Career Averages - Robert Whittaker
Career Averages - Uriah Hall
Robert Whittaker - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Whittaker | 1 | 66 of 142 | 46% | 70 of 146 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
| Reinier de Ridder | 0 | 67 of 145 | 46% | 192 of 282 | 2 of 15 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 9:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Whittaker | 0 | 20 of 34 | 58% | 21 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Reinier de Ridder | 0 | 15 of 35 | 42% | 21 of 42 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 | |
| 2 | Robert Whittaker | 0 | 9 of 27 | 33% | 9 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Reinier de Ridder | 0 | 16 of 38 | 42% | 29 of 58 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:04 | |
| 3 | Robert Whittaker | 1 | 20 of 28 | 71% | 21 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Reinier de Ridder | 0 | 13 of 30 | 43% | 32 of 51 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:39 | |
| 4 | Robert Whittaker | 0 | 6 of 22 | 27% | 8 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Reinier de Ridder | 0 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 37 of 48 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:56 | |
| 5 | Robert Whittaker | 0 | 11 of 31 | 35% | 11 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Reinier de Ridder | 0 | 9 of 18 | 50% | 73 of 83 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Whittaker | 66 of 142 | 46% | 62 of 135 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 51 of 123 | 4 of 5 | 11 of 14 |
| Reinier de Ridder | 67 of 145 | 46% | 41 of 105 | 26 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 54 of 128 | 9 of 11 | 4 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Whittaker | 20 of 34 | 58% | 19 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Reinier de Ridder | 15 of 35 | 42% | 6 of 19 | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 30 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Robert Whittaker | 9 of 27 | 33% | 8 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Reinier de Ridder | 16 of 38 | 42% | 12 of 32 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 3 | Robert Whittaker | 20 of 28 | 71% | 20 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 14 |
| Reinier de Ridder | 13 of 30 | 43% | 10 of 24 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | |
| 4 | Robert Whittaker | 6 of 22 | 27% | 6 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 20 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Reinier de Ridder | 14 of 24 | 58% | 10 of 18 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Robert Whittaker | 11 of 31 | 35% | 9 of 26 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Reinier de Ridder | 9 of 18 | 50% | 3 of 12 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Reinier de Ridder with low confidence, fearing Robert Whittaker may be on the decline after his teeth were shoved in by Khamzat Chimaev. He acknowledges Whittaker is the better striker and overall fighter, but believes de Ridder's size, grappling, and ability to close distance could be too much. He will be rooting for Whittaker.
Big Brady picks Robert Whittaker, citing a massive striking advantage. He notes de Ridder has poor cardio and was outstruck by Gerald Meerschaert, while Whittaker has elite takedown defense and striking. He worries about the first round if de Ridder gets a takedown but believes if the fight extends, Whittaker will dominate. He predicts a third-round knockout.
Connor sees Whittaker as a master of middle distance, able to control the pocket and land combos without getting drawn into clinch exchanges. He notes de Ridder's poor defensive footwork and tendency to collapse into the cage, which Whittaker will exploit. He also points out that de Ridder's size and willingness to take punishment may make it uncomfortable early, but ultimately Whittaker's speed and accuracy will be too much.
Whittaker will avoid de Ridder's BJJ stylings, stuff takedowns, keep the fight upright, pick de Ridder apart, and eventually find a finish in the third or fourth round.
The MMA Guru picks Reinier de Ridder, citing his size, reach, and unorthodox style as problems for Whittaker, similar to Dricus du Plessis. He notes Whittaker's recent jaw surgery and de Ridder's momentum from the Bo Nickal win. He predicts a submission victory, specifically a rear-naked choke in the third round after wearing Whittaker down.
Zane agrees with Connor, emphasizing that de Ridder has never faced a striker as fast, accurate, and powerful as Whittaker. He notes that Whittaker's losses come against elite wrestlers or rangy strikers like Adesanya, but de Ridder lacks that athleticism. He expects a clear win for Whittaker, possibly similar to the Aliskerov fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamzat Chimaev | 0 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Robert Whittaker | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 25 of 31 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 3:20 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khamzat Chimaev | 0 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Robert Whittaker | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 25 of 31 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 3:20 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamzat Chimaev | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Robert Whittaker | 3 of 4 | 75% | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khamzat Chimaev | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Robert Whittaker | 3 of 4 | 75% | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Chimaev (-245), Whittaker (+200)
Round 1
An all-international middleweight rumble with immediate championship implications serves as the co-main attraction of UFC 308, one that has as much attention as any non-title tilt lately. Former beltholder Whittaker (26-7, 17-5 UFC) hopes that this next win will propel him back to the top of the mountain, and he will have to deflate undefeated marauder Chimaev (13-0, 7-0 UFC) in a five-round affair. Anticipation is high in the building, among fans and the media, and with referee Jason Herzog as well. Everyone takes a deep breath, and the intense fighters do not touch gloves. Whittaker kicks low, and Chimaev tries to go high and misses. Whittaker attacks the lead leg again, and shoots low for a double. Whittaker uses the wall to keep himself upright, and he is dragged down despite grabbing the fence to keep himself afloat. Chimaev gets a hook in around the side, and he starts opening up with left hands while Whittaker is on his knees. Chimaev considers fishing a choke arm around the head, but he elects to impose his body weight down to keep Whittaker stuck. Whittaker keeps his hand attached to his face to defend from any noteworthy strikes, and Chimaev imposes his will and starts slamming knees to the thigh. Whittaker turns the other direction and gets wrenched down flat for a moment, but he posts off his arms to stop Chimaev from getting hold of him. Chimaev takes the back of the former champ, but Whittaker’s savvy scramble gets him out of immediate danger. Chimaev almost instantly hits a mat return, dragging “Bobby Knuckles” to a knee. A few short punches from the Russian get around the guard, and he slithers one arm around the jaw to try to set something up. Whittaker scrambles again, and he bucks off a choke and twists to the side to stop from giving up his back. Chimaev holds on and looks for an elbow on the side of the head, and he snatches up a rear-naked choke grip on the face in a hurry. “Borz” cranks on the face with all his might, and he appears to harm Whittaker with the submission as Whittaker taps frantically in an instant. Chimaev releases the grip when Herzog intervenes, and he hurls his mouthpiece out of the cage to celebrate. Whittaker motions that his jaw or face was injured from the sub, and Chimaev has now prevailed over one of the top talents in the middleweight division with little resistance. It likely cannot be denied who is next for Chimaev, who expresses gratitude for Whittaker accepting the fight with him. Chimaev calls for UFC chief Dana White to give him a shot at the belt, and after that crushing victory, who could say no?
The Official Result
Khamzat Chimaev def. Robert Whittaker R1 3:34 via Submission (Face Crank)
Angelo picks Khamzat Chimaev as the second leg of his villain parlay with a full unit bet. He acknowledges Chimaev's cardio issues and that Whittaker could survive early and take over late, but believes Chimaev's early pressure and wrestling will be too much. He notes that Whittaker's takedown defense hasn't been tested against someone like Chimaev.
Big Brady picks Chimaev to win by first-round submission. He notes that Chimaev has power on the feet and is dangerous on the ground, and that Whittaker has shown vulnerability on the bottom against Dricus du Plessis. He acknowledges that if the fight reaches the third round, Whittaker becomes a live underdog, but he expects Chimaev to get takedowns and finish early. He calls it a great live bet spot for Whittaker if it goes past the first round and a half.
Cody picks Robert Whittaker as a plus 220 underdog, citing Chimaev's cardio issues and history of pulling out due to illness. He notes that Chimaev has been extended in fights against Gilbert Burns and Kamaru Usman, and that Whittaker's takedown defense and five-round experience will be crucial. Cody believes that if Whittaker survives the first two rounds, he will take over in the later rounds. He also mentions that Chimaev's wrestling may not be as effective against a true middleweight.
Connor picks Whittaker despite a gut feeling that Chimaev will win. He notes that Chimaev's resume against top competition (Burns, Usman) shows he fades and lacks control, while Whittaker has excellent takedown defense and striking. Connor worries about Whittaker's tendency to get caught in big moments but believes if Whittaker survives the early onslaught, he can win the later rounds.
Daniel Vreeland picks Khamzat Chimaev to win, predicting a submission finish via rear-naked choke or D'Arce choke. He highlights Chimaev's dominant grappling performance against Kamaru Usman, noting that Usman's takedown defense was flawless until that fight. Vreeland also references Dricus du Plessis' judo throw on Whittaker as a sign that Whittaker's takedown defense may be vulnerable. He dismisses concerns about Chimaev slowing down, arguing that even in later rounds he can still dominate.
Lucrative James picks Khamzat Chimaev to win, likely inside the distance. He emphasizes Chimaev's wrestling dominance, noting that he has taken down everyone he's wanted to, including elite wrestler Kamaru Usman. He questions Whittaker's chin, pointing out that Whittaker has been hurt in many recent fights, and believes Chimaev can hurt him on the feet or take him down and finish with ground and pound or submission. He acknowledges Whittaker's takedown defense but thinks Chimaev's physicality and grappling are superior.
Whittaker will deal with Chimaev's early onslaught and then run away with the fight in the later rounds. He can get a decision victory or find big shots to put Chimaev away in the fourth or fifth round. Whittaker reestablishes himself among the top middleweights.
Paul picks Robert Whittaker, echoing Cody's concerns about Chimaev's cardio and durability. He highlights that Chimaev has only fought lower-level competition and struggled against Burns and Usman. Paul believes Whittaker's experience and ability to survive the early onslaught will lead to a victory in the later rounds. He also notes that Chimaev's frequent pullouts due to illness are a red flag.
The Guru picks Robert Whittaker to win by TKO in the fourth round, arguing that Chimaev's hype exceeds his reality. He believes Whittaker's takedown defense and scrambling will survive Chimaev's early grappling, and that the five-round fight favors Whittaker's cardio. He notes Chimaev's lack of elite wins, his hand injury against Usman, and his tendency to fade. The Guru also mentions the humidity in Abu Dhabi and Chimaev's recent illness as factors. He predicts Chimaev will engage on the feet early, but Whittaker will take over as Chimaev gasses.
Zane picked Whittaker going in, but acknowledged he had to eat crow after Chimaev's dominant first-round submission. He explained that Whittaker when he loses often melts down and makes a mistake, and that getting blown out isn't shocking for a fighter of Chimaev's quality. Zane noted that Chimaev is an all-time great first-round fighter, but still has questions about his performance in later rounds, as he becomes aimless and uncomfortable striking for long periods.
Zane also picks Whittaker, echoing Connor's concerns about Chimaev's cardio and lack of control against top opponents. He notes that Whittaker's takedown defense is elite and that Chimaev's striking is not as polished. Zane adds that Chimaev's recent health issues and lack of passion are red flags, making him lean toward Whittaker.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Whittaker | 1 | 14 of 21 | 66% | 14 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Ikram Aliskerov | 0 | 5 of 15 | 33% | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Whittaker | 1 | 14 of 21 | 66% | 14 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Ikram Aliskerov | 0 | 5 of 15 | 33% | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Whittaker | 14 of 21 | 66% | 12 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Ikram Aliskerov | 5 of 15 | 33% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Whittaker | 14 of 21 | 66% | 12 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Ikram Aliskerov | 5 of 15 | 33% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Whittaker (-142), Aliskerov (+120)
Round 1
The main event of “UFC Saudi Arabia” sees former middleweight champ Whittaker looking to stay in the title picture, as he faces short-notice opponent Aliskerov, who stepped up for the ailing Khamzat Chimaev and finds himself with the opportunity of a lifetime, in position to jump the line at 185 pounds. Drawing the final referee assignment of the evening is Marc Goddard. They touch gloves and set up in matching orthodox stances, and Aliskerov reaches out with a high front kick that comes up short. Whittaker scores with a right leg kick. Aliskerov throws a body kick that Whittaker parries with his arm. Whittaker ducks into range with a double jab. Whittaker blisters Aliskerov with a short right hand, then a left. The Dagestani goes staggering back and Whittaker follows up with a head kick that doesn’t land perfectly, but does damage as well.
“The Reaper” lives up to his name, claiming Aliskerov’s soul with a crushing right uppercut
. Aliskerov drops in place, and only one or two follow-up blows get through before Goddard is there for the stoppage. Fantastic work from “Bobby Knuckles.”
The Official Result
Robert Whittaker def. Ikram Aliskerov R1 1:49 via KO (Punches)
Angelo picks Aliskerov, citing a changing of the guard. He thinks Whittaker is starting to phase out, showing chin issues and getting hit more. He notes Aliskerov has genuine one-punch KO power and can wrestle, though he hasn't shown it in the UFC. He is not confident enough to bet due to the short notice for Aliskerov, but as a pick he goes with the younger fighter.
Big Brady picks Robert Whittaker confidently, citing the many disadvantages for Aliskerov: short notice, weight cut issues, travel, and a massive step up in competition from Antonio Trócoli to Whittaker. He expects Whittaker's experience and cardio to take over as the fight goes on, predicting a late finish or decision. Brady acknowledges Aliskerov's early danger but believes Whittaker's chances skyrocket after the first round.
Cody picks Whittaker based on his superior striking, footwork, and experience in deep rounds. He notes Whittaker's takedown defense and ability to use a sprawl-and-brawl game plan, while Aliskerov has not faced top-level competition and may fade in later rounds. However, he acknowledges Aliskerov's power and the risk of Whittaker getting caught early.
Daniel Vreeland picks Robert Whittaker but with caution. He notes Whittaker's elite takedown defense, scrambling, and striking (left hook, high kick) but questions his durability and chin, citing recent wobbles. He acknowledges Aliskerov's power and potential but sees the step up in competition as too big. He leans Whittaker but is not fully confident due to Whittaker's long career and possible decline.
Jacob picks Aliskerov, comparing the situation to Alex Perez vs. Tatsuro Taira. He thinks Whittaker's win over Paulo Costa is overrated and that Costa is not a top-five guy. He notes Whittaker gets wobbled often and blitzes in, which plays into Aliskerov's power. He worries about Aliskerov's short notice and two weight cuts but thinks if he lands, he knocks Whittaker out. He has not bet it but picks Aliskerov.
JP picks Aliskerov by decision, comparing him to Dricus du Plessis who beat Whittaker. He believes Aliskerov's pressure and wrestling will overwhelm Whittaker, who has looked a step slower. Brevan agrees, noting Whittaker's decline and Aliskerov's hunger. Both see great value in Aliskerov as a dog and expect him to dominate. They suggest betting on Aliskerov moneyline and possibly by decision.
Paul picks Whittaker, citing his proven track record and the step-up in competition for Aliskerov. He mentions travel advantages for Whittaker and notes that Aliskerov hasn't proven himself against top-tier opponents. Paul expects a competitive fight but leans on Whittaker's experience.
The MMA Guru picks Robert Whittaker over Ikram Aliskerov, arguing that Aliskerov's regional wins are not impressive enough to suggest he can finish a former champion. He notes that Aliskerov went to the third round with Dennis Tulin and struggled with other lower-level opponents, while Whittaker has a proven chin and has faced elite competition. He believes Whittaker's experience, takedown defense, and ability to adapt will be key, and that Aliskerov's best path is a knockout, but Whittaker doesn't make the same mistakes as Aliskerov's previous opponents. He admits that if Whittaker loses, it would change his entire view of MMA.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Whittaker | 0 | 95 of 175 | 54% | 95 of 175 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Paulo Costa | 0 | 67 of 151 | 44% | 67 of 151 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Whittaker | 0 | 38 of 62 | 61% | 38 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Paulo Costa | 0 | 27 of 49 | 55% | 27 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Robert Whittaker | 0 | 32 of 55 | 58% | 32 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Paulo Costa | 0 | 26 of 54 | 48% | 26 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Robert Whittaker | 0 | 25 of 58 | 43% | 25 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Paulo Costa | 0 | 14 of 48 | 29% | 14 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Whittaker | 95 of 175 | 54% | 63 of 143 | 4 of 4 | 28 of 28 | 95 of 172 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Paulo Costa | 67 of 151 | 44% | 39 of 117 | 8 of 12 | 20 of 22 | 67 of 151 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Whittaker | 38 of 62 | 61% | 26 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 11 | 38 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Paulo Costa | 27 of 49 | 55% | 16 of 38 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 7 | 27 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Robert Whittaker | 32 of 55 | 58% | 20 of 43 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 9 | 32 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Paulo Costa | 26 of 54 | 48% | 16 of 43 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 8 | 26 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Robert Whittaker | 25 of 58 | 43% | 17 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 8 | 25 of 56 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Paulo Costa | 14 of 48 | 29% | 7 of 36 | 2 of 5 | 5 of 7 | 14 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Robert Whittaker, citing his well-roundedness, diverse striking, and takedowns. He notes Costa's power and durability but questions his activity. He is slightly worried about Whittaker's chin after the Dricus loss but believes Whittaker's resume and skills outweigh Costa's. He will leave Whittaker out of the safety parlay.
Big Brady picks Robert Whittaker to win by decision. He questions Costa's motivation and activity, noting he's fought only twice in five years and didn't look impressive against Luke Rockhold. He believes Whittaker is the better fighter and more hungry, though he acknowledges Costa's durability and power. He says if Costa doesn't pull out, Whittaker should win a decision.
Cody picks Whittaker, citing his higher volume and tactical approach. He notes that Costa's knockout of Luke Rockhold is less impressive given Rockhold's chin issues. He mentions the over 1.5 rounds total has been steamed, suggesting a decision win for Whittaker. He acknowledges the risk of Costa landing a bomb but trusts Whittaker's jab and fight IQ.
Daniel Vreeland picks Robert Whittaker, arguing that Paulo Costa was never that great and has only one win since the pandemic (over an aged Luke Rockhold). He notes Whittaker's losses are only to champions (Adesanya and du Plessis) and that he has a cleaner striking game and better counter-striking. He expects Whittaker to get reads on Costa and outpoint him, possibly finishing late.
Whittaker uses a cagey style, blitzing in and out with hands and kicks. He has underrated wrestling to implement. If he avoids Costa's power, he should win on the scorecards.
Paul acknowledges Whittaker's superior technique, speed, and experience but worries about his durability due to past knockouts and damage from Romero, Adesanya, and DDP. He notes Costa's power and the threat of a one-punch KO, but points out Costa's wins are over shopworn or lower-level opponents. He ultimately picks Whittaker by decision, trusting his jab and footwork to outpoint Costa.
The MMA Guru picks Robert Whittaker, citing his speed and movement, and the bigger cage favoring him. He criticizes Paulo Costa's recent performance against Luke Rockhold and his inability to close distance effectively. He notes Whittaker's reach advantage and believes Costa's orthodox stance will be easier to read than Dricus du Plessis's unorthodox style. He predicts a sting-and-move masterclass.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dricus du Plessis | 0 | 31 of 70 | 44% | 32 of 71 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Robert Whittaker | 1 | 62 of 104 | 59% | 74 of 118 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:57 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dricus du Plessis | 0 | 22 of 44 | 50% | 23 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Robert Whittaker | 0 | 29 of 54 | 53% | 41 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 | |
| 2 | Dricus du Plessis | 0 | 9 of 26 | 34% | 9 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Robert Whittaker | 1 | 33 of 50 | 66% | 33 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dricus du Plessis | 31 of 70 | 44% | 23 of 59 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 7 | 29 of 68 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Robert Whittaker | 62 of 104 | 59% | 38 of 77 | 11 of 13 | 13 of 14 | 41 of 77 | 8 of 10 | 13 of 17 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dricus du Plessis | 22 of 44 | 50% | 16 of 35 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 21 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Robert Whittaker | 29 of 54 | 53% | 13 of 36 | 9 of 10 | 7 of 8 | 21 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 10 | |
| 2 | Dricus du Plessis | 9 of 26 | 34% | 7 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Robert Whittaker | 33 of 50 | 66% | 25 of 41 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 6 | 20 of 33 | 8 of 10 | 5 of 7 |
Angelo is very confident in Whittaker, calling it a 'mauling'. He praises Whittaker's diverse striking, takedowns, and well-roundedness, noting his only losses since 2014 are to Adesanya. He criticizes du Plessis for being sloppy and lacking technique, relying on energy and explosiveness. He thinks Whittaker will out-strike, out-work, and potentially stop du Plessis. He recommends parlaying Whittaker.
Big Brady picks Robert Whittaker to win by second-round knockout. He notes that Whittaker is better everywhere: striking, wrestling, grappling, and cardio. He criticizes du Plessis for being sloppy, getting wobbled, taken down, and gassing out in fights. He believes Whittaker will finish du Plessis in the second or third round, either by ground and pound or a head kick. He acknowledges that du Plessis finds ways to win but says this is a huge step up in competition.
Cody picks Whittaker but is worried about the -400 moneyline, so he bets the under 2.5 rounds. He thinks du Plessis will be reckless and leave himself open, leading to a finish by Whittaker. He notes Whittaker has been rocked in many fights but expects him to land a big shot. He believes du Plessis's aggression will be his downfall.
Connor picks Whittaker, emphasizing that du Plessis is 'actually quite bad at fighting' and has been carried by favorable matchups. He notes that Whittaker's jab and movement will be too much for du Plessis's clumsy pressure. Connor warns that Whittaker's tendency to chase combinations could leave him vulnerable, but overall he expects a dominant performance.
Daniel Levi picks Whittaker, describing him as a Hall of Famer with no weaknesses. He notes that du Plessis is awkward and violent but too sloppy for a technician like Whittaker. Levi dismisses the narrative that du Plessis's nose surgery will fix his gas tank issues, predicting that getting punched in the nose again will cause the same problems. He expects Whittaker to outclass du Plessis, possibly with a finish, and mentions that the only value on du Plessis is via KO prop at plus money. Levi also notes that du Plessis's wild style will leave him open to a head kick or right hand from the open stance.
James thinks the line is wide and Dricus du Plessis deserves a bet, but he is not super confident he will win. He likes the under 2.5 rounds prop because du Plessis rarely goes to decision and has power and physicality to finish. He notes Whittaker has been dropped many times and du Plessis can finish from any position. However, if du Plessis doesn't finish early, he may gas and Whittaker's superior technique takes over.
Whittaker has superior cardio, striking, and speed. Du Plessis is powerful but has cardio issues and labored movement. Whittaker will use his in-and-out footwork and rear high kick to find a knockout in the second or third round. Fight doesn't go to decision is a strong prop.
Paul picks Whittaker on the moneyline, citing his class everywhere and ability to adjust mid-fight. He notes du Plessis is wild and may overwhelm lesser opponents but not Whittaker. He thinks Whittaker's jab and ring IQ will be key. He is unsure about a knockout prop but leans toward Whittaker by KO or decision.
The MMA Guru picks Robert Whittaker to win by decision (30-27 or 30-26). He argues that Whittaker's patience and experience in five-round fights will prevent him from making the mistakes that du Plessis capitalizes on. He believes Whittaker is superior on the feet and in scrambles, and that du Plessis' wins have come from opponents overextending. He notes Whittaker's humility as a positive factor.
Zane picks Whittaker confidently, stating that du Plessis has no area of his game that should beat Whittaker. He criticizes du Plessis's poor technique, especially his wrestling and striking, and notes that Whittaker's jab and head kicks will be too much. Zane acknowledges du Plessis's clear-headedness but believes Whittaker's superior skill and experience will prevail.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Whittaker | 0 | 74 of 166 | 44% | 74 of 166 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Marvin Vettori | 0 | 33 of 116 | 28% | 38 of 121 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Whittaker | 0 | 22 of 56 | 39% | 22 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Marvin Vettori | 0 | 14 of 41 | 34% | 16 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 2 | Robert Whittaker | 0 | 25 of 53 | 47% | 25 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Marvin Vettori | 0 | 10 of 45 | 22% | 11 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 3 | Robert Whittaker | 0 | 27 of 57 | 47% | 27 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Marvin Vettori | 0 | 9 of 30 | 30% | 11 of 32 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Whittaker | 74 of 166 | 44% | 49 of 138 | 6 of 9 | 19 of 19 | 72 of 163 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Marvin Vettori | 33 of 116 | 28% | 15 of 94 | 7 of 10 | 11 of 12 | 33 of 116 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Whittaker | 22 of 56 | 39% | 15 of 48 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 6 | 22 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Marvin Vettori | 14 of 41 | 34% | 6 of 33 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Robert Whittaker | 25 of 53 | 47% | 17 of 43 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 25 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Marvin Vettori | 10 of 45 | 22% | 4 of 36 | 1 of 3 | 5 of 6 | 10 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Robert Whittaker | 27 of 57 | 47% | 17 of 47 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 8 | 25 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Marvin Vettori | 9 of 30 | 30% | 5 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Whittaker (-230), Vettori (+195)
Round 1
Even though these two middleweights are in the top three or four of their division, this match between former champ Whittaker (23-6, 14-4 UFC) and fiery ex-title challenger Vettori (18-5-1, 8-3-1 UFC) may be little more than a stay-busy fight as long as Israel Adesanya holds the title. These two top contenders are taking it quite seriously, and so is referee Jason Herzog. There is no interest in a glove touch, as these two would rather get right to the action. Whittaker lands first with a lunging low kick, and he connects with another right after to the same spot. Vettori crashes in to engage, but Whittaker is able to dodge them all. Whittaker scores a low kick and escapes the counters that fly, and he is able to beat Vettori to the punch in a few exchanges. Vettori loads up on a heavy inside leg kick as he gets cracked with an overhand right, and Whittaker reaches him with a left hand when they settle. Whittaker catches the Italian coming in with a swatting left, and he flusters Vettori with his movement. Vettori snakes in a left hand over the top, and Whittaker leans back as another is aimed at his jaw. Vettori times a dipping Whittaker with a sharp left, only to get popped with a swiping right hook. “Bobby Knuckles” stabs breadbasket with the toes with a front kick, forcing Vettori to shoot in, and Whittaker easily turns him around and separates. They both paw at one another with single strikes, and Vettori loads up on a body kick. Whittaker secures two left hands, and he absorbs a body kick so that he can snap out a right hand. Vettori ignores a jab to step in with a knee, and the horn sounds to end the close round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Whittaker
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Whittaker
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Whittaker
Round 2
The middleweights meet in the middle, and Whittaker lands the first blow with a stomping kick to the knee. He follows it with a kick to the ribs, and he hops back when Vettori tosses out a right hand. Whittaker fires a high kick that makes him fall over before it can reach Vettori, but he climbs back up with no issue. Whittaker leans back as a head kick soars past him, and he springs away when Vettori gives chase with a few punches. Vettori clinches up the former champ and pushes him to the wall, and Whittaker frames him off and gets back to the middle of the Octagon. “The Italian Dream” dreams up a head kick, but it floats past Whittaker. Whittaker then responds with a head kick, and as it skims off the head, he connects with a follow-up right hand that stuns Vettori. Whittaker puts a front kick up to split the guard, and Vettori gives one jab back in response. The punches from Vettori are out of range, and Whittaker is able to close the distance and pop him in the chops and get out of the way before a counter comes. Whittaker launches another head kick, and as it gets blocked, he pounds a right hand on the chin. Vettori blocks another head kick, but it gets through the guard and he is wobbled. Whittaker does not let things go, instead staying measured and allowing Vettori to hit air. Whittaker pushes out a right hand down the pipe, and he sneaks up a speedy head kick that careens off the block. Vettori appears to have his legs beneath him again, but he cannot seem to connect with any meaningful offense. Whittaker bullies him back with punches off the arms, and he nails Vettori with a right hand and a head kick. The Italian bounces off the fence and right into a fist of “Bobby Knuckles,” and Whittaker is in his element. When Vettori comes forward, Whittaker chops a side kick on the knee that hyperextends it for his foe. Whittaker drills his man with a straight right hand, and the horn sounds. As it does, Vettori limps back to his corner, possibly compromised from the leg strikes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Whittaker
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Whittaker
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Whittaker
Round 3
Vettori is motivated going into Round 3, with a higher pace, but he still cannot consistently find the mark. Whittaker plants the ball of his foot on Vettori’s body several times, and he stands there a little too long, allowing Vettori to score a few punches. Vettori gives chase as Whittaker moves quickly, and he tries for a high kick only to get caught on the way up with a right hand. Vettori walks through a punch so that he can pound a left hand on the chin, and the responsive strike from the former champ opens a cut on Vettori’s left cheek. Whittaker jabs and fires off a head kick, and Vettori smiles but he is hurt. Whittaker jumps forward with a right hand, and he snaps the head back with another. Whittaker swings a high kick that ends up kneeing Vettori on the top of the head, and Vettori’s eyes go wide but he remains on his feet. Vettori kicks low, only to get it checked, and Whittaker replies with one that lands. “Bobby Knuckles” plants a right hand on the cheek, knocking Vettori back and making Vettori check himself. Vettori gathers steam and looses a head kick, and Whittaker leans back and watches it soar past him. Vettori attempts a takedown entry, and Whittaker tosses him aside and busts him in the face with a right hand. Whittaker side kicks the knee and then uses his other leg to belt Vettori upside the head, and Vettori is guessing and eating shots without any hope of response. As Vettori plans on defending a head kick, Whittaker shoots in low and takes him down to make a point. Vettori sits up and turns to his knees, and Herzog informs Whittaker that his foe is grounded. Whittaker elects instead to uppercut Vettori a few times, before Vettori climbs back up to his feet. Vettori looses a head kick, and Whittaker responds with three that land time and again. The bell sounds to end the 15-minute showcase in striking, with Whittaker putting on a master class.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Whittaker (30-27 Whittaker)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Whittaker (30-27 Whittaker)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Whittaker (30-27 Whittaker)
The Official Result
Robert Whittaker def. Marvin Vettori via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Angelo picks Robert Whittaker easily, citing his speed, cleaner striking, five-round cardio, and improved grappling. He notes Vettori has a brick head and is hard to finish, so he expects a decision win. He has a moneyline bet on Whittaker at -235 and says the line has moved to -300s.
Big Brady picks Robert Whittaker to win by decision. He argues that Whittaker has phenomenal takedown defense and get-up game, so the fight will stay on the feet where Whittaker is the better striker. He notes that Vettori has a granite chin and has never been knocked out, so a finish is unlikely, but Whittaker should outpoint him comfortably.
Cody picks Robert Whittaker, arguing that Whittaker is at his best against aggressive fighters who come forward, as he becomes the counter puncher. He notes that Vettori is a 'junkyard dog' who will brawl, but Whittaker's precision, volume, and ability to make mid-round adjustments will be decisive. Cody also points out that Vettori is not a power puncher, so Whittaker's suspect chin is less of a concern, and that the fight is three rounds, which favors Whittaker's cardio. He recommends Whittaker by decision to improve the -210 price.
Daniel Levi picks Robert Whittaker but expresses hesitation, citing concerns about Whittaker's motivation after two title losses and potential drop-off. He acknowledges Vettori's hunger and mental strength, but believes Whittaker is technically superior. He notes that Whittaker has been hurt in recent fights and that Vettori could potentially finish him, but ultimately leans on the chalk. He does not bet the fight himself.
The host is confident in Whittaker, citing his superior athleticism, striking, wrestling, and overall skill. He expects Whittaker to stay at range, land leg kicks, and possibly secure takedowns. He prefers the decision prop at minus 105, as Vettori is durable and hard to finish.
Paul leans toward Marvin Vettori as a slight underdog, citing Vettori's durability, forward pressure, and wrestling. He is concerned that Whittaker has been hurt many times and may be shopworn from wars with Yoel Romero and Israel Adesanya. Paul believes Vettori's volume and ability to grind out takedowns could be the difference, and that the line is closer than -215/+185. He admits he hasn't bet it yet and will see how weigh-ins go.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Robert Whittaker over Marvin Vettori, stating that Vettori's main problem is talent and skill. He praises Whittaker's boxing ability, footwork, and evolution, noting his dominant win over Kelvin Gastelum. He believes Whittaker will outclass Vettori on the feet with teeps, leg kicks, jabs, and head kicks, and that Vettori won't be able to take him down or outgrapple him. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision for Whittaker, with Vettori complaining about the decision afterward.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel Adesanya | 1 | 79 of 169 | 46% | 98 of 188 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Robert Whittaker | 0 | 59 of 136 | 43% | 74 of 151 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 3:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Israel Adesanya | 1 | 18 of 34 | 52% | 18 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Robert Whittaker | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 9 of 21 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Israel Adesanya | 0 | 16 of 41 | 39% | 24 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Robert Whittaker | 0 | 12 of 33 | 36% | 17 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:52 | |
| 3 | Israel Adesanya | 0 | 17 of 33 | 51% | 17 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Robert Whittaker | 0 | 12 of 28 | 42% | 12 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 | |
| 4 | Israel Adesanya | 0 | 15 of 39 | 38% | 15 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Robert Whittaker | 0 | 16 of 35 | 45% | 19 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 | |
| 5 | Israel Adesanya | 0 | 13 of 22 | 59% | 24 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Robert Whittaker | 0 | 10 of 19 | 52% | 17 of 26 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel Adesanya | 79 of 169 | 46% | 36 of 108 | 14 of 23 | 29 of 38 | 77 of 167 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Robert Whittaker | 59 of 136 | 43% | 38 of 105 | 8 of 11 | 13 of 20 | 54 of 130 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Israel Adesanya | 18 of 34 | 52% | 3 of 14 | 4 of 6 | 11 of 14 | 18 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Robert Whittaker | 9 of 21 | 42% | 3 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 8 | 9 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Israel Adesanya | 16 of 41 | 39% | 9 of 30 | 0 of 2 | 7 of 9 | 16 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Robert Whittaker | 12 of 33 | 36% | 7 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Israel Adesanya | 17 of 33 | 51% | 11 of 24 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 5 | 16 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Robert Whittaker | 12 of 28 | 42% | 9 of 20 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 5 | 12 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Israel Adesanya | 15 of 39 | 38% | 6 of 26 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 6 | 15 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Robert Whittaker | 16 of 35 | 45% | 10 of 29 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 32 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Israel Adesanya | 13 of 22 | 59% | 7 of 14 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Robert Whittaker | 10 of 19 | 52% | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Adesanya to win by decision in a very competitive fight. He notes that Whittaker's path to victory is grappling, but Marvin Vettori tried that and still lost. He thinks Adesanya has surprises on the ground and is more precise with power. He suggests buying a few rounds on the scorecard for Whittaker as a prop.
Big Brady is confident in Adesanya due to his reach advantage, striking skills, and takedown defense. He dismisses the narrative that Whittaker will wrestle, noting Adesanya stuffed four takedowns from Vettori and still won 50-45. He believes Whittaker will struggle to close distance again, and Adesanya will win comfortably, possibly by late knockout. He calls it one of his most confident picks.
Cody believes Whittaker hasn't shown enough improvement since the first fight to change the outcome. He highlights Adesanya's superior striking and takedown defense, noting that even when taken down, Adesanya gets back up quickly. He thinks Whittaker's chin is compromised from the Yoel Romero wars and that Izzy will eventually land the knockout.
Daniel Levi picks Israel Adesanya to win the rematch, citing Adesanya's precision striking and ability to get inside opponents' heads. He notes that Whittaker has looked good in his three-fight win streak but hasn't shown anything to suggest he can overcome Adesanya's accuracy. Levi also mentions that Whittaker drops his left hand and that Adesanya's jab can change the fight. He expects Adesanya to win by decision this time.
Whittaker has improved since the first fight, with better game planning and activity. He should mix in takedowns and volume to win rounds. Adesanya has been taken down more recently, and Whittaker's style is more elusive than Vettori's. The odds are too wide; Whittaker should be closer to +150. He wins a decision.
Paul agrees with Cody that Adesanya will win again. He notes Whittaker's takedowns against Gastelum were opportunistic and won't work against Adesanya's improved takedown defense and get-up game. He thinks standing at range with Izzy is a losing strategy and expects a similar outcome to the first fight.
The MMA Guru picks Israel Adesanya by decision, citing his leg kicks, range control, and suspected PED use. He believes Whittaker's patience will play into Adesanya's game and that Adesanya's takedown defense and ability to get up will be key.
Uriah Hall - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Muniz | 0 | 6 of 26 | 23% | 24 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 2 | 0:18 |
| Uriah Hall | 0 | 17 of 39 | 43% | 99 of 185 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 10:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | André Muniz | 0 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Uriah Hall | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 29 of 58 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:41 | |
| 2 | André Muniz | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 14 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:07 |
| Uriah Hall | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 52 of 86 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 3:28 | |
| 3 | André Muniz | 0 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:11 |
| Uriah Hall | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 18 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Muniz | 6 of 26 | 23% | 6 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 9 |
| Uriah Hall | 17 of 39 | 43% | 11 of 31 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 12 of 32 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | André Muniz | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Uriah Hall | 7 of 17 | 41% | 5 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | André Muniz | 6 of 15 | 40% | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 9 |
| Uriah Hall | 5 of 13 | 38% | 4 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | André Muniz | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Uriah Hall | 5 of 9 | 55% | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo leans toward Muniz, highlighting his dangerous BJJ and clean striking entries. He worries that Uriah Hall may be timid and slow to let his hands go, giving Muniz openings. He notes that Hall has never been submitted but Muniz broke Jacare's arm, and calls the odds wide at 3-to-1, suggesting Hall could be a live underdog.
Big Brady is confident in André Muniz, citing his impressive submission wins over Jacare Souza and others. He believes Muniz will submit Uriah Hall in the first round, despite Hall never being submitted. He notes Muniz's suspect cardio and chin, but thinks the fight ends early on the mat.
Cody thinks Muniz's BJJ is world-class and he will submit Hall if he gets top position. He notes Muniz's striking is poor and he's been knocked out before, so he prefers the submission prop over the moneyline.
Daniel Levi confidently picks André Muniz, citing his improved wrestling and submission game. He notes that Muniz has shown blast doubles and submissions, including submitting Jacare. Levi believes Muniz will take Hall down and become the first to submit him in the UFC. He acknowledges Hall's explosive power but notes his low output and inconsistency.
Hall has never been submitted and showed great grappling defense against ACJ. Muniz's cardio looked poor in the Antonio Arroyo fight. Hall has knockout power and could put Muniz away early. The line is too wide; Hall's submission defense and striking give him a live dog shot.
Paul agrees with Cody that Muniz by submission is the play. He notes Hall has never been submitted in the UFC but thinks Muniz's BJJ is on another level. He has a half unit on Muniz by sub at -110.
The MMA Guru picks André Muniz to win by submission in the first round via rear-naked choke. He emphasizes Uriah Hall's inconsistency and poor grappling defense, noting that Sean Strickland took Hall down four times. He believes Muniz's power on the feet and athleticism will set up takedowns, and once on the ground, Muniz's submission game will be too much for Hall.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Strickland | 0 | 107 of 258 | 41% | 122 of 273 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Uriah Hall | 0 | 186 of 428 | 43% | 221 of 472 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 7:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Strickland | 0 | 23 of 55 | 41% | 23 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Uriah Hall | 0 | 38 of 129 | 29% | 38 of 129 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Sean Strickland | 0 | 22 of 52 | 42% | 25 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Uriah Hall | 0 | 43 of 81 | 53% | 48 of 86 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:01 | |
| 3 | Sean Strickland | 0 | 12 of 27 | 44% | 12 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Uriah Hall | 0 | 18 of 40 | 45% | 26 of 51 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:03 | |
| 4 | Sean Strickland | 0 | 24 of 62 | 38% | 24 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Uriah Hall | 0 | 34 of 83 | 40% | 36 of 88 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 | |
| 5 | Sean Strickland | 0 | 26 of 62 | 41% | 38 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Uriah Hall | 0 | 53 of 95 | 55% | 73 of 118 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:23 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Strickland | 107 of 258 | 41% | 56 of 173 | 33 of 66 | 18 of 19 | 106 of 257 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Uriah Hall | 186 of 428 | 43% | 173 of 414 | 10 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 169 of 400 | 9 of 12 | 8 of 16 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Strickland | 23 of 55 | 41% | 17 of 45 | 4 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 23 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Uriah Hall | 38 of 129 | 29% | 38 of 128 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 38 of 129 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sean Strickland | 22 of 52 | 42% | 8 of 28 | 9 of 19 | 5 of 5 | 22 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Uriah Hall | 43 of 81 | 53% | 35 of 73 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 40 of 77 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sean Strickland | 12 of 27 | 44% | 2 of 13 | 5 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 12 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Uriah Hall | 18 of 40 | 45% | 18 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 16 | |
| 4 | Sean Strickland | 24 of 62 | 38% | 10 of 33 | 11 of 25 | 3 of 4 | 24 of 62 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Uriah Hall | 34 of 83 | 40% | 33 of 82 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 31 of 80 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Sean Strickland | 26 of 62 | 41% | 19 of 54 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 25 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Uriah Hall | 53 of 95 | 55% | 49 of 91 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 50 of 90 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
The only bout at UFC on ESPN 28 with ranked fighters, and the only matchup containing two competitors with UFC records above .500, comes in the main event. Four-fight win streaks are on the line as flashy striker Hall (17-9, 10-7 UFC) takes on former welterweight Strickland (23-3, 10-3 UFC) in the middleweight division. A touch of gloves – two, in fact – before referee Herb Dean comes between the strikers, who want to get things done in a hurry so they can
watch the rest of the Bellator 263 main card as covered on our other play-by-play
. Hall starts with a long jab, and Strickland gives him one back that makes Hall wipe his nose early. Hall fires a looping right hand and has a jab land hard on his nose, and he eats another as he moves. Strickland continues to pepper him with long left jabs, disrupting the wild offense of Hall but not landing with a big right hand. As he continues to jab, he follows it with rights until one lands on the chin, and Hall shakes his head. Both touch the other with a few blows, and Strickland’s nose is marked up already. Strickland continues to power his jab out, and Hall is forced to aim to the body while he eats these strikes. Hall loops a right hand over a jab, and he catches Strickland on the way in with a left to follow it. As Strickland continues to stick his jab out, Hall chops down his lead leg hard, but Strickland is not concerned as he keeps it up. Hall rolls and wings a right hand that Strickland takes cleanly, but it does not bother him. Strickland’s volume is well in his favor, and he loops a pair of inaccurate hooks but scores a crisp one-two right down the middle. Strickland connects with a few more punches, and Hall is forced to flail to try to break them up. Strickland’s accuracy is bothering Hall, who is trying to wing haymakers while Strickland boxes him up. Hall stuns his foe with a right hand for a moment, but Strickland stings him right back with a clean one-two. Hall ducks a few punches and shakes his head, and Strickland keeps it on him with punches in bunches. Strickland jabs and jabs again, keeping Hall to largely a defensive mode as Hall is forced to block a head kick just in time. Strickland chains a few punches together, and Hall ducks down and rips the body before coming over the top with a right hand. Strickland gathers himself and scores a few more jabs, and Hall finds his range on the end of a right hook. Hall gives his foe a few jabs back, and he slings a pair of right hands that Strickland is able to roll with. The horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Strickland
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Strickland
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Strickland
Round 2
As Hall sits in his corner, Strickland is off his stool mean-mugging Hall from afar, pacing back and forth. The middleweight contenders touch gloves again, and Hall leads off with a big punch that only partially connects. Strickland gets back in his rhythm with jabs, and Hall walks through a few to crack Strickland with an overhand right. Hall targets the body as Strickland keeps busy with jabs, and he eats a left hand and Strickland puts a few more together to rock Hall. Hall leaps in the air with a knee, and Strickland sees it coming and dodges it to lay into Hall with punches. Strickland mixes things up with a takedown attempt, and although it is easily stuffed, he uses the close proximity to get off a big elbow on the chin. Strickland works Hall on the inside while the two are tied up, with short, stay-busy punches to keep Hall occupied and forcing him to fight off the position. Strickland gets off a solid uppercut that forces a separation, and he plants a jab on the jaw to Hall’s dismay. Hall fires a front kick, and a leg kick come shortly thereafter. Hall backs Strickland off and ignores any oncoming jab to land a few power punches, but eventually Strickland finds his mark with the jabs to slow Hall down again. Hall chips at the leg with a kick and slings a right hand over the top that rings off the temple of his opponent, and Strickland takes a flush jab right after. The two men go jab for jab as Hall appears to be gaining confidence, and he quickly blocks a head kick that comes his way before going low with a kick. Hall walks Strickland down and ducks his punches to land his own, keeping Strickland on his back foot and unable to get his jab off. As Hall walks in to attack, an errant knee with an extended foot connects right to the cup. Hall squats down in pain, and Strickland is quick to apologize a few times. Thirty seconds elapse before Hall can continue, and he is energized to continue as he reaches out with several punches. Strickland stands firm to throw back at him, but Hall buckles his leg with a kick. Strickland’s jab gets timed with a stiff counter, and Hall’s right hand surprises Strickland momentarily. “Primetime” gets kicked in the leg and takes a body kick that he thinks went low, but when there is no pause, Hall spins with a kick. Strickland keeps his composure, bounces off the fence, and jumps up with a knee. The round ends as Hall pounds his foe’s body.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hall
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hall
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hall
Round 3
Hall comes out of his round firing, with long punches and low kicks to fluster Strickland. A Hall body shot gets interrupted with a jab, and the two reach at one another with reaching strikes. Strickland tags Hall with a straight left hand, and he puts a few more jabs together as Hall tries to pay him back every time and comes up short. Hall has a leg kick checked, and he scores a solid left hand on the chin right after. Strickland gets his jab back going again, and the power of it seems to have noticeable results as Hall reacts every time it lands. A big one-two from Strickland hurts Hall, and Strickland uses the momentum to bowl Hall over and rain down punches. Strickland pours it on as he tries to finish the fight, busting him up until Hall reaches the fence and climbs his way up. Strickland leans on him and drags him back down to the mat, and “Primetime” quickly gets back up and has his hands leaning over the fence. Dean warns him a few times for this, and as he does, Strickland takes standing back control before planting Hall on the ground. Strickland covers Hall’s mouth with his hand, keeping his flashy foe grounded while in a smothering half guard. Strickland isolates the left arm of his opponent and grabs two-on-one wrist control until Hall senses it, and he wriggles his wrist free but falls into arm-triangle choke danger. Hall breaks up that posture but Strickland sits up and slashes down with a nasty elbow. Hall turns over and gives up back control, where Strickland quickly secures his hooks and fishes for a choke. Strickland gets off a few punches and rides out the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Strickland
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Strickland
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-8 Strickland
Round 4
Hall doubles up his jab, knowing he is down on the scorecards thanks to his corner team of Fortis MMA. Hall wings huge punches, and Strickland sees them coming and evades all of them. Hall sits down on a big leg kick, and he chains it into a left hand. Another calf kick from Hall makes Strickland pick his leg up, and Strickland is there to jab him when it gets set back down. Strickland tattoos his fist on Hall’s chin to great effect, and Hall appears flustered as he cannot seem to get off offense of his own. “Primetime” aims to the body and head, but no strike is enough to slow the constant piston-like jab of his opponent. Strickland snaps the jab out a few more times, and Hall sends one back at him as Strickland triples, quadruples it up or more. Hall sneaks a left hand around the guard, and Strickland is right there to counter him. Hall decides to play a jab game with his adversary, landing every so often as Strickland’s volume is speaking volumes. Four punches come for Strickland, who dances out of the way from everything but a body shot as Hall tries to retaliate. The end of a second jab snaps Strickland’s head back, but it is one-and-done as Strickland puts his fist in his opponent’s face. Strickland swipes with a left hook to mix things up, as the jab is the preferred measure of attack for this prolonged stretch. A left hand from Strickland wobbles Hall, and “Primetime” falls into the cage and is promptly taken down. Strickland leans heavily on Hall, and as Hall stands back up thanks to a fence grab or two, Strickland knees him in the face twice. The punches from Strickland have opened up a cut on Hall’s left eye, who tries to reply with a leg kick. Hall swings for the fences, but they are closer to landing on Dean than Strickland. The round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Strickland
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Strickland
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Strickland
Round 5
Hall is wincing and grimacing between rounds as his left eye is closing, but he is ready to continue and aim for a knockout. Strickland reaches out with a few jabs as Hall crashes forward, prepared to throw bombs. Hall chops at the leg with a single kick, and when Strickland’s guard is up high, he kicks low again. Hall takes two crisp punches on the jaw, and he is no worse for wear as he marches Strickland down and trades with him. The middleweights clinch briefly, and Hall tries to come around the top with a right hand. Strickland wades forward back into the clinch after a brief separation, leaning Hall into the wire as Hall appears visibly frustrated. Strickland allows him to get free, and he lands two punches and gets grabbed. Hall pulls him in and the two clash heads, but Strickland is not concerned as he lands flush on Hall. Strickland slips a right hand to rip with his own, and the final round has turned into a brawl. Hall gets in close and is pushed away, with Strickland shoving him back so he can lay into him. Hall eats several punches as he tries to pay Strickland back, but Strickland’s accuracy and volume are forcing Hall to wilt. Strickland’s forward momentum leads to him pushing Hall into the fence, and he considers a takedown but Hall pushes him away. This happens again, with Hall pushing off to gain some space and take a breath. Strickland gloms back on to him, punching his way into the clinch as he grinds out the last minutes of the fight. Strickland scores a shoulder strike and a knee up the middle, as Hall tries to attack his body up close. Strickland peppers Hall with punches and a stiff knee while not giving Hall anywhere to breathe, and Hall finally gets off with about 45 seconds to go. Hall lets loose with everything he has left, with booming punches that Strickland sees coming. Strickland walks directly into a big right hand that he eats like a steak, so that he can press back into the clinch and ride out the remainder of the bout. Strickland threatens with a takedown, and lands a few punches from up close until the fight wraps up. Other than a close second round, this was largely one-way traffic for Strickland, who should likely earn the biggest win of his career as he looks to bigger and better options. The next event is a pay-per-view in Houston with a sudden interim heavyweight belt on the line. We will be here for it – and we will even have staff in the Toyota Center – and we hope you are too.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Strickland (49-45 Strickland)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Strickland (49-45 Strickland)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Strickland (49-45 Strickland)
The Official Result
Sean Strickland def. Uriah Hall via Unanimous Decision (50-44, 50-45, 49-46)
Big Brady picks the underdog Uriah Hall despite acknowledging Sean Strickland is the better overall fighter. He is concerned by Strickland's recent tendency to stand and trade, as seen in his last three fights where he attempted only one takedown. Brady believes Hall's power gives him a puncher's chance and that Strickland's game plan of brawling plays into Hall's hands. He predicts Hall will find a knockout, specifically in the second round.
Cody picks Sean Strickland based on his high volume striking, strong takedown defense, and recent performances where he landed over 100 significant strikes in short fights. He notes Strickland's improvement since moving to middleweight and his training at Xtreme Couture with high-level partners. However, he is wary of the -220 price due to Hall's one-punch knockout power and the reach advantage Hall holds. Cody believes Strickland will bank three rounds and possibly get a late finish, but acknowledges Hall could catch him.
Levi leans with the underdog Uriah Hall, citing his momentum, improved mentality, and one-punch knockout power. He acknowledges Strickland's technical jab and volume but notes Strickland keeps his chin straight up, which could be exploited by Hall's flashy strikes. Levi believes Hall has finally matured as the team captain at Fortis MMA and is putting it together. He thinks Hall can catch Strickland even if Strickland is winning the early rounds, making the +180 line intriguing.
Strickland is a high-volume striker with good minute-winning ability. Hall has knockout power and speed, but his output is low and he lost minutes to an aged Anderson Silva. Strickland's defense is questionable, but he rolls with punches well. Strickland should piece Hall up over five rounds and eventually break him. The decision is likely, but late-round finishes are possible.
Paul leans towards Uriah Hall as the value side, noting that Hall has a significant reach advantage and is one of the best at creative striking. He acknowledges that Hall often gives away rounds early but has the power to change the fight at any moment. Paul is not confident enough to bet Hall but sees the plus money as the smarter play, calling it a 'dog or pass' spot. He mentions that if he were to hedge, he would take Hall at +180.
The MMA Guru picks Sean Strickland over Uriah Hall, citing Hall's decline and Strickland's pressure fighting style. He notes that Hall has been beaten by pressure strikers like Derek Brunson and Paulo Costa, and that Strickland's constant forward pressure and alert defense will neutralize Hall's explosive one-punch power. He also mentions Strickland's improved kicking game and willingness to grapple if needed. He predicts a decision win, 4 rounds to 1, with Hall possibly winning one round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uriah Hall | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chris Weidman | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uriah Hall | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chris Weidman | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uriah Hall | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Weidman | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uriah Hall | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Weidman | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Hall to win by third-round knockout. He notes Weidman's chin is questionable after five KO losses, and his cardio looked poor in his last fight. Hall has power and a good gas tank. He expects Weidman to have early success but eventually get caught. He suggests looking at Hall by KO props.
Cody leans toward Hall as a dog, noting Hall's late-fight finishing ability and Weidman's durability concerns. He thinks Weidman's cardio and chin are questionable and that Hall can find a knockout in the later rounds. He suggests a third-round prop for Hall and live betting after round one if Weidman tires. He acknowledges Weidman's wrestling but believes Hall's striking and resilience give him a path.
Daniel picks Uriah Hall, expecting him to catch Weidman in the second or third round after Weidman fatigues. He notes Weidman's tendency to win the first round but fade, and that Hall has power and a better gas tank. He believes Weidman cannot eat Hall's shots.
I'm leaning Hall by knockout. Weidman's chin is a huge concern, and Hall has power. Weidman will likely try to take the fight to the ground, but if he can't finish early, he tends to fade. Hall's best chance is to keep it standing and land a big shot. I like Hall by KO at +250, but I'm not confident enough to bet heavily due to Hall's low volume.
Paul picks Weidman but is hesitant, citing Weidman's wrestling and grappling advantage. He notes Hall's flashy striking and comeback ability but thinks Weidman can secure takedowns and control the fight. He acknowledges Weidman's compromised chin and cardio issues but believes his top control will be enough to win a decision. He also mentions a potential Hall third-round prop as a live underdog play.
The MMA Guru picks Chris Weidman by decision, 30-27. He notes that Weidman out-grappled Hall in their first fight and rates Weidman's grappling higher than Antonio Carlos Jr.'s, who took Hall down multiple times. He thinks in a three-round fight, Weidman can sprint with his grappling and smother Hall, though Hall might win the third round. He plans to wait for better odds on Weidman.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uriah Hall | 2 | 60 of 111 | 54% | 61 of 112 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Anderson Silva | 0 | 53 of 110 | 48% | 57 of 114 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uriah Hall | 0 | 12 of 20 | 60% | 12 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Anderson Silva | 0 | 19 of 35 | 54% | 19 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Uriah Hall | 0 | 13 of 30 | 43% | 13 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Anderson Silva | 0 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 14 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Uriah Hall | 1 | 22 of 43 | 51% | 23 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Anderson Silva | 0 | 17 of 38 | 44% | 21 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:31 | |
| 4 | Uriah Hall | 1 | 13 of 18 | 72% | 13 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Anderson Silva | 0 | 3 of 13 | 23% | 3 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uriah Hall | 60 of 111 | 54% | 41 of 90 | 10 of 12 | 9 of 9 | 45 of 87 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 24 |
| Anderson Silva | 53 of 110 | 48% | 16 of 61 | 18 of 28 | 19 of 21 | 51 of 107 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uriah Hall | 12 of 20 | 60% | 6 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Anderson Silva | 19 of 35 | 54% | 6 of 21 | 7 of 8 | 6 of 6 | 19 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Uriah Hall | 13 of 30 | 43% | 5 of 21 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 13 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Anderson Silva | 14 of 24 | 58% | 1 of 6 | 5 of 8 | 8 of 10 | 14 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Uriah Hall | 22 of 43 | 51% | 18 of 39 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 12 |
| Anderson Silva | 17 of 38 | 44% | 8 of 26 | 5 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 35 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Uriah Hall | 13 of 18 | 72% | 12 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 12 |
| Anderson Silva | 3 of 13 | 23% | 1 of 8 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady believes Hall is the better fighter at this stage, citing Silva's age and low output. He thinks Hall should target Silva's legs early and predicts a fourth-round knockout, though a decision is also possible if Hall is cautious.
Hall has youth, speed, and athleticism on his side, and his jab is very effective. Silva is 45 and coming off a long layoff, but Hall has mental fragility issues. Hall should win by decision, but the -220 line is not appealing given the risk.
The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Uriah Hall to win by TKO in the second or third round via leg kicks. He notes that Anderson Silva has a history of leg injuries and that Hall has a reach advantage. However, he expresses uncertainty, saying he doesn't trust either fighter with his money, but ultimately believes Hall can follow the game plan of attacking Silva's lead leg.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uriah Hall | 1 | 34 of 79 | 43% | 41 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:25 |
| Antônio Carlos Júnior | 0 | 22 of 69 | 31% | 81 of 148 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 10:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uriah Hall | 0 | 12 of 33 | 36% | 12 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Antônio Carlos Júnior | 0 | 13 of 39 | 33% | 31 of 59 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:08 | |
| 2 | Uriah Hall | 1 | 20 of 37 | 54% | 20 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:25 |
| Antônio Carlos Júnior | 0 | 9 of 22 | 40% | 32 of 45 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:09 | |
| 3 | Uriah Hall | 0 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Antônio Carlos Júnior | 0 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 18 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:25 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uriah Hall | 34 of 79 | 43% | 31 of 75 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 17 |
| Antônio Carlos Júnior | 22 of 69 | 31% | 16 of 63 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 65 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uriah Hall | 12 of 33 | 36% | 11 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Antônio Carlos Júnior | 13 of 39 | 33% | 8 of 34 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Uriah Hall | 20 of 37 | 54% | 18 of 34 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 17 |
| Antônio Carlos Júnior | 9 of 22 | 40% | 8 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Uriah Hall | 2 of 9 | 22% | 2 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Antônio Carlos Júnior | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uriah Hall | 1 | 39 of 88 | 44% | 42 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Bevon Lewis | 0 | 68 of 157 | 43% | 77 of 168 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uriah Hall | 0 | 16 of 39 | 41% | 16 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Bevon Lewis | 0 | 35 of 76 | 46% | 35 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 2 | Uriah Hall | 0 | 16 of 36 | 44% | 16 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Bevon Lewis | 0 | 27 of 65 | 41% | 32 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:22 | |
| 3 | Uriah Hall | 1 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 10 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Bevon Lewis | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uriah Hall | 39 of 88 | 44% | 13 of 48 | 5 of 13 | 21 of 27 | 39 of 88 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Bevon Lewis | 68 of 157 | 43% | 27 of 100 | 4 of 9 | 37 of 48 | 56 of 139 | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uriah Hall | 16 of 39 | 41% | 6 of 23 | 1 of 4 | 9 of 12 | 16 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Bevon Lewis | 35 of 76 | 46% | 16 of 46 | 2 of 6 | 17 of 24 | 31 of 68 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Uriah Hall | 16 of 36 | 44% | 6 of 20 | 3 of 7 | 7 of 9 | 16 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Bevon Lewis | 27 of 65 | 41% | 9 of 43 | 2 of 3 | 16 of 19 | 20 of 57 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Uriah Hall | 7 of 13 | 53% | 1 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Bevon Lewis | 6 of 16 | 37% | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulo Costa | 0 | 58 of 122 | 47% | 58 of 122 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Uriah Hall | 1 | 75 of 116 | 64% | 76 of 117 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paulo Costa | 0 | 34 of 77 | 44% | 34 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Uriah Hall | 0 | 42 of 69 | 60% | 43 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 2 | Paulo Costa | 0 | 24 of 45 | 53% | 24 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Uriah Hall | 1 | 33 of 47 | 70% | 33 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulo Costa | 58 of 122 | 47% | 45 of 102 | 8 of 15 | 5 of 5 | 54 of 118 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Uriah Hall | 75 of 116 | 64% | 39 of 73 | 33 of 40 | 3 of 3 | 66 of 105 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paulo Costa | 34 of 77 | 44% | 27 of 64 | 4 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 32 of 75 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Uriah Hall | 42 of 69 | 60% | 16 of 37 | 23 of 29 | 3 of 3 | 34 of 60 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Paulo Costa | 24 of 45 | 53% | 18 of 38 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 43 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Uriah Hall | 33 of 47 | 70% | 23 of 36 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 32 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uriah Hall | 1 | 44 of 90 | 48% | 60 of 108 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 2:19 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 1 | 26 of 44 | 59% | 26 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uriah Hall | 1 | 39 of 75 | 52% | 55 of 93 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 2:19 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 10 of 13 | 76% | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Uriah Hall | 0 | 5 of 15 | 33% | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 1 | 16 of 31 | 51% | 16 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uriah Hall | 44 of 90 | 48% | 40 of 85 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 42 | 15 of 27 | 14 of 21 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 26 of 44 | 59% | 15 of 32 | 6 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 19 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 11 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uriah Hall | 39 of 75 | 52% | 37 of 72 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 27 | 15 of 27 | 14 of 21 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 10 of 13 | 76% | 5 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Uriah Hall | 5 of 15 | 33% | 3 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 16 of 31 | 51% | 10 of 24 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 11 |
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