Career Averages - Amanda Nunes
Career Averages - Sara McMann
Amanda Nunes - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 142 of 267 | 53% | 196 of 323 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 0 | 0 | 7:00 |
| Irene Aldana | 0 | 41 of 143 | 28% | 57 of 159 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 21 of 56 | 37% | 21 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Irene Aldana | 0 | 8 of 31 | 25% | 8 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 31 of 61 | 50% | 31 of 61 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Irene Aldana | 0 | 11 of 38 | 28% | 11 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 23 of 47 | 48% | 25 of 49 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
| Irene Aldana | 0 | 8 of 22 | 36% | 8 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 48 of 77 | 62% | 49 of 78 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Irene Aldana | 0 | 13 of 48 | 27% | 13 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 19 of 26 | 73% | 70 of 79 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:36 |
| Irene Aldana | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 17 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 142 of 267 | 53% | 97 of 198 | 28 of 49 | 17 of 20 | 115 of 234 | 5 of 8 | 22 of 25 |
| Irene Aldana | 41 of 143 | 28% | 25 of 118 | 3 of 7 | 13 of 18 | 36 of 133 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 21 of 56 | 37% | 9 of 35 | 9 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 21 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Irene Aldana | 8 of 31 | 25% | 5 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 31 of 61 | 50% | 16 of 40 | 7 of 11 | 8 of 10 | 30 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Irene Aldana | 11 of 38 | 28% | 4 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 11 | 11 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 23 of 47 | 48% | 20 of 40 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 6 |
| Irene Aldana | 8 of 22 | 36% | 7 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 48 of 77 | 62% | 36 of 61 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 7 | 45 of 71 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Irene Aldana | 13 of 48 | 27% | 9 of 41 | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 43 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 2 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 19 of 26 | 73% | 16 of 22 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 19 |
| Irene Aldana | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
Angelo picks Amanda Nunes but expresses hesitation. He notes that Nunes is the GOAT and should win, but questions her motivation due to her age, wealth, and new family. He thinks she may need to rely on wrestling, and hopes she is in shape. He acknowledges Irene Aldana's technical boxing and takedown defense, but believes Nunes' power and wrestling will prevail.
Big Brady picks Amanda Nunes to win by first-round submission. He believes Nunes is the far superior fighter and that Aldana's wins are against lower-level competition. Aldana struggled with Macy Chiasson and had her back taken. Even if Nunes is not fully motivated, she should dominate. He advises against betting Nunes due to the high price and potential motivation issues, but still picks her to finish early.
Cody picks Amanda Nunes, citing her wrestling game plan as the key. He notes that Holly Holm and Macy Chiasson both took Aldana down multiple times, and if Nunes sticks to that approach, it should be easy work. He acknowledges Aldana's boxing and lateral movement but believes Nunes's takedowns will neutralize her. He also mentions that Nunes's motivation and conditioning looked career-best in the Peña rematch.
Connor believes Nunes will win due to her athletic advantage and wrestling. He notes that Aldana is easy to take down and has a bad habit of pulling guard, similar to Dern. He expects Nunes to use her wrestling to control the fight, as she did against de Randamie.
Daniel Levi picks Amanda Nunes, citing that all film and stats point to Nunes having Aldana covered in every part of the game. He notes that the line is driven down by the first Pena fight, but Nunes dominated the rematch. He acknowledges Aldana's power and cleaner hands than Pena, but believes Nunes is the better fighter with more ways to win, including superior wrestling, Jiu-Jitsu, striking, and power. He sees the grappling gap as 10 worlds apart and expects Nunes to finish the fight.
James picks Amanda Nunes to win but is hesitant due to volatility. He notes Nunes is 35, talking about retirement, and had an off night against Pena. He thinks if Nunes is focused, she submits Aldana within three rounds. Aldana is a good boxer but weak elsewhere. James prefers not to bet the moneyline at -350, suggesting props instead. He predicts Nunes finishes in round four or five.
Nunes has a clear grappling advantage and should take Aldana down repeatedly. Aldana's best chance is a knockout on the feet, but Nunes will likely close the distance and control the fight on the mat. The over 2.5 rounds is likely as Aldana is tough off her back. Nunes by decision is the most probable outcome, though the moneyline is accurate.
Paul picks Amanda Nunes, acknowledging the line already factors in her inconsistency. He notes that Nunes has a minus-500 skill set but the line is discounted due to her personal life and past performances. He highlights that Aldana doesn't have big KO power, so if Nunes closes distance and gets takedowns, she should dominate. He suggests hedging by betting Nunes and then taking Aldana live after a couple rounds if Nunes fades.
The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes, acknowledging Aldana's KO power but citing a skill gap. He notes Aldana was schooled by Holly Holm and struggled against Macy Chiasson, while Nunes is a different level. He predicts Nunes will mix in takedowns and finish Aldana via standing TKO in the second round after some back-and-forth on the feet.
Zane agrees with Connor that Nunes will win. He emphasizes that Aldana's wrestling is a huge problem, as she gave up three takedowns to Macy Chiasson. He notes that Nunes is not a great wrestler but Aldana is worse, and her instinct to pull guard will be exploited.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 60 of 154 | 38% | 130 of 239 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 3 | 85 of 152 | 55% | 126 of 201 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 1 | 0 | 11:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 21 of 51 | 41% | 21 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 25 of 47 | 53% | 25 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 25 of 66 | 37% | 31 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 3 | 19 of 48 | 39% | 24 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 6 of 21 | 28% | 31 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 23 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:02 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 33 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 16 of 20 | 80% | 34 of 40 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:54 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 14 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 11 of 14 | 78% | 20 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 4:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 60 of 154 | 38% | 54 of 144 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 59 of 151 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 85 of 152 | 55% | 67 of 128 | 10 of 14 | 8 of 10 | 57 of 117 | 0 of 1 | 28 of 34 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 21 of 51 | 41% | 20 of 49 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 25 of 47 | 53% | 17 of 37 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 7 | 25 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 25 of 66 | 37% | 21 of 59 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 19 of 48 | 39% | 13 of 40 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 6 of 21 | 28% | 5 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 14 of 23 | 60% | 12 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 9 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 4 of 10 | 40% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 16 of 20 | 80% | 15 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 14 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 4 of 6 | 66% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 11 of 14 | 78% | 10 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 10 |
Big Brady picks Amanda Nunes to win by first-round submission. He believes Nunes is better everywhere and that the first fight was a one-off due to injury or motivation issues. He expects Nunes to finish early, but if it extends, he has concerns about her cardio. He is not betting this fight.
Cody believes Peña is the right pick because she already exposed Nunes' cardio and quit rate. He notes Nunes has suspect cardio, has shown red flags in fights against Germaine de Randamie and Felicia Spencer, and may be unmotivated after becoming a multi-millionaire and mother. He also points out that Peña is durable, pressures well, and the odds (+245) are too juicy to pass up given she just choked Nunes out. He expects Peña to win again, possibly taking a bit longer this time.
Daniel argues that Julianna Peña's ability to stand up to the bully and absorb Nunes' power is the key factor. He notes that Peña's iron jaw and willpower broke Nunes mentally in the first fight, causing her to tap to a choke that wasn't locked in. He believes Nunes has a history of struggling when opponents don't back down, citing the Cat Zingano fight and the Valentina Shevchenko fights. He acknowledges Nunes could win via calf kicks or a submission, but he trusts Peña's heart and durability. He also points out that long-reigning champions rarely regain their belt in immediate rematches, citing a 11-2 record for the new champion.
Preet leans Nunes to win but won't lay -260; instead he likes the over 2.5 rounds at +100. He expects a more cautious, methodical fight that goes into the later rounds, noting that rematches of first-round finishes often go the distance. He thinks Nunes will be more disciplined and use leg kicks and combinations, but Peña's durability and pressure could extend the fight.
Paul picks Peña as well, citing the narrative that Nunes emptied her tank early in the first fight and quit. He thinks Nunes can win a striking match if she paces herself, but he's terrified to bet the fight. He notes that Peña is super durable and that the odds (+245) are attractive. He compares it to Ronda Rousey's loss to Holly Holm, where people still believed in Rousey, but here Peña already beat Nunes.
The MMA Guru predicts Julianna Peña wins by submission (rear-naked choke) in round four. He expects Nunes to win the first two rounds with takedowns and jabs, but Peña will threaten submissions throughout. In round four, Peña times a takedown, passes to half guard, takes the back, and chokes Nunes out.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 46 of 99 | 46% | 58 of 112 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:35 |
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 79 of 135 | 58% | 90 of 147 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:25 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 10 of 14 | 71% | 22 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:35 |
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 5 of 20 | 25% | 16 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 36 of 85 | 42% | 36 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 74 of 115 | 64% | 74 of 115 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:17 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 46 of 99 | 46% | 36 of 85 | 1 of 3 | 9 of 11 | 44 of 97 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Amanda Nunes | 79 of 135 | 58% | 69 of 122 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 78 of 134 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 10 of 14 | 71% | 4 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Amanda Nunes | 5 of 20 | 25% | 5 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 36 of 85 | 42% | 32 of 78 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 36 of 85 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Nunes | 74 of 115 | 64% | 64 of 103 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 73 of 114 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady is very confident in Amanda Nunes winning early, likely by first-round submission. He notes that Nunes is the GOAT and has advantages everywhere: striking, grappling, and cardio. Peña has poor takedown defense (23%) and was submitted by GDR, which is concerning. Nunes can finish by knockout or submission, and Brady expects a quick finish.
Daniel Levi picks Amanda Nunes to win by submission in the first round. He notes that Peña's striking is sloppy and she has been submitted in two of her last four fights. Levi believes Nunes will establish her jab and calf kicks, and when Peña shoots a sloppy takedown, Nunes will sprawl and lock in a d'arce or anaconda choke. He thinks Peña's trash talk will motivate Nunes to make a statement.
Nunes is the far superior fighter and should win, but the method is uncertain. Peña will try to grapple, which could slow the fight and push it past 1.5 rounds. Nunes has KO power, but Peña's durability and grappling could extend the fight. The over 1.5 rounds is a lean, but Nunes inside the distance is the most likely outcome.
The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes to win by first-round TKO, dismissing Julianna Peña's chances. He criticizes Peña's striking technique and notes she was submitted by a standing guillotine against Jermaine de Randamie. He believes Nunes is on a different level in strength and skill.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 18 of 25 | 72% | 19 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Megan Anderson | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 18 of 25 | 72% | 19 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Megan Anderson | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 18 of 25 | 72% | 15 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 9 |
| Megan Anderson | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 18 of 25 | 72% | 15 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 9 |
| Megan Anderson | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Amanda Nunes confidently, citing her massive advantages in striking volume, takedown ability, and competition level. He notes Anderson's poor striking defense (38%) and takedown defense (53%). He predicts a first-round submission, but passes on betting the moneyline due to the high price.
Daniel picks Amanda Nunes, stating she is on a completely different level than Megan Anderson. He notes Anderson's weakness on the mat and suggests looking at the under for betting, expecting an early stoppage.
Nunes is the greatest female fighter ever and should dominate everywhere. Anderson's only chance is a lucky KO, but Nunes's takedowns and ground game are too much. The host predicts a submission in the second round and recommends the under 2.5 rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes to win, likely by decision. He dismisses Megan Anderson's competition and notes Nunes has improved her grappling, taking down top opponents. He believes Nunes will take Anderson down and outgrapple her, as Anderson was ragdolled by Holly Holm and Felicia Spencer.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 124 of 214 | 57% | 132 of 222 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 1 | 0 | 8:01 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 42 of 130 | 32% | 70 of 161 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 21 of 34 | 61% | 24 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:05 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 23 of 39 | 58% | 24 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 11 of 26 | 42% | 12 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 29 of 57 | 50% | 29 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 10 of 46 | 21% | 11 of 47 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 34 of 59 | 57% | 35 of 60 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 13 of 37 | 35% | 15 of 41 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 17 of 25 | 68% | 20 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:41 |
| Felicia Spencer | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 24 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 124 of 214 | 57% | 90 of 170 | 13 of 20 | 21 of 24 | 91 of 173 | 1 of 1 | 32 of 40 |
| Felicia Spencer | 42 of 130 | 32% | 24 of 106 | 7 of 9 | 11 of 15 | 36 of 118 | 4 of 9 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 21 of 34 | 61% | 14 of 26 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 15 |
| Felicia Spencer | 2 of 8 | 25% | 1 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 23 of 39 | 58% | 17 of 30 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 18 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
| Felicia Spencer | 11 of 26 | 42% | 5 of 19 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 29 of 57 | 50% | 21 of 44 | 2 of 6 | 6 of 7 | 29 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Felicia Spencer | 10 of 46 | 21% | 6 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 42 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 34 of 59 | 57% | 24 of 48 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 8 | 29 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
| Felicia Spencer | 13 of 37 | 35% | 8 of 30 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 11 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 17 of 25 | 68% | 14 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 13 |
| Felicia Spencer | 6 of 13 | 46% | 4 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady confidently picks Amanda Nunes by third-round knockout, believing her striking and power will overwhelm Spencer. He notes Spencer's striking is poor and she is overrated for lasting with Cyborg. He expects Nunes to finish early, though he acknowledges Spencer's toughness and top game could be a concern if it goes late. He sees no reason to pick against the GOAT.
Daniel sees a complete mismatch on the feet, with Nunes' striking far superior. He notes that people overlook Nunes' black belt, but she submitted Miesha Tate and has serious grappling credentials. He predicts a first-round knockout, comparing it to Nunes vs Rousey, and dismisses Spencer's path to victory via grappling because Nunes is also a black belt.
Amanda Nunes is the women's GOAT with power and a black belt in jiu-jitsu. Felicia Spencer is tough and has a grappling-heavy approach, but Nunes should be able to stuff takedowns and win on the feet. However, Spencer's durability and clinch game could make it a long fight. The over 1.5 rounds is a better bet than Nunes straight at -600.
The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes over Felicia Spencer. He dismisses Spencer's wins as coming against weak competition in a shallow women's featherweight division. He believes Nunes has too much power and skill on the feet, and that Spencer's only chance is to push Nunes against the cage, which he doubts she can do. He expects Nunes to dominate and win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 79 of 184 | 42% | 199 of 337 | 8 of 11 | 72% | 2 | 0 | 18:29 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 40 of 73 | 54% | 126 of 175 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 42 of 87 | 48% | 43 of 88 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 2:53 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 22 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:48 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 9 of 26 | 34% | 33 of 51 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 16 of 30 | 53% | 29 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 16 of 44 | 36% | 47 of 80 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:21 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 8 of 10 | 80% | 17 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 22 of 39 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 4:16 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 28 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 54 of 79 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:46 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 30 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 79 of 184 | 42% | 63 of 162 | 4 of 6 | 12 of 16 | 15 of 46 | 2 of 3 | 62 of 135 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 40 of 73 | 54% | 19 of 48 | 11 of 15 | 10 of 10 | 19 of 42 | 12 of 13 | 9 of 18 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 42 of 87 | 48% | 38 of 81 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 37 of 70 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 11 of 23 | 47% | 2 of 11 | 4 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 10 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 9 of 26 | 34% | 4 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 8 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 16 of 30 | 53% | 10 of 24 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 22 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 16 of 44 | 36% | 13 of 39 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 36 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 8 of 10 | 80% | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 12 of 24 | 50% | 8 of 19 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 19 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 4 of 6 | 66% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 1 | 17 of 35 | 48% | 17 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Holly Holm | 0 | 11 of 14 | 78% | 14 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 1 | 17 of 35 | 48% | 17 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Holly Holm | 0 | 11 of 14 | 78% | 14 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 17 of 35 | 48% | 8 of 23 | 6 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 |
| Holly Holm | 11 of 14 | 78% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 9 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 17 of 35 | 48% | 8 of 23 | 6 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 |
| Holly Holm | 11 of 14 | 78% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 9 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 3 of 15 | 20% | 3 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cristiane Justino | 2 | 13 of 21 | 61% | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 3 of 15 | 20% | 3 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cristiane Justino | 2 | 13 of 21 | 61% | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 3 of 15 | 20% | 1 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cristiane Justino | 13 of 21 | 61% | 12 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 3 of 15 | 20% | 1 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cristiane Justino | 13 of 21 | 61% | 12 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Sara McMann - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara McMann | 0 | 24 of 41 | 58% | 73 of 100 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 10:27 |
| Karol Rosa | 0 | 26 of 43 | 60% | 92 of 120 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 1:56 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara McMann | 0 | 10 of 15 | 66% | 31 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:44 |
| Karol Rosa | 0 | 7 of 11 | 63% | 31 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Sara McMann | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 7 of 15 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:45 |
| Karol Rosa | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 9 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Sara McMann | 0 | 9 of 13 | 69% | 35 of 48 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:58 |
| Karol Rosa | 0 | 13 of 20 | 65% | 52 of 67 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:56 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara McMann | 24 of 41 | 58% | 15 of 28 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 5 | 7 of 21 | 7 of 8 | 10 of 12 |
| Karol Rosa | 26 of 43 | 60% | 20 of 36 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 13 of 25 | 7 of 7 | 6 of 11 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara McMann | 10 of 15 | 66% | 8 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 7 |
| Karol Rosa | 7 of 11 | 63% | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sara McMann | 5 of 13 | 38% | 1 of 7 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Karol Rosa | 6 of 12 | 50% | 3 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | |
| 3 | Sara McMann | 9 of 13 | 69% | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 5 |
| Karol Rosa | 13 of 20 | 65% | 12 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 8 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Once an undefeated title challenger, now at the age of 41 having lost three of her last four, McMann (12-6, 6-6 UFC) will be fighting now to keep her UFC record above the .500 mark when she takes on surging Brazilian Rosa (15-3, 4-0 UFC). The Octagon ranger for this bantamweight battle and preliminary headliner will be Chad Trukovich, and the two ladies show nothing but respect as they touch ‘em up first. McMann takes the center of the cage and starts off with a kick to the knee, and she wades forward with a pair of punches to the midsection. The two are tentative to engage with much else, as Rosa swings and misses with a pair of punches. The ladies whiff on punches, until McMann closes the distance and rips an uppercut up close. Rosa tries to reply, and McMann shoots through to hit a double and set the Brazilian on the canvas. Rosa looks to try to scramble and sweep her, but McMann uses this to nearly take her back and then place her flat on her back. McMann works with a few elbows in half guard, using heavy shoulder pressure to keep Rosa stuck without a way up. Rosa flails with strikes off her back, and McMann completely ignores them to isolate an arm and punch Rosa in the body repeatedly. McMann smothers her foe and smashes her in the face before isolating a wrist in search of a keylock. Rosa scrambles just enough to free her arm, but she is nowhere near getting off her back as the Olympian holds her down with ease. McMann grinds with elbows as she makes Rosa’s life miserable, posturing up every so often to land a few strikes before lowering herself down. McMann goes after another Americana briefly before letting it go to slash with a few elbows, and the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 McMann
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 McMann
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 McMann
Round 2
Rosa comes out of her corner to claim the center of the cage in Round 2, and she throws a high front kick that misses early. McMann bullies her way into a clinch, scoring a stern knee to the solar plexus, before Rosa pushes away and tries to gain space. McMann ducks a strike to throw three to the head and body. Rosa tries to counter, inaccurately doing so, and she takes a right hand to the body. The Brazilian fights off a single-leg takedown try, and as soon as McMann gets a hold of her, she elevates Rosa and tosses her down to the mat. From there, Rosa surrenders her back, with McMann getting both hooks in very quickly. Rosa looks to spin, but cannot, as McMann keeps wrist control. This position stalls out, with McMann easily holding dominant position but doing little else with it besides racking up riding time. Rosa is stuck and throws a few punches from behind her head, and McMann does not change her strategy one bit. The crowd begins to grow restless as McMann hangs on in back control, and McMann answers this by hooking up a body triangle. The Brazilian keeps a tight grip on her own wrists when McMann tries to isolate one in search of an armbar, and McMann throws her legs up in a full-throated effort for the armbar. Rosa winces as she is stuck in a very precarious position, and she stacks the Olympian up to protect herself from the greatest submission danger. McMann keeps that armbar locked down, and Rosa knees her in the side a few times while she remains in this predicament. Luckily for Rosa, she is able to keep her weight pressed on McMann to not succumb to the submission, but she can do little else until the bell rings.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 McMann
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 McMann
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 McMann
Round 3
Rosa charges out of her corner like a woman possessed, jumping out with a flying knee and surprising McMann. The 41-year-old wrestler quickly gathers herself and shoots in for a double, where she successfully puts Rosa down to the mat. Rosa climbs back to her knees, and as she does, McMann hops on to her back to serve as a 135-pound backpack. McMann gets both of her hooks in when the Brazilian stands up, as McMann remains piggybacked on her. Rosa wriggles to shake McMann off of her, and as soon as McMann’s feet hit the ground, she throws Rosa down to the mat with emphasis. Rosa cannot get McMann off of her, even when she stands back up again, and an attempted mat return from McMann goes south. McMann gets flipped over to her back, and she starts frantically scrambling to push Rosa off of her. When Rosa is above her, McMann nails her with a few upkicks, until Rosa lowers herself back to the guard. Rosa stands back up again to try to pass to a better position, blocking the upkicks that come at her this time. Rosa gets on top and starts dropping down strikes wildly, only to get kicked off again. McMann starts to engage in a slugfest from her back, and Rosa once more stands and begins to kick at McMann’s legs. McMann replies with a few more upkicks, and she sits up quickly to grab hold of a single. Rosa defends by standing up with her back to the wall, and she begins to slam elbows in the side of McMann’s head. McMann may be stunned from these blows, and Rosa stops throwing them for some reason. This allows McMann to clear her head if she was hurt, and she hits a throw to put Rosa down to the mat. Rosa turns the corner and looks for her own takedown, but there is nothing there. The final bell sounds, and they hug it out and immediately begin to discuss some of the events that transpired in their 15 minutes of combat.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-28 McMann)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-26 McMann)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 McMann (30-27 McMann)
The Official Result
Sara McMann def. Karol Rosa via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Sara McMann as a big underdog, acknowledging it could be a sucker bet. He believes McMann's wrestling will be the difference, as Karol Rosa lacks the offensive BJJ to submit her or the power to knock her out. He notes Rosa's high striking volume and takedown defense but thinks McMann can push the wrestling pace and win.
Big Brady picks Karol Rosa to win by third-round KO. He expects McMann to have early success with her wrestling, winning the first round, but then fade due to her age (41) and poor cardio. He believes Rosa will weather the storm and finish McMann late. He notes that McMann has been submitted four times in the UFC, but here he predicts a KO. He suggests live betting McMann in the first round.
Cody picks Rosa, expecting McMann to get takedowns early but fade. He notes McMann's history of blowing leads and getting submitted. He thinks Rosa is active off her back and will take over as the fight goes on. He likes Rosa at -225 better than Grasso at the same price.
Daniel Levi picks Karol Rosa confidently, highlighting her incredible striking volume (over 100 significant strikes in multiple fights) and youth. He breaks down McMann's flaws: poor fight IQ, questionable durability, and tendency to fade. He notes Rosa has improved her submission defense since early losses and earned a black belt. He expects Rosa to break McMann down as the fight progresses, possibly finishing her. He parlayed Rosa with Khizriev at -108.
The host picks McMann despite her age and gas tank issues, believing her wrestling and strength will be the difference. He notes Rosa's takedown defense hasn't been tested at UFC level and that McMann can grind out a decision. However, he admits he's not confident enough to bet it, calling it a 50/50 fight.
Paul picks Rosa but is hesitant. He notes McMann's elite wrestling and early takedowns, but expects her to fade. He thinks Rosa can out-volume her on the feet and possibly submit her. He suggests live betting Rosa after round one if McMann tires.
The MMA Guru picks Karol Rosa over Sara McMann, citing McMann's age (41) and inactivity since early 2021. He acknowledges McMann's grappling but believes Rosa is younger, more athletic, and technically sound, with a reach advantage. The Guru expects Rosa to control the fight against the cage and win a unanimous decision, as she doesn't leave herself out of position for takedowns.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 38 of 76 | 50% | 140 of 192 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:55 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 21 of 54 | 38% | 28 of 63 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 7:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 5 of 20 | 25% | 37 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 12 of 30 | 40% | 15 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:58 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 70 of 93 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 11 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:11 | |
| 3 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 20 of 27 | 74% | 33 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:47 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 38 of 76 | 50% | 27 of 65 | 11 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 57 | 10 of 10 | 8 of 9 |
| Sara McMann | 21 of 54 | 38% | 10 of 39 | 7 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 12 of 43 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 5 of 20 | 25% | 5 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sara McMann | 12 of 30 | 40% | 7 of 23 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 13 of 29 | 44% | 7 of 23 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 23 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Sara McMann | 8 of 17 | 47% | 3 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 4 | |
| 3 | Julianna Peña | 20 of 27 | 74% | 15 of 22 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 9 |
| Sara McMann | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Sara McMann by decision, citing her wrestling advantage and Peña's poor takedown defense (28%). He notes McMann lands 4.5 takedowns per 15 minutes with 60% accuracy. He expects McMann to control Peña on the ground for at least two rounds. He is not confident enough to bet but leans towards McMann.
Daniel Levi picks Sara McMann, highlighting her superior wrestling and power. He criticizes Julianna Peña's poor takedown defense (28%) and lack of submissions. Levi believes McMann can dominate with top control and avoid Peña's comeback attempts, as long as she stays focused for 15 minutes.
McMann is the better wrestler and should be able to get takedowns and control Peña on the ground. Peña has poor takedown defense and her jiu-jitsu off her back is not great. However, McMann is 40 years old and has cardio issues, which is a concern. I think McMann grinds out a decision, but I'm not confident enough to bet on her.
The MMA Guru picks Sara McMann to win by controlling Peña on the ground with top control. He criticizes Peña's submission game, noting she hasn't submitted anyone of note and has been submitted herself. He believes McMann's wrestling and top control will be effective, especially since women's fights are not stood up quickly. He predicts a 30-27 decision via ground control.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara McMann | 0 | 38 of 50 | 76% | 62 of 84 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 | 0 | 13:22 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 36 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara McMann | 0 | 10 of 12 | 83% | 22 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:29 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Sara McMann | 0 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 15 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:11 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 14 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Sara McMann | 0 | 18 of 22 | 81% | 25 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:42 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 16 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara McMann | 38 of 50 | 76% | 22 of 32 | 15 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 36 of 41 |
| Lina Länsberg | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara McMann | 10 of 12 | 83% | 0 of 2 | 9 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 10 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sara McMann | 10 of 16 | 62% | 4 of 8 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 11 |
| Lina Länsberg | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sara McMann | 18 of 22 | 81% | 18 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 20 |
| Lina Länsberg | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel picks Lina Länsberg for the upset, predicting that McMann will dominate the first round but then fade and get cut open by elbows in the second. He notes that McMann has a history of quitting and that Länsberg has improved her takedown defense. He expects a cut stoppage in the second round.
The MMA Guru picks Lina Länsberg based on recency and activity, noting Sara McMann is 49 years old and hasn't fought since 2018. He acknowledges the women's bantamweight division is mixed but believes Länsberg's recency and ability to hold McMann against the cage will be key.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marion Reneau | 0 | 9 of 49 | 18% | 76 of 120 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 5:10 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 23 of 39 | 58% | 37 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marion Reneau | 0 | 3 of 14 | 21% | 68 of 83 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:00 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Marion Reneau | 0 | 6 of 35 | 17% | 8 of 37 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:10 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 21 of 36 | 58% | 32 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marion Reneau | 9 of 49 | 18% | 5 of 42 | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 45 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Sara McMann | 23 of 39 | 58% | 23 of 38 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 13 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marion Reneau | 3 of 14 | 21% | 2 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sara McMann | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marion Reneau | 6 of 35 | 17% | 3 of 29 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 31 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Sara McMann | 21 of 36 | 58% | 21 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 21 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 13 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketlen Vieira | 0 | 29 of 58 | 50% | 36 of 67 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 5:32 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 17 of 21 | 80% | 35 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 1:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ketlen Vieira | 0 | 20 of 44 | 45% | 26 of 51 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:07 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 12 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Ketlen Vieira | 0 | 9 of 14 | 64% | 10 of 16 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 14 of 17 | 82% | 23 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:45 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketlen Vieira | 29 of 58 | 50% | 25 of 52 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 9 | 9 of 11 | 19 of 38 |
| Sara McMann | 17 of 21 | 80% | 16 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 4 | 14 of 14 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ketlen Vieira | 20 of 44 | 45% | 19 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 19 of 38 |
| Sara McMann | 3 of 4 | 75% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | |
| 2 | Ketlen Vieira | 9 of 14 | 64% | 6 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 5 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Sara McMann | 14 of 17 | 82% | 13 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 14 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
McMann swings a right hand at the body of Vieira, but it's only a cover for the wrestler to dive at Vieira and work for a takedown. Vieira stays standing, pressed against the cage by McMann with over-unders. One minute into the round, McMann completes the takedown and sets up in Vieira's closed guard. Vieira is looking to trap an arm, but McMann pulls herself free to slam the Brazilian with a heavy elbow to the face. More elbows fall on the grill of Vieira, who's still trying to creep up her guard to snare McMann in a submission attempt. The elbows of McMann have raised an enormous hematoma on the forehead of Vieira, but it's not stopping Vieira from hunting for a triangle. McMann ably defends the triangle setup and steps over to side control on Vieira's right side. McMann threatens with an arm-triangle choke, then releases and steps over to full mount. Vieira is dodging most of McMann's punches, and now she shrimps underneath to grab for a leg. Vieira finishes the round going for a kneebar, but McMann stays safe to see round two.
Sherdog Scores
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 McMann
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 McMann
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 McMann
Round 2
McMann tries to repeat her approach from round one, charging Vieira with her head down and using punches to set up a takedown. This time, Vieira is ready for it and plunks the wrestler with a right hand counter. McMann's next attempt yields a single-leg attempt against the fence, but Vieira defends well and drills the side of McMann's head with elbows and punches. McMann releases the leg in favor of holding Vieira against the wall; Vieira reverses to the outside, and now the bantamweights clinch in a neutral position on the fence. McMann digs an underhook and drives a hard knee into the body of Vieira. Suddenly, Vieira hits a trip takedown and comes down atop McMann in half guard. Now it's Vieira looking for an arm-triangle choke, and it looks like she may have it. McMann scoots her left side tight to the fence, but Vieira's squeeze from half guard is enough for force a tap from the American.
The Official Result
Ketlen Vieira def. Sara McMann via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) R2 4:16
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara McMann | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 7 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:02 |
| Gina Mazany | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara McMann | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 7 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:02 |
| Gina Mazany | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara McMann | 7 of 14 | 50% | 6 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 |
| Gina Mazany | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara McMann | 7 of 14 | 50% | 6 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 |
| Gina Mazany | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara McMann | 0 | 14 of 36 | 38% | 25 of 47 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 21 of 29 | 72% | 55 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 6:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara McMann | 0 | 12 of 30 | 40% | 21 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 17 of 21 | 80% | 51 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 3:50 | |
| 2 | Sara McMann | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexis Davis | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara McMann | 14 of 36 | 38% | 11 of 32 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 7 |
| Alexis Davis | 21 of 29 | 72% | 17 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 10 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara McMann | 12 of 30 | 40% | 10 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 7 |
| Alexis Davis | 17 of 21 | 80% | 14 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 10 | |
| 2 | Sara McMann | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexis Davis | 4 of 8 | 50% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara McMann | 0 | 22 of 51 | 43% | 56 of 88 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 | 0 | 8:00 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 10 of 24 | 41% | 19 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara McMann | 0 | 10 of 24 | 41% | 11 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:41 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Sara McMann | 0 | 7 of 19 | 36% | 19 of 32 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:27 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Sara McMann | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 26 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:52 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara McMann | 22 of 51 | 43% | 8 of 34 | 12 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 29 | 11 of 13 | 8 of 9 |
| Jessica Eye | 10 of 24 | 41% | 6 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara McMann | 10 of 24 | 41% | 0 of 12 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 13 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 4 of 9 | 44% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sara McMann | 7 of 19 | 36% | 4 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 5 |
| Jessica Eye | 2 of 8 | 25% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sara McMann | 5 of 8 | 62% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
| Jessica Eye | 4 of 7 | 57% | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!