The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · Jul 07, 2017 · Lightweight · Completed
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Age 38
Height 5' 9"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 33
Height 5' 10"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Drakkar Klose
4.25 SLpM
55.0% Str. Acc.
3.65 SApM
49.0% Str. Def.
1.49 TD Avg
26.0% TD Acc.
69.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Marc Diakiese
2.54 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
2.64 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
3.29 TD Avg
43.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Drakkar Klose - Fight History
WIN vs Edson Barboza
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev · Aug 16, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Edson Barboza 0 71 of 120 59% 73 of 122 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:50
Drakkar Klose 0 53 of 102 51% 147 of 209 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Edson Barboza 0 24 of 36 66% 26 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:26
Drakkar Klose 0 15 of 29 51% 68 of 89 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:33
2 Edson Barboza 0 18 of 38 47% 18 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:02
Drakkar Klose 0 25 of 44 56% 50 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:40
3 Edson Barboza 0 29 of 46 63% 29 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:22
Drakkar Klose 0 13 of 29 44% 29 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Edson Barboza 71 of 120 59% 26 of 64 32 of 38 13 of 18 57 of 105 14 of 15 0 of 0
Drakkar Klose 53 of 102 51% 35 of 78 6 of 9 12 of 15 43 of 89 10 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Edson Barboza 24 of 36 66% 4 of 11 13 of 17 7 of 8 18 of 30 6 of 6 0 of 0
Drakkar Klose 15 of 29 51% 8 of 18 1 of 3 6 of 8 13 of 27 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Edson Barboza 18 of 38 47% 7 of 22 10 of 12 1 of 4 14 of 33 4 of 5 0 of 0
Drakkar Klose 25 of 44 56% 19 of 37 3 of 3 3 of 4 19 of 36 6 of 8 0 of 0
3 Edson Barboza 29 of 46 63% 15 of 31 9 of 9 5 of 6 25 of 42 4 of 4 0 of 0
Drakkar Klose 13 of 29 44% 8 of 23 2 of 3 3 of 3 11 of 26 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 10, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Edson Barboza

Angelo acknowledges both fighters are older but notes Barboza's striking, speed, and experience against top competition. He thinks Klose could wrestle but hasn't seen enough to suggest Barboza is washed. He leans Barboza but is not confident enough to bet on him.

"I'm going to lean Eden Barbosa here. I've seen that dude step up time and time and time again against some of the best that have ever done it."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Edson Barboza

Big Brady picks Edson Barboza to win by second-round knockout. He notes Barboza is moving back up to lightweight, which should help his durability. He worries about Barboza's chin but thinks Klose doesn't have much power, with only two knockdowns in the UFC. He believes Barboza is the better striker and will knock out Klose, as Klose's path to victory is to sell out for grappling. He also mentions Klose's questionable durability and poor performance against Silva.

Barboza by KO, round 2
"I think Barbosa is the better striker and I think he knocks out Jakar Close. I think he's going to win this fight by second round knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Drakkar Klose

The host considers Klose one of the most underrated lightweights. He expects Klose to avoid Barboza's early finishing attempts, clinch him against the cage, wear him down, and grind out a decision win on the mat.

"I believe Close is one of the more underrated lightweights on the roster and I think he'll showcase it once again"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

The Guru picks Drakkar Klose to win by decision, 29-28. He cannot trust Edson Barboza at this point in his career, citing Barboza's long layoff, injuries, and move back up to lightweight. The Guru notes that Barboza took a lot of damage in his last fight against Lerone Murphy and that Klose will grapple and use his physicality. He believes Klose can execute a 'tepid version' of the recipe to beat Barboza and win a decision, though Barboza may have moments of hurting Klose.

Decision win 29-28; Klose wins by decision
"I'm going to go with Dakar Close getting this one done. Decision win 2928."
LOSS vs Joel Alvarez
KO/TKO (flying knee and punches) R1 2:48 · UFC on ESPN: Covington vs. Buckley · Dec 14, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joel Alvarez 0 20 of 24 83% 39 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Drakkar Klose 0 7 of 13 53% 16 of 23 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joel Alvarez 0 20 of 24 83% 39 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Drakkar Klose 0 7 of 13 53% 16 of 23 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joel Alvarez 20 of 24 83% 15 of 19 4 of 4 1 of 1 12 of 16 8 of 8 0 of 0
Drakkar Klose 7 of 13 53% 1 of 6 2 of 3 4 of 4 7 of 12 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joel Alvarez 20 of 24 83% 15 of 19 4 of 4 1 of 1 12 of 16 8 of 8 0 of 0
Drakkar Klose 7 of 13 53% 1 of 6 2 of 3 4 of 4 7 of 12 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joel Alvarez vs. Drakkar Klose
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Alvarez (-395), Klose (+310)

Round 1
The referee for this lightweight contest is Dan Miragliotta. Klose and Alvarez meet in the center of the cage. Klose lands a heavy leg kick and then goes to the body twice. Alvarez using his length to jab on the outside. Alvarez hurts Klose with a straight right hand. Klose powers through with a takedown and goes straight into side control. Alvarez gets back to guard and starts landing elbows. Alvarez uses the cage to get back up. Klose gets hurt by a 1-2.
Alvarez lands a jumping knee, and Klose is knocked immediately out cold. Alvarez is holding up the body of Klose and landing more punches until the referee steps in.
Wow!

The Official Result
Joel Alvarez def. Drakkar Klose via KO (Knee and Punches); R1, 2:48.
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Dec 8, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Joel Alvarez

Angelo picks Alvarez despite being a vocal hater, because Alvarez's striking looked fantastic in his last fight and his jiu-jitsu is very good. He notes that Klose is a good wrestler with solid boxing, but Alvarez has more ways to win. However, he strongly believes the odds are too wide (3-to-1 favorite) and that this should be a close fight. He warns that Klose can control where the fight goes and if he has success striking, Alvarez is in trouble because he has no offensive wrestling.

Odds are too wide; should be closer to -140/+120.
"I still strongly believe this is a very close fight on paper there should not be a 3 to1 favorite here but I do think Joel will get it done."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Joel Alvarez

Big Brady picks Joel Alvarez to win by second-round submission. He is confident Alvarez is a problem, with 18 submissions and improving striking. He thinks Klose is vulnerable after the Jeremy Stephens push and looked bad against Warlley Alves. He expects Alvarez to hurt Klose on the feet and then snatch a submission when Klose shoots.

"I'll go Joel Alvarez I'll take him to win this fight by second round submission"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Dec 13, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Joel Alvarez

Connor also picks Alvarez but is hesitant, noting that Klose is a durable wrestle-boxer who has only lost to Benil Dariush and a split decision to David Teymur. He points out that Alvarez is a dangerous opportunist whose whole game is built to spring traps, but Klose is tough to finish and might be able to control the fight in the clinch. Connor thinks Alvarez's long strikes and submission threats give him the advantage, but it's a risky pick.

"I'll just take him cuz it looks like at the very least he might get the big moments that win rounds. Can't finish close."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Dec 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Joel Alvarez

Alvarez's aggressiveness should allow him to get a late finish over Klose, specifically in the second or third round. However, Klose's strength of schedule and grinding ability make him worth an underdog consideration given the wide odds.

wins in round 2 or 3; Drakkar Klose underdog consideration
"I believe the aggressiveness of Alvarez will allow him to get a late finish here over dard close but similar to Miles John's earlier on in the card I believe close with his strength of schedule and his grinding ability …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joel Alvarez

The MMA Guru picks Joel Alvarez, calling him 'the truth' in the lightweight division. He praises Alvarez's multi-range ability: striking at range, clinch work, and submissions. He notes that Alvarez is entering his prime at 31, has improved his weight cut, and has a highlight-reel finish over Elves Brener. He contrasts this with Drakkar Klose, whom he considers consistently mid and lacking dynamic ability to separate himself. He predicts a TKO in the second round.

TKO in the second round
"I'm going to go Joel Alvarez and I'm actually GNA say he wins this one by TKO in the second round"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Dec 13, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Joel Alvarez

Zane picks Alvarez but with hesitation, noting that Klose is a tough, durable fighter who has only lost once clearly in his career. He acknowledges that Alvarez's game is full of holes but is directionally sound, built to draw opponents into traps. He worries that Klose might be able to frustrate Alvarez with clinch work and toughness, but ultimately believes Alvarez's finishing ability and opportunistic style give him the edge.

Alvarez opened at -315, now -429; Klose opened at +263, now +342. Zane says the line seems off and that Klose is a hard man to beat, so the odds shouldn't be that wide.
"I'm gonna pick the finisher. I do think that Alvarez's game is really directionally sound like it is actually one of the better constructed MMA games even if it is not deep."
WIN vs Joaquim Silva
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · May 04, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Drakkar Klose 1 59 of 93 63% 143 of 179 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:55
Joaquim Silva 0 70 of 123 56% 96 of 151 0 of 7 0% 0 0 5:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Drakkar Klose 0 20 of 30 66% 25 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Joaquim Silva 0 29 of 54 53% 35 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
2 Drakkar Klose 0 15 of 20 75% 79 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Joaquim Silva 0 17 of 23 73% 35 of 43 0 of 4 0% 0 0 3:58
3 Drakkar Klose 1 24 of 43 55% 39 of 58 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:41
Joaquim Silva 0 24 of 46 52% 26 of 48 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Drakkar Klose 59 of 93 63% 25 of 53 21 of 27 13 of 13 33 of 63 22 of 26 4 of 4
Joaquim Silva 70 of 123 56% 40 of 82 22 of 30 8 of 11 44 of 91 26 of 32 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Drakkar Klose 20 of 30 66% 6 of 14 7 of 9 7 of 7 15 of 23 5 of 7 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 29 of 54 53% 18 of 36 8 of 12 3 of 6 19 of 41 10 of 13 0 of 0
2 Drakkar Klose 15 of 20 75% 3 of 6 10 of 12 2 of 2 6 of 11 9 of 9 0 of 0
Joaquim Silva 17 of 23 73% 5 of 9 11 of 13 1 of 1 4 of 8 13 of 15 0 of 0
3 Drakkar Klose 24 of 43 55% 16 of 33 4 of 6 4 of 4 12 of 29 8 of 10 4 of 4
Joaquim Silva 24 of 46 52% 17 of 37 3 of 5 4 of 4 21 of 42 3 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Angelo picks Klose as the more technical and well-rounded fighter with multiple paths to victory. He notes Silva's power makes him live but Klose is durable. He mentions Klose's neck injury from a weigh-in shove but says he hasn't looked different since.

"jakar Clos is a guy that you can trust"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Big Brady likes Klose's well-rounded game, including cardio, volume, takedowns, and BJJ. He questions Silva's durability and notes his knockout loss to Ricky Glenn. He predicts Klose will land a big shot and finish Silva by third-round knockout.

"I'm taking close to win this fight by third round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Cody picks Klose, citing his superior wrestling, durability, and fresher fight miles. He notes Silva is a brawler with durability issues and has been knocked out by lesser fighters. Cody expects Klose to break Silva down and finish late.

Klose by KO/TKO in round 3
"Late stoppage close is what I would look at... I think close just breaks them down systematically and then takes them out late."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Daniel Vreeland leans with Silva, citing his one-punch power and the home crowd advantage in Brazil. He acknowledges Klose's physicality and close-fight history but is not confident enough to lay the -175 price. He notes Silva's slow starts but believes he can land a big shot or edge a decision in Brazil.

"I'll lean with uh with the underdog with yoim Silva"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 3, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Klose is the more complete fighter, utilizing striking and takedowns to outwork Silva. Silva is dangerous with early knockout power, but Klose's chin should hold up. Klose wins by decision.

"give me close and close by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Paul picks Klose, noting his level of competition and ability to avoid big shots. He believes Silva is knockout-or-bust and Klose's volume and takedowns will win rounds. Paul expects Klose by decision or late stoppage.

Klose by decision
"Close late or by decision is how I see it... the volume adds up..."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

The MMA Guru picks Drakkar Klose by decision, citing his consistency, composure, and professional decision-making. He notes Klose's wins over Bobby Green and others, and believes he will outpoint Joaquim Silva with crisp kicks, jabs, and body work. He acknowledges Silva's potential in scrambles but trusts Klose's experience.

by decision
"I'm going to go with him by decision here"
WIN vs Joe Solecki
KO (slam) R1 1:41 · UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Dec 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Drakkar Klose 0 2 of 2 100% 8 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:40
Joe Solecki 0 1 of 1 100% 9 of 13 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Drakkar Klose 0 2 of 2 100% 8 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:40
Joe Solecki 0 1 of 1 100% 9 of 13 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Drakkar Klose 2 of 2 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1
Joe Solecki 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Drakkar Klose 2 of 2 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1
Joe Solecki 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joe Solecki

Cody picks Solecki as an underdog. He thinks Solecki's grappling and back-taking ability will be key. He notes Klose's takedown defense issues and age (35) coming off a knee injury. He believes Solecki can win the positional battle and control the fight. He calls it a shoey bet.

"seli screams like a dog with a shot because I think he can win the positional battle he can get those takedowns close has got the knee injury the year-long layoff 35 years old take down defense issues in the …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Joe Solecki

Lucrative James picks Joe Solecki, emphasizing that Drakkar Klose consistently gives up his back in fights, which is a bad stylistic matchup against a grappler like Solecki. He believes Solecki will take Klose's back and either submit him or win rounds through control. While Klose may have an edge on the feet, Solecki's grappling upside makes him the favorite.

"it's almost guaranteed that Joe's going to take his back at one point you know which sounds crazy but he's I've just seen it way too many times"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Klose has a solid wrestling and pressure game, and stylistically he has advantages over Solecki in striking and grappling. However, he is returning from an ACL injury at 35 years old, which raises concerns about his knee recovery. Solecki is a BJJ black belt but has shown limited offense off his back and unimpressive striking. Klose is expected to dictate the pace and win a decision, but confidence is tempered due to the injury.

decision win predicted
"give me close I think close by decision uh and I think we see him come back successfully but I would just be weary in terms of the amount of confidence that you have in him"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Paul already bet Klose at -120. He thinks Klose has significant advantages on the feet and trains with good partners. He is surprised the line is still playable. He notes Klose's only UFC losses are to Beneil Dariush and David Teymur, and he believes Klose should win.

"I like jar close here I'm kind of surprised by this line I bet it like uh three or four day or my one buddy uh Mick reached out and I kind of looked into it and then I ended …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

The MMA Guru picks Drakkar Klose, noting Klose's technical striking, takedown defense, and cardio. He dismisses Joe Solecki's level of competition and believes Klose does the basics better. He expects a close decision, 29-28, in Klose's favor.

decision 29-28
"I'm going to go Drakkar Klose win... I don't think Joe Solecki is all that good... Drakkar Klose just does the basic stuff better than Joe Solecki."
WIN vs Rafa García
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · Jul 30, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Drakkar Klose 0 61 of 115 53% 111 of 175 2 of 10 20% 0 0 2:05
Rafa García 0 34 of 57 59% 83 of 111 3 of 11 27% 0 0 2:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Drakkar Klose 0 19 of 30 63% 33 of 53 2 of 7 28% 0 0 1:49
Rafa García 0 13 of 22 59% 21 of 30 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
2 Drakkar Klose 0 14 of 29 48% 35 of 51 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:16
Rafa García 0 5 of 12 41% 33 of 45 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:11
3 Drakkar Klose 0 28 of 56 50% 43 of 71 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Rafa García 0 16 of 23 69% 29 of 36 1 of 6 16% 0 0 0:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Drakkar Klose 61 of 115 53% 24 of 75 27 of 29 10 of 11 32 of 83 24 of 25 5 of 7
Rafa García 34 of 57 59% 23 of 45 8 of 8 3 of 4 23 of 44 11 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Drakkar Klose 19 of 30 63% 7 of 17 9 of 10 3 of 3 9 of 18 7 of 8 3 of 4
Rafa García 13 of 22 59% 9 of 18 2 of 2 2 of 2 9 of 17 4 of 5 0 of 0
2 Drakkar Klose 14 of 29 48% 5 of 18 6 of 7 3 of 4 7 of 21 5 of 5 2 of 3
Rafa García 5 of 12 41% 1 of 8 3 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Drakkar Klose 28 of 56 50% 12 of 40 12 of 12 4 of 4 16 of 44 12 of 12 0 of 0
Rafa García 16 of 23 69% 13 of 19 3 of 3 0 of 1 10 of 16 6 of 7 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Rafa Garcia vs. Drakkar Klose
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Klose (-230), Garcia (+195)

Round 1
Opening up the ABC- and ESPN-aired prelims is what should be a fun lightweight matchup, even if Klose (12-2-1, 6-2 UFC) is now battling late replacement Garcia (13-2, 2-2 UFC). Both fighters prevailed on the same event in April, locking down second-round finishes of Brandon Jenkins and Jesse Ronson, respectively, so the “Matches to Make” choice appeared to be an easy one. They touch ‘em up with referee Jacob Rosales watching on, and Klose claims the center of the cage but is nowhere close to his opponent. Garcia stays on the outer edge of the cage as Klose feints with jabs, and the first strike is actually a stomping kick to the knee from Klose. Klose kicks on the inside and outside of the leg, and Garcia swarms him with an overhand right that bowls him over – not from it actually hitting him hard, but from Garcia’s body tackling him down. Klose gets back up and starts working the calf, until Garcia closes the distance and aims punches to the body. The American greets him with knees until they split up, and Klose fakes a body kick and rips one on the other side before tying Garcia up. Klose effectively uses the calf kick to decent effect, as Garcia powers through it to club Klose in the chops with a left. Klose staggers back and tries to give one back, but Garcia is smooth on the outside as he kicks the knee and nearly buckles it. Klose gives chases, and in an ensuing clinch, they throw short punches one after the other. Klose forces a separation, with his legs appearing to be fully back under him again, and he walks Garcia down and measures a jab. When “Gifted” bites on it, Klose changes levels. Klose is unable to get the first takedown try, but Garcia turns around and gives up his back. This allows Klose to trip him out and plant Garcia on his face for a moment. Garcia powers his way back up, and he grabs the fence to keep himself balanced as Klose attempts a mat return. Klose trips Garcia’s left leg out beneath him again to plant him down, and he starts slugging away on Garcia. “Gifted” checks his face to make sure he is not bleeding, and when he does, Klose sucks his leg out and makes it so Garcia cannot simply power his way back up as easily as before. Garcia rolls for a leglock, and Klose breaks it up before anything can come from it. When they both get to their knees, the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Klose
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Klose
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Klose

Round 2
Klose races out of his corner to start the next round, and he plants a wheel kick upside Garcia’s head before shooting for a takedown in the first 10 seconds. Garcia stuffs it but absorbs a few knees to the body when Klose bails on it, and Garcia powers his way out to the center of the Octagon. The lightweights feint and fake their way towards one another, with Klose employing his stomp kick and swinging his shin to the body. Garcia dips back and absorbs a glancing right hand, but he is no worse for wear. Klose lets go with a body kick, and Garcia cannot pin him down or trap him to land with impunity. Garcia begins to chop the legs down a few times, and Klose switches stance after absorbing the blows. Garcia winds up on a right hook, but Klose dips back and answers with a short left. Garcia, using his momentum in his favor, pushes through and knocks Klose off his feet with a double. “Gifted” gives Klose several gifts in the form of his fists, before stepping into half guard. The posture remains tight as Garcia does not want to give up any space or allow a sweep or any bucking movement, but this also results in a stalemate. The crowd is not a fan of this nullifying half guard for Garcia, and Klose moves his head around to dodge punches before Montalvo steps in to stand them up. Garcia shoots the second they get stood up, and Klose staves it off and connects with a solid left hand. As Garcia aims a right hand over the top, Klose ducks down for a possible takedown entry, and Garcia snatches this up to hunt for a standing guillotine choke. There is nothing to it, and Klose shucks it off and absorbs the end of a left hand. Garcia misses with a spinning back kick, and Klose is suddenly energized and he charges in with his head in the air to throw bombs. Garcia retreats, and he weathers the storm before scooping Klose’s legs out and planting him down to the ground. A few punches for the fighter out of Mexico land before the horn resounds in the arena.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Garcia
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Garcia
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Garcia

Round 3
Klose is the initial aggressor to start off the final round, pushing the pace and sticking his hands out to back Garcia off. The Michigan native jabs and makes Garcia dip down right into a head kick, and Garcia tanks it without budging. Garcia hunts for a takedown, and he redoubles his effort with a double that takes Klose off his feet. Klose threatens with a guillotine choke off his back, but with the cage behind him, there is no leverage to secure anything, and Garcia is comfortable without concern. Klose explodes back to his feet, and he throws hands to again force Garcia to back from one side of the cage to another. Klose allows Garcia to come at him so that he can set up a clinch in his favor, where he slams knees and punches into Garcia’s body. Klose senses that Garcia is fatiguing, and he strides forward without a care in the world, targeting the midsection and preparing to stuff takedowns. Klose gets Garcia’s attention with a low kick, and he has a clubbing right slide off the shoulder into the chin. Garcia’s hands largely drop by his waist, waiting for Klose to close the distance, so that he can lift them and sling something heavy. He has a thudding left connect cleanly, but Klose totally ignores it so that he can do more work to the body. Klose ties his man up after a failed takedown entry so that he can batter the body with punches and the occasional knee. Klose changes this up with his own takedown try, and Garcia pushes him off and backpedals. Garcia shoots for a single, and Klose gets shoved back to the wall and knees the ribs a few times to conclude the fight. Both men raise their hands after 15 minutes of combat, and some will almost certainly attempt the joke that the Klose fight was a close fight.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Klose (29-28 Klose)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Klose (29-28 Klose)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Klose (29-28 Klose)

The Official Result
Drakkar Klose def. Rafa Garcia via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Big Brady picks Drakkar Klose to win by decision. He notes Garcia is on short notice and has cardio concerns, while Klose has fought much better competition. He expects the first round to be competitive but Klose's striking volume and takedown defense will carry him in later rounds. He mentions Garcia has never been knocked out, so a decision is likely.

"i like close to win here... i think he outstrikes garcia on the feet rounds two in rounds three and ultimately picks up a decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Cody picks Klose, noting his technical striking, forward pressure, and solid takedown defense. He thinks Garcia's wrestling won't be a factor because Klose will stop takedowns and win the striking exchanges. He mentions that Klose's cardio is solid and that Garcia is limited and loopy with his strikes. He also notes that Klose's significant strikes over 60.5 is a good prop on PrizePicks.

Klose over 60.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks
"i think close is just going to win the striking exchanges from distance stop the takedowns keep it standing and just rinse and repeat"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 27, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Daniel picks Klose to win another close decision, noting that most of his fights are 29-28. He thinks Klose finds a way to edge out rounds, whether by calf kicks or a late takedown. He acknowledges Garcia's toughness and Mexican warrior spirit, but thinks Garcia's cardio issues (from the Gritzmacher fight) could be a factor. However, he calls the -205 price too high for a fighter who usually wins close fights, so he passes on betting.

"I'm gonna go Drakkar Klose to win another 29-28 decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2022 (fight day)
Drakkar Klose

Preet picks Klose by decision, expecting him to push Garcia against the cage, use leg kicks, and control the fight. He notes Klose's efficient style and that Garcia's cardio fades, leading to Klose taking over in the second and third rounds. He passes on the moneyline due to Klose's tendency to fight close decisions.

"i'll go close here uh close to your decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Paul picks Klose, citing his technical striking and good wrestling. He notes that Klose's losses are to very good fighters and that he looked great in his last fight against Brandon Jenkins. He thinks Garcia's wrestling won't be enough and that Klose will win the striking exchanges. He also mentions that Klose's takedown defense is solid and that Garcia is limited.

Klose over 60.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks
"gotta have to go with uh dracar close... the one thing that's always going to worry me about this guy for the rest of his foreseeable career is uh jeremy stevens almost ended his career"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2022 (fight day)
Drakkar Klose

The MMA Guru predicts Drakkar Klose wins by 30-27 unanimous decision. He sees Klose as more technical and smart, landing calf kicks and body shots at range. Rafa García is tough but too one-dimensional. Klose will edge each round, possibly earning a 10-8 in the third.

unanimous decision
"dracar close gets this one done edging out every round"
TKO (punches) R2 0:33 · UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. Muhammad 2 · Apr 16, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Drakkar Klose 2 76 of 108 70% 77 of 109 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:56
Brandon Jenkins 0 18 of 38 47% 28 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Drakkar Klose 1 66 of 93 70% 67 of 94 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:55
Brandon Jenkins 0 15 of 30 50% 25 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
2 Drakkar Klose 1 10 of 15 66% 10 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Brandon Jenkins 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Drakkar Klose 76 of 108 70% 55 of 87 16 of 16 5 of 5 27 of 42 38 of 46 11 of 20
Brandon Jenkins 18 of 38 47% 4 of 23 3 of 4 11 of 11 14 of 34 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Drakkar Klose 66 of 93 70% 48 of 75 14 of 14 4 of 4 21 of 32 34 of 41 11 of 20
Brandon Jenkins 15 of 30 50% 3 of 17 3 of 4 9 of 9 11 of 26 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Drakkar Klose 10 of 15 66% 7 of 12 2 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 10 4 of 5 0 of 0
Brandon Jenkins 3 of 8 37% 1 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Angelo picks Drakkar Klose, but is hesitant to bet due to Klose's two-year layoff. He believes Klose's power, wrestling, and cardio should be enough to finish Brandon Jenkins. He notes that Jenkins is a kill-or-be-killed fighter who is always looking for a finish, which makes him dangerous. He thinks the odds are too wide for Klose given the layoff.

"i do think dracar wins i'm picking him here but i probably won't bet this because of dracar's time off"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Big Brady picks Drakkar Klose to win by decision. He notes Klose is UFC-caliber with much better competition, while Jenkins is very hittable (35% striking defense) and has poor takedown defense (25%). He expects Klose to outstrike and outwrestle Jenkins, but doesn't see a finish since Klose hasn't finished in years. He calls Jenkins' only path a 'flukish knockout.'

win by decision
"give me close by for the win and can be close to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Cody picks Klose, citing his advantages in every department. He notes Jenkins relies on flashy techniques but was easily handled by a younger opponent. He thinks Klose's wrestling and experience will be too much.

"i think he did a good job of beating the line on that one"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Daniel Levi picks Drakkar Klose but calls it a 'dog or pass' situation due to the -800 price. He notes Klose has fought much better competition (Bobby Green, Lando Vannata) and is skilled at grinding out decisions. However, he is concerned about Klose's concussion issues from the Jeremy Stephens shove and whether he will be the same fighter. Jenkins is a highlight-reel finisher but tends to break when he can't get the knockout. Levi expects Klose to win but won't bet at those odds.

Not betting at -800; mentions Klose by decision
"The pick is dracar close but I think it might be a dog or pass if you want to fade the narratives about what he's been going through."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

Paul picks Klose, noting his experience and well-rounded game. He thinks Klose has advantages in wrestling, striking, and durability. He mentions he already bet Klose at -400 as part of a parlay.

"jacker closes on that parlay with aj mckee pat sabatini and panty kianzad pays two to one"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Drakkar Klose

The MMA Guru picks Drakkar Klose, stating Brandon Jenkins doesn't belong in the UFC. He notes Klose's competitive fight with Beneil Dariush and wins over Bobby Green and Marc Diakiese. He expects Klose to finish Jenkins by TKO in the second round.

second round TKO
"i'm gonna go with dracar close beating brandon jenkins i reckon he'll get a finish as well"
LOSS vs Beneil Dariush
KO (punch) R2 1:00 · UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · Mar 07, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Beneil Dariush 1 12 of 20 60% 17 of 28 1 of 3 33% 2 0 4:20
Drakkar Klose 0 15 of 25 60% 27 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Beneil Dariush 0 5 of 9 55% 10 of 17 1 of 3 33% 2 0 4:18
Drakkar Klose 0 4 of 6 66% 16 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Beneil Dariush 1 7 of 11 63% 7 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Drakkar Klose 0 11 of 19 57% 11 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Beneil Dariush 12 of 20 60% 8 of 16 3 of 3 1 of 1 12 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Drakkar Klose 15 of 25 60% 12 of 22 0 of 0 3 of 3 13 of 22 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Beneil Dariush 5 of 9 55% 3 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Drakkar Klose 4 of 6 66% 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Beneil Dariush 7 of 11 63% 5 of 9 1 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Drakkar Klose 11 of 19 57% 8 of 16 0 of 0 3 of 3 10 of 17 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
155: Beneil Dariush vs. Drakkar Klose

Round 1
At lightweight, Kings MMA regular Dariush (17-4-1, 11-4-1 UFC) will try to put Klose’s (11-1-1, 5-1 UFC) submission skills to the test. Dariush’s preferred method of victory is by tapout, while Klose has never been submitted--will something give? Keeping this contest on the up-and-up is referee Jason Herzog. The two men touch gloves, and Klose tries to set up his jab but it is Dariush who lands first. A left hand is followed by a thumping body kick from Dariush, but he eats a nasty right coming back at him. Klose loads up with another right hand, and Dariush may be hurt but hiding it well. Dariush closes the distance and hits a takedown, but Klose does not stay ground for long. Klose grabs the fence to stop a takedown, and then grabs it again while Herzog admonishes him. Klose still grabs the cage, but in the process gives up his back. Dariush jumps on like a backpack and secures a body triangle, while hunting for a standing rear-naked choke. Dariush is only able to get one arm around his neck, and Klose is holding tight on the glove to stop the choke -- this is allowed, as long as he does not have his fingers inside the glove. Dariush wrenches his hand away and tugs tightly to get the choke, but Klose again wrests his arms free from danger. The Californian abandons the choke attempt while mounting a few punches together, and keeps his body triangle tightly wrapped around his opponent’s waist. As Klose starts to elbow the thigh to break the grip, Dariush nearly sinks in the choke, but Klose is quick to fight it off. The crowd starts to turn on the two men, as Dariush pulls tight for a choke and is content to squeeze on the chin instead of under the neck. Klose scrambles and flails to get his neck free, and does so while the crowd showers them with boos. Klose starts elbowing the top of the knee of his foe, and the round ends with Dariush as a backpack.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dariush
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Dariush
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dariush

Round 2
The second frame begins with Klose kicking the lead leg, possibly sensing that Dariush’s legs are gassed. Dariush fires back with a low kick that lands to the groin, and a brief pause sees Klose readjust his cup. Dariush takes another gnarly leg kick, and Klose charges forward and blasts him with a huge right hand. Klose cracks him again and Dariush is in a bad, bad way. Klose swarms him with punches, and while getting tagged Dariush winds up and connects with a vicious right of his own that makes Klose do the stanky leg. The tide may have changed quickly, as Dariush chases after him with ferocious punches that back Klose against the fence. This is crazy! Now Klose is rocked badly, and in this insane exchange, Dariush evades a looping punch and fires a thunderous left hand that stiffens Klose and separates him from his consciousness. The mouthpiece nearly goes flying, and you can see Klose’s eyes staring off at the lights while he topples over against the fence. Herzog dives in to end the fight, and what an incredible turn of events! With this wild win, Dariush becomes the first fighter to ever finish the durable Klose.

The Official Result
Beneil Dariush def. Drakkar Klose R2 1:00 via KO (Punch)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 5, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Beneil Dariush

Daniel slightly favors Dariush as the favorite, acknowledging his superior skills in every aspect but concerned about his cardio. He notes that if Dariush paces himself well, he should outclass Klose, but if he slows down in the later rounds, Klose's pressure could break him. He understands the dog shot on Klose for that reason.

"I'm gonna slightly agree with Beneil being the favorite here and I will take him in the spot."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lock picked Mar 5, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Beneil Dariush

Dariush has a massive grappling advantage; every opponent has taken Klose down. Dariush's jiu-jitsu is next level, and Klose gives up his back. Dariush's striking has improved, and he can land knees in the clinch. The host is very confident, planning 4-5 units on Dariush straight, and likes the submission prop at +295.

Win by submission at +295. Also considering 4-5 units straight.
"This is more than likely potentially going to be my lock of the night play. I'm very very confident in Beneil here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2020 (9 days before fight)
Beneil Dariush

The MMA Guru picks Beneil Dariush, noting his four-fight win streak including a KO of James Vick. He acknowledges Drakkar Klose is on a mission but feels Klose gets rocked too often and Dariush has the experience to put him away. He predicts a submission win in the second or third round.

submission in the second or third round
"I'm going with Benilde are you sure I think I'll get a submission in the second or third round"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · Aug 17, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Drakkar Klose 0 87 of 155 56% 113 of 186 2 of 5 40% 1 0 3:19
Christos Giagos 0 99 of 160 61% 159 of 223 2 of 7 28% 0 0 3:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Drakkar Klose 0 24 of 47 51% 39 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Christos Giagos 0 21 of 41 51% 53 of 73 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:22
2 Drakkar Klose 0 22 of 32 68% 29 of 42 2 of 4 50% 1 0 1:43
Christos Giagos 0 37 of 48 77% 50 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:05
3 Drakkar Klose 0 41 of 76 53% 45 of 80 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:18
Christos Giagos 0 41 of 71 57% 56 of 87 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Drakkar Klose 87 of 155 56% 55 of 117 29 of 33 3 of 5 69 of 127 16 of 23 2 of 5
Christos Giagos 99 of 160 61% 56 of 114 29 of 30 14 of 16 39 of 93 38 of 40 22 of 27
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Drakkar Klose 24 of 47 51% 7 of 28 15 of 16 2 of 3 17 of 38 7 of 9 0 of 0
Christos Giagos 21 of 41 51% 4 of 23 13 of 13 4 of 5 9 of 28 12 of 13 0 of 0
2 Drakkar Klose 22 of 32 68% 18 of 26 4 of 5 0 of 1 18 of 23 2 of 4 2 of 5
Christos Giagos 37 of 48 77% 27 of 37 8 of 9 2 of 2 7 of 12 9 of 10 21 of 26
3 Drakkar Klose 41 of 76 53% 30 of 63 10 of 12 1 of 1 34 of 66 7 of 10 0 of 0
Christos Giagos 41 of 71 57% 25 of 54 8 of 8 8 of 9 23 of 53 17 of 17 1 of 1
Marc Diakiese - Fight History
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · Nov 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marc Diakiese 0 23 of 42 54% 67 of 92 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:27
Kauê Fernandes 0 13 of 32 40% 65 of 92 3 of 8 37% 0 1 8:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marc Diakiese 0 6 of 13 46% 17 of 25 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:00
Kauê Fernandes 0 4 of 10 40% 14 of 21 1 of 1 100% 0 1 2:33
2 Marc Diakiese 0 10 of 19 52% 20 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Kauê Fernandes 0 4 of 12 33% 16 of 29 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:50
3 Marc Diakiese 0 7 of 10 70% 30 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Kauê Fernandes 0 5 of 10 50% 35 of 42 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marc Diakiese 23 of 42 54% 6 of 20 8 of 13 9 of 9 21 of 38 2 of 4 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 13 of 32 40% 11 of 26 2 of 5 0 of 1 7 of 18 2 of 4 4 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marc Diakiese 6 of 13 46% 2 of 6 2 of 5 2 of 2 5 of 11 1 of 2 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 4 of 10 40% 3 of 7 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 5
2 Marc Diakiese 10 of 19 52% 2 of 9 5 of 7 3 of 3 9 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 4 of 12 33% 4 of 10 0 of 1 0 of 1 3 of 9 1 of 3 0 of 0
3 Marc Diakiese 7 of 10 70% 2 of 5 1 of 1 4 of 4 7 of 9 0 of 1 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 5 of 10 50% 4 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 29, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Angelo leans towards Fernandes despite Diakiese's experience and competition edge. He believes Fernandes can defend takedowns and will stay in Diakiese's face with striking, causing trouble. He notes Diakiese has become more of a wrestler lately, but his wrestling is decent at best, while Fernandes has solid takedown defense. Angelo placed a small underdog bet on Fernandes at +145, noting the line is tightening.

small underdog bet at +145, line tightening to +116
"I am going to lean Fernandez here obviously Marc Dy has the uh experience level the competition Edge heavily favors him but I like Fernandez I think he can defend the takedowns I think he's going to come forward I …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Big Brady picks Marc Diakiese to win by decision. He notes that Diakiese has evolved into a wrestler, with 11 takedowns against Slava Borshchev and 8 against Damir Hadzovic. He trusts Diakiese's cardio and fight IQ, and believes Fernandes is dangerous early but fades. He also mentions that Diakiese's submission loss to Joel Alvarez was due to a head clash.

"I like di Casey here um and D Casey's fought the much better competition... give me Mark D Casey to win this fight and win this fight by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Daniel Levi picks Marc Diakiese, citing his UFC experience, improved cardio, and well-rounded game. He notes that Diakiese has evolved from a dynamic striker to a more complete fighter who uses offensive wrestling. Levi acknowledges Diakiese's inconsistency and tendency to flake, but believes this is a step down in competition. He sees Fernandes as dangerous early with his BJJ and head kicks, but expects Diakiese's cardio and wrestling to take over in later rounds. Levi is leaning Diakiese but not with high confidence.

Diakiese wins by decision, Diakiese wins inside distance
"I'll pick Diakiese with the experience... but it's not gonna surprise me one bit if this guy flakes out."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Nov 4, 2023 (fight day)
Marc Diakiese

James acknowledges that Diakiese deserves to be a favorite but sees too much danger on the Fernandes side due to his unproven UFC debut and potential cardio issues. He notes that Diakiese has been submitted multiple times and that Fernandes has speed and power, but he also points out that Fernandes gassed in his last extended fight. Ultimately, James is not betting this fight because he cannot trust either fighter, but he leans Diakiese as the rightful favorite.

"I guess I'm picking mark in this fight because I think he should be a favorite but there's too much danger Factor on the Fernandez side."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Diakiese has a solid submission defense to thwart Fernandes' offensive attacks on the mat. As the fight goes into deeper waters, Diakiese will find it easier to control Fernandes on the mat and do good work from top position. Diakiese is good enough in the striking realm to deal with Fernandes' early threat, and will likely drag the fight to the ground and grind out a decision win.

surprised line is dropping; thinks -130 is a gift
"I'm kind of surprised that the line is dropping as much as it has... I think that that's a solid spot, I think that's a gift of a spot to take the Casey here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

The MMA Guru picks Marc Diakiese over Kauê Fernandes. He notes that Fernandes is a good regional fighter with finishing potential, but he gassed after the first round when facing adversity. Diakiese is tough to finish early, having only lost to Joel Alvarez due to a head clash. The Guru expects Diakiese to weather an early storm and then take over in the later rounds via grappling, predicting a third-round TKO or submission.

"I'm going to go with Mark Jai mainly because although KY Fernandez... he absolutely gassed after the first round... I'm going to go with Mark Jai via a third round TKO or finish by submission"
LOSS vs Joel Alvarez
Submission (brabo choke) R2 4:26 · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Jul 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joel Alvarez 0 20 of 46 43% 29 of 60 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:09
Marc Diakiese 0 42 of 75 56% 64 of 98 0 of 1 0% 1 0 1:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joel Alvarez 0 19 of 42 45% 20 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Marc Diakiese 0 31 of 62 50% 31 of 62 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:28
2 Joel Alvarez 0 1 of 4 25% 9 of 13 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:55
Marc Diakiese 0 11 of 13 84% 33 of 36 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joel Alvarez 20 of 46 43% 8 of 25 6 of 11 6 of 10 20 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
Marc Diakiese 42 of 75 56% 20 of 49 12 of 16 10 of 10 37 of 70 2 of 2 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joel Alvarez 19 of 42 45% 7 of 22 6 of 11 6 of 9 19 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
Marc Diakiese 31 of 62 50% 15 of 42 7 of 11 9 of 9 31 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Joel Alvarez 1 of 4 25% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Marc Diakiese 11 of 13 84% 5 of 7 5 of 5 1 of 1 6 of 8 2 of 2 3 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joel Alvarez vs. Marc Diakiese
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Alvarez (-190), Diakiese (+160)

Round 1
Although this next lightweight pairing might be described as a potential brawl, neither Diakiese (16-6, 7-6 UFC) nor Alvarez (19-3, 4-2 UFC) make their bread off of being knockout artists. Instead, their grappling has been arguably their best attributes, so this could turn into a wild affair that ends up going everywhere. Keeping tabs on this fight will be referee Dan Movahedi, one that opens up with a fist bump from the 155ers. The two are amped up to engage, and the first strike offered is a low kick from Diakiese. When he misses, he resets and reaches his target with a second. Alvarez brings up a high knee when Diakiese comes at him, and he fires off a kick to the knee sleeve of his opponent and catches the Brit with a right hand. Diakiese goes down low with a kick, and he uses his other leg to kick the body. They crash together throwing fierce fists, and both catch the other with one punch and back off to take quick counts of their teeth. Diakiese chains a low kick into a spinning back kick, and Alvarez bounces off the cage wall and gets back to striking range. Alvarez springs into action with a calf kick and a right hand, and they measure one another with jabs to follow. Alvarez steps in with a knee, and Diakiese throws everything he has into a right hand that opens a cut on the cheek of his opponent. Diakiese spins with a back fist, and Alvarez ducks it and catches him with a right hand that staggers the mohawk-sporting fighter momentarily. Diakiese swings for the bleachers with a right hand, and Alvarez dodges it and absorbs a flush leg kick so he can counter with a head kick. Alvarez chambers and looses a hard leg kick, and he beats Diakiese to the punch with a check left hook as Diakiese winds up on a power punch. Alvarez pushes off with a front kick, and he gets wobbled when swinging too hard with a haymaker while Diakiese counters him. Diakiese lets him settle down and gives chase to line up a right hook and a spinning back kick, and Alvarez runs at him with two fists and a leg kick. Alvarez spins with a high kick, ducks a spinning back fist, takes Diakiese’s back and looks for a trip. Diakiese leans himself against the cage to keep himself upright, and Alvarez succeeds in tripping him out. Diakiese reverses him to end up on top, and he scores an elbow and a few body shots before the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Alvarez
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Alvarez
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Alvarez

Round 2
The lightweights briefly tap their gloves together, but Diakiese is more interested in coming out firing. Alvarez pays close attention, and he watches Diakiese sail past him with a spinning wheel kick. When Diakiese gets his balance again, he changes levels and secures a takedown to put the Spaniard on his back. Alvarez scrambles to put himself close to the wall, and Diakiese is comfortable inside of the guard softening Alvarez up with short strikes. Alvarez looks to turn to the side or potentially set up something off his back, and Diakiese stays heavy and tightly pressed to his man to prevent anything from coming together. Diakiese embraces the grind, focusing more on position rather than offense. Alvarez decides to stop looking for some submission off his back, and he wall-walks to stand back up. Diakiese strips out his legs and puts him down to his back again. Alvarez uses upkicks to stop Diakiese from lowering himself down, and Diakiese shoots down low and gets turned around by the Spanish fighter. With “The Bonecrusher” turning to his knees, Alvarez opens up with punches to the side of the head. Alvarez is warned for strikes to the back of the head, and Diakiese turns to his back and suddenly explodes up to his feet. Alvarez races forward to attack, and his head bounces off Diakiese’s. Diakiese clutches the side of his head, signaling to Movahedi that he absorbed a foul. Movahedi tells them to fight on, and Alvarez unloads with several knees to the body and ferocious fists.
Diakiese desperately drops down to pursue a takedown, and Alvarez welcomes this as he follows Diakiese down and isolates the neck. “El Fenomeno” slides his arm beneath the chin and his other under the armpit to lock down a brabo choke, and he has it tight. Diakiese rolls to his back, and Alvarez moves to lower his full body weight down to complete the submission. With Diakiese still rocked by the head clash, he does not have the sense to fight the choke, and he taps out.
This is an unfortunate situation for Diakiese, as Movahedi missed the clash of heads with Alvarez’ forehead slamming into the side of Diakiese’s head behind the ear. As the official announcement is read, it is unclear if the result will be under review at this time. Diakiese is still wobbled from the foul when Movahedi raises Alvarez’ victorious arm, and he almost falls over and has to be caught by one of his cornermen so he does not crash and burn. The official result is a submission, but it might not remain as such should it get reviewed or appealed.

The Official Result
Joel Alvarez def. Marc Diakiese R2 4:26 via Submission (Brabo Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Joel Alvarez

Angelo likes Joel Alvarez's length and reach advantage, and thinks he can win by sneaky submission off his back or catch Diakiese on the feet. He notes Alvarez has no takedown defense but believes Diakiese's recent loss to an older Michael Johnson is a bad sign. He has a small moneyline bet but does not recommend tailing.

small moneyline bet placed; not recommended to tail
"I like Joel Alvarez to get the win I've got a small money line bet on him as well I wouldn't recommend tailing it because it is a bit sketchy"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Joel Alvarez

Big Brady picks Joel Alvarez to win by first-round submission. He notes Alvarez is a dangerous grappler with 84% of wins by submission, but also has good striking as shown against Thiago Moises. He thinks Diakiese will shoot for a takedown and get caught. He mentions Alvarez may miss weight but that benefits him. He would not lay -190 but thinks Alvarez wins more often than not.

first round submission
"give me Alvarez to win this fight I'll say club and sub heard Steve Casey on the feet Dia Casey shoots in and gets his next match up in the very first round Alvarez first round submission for me"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joel Alvarez

Cody picked Alvarez earlier at -152, citing Diakiese's poor fight IQ and failure to wrestle against Michael Johnson. He thinks Alvarez's submission grappling and power will be too much. He notes the line has moved to -200 and feels the value is gone.

Alvarez submission at +125 (not taken)
"I backed uh Joel Alvarez earlier in the week at minus 152."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Joel Alvarez

Daniel picks Joel Alvarez by submission, specifically a guillotine, because he does not trust Marc Diakiese to avoid diving into a submission. He notes Diakiese has been guillotined before and makes bonehead mistakes. He acknowledges Diakiese has the tools to win via takedowns and control, but believes Alvarez's opportunistic finishing ability and physicality will prevail. He points out that Alvarez has 0% takedown defense but is dangerous off his back. He has zero interest in betting Alvarez at -190 to -200 due to the poor value.

Daniel predicts Alvarez wins via guillotine. He says he has zero interest in betting Alvarez at -190 to -200. He mentions Alvarez has never won a decision.
"Joel probably keeps is zero percent takedown defense intact and wins via guillotine"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Joel Alvarez

The host picks Joel Alvarez, citing his size, reach, aggression, and ability to inflict damage from any position. He believes Diakiese cracks under pressure and that Alvarez will finish him within 7.5 minutes. He notes Alvarez's dangerous bottom game with elbows and submissions.

finishes within 7.5 minutes
"giving Joelle Alvarez here and I think he finishes uh Mark D Casey honestly within seven and a half minutes"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joel Alvarez

Paul picks Alvarez, noting his power and submission threat. He thinks Diakiese's wrestling is overrated and that he will leave his neck exposed. He expects Alvarez to win by submission or decision, and suggests live betting if Diakiese controls the first round.

suggests live betting if Diakiese wins first round
"I would take Joel Alvarez I can see this being a boy a boring points decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Joel Alvarez

The MMA Guru picks Joel Alvarez, citing Marc Diakiese's poor performance against Michael Johnson. He praises Alvarez's win over Thiago Moises and his massive 77-inch reach in the lightweight division. The Guru notes Diakiese's tendency to get caught in guillotines when shooting takedowns, and predicts Alvarez will catch a guillotine after a takedown attempt. He also mentions Alvarez's layoff but believes he is entering his prime.

guillotine choke
"I'm gonna have to go Joe Alvarez here over Mark jacasian"
LOSS vs Michael Johnson
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Thompson vs. Holland · Dec 03, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michael Johnson 0 83 of 181 45% 83 of 181 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:30
Marc Diakiese 0 55 of 127 43% 55 of 127 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michael Johnson 0 12 of 41 29% 12 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Marc Diakiese 0 23 of 38 60% 23 of 38 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Michael Johnson 0 30 of 61 49% 30 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Marc Diakiese 0 11 of 40 27% 11 of 40 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Michael Johnson 0 41 of 79 51% 41 of 79 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:06
Marc Diakiese 0 21 of 49 42% 21 of 49 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michael Johnson 83 of 181 45% 37 of 116 37 of 55 9 of 10 79 of 171 3 of 7 1 of 3
Marc Diakiese 55 of 127 43% 21 of 80 24 of 31 10 of 16 52 of 124 3 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michael Johnson 12 of 41 29% 5 of 29 5 of 10 2 of 2 11 of 37 1 of 2 0 of 2
Marc Diakiese 23 of 38 60% 6 of 16 9 of 14 8 of 8 22 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Michael Johnson 30 of 61 49% 14 of 39 13 of 18 3 of 4 30 of 60 0 of 1 0 of 0
Marc Diakiese 11 of 40 27% 5 of 29 5 of 6 1 of 5 11 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Michael Johnson 41 of 79 51% 18 of 48 19 of 27 4 of 4 38 of 74 2 of 4 1 of 1
Marc Diakiese 21 of 49 42% 10 of 35 10 of 11 1 of 3 19 of 47 2 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 27, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Angelo picks Marc Diakiese, citing his forward pressure, volume, and takedown threat. He thinks Diakiese will win by decision, working in some takedowns and grinding. He acknowledges Michael Johnson is a veteran who has fought the best and can be competitive, but believes Diakiese's improved wrestling and kickboxing will be too much. He does not expect a stoppage.

Expects decision win for Diakiese
"I do think Mark's forward pressure the volume now the takedown threat I think he's going to get this win but I think it's going to be a decision"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Big Brady picks Diakiese, citing his wrestling and cardio advantage. He notes Johnson has been taken down by lesser wrestlers (Clay Guida, Stevie Ray) and expects Diakiese to secure takedowns and grind out a decision. He acknowledges this is a step up in competition for Diakiese but believes he wins.

Diakiese wins by decision
"give me Mark Dia Casey to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Cody picks Diakiese, noting his wrestling and Johnson's tendency to fade. He thinks Diakiese will spam takedowns and win a boring decision. He also likes the over 2.5 takedowns prop.

over 2.5 takedowns for Diakiese on PrizePicks
"the pick is DK CD Casey by decision"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Connor picks Marc Diakiese, emphasizing that Johnson is extremely breakable when faced with wrestling. He notes that Diakiese has a strong wrestling game and Johnson has a history of losing once taken down, even when winning on the feet. Connor calls it a 'super Jacked Darren Elkins' matchup.

"This is the guy where it's like, I'm not a wrestler. This guy is so breakable in that phase. I'm going to go in there and play my C game. And it's going to crush him."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 30, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Daniel Levi picks Diakiese but is not interested in laying the price. He acknowledges Johnson's ability to beat top guys on his best day but cannot trust him. He notes Diakiese's wrestling and top control as keys.

"I'll picture Casey but I'm not really interested in laying this price on him because Michael Johnson actually is a good fighter it's just can I trust Michael Johnson and no I can't"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

The host is confident in Diakiese, noting his recent emphasis on grappling and takedowns. He thinks Diakiese will use his wrestling to control Johnson, who has poor grappling defense. He likes Diakiese by decision and considers him a reliable parlay piece. He mentions that Johnson has only one win in his last six or seven fights.

Diakiese by decision; parlay piece
"I do like Mark D Casey here I'd like him to win by decision if you can get some plus money on that probably worth the stab"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Paul is confident in Diakiese, citing his wrestling and Johnson's poor takedown defense and cardio. He parlayed Diakiese with RDA. He likes the over 2.5 takedowns prop.

over 2.5 takedowns for Diakiese on PrizePicks; parlay with RDA
"I like Dia KC to win uh I I parlay Dia Casey with DOs Angels minus 152 um earlier on today for a little bit of skrilla"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

The MMA Guru picks Marc Diakiese, believing his grappling will be too much for Michael Johnson. He notes Diakiese has become a full-time grappler with technical takedowns, while Johnson's takedown defense has declined. He predicts Diakiese will dominate each round via decision, putting the crowd to sleep.

Diakiese by decision (30-27)
"I'm going with Mark jacasi here"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Zane picks Marc Diakiese confidently, noting that Diakiese is a gritty wrestler who has returned to his wrestling roots in recent fights. He points out that Michael Johnson crumbles when faced with wrestling pressure, as seen in fights against Stevie Ray and Darren Elkins, and Diakiese is a super jacked version of that style.

"Jacuzzi is just such a beast. It doesn't even have to be a particularly good technical wrestler. At some point, even if Johnson is winning jacuzzi could just grab him and rip him off his feet."
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · Jul 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marc Diakiese 0 13 of 32 40% 78 of 111 8 of 11 72% 0 0 13:35
Damir Hadžović 0 5 of 10 50% 20 of 25 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marc Diakiese 0 2 of 3 66% 23 of 29 3 of 3 100% 0 0 4:45
Damir Hadžović 0 1 of 1 100% 6 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Marc Diakiese 0 8 of 19 42% 19 of 34 3 of 5 60% 0 0 4:17
Damir Hadžović 0 2 of 5 40% 10 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Marc Diakiese 0 3 of 10 30% 36 of 48 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:33
Damir Hadžović 0 2 of 4 50% 4 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marc Diakiese 13 of 32 40% 8 of 25 0 of 2 5 of 5 7 of 25 2 of 2 4 of 5
Damir Hadžović 5 of 10 50% 3 of 7 0 of 1 2 of 2 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marc Diakiese 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Damir Hadžović 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Marc Diakiese 8 of 19 42% 6 of 16 0 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 14 2 of 2 2 of 3
Damir Hadžović 2 of 5 40% 1 of 3 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Marc Diakiese 3 of 10 30% 1 of 7 0 of 1 2 of 2 2 of 9 0 of 0 1 of 1
Damir Hadžović 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Angelo picks Marc Diakiese, noting he is the far better striker and coming off an impressive grappling win. He highlights Diakiese's power, leg kicks, and durability, while Hadžović is an okay striker with wins over fighters no longer in the UFC. He loves a Diakiese and Nathaniel Wood parlay.

parlay with Nathaniel Wood
"i love a mark de casey nathaniel wood parlay so i'm probably gonna smash those two together"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Big Brady picks Marc Diakiese to win by decision. He notes Diakiese has a clear path: take down Hadžović, who has terrible takedown defense (37%) and suspect cardio. Diakiese showed he can wrestle for 15 minutes in his last fight. He expects Diakiese to control the fight with takedowns and win a decision.

Diakiese by decision
"i like dkc here quite a bit and i'd like to casey to once again win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Cody picks Marc Diakiese, emphasizing his durability and wrestling. He notes Hadžović's only path is a puncher's chance, but Diakiese has a great chin. Cody thinks Diakiese will take Hadžović down at will and control the fight. He also likes Diakiese over 2 takedowns on PrizePicks.

Diakiese over 2 takedowns on PrizePicks
"i got dia casey i think he can make this look really easy"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Daniel Levi picks Marc Diakiese, citing his wrestling and ability to grind out wins. He notes that Diakiese has a good blast double and can find ways to win, as long as he doesn't get too flashy. Levi also mentions that both fighters have calf kicks, but Diakiese's wrestling should be the difference. He hasn't forgiven Hadžović for a previous loss and sees limited improvement.

"i think he can come out here and grind out damir hadzovich so for that reason i'm picking him to win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Diakiese is a safe spot. He can grapple or strike with Hadžović, who is a one-dimensional brawler. Diakiese should take a smart approach, get takedowns, and win. Even on the feet, he can hold his own.

"I like the Casey here I think he's a pretty safe spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Paul picks Marc Diakiese, citing his wrestling improvements and takedown ability. He notes Hadžović has poor takedown defense and has been taken down many times. Paul thinks Diakiese will stick to a wrestling game plan and easily get takedowns. He also likes Diakiese over 2 takedowns on PrizePicks.

Diakiese over 2 takedowns on PrizePicks
"dear casey i think wins and i think it's wrestling he's gonna lean on again"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

The MMA Guru picks Marc Diakiese to win by KO. He notes Diakiese has shown grappling improvements and is still a good fighter. Hadžović is simple and fundamental on the feet, lacking finishing ability against decent opponents. Diakiese's unorthodox style will give him trouble, and he expects a KO statement.

KO
"i'm going to call mark jacoby getting a good ko and getting a statement made on this card"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · Mar 26, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marc Diakiese 0 17 of 20 85% 40 of 50 11 of 18 61% 0 0 12:24
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 12 of 21 57% 32 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marc Diakiese 0 4 of 4 100% 9 of 10 3 of 7 42% 0 0 3:55
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 5 of 11 45% 11 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
2 Marc Diakiese 0 9 of 11 81% 21 of 25 3 of 5 60% 0 0 4:08
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 5 of 6 83% 7 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Marc Diakiese 0 4 of 5 80% 10 of 15 5 of 6 83% 0 0 4:21
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 2 of 4 50% 14 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marc Diakiese 17 of 20 85% 6 of 8 0 of 0 11 of 12 4 of 6 5 of 5 8 of 9
Viacheslav Borshchev 12 of 21 57% 6 of 15 3 of 3 3 of 3 6 of 12 3 of 6 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marc Diakiese 4 of 4 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 2
Viacheslav Borshchev 5 of 11 45% 3 of 9 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 6 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Marc Diakiese 9 of 11 81% 2 of 4 0 of 0 7 of 7 3 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 6
Viacheslav Borshchev 5 of 6 83% 2 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 2
3 Marc Diakiese 4 of 5 80% 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 3 1 of 2 2 of 2 1 of 1
Viacheslav Borshchev 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 1 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Angelo picks Viacheslav Borshchev, calling him the more technical striker. He notes that while Marc Diakiese has more power, Borshchev's kickboxing background and technical ability should control the fight. He mentions Borshchev needs to avoid Diakiese's leg kicks and power. He may throw a moneyline bet despite the 2-1 odds.

i may throw a money line bet on him two to one
"i like worship to win here but he definitely needs to avoid the leg kicks and avoid the power of mark dioxis"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Big Brady picks Viacheslav Borshchev to win by decision, but is not overly confident. He likes Borshchev's striking and volume, but is concerned about his takedown defense, as he gets taken down in every fight. However, he notes that Borshchev has an elite get-up game and can get back to his feet. He thinks Diakiese can make it competitive with takedowns, but Borshchev will win the striking exchanges.

Viacheslav Borshchev wins by decision
"I'll go borschev but I don't feel like overly confident about it... I'm going to take borah chef to win... by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Cody picks Borshchev, disagreeing with the line. He criticizes Diakiese's inconsistency and poor performances as a favorite. He likes Borshchev's pressure, power, and ability to get up from takedowns. He thinks Borshchev will overwhelm Diakiese and get a finish.

"i think borishev wins i just think it's going to be a very volatile fight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Daniel Levi leans Viacheslav Borshchev, citing his superior boxing and striking. He notes Borshchev has defensive flaws on the ground but is training at Alpha Male to improve. He thinks Diakiese will get early takedowns but Borshchev will get back up and pull away on the feet. He is not betting the fight but picks Borshchev to win.

"I think borscht probably gets taken down early and if he can avoid getting submitted... he gets back up and starts to kind of pull away"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

The host slightly favors Diakiese, citing his overall MMA game, experience against better competition, and the threat of takedowns that could disrupt Borshchev's striking. He notes Borshchev's body shot power but thinks Diakiese's speed and wrestling could be key. He expects a decision win for Diakiese.

Diakiese by decision at +300
"i do favor him ever so slightly because i think he can put together a better 15-minute fight than we're going to see from borschev"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Paul leans Diakiese as an underdog, citing recency bias on Borshchev. He notes Diakiese's close fight with a talented kickboxer and thinks the price is too high on Borshchev. He sees Diakiese getting back on track but isn't confident.

"i'm leaning towards gia casey to get back on track here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

The MMA Guru picks Viacheslav Borshchev by late first-round TKO over Marc Diakiese. He believes Borshchev is better in the pocket and notes Diakiese's chin issues after being rocked by Rafael Alves. The Guru expects Diakiese to shoot for takedowns but Borshchev to work back up and land big shots, as he won't be as worried about the grappling threat as he was against Dakota Bush.

late first round tko
"i'm gonna go with via schlav borishev"
LOSS vs Rafael Alves
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 1:48 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · Nov 13, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rafael Alves 0 3 of 13 23% 3 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Marc Diakiese 0 6 of 11 54% 6 of 11 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rafael Alves 0 3 of 13 23% 3 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Marc Diakiese 0 6 of 11 54% 6 of 11 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rafael Alves 3 of 13 23% 0 of 7 1 of 3 2 of 3 3 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Marc Diakiese 6 of 11 54% 3 of 8 1 of 1 2 of 2 6 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rafael Alves 3 of 13 23% 0 of 7 1 of 3 2 of 3 3 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Marc Diakiese 6 of 11 54% 3 of 8 1 of 1 2 of 2 6 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Angelo picks Marc Diakiese, citing his leg kicks and body shots to tire out Alves, who has cardio issues. He notes that Alves is dangerous but has no takedowns in the UFC and tends to gas. Angelo believes if Diakiese stays composed and technical, he should win straightforwardly.

"i'm going with mark here after the year-long layoff i think the leg kicks will help sort of remove some of that alves power i think the body shots will speed up uh alvez's eventual gassing"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 9, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Rafael Alves

Big Brady picks Rafael Alves as an upset, citing Alves' impressive UFC debut against Damir Ismagulov where he showed improved cardio and power. He notes Alves is dangerous everywhere: on the feet with knockout power and on the mat with a black belt in BJJ. Brady expects Alves to hurt Diakiese on the feet, then snatch a submission when Diakiese shoots for a takedown.

Alves by submission
"I'm actually here with the upset here i'm going to take rafael elvis to win by submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Cody believes Diakiese will use his reach and footwork to stay outside and pick apart Alves, who is low-volume and explosive but fades. He notes Alves missed weight badly and is a 'weight bully' who struggles with cardio. He expects Diakiese to win a decision.

"i got dear casey here and it's early enough in the card that i probably will have them a little higher than i should"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 11, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Daniel Levi picks Marc Diakiese, citing his speed and athletic advantage. He believes Diakiese can win a decision if he minds his P's and Q's against the experienced Alves. Levi acknowledges Alves's power and guillotine threat but thinks Diakiese's superior athleticism will be the difference.

"give me march and casey to get it done"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Jacob is very confident in Marc Diakiese, calling him the real deal and predicting he will dominate. He mentions Diakiese's training with Khamzat Chimaev and his ability to use offensive wrestling if needed. Jacob thinks Alves is being fed to Diakiese as a winnable fight and expects a dominant performance.

"yeah mark's going to absolutely dominate this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Paul thinks Diakiese is the better athlete with better footwork and speed. He notes Alves is low-volume and explosive but fades. He expects Diakiese to stay on the outside and outpoint Alves. He is confident despite Diakiese's poor last performance.

"got to go with the bone crusher to get back on track"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2021 (fight day)
Marc Diakiese

The Guru picks Marc Diakiese by unanimous decision (30-27). He expects Diakiese to establish range with his jab and calf kicks, gradually breaking down Alves over three rounds. Alves may have moments with a takedown or big shots, but Diakiese's calf kicks will limit Alves' movement and lead to a dominant performance.

unanimous decision 30-27
"i'm going to call a 30-27 for marc jacozy here over rafael alves"
LOSS vs Rafael Fiziev
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · Jul 19, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rafael Fiziev 0 68 of 148 45% 73 of 153 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:22
Marc Diakiese 0 78 of 124 62% 82 of 128 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rafael Fiziev 0 11 of 18 61% 16 of 23 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Marc Diakiese 0 18 of 31 58% 21 of 34 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:43
2 Rafael Fiziev 0 28 of 59 47% 28 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:22
Marc Diakiese 0 28 of 41 68% 28 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Rafael Fiziev 0 29 of 71 40% 29 of 71 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Marc Diakiese 0 32 of 52 61% 33 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rafael Fiziev 68 of 148 45% 31 of 105 19 of 21 18 of 22 66 of 146 2 of 2 0 of 0
Marc Diakiese 78 of 124 62% 28 of 65 33 of 41 17 of 18 67 of 110 9 of 12 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rafael Fiziev 11 of 18 61% 2 of 8 2 of 2 7 of 8 10 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0
Marc Diakiese 18 of 31 58% 9 of 19 9 of 12 0 of 0 11 of 21 5 of 8 2 of 2
2 Rafael Fiziev 28 of 59 47% 13 of 40 8 of 10 7 of 9 27 of 58 1 of 1 0 of 0
Marc Diakiese 28 of 41 68% 8 of 18 8 of 10 12 of 13 27 of 40 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Rafael Fiziev 29 of 71 40% 16 of 57 9 of 9 4 of 5 29 of 71 0 of 0 0 of 0
Marc Diakiese 32 of 52 61% 11 of 28 16 of 19 5 of 5 29 of 49 3 of 3 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Big Brady likes Diakiese, believing he is better overall with a wrestling advantage he has used in recent fights. He thinks the striking will be close but Diakiese's takedowns will seal rounds. He notes Diakiese has a good chin and has never been knocked out, and might bet him if the line is right.

"I like him to win this fight and I'm going to pick him to win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 17, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

Daniel Levi leans toward Marc Diakiese, emphasizing that Diakiese should use his full MMA arsenal rather than trying to outkickbox Fiziev. He notes that Diakiese has matured and improved his wrestling and calf kicks. He warns that Fiziev is a dangerous kickboxer and that Diakiese must keep him guessing with takedown threats. He expects a tough fight but thinks Diakiese can win if he fights smart.

"if mark can kind of out mma him ... i think jacasey should win this one"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Marc Diakiese

The MMA Guru picks Diakiese, noting he has fought better competition and is always competitive. He believes calf kicks will be a huge factor, with Diakiese chopping Fiziev's legs and cruising to a unanimous decision. He mentions Diakiese has become more patient and has a reach advantage.

Diakiese by unanimous decision 30-27
"I think Marchesi is gonna waste no time getting straight to him in the first round chopping up the legs of Rafael fizzy"
WIN vs Lando Vannata
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · Sep 28, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marc Diakiese 0 40 of 99 40% 45 of 111 4 of 7 57% 0 0 5:07
Lando Vannata 0 25 of 70 35% 51 of 108 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marc Diakiese 0 16 of 38 42% 16 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:49
Lando Vannata 0 10 of 21 47% 12 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Marc Diakiese 0 13 of 38 34% 13 of 38 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:46
Lando Vannata 0 8 of 32 25% 9 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
3 Marc Diakiese 0 11 of 23 47% 16 of 34 4 of 5 80% 0 0 3:32
Lando Vannata 0 7 of 17 41% 30 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marc Diakiese 40 of 99 40% 16 of 52 10 of 25 14 of 22 31 of 84 2 of 3 7 of 12
Lando Vannata 25 of 70 35% 4 of 36 8 of 12 13 of 22 24 of 66 1 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marc Diakiese 16 of 38 42% 4 of 15 4 of 10 8 of 13 16 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 1
Lando Vannata 10 of 21 47% 1 of 8 2 of 4 7 of 9 10 of 19 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Marc Diakiese 13 of 38 34% 4 of 21 4 of 9 5 of 8 11 of 35 2 of 3 0 of 0
Lando Vannata 8 of 32 25% 2 of 20 3 of 4 3 of 8 7 of 30 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Marc Diakiese 11 of 23 47% 8 of 16 2 of 6 1 of 1 4 of 12 0 of 0 7 of 11
Lando Vannata 7 of 17 41% 1 of 8 3 of 4 3 of 5 7 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0