Career Averages - Irwin Rivera
Career Averages - Ali AlQaisi
Irwin Rivera - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Ewell | 0 | 123 of 299 | 41% | 124 of 301 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Irwin Rivera | 0 | 81 of 176 | 46% | 85 of 180 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 | 1 | 0:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andre Ewell | 0 | 33 of 73 | 45% | 34 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Irwin Rivera | 0 | 19 of 36 | 52% | 21 of 38 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:12 | |
| 2 | Andre Ewell | 0 | 35 of 97 | 36% | 35 of 97 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Irwin Rivera | 0 | 21 of 61 | 34% | 21 of 61 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Andre Ewell | 0 | 55 of 129 | 42% | 55 of 129 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Irwin Rivera | 0 | 41 of 79 | 51% | 43 of 81 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Ewell | 123 of 299 | 41% | 78 of 226 | 36 of 64 | 9 of 9 | 119 of 293 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Irwin Rivera | 81 of 176 | 46% | 49 of 134 | 14 of 24 | 18 of 18 | 74 of 164 | 1 of 4 | 6 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andre Ewell | 33 of 73 | 45% | 19 of 50 | 13 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 31 of 71 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Irwin Rivera | 19 of 36 | 52% | 15 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 31 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Andre Ewell | 35 of 97 | 36% | 24 of 76 | 9 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 35 of 95 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Irwin Rivera | 21 of 61 | 34% | 9 of 42 | 3 of 10 | 9 of 9 | 21 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Andre Ewell | 55 of 129 | 42% | 35 of 100 | 14 of 23 | 6 of 6 | 53 of 127 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Irwin Rivera | 41 of 79 | 51% | 25 of 60 | 10 of 13 | 6 of 6 | 36 of 72 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 6 |
Big Brady picks Andre Ewell, noting his seven-inch reach advantage and improving takedown defense. He believes Rivera is tough but doesn't take opponents down enough to beat Ewell, and the fight will likely stay standing where Ewell throws more output. He already bet Ewell at -185 and expects a three-round decision.
The host favors Andre Ewell due to his significant reach advantage (7 inches) and superior striking speed and defense. He notes that Irwin Rivera struggles against longer strikers, as seen in his fight with Giga Chikadze, and that Ewell's quickness and ability to pivot off the cage will neutralize Rivera's pressure. He predicts a third-round TKO or decision, but leans toward a finish given Rivera's tendency to duck into shots.
The host picks Andre Ewell over Irwin Rivera, citing Ewell's length and range, and Rivera's lack of power to punish Ewell. He notes that Ewell has good performances against tough opponents and predicts a second-round TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irwin Rivera | 0 | 36 of 73 | 49% | 45 of 82 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:02 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 44 of 105 | 41% | 54 of 118 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 1 | 0 | 1:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irwin Rivera | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 9 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 17 of 28 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 1:36 | |
| 2 | Irwin Rivera | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 15 of 31 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 18 of 48 | 37% | 18 of 48 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Irwin Rivera | 0 | 17 of 29 | 58% | 21 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 19 of 41 | 46% | 19 of 42 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irwin Rivera | 36 of 73 | 49% | 30 of 61 | 5 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 28 of 62 | 5 of 8 | 3 of 3 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 44 of 105 | 41% | 28 of 86 | 7 of 9 | 9 of 10 | 36 of 96 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irwin Rivera | 6 of 15 | 40% | 4 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 7 of 16 | 43% | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Irwin Rivera | 13 of 29 | 44% | 12 of 24 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 22 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 18 of 48 | 37% | 10 of 39 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 44 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Irwin Rivera | 17 of 29 | 58% | 14 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 19 of 41 | 46% | 13 of 33 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 16 of 38 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks AlQaisi as an underdog, believing his wrestling and takedowns will be the difference. He notes Rivera's poor takedown defense and lack of offense off his back. He predicts a decision win for AlQaisi.
Daniel Levi picks Irwin Rivera to win by decision. He notes that Rivera is the better striker with dynamic ability, including a liver kick and flying knees, and that AlQaisi is stiff on the feet. Levi acknowledges that AlQaisi has a path to victory with wrestling and guillotine attempts, but believes Rivera's takedown defense and scrambling have improved. He also mentions that Rivera trains with the Burns brothers in Florida.
Rivera trains at Sanford MMA with high-level partners and has fought legitimate competition, while AlQaisi is a UFC debutant with questionable opposition. Rivera's takedown defense improved after the first round against Sabatello, and he should be able to avoid submissions. The under 2.5 rounds at +160 is appealing due to both fighters' finishing rates.
The MMA Guru picks Ali AlQaisi because he believes AlQaisi has faced tougher competition to build his record compared to Rivera. He notes that AlQaisi's first two losses were early in his career and he has since gone 9-1, while Rivera's losses are more spaced out. He worries about AlQaisi coming in on short notice and his gas tank, but still expects him to get the job done by decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giga Chikadze | 1 | 61 of 135 | 45% | 61 of 135 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Irwin Rivera | 0 | 34 of 94 | 36% | 35 of 95 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giga Chikadze | 0 | 17 of 39 | 43% | 17 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Irwin Rivera | 0 | 11 of 33 | 33% | 11 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Giga Chikadze | 0 | 25 of 49 | 51% | 25 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Irwin Rivera | 0 | 10 of 26 | 38% | 10 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Giga Chikadze | 1 | 19 of 47 | 40% | 19 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Irwin Rivera | 0 | 13 of 35 | 37% | 14 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giga Chikadze | 61 of 135 | 45% | 33 of 100 | 13 of 16 | 15 of 19 | 55 of 122 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 9 |
| Irwin Rivera | 34 of 94 | 36% | 20 of 71 | 10 of 18 | 4 of 5 | 34 of 94 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giga Chikadze | 17 of 39 | 43% | 4 of 22 | 5 of 6 | 8 of 11 | 17 of 38 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Irwin Rivera | 11 of 33 | 33% | 8 of 27 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Giga Chikadze | 25 of 49 | 51% | 16 of 39 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 24 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Irwin Rivera | 10 of 26 | 38% | 6 of 18 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Giga Chikadze | 19 of 47 | 40% | 13 of 39 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 14 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 9 |
| Irwin Rivera | 13 of 35 | 37% | 6 of 26 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Over at featherweight, Georgia’s Chikadze (9-2, 2-0 UFC) will take on incredibly short-notice replacement and former Titan FC champ Rivera (9-4, 0-0 UFC). The nonsense level in the cage just plummeted to zero, as referee Keith Peterson is third man in the cage. There is no touch of gloves, as Rivera is more interested in flying in the air with a superman punch to start things out. Chikadze evades it and racks a heavy leg kick that nearly knocks the leg out from his opponent. Chikadze misses with a high kick, forcing Rivera to clinch up and try to throw a left hand over the top, but there is nothing doing. As he takes a leg kick on the way in, Rivera is trying to swarm his way in. Chikadze tries to stop his advancement with a leg kick, and “The Beast” jumps over it to land a left hand and surprise his opponent. Both men connect with front kicks, and Chikadze sticks him with a jab as Rivera races in to try to close the distance. Rivera jumps forward with a knee, Chikadze blocks it, and it is a curious question as to how long Rivera can keep up this pace. Rivera runs at his opponent with such recklessness that when Chikadze evades him, Rivera stumbles across the cage and into the fence. Chikadze goes after another leg kick, and Rivera once more hops over it. A stiff body kick from Chikadze lands, and Rivera winces, recovers, and throws his own. Rivera lands a jab coming in, but Chikadze connects with a knee as the Georgian fighter tries to close in now. The pace from Rivera has waned significantly, allowing Chikadze to throw a question mark kick and surprise Rivera. Rivera keeps charging in wildly, and Chikadze stays patient, tries to counter with a body kick or a knee, and gets out of the way. Chikadze whiffs on a big spinning wheel kick, and both men are throwing high-risk, high-reward, high-energy strikes that do not land effectively. The round concludes with Chikadze jumping in the air to fake a flying knee.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze
Round 2
Chikadze starts the round out with a high kick, and he gets caught with a superman punch that sends Chikadze falling back against the fence. Chikadze commits to a few more kicks, and Rivera keeps his foot on the gas by rushing in to combinations. Chikadze clips him up top, and Rivera takes it flush, shakes it off and shoots low for a takedown. Chikadze stuffs it and sneaks in a kick, while following that with a stiff uppercut. Rivera absorbs kick right to his face, and the nose of the newcomer has started to bleed. The damage is starting to mount on Rivera’s face, as Chikadze is teeing off on him from a distance while also timing Rivera’s blitzes on the way in. A few blistering leg kicks bust up the face of the newcomer, but Rivera is still firing back at him. When Rivera rushes in, he takes a knee, lands a left hand, and gets countered all in one rapid exchange. Chikadze whips a high kick with his left leg, and chains that into a side kick to the body that puts Rivera on one knee briefly. Getting loose, Chikadze starts scoring more kicks from the outside and working Rivera from a distance until the round ends. Rivera exhales deeply.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze
Round 3
The round opens with Chikadze blasting Rivera on the chin with a nasty knee, sending the new UFC combatant to the ground. Chikadze dives after him to do some damage on top, but Rivera shakes out the cobwebs, kicks off and miraculously returns to his feet. The same knee from Chikadze scores once again, and Rivera absorbs it while trying to swing with huge looping hooks. Chikadze tags him with one more during a similar exchange, and Rivera is not quite able to get in on his longer, lankier opponent, but it is not for a lack of trying. Chikadze stings him with a high kick, but Rivera partially blocks it and walks forward. A potentially fatiguing Rivera stops engaging for almost a minute, allowing Chikadze to practice and miss an axe kick in the process. The two continue to stare at one another from a distance, and Chikadze fires up a high kick that gets blocked, and body kick that lands with a thud. Rivera comes up short with a body kick, but he does manage to get in a leg kick. Chikadze throws one right back, and it nearly turns Rivera around but the debutant is not remotely concerned. Rivera is walking forward, and though his offense has waned, when he does throw, he is swinging with home-run shots. He takes another knee while trying to close distance, and doubles over while trying to turn away. Chikadze chases him down to try to punish him, but Rivera turtles up. With precious seconds ticking off the clock, Rivera leaps at him with wild punches but he cannot catch his retreating foe. A few short shots from Chikadze land, and Rivera dives down to pull guard and set up a Hail Mary heel hook. Time expires before he has anything secured, and the fight is over.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze (30-27 Chikadze)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze (30-27 Chikadze)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze (30-27 Chikadze)
The Official Result
Giga Chikadze def. Irwin Rivera via Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
Big Brady does not give an official prediction for this fight because he has not watched film on Irwin Rivera. He notes that Chikadze has a significant height and reach advantage and likes what he has seen from Chikadze's striking, but cannot make a pick without more information. He says to check back tomorrow for a betting breakdown.
Daniel Levi picks Giga Chikadze via first-round knockout. He believes Chikadze will land his signature liver kick and finish Rivera. He notes that Rivera is taking the fight on short notice and will be outsized. He thinks Chikadze's dynamic kickboxing will be too much for Rivera.
The host picks Mike Davis, praising his technical striking and power. He is unimpressed with Giga Chikadze's recent performances and believes Davis will out-strike him and win a 30-27 decision. He notes Davis's toughness and ability to crack Chikadze with power shots.
Ali AlQaisi - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Kelley | 0 | 29 of 67 | 43% | 58 of 103 | 5 of 15 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 6:00 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 23 of 62 | 37% | 61 of 109 | 0 of 0 | --- | 4 | 0 | 1:56 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Kelley | 0 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 20 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:48 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 13 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 4 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 2 | Tony Kelley | 0 | 7 of 19 | 36% | 16 of 32 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 7 of 19 | 36% | 22 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:43 | |
| 3 | Tony Kelley | 0 | 22 of 45 | 48% | 22 of 47 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 15 of 41 | 36% | 26 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Kelley | 29 of 67 | 43% | 12 of 42 | 3 of 6 | 14 of 19 | 27 of 61 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 3 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 23 of 62 | 37% | 11 of 43 | 5 of 9 | 7 of 10 | 21 of 58 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Kelley | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Tony Kelley | 7 of 19 | 36% | 3 of 12 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 7 of 19 | 36% | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 7 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Tony Kelley | 22 of 45 | 48% | 9 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 14 | 21 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 15 of 41 | 36% | 7 of 28 | 5 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 13 of 37 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks the underdog AlQaisi, citing his takedown and submission game as a clear path to victory against Kelley's questionable takedown defense. He notes Kelley throws high volume but can be taken down easily. He expects AlQaisi to win a close decision if he sticks to takedowns and doesn't tire.
Daniel picks Tony Kelley to win, likely by finish. He notes that Kelley has a wider arsenal of strikes and better cardio, while AlQaisi is stiff and one-dimensional. He believes Kelley's volume and calf kicks will be too much, and that AlQaisi's top control is not good enough to keep Kelley down. Daniel also mentions that Kelley showed good cardio in his short-notice fight against Kamaka.
Kelley has superior striking, footwork, and range, but this is his first fight at bantamweight and he took damage in his last fight. AlQaisi will likely try to grapple, but Kelley's takedown defense and offensive guard should keep him safe. Expect a decision win for Kelley.
The Guru picks Kelley, citing his size at bantamweight and past performances. He notes Kelley went to a split decision with Kevin Aguilar (who was on a tear) and looked good in a loss to Kai Kamaka. He believes Kelley will be too big and rangy, dominating on the feet and in grappling, and predicts a third-round finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irwin Rivera | 0 | 36 of 73 | 49% | 45 of 82 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:02 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 44 of 105 | 41% | 54 of 118 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 1 | 0 | 1:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irwin Rivera | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 9 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 17 of 28 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 1:36 | |
| 2 | Irwin Rivera | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 15 of 31 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 18 of 48 | 37% | 18 of 48 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Irwin Rivera | 0 | 17 of 29 | 58% | 21 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 19 of 41 | 46% | 19 of 42 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irwin Rivera | 36 of 73 | 49% | 30 of 61 | 5 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 28 of 62 | 5 of 8 | 3 of 3 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 44 of 105 | 41% | 28 of 86 | 7 of 9 | 9 of 10 | 36 of 96 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irwin Rivera | 6 of 15 | 40% | 4 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 7 of 16 | 43% | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Irwin Rivera | 13 of 29 | 44% | 12 of 24 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 22 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 18 of 48 | 37% | 10 of 39 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 44 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Irwin Rivera | 17 of 29 | 58% | 14 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 19 of 41 | 46% | 13 of 33 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 16 of 38 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks AlQaisi as an underdog, believing his wrestling and takedowns will be the difference. He notes Rivera's poor takedown defense and lack of offense off his back. He predicts a decision win for AlQaisi.
Daniel Levi picks Irwin Rivera to win by decision. He notes that Rivera is the better striker with dynamic ability, including a liver kick and flying knees, and that AlQaisi is stiff on the feet. Levi acknowledges that AlQaisi has a path to victory with wrestling and guillotine attempts, but believes Rivera's takedown defense and scrambling have improved. He also mentions that Rivera trains with the Burns brothers in Florida.
Rivera trains at Sanford MMA with high-level partners and has fought legitimate competition, while AlQaisi is a UFC debutant with questionable opposition. Rivera's takedown defense improved after the first round against Sabatello, and he should be able to avoid submissions. The under 2.5 rounds at +160 is appealing due to both fighters' finishing rates.
The MMA Guru picks Ali AlQaisi because he believes AlQaisi has faced tougher competition to build his record compared to Rivera. He notes that AlQaisi's first two losses were early in his career and he has since gone 9-1, while Rivera's losses are more spaced out. He worries about AlQaisi coming in on short notice and his gas tank, but still expects him to get the job done by decision.
Expert Picks (4)
Big Brady picks AlQaisi as an underdog, believing his wrestling and takedowns will be the difference. He notes Rivera's poor takedown defense and lack of offense off his back. He predicts a decision win for AlQaisi.
Daniel Levi picks Irwin Rivera to win by decision. He notes that Rivera is the better striker with dynamic ability, including a liver kick and flying knees, and that AlQaisi is stiff on the feet. Levi acknowledges that AlQaisi has a path to victory with wrestling and guillotine attempts, but believes Rivera's takedown defense and scrambling have improved. He also mentions that Rivera trains with the Burns brothers in Florida.
Rivera trains at Sanford MMA with high-level partners and has fought legitimate competition, while AlQaisi is a UFC debutant with questionable opposition. Rivera's takedown defense improved after the first round against Sabatello, and he should be able to avoid submissions. The under 2.5 rounds at +160 is appealing due to both fighters' finishing rates.
The MMA Guru picks Ali AlQaisi because he believes AlQaisi has faced tougher competition to build his record compared to Rivera. He notes that AlQaisi's first two losses were early in his career and he has since gone 9-1, while Rivera's losses are more spaced out. He worries about AlQaisi coming in on short notice and his gas tank, but still expects him to get the job done by decision.
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