UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · Aug 08, 2020 · Featherweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik Next Fight
Age 39
Height 5' 6"
Reach 66.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 36
Height 5' 7"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Gavin Tucker
4.29 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
4.18 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
3.13 TD Avg
44.0% TD Acc.
53.0% TD Def.
1.5 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Justin Jaynes
3.34 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
5.33 SApM
62.0% Str. Def.
0.75 TD Avg
40.0% TD Acc.
20.0% TD Def.
1.1 Sub. Avg
Gavin Tucker - Fight History
CANCEL vs Lee Jeong-yeong
LOSS vs Diego Lopes
Submission (armbar) R1 1:38 · UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Font · Aug 05, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Diego Lopes 0 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 --- 3 0 0:00
Gavin Tucker 0 0 of 6 0% 0 of 6 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Diego Lopes 0 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 --- 3 0 0:00
Gavin Tucker 0 0 of 6 0% 0 of 6 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Diego Lopes 0 of 4 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gavin Tucker 0 of 6 0% 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Diego Lopes 0 of 4 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gavin Tucker 0 of 6 0% 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Diego Lopes vs. Gavin Tucker
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Lopes (-170), Tucker (+142)

Round 1
Jimmy Neely will ref this featherweight showdown. A Tucker high kick slams off Lopes’ forearm. Tucker tries to land a hard low kick, but it hits the groin, and Lopes doubles over in pain. The action resumes and Tucker loads up an overhand right. Tucker goes for a single leg takedown, and Lopes responds by jumping to his back for a triangle.
Lopes continues to adjust the hold, pulling on the arm at the same time. The choke gets deeper as a result, and Tucker’s arm bends at a gruesome angle as Lopes rolls him into a mounted triangle for style points.
It’s the triangle armbar that brought the tap, a spectacular submission win for Lopes.

The Official Result
Diego Lopes def. Gavin Tucker via Submission (Triangle Armbar) R1 1:38
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Gavin Tucker

Angelo picks Gavin Tucker, citing his high pace, takedowns, and ability to ride to a win. He notes that Diego Lopes relies too much on raw Jiu-Jitsu off his back and gets taken down too easily. Angelo has a half-unit bet on Tucker at +115, but would have a full unit if not for Tucker's two-year layoff. He criticizes recency bias favoring Lopes for not getting finished by a fighter who finishes nobody.

0.5 units at +115
"Gavin's the pick here I have a half a unit on him at plus 115"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 1, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Diego Lopes

Big Brady picks Lopes but hates the line (-180). He notes Tucker is 37, coming off a long layoff and a knockout loss, and has durability issues. He thinks Lopes can hurt or submit Tucker, but acknowledges Tucker's path to victory is taking Lopes down and controlling him, as Lopes has poor takedown defense. He would prefer to bet Lopes by submission but warns the price is scary.

Lopes by finish (submission or KO); line movement from +120 to -180 is too much
"I gotta go Lopez here I hate the line though"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gavin Tucker

Cody picks Tucker as a plus-money underdog, citing his BJJ black belt, better wrestling, and counter-striking. He notes Tucker's long layoff and age (37) as risks, but believes Tucker can survive the first round and then take over with takedowns and pressure. He admits recency bias from Lopes' impressive debut but thinks Tucker's advantages in wrestling and experience will prevail.

"I'm gonna go Gavin Tucker... I'm chasing plus money on this one with Gavin Tucker"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Diego Lopes

Daniel Levi picks Diego Lopes but hesitantly, citing Lopes' opportunistic finishing ability and Tucker's durability issues. He notes that Lopes is dangerous with submissions and power, but his low output could allow Tucker to outpoint him if he doesn't finish. Levi is concerned about Tucker's age (37) and history of getting knocked out, but also acknowledges Tucker's offensive skills. He believes Lopes will likely need a finish to win, as he doubts Lopes can win a decision.

Suggests looking at Lopes props (by finish) rather than laying the moneyline. No specific prop bet.
"I'm gonna still pick Lopez because Tucker does sketch me out."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Diego Lopes

James disagrees with the public betting on Tucker. He thinks Tucker is old (37), inactive, and has been hurt and knocked out before. Lopes is a high-volume, heavy-handed fighter who will push a pace Tucker can't keep. James predicts Lopes will finish Tucker, likely via pace or strikes.

finish
"I think Lopez is probably going to finish Gavin Tucker here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Aug 4, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Gavin Tucker

Tucker is a talented striker with a BJJ black belt, which should be enough to keep the fight safe on the ground. Lopes depends too much on his BJJ and plays off his back, eating clock. Tucker's long layoff due to a rotator cuff injury is a concern, but he's still talented enough to beat Lopes. I'm taking the underdog Tucker by decision.

"give me the underdog shot here on Gavin Tucker and I think he wins this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Diego Lopes

Paul leans towards Lopes by submission at +230, citing Lopes' impressive short-notice debut and submission skills. He notes Tucker's long layoff and knockout loss, but acknowledges Lopes' takedown defense issues and potential cardio problems. He sees Lopes catching Tucker in a submission early.

Lopes by submission +230
"Diego Lopez by submission which is like plus 230... has my attention"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Diego Lopes

The host picks Diego Lopes, citing his youth (28), well-roundedness, and forward pressure. He notes Tucker is 37, inactive, and has been knocked out before. He believes Lopes will land big shots and break Tucker down, possibly getting a finish. He likes the line at -142 and expects it to stay under -155.

line opened -125, now -142; suggests Lopes may get a finish
"give me Diego Lopes the younger fighter that's more in his prime right now uh to get the job done"
LOSS vs Dan Ige
KO (punch) R1 0:22 · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · Mar 13, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dan Ige 1 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Gavin Tucker 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dan Ige 1 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Gavin Tucker 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dan Ige 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gavin Tucker 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dan Ige 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gavin Tucker 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Gavin Tucker

Big Brady picks Gavin Tucker as an underdog, impressed by his recent performances and wrestling. He notes that Ige can be taken down (59% takedown defense) and Tucker is a BJJ black belt with excellent wrestling. He sees the striking as close and expects Tucker to win a close decision by mixing takedowns and volume. He acknowledges Ige has fought better competition but believes Tucker is in his prime.

"I'm gonna take a shot on Gavin Tucker, I'm not gonna bet it as of now unless the line gets too crazy."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Gavin Tucker

Daniel Levi picks Gavin Tucker, believing he should be favored. He praises Tucker's volume, cardio, footwork, and jiu-jitsu, and notes that Tucker overcame adversity in his last fight. He thinks Dan Ige's chance is landing a big bomb, but Tucker's durability and output will win most minutes. He considers Ige overrated and thinks Tucker's skill set is superior.

"At these odds i think it's tucker pass and i will take tucker to win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2021 (11 days before fight)
Gavin Tucker

Lock likes Tucker as a dog, trusting his gas tank more than Ige's. He thinks Tucker is smoother and more fluid on the feet, and can outstrike Ige as long as he avoids Ige's power and jiu-jitsu. Lock believes Tucker's jiu-jitsu can hold up against Ige's. He notes Ige's wins over Barboza and Bektic were close, and that Tucker's cardio is an advantage.

"i do trust gavin tucker's gas tank a little bit more... i think tucker is a little bit more smooth and more fluid on the feet"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Mar 7, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Dan Ige

The Guru acknowledges Gavin Tucker as a live dog but picks Dan Ige due to his experience and a significant 5-inch reach advantage. He believes Ige's jab will be effective and that Ige has proven himself against higher-level competition like Edson Barboza and Calvin Kattar. He expects a close fight, possibly a split decision, with Ige landing more shots each round. He also notes Tucker's age (34) and injury concerns.

"i'm going to go with dan iger he's the shorter guy he's got a ridiculously long reach he's got a [ __ ] five inch reach advantage"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · Dec 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gavin Tucker 0 106 of 166 63% 123 of 183 7 of 13 53% 0 0 5:14
Billy Quarantillo 0 84 of 178 47% 136 of 233 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gavin Tucker 0 38 of 63 60% 43 of 68 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:58
Billy Quarantillo 0 33 of 69 47% 44 of 80 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
2 Gavin Tucker 0 53 of 76 69% 58 of 81 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:18
Billy Quarantillo 0 38 of 69 55% 43 of 74 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
3 Gavin Tucker 0 15 of 27 55% 22 of 34 4 of 7 57% 0 0 2:58
Billy Quarantillo 0 13 of 40 32% 49 of 79 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gavin Tucker 106 of 166 63% 68 of 122 31 of 37 7 of 7 71 of 122 32 of 41 3 of 3
Billy Quarantillo 84 of 178 47% 45 of 127 33 of 44 6 of 7 55 of 138 29 of 35 0 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gavin Tucker 38 of 63 60% 17 of 41 17 of 18 4 of 4 23 of 47 15 of 16 0 of 0
Billy Quarantillo 33 of 69 47% 18 of 48 12 of 18 3 of 3 25 of 58 8 of 11 0 of 0
2 Gavin Tucker 53 of 76 69% 39 of 59 12 of 15 2 of 2 36 of 53 15 of 21 2 of 2
Billy Quarantillo 38 of 69 55% 20 of 48 16 of 19 2 of 2 25 of 56 13 of 13 0 of 0
3 Gavin Tucker 15 of 27 55% 12 of 22 2 of 4 1 of 1 12 of 22 2 of 4 1 of 1
Billy Quarantillo 13 of 40 32% 7 of 31 5 of 7 1 of 2 5 of 24 8 of 11 0 of 5
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 9, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Billy Quarantillo

Big Brady picks Billy Quarantillo to win by decision. He likes Quarantillo's high output, durability, cardio, and ground game. He notes Tucker's 40% takedown defense and that Rick Glenn was able to take him down four times, which bodes well for Quarantillo's wrestling.

"give me corn to you by decision here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Billy Quarantillo

Daniel is high on Quarantillo's pressure, volume, and cardio. He questions Tucker's chin and heart, and thinks Quarantillo will walk him down and possibly finish him. He notes Quarantillo is in his prime and has paid his dues.

possible finish
"i'm gonna go with billy q uh to come out here and possibly finish gavin tucker but regardless i'm picking uh bq to get it done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 7, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Gavin Tucker

Tucker is the more technical striker with better speed and should be able to outpoint Quarantillo. Quarantillo's pressure style may be neutralized by Tucker's movement and body work. Tucker's jiu-jitsu is also high level, so he can hold his own on the ground. The line is a pick'em, but Tucker is the better all-around fighter.

Tucker via decision; over 1.5 rounds
"i think gavin is just a better better all-around fighter... i'll go with gavin tucker to win this fight via decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Dec 6, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Billy Quarantillo

The MMA Guru picks Billy Quarantillo in a close fight, noting Quarantillo's youth, size, range, and submission defense. He believes Quarantillo gets better as the fight goes on and will win a 29-28 unanimous decision. He acknowledges Gavin Tucker's grappling but thinks Quarantillo can survive the first round and take over.

"i'm gonna go with billy quarantilo getting the job done building as the fight goes on earning himself a 29-28 close competitive unanimous decision"
WIN vs Justin Jaynes
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 1:43 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · Aug 08, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gavin Tucker 0 87 of 211 41% 88 of 212 1 of 2 50% 4 1 1:24
Justin Jaynes 1 41 of 101 40% 42 of 103 0 of 1 0% 1 1 0:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gavin Tucker 0 15 of 48 31% 16 of 49 1 of 1 100% 1 1 0:35
Justin Jaynes 1 28 of 54 51% 29 of 55 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:38
2 Gavin Tucker 0 63 of 137 45% 63 of 137 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justin Jaynes 0 6 of 30 20% 6 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Gavin Tucker 0 9 of 26 34% 9 of 26 0 of 1 0% 3 0 0:49
Justin Jaynes 0 7 of 17 41% 7 of 18 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gavin Tucker 87 of 211 41% 61 of 177 23 of 30 3 of 4 86 of 207 1 of 3 0 of 1
Justin Jaynes 41 of 101 40% 30 of 84 11 of 17 0 of 0 31 of 87 2 of 2 8 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gavin Tucker 15 of 48 31% 8 of 37 6 of 9 1 of 2 15 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
Justin Jaynes 28 of 54 51% 19 of 40 9 of 14 0 of 0 19 of 41 1 of 1 8 of 12
2 Gavin Tucker 63 of 137 45% 45 of 115 16 of 20 2 of 2 63 of 137 0 of 0 0 of 0
Justin Jaynes 6 of 30 20% 5 of 28 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Gavin Tucker 9 of 26 34% 8 of 25 1 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 22 1 of 3 0 of 1
Justin Jaynes 7 of 17 41% 6 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Aug 5, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Justin Jaynes

Big Brady picks Jaynes but with caution due to his weight cut to featherweight. He likes Jaynes' power and finishing ability, noting Tucker's poor striking defense. He predicts a first-round knockout for Jaynes, but will wait for weigh-ins before betting.

"i do like james to win and i probably will bet him but i'm going to wait until the weigh-ins before i do put a bed"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 7, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Gavin Tucker

Daniel Levi picks Gavin Tucker, but with low confidence. He notes that Tucker is the cleaner fighter with good footwork and a black belt in jiu-jitsu, but his chin and tendency to stop fighting under adversity are concerns. Levi also mentions that Justin Jaynes has power but is sloppy and may gas out if he doesn't get a first-round knockout. He believes Tucker will win a close decision if he doesn't get caught.

"i gotta lean with gavin tucker here man i think he's a cleaner fighter all across the board"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Gavin Tucker

Tucker is a black belt under Henzo Gracie with high-level jiu-jitsu and striking. Jaynes is a power puncher with limited skills, and Tucker's leg kicks and movement should neutralize him. The smaller UFC Apex cage still gives Tucker room to stick and move. Tucker likely wins by submission in the second or third round as Jaynes fades.

third round submission
"I like Gavin Tucker a lot here I think this is a tailor-made matchup for him"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Justin Jaynes

The MMA Guru picks Justin Jaynes because he is the bigger fighter, having fought at lightweight, and is cutting back down to featherweight. He notes that Gavin Tucker hasn't fought since UFC 240 and is 34 years old, which is bad time off. He believes Tucker may have found his ceiling after losing to Rick Glenn, while Jaynes is riding momentum from a first-round TKO over Frank Camacho.

"justin james is gonna win he's the bigger guy he just fought frank camacho at lightweight"
WIN vs SeungWoo Choi
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 3:17 · UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · Jul 27, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gavin Tucker 0 37 of 62 59% 49 of 77 5 of 13 38% 2 1 6:05
SeungWoo Choi 0 23 of 96 23% 42 of 116 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:50
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gavin Tucker 0 11 of 15 73% 17 of 21 2 of 5 40% 0 1 2:18
SeungWoo Choi 0 7 of 22 31% 16 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:24
2 Gavin Tucker 0 20 of 37 54% 24 of 44 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:44
SeungWoo Choi 0 11 of 52 21% 14 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Gavin Tucker 0 6 of 10 60% 8 of 12 1 of 6 16% 2 0 2:03
SeungWoo Choi 0 5 of 22 22% 12 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gavin Tucker 37 of 62 59% 21 of 40 7 of 11 9 of 11 24 of 45 5 of 7 8 of 10
SeungWoo Choi 23 of 96 23% 11 of 74 12 of 21 0 of 1 13 of 80 10 of 16 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gavin Tucker 11 of 15 73% 5 of 9 1 of 1 5 of 5 6 of 10 2 of 2 3 of 3
SeungWoo Choi 7 of 22 31% 4 of 17 3 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 17 4 of 5 0 of 0
2 Gavin Tucker 20 of 37 54% 12 of 24 4 of 7 4 of 6 14 of 27 1 of 3 5 of 7
SeungWoo Choi 11 of 52 21% 6 of 40 5 of 11 0 of 1 7 of 45 4 of 7 0 of 0
3 Gavin Tucker 6 of 10 60% 4 of 7 2 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 8 2 of 2 0 of 0
SeungWoo Choi 5 of 22 22% 1 of 17 4 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 18 2 of 4 0 of 0
LOSS vs Ricky Glenn
Decision (unanimous) (30–25, 30–24, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 215: Nunes vs. Shevchenko 2 · Sep 09, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricky Glenn 0 23 of 82 28% 43 of 105 0 of 4 0% 1 0 0:15
Gavin Tucker 1 142 of 237 59% 184 of 289 4 of 7 57% 1 0 7:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricky Glenn 0 17 of 58 29% 26 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Gavin Tucker 1 23 of 55 41% 26 of 58 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
2 Ricky Glenn 0 4 of 15 26% 10 of 24 0 of 2 0% 1 0 0:00
Gavin Tucker 0 35 of 58 60% 49 of 74 4 of 6 66% 0 0 3:49
3 Ricky Glenn 0 2 of 9 22% 7 of 14 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Gavin Tucker 0 84 of 124 67% 109 of 157 0 of 1 0% 0 0 3:56
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricky Glenn 23 of 82 28% 14 of 69 5 of 8 4 of 5 12 of 64 9 of 15 2 of 3
Gavin Tucker 142 of 237 59% 96 of 182 40 of 47 6 of 8 31 of 68 23 of 39 88 of 130
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricky Glenn 17 of 58 29% 9 of 46 4 of 7 4 of 5 11 of 50 6 of 8 0 of 0
Gavin Tucker 23 of 55 41% 14 of 41 6 of 9 3 of 5 18 of 47 5 of 8 0 of 0
2 Ricky Glenn 4 of 15 26% 3 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 9 2 of 5 1 of 1
Gavin Tucker 35 of 58 60% 22 of 42 11 of 14 2 of 2 3 of 7 10 of 18 22 of 33
3 Ricky Glenn 2 of 9 22% 2 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 5 1 of 2 1 of 2
Gavin Tucker 84 of 124 67% 60 of 99 23 of 24 1 of 1 10 of 14 8 of 13 66 of 97
WIN vs Sam Sicilia
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · Feb 19, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gavin Tucker 0 10 of 87 11% 10 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Sam Sicilia 0 55 of 163 33% 60 of 168 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gavin Tucker 0 2 of 12 16% 2 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sam Sicilia 0 18 of 47 38% 18 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Gavin Tucker 0 2 of 24 8% 2 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sam Sicilia 0 22 of 60 36% 22 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Gavin Tucker 0 6 of 51 11% 6 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Sam Sicilia 0 15 of 56 26% 20 of 61 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gavin Tucker 10 of 87 11% 9 of 80 0 of 5 1 of 2 9 of 84 1 of 3 0 of 0
Sam Sicilia 55 of 163 33% 25 of 120 12 of 25 18 of 18 53 of 159 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gavin Tucker 2 of 12 16% 1 of 9 0 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sam Sicilia 18 of 47 38% 7 of 34 4 of 6 7 of 7 17 of 46 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Gavin Tucker 2 of 24 8% 2 of 22 0 of 1 0 of 1 2 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sam Sicilia 22 of 60 36% 8 of 39 3 of 10 11 of 11 22 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Gavin Tucker 6 of 51 11% 6 of 49 0 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 48 1 of 3 0 of 0
Sam Sicilia 15 of 56 26% 10 of 47 5 of 9 0 of 0 14 of 53 1 of 3 0 of 0
Justin Jaynes - Fight History
LOSS vs Charles Rosa
Decision (split) (30–27, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · Jun 26, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Rosa 0 51 of 182 28% 114 of 258 2 of 2 100% 2 1 3:37
Justin Jaynes 0 44 of 92 47% 51 of 101 2 of 2 100% 2 3 2:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Rosa 0 35 of 119 29% 36 of 121 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:27
Justin Jaynes 0 19 of 41 46% 19 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:05
2 Charles Rosa 0 3 of 15 20% 57 of 78 0 of 0 --- 1 1 1:21
Justin Jaynes 0 6 of 12 50% 10 of 17 1 of 1 100% 0 2 1:16
3 Charles Rosa 0 13 of 48 27% 21 of 59 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:49
Justin Jaynes 0 19 of 39 48% 22 of 43 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Rosa 51 of 182 28% 33 of 156 8 of 15 10 of 11 47 of 173 0 of 0 4 of 9
Justin Jaynes 44 of 92 47% 32 of 79 9 of 9 3 of 4 42 of 89 2 of 2 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Rosa 35 of 119 29% 22 of 101 5 of 9 8 of 9 34 of 116 0 of 0 1 of 3
Justin Jaynes 19 of 41 46% 13 of 34 3 of 3 3 of 4 19 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Charles Rosa 3 of 15 20% 1 of 12 0 of 1 2 of 2 2 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 2
Justin Jaynes 6 of 12 50% 5 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 1
3 Charles Rosa 13 of 48 27% 10 of 43 3 of 5 0 of 0 11 of 44 0 of 0 2 of 4
Justin Jaynes 19 of 39 48% 14 of 34 5 of 5 0 of 0 18 of 38 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Charles Rosa

Angelo picks Charles Rosa, believing Rosa's jiu-jitsu is fantastic and that he can avoid Jaynes's early storm and take over in later rounds. He notes that Jaynes is not Derrick Minner and that styles make fights. However, he admits he is not confident enough to place a bet on it.

"i think charles rose has the pick here at least for me uh i don't have a bet on it i'm not that confident but i do think charles rose wins this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Charles Rosa

Big Brady picks Charles Rosa to win by third round submission, citing Jaynes's poor cardio and tendency to fade after the first round. He notes Rosa's durability (only one KO loss) and well-rounded skills, while Jaynes is a one-round fighter with 33% takedown defense. He expects Rosa to weather the early storm and take over as Jaynes gasses.

by submission, third round
"i'm going to take charles rosa to win by third round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Charles Rosa

Cody picks Rosa, noting that Jaynes has zero takedown accuracy and is a brawler who fades. Rosa's takedown defense is a liability, but Jaynes doesn't wrestle. Rosa's striking and cardio should allow him to outwork Jaynes. Cody thinks Rosa is untrustworthy but the style matchup favors him. He notes Rosa is coming off a loss, which historically makes him more reliable.

"i gotta make the play on a few of them and i think that styles make fights i've always said that this is this is a style clash that would favor him for a change"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Charles Rosa

Jacob picks Charles Rosa by submission or decision, noting that Rosa always gets submissions or loses decisions. He thinks Jaynes will try to wrestle, which will be a mistake, and Rosa will find a submission. Jacob is not confident enough to put Rosa in his lineup at 8600 but believes Rosa wins.

"yeah so i have charles rosa listed as submission or decision because it seems like he always gets submissions or he loses decisions"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lock picked Jun 24, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Charles Rosa

Rosa is my lock of the night. Jaynes is not UFC caliber and has no defense. Rosa has durability, striking technique, and can take Jaynes down. He should invest in body shots early to slow Jaynes down, then find a submission in the second round. Rosa's only kryptonite is being ground out, but Jaynes can't do that. Rosa should be a much bigger favorite.

Rosa by submission plus 210; Rosa inside the distance plus 145; under 2.5 rounds minus 125
"Charles rosa is actually my locker then i played for this week... I truly believe that justin james is not a ufc caliber fighter"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Charles Rosa

Paul picks Rosa but lost trust after his loss to Minor. He notes Rosa's pattern of alternating wins and losses. He thinks Rosa should stick to grappling and avoid brawling. He acknowledges Jaynes' power but thinks Rosa's experience and durability will carry him.

"i'll pick charles rosa but uh losing against men or he uh he lost my trust"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Justin Jaynes

The MMA Guru picks Justin Jaynes as a big upset, citing his ferocity and early-round finishing ability. He criticizes Charles Rosa's striking defense and believes Jaynes will expose those holes, predicting a first-round KO. He notes Rosa's decline after his Shane Burgos fight and considers Jaynes the fresher fighter at 31.

first round KO
"i think he's gonna crack charles rosa on the chin and i'm gonna go with justin james with a big upset"
LOSS vs Devonte Smith
TKO (doctor stoppage) R2 3:38 · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · Feb 06, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Devonte Smith 0 34 of 65 52% 46 of 78 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:08
Justin Jaynes 0 11 of 27 40% 19 of 35 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Devonte Smith 0 25 of 51 49% 27 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Justin Jaynes 0 9 of 24 37% 9 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Devonte Smith 0 9 of 14 64% 19 of 25 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:06
Justin Jaynes 0 2 of 3 66% 10 of 11 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Devonte Smith 34 of 65 52% 25 of 54 5 of 7 4 of 4 21 of 45 5 of 8 8 of 12
Justin Jaynes 11 of 27 40% 6 of 21 3 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 26 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Devonte Smith 25 of 51 49% 19 of 43 2 of 4 4 of 4 20 of 43 5 of 8 0 of 0
Justin Jaynes 9 of 24 37% 5 of 19 2 of 3 2 of 2 9 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Devonte Smith 9 of 14 64% 6 of 11 3 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 12
Justin Jaynes 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Devonte Smith

Daniel Levi picks Devonte Smith confidently, citing his calf kicks, jab, and straight right. He notes Smith's 8-inch reach advantage and expects him to weather Jaynes' early storm and finish him in the second round. He mentions Smith's bounce-back potential after a torn Achilles and personal issues.

second round knockout
"i got devante smith here second round knockout weather this early storm and you win the fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jan 30, 2021 (7 days before fight)
Justin Jaynes

The MMA Guru picks Alex da Silva (Justin Jaynes) with hesitation, noting the fight is very close. He was impressed by da Silva's performance against Brad Riddell, showing good striking and grappling. He worries about Devonte Smith's chin after a KO loss to Kamal Worthy and thinks the threat of takedowns will make Smith gun-shy. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision for da Silva.

unanimous decision 30-27
"i'm going to give the edge to alex de silva purely because he has an option to change things up"
TKO (knee to the body and elbows) R1 4:06 · UFC on ESPN: Hermansson vs. Vettori · Dec 05, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabriel Benítez 1 38 of 104 36% 38 of 104 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justin Jaynes 0 22 of 52 42% 22 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabriel Benítez 1 38 of 104 36% 38 of 104 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justin Jaynes 0 22 of 52 42% 22 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabriel Benítez 38 of 104 36% 20 of 83 10 of 12 8 of 9 34 of 99 0 of 0 4 of 5
Justin Jaynes 22 of 52 42% 16 of 44 6 of 8 0 of 0 22 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabriel Benítez 38 of 104 36% 20 of 83 10 of 12 8 of 9 34 of 99 0 of 0 4 of 5
Justin Jaynes 22 of 52 42% 16 of 44 6 of 8 0 of 0 22 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 2, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Benítez

Big Brady picks Gabriel Benítez, noting the line flipped from Benítez opening as an underdog to now being a heavy favorite. He likes Benítez's leg kicks and overall striking, and believes if Benítez survives Jaynes's early storm, he will take over. He predicts a second-round knockout, as Jaynes has never been knocked out but Benítez has finishing ability. He notes Jaynes is a 'one-round and bust' fighter with poor cardio.

Under 2.5 rounds; Benítez by second-round knockout; Jaynes's cardio a concern; Benítez's leg kicks
"The pick's gonna be Benítez I'm gonna say second round knockout... I'm going to take Benítez to win via second round knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Dec 2, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Benítez

Daniel picks Gabriel Benítez but with hesitation, noting that Justin Jaynes has first-round power and has scored knockdowns in both his UFC fights. He believes if Benítez can survive the first round, his body kicks and experience will take over. He cites Javier Mendez calling Benítez the hardest kicker he's ever held pads for, harder than Luke Rockhold or Cain Velasquez. However, he acknowledges Benítez's suspect chin and the emotional weight on Jaynes fighting for his sick father, which historically hasn't favored fighters.

"I think the early go in favors justin janes but if gabrielle can just get past that first round he's gonna take over the fight but it's contingent on getting past that first round so i'll go with mowgli benitez …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Gabriel Benítez

The host picks Gabriel Benítez to win by third round TKO. He highlights Benítez's leg kicks, technical striking, and cardio advantage over Justin Jaynes, who has a narrow path to victory and questionable gas tank. He believes Benítez will chew up the lead leg and finish late as Jaynes fades. He is very confident, giving Benítez a 75% chance of winning.

Third round finish prop; leg kicks will slow Jaynes down; Benítez by KO in third round.
"I do like gabrielle benitez to win this fight probably by third round tko"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Gabriel Benítez

The MMA Guru picks Gabriel Benítez by unanimous decision, expecting him to weather Justin Jaynes' first-round onslaught and take over in the second and third rounds as Jaynes gasses. He notes Benítez has a good chin and has faced tough competition, while Jaynes showed cardio issues in his loss to Gavin Tucker. He predicts a 29-28 scorecard.

method: unanimous decision, round: decision
"i think gabriel benitez can weather the storm in that first round he's got a good chin"
LOSS vs Gavin Tucker
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 1:43 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · Aug 08, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gavin Tucker 0 87 of 211 41% 88 of 212 1 of 2 50% 4 1 1:24
Justin Jaynes 1 41 of 101 40% 42 of 103 0 of 1 0% 1 1 0:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gavin Tucker 0 15 of 48 31% 16 of 49 1 of 1 100% 1 1 0:35
Justin Jaynes 1 28 of 54 51% 29 of 55 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:38
2 Gavin Tucker 0 63 of 137 45% 63 of 137 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justin Jaynes 0 6 of 30 20% 6 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Gavin Tucker 0 9 of 26 34% 9 of 26 0 of 1 0% 3 0 0:49
Justin Jaynes 0 7 of 17 41% 7 of 18 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gavin Tucker 87 of 211 41% 61 of 177 23 of 30 3 of 4 86 of 207 1 of 3 0 of 1
Justin Jaynes 41 of 101 40% 30 of 84 11 of 17 0 of 0 31 of 87 2 of 2 8 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gavin Tucker 15 of 48 31% 8 of 37 6 of 9 1 of 2 15 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
Justin Jaynes 28 of 54 51% 19 of 40 9 of 14 0 of 0 19 of 41 1 of 1 8 of 12
2 Gavin Tucker 63 of 137 45% 45 of 115 16 of 20 2 of 2 63 of 137 0 of 0 0 of 0
Justin Jaynes 6 of 30 20% 5 of 28 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Gavin Tucker 9 of 26 34% 8 of 25 1 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 22 1 of 3 0 of 1
Justin Jaynes 7 of 17 41% 6 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Aug 5, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Justin Jaynes

Big Brady picks Jaynes but with caution due to his weight cut to featherweight. He likes Jaynes' power and finishing ability, noting Tucker's poor striking defense. He predicts a first-round knockout for Jaynes, but will wait for weigh-ins before betting.

"i do like james to win and i probably will bet him but i'm going to wait until the weigh-ins before i do put a bed"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 7, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Gavin Tucker

Daniel Levi picks Gavin Tucker, but with low confidence. He notes that Tucker is the cleaner fighter with good footwork and a black belt in jiu-jitsu, but his chin and tendency to stop fighting under adversity are concerns. Levi also mentions that Justin Jaynes has power but is sloppy and may gas out if he doesn't get a first-round knockout. He believes Tucker will win a close decision if he doesn't get caught.

"i gotta lean with gavin tucker here man i think he's a cleaner fighter all across the board"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Gavin Tucker

Tucker is a black belt under Henzo Gracie with high-level jiu-jitsu and striking. Jaynes is a power puncher with limited skills, and Tucker's leg kicks and movement should neutralize him. The smaller UFC Apex cage still gives Tucker room to stick and move. Tucker likely wins by submission in the second or third round as Jaynes fades.

third round submission
"I like Gavin Tucker a lot here I think this is a tailor-made matchup for him"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Justin Jaynes

The MMA Guru picks Justin Jaynes because he is the bigger fighter, having fought at lightweight, and is cutting back down to featherweight. He notes that Gavin Tucker hasn't fought since UFC 240 and is 34 years old, which is bad time off. He believes Tucker may have found his ceiling after losing to Rick Glenn, while Jaynes is riding momentum from a first-round TKO over Frank Camacho.

"justin james is gonna win he's the bigger guy he just fought frank camacho at lightweight"
WIN vs Frank Camacho
TKO (punches) R1 0:41 · UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Volkov · Jun 20, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Justin Jaynes 0 4 of 15 26% 4 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Frank Camacho 1 16 of 30 53% 16 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Justin Jaynes 0 4 of 15 26% 4 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Frank Camacho 1 16 of 30 53% 16 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Justin Jaynes 4 of 15 26% 4 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Frank Camacho 16 of 30 53% 14 of 28 2 of 2 0 of 0 10 of 22 4 of 5 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Justin Jaynes 4 of 15 26% 4 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Frank Camacho 16 of 30 53% 14 of 28 2 of 2 0 of 0 10 of 22 4 of 5 2 of 3
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 17, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Frank Camacho

Big Brady picks Frank Camacho despite the close odds, citing Camacho's harder hitting and ability to stuff takedowns. He thinks Camacho will land more convincing strikes and win a close decision, possibly even finishing Jaynes. He notes Jaynes has been knocked out before by a lesser fighter, which is concerning.

odds: Jaynes minus 120, Camacho plus 100; pick by decision
"I'm gonna go the other side with Frank Camacho I think this fight is very tough for either fighter"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Frank Camacho

Daniel Levi picks Frank Camacho, citing his experience, power, and sneaky trips. He notes that Camacho has fought tougher competition and that Justin Jaynes is a late replacement. Levi expects Camacho to win, possibly by first-round knockout, as Jaynes steps up in competition.

Frank Camacho by first round knockout
"I'm going to go with Frank Camacho here, Shaq."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2020 (6 days before fight)

Frevola is a better fighter than Camacho, who has been through wars and found his limit. Frevola's grinding style will be favored by the smaller cage. He will win by decision.

"Matt for volar is gonna beat Frank Camacho I think he gets it done by decision because that just seems to be for voters style"
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Aug 5, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Justin Jaynes

Big Brady picks Jaynes but with caution due to his weight cut to featherweight. He likes Jaynes' power and finishing ability, noting Tucker's poor striking defense. He predicts a first-round knockout for Jaynes, but will wait for weigh-ins before betting.

"i do like james to win and i probably will bet him but i'm going to wait until the weigh-ins before i do put a bed"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 7, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Gavin Tucker

Daniel Levi picks Gavin Tucker, but with low confidence. He notes that Tucker is the cleaner fighter with good footwork and a black belt in jiu-jitsu, but his chin and tendency to stop fighting under adversity are concerns. Levi also mentions that Justin Jaynes has power but is sloppy and may gas out if he doesn't get a first-round knockout. He believes Tucker will win a close decision if he doesn't get caught.

"i gotta lean with gavin tucker here man i think he's a cleaner fighter all across the board"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Gavin Tucker

Tucker is a black belt under Henzo Gracie with high-level jiu-jitsu and striking. Jaynes is a power puncher with limited skills, and Tucker's leg kicks and movement should neutralize him. The smaller UFC Apex cage still gives Tucker room to stick and move. Tucker likely wins by submission in the second or third round as Jaynes fades.

third round submission
"I like Gavin Tucker a lot here I think this is a tailor-made matchup for him"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Justin Jaynes

The MMA Guru picks Justin Jaynes because he is the bigger fighter, having fought at lightweight, and is cutting back down to featherweight. He notes that Gavin Tucker hasn't fought since UFC 240 and is 34 years old, which is bad time off. He believes Tucker may have found his ceiling after losing to Rick Glenn, while Jaynes is riding momentum from a first-round TKO over Frank Camacho.

"justin james is gonna win he's the bigger guy he just fought frank camacho at lightweight"