UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor 2 · Jan 24, 2021 · Middleweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor 2 Next Fight
Age 36
Height 6' 2"
Reach 75.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 38
Height 6' 1"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Makhmud Muradov
4.21 SLpM
43.0% Str. Acc.
2.57 SApM
61.0% Str. Def.
3.03 TD Avg
66.0% TD Acc.
77.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Andrew Sanchez
4.3 SLpM
43.0% Str. Acc.
5.1 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
2.55 TD Avg
36.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Makhmud Muradov
Moneyline
BetWay -188
KO/TKO
BetWay +200
Submission
BetWay +1600
Decision
BetWay +275
Andrew Sanchez
Moneyline
BetWay +150
KO/TKO
BetWay +700
Submission
BetWay +900
Decision
BetWay +225
Makhmud Muradov - Fight History
No Contest (accidental eye poke) R1 0:11 · UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · Feb 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aliaskhab Khizriev 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Makhmud Muradov 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aliaskhab Khizriev 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Makhmud Muradov 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aliaskhab Khizriev 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Makhmud Muradov 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aliaskhab Khizriev 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Makhmud Muradov 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Aliaskhab Khizriev

Angelo picks Aliaskhab Khizriev, describing him as a powerful grappler with relentless wrestling and top pressure. He acknowledges Muradov's boxing and wrestling but believes Khizriev is a different animal who will grind him down. He is very confident in Khizriev to win.

"KRV is the pick and I am very confident in him to win this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Aliaskhab Khizriev

Big Brady picks Aliaskhab Khizriev to win by first-round submission. He notes that Khizriev is undefeated (14-0) and very skilled in wrestling and grappling, while Muradov has been submitted four times and struggles with grapplers. The main concern is Khizriev's inactivity, as he rarely fights. Brady expects Khizriev to take down Muradov and find a submission early, as he typically finishes fights quickly.

first round, submission
"give me Krav to win this fight I'll take him to win by first round sub"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Aliaskhab Khizriev

Cody picks Khizriev, citing his wrestling advantage and Muradov's grappling deficiencies. He notes Khizriev's long layoff and injury concerns but believes his style is a nightmare for Muradov, who has shown poor takedown defense and cardio. He expects a submission win.

Khizriev by submission
"KV by sub I suppose is my preferred method"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Aliaskhab Khizriev

Khizriev has a solid wrestling base and good enough striking to set up takedowns. Muradov is the better striker but has cardio issues that have cost him in the past. Khizriev's pace and pressure should allow him to take over in deep waters, either getting a late finish or winning by decision.

"I think that the solid wrestling base of krael will ultimately be the Difference Maker here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Aliaskhab Khizriev

Paul picks Khizriev, agreeing with Cody. He notes Muradov's struggles against wrestlers and Khizriev's grappling pedigree. He thinks Khizriev will get takedowns early and possibly submit Muradov, though he acknowledges the size difference and Khizriev's inactivity.

"Ali scrab is definitely the pick for me as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Aliaskhab Khizriev

The MMA Guru picks Aliaskhab Khizriev over Makhmud Muradov, despite noting Khizriev has become 'morbidly obese' during his layoff. He believes Khizriev's grappling will be the difference, as Muradov struggled against Brian Barbarena, who has no muscle. He warns that if Khizriev shows up in shape, he will take Muradov down and submit him, but acknowledges Muradov could win if Khizriev is out of shape.

"I'm actually going to go with kiz RV I think his grappling is going to be the difference... I wouldn't be surprised if murov wins because ryv is fat."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Jul 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Makhmud Muradov 2 54 of 97 55% 68 of 114 13 of 16 81% 0 0 5:10
Bryan Barberena 0 28 of 81 34% 81 of 138 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Makhmud Muradov 0 9 of 22 40% 16 of 30 3 of 4 75% 0 0 2:34
Bryan Barberena 0 6 of 22 27% 28 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Makhmud Muradov 1 16 of 28 57% 21 of 34 6 of 6 100% 0 0 1:53
Bryan Barberena 0 8 of 22 36% 30 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Makhmud Muradov 1 29 of 47 61% 31 of 50 4 of 6 66% 0 0 0:43
Bryan Barberena 0 14 of 37 37% 23 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Makhmud Muradov 54 of 97 55% 39 of 77 15 of 20 0 of 0 46 of 79 5 of 11 3 of 7
Bryan Barberena 28 of 81 34% 13 of 56 2 of 4 13 of 21 27 of 79 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Makhmud Muradov 9 of 22 40% 4 of 14 5 of 8 0 of 0 7 of 17 1 of 4 1 of 1
Bryan Barberena 6 of 22 27% 1 of 13 1 of 1 4 of 8 6 of 21 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Makhmud Muradov 16 of 28 57% 15 of 26 1 of 2 0 of 0 15 of 25 0 of 0 1 of 3
Bryan Barberena 8 of 22 36% 4 of 15 0 of 0 4 of 7 7 of 21 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Makhmud Muradov 29 of 47 61% 20 of 37 9 of 10 0 of 0 24 of 37 4 of 7 1 of 3
Bryan Barberena 14 of 37 37% 8 of 28 1 of 3 5 of 6 14 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

Angelo thinks Muradov is the better fighter with cleaner technique and should win by decision, but he is hesitant to lay -275 due to Barberena's toughness and never-say-die attitude. He picks Muradov but will likely leave the bet out.

"muradov is going to be the pick I'll probably leave the BET out of here because Prime Bar Arena again he's the type of guy you can't just say oh his opponent is better than him and that's it"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

Big Brady picks Makhmud Muradov to knock out Bryan Barberena in the second round. He questions Barberena's move up to middleweight, noting he was small for welterweight and is now massively undersized. He thinks Barberena's durability has declined and Muradov is the better striker. He calls the matchup 'weird' and thinks Barberena is on a three-fight skid.

by knockout, second round
"I'm going to take Murdo to win this fight I'll say he knocks out barbarina in the second round here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

Cody picks Muradov, noting Barberena moving up to 185 is a big disadvantage. He thinks Muradov's size and power will be too much, and he can mix in wrestling. He mentions Barberena's takedown defense is poor and he takes a lot of damage.

Barberena round 3 prop as a longshot
"muranov is the straight pick for me"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

Daniel bet Muradov at -250 to win 2 units (risking 5 units). He believes Muradov is a real middleweight in the best shape of his life, while Barberena is moving up from welterweight and will be slower and more hittable. He notes Barberena's takedown defense is poor and Muradov has good footwork and power. He expects Muradov to win by knockout or decision, and thinks the line should be closer to -350 to -400. He is confident Muradov bounces back after a tough loss.

Daniel bet Muradov at -250 to win 2 units. He says he beat the line by a dollar and expects a knockout or decision.
"I hit uh Maki moradov a couple days ago minus 250. so I already beat the line by a dollar"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

The host picks Makhmud Muradov, citing his technical striking, speed, and discipline as keys. He notes Barberena is moving up in weight and Muradov will be much bigger. He thinks Muradov should be closer to -200/-230 but still expects a win by decision, unless Barberena lands a Hail Mary.

odds comment: should be closer to -200 to -230
"I'm still a little bit you know put off in terms of the minus 270 on his number I think he should be closer to the minus 200 to minus 230 range but I still think he gets that a …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

Paul picks Muradov, citing Barberena's age, fight style, and inability to grapple. He thinks Muradov can win by KO or decision using his jab and takedowns. He notes Barberena's chin may be fading.

"I gotta go murder off as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

The MMA Guru picks Makhmud Muradov by TKO, criticizing Bryan Barberena's decision to move up to middleweight. He calls Barberena a 'fat unathletic welterweight' with no grappling or knockout power, and questions his career move. The Guru notes Muradov's improved takedown defense against Caio Borralho and believes his explosiveness, reach, and striking advantage will lead to a finish.

TKO
"I have to pick muridov buy TKO I've got married of winning by finish"
LOSS vs Caio Borralho
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · Oct 22, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Caio Borralho 0 14 of 35 40% 76 of 103 2 of 2 100% 0 1 4:44
Makhmud Muradov 0 19 of 32 59% 57 of 77 1 of 2 50% 2 3 5:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Caio Borralho 0 7 of 20 35% 25 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:32
Makhmud Muradov 0 13 of 18 72% 17 of 22 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:36
2 Caio Borralho 0 1 of 5 20% 29 of 34 1 of 1 100% 0 1 2:45
Makhmud Muradov 0 1 of 3 33% 12 of 14 0 of 0 --- 1 2 0:46
3 Caio Borralho 0 6 of 10 60% 22 of 27 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:27
Makhmud Muradov 0 5 of 11 45% 28 of 41 0 of 1 0% 1 1 3:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Caio Borralho 14 of 35 40% 10 of 28 3 of 6 1 of 1 7 of 20 0 of 0 7 of 15
Makhmud Muradov 19 of 32 59% 13 of 23 1 of 4 5 of 5 10 of 23 0 of 0 9 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Caio Borralho 7 of 20 35% 5 of 17 1 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 10 0 of 0 3 of 10
Makhmud Muradov 13 of 18 72% 9 of 13 1 of 2 3 of 3 6 of 11 0 of 0 7 of 7
2 Caio Borralho 1 of 5 20% 0 of 3 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1
Makhmud Muradov 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Caio Borralho 6 of 10 60% 5 of 8 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 4 of 4
Makhmud Muradov 5 of 11 45% 4 of 8 0 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 9 0 of 0 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Caio Borralho

Angelo picks Caio Borralho, noting his slick grappling, well-timed takedowns, and solid submissions. He references that Gerald Meerschaert took down and submitted Muradov, and believes Borralho can do the same. He calls Borralho a contender at 185 and likes the -200 price.

"Kyle's the pick and at minus 200 which is what you can get him for right now I think that's still a decent price I love Kyle in this spot"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Caio Borralho

Big Brady picks Borralho to win by decision. He praises Borralho's fight IQ and game plan, expecting him to take Muradov down repeatedly as he did against Petrosian. Muradov has been submitted four times and gassed early in his last fight. Borralho has the cardio and grappling to control the fight, though a submission is possible.

"I think Kyle absolutely has you know the cardio the the fight IQ the game plan to go out there take this guy down rinse and repeat fight smart slow down the fight and ultimately win the decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Caio Borralho

Cody is high on Borralho, calling him a solid prospect with high ring IQ. He notes Borralho's effective grappling and ability to take down and control opponents. Cody thinks Muradov has cardio issues and is not a mega prospect. He expects Borralho to win by decision or submission.

Borralho by submission (+400 to +460)
"I really like Kyle this week and I think that the Price Is Right Out of minus 200"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

Daniel Levi picks Makhmud Muradov as an underdog, citing recency bias from Muradov's loss to Gerald Meerschaert. He thinks Muradov's volume, technique, and takedown defense (stuffed two D1 wrestlers) will be too much for Caio Borralho. Levi notes Borralho fights with his hands down and may get jabbed up, and that Borralho has not faced someone with Muradov's striking. He bet 2 units at +190.

Bet 2 units at +190. Notes that the odds would be flipped if not for the Meerschaert loss.
"I actually bet uh makama murlov in this fight I took him two units at plus 190."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 18, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Caio Borralho

Borralho has a karate-style stance and blitzing movement that can keep him safe from Muradov's power. He can pressure Muradov, drain his gas tank, and grind in the clinch. Muradov is the better technical striker but has a sketchy gas tank. Borralho by decision is the pick, but the line at -200 is not sexy enough to bet heavily.

Borralho by decision; over 2.5 rounds
"I do think about Ohio with his grinding Style with his backpacking style especially if he can get the back of murder of he should be able to grind out precious minutes here and get some solid control time"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Caio Borralho

Paul is confident in Borralho, citing his slick ground game and ability to take down and submit opponents. He notes Muradov's poor takedown defense and cardio. Paul expects Borralho to get a rear-naked choke finish in round 2 or 3.

Borralho by submission (+400 to +460)
"Kyle by sub is plus 400 plus 460 is the highest out there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Caio Borralho

The MMA Guru picks Caio Borralho over Makhmud Muradov, citing Muradov's weakness against grapplers. He expects Borralho to tease stand-up early then blast a double leg and secure a rear-naked choke in the first round. He notes Borralho's training with Khamzat Chimaev and Darren Till as positives.

rear naked choke in the first round
"I feel as though calboro is going to get this one done by renaked choke"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 1:49 · UFC on ESPN: Barboza vs. Chikadze · Aug 28, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gerald Meerschaert 0 40 of 99 40% 41 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Makhmud Muradov 0 32 of 56 57% 39 of 65 3 of 10 30% 1 0 0:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gerald Meerschaert 0 29 of 68 42% 30 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Makhmud Muradov 0 23 of 37 62% 30 of 46 1 of 6 16% 0 0 0:25
2 Gerald Meerschaert 0 11 of 31 35% 11 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Makhmud Muradov 0 9 of 19 47% 9 of 19 2 of 4 50% 1 0 0:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gerald Meerschaert 40 of 99 40% 27 of 81 8 of 13 5 of 5 36 of 92 4 of 7 0 of 0
Makhmud Muradov 32 of 56 57% 23 of 45 3 of 5 6 of 6 32 of 55 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gerald Meerschaert 29 of 68 42% 20 of 55 6 of 10 3 of 3 26 of 64 3 of 4 0 of 0
Makhmud Muradov 23 of 37 62% 14 of 27 3 of 4 6 of 6 23 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Gerald Meerschaert 11 of 31 35% 7 of 26 2 of 3 2 of 2 10 of 28 1 of 3 0 of 0
Makhmud Muradov 9 of 19 47% 9 of 18 0 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 18 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gerald Meerschaert vs. Makhmud Muradov

Round 1
Once more tonight, our classic overmentioned matchup rears its head again as the dangerous submission skills of Meerschaert (32-14, 7-6 UFC) come up against the high-flying Muradov (25-6, 3-0 UFC). This middleweight battle most expect will end inside the distance receives oversight from referee Mark Smith, and gloves are touched before violence is waged. Meerschaert rushes ahead and connects with a solid left hand, forcing Muradov to back off. “GM3” slams a high kick on the chest, and in the melee, Meerschaert’s finger jabs into Muradov’s eye. Muradov needs less than 30 seconds to recover, and Meerschaert is apologetic as they get back to business. Meerschaert surprises his foe with a right hand, and Muradov cracks him in response to hurt Meerschaert. Meerschaert falls to the ground, and he looks to set up a leg lock. When there is nothing there, Muradov tells his foe to stand back up. Muradov stings his man with a right hand when he gets back up, and Meerschaert again goes to the canvas to consider submissions. This too is ignored, when Muradov backs up to tell him to get up. Muradov times a crisp head kick that rocks Meerschaert, and Smith tells him to fight back. Meerschaert shoots in for a desperate takedown, and he is several feet away from landing it as Muradov signals for him to stand back up. Muradov continues to tee off on Meerschaert on the feet, and a leg kick from “GM3” slides up to bounce off the cup. Meerschaert just dodges a spinning kick by inches, and he comes in to attack and pops Muradov with a solid left hand. Meerschaert gets off a high kick, and Muradov catches the leg and fires a similar kick to the pectorals. Meerschaert lunges in with long punches, and he follows it with a few leg kicks. One such kick clacks right into the bottom of the cup, and Muradov collapses to the ground in pain. No points are deducted for multiple fouls, although Meerschaert is sternly warned to own his weapons and not let any more happen. Once more, Meerschaert offers an apologetic glove touch, and Muradov accepts it. Meerschaert presses forward, and he nails Muradov with a left hand. Meerschaert connects with a clean head kick, and Muradov shakes it off and then eats another one right on the button. Muradov fires back with his own salvo of strikes, and a clubbing right hand from Muradov nearly sends Meerschaert falling to the ground. A blistering left hand from the American sends Muradov falling back towards the cage, and Meerschaert dives towards him to go after a takedown that he lands. Meerschaert looks for a submission but there is nothing to be found, so he exerts heavy pressure on his foe’s back until the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Muradov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Muradov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Muradov

Round 2
The action resumes right where they left off, with Meerschaert crashing forward and getting dropped. “GM3” gets back to his feet, where he pursues a low single, and there is nothing to be had. The two middleweights start trading recklessly, and Meerschaert pushes the pressure and scores a single left hook. Meerschaert catches a kick and sends Muradov to the ground, but Muradov springs back up when he kicks off the chest. Both men drill the other with big punches, and Meerschaert scores the best of the exchange with a huge right hand. Meerschaert puts everything he has into a left hand, and Muradov takes it on the chin and fights back. Meerschaert skillfully trips Muradov’s legs out and drags him to the ground, where he instantly takes Muradov’s back.
“GM3” gets one hook in, and he snags hold of a rear-naked choke in the blink of an eye. The forearm of the American slides underneath the chin, and Muradov is in big, big trouble. Meerschaert knows he has his man where he wants him, and as he wrenches the choke, Muradov can resist no longer and taps out on the top of Meerschaert’s head.
What a huge win for Meerschaert, earning his 25th career submission victory and scoring the biggest betting upset of the night as he snaps Muradov’s 14-fight win streak.

The Official Result
Gerald Meerschaert def. Makhmud Muradov R2 1:49 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

Angelo picks Muradov, citing his clean boxing, takedown defense, and ability to survive on the ground. He notes Meerschaert lacks offensive wrestling and relies on others to take him down. He spent the 9300 on Muradov in DraftKings and thinks he's worth it.

Angelo suggests a first or second round stoppage prop for Muradov; he also mentions knockout kings.
"i think murad wins this fight yeah i said it i think he wins this fight i think he's worth the 9 300"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

Cody picks Muradov, citing his speed advantage and technical boxing. He notes that Muradov has shown finishing ability in later rounds, which is good if Meerschaert survives early. Cody thinks Meerschaert is chinny and will get knocked out. He prefers Muradov inside the distance and likes the over 1.5 rounds as a bet.

over 1.5 rounds (-125); Muradov inside the distance
"i think we see at least seven and a half minutes out of these two so my preferred bet on this fight is uh over one and a half rounds minus 125"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

Jacob picks Muradov, calling Meerschaert a poor man's Michael Chiesa without the wrestling. He believes Muradov will run through Meerschaert and get a TKO/KO. He has Muradov in his lineup and thinks 9300 is good value.

Jacob suggests inside the distance for Muradov.
"i think he's going to run through gerald and finally get a top 15 maybe even a top 10 guy"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 27, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

Lock picks Muradov to win inside the distance, believing his speed and striking will be too much for Meerschaert. He notes Muradov is a big favorite and expects a finish, though he's unsure of the round. Lock likes round props for Muradov (round 2 +450, round 3 +900) rather than method of victory due to juiced lines. He acknowledges Meerschaert's size and clinch potential but thinks Muradov's speed is the difference.

Muradov inside distance -150, Muradov round 2 +450, Muradov round 3 +900
"i do think that murdoch as i'm almost covered pretty much everywhere in this spot i think if there was any way that gm3 was going to win this fight as if uh murdoch did start slowing down later in …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

Paul picks Muradov, agreeing that Meerschaert is chinny and that Muradov's boxing will find the chin. He notes that Muradov has finished fights in the third round, showing cardio and power. Paul thinks Meerschaert's only path is submission, but he doesn't see it happening. He says Muradov by knockout is -175 and inside the distance is -200.

Muradov by knockout (-175); inside the distance (-200)
"i got to go with murdoch i'm going to have to go with more of inside the distance"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

The Guru picks Makhmud Muradov, criticizing Gerald Meerschaert's fight IQ and tendency to fold against hyped contenders. He expects Muradov to stuff takedowns, land body knees, and pour on pressure for a second-round TKO. The Guru notes Meerschaert's grappling is based on opponents' mistakes, which Muradov won't make.

Muradov by TKO in round 2
"i see macmid murdoch going out there and getting himself a second round tko towards the end of the second round against gerald meerscha"
TKO (flying knee and punches) R3 2:59 · UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor 2 · Jan 24, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Makhmud Muradov 0 48 of 141 34% 50 of 144 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:22
Andrew Sanchez 0 79 of 174 45% 82 of 177 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Makhmud Muradov 0 18 of 39 46% 18 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Andrew Sanchez 0 33 of 68 48% 34 of 69 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:16
2 Makhmud Muradov 0 18 of 64 28% 20 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:22
Andrew Sanchez 0 26 of 55 47% 28 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Makhmud Muradov 0 12 of 38 31% 12 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andrew Sanchez 0 20 of 51 39% 20 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Makhmud Muradov 48 of 141 34% 34 of 118 8 of 15 6 of 8 48 of 141 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrew Sanchez 79 of 174 45% 52 of 139 16 of 22 11 of 13 72 of 165 5 of 7 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Makhmud Muradov 18 of 39 46% 11 of 28 4 of 6 3 of 5 18 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrew Sanchez 33 of 68 48% 13 of 46 10 of 12 10 of 10 29 of 62 4 of 6 0 of 0
2 Makhmud Muradov 18 of 64 28% 13 of 55 3 of 7 2 of 2 18 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrew Sanchez 26 of 55 47% 20 of 46 5 of 6 1 of 3 24 of 53 0 of 0 2 of 2
3 Makhmud Muradov 12 of 38 31% 10 of 35 1 of 2 1 of 1 12 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrew Sanchez 20 of 51 39% 19 of 47 1 of 4 0 of 0 19 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

Big Brady picks Makhmud Muradov, citing his striking advantage and Sanchez's poor striking defense (50%). He notes Muradov's 100% takedown defense (small sample) and Sanchez's cardio issues. He predicts Muradov wins by knockout, as Sanchez has been knocked out three times. He likes the line at -135 but hasn't bet yet.

knockout
"i'm gonna say murdoch knocks him out uh murdoch does have a 67 knockout rate and i'm gonna say he knocks out ander sanchez"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

Daniel Levi picks Makhmud Muradov, praising his boxing, footwork, and takedown defense. He notes Muradov's 13-fight win streak and ability to find openings, especially to the body. Levi respects Sanchez's improvements but believes Muradov's striking difference is too big, predicting a knockout or decision win.

Muradov by knockout or decision
"i'm going uh i'm going murder off here probably by knockout but if it goes to the scorecards i got murdered up too"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

Muradov is more technical on the feet, has good counter striking, and has solid takedown defense with underhooks. Sanchez showed improved striking in his last fight, but that was only one fight and against a lower-level opponent. Sanchez has cardio issues and may gas if he can't get an early finish. Muradov is experienced and should be able to pick Sanchez apart over 15 minutes. I like Muradov at -135, as the market may be skewed by Sanchez's flashy win.

"I'll go with Makhmud Muradov to win this fight via decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2021 (7 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

The MMA Guru picks Makhmud Muradov to win by unanimous decision, citing his reach, size, youth, and volume striking. He notes that Andrew Sanchez struggles against higher-level strikers and has been KO'd before. He expects Muradov to outland Sanchez for three rounds, similar to how Marvin Vettori overwhelmed Sanchez with volume. He does not see a finish but thinks Muradov will control the fight on the feet.

30-27 unanimous decision
"muridov will eventually take over winning himself a 30-27 unanimous decision"
WIN vs Trevor Smith
KO (punch) R3 4:09 · UFC on ESPN: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · Dec 07, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Makhmud Muradov 1 91 of 183 49% 91 of 183 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:06
Trevor Smith 0 39 of 96 40% 39 of 96 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Makhmud Muradov 0 24 of 57 42% 24 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Trevor Smith 0 9 of 24 37% 9 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Makhmud Muradov 0 35 of 71 49% 35 of 71 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:05
Trevor Smith 0 17 of 39 43% 17 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
3 Makhmud Muradov 1 32 of 55 58% 32 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Trevor Smith 0 13 of 33 39% 13 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Makhmud Muradov 91 of 183 49% 59 of 143 32 of 40 0 of 0 91 of 182 0 of 1 0 of 0
Trevor Smith 39 of 96 40% 20 of 71 5 of 8 14 of 17 38 of 95 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Makhmud Muradov 24 of 57 42% 14 of 46 10 of 11 0 of 0 24 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Trevor Smith 9 of 24 37% 5 of 16 0 of 2 4 of 6 9 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Makhmud Muradov 35 of 71 49% 22 of 54 13 of 17 0 of 0 35 of 71 0 of 0 0 of 0
Trevor Smith 17 of 39 43% 10 of 30 2 of 3 5 of 6 16 of 38 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Makhmud Muradov 32 of 55 58% 23 of 43 9 of 12 0 of 0 32 of 54 0 of 1 0 of 0
Trevor Smith 13 of 33 39% 5 of 25 3 of 3 5 of 5 13 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · Sep 28, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Makhmud Muradov 0 36 of 113 31% 37 of 114 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:43
Alessio Di Chirico 0 54 of 169 31% 56 of 171 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Makhmud Muradov 0 7 of 32 21% 7 of 32 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Alessio Di Chirico 0 12 of 43 27% 12 of 43 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
2 Makhmud Muradov 0 6 of 29 20% 6 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alessio Di Chirico 0 23 of 60 38% 23 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Makhmud Muradov 0 23 of 52 44% 24 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:43
Alessio Di Chirico 0 19 of 66 28% 21 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:28
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Makhmud Muradov 36 of 113 31% 31 of 100 0 of 4 5 of 9 30 of 104 6 of 9 0 of 0
Alessio Di Chirico 54 of 169 31% 32 of 133 19 of 32 3 of 4 49 of 160 5 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Makhmud Muradov 7 of 32 21% 6 of 28 0 of 2 1 of 2 5 of 30 2 of 2 0 of 0
Alessio Di Chirico 12 of 43 27% 6 of 34 6 of 9 0 of 0 12 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Makhmud Muradov 6 of 29 20% 2 of 21 0 of 1 4 of 7 6 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alessio Di Chirico 23 of 60 38% 13 of 48 10 of 12 0 of 0 23 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Makhmud Muradov 23 of 52 44% 23 of 51 0 of 1 0 of 0 19 of 45 4 of 7 0 of 0
Alessio Di Chirico 19 of 66 28% 13 of 51 3 of 11 3 of 4 14 of 57 5 of 9 0 of 0
Andrew Sanchez - Fight History
LOSS vs Bruno Silva
TKO (punches) R3 2:35 · UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · Oct 16, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bruno Silva 0 33 of 53 62% 86 of 117 7 of 12 58% 0 0 7:53
Andrew Sanchez 0 70 of 123 56% 100 of 155 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bruno Silva 0 4 of 7 57% 25 of 34 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:25
Andrew Sanchez 0 8 of 23 34% 28 of 43 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Bruno Silva 0 7 of 13 53% 35 of 46 6 of 6 100% 0 0 4:28
Andrew Sanchez 0 7 of 16 43% 17 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Bruno Silva 0 22 of 33 66% 26 of 37 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Andrew Sanchez 0 55 of 84 65% 55 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bruno Silva 33 of 53 62% 26 of 43 6 of 9 1 of 1 26 of 46 2 of 2 5 of 5
Andrew Sanchez 70 of 123 56% 47 of 96 21 of 24 2 of 3 55 of 102 10 of 12 5 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bruno Silva 4 of 7 57% 2 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 1
Andrew Sanchez 8 of 23 34% 4 of 16 3 of 5 1 of 2 7 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Bruno Silva 7 of 13 53% 6 of 11 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 9 0 of 0 4 of 4
Andrew Sanchez 7 of 16 43% 6 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 6 1 of 1 5 of 9
3 Bruno Silva 22 of 33 66% 18 of 27 4 of 6 0 of 0 21 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0
Andrew Sanchez 55 of 84 65% 37 of 65 18 of 19 0 of 0 47 of 74 8 of 10 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Andrew Sanchez vs. Bruno Silva

Round 1
In this middleweight preliminary headliner, “El Dirte” Sanchez (12-6, 5-4 UFC) will try to make it dirty against brutal Brazilian knockout artist Silva (20-6, 1-0 UFC). Many do not expect this fight will last long, and referee Keith Peterson will try to redeem himself from a few earlier missed infractions by tamping down the nonsense in the Apex. The gloves get touched, and Silva begins to stalk the American down right out of the gate. Sanchez turns the tables thanks to herky-jerky movement, bobbing his head down and faking to strike, but Silva quickly walks through this and unloads a brutal combination of punches to the body and head. A few body shots lead to an uppercut that snaps Sanchez’ head back, and Sanchez’ face is already marked up. Sanchez circles away to regain his composure, and Silva slings a body kick that lands with an audible pop. A big overhand right from Silva misses, allowing Sanchez to shoot in low for a single. Silva defends himself by linking his fingers illegally into the fence, but Sanchez rips his legs out and puts him on his back. Silva looks to his corner as Sanchez holds him pinned with his seat on the floor and back to the cage, before “El Dirte” makes it dirty by dragging Silva’s back to the mat. Sanchez in half guard tries to get some ground-and-pound off, and Silva scoots his back up to the fence so he can hope to wall-walk. Sanchez triangles his foe’s legs out beneath him with a move some call the “Dagestani handcuff” even though it existed long before Khabib Nurmagomedov competed inside the Octagon, and Silva appears frustrated as he starts talking to his corner. His corner gives him advice he apparently does not like, as he shakes his head, all while Sanchez puts him flat on the ground again so he can start unloading with ground-and-pound. Silva fights back with swinging elbows from his back, and he kicks off the chest to push Sanchez back. This momentary break allows Silva to burst back to his feet, and Sanchez runs ahead to stick to Silva like glue. Sanchez trips out the leg briefly, but “Blindado” is able to power back up although he cannot break the grip. A knee from Sanchez pounds into Silva’s cup with 20 seconds left in the ground, and Silva is none too pleased. Silva recovers after 35 seconds, and he runs out when they resume to throw a high kick. Sanchez counters him with a side kick that smashes Silva into the cup again, and Silva is hurt badly as he falls to the ground yelling and slamming his hand on the mat. Miraculously, he only needs 30 more seconds to get his bearings after that display of pain, and when the action resumes, he sprints with a right hand but the round ends before he can reach the target.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sanchez
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Sanchez
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sanchez

Round 2
Sanchez begins the round with a few reaching punches, and his jittery movement gives Silva pause from loading up on anything. When the Brazilian does this, swinging wildly and missing, Sanchez grabs hold of him and slams him down to the mat. Silva manages to work his way up, and “El Dirte” kicks out Silva’s foot repeatedly to return him to the ground. Sanchez hits a single, and Silva catches him with a right hand but still lands on the mat. The Brazilian springs into action, unloading with a furious barrage of elbows from his back that may have hurt Sanchez. “El Dirte” gathers his thoughts as Silva returns to his feet, and Silva grabs the fence to stop a subsequent takedown try. The fence grab is unsuccessful, as Sanchez twirls him around and puts him down again. Silva gets back up only to have his feet sucked out beneath him and returned to the mat. In half guard, Sanchez sits up to saw his elbow back and forth on the chin of his opponent. Silva squirms his way with his back to the wall, and he signals to Peterson to do something, but Sanchez is still working and advancing position. Through sheer force of will, Silva pops back up, and he is only upright for two seconds before Sanchez drops him right back down on his head. Once more, “Blindado” fights his way back up, and he tries to throw a big punch only to get bowled over. The American lands a single strike to force Silva to turn to his knees, but Silva once again able to stand. Sanchez unloads with a few punches before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sanchez
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Sanchez
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sanchez

Round 3
The gloves get touched to begin the last round, and Silva throws caution to the wind as he walks the American down to try to unload on him. Silva lands to the head and body, and a fatiguing Sanchez with his back to the fence defends by using a front kick that collides with the cup. The third groin strike draws a point deduction for Sanchez, and Silva needs to catch his breath with another 30-second break. Silva is energized by this, and he blitzes his opponent with punches. Silva rips the body and goes to the head, and he has a knee crash straight into Sanchez’ chin. Silva continues to slam his fists into his gassing foe’s midsection, and he just misses with a big uppercut. Sanchez cannot deliver much in the way of offense on his own side, as Silva ignores the strikes and wrecks Sanchez’ body. A liver kick leads to a few punches, and Sanchez bounces off the wall from the blows but is still in the fight. Silva’s offense suddenly falls off a cliff as he might have used everything he had to stop the fight, and Sanchez clips him with a left hand. Sanchez backs Silva off with a few punches, but a switch suddenly flips in the head of the Brazilian, who charges. “El Dirte” defends himself and backs away into the fence, which allows Silva to stalk him down and blast him with vicious punches to the head and body.
The body shots open up ones to the head, and Silva strings a 10-piece combination together as Sanchez bends over, barely on his feet and taking huge damage. This lengthy barrage of unanswered blows is enough for Peterson to call a stop to the fight, awarding Silva the huge comeback win after likely losing both of the first two rounds.
After his victory, Silva is awarded his Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt, and he celebrates with his team.

The Official Result
Bruno Silva def. Andrew Sanchez R3 2:35 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Angelo is very confident in Bruno Silva, citing his insane power on the feet and ground, and his ability to finish. He notes Sanchez has a suspect chin and is well-rounded but not great at anything. Silva's takedown defense and grappling are good enough to survive. Angelo likes the moneyline at -135 and plans to bet it. He also likes Silva in DraftKings at 8300 and the less less on monkey knife fight.

Bruno Silva wins inside the distance, less less on monkey knife fight
"I see bruno silva winning this fight at minus 135 i will probably put a money line bet on him"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Big Brady picks Bruno Silva by knockout, citing Silva's power and improved takedown defense. He notes Sanchez is hittable, has been knocked out four times, and may gas if he wrestles. Silva's 85% finish rate and Sanchez's poor striking defense make this a favorable matchup for Silva.

by KO
"i do like bruno silva here i like bruno silva to win my knockout i think he's going to be the fifth person to knock out andrew sanchez"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Andrew Sanchez

Cody picks Sanchez as an underdog, citing his excellent wrestling and the fact that Bruno Silva has six submission losses and is vulnerable on the ground. He believes if Sanchez uses his wrestling to control the fight and avoid Silva's power, he can pull off the upset. He acknowledges Sanchez's history of blowing leads but thinks the path to victory is clear.

"i think i'm thinking about an underdog shot here on andrew sanchez"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 14, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Daniel is high on Bruno Silva, a former M-1 champion with devastating power. He notes Silva has addressed past grappling issues by reversing position and knocking out a black belt from his guard. He expects Silva to find Sanchez's chin eventually and knock him out, even if Sanchez gets a takedown or two.

Knockout
"give me bruno blendatto silva to come out here and knock out andrew sanchez"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Andrew Sanchez

Sanchez is a superior wrestler with good boxing and distance control. Silva has poor takedown defense and relies on KO power, but Sanchez can grind him out for 15 minutes. Sanchez by decision is the most likely outcome, though Silva's power is a threat.

Sanchez by decision +280, Silva by KO (hedge) +1000
"i like sanchez by decision that's probably the best way to go about it i'd kind of be surprised if he does find a finish here over bruno silva"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Paul does not make a clear pick. He discusses the matchup but does not state a definitive choice.

TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

The MMA Guru picks Bruno Silva by second-round TKO, citing Silva's experience against tough opponents and Sanchez's history of being KO'd. He notes Silva's ground game and cardio, and predicts Sanchez will have early moments but Silva will land big shots and finish with ground-and-pound. He emphasizes Silva's five-round experience.

second round tko, ground and pound
"i'm gonna go bruno silva here by tko to ground and pound"
LOSS vs Makhmud Muradov
TKO (flying knee and punches) R3 2:59 · UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor 2 · Jan 24, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Makhmud Muradov 0 48 of 141 34% 50 of 144 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:22
Andrew Sanchez 0 79 of 174 45% 82 of 177 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Makhmud Muradov 0 18 of 39 46% 18 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Andrew Sanchez 0 33 of 68 48% 34 of 69 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:16
2 Makhmud Muradov 0 18 of 64 28% 20 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:22
Andrew Sanchez 0 26 of 55 47% 28 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Makhmud Muradov 0 12 of 38 31% 12 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andrew Sanchez 0 20 of 51 39% 20 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Makhmud Muradov 48 of 141 34% 34 of 118 8 of 15 6 of 8 48 of 141 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrew Sanchez 79 of 174 45% 52 of 139 16 of 22 11 of 13 72 of 165 5 of 7 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Makhmud Muradov 18 of 39 46% 11 of 28 4 of 6 3 of 5 18 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrew Sanchez 33 of 68 48% 13 of 46 10 of 12 10 of 10 29 of 62 4 of 6 0 of 0
2 Makhmud Muradov 18 of 64 28% 13 of 55 3 of 7 2 of 2 18 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrew Sanchez 26 of 55 47% 20 of 46 5 of 6 1 of 3 24 of 53 0 of 0 2 of 2
3 Makhmud Muradov 12 of 38 31% 10 of 35 1 of 2 1 of 1 12 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrew Sanchez 20 of 51 39% 19 of 47 1 of 4 0 of 0 19 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

Big Brady picks Makhmud Muradov, citing his striking advantage and Sanchez's poor striking defense (50%). He notes Muradov's 100% takedown defense (small sample) and Sanchez's cardio issues. He predicts Muradov wins by knockout, as Sanchez has been knocked out three times. He likes the line at -135 but hasn't bet yet.

knockout
"i'm gonna say murdoch knocks him out uh murdoch does have a 67 knockout rate and i'm gonna say he knocks out ander sanchez"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

Daniel Levi picks Makhmud Muradov, praising his boxing, footwork, and takedown defense. He notes Muradov's 13-fight win streak and ability to find openings, especially to the body. Levi respects Sanchez's improvements but believes Muradov's striking difference is too big, predicting a knockout or decision win.

Muradov by knockout or decision
"i'm going uh i'm going murder off here probably by knockout but if it goes to the scorecards i got murdered up too"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

Muradov is more technical on the feet, has good counter striking, and has solid takedown defense with underhooks. Sanchez showed improved striking in his last fight, but that was only one fight and against a lower-level opponent. Sanchez has cardio issues and may gas if he can't get an early finish. Muradov is experienced and should be able to pick Sanchez apart over 15 minutes. I like Muradov at -135, as the market may be skewed by Sanchez's flashy win.

"I'll go with Makhmud Muradov to win this fight via decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2021 (7 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

The MMA Guru picks Makhmud Muradov to win by unanimous decision, citing his reach, size, youth, and volume striking. He notes that Andrew Sanchez struggles against higher-level strikers and has been KO'd before. He expects Muradov to outland Sanchez for three rounds, similar to how Marvin Vettori overwhelmed Sanchez with volume. He does not see a finish but thinks Muradov will control the fight on the feet.

30-27 unanimous decision
"muridov will eventually take over winning himself a 30-27 unanimous decision"
KO (punch) R1 4:14 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · Aug 08, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andrew Sanchez 1 28 of 55 50% 40 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:11
Wellington Turman 0 21 of 51 41% 26 of 56 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andrew Sanchez 1 28 of 55 50% 40 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:11
Wellington Turman 0 21 of 51 41% 26 of 56 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andrew Sanchez 28 of 55 50% 23 of 48 4 of 6 1 of 1 26 of 53 0 of 0 2 of 2
Wellington Turman 21 of 51 41% 16 of 40 1 of 7 4 of 4 21 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andrew Sanchez 28 of 55 50% 23 of 48 4 of 6 1 of 1 26 of 53 0 of 0 2 of 2
Wellington Turman 21 of 51 41% 16 of 40 1 of 7 4 of 4 21 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 5, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Andrew Sanchez

Big Brady picks Sanchez as an underdog, believing his wrestling and takedown defense will neutralize Turman's ground game. He notes Sanchez's higher striking volume and experience. He predicts a decision win for Sanchez.

"i do like the underdog in this spot so i'm going to be picking my second underdog on the card and andrew sanchez i'm gonna pick him win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 7, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Wellington Turman

Daniel Levi leans with Wellington Turman, but acknowledges it could go either way. He notes that Turman is young, hungry, and has shown improvement, while Sanchez has questions about his chin and cardio. Levi believes Turman's aggression and youth might edge out a split decision, but he is not confident due to Sanchez's wrestling and durability.

"i lean with wellington tournament as well"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Aug 4, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Andrew Sanchez

Sanchez's wrestling should be able to take Turman down and control him, as Turman's takedown defense is not as strong as Marvin Vettori's. Sanchez showed improved cardio in his last fight, but his past cardio issues are a concern. He should avoid submissions from Turman and grind out a decision, though the third round could be dangerous if he gasses.

Wellington Turman round 3 win prop (if odds are high)
"I am going to take Andrew Sanchez to win this fight by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Aug 3, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Andrew Sanchez

The MMA Guru picks Andrew Sanchez in a tough 50/50 fight. He notes that Wellington Turman hasn't done anything dominantly, while Sanchez has beaten decent opponents and is the bigger guy with a reach advantage. He expects Sanchez to wear Turman down over three rounds and win a unanimous decision.

"i think i'm going to go with andrew sanchez wellington turman is very good but he's not doing things dominantly"
LOSS vs Marvin Vettori
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · Oct 12, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marvin Vettori 0 85 of 205 41% 86 of 206 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Andrew Sanchez 0 39 of 185 21% 39 of 185 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marvin Vettori 0 30 of 70 42% 30 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andrew Sanchez 0 10 of 42 23% 10 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Marvin Vettori 0 30 of 73 41% 30 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Andrew Sanchez 0 17 of 83 20% 17 of 83 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Marvin Vettori 0 25 of 62 40% 26 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Andrew Sanchez 0 12 of 60 20% 12 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marvin Vettori 85 of 205 41% 72 of 187 10 of 14 3 of 4 74 of 188 11 of 17 0 of 0
Andrew Sanchez 39 of 185 21% 21 of 146 6 of 17 12 of 22 38 of 183 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marvin Vettori 30 of 70 42% 26 of 63 4 of 7 0 of 0 23 of 60 7 of 10 0 of 0
Andrew Sanchez 10 of 42 23% 6 of 30 0 of 5 4 of 7 10 of 41 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Marvin Vettori 30 of 73 41% 26 of 68 3 of 3 1 of 2 28 of 69 2 of 4 0 of 0
Andrew Sanchez 17 of 83 20% 7 of 65 4 of 8 6 of 10 16 of 82 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Marvin Vettori 25 of 62 40% 20 of 56 3 of 4 2 of 2 23 of 59 2 of 3 0 of 0
Andrew Sanchez 12 of 60 20% 8 of 51 2 of 4 2 of 5 12 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · May 04, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andrew Sanchez 0 69 of 130 53% 76 of 137 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Marc-André Barriault 0 72 of 148 48% 102 of 181 2 of 8 25% 0 0 6:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andrew Sanchez 0 10 of 22 45% 14 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marc-André Barriault 0 18 of 41 43% 30 of 55 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:45
2 Andrew Sanchez 0 46 of 81 56% 46 of 81 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Marc-André Barriault 0 38 of 81 46% 39 of 82 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
3 Andrew Sanchez 0 13 of 27 48% 16 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marc-André Barriault 0 16 of 26 61% 33 of 44 1 of 5 20% 0 0 3:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andrew Sanchez 69 of 130 53% 55 of 114 12 of 14 2 of 2 35 of 86 29 of 39 5 of 5
Marc-André Barriault 72 of 148 48% 44 of 112 21 of 26 7 of 10 54 of 125 12 of 16 6 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andrew Sanchez 10 of 22 45% 9 of 21 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 13 5 of 8 1 of 1
Marc-André Barriault 18 of 41 43% 9 of 28 5 of 6 4 of 7 10 of 31 3 of 4 5 of 6
2 Andrew Sanchez 46 of 81 56% 37 of 71 7 of 8 2 of 2 25 of 54 21 of 27 0 of 0
Marc-André Barriault 38 of 81 46% 26 of 66 11 of 14 1 of 1 31 of 71 7 of 10 0 of 0
3 Andrew Sanchez 13 of 27 48% 9 of 22 4 of 5 0 of 0 6 of 19 3 of 4 4 of 4
Marc-André Barriault 16 of 26 61% 9 of 18 5 of 6 2 of 2 13 of 23 2 of 2 1 of 1
WIN vs Markus Perez
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · Aug 25, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andrew Sanchez 0 73 of 159 45% 119 of 215 0 of 6 0% 0 0 5:41
Markus Perez 0 54 of 122 44% 67 of 137 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andrew Sanchez 0 8 of 27 29% 24 of 49 0 of 4 0% 0 0 2:39
Markus Perez 0 14 of 26 53% 18 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Andrew Sanchez 0 24 of 58 41% 41 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:32
Markus Perez 0 17 of 42 40% 22 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Andrew Sanchez 0 41 of 74 55% 54 of 88 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:30
Markus Perez 0 23 of 54 42% 27 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andrew Sanchez 73 of 159 45% 44 of 119 21 of 27 8 of 13 65 of 144 8 of 15 0 of 0
Markus Perez 54 of 122 44% 22 of 79 29 of 38 3 of 5 41 of 104 13 of 18 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andrew Sanchez 8 of 27 29% 4 of 21 2 of 2 2 of 4 6 of 21 2 of 6 0 of 0
Markus Perez 14 of 26 53% 5 of 14 7 of 10 2 of 2 10 of 21 4 of 5 0 of 0
2 Andrew Sanchez 24 of 58 41% 17 of 46 5 of 8 2 of 4 20 of 52 4 of 6 0 of 0
Markus Perez 17 of 42 40% 5 of 25 11 of 14 1 of 3 16 of 38 1 of 4 0 of 0
3 Andrew Sanchez 41 of 74 55% 23 of 52 14 of 17 4 of 5 39 of 71 2 of 3 0 of 0
Markus Perez 23 of 54 42% 12 of 40 11 of 14 0 of 0 15 of 45 8 of 9 0 of 0
LOSS vs Ryan Janes
TKO (punches) R3 0:58 · The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · Dec 01, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ryan Janes 2 96 of 183 52% 113 of 200 3 of 7 42% 0 0 2:05
Andrew Sanchez 0 159 of 267 59% 200 of 312 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ryan Janes 2 57 of 102 55% 72 of 117 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:10
Andrew Sanchez 0 39 of 91 42% 50 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Ryan Janes 0 38 of 75 50% 40 of 77 2 of 4 50% 0 0 0:55
Andrew Sanchez 0 97 of 141 68% 120 of 164 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
3 Ryan Janes 0 1 of 6 16% 1 of 6 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Andrew Sanchez 0 23 of 35 65% 30 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ryan Janes 96 of 183 52% 90 of 173 6 of 10 0 of 0 80 of 160 9 of 14 7 of 9
Andrew Sanchez 159 of 267 59% 121 of 226 32 of 35 6 of 6 131 of 232 28 of 35 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ryan Janes 57 of 102 55% 53 of 95 4 of 7 0 of 0 42 of 83 8 of 10 7 of 9
Andrew Sanchez 39 of 91 42% 29 of 80 9 of 10 1 of 1 33 of 82 6 of 9 0 of 0
2 Ryan Janes 38 of 75 50% 36 of 72 2 of 3 0 of 0 37 of 71 1 of 4 0 of 0
Andrew Sanchez 97 of 141 68% 73 of 116 20 of 21 4 of 4 81 of 123 16 of 18 0 of 0
3 Ryan Janes 1 of 6 16% 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrew Sanchez 23 of 35 65% 19 of 30 3 of 4 1 of 1 17 of 27 6 of 8 0 of 0
LOSS vs Anthony Smith
KO (head kick and punches) R3 3:52 · UFC on Fox: Johnson vs. Reis · Apr 15, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Anthony Smith 1 49 of 100 49% 58 of 111 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:07
Andrew Sanchez 0 63 of 104 60% 104 of 151 4 of 10 40% 0 0 4:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Anthony Smith 0 14 of 27 51% 22 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:04
Andrew Sanchez 0 17 of 28 60% 29 of 44 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:37
2 Anthony Smith 0 13 of 23 56% 14 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Andrew Sanchez 0 31 of 40 77% 60 of 71 3 of 6 50% 0 0 2:58
3 Anthony Smith 1 22 of 50 44% 22 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Andrew Sanchez 0 15 of 36 41% 15 of 36 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Anthony Smith 49 of 100 49% 33 of 84 12 of 12 4 of 4 35 of 85 8 of 9 6 of 6
Andrew Sanchez 63 of 104 60% 48 of 84 7 of 12 8 of 8 36 of 75 3 of 5 24 of 24
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Anthony Smith 14 of 27 51% 7 of 20 4 of 4 3 of 3 10 of 23 3 of 3 1 of 1
Andrew Sanchez 17 of 28 60% 9 of 18 5 of 7 3 of 3 12 of 23 0 of 0 5 of 5
2 Anthony Smith 13 of 23 56% 8 of 18 4 of 4 1 of 1 11 of 21 1 of 1 1 of 1
Andrew Sanchez 31 of 40 77% 27 of 34 2 of 4 2 of 2 12 of 21 0 of 0 19 of 19
3 Anthony Smith 22 of 50 44% 18 of 46 4 of 4 0 of 0 14 of 41 4 of 5 4 of 4
Andrew Sanchez 15 of 36 41% 12 of 32 0 of 1 3 of 3 12 of 31 3 of 5 0 of 0
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

Big Brady picks Makhmud Muradov, citing his striking advantage and Sanchez's poor striking defense (50%). He notes Muradov's 100% takedown defense (small sample) and Sanchez's cardio issues. He predicts Muradov wins by knockout, as Sanchez has been knocked out three times. He likes the line at -135 but hasn't bet yet.

knockout
"i'm gonna say murdoch knocks him out uh murdoch does have a 67 knockout rate and i'm gonna say he knocks out ander sanchez"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

Daniel Levi picks Makhmud Muradov, praising his boxing, footwork, and takedown defense. He notes Muradov's 13-fight win streak and ability to find openings, especially to the body. Levi respects Sanchez's improvements but believes Muradov's striking difference is too big, predicting a knockout or decision win.

Muradov by knockout or decision
"i'm going uh i'm going murder off here probably by knockout but if it goes to the scorecards i got murdered up too"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

Muradov is more technical on the feet, has good counter striking, and has solid takedown defense with underhooks. Sanchez showed improved striking in his last fight, but that was only one fight and against a lower-level opponent. Sanchez has cardio issues and may gas if he can't get an early finish. Muradov is experienced and should be able to pick Sanchez apart over 15 minutes. I like Muradov at -135, as the market may be skewed by Sanchez's flashy win.

"I'll go with Makhmud Muradov to win this fight via decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2021 (7 days before fight)
Makhmud Muradov

The MMA Guru picks Makhmud Muradov to win by unanimous decision, citing his reach, size, youth, and volume striking. He notes that Andrew Sanchez struggles against higher-level strikers and has been KO'd before. He expects Muradov to outland Sanchez for three rounds, similar to how Marvin Vettori overwhelmed Sanchez with volume. He does not see a finish but thinks Muradov will control the fight on the feet.

30-27 unanimous decision
"muridov will eventually take over winning himself a 30-27 unanimous decision"