Career Averages - Justine Kish
Career Averages - Ashley Yoder
Justine Kish - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy Cortez | 0 | 66 of 112 | 58% | 84 of 138 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 | 0 | 6:26 |
| Justine Kish | 1 | 55 of 119 | 46% | 72 of 140 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tracy Cortez | 0 | 20 of 30 | 66% | 34 of 52 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:11 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 12 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 | |
| 2 | Tracy Cortez | 0 | 22 of 44 | 50% | 24 of 46 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 29 of 57 | 50% | 38 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 3 | Tracy Cortez | 0 | 24 of 38 | 63% | 26 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:22 |
| Justine Kish | 1 | 21 of 54 | 38% | 22 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy Cortez | 66 of 112 | 58% | 40 of 78 | 19 of 24 | 7 of 10 | 39 of 73 | 7 of 7 | 20 of 32 |
| Justine Kish | 55 of 119 | 46% | 30 of 86 | 8 of 14 | 17 of 19 | 50 of 111 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tracy Cortez | 20 of 30 | 66% | 18 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 25 |
| Justine Kish | 5 of 8 | 62% | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Tracy Cortez | 22 of 44 | 50% | 9 of 26 | 8 of 10 | 5 of 8 | 19 of 41 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Justine Kish | 29 of 57 | 50% | 15 of 38 | 4 of 8 | 10 of 11 | 27 of 54 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Tracy Cortez | 24 of 38 | 63% | 13 of 24 | 9 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 7 |
| Justine Kish | 21 of 54 | 38% | 12 of 42 | 4 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 19 of 51 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
The lone catchweight contest of this evening and the second of two women’s bouts is officially at 126.5 pounds as Cortez (8-1, 2-0 UFC) missed weight before taking on Kish (7-3, 3-3 UFC). Our referee is Keith Peterson, and the nonsense level in the arena just dropped to dangerously low levels. There is no glove touch offered or exchanged, and Cortez takes the center of the cage to engage. It is Kish that lands the first offense, with a barrage of punches leading to a head kick and a follow-up takedown attempt. Cortez stuffs the try, and the two muscle one another around on the fencing. Both score short knees, and Kish aims for a trip only to get reversed and put on her back. Cortez postures up and stands up in high guard to blast Kish in the face with heavy hands. Kish arches her back to try to tie up Cortez or set up a submission off her back, but Cortez ignores it and slams her in the face with repeated fists and elbows. Kish aims for an armbar, and Cortez breaks it up with stern ground-and-pound. This same situation happens again, and Kish cannot get the leverage nor the angle to set up any serious submission. Instead, Kish hacks with elbows from her back, all while Cortez busts her in the face. When Cortez stands up to rain down shots, Kish nails her in the face with an upkick but Cortez darts back down to take top position. As Kish scrambles, she returns to her knees and gives up her back, and Cortez gets both hooks in. Kish defends with two-on-one wrist control all while trying to break the body lock that Cortez takes, and Cortez keeps the body triangle tightly secured. Cortez flirts with a choke attempt and gets punched, and the round ends in this position.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cortez
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cortez
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cortez
Round 2
Cortez rushes out of her corner to begin the second frame, and both trade single jabs early. They commit to body kicks, and Kish sits down on a right hand to back her foe off. Kish aims another kick, and Cortez wades forward with a combination. Kish returns fire, and they close the distance but Cortez cannot grab her. Cortez sweeps with a kick, and blocks low to aim to take the fight down. Kish gives up her back in an exchange, and Cortez drags her down to set up the body triangle like she ended the previous stanza. Kish throws no-look punches, and she breaks the body lock to burst out of the position, on top, and then back up. Kish slashes at her with a standing elbow, and Cortez replies with a solid right hand. Two punches from Kick get off, Cortez does not let her off the hook, and they continue to trade one after the other. Both get off leg kicks, and they reach out with jabs. A low kick turns into a hook kick for Kish, and Cortez avoids the latter. Cortez marches forward with a one-two, and the head kick that comes after it gets blocked. Kish stings Cortez with a one-two, and she lands to the body with a punch and a few kicks. When Cortez aims her own kick to the body, Kish is there with an overhand right counter. Kish lands an inside calf kick when Cortez comes at her, and Kish avoids the strikes that flow towards her. Kish takes a leg kick and comes up short of her intended target. A pair of leg kicks from Kish conclude the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kish
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kish
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Kish
Round 3
When Cortez starts the round aggressively, Kish is there to greet her with several punches and a leg kick. Cortez pursues a takedown, and Kish sees it coming and staves her off. A right hand connects to the jaw for Kish, and Cortez counters her effectively. Cortez leaves a kick out too long, which allows for Kish to nail her on the jaw with a right hand. Kish shrugs off a front kick to smack Cortez with a few right hands, and she follows them with two lefts. Cortez rushes in to clinch up and hit a body lock takedown, and on the second effort, she gets Kish down to her back. Cortez sits up to land strikes, and Kish pushes off and may have gotten away with a upkick with Cortez’ knees down. As Kish rolls to her knees, Cortez nails her with heavy ground-and-pound. Kish scrambles and gives up her neck, and as they stand up, Cortez grips on to a guillotine choke. Kish does not panic, and instead wriggles her neck free. Kish thanks her by landing a few punches, and they go body kick for body kick. Kish attempts a standing back fist, but she misses. When Cortez throws a body kick, Kish times a huge right hook that plants her square on her backside. Kish does not want to play on the ground, so she allows Cortez to get up. Cortez thanks her for this by landing a few punches when she gets her feet beneath her again. Kish eats an uppercut to score a right hand counter, and she catches a body kick but cannot make Cortez pay for it. Cortez shoots in to take the fight down, and Kish stuffs it, eats a knee up the middle and scores a few right hands. Kish paws out with punches, landing another right as Cortez throws a naked body kick. A few more from Kish end this very close fight.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kish (29-28 Kish)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kish (29-28 Kish)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Kish (29-28 Kish)
The Official Result
Tracy Cortez def. Justine Kish via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
Big Brady picks Tracy Cortez to win by decision. He highlights Cortez's excellent wrestling (3 takedowns per 15 minutes) against Kish's poor takedown defense (55%). He notes that Kish has not faced a wrestler of Cortez's caliber and that Cortez should have no problem getting takedowns and controlling the fight. He expects a dominant decision with multiple takedowns and top control. He suggests the decision prop at -120 as a better value than the moneyline.
Cody believes Cortez will secure takedowns and grind Kish down. He notes Kish is raw, makes mistakes, and has poor takedown defense. He thinks Cortez's wrestling is her bread and butter and that she will win by decision. He is confident in the pick.
Daniel Levi picks Tracy Cortez, citing her disciplined style and takedown ability. He notes that Justine Kish is aggressive but leaves openings for takedowns, and Cortez will stay true to her game plan. Levi believes Cortez will take Kish down and control the fight, winning a unanimous decision. He also mentions that Cortez has a higher ceiling and is working with a good team.
Manpreet is confident Cortez will win by decision, citing her superior wrestling and top control. He notes that Kish is durable but has poor takedown defense and struggles off her back, as seen in the Felice Herrig fight. He believes Cortez will grind out a decision, making the decision prop a safe play.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Kish has lost to grapplers and has not improved. He thinks Cortez's wrestling will be even better at 125 lbs. He expects a 29-28 decision for Cortez.
The MMA Guru picks Tracy Cortez to win by unanimous decision. He notes Cortez is younger, has a reach advantage, and a better record with good competition. He criticizes Justine Kish's recent losses and lack of impressive wins. He expects Cortez to secure takedowns at the end of rounds to win close rounds, possibly 30-27.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Mazo | 1 | 131 of 275 | 47% | 131 of 275 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 93 of 210 | 44% | 94 of 212 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 37 of 85 | 43% | 37 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 34 of 72 | 47% | 35 of 74 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 2 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 42 of 88 | 47% | 42 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 28 of 67 | 41% | 28 of 67 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Sabina Mazo | 1 | 52 of 102 | 50% | 52 of 102 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 31 of 71 | 43% | 31 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Mazo | 131 of 275 | 47% | 45 of 158 | 27 of 38 | 59 of 79 | 123 of 264 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 1 |
| Justine Kish | 93 of 210 | 44% | 25 of 118 | 23 of 38 | 45 of 54 | 88 of 199 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabina Mazo | 37 of 85 | 43% | 8 of 46 | 12 of 16 | 17 of 23 | 37 of 85 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Justine Kish | 34 of 72 | 47% | 6 of 36 | 3 of 8 | 25 of 28 | 33 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | |
| 2 | Sabina Mazo | 42 of 88 | 47% | 13 of 48 | 9 of 13 | 20 of 27 | 38 of 84 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Justine Kish | 28 of 67 | 41% | 9 of 37 | 11 of 18 | 8 of 12 | 24 of 61 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sabina Mazo | 52 of 102 | 50% | 24 of 64 | 6 of 9 | 22 of 29 | 48 of 95 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 1 |
| Justine Kish | 31 of 71 | 43% | 10 of 45 | 9 of 12 | 12 of 14 | 31 of 69 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Sabina Mazo, noting she is young and improving, with a reach advantage. He thinks Mazo will bring more volume and out-strike Kish. He predicts Mazo by decision and would be surprised if the fight ends inside the distance. He is not betting it due to the price.
The host believes the line is too wide for Mazo at -250, as Kish has a solid kickboxing background and high output. He notes Mazo has trouble when opponents close distance and with leg kicks, and expects Kish to be the busier fighter, potentially winning a close decision. He advises against parlaying Mazo at such short odds.
The MMA Guru picks Sabina Mazo because he was embarrassed by Justine Kish's boring performance against Lucie Pudilova, where nothing happened. He notes that Mazo is younger (23 vs 32), hungrier, and improving more between fights. He expects Mazo to keep Kish at range and out-strike her for three rounds, winning by unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justine Kish | 0 | 62 of 129 | 48% | 66 of 135 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 29 of 143 | 20% | 47 of 165 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justine Kish | 0 | 21 of 43 | 48% | 22 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 11 of 46 | 23% | 17 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Justine Kish | 0 | 23 of 41 | 56% | 24 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 11 of 51 | 21% | 16 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 3 | Justine Kish | 0 | 18 of 45 | 40% | 20 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 7 of 46 | 15% | 14 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justine Kish | 62 of 129 | 48% | 17 of 70 | 16 of 23 | 29 of 36 | 50 of 108 | 10 of 14 | 2 of 7 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 29 of 143 | 20% | 22 of 131 | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 25 of 137 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justine Kish | 21 of 43 | 48% | 5 of 25 | 6 of 7 | 10 of 11 | 16 of 38 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 11 of 46 | 23% | 7 of 41 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 42 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Justine Kish | 23 of 41 | 56% | 6 of 20 | 7 of 10 | 10 of 11 | 20 of 34 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 11 of 51 | 21% | 9 of 47 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Justine Kish | 18 of 45 | 40% | 6 of 25 | 3 of 6 | 9 of 14 | 14 of 36 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 7 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 7 of 46 | 15% | 6 of 43 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel picks Justine Kish to win by decision, believing she is motivated and can return to her early UFC form with forward pressure. He notes that Pudilová has lapses in her fights and that Kish has experience against top-15 opponents. He thinks Kish's intensity will be the difference.
The MMA Guru picks Lucie Pudilová, citing her better record and lesser reach advantage. He doesn't show much interest in the fight, noting the women's flyweight division is thin and that being in the top 15 is basically the standard.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 96 of 203 | 47% | 96 of 203 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 68 of 215 | 31% | 68 of 216 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 23 of 54 | 42% | 23 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 14 of 50 | 28% | 14 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 31 of 61 | 50% | 31 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 18 of 69 | 26% | 18 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 42 of 88 | 47% | 42 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 36 of 96 | 37% | 36 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ji Yeon Kim | 96 of 203 | 47% | 43 of 132 | 22 of 31 | 31 of 40 | 93 of 197 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Justine Kish | 68 of 215 | 31% | 60 of 201 | 5 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 66 of 210 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ji Yeon Kim | 23 of 54 | 42% | 9 of 31 | 5 of 9 | 9 of 14 | 23 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Justine Kish | 14 of 50 | 28% | 10 of 46 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ji Yeon Kim | 31 of 61 | 50% | 13 of 40 | 7 of 8 | 11 of 13 | 30 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Justine Kish | 18 of 69 | 26% | 16 of 66 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 68 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ji Yeon Kim | 42 of 88 | 47% | 21 of 61 | 10 of 14 | 11 of 13 | 40 of 83 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Justine Kish | 36 of 96 | 37% | 34 of 89 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 34 of 92 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felice Herrig | 0 | 47 of 93 | 50% | 131 of 182 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 | 0 | 9:24 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 40 of 72 | 55% | 50 of 84 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Felice Herrig | 0 | 10 of 17 | 58% | 32 of 40 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:10 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 8 of 13 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:06 | |
| 2 | Felice Herrig | 0 | 16 of 47 | 34% | 23 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:35 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 26 of 48 | 54% | 35 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:37 | |
| 3 | Felice Herrig | 0 | 21 of 29 | 72% | 76 of 87 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:39 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felice Herrig | 47 of 93 | 50% | 40 of 86 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 63 | 1 of 2 | 22 of 28 |
| Justine Kish | 40 of 72 | 55% | 28 of 57 | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 28 of 58 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Felice Herrig | 10 of 17 | 58% | 9 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 8 |
| Justine Kish | 8 of 13 | 61% | 6 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | |
| 2 | Felice Herrig | 16 of 47 | 34% | 11 of 42 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Justine Kish | 26 of 48 | 54% | 19 of 39 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 19 of 41 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 | |
| 3 | Felice Herrig | 21 of 29 | 72% | 20 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 18 of 20 |
| Justine Kish | 6 of 11 | 54% | 3 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justine Kish | 0 | 51 of 107 | 47% | 59 of 117 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 2 | 5:27 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 44 of 116 | 37% | 77 of 156 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 3 | 2:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justine Kish | 0 | 23 of 47 | 48% | 23 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:09 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 14 of 48 | 29% | 21 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0:26 | |
| 2 | Justine Kish | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 2:51 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 12 of 28 | 42% | 32 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:46 | |
| 3 | Justine Kish | 0 | 21 of 43 | 48% | 26 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 18 of 40 | 45% | 24 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:49 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justine Kish | 51 of 107 | 47% | 17 of 54 | 19 of 33 | 15 of 20 | 40 of 92 | 10 of 13 | 1 of 2 |
| Ashley Yoder | 44 of 116 | 37% | 31 of 84 | 12 of 30 | 1 of 2 | 35 of 98 | 4 of 10 | 5 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justine Kish | 23 of 47 | 48% | 5 of 19 | 12 of 19 | 6 of 9 | 14 of 36 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 1 |
| Ashley Yoder | 14 of 48 | 29% | 8 of 34 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 12 of 41 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Justine Kish | 7 of 17 | 41% | 1 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 14 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 12 of 28 | 42% | 11 of 23 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 18 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 8 | |
| 3 | Justine Kish | 21 of 43 | 48% | 11 of 26 | 4 of 10 | 6 of 7 | 20 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Ashley Yoder | 18 of 40 | 45% | 12 of 27 | 5 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justine Kish | 0 | 72 of 135 | 53% | 91 of 155 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 2:51 |
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 92 of 174 | 52% | 107 of 194 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 2:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justine Kish | 0 | 41 of 77 | 53% | 41 of 77 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 57 of 104 | 54% | 61 of 108 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 2 | Justine Kish | 0 | 16 of 35 | 45% | 20 of 39 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 29 of 53 | 54% | 33 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Justine Kish | 0 | 15 of 23 | 65% | 30 of 39 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 6 of 17 | 35% | 13 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 2:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justine Kish | 72 of 135 | 53% | 45 of 94 | 12 of 19 | 15 of 22 | 50 of 106 | 17 of 23 | 5 of 6 |
| Nina Nunes | 92 of 174 | 52% | 50 of 117 | 20 of 34 | 22 of 23 | 76 of 150 | 15 of 22 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justine Kish | 41 of 77 | 53% | 27 of 56 | 6 of 9 | 8 of 12 | 26 of 58 | 14 of 17 | 1 of 2 |
| Nina Nunes | 57 of 104 | 54% | 33 of 69 | 16 of 26 | 8 of 9 | 44 of 89 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Justine Kish | 16 of 35 | 45% | 8 of 23 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 7 | 16 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Nina Nunes | 29 of 53 | 54% | 13 of 36 | 3 of 4 | 13 of 13 | 28 of 49 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Justine Kish | 15 of 23 | 65% | 10 of 15 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 15 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 4 |
| Nina Nunes | 6 of 17 | 35% | 4 of 12 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 12 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 2 |
Ashley Yoder - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Ducote | 0 | 102 of 269 | 37% | 105 of 276 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 117 of 210 | 55% | 119 of 213 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emily Ducote | 0 | 32 of 68 | 47% | 35 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 26 of 66 | 39% | 26 of 67 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Emily Ducote | 0 | 35 of 89 | 39% | 35 of 91 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 34 of 61 | 55% | 35 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Emily Ducote | 0 | 35 of 112 | 31% | 35 of 114 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 57 of 83 | 68% | 58 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Ducote | 102 of 269 | 37% | 59 of 216 | 32 of 40 | 11 of 13 | 93 of 259 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 117 of 210 | 55% | 69 of 145 | 29 of 40 | 19 of 25 | 117 of 209 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emily Ducote | 32 of 68 | 47% | 21 of 55 | 7 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 32 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 26 of 66 | 39% | 11 of 41 | 9 of 14 | 6 of 11 | 26 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Emily Ducote | 35 of 89 | 39% | 21 of 68 | 11 of 17 | 3 of 4 | 32 of 86 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 34 of 61 | 55% | 19 of 42 | 8 of 12 | 7 of 7 | 34 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Emily Ducote | 35 of 112 | 31% | 17 of 93 | 14 of 14 | 4 of 5 | 29 of 105 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 57 of 83 | 68% | 39 of 62 | 12 of 14 | 6 of 7 | 57 of 83 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Emily Ducote confidently, noting she is better than her UFC record suggests and that Ashley Yoder is returning after two years off. He thinks Ducote's volume and durability will be key, but he is not touching the -270 moneyline, hoping the line tightens.
Big Brady picks Emily Ducote to win by decision. He notes Ducote has good takedown defense and is the much better striker. He criticizes Ashley Yoder's long layoff and poor performance against Jinh Yu Frey, and expects Ducote to stuff takedowns and out-strike Yoder over three rounds.
Cody picks Ducote, emphasizing her college wrestling, BJJ black belt, and technical boxing. He notes that Yoder is 3-7 in the UFC, on a two-year layoff, and has no path to victory. Cody believes Ducote will stuff takedowns and out-strike Yoder easily.
The host picks Emily Ducote, expecting her to use a calf-kicking approach similar to her debut against Jessica Pen. He notes Yoder's long layoff and shoulder surgeries, and believes Ducote's striking and pressure will be too much. He predicts a decision win, possibly a KO, and suggests parlaying the moneyline.
Paul picks Ducote, citing her wrestling background, BJJ black belt, and superior striking. He notes that Yoder has poor wrestling and striking, and that Ducote can stuff takedowns and outbox her. Paul expects a dominant decision win for Ducote.
The MMA Guru picks Emily Ducote over Ashley Yoder, citing Yoder's poor record (8-8 in UFC, on a 2-fight losing streak, lost 4 of last 5) and long layoff of over two years. He acknowledges Ducote is also on a losing streak but notes she fought tougher competition (Angela Hill, Lupita Godinez) and is younger. He dismisses the matchup as a question, implying Ducote should win easily.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 88 of 185 | 47% | 89 of 186 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 91 of 236 | 38% | 96 of 241 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 28 of 56 | 50% | 29 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 28 of 69 | 40% | 33 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:41 | |
| 2 | Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 35 of 67 | 52% | 35 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 38 of 90 | 42% | 38 of 90 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jinh Yu Frey | 0 | 25 of 62 | 40% | 25 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 25 of 77 | 32% | 25 of 77 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinh Yu Frey | 88 of 185 | 47% | 46 of 129 | 15 of 25 | 27 of 31 | 77 of 173 | 10 of 11 | 1 of 1 |
| Ashley Yoder | 91 of 236 | 38% | 59 of 188 | 15 of 25 | 17 of 23 | 90 of 233 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinh Yu Frey | 28 of 56 | 50% | 9 of 33 | 8 of 11 | 11 of 12 | 24 of 52 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Ashley Yoder | 28 of 69 | 40% | 14 of 49 | 5 of 9 | 9 of 11 | 27 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jinh Yu Frey | 35 of 67 | 52% | 21 of 49 | 6 of 10 | 8 of 8 | 33 of 64 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 38 of 90 | 42% | 28 of 73 | 5 of 9 | 5 of 8 | 38 of 90 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jinh Yu Frey | 25 of 62 | 40% | 16 of 47 | 1 of 4 | 8 of 11 | 20 of 57 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 25 of 77 | 32% | 17 of 66 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 25 of 75 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Ashley Yoder, citing her size advantage and higher volume. He notes that Frey throws very few strikes (averaging 24-26 per fight) and that Yoder can win by simply being more active. He also thinks Yoder's grappling could be effective. However, he calls it an ugly fight and is not highly confident.
Cody picks Ashley Yoder, believing her wrestling and top control will be the difference. He notes that Frey has poor takedown defense and Yoder should be able to secure takedowns and control the fight. However, he is not fully confident because Yoder's striking is lacking and if she cannot get takedowns, she could lose a low-volume striking match. He calls it a 'dog or pass' spot.
Levi notes that he doesn't often recommend backing Ashley Yoder as a favorite, but here she is the bigger and better grappler. He believes Yoder can get takedowns more comfortably and spend time on top, edging out a competitive decision. However, he warns that if Yoder decides to test her stand-up, Frey could have success, as Yoder's striking is not as dangerous as de Paula's. Levi credits Frey for beating de Paula but thinks Yoder's grappling-heavy approach should secure the win.
Frey has a bounce-back win over de Paula and should have success if she grapples with Yoder. Yoder is a black belt but lacks volume and strength. Frey's striking is adequate, and she can win scrambles. However, Frey is a natural 105er moving up, which is a concern. The fight likely goes to decision, and Frey at plus money is the side.
Paul also picks Ashley Yoder, citing her size and strength advantage and the likelihood that she can grind out a decision. He notes that Frey is a natural atomweight and has poor grappling. However, he is concerned about Yoder's recent regression and the fact that this fight likely goes to decision, making judging a factor. He is not confident enough to bet but leans Yoder.
The MMA Guru picks Jinh Yu Frey over Ashley Yoder, stating that Frey is more solid as a martial artist while Yoder relies on physical attributes. He notes that Frey has a more solid foundation and is fundamentally better. He expects Frey to win by unanimous decision, as she is more experienced and technically sound.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angela Hill | 0 | 77 of 135 | 57% | 97 of 165 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:52 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 34 of 116 | 29% | 53 of 143 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:39 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angela Hill | 0 | 22 of 43 | 51% | 24 of 49 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:41 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 12 of 39 | 30% | 12 of 42 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Angela Hill | 0 | 32 of 56 | 57% | 42 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 16 of 59 | 27% | 21 of 65 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 | |
| 3 | Angela Hill | 0 | 23 of 36 | 63% | 31 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:04 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 6 of 18 | 33% | 20 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:52 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angela Hill | 77 of 135 | 57% | 26 of 63 | 35 of 54 | 16 of 18 | 47 of 98 | 29 of 33 | 1 of 4 |
| Ashley Yoder | 34 of 116 | 29% | 17 of 85 | 11 of 21 | 6 of 10 | 34 of 115 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angela Hill | 22 of 43 | 51% | 11 of 27 | 4 of 8 | 7 of 8 | 16 of 34 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 4 |
| Ashley Yoder | 12 of 39 | 30% | 6 of 29 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 4 | 12 of 38 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Angela Hill | 32 of 56 | 57% | 9 of 25 | 15 of 22 | 8 of 9 | 24 of 48 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 16 of 59 | 27% | 10 of 45 | 4 of 10 | 2 of 4 | 16 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Angela Hill | 23 of 36 | 63% | 6 of 11 | 16 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 16 | 16 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 6 of 18 | 33% | 1 of 11 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Angela Hill, citing her significant striking advantage (nearly 6 significant strikes per minute vs Yoder's 2.8). He notes Hill has improved her takedown defense, stuffing takedowns from Michelle Waterson and Claudia Gadelha. He expects Hill to dominate on the feet and win a decision, though he is not betting at the current price (-380).
Daniel Levi picks Angela Hill but warns against laying -400 on her, as all her fights are close. He expects a split decision and notes that Ashley Yoder could potentially submit Hill if she gets on top. He recalls their first fight where Hill won, but advises caution due to Hill's tendency to make fights close and her questionable claims of beating top fighters.
Lock will bet Yoder if she's above +300, as a half-unit stab. He thinks the odds are too twisted in Hill's favor. He notes Yoder was at +310/+320 before the fight was previously scheduled. He doesn't elaborate much on reasoning, indicating it's a value play based on line movement.
The Guru is extremely confident in Angela Hill, calling it 'guaranteed money.' He notes Hill's improved takedown defense and technical striking, while criticizing Yoder's lack of technical ability. He expects Hill to outstrike Yoder by double in significant strikes each round and win by unanimous decision, 30-27. He mentions Hill already beat Yoder before and will do so more impressively this time.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 26 of 42 | 61% | 151 of 184 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 3 | 0 | 8:19 |
| Miranda Granger | 0 | 33 of 51 | 64% | 87 of 107 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 3:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashley Yoder | 0 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 25 of 30 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 1:04 |
| Miranda Granger | 0 | 13 of 19 | 68% | 32 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 2:13 | |
| 2 | Ashley Yoder | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 54 of 62 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:51 |
| Miranda Granger | 0 | 13 of 16 | 81% | 36 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:03 | |
| 3 | Ashley Yoder | 0 | 15 of 22 | 68% | 72 of 92 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:24 |
| Miranda Granger | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 19 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Yoder | 26 of 42 | 61% | 14 of 29 | 5 of 5 | 7 of 8 | 12 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 14 |
| Miranda Granger | 33 of 51 | 64% | 19 of 36 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 15 of 32 | 14 of 15 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashley Yoder | 6 of 11 | 54% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Miranda Granger | 13 of 19 | 68% | 9 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 13 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | |
| 2 | Ashley Yoder | 5 of 9 | 55% | 0 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Miranda Granger | 13 of 16 | 81% | 7 of 10 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 11 of 12 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ashley Yoder | 15 of 22 | 68% | 11 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 14 |
| Miranda Granger | 7 of 16 | 43% | 3 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady bet on Granger at -107 and likes her striking advantage, noting she has a full camp for the first time in the UFC. He criticizes Yoder's low output and poor takedown effectiveness. He worries about Yoder taking Granger down but thinks Granger is active off her back and should win a decision.
Daniel picks Yoder, citing her significant experience advantage against higher-level competition like Angela Hill, Mackenzie Dern, and Olivia Souza. He notes that Granger has not shown enough in her UFC fights, struggling against Hannah Goldie and being blown out by Amanda Lemos. He believes Yoder has a grappling edge and can win a close decision, especially if the fight goes to the third round where Granger's cardio is questionable.
The MMA Guru picks Ashley Yoder, but with low enthusiasm, calling women's MMA annoying. He thinks Yoder's reach and kicks will allow her to out-strike Granger on the feet for three rounds, possibly earning a split decision. He notes that Granger hasn't beaten anyone good and lost to Amanda Lemos by submission, while Yoder fought close with Livia Renata Souza.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livinha Souza | 0 | 32 of 114 | 28% | 89 of 176 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:50 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 46 of 70 | 65% | 70 of 95 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 2:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Livinha Souza | 0 | 6 of 22 | 27% | 34 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:12 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 10 of 19 | 52% | 20 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:26 | |
| 2 | Livinha Souza | 0 | 6 of 20 | 30% | 28 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:26 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 13 of 18 | 72% | 21 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:31 | |
| 3 | Livinha Souza | 0 | 20 of 72 | 27% | 27 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 23 of 33 | 69% | 29 of 39 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livinha Souza | 32 of 114 | 28% | 23 of 92 | 6 of 14 | 3 of 8 | 32 of 112 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 46 of 70 | 65% | 15 of 33 | 8 of 11 | 23 of 26 | 36 of 55 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Livinha Souza | 6 of 22 | 27% | 3 of 15 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 21 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 10 of 19 | 52% | 7 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 5 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 5 | |
| 2 | Livinha Souza | 6 of 20 | 30% | 5 of 16 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 13 of 18 | 72% | 3 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 10 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 3 | |
| 3 | Livinha Souza | 20 of 72 | 27% | 15 of 61 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 4 | 20 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 23 of 33 | 69% | 5 of 12 | 2 of 4 | 16 of 17 | 21 of 30 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady thinks Souza is faster and more active, with better takedowns. He expects her to win a decision but acknowledges Yoder could make it close. He is not very confident and notes the line should be closer.
Daniel Levi picks Livinha Souza to win. He believes Souza is the tougher fighter and will win the extra scrambles when both are fatigued. He notes that Yoder has a history of folding in gritty fights and doesn't utilize her length well. He also mentions that Souza has better boxing and jiu-jitsu, and that Yoder's path to victory requires a perfect performance.
Yoder has the reach and height advantage, decent takedown defense, and is crafty on the ground. Souza has been reversed and put in compromising positions in past fights. Yoder can keep the fight on the feet or hold her own on the mat. The fight will be close and likely go to a decision; Yoder is the value side at plus money.
The MMA Guru picks Ashley Yoder, emphasizing her significant reach advantage (6.5 inches) and size. He dismisses Souza's record as built on weak competition and notes Yoder's experience against better opponents.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randa Markos | 0 | 78 of 140 | 55% | 94 of 158 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 3:05 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 44 of 107 | 41% | 82 of 148 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 5:36 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Randa Markos | 0 | 8 of 10 | 80% | 9 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:28 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 22 of 27 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:41 | |
| 2 | Randa Markos | 0 | 39 of 54 | 72% | 54 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:31 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 19 of 36 | 52% | 41 of 61 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:30 | |
| 3 | Randa Markos | 0 | 31 of 76 | 40% | 31 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 14 of 55 | 25% | 19 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:25 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randa Markos | 78 of 140 | 55% | 58 of 116 | 10 of 13 | 10 of 11 | 42 of 93 | 26 of 33 | 10 of 14 |
| Ashley Yoder | 44 of 107 | 41% | 30 of 84 | 11 of 16 | 3 of 7 | 24 of 80 | 5 of 10 | 15 of 17 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Randa Markos | 8 of 10 | 80% | 4 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 11 of 16 | 68% | 7 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 3 | 6 of 6 | |
| 2 | Randa Markos | 39 of 54 | 72% | 31 of 45 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 22 | 15 of 18 | 10 of 14 |
| Ashley Yoder | 19 of 36 | 52% | 15 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 20 | 2 of 5 | 9 of 11 | |
| 3 | Randa Markos | 31 of 76 | 40% | 23 of 65 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 23 of 64 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 14 of 55 | 25% | 8 of 44 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 4 | 12 of 53 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 75 of 100 | 75% | 147 of 194 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 12:53 |
| Syuri Kondo | 0 | 23 of 40 | 57% | 35 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:20 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashley Yoder | 0 | 38 of 50 | 76% | 57 of 73 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:37 |
| Syuri Kondo | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Ashley Yoder | 0 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 35 of 44 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:59 |
| Syuri Kondo | 0 | 16 of 25 | 64% | 18 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 3 | Ashley Yoder | 0 | 26 of 34 | 76% | 55 of 77 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 4:17 |
| Syuri Kondo | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Yoder | 75 of 100 | 75% | 61 of 83 | 12 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 23 | 5 of 5 | 57 of 72 |
| Syuri Kondo | 23 of 40 | 57% | 17 of 33 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 21 | 13 of 16 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashley Yoder | 38 of 50 | 76% | 34 of 45 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 33 of 43 |
| Syuri Kondo | 5 of 7 | 71% | 2 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ashley Yoder | 11 of 16 | 68% | 4 of 7 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
| Syuri Kondo | 16 of 25 | 64% | 13 of 22 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 | 11 of 14 | 3 of 3 | |
| 3 | Ashley Yoder | 26 of 34 | 76% | 23 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 27 |
| Syuri Kondo | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 38 of 90 | 42% | 59 of 113 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 3 | 1 | 3:22 |
| Amanda Cooper | 0 | 51 of 105 | 48% | 67 of 121 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 | 0 | 5:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashley Yoder | 0 | 13 of 32 | 40% | 19 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:32 |
| Amanda Cooper | 0 | 20 of 41 | 48% | 22 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:39 | |
| 2 | Ashley Yoder | 0 | 14 of 22 | 63% | 25 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Amanda Cooper | 0 | 14 of 25 | 56% | 23 of 34 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:12 | |
| 3 | Ashley Yoder | 0 | 11 of 36 | 30% | 15 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 2:10 |
| Amanda Cooper | 0 | 17 of 39 | 43% | 22 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Yoder | 38 of 90 | 42% | 32 of 84 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 28 of 77 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 8 |
| Amanda Cooper | 51 of 105 | 48% | 28 of 75 | 9 of 14 | 14 of 16 | 38 of 88 | 2 of 4 | 11 of 13 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashley Yoder | 13 of 32 | 40% | 13 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 |
| Amanda Cooper | 20 of 41 | 48% | 10 of 27 | 3 of 6 | 7 of 8 | 16 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | |
| 2 | Ashley Yoder | 14 of 22 | 63% | 9 of 17 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 16 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
| Amanda Cooper | 14 of 25 | 56% | 9 of 18 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 19 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 3 | |
| 3 | Ashley Yoder | 11 of 36 | 30% | 10 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Cooper | 17 of 39 | 43% | 9 of 30 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 6 | 12 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 6 |
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