Career Averages - Makhmud Muradov
Career Averages - Andrew Sanchez
Makhmud Muradov
Andrew Sanchez
Makhmud Muradov - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliaskhab Khizriev | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aliaskhab Khizriev | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliaskhab Khizriev | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Makhmud Muradov | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aliaskhab Khizriev | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Makhmud Muradov | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Aliaskhab Khizriev, describing him as a powerful grappler with relentless wrestling and top pressure. He acknowledges Muradov's boxing and wrestling but believes Khizriev is a different animal who will grind him down. He is very confident in Khizriev to win.
Big Brady picks Aliaskhab Khizriev to win by first-round submission. He notes that Khizriev is undefeated (14-0) and very skilled in wrestling and grappling, while Muradov has been submitted four times and struggles with grapplers. The main concern is Khizriev's inactivity, as he rarely fights. Brady expects Khizriev to take down Muradov and find a submission early, as he typically finishes fights quickly.
Cody picks Khizriev, citing his wrestling advantage and Muradov's grappling deficiencies. He notes Khizriev's long layoff and injury concerns but believes his style is a nightmare for Muradov, who has shown poor takedown defense and cardio. He expects a submission win.
Khizriev has a solid wrestling base and good enough striking to set up takedowns. Muradov is the better striker but has cardio issues that have cost him in the past. Khizriev's pace and pressure should allow him to take over in deep waters, either getting a late finish or winning by decision.
Paul picks Khizriev, agreeing with Cody. He notes Muradov's struggles against wrestlers and Khizriev's grappling pedigree. He thinks Khizriev will get takedowns early and possibly submit Muradov, though he acknowledges the size difference and Khizriev's inactivity.
The MMA Guru picks Aliaskhab Khizriev over Makhmud Muradov, despite noting Khizriev has become 'morbidly obese' during his layoff. He believes Khizriev's grappling will be the difference, as Muradov struggled against Brian Barbarena, who has no muscle. He warns that if Khizriev shows up in shape, he will take Muradov down and submit him, but acknowledges Muradov could win if Khizriev is out of shape.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhmud Muradov | 2 | 54 of 97 | 55% | 68 of 114 | 13 of 16 | 81% | 0 | 0 | 5:10 |
| Bryan Barberena | 0 | 28 of 81 | 34% | 81 of 138 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 9 of 22 | 40% | 16 of 30 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 2:34 |
| Bryan Barberena | 0 | 6 of 22 | 27% | 28 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Makhmud Muradov | 1 | 16 of 28 | 57% | 21 of 34 | 6 of 6 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:53 |
| Bryan Barberena | 0 | 8 of 22 | 36% | 30 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Makhmud Muradov | 1 | 29 of 47 | 61% | 31 of 50 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Bryan Barberena | 0 | 14 of 37 | 37% | 23 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhmud Muradov | 54 of 97 | 55% | 39 of 77 | 15 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 46 of 79 | 5 of 11 | 3 of 7 |
| Bryan Barberena | 28 of 81 | 34% | 13 of 56 | 2 of 4 | 13 of 21 | 27 of 79 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Makhmud Muradov | 9 of 22 | 40% | 4 of 14 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 17 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
| Bryan Barberena | 6 of 22 | 27% | 1 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 8 | 6 of 21 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Makhmud Muradov | 16 of 28 | 57% | 15 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Bryan Barberena | 8 of 22 | 36% | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 7 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Makhmud Muradov | 29 of 47 | 61% | 20 of 37 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 37 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 3 |
| Bryan Barberena | 14 of 37 | 37% | 8 of 28 | 1 of 3 | 5 of 6 | 14 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo thinks Muradov is the better fighter with cleaner technique and should win by decision, but he is hesitant to lay -275 due to Barberena's toughness and never-say-die attitude. He picks Muradov but will likely leave the bet out.
Big Brady picks Makhmud Muradov to knock out Bryan Barberena in the second round. He questions Barberena's move up to middleweight, noting he was small for welterweight and is now massively undersized. He thinks Barberena's durability has declined and Muradov is the better striker. He calls the matchup 'weird' and thinks Barberena is on a three-fight skid.
Cody picks Muradov, noting Barberena moving up to 185 is a big disadvantage. He thinks Muradov's size and power will be too much, and he can mix in wrestling. He mentions Barberena's takedown defense is poor and he takes a lot of damage.
Daniel bet Muradov at -250 to win 2 units (risking 5 units). He believes Muradov is a real middleweight in the best shape of his life, while Barberena is moving up from welterweight and will be slower and more hittable. He notes Barberena's takedown defense is poor and Muradov has good footwork and power. He expects Muradov to win by knockout or decision, and thinks the line should be closer to -350 to -400. He is confident Muradov bounces back after a tough loss.
The host picks Makhmud Muradov, citing his technical striking, speed, and discipline as keys. He notes Barberena is moving up in weight and Muradov will be much bigger. He thinks Muradov should be closer to -200/-230 but still expects a win by decision, unless Barberena lands a Hail Mary.
Paul picks Muradov, citing Barberena's age, fight style, and inability to grapple. He thinks Muradov can win by KO or decision using his jab and takedowns. He notes Barberena's chin may be fading.
The MMA Guru picks Makhmud Muradov by TKO, criticizing Bryan Barberena's decision to move up to middleweight. He calls Barberena a 'fat unathletic welterweight' with no grappling or knockout power, and questions his career move. The Guru notes Muradov's improved takedown defense against Caio Borralho and believes his explosiveness, reach, and striking advantage will lead to a finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caio Borralho | 0 | 14 of 35 | 40% | 76 of 103 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 4:44 |
| Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 19 of 32 | 59% | 57 of 77 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 3 | 5:32 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caio Borralho | 0 | 7 of 20 | 35% | 25 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:32 |
| Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 13 of 18 | 72% | 17 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:36 | |
| 2 | Caio Borralho | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 29 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 2:45 |
| Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 12 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 2 | 0:46 | |
| 3 | Caio Borralho | 0 | 6 of 10 | 60% | 22 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 28 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 3:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caio Borralho | 14 of 35 | 40% | 10 of 28 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 15 |
| Makhmud Muradov | 19 of 32 | 59% | 13 of 23 | 1 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caio Borralho | 7 of 20 | 35% | 5 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 10 |
| Makhmud Muradov | 13 of 18 | 72% | 9 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 | |
| 2 | Caio Borralho | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Makhmud Muradov | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Caio Borralho | 6 of 10 | 60% | 5 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
| Makhmud Muradov | 5 of 11 | 45% | 4 of 8 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Angelo picks Caio Borralho, noting his slick grappling, well-timed takedowns, and solid submissions. He references that Gerald Meerschaert took down and submitted Muradov, and believes Borralho can do the same. He calls Borralho a contender at 185 and likes the -200 price.
Big Brady picks Borralho to win by decision. He praises Borralho's fight IQ and game plan, expecting him to take Muradov down repeatedly as he did against Petrosian. Muradov has been submitted four times and gassed early in his last fight. Borralho has the cardio and grappling to control the fight, though a submission is possible.
Cody is high on Borralho, calling him a solid prospect with high ring IQ. He notes Borralho's effective grappling and ability to take down and control opponents. Cody thinks Muradov has cardio issues and is not a mega prospect. He expects Borralho to win by decision or submission.
Daniel Levi picks Makhmud Muradov as an underdog, citing recency bias from Muradov's loss to Gerald Meerschaert. He thinks Muradov's volume, technique, and takedown defense (stuffed two D1 wrestlers) will be too much for Caio Borralho. Levi notes Borralho fights with his hands down and may get jabbed up, and that Borralho has not faced someone with Muradov's striking. He bet 2 units at +190.
Borralho has a karate-style stance and blitzing movement that can keep him safe from Muradov's power. He can pressure Muradov, drain his gas tank, and grind in the clinch. Muradov is the better technical striker but has a sketchy gas tank. Borralho by decision is the pick, but the line at -200 is not sexy enough to bet heavily.
Paul is confident in Borralho, citing his slick ground game and ability to take down and submit opponents. He notes Muradov's poor takedown defense and cardio. Paul expects Borralho to get a rear-naked choke finish in round 2 or 3.
The MMA Guru picks Caio Borralho over Makhmud Muradov, citing Muradov's weakness against grapplers. He expects Borralho to tease stand-up early then blast a double leg and secure a rear-naked choke in the first round. He notes Borralho's training with Khamzat Chimaev and Darren Till as positives.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Meerschaert | 0 | 40 of 99 | 40% | 41 of 100 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 32 of 56 | 57% | 39 of 65 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 1 | 0 | 0:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gerald Meerschaert | 0 | 29 of 68 | 42% | 30 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 23 of 37 | 62% | 30 of 46 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 | |
| 2 | Gerald Meerschaert | 0 | 11 of 31 | 35% | 11 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 9 of 19 | 47% | 9 of 19 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Meerschaert | 40 of 99 | 40% | 27 of 81 | 8 of 13 | 5 of 5 | 36 of 92 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Makhmud Muradov | 32 of 56 | 57% | 23 of 45 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 6 | 32 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gerald Meerschaert | 29 of 68 | 42% | 20 of 55 | 6 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 26 of 64 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Makhmud Muradov | 23 of 37 | 62% | 14 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 23 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gerald Meerschaert | 11 of 31 | 35% | 7 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 28 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Makhmud Muradov | 9 of 19 | 47% | 9 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Once more tonight, our classic overmentioned matchup rears its head again as the dangerous submission skills of Meerschaert (32-14, 7-6 UFC) come up against the high-flying Muradov (25-6, 3-0 UFC). This middleweight battle most expect will end inside the distance receives oversight from referee Mark Smith, and gloves are touched before violence is waged. Meerschaert rushes ahead and connects with a solid left hand, forcing Muradov to back off. “GM3” slams a high kick on the chest, and in the melee, Meerschaert’s finger jabs into Muradov’s eye. Muradov needs less than 30 seconds to recover, and Meerschaert is apologetic as they get back to business. Meerschaert surprises his foe with a right hand, and Muradov cracks him in response to hurt Meerschaert. Meerschaert falls to the ground, and he looks to set up a leg lock. When there is nothing there, Muradov tells his foe to stand back up. Muradov stings his man with a right hand when he gets back up, and Meerschaert again goes to the canvas to consider submissions. This too is ignored, when Muradov backs up to tell him to get up. Muradov times a crisp head kick that rocks Meerschaert, and Smith tells him to fight back. Meerschaert shoots in for a desperate takedown, and he is several feet away from landing it as Muradov signals for him to stand back up. Muradov continues to tee off on Meerschaert on the feet, and a leg kick from “GM3” slides up to bounce off the cup. Meerschaert just dodges a spinning kick by inches, and he comes in to attack and pops Muradov with a solid left hand. Meerschaert gets off a high kick, and Muradov catches the leg and fires a similar kick to the pectorals. Meerschaert lunges in with long punches, and he follows it with a few leg kicks. One such kick clacks right into the bottom of the cup, and Muradov collapses to the ground in pain. No points are deducted for multiple fouls, although Meerschaert is sternly warned to own his weapons and not let any more happen. Once more, Meerschaert offers an apologetic glove touch, and Muradov accepts it. Meerschaert presses forward, and he nails Muradov with a left hand. Meerschaert connects with a clean head kick, and Muradov shakes it off and then eats another one right on the button. Muradov fires back with his own salvo of strikes, and a clubbing right hand from Muradov nearly sends Meerschaert falling to the ground. A blistering left hand from the American sends Muradov falling back towards the cage, and Meerschaert dives towards him to go after a takedown that he lands. Meerschaert looks for a submission but there is nothing to be found, so he exerts heavy pressure on his foe’s back until the round concludes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Muradov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Muradov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Muradov
Round 2
The action resumes right where they left off, with Meerschaert crashing forward and getting dropped. “GM3” gets back to his feet, where he pursues a low single, and there is nothing to be had. The two middleweights start trading recklessly, and Meerschaert pushes the pressure and scores a single left hook. Meerschaert catches a kick and sends Muradov to the ground, but Muradov springs back up when he kicks off the chest. Both men drill the other with big punches, and Meerschaert scores the best of the exchange with a huge right hand. Meerschaert puts everything he has into a left hand, and Muradov takes it on the chin and fights back. Meerschaert skillfully trips Muradov’s legs out and drags him to the ground, where he instantly takes Muradov’s back.
“GM3” gets one hook in, and he snags hold of a rear-naked choke in the blink of an eye. The forearm of the American slides underneath the chin, and Muradov is in big, big trouble. Meerschaert knows he has his man where he wants him, and as he wrenches the choke, Muradov can resist no longer and taps out on the top of Meerschaert’s head.
What a huge win for Meerschaert, earning his 25th career submission victory and scoring the biggest betting upset of the night as he snaps Muradov’s 14-fight win streak.
The Official Result
Gerald Meerschaert def. Makhmud Muradov R2 1:49 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo picks Muradov, citing his clean boxing, takedown defense, and ability to survive on the ground. He notes Meerschaert lacks offensive wrestling and relies on others to take him down. He spent the 9300 on Muradov in DraftKings and thinks he's worth it.
Cody picks Muradov, citing his speed advantage and technical boxing. He notes that Muradov has shown finishing ability in later rounds, which is good if Meerschaert survives early. Cody thinks Meerschaert is chinny and will get knocked out. He prefers Muradov inside the distance and likes the over 1.5 rounds as a bet.
Jacob picks Muradov, calling Meerschaert a poor man's Michael Chiesa without the wrestling. He believes Muradov will run through Meerschaert and get a TKO/KO. He has Muradov in his lineup and thinks 9300 is good value.
Lock picks Muradov to win inside the distance, believing his speed and striking will be too much for Meerschaert. He notes Muradov is a big favorite and expects a finish, though he's unsure of the round. Lock likes round props for Muradov (round 2 +450, round 3 +900) rather than method of victory due to juiced lines. He acknowledges Meerschaert's size and clinch potential but thinks Muradov's speed is the difference.
Paul picks Muradov, agreeing that Meerschaert is chinny and that Muradov's boxing will find the chin. He notes that Muradov has finished fights in the third round, showing cardio and power. Paul thinks Meerschaert's only path is submission, but he doesn't see it happening. He says Muradov by knockout is -175 and inside the distance is -200.
The Guru picks Makhmud Muradov, criticizing Gerald Meerschaert's fight IQ and tendency to fold against hyped contenders. He expects Muradov to stuff takedowns, land body knees, and pour on pressure for a second-round TKO. The Guru notes Meerschaert's grappling is based on opponents' mistakes, which Muradov won't make.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 48 of 141 | 34% | 50 of 144 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 79 of 174 | 45% | 82 of 177 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 18 of 39 | 46% | 18 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 33 of 68 | 48% | 34 of 69 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 2 | Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 18 of 64 | 28% | 20 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 26 of 55 | 47% | 28 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 12 of 38 | 31% | 12 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 20 of 51 | 39% | 20 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhmud Muradov | 48 of 141 | 34% | 34 of 118 | 8 of 15 | 6 of 8 | 48 of 141 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 79 of 174 | 45% | 52 of 139 | 16 of 22 | 11 of 13 | 72 of 165 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Makhmud Muradov | 18 of 39 | 46% | 11 of 28 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 5 | 18 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 33 of 68 | 48% | 13 of 46 | 10 of 12 | 10 of 10 | 29 of 62 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Makhmud Muradov | 18 of 64 | 28% | 13 of 55 | 3 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 64 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 26 of 55 | 47% | 20 of 46 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 3 | 24 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Makhmud Muradov | 12 of 38 | 31% | 10 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 20 of 51 | 39% | 19 of 47 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Makhmud Muradov, citing his striking advantage and Sanchez's poor striking defense (50%). He notes Muradov's 100% takedown defense (small sample) and Sanchez's cardio issues. He predicts Muradov wins by knockout, as Sanchez has been knocked out three times. He likes the line at -135 but hasn't bet yet.
Daniel Levi picks Makhmud Muradov, praising his boxing, footwork, and takedown defense. He notes Muradov's 13-fight win streak and ability to find openings, especially to the body. Levi respects Sanchez's improvements but believes Muradov's striking difference is too big, predicting a knockout or decision win.
Muradov is more technical on the feet, has good counter striking, and has solid takedown defense with underhooks. Sanchez showed improved striking in his last fight, but that was only one fight and against a lower-level opponent. Sanchez has cardio issues and may gas if he can't get an early finish. Muradov is experienced and should be able to pick Sanchez apart over 15 minutes. I like Muradov at -135, as the market may be skewed by Sanchez's flashy win.
The MMA Guru picks Makhmud Muradov to win by unanimous decision, citing his reach, size, youth, and volume striking. He notes that Andrew Sanchez struggles against higher-level strikers and has been KO'd before. He expects Muradov to outland Sanchez for three rounds, similar to how Marvin Vettori overwhelmed Sanchez with volume. He does not see a finish but thinks Muradov will control the fight on the feet.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhmud Muradov | 1 | 91 of 183 | 49% | 91 of 183 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Trevor Smith | 0 | 39 of 96 | 40% | 39 of 96 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 24 of 57 | 42% | 24 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Trevor Smith | 0 | 9 of 24 | 37% | 9 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 35 of 71 | 49% | 35 of 71 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Trevor Smith | 0 | 17 of 39 | 43% | 17 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 3 | Makhmud Muradov | 1 | 32 of 55 | 58% | 32 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Trevor Smith | 0 | 13 of 33 | 39% | 13 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhmud Muradov | 91 of 183 | 49% | 59 of 143 | 32 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 91 of 182 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Smith | 39 of 96 | 40% | 20 of 71 | 5 of 8 | 14 of 17 | 38 of 95 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Makhmud Muradov | 24 of 57 | 42% | 14 of 46 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Smith | 9 of 24 | 37% | 5 of 16 | 0 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 9 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Makhmud Muradov | 35 of 71 | 49% | 22 of 54 | 13 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 35 of 71 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Smith | 17 of 39 | 43% | 10 of 30 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 6 | 16 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Makhmud Muradov | 32 of 55 | 58% | 23 of 43 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 32 of 54 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Smith | 13 of 33 | 39% | 5 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 13 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 36 of 113 | 31% | 37 of 114 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Alessio Di Chirico | 0 | 54 of 169 | 31% | 56 of 171 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 7 of 32 | 21% | 7 of 32 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alessio Di Chirico | 0 | 12 of 43 | 27% | 12 of 43 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 2 | Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 6 of 29 | 20% | 6 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alessio Di Chirico | 0 | 23 of 60 | 38% | 23 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 23 of 52 | 44% | 24 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Alessio Di Chirico | 0 | 19 of 66 | 28% | 21 of 68 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhmud Muradov | 36 of 113 | 31% | 31 of 100 | 0 of 4 | 5 of 9 | 30 of 104 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Alessio Di Chirico | 54 of 169 | 31% | 32 of 133 | 19 of 32 | 3 of 4 | 49 of 160 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Makhmud Muradov | 7 of 32 | 21% | 6 of 28 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Alessio Di Chirico | 12 of 43 | 27% | 6 of 34 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Makhmud Muradov | 6 of 29 | 20% | 2 of 21 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 7 | 6 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alessio Di Chirico | 23 of 60 | 38% | 13 of 48 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 23 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Makhmud Muradov | 23 of 52 | 44% | 23 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 45 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Alessio Di Chirico | 19 of 66 | 28% | 13 of 51 | 3 of 11 | 3 of 4 | 14 of 57 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Andrew Sanchez - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Silva | 0 | 33 of 53 | 62% | 86 of 117 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 0 | 0 | 7:53 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 70 of 123 | 56% | 100 of 155 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruno Silva | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 25 of 34 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:25 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 28 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Bruno Silva | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 35 of 46 | 6 of 6 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:28 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Bruno Silva | 0 | 22 of 33 | 66% | 26 of 37 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 55 of 84 | 65% | 55 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Silva | 33 of 53 | 62% | 26 of 43 | 6 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 26 of 46 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 5 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 70 of 123 | 56% | 47 of 96 | 21 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 55 of 102 | 10 of 12 | 5 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruno Silva | 4 of 7 | 57% | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 8 of 23 | 34% | 4 of 16 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Bruno Silva | 7 of 13 | 53% | 6 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 7 of 16 | 43% | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 9 | |
| 3 | Bruno Silva | 22 of 33 | 66% | 18 of 27 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 55 of 84 | 65% | 37 of 65 | 18 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 47 of 74 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
In this middleweight preliminary headliner, “El Dirte” Sanchez (12-6, 5-4 UFC) will try to make it dirty against brutal Brazilian knockout artist Silva (20-6, 1-0 UFC). Many do not expect this fight will last long, and referee Keith Peterson will try to redeem himself from a few earlier missed infractions by tamping down the nonsense in the Apex. The gloves get touched, and Silva begins to stalk the American down right out of the gate. Sanchez turns the tables thanks to herky-jerky movement, bobbing his head down and faking to strike, but Silva quickly walks through this and unloads a brutal combination of punches to the body and head. A few body shots lead to an uppercut that snaps Sanchez’ head back, and Sanchez’ face is already marked up. Sanchez circles away to regain his composure, and Silva slings a body kick that lands with an audible pop. A big overhand right from Silva misses, allowing Sanchez to shoot in low for a single. Silva defends himself by linking his fingers illegally into the fence, but Sanchez rips his legs out and puts him on his back. Silva looks to his corner as Sanchez holds him pinned with his seat on the floor and back to the cage, before “El Dirte” makes it dirty by dragging Silva’s back to the mat. Sanchez in half guard tries to get some ground-and-pound off, and Silva scoots his back up to the fence so he can hope to wall-walk. Sanchez triangles his foe’s legs out beneath him with a move some call the “Dagestani handcuff” even though it existed long before Khabib Nurmagomedov competed inside the Octagon, and Silva appears frustrated as he starts talking to his corner. His corner gives him advice he apparently does not like, as he shakes his head, all while Sanchez puts him flat on the ground again so he can start unloading with ground-and-pound. Silva fights back with swinging elbows from his back, and he kicks off the chest to push Sanchez back. This momentary break allows Silva to burst back to his feet, and Sanchez runs ahead to stick to Silva like glue. Sanchez trips out the leg briefly, but “Blindado” is able to power back up although he cannot break the grip. A knee from Sanchez pounds into Silva’s cup with 20 seconds left in the ground, and Silva is none too pleased. Silva recovers after 35 seconds, and he runs out when they resume to throw a high kick. Sanchez counters him with a side kick that smashes Silva into the cup again, and Silva is hurt badly as he falls to the ground yelling and slamming his hand on the mat. Miraculously, he only needs 30 more seconds to get his bearings after that display of pain, and when the action resumes, he sprints with a right hand but the round ends before he can reach the target.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sanchez
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Sanchez
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sanchez
Round 2
Sanchez begins the round with a few reaching punches, and his jittery movement gives Silva pause from loading up on anything. When the Brazilian does this, swinging wildly and missing, Sanchez grabs hold of him and slams him down to the mat. Silva manages to work his way up, and “El Dirte” kicks out Silva’s foot repeatedly to return him to the ground. Sanchez hits a single, and Silva catches him with a right hand but still lands on the mat. The Brazilian springs into action, unloading with a furious barrage of elbows from his back that may have hurt Sanchez. “El Dirte” gathers his thoughts as Silva returns to his feet, and Silva grabs the fence to stop a subsequent takedown try. The fence grab is unsuccessful, as Sanchez twirls him around and puts him down again. Silva gets back up only to have his feet sucked out beneath him and returned to the mat. In half guard, Sanchez sits up to saw his elbow back and forth on the chin of his opponent. Silva squirms his way with his back to the wall, and he signals to Peterson to do something, but Sanchez is still working and advancing position. Through sheer force of will, Silva pops back up, and he is only upright for two seconds before Sanchez drops him right back down on his head. Once more, “Blindado” fights his way back up, and he tries to throw a big punch only to get bowled over. The American lands a single strike to force Silva to turn to his knees, but Silva once again able to stand. Sanchez unloads with a few punches before the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sanchez
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Sanchez
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sanchez
Round 3
The gloves get touched to begin the last round, and Silva throws caution to the wind as he walks the American down to try to unload on him. Silva lands to the head and body, and a fatiguing Sanchez with his back to the fence defends by using a front kick that collides with the cup. The third groin strike draws a point deduction for Sanchez, and Silva needs to catch his breath with another 30-second break. Silva is energized by this, and he blitzes his opponent with punches. Silva rips the body and goes to the head, and he has a knee crash straight into Sanchez’ chin. Silva continues to slam his fists into his gassing foe’s midsection, and he just misses with a big uppercut. Sanchez cannot deliver much in the way of offense on his own side, as Silva ignores the strikes and wrecks Sanchez’ body. A liver kick leads to a few punches, and Sanchez bounces off the wall from the blows but is still in the fight. Silva’s offense suddenly falls off a cliff as he might have used everything he had to stop the fight, and Sanchez clips him with a left hand. Sanchez backs Silva off with a few punches, but a switch suddenly flips in the head of the Brazilian, who charges. “El Dirte” defends himself and backs away into the fence, which allows Silva to stalk him down and blast him with vicious punches to the head and body.
The body shots open up ones to the head, and Silva strings a 10-piece combination together as Sanchez bends over, barely on his feet and taking huge damage. This lengthy barrage of unanswered blows is enough for Peterson to call a stop to the fight, awarding Silva the huge comeback win after likely losing both of the first two rounds.
After his victory, Silva is awarded his Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt, and he celebrates with his team.
The Official Result
Bruno Silva def. Andrew Sanchez R3 2:35 via TKO (Punches)
Angelo is very confident in Bruno Silva, citing his insane power on the feet and ground, and his ability to finish. He notes Sanchez has a suspect chin and is well-rounded but not great at anything. Silva's takedown defense and grappling are good enough to survive. Angelo likes the moneyline at -135 and plans to bet it. He also likes Silva in DraftKings at 8300 and the less less on monkey knife fight.
Big Brady picks Bruno Silva by knockout, citing Silva's power and improved takedown defense. He notes Sanchez is hittable, has been knocked out four times, and may gas if he wrestles. Silva's 85% finish rate and Sanchez's poor striking defense make this a favorable matchup for Silva.
Cody picks Sanchez as an underdog, citing his excellent wrestling and the fact that Bruno Silva has six submission losses and is vulnerable on the ground. He believes if Sanchez uses his wrestling to control the fight and avoid Silva's power, he can pull off the upset. He acknowledges Sanchez's history of blowing leads but thinks the path to victory is clear.
Daniel is high on Bruno Silva, a former M-1 champion with devastating power. He notes Silva has addressed past grappling issues by reversing position and knocking out a black belt from his guard. He expects Silva to find Sanchez's chin eventually and knock him out, even if Sanchez gets a takedown or two.
Sanchez is a superior wrestler with good boxing and distance control. Silva has poor takedown defense and relies on KO power, but Sanchez can grind him out for 15 minutes. Sanchez by decision is the most likely outcome, though Silva's power is a threat.
Paul does not make a clear pick. He discusses the matchup but does not state a definitive choice.
The MMA Guru picks Bruno Silva by second-round TKO, citing Silva's experience against tough opponents and Sanchez's history of being KO'd. He notes Silva's ground game and cardio, and predicts Sanchez will have early moments but Silva will land big shots and finish with ground-and-pound. He emphasizes Silva's five-round experience.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 48 of 141 | 34% | 50 of 144 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 79 of 174 | 45% | 82 of 177 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 18 of 39 | 46% | 18 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 33 of 68 | 48% | 34 of 69 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 2 | Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 18 of 64 | 28% | 20 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 26 of 55 | 47% | 28 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Makhmud Muradov | 0 | 12 of 38 | 31% | 12 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 20 of 51 | 39% | 20 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhmud Muradov | 48 of 141 | 34% | 34 of 118 | 8 of 15 | 6 of 8 | 48 of 141 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 79 of 174 | 45% | 52 of 139 | 16 of 22 | 11 of 13 | 72 of 165 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Makhmud Muradov | 18 of 39 | 46% | 11 of 28 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 5 | 18 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 33 of 68 | 48% | 13 of 46 | 10 of 12 | 10 of 10 | 29 of 62 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Makhmud Muradov | 18 of 64 | 28% | 13 of 55 | 3 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 64 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 26 of 55 | 47% | 20 of 46 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 3 | 24 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Makhmud Muradov | 12 of 38 | 31% | 10 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 20 of 51 | 39% | 19 of 47 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Makhmud Muradov, citing his striking advantage and Sanchez's poor striking defense (50%). He notes Muradov's 100% takedown defense (small sample) and Sanchez's cardio issues. He predicts Muradov wins by knockout, as Sanchez has been knocked out three times. He likes the line at -135 but hasn't bet yet.
Daniel Levi picks Makhmud Muradov, praising his boxing, footwork, and takedown defense. He notes Muradov's 13-fight win streak and ability to find openings, especially to the body. Levi respects Sanchez's improvements but believes Muradov's striking difference is too big, predicting a knockout or decision win.
Muradov is more technical on the feet, has good counter striking, and has solid takedown defense with underhooks. Sanchez showed improved striking in his last fight, but that was only one fight and against a lower-level opponent. Sanchez has cardio issues and may gas if he can't get an early finish. Muradov is experienced and should be able to pick Sanchez apart over 15 minutes. I like Muradov at -135, as the market may be skewed by Sanchez's flashy win.
The MMA Guru picks Makhmud Muradov to win by unanimous decision, citing his reach, size, youth, and volume striking. He notes that Andrew Sanchez struggles against higher-level strikers and has been KO'd before. He expects Muradov to outland Sanchez for three rounds, similar to how Marvin Vettori overwhelmed Sanchez with volume. He does not see a finish but thinks Muradov will control the fight on the feet.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sanchez | 1 | 28 of 55 | 50% | 40 of 68 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 21 of 51 | 41% | 26 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Sanchez | 1 | 28 of 55 | 50% | 40 of 68 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 21 of 51 | 41% | 26 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sanchez | 28 of 55 | 50% | 23 of 48 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 26 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Wellington Turman | 21 of 51 | 41% | 16 of 40 | 1 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Sanchez | 28 of 55 | 50% | 23 of 48 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 26 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Wellington Turman | 21 of 51 | 41% | 16 of 40 | 1 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Sanchez as an underdog, believing his wrestling and takedown defense will neutralize Turman's ground game. He notes Sanchez's higher striking volume and experience. He predicts a decision win for Sanchez.
Daniel Levi leans with Wellington Turman, but acknowledges it could go either way. He notes that Turman is young, hungry, and has shown improvement, while Sanchez has questions about his chin and cardio. Levi believes Turman's aggression and youth might edge out a split decision, but he is not confident due to Sanchez's wrestling and durability.
Sanchez's wrestling should be able to take Turman down and control him, as Turman's takedown defense is not as strong as Marvin Vettori's. Sanchez showed improved cardio in his last fight, but his past cardio issues are a concern. He should avoid submissions from Turman and grind out a decision, though the third round could be dangerous if he gasses.
The MMA Guru picks Andrew Sanchez in a tough 50/50 fight. He notes that Wellington Turman hasn't done anything dominantly, while Sanchez has beaten decent opponents and is the bigger guy with a reach advantage. He expects Sanchez to wear Turman down over three rounds and win a unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Vettori | 0 | 85 of 205 | 41% | 86 of 206 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 39 of 185 | 21% | 39 of 185 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marvin Vettori | 0 | 30 of 70 | 42% | 30 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 10 of 42 | 23% | 10 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Marvin Vettori | 0 | 30 of 73 | 41% | 30 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 17 of 83 | 20% | 17 of 83 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Marvin Vettori | 0 | 25 of 62 | 40% | 26 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 12 of 60 | 20% | 12 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Vettori | 85 of 205 | 41% | 72 of 187 | 10 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 74 of 188 | 11 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 39 of 185 | 21% | 21 of 146 | 6 of 17 | 12 of 22 | 38 of 183 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marvin Vettori | 30 of 70 | 42% | 26 of 63 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 23 of 60 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 10 of 42 | 23% | 6 of 30 | 0 of 5 | 4 of 7 | 10 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marvin Vettori | 30 of 73 | 41% | 26 of 68 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 28 of 69 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 17 of 83 | 20% | 7 of 65 | 4 of 8 | 6 of 10 | 16 of 82 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marvin Vettori | 25 of 62 | 40% | 20 of 56 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 23 of 59 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 12 of 60 | 20% | 8 of 51 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 5 | 12 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 69 of 130 | 53% | 76 of 137 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Marc-André Barriault | 0 | 72 of 148 | 48% | 102 of 181 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 6:20 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 10 of 22 | 45% | 14 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Marc-André Barriault | 0 | 18 of 41 | 43% | 30 of 55 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:45 | |
| 2 | Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 46 of 81 | 56% | 46 of 81 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Marc-André Barriault | 0 | 38 of 81 | 46% | 39 of 82 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 | |
| 3 | Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 13 of 27 | 48% | 16 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Marc-André Barriault | 0 | 16 of 26 | 61% | 33 of 44 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 3:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sanchez | 69 of 130 | 53% | 55 of 114 | 12 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 35 of 86 | 29 of 39 | 5 of 5 |
| Marc-André Barriault | 72 of 148 | 48% | 44 of 112 | 21 of 26 | 7 of 10 | 54 of 125 | 12 of 16 | 6 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Sanchez | 10 of 22 | 45% | 9 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 13 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 |
| Marc-André Barriault | 18 of 41 | 43% | 9 of 28 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 7 | 10 of 31 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 6 | |
| 2 | Andrew Sanchez | 46 of 81 | 56% | 37 of 71 | 7 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 25 of 54 | 21 of 27 | 0 of 0 |
| Marc-André Barriault | 38 of 81 | 46% | 26 of 66 | 11 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 31 of 71 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Andrew Sanchez | 13 of 27 | 48% | 9 of 22 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 19 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 4 |
| Marc-André Barriault | 16 of 26 | 61% | 9 of 18 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 73 of 159 | 45% | 119 of 215 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 5:41 |
| Markus Perez | 0 | 54 of 122 | 44% | 67 of 137 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 8 of 27 | 29% | 24 of 49 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:39 |
| Markus Perez | 0 | 14 of 26 | 53% | 18 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 24 of 58 | 41% | 41 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:32 |
| Markus Perez | 0 | 17 of 42 | 40% | 22 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 41 of 74 | 55% | 54 of 88 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:30 |
| Markus Perez | 0 | 23 of 54 | 42% | 27 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sanchez | 73 of 159 | 45% | 44 of 119 | 21 of 27 | 8 of 13 | 65 of 144 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
| Markus Perez | 54 of 122 | 44% | 22 of 79 | 29 of 38 | 3 of 5 | 41 of 104 | 13 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Sanchez | 8 of 27 | 29% | 4 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 21 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Markus Perez | 14 of 26 | 53% | 5 of 14 | 7 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 21 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Andrew Sanchez | 24 of 58 | 41% | 17 of 46 | 5 of 8 | 2 of 4 | 20 of 52 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Markus Perez | 17 of 42 | 40% | 5 of 25 | 11 of 14 | 1 of 3 | 16 of 38 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Andrew Sanchez | 41 of 74 | 55% | 23 of 52 | 14 of 17 | 4 of 5 | 39 of 71 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Markus Perez | 23 of 54 | 42% | 12 of 40 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 45 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Janes | 2 | 96 of 183 | 52% | 113 of 200 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 159 of 267 | 59% | 200 of 312 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Janes | 2 | 57 of 102 | 55% | 72 of 117 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:10 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 39 of 91 | 42% | 50 of 102 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Ryan Janes | 0 | 38 of 75 | 50% | 40 of 77 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 97 of 141 | 68% | 120 of 164 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 | |
| 3 | Ryan Janes | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 1 of 6 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 23 of 35 | 65% | 30 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Janes | 96 of 183 | 52% | 90 of 173 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 80 of 160 | 9 of 14 | 7 of 9 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 159 of 267 | 59% | 121 of 226 | 32 of 35 | 6 of 6 | 131 of 232 | 28 of 35 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Janes | 57 of 102 | 55% | 53 of 95 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 42 of 83 | 8 of 10 | 7 of 9 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 39 of 91 | 42% | 29 of 80 | 9 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 33 of 82 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ryan Janes | 38 of 75 | 50% | 36 of 72 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 37 of 71 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 97 of 141 | 68% | 73 of 116 | 20 of 21 | 4 of 4 | 81 of 123 | 16 of 18 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ryan Janes | 1 of 6 | 16% | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 23 of 35 | 65% | 19 of 30 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 27 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Smith | 1 | 49 of 100 | 49% | 58 of 111 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:07 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 63 of 104 | 60% | 104 of 151 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 4:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Smith | 0 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 22 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:04 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 17 of 28 | 60% | 29 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:37 | |
| 2 | Anthony Smith | 0 | 13 of 23 | 56% | 14 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 31 of 40 | 77% | 60 of 71 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:58 | |
| 3 | Anthony Smith | 1 | 22 of 50 | 44% | 22 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 0 | 15 of 36 | 41% | 15 of 36 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Smith | 49 of 100 | 49% | 33 of 84 | 12 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 35 of 85 | 8 of 9 | 6 of 6 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 63 of 104 | 60% | 48 of 84 | 7 of 12 | 8 of 8 | 36 of 75 | 3 of 5 | 24 of 24 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Smith | 14 of 27 | 51% | 7 of 20 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 23 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 17 of 28 | 60% | 9 of 18 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | |
| 2 | Anthony Smith | 13 of 23 | 56% | 8 of 18 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 31 of 40 | 77% | 27 of 34 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 19 | |
| 3 | Anthony Smith | 22 of 50 | 44% | 18 of 46 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 41 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 4 |
| Andrew Sanchez | 15 of 36 | 41% | 12 of 32 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 31 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (4)
Big Brady picks Makhmud Muradov, citing his striking advantage and Sanchez's poor striking defense (50%). He notes Muradov's 100% takedown defense (small sample) and Sanchez's cardio issues. He predicts Muradov wins by knockout, as Sanchez has been knocked out three times. He likes the line at -135 but hasn't bet yet.
Daniel Levi picks Makhmud Muradov, praising his boxing, footwork, and takedown defense. He notes Muradov's 13-fight win streak and ability to find openings, especially to the body. Levi respects Sanchez's improvements but believes Muradov's striking difference is too big, predicting a knockout or decision win.
Muradov is more technical on the feet, has good counter striking, and has solid takedown defense with underhooks. Sanchez showed improved striking in his last fight, but that was only one fight and against a lower-level opponent. Sanchez has cardio issues and may gas if he can't get an early finish. Muradov is experienced and should be able to pick Sanchez apart over 15 minutes. I like Muradov at -135, as the market may be skewed by Sanchez's flashy win.
The MMA Guru picks Makhmud Muradov to win by unanimous decision, citing his reach, size, youth, and volume striking. He notes that Andrew Sanchez struggles against higher-level strikers and has been KO'd before. He expects Muradov to outland Sanchez for three rounds, similar to how Marvin Vettori overwhelmed Sanchez with volume. He does not see a finish but thinks Muradov will control the fight on the feet.
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