01
Tecia Pennington 0 15 of 47 31% 21 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Tabatha Ricci 0 19 of 40 47% 36 of 59 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:07
Tecia Pennington 0 23 of 65 35% 24 of 66 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tabatha Ricci 54 of 143 37% 32 of 105 9 of 19 13 of 19 48 of 135 6 of 8 0 of 0
Tecia Pennington 80 of 219 36% 64 of 194 6 of 14 10 of 11 70 of 193 10 of 26 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tabatha Ricci 25 of 76 32% 12 of 52 5 of 11 8 of 13 23 of 72 2 of 4 0 of 0
Tecia Pennington 42 of 107 39% 32 of 93 4 of 8 6 of 6 36 of 94 6 of 13 0 of 0
2 Tabatha Ricci 10 of 27 37% 7 of 22 1 of 2 2 of 3 10 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tecia Pennington 15 of 47 31% 11 of 41 0 of 1 4 of 5 13 of 39 2 of 8 0 of 0
3 Tabatha Ricci 19 of 40 47% 13 of 31 3 of 6 3 of 3 15 of 36 4 of 4 0 of 0
Tecia Pennington 23 of 65 35% 21 of 60 2 of 5 0 of 0 21 of 60 2 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 5, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Angelo picks Tabatha Ricci because he doubts Tecia Pennington will be the same fighter after having a baby and a two-year layoff. He notes Ricci's relentless takedowns and top pressure, and that she has beaten good grapplers. He acknowledges Pennington's well-rounded skills but thinks the layoff and motherhood are too big a question mark.

"I got to go with thei here she's a very tiny slight favorite"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 8, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Big Brady picks Tecia Pennington (Torres) for the upset, despite acknowledging red flags like her two-year layoff after having a baby. He believes Torres has the better striking and volume, and that even if Ricci takes her down, Torres has a good get-up game and is physically strong. He notes Ricci's path to victory is getting takedowns, but she failed to do so in losses to Fiorot and Lupi. He expects the fight to primarily take place standing, favoring Torres.

"I like Torres to win um there's a ton of red flags on her side I'm fully aware of that um but as far as a pick goes because I got to make a pick I'm taking Torres for the …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Cody picks Pennington but is leaning, not confident. He notes that Pennington (formerly Torres) has a history of high volume and has fought the best, but she is coming off a layoff and a loss. He thinks her volume and takedown defense will be key, and she can outwork Ricci on the feet. However, he acknowledges it's a coin flip and wishes for better plus money.

"I wish I had better plus money on TSH t i really wish I do but slight plus money I think it's plus 110"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked May 9, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Daniel Vreeland picks Tabatha Ricci, but hesitantly. He notes that Tecia Pennington is the better fighter on her best day, but she is coming off a pregnancy, which often leads to a drop in performance. He also questions Ricci's level but thinks the pregnancy factor gives Ricci the edge. He acknowledges it could go either way.

"I'm G pick Tabitha because she's not the one coming off a baby she is the one with a little momentum but it would not surprise me if Tisha won this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

The host picks Pennington due to her takedown defense and striking speed, which should keep the fight upright and cause Ricci problems. He notes the long layoff after childbirth as a concern but thinks the stylistic matchup favors her. He would only bet if the line moves to +150, indicating a lean rather than a confident play.

Would only bet if line reaches +150 range
"I'm going to go with Pennington here Pennington by decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

Paul picks Pennington, citing her volume and experience. He notes that Ricci's striking is stiff and she relies on takedowns, but Pennington has good takedown defense. Paul thinks Pennington can outwork Ricci in a competitive decision. However, he is not confident and calls it a coin flip.

"Pennington will be the pick but it's a coin flip bro"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Tecia Pennington

The MMA Guru picks Tecia Pennington (formerly Torres) as an underdog over Tabatha Ricci. He criticizes Ricci's standup as 'atrocious' and notes that Ricci only wins when she gets takedowns, which Pennington's wrestling background should prevent. He highlights Pennington's ability to avoid being held down and her superior striking, predicting a clear decision win.

"I'm going Tisha Pennington here as the underdog... 90% of people are picking Tabitha Rich here I think her stand Up's atrocious."
LOSS vs Loopy Godinez
Decision (split) (27–30, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · Nov 11, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Loopy Godinez 0 84 of 224 37% 91 of 232 0 of 6 0% 0 0 1:22
Tabatha Ricci 0 98 of 221 44% 101 of 225 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Loopy Godinez 0 22 of 61 36% 24 of 64 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:51
Tabatha Ricci 0 23 of 73 31% 23 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Loopy Godinez 0 31 of 90 34% 32 of 91 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:08
Tabatha Ricci 0 36 of 72 50% 38 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Loopy Godinez 0 31 of 73 42% 35 of 77 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
Tabatha Ricci 0 39 of 76 51% 40 of 77 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Loopy Godinez 84 of 224 37% 68 of 197 8 of 11 8 of 16 78 of 218 4 of 4 2 of 2
Tabatha Ricci 98 of 221 44% 81 of 200 15 of 19 2 of 2 85 of 207 11 of 12 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Loopy Godinez 22 of 61 36% 17 of 50 3 of 3 2 of 8 20 of 59 2 of 2 0 of 0
Tabatha Ricci 23 of 73 31% 18 of 67 5 of 6 0 of 0 19 of 69 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Loopy Godinez 31 of 90 34% 24 of 80 3 of 5 4 of 5 29 of 88 0 of 0 2 of 2
Tabatha Ricci 36 of 72 50% 29 of 63 6 of 8 1 of 1 32 of 67 2 of 3 2 of 2
3 Loopy Godinez 31 of 73 42% 27 of 67 2 of 3 2 of 3 29 of 71 2 of 2 0 of 0
Tabatha Ricci 39 of 76 51% 34 of 70 4 of 5 1 of 1 34 of 71 5 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Angelo picks Godinez, emphasizing her wrestling and size advantage. He criticizes Ricci's striking and takedowns, believing Godinez can defend takedowns and win on the feet. He is not insanely confident but thinks Godinez gets it done.

"I think lupy ginz wins this fight... she's going to be the pick here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Big Brady picks Loopy Godinez by decision. He believes Godinez is the better striker with good volume and power, and also the better wrestler with strong takedown defense. He thinks Godinez can dictate where the fight takes place and win striking exchanges even if she doesn't wrestle. He notes Godinez's past fight IQ issues but doesn't think they'll matter here.

Godinez by decision
"I like Loopy here... give me Loopy Godinez and Loopy Godinez by decision for the simp pick of the week."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Cody picks Godinez, citing her boxing volume, pressure, and improved ring IQ. He notes she has size and strength advantages, and that Ricci's wrestling likely won't be enough. He thinks Godinez wins on volume and pressure, though he's not confident enough to bet heavily.

"godz wins so the only thing that's crazy about this card this week is like I like onz I also like Mackenzie D so it's like how could this possibly go wrong"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 7, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Godinez's wrestling background should allow her to keep the fight upright where she has the striking advantage. Ricci will need to take it to the ground to have success, but Godinez can control where the fight takes place. The line has moved from -120/-130 to -170, which makes sense, but he would prefer a better line around -130 to bet. Prediction is Godinez by decision.

"my prediction is going to be Lupita ginz and I think she wins this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Paul agrees, noting Godinez's striking advantage and that Ricci's wrestling will be negated. He thinks Godinez will win on volume, though he acknowledges the New York commission can be unpredictable. He sees Godinez as the rightful favorite.

"I kind of think that this fight the wrestling's going to basically be negated and ly's going to win on volume"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The MMA Guru picks Loopy Godinez, citing her advantage in standup and aggression. He thinks Godinez will force a high pace that Ricci is not comfortable with, and notes that Godinez is tough and throws punches like a man. He predicts a decision win for Godinez.

by decision
"I'm going to go with Lupita ginz here... I think Lupa godinez is aggressiveness and willingness to lead the dance is what's going to get her the advantage here"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Emmett vs. Topuria · Jun 24, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tabatha Ricci 0 100 of 315 31% 101 of 318 3 of 8 37% 0 0 0:38
Gillian Robertson 0 76 of 219 34% 78 of 225 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tabatha Ricci 0 29 of 80 36% 30 of 81 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:30
Gillian Robertson 0 12 of 48 25% 14 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
2 Tabatha Ricci 0 31 of 114 27% 31 of 115 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:08
Gillian Robertson 0 36 of 86 41% 36 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Tabatha Ricci 0 40 of 121 33% 40 of 122 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Gillian Robertson 0 28 of 85 32% 28 of 86 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tabatha Ricci 100 of 315 31% 59 of 257 17 of 25 24 of 33 95 of 306 3 of 7 2 of 2
Gillian Robertson 76 of 219 34% 31 of 150 24 of 40 21 of 29 74 of 212 2 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tabatha Ricci 29 of 80 36% 17 of 60 2 of 6 10 of 14 27 of 77 0 of 1 2 of 2
Gillian Robertson 12 of 48 25% 4 of 34 4 of 9 4 of 5 12 of 46 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Tabatha Ricci 31 of 114 27% 16 of 94 8 of 10 7 of 10 31 of 112 0 of 2 0 of 0
Gillian Robertson 36 of 86 41% 14 of 56 9 of 12 13 of 18 35 of 83 1 of 3 0 of 0
3 Tabatha Ricci 40 of 121 33% 26 of 103 7 of 9 7 of 9 37 of 117 3 of 4 0 of 0
Gillian Robertson 28 of 85 32% 13 of 60 11 of 19 4 of 6 27 of 83 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Angelo picks Tabatha Ricci, citing her strength, pressure, and superior grappling. He believes Ricci is too strong for Gillian Robertson to take down and will be the better grappler on the ground. He has half a unit on Ricci at -121 and notes the line has yo-yoed. He sees Ricci as the next evolution of the wrestle-boxer style.

half unit on Tabatha Ricci at -121
"I just like Tabitha Ricci to get it done I have half a unit on her at minus 121"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Big Brady leans towards Tabatha Ricci, believing she will be the better wrestler and striker. He notes Robertson's poor takedown defense (25%) and tendency to accept being on her back. He thinks Ricci's Judo background and BJJ black belt will allow her to get takedowns and control the fight. He predicts a decision win but acknowledges it could go either way.

"I'll say Tabitha Richie grinds this one out and wins a decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gillian Robertson

Cody picks Robertson, citing her size and strength advantage. He notes her grappling credentials but acknowledges her struggles against good wrestlers. He thinks the plus money is worth it and expects a close fight.

"I'll take the plus money on whoever it is and it's Tabitha Richie so I'm taking the plus money is on Jillian Robertson."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Connor picks Ricci because she is strong, an excellent grappler, and increasingly comfortable on the feet. He notes that Robertson's winning condition is narrow: she must get on top and dominate with submissions or ground and pound. Ricci is difficult to take down and is rapidly improving everywhere, while Robertson had to learn striking and still looks awkward. Connor also points out that Ricci seems to enjoy striking and will look significantly faster than Robertson. He suggests Ricci could even choose to avoid grappling entirely and work on her striking against a slower, more cumbersome opponent.

"I got to pick Ricci just to be able to dart in and land big right hands. And hit double legs."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Daniel Levi picks Tabatha Ricci, citing her ability to keep the fight standing or wrestle in reverse. He notes Robertson's submission threat but thinks Ricci's jiu-jitsu and physicality can neutralize it. He believes Ricci has more paths to victory and can survive on the ground if needed.

"I just I just see more paths for Richie"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

The host picks Tabatha Ricci to win by decision. He believes Ricci is a superior grappler and wrestler who will get top position and control Robertson. He notes Robertson's tendency to play off her back and thinks Ricci will be too privy to her submission attempts. He expects Ricci to dominate the fight with top control and win a decision.

"I think that Tabitha Richie will shut all of that down I think she is a superior Grappler"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Paul picks Ricci, citing her striking advantage and top control. He notes her training with Mackenzie Dern and thinks she can avoid Robertson's submissions. He mentions he already bet Ricci at -125.

"I've got yeah minus 125 Tabitha Ricci."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Gillian Robertson

The Guru picks Gillian Robertson over the majority pick Tabatha Ricci. He believes Robertson's length and reach advantage will allow her to lead the dance, and she does more damage on the ground with ground and pound. He thinks both are grapplers but Robertson's aggression and experience will win her a split decision based on damage.

Predicts split decision win.
"I'm actually gonna go with Jillian Robertson here over Tabitha for Richie"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Ricci. He notes that Robertson's winning condition is narrow: she must get on top and dominate with submissions or ground and pound. Ricci is difficult to take down and is rapidly improving everywhere, while Robertson had to learn striking and still looks awkward. Zane also points out that Ricci seems to enjoy striking and will look significantly faster than Robertson. He suggests Ricci could even choose to avoid grappling entirely and work on her striking against a slower, more cumbersome opponent.

"I think I'm with you. I just think Julian Robertson's wind condition is very narrow, like she has to be able to out wrestle somebody because she has to get on top of them."
WIN vs Jessica Penne
Submission (armbar) R2 2:14 · UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · Mar 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tabatha Ricci 0 6 of 25 24% 19 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jessica Penne 0 36 of 54 66% 81 of 109 4 of 5 80% 1 0 5:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tabatha Ricci 0 3 of 13 23% 14 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica Penne 0 26 of 39 66% 62 of 83 3 of 4 75% 0 0 3:54
2 Tabatha Ricci 0 3 of 12 25% 5 of 14 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jessica Penne 0 10 of 15 66% 19 of 26 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tabatha Ricci 6 of 25 24% 4 of 20 2 of 4 0 of 1 4 of 23 1 of 1 1 of 1
Jessica Penne 36 of 54 66% 19 of 35 2 of 2 15 of 17 15 of 32 2 of 2 19 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tabatha Ricci 3 of 13 23% 2 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jessica Penne 26 of 39 66% 13 of 26 1 of 1 12 of 12 9 of 22 1 of 1 16 of 16
2 Tabatha Ricci 3 of 12 25% 2 of 8 1 of 3 0 of 1 2 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jessica Penne 10 of 15 66% 6 of 9 1 of 1 3 of 5 6 of 10 1 of 1 3 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Angelo is confident in Tabatha Ricci, citing her strong grappling, top pressure, and submission skills. He notes that Jessica Penne has only 40% takedown defense and that Ricci should dominate with her wrestling. Angelo bet 1.5 units on Ricci at -240.

"Tabitha Ricci is a very good Grappler always looking for submissions she doesn't sacrifice position or chase either she's very heavy on top good pressure good control"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Big Brady picks Tabatha Ricci, noting her ability to dictate where the fight takes place with her wrestling and judo. He mentions Penne's poor takedown defense (40%) and that Ricci can safely grapple without getting caught in submissions. He predicts a decision win for Ricci, with the fight primarily on the mat.

"I'm gonna take Richie to win this fight I'm gonna take her to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Cody picks Ricci, citing her youth, judo, and well-rounded game. He thinks Penne is too old and has been off for four years. He expects Ricci to win by decision or submission.

Tabatha Ricci by decision
"tab the reach you have to reach you by decision"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Connor picks Tabatha Ricci, though he is not confident. He notes that Ricci is a high-level BJJ black belt and will likely take the fight to the ground, where Penne is actually good. However, he thinks Ricci's aggression and functional grappling will allow her to win positions and avoid being submitted. Connor admits the fight is hard to analyze and could go either way.

"I guess I got to take Ricci because I just don't see the fact that she's gonna go into the only place where penne is actually good as like a death sentence for her."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Jacob agrees with Angelo, comparing this fight to Ricci's previous win over Polyana Viana. He believes Penne is a step down in competition and that Ricci will dominate with her pressure and top control. Jacob is fully confident in Ricci.

"I think that this is going to be honestly a carbon copy of that Pollyanna Vienna fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Ricci is a high-level BJJ black belt with good wrestling and control time. Penne is 40, has poor striking, and relies on dragging fights to the ground, but Ricci will likely be on top and avoid submissions. Ricci grinds out a decision victory.

"I think this is a great stylistic matchup for Tabitha Richie... I think penny is more than likely going to be fighting off of her back for the majority of this matchup and I just don't think it's going to …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Paul agrees with Cody, picking Ricci. He notes the line has moved from -175 to -325, indicating sharp money. He thinks Ricci's grappling and youth will be too much for Penne.

"they've tightened up that number to stay away from maybe Richie's to pick"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

The MMA Guru picks Tabatha Ricci, citing Jessica Penne's age (40) and Ricci's grappling advantage. He expects Ricci to control top position and win a split decision, noting that women's MMA judging often favors control time.

"I'm gonna trust in taba for Richie... I think she's going to be able to get down Jessica Penney and sort of like ride out top position."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Zane also picks Ricci, agreeing that her functional aggression and grappling will be enough to overcome Penne's awkward style. He notes that Penne's striking is robotic and she struggles with range, while Ricci will close the distance and make it a grappling match. Zane thinks Ricci's speed and confidence give her an edge, but he is not fully convinced.

"I think I'll pick Ricci too just because I think she's gonna fight with you know a functional aggression that will get her into good positions."
Maria Oliveira - Fight History
LOSS vs Diana Belbiţă
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · Jun 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Diana Belbiţă 0 106 of 208 50% 154 of 258 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:04
Maria Oliveira 0 64 of 168 38% 85 of 200 2 of 5 40% 0 0 4:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Diana Belbiţă 0 41 of 84 48% 60 of 104 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Maria Oliveira 0 28 of 66 42% 36 of 79 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:20
2 Diana Belbiţă 0 22 of 37 59% 49 of 65 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:29
Maria Oliveira 0 7 of 17 41% 19 of 35 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:37
3 Diana Belbiţă 0 43 of 87 49% 45 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Maria Oliveira 0 29 of 85 34% 30 of 86 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Diana Belbiţă 106 of 208 50% 71 of 165 20 of 25 15 of 18 76 of 176 22 of 24 8 of 8
Maria Oliveira 64 of 168 38% 45 of 142 11 of 18 8 of 8 62 of 166 1 of 1 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Diana Belbiţă 41 of 84 48% 30 of 68 4 of 7 7 of 9 33 of 76 4 of 4 4 of 4
Maria Oliveira 28 of 66 42% 19 of 55 6 of 8 3 of 3 28 of 66 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Diana Belbiţă 22 of 37 59% 9 of 24 11 of 11 2 of 2 6 of 20 12 of 13 4 of 4
Maria Oliveira 7 of 17 41% 5 of 15 1 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 Diana Belbiţă 43 of 87 49% 32 of 73 5 of 7 6 of 7 37 of 80 6 of 7 0 of 0
Maria Oliveira 29 of 85 34% 21 of 72 4 of 9 4 of 4 28 of 84 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Maria Oliveira

Angelo picks Maria Oliveira as an underdog. He notes that Diana Belbiţă has been out for over a year due to injuries, while Maria has fought three times in that span. He believes Maria's durability and forward pressure will be key, and that Diana may struggle with takedowns or slow down. He sees Maria winning a close fight.

"I like Maria Oliveira to get this done right off the rip"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jun 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Diana Belbiţă

Big Brady picks Diana Belbiţă because she can exploit Maria Oliveira's poor takedown defense with her judo and throws. Oliveira is the better technical striker, but Belbiţă throws high volume and can mix in takedowns to win close rounds. He also notes the Canadian factor may help in a close decision. He is not confident and has little interest in the fight.

"I think where she does win this fight is going to be just mixing of the takedowns getting the fight down to the mat... give me balbita for the win"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Diana Belbiţă

Cody picks Diana Belbiţă, noting that Oliveira is willing to stand and trade, which plays into Belbiţă's hands. He believes Belbiţă has improved her cardio and counter-wrestling under Kruelion. He thinks Oliveira's lack of wrestling will allow Belbiţă to keep the fight standing and win a striking battle. He expects a decision win for Belbiţă.

Over 2.5 rounds (parlayed with under in Nelson vs Bilder)
"I think belvita wins it so maybe a Strike King Tit for Tat type battle"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 9, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Maria Oliveira

Connor also picks Maria Oliveira, agreeing that Belbiţă lacks core strength and can be pushed around. He notes that Oliveira's losses are to very good athletes like Vanessa Demopoulos, Tabitha Ricci, and Kana Asakura, while Belbiţă is not at that level. Connor thinks the odds could be more skewed toward Oliveira, as Belbiţă has struggled against anyone who takes her out of her game.

Oliveira opened -122, now -100; Belbiţă opened -122, now -110
"Yeah, I I think the odds could stand to be a little more skewed towards all of air here."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Diana Belbiţă

Daniel Levi picks Diana Belbiţă, citing her higher volume and better cardio compared to Maria Oliveira, who he considers one of the worst fighters in the UFC. He notes that Oliveira pushes her punches and has poor fundamentals, while Belbiţă puts out a ton of volume and has shown grit. He believes Belbiţă will outwork Oliveira and win a decision, especially with the Canadian crowd behind her.

"I got Deanna belvita to alvolume Marina Oliveira and win a decision"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2023 (fight day)
Diana Belbiţă

James picks Diana Belbiţă to win by decision. He notes that Belbiţă has better striking fundamentals with her hands up and sharp punches, while Maria Oliveira is wild with her chin up. He believes Belbiţă can also take Oliveira down if she wants, as Oliveira has a terrible ground game. He predicts the fight goes to decision but suggests betting on the fight ending inside distance at plus money due to the volatility of low-level women's MMA.

Fight ends inside distance at +200; KO at +900 to +1000
"I am predicting Diana balbita to win via decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Diana Belbiţă

Belbiţă has an aggressive striking style with good body work and forward pressure. She's been improving her defensive grappling and should land more effective strikes than Oliveira, who was dropped multiple times in her last fight. The home crowd advantage in Vancouver may help her in a close decision. However, this is a low-confidence lean given both women are similar strikers.

"I'm gonna have to lean with the Canadian or Romanian Canadian here in Diana balbita I feel like her aggressive striking style will be able to land more effective strikes on Oliveira"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Maria Oliveira

Paul leans toward Maria Oliveira, citing her slight grappling advantage and reach. He notes that Belbiţă's big win over Hannah Goldie came with a significant reach advantage, and Oliveira is similarly sized. He thinks Oliveira's takedowns and submission threat could be the difference. He acknowledges it's a close fight and expects a decision.

Over 2.5 rounds (parlayed with under in Nelson vs Bilder)
"I'm gonna lean ever so slightly to the Brazilians so watch me have another Shoei next week because of a home cooking Canadian decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Maria Oliveira

The MMA Guru leans towards Maria Oliveira because she is faster and more talented on the feet, with a range advantage despite being shorter. He notes that Diana Belbiţă has poor grappling, having been submitted when attempting a takedown and out-grappled by Molly McCann. He expects a stand-up fight and predicts a close decision win for Oliveira.

"I am leaning towards Maria Oliveira because both of these women aren't all that good whatsoever"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 9, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Maria Oliveira

Zane picks Maria Oliveira, citing Belbiţă's lack of core strength, which makes her easy to push around. He notes that Oliveira is a more comfortable, athletic striker who is faster and more confident. Belbiţă's striking has improved, but she lacks the athleticism to impose her will. Zane thinks Oliveira's losses have come against strong grapplers or athletes, and Belbiţă does not fit that mold, so Oliveira should win.

Oliveira opened -122, now -100; Belbiţă opened -122, now -110
"So i'm going to take all of her."
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · Nov 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Vanessa Demopoulos 1 55 of 80 68% 121 of 154 2 of 4 50% 0 0 7:59
Maria Oliveira 0 83 of 154 53% 95 of 166 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 14 of 23 60% 31 of 43 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:39
Maria Oliveira 0 24 of 46 52% 28 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 1 27 of 36 75% 58 of 71 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:40
Maria Oliveira 0 24 of 43 55% 28 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 14 of 21 66% 32 of 40 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:40
Maria Oliveira 0 35 of 65 53% 39 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Vanessa Demopoulos 55 of 80 68% 44 of 68 5 of 5 6 of 7 18 of 39 3 of 3 34 of 38
Maria Oliveira 83 of 154 53% 55 of 124 20 of 21 8 of 9 80 of 151 3 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 14 of 23 60% 7 of 15 2 of 2 5 of 6 7 of 14 0 of 0 7 of 9
Maria Oliveira 24 of 46 52% 15 of 37 4 of 4 5 of 5 24 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 27 of 36 75% 23 of 32 3 of 3 1 of 1 7 of 14 3 of 3 17 of 19
Maria Oliveira 24 of 43 55% 15 of 32 7 of 8 2 of 3 22 of 41 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 14 of 21 66% 14 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 11 0 of 0 10 of 10
Maria Oliveira 35 of 65 53% 25 of 55 9 of 9 1 of 1 34 of 64 1 of 1 0 of 0
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Emmett · Jun 18, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maria Oliveira 0 96 of 297 32% 99 of 303 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:35
Gloria de Paula 0 105 of 190 55% 116 of 205 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maria Oliveira 0 37 of 111 33% 38 of 113 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:22
Gloria de Paula 0 29 of 60 48% 30 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
2 Maria Oliveira 0 25 of 98 25% 25 of 98 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gloria de Paula 0 41 of 72 56% 45 of 76 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:23
3 Maria Oliveira 0 34 of 88 38% 36 of 92 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:13
Gloria de Paula 0 35 of 58 60% 41 of 68 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maria Oliveira 96 of 297 32% 66 of 247 12 of 23 18 of 27 94 of 294 2 of 3 0 of 0
Gloria de Paula 105 of 190 55% 75 of 155 11 of 15 19 of 20 98 of 182 7 of 7 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maria Oliveira 37 of 111 33% 24 of 89 7 of 11 6 of 11 36 of 109 1 of 2 0 of 0
Gloria de Paula 29 of 60 48% 20 of 49 3 of 4 6 of 7 22 of 53 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Maria Oliveira 25 of 98 25% 17 of 83 2 of 5 6 of 10 25 of 98 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gloria de Paula 41 of 72 56% 29 of 58 3 of 5 9 of 9 41 of 71 0 of 0 0 of 1
3 Maria Oliveira 34 of 88 38% 25 of 75 3 of 7 6 of 6 33 of 87 1 of 1 0 of 0
Gloria de Paula 35 of 58 60% 26 of 48 5 of 6 4 of 4 35 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Gloria de Paula

Angelo picks Gloria de Paula, noting her stick-and-move striking style and improved wrestling (5 takedowns in her last fight). He acknowledges Maria Oliveira's power but believes de Paula's volume and new grappling dimension will secure the win.

"i think de paula gets this done with her touch and go striking and potentially the occasional round clinching takedown so gloria de paula is the pick here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Gloria de Paula

Big Brady picks Gloria de Paula to win by decision, but is not overly confident. He likes de Paula's striking and believes she has more ways to win, including takedowns against Oliveira's poor takedown defense. He notes Oliveira has a massive hole in her ground game and quit in a previous fight, but de Paula's competition has been better.

decision
"I like depaula i think she has more ways to win um it's you can't be overly confident in this but i think apollo does win this fight and win it by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Gloria de Paula

Cody picks de Paula, citing her better technique and grappling advantage. He thinks she can outpoint Oliveira in a striking battle and mix in takedowns. He expects a decision but is cautious due to women's MMA volatility.

Gloria de Paula by decision
"i think gloria depaul should be this big of a favorite no do i think the fight likely goes to decision yeah"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 16, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Gloria de Paula

Daniel Levi leans Gloria de Paula, thinking she is better than her record indicates and has nice striking variety. He is not comfortable laying -275, but believes she should win a unanimous decision. He notes Maria Oliveira has shown questionable heart in the past, tapping to strikes, but also has some durability. Levi sees de Paula as the more skilled fighter but the price is too high for a confident bet.

de Paula -275 is too high; expects unanimous decision
"i'm gonna go glory to paula of a unanimous decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Maria Oliveira

Paul picks Oliveira as a dog, noting the wide line and women's MMA unpredictability. He thinks if one of the two underdogs hits, it could be Oliveira. He acknowledges de Paula is likely better but sees value in the dog.

"for the purposes of this show i'm picking natalya silva and maria oliveira"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Maria Oliveira

The MMA Guru picks Maria Oliveira as his underdog of the card. He notes she is younger, bigger, and has a longer reach than Gloria de Paula, who has not impressed him. He points to de Paula's mediocre record and losses, while Oliveira has faced better competition. He predicts Oliveira wins by decision, questioning why de Paula is a heavy favorite.

underdog pick
"i'm going with maria oliveira here she's quite a sizable underdog this is my underdog of the card"
LOSS vs Tabatha Ricci
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Oct 23, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tabatha Ricci 0 62 of 135 45% 103 of 187 5 of 11 45% 0 0 6:38
Maria Oliveira 0 66 of 178 37% 90 of 207 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tabatha Ricci 0 21 of 52 40% 29 of 61 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:22
Maria Oliveira 0 28 of 81 34% 34 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Tabatha Ricci 0 29 of 48 60% 44 of 64 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:20
Maria Oliveira 0 19 of 48 39% 25 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
3 Tabatha Ricci 0 12 of 35 34% 30 of 62 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:56
Maria Oliveira 0 19 of 49 38% 31 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tabatha Ricci 62 of 135 45% 42 of 109 12 of 16 8 of 10 29 of 98 5 of 5 28 of 32
Maria Oliveira 66 of 178 37% 34 of 128 18 of 33 14 of 17 61 of 172 4 of 4 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tabatha Ricci 21 of 52 40% 11 of 39 8 of 9 2 of 4 14 of 44 5 of 5 2 of 3
Maria Oliveira 28 of 81 34% 14 of 57 8 of 17 6 of 7 26 of 78 2 of 2 0 of 1
2 Tabatha Ricci 29 of 48 60% 21 of 37 2 of 5 6 of 6 12 of 31 0 of 0 17 of 17
Maria Oliveira 19 of 48 39% 8 of 31 8 of 12 3 of 5 17 of 46 1 of 1 1 of 1
3 Tabatha Ricci 12 of 35 34% 10 of 33 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 23 0 of 0 9 of 12
Maria Oliveira 19 of 49 38% 12 of 40 2 of 4 5 of 5 18 of 48 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Angelo sees this as a striker vs grappler matchup and always sides with the grappler. He notes Ricci is a very good grappler who is heavy on top and looks for submissions without sacrificing position. Oliveira is a tall striker who doesn't use her range and has nothing on her back. He thinks Ricci can get the fight to the ground easily and may even get a stoppage. He will spend 8900 on her in DraftKings.

considering a stoppage prop (under on rounds or by stoppage); will spend 8900 on Ricci in DraftKings
"i definitely think tabitha wins i think she can win by stoppage"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Big Brady is confident in Ricci, calling her a good grappler with a black belt in BJJ, while Oliveira has poor takedown defense and ground game. He believes the UFC is giving Ricci a favorable matchup after a short-notice loss. He predicts a second-round submission despite Oliveira's size advantage.

second round submission
"i think everything's lining up for a tab with the reachy sub"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Cody picks Tabatha Ricci, but hesitantly. He notes that Ricci has a judo black belt and should be able to take Oliveira down, as Oliveira has poor takedown defense. Cody points out that Oliveira has quit in a previous fight and has not fought good competition recently. However, he worries that if Ricci cannot get the takedown, she will struggle on the feet due to her short reach. Cody believes this is a good matchup for Ricci but the price is high.

"richie does need the takedown 100 but this seems like the type of matchup where she's taking on a former adam weight she should be able to lean on her"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Lock picks Ricci based on massive grappling advantage. He notes Oliveira is not UFC level and has poor ground game. Ricci should take her down and submit her. He likes Ricci inside the distance and by submission.

Ricci inside the distance +155, Ricci by submission +350
"i like richie here i do think she'll be able to get the takedowns and then be able to lock up the submission"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Paul is out on this fight, citing concerns about Ricci's wrestling and the steep price. He notes that Oliveira has a significant reach advantage and that Ricci's training partners have not looked great. Paul believes that if the fight stays standing, Oliveira could win. He does not make a pick.

"i'm out on top of the reach i don't know if this is the spot to fader this seems like a nice little cupcake matchup for her to get on the winning track but until i see something from the …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Maria Oliveira

The MMA Guru picks Maria Oliveira as a big underdog, arguing that the public is favoring Tabatha Ricci due to her looks rather than skill. He highlights Oliveira's height, reach, and youth, as well as her training at Parana Vale Tudo with top female fighters. He questions Ricci's best win and believes Oliveira's experience and physical advantages will lead to a win.

"i'm picking maria oliveira i know she's a big underdog here and i also know that no one on topology is really picking her"
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Angelo sees this as a striker vs grappler matchup and always sides with the grappler. He notes Ricci is a very good grappler who is heavy on top and looks for submissions without sacrificing position. Oliveira is a tall striker who doesn't use her range and has nothing on her back. He thinks Ricci can get the fight to the ground easily and may even get a stoppage. He will spend 8900 on her in DraftKings.

considering a stoppage prop (under on rounds or by stoppage); will spend 8900 on Ricci in DraftKings
"i definitely think tabitha wins i think she can win by stoppage"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Big Brady is confident in Ricci, calling her a good grappler with a black belt in BJJ, while Oliveira has poor takedown defense and ground game. He believes the UFC is giving Ricci a favorable matchup after a short-notice loss. He predicts a second-round submission despite Oliveira's size advantage.

second round submission
"i think everything's lining up for a tab with the reachy sub"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Cody picks Tabatha Ricci, but hesitantly. He notes that Ricci has a judo black belt and should be able to take Oliveira down, as Oliveira has poor takedown defense. Cody points out that Oliveira has quit in a previous fight and has not fought good competition recently. However, he worries that if Ricci cannot get the takedown, she will struggle on the feet due to her short reach. Cody believes this is a good matchup for Ricci but the price is high.

"richie does need the takedown 100 but this seems like the type of matchup where she's taking on a former adam weight she should be able to lean on her"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Lock picks Ricci based on massive grappling advantage. He notes Oliveira is not UFC level and has poor ground game. Ricci should take her down and submit her. He likes Ricci inside the distance and by submission.

Ricci inside the distance +155, Ricci by submission +350
"i like richie here i do think she'll be able to get the takedowns and then be able to lock up the submission"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
No clear pick

Paul is out on this fight, citing concerns about Ricci's wrestling and the steep price. He notes that Oliveira has a significant reach advantage and that Ricci's training partners have not looked great. Paul believes that if the fight stays standing, Oliveira could win. He does not make a pick.

"i'm out on top of the reach i don't know if this is the spot to fader this seems like a nice little cupcake matchup for her to get on the winning track but until i see something from the wrestling game i'm not feeling great about that minus 250"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Maria Oliveira

The MMA Guru picks Maria Oliveira as a big underdog, arguing that the public is favoring Tabatha Ricci due to her looks rather than skill. He highlights Oliveira's height, reach, and youth, as well as her training at Parana Vale Tudo with top female fighters. He questions Ricci's best win and believes Oliveira's experience and physical advantages will lead to a win.

"i'm picking maria oliveira i know she's a big underdog here and i also know that no one on topology is really picking her"