Career Averages - Irwin Rivera
Career Averages - Ali AlQaisi
Irwin Rivera - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Ewell | 0 | 123 of 299 | 41% | 124 of 301 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Irwin Rivera | 0 | 81 of 176 | 46% | 85 of 180 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 | 1 | 0:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andre Ewell | 0 | 33 of 73 | 45% | 34 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Irwin Rivera | 0 | 19 of 36 | 52% | 21 of 38 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:12 | |
| 2 | Andre Ewell | 0 | 35 of 97 | 36% | 35 of 97 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Irwin Rivera | 0 | 21 of 61 | 34% | 21 of 61 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Andre Ewell | 0 | 55 of 129 | 42% | 55 of 129 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Irwin Rivera | 0 | 41 of 79 | 51% | 43 of 81 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Ewell | 123 of 299 | 41% | 78 of 226 | 36 of 64 | 9 of 9 | 119 of 293 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Irwin Rivera | 81 of 176 | 46% | 49 of 134 | 14 of 24 | 18 of 18 | 74 of 164 | 1 of 4 | 6 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andre Ewell | 33 of 73 | 45% | 19 of 50 | 13 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 31 of 71 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Irwin Rivera | 19 of 36 | 52% | 15 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 31 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Andre Ewell | 35 of 97 | 36% | 24 of 76 | 9 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 35 of 95 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Irwin Rivera | 21 of 61 | 34% | 9 of 42 | 3 of 10 | 9 of 9 | 21 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Andre Ewell | 55 of 129 | 42% | 35 of 100 | 14 of 23 | 6 of 6 | 53 of 127 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Irwin Rivera | 41 of 79 | 51% | 25 of 60 | 10 of 13 | 6 of 6 | 36 of 72 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 6 |
Big Brady picks Andre Ewell, noting his seven-inch reach advantage and improving takedown defense. He believes Rivera is tough but doesn't take opponents down enough to beat Ewell, and the fight will likely stay standing where Ewell throws more output. He already bet Ewell at -185 and expects a three-round decision.
The host favors Andre Ewell due to his significant reach advantage (7 inches) and superior striking speed and defense. He notes that Irwin Rivera struggles against longer strikers, as seen in his fight with Giga Chikadze, and that Ewell's quickness and ability to pivot off the cage will neutralize Rivera's pressure. He predicts a third-round TKO or decision, but leans toward a finish given Rivera's tendency to duck into shots.
The host picks Andre Ewell over Irwin Rivera, citing Ewell's length and range, and Rivera's lack of power to punish Ewell. He notes that Ewell has good performances against tough opponents and predicts a second-round TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irwin Rivera | 0 | 36 of 73 | 49% | 45 of 82 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:02 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 44 of 105 | 41% | 54 of 118 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 1 | 0 | 1:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irwin Rivera | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 9 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 17 of 28 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 1:36 | |
| 2 | Irwin Rivera | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 15 of 31 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 18 of 48 | 37% | 18 of 48 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Irwin Rivera | 0 | 17 of 29 | 58% | 21 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 19 of 41 | 46% | 19 of 42 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irwin Rivera | 36 of 73 | 49% | 30 of 61 | 5 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 28 of 62 | 5 of 8 | 3 of 3 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 44 of 105 | 41% | 28 of 86 | 7 of 9 | 9 of 10 | 36 of 96 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irwin Rivera | 6 of 15 | 40% | 4 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 7 of 16 | 43% | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Irwin Rivera | 13 of 29 | 44% | 12 of 24 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 22 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 18 of 48 | 37% | 10 of 39 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 44 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Irwin Rivera | 17 of 29 | 58% | 14 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 19 of 41 | 46% | 13 of 33 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 16 of 38 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks AlQaisi as an underdog, believing his wrestling and takedowns will be the difference. He notes Rivera's poor takedown defense and lack of offense off his back. He predicts a decision win for AlQaisi.
Daniel Levi picks Irwin Rivera to win by decision. He notes that Rivera is the better striker with dynamic ability, including a liver kick and flying knees, and that AlQaisi is stiff on the feet. Levi acknowledges that AlQaisi has a path to victory with wrestling and guillotine attempts, but believes Rivera's takedown defense and scrambling have improved. He also mentions that Rivera trains with the Burns brothers in Florida.
Rivera trains at Sanford MMA with high-level partners and has fought legitimate competition, while AlQaisi is a UFC debutant with questionable opposition. Rivera's takedown defense improved after the first round against Sabatello, and he should be able to avoid submissions. The under 2.5 rounds at +160 is appealing due to both fighters' finishing rates.
The MMA Guru picks Ali AlQaisi because he believes AlQaisi has faced tougher competition to build his record compared to Rivera. He notes that AlQaisi's first two losses were early in his career and he has since gone 9-1, while Rivera's losses are more spaced out. He worries about AlQaisi coming in on short notice and his gas tank, but still expects him to get the job done by decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giga Chikadze | 1 | 61 of 135 | 45% | 61 of 135 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Irwin Rivera | 0 | 34 of 94 | 36% | 35 of 95 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giga Chikadze | 0 | 17 of 39 | 43% | 17 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Irwin Rivera | 0 | 11 of 33 | 33% | 11 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Giga Chikadze | 0 | 25 of 49 | 51% | 25 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Irwin Rivera | 0 | 10 of 26 | 38% | 10 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Giga Chikadze | 1 | 19 of 47 | 40% | 19 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Irwin Rivera | 0 | 13 of 35 | 37% | 14 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giga Chikadze | 61 of 135 | 45% | 33 of 100 | 13 of 16 | 15 of 19 | 55 of 122 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 9 |
| Irwin Rivera | 34 of 94 | 36% | 20 of 71 | 10 of 18 | 4 of 5 | 34 of 94 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giga Chikadze | 17 of 39 | 43% | 4 of 22 | 5 of 6 | 8 of 11 | 17 of 38 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Irwin Rivera | 11 of 33 | 33% | 8 of 27 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Giga Chikadze | 25 of 49 | 51% | 16 of 39 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 24 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Irwin Rivera | 10 of 26 | 38% | 6 of 18 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Giga Chikadze | 19 of 47 | 40% | 13 of 39 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 14 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 9 |
| Irwin Rivera | 13 of 35 | 37% | 6 of 26 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady does not give an official prediction for this fight because he has not watched film on Irwin Rivera. He notes that Chikadze has a significant height and reach advantage and likes what he has seen from Chikadze's striking, but cannot make a pick without more information. He says to check back tomorrow for a betting breakdown.
Daniel Levi picks Giga Chikadze via first-round knockout. He believes Chikadze will land his signature liver kick and finish Rivera. He notes that Rivera is taking the fight on short notice and will be outsized. He thinks Chikadze's dynamic kickboxing will be too much for Rivera.
The host picks Mike Davis, praising his technical striking and power. He is unimpressed with Giga Chikadze's recent performances and believes Davis will out-strike him and win a 30-27 decision. He notes Davis's toughness and ability to crack Chikadze with power shots.
Ali AlQaisi - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Kelley | 0 | 29 of 67 | 43% | 58 of 103 | 5 of 15 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 6:00 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 23 of 62 | 37% | 61 of 109 | 0 of 0 | --- | 4 | 0 | 1:56 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Kelley | 0 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 20 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:48 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 13 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 4 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 2 | Tony Kelley | 0 | 7 of 19 | 36% | 16 of 32 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 7 of 19 | 36% | 22 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:43 | |
| 3 | Tony Kelley | 0 | 22 of 45 | 48% | 22 of 47 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 15 of 41 | 36% | 26 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Kelley | 29 of 67 | 43% | 12 of 42 | 3 of 6 | 14 of 19 | 27 of 61 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 3 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 23 of 62 | 37% | 11 of 43 | 5 of 9 | 7 of 10 | 21 of 58 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Kelley | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Tony Kelley | 7 of 19 | 36% | 3 of 12 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 7 of 19 | 36% | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 7 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Tony Kelley | 22 of 45 | 48% | 9 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 14 | 21 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 15 of 41 | 36% | 7 of 28 | 5 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 13 of 37 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks the underdog AlQaisi, citing his takedown and submission game as a clear path to victory against Kelley's questionable takedown defense. He notes Kelley throws high volume but can be taken down easily. He expects AlQaisi to win a close decision if he sticks to takedowns and doesn't tire.
Daniel picks Tony Kelley to win, likely by finish. He notes that Kelley has a wider arsenal of strikes and better cardio, while AlQaisi is stiff and one-dimensional. He believes Kelley's volume and calf kicks will be too much, and that AlQaisi's top control is not good enough to keep Kelley down. Daniel also mentions that Kelley showed good cardio in his short-notice fight against Kamaka.
Kelley has superior striking, footwork, and range, but this is his first fight at bantamweight and he took damage in his last fight. AlQaisi will likely try to grapple, but Kelley's takedown defense and offensive guard should keep him safe. Expect a decision win for Kelley.
The Guru picks Kelley, citing his size at bantamweight and past performances. He notes Kelley went to a split decision with Kevin Aguilar (who was on a tear) and looked good in a loss to Kai Kamaka. He believes Kelley will be too big and rangy, dominating on the feet and in grappling, and predicts a third-round finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irwin Rivera | 0 | 36 of 73 | 49% | 45 of 82 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:02 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 44 of 105 | 41% | 54 of 118 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 1 | 0 | 1:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irwin Rivera | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 9 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 17 of 28 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 1:36 | |
| 2 | Irwin Rivera | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 15 of 31 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 18 of 48 | 37% | 18 of 48 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Irwin Rivera | 0 | 17 of 29 | 58% | 21 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 0 | 19 of 41 | 46% | 19 of 42 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irwin Rivera | 36 of 73 | 49% | 30 of 61 | 5 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 28 of 62 | 5 of 8 | 3 of 3 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 44 of 105 | 41% | 28 of 86 | 7 of 9 | 9 of 10 | 36 of 96 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irwin Rivera | 6 of 15 | 40% | 4 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 7 of 16 | 43% | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Irwin Rivera | 13 of 29 | 44% | 12 of 24 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 22 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 18 of 48 | 37% | 10 of 39 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 44 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Irwin Rivera | 17 of 29 | 58% | 14 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ali AlQaisi | 19 of 41 | 46% | 13 of 33 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 16 of 38 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks AlQaisi as an underdog, believing his wrestling and takedowns will be the difference. He notes Rivera's poor takedown defense and lack of offense off his back. He predicts a decision win for AlQaisi.
Daniel Levi picks Irwin Rivera to win by decision. He notes that Rivera is the better striker with dynamic ability, including a liver kick and flying knees, and that AlQaisi is stiff on the feet. Levi acknowledges that AlQaisi has a path to victory with wrestling and guillotine attempts, but believes Rivera's takedown defense and scrambling have improved. He also mentions that Rivera trains with the Burns brothers in Florida.
Rivera trains at Sanford MMA with high-level partners and has fought legitimate competition, while AlQaisi is a UFC debutant with questionable opposition. Rivera's takedown defense improved after the first round against Sabatello, and he should be able to avoid submissions. The under 2.5 rounds at +160 is appealing due to both fighters' finishing rates.
The MMA Guru picks Ali AlQaisi because he believes AlQaisi has faced tougher competition to build his record compared to Rivera. He notes that AlQaisi's first two losses were early in his career and he has since gone 9-1, while Rivera's losses are more spaced out. He worries about AlQaisi coming in on short notice and his gas tank, but still expects him to get the job done by decision.
Expert Picks (4)
Big Brady picks AlQaisi as an underdog, believing his wrestling and takedowns will be the difference. He notes Rivera's poor takedown defense and lack of offense off his back. He predicts a decision win for AlQaisi.
Daniel Levi picks Irwin Rivera to win by decision. He notes that Rivera is the better striker with dynamic ability, including a liver kick and flying knees, and that AlQaisi is stiff on the feet. Levi acknowledges that AlQaisi has a path to victory with wrestling and guillotine attempts, but believes Rivera's takedown defense and scrambling have improved. He also mentions that Rivera trains with the Burns brothers in Florida.
Rivera trains at Sanford MMA with high-level partners and has fought legitimate competition, while AlQaisi is a UFC debutant with questionable opposition. Rivera's takedown defense improved after the first round against Sabatello, and he should be able to avoid submissions. The under 2.5 rounds at +160 is appealing due to both fighters' finishing rates.
The MMA Guru picks Ali AlQaisi because he believes AlQaisi has faced tougher competition to build his record compared to Rivera. He notes that AlQaisi's first two losses were early in his career and he has since gone 9-1, while Rivera's losses are more spaced out. He worries about AlQaisi coming in on short notice and his gas tank, but still expects him to get the job done by decision.
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