UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson

Angelo picks Li Jingliang, citing Tony Ferguson's recent knockout and fast turnaround. He thinks Ferguson's chin is compromised and Jingliang's power and feints will confuse him. He notes Ferguson looked good against Chandler but was put out badly, and the three-month turnaround is too soon.

Big Brady picks Li Jingliang to win by first-round knockout, expressing concern for Tony Ferguson's durability after taking massive damage in recent fights. He notes Ferguson is 38, moving up in weight, and has been knocked out brutally by Chandler. He highlights Li's power, having knocked out tough fighters like Ponzinibbio and Salikhov, and predicts an early finish.

Cody is confident that Khamzat Chimaev will win, noting that Chimaev is a massive favorite and that Nate Diaz is an undersized former 155-pounder. He believes Chimaev's size and strength will be too much, and that Diaz's jiu-jitsu won't be a factor. Cody mentions that the only value is in props like Chimaev over 1.5 takedowns, and he doesn't see Diaz winning even one out of ten times.

Daniel Levi picks Khamzat Chimaev to win, citing Chimaev's wrestling and power as key factors. He acknowledges Diaz's durability and ability to survive, but believes Chimaev's improvements and pacing will lead to victory. Levi notes that Diaz's age and scar tissue could be issues, and he expects Chimaev to dominate with ground and pound. He is not betting the moneyline due to the heavy juice, but is confident in Chimaev's win.

Jacob picks Li Jingliang, emphasizing his feints and angles will give Ferguson PTSD. He thinks Ferguson will be gun-shy and react big to feints. He notes Ferguson could wrestle but doubts he will, and even if he does, Jingliang's takedown defense may hold. He calls it a bad matchup for Ferguson.

The host is extremely confident in Khamzat Chimaev, expecting him to take Nate Diaz down immediately and smash him on the ground. He dismisses Diaz's durability and jiu-jitsu, citing Chimaev's wrestling and size. He took under 1.5 rounds at +120 and suggests Chimaev round one at +165.

Paul picks Chimaev to win but expresses concerns about his cardio and persona. He notes that Chimaev's fight with Gilbert Burns showed he is human and may have cardio issues, and that the five-round fight could favor Diaz if Chimaev tires. However, he believes Chimaev has learned from that fight and will hold down Diaz more easily. Paul also mentions the over 1.5 rounds and over on takedowns as props.

The MMA Guru picks Tony Ferguson to win by 48-47 decision. He predicts Ferguson wins rounds 1, 2, and 4, while Diaz wins round 3, and round 5 is a stalemate. Ferguson chews up Diaz's leg and body with teeps and front kicks, lands elbows that cut Diaz, and freestyles with 360 body shots. Diaz has moments, including a takedown in round 3, but Ferguson scrambles out and lands more. The fight ends with both swinging, but Ferguson's output edges him the win.

Angelo picks Khamzat Chimaev, stating he will win whether he grapples or stands. He thinks Chimaev's wrestling will destroy Holland, and if he stands, he will touch Holland up and cause a TKO. He notes the odds are heavily in Chimaev's favor and expects a dominant performance.

Big Brady picks Khamzat Chimaev to win by second-round TKO, calling the fight unfair. He notes Chimaev can win anywhere: striking (he hits harder than Masvidal) or wrestling (Nate Diaz has poor takedown defense). He expects Chimaev to take Diaz down, hurt him with ground-and-pound, and possibly get a doctor stoppage. He dismisses Diaz's chances outside of a fluke.

Cody is leaning towards the underdog Daniel Rodriguez, noting that Rodriguez has high volume and is hittable, but that Holland has a reach advantage and better cardio. He mentions that Holland's over 50.5 significant strikes is a reasonable prop, but he is not ready to pull the trigger on a bet yet, waiting for weigh-ins. He picks Rodriguez for the show.

Daniel Levi picks Li Jingliang to defeat Tony Ferguson. He notes Ferguson's decline, having lost four straight and been knocked out badly by Chandler. Levi believes Li's power and Ferguson's deteriorating chin and wrestling defense will lead to a knockout. He acknowledges his poor betting history on Li but still sees Li as the clear winner due to Ferguson's washed-up state.

Jacob picks Chimaev but focuses on the round prop, predicting a first-round finish. He thinks Chimaev will try to prove a point by finishing the durable Nate Diaz early, using relentless ground and pound. He believes the ref will stop it due to carnage, and he is playing the under on rounds.

The host is extremely confident in Khamzat Chimaev, expecting him to take Nate Diaz down immediately and smash him on the ground. He dismisses Diaz's durability and jiu-jitsu, citing Chimaev's wrestling and size. He took under 1.5 rounds at +120 and suggests Chimaev round one at +165.

Paul picks Kevin Holland, citing his move to 170 as more natural and his improved wrestling. He believes Holland will be bigger and stronger, able to keep the fight standing, and that his cardio and output will carry him to a win in a competitive fight. He expects Holland to pull away down the stretch.

The MMA Guru picks Khamzat Chimaev to win by first-round rear-naked choke. He describes Chimaev running across the cage, throwing a massive punch and front kick, pressuring Holland against the cage. After faking takedowns, Chimaev shoots, gets double underhooks, takes the back, and lands big punches. Holland scrambles but Chimaev gets both hooks in, cranks on an arm triangle, then chokes Holland out when he gives up his neck.

Angelo picks Kevin Holland, noting he will be bigger, more powerful, and more accurate. He thinks Holland's accuracy is laser-pinpoint and he has a grappling advantage if the fight goes to the ground. He acknowledges Rodriguez is more technical but believes Holland's power and accuracy will be the difference.

Big Brady picks Kevin Holland to win by decision, citing Holland's seven-inch reach advantage and superior technical striking. He acknowledges Daniel Rodriguez's toughness and volume but notes Rodriguez has not faced a striker of Holland's caliber. He expects a competitive fight but believes Holland's power and reach will be decisive.

Cody is leaning towards Tony Ferguson as a dog, noting that Li Jingliang is an average fighter who struggles as a favorite. He believes Ferguson's competition level is much higher and that the move to welterweight helps Ferguson. He likes the under 1.5 takedowns for Li on PrizePicks, as he doesn't think Li will shoot. He picks Ferguson at +270.

Daniel Levi leans Kevin Holland in this catchweight bout. He cites Holland's seven-inch reach advantage and six-year age edge, plus his speed at the new weight class. However, he worries about Holland's reckless charges and poor takedown defense, and acknowledges Rodriguez's boxing and counter-punching. Levi says it's a tough call and he wouldn't be surprised if Rodriguez wins.

Jacob picks Daniel Rodriguez, comparing it to the Nathaniel Wood vs Charles Jourdain fight where the more technical striker won. He thinks Rodriguez's technical boxing will give Holland issues, as Holland has not faced a technical striker like Rodriguez. He notes Holland's wins are against lesser competition and Rodriguez will piece him up.

The host leans Li Jingliang but is tempted by Tony Ferguson as a live underdog. He expects Li to win by KO but notes Ferguson's durability and submission threat. He warns against parlaying Li and suggests the KO line at +110.

Paul picks Tony Ferguson, agreeing that Li Jingliang is overrated as a favorite. He notes Ferguson's speed, volume, and grappling advantage, and that Li's takedown defense is not a concern. He believes Ferguson's experience against top competition gives him the edge, and that Li's path to victory is a lucky punch. He is surprised by the size of the dog odds.

The MMA Guru picks Li Jingliang to win by TKO at the end of the second round. He describes Li coming out with leg kicks, while Rodriguez gets his jab going. Rodriguez lands better punches in the first round, but Li takes them well. In round two, Li's pressure increases, and after Rodriguez commits to shots, Li dips under and lands a left hook, putting Rodriguez down and finishing with TKO.

Angelo picks Macy Chiasson, noting she can beat Irene Aldana the same way Holly Holm did: manage distance and use takedowns. He thinks Chiasson's length and grappling will be key, and she just took down Norma Dumont six times. He placed a small moneyline bet at +178, which has since moved to +160.

Big Brady picks Irene Aldana to win by decision, highlighting her 84% takedown defense and superior striking. He notes Macy Chiasson's path to victory relies on using her size and clinch, but Aldana's takedown defense is phenomenal and she has fought much better competition. He believes Aldana has more power and better cardio, and a finish wouldn't shock him.

Cody is confident in Irene Aldana, having already bet her at -161. He believes Aldana dominates on the feet, as Chiasson's wrestling is not highly rated and her cardio fades. He notes that Chiasson's move back to 135 could be problematic. He thinks Aldana's boxing and footwork will be too much.

Daniel Levi picks Irene Aldana but with low confidence. He notes Aldana's high output and power, but also her tendency to underperform in favored spots. He acknowledges Chiasson's physical advantages (height, reach) and improved wrestling, as seen against Dumont. Levi says he's been burnt by Aldana before and won't lay the chalk, but still sees her as the pick.

Jacob picks Irene Aldana, praising her composure and power. He notes she handled Yana Kunitskaya's pressure well and landed a fight-ending left hook. He thinks Chiasson does not like getting hit and will panic when Aldana lands. He believes Aldana will find the big shot and capitalize.

The host is very confident in Irene Aldana, expecting her to nullify Chiasson's clinch and grappling with excellent takedown defense. He believes Aldana's crisp striking will lead to a knockout in the second or third round. He calls -180 a gift.

Paul picks Aldana but with hesitation, noting that women's MMA is unpredictable. He acknowledges Chiasson's wrestling could be a factor if she takes Aldana down, but he believes Aldana's striking improvements and speed advantage will carry her. He is concerned about Aldana's 14-month layoff but thinks she has used the time well.

The MMA Guru picks Irene Aldana to win by 29-28 decision, based on the first two rounds. He expects Aldana to outbox Chiasson, landing more damaging blows. Chiasson will push Aldana against the cage, but Aldana will escape and land good shots. Chiasson may push pace in the third, but it will be too little too late. Aldana wins via unanimous decision.

Angelo picks Ion Cuțelaba, noting that Johnny Walker has been ruined by SBG Ireland and is no longer the creative fighter he once was. He thinks Walker will be low volume and hesitant, allowing Cuțelaba to get takedowns. He mentions Cuțelaba took Ryan Spann down three times, and Spann took Walker down, so Cuțelaba should dominate with wrestling.

Big Brady picks Johnny Walker as a dog, calling the line nonsensical. He argues Walker's losses came against elite fighters like Jamal Hill and Thiago Santos, while Cuțelaba has poor control despite good wrestling. He notes Walker's size and strength make him hard to take down and hold down, and predicts Walker wins by first-round knockout, though he admits both are chinny and someone is getting knocked out.

Cody picks Johnny Walker as a dog, despite not trusting him. He notes that Cuțelaba overexerts and gasses, and that Walker has a reach advantage and can dictate range. He is concerned about Walker's style under John Kavanagh but thinks the point-fighting approach could work. He says he will not bet Walker but picks him for the show.

Daniel Levi leans Ion Cutelaba but with very low confidence. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation, noting both fighters are unreliable glass cannons. He points to Cutelaba's wrestling advantage and power, but questions whether Cutelaba will use wrestling or brawl. He also mentions Walker's confidence issues after knockout losses and his own chin problems. Levi says he can't trust either guy and won't bet the -200 on Cutelaba.

Jacob calls it a coin toss but leans toward Cuțelaba because the path to victory is clear via wrestling. He notes both fighters have no chins and do stupid things, making it unpredictable. He placed a bet on under 1.5 rounds at plus money for premium members, as he expects a finish.

The host picks Ion Cuțelaba to win by knockout but is not confident at -200. He notes Cuțelaba's power and durability advantage, but thinks Walker's size could make it difficult for Cuțelaba to hold him down. He sees Walker as a live dog and won't bet the moneyline.

Paul also picks Johnny Walker, but is very hesitant. He notes that Cuțelaba has cardio issues and is undersized, and that Walker has the reach and flashy techniques to pick him apart. However, he acknowledges that Cuțelaba could land a big shot and knock Walker out. He says he is 'super scared' of this fight.

The MMA Guru picks Ion Cuțelaba to win by first-round TKO. He describes Walker coming out with a flying attack, Cuțelaba moving away and wagging his finger. Cuțelaba chews at the inside leg, shoots a takedown, but Walker explodes up. Against the cage, Cuțelaba lands punches on Walker, who takes them but is known to be vulnerable. They separate, Cuțelaba fakes a takedown, throws an overhand, rocks Walker, and finishes with ground and pound.

Angelo picks Hakeem Dawodu, citing his technical striking and power. He notes Erosa relies on his chin and was losing to a lower-level striker before getting late takedowns. He thinks Dawodu's technicality and power will be too much, and he has a moneyline bet on Dawodu.

Big Brady picks Hakeem Dawodu to win by second-round knockout, praising Dawodu's striking and power. He notes Julian Erosa is very hittable and has been knocked out multiple times, while Dawodu looked phenomenal in his last fight. He believes Dawodu is the better striker and will land clean, though he acknowledges Erosa is always in exciting fights and could finish himself.

Cody picks Hakeem Dawodu, noting his clean technical striking and that he is a better striker than Erosa. He likes the under 2.5 rounds at plus money, as Erosa is a wild fighter who often leads to finishes. He believes Dawodu's takedown defense is good enough to keep the fight standing and that he will pick Erosa apart.

Daniel Levi picks Hakeem Dawodu confidently. He praises Dawodu's technical striking, low stance, and volume, and considers him a top-15 featherweight. He notes Erosa's tendency to get dropped but come back, but believes Dawodu's technical soundness will prevent a comeback. Levi sees Dawodu winning by knockout or decision.

Jacob agrees, saying if the fight stays clean, Dawodu dominates in a kickboxing match. He notes Erosa's only chance is to turn it into a brawl, but Dawodu has good takedown defense. He thinks Dawodu should win easily but might sprinkle Erosa into a DraftKings lineup as an underdog.

The host is confident in Hakeem Dawodu, expecting his crisp striking, discipline, and distance management to outpoint the wild and hittable Erosa. He sees a decision win as the most likely path and notes Dawodu's decision prop at +140.

Paul is confident in Hakeem Dawodu, calling him one of his anchors. He praises Dawodu's Muay Thai and technique, and believes his takedown defense is sufficient. He expects Dawodu to win by late stoppage or decision, as Erosa is wild and loopy with his strikes. He notes that Erosa fights down to his opponent's level.

The MMA Guru picks Hakeem Dawodu to win by 29-28 decision, losing the third round but winning the first two. He notes Dawodu had a bad weight cut, so Erosa's pace may get to him later. Dawodu will pick at Erosa at range, chew up his leg, land body shots, and win clinch exchanges. Erosa may steal the third round with pressure, but Dawodu's first two rounds secure the win.

Angelo picks Jailton Almeida, calling him the real deal with powerful hands and incredible grappling. He notes Almeida's non-stop pressure and chain wrestling, and expects him to dominate. He is surprised the line moved from -900 to -700, but still sees Almeida as the clear winner.

Big Brady picks Jailton Almeida to win by first-round TKO, noting Almeida's phenomenal wrestling and ground-and-pound. He acknowledges Turkalj's impressive cardio and takedown performance on the Contender Series but believes Almeida is a different level. He expects Almeida to shoot a takedown within the first 10 seconds and finish quickly.

Cody is very confident in Jailton Almeida, calling him a future title contender. He believes Almeida will smash Turkalj, who is stepping up on short notice. He notes that Almeida's grappling is suffocating and that Turkalj has bad stand-up and cardio. He likes the TKO prop at +300 and the over 1.5 rounds at +125.

Daniel Levi picks Jailton Almeida confidently. He calls Almeida a 'problem' with elite jiu-jitsu and physicality. He notes that the line opened at -1500 and is now -660, suggesting some doubt, but he doesn't see Turkalj winning. Levi expects Almeida to finish Turkalj and hand him his first loss.

Jacob agrees, picking Almeida but noting Turkalj's path is to survive the first round and hope Almeida gasses. He thinks Almeida is a first-round finisher and will likely dominate early. He is surprised by the line movement but still confident in Almeida.

The host picks Jailton Almeida to get a first-round finish, but notes this is his toughest test. He expects Almeida's quick finish due to Turkalj's short notice and recent fight. He plans to live bet Turkalj if the fight reaches round two.

Paul picks Almeida, noting that Turkalj is a massive underdog who is moving up in weight on short notice. He believes Almeida's power and grappling will be too much, and that even if Turkalj gets takedowns early, he will fatigue and get finished. He expects Almeida to win inside the distance, likely by TKO.

The MMA Guru picks Jailton Almeida to win by second-round submission. He expects Turkalj to survive the first round due to his ability, but Almeida will dominate on the ground. In round two, Almeida secures a dominant position, and Turkalj, taking the fight on short notice, loses explosivity. Almeida latches on a submission or gets a TKO as Turkalj fails to improve position.

Angelo leans toward Jamie Pickett, citing his takedowns and ability to win via grappling. He notes Pickett is a solid striker but gun-shy, while Tiuliulin is a brawler with power. He thinks if Pickett manages range and uses takedowns, he can win, but it's a low-confidence pick.

Big Brady picks Denis Tiuliulin as a dog, criticizing Jamie Pickett for being inactive and fighting not to lose. He was impressed by Tiuliulin's debut against a tough prospect and believes Tiuliulin can stuff takedowns and land a big shot. He predicts a first-round knockout, though he expects the fight to be terrible overall.

Cody leans towards Denis Tiuliulin as a dog, noting that Jamie Pickett is not a great wrestler and that Tiuliulin has power and durability. He mentions that Pickett's takedown defense is not elite and that Tiuliulin can hold his own on the feet. He is not betting it but picks Tiuliulin for the show.

Daniel Levi picks Denis Tiuliulin for the upset. He notes Tiuliulin's knockout power and long striking, while Pickett has been finished before. He acknowledges Pickett's physical advantages and takedown ability, but believes if Tiuliulin can avoid being taken down, he can light up Pickett on the feet. Levi calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.

Jacob strongly disagrees, picking Denis Tiuliulin. He thinks Pickett does not belong in the UFC, is gun-shy, and has telegraphed takedowns. He praises Tiuliulin's striking, power, and toughness, noting he landed clean shots against a dominant wrestler on short notice. He believes Tiuliulin will march forward and find a finish.

The host leans Jamie Pickett but can't back him at -130. He expects Pickett to use his physical attributes to overpower Tiuliulin in the clinch and grind out a decision. He notes Tiuliulin's power but thinks Pickett's durability and bullying style will prevail.

Paul leans towards Jamie Pickett, noting that Tiuliulin has poor takedown defense and cardio, which are Pickett's strengths. He believes Pickett will use his wrestling to lean on Tiuliulin and tire him out. However, he is not confident and says it's a dog or pass fight.

The MMA Guru picks Denis Tiuliulin to win by TKO in the first round. He describes both fighters playing at range early, with Tiuliulin looking for body kicks. Pickett will time punches when Tiuliulin kicks, but as he rushes in, Tiuliulin lands a big shot over the top, rocks Pickett, and finishes with body shots and big shots against the cage.

Angelo picks Jake Collier, noting he is tougher and more well-rounded. He thinks Chris Barnett will plant and throw big bombs looking for a knockout, which will allow Collier to outwork him. He believes the line is disrespectful to Barnett, but expects Collier to win by pressuring and using his grappling.

Big Brady picks Jake Collier to win inside the distance, calling Chris Barnett one of the worst heavyweights on the roster. He notes Barnett is undersized at 5'9", has poor takedown defense and cardio, while Collier has solid cardio and volume. He predicts Collier can finish via ground-and-pound or submission, specifically a second-round submission.

Cody picks Jake Collier, noting his volume, cardio, and ground game are superior. He points out that Barnett is a freak show fighter with no wrestling or grappling, and that he quit in his last fight. He believes Collier will dominate and likely win by submission, and mentions the Collier by submission prop at +900 (now +650).

Daniel Levi picks Jake Collier, calling him the more skilled fighter. He notes Collier's ground prowess as seen against Chase Sherman, and his spinning attacks. He warns that laying -400 on Collier is not a long-term winning strategy, but expects Collier to win. He also sends condolences to Barnett for personal issues.

Jacob agrees, saying the playbook for Collier is to copy Martin Buday's approach: crowd Barnett, press him against the cage, and make it boring. He notes Barnett is athletic but needs space to shine, and Collier will take that away. He thinks Collier will lay on him and get the win.

The host picks Jake Collier but is queasy about betting him at -410. He expects Collier to be the better overall fighter with better combinations and pace, and could finish late. He notes Barnett's power is a threat but trusts Collier's durability and versatility.

Paul picks Jake Collier, noting his pattern of never losing back-to-back fights. He believes Collier's volume and cardio will be too much for Barnett, who is undersized and has no intangible other than a puncher's chance. He says he won't bet Collier at -425 but expects him to win.

The MMA Guru picks Jake Collier to win by third-round TKO. He notes Chris Barnett has a massive cardio problem, while Collier pushes a hard pace. Barnett may land good shots early, including spinning techniques, but Collier will block or move out of the way and push forward. As Barnett slows, Collier will get a TKO via ground and pound in the third round.

Angelo picks Norma Dumont, noting she is a technical striker with takedowns, which should be the difference against a boxer with no MMA experience. He thinks Dumont will grapple heavily and take Wolf down. He has no bets because the odds are too high, but he expects Dumont to win.

Big Brady picks Norma Dumont to win by first-round submission, emphasizing her clear path to victory via takedowns and ground control. He notes Danyelle Wolf is a 39-year-old boxing convert with only one MMA fight and a BJJ white belt, while Dumont is a BJJ brown belt. He warns that if Dumont chooses to strike, she won't look like a -450 favorite, but expects her to be smart and finish early.

Cody picks Norma Dumont, noting that Danyelle Wolf is 38 and looked terrible in her debut. He believes Dumont should win, but is wary of the -425 price. He mentions that Dumont's wrestling is not great, but Wolf's ground game is likely worse. He picks Dumont to win but says it's a weird spot.

Daniel Levi picks Norma Dumont confidently. He notes that despite Wolf's boxing background, MMA is different with kicks and takedowns. He believes Dumont should cover the -410 price if she fights smart, but he personally won't lay the chalk.

Jacob also picks Norma Dumont as the safe play, but thinks Wolf could surprise people with improved takedown defense after two years at Kings MMA. He notes Dumont is a striker who was taken down repeatedly by Macy Chiasson, so if Wolf can stuff takedowns, she could land big shots. He might sprinkle Wolf into a DraftKings lineup.

The host picks Norma Dumont but is flabbergasted at the -410 line. He expects Dumont to have a grappling advantage and get a submission or TKO, but notes her inconsistency. He also took a small shot on Wolf at +330 and the under 2.5 rounds as a hedge.

Paul picks Norma Dumont but is hesitant, noting that women's MMA is unpredictable. He points out that Wolf is a boxer with no ground game, but Dumont's striking volume is low and she has been taken down before. He thinks Dumont should win but the price is not attractive.

The MMA Guru picks Norma Dumont to win by decision, 30-27. He expects Dumont to outbox and outgrapple Wolf, mixing in takedowns and ground control. He notes Wolf can box a bit, so Dumont may chop at the legs and use grappling to secure the win. He dismisses the fight as unimportant, noting Wolf is 39 and not ready for the UFC.

Angelo picks Chad Anheliger, liking his power and ability to not be fazed by takedowns. He notes Anheliger has been taken down nine times in two UFC fights but still won, showing he scrambles back up and keeps firing. He expects Heili to work in grappling but believes Anheliger's resilience and power will get the job done.

Big Brady picks Chad Anheliger as a live dog, citing Alateng Heili's reluctance to wrestle despite having a wrestling background. He notes Heili has zero takedowns in his last three fights and poor striking volume, while Anheliger has power and has shown durability. He predicts Anheliger wins by decision, though he is not sure if he will bet it.

Cody picks Alateng Heili, noting his wrestling advantage and durability. He believes Heili will take Anheliger down and control the fight. He points out that Anheliger looked bad against Jesse Strader, getting taken down multiple times, and that his cardio is questionable. He thinks Heili is the better fighter.

Daniel Levi picks Alateng Heili, citing his physicality and improved wrestling. He respects Anheliger's toughness and comeback ability, but thinks Heili's size and takedowns will be the difference. He notes that if Heili gasses, Anheliger could take over, but expects Heili's conditioning at Fight Ready to hold up.

Jacob picks Alateng Heili but is hesitant, calling it the toughest fight to pick. He notes Heili is technical with power and has backdoor wrestling if he uses it. He worries about Anheliger's hands-down head movement and thinks Heili's technical striking and power could catch him. However, he admits if Anheliger wins, he wouldn't be surprised.

The host picks Alateng Heili, believing he has too many tools for Anheliger. He expects Heili to mix in wrestling to set up his striking, avoid trading in the pocket, and win a decision. He notes Anheliger's power but thinks Heili is the more complete fighter and that the line is accurate.

Paul picks Alateng Heili, agreeing with Cody. He notes that Anheliger has cardio issues and was taken down multiple times by Jesse Strader. He believes Heili's wrestling and durability will be the difference, and that he is the more reliable fighter.

The MMA Guru picks Chad Anheliger to win by decision, 30-27. He expects a scrappy fight where both rock each other and get takedowns, but Anheliger recovers quicker, scrambles harder, and ends up in dominant positions with better ground and pound. He out-hustles Alateng in every occasion.

Angelo picks Melissa Martinez, citing her legitimate power, solid takedown defense, and clinch throws. He notes Elise Reed is active but has lost via grappling, and while Reed is technical, Martinez's toughness and power should prevail. However, he is not placing a moneyline bet because Martinez is making her UFC debut.

Big Brady admits he is usually an Elise Reed hater due to her poor takedown defense and ground game, but notes that Melissa Martinez does not wrestle, so Reed's weakness won't be exploited. He highlights Martinez's three-year layoff and ring rust concerns, while Reed has fought better competition. He calls it a super close fight and takes the dog Reed by decision.

Cody leans towards Elise Reed as a dog, noting that Martinez has not fought in three years and that her grappling looked weak. He believes if it's a stand-up fight, it's 50-50, so he takes the underdog. However, he is not betting it and says there are better spots.

Daniel Levi picks Melissa Martinez but with low confidence. He notes that Reed has UFC experience and decent standup, but Martinez has been out since 2019 and is unproven. He expects a standup fight and predicts Martinez wins a controversial split decision.

Jacob disagrees, picking Elise Reed as the more technical striker. He thinks Martinez is raw with looping shots and no head movement, while Reed has volume, speed, and technical boxing. He believes if it stays a striking match, Reed's technicality will land more. However, he admits if it becomes a brawl, Martinez's toughness wins, and he might sprinkle a small bet on Reed.

The host picks Melissa Martinez but is hesitant due to her being a UFC newcomer and the line being somewhat accurate. He expects Martinez to be faster, more dynamic, and carry more power, likely winning a decision. He notes both women are strikers and doesn't expect grappling.

Paul leans towards Melissa Martinez, noting her kickboxing background and that she has been active in kickboxing. He believes she will use leg kicks to slow Reed's movement. However, he says the price is not good and it's probably a stay-away fight.

The MMA Guru picks Melissa Martinez to win by decision, specifically 29-28. He believes Martinez will win the first two rounds with better striking and takedowns, possibly getting submission attempts, while Elise Reed's experience may help her take the third round. He notes that women's fights often go to decision.

Angelo believes Darian Weeks is the better striker and faster than Lainesse. He highlights Weeks' incredible takedown defense, comparing it to old-school BJ Penn, and thinks Weeks can dictate whether the fight stays on the feet or goes to the mat. He notes Lainesse has power but is slow and tends to brawl, which should allow Weeks to pick him apart technically. Angelo placed a small moneyline bet on Weeks.

Big Brady picks Darian Weeks despite acknowledging Yohan Lainesse's power and wrestling. He notes Lainesse has poor cardio and gassed against Gabe Green, while Weeks has a proven chin and excellent cardio. He expects Weeks to weather an early storm and take over via wrestling and pace, predicting a decision win or late finish.

Cody picks Darian Weeks, citing his cardio and durability. He notes that Lainesse has terrible cardio and fades after the first round. He believes Weeks can take over in later rounds, and mentions the Weeks round 3 prop at +1000. He says it's a good live bet opportunity.

Daniel Levi picks Yohan Lainesse and has bet 2 units on him at plus money. He believes Lainesse is the more polished fighter with power and takedowns, while Weeks is inexperienced at the UFC level. He notes Lainesse's cardio issues in the Gabe Green fight were due to pacing, not lack of conditioning, and expects leg kicks and elbows to be key. He thinks the odds are off and Lainesse wins at least 6 out of 10 times.

Jacob agrees with Angelo, emphasizing that whoever dictates pace and pressure will win. He notes Lainesse's conditioning failed in his last fight and that he quit when tired, while Weeks showed toughness against Ian Garry. Jacob believes Weeks is more technical and will out-tough Lainesse, picking him 10 out of 10 times.

The host expects Darian Weeks to avoid Lainesse's big power early, drag him to the ground, and grind him out for a late finish or decision. He notes that if the line flips to Weeks as underdog, he might take a small bet. He sees Weeks as the better overall fighter.

Paul picks Darian Weeks, noting that Lainesse has cardio issues and that Weeks has durability. He believes Weeks can take Lainesse down and tire him out. He mentions that Lainesse has power but if he doesn't finish early, Weeks will take over. He says it's a good live bet spot.

The MMA Guru predicts Yohan Lainesse will win by KO at the end of round one. He describes a patient start where Lainesse chops at the legs and lands jabs, but Darian Weeks gets the better of him initially, pushing him against the cage. However, Weeks gets overconfident and Lainesse lands a massive KO blow on the jaw to finish him.