UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · Sep 27, 2020 · Catchweight (150 lb) · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa Next Fight
Age 34
Height 5' 8"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 35
Height 5' 8"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Hakeem Dawodu
5.45 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
3.37 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
65.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Zubaira Tukhugov
3.17 SLpM
39.0% Str. Acc.
3.07 SApM
63.0% Str. Def.
2.13 TD Avg
39.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Hakeem Dawodu - Fight History
LOSS vs Cub Swanson
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. dos Anjos · Aug 12, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cub Swanson 0 77 of 156 49% 107 of 195 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:25
Hakeem Dawodu 0 95 of 176 53% 129 of 224 0 of 0 --- 0 1 3:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cub Swanson 0 23 of 42 54% 23 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Hakeem Dawodu 0 29 of 56 51% 29 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Cub Swanson 0 28 of 51 54% 52 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Hakeem Dawodu 0 29 of 55 52% 48 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:20
3 Cub Swanson 0 26 of 63 41% 32 of 74 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:21
Hakeem Dawodu 0 37 of 65 56% 52 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:50
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cub Swanson 77 of 156 49% 41 of 112 27 of 31 9 of 13 59 of 135 18 of 21 0 of 0
Hakeem Dawodu 95 of 176 53% 41 of 104 29 of 37 25 of 35 79 of 158 16 of 18 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cub Swanson 23 of 42 54% 11 of 25 8 of 10 4 of 7 23 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
Hakeem Dawodu 29 of 56 51% 9 of 28 8 of 9 12 of 19 29 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Cub Swanson 28 of 51 54% 19 of 42 8 of 8 1 of 1 18 of 39 10 of 12 0 of 0
Hakeem Dawodu 29 of 55 52% 13 of 33 10 of 13 6 of 9 20 of 44 9 of 11 0 of 0
3 Cub Swanson 26 of 63 41% 11 of 45 11 of 13 4 of 5 18 of 54 8 of 9 0 of 0
Hakeem Dawodu 37 of 65 56% 19 of 43 11 of 15 7 of 7 30 of 58 7 of 7 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

Angelo picks Dawodu based on age and speed, noting Swanson looked old in his last fight. He acknowledges Swanson could win via takedowns and decision, but leans Dawodu.

"dawood is going to be the pick here but that is based purely on age and speed"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

Big Brady picks Hakeem Dawodu to knock out Cub Swanson in the second round. He notes Swanson's age (39) and recent durability issues, especially in the Jonathan Martinez fight where he was hurt to the head, body, and legs. He believes Dawodu's mixing of strikes will wear down Swanson and lead to a finish. He expects this to be Swanson's retirement fight.

second round knockout
"I'm gonna take Akeem to knock out Swanson here um probably second round I think it's going to be attritional"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Cody is torn on this fight. He notes Cub Swanson is nearing 40 and coming off a brutal loss to Jonathan Martinez, but also has a history of pulling off upsets. He criticizes Hakeem Dawodu's low output and lack of finishing ability, but acknowledges Cub's age and damage. He ultimately decides to pass on betting, saying he has other underdogs he prefers.

"I don't know if I'm gonna get there I'm taking some other underdogs on the car I'm not supposed to send it here"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

James picks Dawodu, believing Swanson is past his prime. He thinks Dawodu is the better striker now with better durability, though he notes Dawodu's chin is questionable. James sees little path for Swanson to win, as he doesn't think Swanson can grapple or out-strike Dawodu. He mentions Swanson could land a knockout due to his unorthodox style, but overall favors Dawodu clearly.

"I think Swanson's past it... I think Dawodu is the clear side in this one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

Dawodu is a technical striker who uses combination striking and kicks. Swanson is 40 and on a 3-6 run over his last nine, with wins over sketchy competition. Dawodu should land the more impactful strikes and get the nod from judges. However, Swanson's unorthodox style could make it closer than the odds suggest.

"I still feel like dawado should be able to do what he needs to do to get his hand raised I just want none of that chalky price"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cub Swanson

Paul picks Cub Swanson but with low confidence. He thinks the line is accurate and would prefer Dawodu at a better price. He sees Cub having a puncher's chance and notes that if Dawodu fights at his usual low volume, Cub could outwork him and eke out a decision. However, he admits he's not confident and has other underdogs he'd rather bet.

"I suppose I will select Cub for the purposes of this show but I have other underdogs that I'm wasting money on this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

The MMA Guru picks Hakeem Dawodu over Cub Swanson, citing Swanson's accumulated damage and small size for featherweight. He notes Dawodu's strength and clinch work, predicting he will hurt Swanson to the body with knees and get a finish in the third round. He references Swanson's past body-shot losses to Tatsuya Kawajiri and Max Holloway.

Finish in the third round by knees to the body
"I'm gonna go Hakeem dawa do over Cub Swanson"
LOSS vs Julian Erosa
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · Sep 10, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julian Erosa 0 74 of 147 50% 90 of 163 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:12
Hakeem Dawodu 0 92 of 188 48% 152 of 257 2 of 6 33% 0 0 4:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julian Erosa 0 31 of 57 54% 36 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Hakeem Dawodu 0 48 of 87 55% 60 of 99 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:41
2 Julian Erosa 0 21 of 39 53% 28 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Hakeem Dawodu 0 22 of 51 43% 47 of 80 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:30
3 Julian Erosa 0 22 of 51 43% 26 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:08
Hakeem Dawodu 0 22 of 50 44% 45 of 78 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julian Erosa 74 of 147 50% 43 of 109 18 of 21 13 of 17 57 of 126 16 of 20 1 of 1
Hakeem Dawodu 92 of 188 48% 60 of 149 28 of 32 4 of 7 59 of 149 24 of 30 9 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julian Erosa 31 of 57 54% 14 of 36 10 of 12 7 of 9 23 of 48 8 of 9 0 of 0
Hakeem Dawodu 48 of 87 55% 32 of 67 15 of 16 1 of 4 34 of 72 14 of 15 0 of 0
2 Julian Erosa 21 of 39 53% 16 of 34 2 of 2 3 of 3 16 of 34 5 of 5 0 of 0
Hakeem Dawodu 22 of 51 43% 13 of 39 6 of 9 3 of 3 11 of 35 6 of 11 5 of 5
3 Julian Erosa 22 of 51 43% 13 of 39 6 of 7 3 of 5 18 of 44 3 of 6 1 of 1
Hakeem Dawodu 22 of 50 44% 15 of 43 7 of 7 0 of 0 14 of 42 4 of 4 4 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

Angelo picks Hakeem Dawodu, citing his technical striking and power. He notes Erosa relies on his chin and was losing to a lower-level striker before getting late takedowns. He thinks Dawodu's technicality and power will be too much, and he has a moneyline bet on Dawodu.

moneyline bet on Dawodu
"I love Hakeem Dawodu I love him in this fight I have a money line bet on him."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 8, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

Big Brady picks Hakeem Dawodu to win by second-round knockout, praising Dawodu's striking and power. He notes Julian Erosa is very hittable and has been knocked out multiple times, while Dawodu looked phenomenal in his last fight. He believes Dawodu is the better striker and will land clean, though he acknowledges Erosa is always in exciting fights and could finish himself.

second round knockout
"I think Keem knocks him out I'll say in the second round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

Cody picks Hakeem Dawodu, noting his clean technical striking and that he is a better striker than Erosa. He likes the under 2.5 rounds at plus money, as Erosa is a wild fighter who often leads to finishes. He believes Dawodu's takedown defense is good enough to keep the fight standing and that he will pick Erosa apart.

Under 2.5 rounds at +120
"i think the wadu wins but i like the under more um for my money"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

Daniel Levi picks Hakeem Dawodu confidently. He praises Dawodu's technical striking, low stance, and volume, and considers him a top-15 featherweight. He notes Erosa's tendency to get dropped but come back, but believes Dawodu's technical soundness will prevent a comeback. Levi sees Dawodu winning by knockout or decision.

"I do have hakim dawa do to win this fight but i gotta give credit to arosa."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

Jacob agrees, saying if the fight stays clean, Dawodu dominates in a kickboxing match. He notes Erosa's only chance is to turn it into a brawl, but Dawodu has good takedown defense. He thinks Dawodu should win easily but might sprinkle Erosa into a DraftKings lineup as an underdog.

might sprinkle Erosa into a DraftKings lineup
"If this stays clean there is not many people in the UFC in the featherweight division that are gonna beat Hakeem in a clean kickboxing match."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 9, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

The host is confident in Hakeem Dawodu, expecting his crisp striking, discipline, and distance management to outpoint the wild and hittable Erosa. He sees a decision win as the most likely path and notes Dawodu's decision prop at +140.

Hakeem Dawodu by decision (+140)
"Give me Hakeem Dawodu by decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

Paul is confident in Hakeem Dawodu, calling him one of his anchors. He praises Dawodu's Muay Thai and technique, and believes his takedown defense is sufficient. He expects Dawodu to win by late stoppage or decision, as Erosa is wild and loopy with his strikes. He notes that Erosa fights down to his opponent's level.

"at -220 i feel like hakeem is going to be one of my anchors this week i think he's a better striker takedown defense is good enough to keep this fight standing"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2022 (fight day)
Hakeem Dawodu

The MMA Guru picks Hakeem Dawodu to win by 29-28 decision, losing the third round but winning the first two. He notes Dawodu had a bad weight cut, so Erosa's pace may get to him later. Dawodu will pick at Erosa at range, chew up his leg, land body shots, and win clinch exchanges. Erosa may steal the third round with pressure, but Dawodu's first two rounds secure the win.

decision 29-28
"I think we're gonna see a 29-28 decision by Hakeem dawadu losing the third round but winning the first two"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Feb 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Hakeem Dawodu 0 141 of 214 65% 189 of 266 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:46
Michael Trizano 0 70 of 133 52% 94 of 158 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Hakeem Dawodu 0 43 of 81 53% 45 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Michael Trizano 0 25 of 48 52% 25 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Hakeem Dawodu 0 52 of 74 70% 73 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:25
Michael Trizano 0 23 of 40 57% 29 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Hakeem Dawodu 0 46 of 59 77% 71 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:14
Michael Trizano 0 22 of 45 48% 40 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Hakeem Dawodu 141 of 214 65% 60 of 121 52 of 62 29 of 31 123 of 195 18 of 19 0 of 0
Michael Trizano 70 of 133 52% 36 of 94 25 of 29 9 of 10 54 of 110 16 of 23 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Hakeem Dawodu 43 of 81 53% 15 of 45 11 of 17 17 of 19 42 of 80 1 of 1 0 of 0
Michael Trizano 25 of 48 52% 10 of 30 9 of 11 6 of 7 23 of 46 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Hakeem Dawodu 52 of 74 70% 21 of 39 20 of 24 11 of 11 46 of 68 6 of 6 0 of 0
Michael Trizano 23 of 40 57% 11 of 28 9 of 9 3 of 3 19 of 35 4 of 5 0 of 0
3 Hakeem Dawodu 46 of 59 77% 24 of 37 21 of 21 1 of 1 35 of 47 11 of 12 0 of 0
Michael Trizano 22 of 45 48% 15 of 36 7 of 9 0 of 0 12 of 29 10 of 16 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

Angelo picks Hakeem Dawodu as the more technical striker with real power. He notes Trizano is a calculated striker coming off an upset win, but Dawodu's forward pressure, leg kicks, and counter punching should prevail. Angelo mentions the odds are wide (3-1 favorite) and Trizano has shown he can beat superior strikers, but still favors Dawodu.

Odds comment: Dawodu is a 3-to-1 favorite, which Angelo thinks is wide.
"i like dawadu to win here i think he wins this fight uh my only issue is the odds are wide i mean dawa dudes messing around with a three to one favorite on some cars and mike trisano just …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Michael Trizano

Cody agrees that Trizano is a live underdog. He notes that Dawodu has a weak chin and low volume, while Trizano is a forward pressure fighter. He thinks the fight will be close and could go either way, so the plus money on Trizano is appealing.

"trisano is another one of these uh live underdogs"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

Daniel Levi picks Hakeem Dawodu, praising his power, calf kicks, and feints. He notes Dawodu has fought tough competition like Zubaira Tukhugov and Julio Arce. Levi thinks Trizano is a point fighter who may try to eke out a split decision, but Dawodu's more impactful shots will win the exchanges. He expects Dawodu to bruise Trizano up and win a comfortable decision.

"give me dawadu to to come out here and just kind of get the better of the exchanges bruise them up a little bit and win a comfortable decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

Lock of the Night leans Dawodu but does not bet the moneyline. He expects a close fight and likes Dawodu by decision at +110. He notes both are strikers and the fight likely goes the distance.

Dawodu by decision +110, fight goes to decision -195
"i got to go with my guy mean hakim i do think he ends up landing slightly more volume"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Michael Trizano

Paul thinks Trizano is a live underdog because he has better volume than Dawodu and can pressure him. He notes that Dawodu's fights are often low-output and close decisions, so the plus money is attractive. He believes Trizano's forward pressure could edge him a decision.

"i like what i see at trisano i think that he's got better volume than hakeem duardu"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

The MMA Guru picks Hakeem Dawodu, citing his reach advantage and straight punches. He criticizes Michael Trizano's head movement, calling him a 'zombie' who walks into punishment. He predicts a 30-27 decision with Dawodu stuffing takedowns and landing straight shots for three rounds.

decision, 30-27
"i'm gonna go hakeem dawadu he's got a reach advantage and one thing i'm noticing here a king dowadous got really good straight shots"
LOSS vs Movsar Evloev
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · Jun 12, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Movsar Evloev 0 42 of 90 46% 193 of 266 9 of 13 69% 2 0 8:55
Hakeem Dawodu 0 39 of 92 42% 60 of 129 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Movsar Evloev 0 11 of 13 84% 69 of 74 4 of 6 66% 1 0 3:36
Hakeem Dawodu 0 7 of 18 38% 15 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Movsar Evloev 0 14 of 15 93% 91 of 109 3 of 3 100% 1 0 4:34
Hakeem Dawodu 0 1 of 4 25% 13 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:11
3 Movsar Evloev 0 17 of 62 27% 33 of 83 2 of 4 50% 0 0 0:45
Hakeem Dawodu 0 31 of 70 44% 32 of 75 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Movsar Evloev 42 of 90 46% 37 of 83 3 of 4 2 of 3 21 of 63 5 of 9 16 of 18
Hakeem Dawodu 39 of 92 42% 26 of 70 7 of 14 6 of 8 37 of 89 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Movsar Evloev 11 of 13 84% 10 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1 9 of 10 0 of 0 2 of 3
Hakeem Dawodu 7 of 18 38% 6 of 14 0 of 2 1 of 2 7 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Movsar Evloev 14 of 15 93% 14 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 14 of 14
Hakeem Dawodu 1 of 4 25% 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Movsar Evloev 17 of 62 27% 13 of 56 3 of 4 1 of 2 12 of 52 5 of 9 0 of 1
Hakeem Dawodu 31 of 70 44% 20 of 54 7 of 12 4 of 4 29 of 67 2 of 3 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Movsar Evloev

Big Brady picks Movsar Evloev, highlighting his well-rounded skills, including solid striking and excellent takedown game. He acknowledges Dawodu has a striking advantage but believes Evloev's takedowns and control time will edge out a decision win. He notes Evloev's undefeated record and impressive cardio.

Evloev by decision
"i'm going to say that the takedowns and the control time it does edge out the win for mosesville evolutive"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

Cody leans towards Dawodu as an underdog, citing his striking pedigree and takedown defense improvements. He thinks if Dawodu can keep the fight standing, he has the advantage. He notes Evloev's wrestling is not elite and that Dawodu's style is tailored to upset grapplers.

"hakeem dawadu baby we need this"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Movsar Evloev

Daniel Levi picks Movsar Evloev by decision, citing his relentless pace and clinch grappling. He acknowledges Dawodu's technical striking and calf kicks but believes Evloev's work rate and takedowns will be the difference. He notes that Evloev has shown championship qualities by escaping deep submissions. He thinks the line is a bit wide but still favors Evloev.

by decision
"i'm gonna go with mozware by decision you know outworking them"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2021 (fight day)
Movsar Evloev

Evloev has a strong wrestling and grappling base, which should neutralize Dawodu's Muay Thai. The threat of takedowns will limit Dawodu's striking output, and Evloev's volume and cardio give him an edge. Dawodu is durable, so Evloev likely wins a decision. The value is on Dawodu, but Evloev is the safer pick.

Evloev by decision (-110)
"I do favor Movsar Evloev here... the threat of the takedown should affect Hakeem's ability to truly let his striking go... I will go with Movsar Evloev to win this fight via decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Paul passes on this fight. He acknowledges Dawodu's chances but is not confident either way. He notes Evloev has been a cash cow but the style clash makes it a live underdog situation.

"dogger pass situation for me as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

The MMA Guru picks Hakeem Dawodu, questioning Evloev's grappling offense and power. He notes Dawodu's reach advantage and technical striking, and criticizes Evloev's close fights with Enrique Barzola and Nick Lentz. He predicts Dawodu wins a 29-28 decision by taking the first two rounds and surviving the third.

"i'm going with hakeem dawadu i think i'm going to pick against mozart evoluth here"
Decision (split) (28–29, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · Sep 27, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Hakeem Dawodu 0 69 of 136 50% 70 of 137 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Zubaira Tukhugov 0 35 of 93 37% 40 of 98 1 of 7 14% 0 0 2:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Hakeem Dawodu 0 13 of 41 31% 13 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Zubaira Tukhugov 0 10 of 29 34% 10 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Hakeem Dawodu 0 36 of 58 62% 37 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Zubaira Tukhugov 0 21 of 54 38% 26 of 59 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:17
3 Hakeem Dawodu 0 20 of 37 54% 20 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Zubaira Tukhugov 0 4 of 10 40% 4 of 10 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:46
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Hakeem Dawodu 69 of 136 50% 31 of 80 14 of 21 24 of 35 69 of 136 0 of 0 0 of 0
Zubaira Tukhugov 35 of 93 37% 31 of 88 4 of 5 0 of 0 34 of 92 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Hakeem Dawodu 13 of 41 31% 3 of 24 3 of 5 7 of 12 13 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Zubaira Tukhugov 10 of 29 34% 10 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0 10 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Hakeem Dawodu 36 of 58 62% 20 of 38 8 of 9 8 of 11 36 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
Zubaira Tukhugov 21 of 54 38% 18 of 50 3 of 4 0 of 0 20 of 53 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 Hakeem Dawodu 20 of 37 54% 8 of 18 3 of 7 9 of 12 20 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Zubaira Tukhugov 4 of 10 40% 3 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 23, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Zubaira Tukhugov

Big Brady leans toward Tukhugov in a close fight, citing his power and wrestling. He thinks Tukhugov will land harder shots and potentially use takedowns to edge a decision, despite being out-volumed. He's not very confident.

"gimme to hugov here in a very very close decision um you know not all that confident"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 25, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

Daniel Levi picks Hakeem Dawodu as a dog, believing the fight should be closer to a pick'em. He notes Dawodu starts slow but improves as the fight progresses with his Muay Thai arsenal, while Tukhugov comes out hard early. He also mentions Tukhugov missed weight by five pounds and is without his coach Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov.

"with this dog odds i'ma take hakeem do i do to uh to edge out this fight and one that i think should be a pick em"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

The host picks Hakeem Dawodu as a slight underdog, citing his superior striking, better gas tank, and higher output. He expects Tukhugov to slow down in later rounds, allowing Dawodu to take over. He predicts a third-round TKO for Dawodu.

Dawodu wins in round 3 (+1800)
"I do like duaduru in this fight again the overall better stand up artist here... i'm going to take him to win by third round tko."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Zubaira Tukhugov

The MMA Guru picks Zubaira Tukhugov, believing he has more power and finishing ability. He thinks Tukhugov will crack Dawodu early, possibly with a KO, and notes Dawodu tends to have close decisions. He mentions the smaller cage favors Tukhugov's finishing chances.

Win by finish (KO)
"i'm going with zubaira took off getting a job done by finish i think he'll just be a little bit too fast and switched on early"
WIN vs Julio Arce
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · Nov 02, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Hakeem Dawodu 0 32 of 124 25% 64 of 162 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:56
Julio Arce 0 55 of 139 39% 83 of 170 0 of 0 --- 0 1 3:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Hakeem Dawodu 0 6 of 31 19% 12 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Julio Arce 0 13 of 39 33% 26 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:51
2 Hakeem Dawodu 0 9 of 42 21% 20 of 54 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:43
Julio Arce 0 14 of 37 37% 23 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:25
3 Hakeem Dawodu 0 17 of 51 33% 32 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Julio Arce 0 28 of 63 44% 34 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Hakeem Dawodu 32 of 124 25% 21 of 101 11 of 22 0 of 1 28 of 116 4 of 8 0 of 0
Julio Arce 55 of 139 39% 15 of 79 25 of 42 15 of 18 40 of 121 11 of 14 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Hakeem Dawodu 6 of 31 19% 3 of 25 3 of 6 0 of 0 5 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0
Julio Arce 13 of 39 33% 2 of 17 6 of 14 5 of 8 11 of 37 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Hakeem Dawodu 9 of 42 21% 6 of 35 3 of 7 0 of 0 8 of 38 1 of 4 0 of 0
Julio Arce 14 of 37 37% 4 of 23 3 of 7 7 of 7 9 of 32 1 of 1 4 of 4
3 Hakeem Dawodu 17 of 51 33% 12 of 41 5 of 9 0 of 1 15 of 48 2 of 3 0 of 0
Julio Arce 28 of 63 44% 9 of 39 16 of 21 3 of 3 20 of 52 8 of 11 0 of 0
TKO (head kick) R3 4:09 · UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · Jul 27, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Hakeem Dawodu 1 80 of 154 51% 89 of 166 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:20
Yoshinori Horie 0 39 of 79 49% 41 of 81 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Hakeem Dawodu 0 14 of 32 43% 14 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yoshinori Horie 0 11 of 26 42% 11 of 26 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
2 Hakeem Dawodu 0 22 of 50 44% 22 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yoshinori Horie 0 13 of 24 54% 13 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Hakeem Dawodu 1 44 of 72 61% 53 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:20
Yoshinori Horie 0 15 of 29 51% 17 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Hakeem Dawodu 80 of 154 51% 42 of 95 27 of 44 11 of 15 38 of 99 42 of 55 0 of 0
Yoshinori Horie 39 of 79 49% 24 of 62 7 of 8 8 of 9 35 of 68 4 of 11 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Hakeem Dawodu 14 of 32 43% 4 of 18 3 of 7 7 of 7 13 of 31 1 of 1 0 of 0
Yoshinori Horie 11 of 26 42% 5 of 20 1 of 1 5 of 5 11 of 25 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Hakeem Dawodu 22 of 50 44% 8 of 25 11 of 19 3 of 6 14 of 38 8 of 12 0 of 0
Yoshinori Horie 13 of 24 54% 7 of 17 3 of 4 3 of 3 13 of 23 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Hakeem Dawodu 44 of 72 61% 30 of 52 13 of 18 1 of 2 11 of 30 33 of 42 0 of 0
Yoshinori Horie 15 of 29 51% 12 of 25 3 of 3 0 of 1 11 of 20 4 of 9 0 of 0
WIN vs Kyle Bochniak
Decision (split) (28–29, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · Dec 08, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Hakeem Dawodu 0 103 of 212 48% 103 of 212 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Kyle Bochniak 0 42 of 109 38% 47 of 114 2 of 12 16% 0 0 1:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Hakeem Dawodu 0 25 of 53 47% 25 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kyle Bochniak 0 10 of 26 38% 10 of 26 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:36
2 Hakeem Dawodu 0 31 of 81 38% 31 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kyle Bochniak 0 12 of 32 37% 15 of 35 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:17
3 Hakeem Dawodu 0 47 of 78 60% 47 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Kyle Bochniak 0 20 of 51 39% 22 of 53 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:59
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Hakeem Dawodu 103 of 212 48% 51 of 146 35 of 48 17 of 18 99 of 208 4 of 4 0 of 0
Kyle Bochniak 42 of 109 38% 27 of 79 4 of 9 11 of 21 37 of 97 3 of 10 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Hakeem Dawodu 25 of 53 47% 9 of 32 6 of 11 10 of 10 25 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kyle Bochniak 10 of 26 38% 4 of 15 0 of 0 6 of 11 10 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Hakeem Dawodu 31 of 81 38% 16 of 60 12 of 17 3 of 4 30 of 80 1 of 1 0 of 0
Kyle Bochniak 12 of 32 37% 6 of 19 1 of 4 5 of 9 11 of 30 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Hakeem Dawodu 47 of 78 60% 26 of 54 17 of 20 4 of 4 44 of 75 3 of 3 0 of 0
Kyle Bochniak 20 of 51 39% 17 of 45 3 of 5 0 of 1 16 of 41 2 of 8 2 of 2
Zubaira Tukhugov - Fight History
LOSS vs Elves Brener
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · Feb 12, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Elves Brener 0 70 of 169 41% 73 of 172 0 of 4 0% 0 0 2:11
Zubaira Tukhugov 0 69 of 157 43% 82 of 170 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Elves Brener 0 17 of 43 39% 17 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Zubaira Tukhugov 0 24 of 67 35% 24 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Elves Brener 0 36 of 78 46% 36 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Zubaira Tukhugov 0 23 of 52 44% 23 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Elves Brener 0 17 of 48 35% 20 of 51 0 of 4 0% 0 0 2:11
Zubaira Tukhugov 0 22 of 38 57% 35 of 51 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Elves Brener 70 of 169 41% 64 of 160 4 of 7 2 of 2 68 of 167 2 of 2 0 of 0
Zubaira Tukhugov 69 of 157 43% 30 of 101 23 of 35 16 of 21 66 of 153 3 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Elves Brener 17 of 43 39% 14 of 39 3 of 4 0 of 0 16 of 42 1 of 1 0 of 0
Zubaira Tukhugov 24 of 67 35% 6 of 41 9 of 13 9 of 13 24 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Elves Brener 36 of 78 46% 34 of 74 1 of 3 1 of 1 36 of 78 0 of 0 0 of 0
Zubaira Tukhugov 23 of 52 44% 10 of 33 9 of 14 4 of 5 23 of 51 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Elves Brener 17 of 48 35% 16 of 47 0 of 0 1 of 1 16 of 47 1 of 1 0 of 0
Zubaira Tukhugov 22 of 38 57% 14 of 27 5 of 8 3 of 3 19 of 35 3 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Zubaira Tukhugov

Angelo picks Zubaira Tukhugov, citing his excellent wrestling and takedown ability, which should dominate Elves Brener, who is stepping up on short notice. He notes that both have mediocre striking, but Zubaira's wrestling is the difference-maker. He expects the fight to go to decision and advises against including Zubaira in parlays due to the risk.

Fight goes to decision
"zubair is definitely the pick both of these guys are tough this most likely goes to a decision"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Zubaira Tukhugov

Big Brady is very confident in Tukhugov, citing his superior striking and takedown defense. He notes that Tukhugov has fought much better competition and has 100% takedown defense, while Brener is a grappler with poor takedown defense. He predicts a first-round knockout, as Tukhugov has power and will go after Brener early.

first round knockout
"I like to hook up and knock this guy out and I like him to do it in the very first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Zubaira Tukhugov

Cody picks Tukhugov but hates the -600 price. He notes Tukhugov is talented but often fights to the level of his competition and has many split decisions. He thinks Brener is a step up in competition and durable. He expects a close fight and would not bet Tukhugov at that price.

"the pick would be zubair to Hugo do I agree with the price tag no"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Zubaira Tukhugov

Connor picks Tukhugov, agreeing that Brener has zero structure and can be taken out of the fight in any position. He notes that Tukhugov is an insane athlete who has moved past his bad fight period and now looks structured. Connor thinks even a bad Tukhugov would likely win, and that Brener is a regional-level fighter.

"Yeah, Brenner is very much your fight for leap no over fight. And oh God, yeah, you would still might most likely dog walk Brenner."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Zubaira Tukhugov

Tukhugov's overhand right and clinch grappling will be too much for the short-notice debutant Brener. Brener has a tendency to end up on his back, where Tukhugov can control him. Tukhugov's striking is limited but effective at crashing the pocket. Brener may have success with kicks early, but Tukhugov's pressure and wrestling will take over. The fight likely goes to a decision with Tukhugov grinding out a win.

"I think that hard-known striking style of tahugov is going to be able to crash the Pocket land those big strikes on Brenner possibly finishing him in the early goings of this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Zubaira Tukhugov

Paul picks Tukhugov but is not confident. He notes Tukhugov's wrestling and durability should be enough to control Brener, but the -600 line is unplayable. He sees Brener as durable and tough, but thinks Tukhugov wins by decision or late finish. He passes on betting.

"I think zooby should be able to take him down hold him down there... but yeah minus 600 what do you really do with the line"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Zubaira Tukhugov

The MMA Guru picks Zubaira Tukhugov over Elves Brener, noting that Brener is stepping in on short notice and lacks impressive competition. He believes Tukhugov will take it slow and steady, finishing Brener in the second or third round by TKO. He trusts Tukhugov's experience despite some past losses.

second round TKO
"I'm going with zubaira took a goth via second round TKO"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Zubaira Tukhugov

Zane picks Tukhugov confidently, stating that Brener is a bad fighter with no structure to his game, who can lose from any position. He notes that Tukhugov is a massive step up in competition and has shown improved boxing and structure. Zane believes Tukhugov will likely dog-walk Brener, landing a huge shot or takedown.

"Zubard Tukugov is a massive, massive step up in competition."
WIN vs Ricardo Ramos
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · Oct 30, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zubaira Tukhugov 0 68 of 224 30% 71 of 227 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricardo Ramos 0 77 of 181 42% 78 of 185 2 of 7 28% 0 0 0:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zubaira Tukhugov 0 15 of 66 22% 15 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricardo Ramos 0 19 of 43 44% 19 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Zubaira Tukhugov 0 21 of 72 29% 21 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricardo Ramos 0 31 of 68 45% 31 of 68 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:26
3 Zubaira Tukhugov 0 32 of 86 37% 35 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricardo Ramos 0 27 of 70 38% 28 of 74 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:29
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zubaira Tukhugov 68 of 224 30% 49 of 187 10 of 19 9 of 18 67 of 223 1 of 1 0 of 0
Ricardo Ramos 77 of 181 42% 73 of 174 2 of 5 2 of 2 77 of 181 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zubaira Tukhugov 15 of 66 22% 9 of 50 2 of 6 4 of 10 15 of 66 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricardo Ramos 19 of 43 44% 19 of 42 0 of 1 0 of 0 19 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Zubaira Tukhugov 21 of 72 29% 14 of 63 3 of 4 4 of 5 21 of 72 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricardo Ramos 31 of 68 45% 27 of 63 2 of 3 2 of 2 31 of 68 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Zubaira Tukhugov 32 of 86 37% 26 of 74 5 of 9 1 of 3 31 of 85 1 of 1 0 of 0
Ricardo Ramos 27 of 70 38% 27 of 69 0 of 1 0 of 0 27 of 70 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 26, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Zubaira Tukhugov

Big Brady picks Zubaira Tukhugov to win a close decision. He thinks the fight will be competitive on the feet, but Tukhugov's grappling and takedowns will be the difference. He notes Tukhugov has a 100% takedown defense and averages 2.5 takedowns per 15 minutes. He expects a very close fight and would not touch the moneyline.

"I think the difference in this fight is going to be tahugov going to the grappling going to the takedowns."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Cody leans towards Ramos at +145, citing Tukhugov's untrustworthiness and tendency for split decisions. He notes Tukhugov's wrestling isn't as good as other Russians and he gasses. Ramos showed improved wrestling against Bill Algeo. He thinks this is a pick'em fight and likes the underdog value.

"i'm leaning towards the plus 145 on ramos uh to get the job done"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Daniel picks Ricardo Ramos as an underdog, citing his talent and ability. He notes Ramos has all the skills but is inconsistent mentally. Daniel believes if Ramos shows up, he can win by being more active and fresher down the stretch. He mentions Tukhugov's cardio issues and low output as vulnerabilities. Daniel is willing to roll the dice at the odds.

"give me the underdog ricardo ramos and ricardo just show up for this one man because if you do you got all the ability then the talent and the skills to win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Zubaira Tukhugov

Tukhugov has power and takedowns, but fades in the third round and has been in many split decisions. Ramos is crafty on the ground and has durability issues. Tukhugov likely wins the first two rounds and holds on for a decision, but it's risky.

Tukhugov by decision +150, Tukhugov round 1 +800, Ramos round 3 +2000.
"I gotta go to hugov uh and i think he'll do enough in those first two rounds stay out of danger in that third round and take home a decision victory."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Zubaira Tukhugov

Paul is hesitant but leans Tukhugov, noting the 'team Russia' factor in Abu Dhabi might give him an edge. He acknowledges Tukhugov's flaws (low output, close decisions) but thinks Ramos also has low output. He expects a close decision that could go Tukhugov's way.

"i feel like it's going to go towards dahugov"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Oct 24, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

The MMA Guru picks Ricardo Ramos as an upset. He is not sold on Zubaira Tukhugov, citing cardio issues and a tendency to slow down. He notes that Ramos has good body work, is dangerous under pressure, and can land spinning elbows. He expects Ramos to be busier on the ground and scramble more, winning a split decision 29-28. He mentions that Tukhugov often lets fights slide.

"i'm gonna go with ricardo ramos i think he's pretty good and i'm not sold on zubaira tukagov"
LOSS vs Hakeem Dawodu
Decision (split) (28–29, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · Sep 27, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Hakeem Dawodu 0 69 of 136 50% 70 of 137 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Zubaira Tukhugov 0 35 of 93 37% 40 of 98 1 of 7 14% 0 0 2:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Hakeem Dawodu 0 13 of 41 31% 13 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Zubaira Tukhugov 0 10 of 29 34% 10 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Hakeem Dawodu 0 36 of 58 62% 37 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Zubaira Tukhugov 0 21 of 54 38% 26 of 59 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:17
3 Hakeem Dawodu 0 20 of 37 54% 20 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Zubaira Tukhugov 0 4 of 10 40% 4 of 10 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:46
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Hakeem Dawodu 69 of 136 50% 31 of 80 14 of 21 24 of 35 69 of 136 0 of 0 0 of 0
Zubaira Tukhugov 35 of 93 37% 31 of 88 4 of 5 0 of 0 34 of 92 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Hakeem Dawodu 13 of 41 31% 3 of 24 3 of 5 7 of 12 13 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Zubaira Tukhugov 10 of 29 34% 10 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0 10 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Hakeem Dawodu 36 of 58 62% 20 of 38 8 of 9 8 of 11 36 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
Zubaira Tukhugov 21 of 54 38% 18 of 50 3 of 4 0 of 0 20 of 53 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 Hakeem Dawodu 20 of 37 54% 8 of 18 3 of 7 9 of 12 20 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Zubaira Tukhugov 4 of 10 40% 3 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 23, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Zubaira Tukhugov

Big Brady leans toward Tukhugov in a close fight, citing his power and wrestling. He thinks Tukhugov will land harder shots and potentially use takedowns to edge a decision, despite being out-volumed. He's not very confident.

"gimme to hugov here in a very very close decision um you know not all that confident"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 25, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

Daniel Levi picks Hakeem Dawodu as a dog, believing the fight should be closer to a pick'em. He notes Dawodu starts slow but improves as the fight progresses with his Muay Thai arsenal, while Tukhugov comes out hard early. He also mentions Tukhugov missed weight by five pounds and is without his coach Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov.

"with this dog odds i'ma take hakeem do i do to uh to edge out this fight and one that i think should be a pick em"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

The host picks Hakeem Dawodu as a slight underdog, citing his superior striking, better gas tank, and higher output. He expects Tukhugov to slow down in later rounds, allowing Dawodu to take over. He predicts a third-round TKO for Dawodu.

Dawodu wins in round 3 (+1800)
"I do like duaduru in this fight again the overall better stand up artist here... i'm going to take him to win by third round tko."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Zubaira Tukhugov

The MMA Guru picks Zubaira Tukhugov, believing he has more power and finishing ability. He thinks Tukhugov will crack Dawodu early, possibly with a KO, and notes Dawodu tends to have close decisions. He mentions the smaller cage favors Tukhugov's finishing chances.

Win by finish (KO)
"i'm going with zubaira took off getting a job done by finish i think he'll just be a little bit too fast and switched on early"
WIN vs Kevin Aguilar
TKO (punches) R1 3:21 · UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · Feb 23, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zubaira Tukhugov 0 9 of 28 32% 9 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kevin Aguilar 2 28 of 36 77% 28 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zubaira Tukhugov 0 9 of 28 32% 9 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kevin Aguilar 2 28 of 36 77% 28 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zubaira Tukhugov 9 of 28 32% 4 of 22 3 of 4 2 of 2 9 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kevin Aguilar 28 of 36 77% 26 of 34 2 of 2 0 of 0 15 of 22 0 of 0 13 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zubaira Tukhugov 9 of 28 32% 4 of 22 3 of 4 2 of 2 9 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kevin Aguilar 28 of 36 77% 26 of 34 2 of 2 0 of 0 15 of 22 0 of 0 13 of 14
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Kevin Aguilar

Daniel Levi picks Kevin Aguilar, despite concerns about Aguilar taking too many clean punches. He believes Aguilar's takedown defense and get-up game are excellent, and that his output and cardio will be deciding factors in the later rounds. Levi notes that Zubaira Tukhugov's activity wanes as fights go on, and if Tukhugov doesn't knock Aguilar out early, Aguilar will take over and win a decision.

"I think that if Zubaira does not knock out Kevin Aguilar, that Aguilar is gonna take over in that second and third."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2020 (9 days before fight)
Kevin Aguilar

The host picks Kevin Aguilar, reasoning that if Tukhugov were special, he wouldn't have gone to a draw with Lerone Murphy on short notice. He notes Aguilar's only recent loss is to Dan Ige, who looked amazing. He likes Aguilar as an underdog to bounce back.

"I like Kevin Aguilar here to bounce back I think he's gonna get the job done over Jabara took a Goff"
LOSS vs Lerone Murphy
Draw (split) (28–29, 29–28, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · Sep 07, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zubaira Tukhugov 1 22 of 58 37% 28 of 68 6 of 8 75% 0 1 9:30
Lerone Murphy 0 28 of 78 35% 65 of 116 0 of 0 --- 2 1 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zubaira Tukhugov 1 16 of 31 51% 19 of 37 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:36
Lerone Murphy 0 5 of 13 38% 20 of 28 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
2 Zubaira Tukhugov 0 4 of 19 21% 5 of 20 2 of 2 100% 0 1 2:43
Lerone Murphy 0 14 of 38 36% 25 of 49 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:11
3 Zubaira Tukhugov 0 2 of 8 25% 4 of 11 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:11
Lerone Murphy 0 9 of 27 33% 20 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zubaira Tukhugov 22 of 58 37% 20 of 53 2 of 5 0 of 0 10 of 37 7 of 11 5 of 10
Lerone Murphy 28 of 78 35% 12 of 55 13 of 20 3 of 3 23 of 73 2 of 2 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zubaira Tukhugov 16 of 31 51% 14 of 26 2 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 10 7 of 11 5 of 10
Lerone Murphy 5 of 13 38% 0 of 6 2 of 4 3 of 3 5 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Zubaira Tukhugov 4 of 19 21% 4 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Lerone Murphy 14 of 38 36% 8 of 30 6 of 8 0 of 0 10 of 34 1 of 1 3 of 3
3 Zubaira Tukhugov 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Lerone Murphy 9 of 27 33% 4 of 19 5 of 8 0 of 0 8 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0
LOSS vs Renato Moicano
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 198: Werdum vs. Miocic · May 14, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Renato Moicano 0 44 of 129 34% 52 of 137 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Zubaira Tukhugov 0 29 of 112 25% 32 of 115 3 of 8 37% 0 0 1:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Renato Moicano 0 9 of 26 34% 15 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Zubaira Tukhugov 0 5 of 21 23% 8 of 24 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:48
2 Renato Moicano 0 15 of 51 29% 15 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Zubaira Tukhugov 0 11 of 48 22% 11 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Renato Moicano 0 20 of 52 38% 22 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Zubaira Tukhugov 0 13 of 43 30% 13 of 43 2 of 5 40% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Renato Moicano 44 of 129 34% 21 of 98 5 of 11 18 of 20 41 of 124 1 of 3 2 of 2
Zubaira Tukhugov 29 of 112 25% 24 of 100 5 of 12 0 of 0 26 of 106 0 of 1 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Renato Moicano 9 of 26 34% 4 of 20 1 of 2 4 of 4 7 of 24 0 of 0 2 of 2
Zubaira Tukhugov 5 of 21 23% 5 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 16 0 of 0 3 of 5
2 Renato Moicano 15 of 51 29% 7 of 38 0 of 3 8 of 10 15 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
Zubaira Tukhugov 11 of 48 22% 8 of 42 3 of 6 0 of 0 11 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Renato Moicano 20 of 52 38% 10 of 40 4 of 6 6 of 6 19 of 49 1 of 3 0 of 0
Zubaira Tukhugov 13 of 43 30% 11 of 38 2 of 5 0 of 0 13 of 42 0 of 1 0 of 0
Decision (split) (28–29, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · Dec 10, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zubaira Tukhugov 0 21 of 83 25% 23 of 86 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:38
Phillipe Nover 0 20 of 77 25% 20 of 78 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zubaira Tukhugov 0 6 of 28 21% 7 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Phillipe Nover 0 3 of 30 10% 3 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Zubaira Tukhugov 0 10 of 34 29% 10 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Phillipe Nover 0 9 of 19 47% 9 of 20 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Zubaira Tukhugov 0 5 of 21 23% 6 of 23 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:26
Phillipe Nover 0 8 of 28 28% 8 of 28 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zubaira Tukhugov 21 of 83 25% 15 of 70 3 of 9 3 of 4 16 of 75 3 of 5 2 of 3
Phillipe Nover 20 of 77 25% 6 of 50 13 of 25 1 of 2 19 of 74 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zubaira Tukhugov 6 of 28 21% 3 of 22 2 of 5 1 of 1 3 of 24 2 of 2 1 of 2
Phillipe Nover 3 of 30 10% 2 of 25 1 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Zubaira Tukhugov 10 of 34 29% 9 of 31 0 of 2 1 of 1 8 of 31 1 of 2 1 of 1
Phillipe Nover 9 of 19 47% 2 of 11 7 of 8 0 of 0 9 of 18 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Zubaira Tukhugov 5 of 21 23% 3 of 17 1 of 2 1 of 2 5 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0
Phillipe Nover 8 of 28 28% 2 of 14 5 of 12 1 of 2 7 of 27 1 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Ernest Chavez
TKO (punches) R1 4:21 · UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Story · Oct 04, 2014
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zubaira Tukhugov 0 40 of 67 59% 43 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Ernest Chavez 0 12 of 30 40% 12 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zubaira Tukhugov 0 40 of 67 59% 43 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Ernest Chavez 0 12 of 30 40% 12 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zubaira Tukhugov 40 of 67 59% 34 of 60 5 of 6 1 of 1 27 of 52 8 of 9 5 of 6
Ernest Chavez 12 of 30 40% 9 of 24 0 of 1 3 of 5 12 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zubaira Tukhugov 40 of 67 59% 34 of 60 5 of 6 1 of 1 27 of 52 8 of 9 5 of 6
Ernest Chavez 12 of 30 40% 9 of 24 0 of 1 3 of 5 12 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 23, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Zubaira Tukhugov

Big Brady leans toward Tukhugov in a close fight, citing his power and wrestling. He thinks Tukhugov will land harder shots and potentially use takedowns to edge a decision, despite being out-volumed. He's not very confident.

"gimme to hugov here in a very very close decision um you know not all that confident"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 25, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

Daniel Levi picks Hakeem Dawodu as a dog, believing the fight should be closer to a pick'em. He notes Dawodu starts slow but improves as the fight progresses with his Muay Thai arsenal, while Tukhugov comes out hard early. He also mentions Tukhugov missed weight by five pounds and is without his coach Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov.

"with this dog odds i'ma take hakeem do i do to uh to edge out this fight and one that i think should be a pick em"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Hakeem Dawodu

The host picks Hakeem Dawodu as a slight underdog, citing his superior striking, better gas tank, and higher output. He expects Tukhugov to slow down in later rounds, allowing Dawodu to take over. He predicts a third-round TKO for Dawodu.

Dawodu wins in round 3 (+1800)
"I do like duaduru in this fight again the overall better stand up artist here... i'm going to take him to win by third round tko."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Zubaira Tukhugov

The MMA Guru picks Zubaira Tukhugov, believing he has more power and finishing ability. He thinks Tukhugov will crack Dawodu early, possibly with a KO, and notes Dawodu tends to have close decisions. He mentions the smaller cage favors Tukhugov's finishing chances.

Win by finish (KO)
"i'm going with zubaira took off getting a job done by finish i think he'll just be a little bit too fast and switched on early"